Friday, April 11, 2014

Apr 11 2014

Somewhat of a back and forth day. A few nice juicy wins, a few stops, overall about flat or slightly positive. No complaints about the week overall.



Session Time: Fri Apr 11 00:00:00 2014
01[08:58] {@Threei}  JPMorgan Chase and Co Expect Mortgage Production pretax income to be negative for FY14
[08:58] {dptl} good morning
01[08:59] {@Threei}  dp :)
01[09:03] {@Threei}  nice beating on it
01[09:04] {@Threei}  conf call doesn't really go their way
[09:09] {cosmo} but they got bailed out for that in advance...right?
01[09:12] {@Threei}  yes but then london whale ate those funds
[09:14] {cosmo} right...certainly not those truely underwater homeowners
01[09:14] {@Threei}  nah, those are still waiting for their bailout
[09:18] {RonS} good morning gents
01[09:19] {@Threei}  ron :)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  UR) German Fin Min Schaueble: G7 agreed to resolve Ukraine crisis jointly- West would be firm if Ukraine crisis escalates; *Note: G7 responded to Russia President Putin letter to 18 European leaders that Ukraine risks halt Russian gas exports
[09:21] {ese} gm
01[09:21] {@Threei}  ese :)
01[09:24] {@Threei}  C .50 break short as opening play... let's see if it gives us a minute or two of consolidation
01[09:25] {@Threei}  nah... wouldn't wait for us
01[09:30] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  127 break
01[09:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:32] {@Threei}  stop to .06
01[09:35] {@Threei}  meh
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .50 break hl
01[09:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[09:39] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:39] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:39] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:40] {@Threei}  out
[09:41] {_jakecc} any shorting here at this spike?
01[09:41] {@Threei}  on what?
01[09:42] {@Threei}  YHOO, or market in general?
[09:44] {_jakecc} jeez, anything hot with small earnings... yelp, solar, tsla, z, ... or maybe this is a bounce day...
01[09:44] {@Threei}  (US) Dept of Homeland Security Official: Hackers are attempting to exploit the Heartbleed internet security exploit in targeted attacks
01[09:44] {@Threei}  we trade chart setups, jake
[09:45] {_jakecc} ok,, qihu short now at 89?
01[09:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: WMT  .90 break
01[09:46] {@Threei}  If holds  72
01[09:46] {@Threei}  89?
01[09:46] {@Threei}  it's under 88
[09:46] {_jakecc} that was fast... missed it
[09:46] {Les} IWM rising channel from April last year. Testing lower channel support today
[09:47] {nemo} did you mean hold 77 vad?
01[09:47] {@Threei}  so, if it moves $1 in 1 minm, with spread 10-20 cents, how are you going to control risk on it?
06[09:47] * Les smacks bunny boy around for stating the obvious
01[09:48] {@Threei}  also, how did you pick 89? why not short it at 86, 87 or 88?
01[09:48] {@Threei}  each of which would havbe killed you
[09:48] {_jakecc} i waited for the opening spike, never short before that
01[09:48] {@Threei}  there was a spike that took it to 86
01[09:49] {@Threei}  and it continued for 3 dollars more after that
01[09:49] {@Threei}  no go WMT
[09:49] {_jakecc} right, then I thought 89 would be a good spot to short, but it was too fast and I missed it
01[09:50] {@Threei}  ok... my point is, there should be something more than "I thought" to initiate the trade
01[09:50] {@Threei}  anf that something is technical setup
[09:51] {nemo} wmt can't get above vwap...short again
01[09:52] {@Threei}  (UR) NATO official sees Russia as seeking a full occupation of Ukraine
01[09:52] {@Threei}  idiot
[09:52] {_jakecc} ok, IBM short here, stop at 196.10?
[09:52] {_jakecc} out
01[09:53] {@Threei}  jake... we tarde certain setups, not feelings
01[09:53] {@Threei}  stidy them and watch for them
01[09:53] {@Threei}  study
01[09:53] {@Threei} Short Setup: C  .50 break
01[09:53] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:54] {@Threei}  *(US) APR PRELIMINARY UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 82.6 V 81.0E
01[09:55] {@Threei}  rinse WMT
01[09:55] {@Threei}  nemo was right
01[09:55] {@Threei}  (oh the pain)
[09:55] {nemo} vad, not to give you more indicators, but vwap tells you if institutions are gonna get involved
01[09:56] {@Threei}  what is it, "teach vad to trade" morning?
[09:56] {nemo} no
01[09:57] {@Threei}  Invalidated  C
[10:01] {_jakecc} ibm couldnt hold 196... is this a setup?
[10:01] {nemo} watch what it does in .30 area, likely bounce
01[10:02] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .20 break
01[10:02] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[10:06] {@Threei}  SPY is shaky here
01[10:06] {@Threei}  keeps DAL down
[10:07] {dptl} long aee
01[10:07] {@Threei}  no go
01[10:11] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
01[10:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[10:15] {RonS} BREAKING NEWS: AutoNavi to be acquired by Alibaba in deal valued at $1.5 billion.
01[10:17] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:18] {@Threei}  let's panic, market
[10:20] {thomcbell} glog 26 short break if holding 26.12
01[10:21] {@Threei}  good chart, nasty spread
[10:21] {thomcbell} disregard
[10:21] {thomcbell} kicking myself
[10:22] {thomcbell} i bought it pre-open - deal is major positive
01[10:22] {@Threei}  why, no one is around to kick?? :)
01[10:22] {@Threei}  TZA closed balance
01[10:24] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  ,10 break
01[10:24] {@Threei}  If holds  33
01[10:25] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:27] {_jakecc} would yhoo be a hold to 33.50?
[10:27] {nemo} it's all about the stop now
01[10:28] {@Threei}  1/4 more oput
01[10:28] {@Threei}  jake read this to see how we manage a trade:
01[10:28] {@Threei}  http://www.realitytrader.com/tradingroom/#instructions
01[10:28] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:29] {@Threei}  right answer to your question is: no one knows. Trading is done by taking time-tested setups and managing the trade, not by feeling and guessing
[10:30] {nemo} now you set your stop
[10:30] {_jakecc} i'm not guessing. what i meant was last limit sell of last 1/2 of shares at 33.50
01[10:31] {@Threei}  please read the link I gave you
[10:31] {nemo} risk control Jake, set your stop
[10:31] {nemo} that's all you can control
01[10:31] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:32] {@Threei}  my a$$ is out
[10:32] {nemo} did Les leave?
06[10:32] * @Threei slaps nemo around a bit with a large roll of cash
01[10:33] {@Threei}  now you've done it nemo... upset a new guy
01[10:34] {@Threei}  by insulting suggestion to set a stop
[10:34] {Les} http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/04/11/socialism-at-its-best-how-to-destroy-the-wealth-of-a-nation/
[10:34] {Les} nah, reading
[10:36] {nemo} ah well
[10:36] {dptl} watching zion .10 break short
01[10:36] {@Threei}  EUR/USD (EU) ECB's Coeure: The stronger the Euro currency becomes, the greater need there is to be accomodative in monetary policy
01[10:36] {@Threei}  imbecile
[10:40] {RonS} wow, look yhoo dump
01[10:40] {@Threei}  right from our exit point
01[10:40] {@Threei}  never reaching that coveted .50
[10:43] {thomcbell} oh my gild
[10:43] {thomcbell} what a move from the open
[10:50] {dptl} watching mrk .20 long
[10:51] {dptl} missed
01[10:51] {@Threei}  NQ Muddy Waters' Block: Company making excuses is further proof it is a fraud
[10:51] {thomcbell} vjet 15.25 short break if holding 15.40
[10:53] {thomcbell} cancelling this one
[10:53] {thomcbell} too banans
01[10:55] {@Threei}  crap
01[10:55] {@Threei}  had IWM .60 break alert prepared
01[10:55] {@Threei}  it broke in one sharp spike, so I waited for pullback
01[10:55] {@Threei}  guess what... still waiting
[10:56] {dptl} long gnw
01[10:56] {@Threei}  50 cents in one swoop
01[11:05] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .80 break hl
01[11:05] {@Threei}  If holds  70
[11:08] {nemo} herky jerky action
[11:08] {nemo} not surprising after yesterday
01[11:08] {@Threei}  no go
[11:10] {thomcbell} darn it glog
[11:10] {thomcbell} shoould have kept watching
[11:12] {goinshort} morning all !
01[11:12] {@Threei}  hey gs
[11:12] {goinshort} V !
01[11:15] {@Threei}  new high is coming on SPY, most likely... after that, watching VXX for bounce
[11:15] {nemo} they're closing gap in finnies
01[11:26] {@Threei} Long Setup:  JPM  .70 break
01[11:26] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[11:26] {thomcbell} gild looks like it wants higher
01[11:27] {@Threei}  change to .65 break
01[11:27] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[11:29] {@Threei} Long Setup:  JPM  .55 break
01[11:29] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
06[11:31] * @Threei kicks JPM in the rear
06[11:32] * @Threei hopes part of that kick hit Dimon
01[11:32] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:37] {dptl} short xom
[11:41] {dptl} stopped...cant beleive i didt get filled at .50
[11:42] {dptl} its just wiped me out
01[11:42] {@Threei}  lunch time trading, why not take .51
01[11:42] {@Threei}  don't let it get away
[11:42] {nemo} yeah, whole numbers are dangerous
[11:42] {dptl} hapend so fast i couldt
01[11:42] {@Threei}  also, it did hit 1:1, why don't youi trail?
01[11:43] {@Threei}  whether you get your fill or not, trail is in order after 1:1
[11:43] {dptl} so fast ...total scrude up
[11:44] {dptl} had 1:1 and lost .12c boy oh boy
01[11:44] {@Threei}  you didn't have to
01[11:44] {@Threei}  you had two minutes to cover it just above .60
01[11:45] {@Threei}  what you did instead is froze in hope it drops again
[11:45] {dptl} i guess
01[11:45] {@Threei}  stop hoping and guessing, trade the rules
01[11:46] {@Threei}  each and every trade is not a creative endeavor
01[11:46] {@Threei}  just follow the procedure and let odds take care of themselves
01[11:46] {@Threei}  some trades will fail, some will work,
01[11:47] {@Threei}  on a total, sound system will keep you positive
01[11:47] {@Threei}  Start getting creative every time, you will get killed
[11:49] {dptl} short sbux
01[11:59] {@Threei}  covered?
[11:59] {dptl} out -.04
01[12:00] {@Threei}  you did it again... had 1:1 and let it get away
01[12:00] {@Threei}  shut down trading for an hour and go for a walk, you are in revenge trading pattern
[12:01] {dptl} i didt get filled if i have to punch offer it would be not even close to 1:1
[12:01] {thomcbell} glog 25.96 long break if holding 25.85
[12:01] {thomcbell} small shares
01[12:02] {@Threei}  dp... chill out, will you?
01[12:03] {@Threei}  you didn't get fill at .65
01[12:03] {@Threei}  .67 was there fior taking when it started upticking
01[12:03] {@Threei}  think it was worse idea than letting it go negative? it's a friking lunch time
[12:04] {dptl} yeah, taking a break now
01[12:04] {@Threei}  and consider this:
01[12:04] {@Threei}  the trade itself was not so compelling to beging with
01[12:04] {@Threei}  50 cents day range, and you took it right in the middle of nowhere
[12:05] {nemo} middle distance in a fight, sitting on the fence, middle of a minefield...worse places to be
[12:05] {nemo} worst
01[12:05] {@Threei}  yup
[12:05] {nemo} oh, and of course...............marriage
[12:05] {dptl} you right....
[12:06] {nemo} privyet
[12:06] {dptl} be back in an hour
[12:06] {nemo} vodka break?
[12:06] {thomcbell} glog 1:1
[12:14] {thomcbell} GLOG 1:2
01[12:15] {@Threei}  nice one
[12:19] {thomcbell} GLOG 1:3
01[12:19] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .20 break hl
01[12:19] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
[12:19] {thomcbell} Closed it glog
01[12:20] {@Threei}  good chance that we start downtrend here, but let's do hl to respect a lunch time
[12:24] {thomcbell} wow this glog is the only chart that looks like this in the whole market
01[12:27] {@Threei}  meh
01[12:36] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
01[12:36] {@Threei}  If holds  .64
[12:37] {thomcbell} eep is like glog
[12:38] {thomcbell} another good performer today
01[12:39] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[12:41] {nemo} [09:52] {nemo} wmt can't get above vwap...short again
[12:41] {nemo} oos
[12:41] {nemo} sorry
[12:41] {nemo} http://goo.gl/6WywF
01[12:42] {@Threei}  making records of pearls odf wisdom for the next generations?
01[12:42] {@Threei}  hehe... saw this one a week ago
01[12:42] {@Threei}  hillarious
[12:47] {goinshort} that was good nemo
[12:49] {nemo} http://goo.gl/waQrEJ
01[12:56] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
01[12:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .64
01[12:59] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[13:04] {@Threei}  jerky...
01[13:05] {@Threei}  crrrap
01[13:05] {@Threei}  right idea, no clear entry
[13:05] {thomcbell} sndk 74 short break if holding 74.10
[13:11] {nathan} good afternon
[13:11] {thomcbell} no go sndk
01[13:12] {@Threei}  hey nathan
01[13:12] {@Threei}  ok
01[13:12] {@Threei}  TZA again
01[13:12] {@Threei}  third time
01[13:12] {@Threei}  same setup, .70 break long
[13:15] {dptl} short mu
[13:16] {thomcbell} nasty head and shoulders in process there
01[13:18] {@Threei}  die SPY, enouhg of these nonsense bounce attempts
01[13:20] {@Threei}  good boy
01[13:20] {@Threei}  break .10 now
01[13:21] {@Threei}  half out TZA
01[13:21] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:26] {@Threei}  next leg down would be very much appreciated
01[13:26] {@Threei}  thank you for obliging, SPY
[13:27] {thomcbell} feye 47.80 short break if holding 47.90
01[13:27] {@Threei}  dp, are you breathing over there?
01[13:27] {@Threei}  that blue tint in your face can't be all that healthy
[13:27] {dptl} yes out half mu for now
01[13:27] {@Threei}  :)
[13:28] {thomcbell} feye cancelled for now
[13:30] {nathan} very nice TZA Vad!
[13:31] {nathan} ty
01[13:31] {@Threei}  yw sir
[13:31] {nathan} :-)
[13:31] {nathan} no more shares to sell
01[13:31] {@Threei}  hunted this frikin TZA entry for three times, two got invalidated
01[13:31] {@Threei}  third finally triggered
[13:32] {nathan} pretty nice pullback in 15min graph
[13:33] {nemo} IWM low bounce
[13:39] {nemo} things look long
01[13:40] {@Threei}  must be blue pill...
[13:41] {nemo} peyote
[13:41] {nemo} peyote was right
[13:42] {nemo} vwap runs
[13:42] {dptl} watching sbux again for short
[13:45] {dptl} inval. sbux
[13:46] {thomcbell} nice cover mu
01[13:46] {@Threei}  yeah, that was correct management
01[13:47] {@Threei}  dp needs a big bucket of ice next to his trading station
01[13:47] {@Threei}  when he keeps his head cool, he is good at finding setups
[13:47] {dptl} i covered some at .05 and out last at .15
01[13:48] {@Threei}  but when he gets hot under the collar, he is capable of destruction of two trading accounts per day
[13:49] {dptl} :) true
01[13:49] {@Threei}  I am thinking of installing a camera in his office, and a remotely controlled slapping mechanical arm
01[13:49] {@Threei}  I see him overtrading, I push a button
[13:50] {dptl} :).......watching hd short
01[13:50] {@Threei}  we can patent that device under the name "Great Trading Disciplizator"
01[13:51] {@Threei}  disciplinizator rather
[13:51] {dptl} lol...right
01[13:52] {@Threei}  just don't let nemo get his hands on it... Les might get two concussions a day
01[13:52] {@Threei} Long Setup:  WMT  .50 break
[13:56] {dptl} will try 76 break short HD
01[13:58] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[13:59] {dptl} not yet hd
01[14:05] {@Threei}  WMT reestablished
[14:09] {dptl} watching met
[14:09] {dptl} short
[14:10] {dptl} in .68
01[14:20] {@Threei}  stop .44
01[14:26] {@Threei}  out
[14:29] {nathan} GM
[14:33] {nathan} 1:1
[14:34] {nathan} 1:2
01[14:35] {@Threei} Long Setup:  AIG  .45 break
01[14:35] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
[14:35] {dptl} stop to .46 last piece met
[14:38] {dptl} to .41 now
01[14:40] {@Threei}  (UR) Meeting consisting of Russia, US, Ukraine, and EU foreign ministers scheduled for Thursday of next week
[14:40] {dptl} to .36 now
01[14:41] {@Threei}  Russian ministers pakcs a suitcase full of vodka, Ukranian - valerian drops
01[14:47] {@Threei}  dp, .31 is probably a good idea now
[14:48] {dptl} yes .31 for now.....may be it'll go to 49
01[14:49] {@Threei}  sure... just choke it
01[14:52] {@Threei}  change AIG to .40 break
01[14:52] {@Threei}  .c .32
01[14:52] {@Threei}  If holds  .32
[14:54] {dptl} ok done met
[14:54] {dptl} got to go ...have a good weekend all...see ya monday
01[14:55] {@Threei}  take care dp
[14:55] {nathan} 1:1
01[14:55] {@Threei}  1:1  AIG
01[14:56] {@Threei}  walk for some cool down does wonders, eh
[14:56] {nathan} thx sir
01[14:56] {@Threei}  yw
[15:08] {nathan} well have a nice weekend
01[15:08] {@Threei}  you too nathan
01[15:24] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:28] {@Threei}  HLF drop
01[15:29] {@Threei}  Herbalife Ltd. Fox News's Gasparino: Herbalife is bracing for an upcoming '20/20' news magazine expose of its business practices; Herbalife has been cooperating with '20/20' but is concerned about whistle blower allegations
01[15:29] {@Threei}  Ackman: yeah baby!!
01[15:35] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MU  .20 break
01[15:35] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
[15:47] {RonS} Herbalife April 50 puts are active on the U.S. Department of Justice and the FBI have launched a criminal investigation into the company, reports The Financial Times.
01[15:48] {@Threei}  Herbalife Ltd. DOJ has initiated a criminal probe into the allegations that Herbalife is a 'pyramid scheme' - FT **Reminder: On Jan 23rd, Senator Markey (D-MA) called on the SEC and FTC regulators to investigate Herbalife over allegations raised by constituents about its MLM sales structure.
01[15:48] {@Threei}  Ackman: Markey, marry me!
01[15:53] {@Threei}  ok guys, thank you all, have a great weekend
01[15:53] {@Threei}  see you Monday



Thursday, April 10, 2014

Apr 10 2014

8 calls, 7 wins, 1 stop for 6 cents. Almost perfect day, with notable 1:4 on WMT short. When  market has a direction, it's embarrassingly easy to make money.

Session Time: Thu Apr 10 00:00:00 2014
[08:51] {thomcbell} gm
01[08:53] {@Threei}  morning thom
[08:55] {thomcbell} are u having  issue signing in today Vad?
[08:56] {cosmo} last night's after (US) market precious metals spike was stronger than usual...fwiw
01[08:56] {@Threei}  no, looks fine thom
01[08:57] {@Threei}  reaction on dowish FOMC minutes I think, cosmo
[08:57] {dptl} good morning
[08:59] {cosmo} k
01[09:00] {@Threei}  dp :)
[09:14] {dptl}  connection problem here
01[09:15] {@Threei}  huh
01[09:15] {@Threei}  contacted mark?
[09:15] {dptl} yes he said there are issues
[09:16] {thomcbell} me too
[09:17] {dptl} they have no idea for how long
[09:28] {ese} morning
[09:28] {RonS} gm
[09:28] {ese} ron
01[09:28] {@Threei}  ese, ron :)
[09:28] {ese} vad
[09:29] {ese} well...i did something stupid this morning.....started downloading the new windows 8.1 an hour and a half ago and it's still not done
[09:29] {ese} am gonna miss the opening
[09:29] {ese} doh!!!!
[09:30] {thomcbell} feye 54.80 short break
[09:31] {nemo} you're done for the day
[09:31] {dptl} you connected Thom?
[09:31] {thomcbell} no
[09:31] {thomcbell} gave it to u all
[09:32] {thomcbell} splk probably a short
01[09:32] {@Threei} Short Setup: EBAY  55 break hl
[09:32] {thomcbell} impv
01[09:32] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:33] {@Threei} Short Setup: EBAY  .05 break hl
01[09:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
[09:34] {thomcbell} cien on short watch
[09:34] {thomcbell} 20.93 short break if holding 21
01[09:35] {@Threei}  stop to .11
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:38] {@Threei}  stop to .01
01[09:38] {@Threei}  1:2
[09:38] {thomcbell} cien got 1:1
[09:39] {thomcbell} same stop
[09:41] {thomcbell} FB looking for a long setup to emerge
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CEAK
[09:43] {nemo} ?
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup:  C  47 break
[09:43] {nemo} wow
01[09:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[09:45] {@Threei}  1:3  EBAY
01[09:45] {@Threei}  out
[09:45] {thomcbell} spwr looks vulnerable if 30 gives
01[09:45] {@Threei}  1:3  EBAY
01[09:45] {@Threei}  out
[09:45] {nemo} ya know' ebay may be an all day dripper
01[09:45] {@Threei}  grrr
01[09:45] {@Threei}  need to change keyboard
[09:46] {nemo} that 54.94ish was it's attempt to get above vwap, couldn't do it
[09:46] {thomcbell} spwr 30 short break if holding 30.10
[09:49] {thomcbell} cien 1:2
[09:49] {thomcbell} spwr 1:1
01[09:49] {@Threei}  stop to .94
01[09:49] {@Threei}  good read thom
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:51] {thomcbell} spwr 1:2
[09:52] {thomcbell} look to close at 29.70
[09:53] {thomcbell} spwr i would be out
[09:53] {thomcbell} 1:3
[09:53] {dptl} das working now Thom
01[09:55] {@Threei}  interesting divergence between C and JPM
[09:56] {nemo} c warned JPM reports tomorrow
[09:56] {dptl} long pg
[09:59] {thomcbell} fb 62 long break half lot if holding 61.80
[09:59] {thomcbell} too slow
[09:59] {nemo} after 4 days up I'd look for shrots
[09:59] {nemo} shorts
[09:59] {thomcbell} oh boy
[09:59] {nemo} on fb
01[10:01] {@Threei} Short Setup: WMT  .80 break
01[10:01] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
[10:04] {thomcbell} panw on short watch here
[10:04] {thomcbell} the rest of them are getting smoked
01[10:06] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:08] {@Threei}  nice on PG, dp
[10:09] {dptl} ty
01[10:10] {@Threei}  ese... do you upgrade from Windows XP? or 7?
[10:10] {dptl} short jnj
[10:11] {ese} was from windows 8.0
[10:11] {ese} new operating system on new computer last year...strictly for trading
01[10:11] {@Threei}  I see
[10:12] {ese} don't mind it....it's nuclear fast....
[10:13] {ese} am back on line 25 mins ago
[10:13] {thomcbell} chs 16.87 long break if holding 16.77
01[10:14] {@Threei} Long Setup:  RIG  .25 break hl
01[10:14] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
01[10:14] {@Threei}  WMT stop to .76
[10:17] {dptl} half out jnj
[10:20] {ese} in
01[10:23] {@Threei}  1:1  RIG
[10:24] {thomcbell} if anyone did cien - clean it up here 20.64
[10:24] {ese} out rig ½ .35 +.09
01[10:24] {@Threei}  4 for 4 this morning... Buster, that was repeat of yesterday for you :)
[10:25] {thomcbell} but nonko down
[10:25] {thomcbell} so paper trading which is ok on one level
[10:25] {nemo} did you shut it down then reopen it?
[10:25] {thomcbell} i did
[10:25] {nemo} http://dastrader.com/support.html
[10:25] {dptl} its all good now Thom
[10:26] {thomcbell} do i need to restart the computer too?
[10:26] {nemo} no
[10:26] {dptl} you actualy have to change server, contact admin Thom
[10:27] {thomcbell} ok
[10:27] {nemo} just use that link, connect to live support
[10:28] {ese} rig stopped on balance .23 =.03
[10:28] {ese} -.03
[10:28] {ese} tks vad will take it
[10:30] {ese} 3D systems just taking a Sh....kicking
[10:32] {ese} about 8 bucks down from major support
[10:32] {ese} well...which will be resistance now
[10:38] {ese} dino ya hangin
[10:38] {nemo} he's golfing
[10:38] {ese} IMPV   21.00 haircut
01[10:38] {@Threei}  he is off till Tuesday
[10:39] {nemo} ese's off for life
[10:39] {ese} my news just says price target reduction
[10:39] {ese} lol lol lol
[10:40] {ese} i do believe you have that inate ability to drown in a parking lot puddle some days there buddy!
[10:41] {nemo} just call me Ludwig II
01[10:41] {@Threei}  Amazon.com Inc CEO: Intend to roll out Sunday delivery to large portion of US population; "Prime Air" drone program is now testing its 5th and 6th generations zones with two more generations currently being designed
[10:41] {ese} van Beethovan
[10:41] {dptl} watching cop for short
[10:42] {ese} hmmmmmmm...interesting point dp
[10:42] {nemo} Ludwig II of Bavaria..."drowned" in 6" of water on a duck pond on the castle grounds
[10:42] {dptl} in cop
01[10:42] {@Threei}  police in Vancouver on high alert
[10:42] {nemo} also known as "The Mad King"  couple dots short on the dice
01[10:42] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .40 break
01[10:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .35
[10:43] {ese} ah yess.....didn't make that connection
[10:43] {nemo} sure wasn't talking about Ludwig drums
01[10:44] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:44] {dptl} half out cop
[10:49] {ese} if I remember right...he was the dude who wasn't really mad.....he just spent the bavarian treasury until there was notheing left.......they declared him insane to get rid of him....was responsible for alot of fabulous artwork and things.....Bavaria was abosorbed into Germany
[10:49] {dptl} out balance cop
01[10:50] {@Threei}  "he just spent the bavarian treasury until there was notheing left.......they declared him insane to get rid of him" can USA do the same within next 2 years?
[10:50] {ese} hmmmmmm maybe
[10:50] {ese} not sure if i got that right but i think thats the dude
[10:51] {ese} theres a movie out on him.......brought him back from the dead to feature him in the movie i think
01[10:52] {@Threei}  1/4 more out
01[10:53] {@Threei}  stop .44
01[10:57] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:58] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:58] {@Threei}  out
01[11:00] {@Threei}  1:4
01[11:00] {@Threei}  not too shabby for 5 cents risk entry
[11:07] {dptl} watching cop for short again
[11:07] {dptl} .25 break
[11:09] {dptl} in
[11:12] {dptl} stopped
[11:13] {thomcbell} jpm looking for a long setup vad - report tomorrow
[11:15] {thomcbell} nothing there yet
01[11:24] {@Threei}  - BlackBerry's CEO said the company would consider exiting its handset business if it remains unprofitable
01[11:24] {@Threei}  there... said it a year ago that QNX is probably the only valuable thing remaining for them
[11:25] {dptl} short luv
[11:27] {RonS} nympho midget?
01[11:27] {@Threei}  well, after unsuccessful attempt to short cop...
[11:28] {dptl} lol
01[11:28] {@Threei}  alternatively, it might be a reference to prematute ejaculation
[11:30] {dptl} stop to .51
[11:33] {thomcbell} jpm 58.51 long break if holding 58.41 for a chop
[11:36] {thomcbell} wow jom invalidated
[11:41] {dptl} all you need is luv,,,lol half out
[11:47] {thomcbell} alk probably vulnerable here with airline theme
[11:47] {dptl} little more luv out
01[11:48] {@Threei} Long Setup:  WMT  .75 break
01[11:48] {@Threei}  .c .70
01[11:48] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[11:58] {thomcbell} jpm 58.40 long break if holding 58.30
[12:02] {thomcbell} stopped jpm
[12:27] {RonS} .
01[12:27] {@Threei}  you might wake up someone ron
[12:27] {thomcbell} for the crazy - feye 51 short break if holding 51.10
01[12:28] {@Threei}  dp is taking a nap after his short luv
[12:28] {thomcbell} nope - interested in shorting rallies in this one
[12:43] {thomcbell} wfc 48.26 short break if holding 48.36
[12:44] {thomcbell} jpm nearing 50sma
[12:45] {thomcbell} wfc 1:1
01[12:46] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .10 break
01[12:46] {@Threei}  If holds  17
[12:52] {thomcbell} stop to 48.19 on wfc
[12:57] {thomcbell} wfc 1:2
01[12:57] {@Threei}  wtg
[12:58] {thomcbell} 1:3
01[12:58] {@Threei}  wtg x 1.5
01[12:59] {@Threei}  half out TZA
[12:59] {thomcbell} clean up wfc here
01[12:59] {@Threei}  stop to .08
[12:59] {thomcbell} jks 27.81 short break
[13:00] {thomcbell} 27.80 if holding 27.90
01[13:00] {@Threei}  Moscow warns Kyiv against building dictatorship
01[13:00] {@Threei}  now this is rich
01[13:00] {@Threei}  "We expect that Kyiv will realize that repression and police methods will not resolve the issue the country is facing. The path of building a dictatorship is unlikely to contribute to overcoming the crisis,"
01[13:01] {@Threei}  coming from country where protester get beat up, jailed or disappear routinely
[13:02] {cosmo} a sign of the times
01[13:04] {@Threei}  closed TZA on trail
01[13:04] {@Threei}  6 for 6
[13:12] {thomcbell} jpm trying to do some sort of a double bottom here
[13:12] {thomcbell} wfc much better - at least some fight there
[13:14] {thomcbell} jks 1:1
[13:16] {thomcbell} 1:2
01[13:17] {@Threei}  ugh, missed another TZA drive
[13:17] {nemo} none of the indexes have brokend their downtrends
[13:19] {thomcbell} jks 1:3
[13:19] {thomcbell} 1:4
[13:20] {thomcbell} clean it up here jks
01[13:20] {@Threei}  wtg
01[13:20] {@Threei}  you more than made up for morning connection issue, thom
[13:22] {thomcbell} im trying
[13:22] {dptl} short mu
[13:22] {dptl} .86 stop
01[13:22] {@Threei}  great day, the only regret is missing this second TZA entry
[13:22] {thomcbell} FB how about those upgrades today
[13:24] {Les} pity I missed the morning. but work is work
[13:25] {dptl} nah out flat mu...dont like it
01[13:25] {@Threei}  yeah, another good day
01[13:25] {@Threei}  Court in Milan rules former Italian PM Silvio Berlusconi will serve 1-year sentence for tax fraud doing community service
01[13:26] {@Threei}  Putin: told ya bud, should have taken Russian citizenship
01[13:26] {@Threei}  would have been drinking with Depardeu now
[13:27] {dptl} lol yeah
[13:29] {thomcbell} almost time for jpm to work
01[13:30] {@Threei}  The European Union is interested in resolving the situation in Ukraine diplomatically and without more sanctions
01[13:30] {@Threei}  noticed the shift?
[13:30] {thomcbell} jpm 57.52 long break if holding 57.46
01[13:30] {@Threei}  instead of former "what you did in Crimea is illegal and will be pinished,"
01[13:31] {@Threei}  ot's now "just don't do anything any more, and we will be fine, Crimea be damned"
01[13:31] {@Threei}  and Putin knew that perfectly in advance
01[13:32] {@Threei}  and will not stop until real pushback appears
01[13:32] {@Threei}  and ese thinks he is stupid
[13:32] {nathan} hi gents
01[13:32] {@Threei}  hey nathan
[13:33] {nathan} day for shorting?
01[13:33] {@Threei}  certainly
01[13:33] {@Threei}  although we did some good ones on long side too
01[13:33] {@Threei}  C in particular
[13:33] {nathan} but unemployment data was good?
01[13:33] {@Threei}  who cares
01[13:34] {@Threei}  you don't make money on data... you make money on market movement
[13:34] {nathan} that's true
[13:35] {dptl} watching mrk .35 break long
[13:37] {dptl} in
[13:41] {thomcbell} not giving jpm any room - 57.53 stop
[13:45] {Les} can't log in and can'^t be friked talking with tech to fix it today. a+
[13:46] {nathan} use nko.dastrader.org in setup}network
[13:46] {nathan} it happened to me too
[13:47] {thomcbell} out jpm
[13:50] {dptl} no out mrk flat....dont like it
[13:51] {nemo} I don't think  you want to think about longs
[13:51] {dptl} not yet
[13:52] {nemo} they sold heavy through lunch, that means you might get short covering near the close
[13:53] {dptl} right
[13:53] {nemo} emphasis on "might"
[13:54] {dptl} hmm mrk worked after all
01[13:55] {@Threei}  GM To add additional repair to vehicles that have been recalled for ignition switch fix; to take charge of $1.3B to cover recall - press
01[13:57] {@Threei} Short Setup: WMT  .15 break
01[13:57] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[13:57] {@Threei}  want .10 but would prefer aggressive entry with very tight stop
[14:04] {thomcbell} what a rinsing in jpm
[14:05] {thomcbell} gimme a break
02[14:07] * Disconnected
Session Close: Thu Apr 10 14:07:23 2014

Session Start: Thu Apr 10 14:07:23 2014
Session Ident: #discussions
02[14:11] * Attempting to rejoin channel #discussions
03[14:11] * Rejoined channel #discussions
01[14:12] {Threei}  internet disconnection
[14:12] {RonS} changing name to ese?
01[14:13] {Threei}  and getting response "no dice, he is one and only"
[14:13] {RonS} lol...true 'dat
01[14:16] {Threei}  trying WMT
01[14:17] {Threei}  stop .23
01[14:21] {Threei}  lose .10 WMT
01[14:21] {Threei}  and cascade
01[14:22] {Threei}  good boy
01[14:22] {Threei}  just please look up "cascade"
01[14:22] {Threei}  it's different frpm "slide slowly"
01[14:23] {Threei}  1:1
[14:24] {nathan} 1:1 tx vad
01[14:24] {Threei}  yw
[14:31] {thomcbell} aal 35.30 short break if holding 35.40
[14:32] {dptl} half out cmcsa
[14:33] {dptl} stop to .76...
01[14:34] {Threei}  1:2
[14:35] {thomcbell} aal 1:1
[14:40] {thomcbell} cleaning up aal
01[14:42] {Threei}  be back in 25
[14:43] {dptl} done with cmcsa
[14:47] {dptl} bounce time yet?
[14:57] {RonS} data no mercy
01[15:00] {Threei}  back
[15:03] {dptl} lol...did you hit the market Vad?
01[15:03] {Threei}  WMT, out in full
01[15:03] {Threei}  left stop in place, never tagged it while I was away
01[15:03] {Threei}  returned to 1:4
[15:03] {dptl} nice one
01[15:04] {Threei}  7 for 7... looking for one last trade but don't want it to be high risk
01[15:05] {Threei}  not to spoil perfect day
[15:09] {nemo} o.k. who in there right mind is gonna' step in front of the Polar BEAR Express
[15:10] {nemo} Les
[15:10] {nemo} then again
[15:10] {nemo} he's not in his right mind
[15:10] {nemo} there=their
[15:11] {thomcbell} wo
[15:11] {thomcbell} wow
[15:15] {dptl} watching mrk .90 long
[15:16] {nemo} dp, be careful, this day might still see a woosh down
[15:16] {dptl} small
[15:16] {dptl} .84 stop
[15:21] {dptl} out
01[15:23] {Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .40 break
01[15:23] {Threei}  If holds  .35
[15:32] {nathan} have a good night!
[15:32] {nathan} hope to c u tomorrow
01[15:32] {Threei}  you too
01[15:42] {Threei}  ok guys, no more trades
01[15:42] {Threei}  hatnk you all, have a great evening
01[15:43] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:43] {dptl} see ya tomorrow
[15:46] {thomcbell} take care guys

Wednesday, April 9, 2014

Apr 09 2014

Open break, one of riskier but very effective setups. One of three winning trades within first 20 minutes.


Bonus trade! 4th winning trade of the day, second 1:3er:


After 5 wins, TZA made 2 small stops 6 cents each, and final trade for 1:2 on IWM made up for those and then some. All in all, perfect day.

Session Time: Wed Apr 09 00:00:00 2014
[08:28] {cosmo} early to bed; early to rise; girls go out with other guys...
01[08:50] {@Threei}  unless those gilrs prefer the same cycle...
[08:53] {dptl} good morning
01[08:53] {@Threei}  dp :)
01[09:11] {@Threei}  wow if true:
01[09:11] {@Threei}  http://www.digitaljournal.com/news/politics/usa-navy-s-ability-to-make-fuel-from-seawater-a-game-changer/article/379930
[09:14] {dino} gm
01[09:14] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:17] {RonS} howdy everyone
01[09:18] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:18] {dino} toy story
01[09:21] {@Threei}  pearl from Russia:
01[09:21] {@Threei}  Democracy with elements of dictatorship is not unlike constipstion with elements of diarrhea
[09:22] {RonS} knew a guy, Steve Forrest, whose mother nicknamed him Woody, and he went by that name...Woody Forrest
01[09:23] {@Threei}  popular with girls I guess?
01[09:23] {@Threei}  or whoever he preferred
[09:23] {RonS} lol
[09:26] {RonS} he was a lead dog, if you know what i mean...
[09:26] {ese} morning
01[09:26] {@Threei}  ese :)
[09:26] {ese} lousy nights here....maybe 2hrs
[09:27] {ese} sleep
01[09:27] {@Threei}  gotta cut those orgies earlier...
[09:27] {dptl} lol
[09:28] {cosmo} try getting to bed earlier  :)
[09:28] {ese} ha ha .....ha ha
[09:29] {ese} went to bed at 9:30
[09:29] {dptl} faster you mean...lol
[09:29] {RonS} ...thought chocolate was toxic to canines:  BREAKING: Mars to buy P&G pet-food brands including Iams, Eukanuba for $2.9 billion
01[09:30] {@Threei} Long Setup:  C  .75 break
01[09:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .67
[09:30] {dino} damn gap higher open
01[09:32] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[09:33] {cosmo} Si (the metal) needs to hold 19.60  fwiw
01[09:34] {@Threei} Long Setup:  EBAY  .20 break
01[09:34] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:37] {@Threei} Short Setup: WMT  78 break
01[09:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
[09:38] {ese} out ddd hold from yesterday .27 +.57
01[09:39] {@Threei}  wtg
[09:40] {dino} gj
01[09:40] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:41] {ese} tks.....won't be gettin back into that one again......the way it trades borders on stupid
[09:41] {nemo} perfect for u
01[09:41] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .95 break
01[09:41] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
[09:42] {ese} lol
01[09:43] {@Threei}  1:2  WMT
01[09:44] {@Threei}  1:1  JPM
01[09:46] {@Threei}  closed WMT
01[09:47] {@Threei}  1:2  JPM
01[09:47] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:47] {@Threei}  out
01[09:47] {@Threei}  crap, where is munky... I need someone's permit to go home
01[09:48] {@Threei}  not that he ever granted that
[09:48] {Les} dunno about permission
[09:48] {Les} but I am well within target for daily profit
[09:48] {Les} and the camera calls
[09:49] {dptl} short rig
[09:49] {Les} don't wanna be trading blow for blow with this goddam market again
[09:50] {Les} I'll wait and see if SPY returns to test 50 day today. A+
[09:51] {dino} nxst smr s .73 gappy
[09:51] {dptl} half out rig
[09:54] {dino} nxst stop .03-.30
[09:58] {dino} rinsed
01[10:03] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .44 break
01[10:03] {@Threei}  If holds  .54
01[10:06] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[10:08] {@Threei} Short Setup: WMT  .75 break
01[10:08] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[10:09] {dptl} closed rig
01[10:17] {@Threei}  stop to .81
01[10:17] {@Threei}  touched 1 cent from 1:1
[10:18] {dptl} watching btu for short
01[10:18] {@Threei}  stop to .76
01[10:19] {@Threei}  no risk
01[10:19] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:19] {@Threei}  finally
01[10:19] {@Threei}  4 for 4
[10:24] {dino} apa hl l .99
01[10:29] {@Threei}  1:2
[10:30] {dptl} btu invalidated for now
[10:33] {ese} L gtat .00
01[10:35] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:35] {@Threei}  out
[10:35] {ese} excellent vad
06[10:36] * @Threei takes a bow
[10:36] {ese} and well you should
[10:36] {dino} gj
01[10:37] {@Threei}  ty
01[10:46] {@Threei}  http://www.businessinsider.com/heres-where-americans-think-ukraine-is-2014-4
01[10:49] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .10 break hl
01[10:49] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[10:49] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[10:51] {ese} gotta like those dots placed in America.......right on nemo
[10:51] {ese} nemo's and dino's houses
01[10:51] {@Threei}  some are in the ocean
01[10:52] {@Threei}  I guess spme small islands not visible on the map
[10:52] {dino} nxst hl s .96
[10:53] {ese} lol
01[10:53] {@Threei}  but hey... nothing surprizes me in this regard since that salesperson who thought Canada was overseas
[10:54] {ese} it's hard to see but when you place the magnifine glass on Vancouver island.....it's looks like theres one right on us....or vancouver
01[10:54] {@Threei}  lol
01[10:55] {@Threei}  ugh Buster... missed perfect morning
[10:55] {Buster} What did Imiss?
01[10:55] {@Threei}  4 wins, 2 of them 1:3ers
[10:56] {ese} that early morning drinkin will get ya every time B
[10:57] {Buster} Yikes. I'm getting an second internet for backup, so I won't miss days like this.
[10:57] {dino} cov nxst .66, +.20
[10:57] {RonS} stz selloff
[10:57] {ese} L gtat avg .94
01[10:58] {@Threei}  amaingkly, some of the dots are in USA
01[10:58] {@Threei}  amazingly
01[10:58] {@Threei}  did they really think Russia invaded continental USA, and noone noticed?
[10:58] {ese} ya...already mentioned that....right on nemo and dino's houses
01[10:58] {@Threei}  I guess some just don't understand the while concept of map
[10:59] {ese} lol
01[10:59] {@Threei}  australia is nice too
[10:59] {dino} stz sm l .26
[11:00] {RonS} caught stz for +1.23 too fast to post
01[11:00] {@Threei}  wtg
[11:00] {dptl} short hpq
[11:00] {ese} eyeouzaaaaa.....nice ron
[11:00] {dino} wtg ron
[11:00] {dptl} stop above .40
[11:01] {ese} and it's still goin ron
[11:02] {dino} going to flat
[11:02] {dino} great report
[11:03] {ese} on what dino stz
[11:03] {dino} y
01[11:03] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .50 break
01[11:03] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[11:04] {ese} Constellation Brands Inc Enters collaboration agreement with VATS Liquor to Build Robert Mondavi Brand in China - Source TradeTheNews.com
[11:04] {ese} excellent report
01[11:05] {@Threei}  (US) House of Reps Energy subcomittee approves legislation to allow for automatic approval of LNG export to WTO participants
01[11:06] {@Threei}  (US) G7 finance ministers said to be planning to meet on the sidelines of the G20 meeting on Thursday to discuss the world economy and Ukraine - and guess which one is screwed more
01[11:07] {@Threei}  STZ Recent weakness attributed to conf call comments about Q1 revenue weakness on distributors doing restocking; also sees difficult comparisions in 2H in beer segment
[11:07] {RonS} lol
[11:10] {dino} stz was stopped and re-loaded at .28
[11:14] {RonS} Canada shuts down access to online tax services due to Internet bug that makes data vulnerable to theft - @Reuters http://reut.rs/1k405gz
[11:14] {dptl} stopped hpq
[11:15] {dptl} i am not in tune today
01[11:15] {@Threei}  easy money time is over dp
[11:15] {dptl} yeah
[11:15] {RonS} become a drummer like ese...nothing to tune...
[11:16] {dptl} lol
[11:16] {nemo} not really true
[11:16] {RonS} then tell me how do you tune a symbol
[11:16] {nemo} believe it or not you have to tune drumheads
01[11:16] {@Threei}  I dunno nemo... if you ever saw ese doing that, you'd change your, umm, tune
[11:17] {dino} lol
01[11:17] {@Threei}  he just closes his eyes and start swinging those sticks wildly, sometimes hitting the drums, sometimes heads of other musicians
[11:17] {nemo} not sure I'm happy about Vad learning English
01[11:18] {@Threei}  he also hums something loudly so no screams of the colleagues penetrate his defenses
01[11:19] {@Threei}  song is over in 3 minutes but he keeps at that for 5
01[11:37] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  34 break hl
01[11:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[11:46] {@Threei}  Medvedev: Total debt of Ukraine to Russia amounts to $16.6 billion
01[11:47] {@Threei}  Ukraine: so we gave you Crimea for about 30% of the price
[11:47] {dino} what, no deduction for crimea
01[11:51] {@Threei}  oh jeez... http://www.businessinsider.com/mustang-wanted-urban-climber-dangles-from-crazy-heights-2014-4
01[11:52] {@Threei}  stop to .94
01[11:55] {@Threei}  1:1
01[12:04] {@Threei}  that's 5 for 5
01[12:04] {@Threei}  someone, give me permnission to go home
[12:04] {dino} go
01[12:04] {@Threei}  thank you
01[12:20] {@Threei}  1:2
[12:21] {ese} am outta here cya tomorrow
[12:23] {dptl} will try gild .75 long...half lot
[12:25] {dptl} invalidated
[12:27] {dino} apa to .19
01[12:28] {@Threei}  Iran will never slow down its nuclear research program, the Islamic Republic's clerical supreme leader said on April 9 as negotiators from Tehran and six world powers struggled to narrow "significant gaps" blocking the way to a long-term deal.
01[12:28] {@Threei}  why would they
01[12:29] {@Threei}  no one forces them to in any way, and Ukraine case demonstrated how the state can be pushed over when it has no means to protect itself
[12:30] {dino} apa to .26
[12:30] {thomcbell} lvs 77.25 long break if holding 77.15
01[12:31] {@Threei}  out DAL
01[12:31] {@Threei}  1:3 is close enough
[12:32] {dino} out apa .28, +.29
01[12:33] {@Threei}  wtg
[12:34] {dino} ron, i owe you a corona, out stz .78, +1.50
[12:38] {thomcbell} lvs 1:1
[12:38] {dino} gj
01[12:38] {@Threei}  nice
01[12:38] {@Threei}  things work today
[12:39] {thomcbell} 1:2
[12:39] {thomcbell} kept waiting for someone to realize wynn was up 3% vs 1% lvs
[12:40] {RonS} corona wrong company, that's bud...
[12:41] {RonS} :)
[12:41] {dino} no stz bought corona off of inbev recently
[12:41] {dino} thats why sales way up
[12:41] {RonS} really...missed that
[12:42] {dino} yes
[12:42] {RonS} guess that's why bud pushing bud lime...
[12:43] {dino} in any case, mt scanner missed it, thx for the idea on it
[12:43] {dino} my
[12:53] {thomcbell} flat on lvs
[12:54] {thomcbell} feye 54.50 short break if holding 54.62
[12:57] {thomcbell} no go - but still watching it for another setup
01[13:16] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .35 break
01[13:16] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
[13:33] {dino} stz drop
[13:35] {thomcbell} tm chart - looks like investment short
[13:36] {nathan} hi gents
[13:36] {dino} hey nat
[13:37] {nathan} nice JPM
01[13:37] {@Threei}  hi nathan
01[13:37] {@Threei}  JPM?
[13:37] {nathan} 1:3 you post
01[13:38] {@Threei}  ph, you mean a trade from earlier
[13:38] {nathan} yep
01[13:38] {@Threei}  we had 5 so far, all wins
01[13:38] {@Threei}  3 of them 1:3
[13:38] {nathan} congrats!
[13:38] {dino} 2 pm fed minutes
[13:39] {dino} fyi, am leaving for golf trip tomorrow morning, back here tuesday
[13:39] {nathan} sounds kinda stressing
[13:40] {dptl} lol...yeah
[13:41] {dino} lol, not the way i play, there will be beer in the cart
01[13:41] {@Threei}  you need some anti-cotrisol measures dino
[13:41] {nathan} lol
01[13:41] {@Threei}  cortisol
[13:42] {dino} strange thing is, i will be going back there on the 17th for easter
[13:48] {thomcbell} duh feye
[13:51] {dptl} watching pg for short set up
[14:00] {dptl} invalidated of course
01[14:00] {@Threei}  *(US) MINUTES OF THE MAR 19TH FOMC MEETING:ALL MEMBERS WANTED TO REPLACE THRESHOLDS FOR FIRST RATE INCREASE
01[14:02] {@Threei}  great mystery...
01[14:02] {@Threei}  it was said to be more than a year away
01[14:03] {@Threei}  why would market spike on this line now
[14:04] {nemo} look at open book on the indexes just before the announcement...dries up completely
[14:04] {nemo} think we're just being pushed in technical directions...going for overhead gapfills
[14:05] {nemo} spy almost filling a gap at .40ish
01[14:06] {@Threei}  Committee agreed 6.5% unemployment target was 'outdated,' vote to remove was unanimous
01[14:06] {@Threei}  that's all news there is in it
[14:15] {dptl} watching pg again
[14:15] {dptl} need little consolidation here
[14:16] {thomcbell} looks like 81.32 short break
[14:16] {nemo} could short indexes here
[14:16] {dptl} if stays under .40 from now on
[14:20] {nemo} algo is cranking on the strong side
[14:22] {dptl} got small .40 break pg agresive
[14:27] {dino} stz smr l .50 break
01[14:28] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .05 break
01[14:28] {@Threei}  If holds  16
[14:28] {dino} cx stz
01[14:30] {@Threei}  ok SPY... time to drop
[14:31] {dptl} yes
[14:31] {nemo} algo still cranking on the strong side
01[14:33] {@Threei}  shaky equilibrium
01[14:33] {@Threei}  should resolve any second... or minute... or hour
01[14:33] {@Threei}  BBs tightten
[14:37] {dino} stz smr l .40
01[14:38] {@Threei}  nah
[14:38] {nathan} snif snif
01[14:39] {@Threei}  rinse
[14:46] {dptl} i"ll keep stop to.46 pg...its stuck
[14:47] {dino} out stz .20, +.80
[14:48] {dptl} nice one :)
[14:49] {dino} ty dp
[14:52] {nathan} nice dino
[14:53] {nathan} why do not fall SPY?
[14:56] {dino} ty nat
01[14:56] {@Threei}  frikin TZA
[14:58] {dptl} ok spy...all the way back to 186...come on :)
[15:06] {nemo} look at daily this is going north
[15:07] {dptl} ye...may be you right
[15:08] {nemo} technical bounce, not that it might not go south, just think probability is north
[15:08] {dino} hmmm got out of stz way early
[15:17] {thomcbell} agreed
[15:17] {thomcbell} nemo
[15:18] {thomcbell} goodnight all
[15:18] {dino} cya tbell
01[15:18] {@Threei}  take care thom
[15:18] {dino} stz feels like it wants to go to flat
01[15:24] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .05 break
01[15:24] {@Threei}  If holds  .95
01[15:24] {@Threei}  change to .95 break
01[15:24] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[15:26] {dino} had a really good day and week, calling it a day/week. see you guys on tuesday. good luck to all
[15:26] {dino} nice spike
01[15:26] {@Threei}  have fun dino
[15:27] {dino} will do, ty
[15:27] {nathan} have fun dino
[15:27] {nathan} do not stress yourself
[15:27] {nathan} ;-)
01[15:27] {@Threei}  change to .90 break
01[15:28] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
[15:33] {nathan} Thanks Vad!
[15:33] {nathan} have  a good night
01[15:33] {@Threei}  take care nathan
01[15:34] {@Threei}  half out
01[15:34] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:36] {@Threei}  let'smake 1:2, IWM
01[15:36] {@Threei}  and I will forgive TZA
01[15:36] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:37] {@Threei}  good biy
01[15:37] {@Threei}  biy
[15:37] {dptl} :) nice
01[15:37] {@Threei}  boy
[15:39] {dptl} i was off today, for some reason....neutral day for me
01[15:43] {@Threei}  done for the day
01[15:43] {@Threei}  than k you all, have a great evening
01[15:43] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:43] {dptl} see ya tomorrow all :)

Tuesday, April 8, 2014

Apr 08 2014

Trading punches all day - win one, lose one. Glad to finish it with a 1:3er on IWM


Session Time: Tue Apr 08 00:00:00 2014
[08:58] {dptl} good morning
01[08:59] {@Threei}  dp :)
[09:07] {dino} gm
01[09:07] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:14] {RonS} gm...icld downpour
01[09:14] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:17] {RonS} hmc wreck
[09:18] {RonS} main break
01[09:18] {@Threei}  that's how you discuss state problems: http://www.independent.ie/videos/fist-fight-breaks-out-in-ukrainian-parliament-30166380.html
01[09:19] {@Threei}  considering that speaker at the time is box world champion, politics is dangerous profession
[09:26] {dino} gimo
[09:27] {ese} morning
01[09:27] {@Threei}  ese :)
[09:29] {ese} sad....Bob Geldof's daughter dead at age 25
01[09:30] {@Threei} Short Setup: C  .50 break
01[09:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[09:36] {dino} .
01[09:36] {@Threei}  held by fingertips
01[09:37] {@Threei}  stop to .56
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
01[09:39] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
01[09:39] {@Threei}  out C
01[09:42] {@Threei}  [FNMA] Senator Brown (D-OH): Not expecting the new GSE legislation to pass in 2014
01[09:42] {@Threei}  really, what's the rush
01[09:43] {@Threei}  meh TZA
01[09:44] {@Threei} Short Setup: RIO  .50 break
01[09:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .55
[09:45] {thomcbell} cien 20.70 short break if holding 20.80
[09:47] {dino} gimo smr l .49
01[09:47] {@Threei}  TZA rinse
[09:48] {dino} gild blood
01[09:49] {@Threei}  sheesh TZA
01[09:49] {@Threei}  that's just cruel
[09:49] {thomcbell} cien 1:1
[09:50] {dino} gj
01[09:50] {@Threei}  TGT...
[09:51] {thomcbell} cien 1:2
[09:51] {dino} open gaps filled
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:1  RIO
[09:52] {thomcbell} cien stop to 20.68
[09:54] {dino} gild smr l .50
[09:54] {dptl} watching hal with long idea
01[09:56] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .30 break
01[09:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[09:57] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:59] {@Threei}  two-sided now
01[09:59] {@Threei}  .20 break short
[10:01] {dptl} in hal long ....stop .95
[10:01] {dptl} out some
[10:03] {dino} gimo stop .18 -.21
[10:03] {dino} opps -.31
01[10:05] {@Threei} Short Setup: TGT  .20 break
01[10:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
[10:06] {dino} db hl l .30
[10:08] {dino} wwe trig .00 break l
01[10:09] {@Threei}  ok TGT... target that 1:3 now
[10:10] {dptl} stop to .04 hal
[10:10] {Les} frik that. 1:6 for a 100% discount please tgt
[10:14] {dptl} stop to under .10 hal now
[10:15] {ese} L ddd .70
[10:16] {ese} brutal spreads on this sucker
[10:16] {dptl} 1:2 hal out more
[10:18] {dino} mrkets can't figure out which way to go
[10:18] {dino} gj dp
01[10:18] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .05 break
01[10:19] {@Threei}  If holds  .95
01[10:19] {@Threei}  aggressive for .10 break
[10:20] {dino} wwe stop .73 -.27
01[10:20] {@Threei}  which, if we get anything like yesterday, should start larger move
[10:20] {dptl} out balance hal
[10:21] {RonS} gimo sm l .80 s/l .60
01[10:21] {@Threei}  1:1  TZA
[10:21] {dino} nice one
01[10:22] {@Threei}  let the panic begin
01[10:23] {@Threei}  1:1  TGT
01[10:23] {@Threei}  1:2  TZA
01[10:28] {@Threei}  good boy SPY
01[10:29] {@Threei}  die more
01[10:33] {@Threei}  closed on a trail
[10:33] {dino} gild l .71
[10:40] {dino} out gild .12, +.41
[10:41] {RonS} gj
[10:41] {dino} ty
[10:47] {RonS} pbyi hit again
[10:48] {thomcbell} looking for a long setup DAL
01[10:48] {@Threei}  SU
01[10:48] {@Threei}  starts looking like overextended
[10:49] {dino} pbyi wants that 50 gap i guess
[10:49] {dino} 118-77 in 24 hours
[10:50] {thomcbell} dal 33.11 long break if holding 33
01[10:51] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .10 break
01[10:52] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
[10:56] {thomcbell} DAL 1:1
01[10:56] {@Threei}  SU non-stop
[10:57] {thomcbell} cog 34 long break if holding 33.90
[10:57] {nemo} dal is #1 weak...this is vwap  they usually drop around here, unless the market takes off here
[10:59] {dptl} watching hal again
[11:00] {dino} gimo smr l .86
[11:01] {dptl} long hal
[11:03] {dptl} stop under .17
[11:04] {dino} wwe smr l .75
[11:04] {thomcbell} stop to 33.11 on DAL
[11:04] {nemo} see how market going up and DAL having trouble
01[11:04] {@Threei}  stop to .16
01[11:05] {@Threei} Short Setup: SU  .50 break
01[11:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[11:06] {dptl} half out hal
[11:06] {thomcbell} flattening cog break even
[11:06] {thomcbell} its flaccid
[11:12] {dptl} out flat balanca hal
01[11:12] {@Threei}  change SU trigger to .55 break
01[11:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .62
[11:16] {thomcbell} DAL 1:2
01[11:17] {@Threei}  wtg
[11:17] {dino} 07 running green
[11:17] {nemo} after last few days we should sstay that way
[11:17] {dino} btfd
[11:18] {nemo} not sure it's the same, just after such a drop, plus they went below the 50 day again, this makes sense
[11:22] {thomcbell} bokking rest of DAL herre
[11:22] {thomcbell} booking
[11:22] {nemo} getting an aisle seat?
01[11:24] {@Threei}  on short haul flights, take the window
[11:25] {dino} out db .54, +.24
01[11:35] {@Threei}  meh
[11:39] {RonS} rovi whacked
[11:40] {dptl} short vlo
01[11:42] {@Threei} Short Setup: TGT  .25 break
01[11:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[11:46] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:48] {RonS} rovi wade into the deep
01[11:49] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .80 break
01[11:49] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
01[11:55] {@Threei}  meh
[11:55] {dptl} out flat vlo
[11:56] {dptl} well -.02
[12:05] {thomcbell} spwr trades very heavy here
[12:05] {thomcbell} despite fslr and jks strength
[12:06] {dptl} long disca half lot
[12:09] {dino} rovi smr l .97
[12:10] {ese} am outta here all...am long avg .70    will be out of it i'm sure  by the end of the day
[12:10] {ese} thats L ddd
01[12:10] {@Threei}  long what?
01[12:10] {@Threei}  ah
[12:11] {ese} have a sell in at 54.50  we'll see what happens
[12:11] {thomcbell} SAVE bouncing - took them a while to get to this IBD 50 name
[12:12] {thomcbell} just tested 50sma today
[12:12] {dptl} hah...out disca....lunch i guess
01[12:13] {@Threei}  no direction at the moment
01[12:14] {@Threei}  let's wait for market to decide
[12:14] {nemo} mpc
[12:14] {dptl} yeah...taking a break
01[12:14] {@Threei}  otherwise it will be like this, trading punches
01[12:14] {@Threei}  win one, lose one
[12:19] {dino} rovi stop .78 -.19
[12:29] {dino} rovi l .91
[12:33] {dino} stop again -.20, wtf
01[12:33] {@Threei}  jerk-around time
[12:33] {nemo} trade winds in the indexes dino
[12:33] {RonS} 100 mil sh outstanding...
[12:34] {dino} air pockets, had 21.04 then collapsed
[12:43] {dino} rovi loses patent case vs amzn
01[13:05] {@Threei}  SPY loss of .80 as start of downtrend, maybe
01[13:10] {@Threei}  not yet
[13:16] {dptl} i am back from lunch :)
01[13:17] {@Threei}  going to report the menu?
[13:17] {dino} thx for letting us know
[13:17] {dptl} lol
[13:23] {dino} spy naz hod
[13:24] {dptl} watching hal again
[13:27] {dptl} half out
01[13:27] {@Threei}  half out of watching?
[13:28] {RonS} lol
[13:28] {RonS} ...closed one eye?
01[13:28] {@Threei}  one and half in my case
01[13:28] {@Threei}  takes a lot of practice...
[13:31] {dptl} lol....sorry didt have time to post it...took .50 break
01[13:34] {@Threei}  anyone doubts how difficult it is, try to close half eye - not half-close it, but close lesft side while keeping right side open
[13:38] {dptl} stop to .54
01[13:43] {@Threei}  this just has to be the most weird and werdly funny photo and caption I;ve seen on Ukraine theme:
01[13:43] {@Threei}  http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/lavrov-thanks-angolan-counterpart-for-understanding-russian-stance-on-ukraine-342598.html
[13:44] {dino} gimo to .16, all dayer
01[13:44] {@Threei}  seriously? Angola approves?
[13:45] {dino} reverse slip out gimo .19, +.33
[13:45] {dptl} out hal
01[13:46] {@Threei}  I understand second stage of tearing Ukraine apart has started... quite strange to real;ize that very soon the country I haul from may no longer exist
[13:46] {dino} pretty much sucks
[13:46] {dptl} yeah
01[13:46] {@Threei}  from the point of view of world security, very much
01[13:47] {@Threei}  that signals that there is no more adult supervision
01[13:47] {@Threei}  borders are not borders, rules are not rules, agreemtns are not agreements
01[13:47] {@Threei}  might makes right
01[13:48] {@Threei}  in that world, USA better restore its might quickly
01[13:48] {@Threei}  because whoever says whatever about USA, the ruule of anyone else will be way worse
[13:50] {dino} unfortunately 2 more years of dip shit, world is in trouble
01[13:50] {@Threei}  especially considering that every dictator or aspiring dictator in the world is in nad rush to accomplish as much as possible in these 2 years
01[13:51] {@Threei}  mad
[13:51] {dino} more will fall
01[13:51] {@Threei}  watch Iran becoming nuclear country before 2 years run out
[13:51] {dino} indeed
[13:52] {dino} and keep eyes on china and n.korea
01[13:52] {@Threei}  and Putin restoring as much of former USSR sphere of influence as he can afford
[13:53] {cosmo} i thought he was Czarist in sentiment
[13:53] {Les} such is the cycle
01[13:53] {@Threei}  (with Angola approval of course)
[13:53] {dino} i would not want to be taiwan counting on obummer to back us up
01[13:54] {@Threei}  mix of Tsarist and Stalinist, cosmo
[13:54] {cosmo} oh
01[13:54] {@Threei}  with heavy emphasis on latter
[13:54] {cosmo} sigh
01[13:55] {@Threei}  who knows Stalin's book, can't help but be amazed how Putin takes page after page from it
[13:55] {cosmo} kgb training
01[13:56] {@Threei}  yup
[14:00] {dptl} watching gild
[14:01] {dptl} short idea
[14:02] {dptl} oops mised it
[14:03] {dino} every few days gild goes from 74-69
[14:03] {dino} was thinking take a sm swing long on it
[14:08] {dptl} would of been another just a scalp
01[14:08] {@Threei}  yup
01[14:08] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
01[14:09] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[14:09] {nathan} gi gents
[14:09] {nathan} hi
01[14:09] {@Threei}  hey nathan
01[14:10] {@Threei}  that SPY support at .80 is in play again
[14:12] {dino} out leftover panw from yesterday 64.49, +4.39
01[14:12] {@Threei}  while is hasn't triggered, let me brag about one of the best shots I've taken this year:
01[14:12] {@Threei}  https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=630944820318370&set=a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052&type=1&theater
01[14:12] {@Threei}  wtg dino
01[14:12] {@Threei}  some score
[14:13] {dptl} wow
[14:13] {nathan} wow
[14:13] {dptl} nice Vad
01[14:13] {@Threei}  my favorite reaction
[14:13] {dino} thx smr shares
01[14:14] {@Threei}  from the same photoshoot, https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=631408486938670&set=a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052&type=1&theater
[14:14] {dptl} Dino, nice one
[14:15] {dino} ty
[14:15] {dptl} where is it Vad?
01[14:15] {@Threei}  butterfly gardens
[14:15] {nathan} dino would you u show me how to do this?
01[14:16] {@Threei}  (I contemplated answering that I went to Kingo jungles for these two shots, but...)
01[14:16] {@Threei}  Kongo
01[14:16] {@Threei}  ok TZA
[14:16] {dino} sure nat, just grab one and hope
[14:16] {dptl} :)
01[14:16] {@Threei}  showtime
[14:16] {nathan} and pray?
[14:16] {dino} wwe stop .44 -.31
01[14:17] {@Threei}  it's easy nathan... see the price at the bottom, gently push buy button... see the price at the top, push sell...
[14:17] {thomcbell} mu 22.20 short break if hlding 22.30
[14:17] {thomcbell} couldnt type fast enuf
[14:17] {thomcbell} might look to short above 22.25 rally
[14:18] {nathan} :-)
01[14:18] {@Threei}  this TZA drive should be finally the move
01[14:20] {@Threei}  (US) Fed/FDIC: approves move to vote to increase leverage ratios for 8 largest banks- Largest banks would need to raise approx $68B in additional capital - The new capital rules strengthen the safety and soundness of banking organizations both by improving the quality of what constitutes regulatory capital and by requiring banking organizations to hold more capital. Specifically, the minimum tier 1 capital ratio was raised from 4 to 6 percent of risk-weighted assets, and a new minimum common equity tier 1 capital ratio of 4.5 percent of risk-weighted assets was established.
01[14:21] {@Threei}  1:1
01[14:22] {@Threei}  come on TZA, don't be a scalp
01[14:22] {@Threei}  you can do much better
[14:22] {nemo} iwm bounce here
01[14:25] {@Threei}  ugh
01[14:25] {@Threei}  out second half pn trail
01[14:26] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .50 break
01[14:26] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[14:27] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[14:27] {dino} pretty good drop
[14:28] {dino} vjet blood
01[14:28] {@Threei}  watching for better entry
[14:29] {Les} IWM DB I fear misse d.40 entry
01[14:35] {@Threei}  I don't see a meaningful bounce in cards... downward bound, IMO
01[14:36] {@Threei}  VXX valid
01[14:36] {@Threei}  .50 break
[14:37] {Les} yeh, vwap willing
[14:41] {dptl} got to leave early again....see ya tomorrow all
01[14:42] {@Threei}  come on, fun only starts
[14:43] {dptl} :) fun will be tomorrow again
[14:43] {nemo} Fed minutes tomorrow
01[14:50] {@Threei}  grrr
[14:51] {Les} zero follow thru. Market still frikin around
01[15:01] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .60 break
01[15:01] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[15:12] {nathan} that's crazy
01[15:15] {@Threei}  not liking today's afternoon... yesterday was much better
[15:15] {dino} strange few days
[15:15] {nathan} since friday...
[15:16] {dino} wednesday i think naz started to take big hits
[15:16] {dino} naz dropped }5% on 5 days
[15:16] {dino} on=in
01[15:17] {@Threei}  sigh
[15:17] {nathan} oh well
[15:17] {nathan} see you tomorrow
01[15:18] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .55 brak
[15:18] {dino} sometimes i look at that quickly and think you're saying sign for a trade
01[15:18] {@Threei}  last attemopt
[15:18] {dino} cya nat
01[15:18] {@Threei}  take care nathan
01[15:18] {@Threei}  I capitalize symbols, dino :)
[15:19] {dino} lol, never really thought about that
01[15:22] {@Threei}  come on IWM... if shorts don't work, long should, don't you think?
01[15:22] {@Threei}  break that .60
01[15:22] {@Threei}  and fly
01[15:23] {@Threei}  fly like wind
01[15:23] {@Threei}  or bird
01[15:23] {@Threei}  or plane
01[15:23] {@Threei}  or whatever
01[15:23] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:26] {@Threei}  1/4 more out
[15:26] {dino} pro spike
01[15:26] {@Threei}  1:2 close enough
01[15:27] {@Threei}  1:2
[15:27] {dino} gj
01[15:28] {@Threei}  nathan left at the worst moment possible
01[15:28] {@Threei}  30 seconds before winning call
[15:28] {cosmo} sacrificial lamb
[15:29] {cosmo} i've been there
01[15:34] {@Threei}  stop to .69
01[15:35] {@Threei}  will try for 1:4
01[15:35] {@Threei}  1:3
01[15:36] {@Threei}  stop for the last piece is still .69
[15:36] {goinshort} 1:3 nice V !!!
01[15:38] {@Threei}  :)
[15:41] {thomcbell} good night all
01[15:42] {@Threei}  take care thom
[15:42] {Les} aaaaaaaa+
01[15:44] {@Threei}  out on a trail
01[15:44] {@Threei}  glad to finish with strong trade
01[15:44] {@Threei}  thank you all, have a great evening
01[15:44] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:53] {dino} gn

Monday, April 7, 2014

Apr 07 2014

Nice positive day despite shaky start. After morning jerky action, market determined trend and we got a few nice 1:2 and 1:3ers on VXX, TZA, CAT etc. By keeping initial stops small, that ensured profitable session.


Session Time: Mon Apr 07 00:00:00 2014
[08:55] {dptl} good morning
01[08:56] {@Threei}  morning dp
01[09:08] {@Threei}  about a month ago I named three cities in Ukraine to watch for the signs of the next stage of escalation... in all three administration buildings were taken over by rioters this weekend
[09:17] {dino} gm
01[09:17] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:23] {ese} morning
01[09:23] {@Threei}  ese :)
[09:23] {RonS} eh 'se  :)  gm all
01[09:24] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:26] {cosmo} 3i, SILJ opinion?
[09:27] {cosmo} relative to other ETFs
01[09:27] {@Threei}  pathetic volume and too narrow
01[09:27] {@Threei}  not interested much
[09:27] {cosmo} gotit
01[09:29] {@Threei}  FB is getting killed again
[09:31] {dino} fb gap 53.60s
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  C  47 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .95 
01[09:39] {@Threei}  meh
[09:41] {dptl} short ebay
01[09:41] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .60 break hl
[09:42] {dptl} out some ebay
01[09:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .50 
[09:42] {dptl} out some more
[09:43] {dptl} 1:3 all out
01[09:45] {@Threei} Long Setup:  WMT  .40 break
01[09:45] {@Threei}  If holds  .30 
[09:52] {dino} ddd smr l .50
[09:58] {thomcbell} fb all the way to pivot 
01[09:58] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .55 break
01[09:58] {@Threei}  If holds  .45 
01[09:59] {@Threei}  change to .50
[10:02] {nemo} lotta' pussyfootin' out there
[10:02] {ese} L btu .75
[10:04] {dino} wwe hl l .40
01[10:04] {@Threei}  half out
01[10:05] {@Threei}  stop to .48
01[10:05] {@Threei}  1:1  
01[10:05] {@Threei}  by the book from here
[10:06] {dptl} short mdlz
01[10:06] {@Threei}  1:2  
[10:08] {ese} btu out even .75 +/-.00
01[10:09] {@Threei}  out last 1/4 on a trail
[10:09] {dino} out ddd .05, +.55
[10:13] {dptl} stopped mdlz
01[10:14] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .25 break
01[10:14] {@Threei}  If holds  .15 
[10:18] {dino} wwe stop
[10:24] {dptl} watching cmcsa for .55 long may be
01[10:24] {@Threei} Long Setup:  WMT  .30 break
01[10:25] {@Threei}  If holds  .20 
[10:26] {dptl} in cmcsa
01[10:26] {@Threei}  DAL stop to .19
01[10:27] {@Threei}  touched 1:1 briefly
01[10:29] {@Threei}  grr
[10:30] {dptl} nope stopped cmcsa
01[10:32] {@Threei}  not delighted
01[10:32] {@Threei}  jerky market, no follow through
[10:32] {Les} like Nemo said, market fuckin about
[10:33] {nemo} I said, "pussy footin'"
[10:33] {Les} cava, good risk control Vad
[10:33] {Les} we know what u meant ;)
[10:34] {Les} gonna stop here for parent teacher meeting. lets see after lunch
[10:36] {dptl} short dhi
[10:36] {dptl} stop .86
[10:36] {nemo} maybe they'll arrest him at the school for child endangerment
[10:37] {Les} only in america dude
[10:37] {nemo} o.k.  they should then
[10:39] {Les} Short JPM
01[10:44] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
01[10:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .60 
[10:49] {Les} scalped ty
01[10:49] {@Threei}  1:1  
01[10:49] {@Threei}  yw
[10:49] {Les} jpm to trigger
[10:49] {dptl} dhi 1:1 out some
[10:50] {Les} VXX just hit morning highs
[10:52] {Les} jpm covered flat outta here
[10:55] {dptl} dhi 1:2 out more
[10:55] {dptl} stop to .71 
[10:56] {dptl} dont want to over sit
[10:57] {dino} ddd l .14
[10:59] {ese} L vix .09
[11:02] {ese} ou t vix .22 +.13
[11:02] {RonS} g ood job
[11:03] {ese} tks...should have went ½ ¼ ¼ maybe....but have never played the vix before.....seems like it mirrors the spyders
[11:03] {dptl} closed dhi
[11:03] {ese} nice move
01[11:04] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .50 break hl
01[11:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .40 
01[11:05] {@Threei}  1:1  
[11:06] {ese} sorry all xiv....not vix
01[11:08] {@Threei} Long Setup:  JPM  .50 break
01[11:08] {@Threei}  If holds  .45 
[11:12] {thomcbell} looking aal for long setup
01[11:14] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .70 break
01[11:14] {@Threei}  If holds  .60 
01[11:15] {@Threei}  this one has to be a 1:3
01[11:15] {@Threei}  market feels ready to break down
[11:16] {dino} data smr l .70
01[11:21] {@Threei}  ok market... panic time
01[11:21] {@Threei}  1:1  
[11:22] {thomcbell} cog 34.15 short break 
[11:22] {thomcbell} if holding 34.25
01[11:23] {@Threei}  1:2  
[11:25] {thomcbell} cog cancelled 
[11:26] {thomcbell} starting to look more like a bottoming 
[11:28] {dptl} watching hal for .65 break short
[11:29] {dptl} in
[11:37] {dptl} 1:1 out some
01[11:40] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .95 break
01[11:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .85 
01[11:43] {@Threei}  ok SPY... lose .15 and drop dead
01[11:45] {@Threei}  deader please
[11:50] {dino} naz just shy of 5% pullback in week, should be getting close to bounce area
01[11:52] {@Threei}  1:1  
01[11:53] {@Threei}  life looks brighter
[12:05] {dino} qld l .91
[12:05] {dptl} out balance hal
[12:07] {dino} stop -.15
01[12:07] {@Threei}  time for next leg TZA
01[12:13] {@Threei}  1:2  
01[12:13] {@Threei}  brighter yet
[12:14] {ese} outta here cya tomorrow
01[12:16] {@Threei}  1:3 will make me happy
[12:20] {dino} naz }5% drop
01[12:22] {@Threei}  COMP is around support level, but can just as easily break it and drop 100 more points
[12:31] {dino} qld l .qld l .30
[12:31] {thomcbell} there is that tiny gap in qqqq at 85.33 
01[12:37] {@Threei} Long Setup:  JPM  .10 break
01[12:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .04 
01[12:37] {@Threei}  just a scalp most likely
01[12:39] {@Threei}  Invalidated  
01[12:49] {@Threei}  valid again
01[12:49] {@Threei}  with stop under 59
01[12:50] {@Threei}  F Recalling 434K vehicles in two recalls - Detroit News
01[12:50] {@Threei}  what is it with endless recalls, one after another?
[12:55] {dino} lci l .90 ave
01[13:02] {@Threei}  (CA) Canada Budget Min Oliver: Reiterates budget balance for Canada in 2015; not expecting to increase spending after surplus as focus will be tax relief
01[13:02] {@Threei}  do you guys envy us yet?
[13:04] {dino} out qld .65, +.35
01[13:12] {@Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  125 break
01[13:13] {@Threei}  If holds  .90 
[13:14] {RonS} know you were here...if you were european we would be truly pissed...canadians have supported the us much more than most...
01[13:16] {@Threei}  and I personally do not appreciate at all those of canucks who rage about US being militant
01[13:16] {@Threei}  that is truly disgusting and hypocrictical freeloading
[13:17] {dino} the world would be a lt less free w/o usa spending on military
01[13:17] {@Threei}  absolutely
[13:17] {Les} dunno bout free, but definitely the less odious of economic systems going on out there
01[13:18] {@Threei}  and current trend of "bad guys" raisnign their head is the outcome of US withdrawal over last years
[13:18] {Les} Putin in charge? No thanks
[13:19] {dino} exactly 3i, obummer pulling back is letting dictators step up
01[13:20] {@Threei}  pulling backm and leatting crossing his own "red lines" go unpinished
01[13:20] {@Threei}  letting
01[13:20] {@Threei}  but candian financial state is a different matter altogether
01[13:21] {@Threei}  staying on fiscally conservative course through the whole crisis time, minimal and quickly withdrawn stimulus, lowering taxes
[13:22] {Les} yeh that is pretty calm sailing from a captain of state
01[13:22] {@Threei}  left is furious
01[13:23] {@Threei}  how dared he not to throw untold billions to "help people" while whole world did
01[13:23] {@Threei}  1:1  
01[13:26] {@Threei}  sometimes it's hard to believe the scorching hate they express for Harper
01[13:27] {@Threei}  if FB postings could burn, he would be incinerated in one day
[13:27] {RonS} well, they do belong to an intolerant religion...
[13:28] {dptl} watching apc .80 short
01[13:28] {@Threei}  yet are first to accuse others of intolerance
[13:30] {dptl} half out
01[13:31] {@Threei}  wtg
[13:31] {dptl} out more
[13:33] {dptl} done 1:3...didt get all i wanted broke to fast ...but....ok
01[13:42] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .62 break hl
01[13:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .52 
[13:43] {Les} HD Vad? .50 break?
01[13:44] {@Threei}  probably
[13:44] {dino} qld l .00
01[13:44] {@Threei}  if SPY bottomed out, should be OK
[13:46] {Les} That is VWAP resistance its at. 2 way
[13:46] {Les} play
[13:48] {RonS} pbyi sell the news...
[13:49] {dino} pbyi drop
[13:49] {dino} opps
[13:50] {dino} vsm l .88 pbyi
[13:57] {dino} pbyi stop
01[13:58] {@Threei}  1:1  CAT 
01[13:58] {@Threei}  day moved to positive
[13:58] {dptl} lol...funny mazda recall....spyders issues
01[13:59] {@Threei}  hmm?
01[13:59] {@Threei}  lol
01[14:00] {@Threei}  I knew there was a reason I disliked Mazda
01[14:00] {@Threei}  now, this is getting ridiculous:
01[14:00] {@Threei}  (RU) US Sec State Kerry spoke with Russia Foreign Min Lavrov earlier today regarding the situation in Ukraine - press- discussed having direct talks within the next 10 days between the EU, Russia, Ukraine and the United States
01[14:00] {@Threei}  there won't be Ukraine when they finish talking
[14:06] {goinshort} if ya kick the Cat the Deer will chase it
01[14:07] {@Threei}  hmmm
[14:07] {dino} pbyi, what would happen if drug trial was no good? sheesh
01[14:07] {@Threei}  the things I learn here...
01[14:07] {@Threei}  lol dino
01[14:07] {@Threei}  1:2  CAT 
[14:07] {dino} gap at 50s, but thats a long way down
[14:16] {dptl} today same as it was on friday...all day sale and then a little bounce at the end, right?
[14:17] {dino} so far
01[14:17] {@Threei}  if I remember correct, by this time bounce was in full bloom
01[14:17] {@Threei}  not so much today
01[14:17] {@Threei}  maybe different
[14:19] {dino} pbyi vsm l .28
[14:21] {nemo} vxx
01[14:21] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .30 break
01[14:22] {@Threei}  I won't insult you by undicating the stop level
[14:22] {Les} u can insult me
01[14:22] {@Threei}  you realize nemo is here, right?
[14:23] {Les} is he? havne't heard a peep
[14:23] {nemo} that's waaaaaaay to easy
[14:23] {dptl} lol...hide
[14:23] {dino} pbyi stopped, that sucked
[14:24] {nemo} 183.91 is spy 50 day
[14:24] {nemo} 1 frickin' penny away
01[14:26] {@Threei}  White House warns Russia about overt or covert action in Ukraine
01[14:26] {@Threei}  oh my... another warning!
[14:27] {nemo} Putin probably has to wear Depends from pissing his pants laughing so much
[14:27] {dino} ohh boy, obummer may sanction 5 more guys
01[14:27] {@Threei}  you underestimated him... I am sure he will sanction no less than 7
01[14:28] {@Threei}  "We saw groups of pro-Russian demonstrators take over government buildings in the eastern cities of Kharkiv, Donetsk and Luhansk," White House spokesman Jay Carney told reporters. "There is strong evidence suggesting some of these demonstrators were paid and were not local residents.
01[14:28] {@Threei}  heh
01[14:28] {@Threei}  that was the plan all along, Carney
01[14:29] {@Threei}  why send troops in if you can explode it all from inside
[14:29] {goinshort} out cat 1:1  de 1:1
[14:30] {dino} gj
01[14:30] {@Threei}  and yes:
01[14:30] {@Threei}  "The president and his team will continue to assess Russia's actions and whether or not to impose those further sanctions," Carney said.
01[14:30] {@Threei}  man...
[14:32] {goinshort} thanks dino + V
01[14:32] {@Threei}  :)
01[14:35] {@Threei}  next leg down SPY
[14:36] {nemo} I don't like we're not getting vxx this close to spy  50 day
[14:37] {dptl} long cbs
[14:39] {dptl} half out
01[14:41] {@Threei}  no go
[14:41] {nemo} spy 50 day bounce
[14:42] {dptl} 1:2 out in full cbs
[14:44] {dptl} wow...didt expect that 
[14:45] {nemo} expect what?
[14:45] {dptl} almost 1:5
[14:45] {dptl} but hey..:)
[14:45] {nemo} look spy, and look vwap cbs
[14:46] {nemo} 60 perfect target
[14:46] {dptl} ye...i just thought i"ll be a little bounce first
[14:47] {nemo} there ya' go thinkin' again
[14:47] {dptl} damn it ...lol still , sometimes
[14:49] {nemo} you married dp?
[14:52] {dptl} no
[14:52] {nemo} that's the problem...you'd be brain dead if you were
[14:53] {dptl} lol...i am afraid not only just brain
01[14:53] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .65 break
01[14:53] {@Threei}  If holds  .60 
[14:53] {nemo} I think this is an index vwap run
01[14:54] {@Threei}  VXX bounce should be close, time to start probing it withn small stops
[14:54] {nemo} sounds more like sex with a virgin
01[14:55] {@Threei}  75 cents drop in minutes
01[14:55] {@Threei}  65
[14:56] {dino} qld to .85
[14:56] {dino} out +.85
[14:56] {thomcbell} nice dino
01[14:56] {@Threei}  wtg
[14:56] {dino} ty, got lucky
[14:57] {nemo} shut up dino
[14:57] {nemo} lucky
[14:57] {nemo} sheesh
01[14:57] {@Threei}  lol
01[14:59] {@Threei}  1:1  
01[15:00] {@Threei}  *(US) FEB CONSUMER CREDIT: $16.5B V +$14.0BE
01[15:00] {@Threei}  got VXX bottom just right
01[15:00] {@Threei}  despite nemo's attempts to talk me out of it
[15:00] {thomcbell} jks 27.50 short break if holding 27.60
[15:01] {thomcbell} small shares 
[15:03] {nemo} I didn't try to talk you out of it, just saying what I think we're looking at
01[15:03] {@Threei}  I know
01[15:04] {@Threei}  1:2  
01[15:04] {@Threei}  getting better and better
[15:05] {dino} wwe l .51
[15:06] {goinshort} vxx 1:2 and out- thanks V!
01[15:06] {@Threei}  :)
[15:09] {thomcbell} covering jks flat 
[15:12] {dino} wow pbyi
[15:14] {RonS} adidas ran all over it?
[15:14] {dptl} ok,i have to leave early....see ya tomorrow all
[15:14] {RonS} cya dp
01[15:14] {@Threei}  take care dp
[15:17] {dino} out data .70, +1.00
[15:18] {dino} ddd to .14
[15:19] {nemo} gap up tomorrow
[15:19] {dino} out ddd .14, +1.00
[15:21] {dino} wwe stop is .29, can't break .55
01[15:25] {@Threei}  direction of the last thrust for the day is difficult to sense
[15:26] {thomcbell} yhoo higher low
[15:26] {thomcbell} volume is shocking last few days 
[15:26] {nemo} shoulda' been here in 2008 and 2009
[15:28] {nemo} oh u talking yhoo specifically?  how close we to that chinese ipo
[15:28] {nemo} Alibaba
[15:28] {nemo} ?
[15:29] {dino} wwe to b/e
[15:30] {dino} out
[15:33] {dino} fall i think nemo
[15:36] {thomcbell} i was speaking about yhoo lots of volume last few days
[15:36] {thomcbell} alibaba was to be some time in April 
[15:37] {nemo} it might be positioning starting for that then
01[15:38] {@Threei}  Kerry warns Lavrov Russia faces 'costs' if it further destabilizes Ukraine
[15:38] {nemo} Putin changing his Depends again
01[15:38] {@Threei}  just the cost of depends must be killing him
01[15:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .20 break hl
01[15:39] {@Threei}  If holds  .10 
[15:39] {nemo} nah, he'll just charge Europe more for gas
01[15:49] {@Threei}  meh
[15:50] {goinshort} Thanks all - see ya!
[15:50] {dino} gn gs
01[15:50] {@Threei}  take care gs
01[15:50] {@Threei}  last thrust turned to be down
[15:51] {thomcbell} later all 
01[15:51] {@Threei}  ok guys, thank yiu all
01[15:51] {@Threei}  have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:52] {dino} alibaba ipo expected in 3rd quarter
[15:52] {dino} yahoo search on it
01[15:53] {@Threei}  I think that's about the last big thing YHOO has going for it
[15:53] {dino} pbyi vsm l .29

Friday, April 4, 2014

Market Week Wrap-up

TradeTheNews.com  Weekly Market UpdateFed and ECB appear on course but markets left asking for directions



- Three great hopes helped put a bid under global equity markets in the first half of the week: hope for Chinese stimulus, ECB action and a monster US March jobs report. However in each case, disappointment was the main outcome. In China, the government unveiled a "targeted mini stimulus" with no price tag that rehashed investment priorities laid out by Beijing earlier this year. The ECB took no action at its monthly policy meeting on Thursday, and President Draghi repeated all of his familiar talking points. Draghi asserted that inflation would turn around of its own accord in coming months, although he did begin talking about the theoretical possibility of a quantitative easing program for the Eurozone if it can't. In the US, the March jobs report was good but not great, with NFPs slightly higher but other weak job trends also still in place. The trade data was sluggish with lower overseas demand weighing on US exports; leading economists to downgrade their outlooks for Q1 growth. In Japan, the government officially raised the sales tax from 5% to 8%, while weak Tankan survey data suggested that Abenomics is facing headwinds. Government bond markets remained firm helped by a confluence lackluster economic data, the belief that key central banks will stay with accommodative policies longer and asset allocation flows away from high beta momentum stocks. The US 10-year yield ended up little changed on the week finishing back below 2.75%. For the week, the DJIA rose 0.6%, the S&P500 added 0.4% and the Nasdaq fell 0.7%.

- Coming into the March jobs reports, there was a general feeling that the numbers would outperform expectations. This did not come to pass and both the +192K NFP and +192K private payrolls were a hair below expectations. However the February NFP was revised to +197K from +175K, putting the average monthly growth over the past three months at a healthy +178k. Many analysts were concerned about the flat hourly earnings component (they grew 0.4% in February) and the continuing weakness in underemployment. Both issues were cited by Yellen at her post-FOMC decision press conference as reasons for rates to remain low for an extended period.

- In the first half of the week, Brent crude fell to its lowest level since last November thanks to pressure from the prospect of Libyan oil returning to the market. Libya's eastern oil ports were seized by rebel groups demanding more political rights and a cut of the nation's oil revenue. Negotiations with the protesters have gone well and the two sides are close to reaching a deal which will reopen the oilfields and increase exports to 600K bpd from the current 150K bpd. Libya would still be operating below its 1.4 million bpd capacity, however the increase would have a significant impact on markets. Brent traded below $105 on Wednesday, with but climbed higher through week's end on fears the deal might fall apart.

- There was some calming of geopolitical tensions early in the week on reports that Russia had withdrawn some of the military assets from its border with Ukraine. Russia President Putin told German Chancellor Merkel that he had ordered a partial withdrawal of Russian forces from the border area. This news was disputed by western military figures, including US Defense Sec Hagel and NATO Chief Rasmussen. On Friday there were reports that the Pentagon was looking at the possibility of sending two combat brigades to the Eastern European NATO allies, most likely Poland.

- The "momentum stocks" got hammered again, particularly late in the week. Declines in high-profile tech names, selected biotechs and frothy recent IPOs drove the Nasdaq down nearly 3% on Friday alone, undercutting overall risk appetite. Tesla and Facebook both lost 8% a piece on Thursday and Friday, Netflix dropped as much as 6% at its worst on the two days and Amazon lost as much as 5%. Smaller tech names had an even worse time: recent IPO FireEye sank as much as 20% in the Wednesday-to-Friday period, while Splunk and Palo Alto Networks dropped 14% a piece over the same period.

- Auto sales in January and February were sluggish and the major manufacturers claimed that intense winter weather had kept traffic away from dealerships. The March data out this week seems to confirm the industry's excuses, as industry SAAR surged to 16.4M units, beating last year's 15.3 million mark. Analysts highlight that the industry increased incentives to lure more traffic. Fiat's Chrysler posted the largest sales increase, +13% y/y, the firm's best March since 2007. Jeep and Ram truck brands saw sales increases of 47% and 26%, respectively, making for Jeep's best sales month of all time. GM's sales were up 4%, although bad press from CEO Mary Barra's hammering on Capitol Hill over the ignition parts scandal obscured the firm's results. Ford sales were up 3%. Toyota March sales grew 4.9%, while Nissan sales grew 8.3%.

- At the post-rate decision ECB press conference, Super Mario stayed pretty close to all of his regular talking points regarding inflation and the scope for more action. Draghi conceded that the council did discuss potential rate cuts and the merits of a QE program (as well as lower rates and a negative deposit rate), but on inflation he doggedly repeated that while the March Eurozone inflation report was a surprise, the ECB still expects higher inflation in the months to come. Draghi claimed that seasonal factors, including the late Easter holiday, distorted March inflation levels, and asserted that approximately 70% of the fall-off in inflation was due to lower food and energy prices. He also highlighted that core inflation remains higher than headline CPI. Draghi's right-hand man, Governor Constancio, said low March inflation figures will correct in April. EUR/USD poked above 1.3800 a few times mid week, but the euro downtrend remains firmly in place and the pair closed the week just above 1.3700.

- Reports out this week suggested that Greece would return to the international bond market this month, four years after it became the first eurozone country to be bailed out. The country has made progress in fixing the nation's economy, and while the nation closed out its sixth year of recession in 2013, with Q4 GDP -2.6%, this was the best reading seen in years. The government aims to raise €2 billion in a sale of five-year bonds in April, with Deutsche Bank, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs reportedly lined up as underwriters. Last month, Piraeus Bank sold €500 million in three-year bonds, and the sale garnered more €3 billion in orders. Other European peripheral bond markets performed well on hopes the ECB could ultimately chose to go down the path of QE. The Spanish 5-year yield fell below that of the US for the first time since 2007 and Portugal rates fell markedly too.

- Disappointing industrial production and consumer spending data raised hopes that China would launch some form of stimulus to cope with flagging growth. Early in the week, the March official manufacturing PMI was just about equal to the February reading, which itself was at eight-month lows. On Wednesday, Beijing announced a spending package focused on new railways and subways, low-income housing and tax breaks for small business. The government notably did not say how much it intends to pay for the package of targeted measures and analysts highlight that most measures were much the same as priorities mapped out at last month's central economic work conference. In addition, banks were tapped to "actively participate" in funding the projects highlighted by the plan. USD/CNY seems to have settled right in to a 6.20-6.21 range.

- The picture seen in the BoJ's first quarter Tankan survey was not terribly bright: Japanese business sentiment barely improved in the three months ending March and the corporate outlook is now considerably weaker than when Japan last raised its sales tax in 1997. The outlook for the next quarter suggests a notable slowdown. The survey revealed diminishing expectations of the economy being able to achieve the 2% inflation target, noting that firms of all sizes see CPI at 1.5% in one year and just 1.7% in five years. The BoJ meets next week but few expect any stimulus from the bank in the near term, as economist expect several months of data will be needed to gauge the impact of the sales tax hike. In the wake of the survey, Nomura economists forecasted more BoJ policy easing in July. USD/JPY ramped up to nine-week highs on Thursday and made a few runs above 104, but the risk-off tone on Friday drove the pair back down to 103.3.