Monday, June 15, 2015

June 15 2015

Very nice day as Greece jitters provided us with nice volatility. FB 1:3, MCD 1:2, and more of such, on both sides made for a nicely profitable day.


Session Time: Mon Jun 15 00:00:00 2015
[08:53] {dino} gm 3i
01[08:54] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:11] {RonS} gm
[09:11] {cosmo} so far
01[09:11] {@Threei}  ron :)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  can you believe this, Greece thingy seems to be finally exploding
01[09:12] {@Threei}  imploding?
[09:13] {RonS} tsiping into darkness?
01[09:13] {@Threei}  tsirping
[09:13] {cosmo} is it time for helicopter money yet?
[09:13] {RonS} +r _r...it's all greek to me...
[09:14] {RonS} -
01[09:14] {@Threei}  not really cosmo, they can't fuel that helicopter anymore
[09:15] {cosmo} sigh
[09:17] {cosmo} sell the parthenon?
[09:17] {cosmo} nah
01[09:18] {@Threei}  to whom?
01[09:18] {@Threei}  at their rate of vborrowing, it's already not theirs to sell
[09:19] {cosmo} plus....the parthenon needs a lot of work
01[09:20] {@Threei}  low curb appeal?
[09:22] {cosmo} exactly
01[09:25] {@Threei}  Raven is off for 3 weeks
[09:29] {cosmo} he's got to fly south this year...
[09:29] {cosmo} for the summer that is
01[09:32] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .65 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:33] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:33] {@Threei}  1:2
[09:34] {dino} we've been bouncing 17700s, lets see if patern continues
01[09:34] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:37] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .25 break
01[09:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .35
01[09:44] {@Threei}  no go
[09:47] {dino} added agio calls
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .80 break
01[09:47] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
[09:51] {dino} shop spike
01[09:52] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:52] {@Threei}  -TRAK +60% (receives offer from Cox Automotive worth $63.25/shr)
01[09:52] {@Threei}  -RDHL +30% (successfully met primary endpoint in Phase 3 study of RHB-105)
01[09:52] {@Threei}  -BLUE +5% (momentum from positive data on HGB-205 released at EHA on Saturday)
01[09:52] {@Threei}  -SPF +3.5% (merger of equals with RYL)
01[09:52] {@Threei}  -RYL +2% (merger of equals with SPF)
01[09:52] {@Threei}  -NQ +2% (named Roland Wu CFO effective immediately)
01[09:53] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:53] {@Threei}  -NBG -16.5% (continued Greece instability)
01[09:53] {@Threei}  -CLLS -6.5% (momentum from ZIOP takeover target rumor)
01[09:53] {@Threei}  -NFLX -1.5% (BABA launching competitor service in China)
[09:59] {nemo} SLB looks short
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) JUN NAHB HOUSING MARKET INDEX: 59 V 56E
01[10:00] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MCD  .40 break
01[10:01] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:03] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:12] {@Threei} Short Setup: DAL  .68 break
01[10:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
[10:16] {RonS} Z rumor googl in talks to buy 120-135...
01[10:19] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .30 break
01[10:19] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[10:20] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[10:22] {@Threei}  meh DAL
01[10:25] {@Threei}  rinse
01[10:29] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .35 break
01[10:29] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
[10:30] {dino} shop sm s .90
01[10:35] {@Threei}  no go
[10:43] {dino} cov shop .80, +1.00
01[10:43] {@Threei}  wtg
[10:43] {dino} opps, +1.10
[10:45] {dino} back in 30
01[11:01] {@Threei}  (UK) BOE's Forbes: most channels for Greek contagion are manageable, financial institutions could handle contagio better than before
01[11:09] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MCD  .45 break
01[11:09] {@Threei}  If holds  .35
01[11:10] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:15] {@Threei}  1:2
01[11:19] {@Threei}  So far this year, 25% more homes have been sold in Victoria than by this time last year.
01[11:19] {@Threei}  The dollar value of those sales is up nearly 30%.
01[11:20] {@Threei}  bubble seems to be starting
01[11:24] {@Threei}  at what % gain do I sell mine...
[11:25] {RonS} and do what after?
[11:26] {dino} .
01[11:27] {@Threei}  rent and wait for a crash?
[11:27] {dino} its not a bad idea
01[11:27] {@Threei}  or don't even wait, just retire on insane gain from the sale, lol
[11:27] {RonS} rents are up more here than house prices...
01[11:28] {@Threei}  not here
01[11:28] {@Threei}  and even where they are, math works anyway
01[11:28] {@Threei}  Vancouver for instance
01[11:28] {@Threei}  know guys who sell their houses at 2.5 mil
01[11:29] {@Threei}  pocket about 2.2 vs their purchase price
01[11:29] {@Threei}  even at very high current rental rates they can practically live on this money for the rest of their lives
01[11:33] {@Threei}  and to me, they sell too soon
[11:45] {nemo} AIG news?
01[11:48] {@Threei}  AIG Court finds that there are no damages to be awarded related to the bailout; finds against Greenberg's Starr International - press
01[11:59] {@Threei}  nice run
[12:01] {dino} healthcare popping
01[12:02] {@Threei}  CI halt
01[12:03] {@Threei}  AIG Court finds that there are no damages to be awarded related to the bailout; finds against Greenberg's Starr International
[12:06] {dino} ci spike
[12:06] {dino} news?
01[12:06] {@Threei}  CI Anthem reportedly made a bid for the company which was turned down at around $175/shr
[12:07] {dino} ten spike
01[12:10] {@Threei} Short Setup: PRU  .80 break
01[12:11] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[12:26] {@Threei}  1:1
01[12:52] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD  .50 break
01[12:52] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[13:01] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .67 break
01[13:01] {@Threei}  If holds  .62
01[13:01] {@Threei}  OCD trade
[13:01] {nemo} huh?
01[13:01] {@Threei}  ?
[13:02] {nemo} OCD?
01[13:02] {@Threei}  this exact numbers?
[13:02] {nemo} ahhh
01[13:02] {@Threei}  obsessive-compulsive disorder?
01[13:06] {@Threei}  1:1  MCD
01[13:06] {@Threei}  (close enough for lunch time)
01[13:22] {@Threei}  good boy MCD
01[13:22] {@Threei}  die more
01[13:23] {@Threei}  1:2
01[13:30] {@Threei}  1:1  VXX
01[13:33] {@Threei}  closjng MCD +.27
01[13:35] {@Threei}  nemo, you sure you haven't happened to take a swim at North Carolina beach earlier?
01[13:35] {@Threei}  and feel unusually hungry?
[13:35] {nemo} ha ha
01[13:36] {@Threei}  or should I say, hungry as usual
[13:37] {dino} 3rd bite in a week there. thats only 5 miles from my golf condo
01[13:38] {@Threei}  and they were only waste-deep
01[13:38] {@Threei}  waist
[13:38] {dino} very unusual
[13:39] {dino} over memorial weekend they had a gator walking down the beach at sunset beach
01[13:43] {@Threei}  1:2  VXX
01[13:44] {@Threei}  so what's next? rain of frogs?
[13:44] {dino} sure
[13:50] {dino} agio smr l .99
01[13:51] {@Threei}  (GR) Countries in the EMU have come to an agreement over an emergency plan regarding Greece; prepared capital controls - germany press
[14:03] {dino} aet spike
[14:04] {dino} asnd spike thin
[14:06] {dino} hum drop
[14:15] {dino} aet smr s .42
[14:17] {dino} cov aet .90, +.52
01[14:22] {@Threei}  wtg
[14:23] {dino} ty
[14:30] {dino} out agio .84, +.85
[14:38] {dino} wow, should've held agio, went another buck
01[14:43] {@Threei}  YOU: I murdered someone.
01[14:43] {@Threei}  YOUR DOG: I'm totally cool with that. I love you.
01[14:43] {@Threei}  YOU: I murdered someone.
01[14:43] {@Threei}  YOUR CAT: So? So did I.
[14:57] {dino} gotta hop. was a pretty good day. gn all
[14:57] {dino} qure spike
01[15:18] {@Threei}  (GR) Greece Govt official reportedly denies earlier Germany press reports that Greece may be subjected to capital controls as part of a plan that results from any failure to come to an agreement in the upcoming weekend - press - Follow up: Germany Govt official notes they cannot confirm the earlier press reports
01[15:22] {@Threei}  markwt is utterly confused
01[15:41] {@Threei}  watching IWM for long on pullback to .80
01[15:41] {@Threei}  about the only thing that makes sense to me here
01[15:46] {@Threei}  no pullback
01[15:46] {@Threei}  time's running out for a meaningful play
01[15:46] {@Threei}  great day as it is
01[15:46] {@Threei}  thank you, have a good evening
01[15:46] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow