Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Mar 31 2015

Has been back and forth day until closing short on FB for 1:4, which made it profitable one. 


Session Time: Tue Mar 31 00:00:00 2015
[09:09] {dino} gm
01[09:09] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:11] {dino} hmm, markets closed friday
01[09:11] {@Threei}  yeah
[09:11] {cosmo} that's good
[09:13] {dino} lol
01[09:23] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -DANG +9% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -MOV +8.5% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -BCRX +7.4% (awarded BARDA BCX4430 contract worth $35M)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -CHTR +5% (confirmed acquisition of Bright House Networks for $10.4B)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -DRYS +5% (announced agreement to sell tanker fleet for $245M)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -INFN +4.3% (selected by FB to light the world's longest terrestrial optical network route)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -GWPH +3.5% (starting phase 3 trial for Epidiolex in Dravet Sydrome)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -MRH +3% (being acquired by Endurance Specialty Holdings for $40.24/shr)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -JCP +2.8% (momentum/broker commentary)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -REXX +6% (production update)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -GV -30% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -SNTA -25% (hearing 20M secondary priced at $1.75/shr)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -TCK -7% (confirmed the company not in talks with Antofagasta)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -CLDN -4.7% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -ICPT -4.3% (offering 1.2M shares in proposed offering of common stock)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -INSM -3.4% (offering 10M shares for $20.25/shr)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -CONN -3% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -LO -2.2% (talk that the FTC recommending a suit to block RAI/LO merger)
01[09:31] {@Threei}  (US) Nevada reports Feb casino rev $M, -1.0% y/y; Las Vegas Strip rev $M, -4.4% y/y'/
01[09:31] {@Threei}  (US) Nevada reports Feb casino rev $916M, -1.0% y/y; Las Vegas Strip rev $531M, -4.4% y/y
01[09:32] {@Threei}  better paste, lol
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .90 break
01[09:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[09:35] {@Threei}  change to .80 break
01[09:36] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:36] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:40] {@Threei} Short Setup: LVS  .80 break
01[09:40] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:44] {@Threei}  MGM Seeing put activity4300 Jun 18 puts trade at $0.40
01[09:44] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .70 break
01[09:45] {@Threei}  *(US) MAR CHICAGO PURCHASING MANAGER: 46.3 V 51.7E
01[09:45] {@Threei}  valid still
01[09:47] {@Threei}  nah
01[09:53] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .30 break
01[09:56] {@Threei}  change to .25
01[09:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .19
[09:57] {dino} spxl hl l .55
01[09:58] {@Threei}  change to .20
01[09:58] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
01[09:59] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .35 break
01[09:59] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) MAR CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 101.3 V 96.4E
01[10:00] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:02] {dino} out spxl .91, +.36
01[10:04] {@Threei}  nice
[10:04] {dino} ty
[10:04] {dino} wrld hl l .85
01[10:10] {@Threei}  Corvus and Raven are going to duke it out?
01[10:11] {@Threei}  nope
[10:11] {dino} ll luv
[10:11] {cosmo} don't scare the birds
[10:13] {dino} dfs hl l .40
01[10:14] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .40 break
01[10:14] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[10:16] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[10:21] {@Threei}  got away
[10:34] {dino} kar spike
[10:34] {dino} and over
01[10:36] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .55
01[10:36] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
[10:38] {dino} dfs out .64, +.24
01[10:42] {@Threei}  moderate gains eh?
01[10:50] {@Threei}  stop to .49
[10:50] {dino} yes
[10:53] {Corvus} you turkeys changed my name whilst I was walking !
01[10:53] {@Threei}  lol
06[11:09] * @Threei slaps jfjf64 around a bit with a large roll of cash
[11:09] {jfjf64} hey all
[11:09] {jfjf64} lol
[11:09] {jfjf64} that's what we do
[11:09] {jfjf64} vxx halted?
01[11:10] {@Threei}  something strange with quotes on it I guess
[11:10] {jfjf64} how was ya mornin
01[11:10] {@Threei}  positive
01[11:11] {@Threei}  but slow
[11:11] {jfjf64} wher is Ronnie boy
01[11:11] {@Threei}  vacation
[11:11] {jfjf64} nice
01[11:14] {@Threei}  [LVS] LVS Ticks higher on vague chatter the company could look to spin off some real estate assets
01[11:17] {@Threei}  VXX is totally screwed up
[11:17] {jfjf64} yes
01[11:19] {@Threei}  IWM got away
01[11:20] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .30 break
01[11:20] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
[11:24] {jfjf64} stop to .25
[11:25] {jfjf64} ?
01[11:25] {@Threei}  .24
[11:25] {jfjf64} k
[11:27] {jfjf64} lets go fb
01[11:28] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:31] {jfjf64} still in
01[11:32] {@Threei}  as market drops, I'd be happy to trade VXX but this is complete mess
01[11:32] {@Threei}  whatever happened over there, they are not in a rush to fix it
01[11:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .25 break
01[11:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[11:41] {@Threei}  meh
[11:45] {jfjf64} 15 breah
[11:45] {jfjf64} ?
01[11:46] {@Threei}  let's wait for pullback
01[11:46] {@Threei}  see if we can get double bottom
01[11:46] {@Threei}  desirably around .10
[11:46] {jfjf64} k
01[11:48] {@Threei}  now
01[11:49] {@Threei}  on .10 break
01[11:49] {@Threei}  with stop under 124
[11:54] {jfjf64} here we go
[11:59] {jfjf64} using 9 for stop
01[12:01] {@Threei}  no go
[12:01] {jfjf64} lunch time see ya in hour
01[12:01] {@Threei}  [TSLA] CEO Musk tweets: "With all that solar power being generated, it almost feels like something is needed to complete the picture ..." - "SolarCity just hit a new daily energy record of 5GWh two weeks after reaching 4GWh"**NOTE: Musk tweeted yesterday he would announce a new non-automotive product on April 30th, and it was speculated that the announcement could be a stationary home battery storage pack that Tesla mentioned it was working on during a Feb conf call.
[12:01] {jfjf64} need vxx today
01[12:05] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .45 break
01[12:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .55
01[12:12] {@Threei}  nope
[13:27] {dino} stuck in range again
01[13:29] {@Threei}  yeah
01[13:29] {@Threei}  and slooooow...
[13:31] {dino} tough to stay awake
01[13:32] {@Threei}  U don't
01[13:32] {@Threei}  I
01[13:40] {@Threei}  be back in 30
01[13:59] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD  .75 break
01[13:59] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
01[14:05] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[14:08] {jfjf64} Anything going on  /quiet??
01[14:08] {@Threei}  shhhhh
01[14:08] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD  .85 break
01[14:08] {@Threei}  If holds  .95
[14:12] {dino} jf, nothing that i see, stuck in range of about 25 dji pts
01[14:17] {@Threei}  nope
01[14:23] {@Threei}  PGRE 872K share block trades at $19.30- followed by another 300K block
01[14:28] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .85 break
01[14:28] {@Threei}  If holds  .95
[14:29] {jfjf64} Conn
01[14:33] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:38] {dino} conn, wow, how'd i miss that, all over the place
[14:43] {dino} conn sm s .48
01[14:43] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .75 break
01[14:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
01[14:46] {@Threei}  VXX chrt still has abnormalities but trades normally now
[14:48] {dino} jf, thx, cov conn .16, +.32
01[14:48] {@Threei}  gj
[14:48] {jfjf64} Gj
[14:49] {jfjf64} I bought dip 31.17
[14:49] {jfjf64} Stop under 31
[14:50] {dino} gj
[15:00] {jfjf64} Vxx  ?
[15:01] {jfjf64} Higher lower close
[15:01] {dino} lower
01[15:14] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:14] {@Threei}  1:2
[15:15] {jfjf64} Lod 82.40
[15:15] {jfjf64} Let's get it
01[15:15] {@Threei}  and break
01[15:15] {@Threei}  and die
01[15:16] {@Threei}  or crash
01[15:16] {@Threei}  or both
[15:16] {jfjf64} I agree
[15:17] {jfjf64} Patience
[15:18] {dino} i should have listened to myself on the down comment
[15:22] {jfjf64} Stop .65 hangin on
01[15:23] {@Threei}  1:3
01[15:23] {@Threei}  come on baby
01[15:23] {@Threei}  lose it
[15:24] {jfjf64} AAPL breaks lod
[15:24] {jfjf64} Bam
[15:30] {jfjf64} Vg starts chanting  I love fb
01[15:30] {@Threei}  1 cent to 1:4
[15:31] {jfjf64} Stop.50
[15:31] {jfjf64} ?
01[15:31] {@Threei}  yeah
01[15:31] {@Threei}  .51
[15:32] {jfjf64} Need violence
01[15:32] {@Threei}  1:4
01[15:32] {@Threei}  good girl
[15:32] {dino} wtg
01[15:33] {@Threei}  ty
[15:33] {jfjf64} Good job
[15:33] {jfjf64} Me out
01[15:34] {@Threei}  holding little piece still
01[15:34] {@Threei}  stop .46
[15:34] {jfjf64} Like iwm here
[15:36] {jfjf64} 1/1
[15:37] {jfjf64} Quick scalp out
[15:38] {jfjf64} Twtr got look
01[15:38] {@Threei}  gj
01[15:38] {@Threei}  ok guys, done for the day
01[15:38] {@Threei}  thank you, see you tomorrow
[15:38] {jfjf64} Good night
[15:39] {jfjf64} Still here dino
[15:51] {dino} calling it a day jf, gn

Monday, March 30, 2015

Mar 30 2014

Incredibly slow and boring but nicely profitable day. Feels like August, only with better monetary reward


Session Time: Mon Mar 30 00:00:00 2015
[09:13] {cosmo} Go Spartans...
01[09:13] {@Threei}  where?
01[09:13] {@Threei}  let them stay, they are tired
[09:13] {cosmo} Final Four Basketball...sorry
[09:14] {cosmo} Michigan State
[09:22] {dino} gm
01[09:22] {@Threei}  dino :)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -ICEL +108% (Fujifilm acquiring all shares for $16.50/shr)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -ASPX +42% (TEVA seeking to acquire all outstanding shares at $101/shr)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  CNET +26% (entered service agreement with Baidu)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -CTRX +25% (OptumRx deal)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -HZNP +20% (acquiring HPTX)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -ZIOP +16% (entered oncology collaboration agreement with Merck Serono & XON)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -XON +13% (entered oncology collaboration agreement with Merck Serono & ZIOP)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -SFUN +6.2% (PBoC easing mortgage policy; lowered down payment for 2nd mortgage from 60% to 40% - EJ, LEJU & XIN all up 4-6% on the news)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -UNH +4.8% (OptumRx & CTRX deal)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -HPTX +3% (being acquired by HZNP)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -BDSI -26% (missed endpoint in Phase 2 Clonidine topical gel study)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -YOD -17% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -MYL -5% (neg momentum from TEVA/ASPX deal)
01[09:31] {@Threei}  sheesh gold
01[09:32] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  84 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:32] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:32] {@Threei}  got away
01[09:33] {@Threei}  again
01[09:33] {@Threei}  same setup
01[09:34] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .10 break
01[09:39] {@Threei}  If holds  124
01[09:42] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:45] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:54] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .75 break
01[09:54] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[09:57] {dino} egrx drop
[09:57] {dino} hl l .25
01[10:00] {@Threei}  (US) FEB PENDING HOME SALES M/M: 3.1% V 0.4%E; Y/Y: 12.0% V 8.7%E -
[10:12] {dino} wrld hl l .55
01[10:27] {@Threei}  QIHU Seeing call activity1600 May 57.5 calls trade at $1.25
[10:29] {dino} out wrld .25, +.70
01[10:30] {@Threei}  wtg
[10:30] {dino} ty
01[10:30] {@Threei}  *(US) MAR DALLAS FED MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY: -17.4 V -9.0E
[10:41] {dino} out egrx .90 +.65
01[10:41] {@Threei}  nice
[10:42] {dino} ty
01[10:42] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .15 break
01[10:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[10:46] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[10:56] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .35 break
01[10:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[11:05] {@Threei}  "Arguing with fool is not unlike playing chess with pigeon - he will overturn all the pieces, crap on the board and fly away to tell everyone how he beat you"
01[11:07] {@Threei}  [YELP] Hearing vague takeover chatter - Priceline rumored as a potential acquirer
01[11:22] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:24] {@Threei}  [ALTR] Reportedly Altera's advanced deal talks with Intel are on track but could take up to week to conclude
01[11:37] {@Threei}  (GR) EU official comments on earlier Greece proposals; notes the list requires a lot of work
01[11:52] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .15 break
01[11:52] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
[11:55] {dino} taking a break
01[11:57] {@Threei}  how long?
[11:57] {dino} hour
01[11:58] {@Threei}  k... me too then :)
[11:58] {dino} alrighty then
01[11:59] {@Threei}  The Iran nuclear talks continue down to the wire this morning. Press reports suggest that Iran's negotiators tried to back away from making commitments to ship their atomic fuel out of the country, although US officials said the issue would not derail talks, although there were separate reports that Russia Foreign Minister Lavrov left the negotiations. Later reports suggest the talks are still doing well, but there is little in the way of hard news on the issue out this morning.
[13:35] {dino} .
01[13:35] {@Threei}  ..
01[13:36] {@Threei}  market's glued
01[13:36] {@Threei}  slow climb
[13:38] {dino} not my kind of market
01[13:38] {@Threei}  nor mine
01[13:38] {@Threei}  morning winnings make the day worthy waking up
01[13:38] {@Threei}  hopefully something else comes around before the day is over
[13:39] {dino} yes, morning two were good
[13:42] {dino} they gunning them for quarter end
01[14:05] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .30 break
01[14:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[14:19] {@Threei}  august
01[14:37] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .55 break
01[14:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
[14:38] {dino} tck spike
01[14:38] {@Threei}  TCK Reportedly in talks with Antofagasta
01[14:39] {@Threei}  I'd never talk to someone with such disgusting name
[14:42] {dino} tck hl s .80
01[14:44] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[14:45] {dino} bs to .00
[14:46] {dino} to .95
[14:46] {dino} cov tck .98, slippage, +.82
01[14:47] {@Threei}  wtg
01[14:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .10 break
01[14:48] {@Threei}  If holds  83
[14:48] {dino} ty
01[14:50] {@Threei}  change to 83 break
01[14:50] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
[14:52] {dino} for a dead day, 3/3 and 50% above goal. makes me think i should trade less, just sit back and wait for the good ones
01[14:53] {@Threei}  depends on a day...
01[14:54] {@Threei}  on such slow one, being picky is certainly of a benefit
[14:55] {dino} i've noticed i don't trade as much the last 5 months, and my numbers are better. used to average 8-10 round trips/day, now 3-5
01[14:56] {@Threei}  FB two-sided
01[14:57] {@Threei}  long it is
01[15:04] {@Threei}  1:1
[15:04] {dino} tck spikes again
01[15:06] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:08] {@Threei}  taking my profit and closing the day on this, before I break the keyboard with my chin
01[15:09] {@Threei}  happy wiht monetary result but can't handle this boredom anymore
01[15:09] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow :)

Friday, March 27, 2015

Market Week Wrap-up

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TradeTheNews.com TradeTheNews.com Weekly Market Update: Mixed Data Blunts Risk On Appetite
Fri, 27 Mar 2015 16:45 PM EST

Global equity indices retreated from at or near record high levels this week. Traders noted technical trading around some key sector reversals, historically weak seasonal patterns observed post March options expiration and pre-Q1 earnings releases, and geopolitical worries emanating from the Middle East as all playing a role in reversing equity sentiment. US economic data was mixed but definitively continues to point to a slowdown in Q1 economic activity. The momentum technology and biotech stocks saw a few bouts of selling which garnered attention as they did on a couple of occasions in 2014. There were glimmers of hope in Europe. Measures of confidence among German businesses and consumers saw surprising improvements, while other European nations also saw an uptick in confidence surveys. German and euro zone March preliminary services and manufacturing PMIs surveys beat expectations and rose further into expansion territory. In Asia, China's March HSBC PMI manufacturing survey slipped to an 11-month low amid wider unease about the nation's economy. Chinese officials continue to talk down growth expectations, with Vice Premier Zhang saying China has "paid a price" for very high growth and that high growth levels are "not sustainable." For the week, the DJIA fell 2.3%, the S&P500 lost 2.2% and the Nasdaq dropped 2.7%.

Just before markets closed on Friday, Fed Chair Yellen reiterated that rates are likely to rise this year, but that the path of rates is more important than the timing of rate lift off. She again mentioned that the dollar strength will impact US exports, but said that the currency market has to be put in context, and that other factors like robust consumer spending and foreign central bank stimulus will help the US economy.

Other Fed speakers this week also reiterated that the June, July and September Fed meetings would be live for possible rate hikes. Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer said the FOMC would "eventually raise rates by 25 basis points," jesting that this would take Fed policy from "ultra-accommodative" to "extremely accommodative".

US CPI returned to growth in February, delivering the first positive headline CPI reading since October and the first rise in energy prices since June. Domestic gasoline prices rose 2.4%, the largest increase since late 2013. The Fed has asserted that the declines in energy prices are transitory, and this is some of the first hard economic data to support its contention.

Analysts saw the sizable unexpected decline in the February durable goods orders as evidence the global slowdown is starting to show up in US data. Durables and capital goods orders were all down more than 1% in Feb, while the surprising gains in the January report were revised lower. Orders for non-military capital goods (ex-aircraft), a proxy for future business investment, saw their sixth consecutive decline, the longest stretch of decreases since mid-2012.

The February new and existing home sales reports diverged noticeably. The Feb existing home sales echoed the contours of the tepid February permits and starts data out last week, with a reading slightly below expectations and more or less flat with the January figure. The new home sales were unexpectedly strong, widely topping consensus estimates, up nearly 25% y/y and up 87% y/y in the Northeast. The annualized sales rate was the highest in seven years. Weather had been blamed for the sluggish starts, permits and existing home sales, but analysts seemed stumped by the good new home sales, offering explanations based on the limited supply of new homes. Shares of homebuilders got a bump from the data but ended the week more or less flat.

Crude prices retracted most of the losses seen in the first half of March through Thursday. A rebellion by Yemen's Shiite Houthis intensified as the group forced the sitting president to flee the country and took control of the capital. Egypt, Saudi Arabia and other Persian Gulf nations agreed to intervene in the conflict, and the Saudi air force began bombing strategic targets in the country. A ground force is being assembled and may intervene soon. While Yemen has scant oil resources of its own, the conflict is seen as a proxy war between Saudi Arabia and Iran. After dipping below $45 last week, WTI topped out around $52.50 as the Saudis started bombing. Brent rose from lows around $52.80 last week to above $58. Both contracts dipped lower on Friday. US weekly inventory reports didn't help: the DoE report saw the eleventh straight build in oil inventories, with the amount once again widely exceeding expectations.

The beaten-down share of thinly traded rare earth name Molycorp gained nearly 30% on Monday after CBS's '60 Minutes' reported that China has cornered the market on rare earth minerals and highlighted Molycorp's ownership of the only domestic rare earth mine in the US. Analysts cautioned that rare earth metals are neither rare nor expensive, and asserted China's monopoly could easily be broken. Shares of Lumber Liquidators, which have dropped about 60% since a '60 Minutes' exposlast month, got a 10% bump midweek after the Consumer Product Safety Commission made dovish comments on its investigation into CBS's allegations regarding the high toxicity of the company's flooring products.

Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz are merging in a giant deal that will create the world's fifth largest food and beverage company. Under the terms of the deal, Heinz will return to the public market with a 51% ownership of a new company with $28 billion a year in revenue. Current Kraft holders will own 49%. Kraft's shareholders will receive stock and a special cash dividend of $16.50 per share, financed by a $10 billion investment from Brazil private equity firm 3G Capital and Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway, the two firms that own Heinz. Recall that in 2013, 3G and Berkshire bought Heinz for $23 billion and took the company private. In other news, Lexmark reached a deal to acquire Kofax for $11/share in cash or about $1B, giving the printer firm a stronger position in enterprise software. Friday afternoon, semiconductor names traded higher after a report that Intel is in talks to buy Altera, in what would be Intel's largest ever acquisition.

China HSBC flash manufacturing PMI missed expectations of a 2nd consecutive month of expansion, not only returning into sub-50 contraction but also falling to an 11-month low. HSBC economists cited a renewed fall in total new business and workforce reduction, along with falling import prices as a result of oil-driven disinflation. On Friday, China YTD industrial profits also showed continued decline, falling by -4.2% during the holiday adjusted Jan-Feb period. Given the dearth of evidence for recovery, the Asian Development Bank's 2015 Outlook merely affirmed China GDP forecast of 7.2%, which is still higher than the official target of around 7%. The domestic China Academy of Social Sciences think tank pegged growth for Q1 to slide to 6.85%.

With the one-year roll-off for Japan consumption tax increase fast approaching, both PM Abe and BOJ Governor Kuroda would have preferred to see more concrete signs that their battle to turn back disinflation was yielding results. Instead, Japan's latest nationwide core CPI fell to an 11-month low of 2.0%, while ex-sales tax inflation has actually stalled for the first time in nearly two years. The latest addition to the BOJ board offered a more practical assessment that while remaining committed to the 2% target is important, achieving that goal within the confines of a rigid 2-year timeframe is challenging. Kuroda and Abe also reportedly held meetings early this week amid press speculation of a growing rift between the two men at the helm of Abenomics, with the prime minister supposedly being less inclined to cater to the more fiscally conservative agenda of his advisors.


Mar 27 2015

For those who doesn't receive our newsletter: Vad's A Taoist Trader is available as a book starting today. You can find it on Amazon at


Give it an unhurried read, you won't be sorry!

Profitable day, with a few stops in the morning and nice wins after that, taking us firmly in positive territory

Session Time: Fri Mar 27 00:00:00 2015
[09:10] {dino} gm
01[09:11] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:12] {RonS} hi guys
01[09:13] {Threei}  ron :)
01[09:13] {Threei}  http://www.amazon.com/Taoist-Trader-Vadym-Graifer/dp/0973779659/
[09:14] {dino} gj vad
[09:17] {RonS} ccl rcl gone pulp over ccl earnings
01[09:31] {Threei}  Upside:
01[09:31] {Threei}  -OLN +26% (merging with the chlorine value chain entity being spun off from DOW)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -VJET +13% (earnings)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -OXM +12% (earnings)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -BMRN +8% (reportedly Shire has takeover interest)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -BBRY +6% (earnings)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -DOW +3.2% (separating chlorine value chain into entity that will merge with OLN)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -CCL +3% (earnings; guidance)
01[09:31] {Threei}  Downside:
01[09:31] {Threei}  -GME -4.6% (earnings)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -AEO -3.6% (negative broker commentary)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -RH -3.4% (earnings)
01[09:31] {Threei}  -PBR -2.3% (Chairman Mantega resigning; Luciano Galvao new Chairman
01[09:34] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .65 break
01[09:34] {Threei}  If holds  .55
01[09:34] {Threei}  no go
01[09:35] {Threei}  grr
01[09:35] {Threei}  rinse
01[09:42] {Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .65 break
01[09:42] {Threei}  If holds  .55
[09:44] {dino} wrld hl l .01
01[09:44] {Threei}  stop to .59
01[09:44] {Threei}  1 cent to 1:1
01[09:48] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  .60 break
01[09:48] {Threei}  If holds  .70
01[09:49] {Threei}  hmmm
01[09:55] {Threei}  rinse
01[09:58] {Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .85 break
01[09:58] {Threei}  If holds  .75
01[10:00] {Threei}  US) MAR FINAL UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 93.0 V 92.0E
01[10:05] {Threei}  I should go back to bed, lol
01[10:06] {Threei}  Kremlin dismisses Chechen threat to incite separatism in US
01[10:06] {Threei}  oh thank god
01[10:06] {Threei}  Putin will save us
01[10:12] {Threei}  sheesh
01[10:13] {Threei}  third rinse!
[10:13] {RonS} wow...reminds me of Acapulco...
[10:14] {RonS} some saying due to Egypt newspaper reporting ground operations in Yemen w/in 48 hrs
[10:14] {dino} adding uri calls
01[10:14] {Threei}  (YE) Reportedly Saudi/Egyptian ground operation in Yemen to begin in 48 hours - Egypt press -
01[10:15] {Threei}  so guys, where do you buy your packaged Indian specialty rice?
01[10:16] {Threei}  if you struggle with answer, worry not:
01[10:16] {Threei}  [ANFI] Announces Products Available Through Amazon Amira Nature Foods Ltd, a leading global provider of branded packaged Indian specialty rice, announced today that Amira brand products will be available on Amazon.com.
[10:18] {dino} thank goodness, lol
[10:19] {RonS} Mahatma brand here...slogan:  dots very good
[10:22] {dino} lol
[10:22] {RonS} was sitting around thinking...nemo woulda got it...
01[10:22] {Threei}  :)
[10:23] {dino} wrld hl l .33
[10:26] {RonS} wrld class hooker?
[10:26] {dino} yeah, traes like that
[10:27] {dino} trades
[10:27] {dino} but good to me so far, first trade took .74 out of
[10:28] {dino} and ron, you left right before i sold those cnat calls, +.50%
[10:28] {dino} +50
[10:28] {RonS} nice
[10:28] {dino} scratch that they were puts, took .35 out of for 50%
[10:29] {dino} mind is scattered today, need a few beers
[10:29] {dino} haven't had a drink since jamaica, the 16th. been too long
01[10:45] {Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .20 break
01[10:48] {Threei}  change to .15
01[10:53] {Threei}  1:1
01[10:59] {Threei}  1:2
[11:00] {RonS} finally, 3i will love fb:   WWE and FB are partnering to offer an exclusive WrestleMania service
[11:01] {cosmo} by drone?
01[11:02] {Threei}  hmmm
01[11:02] {Threei}  nah, still hate it
01[11:03] {Threei}  if however they beat up zuckerberg in live translation, I'll watch
[11:05] {dino} wrld stop
01[11:15] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .35 break
01[11:15] {Threei}  If holds  .25
01[11:32] {Threei}  no more breaks, pullbacks only
[11:47] {dino} wrld sm l .00
01[11:52] {Threei}  (US) Reminder: Fed Chair Yellen to give keynote speech at 15:45ET at "The New Normal for Monetary Policy" conference - An audience Q&A expected after the speech \
01[11:58] {Threei}  The Saudis have begun their bombing campaign in Yemen and Arab press reports out this morning suggest that a ground campaign could begin within 48 hours, despite Saudi claims they are holding off on ground troops for now. Nevertheless, crude prices continue to come off their midweek highs, with WTI dipping to $50 and Brent around $57.80 this morning thanks in part to fresh dollar strength.
01[11:59] {Threei}  ***Looking Ahead***
01[11:59] {Threei}  - Austria, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Nigeria and Portugal sovereign debt reports to be published by ratings agencies
01[11:59] {Threei}  I need to know how Nigeria's doing
[12:02] {dino} lol
[12:02] {RonS} they reported they capture the Boko Harem hq town...
[12:03] {RonS} +d
[12:03] {RonS} :)
01[12:03] {Threei}  and confiscated harem?
[12:06] {RonS} oh great...from one asshole to another:  Retiring Sen. Harry Reid endorses Chuck Schumer to succeed him as Senate Minority Leader
01[12:06] {Threei}  well, there should be asshole continuity, don't you think
01[12:18] {Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .35 break
01[12:18] {Threei}  If holds  .25
01[12:20] {Threei}  change to .25
[12:30] {dino} out wrld 76.79, +1.79
01[12:30] {Threei}  wtg
[12:30] {dino} ty odd trader
01[12:37] {Threei}  1:1
01[12:39] {Threei}  1:2
[12:40] {RonS} ha, hearing twtr got a cnbc mention
[12:40] {dino} gotta hop for hour, back around 1;30
01[12:53] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .20 break
01[12:53] {Threei}  If holds  .10
01[12:59] {Threei}  jeez
01[12:59] {Threei}  http://globalnews.ca/news/1907480/watch-kristi-gordon-responds-to-haters-criticizing-her-pregnancy-wardrobe/
01[12:59] {Threei}  1:1
01[12:59] {Threei}  fixng the morning, trade by trade
01[13:11] {Threei}  first sale of a new book :)
01[13:12] {Threei}  I'll go get drunk
[13:12] {RonS} lol
[13:12] {RonS} hilarious
01[13:12] {Threei}  what? as good excuse as any :)
01[13:14] {Threei}  from usedvictoria:
01[13:14] {Threei}  FREE: 25 chickens
01[13:14] {Threei}  chickens just stopped laying and need to go. come take them all .
01[13:48] {Threei}  guys, anyone needs 8 years old tall white llama? free?
01[13:48] {Threei}  can't believe what's available in my strangest city, lol
01[13:58] {Threei}  1:2
[14:00] {dino} .
[14:17] {dino} well, heres a new one, just went to look at a foreclosure, BAC states do not knock on door, etc, as former owner still occupying house. not sure if i should bother bidding or not.
01[14:17] {Threei}  better come here and pick up free llama
[14:17] {RonS} your biz of course, but no lookey, no biddy here
01[14:19] {Threei}  1:3
01[14:19] {Threei}  day went positive
[14:21] {dino} arv is $140k, house is on 3 acres, bank of amer min. bid $54k. but it may take $50k to fix....think, think, thinking risk is my business but is this too much risk
01[14:26] {Threei}  1:4
01[14:26] {Threei}  out
[14:49] {dino} researching this squatter thing, i'm not going to do it.
01[14:51] {Threei}  yeah, smells like stay away
[14:53] {dino} good free real estate site, biggerpockets.com
[14:56] {Chaeron} ..
06[14:56] * Threei slaps Chaeron around a bit with a large roll of cash
[14:56] {Chaeron} heh
[14:56] {cosmo} I think we need another trip to disnyland...
[14:57] {Chaeron} Hi everbody!
01[14:57] {Threei}  hey chaeron :)
[14:58] {dino} hey chaeron
[14:58] {dino} welcome back
[14:58] {Chaeron} I just came from the amazon.com site and I think I am the first to review A Taoist Trader....... does that get me a fee beer at the room's happy hour today?
[14:58] {RonS} lol
01[14:58] {Threei}  yes but you'll have to take the first flight to victoria
[14:59] {dino} but of course. it also makes you the most intereting man in the world
[14:59] {Chaeron} man, don't tempt me.
[14:59] {Chaeron} roflol
[14:59] {dino} :)
01[14:59] {Threei}  thank you for the review, much appreciated!
[14:59] {RonS} just ron says hey chae
[14:59] {Chaeron} I love that guy. Bigfoot took a picture of him...
[14:59] {dino} just got text from 3 buddies, they want me at happy hour now
[14:59] {Chaeron} Don' thank me til oyu read it Threei.........
[14:59] {Chaeron} dino, you are loved....
[15:00] {dino} loved? no, i think they are bored
01[15:00] {Threei}  I just did
01[15:00] {Threei}  sure, you could have ommited the "and author is a drunk" part, but...
[15:01] {dino} ok guys, real good a.m., dead afternoon. calling it a slow but decent week. see you monday
01[15:01] {Threei}  take care dino
[15:01] {dino} u2
[15:02] {Chaeron} by dino
[15:02] {Chaeron} or is that BUY DINO?
[15:02] {dino} hope to see you back again next week
[15:02] {RonS} ya, outta here too...good weekend to all
[15:02] {dino} lol

Thursday, March 26, 2015

Mar 26 2015

1:7 as I post this. Beautiful reversal setup on overstretched capitulation selloff


And, to add:



Session Time: Thu Mar 26 00:00:00 2015
[09:06] {dino} gm
01[09:07] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:09] {RonS} gm...sndk buzzsawed
01[09:10] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:10] {cosmo} hmm...dumper
01[09:22] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -CNAT +48% (announced successful Phase 2 top-line results from NAFLD/NASH clinical trial of Emricasan)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -FRED +12% (earnings)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -FIVE +8% (earnings)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -RHT +5% (earnings)
01[09:22] {@Threei}  -ACN +3.3% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -NLST -20% (lost decisive legal case against Diablo Tech)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -SNDK -15% (cut Q1 Rev guidance)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -SCMP -14% (registered shares for selling holders of indeterminate amount)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -NVAX -9% (priced 24.1M shares at $7.25/shr)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -VG -8% (negative Cramer commentary/aquisition)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -WGO -6.5% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -EXAS -4.6% (negative broker commentary)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -LULU -4.3% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -PSUN -4% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -KITE -3.5% (earnings)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -GTN -3.5% (priced 12M shares at $13/shr)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -DAL -2.3% (higher oil prices and Germanwings crash weighing on space)
01[09:23] {@Threei}  -GWR -2.3% (guidance)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .50 break
01[09:30] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:31] {@Threei}  valid agaiin
01[09:31] {@Threei}  too fast
01[09:31] {@Threei}  ok... in
01[09:31] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:32] {@Threei}  morning fingers warm-up
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .10 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  122
[09:34] {RonS} zts sm l .79
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .50 break
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[09:39] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:41] {dino} uri hl l .04
[09:42] {dino} added cnet puts
[09:42] {dino} cnat
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MCD  .70 breajk
[09:43] {dino} out uri .46, +.42
01[09:43] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:45] {@Threei}  *(US) MAR PRELIMINARY MARKIT SERVICES PMI: 58.6 V 57.0E
01[09:45] {@Threei}  TWTR Rosenblatt Securities Inc. Initiates TWTR with Buy, price target: $60
01[09:49] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:52] {RonS} out zts .34 +.55
01[09:52] {@Threei}  wtg
[09:52] {RonS} ty
01[09:58] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  122 break
01[09:58] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[10:01] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:09] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .95 break
01[10:09] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[10:11] {dino} sndk hl l .14
01[10:13] {@Threei}  no go
[10:15] {dino} lod
[10:18] {RonS} crr gone pulp
[10:20] {dino} indeed
[10:20] {RonS} leave out the xy?  oxymoron:  Obama Administration has Approved Student Loan Forgiveness for qualified borrowers.
01[10:21] {@Threei}  heh
[10:21] {dino} nobody responsible for anything anymore
[10:22] {dino} so the students that paid get screwed
[10:22] {dino} and the ones that didn't borrow, screwed too
[10:24] {dino} sndk stop .89 -.25
[10:25] {dino} woner if obummer will grant forgiveness for bad trades?
01[10:25] {@Threei}  same as with motrgages before
[10:25] {dino} sure
01[10:26] {@Threei}  disciplined and responsible get screwed, reckless rewarded
01[10:26] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MCD  .50 break
[10:26] {dino} sure, you get penalized if you are responsible
[10:28] {cosmo} I know the feeling
01[10:33] {@Threei}  change to .40 break
01[10:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[10:33] {@Threei}  last change, to .30
01[10:36] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:36] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:37] {@Threei}  1:3
[10:37] {RonS} good one
01[10:38] {@Threei}  ty
[10:38] {dino} sndk hl l .01
01[10:38] {@Threei}  1:4
[10:41] {RonS} value added:  B of A downgrades sndk
[10:45] {dino} value added
[10:45] {dino} and timely too
[10:46] {dino} out sndk .60, +.59
[10:46] {RonS} gj
[10:46] {dino} ty
[10:52] {dino} sndk hl l .65
[10:53] {dino} damn, thought vwap break would send it up
[10:55] {dino} sndk stop -.25
[10:55] {dino} pia stock
[10:56] {RonS} pia?
01[10:59] {@Threei}  pain
01[10:59] {@Threei}  arse
01[10:59] {@Threei}  in
[11:01] {dino} rinsed
[11:05] {RonS} U.S. FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION VOTES UNANIMOUSLY TO DROP NEUSTAR INC AS PHONE NUMBER CONTRACTOR
[11:05] {dino} symbol?
[11:05] {RonS} nrs
[11:05] {RonS} nsr
01[11:07] {@Threei}  weird reaction
01[11:07] {@Threei}  or rather lack of it
[11:07] {RonS} started 3 weeks ago
01[11:08] {@Threei}  yeah
[11:09] {RonS} this guy is brilliant:  German Fin Min Schaeuble: Interest rate situation in Germany is causing issue, there is too much debt and too much central bank money around the world
[11:10] {dino} well, just get obama to forgive the debt
[11:10] {RonS} lol
01[11:13] {@Threei}  hehe
[11:13] {RonS} $IBB   pic.twitter.com/qiIxzSDPt7
[11:21] {RonS} Egyptian officials say that their country and Saudi Arabia will head up a ground operation against Shiite rebels in Yemen  (fj)
01[11:22] {@Threei}  that's how it should be... let them settle these things between themselves
01[11:22] {@Threei}  (and hopefully we get to kill last man standing)
[11:23] {RonS} bet if they gave $3 mil to the dem party would have has no problem:   NSR assesing options and $150 million buyback
[11:24] {RonS} -s +d
01[11:30] {@Threei} Long Setup:  JPM  .35 break
01[11:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[11:32] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:41] {@Threei}  1:2
01[11:49] {@Threei}  1:3
[11:50] {RonS} nice thanks 3i
01[11:50] {@Threei}  yw
[11:52] {dino} gj
01[11:57] {@Threei}  1:4
01[11:57] {@Threei}  out
01[12:06] {@Threei}  MCD
01[12:06] {@Threei}  no news
01[12:06] {@Threei}  sudden 50 cents drop
[12:15] {dino} spxl hl l .57
[12:23] {dino} stop .42 -.15
[12:23] {dino} taking break
01[12:32] {@Threei}  http://time.com/3578367/get-in-shape-psychology-tricks/
[13:19] {RonS} ARAB FOREIGN MINISTERS AGREE ON A DRAFT RESOLUTION TO FORM A UNIFIED MILITARY ARAB FORCE -EGYPTIAN STATE TV - RTRS
[13:20] {dino} good
[13:20] {RonS} time to fill up today...
02[13:22] * Disconnected
Session Close: Thu Mar 26 13:22:34 2015

Session Start: Thu Mar 26 13:22:34 2015
Session Ident: #discussions
02[13:22] * Attempting to rejoin channel #discussions
03[13:22] * Rejoined channel #discussions
[13:23] {RonS} head hit keyboard?
01[13:23] {Threei}  lol
01[13:23] {Threei}  ISP hiccup
[13:23] {RonS} better than isis...
01[13:33] {Threei}  TMUS Seeing call activity1500 May 35 calls trade at $0.65
[13:38] {RonS} btfd bios...
[13:39] {RonS} hot run
[13:40] {RonS} (a dream of dino's?)
[13:40] {dino} lol
01[13:57] {Threei}  IWM pullback under .60 will be inetersting for ling
[14:02] {RonS} VIX APR 20 CALLS bought on offer @$.65 50k
[14:03] {RonS} wow... $3.25 million
[14:04] {dino} big boys
[14:05] {RonS} Saudis
[14:08] {RonS} had a hedge fund guy explain to me once that anything near like this would be directly negotiated with an MM... they would never pay an offer price on anything of size...
01[14:08] {Threei}  totally
01[14:09] {Threei}  except some rich amateur
01[14:10] {Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .55 break
01[14:10] {Threei}  If holds  .50
01[14:13] {Threei}  meh
[14:26] {dino} speaking of hedge funds, just finished reading "buy side". pretty crazy
01[14:27] {Threei}  wild west?
[14:28] {dino} no, ny hedge fund trader
[14:30] {dino} turney duff, what a crazy time he had. fun read
[14:38] {RonS} neighbor next door my daughter's age named their two boys Hudson, and Chase... biting my tongue to ask them if they are going to stop the pretense and name the next one Preppy...
01[14:39] {Threei}  lol
01[14:41] {Threei}  why don't I have neighbors with Moe and Larry...
01[14:41] {Threei}  I'd have a suggestion for their third
[14:55] {RonS} ooof nomura just stabbed sndk... says 55-60 tops now w/ detail
01[14:57] {Threei} Short Setup: MCD  .60 break
01[14:57] {Threei}  If holds  .70
01[15:05] {Threei}  1:1
[15:14] {RonS} turn off the heat lamp...
01[15:19] {Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .40 break
01[15:20] {Threei}  If holds  .30
01[15:26] {Threei}  nope
01[15:35] {Threei}  was waiting for FB pullback... never got it
01[15:37] {Threei}  maybe now
01[15:37] {Threei}  from under .20
01[15:39] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .20 break
01[15:39] {Threei}  If holds  .10
01[15:40] {Threei}  change to .15
01[15:43] {Threei}  Chechnya threatens to arm Mexico if US sends weapons to Ukraine
01[15:43] {Threei}  imbeciles
[15:43] {dino} roflol
[15:43] {RonS} lol...really...the drug gangs don't have enough?
01[15:43] {Threei}  as if we didn't arm them on our own better than anyone else could :)
01[15:45] {Threei}  Chechnya's parliamentary speaker Dukuvakha Abdurakhmanov said that the U.S. has “no right” to advise Russia on how to behave with its neighbours.
01[15:45] {Threei}  He warned that the supply of arms to Ukraine will be perceived by Chechnya, a southern Russian republic, as a signal to deliver new weapons to Mexico to “resume debate on the legal status of the territories annexed by the U.S.”
[15:45] {dino} but of course
01[15:45] {Threei}  Abdurakhmanov is referring to the states of California, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, Colorado and Wyoming, which Mexico surrendered to the U.S. in the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo in 1848
[15:45] {dino} why don't they just supply the indians
01[15:46] {Threei}  stop to .09
[15:48] {dino} wrld blood
01[15:50] {Threei}  half out
01[15:50] {Threei}  time is pressing
01[15:50] {Threei}  stop to .14
01[15:52] {Threei}  ok, done
01[15:52] {Threei}  thank you, have a great evening
01[15:52] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:53] {dino} stc cnat calls from a.m., +.35 /50%. ty for idea 3i
01[15:54] {Threei}  :)
[15:55] {dino} oxm spike
[15:56] {dino} calling it a day, gn

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

March 25 2015

Finishing play of the good day: 


Went even higher after our exit but that was another strong day with a lot of good ones and just one stop, so didn't want to push at the end of the day.


Session Time: Wed Mar 25 00:00:00 2015
[09:04] {dino} gm
[09:04] {RonS} gm
01[09:04] {@Threei}  dino, ron :)
[09:05] {RonS} LL us product safety to report findings 10 a.m. edt
[09:05] {dino} holding calls on it
01[09:05] {@Threei}  that'll be interesting
[09:06] {dino} indeed
01[09:20] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -KFX +46% (being acquired by Lexmark for $11/shr)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -KRFT +35% (acquiring Heinz)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -VBLT +15% (earnings)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -STMP +10% (acquiring Endicia from Newell Rubbermaid for $215M cash)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -LL +8.5% (CPSC announcement @ 10AM)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -BLRX +4.4% (reported successful top-line and efficacy results for novel stem cell mobilization treatment)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -GPRO +4% (FBN making positive comments)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -CBK -12% (earnings)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -NSM -9% (offering 17.5M shares)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -ENLK -9% (priced 22.8M shares at $25.71/shr)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -NVAX -7% (offering $175M common stock)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -YGE -5% (earnings; guidance)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -PAYX -2.5% (earnings)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -LE -2% (earnings)
[09:21] {RonS} that option dude i discussed had 400 krft calls he sold friday, left 400k on the table...
[09:24] {dino} nice
[09:26] {RonS} expect LL to be halted soon here...
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .50 break
01[09:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .45 
01[09:34] {@Threei}  Invalidated  
01[09:35] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .30 break
01[09:35] {@Threei}  If holds  .20 
01[09:35] {@Threei}  Invalidated  
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
01[09:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .70 
01[09:38] {@Threei}  no go
01[09:39] {@Threei}  rinse
01[09:39] {@Threei}  somg
[09:41] {RonS} NY TIMES article...Dennis Lockhart Q/A: September at the latest to raise rates
01[09:42] {@Threei}  I am not so sure
[09:42] {RonS} posting because of selloff...
01[09:45] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .20 break
01[09:45] {@Threei}  If holds  .10 
01[09:46] {@Threei}  1:1  
[09:48] {dino} airm?
[09:48] {dino} w/you 3i on rates, thinking next year
01[09:49] {@Threei}  don't see anything fresh on AIRM
[09:49] {dino} stale air i guess
01[09:49] {@Threei}  lol
[09:50] {dino} gap filling, 45.75 area
01[09:56] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .30 break
01[09:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .20 
01[09:57] {@Threei}  1:1  
01[09:58] {@Threei}  1:2  
[09:59] {dino} wday hl l .31, stop .99
[10:00] {dino} otic drop
01[10:04] {@Threei}  [LL] US Consumer Product Safety Commission: we are actively investigating - conf call
01[10:08] {@Threei}  are beginning to collect samples from stores- company has been cooperative thus far
[10:09] {dino} that should take them months
[10:09] {RonS} ...that's what they just said
[10:10] {dino} lol
[10:10] {dino} added some airm calls
[10:16] {dino} ll spike
01[10:16] {@Threei}  - too soon to say whether there will be recalls of LL products - Follow up: CNBC's Wapner tweets: Ahead of CPSC call, Tilson says $LL position remains unchanged since he "more than doubled" short. Tells me "havent traded the stock since"
01[10:16] {@Threei}  YHOO Ticks up on weekly call activity4100 3/27 45 calls trade at $0.21
01[10:20] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .75 break
01[10:20] {@Threei}  If holds  .85 
[10:21] {RonS} took wday .45 to .95 +.50 thanks dino
[10:21] {dino} yw, gj
[10:21] {dino} going for a buck
01[10:22] {@Threei}  wtg
01[10:24] {@Threei}  1:1  
[10:24] {dino} out wday ave .04, +.73
[10:25] {RonS} gj
[10:25] {dino} ty
[10:26] {dino} fcx up, surprised w/that div cut and the reasons why, sounded like they are in real bind
01[10:28] {@Threei}  1:2  
01[10:28] {@Threei}  1:3  
[10:28] {RonS} good one 3i
01[10:28] {@Threei}  ty
[10:29] {RonS} sm l blox .99 s/l .80
[10:30] {dino} 07 fast red
[10:33] {dino} ron that espr gave back 20 pts
[10:39] {RonS} wow
[10:40] {RonS} out blox -.05 indices not done going down...
01[10:44] {@Threei}  who knew holding ukrainian debt can get you free hairdo and, umm, vital organ enlargement
01[10:45] {@Threei}  Ukraine bondholders face haircuts and extensions
[10:47] {dino} lol
[10:47] {RonS} hair extensions?
01[10:48] {@Threei}  hmmm... hat might be even worse than I thought, lol
01[10:48] {@Threei}  that
01[10:49] {@Threei}  two top officals were arrested right during the minister cabinet meeting - televised one, no less
01[10:50] {@Threei}  corruption charges
[10:50] {dino} wday hl l .51
[10:58] {RonS} meantime...snow here
01[10:58] {@Threei}  yuck
[10:59] {RonS} 1 day event...nice so i don't have to water...
[11:00] {dino} was 15 degrees f walking the dog this morning
[11:03] {dino} out wday .78, +.27
01[11:04] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .90 break
01[11:04] {@Threei}  If holds  .80 
[11:09] {RonS} krft running wtf?
01[11:10] {@Threei}  nothing yet
01[11:13] {@Threei}  TRQ CEO: talks with the Mongolia government have slowed
01[11:13] {@Threei}  postal camels got tired?
[11:16] {RonS} don't know what it means but lol
[11:16] {RonS} just the thought of postal camels...
[11:25] {dino} wow espr
[11:26] {RonS} raly monkey
[11:31] {RonS} espr wants 60?
01[11:32] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .40 break
01[11:32] {@Threei}  wow
01[11:32] {@Threei}  lol
01[11:32] {@Threei}  1:1 BEFORE I posted
01[11:40] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .50 break
01[11:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .40 
01[11:41] {@Threei}  change to .40
01[12:00] {@Threei}  European indices are looking to close at their lows as tensions between the EU and Greece worsen, while in the US the poor February durable goods report steepening the risk-off tone. The 10-year UST yield dropped as low 1.865% earlier on the risk-off tone. Biotech names are seeing broad declines, dragging the Nasdaq lower
01[12:01] {@Threei}  Today's weekly DoE report saw the eleventh straight build in oil inventories, with the amount once again widely beating expectations. Last night's API report saw a smaller increase in inventories, down quite a bit from last week's number. Beyond inventories, chaos deepened in Yemen, and there were reports that Saudi Arabia was moving military forces to the border with Yemen.
01[12:02] {@Threei}  Brent saw steady gains through the Asia and European sessions, rising from $54.80 to as high as $56.20, but the inventory report knocked the contract back to $55.50 or so. WTI crude is around $47.75, and is well contained within yesterday's ranges
01[12:02] {@Threei}  Shares of Lumber Liquidators are up 10% this morning after the Consumer Product Safety Commission updated the public on its investigation into allegations about the high toxicity of the company's flooring products. The CPSC said its investigations will take months to complete, however the somewhat dovish tone, and the fact that the toxicity levels are in violation of California's much stricter regulations (not the CPSC's) is hurting the big short positions.
[12:03] {dino} qrvo drop
[12:07] {dino} nmm spike
01[12:15] {@Threei}  only in Victoria: https://www.facebook.com/ilovedowntownvictoria/posts/956108621075477
[12:17] {RonS} only in...would they not know the difference between a cow and steer?  looks like a steer to me...
[12:18] {RonS} writer probably vegan...
01[12:18] {@Threei}  texts says steer
[12:19] {RonS} ah
01[12:19] {@Threei}  no go
[12:27] {RonS} crude hod...strange
01[12:45] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .45 break
01[12:45] {@Threei}  If holds  .35 
01[12:46] {@Threei}  Invalidated  
[12:47] {RonS} "what did you do today Daddy Dino?" oh, well, workday dropped 3 bucks and i made money long...
01[12:47] {@Threei}  lol
01[12:48] {@Threei}  .40 new trigger
01[12:48] {@Threei}  If holds  .30 
[12:49] {RonS} ...but i have a regret... what's that daddy Dino?
[12:49] {RonS} ...nemo wasn't around so i couldn't tell him i was "lucky"...
01[12:49] {@Threei}  1:1  
[12:50] {RonS} good one 3i
[12:50] {dino} lol
01[12:50] {@Threei}  ty
01[12:50] {@Threei}  got that reversal finally
01[12:51] {@Threei}  turned my Taoist Trader in a book form this weekend
01[12:51] {@Threei}  should be on Amazon in a week or so
01[12:52] {@Threei}  1:2  
01[12:58] {@Threei}  1:3  
01[12:58] {@Threei}  good girl
01[12:59] {@Threei}  1:4 baby
01[12:59] {@Threei}  me out
[13:00] {dino} gj
01[13:01] {@Threei}  ty
[13:01] {dino} this down done or not?
01[13:01] {@Threei}  even though this market is boring, but I've adjusted well, almost every day is profitable
01[13:02] {@Threei}  can't tell, really
01[13:02] {@Threei}  something keeps market worried today, downticks easy
[13:02] {dino} yeah, you're doing better than me, running a bit below goals
[13:05] {RonS} sheesh, snow getting serious 4" already and swirling winds...good thing the tree haven't leafed out
[13:05] {dino} at this rate in pa, won't see leaves until may
[13:05] {RonS} ctrp pretty darn strong
[13:09] {dino} surprised w/quarter ending in few days that they did not hold this up
[13:18] {RonS} headline:  ketchup on mac & cheese?
[13:20] {dino} sold yesterdays vxx calls, +.51 / 20%
[13:20] {RonS} nice
[13:21] {dino} ty
01[13:22] {@Threei}  [FB] CEO: we are making a big shift from a single service to a group of services - F8 developer conf - Promises more bug fixes: pledges to fix 90% of minor bugs within 30 days in addition to current effort to fix major reported bugs within 48 hours, thus creating more stability- 80% of top 100 apps use 'Login with Facebook'- Many top developers have joined our 'Threat Exchange' to combat security threats, including Microsoft, Yahoo, Pinterest - Over 3B videos a day are viewed in the news feed- Will soon incorporate spherical video in the newsfeed- Adding features today to share to specific groups instead of with all your Facebook friends- Confirms over 600M MAUs for Facebook messenger - Messenger already accounts for over 10% of mobile VoIP calling globally- Introduces 'Messenger Platform'
[13:29] {dino} wday hl l .53
[13:31] {RonS} wow wday 30k block
[13:31] {RonS} actually a good sign...
[13:37] {RonS} ...or not
[13:38] {RonS} zen levitation
[13:42] {RonS} run you bastard...wday
[13:43] {RonS} sorry, you nice stock...
[13:44] {RonS} can't you feel the power of dino?
[13:44] {dino} thats pushing it
[13:46] {RonS} dino: "look into my eyes wday...you will run a buck..."
01[13:50] {@Threei}  http://www.arrestinglight.com/blog/2015/3/beware-the-march-flurries
[13:51] {RonS} nice 3i, thanks for posting
01[13:51] {@Threei}  :)
01[13:52] {@Threei}  you are not on my photoblog update e-mail list?
01[13:52] {@Threei}  tsk tsk tsk
01[13:52] {@Threei}  once a month you can handle :)
[13:52] {RonS} guess not... follow you on twitter
01[13:53] {@Threei}  gosh... I don't know why anyone would, I practically don't use that :)
01[13:53] {@Threei}  FB, I do
[13:53] {RonS} don't do fb here
01[13:54] {@Threei}  lucky you
01[13:54] {@Threei}  I wosh I could stay away from it
01[13:54] {@Threei}  i*
01[13:55] {@Threei}  [ZEN] Announces it is a partner company on Facebook's 'Business on Messenger'; Confirms online retailers Zulily and Everlane are the first two companies using the integration to support their customers
[13:57] {cosmo} Is FB addictive?
01[13:57] {@Threei}  not to me
01[13:57] {@Threei}  although some say it is
[13:57] {RonS} only if you snort it...
01[13:57] {@Threei}  lol
01[14:25] {@Threei}  LL Goldman Sachs making positive comments
[14:28] {dino} keep talking
01[14:28] {@Threei}  hehe
01[14:28] {@Threei}  "I'm sorry, we can't hire you. But your background check was hilarious."
01[14:29] {@Threei}  I bet when they discovered the radish everyone was like "Let's name it Rad!" and one guy was all "it's not that tasty, let's dial that back a bit."
[14:29] {dino} 07 green
01[14:30] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .35 break
01[14:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .25 
[14:38] {RonS} wow crude closed at 49.21
01[14:39] {@Threei}  tome for saudis to anounce production increase
01[14:39] {@Threei}  time
[14:59] {dino} wday stop
01[15:15] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .75 break
01[15:15] {@Threei}  If holds  .65 
01[15:19] {@Threei}  1:1  
01[15:25] {@Threei}  1:2  
[15:25] {RonS} a beaut
01[15:25] {@Threei}  :)
01[15:44] {@Threei}  1:3  
01[15:44] {@Threei}  out
01[15:44] {@Threei}  done for the day
01[15:44] {@Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:44] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow



Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Mar 24 2015

Rare trade, as early setups often aren't that reliable. This one begged to be taken though. Kangaroo tail reversal, right from the 111 Trades pages 


Very nice day with couple stops and whole lot of nicely profitable trades.

Session Time: Tue Mar 24 00:00:00 2015
[08:51] {dino} gm 3i
01[08:51] {@Threei}  dino :)
[08:53] {dino} 13 degrees 3i, even the dog quit our walk early
01[08:53] {@Threei}  lol
01[08:53] {@Threei}  reminds me: it was so cold, thermometer knocked on the window and asked to let it in
[08:54] {dino} lol
[08:58] {dino} the schools just pushed back spring track, baseball ect. by ten days here, too much snow
01[08:58] {@Threei}  but global warming is blooming
[09:04] {RonS} gm...ms cfo to googl...guess she had enough of the eastern winters...
[09:04] {cosmo} We'll be needing more sports domes
01[09:04] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:06] {RonS} thinking george wants a job as a stock analyst:  George Soros Warns Greece "Is Going Down The Drain"
01[09:07] {@Threei}  well, this century or next?
[09:07] {RonS} or last... lol
01[09:07] {@Threei}  'cause at this pace it's going to make headline for the next N decades
01[09:18] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -DGLY +20% (earnings; announced $25M mixed shelf)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -CHRS +17% (earnings; filed $100M secondary offering)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -ARAY +7% (Christie Innomed signed exclusive sales agent agreement for radiation therapy systems in Canada)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -RADA +6% (selected by LTM for Laser Weapon Research Projects)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -LINE +5.2% (enters LOI with Quantum Energy for a $1B energy commitment to acquire & develop oil & natgas assets)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -NSM +5% (purchasing additional portfolio of mortgage servicing rights from OCN)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -CHK +3.2% (updated 2015 operating plan; Icahn disclosed a 10.98% stake as of Dec)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -MKC +3.2% (earnings)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -ARIA +3% (announced approval of Inclusig in Israel with Medison Pharma)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -SONS -33% (cut Q1 guidance)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -WLL -21% (offering 35M shares & private offering of $1B in convertible senior notes; negative broker commentary)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -JRJC -20% (earnings)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -OCN -5.4% (selling additional $25B portfolio of mortgage servicing rights to Nationstar)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -GLP -5% (prices 1.96M unit offering for $36.10/shr)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -LQ -4% (announced secondary of 17.5M shares for Blackstone affiliates)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -FCX -2.5% (cuts dividend 84%)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .20 break
01[09:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[09:31] {@Threei}  not yet
[09:31] {RonS} pulp
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .30 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  valid still
01[09:32] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:33] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:34] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:4
01[09:35] {@Threei}  out
[09:35] {RonS} good one
01[09:36] {@Threei}  ty
01[09:36] {@Threei}  FCX is rarely this active
01[09:37] {@Threei}  but to cut dividends like this and fully recover? there must be a short in that
[09:37] {dino} thats a hell of div cut, does not speak well looking forward
[09:37] {dino} would think 17s get tested
[09:38] {dino} maybe not today, but...
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .35 break
01[09:39] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[09:46] {@Threei}  stop .29
01[09:46] {@Threei}  1 cent from 1:1
01[09:49] {@Threei}  meh
01[09:54] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MCD  99 reak
01[09:55] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[09:59] {@Threei}  GOGO Ticking higher on announcement company to be featured on CNBC's Mad Money
01[09:59] {@Threei}  *(US) MAR RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING INDEX: -8 V 3E
01[09:59] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:59] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) FEB NEW HOME SALES: 539K V 464KE
01[10:01] {@Threei}  1:3
[10:03] {RonS} ye olde flippin da burgers...good one
01[10:03] {@Threei}  :)
01[10:04] {@Threei}  1:4 close enough
01[10:04] {@Threei}  out
[10:07] {dino} -gj
01[10:07] {@Threei}  too soon
[10:13] {dino} ovas spike
[10:19] {RonS} chickens shot but can't find any news safm others
01[10:20] {@Threei}  nothing fresh... 3/18 last headline
[10:21] {dino} ppc off on it
[10:46] {dino} qrvo hl s .66 ave
[10:47] {dino} makes me think of tequila
01[10:47] {@Threei}  lol
01[10:54] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .05 break
01[10:54] {@Threei}  If holds  .95
[10:59] {dino} stop qrvo .74 -.08, not working
[11:01] {RonS} gonna take another shot?... pun intended...
[11:02] {dino} lol
[11:03] {RonS} prta good spanking on your puts, eh?
[11:04] {dino} prta running again, odd for ph 1
[11:05] {dino} sjw drop
[11:06] {RonS} sjw...they got none...
01[11:08] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:09] {dino} wday calls working
[11:13] {dino} ll hl l .05
[11:16] {dino} stop to .99
[11:17] {dino} out ll .35, +.30
[11:18] {dino} too soon
[11:19] {dino} adding ll calls aug
01[11:22] {@Threei}  1:2
[11:23] {RonS} nice
01[11:23] {@Threei}  ty
[11:30] {dino} ty
[11:36] {RonS} ceco l 5.03
[11:37] {dino} safm hl l .96
[11:38] {dino} i'll join you ron
[11:38] {RonS} cfo left for a more exciting industry...
[11:38] {dino} what could be more exciting than college girls?
[11:38] {RonS} lol
[11:39] {RonS} online porn...all of the looks and none of the bullshit...
[11:40] {RonS} :)
[11:47] {RonS} ceco to 5.00
[12:09] {dino} slow movers today
[12:11] {dino} bnft drop
[12:12] {dino} hl l .52
[12:16] {dino} sbny drop
01[12:22] {@Threei}  this is highly confusing sentence:
01[12:22] {@Threei}  WTI crude prices were soft during the Asian session on the weak Chinese PMI data but then rose from $47 as high as $48.50 before softening again.
[12:22] {dino} out safm ave .28, +.32
01[12:22] {@Threei}  and after softening again? they softed more, or hardened?
[12:36] {dino} out ceco .12, +.07
[12:36] {dino} stopping bnft
[12:37] {dino} taking a break
01[12:38] {@Threei}  Sweden reports Russian bombers, fighters over Baltic Sea
01[12:49] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .10 break
01[12:49] {@Threei}  If holds  19
01[13:13] {@Threei}  total yawn
[13:20] {RonS} need to re-boot...
01[13:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  25 break
01[13:38] {@Threei}  .05 is more confident entry but ranges are so tight, difficult to count on enough room for profit
01[14:06] {@Threei}  [YELP] Planning partner apps allowing users to order various services from flower delivery to legal advice - Forbes (update) - Yelp partnering with BloomNation (flowers), GolfNow (tee times), LegalZoom (legal advice), TableList (nightlife bookings), Vagaro (spa appointments), and Vimbly (booking activities).
[14:09] {RonS} shouldn't Vimbly be named Danno?
01[14:09] {@Threei}  hmmm... I need a decoder ring :)
[14:10] {RonS} Hawaii five o... book 'em Danno...
01[14:11] {@Threei}  never watched that
01[14:11] {@Threei}  my life is not worth living?
01[14:12] {@Threei}  I went thgough all Games of Thrones though
01[14:12] {@Threei}  my debt to societay is paid
[14:13] {RonS} recently watched the first one...really diappointing imo
01[14:14] {@Threei}  it gets better later on...
01[14:14] {@Threei}  but yeah
01[14:18] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .75 break
01[14:18] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[14:19] {dino} added vxx calls
[14:20] {dino} i liked that orange is the new black
[14:20] {dino} currently in season 2 house of cards
01[14:21] {@Threei}  ahhh... 3rd is very disappointing
01[14:21] {@Threei}  it's like writers haven't even watched frist two
[14:23] {RonS} FNJN in deal with Alibaba  BABA  for Cybersecurity , FNJN just tweeted it
01[14:24] {@Threei}  running
[14:30] {RonS} from the web:  if a man does something in the woods, and a woman is not there, is it still wrong?
01[14:30] {@Threei}  lol
[14:35] {RonS} neighbor guy in his own front yard was cutting down two small ash trees so his young red maple could get more sunlight and grow faster...woman walks by and says: are you cutting down live trees?...says yes and tells reason...her response "i feel sorry for you"...
01[14:36] {@Threei}  why?
[14:36] {dino} does she live in a mud hut?
[14:36] {RonS} who knows...
01[14:36] {@Threei}  with tinfoil roof
[14:37] {cosmo} Ash trees are spiritual
[14:37] {cosmo} to some...
[14:38] {RonS} probably to the ash borer...
[14:38] {cosmo} to Celtics
[14:38] {dino} two woodpeckers drinking in a bar. one asys to the other, "hey, let's go get us a nice piece of ash"
[14:39] {RonS} 30% of the trees on the Front Range are ash (3 million)...the borer is going to kill them all...
[14:39] {RonS} lol dino
[14:39] {cosmo} yeah...woodpeckers understand...
[14:39] {dino} same here ron, pa is expected to lose most ash trees from that
01[14:40] {@Threei}  then borer dies of starvation, and ash trees retake the territory... circle of life
[14:41] {dino} are your sure it doesn't die of boredom?
01[14:41] {@Threei}  could be
[14:41] {RonS} not here, they were imported anyway...people will replace them with something else...
[14:41] {RonS} oof, dino on a roll...
[14:42] {cosmo} replace them with solar panels
[14:42] {cosmo} I did
[14:43] {dino} what will they make the louisville sluggers out of when they are all gone?
[14:43] {cosmo} aluminum
[14:44] {RonS} the Finns just bought it...they have wood...
[14:45] {dino} speaking of the sluggers, i took my son to yankees game few years ago. it was bat day. they gave out 15,000 giambi, 28" ash loiusville sluggers to kids under 15 that day. on my 3rd beer, i look around the stadium and think, wow this could get ugly real fast.
[14:46] {RonS} lol
[14:46] {RonS} a classic
[14:46] {dino} one idiot and you'd have a bat fueled riot
[14:47] {cosmo} that depends on the town
[14:47] {dino} well, it was ny
[14:47] {cosmo} my town too laid back
[14:48] {cosmo} oh...ny....yea, makes sense
[14:48] {cosmo} 28" night sticks
[14:50] {dino} bank of america donated them. when i bought the tickets, i figured it would be those little 12" toy bats
[14:51] {cosmo} BoA means business
[14:52] {dino} like arming the inmates
[14:54] {RonS} abmd profit taking...
01[14:57] {@Threei}  1:1
01[14:57] {@Threei}  1:1
01[14:57] {@Threei}  oops
01[14:57] {@Threei}  didn't post in timw, so posted twice, lol
01[15:02] {@Threei}  FNJN Update: H.C. Wainright reiterates Buy rating, price target $5
01[15:21] {@Threei}  wow
01[15:24] {@Threei}  ugh
01[15:24] {@Threei}  just started contemplating VXX, and the thing has jumped
01[15:28] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .15 break
01[15:29] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[15:34] {@Threei}  nah
01[15:34] {@Threei}  whatever
01[15:34] {@Threei}  finishing on that good day as it is
01[15:34] {@Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:34] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow

Monday, March 23, 2015

Mar 23 2015

Beautiful beginning to the week, with win after win, and just one 8 cents stop. 


Session Time: Mon Mar 23 00:00:00 2015
[09:10] {RonS} hello gents
[09:11] {dino} gm
01[09:11] {@Threei}  ron, dino :)
[09:11] {dino} well 3i, 18 degrees here, but hopefully warming up by end of week
01[09:13] {@Threei}  sigh
[09:13] {dino} been a long and record breaking cold winter
01[09:13] {@Threei}  yet they won't stop talking about warmest year on record
01[09:14] {@Threei}  I've no idea how these people reconcile their words with reality
[09:15] {dino} they throw out the cold areas
01[09:15] {@Threei}  because they are too cold to count... makes sense
[09:16] {cosmo} It is supposed to be the warmest Spring ever...
01[09:17] {@Threei}  right before warmest summer ever, I guess...
[09:18] {cosmo} that was last year
[09:18] {RonS} when you have the time, this guy nails it:  http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2015/03/20/why-i-am-climate-change-skeptic
[09:22] {Raven} warm in the west and cold in the east .... called the Jet Stream
[09:22] {cosmo} What happened to Mars is that it stopped producing CO2.
[09:23] {Raven} Washington needs to stop producing hot air
01[09:23] {@Threei}  lol
[09:23] {cosmo} hot air helps melt the ice though
[09:24] {Raven} good ... send some warm air tho \
[09:24] {Raven} \\
[09:24] {Raven} to Michigan
[09:25] {cosmo} Michigan State BB is hot...
[09:26] {Raven} I went to U of Mich ... we were trained to hate Mich Stated
[09:26] {Raven} -d
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -IMGN +21% (Takeda licensed rights to novel antibody-drug conjugate technology)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -GNW +6.6% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -THC +4.6% (confirmed deal to acquire 50.1% in United Surgical Partners; also acquiring UK-based Aspen Healthcare)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -CYBR +4% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -MEIP -63% (top-line Phase 2 study results for Pracinostat showed no difference in rate of complete remission rate)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -VRTX +5.3% (Feuerstein comments & 12-week safety study of VX-661 showing efficacy on low-side of expectations)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -SNP -3.2% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -KSU -2.8% (Q1 EPS/Rev guidance)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -LULU -2.5% (negative broker commentary)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .25 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  If holds  .35
01[09:31] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:32] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:32] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .95 break
01[09:36] {@Threei}  If holds  .88
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .60 break
01[09:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:37] {@Threei}  Invalidated  FB
01[09:38] {@Threei}  1:1  IWM
01[09:39] {@Threei}  FB, should have recalibrated
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .60 break
01[09:47] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:48] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:50] {dino} bio blood
01[09:51] {@Threei}  but CYBR is healthy
01[09:51] {@Threei}  (see what I did there?)
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:2
[09:51] {dino} sorry, meant biotech blood
01[09:51] {@Threei}  I know :)
01[09:52] {@Threei}  just being smart ass
01[09:52] {@Threei}  bio vs cyber
01[09:52] {@Threei}  trying to outron ron
[09:52] {dino} you'regoing to make ron mad
01[09:53] {@Threei}  for some reason I feel brave today
[09:59] {RonS} np here...
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) FEB EXISTING HOME SALES: 4.88M V 4.92ME
01[10:09] {@Threei}  MCD
01[10:09] {@Threei}  wow
01[10:09] {@Threei}  just when I thought to call .20 or .25 :(
01[10:09] {@Threei}  crap
01[10:09] {@Threei}  MCD Glenview Capital sends letter
01[10:10] {@Threei}  scarlet letter?
01[10:10] {@Threei}  love letter?
01[10:12] {@Threei}  suggests REIT conversion could unlock $20B in value
[10:17] {dino} nlnk sm l .49
[10:17] {dino} same talk on shld 3i
01[10:18] {@Threei}  yeah
01[10:22] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YUM  .70 break
01[10:22] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[10:22] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:32] {dino} out nlnk .50, +1.01
01[10:32] {@Threei}  wtg
[10:32] {RonS} gj
[10:32] {dino} ty
01[10:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MCD  .10 break
01[10:32] {@Threei}  If holds  98
[10:32] {dino} i am thinking of raising my minimum shares to 500
01[10:33] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:35] {RonS} if you were ese...496.75
[10:35] {dino} lol
01[10:35] {@Threei}  lol
[10:40] {dino} fltx spike
01[10:42] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:45] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:45] {@Threei}  out
[11:00] {dino} gj
01[11:00] {@Threei}  *(EU) EURO ZONE MAR ADVANCE CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: -3.7 V -6.0E
01[11:00] {@Threei}  ty
01[11:24] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MCD  .75 break
01[11:24] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
01[11:30] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:43] {RonS} (CKP) CFO has resigned from his position
01[12:04] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD  .60 break
01[12:04] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[12:11] {RonS} hearing xom for cop rumor
[12:11] {RonS} 72-74
01[12:12] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
01[12:13] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[12:15] {dino} cop?
01[12:16] {@Threei}  takeover rumor
01[12:16] {@Threei}  COP Hearing takeover chatter circulating- Exxon said to be interested
[12:17] {dino} ahh
01[12:17] {@Threei}  1:2
01[12:17] {@Threei}  1:1
01[12:23] {@Threei}  1:2
[12:28] {dino} gj
01[12:28] {@Threei}  ty
01[12:30] {@Threei}  Crude prices remain well within the range seen last week, with WTI just below $47 and Brent below $56. In comments out earlier today, the Saudis deflected blame for the oil price crash, pointing out that non-OPEC sources pump 70% of crude. Oil Minister Naimi said Saudi Arabia saw no need to boost output to 12.5M since there was no demand, but also said the Kingdom was ready to boost output if needed.
[12:33] {dino} taking a break
[13:28] {dino} .
01[13:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .20 break
01[13:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
[13:55] {dino} markets just sitting in tight range all day
01[13:55] {@Threei}  yeah
01[13:55] {@Threei}  decent morning, then lull
[13:59] {dino} same last friday. this needs to change or its going to be a long boring spring
[14:02] {RonS} but you keep saying it's still winter...
01[14:04] {@Threei}  this is slow climb for you... boring market
[14:06] {dino} ron, it is winter where i am, just spring on my calander
[14:07] {RonS} where's Julius Caesar when you need him?
01[14:07] {@Threei}  ask Brut
[14:09] {RonS} http://www.livius.org/caa-can/caesar/caesar_t17.html
01[14:09] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:12] {RonS} Chatter $AAPL to partner with $ADT for home monitoring and/or DIY security product.
[14:23] {RonS} thinking they exhausted the overtime budget:  Police suspend investigation into UVA sexual assault allegations detailed in Rolling Stone, citing lack of evidence http://www.breakingnews.com/t/ZNu
[14:31] {dino} gotta hop early guys, catch you tomorrow
01[14:33] {@Threei}  take care dino
01[15:07] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .05 break
01[15:07] {@Threei}  If holds  .98
[15:14] {RonS} pull that rug
01[15:14] {@Threei}  really
[15:18] {cosmo} http://www.metrowestdailynews.com/article/20150318/NEWS/150316042
[15:19] {RonS} lol...they aren't supposed to be white...
[15:21] {cosmo} hunt them in the snow
01[15:35] {@Threei}  market just can't decide
01[15:38] {@Threei}  meh
01[15:38] {@Threei}  forst stop today, lol
01[15:38] {@Threei}  i*
[15:38] {RonS} brutal
01[15:38] {@Threei}  hehe
01[15:38] {@Threei}  ok, finishing on that
01[15:38] {@Threei}  have a good evening, see you tomorrow