Friday, June 19, 2015

June 19 2015

Not overly active but profitable day to finish the uneven week. Closing short on TWTR helped to cement the day.

Session Time: Fri Jun 19 00:00:00 2015
[09:04] {dino} gm
01[09:05] {@Threei}  dino )
[09:12] {RonS} gm
[09:12] {RonS} MAC continues weakness following yesterday AH talk of a 5.7million spot scecondary being shopped by C
01[09:12] {@Threei}  ron :)
01[09:16] {@Threei}  just so you don't feel Greece-deprived:
01[09:16] {@Threei}  - Greece banking sector said to have seen deposit outflows of over €1.0B on Thursday; up to €3.0B this week
01[09:16] {@Threei}  - Greece Central Bank confirmed its stability of its banking system
01[09:16] {@Threei}  - Greece PM Tsipras: Emergency summit on Monday is a positive development; reiterated optimism that a solution would be found. Says those betting on a crisis would be proven wrong; a solution would enable Greece to return to growth
01[09:16] {@Threei}  second line is especially adorable
[09:21] {dino} 18,200, pattern is short the dji around here
01[09:25] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -AMCN +42% (r'cvd preliminary going-private proposal valued at $6/shr)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -CAG +5% (statement on Jana investment)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -LIVE +4.7% (guided FY15 to be a record year for the company)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -KBH +3.3% (earnings)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -NFLX +1/3% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -REXX +1.2% (announced sale of Keystone Clearwater Solutions)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -HNR +16% ($32M funding)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -HWAY -23% (lowered FY15 guidance)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -TKMR -15% (update on TKM-Ebola-Guinea)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -MAC -7.3% (weakness attributed to 5.7M share spot secondary)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -ZOES -5.8% (CFO resignation; negative broker commentary)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -SWHC -3.7% (earnings)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -FNSR -3.6% (earnings)
01[09:25] {@Threei}  -HSY -2.4% (cut FY15 guidance)
[09:26] {nemo} SPY went ex-div and had a beauty of a bear flag this premarket
01[09:26] {@Threei}  9:11 - 9:18?
[09:27] {nemo} 8:30 my time
[09:27] {nemo} still going
[09:27] {nemo} have to watch IVV today
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .70 break
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:39] {@Threei}  valid still
01[09:39] {@Threei}  change to .65 break
01[09:40] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[09:45] {dino} mtsi sm s .01
01[09:49] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .60 break
01[09:49] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:54] {@Threei}  no go
[09:55] {dino} ntsi stuck, bs to flat
[09:55] {dino} \
01[09:58] {@Threei}  rinse
[10:00] {nemo} Quad witching with Greece in suspense
01[10:01] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .55 break
01[10:01] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
01[10:05] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:05] {dino} fslr sm l .57
[10:08] {nemo} twtr should close gap
01[10:10] {@Threei}  1:2
[10:16] {dino} amba vsm s .01
[10:18] {dino} cov amba .10, +.91
01[10:18] {@Threei}  1:4
01[10:18] {@Threei}  out
[10:18] {dino} gj
01[10:18] {@Threei}  ty
01[10:22] {@Threei}  (GR) EMU said to be in support of deposit insurance assuming Greece exits the EMU - Germany press - Proposals from the EMU reportedly are for a joint deposit insurance program in aims to assist savers in the case of a Grexit
01[10:24] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  36 break
01[10:25] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
[10:26] {dino} mtsi sm s .25, gappy
[10:27] {dino} seems they are prepared for grexit
01[10:27] {@Threei}  it was a scare for so long that eventually fear dissipated
01[10:28] {@Threei}  and everyone decided, horrible end is better than endless horror
[10:31] {dino} think you are right 3i
[10:34] {dino} cov mtsi .00, +.25
[10:47] {dino} fslr stopped .23, -.34
01[10:58] {@Threei}  GR) Greece banking system deposit outflows today said to have reached €1.2B - financial press **Note:- Greece banking sector said to have seen deposit outflows of over €1.0B on Thursday, Jun 18th with outflows for Monday-Thursday might have hit about €3B- The next scheduled Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) meeting had been for next Wed (Jun 24th)
01[11:04] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD  .80 break
01[11:04] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
[11:09] {dino} mac sm l .00
01[11:09] {@Threei}  US) Congressional Budget Office (CBO) releases Budgetary and Economic Effects of Repealing the Affordable Care Act
01[11:10] {@Threei}  I reread their conclusions twice by now, I still don't understand it
[11:10] {dino} out mac .30, +.30
01[11:10] {@Threei}  if you want, I can post it, see if you can make the ends in it
[11:11] {dino} i don't care to read it
01[11:11] {@Threei}  I wish I adopted that stance 5 min ago
01[11:12] {@Threei}  who is going to refund me these 5 minutes of my life
[11:12] {RonS} pass here too
01[11:12] {@Threei}  suuure... be all wise now that I took all the hit on myself and warned you...
[11:12] {RonS} lol
01[11:14] {@Threei}  it takes special mastery, to string words together so that each separate one makes sense, but the sense of it all is like sand through your fingers, just impossible to grasp
[11:14] {RonS} the CBO's track record is sub 10% on these kinds of reports...they use static it's always pure bullshit
01[11:14] {@Threei}  and highly politicized I am sure
[11:14] {dino} indeed
[11:15] {RonS} didn't used to be but for the last 20 years it has been corrupted...
01[11:16] {@Threei}  what hasn't
[11:16] {RonS} ya
01[11:16] {@Threei}  even my favorite ice cream has
01[11:17] {@Threei}  "nostalgia is not what it used to be"
[11:18] {RonS} "i've been emotionally constipated for weeks... just haven't given a shit about anything..."
01[11:18] {@Threei}  rofl
[11:19] {dino} flxs drop, hooker
01[11:20] {@Threei}  this is my favorite gif, ron, view it till the end of progress bar:
01[11:20] {@Threei}
[11:24] {nemo} aapl looks short here
[11:24] {nemo} everything so slow though, safer to short at VWAP
01[11:35] {@Threei}  I have a feeling end of day should be interesting
[11:36] {dino} hope so, right now its just thin random moves
[11:37] {RonS} BMY - European Commission Approves Bristol-Myers' Opdivo (nivolumab), the First and Only PD-1 Checkpoint Inhibitor Approved in Europe, for Both First-Line and Previously-Treated Advanced Melanoma Patients
[11:42] {dino} amba blood
01[11:43] {@Threei}  AMBA Citron Research makes cautious comments, $60 price target
[11:49] {dino} the thing went straight up from 80s about 10 days ago
[11:56] {dino} flxs vsm l .18
[12:07] {dino} added amba puts
[12:10] {dino} scai spike
[12:14] {dino} sage drop
01[12:37] {@Threei}  The final act in the Greece bailout drama is about to get under way, as all signs point toward default as soon as Monday. There was a momentary lapse of optimism that sent European stocks to their highs, however most of the gains evaporated as more realistic assessments hit the tape.
01[12:37] {@Threei}  do notice how hard I am working to keep your Greece addiction alive and well
[12:38] {dino} well done
06[12:38] * @Threei takes a bow
01[12:38] {@Threei}  what are we going to do when that's over...
01[12:38] {@Threei}  let's just hope there is contagion {G}
[12:38] {dino} worry about spain
01[12:39] {@Threei}  yup
01[12:39] {@Threei}  although I have to say, I am torn on this matter now
01[12:39] {@Threei}  a few years ago I was firmly for EU tp break down
01[12:39] {@Threei}  these days, it would be too much of s gift to Puting
01[12:39] {@Threei}  -g
[12:40] {nemo}
[12:41] {nemo} thought her boobs were too big on GOT on that walk
01[12:48] {@Threei}  that was power walk
01[12:48] {@Threei}  (see what I did there?)
01[13:00] {@Threei}  [SMSI] Ticking higher on circulation of takeover chatter - MSFT rumored as potential suitor given its attempts to roll out Microsofot Wifi to hotspots
[13:12] {RonS} appropriately flxs does make sleepers... sleep sofas
[13:15] {dino} lol
[13:15] {dino} looks like it fell out of bed
[13:15] {RonS} lol
[13:16] {RonS} used to sell those things...heavier than hell...uses blue steel flex slats for cushioning...lasts forever
[13:19] {dino} yeah, moved a few of those in my time
[13:19] {dino} they come in handy for a guest
01[13:21] {@Threei}  only if they are uncomfortable as hell
[13:21] {dino} lol
01[13:21] {@Threei}  helps shorten guest's time in your hpuse
[13:24] {dino} i got it
[13:24] {nemo} TWTR
01[13:24] {@Threei}  thinking .20 break nemo?
[13:39] {dino} 3i, what route are you using lately? edgx seems slow
01[13:45] {@Threei}  BATS
01[13:49] {@Threei}  seems to be the most predictable and fast lately
01[13:49] {@Threei}  ARCA sometimes behaves weirdly
[14:22] {dino} markets dropping
01[14:22] {@Threei}  wow
01[14:24] {@Threei}  no actual news anywhere
01[14:40] {@Threei}  Radio Liberty: Russia threatens tit-for-tat response to European asset inquiries
01[14:40] {@Threei}  that's providing they still have any tit left by then
[14:50] {dino} triv sp[ike
[14:52] {dino} s .10 ave
01[14:52] {@Threei}  (PT) Portugal Fin Min: Portugal has a cash cushion in its public finances through the mid portion of 2016 - Don't know what will happen with Greece, euro zone can't impose a solution on Tsipras govt
[14:53] {dino} wow cov 6.30, +.80 fl
01[14:53] {@Threei}  wtg
01[14:54] {@Threei}  facinating to watch these plays of yours
01[14:54] {@Threei}  +s
[14:54] {dino} that kind of day, just thin random spikes
[14:54] {dino} lots of sitting and waiting
[14:55] {dino} look at that triv chart
[14:56] {dino} going to hold my dia puts over the weekend
[14:56] {dino} amba's too
01[14:56] {@Threei}  and what if they resolve whole Greece? :)
[14:56] {dino} i have 30 days on dia, 60 on amba
01[14:56] {@Threei}  ah, ok
[14:57] {dino} still say patern continues sell 18,200- buy 17,700
[14:57] {dino} hawk spike
[14:59] {dino} cmpr drop
[14:59] {dino} hey, bats is faster, you were right
01[15:01] {@Threei}  :)
02[15:01] * Disconnected
Session Close: Fri Jun 19 15:01:32 2015

Session Start: Fri Jun 19 15:01:32 2015
Session Ident: #discussions
02[15:03] * Attempting to rejoin channel #discussions
03[15:03] * Rejoined channel #discussions
01[15:03] {Threei}  grrr
[15:04] {dino} rrrg
01[15:05] {Threei}  great... dino regresses to about 14 years old
[15:05] {dino} bored
01[15:05] {Threei}  as if 15 years old nemo was not enough
[15:05] {dino} wish i was 14 years old
[15:06] {dino} chicked out on hawk short and cmpr long, both worked
01[15:07] {Threei}  16-17 rather, let the dating bacchanalia begin in earnets
[15:07] {dino} yeah, they were good times
[15:08] {dino} son heading to nc state in august. i told him college girls are the hottest you'll ever meet. lucky guy, 28,000 students
01[15:08] {Threei}  this time I'd be smarter and never let that redhead get away...
[15:10] {dino} hmmm
[15:11] {dino} mxim spike, frgi too
[15:13] {RonS} TXN held talks to buy MXIM late last year but discussions broke off
[15:20] {cosmo} so is this mkt positioning for whether or not Greek banks open Mon?
01[15:20] {Threei}  sounds this way, yes
01[15:21] {Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .85 break
01[15:21] {Threei}  If holds  .95
01[15:33] {Threei}  stop to .91
01[15:34] {Threei}  no news again
01[15:42] {Threei}  1:1
01[15:43] {Threei}  1:2
[15:44] {dino} gj
01[15:44] {Threei}  ty
01[15:46] {Threei}  ok guys, closing on this
01[15:46] {Threei}  have a great weekend
01[15:46] {Threei}  see you Monday
[15:46] {dino} calling it a strange, but profittable day. thx all
01[15:46] {Threei}  you too Greece
[15:48] {dino} dplo spike
[15:48] {nemo} twtr not straying too far from vwap
01[15:48] {Threei}  DPLO Acquires Burman's Specialty Pharmacy for $72.8M in cash and $10M in stock
[15:48] {nemo} and shorts are covering in the indexes
01[15:50] {Threei}  still bets on resolution