Friday, January 9, 2015

Jan 09 2015

Slightly positive, eked out by the last trade. Quite jerky week with a lot of back and forth.


Session Start: Fri Jan 09 00:00:00 2015

[09:01] {dino} gm
[09:01] {JoebiWan} morning
01[09:02] {@Threei}  dino, jw :)
[09:04] {RonS} hi dudes
01[09:04] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:19] {dptl} gm
01[09:19] {@Threei}  dp :)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -AGEN +30% (formed alliance with INCY to develop immuno-oncology antibodies)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -SD +13% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -PTLA +11% (Phase 3 ANNEXA-R study of Andexanet Alfa & Factor Xa inhibitor XARELTO met primary endpoint)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -INFY +6.4% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -BITA +5.5% (announced strategic partnership with JD.com & Tencent)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -YELP +3.5% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -WYNN +2.4% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -CNAT -40% (announced top-line results from ACLF & organ impairment clinical trials of Emricasan)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -EOPN -40% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -ARGS -27% (Phase 2b trial of AGS-004 in HIV missed primary endpoint)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -SBLK -19% (stock offering)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -FIVE -15% (holiday sales, narrowed Q4 Rev guidance)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -TCS -10% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -BBBY -4.4% (earnings; Q4 guidance)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -M -2.3% (new series of initiatives to evolve business model; negative broker commentary)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -TSLA -1.4% (report German registrations failed to meet expectations)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -SBUX -1.2% (COO taking extended unpaid leave)
[09:29] {ese} morning
01[09:30] {@Threei}  ese :)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .55 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  If holds  .48
01[09:33] {@Threei}  meh
[09:34] {ese} use the italian "beh"....
[09:35] {ese} means "well"  or "oh well"....that a language i can understand
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .05 break
01[09:37] {@Threei}  If holds  48
01[09:37] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .25 break
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
[09:38] {nemo} right
[09:41] {dino} amag, hooker, smr l .05
[09:43] {dino} eopn sm l .42
[09:43] {ese} can see why LB is up 25 bucks since august....they own Victoria's Secret......am gonna become an investor there
[09:44] {dino} eopn stop is .18
[09:44] {dino} mnk spike
01[09:44] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .60 break
01[09:44] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:46] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:47] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:47] {@Threei}  out
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .30 break
01[09:48] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
[09:48] {dino} gj
01[09:48] {@Threei}  ty
01[09:49] {@Threei}  no go
01[09:49] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .10 break
01[09:49] {@Threei}  If holds  78
01[09:50] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:52] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:52] {@Threei}  IWM rinse
01[09:53] {@Threei}  closed on a trail
[09:56] {dptl} same fb...ty
01[09:56] {@Threei}  yw
[09:57] {dino} out amag 43.35, +1.30
[09:57] {JoebiWan} gj
[09:58] {dino} ty
01[09:59] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .50 break
01[09:59] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[10:00] {@Threei}  (GR) Greece election polls show Syriza lead steady
01[10:01] {@Threei}  *(US) NOV WHOLESALE INVENTORIES M/M: 0.8% V 0.3%E; WHOLESALE TRADE SALES M/M: -0.3% V 0.0%E
01[10:01] {@Threei}  JOY Hearing renewed takeover chatter circulating- Komatsu and Atlas again rumored as potential acquirers
01[10:02] {@Threei}  no go
01[10:11] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .80 break
[10:11] {nathan} morning
01[10:11] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[10:12] {@Threei}  nathan
01[10:12] {@Threei}  changer to .70 break
01[10:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[10:12] {nemo} I gotta reboot something funky going on with my system
01[10:12] {@Threei}  even with all the vodka in it?
01[10:12] {@Threei}  must be really funky
01[10:13] {@Threei}  change to .65 break
01[10:13] {@Threei}  If holds  .58
01[10:16] {@Threei}  meh
[10:17] {dino} nclh sm l .80
[10:20] {nemo} sheesh Logix can be touchy
[10:21] {dino} nclh stop .48 -.32
[10:24] {dino} nclh reload sm l .42
01[10:24] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .05 break
01[10:24] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[10:26] {nathan} waiting for DAL reversal
01[10:26] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .45 break
01[10:27] {@Threei}  If holds  .35
[10:27] {dino} pretty good drop in making
[10:27] {RonS} big blocks going off nclh...needs to stop for a reversal
01[10:28] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:28] {nathan} thx 3i
01[10:29] {@Threei}  yw
01[10:29] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:29] {@Threei}  1:3
[10:30] {nathan} long DAL .55 break if holds .45?
[10:31] {nathan} inval
01[10:32] {@Threei}  wow... exceeded expectations
01[10:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .85 break
01[10:39] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
01[10:40] {@Threei}  sheesh
01[10:40] {@Threei}  breutal selling pressure
01[10:40] {@Threei}  -e
[10:41] {dino} eopn stuck stop to .38
01[10:41] {@Threei}  oh boy... https://fbcdn-sphotos-c-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpa1/v/t1.0-9/p720x720/10898257_1151592031536915_3080397135484673761_n.jpg?oh=f8e8d2a20553f92e022b4b0f30d35d19&oe=556CCC48&__gda__=1429255309_acbb595e5d37606ccf61e39e5938191e
[10:42] {dino} out eopn -.04
[10:42] {dino} cuda sm l .15 wide
[10:44] {cosmo} That's like asking "Who was Shakespeare?"
[10:44] {dino} who is john galt
[10:45] {cosmo} hmm...who is Santa?  ...comming soon
[10:45] {nemo} that's one of the best arguments I've seen for another Diluvian epoch
01[10:45] {@Threei}  http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-30735673
01[10:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .55 break
01[10:47] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
[10:48] {dino} blcm spike
[10:48] {dino} cybr sm l .49
01[10:52] {@Threei}  stop to .49
01[10:53] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:07] {dino} nclh to .82
02[11:09] * Disconnected
Session Close: Fri Jan 09 11:09:48 2015

Session Start: Fri Jan 09 11:09:48 2015
Session Ident: #discussions
02[11:13] * Attempting to rejoin channel #discussions
03[11:13] * Rejoined channel #discussions
[11:13] {dino} out nclh ave ,05, +.63
01[11:13] {Threei}  wtg
[11:14] {dino} ty
01[11:14] {Threei}  Brent crude hits fresh 5-year lows below $49.68/bbl, down over 3% - WTI crude down 2.5% at $47.55, still above Wednesday's low of $46.83
01[11:23] {@Threei}  look at this: https://www.facebook.com/VadymGraiferPhotography/posts/778107222268795
[11:24] {dino} added sap calls
[11:24] {dino} brb
[11:28] {nemo} VXX coming in but spy not moving much
[11:33] {RonS} out nclh 45.45 from 44.63 ave +.82  first time have seen such a high % of block volume on an absolute and % of the days volume...lesson is that it is a net positive since there are big buyers as well as sellers...thanks dino wherever you are...
01[11:36] {@Threei}  good one
01[11:41] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .75 break
01[11:41] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[11:46] {ese} hey all....have a great weekend eh....
01[11:46] {@Threei}  you too ese
[11:46] {dino} u2 ese
[11:46] {ese} cya vad
01[11:47] {@Threei}  grrr
[11:49] {dptl} i think i have to lower position sizes to 100sh now
01[11:56] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .50 break
01[11:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
[11:57] {dino} blue spike
[11:58] {RonS} bolt of lightening?
[11:58] {dino} lol
01[12:01] {@Threei}  1:1
[12:02] {nathan} fu*/&%ng internet connection
[12:02] {nemo} such a universal word
[12:02] {nathan} lol
[12:02] {nemo} crosses many linguistic boundaries
[12:02] {nathan} the first english word i learned
[12:03] {dino} cuda drop
[12:04] {dino} cuda sm l .75
[12:04] {nathan} nemo, which is  the algo website?
01[12:04] {@Threei}  1:2
[12:04] {nemo} agilemetrix.com
[12:04] {nathan} thx
[12:05] {nathan} doesnt say much on the site
[12:05] {nathan} is it for the pros?
[12:05] {nemo} yes
01[12:06] {@Threei}  out in full
01[12:06] {@Threei}  1:3 vlose enough
[12:06] {JoebiWan} gj
01[12:06] {@Threei}  v=c
01[12:06] {@Threei}  ty
01[12:07] {@Threei}  1:4
[12:07] {dptl} ty
01[12:07] {@Threei}  yw
[12:11] {RonS} dino:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p0OX_8YvFxA
[12:12] {nemo} he was a great guitarist...too bad he broke up with Nancy
[12:13] {nemo} she's playing an Ovation...mmmmmhhh
[12:13] {nemo} she's an awesome acoustic player
[12:14] {dino} she was great
[12:14] {nemo} is she dead?
[12:14] {nemo} VXX
[12:14] {RonS} ya, saw her on some kind of palmer/??? Zeppelin tribute... never realized how good she is
[12:15] {nemo} .25 break
[12:15] {nemo} yeah, that was great
[12:16] {nemo} lookinf doe .50
[12:16] {nemo} for
[12:16] {nemo} stop under .15
[12:16] {nemo} might be a bit early
[12:20] {dino} everything slowed down
01[12:23] {@Threei}  Nervousness about flagging US wage growth has driven equity declines this morning, with European indices closing at their lows and the three leading US indices all down more than 1%. The 10-year yield is down nearly seven basis points, putting it back below 2%.
01[12:23] {@Threei}  Dissection of the December jobs report focused chiefly on the hourly earnings component. The very healthy November gain in earnings was cut in half by revisions (to +0.2% from the preliminary +0.4%), and December earnings were -0.2%. The data pulled the y/y growth rate to its lowest level in more than two years (+1.7%). Note that the Fed is on record with its desire to see earnings growth accelerating to +3% y/y to help it accomplish its 2% inflation target.
01[12:24] {@Threei}  Crude prices are racking up fresh five-year lows this morning as markets accentuate the negative in the US jobs data. Brent crude futures are below $49.70, down over 3%. WTI crude is down 2.5% around $47.50, but still above Wednesday's low of $46.83
[12:24] {nemo} stop under .35
[12:24] {nathan} good spot nemo! thx
[12:24] {nemo} was a DKTK but didn't quite stop me out
01[12:25] {@Threei}  bold but worked out nicely
[12:25] {nemo} why bold
[12:25] {nemo} ?
01[12:25] {@Threei}  it was typical DKTK situation
01[12:26] {@Threei}  yet you played it head on
[12:26] {nemo} yeah but was watching iwm spy fas and aapl, they were getting ready to turn...aapl was the key
[12:27] {nemo} hit .50
01[12:27] {@Threei}  guys, I need to leave for about 40 min
[12:27] {nemo} run out of Depends?
01[12:27] {@Threei}  be back asap, hopefully there is no disconnect while I am away
01[12:28] {@Threei}  nah, need to renew prescription, the only spot doctor's office had was this morning
01[12:28] {@Threei}  but I'll pick up depends on my way back
[12:28] {nemo} stop to .40
01[12:28] {@Threei}  since I mailed last batch to you, I am running low
[12:28] {nathan} ok
[12:29] {nemo} they can't call in a new prescription?  sheesh
01[12:29] {@Threei}  no, it's been too long since its start, they want to look at me
01[12:29] {@Threei}  (weird, no one else does)
[12:29] {nemo} oh oh, give the doctor a shield to look through
[12:30] {nemo} this may have been VXX bottom
[12:30] {nemo} if indexes come in and watch aapl, this could be a Nantucket sleigh ride for the rest of the day
[12:31] {JoebiWan} still in vxx nemo?
[12:31] {nemo} stop under .40
[12:31] {nemo} [12:28] {nemo} stop to .40
[12:32] {nemo} partialed @.48
[12:34] {nemo} stop to .50
[12:35] {nemo} people buying option protection
[12:41] {nemo} well, that solidifies theo .50 stop
[12:43] {nemo} breaks .65 shoud be go time
[12:43] {dino} pb drop
[12:46] {nemo} wow
[12:46] {nemo} still holding
[12:46] {nemo} SPY could still test vwap
[12:46] {nemo} doesn't look like it though
[12:47] {nemo} PRU looks short
[12:51] {nemo} MA looks short
[12:51] {nemo} go time
[12:51] {nemo} stop to .55
[12:54] {JoebiWan} spy breaks .20 we should be good
[12:55] {nemo} look for 204 bounce
[12:57] {nemo} COF looks short here
[12:58] {nemo} stop up to .60
01[12:58] {@Threei}  back... doctor didn't want to look at me for too long and honestly... who could blame him
[12:58] {JoebiWan} lol
[12:58] {nemo} is he a statue in your back yard now?
[12:58] {nemo} we'
[12:58] {nemo} re still in vxx
01[12:58] {@Threei}  why, I let him run free
[13:00] {nemo} to .70
01[13:02] {@Threei}  wow... nice riding
[13:02] {nemo} ty
[13:03] {nemo} I figured Friday, with the weakness today it had to turn, it might keep going
[13:03] {nemo} bout 204 logical bounce for spy
01[13:06] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .75 break
01[13:06] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[13:07] {@Threei}  ugh
[13:07] {JoebiWan} .55?
[13:07] {dptl} ?
01[13:07] {@Threei}  nevermind, wrong stock
01[13:07] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .75 break
[13:07] {nemo} oy
01[13:07] {@Threei}  If holds  .68
[13:12] {JoebiWan} nice vxx play nemo
[13:13] {nemo} ty
[13:13] {nemo} spy looks like aapl
01[13:14] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:36] {@Threei}  need a proof that smoking weed makes you stupid?
01[13:36] {@Threei}  http://globalnews.ca/news/1765090/man-accidentally-dials-rcmp-officer-offering-to-sell-weed/
[13:49] {cosmo} Keep trying until they submit.
01[13:49] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .90 break
01[13:49] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[13:50] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[13:53] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  118 break
[13:53] {nemo} DAL looks short
01[13:53] {@Threei}  If holds  .95
[13:55] {nemo} DAL
01[13:57] {@Threei}  meh
[14:04] {nemo} VXX
01[14:07] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .95 break
01[14:07] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[14:07] {dptl} why? what is difference? same system partialingout, but just smaller shares
[14:08] {dino} commission will eat up the gains
[14:08] {dino} i have to go 1000 or more to trade vad
[14:08] {dptl} but with bigger shares it will it up even more, no?
[14:09] {dptl} comm based on share amount , not fixed
01[14:09] {@Threei}  math: every 100 shares will add $10 at 10 cents move but $2 in commissions
[14:09] {dino} but vad is going for nickles and dimes, 400 shares cannot work on niickles and dimes, imo
01[14:10] {@Threei}  how do bigger shares suffer from commissions increase then?
01[14:13] {@Threei}  1:1  TWTRT
01[14:17] {@Threei}  1:2
[14:21] {nathan} gents have a nice weekend!
[14:21] {RonS} cya
01[14:21] {@Threei}  take care nathan
01[14:21] {@Threei}  1:3
01[14:21] {@Threei}  out
[14:21] {JoebiWan} gj
01[14:22] {@Threei}  1:4
01[14:31] {@Threei}  sheesh TWTR
06[14:32] * nemo racks Wyndham arms AR-10
[14:32] {dptl} what size you trade Vad? 1000sh lots?
[14:32] {dino} at least
01[14:33] {@Threei}  unless I say hl, and often larger, especially on smaller stop trades
[14:36] {RonS} lol... Definition of irony: 64 Ivy league  students suspended for cheating in an ETHICS class  http://dailym.ai/1tSnqtF
01[14:36] {@Threei}  lol
[14:37] {RonS} breaking news:  Three days of gunshots, killings, car chases and, as of today, hostage-taking are putting Parisians on edge http://bloom.bg/17qImgU
[14:38] {dino} welcome to philadelphia
[14:42] {RonS} twtr $40
[14:42] {RonS} .06
01[14:44] {@Threei}  1:10 TWTR
[14:44] {dino} g8tjob
01[14:44] {@Threei}  well... I wish I was still in :)'
01[14:44] {@Threei}  but this was a high quality call
[14:44] {RonS} blue solid black
01[14:45] {@Threei}  you mean blue is new black?
[14:45] {dino} no, orange is the new black
01[14:45] {@Threei}  my view on skirts: short is new black
[14:45] {dino} indeed
[14:46] {dino} good show, orange is new black
[14:47] {dptl} are you positive today   Vad?
[14:47] {RonS} speaking of... saw o's older daughter the other day...has turned into a horse like her mother...she ain't eating the crap school diet that was put out...
[14:48] {dino} roflol
[14:48] {nemo} she goes to that private school...she gets lobster and prime rib.  pate de foie gras
[14:52] {nemo} huh?
[14:53] {dino} hmm.
01[14:53] {@Threei}  ?
[14:54] {RonS} @  just joining in
06[14:54] * dino slaps RonS around a bit with a large trout
[14:54] {RonS} lol
[14:55] {dino} comedian needs a trout for his act
01[14:55] {@Threei}  ok... I tried to make sense out of it but then remembered that this is asylum
[14:55] {dino} good series too asylum on amer horror story
[14:57] {nemo} aapl looks short below .10
[14:57] {nemo} has to hold .20
[14:59] {nemo} or .20 break VXX looks like it's coming in
[15:01] {dino} out cuda 37.80 +1.05
[15:01] {RonS} gj
[15:01] {dino} ty
01[15:03] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .10 break
01[15:03] {@Threei}  If holds  40
[15:04] {dino} damn, thought vwap would send it down
[15:04] {dino} must stop thinking
[15:05] {nemo} this is all aapl in the indexes
01[15:05] {@Threei}  SPY is about to break out
01[15:06] {@Threei}  tighten to .04
01[15:07] {@Threei}  out
[15:07] {nemo} aapl weakening if it comes in the indexes do too
[15:07] {dptl} out
01[15:08] {@Threei}  SPY did break but TWTR stopped following
01[15:08] {@Threei}  which is why I tightened
01[15:10] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  40 break
01[15:10] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[15:11] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[15:12] {@Threei}  should have just bought SPY
[15:17] {JoebiWan} vxx .60 break?
01[15:17] {@Threei}  I wpould prefer .50
01[15:17] {@Threei}  if holds .40
[15:17] {nemo} need aapl to show weakness
01[15:27] {@Threei}  wow
[15:28] {nemo} aapl gave way
01[15:28] {@Threei}  rug pull
[15:31] {dptl} lets short twtr at .20 break?
01[15:31] {@Threei}  let's
[15:33] {dptl} .10 break is good too ..i think
01[15:34] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
01[15:34] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[15:39] {@Threei}  The female suicide bomber who blew herself up at an Istanbul police station on Jan. 6 has been identified as a Russian citizen.
01[15:39] {@Threei}  half out FB
01[15:40] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:42] {@Threei}  1/4 more out
01[15:42] {@Threei}  1:2
[15:43] {dino} that was a nice one
01[15:43] {@Threei}  to answer earlier question - with this trade day goes positive
01[15:43] {@Threei}  ty
[15:44] {dino} i'll crack you up, only 3/7, but at 600 goal. had 2 run over a dollar up each
01[15:44] {@Threei}  wtg
[15:44] {dino} and my biggest stop was 157
[15:44] {nemo} next week first full non holiday week
01[15:45] {@Threei}  hmm?
01[15:45] {@Threei}  wasn;'t this one too?
01[15:45] {@Threei}  closed FB last peice
[15:45] {nemo} no...3 Kings day was Tuesday, most of Europe was still on vaca and probably took the rest of this week
[15:46] {dino} volume felt better this week
[15:46] {JoebiWan} did you miss that FB 1:3 early in the day dp?
[15:46] {nemo} it was, but will be better next week
[15:47] {dptl} the very first one with 1:3 yes..i couldnt get it was 7c away when i pull it up
[15:47] {dptl} Joebi
[15:47] {dino} dp, try to keep 10 or so on screen at once. i run 20 at a time
[15:48] {dino} opps 28
[15:48] {dptl} ?level 2s you mean?
[15:48] {dptl} 20?
[15:49] {dino} level 1
[15:49] {dino} hate to do it, but don't want to f' up a decent day , out cybr .20 -.29, thats the 4th stop
[15:50] {dptl} well i have qoute board with all of them, it takes only one click to bring them up...but in the morning, that second can be long and stock is away.......
[15:50] {dino} dp, you should have 20 or so on l1, just click to get to l2/trading window. you already know pretty much what vad will be trading
[15:50] {dino} ok, i get it
[15:51] {dptl} same here, but even with that it can be to late
[15:52] {dptl} thats why its not that simple to copy trades...specialy in the morning
[15:52] {dino} yes, it happens. some teleport
[15:52] {nemo} yeah, reality can be a bitch
01[15:52] {@Threei}  jw, did you get that FB trade?
[15:52] {nemo} remember a long fcx trade years ago dropped from the penthouse to the basement in a millisecond...yeowww!
[15:52] {JoebiWan} no, that one was quick
[15:54] {dino} calling it a week, vaya con chica
[15:54] {JoebiWan} cya dino
[15:54] {RonS} hast el perro
[15:54] {dino} u2
[15:54] {RonS} hasta
01[15:54] {@Threei}  thank you all, have a great weekend
[15:54] {JoebiWan} Time to break out some tequila
01[15:54] {@Threei}  see you monday
[15:55] {dptl} gn all