TradeTheNews.com US
Employment Heats Up Winter
Fri, 06 Feb 2015 16:14 PM EST
The excellent US January jobs report out Friday heightened expectations that
the Fed will have the confidence to raise interest rates later this year, even
as the rest of the world grapples with weakening economies and spiraling
crises. US short-term interest rates jumped after the jobs data while the
ten-year US Treasury yield rose nearly 30 bps to 1.94% from 1.65%. The US
Dollar surged while precious metals slid lower as rates popped up. Europe spent
much of the week convulsed by the Greek crisis and distracted by diplomatic
maneuvering surrounding the Ukraine conflict. As the Greek government began
talking details of a new financial plan with European officials, the ECB cut
Athens off from its cheapest available funding for its struggling banks. The
PBoC's delivered its first Reserve Requirement Ratio cut since May 2012 after
China's January manufacturing PMI contracted for the first time in two years
and non-manufacturing PMI hit a one-year low. The Shanghai Composite saw its
second week of losses, while for the week the DJIA gained 3.8%, the S&P500
added 3% and the Nasdaq rose 2.4%.
Every aspect of the US January jobs report telegraphed strength. The headline
nonfarm payrolls widely beat expectations at +257K v +228Ke while the November
nonfarm reading was revised to 423K from 353Ke. The unemployment rate rose to
5.7% from 5.6% as one million additional people decided to start looking for
work in an improved environment. Wage growth saw its strongest rise since
November 2008 (helped in part by over 20 states enacting minimum wage hikes
that went into effect in January). The labor force participation rate rose to
62.9% from a nearly four-decade low of 62.7% prior, while the number of people
who changed status from "not in the labor force" to employed saw the
biggest jump ever.
Greek Finance Minister Varoufakis went on the road this week to press his case
for a new Greece deal in European capitals. He got little sympathy, with nearly
every single EU partner demanding that Greece stick to its prior agreements through
an extension of the current bailout program. The ECB sent a clear signal
midweek by refusing to accept any more Greek government bonds as collateral for
loans, forcing Athens to use the ELA facility for short-term liquidity, at a
cost of 1.5% compared to 0.005% for the repo facility. The decision effectively
grants the ECB the ability to turn off the country's funding on short notice
and increases the pressure on the Greeks to cut a deal before the Feb 28th
deadline when the current program expires. EUR/USD came into the week below
1.1290, shot as high as 1.1530 on Tuesday, then fell back to around 1.1300 to
close out the week.
Oil prices trended higher, but were marked by wild volatility all week. WTI
bottomed out last Thursday around $44 and peaked this Tuesday above $54,
closing out the week around $52. The volatility was palpable, with 5-10% swings
in the front-month contracts every day. Various factors helped whip around
prices, including last week's reading of the biggest drop in the US rig count
since the late 1980s, intensifying conflict in both Libya and Iraq, and a
nationwide strike by USW union workers at nine US refineries, one of the
biggest strikes in the industry in decades. Meanwhile, the weekly EIA and API
inventories continue to see big gains. Many analysts suggested that while a
short-term bottom may have been reached, few are prepared to commit to long
bets just quite yet.
Exxon's fourth-quarter earnings and revenue fell by double digits from the
year-ago quarter. EPS was above expectations as upstream earnings surged, but
revenue was well below the consensus view. Total production declined 3.8% y/y.
The firm was reluctant to make any material comments about its outlook,
although it warned that it would cut share buybacks to $1.0B in the first
quarter of 2015 from $3.0B in the fourth quarter. Anadarko had a tough fourth
quarter, missing expectations widely. National Oilwell Varco's earnings in its
fourth quarter were solid, however backlog and new orders shrank markedly. The
company warned 2015 would be very tough.
The Big Three US automakers all topped expectations in January sales,
disclosing double digit growth in their monthly reports. Toyota, Nissan and
Honda also saw strong, double-digit sales growth last month. General Motors
disclosed a very good fourth-quarter report, with earnings way ahead of
expectations. GM also raised its dividend by 20% and said it may evaluate
returning more capital to shareholders later in FY15. Both Toyota and Daimler
reported very strong December quarter results and better FY forecasts.
FCC Chairman Wheeler outlined a net neutrality proposal that would regulate
broadband like a utility under the agency's Title II authority but would
refrain from regulating rates. Wheeler's plan would ban cable companies from
throttling broadband access and setting up fast lanes for some traffic.
Broadband industry representatives dismissed the effort as flawed and
Congressional Republicans grumbled about overreach. Many analysts suggested
that if Wheeler's effort is successfully enacted, then Comcast's pending merger
with Time Warner Cable is likely dead in the water. BTIG said Comcast may
simply let the drop-dead date pass without consummating the deal (the initial
date is February 12th, but either party can extend that by 6 months to August
12th).
On the M&A front, Pfizer agreed to buy Hospira for $90/share, in a total
deal valued around $15.2 billion. Hospira is a top provider of injectable
drugs, including those used for acute care and cancer treatment. The buyout
will give Pfizer an entry to the growing market for biosimilars, while Hospira
gets access to Europe and emerging markets. Under pressure from activist
investors, Staples reached a $6.3 billion cash and stock deal to acquire Office
Depot. The deal will get very close regulatory scrutiny: the FTC rejected a
similar deal back in the 90s, and while today's environment is quite different,
the two firms are the #1 and #2 industry players.
The ugly multi-month low January PMI figures out of China were worrisome as the
period ahead of the Lunar New Year normally sees significant front loading of
inventories by the manufacturing industry. In the wake of the weak PMIs, HSBC
warned that fiscal easing measures will be needed to prevent another sharp
slowdown in growth. Just a day later, the PBoC injected liquidity via OMOs for
the fourth consecutive week (the 90 billion yuan injection was its biggest
since last January). A day after that, the PBoC cut the RRR for the first time
since May 2012, its fourth cut in the current easing cycle, which began in late
2011. The 50 bps cut released an estimated 600 billion yuan into the banking
system, suggesting Beijing's concerns about the slowing Chinese economy are
trumping worries about the nation's growing credit bubble. Nonetheless, the
Shanghai Composite had its second consecutive down week, as the focus shifts to
next week's peak in IPO filings.
The Reserve Bank of Australia became the latest leading central bank to cut,
dropping its key cash rate by 25 basis points to a new record low of 2.25%. The
Australian cut followed the RBNZ's move last week to a more cautious stance,
carrying the possibility of a rate cut at its next meeting. For its part, the
RBA cited weak growth in Europe and Japan, lower oil prices driving down
inflation, and below-trend domestic growth. In the immediate aftermath of the
cut, AUD/USD fell 140pips to five-year low of $0.7650 and NZD/USD hit
multi-year lows below the $0.72 handle. On Friday, RBA quarterly policy
statement also lowered the projections for 2015 GDP by 25bps to a midpoint
2.75% and headline inflation by 50bps to 2-3%.
Friday, February 6, 2015
Feb 06 2015
Patternless day, with sudden turns and without proper setups. We cut down activity to keep things safe, and last two winning trades erased most of earlier rinses. At any rate, the week was very good
Session Time: Fri Feb 06 00:00:00 2015
[09:19] {RonS} hi fellow lonely guys...
01[09:19] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:22] {@Threei} we are not lonely, we are curious... gotts wake up to find out why gold is getting murdered
[09:23] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:23] {@Threei} jf :)
[09:24] {dptl} gm
01[09:24] {@Threei} dp :)
01[09:29] {@Threei} dino can't navigate through the snowdrift I take it
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -XLS +35% (received bid from Harris at $23.75/shr)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -YRCW +16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CBM +16% (earnings & expansion of large scale API capacity)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -TWTR +12% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -LNKD +11% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HRS +6.5% (offer for XLS)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -IMGN +5.6% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -BWLD +4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -MSG +4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -TROV -20% (priced 4.44M share offering for gross proceeds at $20M)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -P -18% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -YELP -16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -GPRO -13% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -EXPE -8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -PBR -8% (named Aldemir Bendine as CEO and Ivan Monteiro as CFO)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ATVI -7% (earnings)
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: GLD .43 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} fast...
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .35
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .90 break hl
01[09:37] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .15 break
01[09:43] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[09:45] {@Threei} no go
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[09:47] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[09:49] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:52] {dino} gm
01[09:53] {@Threei} dino :)
01[09:54] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 120 break
01[09:54] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[09:56] {@Threei} no go
[09:57] {jfjf64} vxx
[09:57] {jfjf64} .80
[09:58] {jfjf64} ?
01[09:58] {@Threei} can't tell, too choppy'
01[09:59] {@Threei} rinse IWM
01[09:59] {@Threei} changing to DKTK
01[10:03] {@Threei} somg... 1:4
[10:20] {nemo} qcom
01[10:22] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[10:23] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[10:27] {@Threei} lose .80 SPY... and die
01[10:28] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:32] {RonS} dino $stra gone pulp
[10:33] {dino} ty
[10:35] {dino} out dfs calls from 1/27, +1.35 / 84%
[10:37] {jfjf64} common loose this .80
[10:37] {dino} out stt calls from 1/23 +1.03 / 66%
01[10:37] {@Threei} 1:2
[10:37] {jfjf64} any reports today?
01[10:38] {@Threei} ?
[10:39] {RonS} gonna report you for mis-spelling lose... unreal to me how many do that...guess multitude skipped 4th grade
[10:39] {jfjf64} lol
[10:39] {dino} damn
01[10:40] {@Threei} it's ese disease
01[10:41] {@Threei} but this is second in my list of the worst spelling offenses
[10:41] {RonS} eqkacktly
01[10:41] {@Threei} first prize takes this endless your-you're
[10:52] {dino} out n calls from 1/30 +.75 / 26%
[10:59] {dino} this markets is wicked, up 900 pts from mondays low
[11:00] {nemo} and EU QE doesn't start until next month
[11:02] {dino} thats 5% in 4 days!
[11:03] {dino} the pattern is short very soon
[11:03] {nemo} go look at what the DAX did in January
[11:04] {dino} please tell me
[11:07] {nemo} went from 9400 to 10800
[11:08] {dino} ty
[11:08] {nemo} went from 9600 to 10300 in one 5 day stretch
[11:09] {nemo} QCOM looks short here
01[11:21] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .72 break
01[11:21] {@Threei} If holds .65
[11:21] {nemo} was just looking at that
01[11:22] {@Threei} scary, isn't it
[11:23] {nemo} why is it up so much today?
[11:24] {dino} banks in general
01[11:28] {@Threei} meh
01[11:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: QCOM .45 break
01[11:39] {@Threei} If holds .36
[11:47] {pamsv} have to go - have a good weekend all!
[11:47] {nemo} P&Q
[11:50] {jfjf64} see all later
[12:05] {nemo} is the market trading?
01[12:06] {@Threei} not too much
[12:08] {RonS} convenient: Report: Islamic State claims a Jordanian air strike has killed an American female hostage - @nytimes http://nyti.ms/1vwbj6d
01[12:09] {@Threei} do they have similar report with sides flipped, for american air strike?
01[12:30] {@Threei} After the jobs data, Fed watcher Hilsenrath remarked that the report means a June rate hike is still on the table and at the very least it boosts the odds the Fed will alter the 'patient' language in the statement.
01[12:31] {@Threei} With rate hikes back on the table, the shares of US financials are soaring. Regions Financial and Bank of America are up 5% a piece, Prudential is up 4.5%, MS is up 3.5% and Citi is up nearly 3%.
01[12:31] {@Threei} Gold tanked before and after the jobs number, with spot gold dipping 2.3% to $1,230.
[12:34] {dino} rate hike will increase the value of the dollar vs others, not so sure its going to happen that soon.
[12:35] {dino} this dollar spike is starting to show its hurt on businesses
01[12:35] {@Threei} I too doubt it's as close as they imply
01[12:35] {@Threei} there is no real inflation threat thus far (well, per official data at least)
[12:36] {dino} plus, oil companies have just started their layoffs, this could get big
01[12:36] {@Threei} why would they rush and take this step now
[12:40] {RonS} Lockhart: Hiring Improvement 'May Be Less Than Meets The Eye"
01[12:44] {@Threei} (GR) S&P cuts Greece rating one notch to B- from B; remains on credit watch negative
01[12:44] {@Threei} sheesh
[12:44] {dino} you know, the more i think abot the greek situation, the more i think germany gives in.
[12:45] {dino} its the old bank problem....if you owe the bank 100k its your problem, but if you owe the bank a few million, its the bank's problem
01[12:45] {@Threei} but... every german has second property now... in Greece
[12:46] {dino} my gut says greece gets some serious breaks and extensions
01[12:46] {@Threei} oh yeah
[12:46] {dino} just push it out to infinity
01[12:46] {@Threei} exactly
01[12:46] {@Threei} it's the mentality
[12:46] {dino} and that of course, allows the politicians to save face and keep their jobs
01[12:47] {@Threei} whatever negative happens, it shouldn't be on my watch
01[12:47] {@Threei} and they have large problem on their hands with Russia
01[12:47] {@Threei} can't afford so many fronts falling apart
[12:48] {dino} yes, a default will weaken all of europe with russia looking to make a move
[12:48] {dino} brb
01[12:49] {@Threei} that's why russia supports greece so much
01[12:49] {@Threei} and was rooting for no in scottish referndum
01[12:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[12:51] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[12:56] {@Threei} grr
01[13:07] {@Threei} not getting twists and turns right
[13:12] {dino} out pcar calls from 1/30 +.75 / 47%
[13:14] {dino} out uri calls from 1/30 +2.72 / 51%
01[13:16] {@Threei} nice
[13:17] {dino} thx, they worked nicely
[13:17] {dino} thinking of adding puts now, we
[13:18] {dino} are close to that 18k level again
01[13:26] {@Threei} looks like real panic in cards
01[13:26] {@Threei} watching VXX for pullback
[13:32] {dino} back in 30
01[13:41] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .05 break
01[13:41] {@Threei} If holds .95
[13:54] {nemo} VXX
01[14:00] {@Threei} Canada Supreme court allows assisted suicide
01[14:01] {@Threei} good to know I have option in case another naked Kardashian video appears
[14:07] {nemo} VXX should go soon
01[14:09] {@Threei} you call it
01[14:09] {@Threei} my timing is off today
[14:09] {nemo} oh sorry
[14:11] {nemo} might not get a pullback now
[14:12] {nemo} o.k. guess we will
[14:12] {nemo} holding that .95 breakout
[14:13] {nemo} 34 breaj
[14:13] {nemo} breaj'
[14:13] {nemo} break
[14:13] {nemo} stop under .90
[14:14] {nemo} damn...aapl
[14:15] {nemo} that's gonna' make it hard for the indexes to come in
[14:17] {nemo} o.k. aapl weakening a little
[14:17] {nemo} sheesh
[14:22] {nemo} I hate trades like this
[14:24] {nemo} they're going to DKTK us
[14:24] {nemo} spy broke through
01[14:26] {@Threei} lol, contest who outrinses whom
[14:26] {nemo} I think we should be o.k. now as long as aapl cooperates
[14:27] {nemo} frickin' aapl
[14:33] {nemo} wow holding that .88 level from 2:00
[14:33] {nemo} VXX that is
[14:33] {nemo} out
[14:34] {nemo} too early
01[14:35] {@Threei} that double bottom seems to be low for the day
[14:36] {nemo} maybe, this is vwap for spy, iwm almost there, aapl almost there
01[14:44] {@Threei} (VZ) Venezuela Oil Ministry notes there are more meetings scheduled with OPEC members to discuss strategy on oil price **Note: Late last year Russia, Venezuela, Mexico and Saudi Arabia agreed to have period meetings about oil levels and said they would meet again in February, though no date has been set.
[14:46] {nemo} yep DKTK
01[14:46] {@Threei} mother...
[14:46] {nemo} as soon as aapl started coming in
[14:53] {nemo} that sucked
01[14:54] {@Threei} told you, timing is major hindrance today
[14:54] {nemo} yeah, but I made the mistake of not assessing aapl correctly
[14:54] {nemo} I just looked at the indexes
[14:54] {nemo} aapl is a frickin' index
[14:59] {nemo} http://goo.gl/l8E5Sg
01[15:00] {@Threei} (GR) Eurogroup chief Dijsselbloem: Greece needs to submit a bailout extension request by Feb 16 to maintain EMU financial support
01[15:00] {@Threei} (US) DEC CONSUMER CREDIT: +$14.76B V +$15.0BE
[15:00] {nemo} wow
[15:02] {dino} ?
[15:02] {nemo} the drop....the missed VXX trade
[15:02] {dino} oh, 160 swing
[15:15] {dino} adding dia march puts
01[15:18] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[15:18] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[15:20] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:21] {@Threei} finally got something right
[15:29] {nemo} "A fan threw me a beer. If a fan throws you a beer, you have to chug it," Gronk said.
[15:33] {dino} taking a few days off for golf trip in myrtle beach. be back on thursday. good luck all
01[15:33] {@Threei} have fun dino
[15:33] {RonS} about time...
[15:33] {nemo} warmer down there
[15:34] {jfjf64} enjoy
01[15:34] {@Threei} you need a break from all that snow
[15:34] {dino} indeed, should be high 50s to mid 60s
01[15:42] {@Threei} ok, last one
01[15:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .90 break
01[15:42] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[15:43] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:46] {@Threei} ok
01[15:46] {@Threei} time for total breakdown
[15:46] {jfjf64} die ya biat ch
01[15:47] {@Threei} nah
01[15:47] {@Threei} closed second half
01[15:47] {@Threei} whew, annoying day... but last couple trades made it bearable
01[15:48] {@Threei} have a great weekend guys, see you Monday!
[15:48] {jfjf64} adios
[15:50] {dptl} gn
[15:50] {dino} cya dp
[15:50] {dino} cya jf
[15:51] {dino} gn all
[15:51] {jfjf64} have fun dino
[15:51] {dino} ty
[15:51] {jfjf64} have a couple beers relax
[15:51] {dino} will do
[15:51] {cosmo} You know, Torrey Pines is even warmer...
[15:51] {dino} some day
[15:52] {cosmo} :)
Session Time: Fri Feb 06 00:00:00 2015
[09:19] {RonS} hi fellow lonely guys...
01[09:19] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:22] {@Threei} we are not lonely, we are curious... gotts wake up to find out why gold is getting murdered
[09:23] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:23] {@Threei} jf :)
[09:24] {dptl} gm
01[09:24] {@Threei} dp :)
01[09:29] {@Threei} dino can't navigate through the snowdrift I take it
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -XLS +35% (received bid from Harris at $23.75/shr)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -YRCW +16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CBM +16% (earnings & expansion of large scale API capacity)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -TWTR +12% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -LNKD +11% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HRS +6.5% (offer for XLS)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -IMGN +5.6% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -BWLD +4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -MSG +4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -TROV -20% (priced 4.44M share offering for gross proceeds at $20M)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -P -18% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -YELP -16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -GPRO -13% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -EXPE -8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -PBR -8% (named Aldemir Bendine as CEO and Ivan Monteiro as CFO)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ATVI -7% (earnings)
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: GLD .43 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} fast...
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .35
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .90 break hl
01[09:37] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .15 break
01[09:43] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[09:45] {@Threei} no go
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[09:47] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[09:49] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:52] {dino} gm
01[09:53] {@Threei} dino :)
01[09:54] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 120 break
01[09:54] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[09:56] {@Threei} no go
[09:57] {jfjf64} vxx
[09:57] {jfjf64} .80
[09:58] {jfjf64} ?
01[09:58] {@Threei} can't tell, too choppy'
01[09:59] {@Threei} rinse IWM
01[09:59] {@Threei} changing to DKTK
01[10:03] {@Threei} somg... 1:4
[10:20] {nemo} qcom
01[10:22] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[10:23] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[10:27] {@Threei} lose .80 SPY... and die
01[10:28] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:32] {RonS} dino $stra gone pulp
[10:33] {dino} ty
[10:35] {dino} out dfs calls from 1/27, +1.35 / 84%
[10:37] {jfjf64} common loose this .80
[10:37] {dino} out stt calls from 1/23 +1.03 / 66%
01[10:37] {@Threei} 1:2
[10:37] {jfjf64} any reports today?
01[10:38] {@Threei} ?
[10:39] {RonS} gonna report you for mis-spelling lose... unreal to me how many do that...guess multitude skipped 4th grade
[10:39] {jfjf64} lol
[10:39] {dino} damn
01[10:40] {@Threei} it's ese disease
01[10:41] {@Threei} but this is second in my list of the worst spelling offenses
[10:41] {RonS} eqkacktly
01[10:41] {@Threei} first prize takes this endless your-you're
[10:52] {dino} out n calls from 1/30 +.75 / 26%
[10:59] {dino} this markets is wicked, up 900 pts from mondays low
[11:00] {nemo} and EU QE doesn't start until next month
[11:02] {dino} thats 5% in 4 days!
[11:03] {dino} the pattern is short very soon
[11:03] {nemo} go look at what the DAX did in January
[11:04] {dino} please tell me
[11:07] {nemo} went from 9400 to 10800
[11:08] {dino} ty
[11:08] {nemo} went from 9600 to 10300 in one 5 day stretch
[11:09] {nemo} QCOM looks short here
01[11:21] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .72 break
01[11:21] {@Threei} If holds .65
[11:21] {nemo} was just looking at that
01[11:22] {@Threei} scary, isn't it
[11:23] {nemo} why is it up so much today?
[11:24] {dino} banks in general
01[11:28] {@Threei} meh
01[11:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: QCOM .45 break
01[11:39] {@Threei} If holds .36
[11:47] {pamsv} have to go - have a good weekend all!
[11:47] {nemo} P&Q
[11:50] {jfjf64} see all later
[12:05] {nemo} is the market trading?
01[12:06] {@Threei} not too much
[12:08] {RonS} convenient: Report: Islamic State claims a Jordanian air strike has killed an American female hostage - @nytimes http://nyti.ms/1vwbj6d
01[12:09] {@Threei} do they have similar report with sides flipped, for american air strike?
01[12:30] {@Threei} After the jobs data, Fed watcher Hilsenrath remarked that the report means a June rate hike is still on the table and at the very least it boosts the odds the Fed will alter the 'patient' language in the statement.
01[12:31] {@Threei} With rate hikes back on the table, the shares of US financials are soaring. Regions Financial and Bank of America are up 5% a piece, Prudential is up 4.5%, MS is up 3.5% and Citi is up nearly 3%.
01[12:31] {@Threei} Gold tanked before and after the jobs number, with spot gold dipping 2.3% to $1,230.
[12:34] {dino} rate hike will increase the value of the dollar vs others, not so sure its going to happen that soon.
[12:35] {dino} this dollar spike is starting to show its hurt on businesses
01[12:35] {@Threei} I too doubt it's as close as they imply
01[12:35] {@Threei} there is no real inflation threat thus far (well, per official data at least)
[12:36] {dino} plus, oil companies have just started their layoffs, this could get big
01[12:36] {@Threei} why would they rush and take this step now
[12:40] {RonS} Lockhart: Hiring Improvement 'May Be Less Than Meets The Eye"
01[12:44] {@Threei} (GR) S&P cuts Greece rating one notch to B- from B; remains on credit watch negative
01[12:44] {@Threei} sheesh
[12:44] {dino} you know, the more i think abot the greek situation, the more i think germany gives in.
[12:45] {dino} its the old bank problem....if you owe the bank 100k its your problem, but if you owe the bank a few million, its the bank's problem
01[12:45] {@Threei} but... every german has second property now... in Greece
[12:46] {dino} my gut says greece gets some serious breaks and extensions
01[12:46] {@Threei} oh yeah
[12:46] {dino} just push it out to infinity
01[12:46] {@Threei} exactly
01[12:46] {@Threei} it's the mentality
[12:46] {dino} and that of course, allows the politicians to save face and keep their jobs
01[12:47] {@Threei} whatever negative happens, it shouldn't be on my watch
01[12:47] {@Threei} and they have large problem on their hands with Russia
01[12:47] {@Threei} can't afford so many fronts falling apart
[12:48] {dino} yes, a default will weaken all of europe with russia looking to make a move
[12:48] {dino} brb
01[12:49] {@Threei} that's why russia supports greece so much
01[12:49] {@Threei} and was rooting for no in scottish referndum
01[12:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[12:51] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[12:56] {@Threei} grr
01[13:07] {@Threei} not getting twists and turns right
[13:12] {dino} out pcar calls from 1/30 +.75 / 47%
[13:14] {dino} out uri calls from 1/30 +2.72 / 51%
01[13:16] {@Threei} nice
[13:17] {dino} thx, they worked nicely
[13:17] {dino} thinking of adding puts now, we
[13:18] {dino} are close to that 18k level again
01[13:26] {@Threei} looks like real panic in cards
01[13:26] {@Threei} watching VXX for pullback
[13:32] {dino} back in 30
01[13:41] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .05 break
01[13:41] {@Threei} If holds .95
[13:54] {nemo} VXX
01[14:00] {@Threei} Canada Supreme court allows assisted suicide
01[14:01] {@Threei} good to know I have option in case another naked Kardashian video appears
[14:07] {nemo} VXX should go soon
01[14:09] {@Threei} you call it
01[14:09] {@Threei} my timing is off today
[14:09] {nemo} oh sorry
[14:11] {nemo} might not get a pullback now
[14:12] {nemo} o.k. guess we will
[14:12] {nemo} holding that .95 breakout
[14:13] {nemo} 34 breaj
[14:13] {nemo} breaj'
[14:13] {nemo} break
[14:13] {nemo} stop under .90
[14:14] {nemo} damn...aapl
[14:15] {nemo} that's gonna' make it hard for the indexes to come in
[14:17] {nemo} o.k. aapl weakening a little
[14:17] {nemo} sheesh
[14:22] {nemo} I hate trades like this
[14:24] {nemo} they're going to DKTK us
[14:24] {nemo} spy broke through
01[14:26] {@Threei} lol, contest who outrinses whom
[14:26] {nemo} I think we should be o.k. now as long as aapl cooperates
[14:27] {nemo} frickin' aapl
[14:33] {nemo} wow holding that .88 level from 2:00
[14:33] {nemo} VXX that is
[14:33] {nemo} out
[14:34] {nemo} too early
01[14:35] {@Threei} that double bottom seems to be low for the day
[14:36] {nemo} maybe, this is vwap for spy, iwm almost there, aapl almost there
01[14:44] {@Threei} (VZ) Venezuela Oil Ministry notes there are more meetings scheduled with OPEC members to discuss strategy on oil price **Note: Late last year Russia, Venezuela, Mexico and Saudi Arabia agreed to have period meetings about oil levels and said they would meet again in February, though no date has been set.
[14:46] {nemo} yep DKTK
01[14:46] {@Threei} mother...
[14:46] {nemo} as soon as aapl started coming in
[14:53] {nemo} that sucked
01[14:54] {@Threei} told you, timing is major hindrance today
[14:54] {nemo} yeah, but I made the mistake of not assessing aapl correctly
[14:54] {nemo} I just looked at the indexes
[14:54] {nemo} aapl is a frickin' index
[14:59] {nemo} http://goo.gl/l8E5Sg
01[15:00] {@Threei} (GR) Eurogroup chief Dijsselbloem: Greece needs to submit a bailout extension request by Feb 16 to maintain EMU financial support
01[15:00] {@Threei} (US) DEC CONSUMER CREDIT: +$14.76B V +$15.0BE
[15:00] {nemo} wow
[15:02] {dino} ?
[15:02] {nemo} the drop....the missed VXX trade
[15:02] {dino} oh, 160 swing
[15:15] {dino} adding dia march puts
01[15:18] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[15:18] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[15:20] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:21] {@Threei} finally got something right
[15:29] {nemo} "A fan threw me a beer. If a fan throws you a beer, you have to chug it," Gronk said.
[15:33] {dino} taking a few days off for golf trip in myrtle beach. be back on thursday. good luck all
01[15:33] {@Threei} have fun dino
[15:33] {RonS} about time...
[15:33] {nemo} warmer down there
[15:34] {jfjf64} enjoy
01[15:34] {@Threei} you need a break from all that snow
[15:34] {dino} indeed, should be high 50s to mid 60s
01[15:42] {@Threei} ok, last one
01[15:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .90 break
01[15:42] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[15:43] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:46] {@Threei} ok
01[15:46] {@Threei} time for total breakdown
[15:46] {jfjf64} die ya biat ch
01[15:47] {@Threei} nah
01[15:47] {@Threei} closed second half
01[15:47] {@Threei} whew, annoying day... but last couple trades made it bearable
01[15:48] {@Threei} have a great weekend guys, see you Monday!
[15:48] {jfjf64} adios
[15:50] {dptl} gn
[15:50] {dino} cya dp
[15:50] {dino} cya jf
[15:51] {dino} gn all
[15:51] {jfjf64} have fun dino
[15:51] {dino} ty
[15:51] {jfjf64} have a couple beers relax
[15:51] {dino} will do
[15:51] {cosmo} You know, Torrey Pines is even warmer...
[15:51] {dino} some day
[15:52] {cosmo} :)
Thursday, February 5, 2015
Feb 05 2015
Slowish day that spent most of its time in a narrow range. Still, squeezed out profitable trading session.
Session Time: Thu Feb 05 00:00:00 2015
[09:19] {dino} gm, this snowing is getting old fast. yesterday 3", today another 5". we have received over 3 feet of snow in the last 2 weeks
01[09:19] {@Threei} yikes
[09:20] {dino} yeah, where i plow it off driveway its like 7 feet high
[09:20] {cosmo} fun
01[09:20] {@Threei} memories of winnipeg...
[09:21] {RonS} gm...60's here for next 5 days...storms have a real feeling of spring now
[09:21] {dino} hot fun, between my house, neighbors' house, and my office building, its a 1 1/2-2 hour job
01[09:21] {@Threei} ron :)
[09:21] {cosmo} memories of The Shinning
[09:21] {RonS} shoulda had boys :)
[09:22] {cosmo} -n
[09:25] {nemo} so the newsreading algo's sold us off, and now we're basically where we were
[09:25] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:25] {@Threei} jf :)
[09:25] {RonS} LB busting out...
01[09:25] {@Threei} told you it was nonsensical news
[09:25] {nemo} that's a bit hyperbolic Ron
[09:25] {dptl} gm
01[09:25] {@Threei} dp :)
[09:26] {RonS} :)
01[09:26] {@Threei} it was just a negotiation trick
01[09:26] {@Threei} but we profited nicely
01[09:26] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -HSP +35% (acquiring Hospira for $90/shr)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -EOPN +30% (enters agreement to be acquired by Insight Venture Partners for $8.60/shr)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GLUU +22% (earnings, deal with Katy Perry for new mobile game)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -SMRT +19% (Jan SSS)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -DATA +17% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -FTR +9.5% (deal with VZ over acquisition of tower assets for $5B)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GRA +7.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -FEYE +3.6% (no news, possible that rumors of current/future hacking into SNE & ANTM could be driving move)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -TWTR +3.6% (deal with GOOG)
01[09:26] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -RSTI -11% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -TDC -8.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GMCR -6.7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -KORS -6.7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -FOXA -4.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -PRU -4.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -CMI -3.4% (earnings)
[09:31] {dino} hnsi?
[09:32] {dino} hsni?
01[09:32] {@Threei} no news
[09:33] {dino} not finding anything either
[09:34] {nemo} what's the float?
[09:35] {nemo} 31.8 million...not alot
01[09:36] {@Threei} Short Setup: GM .40 break
01[09:36] {@Threei} If holds .45
[09:38] {nemo} this could be boring sans news today...setting up for tomorrow's numbers
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .50 break
01[09:39] {@Threei} If holds .42
[09:39] {nemo} .63 overhead resistance
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:1 GM
[09:40] {dino} hsni nov gap fill
01[09:40] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:40] {@Threei} 1:1 VXX
[09:40] {dino} vsm l hsni .60 wide
[09:41] {dino} hmm, got .55
[09:41] {nemo} wow, quite the secretarial spread on that one dino
01[09:41] {@Threei} closed GM
[09:41] {dino} indeed
01[09:41] {@Threei} and VXX
[09:42] {nemo} yeah..nicked .64
[09:42] {dino} going to let it flounder around wide
[09:42] {nemo} Animal House?
[09:42] {dino} sure wormer
[09:42] {nemo} He died two years ago
[09:44] {dino} see i broke the 9:45 rule and i'm down
[09:44] {nemo} dino...stock is down...low float...no news...wtf
[09:44] {dino} ;)
[09:45] {nemo} QCOM
01[09:51] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM .85 break
01[09:52] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(DK) DENMAR AGAIN CUTS RATES
01[10:02] {@Threei} stop to .91
01[10:02] {@Threei} 1 cent to 1:1
01[10:06] {@Threei} meh
[10:10] {cosmo} HSN, Inc. ( HSNI ) will begin trading ex-dividend on February 05, 2015.
[10:11] {cosmo} fwiw
[10:12] {nemo} how much was the dividend
[10:14] {cosmo} cash dividend payment of $10 per share
[10:14] {dino} oh, thats it then
[10:14] {nemo} yep, needs to drop a bit before a long
[10:15] {cosmo} should be close
[10:15] {nemo} XOP
01[10:19] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .45 break
01[10:19] {@Threei} If holds .35
01[10:22] {@Threei} JPM rinsed
01[10:23] {@Threei} dirty scoundrel
01[10:26] {@Threei} no go
01[10:33] {@Threei} market is glued to narrow range
[10:33] {nemo} jobs report tomorrow
01[10:34] {@Threei} should break soon, but direction is difficult to read
[10:34] {nemo} VMW
01[10:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .40 break
01[10:37] {@Threei} If holds .30
[10:38] {nemo} grind up day
01[10:38] {@Threei} probably, just gotta decide between breaks and DKTK
01[10:38] {@Threei} this trade will show
[10:39] {nemo} 206.42 likely grind up area at least 206 area test
01[10:40] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:41] {@Threei} just a scalp
[10:52] {jfjf64} vxx .10 break
[11:04] {dino} hsni sm l .47
[11:11] {nemo} why twtr up so much?
01[11:11] {@Threei} deal with Google yesterday
01[11:12] {@Threei} [TWTR] Said to have reached deal with Google for tweets to be shown in search results; Google may pay licensing fee - US financial press - In the past, the companies entered into an agreement related to Twitter's firehose content. In 2009, the two companies reached an agreement related to the live streaming of user tweets, but this agreement later expired in 2011. - The most recent agreement is not expected to involve advertising revenue and could involve Google paying some type of flat licensing fee.
01[11:13] {@Threei} Long Setup: AIG .85 break
01[11:13] {@Threei} If holds .77
01[11:17] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[11:20] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[11:20] {@Threei} If holds 33
01[11:29] {@Threei} no go
[11:35] {RonS} if you have nothing else to do: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71uqQKMGci8
01[11:41] {@Threei} nemo's in love
[11:42] {RonS} lol
[11:42] {RonS} hilarious
[11:51] {nemo} what's funny is high kicks are so dangerous to the kicker if they're up against somebody who knows what they're doing
[11:51] {nemo} makes me think this is staged actually looking at the video
[11:52] {nemo} yeah, I'm willing to bet this is staged
01[11:52] {@Threei} very true... in life long gone, my karate teacher used to say "max height for your kick is a belt-high, and that's probably twice as high as you'll ever need"
[11:53] {nemo} when you're kicking that high you can't generate any power
[11:53] {dino} aegr spike
01[11:53] {@Threei} of course this is the same guy who said "each fight should consist of three blows: yours, first and last, all three in one"
[11:53] {dino} sm s .56
[11:53] {nemo} well, a pro will usually be done with an opponent in less than 5 seconds
[11:54] {nemo} baba
[11:54] {nemo} sorry
[11:54] {dino} cov aegr.92, +.64
[11:56] {RonS} nice demo dino...of pro being done w/ opponenet in 5 seconds...
[11:57] {RonS} meantime over here w/ hsni watching the freakin paint dry... :)
01[11:58] {@Threei} :)
[11:58] {dino} :)
[11:58] {dino} yeah hsni, a big let down
[11:59] {dino} wjat am i missing on ua?
[12:00] {nemo} are you long or short?
[12:00] {RonS} outrageous p/e...
[12:00] {dino} not in
[12:00] {dino} pretty good report
[12:01] {RonS} so what ...60 times forward...
[12:01] {nemo} it's #5 weak stock on algo with high volume, must have alot of people getting in and alot of people getting out
[12:03] {nemo} airlines drip lower all day on oil
01[12:06] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .05 break
01[12:06] {@Threei} If holds .95
[12:06] {dino} something tells me the oil drop is not over yet
01[12:06] {@Threei} my feeling too
01[12:09] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:31] {@Threei} Long Setup: KORS 69 break
01[12:32] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[12:34] {@Threei} ugh
01[12:51] {@Threei} SOMG
01[12:51] {@Threei} with all capital letters
01[12:51] {@Threei} 1:5
[12:52] {dino} not seeing much
[13:01] {dino} rh drop
[13:07] {dino} rh sm l ave .15
01[13:08] {@Threei} Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said on Feb. 5 he is worried about a potential division within NATO as countries in the north want to focus on the growing threat from Russia, while other alliance members in the south are more worried about the influx of foreign fighters from northern Africa.
01[13:09] {@Threei} what's the problem? start war of north against south, and winner gets to elect who to fight
06[13:10] * @Threei is very proud of his conflict-resolving abilities
[13:11] {dino} damn, that fell fast
[13:17] {dino} rh last try sm l .11
[13:28] {dino} rh stopped again
[13:28] {dino} not my day
[13:28] {nemo} IWM looks northbound
[13:28] {nemo} jobs report tomorrow, stutter step day...not what you trade best
[13:30] {dino} taking a break
[13:38] {nemo} KSS
[13:49] {nemo} GMCR
01[14:02] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .65 break
01[14:02] {@Threei} If holds .55
01[14:10] {@Threei} 1:1
01[14:19] {@Threei} 1:2
01[14:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .85 break
01[14:42] {@Threei} If holds .79
01[14:44] {@Threei} Invalidated
[15:01] {dino} zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
[15:14] {RonS} ok, pulling the ripcord here...see you guys tomorrow
01[15:14] {@Threei} take care ron
[15:15] {nemo} not if the parachute doesn't deploy (hopefully)
01[15:16] {@Threei} there should be one last rally in IWM today
01[15:16] {@Threei} don't want to get rinsed, so waiting
[15:16] {nemo} it's at highs
[15:16] {nemo} grind up
[15:17] {nemo} vxx been walking the weekly pivot
01[15:19] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 120 break
01[15:19] {@Threei} If holds .90
[15:26] {dino} on the 3 month, that is a higher high on dji, but coming off a lower low
[15:27] {jfjf64} up /down????
[15:27] {jfjf64} lol
[15:27] {dino} million $ question
01[15:27] {@Threei} my feel is up
[15:28] {jfjf64} hey ya feelin nemo up
[15:28] {dino} same here 3i, they had all day to bring it down, but couldn't
01[15:28] {@Threei} unless EU pulls of yesterday's trick again saying that it doesn't know where Greece is
[15:28] {jfjf64} take it easy
[15:28] {nemo} this is about resistance on the charts and the jobs number
[15:28] {dino} cya jf
[15:29] {jfjf64} so much for res
[15:29] {jfjf64} cya dino
[15:29] {nemo} 206.26
01[15:29] {@Threei} 4 cents more IWM
01[15:29] {@Threei} 3
[15:30] {dino} 3 month we just pattern a top near 18k and bottom near 17,100. buy vxx calls around 18, puts around 17, or dia, whatever gets you going
01[15:32] {@Threei} 2
01[15:32] {@Threei} 1
[15:33] {jfjf64} don't be greedy
01[15:33] {@Threei} why?
01[15:33] {@Threei} greed, for the lack of better word, is good
01[15:34] {@Threei} 1:1
[15:37] {dino} you guys watch wolf of wallstreet?
[15:37] {jfjf64} not yet
[15:37] {jfjf64} you
01[15:37] {@Threei} is it good?
[15:37] {dino} aside from him screwing over people, it's one of the funniest movies out lately
[15:38] {dino} the guy was seriously out of control with partying
01[15:39] {@Threei} oh wait... I did watch it
01[15:39] {@Threei} 1:2
[15:39] {jfjf64} have to watch
[15:39] {dino} its funny jf
01[15:39] {@Threei} boiler room kind of trading
[15:39] {dino} yeah
[15:39] {dino} which, btw, boiler room was a good movie too
01[15:39] {@Threei} getting my rally nailed :)
[15:40] {jfjf64} liked boiler room
[15:43] {jfjf64} may beone more push
01[15:43] {@Threei} yup
[15:44] {nemo} indexes look like run into the close they want that .42 area on spy, running aapl to do it
[15:46] {nemo} aapl croaks, indexes croak
01[15:46] {@Threei} ok, closed last piece
[15:47] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
01[15:47] {@Threei} eked out positive day
01[15:47] {@Threei} thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:47] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
[15:47] {jfjf64} good night all
[15:48] {dino} gn
Session Time: Thu Feb 05 00:00:00 2015
[09:19] {dino} gm, this snowing is getting old fast. yesterday 3", today another 5". we have received over 3 feet of snow in the last 2 weeks
01[09:19] {@Threei} yikes
[09:20] {dino} yeah, where i plow it off driveway its like 7 feet high
[09:20] {cosmo} fun
01[09:20] {@Threei} memories of winnipeg...
[09:21] {RonS} gm...60's here for next 5 days...storms have a real feeling of spring now
[09:21] {dino} hot fun, between my house, neighbors' house, and my office building, its a 1 1/2-2 hour job
01[09:21] {@Threei} ron :)
[09:21] {cosmo} memories of The Shinning
[09:21] {RonS} shoulda had boys :)
[09:22] {cosmo} -n
[09:25] {nemo} so the newsreading algo's sold us off, and now we're basically where we were
[09:25] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:25] {@Threei} jf :)
[09:25] {RonS} LB busting out...
01[09:25] {@Threei} told you it was nonsensical news
[09:25] {nemo} that's a bit hyperbolic Ron
[09:25] {dptl} gm
01[09:25] {@Threei} dp :)
[09:26] {RonS} :)
01[09:26] {@Threei} it was just a negotiation trick
01[09:26] {@Threei} but we profited nicely
01[09:26] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -HSP +35% (acquiring Hospira for $90/shr)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -EOPN +30% (enters agreement to be acquired by Insight Venture Partners for $8.60/shr)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GLUU +22% (earnings, deal with Katy Perry for new mobile game)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -SMRT +19% (Jan SSS)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -DATA +17% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -FTR +9.5% (deal with VZ over acquisition of tower assets for $5B)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GRA +7.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -FEYE +3.6% (no news, possible that rumors of current/future hacking into SNE & ANTM could be driving move)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -TWTR +3.6% (deal with GOOG)
01[09:26] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -RSTI -11% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -TDC -8.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GMCR -6.7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -KORS -6.7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -FOXA -4.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -PRU -4.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -CMI -3.4% (earnings)
[09:31] {dino} hnsi?
[09:32] {dino} hsni?
01[09:32] {@Threei} no news
[09:33] {dino} not finding anything either
[09:34] {nemo} what's the float?
[09:35] {nemo} 31.8 million...not alot
01[09:36] {@Threei} Short Setup: GM .40 break
01[09:36] {@Threei} If holds .45
[09:38] {nemo} this could be boring sans news today...setting up for tomorrow's numbers
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .50 break
01[09:39] {@Threei} If holds .42
[09:39] {nemo} .63 overhead resistance
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:1 GM
[09:40] {dino} hsni nov gap fill
01[09:40] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:40] {@Threei} 1:1 VXX
[09:40] {dino} vsm l hsni .60 wide
[09:41] {dino} hmm, got .55
[09:41] {nemo} wow, quite the secretarial spread on that one dino
01[09:41] {@Threei} closed GM
[09:41] {dino} indeed
01[09:41] {@Threei} and VXX
[09:42] {nemo} yeah..nicked .64
[09:42] {dino} going to let it flounder around wide
[09:42] {nemo} Animal House?
[09:42] {dino} sure wormer
[09:42] {nemo} He died two years ago
[09:44] {dino} see i broke the 9:45 rule and i'm down
[09:44] {nemo} dino...stock is down...low float...no news...wtf
[09:44] {dino} ;)
[09:45] {nemo} QCOM
01[09:51] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM .85 break
01[09:52] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(DK) DENMAR AGAIN CUTS RATES
01[10:02] {@Threei} stop to .91
01[10:02] {@Threei} 1 cent to 1:1
01[10:06] {@Threei} meh
[10:10] {cosmo} HSN, Inc. ( HSNI ) will begin trading ex-dividend on February 05, 2015.
[10:11] {cosmo} fwiw
[10:12] {nemo} how much was the dividend
[10:14] {cosmo} cash dividend payment of $10 per share
[10:14] {dino} oh, thats it then
[10:14] {nemo} yep, needs to drop a bit before a long
[10:15] {cosmo} should be close
[10:15] {nemo} XOP
01[10:19] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .45 break
01[10:19] {@Threei} If holds .35
01[10:22] {@Threei} JPM rinsed
01[10:23] {@Threei} dirty scoundrel
01[10:26] {@Threei} no go
01[10:33] {@Threei} market is glued to narrow range
[10:33] {nemo} jobs report tomorrow
01[10:34] {@Threei} should break soon, but direction is difficult to read
[10:34] {nemo} VMW
01[10:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .40 break
01[10:37] {@Threei} If holds .30
[10:38] {nemo} grind up day
01[10:38] {@Threei} probably, just gotta decide between breaks and DKTK
01[10:38] {@Threei} this trade will show
[10:39] {nemo} 206.42 likely grind up area at least 206 area test
01[10:40] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:41] {@Threei} just a scalp
[10:52] {jfjf64} vxx .10 break
[11:04] {dino} hsni sm l .47
[11:11] {nemo} why twtr up so much?
01[11:11] {@Threei} deal with Google yesterday
01[11:12] {@Threei} [TWTR] Said to have reached deal with Google for tweets to be shown in search results; Google may pay licensing fee - US financial press - In the past, the companies entered into an agreement related to Twitter's firehose content. In 2009, the two companies reached an agreement related to the live streaming of user tweets, but this agreement later expired in 2011. - The most recent agreement is not expected to involve advertising revenue and could involve Google paying some type of flat licensing fee.
01[11:13] {@Threei} Long Setup: AIG .85 break
01[11:13] {@Threei} If holds .77
01[11:17] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[11:20] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[11:20] {@Threei} If holds 33
01[11:29] {@Threei} no go
[11:35] {RonS} if you have nothing else to do: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71uqQKMGci8
01[11:41] {@Threei} nemo's in love
[11:42] {RonS} lol
[11:42] {RonS} hilarious
[11:51] {nemo} what's funny is high kicks are so dangerous to the kicker if they're up against somebody who knows what they're doing
[11:51] {nemo} makes me think this is staged actually looking at the video
[11:52] {nemo} yeah, I'm willing to bet this is staged
01[11:52] {@Threei} very true... in life long gone, my karate teacher used to say "max height for your kick is a belt-high, and that's probably twice as high as you'll ever need"
[11:53] {nemo} when you're kicking that high you can't generate any power
[11:53] {dino} aegr spike
01[11:53] {@Threei} of course this is the same guy who said "each fight should consist of three blows: yours, first and last, all three in one"
[11:53] {dino} sm s .56
[11:53] {nemo} well, a pro will usually be done with an opponent in less than 5 seconds
[11:54] {nemo} baba
[11:54] {nemo} sorry
[11:54] {dino} cov aegr.92, +.64
[11:56] {RonS} nice demo dino...of pro being done w/ opponenet in 5 seconds...
[11:57] {RonS} meantime over here w/ hsni watching the freakin paint dry... :)
01[11:58] {@Threei} :)
[11:58] {dino} :)
[11:58] {dino} yeah hsni, a big let down
[11:59] {dino} wjat am i missing on ua?
[12:00] {nemo} are you long or short?
[12:00] {RonS} outrageous p/e...
[12:00] {dino} not in
[12:00] {dino} pretty good report
[12:01] {RonS} so what ...60 times forward...
[12:01] {nemo} it's #5 weak stock on algo with high volume, must have alot of people getting in and alot of people getting out
[12:03] {nemo} airlines drip lower all day on oil
01[12:06] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .05 break
01[12:06] {@Threei} If holds .95
[12:06] {dino} something tells me the oil drop is not over yet
01[12:06] {@Threei} my feeling too
01[12:09] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:31] {@Threei} Long Setup: KORS 69 break
01[12:32] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[12:34] {@Threei} ugh
01[12:51] {@Threei} SOMG
01[12:51] {@Threei} with all capital letters
01[12:51] {@Threei} 1:5
[12:52] {dino} not seeing much
[13:01] {dino} rh drop
[13:07] {dino} rh sm l ave .15
01[13:08] {@Threei} Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said on Feb. 5 he is worried about a potential division within NATO as countries in the north want to focus on the growing threat from Russia, while other alliance members in the south are more worried about the influx of foreign fighters from northern Africa.
01[13:09] {@Threei} what's the problem? start war of north against south, and winner gets to elect who to fight
06[13:10] * @Threei is very proud of his conflict-resolving abilities
[13:11] {dino} damn, that fell fast
[13:17] {dino} rh last try sm l .11
[13:28] {dino} rh stopped again
[13:28] {dino} not my day
[13:28] {nemo} IWM looks northbound
[13:28] {nemo} jobs report tomorrow, stutter step day...not what you trade best
[13:30] {dino} taking a break
[13:38] {nemo} KSS
[13:49] {nemo} GMCR
01[14:02] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .65 break
01[14:02] {@Threei} If holds .55
01[14:10] {@Threei} 1:1
01[14:19] {@Threei} 1:2
01[14:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .85 break
01[14:42] {@Threei} If holds .79
01[14:44] {@Threei} Invalidated
[15:01] {dino} zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
[15:14] {RonS} ok, pulling the ripcord here...see you guys tomorrow
01[15:14] {@Threei} take care ron
[15:15] {nemo} not if the parachute doesn't deploy (hopefully)
01[15:16] {@Threei} there should be one last rally in IWM today
01[15:16] {@Threei} don't want to get rinsed, so waiting
[15:16] {nemo} it's at highs
[15:16] {nemo} grind up
[15:17] {nemo} vxx been walking the weekly pivot
01[15:19] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 120 break
01[15:19] {@Threei} If holds .90
[15:26] {dino} on the 3 month, that is a higher high on dji, but coming off a lower low
[15:27] {jfjf64} up /down????
[15:27] {jfjf64} lol
[15:27] {dino} million $ question
01[15:27] {@Threei} my feel is up
[15:28] {jfjf64} hey ya feelin nemo up
[15:28] {dino} same here 3i, they had all day to bring it down, but couldn't
01[15:28] {@Threei} unless EU pulls of yesterday's trick again saying that it doesn't know where Greece is
[15:28] {jfjf64} take it easy
[15:28] {nemo} this is about resistance on the charts and the jobs number
[15:28] {dino} cya jf
[15:29] {jfjf64} so much for res
[15:29] {jfjf64} cya dino
[15:29] {nemo} 206.26
01[15:29] {@Threei} 4 cents more IWM
01[15:29] {@Threei} 3
[15:30] {dino} 3 month we just pattern a top near 18k and bottom near 17,100. buy vxx calls around 18, puts around 17, or dia, whatever gets you going
01[15:32] {@Threei} 2
01[15:32] {@Threei} 1
[15:33] {jfjf64} don't be greedy
01[15:33] {@Threei} why?
01[15:33] {@Threei} greed, for the lack of better word, is good
01[15:34] {@Threei} 1:1
[15:37] {dino} you guys watch wolf of wallstreet?
[15:37] {jfjf64} not yet
[15:37] {jfjf64} you
01[15:37] {@Threei} is it good?
[15:37] {dino} aside from him screwing over people, it's one of the funniest movies out lately
[15:38] {dino} the guy was seriously out of control with partying
01[15:39] {@Threei} oh wait... I did watch it
01[15:39] {@Threei} 1:2
[15:39] {jfjf64} have to watch
[15:39] {dino} its funny jf
01[15:39] {@Threei} boiler room kind of trading
[15:39] {dino} yeah
[15:39] {dino} which, btw, boiler room was a good movie too
01[15:39] {@Threei} getting my rally nailed :)
[15:40] {jfjf64} liked boiler room
[15:43] {jfjf64} may beone more push
01[15:43] {@Threei} yup
[15:44] {nemo} indexes look like run into the close they want that .42 area on spy, running aapl to do it
[15:46] {nemo} aapl croaks, indexes croak
01[15:46] {@Threei} ok, closed last piece
[15:47] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
01[15:47] {@Threei} eked out positive day
01[15:47] {@Threei} thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:47] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
[15:47] {jfjf64} good night all
[15:48] {dino} gn
Wednesday, February 4, 2015
Feb 04 2015
Nicely profitable day, started with 1:4 and ended with 1:5, with all kinds of scalps inbetween. Last VXX trade was especially spectacular, outshining the opening short on GM
Session Time: Wed Feb 04 00:00:00 2015
[08:53] {dino} gm 3i
01[08:55] {@Threei} dino :)
[09:11] {RonS} hi guys
01[09:11] {@Threei} ron :)
[09:22] {dptl} gm
01[09:22] {@Threei} dp :)
[09:24] {dino} biotech wreck this morning
[09:24] {RonS} gild not gold...
01[09:25] {@Threei} lol
[09:25] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:26] {@Threei} jf :)
01[09:26] {@Threei} mitrasalkat, see private message please
01[09:26] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -NES +41% (signed deal with Clean Harbors to acquire Thermo Fluids for $84M)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -ENTR +7.4% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -SNE +7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -SJM +5.8% (acquiring Big Heart Pet Brands for $5.8B)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GM +5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -DIS +3.7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -ODP +2.6% (being acquired by SPLS for $11/shr)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -KSS +3.8% (guidance)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -SLAB +6.4% (eps and guidance)
01[09:27] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:27] {@Threei} -MYGN -18.5% (earnings; negative broker commentary)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -RL -11% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -GILD -7.5% (earnings & comments that the company is offering wider discounts for Hep C drugs Harvoni & Sovaldi)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -PLNR -7.5% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -CMG -6.2% (earnings & cost of steak and pork write-offs)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -SPLS -6% (acquiring ODP for $11/shr)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -ABBV -4.4% (GILD news re Hep C discounts)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -SNH -4.4% (offering 25M shares)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -ICPT -4.2% (announced 800K share offering)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -WYNN -4.2% (earnings, MPEL -2.5%)
01[09:30] {@Threei} GM has no business gapping up like this
01[09:33] {@Threei} Short Setup: GM .20 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .30
[09:33] {jfjf64} to fast here
01[09:35] {@Threei} .15 huge bid held it twice... third time should be it
01[09:35] {@Threei} there
01[09:35] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:36] {@Threei} same with .10 now
01[09:37] {@Threei} :)(
01[09:37] {@Threei} :)
01[09:37] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:37] {@Threei} gravity exists
01[09:37] {@Threei} now we know
[09:38] {nemo} sometimes I regret not trading the first 15 minutes
01[09:39] {@Threei} let's try for 1:5?
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:3
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:4
01[09:39] {@Threei} good boy
01[09:39] {@Threei} questionable cars though
[09:40] {dino} gj
[09:40] {RonS} iaci sm l 59.94
01[09:41] {@Threei} ty
[09:41] {jfjf64} im out 1:4 ty
[09:41] {dino} nemo, same here, i let iaci run w/o me because of my rule
01[09:41] {@Threei} closed
01[09:41] {@Threei} yw
[09:41] {dino} 07 rockin' green
[09:43] {jfjf64} twtr buy on pull bk
[09:43] {jfjf64} my opinion
01[09:45] {@Threei} *(US) JAN FINAL MARKIT SERVICES PMI: 54.2 V 54.1E
[09:47] {nemo} look at that 1 min candle on DIS
[09:48] {jfjf64} ??
[09:48] {nemo} it gapped from the high down below 99 in seconds
01[09:50] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .20 break
01[09:51] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:51] {@Threei} no go
[09:56] {dino} achn sm l .85
01[10:00] {@Threei} (US) JAN ISM NON-MANUFACTURING COMPOSITE: 56.7 V 56.4E
[10:03] {RonS} out iaci 60.85 from 59.61 ave +1.24
[10:04] {jfjf64} that a boy ronnie
01[10:04] {@Threei} wtg
[10:04] {RonS} what my grandpa used to call me...ty
01[10:04] {@Threei} mitrasalkat, see private message please
01[10:06] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .95 break
01[10:06] {@Threei} If holds .05
[10:07] {RonS} achn thicker than Aretha Franklin...
[10:07] {jfjf64} lol
01[10:09] {@Threei} nope
[10:10] {jfjf64} here it goes
[10:11] {jfjf64} chop chop
01[10:14] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD .60 break
01[10:14] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[10:14] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:22] {dino} lol ron
01[10:26] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .80 break
01[10:26] {@Threei} If holds .90
[10:26] {dino} cvti spike
01[10:29] {@Threei} ultimate definition of trash: Kim Kardashian reviews 'Fifty Shades of Grey'
01[10:31] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .45 break
01[10:39] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:43] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:49] {jfjf64} twtr
[10:54] {jfjf64} its a 1: day
01[10:54] {@Threei} GM begs to differ
[10:55] {jfjf64} f u twtr
[10:55] {jfjf64} yes
[10:55] {jfjf64} gm
[10:55] {dino} achn to .16
01[10:55] {@Threei} and JPM still holds hope
[10:55] {jfjf64} look what twtr did
[10:56] {jfjf64} took 10 break
[10:56] {jfjf64} 1:1
[10:56] {jfjf64} then out
[10:56] {dino} out +.41 achn
[10:57] {RonS} driving down a freeway of love eh dino...gj
01[10:57] {@Threei} lol
[11:00] {dino} ty
[11:02] {RonS} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISVMovHZUMg
[11:05] {RonS} one place nemo won't go: Buying a pack of condoms in Venezuela now costs $755 http://bloom.bg/1zfxay0
01[11:06] {@Threei} as sign at the store in Nassau says, "protect ya t'ings" :)
[11:09] {RonS} twc cmcsa acting like tat deal about to or got approved
[11:09] {RonS} +h
[11:10] {RonS} chtr moving too...prob benefits from forced spinooffs
01[11:20] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM .40 break
01[11:20] {@Threei} If holds .50
[11:37] {nemo} looking to reshort FAST above 43 dino
[11:37] {nemo} pretty strong overhead below .20
[11:37] {nemo} 43.20 that is
[11:38] {dino} no news on it nemo?
[11:38] {RonS} been big put buying in fast...
[11:39] {nemo} no news
01[11:43] {@Threei} FAST Reports Jan net sales +6.9% y/y- Daily sales +12% y/y
[11:44] {nemo} shit didn't get to 43
01[11:45] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .95 break
01[11:45] {@Threei} If holds .85
01[11:52] {@Threei} 1:1
[11:55] {jfjf64} hey vg you have ya steel toe boots on today
01[11:56] {@Threei} nope
[11:56] {jfjf64} pls put on stomp on spy
[11:59] {dino} momo spike
[12:02] {jfjf64} common vg lace boots already
01[12:04] {@Threei} sigh... I am trying to be kind... civilized...
01[12:04] {@Threei} but as soon as I think I am out, you pull me back it
01[12:04] {@Threei} in
[12:04] {nemo} that makes about as much sense as you wearing a tutu
01[12:05] {@Threei} yeah... you and jf...
01[12:05] {@Threei} can't be civilized with you two around
01[12:05] {@Threei} wait... without you two I didn't succeed much in that either
01[12:05] {@Threei} stop to .99
01[12:06] {@Threei} 1/4 more out
01[12:06] {@Threei} twice at .14
[12:11] {jfjf64} be back in hour
[12:13] {jfjf64} rat
[12:13] {dino} same here, taking break
01[12:22] {@Threei} The DJIA is now less than 100 points away from erasing its January losses and the Nasdaq has pulled even for the year as US equities see their third consecutive session of gains.
01[12:24] {@Threei} jeez...
01[12:24] {@Threei} http://www.kyivpost.com/content/kyiv-post-plus/sbu-says-it-caught-traitor-preventing-terrorist-attack-planned-for-parliament-on-feb-5-379489.html
01[12:25] {@Threei} Steinmeier says US weapon to lead to more deaths in eastern Ukraine
01[12:26] {@Threei} hmmm... really? weapon kills?
01[12:26] {@Threei} who would have thought
01[12:26] {@Threei} frikin imbecile
01[12:32] {@Threei} how about that VXX
01[13:09] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[13:11] {@Threei} If holds .40
[13:12] {nemo} me thinks it drops .40 first
01[13:14] {@Threei} hopefully holds and goes back up
01[13:14] {@Threei} SPY channel suggests that
[13:17] {nemo} pivot .37
[13:26] {nemo} choppy mess
01[13:28] {@Threei} running now
[13:29] {nemo} maybe, maybe not, this is the area of the 50 day on the spy
[13:29] {dino} .
[13:32] {jfjf64} whats happenin boss
01[13:32] {@Threei} NAV halted
[13:43] {nemo} NOV
[13:51] {nemo} QCOM
01[13:51] {@Threei} watcvhing VXX gfor pullback entry
01[13:53] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .20 break
01[13:53] {@Threei} If holds .10
[13:54] {nemo} watch aapl
01[13:55] {@Threei} 1:1
01[13:56] {@Threei} don't need no stinkin' AAPL
[13:56] {nemo} if aapl comes in the market comes in
01[13:57] {@Threei} 1:2
01[13:57] {@Threei} (close enough for 1/4 more out)
01[13:58] {@Threei} perrrfect entry on a rinse
[13:58] {nemo} yeah, scalp day, don't expect SPY to get too far away from .40-50
01[13:58] {@Threei} probably not, but...
01[13:58] {@Threei} look how this rug pull happened
01[13:58] {@Threei} may have more in store
[13:58] {nemo} yeah, aapl dropped
[14:02] {nemo} this is funny regarding Patriots:http://goo.gl/hMe7Zc
01[14:09] {@Threei} another nice drop but this one I couldn't read at all
[14:18] {jfjf64} clean ya glasses
[14:18] {jfjf64} lol
01[14:26] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .45 break
01[14:27] {@Threei} fast...
[14:28] {nemo} watch aapl
01[14:31] {@Threei} again
01[14:31] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[14:31] {@Threei} 1:1
[14:32] {jfjf64} nice entry
01[14:41] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .55 break
01[14:41] {@Threei} If holds .45
[14:42] {nemo} aapl coming in
01[14:43] {@Threei} trail to .49
01[14:49] {@Threei} 1:1
[14:49] {jfjf64} now run
[14:49] {jfjf64} aaple run
[14:49] {nemo} probably won't be any running
[14:49] {jfjf64} run forrest
[14:50] {jfjf64} nemo the party killer
[14:50] {nemo} no, nemo the chart reader
01[14:51] {@Threei} buzzkill
[14:51] {nemo} keep drinking then
[14:51] {jfjf64} that's what I need
01[14:56] {@Threei} lol jf... reminded me a little Johnny who answered teacher's question "what would you like to have in your household?" with: starting tomorrow, we have evferything
01[14:57] {@Threei} and when teacher asked for explanation, he obliged
01[14:57] {@Threei} when Mom said her mom was coming for a month-long visit, dad said "that's the last thing we need"
[14:58] {jfjf64} so true
[14:58] {jfjf64} vxx
[14:59] {jfjf64} 40 break looks the part
[15:01] {jfjf64} 1;1
[15:14] {jfjf64} here ya apple nemo
[15:27] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
01[15:28] {@Threei} take care dp
01[15:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[15:32] {@Threei} If holds .70
[15:35] {nemo} vxx .76 break
[15:35] {nemo} .75
[15:36] {nemo} stop under .70
01[15:37] {@Threei} ok VXX, let's go
[15:38] {nemo} stop to .78
01[15:38] {@Threei} 1:1
[15:38] {nemo} partial .98
01[15:38] {@Threei} 1:2
06[15:38] * @Threei slaps jfjf64 around a bit with a large roll of cash
01[15:39] {@Threei} 1:3
01[15:39] {@Threei} nailed it!
[15:39] {jfjf64} yes ya did
[15:40] {jfjf64} great job
[15:40] {jfjf64} go babbbbby
01[15:40] {@Threei} 1:5
01[15:40] {@Threei} I am out
[15:40] {nemo} partial .28
01[15:40] {@Threei} happy
[15:40] {nemo} stop under .20
[15:40] {jfjf64} im out
[15:40] {nemo} stop under .30
[15:41] {nemo} wow
[15:41] {nemo} stop under .40
[15:42] {nemo} holy shit
[15:42] {RonS} ECB WILL NOT ACCEPT GREEK GOV BONDS AS COLLATERAL
01[15:42] {@Threei} wow
[15:43] {nemo} out
[15:43] {nemo} fuck me, bounced off of vwap
[15:44] {jfjf64} wow it did
[15:44] {jfjf64} 1.00 from entry
[15:44] {nemo} fuck me
01[15:45] {@Threei} thank you, I'll decline
[15:45] {jfjf64} me too
01[15:45] {@Threei} it's not you, it's me
01[15:45] {@Threei} 1:13
[15:45] {nemo} Holy shit
01[15:46] {@Threei} 1:15
[15:47] {nemo} Fick mich!
[15:47] {nemo} FIck mich!
[15:47] {nemo} verdammte Griechesche Menschen!!!!
[15:47] {nemo} Ach du Liebe GOtt!!!
[15:47] {nemo} Raspizdiyi
[15:47] {nemo} !!!!!!!!
[15:49] {nemo} http://goo.gl/XAGTHc
[15:49] {cosmo} gee, that was a good trade to save for instrucional purposes
[15:50] {RonS} ECB: Can't Assume Successful Conclusion to Greek Bailout Review
[15:50] {nemo} was that the death whisper for the Euro?
01[15:50] {@Threei} nah, just a negotiation process
01[15:51] {@Threei} Euro will die of course but not this way
01[15:52] {@Threei} such statement brings them a lot of room to scare both, Greeks and hawks in other countries
[15:52] {jfjf64} goon night all
01[15:52] {@Threei} greeks will soften their stance when face real danger of exit, hawks will let EU go for softer stance as well
01[15:52] {@Threei} sdo compromise is closer
01[15:53] {@Threei} that''s all there is to it
01[15:53] {@Threei} thank yiu all, have a great evening
01[15:53] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Session Time: Wed Feb 04 00:00:00 2015
[08:53] {dino} gm 3i
01[08:55] {@Threei} dino :)
[09:11] {RonS} hi guys
01[09:11] {@Threei} ron :)
[09:22] {dptl} gm
01[09:22] {@Threei} dp :)
[09:24] {dino} biotech wreck this morning
[09:24] {RonS} gild not gold...
01[09:25] {@Threei} lol
[09:25] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:26] {@Threei} jf :)
01[09:26] {@Threei} mitrasalkat, see private message please
01[09:26] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -NES +41% (signed deal with Clean Harbors to acquire Thermo Fluids for $84M)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -ENTR +7.4% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -SNE +7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -SJM +5.8% (acquiring Big Heart Pet Brands for $5.8B)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GM +5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -DIS +3.7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -ODP +2.6% (being acquired by SPLS for $11/shr)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -KSS +3.8% (guidance)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -SLAB +6.4% (eps and guidance)
01[09:27] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:27] {@Threei} -MYGN -18.5% (earnings; negative broker commentary)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -RL -11% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -GILD -7.5% (earnings & comments that the company is offering wider discounts for Hep C drugs Harvoni & Sovaldi)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -PLNR -7.5% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -CMG -6.2% (earnings & cost of steak and pork write-offs)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -SPLS -6% (acquiring ODP for $11/shr)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -ABBV -4.4% (GILD news re Hep C discounts)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -SNH -4.4% (offering 25M shares)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -ICPT -4.2% (announced 800K share offering)
01[09:27] {@Threei} -WYNN -4.2% (earnings, MPEL -2.5%)
01[09:30] {@Threei} GM has no business gapping up like this
01[09:33] {@Threei} Short Setup: GM .20 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .30
[09:33] {jfjf64} to fast here
01[09:35] {@Threei} .15 huge bid held it twice... third time should be it
01[09:35] {@Threei} there
01[09:35] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:36] {@Threei} same with .10 now
01[09:37] {@Threei} :)(
01[09:37] {@Threei} :)
01[09:37] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:37] {@Threei} gravity exists
01[09:37] {@Threei} now we know
[09:38] {nemo} sometimes I regret not trading the first 15 minutes
01[09:39] {@Threei} let's try for 1:5?
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:3
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:4
01[09:39] {@Threei} good boy
01[09:39] {@Threei} questionable cars though
[09:40] {dino} gj
[09:40] {RonS} iaci sm l 59.94
01[09:41] {@Threei} ty
[09:41] {jfjf64} im out 1:4 ty
[09:41] {dino} nemo, same here, i let iaci run w/o me because of my rule
01[09:41] {@Threei} closed
01[09:41] {@Threei} yw
[09:41] {dino} 07 rockin' green
[09:43] {jfjf64} twtr buy on pull bk
[09:43] {jfjf64} my opinion
01[09:45] {@Threei} *(US) JAN FINAL MARKIT SERVICES PMI: 54.2 V 54.1E
[09:47] {nemo} look at that 1 min candle on DIS
[09:48] {jfjf64} ??
[09:48] {nemo} it gapped from the high down below 99 in seconds
01[09:50] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .20 break
01[09:51] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:51] {@Threei} no go
[09:56] {dino} achn sm l .85
01[10:00] {@Threei} (US) JAN ISM NON-MANUFACTURING COMPOSITE: 56.7 V 56.4E
[10:03] {RonS} out iaci 60.85 from 59.61 ave +1.24
[10:04] {jfjf64} that a boy ronnie
01[10:04] {@Threei} wtg
[10:04] {RonS} what my grandpa used to call me...ty
01[10:04] {@Threei} mitrasalkat, see private message please
01[10:06] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .95 break
01[10:06] {@Threei} If holds .05
[10:07] {RonS} achn thicker than Aretha Franklin...
[10:07] {jfjf64} lol
01[10:09] {@Threei} nope
[10:10] {jfjf64} here it goes
[10:11] {jfjf64} chop chop
01[10:14] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD .60 break
01[10:14] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[10:14] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:22] {dino} lol ron
01[10:26] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .80 break
01[10:26] {@Threei} If holds .90
[10:26] {dino} cvti spike
01[10:29] {@Threei} ultimate definition of trash: Kim Kardashian reviews 'Fifty Shades of Grey'
01[10:31] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .45 break
01[10:39] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:43] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:49] {jfjf64} twtr
[10:54] {jfjf64} its a 1: day
01[10:54] {@Threei} GM begs to differ
[10:55] {jfjf64} f u twtr
[10:55] {jfjf64} yes
[10:55] {jfjf64} gm
[10:55] {dino} achn to .16
01[10:55] {@Threei} and JPM still holds hope
[10:55] {jfjf64} look what twtr did
[10:56] {jfjf64} took 10 break
[10:56] {jfjf64} 1:1
[10:56] {jfjf64} then out
[10:56] {dino} out +.41 achn
[10:57] {RonS} driving down a freeway of love eh dino...gj
01[10:57] {@Threei} lol
[11:00] {dino} ty
[11:02] {RonS} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISVMovHZUMg
[11:05] {RonS} one place nemo won't go: Buying a pack of condoms in Venezuela now costs $755 http://bloom.bg/1zfxay0
01[11:06] {@Threei} as sign at the store in Nassau says, "protect ya t'ings" :)
[11:09] {RonS} twc cmcsa acting like tat deal about to or got approved
[11:09] {RonS} +h
[11:10] {RonS} chtr moving too...prob benefits from forced spinooffs
01[11:20] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM .40 break
01[11:20] {@Threei} If holds .50
[11:37] {nemo} looking to reshort FAST above 43 dino
[11:37] {nemo} pretty strong overhead below .20
[11:37] {nemo} 43.20 that is
[11:38] {dino} no news on it nemo?
[11:38] {RonS} been big put buying in fast...
[11:39] {nemo} no news
01[11:43] {@Threei} FAST Reports Jan net sales +6.9% y/y- Daily sales +12% y/y
[11:44] {nemo} shit didn't get to 43
01[11:45] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .95 break
01[11:45] {@Threei} If holds .85
01[11:52] {@Threei} 1:1
[11:55] {jfjf64} hey vg you have ya steel toe boots on today
01[11:56] {@Threei} nope
[11:56] {jfjf64} pls put on stomp on spy
[11:59] {dino} momo spike
[12:02] {jfjf64} common vg lace boots already
01[12:04] {@Threei} sigh... I am trying to be kind... civilized...
01[12:04] {@Threei} but as soon as I think I am out, you pull me back it
01[12:04] {@Threei} in
[12:04] {nemo} that makes about as much sense as you wearing a tutu
01[12:05] {@Threei} yeah... you and jf...
01[12:05] {@Threei} can't be civilized with you two around
01[12:05] {@Threei} wait... without you two I didn't succeed much in that either
01[12:05] {@Threei} stop to .99
01[12:06] {@Threei} 1/4 more out
01[12:06] {@Threei} twice at .14
[12:11] {jfjf64} be back in hour
[12:13] {jfjf64} rat
[12:13] {dino} same here, taking break
01[12:22] {@Threei} The DJIA is now less than 100 points away from erasing its January losses and the Nasdaq has pulled even for the year as US equities see their third consecutive session of gains.
01[12:24] {@Threei} jeez...
01[12:24] {@Threei} http://www.kyivpost.com/content/kyiv-post-plus/sbu-says-it-caught-traitor-preventing-terrorist-attack-planned-for-parliament-on-feb-5-379489.html
01[12:25] {@Threei} Steinmeier says US weapon to lead to more deaths in eastern Ukraine
01[12:26] {@Threei} hmmm... really? weapon kills?
01[12:26] {@Threei} who would have thought
01[12:26] {@Threei} frikin imbecile
01[12:32] {@Threei} how about that VXX
01[13:09] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[13:11] {@Threei} If holds .40
[13:12] {nemo} me thinks it drops .40 first
01[13:14] {@Threei} hopefully holds and goes back up
01[13:14] {@Threei} SPY channel suggests that
[13:17] {nemo} pivot .37
[13:26] {nemo} choppy mess
01[13:28] {@Threei} running now
[13:29] {nemo} maybe, maybe not, this is the area of the 50 day on the spy
[13:29] {dino} .
[13:32] {jfjf64} whats happenin boss
01[13:32] {@Threei} NAV halted
[13:43] {nemo} NOV
[13:51] {nemo} QCOM
01[13:51] {@Threei} watcvhing VXX gfor pullback entry
01[13:53] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .20 break
01[13:53] {@Threei} If holds .10
[13:54] {nemo} watch aapl
01[13:55] {@Threei} 1:1
01[13:56] {@Threei} don't need no stinkin' AAPL
[13:56] {nemo} if aapl comes in the market comes in
01[13:57] {@Threei} 1:2
01[13:57] {@Threei} (close enough for 1/4 more out)
01[13:58] {@Threei} perrrfect entry on a rinse
[13:58] {nemo} yeah, scalp day, don't expect SPY to get too far away from .40-50
01[13:58] {@Threei} probably not, but...
01[13:58] {@Threei} look how this rug pull happened
01[13:58] {@Threei} may have more in store
[13:58] {nemo} yeah, aapl dropped
[14:02] {nemo} this is funny regarding Patriots:http://goo.gl/hMe7Zc
01[14:09] {@Threei} another nice drop but this one I couldn't read at all
[14:18] {jfjf64} clean ya glasses
[14:18] {jfjf64} lol
01[14:26] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .45 break
01[14:27] {@Threei} fast...
[14:28] {nemo} watch aapl
01[14:31] {@Threei} again
01[14:31] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[14:31] {@Threei} 1:1
[14:32] {jfjf64} nice entry
01[14:41] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .55 break
01[14:41] {@Threei} If holds .45
[14:42] {nemo} aapl coming in
01[14:43] {@Threei} trail to .49
01[14:49] {@Threei} 1:1
[14:49] {jfjf64} now run
[14:49] {jfjf64} aaple run
[14:49] {nemo} probably won't be any running
[14:49] {jfjf64} run forrest
[14:50] {jfjf64} nemo the party killer
[14:50] {nemo} no, nemo the chart reader
01[14:51] {@Threei} buzzkill
[14:51] {nemo} keep drinking then
[14:51] {jfjf64} that's what I need
01[14:56] {@Threei} lol jf... reminded me a little Johnny who answered teacher's question "what would you like to have in your household?" with: starting tomorrow, we have evferything
01[14:57] {@Threei} and when teacher asked for explanation, he obliged
01[14:57] {@Threei} when Mom said her mom was coming for a month-long visit, dad said "that's the last thing we need"
[14:58] {jfjf64} so true
[14:58] {jfjf64} vxx
[14:59] {jfjf64} 40 break looks the part
[15:01] {jfjf64} 1;1
[15:14] {jfjf64} here ya apple nemo
[15:27] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
01[15:28] {@Threei} take care dp
01[15:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[15:32] {@Threei} If holds .70
[15:35] {nemo} vxx .76 break
[15:35] {nemo} .75
[15:36] {nemo} stop under .70
01[15:37] {@Threei} ok VXX, let's go
[15:38] {nemo} stop to .78
01[15:38] {@Threei} 1:1
[15:38] {nemo} partial .98
01[15:38] {@Threei} 1:2
06[15:38] * @Threei slaps jfjf64 around a bit with a large roll of cash
01[15:39] {@Threei} 1:3
01[15:39] {@Threei} nailed it!
[15:39] {jfjf64} yes ya did
[15:40] {jfjf64} great job
[15:40] {jfjf64} go babbbbby
01[15:40] {@Threei} 1:5
01[15:40] {@Threei} I am out
[15:40] {nemo} partial .28
01[15:40] {@Threei} happy
[15:40] {nemo} stop under .20
[15:40] {jfjf64} im out
[15:40] {nemo} stop under .30
[15:41] {nemo} wow
[15:41] {nemo} stop under .40
[15:42] {nemo} holy shit
[15:42] {RonS} ECB WILL NOT ACCEPT GREEK GOV BONDS AS COLLATERAL
01[15:42] {@Threei} wow
[15:43] {nemo} out
[15:43] {nemo} fuck me, bounced off of vwap
[15:44] {jfjf64} wow it did
[15:44] {jfjf64} 1.00 from entry
[15:44] {nemo} fuck me
01[15:45] {@Threei} thank you, I'll decline
[15:45] {jfjf64} me too
01[15:45] {@Threei} it's not you, it's me
01[15:45] {@Threei} 1:13
[15:45] {nemo} Holy shit
01[15:46] {@Threei} 1:15
[15:47] {nemo} Fick mich!
[15:47] {nemo} FIck mich!
[15:47] {nemo} verdammte Griechesche Menschen!!!!
[15:47] {nemo} Ach du Liebe GOtt!!!
[15:47] {nemo} Raspizdiyi
[15:47] {nemo} !!!!!!!!
[15:49] {nemo} http://goo.gl/XAGTHc
[15:49] {cosmo} gee, that was a good trade to save for instrucional purposes
[15:50] {RonS} ECB: Can't Assume Successful Conclusion to Greek Bailout Review
[15:50] {nemo} was that the death whisper for the Euro?
01[15:50] {@Threei} nah, just a negotiation process
01[15:51] {@Threei} Euro will die of course but not this way
01[15:52] {@Threei} such statement brings them a lot of room to scare both, Greeks and hawks in other countries
[15:52] {jfjf64} goon night all
01[15:52] {@Threei} greeks will soften their stance when face real danger of exit, hawks will let EU go for softer stance as well
01[15:52] {@Threei} sdo compromise is closer
01[15:53] {@Threei} that''s all there is to it
01[15:53] {@Threei} thank yiu all, have a great evening
01[15:53] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Tuesday, February 3, 2015
Feb 03 2015
Interestingly, there was unusually high number of invalidated plays; not sure why but since they are harmless, whatever. Those that did trigger worked very nicely, with a lot of 1:2 and some 1:3, and couple stops that didn't hurt bottom line.
Session Time: Tue Feb 03 00:00:00 2015
[09:12] {dino} gm
[09:13] {RonS} howdy
01[09:14] {@Threei} dino, ron :)
01[09:21] {@Threei} not much movement in indices
[09:23] {cosmo} That 2nd and goal from the one yard line was pass interference. When the intended receiver’s path to the ball is cut off while the ball is still in flight, it’s a slam dunk so to speak. Didn’t that get mentioned? Of course it’s all up to the refs to call it. If they don’t, replays won’t reverse the call.
[09:25] {jfjf64} morning my friends
01[09:25] {@Threei} hey jf, welcome back
[09:26] {jfjf64} how has mkt been
01[09:26] {@Threei} you guys on rotation or what... jw left for vacation, jf is back the same day
[09:26] {nemo} that's incorrect cosmo. A defender has a right to the ball, His was a direct path to the ball
[09:26] {jfjf64} really
01[09:26] {@Threei} yeah :)
[09:26] {cosmo} he was late
01[09:27] {@Threei} market is market... :)
[09:27] {nemo} interference is when you grab or otherwise impede a receiver on his route. Butler met him right as the ball arrived
[09:27] {nemo} every eye in the stadium was on that play, not one announcer or observer in any report since the superbowl has even mentioned that possibility...not one
[09:28] {cosmo} unbelievable
[09:28] {nemo} so wasn't that catch two plays before...and how the ref's never called roughing the passer when the player made contact unimpeded to the base leg of the kicker while his kicking leg was still in the air
01[09:29] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:29] {@Threei} -MTSL +67% (acquiring Vexigo Ltd. For $4M with options for add'l payment)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -SPEX +17% (rejected proposal from Marathon Patent Group)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ODP +15% (said to be in advanced merger talks with SPLS)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -SPLS +13% (said to be in advanced merger talks with SPLS)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ESPR +12% (PPAR Partial clinical hold for ETC-1002 removed by FDA)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CLF +8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CSIQ +8% (confirmed acquisition of Recurrent Energy from Sharp Corp.)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -AN +6.3% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ACI +5.8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ADVS +5.7% (SS&C confirmed acquisition of ADVS for $2.7B)
01[09:29] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:29] {@Threei} -SSYS -26% (guidance)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -RCII -15% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ZIOP -9% (public offering of $75M in common stock)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -DDD -7.5% (SSYS guidance)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CAMT -4.6% (SSYS guidance)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -MNK -3.5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CSIQ +10% (Confirms to acquire Recurrent Energy)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -LC +9% (alliance with alibaba)
01[09:32] {@Threei} dino, ron... DDD is your client it seems
[09:32] {jfjf64} pussy cat runnin
01[09:32] {@Threei} so's SSYS
[09:33] {RonS} toxic imo
01[09:33] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT .20 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[09:33] {@Threei} change to .40 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:33] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:33] {nemo} they're gonna' run the indexes a bit
[09:34] {jfjf64} spead
01[09:34] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .05 break
01[09:34] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[09:36] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:37] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:39] {@Threei} closed
[09:39] {jfjf64} ty
01[09:40] {@Threei} yw
01[09:40] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT .60 break hl
01[09:40] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[09:41] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:41] {nemo} probably wants resistance at 83.04 and then maybe gap fill today
01[09:42] {@Threei} wanted to try for double top
01[09:42] {@Threei} but momo carried it over the high
[09:42] {nemo} daily says higher
[09:42] {nemo} .70 short .80 stop?
[09:43] {nemo} it's holding in this spy drop
01[09:43] {@Threei} doesn't look right me
01[09:44] {@Threei} let it be for now
[09:44] {nemo} especially since it didn't go down with spy
01[09:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM .15 break
01[09:46] {@Threei} If holds .25
01[09:48] {@Threei} Short Setup: HIG .40 break hl
01[09:48] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:49] {@Threei} Invalidated HIG
[09:50] {nemo} spy gonna' try 204 if it get's through that 203.40ish next target
01[09:51] {@Threei} HIG is on again
01[09:52] {@Threei} Invalidated JPM
01[09:53] {@Threei} ok... we need more stock names, lol... these all are invalid
01[09:55] {@Threei} Short Setup: AIG .85 break
01[09:56] {@Threei} If holds .95
[09:59] {dino} rcl sm l .98
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC FACTORY ORDERS: -3.4% V -2.4%E
01[10:01] {@Threei} Long Setup: GLD .50 break
01[10:01] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:08] {@Threei} I don't remember this many invalidations in a single morning, one after another
[10:09] {nemo} don't you feel invalid talking to your wife every day?
01[10:09] {@Threei} actually no
01[10:09] {@Threei} she is too smart to do that
[10:11] {nemo} LVS
[10:11] {dino} lea sm s .00
[10:12] {jfjf64} jpm .30 break
[10:12] {jfjf64} ?
01[10:12] {@Threei} no go GLD
01[10:12] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .50 break
01[10:13] {@Threei} can't tell JPM
[10:16] {dino} cov lea .31, +.69
01[10:17] {@Threei} wtg
01[10:17] {@Threei} and lea is thankful to be covered, it's cold outside
01[10:17] {@Threei} 1:1 MCD
[10:18] {dino} ty
01[10:21] {@Threei} 1:2
[10:22] {jfjf64} to the moon alice
[10:23] {nemo} VXX
01[10:24] {@Threei} MCD: oh jf, after all these hamburgers, I am so not alice...
[10:24] {jfjf64} lol
01[10:26] {@Threei} closed on a trail
01[10:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .15 break
01[10:37] {@Threei} change to .10
01[10:37] {@Threei} If holds 34
01[10:39] {@Threei} 1 cent to 1:1
[10:43] {dino} out rcl .10, +.12 thing won't move
[10:43] {jfjf64} 1 cent from stop
[10:44] {jfjf64} now lets f in go
01[10:44] {@Threei} seriously
01[10:44] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:44] {nemo} wow, algo jerk around heaven today
01[10:45] {@Threei} don't jerks have heaven every day?
[10:45] {dino} amc spike
[10:46] {dino} alny drop
01[10:46] {@Threei} 1:2
01[10:47] {@Threei} funny trade
[10:47] {jfjf64} ride this bitch
01[10:48] {@Threei} Bitch: I categorically protest
[10:48] {nemo} 203 spy bounce
01[10:48] {@Threei} out on a trail
[10:49] {jfjf64} feels like work first day back
[10:50] {nemo} VXX resetting for long if stays above .20
01[10:52] {@Threei} three 1:2ers and 1 stop... not that exhausting work, jf, don't complain :)
01[10:52] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD .45 break
01[10:52] {@Threei} If holds .55
[10:55] {jfjf64} hmmm
[10:56] {dino} alny sm l .50 break
[10:57] {dino} in .56
[11:01] {jfjf64} you bring stop down little
01[11:02] {@Threei} let's trail stop to .51
[11:02] {jfjf64} yes sir
[11:02] {jfjf64} one of those days
[11:02] {jfjf64} pennies make $
01[11:03] {@Threei} kind of, yeah
[11:06] {dino} penneywise, now that was a hell of a clown
[11:08] {RonS} so then, poundfoolish a hell of a porn star?
01[11:09] {@Threei} lol
[11:09] {dino} out alny .39, +.83
[11:10] {jfjf64} nice
[11:10] {dino} ty
[11:14] {jfjf64} fb 41 hold .31
01[11:14] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 118 break
01[11:14] {@Threei} If holds 90
01[11:15] {@Threei} FB looks right
01[11:18] {@Threei} 1:1 IWM
[11:27] {nemo} VXX
[11:37] {RonS} isis beaten..... you will never see that under the O
[11:42] {RonS} wtf, followed the US Dept of the Interior on twitter because all they post are nice pictures...the bastards followed me back...nemo, is this an NSA spy program?
[11:43] {nemo} they figure you're a right-wing terrorist
[11:43] {RonS} because i like seeing nice pictures?
[11:43] {nemo} they were all sheep pictures
01[11:44] {@Threei} when you look into abyss, ron...
[11:44] {RonS} lol
[11:45] {cosmo} I would ask them politely not to track...
[11:46] {RonS} Congress needs to de-fund this agency...absolute knows no bounds: EPA: Developing Canadian oil sands would cause "significant increase" in carbon emissions http://bloom.bg/1zyagRt
[11:47] {cosmo} EPA not what they used to be...
[11:47] {dptl} gm all
01[11:49] {@Threei} hey dp
[11:49] {RonS} tough crowd? maybe...but maybe all died holding their breath for you to so up...
[11:50] {RonS} show
[11:50] {RonS} :)
01[11:51] {@Threei} lol
01[11:52] {@Threei} note to EPA: giving birth to new people, cattle etc will cause "significant increase" in carbon emissions
[11:57] {cosmo} EPA should propose cow diapers
01[11:57] {@Threei} diapers won't help
01[11:57] {@Threei} plugs
[11:58] {cosmo} tubes
[12:01] {dino} sdow l .35
[12:05] {dino} out sdow ave .40, +.05
[12:05] {dino} taking a break
[12:56] {jfjf64} anybody alive
01[12:56] {@Threei} no
[12:56] {jfjf64} k
01[12:56] {@Threei} actually we are all undead
01[12:57] {@Threei} dino is a vampire by trade, and really like Buffy
01[12:57] {@Threei} likes
01[12:57] {@Threei} me, look at me before my morning coffee and you'll see zombie
01[12:57] {@Threei} nemo, well... that's beyond categories
[12:58] {jfjf64} twtr dtop
[12:58] {jfjf64} ?
01[12:59] {@Threei} tough call
01[12:59] {@Threei} FB continues climbing
[12:59] {jfjf64} exactly
[13:02] {nemo} CAT
[13:04] {dino} .
01[13:04] {@Threei} here is our vampire
[13:05] {dino} ahh yes, buffy, now that was quite a gal
01[13:05] {@Threei} :)
01[13:12] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .80 break
01[13:12] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[13:15] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[13:15] {@Threei} A couple from British Columbia who styled themselves as the sole members of "al-Qaida Canada" built pressure-cooker bombs and planted them on the grounds of the provincial legislature hours before Canada Day festivities, the Crown alleged Monday.
01[13:15] {@Threei} The bombs did not explode — undercover RCMP officers ensured they were inert — but John Nuttall and Amanda Korody intended to kill and maim an untold number of victims on the morning of July 1, 2013
[13:22] {nemo} CAT running
[13:33] {RonS} crude 53
01[13:38] {@Threei} it has no business trading this high
01[13:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .90 break
01[13:42] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[13:44] {@Threei} lol... Wedding crashers: https://fbcdn-sphotos-f-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xfp1/v/t1.0-9/10576999_744412555616432_7808239230982220302_n.jpg?oh=9e50f4d6cada5572ff4ce0b22f74174b&oe=55658914&__gda__=1431940509_9b0acd9a7251667b14b550f4ea5a594d
[13:46] {jfjf64} wedding crashers kicked me out of room
01[13:46] {@Threei} I'd say you got off easy
[13:47] {jfjf64} lol
01[13:47] {@Threei} groom and btride weren't so lucky
[13:47] {jfjf64} not to many r
01[13:52] {@Threei} ok
01[13:52] {@Threei} valid once again
01[13:54] {@Threei} invalidated once again
[13:54] {nemo} spy going above 50 day
[14:01] {RonS} crude 53.90, might want $55
01[14:03] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[14:03] {@Threei} If holds .50
[14:03] {nemo} took .57
[14:05] {nemo} stop to .54
01[14:07] {@Threei} 1:1
01[14:07] {@Threei} your trailing is really on edge
[14:08] {nemo} held though
01[14:08] {@Threei} yeah, but so tight
[14:08] {nemo} on a strong up day this might still be a tad early for vxx imo
01[14:09] {@Threei} 1:2
01[14:12] {@Threei} closed on a trail
[14:13] {nemo} and my stop is under .65
[14:16] {nemo} out
[14:16] {nemo} spy going up
[14:20] {RonS} lol...Bears had the ball on the 1 yard line yesterday and decided to throw a pass...
[14:20] {nemo} hah, shoulda' kept my stop
[14:30] {dino} what are your guts telling you? big upswing couple days or back down hard?
01[14:31] {@Threei} mine says up
[14:31] {dino} 3 options plays itm pretty well in only a few days
[14:31] {nemo} hard to say, SPY bounced right off support, and just topped out right at the 50 day, still have overhead gaps and downward trendline on daily
[14:33] {RonS} tgt splike on volume
01[14:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .20 break
01[14:37] {@Threei} If holds .10
[14:42] {dino} gotta hop early today. will hold the calls a little longer, gn all
01[14:43] {@Threei} take care dino
[14:43] {dino} u2, ty
[14:43] {jfjf64} gn dino
01[14:45] {@Threei} 1:1
[14:46] {jfjf64} what r u in
[14:46] {jfjf64} got kicked off
01[14:46] {@Threei} 14:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .20 break
01[14:46] {@Threei} [14:37] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[14:46] {@Threei} 1:2
01[14:47] {@Threei} 1:3
01[14:47] {@Threei} (close enough)
01[14:47] {@Threei} out
[14:50] {jfjf64} that funny
[14:53] {jfjf64} that hilarious got kicked off entered break of .25 cost me 5 cents
01[14:53] {@Threei} but made money?
01[15:01] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .10 break
01[15:01] {@Threei} If holds 40
01[15:04] {@Threei} change to .05 break
01[15:04] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[15:05] {@Threei} Invalidated
[15:06] {jfjf64} fb
[15:06] {jfjf64} ?
01[15:07] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .40 break
01[15:07] {@Threei} If holds .50
[15:08] {jfjf64} cant mk up its mind
[15:09] {jfjf64} lk twtr again .5 break
[15:10] {jfjf64} getting head ack
01[15:11] {@Threei} 40 break
01[15:11] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[15:11] {@Threei} TWTR
01[15:13] {@Threei} 1:1 FB
[15:19] {jfjf64} dieeeeeeeeeeeee
01[15:20] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR 40 break
01[15:21] {@Threei} If holds .90
[15:26] {nemo} shit...was looking at NOV short
[15:29] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
[15:30] {jfjf64} gn dp
01[15:30] {@Threei} take care dp
01[15:32] {@Threei} ok... TWTR is valid again
01[15:32] {@Threei} fast break
[15:32] {jfjf64} missed it f
[15:32] {nemo} good luck with that
01[15:32] {@Threei} see if pulls back
01[15:33] {@Threei} in
[15:36] {jfjf64} hmmm
01[15:36] {@Threei} ok, let's go now
01[15:37] {@Threei} retake 40 and ieqsplaude
[15:37] {nemo} 50 day right here on SPY
01[15:37] {@Threei} (pardon my french)
01[15:37] {@Threei} ugh
[15:40] {jfjf64} fb .40 break
[15:44] {jfjf64} done for day
[15:44] {jfjf64} ty
01[15:54] {@Threei} thank you all, have a great day
01[15:54] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Session Time: Tue Feb 03 00:00:00 2015
[09:12] {dino} gm
[09:13] {RonS} howdy
01[09:14] {@Threei} dino, ron :)
01[09:21] {@Threei} not much movement in indices
[09:23] {cosmo} That 2nd and goal from the one yard line was pass interference. When the intended receiver’s path to the ball is cut off while the ball is still in flight, it’s a slam dunk so to speak. Didn’t that get mentioned? Of course it’s all up to the refs to call it. If they don’t, replays won’t reverse the call.
[09:25] {jfjf64} morning my friends
01[09:25] {@Threei} hey jf, welcome back
[09:26] {jfjf64} how has mkt been
01[09:26] {@Threei} you guys on rotation or what... jw left for vacation, jf is back the same day
[09:26] {nemo} that's incorrect cosmo. A defender has a right to the ball, His was a direct path to the ball
[09:26] {jfjf64} really
01[09:26] {@Threei} yeah :)
[09:26] {cosmo} he was late
01[09:27] {@Threei} market is market... :)
[09:27] {nemo} interference is when you grab or otherwise impede a receiver on his route. Butler met him right as the ball arrived
[09:27] {nemo} every eye in the stadium was on that play, not one announcer or observer in any report since the superbowl has even mentioned that possibility...not one
[09:28] {cosmo} unbelievable
[09:28] {nemo} so wasn't that catch two plays before...and how the ref's never called roughing the passer when the player made contact unimpeded to the base leg of the kicker while his kicking leg was still in the air
01[09:29] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:29] {@Threei} -MTSL +67% (acquiring Vexigo Ltd. For $4M with options for add'l payment)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -SPEX +17% (rejected proposal from Marathon Patent Group)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ODP +15% (said to be in advanced merger talks with SPLS)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -SPLS +13% (said to be in advanced merger talks with SPLS)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ESPR +12% (PPAR Partial clinical hold for ETC-1002 removed by FDA)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CLF +8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CSIQ +8% (confirmed acquisition of Recurrent Energy from Sharp Corp.)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -AN +6.3% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ACI +5.8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ADVS +5.7% (SS&C confirmed acquisition of ADVS for $2.7B)
01[09:29] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:29] {@Threei} -SSYS -26% (guidance)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -RCII -15% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ZIOP -9% (public offering of $75M in common stock)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -DDD -7.5% (SSYS guidance)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CAMT -4.6% (SSYS guidance)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -MNK -3.5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CSIQ +10% (Confirms to acquire Recurrent Energy)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -LC +9% (alliance with alibaba)
01[09:32] {@Threei} dino, ron... DDD is your client it seems
[09:32] {jfjf64} pussy cat runnin
01[09:32] {@Threei} so's SSYS
[09:33] {RonS} toxic imo
01[09:33] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT .20 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[09:33] {@Threei} change to .40 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:33] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:33] {nemo} they're gonna' run the indexes a bit
[09:34] {jfjf64} spead
01[09:34] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .05 break
01[09:34] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[09:36] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:37] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:39] {@Threei} closed
[09:39] {jfjf64} ty
01[09:40] {@Threei} yw
01[09:40] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT .60 break hl
01[09:40] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[09:41] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:41] {nemo} probably wants resistance at 83.04 and then maybe gap fill today
01[09:42] {@Threei} wanted to try for double top
01[09:42] {@Threei} but momo carried it over the high
[09:42] {nemo} daily says higher
[09:42] {nemo} .70 short .80 stop?
[09:43] {nemo} it's holding in this spy drop
01[09:43] {@Threei} doesn't look right me
01[09:44] {@Threei} let it be for now
[09:44] {nemo} especially since it didn't go down with spy
01[09:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM .15 break
01[09:46] {@Threei} If holds .25
01[09:48] {@Threei} Short Setup: HIG .40 break hl
01[09:48] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:49] {@Threei} Invalidated HIG
[09:50] {nemo} spy gonna' try 204 if it get's through that 203.40ish next target
01[09:51] {@Threei} HIG is on again
01[09:52] {@Threei} Invalidated JPM
01[09:53] {@Threei} ok... we need more stock names, lol... these all are invalid
01[09:55] {@Threei} Short Setup: AIG .85 break
01[09:56] {@Threei} If holds .95
[09:59] {dino} rcl sm l .98
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC FACTORY ORDERS: -3.4% V -2.4%E
01[10:01] {@Threei} Long Setup: GLD .50 break
01[10:01] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:08] {@Threei} I don't remember this many invalidations in a single morning, one after another
[10:09] {nemo} don't you feel invalid talking to your wife every day?
01[10:09] {@Threei} actually no
01[10:09] {@Threei} she is too smart to do that
[10:11] {nemo} LVS
[10:11] {dino} lea sm s .00
[10:12] {jfjf64} jpm .30 break
[10:12] {jfjf64} ?
01[10:12] {@Threei} no go GLD
01[10:12] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .50 break
01[10:13] {@Threei} can't tell JPM
[10:16] {dino} cov lea .31, +.69
01[10:17] {@Threei} wtg
01[10:17] {@Threei} and lea is thankful to be covered, it's cold outside
01[10:17] {@Threei} 1:1 MCD
[10:18] {dino} ty
01[10:21] {@Threei} 1:2
[10:22] {jfjf64} to the moon alice
[10:23] {nemo} VXX
01[10:24] {@Threei} MCD: oh jf, after all these hamburgers, I am so not alice...
[10:24] {jfjf64} lol
01[10:26] {@Threei} closed on a trail
01[10:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .15 break
01[10:37] {@Threei} change to .10
01[10:37] {@Threei} If holds 34
01[10:39] {@Threei} 1 cent to 1:1
[10:43] {dino} out rcl .10, +.12 thing won't move
[10:43] {jfjf64} 1 cent from stop
[10:44] {jfjf64} now lets f in go
01[10:44] {@Threei} seriously
01[10:44] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:44] {nemo} wow, algo jerk around heaven today
01[10:45] {@Threei} don't jerks have heaven every day?
[10:45] {dino} amc spike
[10:46] {dino} alny drop
01[10:46] {@Threei} 1:2
01[10:47] {@Threei} funny trade
[10:47] {jfjf64} ride this bitch
01[10:48] {@Threei} Bitch: I categorically protest
[10:48] {nemo} 203 spy bounce
01[10:48] {@Threei} out on a trail
[10:49] {jfjf64} feels like work first day back
[10:50] {nemo} VXX resetting for long if stays above .20
01[10:52] {@Threei} three 1:2ers and 1 stop... not that exhausting work, jf, don't complain :)
01[10:52] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD .45 break
01[10:52] {@Threei} If holds .55
[10:55] {jfjf64} hmmm
[10:56] {dino} alny sm l .50 break
[10:57] {dino} in .56
[11:01] {jfjf64} you bring stop down little
01[11:02] {@Threei} let's trail stop to .51
[11:02] {jfjf64} yes sir
[11:02] {jfjf64} one of those days
[11:02] {jfjf64} pennies make $
01[11:03] {@Threei} kind of, yeah
[11:06] {dino} penneywise, now that was a hell of a clown
[11:08] {RonS} so then, poundfoolish a hell of a porn star?
01[11:09] {@Threei} lol
[11:09] {dino} out alny .39, +.83
[11:10] {jfjf64} nice
[11:10] {dino} ty
[11:14] {jfjf64} fb 41 hold .31
01[11:14] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 118 break
01[11:14] {@Threei} If holds 90
01[11:15] {@Threei} FB looks right
01[11:18] {@Threei} 1:1 IWM
[11:27] {nemo} VXX
[11:37] {RonS} isis beaten..... you will never see that under the O
[11:42] {RonS} wtf, followed the US Dept of the Interior on twitter because all they post are nice pictures...the bastards followed me back...nemo, is this an NSA spy program?
[11:43] {nemo} they figure you're a right-wing terrorist
[11:43] {RonS} because i like seeing nice pictures?
[11:43] {nemo} they were all sheep pictures
01[11:44] {@Threei} when you look into abyss, ron...
[11:44] {RonS} lol
[11:45] {cosmo} I would ask them politely not to track...
[11:46] {RonS} Congress needs to de-fund this agency...absolute knows no bounds: EPA: Developing Canadian oil sands would cause "significant increase" in carbon emissions http://bloom.bg/1zyagRt
[11:47] {cosmo} EPA not what they used to be...
[11:47] {dptl} gm all
01[11:49] {@Threei} hey dp
[11:49] {RonS} tough crowd? maybe...but maybe all died holding their breath for you to so up...
[11:50] {RonS} show
[11:50] {RonS} :)
01[11:51] {@Threei} lol
01[11:52] {@Threei} note to EPA: giving birth to new people, cattle etc will cause "significant increase" in carbon emissions
[11:57] {cosmo} EPA should propose cow diapers
01[11:57] {@Threei} diapers won't help
01[11:57] {@Threei} plugs
[11:58] {cosmo} tubes
[12:01] {dino} sdow l .35
[12:05] {dino} out sdow ave .40, +.05
[12:05] {dino} taking a break
[12:56] {jfjf64} anybody alive
01[12:56] {@Threei} no
[12:56] {jfjf64} k
01[12:56] {@Threei} actually we are all undead
01[12:57] {@Threei} dino is a vampire by trade, and really like Buffy
01[12:57] {@Threei} likes
01[12:57] {@Threei} me, look at me before my morning coffee and you'll see zombie
01[12:57] {@Threei} nemo, well... that's beyond categories
[12:58] {jfjf64} twtr dtop
[12:58] {jfjf64} ?
01[12:59] {@Threei} tough call
01[12:59] {@Threei} FB continues climbing
[12:59] {jfjf64} exactly
[13:02] {nemo} CAT
[13:04] {dino} .
01[13:04] {@Threei} here is our vampire
[13:05] {dino} ahh yes, buffy, now that was quite a gal
01[13:05] {@Threei} :)
01[13:12] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .80 break
01[13:12] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[13:15] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[13:15] {@Threei} A couple from British Columbia who styled themselves as the sole members of "al-Qaida Canada" built pressure-cooker bombs and planted them on the grounds of the provincial legislature hours before Canada Day festivities, the Crown alleged Monday.
01[13:15] {@Threei} The bombs did not explode — undercover RCMP officers ensured they were inert — but John Nuttall and Amanda Korody intended to kill and maim an untold number of victims on the morning of July 1, 2013
[13:22] {nemo} CAT running
[13:33] {RonS} crude 53
01[13:38] {@Threei} it has no business trading this high
01[13:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .90 break
01[13:42] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[13:44] {@Threei} lol... Wedding crashers: https://fbcdn-sphotos-f-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xfp1/v/t1.0-9/10576999_744412555616432_7808239230982220302_n.jpg?oh=9e50f4d6cada5572ff4ce0b22f74174b&oe=55658914&__gda__=1431940509_9b0acd9a7251667b14b550f4ea5a594d
[13:46] {jfjf64} wedding crashers kicked me out of room
01[13:46] {@Threei} I'd say you got off easy
[13:47] {jfjf64} lol
01[13:47] {@Threei} groom and btride weren't so lucky
[13:47] {jfjf64} not to many r
01[13:52] {@Threei} ok
01[13:52] {@Threei} valid once again
01[13:54] {@Threei} invalidated once again
[13:54] {nemo} spy going above 50 day
[14:01] {RonS} crude 53.90, might want $55
01[14:03] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[14:03] {@Threei} If holds .50
[14:03] {nemo} took .57
[14:05] {nemo} stop to .54
01[14:07] {@Threei} 1:1
01[14:07] {@Threei} your trailing is really on edge
[14:08] {nemo} held though
01[14:08] {@Threei} yeah, but so tight
[14:08] {nemo} on a strong up day this might still be a tad early for vxx imo
01[14:09] {@Threei} 1:2
01[14:12] {@Threei} closed on a trail
[14:13] {nemo} and my stop is under .65
[14:16] {nemo} out
[14:16] {nemo} spy going up
[14:20] {RonS} lol...Bears had the ball on the 1 yard line yesterday and decided to throw a pass...
[14:20] {nemo} hah, shoulda' kept my stop
[14:30] {dino} what are your guts telling you? big upswing couple days or back down hard?
01[14:31] {@Threei} mine says up
[14:31] {dino} 3 options plays itm pretty well in only a few days
[14:31] {nemo} hard to say, SPY bounced right off support, and just topped out right at the 50 day, still have overhead gaps and downward trendline on daily
[14:33] {RonS} tgt splike on volume
01[14:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .20 break
01[14:37] {@Threei} If holds .10
[14:42] {dino} gotta hop early today. will hold the calls a little longer, gn all
01[14:43] {@Threei} take care dino
[14:43] {dino} u2, ty
[14:43] {jfjf64} gn dino
01[14:45] {@Threei} 1:1
[14:46] {jfjf64} what r u in
[14:46] {jfjf64} got kicked off
01[14:46] {@Threei} 14:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .20 break
01[14:46] {@Threei} [14:37] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[14:46] {@Threei} 1:2
01[14:47] {@Threei} 1:3
01[14:47] {@Threei} (close enough)
01[14:47] {@Threei} out
[14:50] {jfjf64} that funny
[14:53] {jfjf64} that hilarious got kicked off entered break of .25 cost me 5 cents
01[14:53] {@Threei} but made money?
01[15:01] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .10 break
01[15:01] {@Threei} If holds 40
01[15:04] {@Threei} change to .05 break
01[15:04] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[15:05] {@Threei} Invalidated
[15:06] {jfjf64} fb
[15:06] {jfjf64} ?
01[15:07] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .40 break
01[15:07] {@Threei} If holds .50
[15:08] {jfjf64} cant mk up its mind
[15:09] {jfjf64} lk twtr again .5 break
[15:10] {jfjf64} getting head ack
01[15:11] {@Threei} 40 break
01[15:11] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[15:11] {@Threei} TWTR
01[15:13] {@Threei} 1:1 FB
[15:19] {jfjf64} dieeeeeeeeeeeee
01[15:20] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR 40 break
01[15:21] {@Threei} If holds .90
[15:26] {nemo} shit...was looking at NOV short
[15:29] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
[15:30] {jfjf64} gn dp
01[15:30] {@Threei} take care dp
01[15:32] {@Threei} ok... TWTR is valid again
01[15:32] {@Threei} fast break
[15:32] {jfjf64} missed it f
[15:32] {nemo} good luck with that
01[15:32] {@Threei} see if pulls back
01[15:33] {@Threei} in
[15:36] {jfjf64} hmmm
01[15:36] {@Threei} ok, let's go now
01[15:37] {@Threei} retake 40 and ieqsplaude
[15:37] {nemo} 50 day right here on SPY
01[15:37] {@Threei} (pardon my french)
01[15:37] {@Threei} ugh
[15:40] {jfjf64} fb .40 break
[15:44] {jfjf64} done for day
[15:44] {jfjf64} ty
01[15:54] {@Threei} thank you all, have a great day
01[15:54] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Monday, February 2, 2015
Feb 02 2015
Very nice day to open a month - four 1:3ers, 1:2, 1 scalp and 1 stop. No complaints at all
Session Time: Mon Feb 02 00:00:00 2015
[08:52] {JoebiWan} gm
01[08:54] {@Threei} jw :)
[09:07] {dptl} gm
01[09:07] {@Threei} dp :)
01[09:16] {@Threei} this is how you rule and manage:
01[09:16] {@Threei} Russia cuts price of vodka amid double-digit inflation
[09:17] {nemo} well, I'm running a bit behind after the game tonight
[09:18] {nemo} last night
01[09:19] {@Threei} tonight? Yeah, you are behind
[09:20] {dino} gm, 12" of snow last night, that makes about 30" in little over a week
[09:20] {nemo} the end of that game was a major WTF!
01[09:21] {@Threei} dino :)
01[09:24] {@Threei} y, Downy woodpecker, red-winged blackbird, and quite a few more
[09:24] {nemo} and we get stuck with a Raven
01[09:25] {@Threei} Raven, I am about to become a certified bird watcher... getting quite a variety on my feeders. Steller's jy, Downy woodpecker, red-winged blackbird, and quite a few more
01[09:25] {@Threei} Upside:-YOD +40% (distribution agreement with 20th Century Fox)-HEB +27% (US Army scientists find Ampligen produces 100% survival rate in Ebola virus study)-CAMT +16% (receives first conditional order for Gryphon - the 3D functional inkjet tech system)-FRO +11% (issued 10M shares)-API +8% (merger with LUNA)-ZGNX +7.5% (received FDA approval of new formulation of Zohydro)
01[09:26] {@Threei} Downside:-RSH -10% (Standard General said to be in talks to lead bankruptcy auction)-TRW -2.5% (NHTSA forced recall of 2.1M vehicles due to faulty airbag sensor fix - vehicles had previously been recalled & fixed)-LULU -0.5% (Founder resigns from Board)
[09:27] {dino} nemo, that had to be the dumbest call ever to lose that game. pats got lucky
[09:28] {nemo} yeah, but how about that ridiculous lucky circus catch...wtf
[09:28] {Raven} lol 3i ... finally
[09:28] {nemo} about time something broke their way
[09:28] {nemo} sheesh
[09:28] {dino} sure, but wtf was the play caller thinking. it was 2nd down on the 1, just run it a few more times, eat up clock, game over
[09:29] {nemo} we all said the same thing
[09:29] {dino} i almost fell out of my chair, unbelievable
01[09:31] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[09:32] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:33] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:33] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:33] {@Threei} 1:3
01[09:34] {@Threei} wow YNDX
01[09:34] {@Threei} not a good time to be russian company, eh?
01[09:36] {@Threei} trying for 1:5
01[09:36] {@Threei} on last piece
01[09:36] {@Threei} stop .79
01[09:37] {@Threei} closed
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: TZA .95 break
01[09:39] {@Threei} If holds .85
01[09:41] {@Threei} half out TZA
01[09:41] {@Threei} stop .89 for now
01[09:41] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:41] {@Threei} .94 now
01[09:43] {@Threei} frikin VXX
01[09:45] {@Threei} *(US) JAN FINAL MARKIT MANUFACTURING PMI: 53.9 V 53.7E
01[09:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: COH 37 break
01[09:46] {@Threei} If holds .10
[09:48] {nemo} DAL
01[09:50] {@Threei} 1:1
[09:57] {dino} insy drop, thin
01[09:59] {@Threei} 1:2 TZA
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC CONSTRUCTION SPENDING M/M: 0.4% V 0.7%E
01[10:01] {@Threei} 1:3
01[10:01] {@Threei} out in full
01[10:01] {@Threei} 2 1:3ers and a scalp in first 30 minutes - can I go home?
[10:02] {JoebiWan} gj vad
[10:03] {dino} gj
01[10:03] {@Threei} ty
01[10:07] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .15 break
01[10:07] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[10:07] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:09] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[10:09] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:09] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:09] {@Threei} in a blink of second
01[10:11] {@Threei} 1:2
01[10:13] {@Threei} 1:3
01[10:13] {@Threei} out
[10:27] {nemo} HD
01[10:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: NRG .80 break
01[10:33] {@Threei} If holds .70
[10:40] {dino} spxl nsm l .68
01[10:46] {@Threei} 1:1
[11:04] {dino} out spxl .71, +1.03
01[11:06] {@Threei} wtg
[11:06] {dino} ty
01[11:15] {@Threei} 1:2 NRG (close enough)
01[11:18] {@Threei} The move up in oil prices seen on Friday afternoon continued in the Asia and European sessions, as front-month WTI futures rose as high as $50.50, up more than 7% from Friday's low of around $44.30. Reports of ISIS attacks in northern Iraq were said to be behind the moves, although month-end trading and closing out of bearish positions was more likely.
01[11:18] {@Threei} Note that there has also been talk about higher OPEC production in January and news the USW would launch strikes at nine US refineries, and WTI has fallen back to $48 as of writing.
01[11:22] {@Threei} 1:3
01[11:22] {@Threei} 4th one today
[11:22] {JoebiWan} great job
06[11:22] * @Threei slaps entire room with large banner LET ME GO HOME
01[11:23] {@Threei} sang in tune with Let my people go
01[11:29] {@Threei} OPEC officials indicates that oil prices could remain low through to the summer months as a result of weak seasonal demand; cannot rule out oil dropping into the $30's on weak demand - press - See prices being supported right now by winter and stockpiling
01[11:57] {@Threei} (GR) German Fin Min Schaeuble: Russia cannot replace EU solidarity for Greece, do not appreciate new Greece government's closeness to Russia- Not really interested in Russia's economic difficulties
01[11:57] {@Threei} that's harsh
01[11:58] {@Threei} (US) White House releases President Obama's $3.99T 2015 budget plan, with +6.4% y/y spending growth, seeks $1.8T in deficit reduction over ten years - press - Would replace sequestration spending cuts with other spending cuts- Earmarks $14B for cybersecurity efforts ($1B increase from year ago)
01[11:58] {@Threei} ***With control of the House and the Senate in GOP hands, this budget is essentially dead on arrival
01[11:58] {@Threei} lol
01[12:10] {@Threei} Russia to stop buying Ukrainian space rockets
01[12:11] {@Threei} they figured out they'll take them for free soon enough?
01[12:17] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[12:17] {@Threei} If holds 36
01[12:19] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[12:24] {@Threei} got away
01[12:34] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .70 break
01[12:34] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[12:35] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:40] {@Threei} 1:2
[13:13] {nemo} QCOM
01[13:38] {@Threei} be back in an hour
[13:59] {nemo} last line in Boston Globe article: "They Did Their Job. They are champs again. And the record will show that 15 years after he was fired by Kraft, Carroll finally delivered a Lombardi trophy to New England."
[14:00] {RonS} lol...perfect
[14:10] {cosmo} What happened to my idol Pete Carroll...sigh. You'd think he's the guy that through the pass
[14:11] {cosmo} Maybe I should watch the tape
[14:13] {cosmo} remember: it's all in the execution
[14:17] {RonS} well, the execution was this: Lynch was getting 2-3 yds after contact by the Pats and Seattle was on the 1...the play prior he picked up 4 from the 5 yard line... Plus every time Wilson ran he got 15+
[14:20] {cosmo} I've seen guys like Lynch (no matter how good) fumble on the next play ... Chargers do it all the time (hehe)
[14:21] {RonS} ...plus Wison's short pass game had stunk...only completions in the game had been 20+ yards i think
[14:21] {cosmo} yeah, I gotta see that one he made on the prior play
[14:23] {RonS} just thinkin...Carroll would have been better off to call the fumblerooskie...love that play...lol
[14:26] {cosmo} to fumble on purpose?
[14:28] {RonS} no, the QB takes an under center snap...places the ball on the ground behind center...the line and everyone go right or left...except one guy who picks up the ball and goes the opposite direction
[14:30] {cosmo} that would prolly be a linebacker...
[14:35] {nemo} VXX
01[14:36] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .60 break
01[14:36] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[14:38] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[14:43] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[14:43] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[14:45] {@Threei} change to .40 break, if holds .30
01[14:46] {@Threei} loss of .30 chnages the trend
[14:46] {nemo} we're coming in
01[14:47] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[14:47] {@Threei} watghing VXX for pullback entry
[14:48] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
01[14:48] {@Threei} take care dp
01[14:54] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[14:54] {@Threei} ugh... late
[14:54] {nemo} probably can ride this into the close
01[14:55] {@Threei} VXX?
01[14:55] {@Threei} not sure...
[14:55] {nemo} yep
01[14:56] {@Threei} SPY can easily reverse here
[14:56] {nemo} if it holds .55-60 level
[14:56] {nemo} .60
01[14:56] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[14:56] {@Threei} If holds .40
[14:56] {nemo} well, that too, but very bullish if it doesn't gove up .55-.60
01[14:57] {@Threei} no go
[14:58] {nemo} SPY vwap bounce, now needs to stay below .70, but gotta' wonder if they wan't to give up 200 today
01[15:12] {@Threei} ugh
01[15:12] {@Threei} sensed this ramp-up
[15:13] {RonS} outta here 'til tomorrow...
[15:14] {nemo} yeah...i'm done shit blowing up here...see ya
[15:22] {JoebiWan} Been a pleasure trading with you all. Taking off for a while. Ty all. cya soon
01[15:22] {@Threei} have fun jw
01[15:25] {@Threei} ok guys, thank you all, see you tomorrow
[15:25] {dino} snow making everybody quit early
01[15:25] {@Threei} yeah
01[15:25] {@Threei} no snow here but... :)
[15:26] {dino} super bowl monday, everybody tired
[15:27] {dino} calling it a day too
01[15:27] {@Threei} take care dino
[15:28] {dino} you too
Session Time: Mon Feb 02 00:00:00 2015
[08:52] {JoebiWan} gm
01[08:54] {@Threei} jw :)
[09:07] {dptl} gm
01[09:07] {@Threei} dp :)
01[09:16] {@Threei} this is how you rule and manage:
01[09:16] {@Threei} Russia cuts price of vodka amid double-digit inflation
[09:17] {nemo} well, I'm running a bit behind after the game tonight
[09:18] {nemo} last night
01[09:19] {@Threei} tonight? Yeah, you are behind
[09:20] {dino} gm, 12" of snow last night, that makes about 30" in little over a week
[09:20] {nemo} the end of that game was a major WTF!
01[09:21] {@Threei} dino :)
01[09:24] {@Threei} y, Downy woodpecker, red-winged blackbird, and quite a few more
[09:24] {nemo} and we get stuck with a Raven
01[09:25] {@Threei} Raven, I am about to become a certified bird watcher... getting quite a variety on my feeders. Steller's jy, Downy woodpecker, red-winged blackbird, and quite a few more
01[09:25] {@Threei} Upside:-YOD +40% (distribution agreement with 20th Century Fox)-HEB +27% (US Army scientists find Ampligen produces 100% survival rate in Ebola virus study)-CAMT +16% (receives first conditional order for Gryphon - the 3D functional inkjet tech system)-FRO +11% (issued 10M shares)-API +8% (merger with LUNA)-ZGNX +7.5% (received FDA approval of new formulation of Zohydro)
01[09:26] {@Threei} Downside:-RSH -10% (Standard General said to be in talks to lead bankruptcy auction)-TRW -2.5% (NHTSA forced recall of 2.1M vehicles due to faulty airbag sensor fix - vehicles had previously been recalled & fixed)-LULU -0.5% (Founder resigns from Board)
[09:27] {dino} nemo, that had to be the dumbest call ever to lose that game. pats got lucky
[09:28] {nemo} yeah, but how about that ridiculous lucky circus catch...wtf
[09:28] {Raven} lol 3i ... finally
[09:28] {nemo} about time something broke their way
[09:28] {nemo} sheesh
[09:28] {dino} sure, but wtf was the play caller thinking. it was 2nd down on the 1, just run it a few more times, eat up clock, game over
[09:29] {nemo} we all said the same thing
[09:29] {dino} i almost fell out of my chair, unbelievable
01[09:31] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[09:32] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:33] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:33] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:33] {@Threei} 1:3
01[09:34] {@Threei} wow YNDX
01[09:34] {@Threei} not a good time to be russian company, eh?
01[09:36] {@Threei} trying for 1:5
01[09:36] {@Threei} on last piece
01[09:36] {@Threei} stop .79
01[09:37] {@Threei} closed
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: TZA .95 break
01[09:39] {@Threei} If holds .85
01[09:41] {@Threei} half out TZA
01[09:41] {@Threei} stop .89 for now
01[09:41] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:41] {@Threei} .94 now
01[09:43] {@Threei} frikin VXX
01[09:45] {@Threei} *(US) JAN FINAL MARKIT MANUFACTURING PMI: 53.9 V 53.7E
01[09:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: COH 37 break
01[09:46] {@Threei} If holds .10
[09:48] {nemo} DAL
01[09:50] {@Threei} 1:1
[09:57] {dino} insy drop, thin
01[09:59] {@Threei} 1:2 TZA
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC CONSTRUCTION SPENDING M/M: 0.4% V 0.7%E
01[10:01] {@Threei} 1:3
01[10:01] {@Threei} out in full
01[10:01] {@Threei} 2 1:3ers and a scalp in first 30 minutes - can I go home?
[10:02] {JoebiWan} gj vad
[10:03] {dino} gj
01[10:03] {@Threei} ty
01[10:07] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .15 break
01[10:07] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[10:07] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:09] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[10:09] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:09] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:09] {@Threei} in a blink of second
01[10:11] {@Threei} 1:2
01[10:13] {@Threei} 1:3
01[10:13] {@Threei} out
[10:27] {nemo} HD
01[10:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: NRG .80 break
01[10:33] {@Threei} If holds .70
[10:40] {dino} spxl nsm l .68
01[10:46] {@Threei} 1:1
[11:04] {dino} out spxl .71, +1.03
01[11:06] {@Threei} wtg
[11:06] {dino} ty
01[11:15] {@Threei} 1:2 NRG (close enough)
01[11:18] {@Threei} The move up in oil prices seen on Friday afternoon continued in the Asia and European sessions, as front-month WTI futures rose as high as $50.50, up more than 7% from Friday's low of around $44.30. Reports of ISIS attacks in northern Iraq were said to be behind the moves, although month-end trading and closing out of bearish positions was more likely.
01[11:18] {@Threei} Note that there has also been talk about higher OPEC production in January and news the USW would launch strikes at nine US refineries, and WTI has fallen back to $48 as of writing.
01[11:22] {@Threei} 1:3
01[11:22] {@Threei} 4th one today
[11:22] {JoebiWan} great job
06[11:22] * @Threei slaps entire room with large banner LET ME GO HOME
01[11:23] {@Threei} sang in tune with Let my people go
01[11:29] {@Threei} OPEC officials indicates that oil prices could remain low through to the summer months as a result of weak seasonal demand; cannot rule out oil dropping into the $30's on weak demand - press - See prices being supported right now by winter and stockpiling
01[11:57] {@Threei} (GR) German Fin Min Schaeuble: Russia cannot replace EU solidarity for Greece, do not appreciate new Greece government's closeness to Russia- Not really interested in Russia's economic difficulties
01[11:57] {@Threei} that's harsh
01[11:58] {@Threei} (US) White House releases President Obama's $3.99T 2015 budget plan, with +6.4% y/y spending growth, seeks $1.8T in deficit reduction over ten years - press - Would replace sequestration spending cuts with other spending cuts- Earmarks $14B for cybersecurity efforts ($1B increase from year ago)
01[11:58] {@Threei} ***With control of the House and the Senate in GOP hands, this budget is essentially dead on arrival
01[11:58] {@Threei} lol
01[12:10] {@Threei} Russia to stop buying Ukrainian space rockets
01[12:11] {@Threei} they figured out they'll take them for free soon enough?
01[12:17] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[12:17] {@Threei} If holds 36
01[12:19] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[12:24] {@Threei} got away
01[12:34] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .70 break
01[12:34] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[12:35] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:40] {@Threei} 1:2
[13:13] {nemo} QCOM
01[13:38] {@Threei} be back in an hour
[13:59] {nemo} last line in Boston Globe article: "They Did Their Job. They are champs again. And the record will show that 15 years after he was fired by Kraft, Carroll finally delivered a Lombardi trophy to New England."
[14:00] {RonS} lol...perfect
[14:10] {cosmo} What happened to my idol Pete Carroll...sigh. You'd think he's the guy that through the pass
[14:11] {cosmo} Maybe I should watch the tape
[14:13] {cosmo} remember: it's all in the execution
[14:17] {RonS} well, the execution was this: Lynch was getting 2-3 yds after contact by the Pats and Seattle was on the 1...the play prior he picked up 4 from the 5 yard line... Plus every time Wilson ran he got 15+
[14:20] {cosmo} I've seen guys like Lynch (no matter how good) fumble on the next play ... Chargers do it all the time (hehe)
[14:21] {RonS} ...plus Wison's short pass game had stunk...only completions in the game had been 20+ yards i think
[14:21] {cosmo} yeah, I gotta see that one he made on the prior play
[14:23] {RonS} just thinkin...Carroll would have been better off to call the fumblerooskie...love that play...lol
[14:26] {cosmo} to fumble on purpose?
[14:28] {RonS} no, the QB takes an under center snap...places the ball on the ground behind center...the line and everyone go right or left...except one guy who picks up the ball and goes the opposite direction
[14:30] {cosmo} that would prolly be a linebacker...
[14:35] {nemo} VXX
01[14:36] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .60 break
01[14:36] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[14:38] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[14:43] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[14:43] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[14:45] {@Threei} change to .40 break, if holds .30
01[14:46] {@Threei} loss of .30 chnages the trend
[14:46] {nemo} we're coming in
01[14:47] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[14:47] {@Threei} watghing VXX for pullback entry
[14:48] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
01[14:48] {@Threei} take care dp
01[14:54] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[14:54] {@Threei} ugh... late
[14:54] {nemo} probably can ride this into the close
01[14:55] {@Threei} VXX?
01[14:55] {@Threei} not sure...
[14:55] {nemo} yep
01[14:56] {@Threei} SPY can easily reverse here
[14:56] {nemo} if it holds .55-60 level
[14:56] {nemo} .60
01[14:56] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[14:56] {@Threei} If holds .40
[14:56] {nemo} well, that too, but very bullish if it doesn't gove up .55-.60
01[14:57] {@Threei} no go
[14:58] {nemo} SPY vwap bounce, now needs to stay below .70, but gotta' wonder if they wan't to give up 200 today
01[15:12] {@Threei} ugh
01[15:12] {@Threei} sensed this ramp-up
[15:13] {RonS} outta here 'til tomorrow...
[15:14] {nemo} yeah...i'm done shit blowing up here...see ya
[15:22] {JoebiWan} Been a pleasure trading with you all. Taking off for a while. Ty all. cya soon
01[15:22] {@Threei} have fun jw
01[15:25] {@Threei} ok guys, thank you all, see you tomorrow
[15:25] {dino} snow making everybody quit early
01[15:25] {@Threei} yeah
01[15:25] {@Threei} no snow here but... :)
[15:26] {dino} super bowl monday, everybody tired
[15:27] {dino} calling it a day too
01[15:27] {@Threei} take care dino
[15:28] {dino} you too
Friday, January 30, 2015
Market Week Wrap-up
TradeTheNews.com Weekly
Market Update: Greek Election and FX Fallout Squeeze Markets
Fri, 30 Jan 2015 16:16 PM EST
There was a sense of wariness in global markets this week as participants moved beyond ECB easing to mull over the Greek government turnover, some upsetting corporate quarterly reports, and the Fed's steady course toward rate hikes. Syriza's victory in Greece was widely expected, and focus is now on how Athens and the Eurozone can work out a new deal that allows both sides to save face. The FOMC decision on Wednesday strongly suggested that the Fed is on track for rate liftoff later this year after upgrading its growth assessment to "solid" from "moderate", though it did acknowledge that "international developments" are being watched closely. Meanwhile, corporate giants like Microsoft, Caterpillar, and ConocoPhillips saw losses as they grappled with the strong dollar and weak oil prices. The US 10-year yield fell to new 2015 lows below 1.70%, levels not seen since 2012. The first look at US fourth quarter GDP was good, not great (+2.6% versus final Q3 +5.0%), although consumption remained strong. US durable goods orders were not pretty, while in China, December industrial production contracted 8%, twice the November decline. The Shanghai Composite lost ground on the week for the first time in nearly three months, while the DJIA fell 2.8%, the S&P500 declined 2.8% and the Nasdaq lost 2.6%.
In Greece, the anti-bailout Syriza swept into power in elections last Sunday with an overwhelming 10-point lead over the ruling New Democracy party. Syriza took 149 seats, just shy of the 151 required for an outright majority, requiring it to recruit the right-wing, anti-bailout Independent Greeks party (with 13 seats) as coalition partner. Syriza's mercurial leader Alexis Tsipras said the election marks the end of bailout agreement for Greece and cancels austerity. The new government immediately began preparing to cancel certain privatization deals and met with EU Commissioner Dijsselbloem to discuss a new deal with Europe. The euro sank on the news, with EUR/USD touching 1.1100, although it rebounded toward the 1.13 handle later in the week.
Central bank calibration continued this week. The Singapore Central Bank (MAS) joined the currency wars with an intermeeting policy easing on Thursday. In the first unscheduled announcement in 13 years, the MAS cut its 2015 headline CPI forecasts while also lowering the slope of SGD policy band, sending the currency to its weakest levels since 2010. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand adopted a more cautious stance, tightening bias and also introduced the possibility of a rate cut as its next policy move. In Europe, the Danish Central Bank cut its CD rate for the third time in two weeks, to -0.50% from -0.35%, as the Danes struggle to maintain the EUR/DKK peg. Analysts say the DKK trading band could be widened soon if the pressure on the euro continues. Finally, the Russian Central bank took its one-week auction rate down to 15% from 17%, in what analysts called a highly political decision.
On Monday, OPEC Secretary General El-Badri tried to call a bottom in oil and insisted that prices would begin rising soon, with $200/bbl prices possible in three or four years if new oil investment really started falling. El-Badri insisted that Saudi policy under the new king would remain the same. The oil industry seemed to heed El-Badri's words as a number of the major E&P firms announced sharp y/y reductions in 2015 capex in their earnings reports. The closely watched Baker Hughes rig count registered another steep decline. The US rig count dropped 5.5% on the week, and that combined with a report of ISIS launching a fresh attack in Kurdish territory sent crude futures higher into the close on Friday. After grinding lower for most of the week, WTI crude futures rang up an 8% gain into the close on Friday, topping $48/bbl.
Oil majors detailed the impact from the decline in crude over final quarter of 2014 in quarterly reports. Shell, Total, Conoco and Chevron all announced double-digit percentage cuts to their 2015 capex plans versus 2014 (the standouts were Conoco cutting about 20% and Total cutting by 30%). Independent E&P firms Hess and Occidental Petroleum also cut capex levels (Occidental cut by 33%). The majors saw their upstream earnings plummet, while downstream earnings are barely helping them keep up. Shares of CVX, COP and XOM fell 4-5% on the week, while HES was off 8%. Meanwhile refiners Valero and Phillips 66 saw solid gains in profit from lower crude costs, and modest share gains this week.
Solid earnings reports from DR Horton and Pulte Homes helped drive gains for the major US homebuilders. Housing data out this week wasn't stellar: pending home sales dropped more than expected in December, however the month's total was still higher than the year-ago figure. Meanwhile the November S&P/Case Shiller index gained 4.3% y/y, the slowest in two years, indicating that lean inventories and tight lending standards have limited housing activities. Both Pultle and DR Horton said they were looking forward to a strong spring selling season.
Apple set a record for the most profits in a quarter ever reported by a public company with its first quarter results. iPhone shipments hit a new record high, at 74.5 million units as Apple's new large format phones were a hit, especially in China. Revenue absolutely crushed expectations on the strong sales of the high margin iPhone 6 and 6 plus. Investors did not react well to Microsoft's results, as net income contracted due to price cuts among its Windows and Xbox businesses. Facebook saw healthy y/y gains in both EPS and revenue, while mobile users were up 34% y/y.
Alibaba's shares peaked in early November and have been on the wane since, and this week's fourth-quarter report sent shares down close to 10% after revenue missed estimates. Some analysts cut the name, warning about revenue growth, while others doubled down on optimistic buy ratings. Meanwhile Yahoo disclosed its plan to spin off all of its Alibaba holdings to its shareholders, seen as a positive development, but the swoon in BABA shares dragged YHOO down right along with it. Yahoo's flat fourth-quarter search revenue and sinking display revenue did not help. Amazon had a very good holiday quarter, reporting margins back in the black and earnings way ahead of expectations. Shares of AMZN rose more than 10% after its report.
Dollar strength is becoming a big headache for US corporations with significant overseas revenue, including consumer and drug companies. Both Lilly and Pfizer turned in decent fourth-quarter results, and both cited big FX impacts for some less-than-impressive full-year guidance. Colgate-Palmolive and Proctor & Gamble both missed revenue targets and warned FX was becoming a problem. P&G said FX would reduce 2015 sales by 5% and net earnings by 12%, while Colgate said FX cut 9% off revenue in its fourth quarter.
China reported more troubling data this week. December industrial profits declined twice the amount seen in November, -8% versus -4.2% m/m, and 2014 industrial profit growth was just 3.3%. Officials acknowledged the downward pressure on the economy, but also said this is the "new normal." The PBoC injected liquidity for a second week in a row, again citing the anticipated cash squeeze going into the Lunar New Year holiday.
Lower oil prices showed up in Japan's CPI data. December core nationwide CPI and January Tokyo CPI declined to 9- and 10-month lows, respectively. Meanwhile, Japan is approaching the consumption tax hike roll-off in April, which could send annual CPI levels back to negative territory and leave Abenomics even further from its key objective of 2% inflation. Other December datapoints were similarly troubling: household consumption fell y/y for the ninth straight month and industrial output missed consensus, although exports stayed strong, rising 12.9% y/y. None of this stopped the cabinet from maintaining its economic assessment of "gradually recovering" for the fourth consecutive month. USD/JPY bounced around in a range between 117.40 and 118.60.
Fri, 30 Jan 2015 16:16 PM EST
There was a sense of wariness in global markets this week as participants moved beyond ECB easing to mull over the Greek government turnover, some upsetting corporate quarterly reports, and the Fed's steady course toward rate hikes. Syriza's victory in Greece was widely expected, and focus is now on how Athens and the Eurozone can work out a new deal that allows both sides to save face. The FOMC decision on Wednesday strongly suggested that the Fed is on track for rate liftoff later this year after upgrading its growth assessment to "solid" from "moderate", though it did acknowledge that "international developments" are being watched closely. Meanwhile, corporate giants like Microsoft, Caterpillar, and ConocoPhillips saw losses as they grappled with the strong dollar and weak oil prices. The US 10-year yield fell to new 2015 lows below 1.70%, levels not seen since 2012. The first look at US fourth quarter GDP was good, not great (+2.6% versus final Q3 +5.0%), although consumption remained strong. US durable goods orders were not pretty, while in China, December industrial production contracted 8%, twice the November decline. The Shanghai Composite lost ground on the week for the first time in nearly three months, while the DJIA fell 2.8%, the S&P500 declined 2.8% and the Nasdaq lost 2.6%.
In Greece, the anti-bailout Syriza swept into power in elections last Sunday with an overwhelming 10-point lead over the ruling New Democracy party. Syriza took 149 seats, just shy of the 151 required for an outright majority, requiring it to recruit the right-wing, anti-bailout Independent Greeks party (with 13 seats) as coalition partner. Syriza's mercurial leader Alexis Tsipras said the election marks the end of bailout agreement for Greece and cancels austerity. The new government immediately began preparing to cancel certain privatization deals and met with EU Commissioner Dijsselbloem to discuss a new deal with Europe. The euro sank on the news, with EUR/USD touching 1.1100, although it rebounded toward the 1.13 handle later in the week.
Central bank calibration continued this week. The Singapore Central Bank (MAS) joined the currency wars with an intermeeting policy easing on Thursday. In the first unscheduled announcement in 13 years, the MAS cut its 2015 headline CPI forecasts while also lowering the slope of SGD policy band, sending the currency to its weakest levels since 2010. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand adopted a more cautious stance, tightening bias and also introduced the possibility of a rate cut as its next policy move. In Europe, the Danish Central Bank cut its CD rate for the third time in two weeks, to -0.50% from -0.35%, as the Danes struggle to maintain the EUR/DKK peg. Analysts say the DKK trading band could be widened soon if the pressure on the euro continues. Finally, the Russian Central bank took its one-week auction rate down to 15% from 17%, in what analysts called a highly political decision.
On Monday, OPEC Secretary General El-Badri tried to call a bottom in oil and insisted that prices would begin rising soon, with $200/bbl prices possible in three or four years if new oil investment really started falling. El-Badri insisted that Saudi policy under the new king would remain the same. The oil industry seemed to heed El-Badri's words as a number of the major E&P firms announced sharp y/y reductions in 2015 capex in their earnings reports. The closely watched Baker Hughes rig count registered another steep decline. The US rig count dropped 5.5% on the week, and that combined with a report of ISIS launching a fresh attack in Kurdish territory sent crude futures higher into the close on Friday. After grinding lower for most of the week, WTI crude futures rang up an 8% gain into the close on Friday, topping $48/bbl.
Oil majors detailed the impact from the decline in crude over final quarter of 2014 in quarterly reports. Shell, Total, Conoco and Chevron all announced double-digit percentage cuts to their 2015 capex plans versus 2014 (the standouts were Conoco cutting about 20% and Total cutting by 30%). Independent E&P firms Hess and Occidental Petroleum also cut capex levels (Occidental cut by 33%). The majors saw their upstream earnings plummet, while downstream earnings are barely helping them keep up. Shares of CVX, COP and XOM fell 4-5% on the week, while HES was off 8%. Meanwhile refiners Valero and Phillips 66 saw solid gains in profit from lower crude costs, and modest share gains this week.
Solid earnings reports from DR Horton and Pulte Homes helped drive gains for the major US homebuilders. Housing data out this week wasn't stellar: pending home sales dropped more than expected in December, however the month's total was still higher than the year-ago figure. Meanwhile the November S&P/Case Shiller index gained 4.3% y/y, the slowest in two years, indicating that lean inventories and tight lending standards have limited housing activities. Both Pultle and DR Horton said they were looking forward to a strong spring selling season.
Apple set a record for the most profits in a quarter ever reported by a public company with its first quarter results. iPhone shipments hit a new record high, at 74.5 million units as Apple's new large format phones were a hit, especially in China. Revenue absolutely crushed expectations on the strong sales of the high margin iPhone 6 and 6 plus. Investors did not react well to Microsoft's results, as net income contracted due to price cuts among its Windows and Xbox businesses. Facebook saw healthy y/y gains in both EPS and revenue, while mobile users were up 34% y/y.
Alibaba's shares peaked in early November and have been on the wane since, and this week's fourth-quarter report sent shares down close to 10% after revenue missed estimates. Some analysts cut the name, warning about revenue growth, while others doubled down on optimistic buy ratings. Meanwhile Yahoo disclosed its plan to spin off all of its Alibaba holdings to its shareholders, seen as a positive development, but the swoon in BABA shares dragged YHOO down right along with it. Yahoo's flat fourth-quarter search revenue and sinking display revenue did not help. Amazon had a very good holiday quarter, reporting margins back in the black and earnings way ahead of expectations. Shares of AMZN rose more than 10% after its report.
Dollar strength is becoming a big headache for US corporations with significant overseas revenue, including consumer and drug companies. Both Lilly and Pfizer turned in decent fourth-quarter results, and both cited big FX impacts for some less-than-impressive full-year guidance. Colgate-Palmolive and Proctor & Gamble both missed revenue targets and warned FX was becoming a problem. P&G said FX would reduce 2015 sales by 5% and net earnings by 12%, while Colgate said FX cut 9% off revenue in its fourth quarter.
China reported more troubling data this week. December industrial profits declined twice the amount seen in November, -8% versus -4.2% m/m, and 2014 industrial profit growth was just 3.3%. Officials acknowledged the downward pressure on the economy, but also said this is the "new normal." The PBoC injected liquidity for a second week in a row, again citing the anticipated cash squeeze going into the Lunar New Year holiday.
Lower oil prices showed up in Japan's CPI data. December core nationwide CPI and January Tokyo CPI declined to 9- and 10-month lows, respectively. Meanwhile, Japan is approaching the consumption tax hike roll-off in April, which could send annual CPI levels back to negative territory and leave Abenomics even further from its key objective of 2% inflation. Other December datapoints were similarly troubling: household consumption fell y/y for the ninth straight month and industrial output missed consensus, although exports stayed strong, rising 12.9% y/y. None of this stopped the cabinet from maintaining its economic assessment of "gradually recovering" for the fourth consecutive month. USD/JPY bounced around in a range between 117.40 and 118.60.
Jan 30 2015
Another strong day to finish the month, with many nice juicy trades, 1:3 and 1:5s here and there.
Session Time: Fri Jan 30 00:00:00 2015
[09:03] {JoebiWan} gm
01[09:03] {@Threei} jw :)
[09:09] {dino} gm
01[09:09] {@Threei} dino :)
[09:09] {RonS} hello dudes
01[09:10] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:28] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:28] {@Threei} -ICPT +26% (received breakthrough therapy designation from FDA for Obeticholic Acid for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -SYNA +15% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -IMGN +14% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -AMZN +13% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -QLGC +9% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -BIIB +5.6% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -MA +4.5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -MTW +4.5% (earnings)
[09:28] {RonS} $ha laughing no more
01[09:28] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:28] {@Threei} -DECK -16% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -ALGN -11% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -JDSU -5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -XRX -3% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -TYC -2.8% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -MAT -1.5% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} hmmm... OK, early morning might be a valid excuse ron
[09:30] {dino} good one ron
[09:30] {dptl} gm
01[09:31] {@Threei} dp :)
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[09:32] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:33] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .30 break
01[09:36] {@Threei} If holds .20
01[09:36] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .55 break
01[09:38] {@Threei} If holds .45
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .55 break
01[09:43] {@Threei} change to .50
01[09:43] {@Threei} If holds .40
[09:44] {dino} pcar sm l .75
01[09:44] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:45] {@Threei} *(US) JAN CHICAGO PURCHASING MANAGER: 59.4 V 57.5E
01[09:45] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:45] {@Threei} 1:3
[09:48] {dino} pcar stop .46, -.29
[09:50] {RonS} sm l cbi 34.18
01[09:54] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .60 break
01[09:54] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:57] {@Threei} no go
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) JAN FINAL UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 98.1 V 98.2E
[10:08] {dino} what am i missing on pcar?
[10:09] {RonS} truck wreck?
01[10:09] {@Threei} who knows
[10:09] {nemo} that sucked
01[10:09] {@Threei} these things are never straightforward
[10:09] {JoebiWan} lol
01[10:10] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .20 break
01[10:10] {@Threei} If holds .10
[10:12] {RonS} jesus shak
[10:12] {dino} pcar sm l .77
[10:15] {dino} wow shak, i should start a fast food chain, call it nemo's
[10:15] {nemo} probably get sued
[10:16] {dino} seems like every burger joint stock rocks
[10:16] {nemo} sign of the market apocalypse
01[10:20] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .90 break
01[10:20] {@Threei} If holds .80
[10:21] {dino} lol talk burgers vad buys ncdonalds
01[10:23] {@Threei} stock only
01[10:23] {@Threei} and even that is invalidated
01[10:30] {@Threei} oh, and your Burger King bought our Tim Hortons... talk about ugly union, I don't know what is more gross
01[10:30] {@Threei} breakdown or bounce...
[10:30] {dino} i luv the whopper
01[10:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .25 break
01[10:33] {@Threei} If holds .20
01[10:34] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 35 break
01[10:39] {@Threei} scalp only most likely
01[10:39] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[10:40] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:40] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .75 break
01[10:41] {@Threei} If holds .65
[10:41] {dino} n looking for the 93 area gap
01[10:43] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:45] {dino} spxl sm l .96
01[11:09] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[11:09] {@Threei} If holds 35
01[11:10] {@Threei} should be a runner
01[11:11] {@Threei} 1:1
01[11:12] {@Threei} 1:2
01[11:12] {@Threei} trying for 1:5 if SPY is kindly losing 200
[11:13] {dino} spxl was stopped
01[11:13] {@Threei} 1:3
01[11:13] {@Threei} 1:4
01[11:13] {@Threei} stop .34 for the last piece
01[11:15] {@Threei} closed
[11:18] {dino} added uri calls
01[11:19] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB 77 break
01[11:19] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[11:23] {@Threei} valid
01[11:27] {@Threei} 1:1
[11:30] {dino} zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
[11:30] {dino} another 6" of snow fell here last night
01[11:30] {@Threei} yikes
[11:31] {dino} that makes roughly 18" for the week
[11:31] {RonS} dino zzzz...quit watching pcar... lol
01[11:31] {@Threei} meanwhile my problem is a bit different - grass is gettin a tad too tall, time to mow it... but ground is bit soggy for that. Hmmmm
[11:32] {RonS} goats?
01[11:32] {@Threei} would be great... none are around though
[11:32] {nemo} buy a couple
01[11:32] {@Threei} well, there are some two-legged ones as always, sure
01[11:33] {@Threei} but law frowns upon making them eat grass
01[11:33] {@Threei} they say slavery is canceled for a while
[11:33] {dino} ron, yeah pcar, i froze that one
[11:34] {dino} 3i, just spray round-up, grass problem solved
01[11:34] {@Threei} lol
[11:35] {RonS} rains too much dino...not good for waterways...
[11:36] {dino} hmm, them how about artificial turf?
[11:36] {RonS} 3i, i xeriscaped my fron yard and installed a large patio...part of reason was i got tired of the rabbits munching grass to dirt...
[11:37] {RonS} plus that is south side so wanted to be able to sit out in sun of fall and spring when back nort side is still cold...
[11:37] {dino} 3i, the biggest cure for the grass problem, move to a condo, let the association worry about it
01[11:37] {@Threei} my yard is too large ron
[11:38] {RonS} get a cow... :)
01[11:38] {@Threei} I installed a big shed turned gym,
01[11:38] {@Threei} large gazebo, patio
01[11:39] {@Threei} put in 5 trees aside of 3 that were there before me
01[11:39] {@Threei} corner with palm tree and rhododendrons
01[11:39] {@Threei} a few flowerbeds here and there
01[11:39] {@Threei} and still have about 2/3 of the yard covered with grass :)
[11:40] {RonS} wow, guess low property taxes there then...
01[11:40] {@Threei} oh and outdoor kitchen with three grills
01[11:40] {@Threei} charcoal, propane and smoker
[11:41] {RonS} what i call...covering the bases...
[11:43] {RonS} pcar found reverse gear...
[11:45] {RonS} mrvl spike on takout rumor at $19
[12:05] {nemo} VXX
01[12:06] {@Threei} - Greece Econ Min Stathakis notes that Greece will remain in the euro. - Reiterates Greece wants to negotiate with European governments, not with the Troika.
01[12:06] {@Threei} smart guys
[12:06] {dptl} good weekend all see ya monday
[12:06] {RonS} cya dp
01[12:08] {@Threei} take care dp
[12:11] {dino} cya dp
01[12:17] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .10 break
01[12:18] {@Threei} If holds 77
01[12:22] {@Threei} The first look at fourth quarter US GDP was mixed but not terrible. The headline figure was half the gain seen in the final November reading, declining to +2.6% from +5.0%, but nobody expected the economy to grow again at that high a rate
[12:30] {dino} damn, missed that n 93 gap fill that i mentioned earlier, ugh
01[12:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .75 break
01[12:33] {@Threei} If holds .65
01[12:37] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:37] {@Threei} 1:2
[12:42] {dino} n drop
01[12:45] {@Threei} 1:3
[12:46] {dino} n smr l .78
[12:46] {dino} wide
[12:47] {dino} added n calls
[12:49] {dino} dish drop
[12:49] {RonS} did it break?
[12:50] {dino} sm l .87
[12:50] {RonS} lost lunch?
01[12:50] {@Threei} lol
[12:50] {RonS} which dollar lol
[12:50] {dino} out dish 71.25, +1.38
[12:51] {dino} 69 ron
[12:51] {RonS} better call ese then...
[12:51] {dino} ?
[12:51] {nemo} holy shit...what's up with dish
[12:51] {dino} wow dish spike
[12:51] {RonS} need math lesson...
01[12:52] {@Threei} (US) FCC announces additional details from spectrum auction
[12:52] {dino} lol ron
01[12:52] {@Threei} There were 31 winning bidders for Auction 97; won 1611 licenses in AWS-3 airwaves auction- AT&T the largest bidder in the auction bidding $18.2B; Verizon bid $10.4B
[12:52] {RonS} 71.25 - 69 = 1.38
01[12:52] {@Threei} DISH is in there somewhere
[12:52] {RonS} yep
[12:53] {dino} out n .28, +.50\
[12:53] {dino} well those two trades certainly helped my day
[13:51] {dino} .
01[13:51] {@Threei} shhhhh
[13:53] {JoebiWan} jeez
[13:53] {nemo} FB could drop seriously ere
[13:58] {nemo} VXX @vwap
[14:01] {nemo} face book on the edge
[14:06] {nemo} FB
[14:07] {nemo} could be ignominious
01[14:07] {@Threei} .60 break?
[14:07] {nemo} shorted .69, have to turn aroudn there
[14:07] {nemo} seemed logical
[14:08] {nemo} ;-)
[14:08] {nemo} stop is .65
01[14:08] {@Threei} nice
[14:08] {nemo} whoa baby
06[14:08] * @Threei slaps nemo around a bit with a large roll of cash
[14:08] {JoebiWan} very nice
[14:08] {JoebiWan} gj
06[14:08] * @Threei slaps JoebiWan around a bit with a large roll of cash
[14:08] {nemo} I love 69
01[14:08] {@Threei} TMI
[14:09] {nemo} look how FB dropped with the index jumps...this could be really good
[14:09] {nemo} stop is .50
[14:09] {nemo} should be .60
[14:10] {nemo} but...
[14:10] {RonS} lol 3i
01[14:10] {@Threei} :)
[14:10] {nemo} pit /52
[14:11] {nemo} right...out .52
[14:11] {nemo} oh frig
[14:11] {nemo} oh frig
[14:11] {JoebiWan} lol
[14:12] {nemo} go fondle ur lightsaber
[14:12] {JoebiWan} rofl
[14:13] {nemo} yeah, should have kept original stop
01[14:13] {@Threei} I know very few people who act in a way that would get you infuriated if it were anyone else, but you can't help liking them
[14:13] {nemo} ?
01[14:13] {@Threei} is it a perversion?
[14:13] {nemo} ?
[14:13] {nemo} what?
01[14:14] {@Threei} sit quiet nemo, everyone else understood but you :)
[14:14] {nemo} what exactly is perverse?
[14:14] {nemo} please, tell me
[14:14] {RonS} he loves watching you suffer
01[14:14] {@Threei} hehe
01[14:14] {@Threei} sure, here is definition:
[14:14] {nemo} I'm not suffering Ron
01[14:14] {@Threei} using feather is linky. Using whole chicken is perversion
01[14:14] {@Threei} kinky
[14:15] {nemo} Ahhh, my uncle used that example
[14:15] {nemo} speaking of perverse
[14:15] {RonS} hope not a demo...
[14:15] {nemo} on netflix, watch the first episode of "Black Mirror"
[14:16] {RonS} hey dino...
[14:16] {nemo} I'm so tempted to spoil it
[14:18] {nemo} VXX
[14:19] {nemo} XOP higher low on daily
[14:20] {RonS} crude 47.70
[14:28] {RonS} 48.20
01[14:35] {@Threei} I protest this oil rebound
01[14:36] {@Threei} where can I register my objection?
[14:36] {nemo} makes sense, it's down so much, not the best idea to hold over the weekend
01[14:47] {@Threei} Short Setup: USO .70 break
01[14:47] {@Threei} If holds .80
[14:48] {RonS} revenge eh?
[14:48] {nemo} fucking with oil this low is a fools errand
[14:48] {nemo} the demand profile in the US will turn positive over then next month
[14:48] {nemo} going into Memorial Day
01[14:48] {@Threei} gosh...
01[14:49] {@Threei} next month?
01[14:49] {@Threei} vs 10 min trade?
[14:49] {RonS} hehe
01[14:49] {@Threei} it moved up quite a lot
01[14:49] {@Threei} simply short setup on large bounce
[14:49] {nemo} the volatility in the bottoming area will suck donkey dong
[14:49] {RonS} plus doesn't the oli pit close and prices get goofy right now...
01[14:50] {@Threei} .80 was even better entry but I didn't watch it back then
[14:50] {nemo} you must identify with that Ron
[14:50] {nemo} sso long over 122.30
[14:50] {nemo} holds vwap
[14:50] {nemo} dead soldier
[14:52] {nemo} 122.10
[14:52] {nemo} holds .00
[14:52] {nemo} my IQ
[14:54] {nemo} long recross sso .20
[14:54] {nemo} holds .10
[14:55] {nemo} whoa
[14:55] {nemo} o.k.
[14:55] {nemo} circling the drain here
[14:55] {nemo} nest support spy .55 level
01[15:06] {@Threei} VXX goes for high
[15:06] {nemo} yeah, and crude not dropping
[15:06] {nemo} long .78
[15:07] {nemo} stop under .73
[15:07] {RonS} lol...Air came out of that rally faster than Tom Brady's balls
01[15:07] {@Threei} lol
[15:07] {JoebiWan} best one yet
[15:07] {nemo} poor Peyton
01[15:08] {@Threei} no go
[15:08] {nemo} I'm partialing .86
[15:08] {nemo} stop under .80 not screwing with this
01[15:17] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .50 break
01[15:17] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[15:18] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:18] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:19] {@Threei} 1:3
[15:19] {JoebiWan} beauty
01[15:19] {@Threei} nailed it! (in my best Hank Moody voice)
[15:19] {dino} gj
01[15:19] {@Threei} ty
01[15:19] {@Threei} 1:4
01[15:20] {@Threei} out
01[15:20] {@Threei} solid day
01[15:20] {@Threei} 1:5
[15:20] {dino} lod
01[15:20] {@Threei} 1:6
01[15:21] {@Threei} bounce time
[15:29] {nemo} frickin uso, nothin...just dribbling along
[15:29] {nemo} looks like it's gonna com in a bit
[15:30] {JoebiWan} gotta run, ty all cya
[15:30] {nemo} going for a Bantha ride?
[15:30] {nemo} wow, it worked
01[15:33] {@Threei} lol
01[15:45] {@Threei} can't read last direction clearly
[15:45] {RonS} good weekend to all
01[15:45] {@Threei} let's not spoil good day by guessing
01[15:45] {@Threei} have a great weekend, see you monday
Session Time: Fri Jan 30 00:00:00 2015
[09:03] {JoebiWan} gm
01[09:03] {@Threei} jw :)
[09:09] {dino} gm
01[09:09] {@Threei} dino :)
[09:09] {RonS} hello dudes
01[09:10] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:28] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:28] {@Threei} -ICPT +26% (received breakthrough therapy designation from FDA for Obeticholic Acid for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -SYNA +15% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -IMGN +14% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -AMZN +13% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -QLGC +9% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -BIIB +5.6% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -MA +4.5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -MTW +4.5% (earnings)
[09:28] {RonS} $ha laughing no more
01[09:28] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:28] {@Threei} -DECK -16% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -ALGN -11% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -JDSU -5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -XRX -3% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -TYC -2.8% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -MAT -1.5% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} hmmm... OK, early morning might be a valid excuse ron
[09:30] {dino} good one ron
[09:30] {dptl} gm
01[09:31] {@Threei} dp :)
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[09:32] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:33] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .30 break
01[09:36] {@Threei} If holds .20
01[09:36] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .55 break
01[09:38] {@Threei} If holds .45
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .55 break
01[09:43] {@Threei} change to .50
01[09:43] {@Threei} If holds .40
[09:44] {dino} pcar sm l .75
01[09:44] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:45] {@Threei} *(US) JAN CHICAGO PURCHASING MANAGER: 59.4 V 57.5E
01[09:45] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:45] {@Threei} 1:3
[09:48] {dino} pcar stop .46, -.29
[09:50] {RonS} sm l cbi 34.18
01[09:54] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .60 break
01[09:54] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:57] {@Threei} no go
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) JAN FINAL UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 98.1 V 98.2E
[10:08] {dino} what am i missing on pcar?
[10:09] {RonS} truck wreck?
01[10:09] {@Threei} who knows
[10:09] {nemo} that sucked
01[10:09] {@Threei} these things are never straightforward
[10:09] {JoebiWan} lol
01[10:10] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .20 break
01[10:10] {@Threei} If holds .10
[10:12] {RonS} jesus shak
[10:12] {dino} pcar sm l .77
[10:15] {dino} wow shak, i should start a fast food chain, call it nemo's
[10:15] {nemo} probably get sued
[10:16] {dino} seems like every burger joint stock rocks
[10:16] {nemo} sign of the market apocalypse
01[10:20] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .90 break
01[10:20] {@Threei} If holds .80
[10:21] {dino} lol talk burgers vad buys ncdonalds
01[10:23] {@Threei} stock only
01[10:23] {@Threei} and even that is invalidated
01[10:30] {@Threei} oh, and your Burger King bought our Tim Hortons... talk about ugly union, I don't know what is more gross
01[10:30] {@Threei} breakdown or bounce...
[10:30] {dino} i luv the whopper
01[10:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .25 break
01[10:33] {@Threei} If holds .20
01[10:34] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 35 break
01[10:39] {@Threei} scalp only most likely
01[10:39] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[10:40] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:40] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .75 break
01[10:41] {@Threei} If holds .65
[10:41] {dino} n looking for the 93 area gap
01[10:43] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:45] {dino} spxl sm l .96
01[11:09] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[11:09] {@Threei} If holds 35
01[11:10] {@Threei} should be a runner
01[11:11] {@Threei} 1:1
01[11:12] {@Threei} 1:2
01[11:12] {@Threei} trying for 1:5 if SPY is kindly losing 200
[11:13] {dino} spxl was stopped
01[11:13] {@Threei} 1:3
01[11:13] {@Threei} 1:4
01[11:13] {@Threei} stop .34 for the last piece
01[11:15] {@Threei} closed
[11:18] {dino} added uri calls
01[11:19] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB 77 break
01[11:19] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[11:23] {@Threei} valid
01[11:27] {@Threei} 1:1
[11:30] {dino} zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
[11:30] {dino} another 6" of snow fell here last night
01[11:30] {@Threei} yikes
[11:31] {dino} that makes roughly 18" for the week
[11:31] {RonS} dino zzzz...quit watching pcar... lol
01[11:31] {@Threei} meanwhile my problem is a bit different - grass is gettin a tad too tall, time to mow it... but ground is bit soggy for that. Hmmmm
[11:32] {RonS} goats?
01[11:32] {@Threei} would be great... none are around though
[11:32] {nemo} buy a couple
01[11:32] {@Threei} well, there are some two-legged ones as always, sure
01[11:33] {@Threei} but law frowns upon making them eat grass
01[11:33] {@Threei} they say slavery is canceled for a while
[11:33] {dino} ron, yeah pcar, i froze that one
[11:34] {dino} 3i, just spray round-up, grass problem solved
01[11:34] {@Threei} lol
[11:35] {RonS} rains too much dino...not good for waterways...
[11:36] {dino} hmm, them how about artificial turf?
[11:36] {RonS} 3i, i xeriscaped my fron yard and installed a large patio...part of reason was i got tired of the rabbits munching grass to dirt...
[11:37] {RonS} plus that is south side so wanted to be able to sit out in sun of fall and spring when back nort side is still cold...
[11:37] {dino} 3i, the biggest cure for the grass problem, move to a condo, let the association worry about it
01[11:37] {@Threei} my yard is too large ron
[11:38] {RonS} get a cow... :)
01[11:38] {@Threei} I installed a big shed turned gym,
01[11:38] {@Threei} large gazebo, patio
01[11:39] {@Threei} put in 5 trees aside of 3 that were there before me
01[11:39] {@Threei} corner with palm tree and rhododendrons
01[11:39] {@Threei} a few flowerbeds here and there
01[11:39] {@Threei} and still have about 2/3 of the yard covered with grass :)
[11:40] {RonS} wow, guess low property taxes there then...
01[11:40] {@Threei} oh and outdoor kitchen with three grills
01[11:40] {@Threei} charcoal, propane and smoker
[11:41] {RonS} what i call...covering the bases...
[11:43] {RonS} pcar found reverse gear...
[11:45] {RonS} mrvl spike on takout rumor at $19
[12:05] {nemo} VXX
01[12:06] {@Threei} - Greece Econ Min Stathakis notes that Greece will remain in the euro. - Reiterates Greece wants to negotiate with European governments, not with the Troika.
01[12:06] {@Threei} smart guys
[12:06] {dptl} good weekend all see ya monday
[12:06] {RonS} cya dp
01[12:08] {@Threei} take care dp
[12:11] {dino} cya dp
01[12:17] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .10 break
01[12:18] {@Threei} If holds 77
01[12:22] {@Threei} The first look at fourth quarter US GDP was mixed but not terrible. The headline figure was half the gain seen in the final November reading, declining to +2.6% from +5.0%, but nobody expected the economy to grow again at that high a rate
[12:30] {dino} damn, missed that n 93 gap fill that i mentioned earlier, ugh
01[12:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .75 break
01[12:33] {@Threei} If holds .65
01[12:37] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:37] {@Threei} 1:2
[12:42] {dino} n drop
01[12:45] {@Threei} 1:3
[12:46] {dino} n smr l .78
[12:46] {dino} wide
[12:47] {dino} added n calls
[12:49] {dino} dish drop
[12:49] {RonS} did it break?
[12:50] {dino} sm l .87
[12:50] {RonS} lost lunch?
01[12:50] {@Threei} lol
[12:50] {RonS} which dollar lol
[12:50] {dino} out dish 71.25, +1.38
[12:51] {dino} 69 ron
[12:51] {RonS} better call ese then...
[12:51] {dino} ?
[12:51] {nemo} holy shit...what's up with dish
[12:51] {dino} wow dish spike
[12:51] {RonS} need math lesson...
01[12:52] {@Threei} (US) FCC announces additional details from spectrum auction
[12:52] {dino} lol ron
01[12:52] {@Threei} There were 31 winning bidders for Auction 97; won 1611 licenses in AWS-3 airwaves auction- AT&T the largest bidder in the auction bidding $18.2B; Verizon bid $10.4B
[12:52] {RonS} 71.25 - 69 = 1.38
01[12:52] {@Threei} DISH is in there somewhere
[12:52] {RonS} yep
[12:53] {dino} out n .28, +.50\
[12:53] {dino} well those two trades certainly helped my day
[13:51] {dino} .
01[13:51] {@Threei} shhhhh
[13:53] {JoebiWan} jeez
[13:53] {nemo} FB could drop seriously ere
[13:58] {nemo} VXX @vwap
[14:01] {nemo} face book on the edge
[14:06] {nemo} FB
[14:07] {nemo} could be ignominious
01[14:07] {@Threei} .60 break?
[14:07] {nemo} shorted .69, have to turn aroudn there
[14:07] {nemo} seemed logical
[14:08] {nemo} ;-)
[14:08] {nemo} stop is .65
01[14:08] {@Threei} nice
[14:08] {nemo} whoa baby
06[14:08] * @Threei slaps nemo around a bit with a large roll of cash
[14:08] {JoebiWan} very nice
[14:08] {JoebiWan} gj
06[14:08] * @Threei slaps JoebiWan around a bit with a large roll of cash
[14:08] {nemo} I love 69
01[14:08] {@Threei} TMI
[14:09] {nemo} look how FB dropped with the index jumps...this could be really good
[14:09] {nemo} stop is .50
[14:09] {nemo} should be .60
[14:10] {nemo} but...
[14:10] {RonS} lol 3i
01[14:10] {@Threei} :)
[14:10] {nemo} pit /52
[14:11] {nemo} right...out .52
[14:11] {nemo} oh frig
[14:11] {nemo} oh frig
[14:11] {JoebiWan} lol
[14:12] {nemo} go fondle ur lightsaber
[14:12] {JoebiWan} rofl
[14:13] {nemo} yeah, should have kept original stop
01[14:13] {@Threei} I know very few people who act in a way that would get you infuriated if it were anyone else, but you can't help liking them
[14:13] {nemo} ?
01[14:13] {@Threei} is it a perversion?
[14:13] {nemo} ?
[14:13] {nemo} what?
01[14:14] {@Threei} sit quiet nemo, everyone else understood but you :)
[14:14] {nemo} what exactly is perverse?
[14:14] {nemo} please, tell me
[14:14] {RonS} he loves watching you suffer
01[14:14] {@Threei} hehe
01[14:14] {@Threei} sure, here is definition:
[14:14] {nemo} I'm not suffering Ron
01[14:14] {@Threei} using feather is linky. Using whole chicken is perversion
01[14:14] {@Threei} kinky
[14:15] {nemo} Ahhh, my uncle used that example
[14:15] {nemo} speaking of perverse
[14:15] {RonS} hope not a demo...
[14:15] {nemo} on netflix, watch the first episode of "Black Mirror"
[14:16] {RonS} hey dino...
[14:16] {nemo} I'm so tempted to spoil it
[14:18] {nemo} VXX
[14:19] {nemo} XOP higher low on daily
[14:20] {RonS} crude 47.70
[14:28] {RonS} 48.20
01[14:35] {@Threei} I protest this oil rebound
01[14:36] {@Threei} where can I register my objection?
[14:36] {nemo} makes sense, it's down so much, not the best idea to hold over the weekend
01[14:47] {@Threei} Short Setup: USO .70 break
01[14:47] {@Threei} If holds .80
[14:48] {RonS} revenge eh?
[14:48] {nemo} fucking with oil this low is a fools errand
[14:48] {nemo} the demand profile in the US will turn positive over then next month
[14:48] {nemo} going into Memorial Day
01[14:48] {@Threei} gosh...
01[14:49] {@Threei} next month?
01[14:49] {@Threei} vs 10 min trade?
[14:49] {RonS} hehe
01[14:49] {@Threei} it moved up quite a lot
01[14:49] {@Threei} simply short setup on large bounce
[14:49] {nemo} the volatility in the bottoming area will suck donkey dong
[14:49] {RonS} plus doesn't the oli pit close and prices get goofy right now...
01[14:50] {@Threei} .80 was even better entry but I didn't watch it back then
[14:50] {nemo} you must identify with that Ron
[14:50] {nemo} sso long over 122.30
[14:50] {nemo} holds vwap
[14:50] {nemo} dead soldier
[14:52] {nemo} 122.10
[14:52] {nemo} holds .00
[14:52] {nemo} my IQ
[14:54] {nemo} long recross sso .20
[14:54] {nemo} holds .10
[14:55] {nemo} whoa
[14:55] {nemo} o.k.
[14:55] {nemo} circling the drain here
[14:55] {nemo} nest support spy .55 level
01[15:06] {@Threei} VXX goes for high
[15:06] {nemo} yeah, and crude not dropping
[15:06] {nemo} long .78
[15:07] {nemo} stop under .73
[15:07] {RonS} lol...Air came out of that rally faster than Tom Brady's balls
01[15:07] {@Threei} lol
[15:07] {JoebiWan} best one yet
[15:07] {nemo} poor Peyton
01[15:08] {@Threei} no go
[15:08] {nemo} I'm partialing .86
[15:08] {nemo} stop under .80 not screwing with this
01[15:17] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .50 break
01[15:17] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[15:18] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:18] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:19] {@Threei} 1:3
[15:19] {JoebiWan} beauty
01[15:19] {@Threei} nailed it! (in my best Hank Moody voice)
[15:19] {dino} gj
01[15:19] {@Threei} ty
01[15:19] {@Threei} 1:4
01[15:20] {@Threei} out
01[15:20] {@Threei} solid day
01[15:20] {@Threei} 1:5
[15:20] {dino} lod
01[15:20] {@Threei} 1:6
01[15:21] {@Threei} bounce time
[15:29] {nemo} frickin uso, nothin...just dribbling along
[15:29] {nemo} looks like it's gonna com in a bit
[15:30] {JoebiWan} gotta run, ty all cya
[15:30] {nemo} going for a Bantha ride?
[15:30] {nemo} wow, it worked
01[15:33] {@Threei} lol
01[15:45] {@Threei} can't read last direction clearly
[15:45] {RonS} good weekend to all
01[15:45] {@Threei} let's not spoil good day by guessing
01[15:45] {@Threei} have a great weekend, see you monday
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