July 23 2014

A few too many rinses in the afternoon, finishing negative despite nice trades in the morning

Session Time: Wed Jul 23 00:00:00 2014
[09:00] {RonS} gm...wonder if dino will short pbyi today?  :)
01[09:01] {@Threei}  morning ron
01[09:01] {@Threei}  lol
01[09:02] {@Threei}  I don't think I've ever seen such persentage
01[09:02] {@Threei}  umm, wait
01[09:02] {@Threei}  ENMD... from 10 to 80
01[09:02] {@Threei}  1999 or so
01[09:03] {@Threei}  it's the dollar gap that is most impressive in this case
01[09:12] {@Threei}  dino saw PBYI and fainted :)
[09:12] {dino} gm
01[09:12] {@Threei}  ah, here he is
01[09:12] {@Threei}  morning :)
[09:13] {troub} good morning you all
01[09:13] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:14] {Thomcbell} Gm
01[09:14] {@Threei}  thom :)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -PBYI +261.0% (positive results from the Phase III clinical trial of Puma's investigational drug PB272 (neratinib) in the ExteNet trial)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -DRL +15.7% (SC ruling in lawsuit against Puerto Rico Treasury)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -ISRG +12.2% (earnings, guidance on FY14 procedure growth)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -TLM +11.1% (Repsol rumored to be considering bid)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -BIIB +7.0% (earnings)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -BRCM +3.9% (earnings)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -XLNX -13.3% (earnings)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -JNPR -7.1% (earnings)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -GSK -4.0% (earnings)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -IRBT -3.3% (earnings)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -EA -1.4% (earnings)
01[09:14] {@Threei}  -MEET -12% (earnings)
[09:19] {RonS} INO
01[09:26] {@Threei}  FB, .70 - 80 two-sided setup for the open, half lot
01[09:30] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .70 break hl
01[09:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[09:32] {@Threei}  stop to .76
01[09:33] {@Threei}  1/2 meh
01[09:35] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .60 break
01[09:35] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[09:37] {@Threei}  hmmm
[09:38] {RonS} Rebels shoot down two Ukrainian fighter jets near #MH17 crash site: http://bloom.bg/1tzDBqE
01[09:38] {@Threei}  yeah, overnight
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .80 break
01[09:39] {@Threei}  too fast...
01[09:39] {@Threei}  in on pullback
01[09:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[09:40] {@Threei}  what the deuce
01[09:40] {@Threei}  I liked yesterday much more
01[09:43] {@Threei}  FB doesn't care about market
[09:43] {nemo} earnings tonight
01[09:48] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  ,15 break
01[09:48] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[09:50] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:53] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:54] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:55] {@Threei}  out in full
01[09:55] {@Threei}  finally got the right one
[09:55] {dino} gj
01[09:56] {@Threei}  ty
[09:57] {troub} nice vad
01[09:57] {@Threei}  :)
[09:58] {troub} and you spelled FB right :)
01[09:59] {@Threei}  that's a bonus!
01[10:00] {@Threei}  (EU) EURO ZONE JULY ADVANCE CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: -8.4 V -7.5E
[10:06] {RonS} Alberta added 81,800 jobs over the past 12 months while the rest of Canada lost 9,500:
[10:06] {RonS} http://bloom.bg/1tyU3HG
[10:06] {nemo} gotta' love tar sands
[10:06] {dino} cck hl l .90 stop brk lod
[10:07] {RonS} sad, Pat Bowlen, alzheimers...a great Canadian
[10:07] {nemo} yeah, poor bastard
[10:09] {dino} cck stop -.12
[10:10] {nemo} aapl drop of .40
[10:11] {nemo} oh well, nope
[10:12] {dino} irbt hl l .00 stop lod
[10:12] {nemo} the iAcolytes are still out
[10:21] {dino} cck sm l .80 stop .64
01[10:21] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .10 break
[10:21] {dino} apd spike
01[10:21] {@Threei}  If holds  115
01[10:24] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[10:26] {RonS} tlm halt
[10:28] {nemo} IWM again
01[10:29] {@Threei}  yes, valid again
[10:29] {nemo} took above .05
[10:29] {nemo} well, tna above .20
01[10:29] {@Threei}  thought of 115 break... setup wasn't well defined
[10:30] {nemo} was looking how that piercing pattern set up
[10:30] {nemo} stop to .24
01[10:31] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:31] {@Threei}  TLM Halted; news pending- Reminder: Earlier reports were that Repsol was considering a bid for the company
01[10:39] {@Threei}  another leg
01[10:40] {@Threei}  even 2
01[10:44] {@Threei}  (RU) President Putin has reportedly organized an emergency meeting of the Duma to discuss Ukraine
[10:45] {RonS} whr missed and guided down wtf...
[10:46] {nemo} watch SNDK when it recovers 95
[10:59] {dino} out irbt .30 +.30
01[11:01] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .70 break
01[11:01] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
[11:05] {dino} whr vsm s .49
[11:14] {dino} wtf whr, huge miss and lowers
[11:14] {RonS} unreal...must have been something on the conf call
[11:15] {nemo} definition of a bull market
[11:16] {nemo} I want to short HLF out of sheer boredom
01[11:17] {@Threei}  hello mr Ackman
[11:17] {nemo} after yesterday's run up, plus it's having trouble with VWAP
[11:18] {nemo} http://goo.gl/2BRCZw
[11:19] {RonS} BREAKING: Talisman Energy acknowledges approach from top Spanish oil company Repsol
01[11:20] {@Threei}  (US) Senate advances bill that would provide business tax credits for returning offshore jobs to the US ("insourcing")
01[11:21] {@Threei}  GLD stop to .76
[11:23] {dino} added whr puts
01[11:24] {@Threei}  Obama orders Pentagon advisers to Ukraine to fend off Putin-backed rebels
[11:24] {RonS} Senate:  We need to put those Central American kids to work immediately...
[11:24] {dino} roflol
[11:25] {nemo} clearing minefields
01[11:25] {@Threei}  lol
[11:30] {nemo} jpm likely going to .60ish
01[11:33] {@Threei}  https://www.facebook.com/VadymGraiferPhotography/photos/a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052/686510551428463/?type=1&theater
[11:33] {RonS} and we pay for this crap?  BREAKING: IMF says Fed could keep rate low past mid-2015 if outlook holds
[11:35] {nemo} JPM Vad
01[11:35] {@Threei}  IMF... economic twin of UN
01[11:36] {@Threei}  can't tell nemo, can erverse here just as easy
01[11:36] {@Threei}  reverse
02[11:41] * Disconnected
Session Close: Wed Jul 23 11:41:01 2014

Session Start: Wed Jul 23 11:41:01 2014
Session Ident: #discussions
02[11:42] * Attempting to rejoin channel #discussions
03[11:42] * Rejoined channel #discussions
01[11:45] {Threei}  lost connection
[11:45] {nemo} with reality?
01[11:45] {Threei}  never had that one
[11:46] {nemo} I'm losing touch with reality and I'm almost out of blow....such a fine line....hate to see it go
[11:46] {nemo} ~Jackson Browne
[11:46] {nemo} MON at S3 on the daily and breakout level from May
[11:47] {nemo} and 117
01[12:01] {Threei}  an exhibition in Kyiv saw three men dressed as stereotypical Russians placed in a cage posted with signs saying “Beware of Occupiers” and “Please do not Feed.”
01[12:07] {Threei}  JPM... reversed
01[12:25] {Threei} Long Setup:  WMT  .75 break
01[12:25] {Threei}  If holds  .70
01[12:37] {Threei}  ugh... why didn't we short JPM
[12:54] {dino} cck stop -.13
01[12:57] {Threei}  BRKR Board approves plan to divest certain assets and implement a restructuring program in the Chemical & Applied Markets (CAM) division - filing
01[13:11] {Threei} Long Setup:  JPM  .90 break
01[13:11] {Threei}  If holds  .85
01[13:14] {Threei}  Invalidated
01[13:29] {Threei} Short Setup: LULU  .40 break
01[13:30] {Threei}  If holds  .45
01[13:39] {Threei} Short Setup: GM  .60 break
01[13:39] {Threei}  If holds  .70
01[14:00] {Threei}  stop to .66
[14:00] {dino} calling it a day, tree time in 20
[14:00] {dino} tee
01[14:02] {Threei}  tree time... that's a nice one
01[14:04] {Threei}  feels like rally is coming
01[14:04] {Threei}  keeping IWM on radar
01[14:10] {Threei}  Dutch frustration with Russia in the wake of the MH17 crash is taking on an increasingly personal note, as some called for Vladimir Putin's daughter to be deported from the Netherlands.
01[14:12] {Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  115 break
01[14:12] {Threei}  If holds  .90
01[14:17] {Threei}  Invalidated
01[14:17] {Threei}  for now
01[14:17] {Threei}  on radar still, either for recalibration or re-validation
01[14:17] {Threei}  or whatever big word we come up with
01[14:17] {Threei}  nemo, we need a big word
01[14:17] {Threei}  defenestration?
06[14:22] * Threei slaps nemo around a bit with a Encyclopedy of Big Words
01[14:26] {Threei}  GOOG Said to be in negotiations to take equity stake in Cape Wind - blog- 468 MW Cape Wind project that will be built off the Massachusetts coast
01[14:27] {Threei}  so these guys want to solve energy problem next
01[14:27] {Threei}  somehow I trust them to do that more than WH, Congress etc
01[14:34] {Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .81 break
01[14:34] {Threei}  If holds  .75
01[14:53] {Threei}  grrr
01[14:53] {Threei}  afternoon of rinses
01[15:15] {Threei}  frikin IWM
01[15:18] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .15 break
01[15:18] {Threei}  If holds  .05
01[15:25] {Threei}  Invalidated
01[15:32] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .05 break
01[15:32] {Threei}  If holds  .95
01[15:38] {Threei}  OK, I officially hate today's afternoon
01[15:38] {Threei}  have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:38] {nemo} you've been saying that alot lately
01[15:38] {Threei}  just yesterday
01[15:38] {Threei}  before that it was fine for a weeks or two
[15:50] {thomcbell} it has been an annoying tape
[15:50] {nemo} especially afternoons
01[15:53] {Threei}  hell... look at FB
[15:53] {nemo} thought you left
01[15:53] {Threei}  I have
[15:54] {nemo} SPY .17 range since 1:45
01[15:59] {Threei}  shoot me now
01[15:59] {Threei}  FB
[15:59] {nemo} earnings
01[15:59] {Threei}  called it
01[15:59] {Threei}  and got rinsed
01[16:06] {Threei}  [FB] Reports Q2 $0.42 v $0.33e, R$2.91B v $2.80Be

July 22 2014

Nice strong day with 4 winning trades in the morning and empty afternoon with a stop. 

Session Time: Tue Jul 22 00:00:00 2014
[08:45] {dino> gm
01[08:45] {@Threei>  morning dino
[08:45] {nemo> not really...book night last night...I'm seeing twice as many screes as usual, and I'm hoping I'm typing in the right window
01[08:47] {@Threei>  if we see you flirting with room members, we will assume you did mix up windows
01[08:47] {@Threei>  rather that you changed your preferences
01[08:47] {@Threei>  than
[08:49] {nemo> so, it took until Tuesday to probably get new all time highs
01[08:51] {@Threei>  All Russians, regardless of their place of residence, should have equal opportunities and no one has a right to encroach on citizens' rights, Russian President Vladimir Putin said.
01[08:51] {@Threei>  need translation}
[08:51] {nemo> We're invading Ukraine
[08:51] {dino> bingo
[08:51] {nemo> Interesting though, who benefits from that downed airliner
[08:52] {nemo> }
[08:52] {cosmo> we}
01[08:52] {@Threei>  over last couple days unkrainian army made huge advance
[08:52] {nemo> it hurts to type
01[08:52] {@Threei>  so, I guess the moment when Outin makes final decision is very close
01[08:52] {@Threei>  O=P
01[08:53] {@Threei>  he waged this war as proxy one for as long as he could
01[08:53] {@Threei>  but rebels are being cornered now
01[08:53] {@Threei>  let them lose or invade, is his choice
01[09:05] {@Threei>  Ron, just so you know and are ready to anything:
01[09:06] {@Threei>  [08:45] {nemo> book night last night...I'm seeing twice as many screes as usual, and I'm hoping I'm typing in the right window
01[09:06] {@Threei>  [08:47] {@Threei> if we see you flirting with room members, we will assume you did mix up windows
01[09:06] {@Threei>  [08:47] {@Threei> rather than you changed your preferences
[09:16] {troub> ggood morning you all
01[09:16] {@Threei>  troub :)
01[09:21] {@Threei>  Upside:
01[09:21] {@Threei>  -CBAK +12.8 (momentum)
01[09:21] {@Threei>  -SANM +11% (earnings)
01[09:21] {@Threei>  -CMG +10% (earnings)
01[09:21] {@Threei>  -CBMX +9/3% (signs contract with Stratose Networks Division)
01[09:21] {@Threei>  -CROX +8.2% (earnings)
01[09:21] {@Threei>  -FCEL +5.9% (German govt €5M R&D award)
01[09:21] {@Threei>  -APA +5.8% (Jana Partners disclosed stake)
01[09:21] {@Threei>  -GALE +5.7% (enters agreement to license US rights to Zuplenz)
01[09:22] {@Threei>  Downside:
01[09:22] {@Threei>  -TEP -4.9% (announced potential acquisition of Pony Express Pipeline for $600M and public offering of 7M units)
01[09:22] {@Threei>  -UCTT -3.9% (earnings)
01[09:22] {@Threei>  -HOG -3.2% (earnings)
01[09:22] {@Threei>  -HLF -3.5% (ahead of Pershing Square presentation)
01[09:22] {@Threei>  -MCD -2.4% (earnings)
01[09:22] {@Threei>  -TRV -2.4% (earnings)
[09:25] {ese> mornin
[09:25] {nemo> You have Mao's
[09:25] {nemo> Little Red Book}
[09:26] {RonS> hi ese, all
01[09:26] {@Threei>  ese :)
[09:27] {nemo> think I might have to pray to the bathroom god
[09:29] {ese> ron vad nemo...and dino i'm sure
[09:32] {ese> CIT
[09:32] {nemo> SNDK
01[09:32] {@Threei> Long Setup:  FB  ,50 break
01[09:33] {@Threei>  If holds  .40
[09:33] {nemo> too bad the spread sucks on SNDK
01[09:34] {@Threei>  1:1
[09:35] {nemo> proverbial hair from all time highs
[09:37] {ese> sndk nemo}
[09:37] {nemo> FB likely sell off in front of earnings tomorrow
01[09:40] {@Threei> Short Setup: TWTR  .90 break
01[09:41] {@Threei>  If holds  38
[09:42] {dino> stt sm l .50
01[09:42] {@Threei>  1:1
01[09:42] {@Threei>  1:2
01[09:47] {@Threei> Long Setup:  FB  .85 break
01[09:48] {@Threei>  If holds  .75
[09:48] {dino> out stt .90, +.40
01[09:49] {@Threei>  wtg
01[09:49] {@Threei>  1:1
[09:50] {nemo> making you work for it though
[09:52] {nemo> FB weak
[09:52] {dino> wwd spike.
[09:52] {dino> silc blood
01[09:59] {@Threei>  *(US) JULY RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING INDEX: 7 V 5E
01[10:00] {@Threei>  *(US) JUN EXISTING HOME SALES: 5.04M V 4.99ME
[10:00] {dino> silc smr l .70
[10:13] {dino> out silc .10, +.40
[10:13] {nemo> grind up yuck
[10:16] {dino> cyh, hca drop
[10:17] {dino> cyn hl l .00
[10:18] {dino> out cyh .56, +.56
01[10:18] {@Threei> Short Setup: GLD  .60 break
01[10:18] {@Threei>  If holds  .70
[10:18] {dino> hurc drop
01[10:22] {@Threei>  1:1
01[10:22] {@Threei>  that's 4th winning tradse in a row, out of 4. May I go home}
[10:23] {dino> sure, you're excused
[10:23] {troub> have to spell "trade" correctly first
01[10:24] {@Threei>  argh... always something
01[10:24] {@Threei>  lol
[10:29] {nemo> mmmhhh...that's the first time I've noticed troub take a shot at Vad...feels good, doesn't it ;-)
[10:30] {nemo> wow what with UTX
01[10:30] {@Threei>  why not... everyone else does
[10:30] {nemo> sniff sniff
[10:30] {dino> living up to his name
[10:31] {RonS> lol...Unclear how much Greek banks need in potential third bailout: http://bloom.bg/1ng6oiJ
01[10:31] {@Threei>  rofl
[10:32] {troub> nnot really a shot. Just a friendly bit of advice. Or else.
[10:32] {nemo> ooooooooooooooooh
01[10:32] {@Threei>  lol
[10:32] {nemo> had to put the sunglasses on
01[10:32] {@Threei>  nemo found comrade
[10:33] {nemo> guys algo is strongly green and spy is not moving up
[10:33] {nemo> we might come in here
[10:33] {troub> giving you a chance vad with my "nnot".  Fair is fair.
[10:34] {dino> utx odd, gap 109.50 area
[10:34] {nemo> yeah
01[10:35] {@Threei>  nah, I will wait for something more lucrative than simple double letter
[10:35] {dino> filled
[10:35] {troub> nemo taught me that.
[10:35] {nemo> huh}  wha}  me do what}
[10:36] {troub> fair is fair.
[10:36] {dino> utx smr l .50
[10:41] {nemo> Nature is unkind
[10:41] {nemo> my hangover is unkind
[10:43] {RonS> hlf rips while ackman acks...
[10:47] {RonS> lol...hope he (Ackman) wraps up the foreplay and gets to it before I doze off
01[10:50] {@Threei>  you liostening to it real time}
[10:50] {RonS> not at all...just reading posts and watching scanner
01[10:50] {@Threei>  oh
01[10:50] {@Threei>  (US) Reportedly Obamacare subsidy payments for healthcare exchanges have been overturned in court ruling, dealing a setback for Obamacare - press - Court throws out the IRS regulation that allows subsidies for insurance that is purchased through federal exchanges - Ruling impacts 5.5M people who received those subsidies - Court returning the case to a lower court with instructions to rule in favor of appellants who had sued to overturn the rule
01[10:52] {@Threei>  [HLF] Pershing's Ackman reviewing Herbalife internal documents that refer to low income people in developing countries as "BOP" ('bottom of the pyramid') - presentation - Says HLF strategy documents show the company deliberately targets lower income people and certain ethnic groups to expand their sales. - By Pershing's calculation the average 'Nutrition Club' loses about $12K per year. - Nutrition Clubs require new members to take a certain number paid classes and to make and consume the shakes during training. "We were told" that new members must bring in invitees to their sponsor's club and make 100 shakes to get stamp certification. The trainee likely is offering the shake for free to their guests and thus has to pay for the shakes themselves.
[10:52] {dino> usna, nus running
[11:03] {ese> thats me "BOP"
01[11:15] {@Threei>  UK official: Russia must re-examine its policy of supporting separatists in east of Ukraine
01[11:16] {@Threei>  Russia: we did. Very effective policy
[11:21] {RonS> Delta cancels all flights to Israel indefinitely, citing report of rocket near Tel Aviv airport
[11:29] {dino> utx to .50
[11:30] {dino> to .70
[11:32] {dino> nemo, thanks for idea on utx, out .85, +1.35
[11:32] {nemo> cool
[11:41] {RonS> imagine kmart had bought walmart in the 1970's...and then spun it off, only to watch it become the current day walmart...that is how mcd is feeling about cmg...
[11:50] {dino> wwd
[11:56] {dino> wwd sm s .42
01[11:59] {@Threei>  speaking of this kind of things, Ron... did you know that Google founders were in negotiations to sell it in its early days, and prospective buyer rejected the deal thinking it was too high priced, at $800K}
[12:01] {RonS> wow
01[12:02] {@Threei>  of course who is to say buyer, should have he bought, would have mader it into what it is
[12:02] {nemo> along that line, a local operation called Simpson Spring was offered the first Coca Cola distributorship in the Northeast.  They didn't think it would sell and stuck with the soda they were carrying  -Moxie
[12:10] {dino> cov wwd .82, +.60
01[12:18] {@Threei> Long Setup:  FB  .50 break
01[12:18] {@Threei>  If holds  .40
01[12:21] {@Threei>  https://www.facebook.com/photo.php}fbid=685978484815003&set=a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052&type=1&theater
[12:23] {dino> cck hl l .51 stop lod
[12:24] {dino> hclp drop
[12:25] {nemo> MCD looks short
01[12:28] {@Threei>  FB valid
[12:28] {troub> keeping FB valid}
01[12:29] {@Threei>  taking long on .50 break
01[12:29] {@Threei>  as for its business model, valid ot nor, I still hate it :)
01[12:44] {@Threei>  EU leaders debate whether further sanctions are needed on Russia
01[12:45] {@Threei>  nah... as one russian stand-up comedian said, "never lived well, no need to start now"
01[12:47] {@Threei>  France's president signalled the disputed delivery of a warship to Moscow would go ahead.
01[12:47] {@Threei>  can you say "arming the enemy"}
[12:48] {cosmo> good for business
[12:51] {cosmo> Napoleon probably wouldnt like it...
[12:59] {dino> cck to .76
[13:01] {dino> out cck .80, +.29
01[13:08] {@Threei>  [HLF] HLF Champman Capital: we were buying HLF shares again today, its our biggest position ever - CNBC interview - Believe the company will emerge with a clean bill of health from FTC investigation
[13:13] {dino> ddd drop
[13:14] {nemo> http://goo.gl/6FMROC
[13:45] {dino> lgnd .00 smr l trig
[13:46] {ese> Ok....just got in from putting gutters on the rental roperty next door........heights are definitely not my thing
01[13:48] {@Threei>  I can relate
[13:52] {dino> out lgnd .42, +.40
[13:53] {RonS> gj, getting back into form eh}
[13:53] {dino> slowly, last week was tough on me
[14:06] {dino> ddd smr l .94
[14:09] {dino> mjn spike
[14:11] {dino> ddd to b/e
01[14:11] {@Threei>  [FB] Announces new features to allow developers to better target mobile users; allowing discrimination between various mobile devices; details 'Custom Audiences' - - Facebook: We are enhancing our mobile targeting for developers. Available in the next few days, you will be able to reach people using specific mobile devices, such as a Samsung Galaxy S5, iPhone 5s, or an HTC One. For example, you can deliver ads to people specifically using a Google Nexus 10 with a minimum OS version of 3.0, who are on Wi-Fi. Previously you could only target iOS or Android, minimum OS version and Wi-Fi only users.
[14:12] {dino> mjn crazy area
[14:19] {dino> udjddmhgf,tyit,f, missed mjn short, wanted 95.30 re-test
[14:19] {dino> 98.30
[14:19] {dino> hit the .20s, but not me
[14:32] {dino> ddd stop .98, +.04
01[14:34] {@Threei>  huh
01[14:34] {@Threei>  no news for this drop
01[14:40] {@Threei> Long Setup:  GLD  .75 break
01[14:40] {@Threei>  If holds  .65
01[14:47] {@Threei>  don't see anything still
[14:47] {nemo> maybe getting out of the way of the aapl conference call
[14:50] {nemo> http://goo.gl/kkOypc
[14:52] {RonS> like the egg pic better...
[14:52] {nemo> each have their charm, love the look on the dog on the left
[14:53] {RonS> ya...loks like it has been drinking or just got laid...
[14:59] {dino> ddd sm l .55
[15:02] {dino> lol, eating some shelled peanuts at my desk, what a mess
[15:03] {RonS> ya, i need to do that outside...uncontrollable...
01[15:03] {@Threei>  lol
[15:03] {dino> parts of shell everywhere
[15:04] {dino> loks like a peanut bomb went off
[15:04] {dino> not the ideal trading snack
[15:14] {RonS> wow hld +14 from low
[15:14] {RonS> hlf
[15:15] {dino> ackman really didn't bring anything new on it
01[15:16] {@Threei>  Ackan: but I gave such a great presentation...
[15:27] {dino> out ddd .80, +.25
[15:33] {dino> lol, 8 of 10, and one of the 2 stops is at flat
[15:34] {dino> pretty much calling it a day on that
01[15:39] {@Threei>  great morning, totally empty afternoon for me
[15:40] {dino> db lod
[15:45] {dino> gap at .68 area
01[15:46] {@Threei>  ok guys, thank you all, decent day
01[15:47] {@Threei>  have a great evening, see you tomorrow

July 21 2014

Catch of the Day, VXX 1:4 

Overall, very nice strong day with good winning trades in both directions.


Session Time: Mon Jul 21 00:00:00 2014
[08:47] {dino} gm
01[08:47] {@Threei}  morning dino
[09:11] {troub} good morning you all
01[09:11] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:18] {RonS} gm gents
01[09:18] {@Threei}  ron :)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  look at my saturday catch guys: https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=685254351554083&set=a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052&type=1&theater
[09:19] {RonS} wow nice, the reflection off the spray makes it special
[09:20] {Raven} fly rod with 8 pound test leader?
01[09:20] {@Threei}  yup, golden hour... went on evening trip on purpose
01[09:20] {@Threei}  lol
01[09:26] {@Threei}  FB a lot of strength, considering SPY gap down
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -SSW +9.5% (positive broker comments)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -NFLX +1.7% (positioning on earnings, company reports ATC)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -KNDI +7% (China waiving sales tax on electric cars made by Chinese automakers)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -EGAS +7% (rejects AQN.CA acquisition offer)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -EXTR +14% (prelim results)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -YUM -1.6% (Chinese meat supplier investigation, announced 7/20)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -WYNN -0.9% (sector down on Macau news, LVS/MPEL down slightly)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -MCD -0.6% (Chinese meat supplier investigation, announced 7/20)
01[09:32] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  69 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:32] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:35] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD  .40 break hl
01[09:35] {@Threei}  ugh
01[09:35] {@Threei}  too fast
01[09:35] {@Threei}  disregard
[09:35] {nemo} iwm at 200 day
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .35 break
01[09:36] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
[09:38] {troub} jumped my .36
01[09:41] {@Threei}  meh
01[09:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:42] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .60 break
01[09:43] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:43] {@Threei}  lol, was that Yoda call or what
01[09:43] {@Threei}  1:2
[09:45] {dino} rkt smr l .50 hooker
01[09:45] {@Threei}  1:4
01[09:45] {@Threei}  out
01[09:54] {@Threei} Short Setup: IWM  .85 break
01[09:55] {@Threei}  If holds  .95
[09:55] {nemo} whoa can't short IWM
01[09:55] {@Threei}  got away... too fast
01[09:56] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .15 break
01[09:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
[09:57] {nemo} fb
[09:57] {nemo} FB
[09:57] {nemo} broke
[09:58] {dino} out rkt .00, +.50
[09:59] {ese} gm
[09:59] {troub} nice one dino
[09:59] {dino} ty
01[09:59] {@Threei}  ese :)
[09:59] {dino} pattern 95.40-96.00
[10:00] {ese} vad dino
[10:00] {dino} ese
[10:00] {ese} been away for a few days...got in late last night
[10:00] {ese} anything new and exciting
[10:00] {nemo} On the road again...
[10:01] {ese} relatives
[10:01] {ese} wife's sisters and brother are in vancouver
[10:02] {nemo} in-laws rate right up there with flossing with barbed wire
[10:03] {ese} lol
[10:03] {ese} in this case your definitely correct with one of them
[10:03] {nemo} YUM might bounce around 74.60
[10:04] {nemo} Yeah, given your the resident Bolshevik  I derive a certain schadenfreude from your suffering
[10:04] {nemo} your=you're
[10:05] {ese} lol
[10:05] {ese} anytime anytime
01[10:08] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD  98 break
01[10:08] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
[10:09] {nemo} shit, took my eyes off youm
[10:09] {nemo} YUM
[10:10] {nemo} ADBE  72  and then 72.30ish level important
[10:11] {dino} nemo, you seeing any panic today?
[10:11] {nemo} zip zed nada
[10:11] {dino} same, feels slow
[10:11] {nemo} red side stronger on the algo, but not real strong
[10:12] {nemo} mid july Monday
[10:12] {nemo} vxx stronger today
01[10:12] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:12] {dino} yeah, holding vxx calls from friday
01[10:13] {@Threei}  ese, look what I caught this saturday:
01[10:13] {@Threei}  https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=685254351554083&set=a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052&type=1&theater
[10:13] {nemo} your sister came to visit?
[10:14] {dino} was looking for a bit of weekend chaos, but again, markets doesn't really care
[10:14] {nemo} yeah, was saying to somebody this weekend the markets need the Yellowstone caldera to blow to get any volatility
[10:14] {dino} lol
[10:16] {nemo} Was over at Patriot Place this weekend, which is the shopping complex attached to the Patriot's stadium.  Germans everywhere, so Europe is pretty much on vacation
[10:16] {dino} hmmm
[10:17] {nemo} ADBE
01[10:19] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .55 break
01[10:19] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
01[10:19] {@Threei}  (UR) White House: Pres Obama plans to issue statements on the Ukraine issue at 1050ET - Ukraine Govt separately indicates it has seized control of the Donetsk airport; following other reports that multiple cities in Luhansk and in the Donetsk region had come back under the Ukraine govt control.
[10:22] {dino} out vxx calls, +.20/7.5%
[10:27] {ese} wow vad!!  were you out in the strait here just off victoria somewhere
01[10:28] {@Threei}  yes, near San Juan island
[10:29] {ese} that would have cool to see
[10:29] {ese} been cool
01[10:29] {@Threei}  saw about 10 breaches
01[10:29] {@Threei}  caught 2 on camera
01[10:30] {@Threei}  stop to .49
[10:31] {nemo} I shorted ADBE but got out, it was boring me to death
01[10:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .55 break
01[10:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
[10:33] {RonS} O talk re Ukraine at 50...which means 20 minutes after that...
01[10:33] {@Threei}  half out
[10:33] {nemo} well, he has to get in his 100 or so obligatory "I"s first
01[10:34] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:36] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:37] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:39] {@Threei}  1:4, out
01[10:42] {@Threei}  wow, has even more
01[10:42] {@Threei}  with no single red bar
01[10:43] {@Threei}  the power of bear moves... love it
[10:46] {dino} gj
01[10:46] {@Threei}  ty
[10:55] {RonS} sm l dva .05
[10:59] {nemo} for the non-risk averse V under 200 looks good short
[11:04] {nemo} VXX looks short
01[11:05] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .30 break
01[11:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[11:07] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:23] {nemo} here we go again, pop a buy order into wdc, as soon as I hit "buy" and order gets there first
[11:24] {nemo} another order
[11:27] {dino} xiv hl l .20
[11:38] {dino} xiv stopped .99 -.21
[11:40] {dino} damn rinses lately
[11:41] {dino} hl l .18
01[12:06] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .80 break
01[12:06] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[12:34] {dino} sndk sm l .90
[12:35] {dino} rkt smr l .26
[12:36] {nemo} what's ur stop on sndk?
[12:41] {nemo} frickin Jet's fan
[12:42] {RonS} lol
01[12:43] {@Threei}  lol
[12:45] {dino} .66
[12:45] {nemo} figures
[12:46] {nemo} look where S1 is though
[12:46] {dino} yeah, make is .59
01[12:49] {@Threei}  1:1
[12:50] {nemo} http://goo.gl/3f3MiO
[12:56] {nemo} if you want to take a look at what's been on the algo today:  http://goo.gl/w8Tqxk
[13:00] {nemo} Hey Dino:  http://www.foxsports.com/nfl/story/rex-ryan-patriots-should-worry-about-jets-not-other-way-around-072114
[13:09] {dino} rex is losing it
[13:09] {RonS} t?
[13:10] {nemo} if he doesn't perform this year he's out
[13:10] {dino} should have been out w/sanchez. what a mess that was
[13:17] {dino} sndk to .40
[13:20] {dino} detroiters protest water shutoffs. won't pay past due water bills. united nations panel backs them saying water is a basic human right..... unbelievable
[13:20] {nemo} yeah, half of them paid when they were first shut off
[13:21] {dino} whats next crapping, don't pay sewer bills? the u.n.l is out of its mond
01[13:21] {@Threei}  everything is a basic human right
01[13:22] {@Threei}  housing
01[13:22] {@Threei}  job
[13:22] {nemo} cable cell phone
[13:22] {nemo} internet
01[13:22] {@Threei}  big screen tv
01[13:22] {@Threei}  anything under 50", file a complaint with UN
[13:22] {nemo} funny, someone has to work to pay for other's "rights"
[13:27] {RonS} only thing un protects is someone's right to be murdered...
[13:28] {dino} un is a bunch of idiots, we should get out of it
[13:30] {dino} out rkt .55, +.35
[13:30] {dino} opps, +.29
[13:39] {nemo} Funny, remember talking to my NSA uncle back in the 80's about the idiocy of the UN and how we should get them out of NY.  He said, "Nah, we have them all in one place, much easier to spy on them."\
[13:39] {nemo} MPC looks short here
[13:39] {nemo} below .95
[13:40] {nemo} could go to the figure
[13:44] {dino} sndk to .60
[13:51] {dino} out sndk .60, +.70
01[13:55] {@Threei}  wtg
[13:57] {dino} ty
[13:58] {nemo} might get a SNDK bounce here
01[14:28] {@Threei}  HLF Carl Icahn has still not sold any part of his stake in the company - Fox Business' Gasparino citing sources
01[14:42] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .80 break
01[14:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[14:47] {@Threei}  change to .70 break
01[14:47] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[14:52] {@Threei}  half out
01[14:53] {@Threei}  1:1
01[14:53] {@Threei}  [HLF] Responds to Ackman accusations; Highlights Positive Impact of Nutrition Clubs on Members, Consumers and Communities
[14:55] {RonS} says hlf has done more to help people than that community activist who vacations from the white house...
01[14:56] {@Threei}  well... I guess
[15:01] {RonS} crack outbreak alert:  Putin increasingly viewed as weaker than Obama on world stage: http://bloom.bg/WxlSpq
01[15:03] {@Threei}  that's what, a church mice level of strength?
[15:04] {cosmo} maybe he's using the 'more humble' ploy?
[15:04] {RonS} just the press' wishful thinking...
[15:04] {cosmo} its just looks weaker...
01[15:26] {@Threei}  1/4 more out
01[15:26] {@Threei}  1:2
[15:31] {RonS} outta here early, see you guys in the a.m....
01[15:31] {@Threei}  take care ron
01[15:31] {@Threei}  will try to squeeze more out of IWM
01[15:31] {@Threei}  good chance of 1:4
01[15:54] {@Threei}  3 min, IWM
01[15:54] {@Threei}  run
01[15:54] {@Threei}  fly
01[15:54] {@Threei}  jump
01[15:54] {@Threei}  whatever
01[15:58] {@Threei}  ok, time has run out
01[15:58] {@Threei}  1:2 is it
01[15:58] {@Threei}  out, and happy with today
01[15:58] {@Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:58] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow
[16:00] {dino} gn

Market Week Wrap-up

TradeTheNews.com  Weekly Market Update: Markets Shake Off New Ukraine Tragedy

- Global equities continued their steady march higher in the first half of the week. The DJIA closed at a record high on Wednesday while the S&P500 came within points of its record high earlier in July. Decent earnings reports from the big US banks and other blue chip firms, plus another healthy dose of M&A deals, including Fox's $80 billion bid for Time Warner, helped underpin the gains, while there was little negative economic data to get in the way. In the US, the June retail sales numbers were strong after ignoring a decline in reported auto dealer sales. On Thursday, all three US indices lost more than 1.0% after Air Malaysia flight MH17 was shot down over eastern Ukraine, in territory controlled by the pro-Russia separatists, with declines exacerbated by an escalation of the Israel-Hamas conflict as well as negative housing data in both the US and China. World leaders have called for an independent investigation of the tragedy, but the evidence strongly indicates that the rebels most likely downed the commercial airliner after mistaking it for a Ukrainian military transport. Markets erased all of the losses on Friday, however there is a feeling that the crash has drawn the western powers closer to confrontation with Russia. Even at the height of the selloff in the wake of Air Malaysia disaster, selling was orderly, showing no signs of panic. For the week, the DJIA gained 0.9%, the S&P500 rose 0.5% and the Nasdaq added 0.4%.

- In Ukraine, there have been calls for a ceasefire to facilitate an international investigation of the MH17 crash. Wielding the threat of more sanctions, President Obama again demanded Russia use its influence to curb separatist violence, while both the OSCE and US intelligence are fingering the pro-Russia Ukraine rebels for shooting down the airliner. German Chancellor Merkel warned that if it is found that a missile attack brought down the plane, it would constitute a grave escalation of the crisis. In the meantime, Russia President Putin and the rebels are loudly declaring their innocence. Less than 24 hours before the plane was downed, the US added Gazprombank, Rosneft Oil and other Russian companies and officials to its sanction list, while the EU was reportedly close to adding more sanctions.

- Fed Chair Yellen provided her semi-annual monetary policy report to Congress this week, including testimony before House and Senate subcommittees. Little new emerged from the testimony, as Yellen more or less reiterated all her standard policy positions. Yellen said rates would be more accommodative if the economic performance is disappointing and could increase sooner if the labor market continues to improve faster than expected. Some market participants seemed to believe Yellen took a more hawkish tone, however on the whole she stuck to her prior talking points. The one interesting note came in the text of the full Monetary Policy Report, which warned that small cap biotech and social media valuations are a bit high relative to historical norms. Shares of momentum tech and biotech names dropped after the report was disclosed. Some on Wall Street derided the Fed for commenting on such specific market segments, while others merely took it as a signal from the central bank that it is keeping a close eye on all markets.

- The June US housing starts and building permits numbers were not confidence-inspiring. The monthly starts missed expectations by over 100K and the reading was at its lowest level since September 2013. Meanwhile the May starts figure was revised lower. June single-family starts fell to 575K, their lowest level since November 2012.

- Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs both beat earnings and revenue expectations in second-quarter results, with strong gains in investment banking revenue helping to drive profits higher. JPMorgan's headline numbers also met consensus targets, but profit fell 8% y/y and revenue declined 3% y/y, while fixed income and equity revenue fell 15% y/y. Both Citigroup and Bank of America beat earnings expectations, although both banks took very large litigation charges that cut profit totals significantly in the quarter: Citi took a $3.8B charge and BoA took a $4.0B charge, both were related settlements DoJ investigations of mortgage-backed securities fraud.

- In one of the more surprising tech stories this week, ancient rivals IBM and Apple entered a cloud computing and mobile device partnership. Under the deal, IBM will sell Apple devices with newly created business apps using IBM's big data framework. IBM's headline earnings were mixed, although revenue declined a hair y/y, dragged lower by much slower server sales. Shares of AMD fell sharply after the company reported revenue in its computing solutions chip unit was down 20% y/y. Intel's numbers were pretty strong, although its efforts to break into mobile continue to suffer.

- Microsoft said it would lay off up to 18,000 workers over the next year, and take a pretax charge of $1.1-1.6 billion to pay for the cuts. Two thirds of these cuts come in Microsoft's ill-fated hardware division, representing about half of the total employees that the Nokia deal brought into the company in April.

- Industrials General Electric, Honeywell and Johnson Controls reported solid, in-line earnings. Both GE and HON met expectations on good earnings and revenue growth, with FY14 guidance reaffirmed. With divestiture and restructuring costs, JCI's earnings were down sharply, but ex-costs the firm did well.

- Massive M&A deals were back in headlines. Rupert Murdoch's Twenty-First Century Fox made a $85/share, $80 billion bid for Time Warner, which rejected the bid. Subsequent reports indicated Fox could expand its offer up to $100/share. AbbVie reached a deal worth roughly $55 billion in cash and stock to combine with Shire. In other deal flow, AECOM agreed to acquire URS Corporation for $56.31/share in cash and stock in a deal valued about $6B, and Kodiak Oil & Gas agreed to be acquired by Whiting Petroleum in an all-stock transaction valued at $6B.

- For most of the week, EUR/USD remained locked in the same two big-figure range it has held since May. Key support in the pair remains the 1.3503 post ECB low in June and the 1.3477 January low. On Friday, cable took a nose dive as chatter made the rounds that an interview would be published over the weekend in which BoE Governor Carney made dovish comments. GBP/USD dropped from 1.7095 to 1.7040, prompting a denial from the BoE.

- On Monday the BOJ cut its FY14/15 GPD forecast to 1.0% from 1.1% as part of its quarterly review of targets and reiterated projections for FY15/16 and FY16/17 GDP as well as FY14-17 inflation. The BoJ maintained its economic assessment for the 12th consecutive meeting, commenting that "effects of decline in demand following front-loaded increase prior to consumption tax hike are expected to wane gradually." There were reports that the government would boost its economic outlook in the upcoming monthly report for the first time since January.

- China's Q2 GDP (+7.5%) and June industrial production (+9.2%, a five-month high) topped expectations, which in turn tamped down expectations that Beijing would be forced to add more stimulus beyond the targeted measures already being taken. Property investment numbers for the first half of the year were ugly: sales fell 6.7%, property construction fell 16% and home sales value declined 9.2%. The National Bureau of Statistics warned that cooling in the property market, while a reasonable adjustment, could create more pressure on broader economy. Later in the week, a report showed June property prices fell sequentially for the second consecutive month and the newly appointed Land and Resources minister signaled more tolerance for easing curbs on property investment.

TradeTheNews

July 18 2014

Catch of the Day, nice and easy 1:3 on IWM 

Very nice day overall, slow but steady, finishing with 1:2 AAPL short. 

Session Time: Fri Jul 18 00:00:00 2014
[08:43] {dino} gm 3i
01[08:49] {@Threei}  morning dino
01[08:58] {@Threei}  Malaysia airline is about done
01[09:02] {@Threei}  http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/separatists-admit-downing-a-civilian-plane-in-tapped-conversation-full-transcript-356545.html
01[09:06] {@Threei}  [HLF] Independent Herbalife Members Demand Opponents Stop Lies and Smears Herbalife will hold a press conference during the Herbalife Extravaganza in Chicago in order to take a stand against the continuing campaign of attacks and misinformation being waged by Bill Ackman and Pershing Square Capital Management
[09:08] {RonS} gm...that chimp w/ a gun post was very apropos...
01[09:08] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:16] {nemo} sndk and kors look long, as do the indexes
[09:17] {troub} good morning
[09:17] {nemo} do something about that, will ya' Vad
01[09:17] {@Threei}  troub :)
01[09:19] {@Threei}  oh god
01[09:20] {@Threei}  the same family that lost two members in flight 370 disappearance, lost another two in yesterday's crash
01[09:21] {@Threei}  Angela Merkel: Talk of Russia sanctions after Malaysia Airlines plane crash in Ukraine 'premature'
01[09:22] {@Threei}  frau Ribbentrop
[09:22] {nemo} vxx dropping like a stone
[09:23] {dino} can't keep this bull down
[09:23] {nemo} only game in town
01[09:25] {@Threei}  YHOO gap is meek
01[09:25] {@Threei}  leeping an eye for short
01[09:25] {@Threei}  l=k
01[09:26] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -GTIV +12.0% (rejection of KND offer, positive broker comments)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -ICLD +10.3% (announced new FY14 business backlog of more than $23M)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -SWKS +9.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -REGN +9.2$ (positive 2-year Phase 3 VIVID-DME Trial of EYLEA (aflibercept) Injection results)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -ERIC +7.7% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -PBR +5.0% (Chinese interest in Brazil oil, gas, petrochemicals)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -GOOG +3.6% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -EWZ +3.4% (Brazil July Industrial Confidence/Inflation numbers)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -RP -23.6% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -NQ -22.8% (dismissal of PwC as auditor, new auditor is Bernstein & Pinchuk LLP)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -AMD -17.1% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -CX -2.6% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: YHOO  .15 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[09:36] {@Threei}  no go
01[09:40] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .70 break
01[09:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:40] {@Threei}  two-sided
01[09:42] {@Threei}  VXX decent bounce
01[09:48] {@Threei}  sheesh FB
01[09:49] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .70 break
01[09:49] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:52] {@Threei}  out
01[09:54] {@Threei}  *(US) JULY PRELIMINARY UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 81.3 V 83.0E
[09:56] {dino} added sndk calls
01[10:12] {@Threei} Short Setup: HLF  .50 break hl
01[10:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
[10:16] {dino} hubg drop
01[10:17] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:24] {nemo} VXX likely to be a long this afternoon
01[10:28] {@Threei}  (UR) Germany Chancellor Merkel: If it is found that a missile attack brought down the Malaysia airlines passenger plane, would constitute a grave escalation of the crisis
01[10:28] {@Threei}  wow, really?
01[10:34] {@Threei} Long Setup:  WMT  .60 break
01[10:34] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
[10:37] {dino} hubg smr l .45 hooker
[10:39] {cosmo} plane was off course, of course
01[10:41] {@Threei}  well, not as much as flight 370
01[10:46] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:52] {cosmo} just enough to get into a war zone...
01[10:56] {@Threei}  1:2
[11:05] {dino} aapl smr l .90
01[11:06] {@Threei}  [GLW] Forbes piece speculates that GLW could be an attractive takeover target - Cites the company's relatively depressed market value and high free cash flow yield as attractive to a buyer.
[11:06] {nemo} wonder who paid to plant that
[11:06] {dino} glw did
01[11:07] {@Threei}  hehe
[11:07] {nemo} cynic
[11:08] {dino} aapl to flat
[11:13] {dino} odd, nus crushed but not hlf
[11:14] {dino} out aapl .96, +.06
[11:19] {RonS} nus got a bac downgrade
[11:20] {dino} hubg stop .09 -.36
[11:23] {dino} kors smr l .97
01[11:37] {@Threei}  1:3
01[11:37] {@Threei}  out
01[11:37] {@Threei}  good boy WMT
[11:43] {dino} gj
01[11:46] {@Threei}  ty
01[12:03] {@Threei}  "The word "genius" isn't applicable in football. A genius is a guy like Norman Einstein."
01[12:03] {@Threei}  --Joe Theisman, NFL football quarterback & sports analyst.
[12:03] {cosmo} he's thinking of a different Norman
01[12:07] {@Threei}  (UR) President Obama: At least one US citizen died in MH17 crash, evidence indicates plane was shot down by a surface-to-air missile fired from an area controlled by Russia-backed separatists - We know that these separatists have received a steady flow of support from Russia - This was an "outrage of unspeakable proportions" - There must be an immediate ceasfire in Ukraine - Russia continues to support separatists and has not used its influence to help stop the violence - Would be too soon to assume the 'intentions' of those who fired the missile - US has the capacity to increase sanctions against Russa and is ready to do so, there is no military role for the US in Ukraine - Israel has the right to defend itself, but concerned about risk of escalation in Gaza conflict
[12:09] {nemo} too funny I place a short order and an order appears just ahead of me as soon as I push the button
01[12:11] {@Threei}  time to find that camera in your office
[12:11] {nemo} algo's on different feeds from the SIP
[12:13] {nemo} they're seeing my order before it goes through the SIP and gets posted
[12:18] {dino} kors stop
01[12:46] {@Threei}  Merkel: France must suspend delivery of Mistrals to Russia
01[13:03] {@Threei}  watching VXX for pullback entry
[13:10] {nemo} there was your pullback
01[13:10] {@Threei}  hmmm
01[13:10] {@Threei}  no
01[13:10] {@Threei}  should be a bit deeper one
01[13:10] {@Threei}  it's too early for a full-out drop
[13:11] {nemo} not for a Friday
[13:11] {nemo} when there is geopolitical tensions
[13:11] {nemo} are
01[13:11] {@Threei}  is... it's all ope thing
01[13:11] {@Threei}  one
[13:17] {nemo} should get to .30ish
[13:19] {nemo} buy under 28?
01[13:19] {@Threei}  I'd prefer closer to .90
01[13:20] {@Threei}  too high risk of a rinse otherwise
01[13:20] {@Threei}  ideally, drop under .90 and byt on recross
[13:20] {nemo} .92 breakout area
01[13:24] {@Threei}  ok
01[13:24] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .90 break
01[13:24] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
[13:27] {nemo} sob
01[13:27] {@Threei}  who? why?
[13:28] {dino} its working
[13:28] {nemo} jumped my order
[13:28] {nemo} not used to seeing it jump like that
[13:28] {dino} had bs in at .90, in at .899
[13:29] {nemo} oh a stop order?
[13:29] {dino} yes buy stop
01[13:29] {@Threei}  1:1
[13:30] {nemo} should be able to ride this for the rest of the afternoon
[13:30] {dino} added some calls in other account
[13:30] {nemo} vwap run anyway
01[13:30] {@Threei}  I will call this entry a perfect example of patience, thoughtfullness and, if I weren't as modest as I am, I'd call it wisdom
[13:31] {nemo} how's the shoulder?
[13:31] {dino} messing w/the trading gods
01[13:31] {@Threei}  :)
[13:31] {nemo} may I recommend an overdose of morphine?
01[13:31] {@Threei}  YES!!
01[13:31] {@Threei}  please
[13:31] {nemo} it'll kill my pain
01[13:31] {@Threei}  even if I take it?
01[13:32] {@Threei}  damn, this is one srious overdose
[13:32] {nemo} that's the point
01[13:33] {@Threei}  it wasn't until I got a kidney stone that I had a chance to appreciate just how far modern painkillers go... I could spend the rest of my life in that state, lol
01[13:36] {@Threei}  so, what do you call it when you know for sure, see it with your own eyes, can touch it - that something happened, and are being told right in your face that it didn't?
01[13:36] {@Threei}  Russian Defense Ministry: Russian military equipment, including Buk systems, not crossed border at Ukrainian section
[13:36] {nemo} the pain of marriage causes flight hallucinations
[13:36] {nemo} anywhere  but there
[13:37] {nemo} vxx wasn't supposed to do that
01[13:38] {@Threei}  (US) Panel of US judges have reportedly voted in favor of early release of some drug offenders from federal prisons - press - Congress can block the measure, but unblocked could lead to more than 45K prisoners being released by the end of the year next year - Reminder: on 1/30 DoJ said to be considering commuting the sentences of individuals convicted of low level drug charges
01[13:40] {@Threei}  english translation of the recprding I listened to yesterday appeared
01[13:40] {@Threei}  http://edition.cnn.com/2014/07/18/world/europe/ukraine-mh17-intercepted-audio/index.html?eref=edition
01[14:21] {@Threei}  so much for our theories, eh nemo? :)
[14:21] {nemo} yeah, well one theory deserves another
[14:22] {nemo} bull market
[14:28] {nemo} we're less than a buck from all time spy highs
[14:29] {dino} they are going to take this market to 20k before this bull dies
[14:29] {dino} one and two day corrections are all it gives up
[14:29] {nemo} well next year is the traditional retrace in a president's second term
[14:31] {dino} world is going to hell, but no fear in markets
[14:31] {nemo} and with interest rate's this low, no other game in town
[14:31] {nemo} Eh, it's not that bad
[15:02] {dino} ns drop
[15:03] {dino} smr l .08
[15:06] {nemo} wouldn't it be funny if we hit all time highs today
[15:07] {nemo} less than .60 away
01[15:09] {@Threei}  probably not, but doesn't smell like selling either
[15:10] {nemo} not a sign of selling on the algo
[15:11] {nemo} 90+ % of the available universe spoken for  93 stocks on strong side 23 on weak
[15:19] {nemo} looking like gap up Monday if no major news this weekend
01[15:21] {@Threei}  very much so
01[15:21] {@Threei}  although with all the tensions all over the world, I weouldn't want to carry any positions over the weekend
01[15:21] {@Threei}  anything's possible
[15:21] {nemo} they're hanging this on that plane, nothing else out of the ordinary going on
01[15:22] {@Threei}  Israel
01[15:22] {@Threei}  ISIS
[15:22] {nemo} that's not new
[15:22] {dino} problem is, most of the moves lately are gaps
[15:22] {nemo} Middle East has always been a cesspool
[15:22] {dino} not in, tough to play
01[15:22] {@Threei}  not new but dgree of tension changes, and right now it's very hgih
01[15:22] {@Threei}  yes dino... but still, better than to get caught on the wrong side
[15:23] {dino} ms stop .95 -.13
[15:24] {dino} don't know 3i, the wrong side only lasts a day
[15:24] {nemo} well, vxx will tell us if anybody is worried going into the weekend
[15:25] {dino} trying to get exposure for it through calls
[15:27] {dino} rise day for me, aapl, hubg, ns
[15:28] {dino} opps, rinse day
[15:28] {nemo} use conditioner myself
01[15:32] {@Threei} Short Setup: AAPL  ..37 break
01[15:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
[15:33] {nemo} BREAKING: Portugal's Banco Espirito Santo says it can't meet obligations, asks to be placed under 'controlled management'
[15:33] {nemo} if this doesn't do anything, go long
[15:34] {RonS} straight jacket?
01[15:35] {@Threei}  lol
[15:35] {nemo} that news isn't moving the market
[15:35] {dino} nobody cares about anything anymore
[15:35] {nemo} nope
[15:35] {dino} no fear
01[15:35] {@Threei}  it was at 14:49
01[15:36] {@Threei}  why would it move market now
01[15:36] {@Threei}  also... think of it this way
[15:36] {nemo} every dip is bought, look at spy daily, can't even drop the upper 3rd of the channel
[15:36] {nemo} the vxx isn't moving
[15:36] {nemo} no fear, nobody buying puts
01[15:36] {@Threei}  EU threw money at Greece, Portugal, Ireland and whatnot, to save itself,
01[15:36] {@Threei}  why would it be any different this time
[15:37] {nemo} didn't say it would be different
01[15:37] {@Threei}  someone else goes banrupt? it's not like they are going to say "oh well, OK, let's go home"
[15:37] {nemo} just stating..that bank is going under and the market doesn't care
01[15:37] {@Threei}  market doesn;t care for exactly this reason
01[15:37] {@Threei}  it knows it will be saved
01[15:38] {@Threei}  cover half AAPL
01[15:38] {@Threei}  stop to .41
01[15:43] {@Threei}  coveryin in full
01[15:44] {@Threei}  +.20
[15:44] {dino} gj
01[15:45] {@Threei}  ty, decent day
[15:45] {nemo} considering it was a grinder
[15:45] {nemo} any comments Ron?
[15:45] {dino} neg here
[15:45] {RonS} good week here ...ty guys
[15:45] {nemo} you sick Ron?
[15:46] {dino} ron, you're not posting trades anymore, why?
[15:46] {nemo} he's falling of on his Ronisms
[15:47] {nemo} so the 50 SMA is the IWM top
01[15:56] {@Threei}  OK guys, thank you all
01[15:56] {@Threei}  have a great weekend, see you Monday, unless world falls apart
01[15:57] {@Threei}  in which case see you Tuesday when they fix it
[15:59] {dino} gn all

July 17 2014

1:3 EBAY long, right after taking 1:2 on the short side

Session Time: Thu Jul 17 00:00:00 2014
[08:37] {dino} gm
01[08:37] {@Threei}  morning dino
01[08:48] {@Threei}  MSFT job cuts is stunning
[08:50] {dino} seriously, how can you have that many un-needed employees
01[08:50] {@Threei}  as govt demonstrates, easy
01[08:57] {@Threei}  A science team is investigating a mysterious crater or sink hole on the Yamal peninsula of northern Siberia. No cause is yet known. This hole in the ground is about 80 meters (87.5 yards) across.
01[08:57] {@Threei}  hmmm... Earth got horrified and started swallowing Russia?
[08:58] {nemo} shoulda' started with Washington
[08:59] {cosmo} A Kimberlite hole i think:  http://www.bing.com/images/search?q=kimberlite+hole&qs=n&form=QBIR&pq=kimberlite+hole&sc=8-11&sp=-1&sk=#view=detail&id=203CA042EF3CDE7536BFAECE076D9887851C9FB7&selectedIndex=2
01[08:59] {@Threei}  gotta practice first
[09:06] {nemo} sndk up against resistance
[09:07] {nemo} you get frc'd yet today dino?
[09:07] {RonS} gm lol
[09:07] {nemo} wow
01[09:07] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:07] {nemo} sndk 99.70-100.38 in a blink
[09:09] {RonS} msft goulish
[09:10] {dino} lol, not yet
01[09:12] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -NEWL +40.1% (1-for-50 stock split momentum)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -PRAN +17.0 (in-line Imagine trial results)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -DRC +14.4% (SIE.DE takeover consideration)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -ABMD +13.5% (earnings momentum)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -SCSS +12.2% (earnings)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -NTCT +6.4% (earnings)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -SNDK -8.0% (negative price target moves)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -MAT -7.9% (earnings)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -CFX -7.8% (earnings)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -OWW -5.9% (prelim results and offering)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -YUM -2.3% (earnings)
01[09:12] {@Threei}  -LVS -2.5% (earnings)
[09:21] {nemo} http://goo.gl/z8CtDE
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: YHOO  .75 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  .70
01[09:31] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[09:33] {@Threei}  EBAY...
01[09:33] {@Threei}  a bit ahead ofg itself
01[09:33] {@Threei}  YHOO stop to .76
01[09:34] {@Threei}  half out
01[09:34] {@Threei}  to .71
01[09:34] {@Threei}  out
01[09:35] {@Threei} Short Setup: EBAY  .40 break
01[09:35] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:37] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:40] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .40 break
01[09:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[09:42] {@Threei}  nope
[09:50] {RonS} sndk brutal
01[09:50] {@Threei}  yeah
01[09:50] {@Threei}  tough read
01[09:51] {@Threei} Long Setup:  EBAY  .15 break
01[09:51] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[09:52] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:53] {RonS} lulu spike
[09:53] {nemo} kors also
01[09:53] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:57] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:59] {@Threei}  *(US) JULY PHILADELPHIA FED BUSINESS OUTLOOK: 23.9 V 16.0E
01[10:25] {@Threei}  SND... probably close to reversak again
01[10:25] {@Threei}  SNDK
[10:28] {dino} sndk smr l .80
[10:29] {dino} that sucked
[10:29] {nemo} got frc'd again
01[10:30] {@Threei}  a bit high entry maybe, after 60 cents bounce...
01[10:36] {@Threei}  A Russian jet has shot down a Ukrainian war plane, Ukraine's military has claimed, in a dramatic escalation of tensions on the two countries' common border.
[10:38] {dino} vxx l .37
[10:44] {nemo} frickin' chop city
01[10:48] {@Threei} Short Setup: IWM  .80 break
01[10:48] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[10:49] {@Threei}  [BLUE] TheStreet.com makes positive comments based on potential for gene therapy to become a blockbuster drug - Says its sickle cell disease treatment, now in phase I, could become a "massive blockbuster" if it proves effective. Also highlights LentiGlobin, a gene therapy for beta-thalassemia patients which is in early stage trials.
[10:50] {dino} phase 1, long way to go
01[10:50] {@Threei}  yeah
01[10:51] {@Threei}  no go
01[10:57] {@Threei}  [BABA] Reportedly now considering IPO in September - financial press - There had been some prior speculation that it could try to launch in early August
[10:59] {nemo} COG
[11:00] {nemo} two way
[11:00] {nemo} lotsa' natural gas stocks on the weak side today
[11:03] {nemo} wow, that's a jerk around
01[11:08] {@Threei}  IWM rinse
01[11:08] {@Threei}  idea was right
[11:09] {nemo} ali baba IPO after labor day
[11:09] {dino} vxx to .54
01[11:14] {@Threei}  grrrrr
[11:15] {dino} vxx to .77
01[11:15] {@Threei}  wtg
[11:16] {dino} o .87
[11:16] {dino} to
[11:16] {RonS} Malaysian passenger aircraft, Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur, crashes in Ukraine near Russian according to tweets.
[11:17] {dino} out vxx .89, +.52
[11:17] {RonS} gj
[11:17] {dino} ty
01[11:17] {@Threei}  UA) Malaysia passenger aircraft (Boeing 777) has crashed (other reports indicate it was 'shot down') near the Russia border with Ukraine; flight was from Amsterdamn to Kuala Lumpur - Russia press - Reminder: Earlier today conflicting reports had Russia shooting down a Ukraine warplane in its territory. Ukraine claimed that Russia air force shot down one of its SU-25 aircraft in Ukraine
01[11:18] {@Threei}  there were reports on russian-speaking forums 20 min ago about asian-looking bodies taken out of shot down plane
01[11:18] {@Threei}  I dismissed them as delirious
01[11:21] {@Threei}  - Said to have been carrying 280 passengers and 15 crew members. - Said to have disappeared from radar while traveling at 30K feet (cruising altitude).
[11:22] {RonS} sndk looking short
[11:29] {dino} vxx l .14
01[11:30] {@Threei}  - Reports indicate the plane was shot down by the BUK missile system: (wiki: a family of self-propelled, medium-range surface-to-air missile systems developed by the former Soviet Union and Russian Federation and designed to engage cruise missiles, smart bombs, fixed- and rotary-wing aircraft, and unmanned aerial vehicles)
[11:30] {dino} wow
01[11:30] {@Threei}  I know Buk
[11:31] {dino} out vxx .26, +.12
01[11:31] {@Threei}  this is large anti-aircraft thingy, not a handheld rocket launcher
[11:32] {dino} how could they not know it was civilian plane?
01[11:32] {@Threei}  http://goo.gl/9avtSV
[11:33] {RonS} O reaction:  reBUKe
01[11:33] {@Threei}  who the hell knows what happened... bad organization, vodka, too much war enthusiasm, human error
01[11:34] {@Threei}  miscommunication at some step
[11:34] {RonS} ...Jack Bauer fail...
01[11:34] {@Threei}  yeah, could have been faster
01[11:34] {@Threei}  look at this thing: http://goo.gl/St5XHR
[11:36] {cosmo} sneaky way to do a no fly zone?
01[11:36] {@Threei}  (UR) Ukraine Govt now issuing commentary on the airliner crash; claim 'terrorists' separatists are responsible for downing the Boeing jet near the border with Russia - press - believe all passengers and crew were killed in the crash - Follow up: Separatists in Donetsk claim that they have no involvement in shooting down the Boeing airliner - Russia press
[11:39] {dino} yum blood
[11:40] {dino} the stock yum i mean
01[11:41] {@Threei}  lol
06[11:41] * @Threei crosses dino out of the vampire list
01[11:56] {@Threei} Short Setup: IWM  .10 break
01[11:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[11:58] {@Threei}  ugh
01[12:03] {@Threei}  jeez... second rinse on IWM short
01[12:03] {@Threei}  switching to shorting bounces instead of breakdowns
[12:03] {nemo} spy hit S4 on daily likely going up now for a while
[12:03] {dino} adding yum calls
01[12:03] {@Threei}  that palatable, eh?
[12:04] {nemo} oh jeez
01[12:06] {@Threei}  [HLF] Pershing Square confirms will hold presentation on HLF at 10:00ET on Tuesday, July 22 Pershing Square Capital Management today announced an upcoming webcast about its investigation of Herbalife Ltd.s Nutrition Clubs
01[12:07] {@Threei}  An in-depth analysis and examination of these clubswhich Herbalife claims are simply social gatherings that bring people together to focus on good nutrition and exercisereveal that they are another deceptive facet of Herbalifes pyramid scheme.
01[12:10] {@Threei}  wow
01[12:11] {@Threei}  Ukrainian information agency spotted rebels' exchange where they brag about downed airplane, not realizing what they shot down
01[12:11] {@Threei}  time and place are exact match
01[12:27] {@Threei} Short Setup: HLF  .60 break hl
01[12:27] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[12:46] {@Threei}  the funniest gun safety ad I've seen: https://www.youtube.com/embed/qKHeXC7L85s?rel=0
[12:48] {nemo} aapl looks short
[12:48] {nemo} AAPL
01[12:53] {@Threei}  good call
[12:55] {nemo} not as dumb as I look
[12:59] {RonS} lol...Relations with Russia going downhill fast, especially after they took Jack Bauer captive Monday
01[13:00] {@Threei}  well, it was to be expceted, wasn't it... after all, we can forgive a lot, Ukraine, Syria, whatever - but Jack Bauer?? no
[13:12] {dino} stc yum calls from 2.70 to 3.30, +.60/22%
[13:12] {RonS} wtg
[13:12] {dino} ty
01[13:14] {@Threei}  here is what happened with that plane: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hO5TNU3fiJo
01[13:58] {@Threei} Short Setup: AAPL  .50 break
01[13:58] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[14:02] {@Threei}  [HLF] Issues response to Pershing Square (ahead of Pershing's scheduled presentation next week) Herbalife has the utmost trust in the integrity of our business model and that we are in compliance with all applicable laws and regulations. We are cooperating fully with the FTC and welcome the opportunity to clear up misinformation in the marketplace.
01[14:03] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:07] {dino} lci may gap filled
01[14:10] {@Threei}  (US) President Obama intends to briefly talk about the recently downed Malaysia aircraft at previously scheduled speech in Delaware
[14:11] {dino} he will say shame on you, and that will be that
01[14:12] {@Threei}  come on dino, don't be such a cynic. He will also wag his finger
[14:12] {dino} that goes without saying, plus he will titlt his head back so his eyes stare down
01[14:13] {@Threei}  and do his "whispering obama" impression
01[14:13] {@Threei}  now we are talking
01[14:14] {@Threei}  also, we might see the most powerful WH weapon - pouting Michelle on TV, holding banner #DontsShootOurPlanes
[14:14] {dino} lol
[14:14] {dino} and then hillary stating it ws shot down because of a internet video
01[14:15] {@Threei}  right
[14:15] {dino} so you must respect their idiotic beliefs while giving up your right to fee speech
01[14:16] {@Threei}  last poll in Ukraine: 50% would have hung Putin with please, 30% - without any pleasure, 20% - haven't decided with which feeling they would have hung him
01[14:16] {@Threei}  pleasure
01[14:29] {@Threei}  1:2
[14:41] {nemo} off to another doctor c u
01[14:41] {@Threei}  take care
01[14:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: LULU  .05 break
01[14:46] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
01[15:05] {@Threei} Short Setup: AAPL  .20 break
01[15:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[15:08] {@Threei}  valid
01[15:17] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:34] {@Threei}  (UR) Ukraine Govt security department indicates that it intercepted a separatist (rebel) phone call regarding the downed passenger airline and will release details soon - press - Claims that the discussions were regarding the downed plane and that the separatists called a Russian cell phone number.
01[15:34] {@Threei}  just watched it... quite a conversation
01[15:36] {@Threei}  (IL) Reportedly Israel has begun a ground invasion of the Gaza Strip - press - Power has reportedly been cut to Gaza, bombing and shelling of the territory continues.
01[15:36] {@Threei}  may we live in interesting times...
[15:38] {dino} thoughts on tomorrw? more down?
01[15:38] {@Threei}  looks this way
[15:39] {dino} bounce backs have been strong
01[15:39] {@Threei}  oh yeah, it's still a bull market
01[15:39] {@Threei}  but tensions are too high everywhere, feels like some panic nearest time
01[15:47] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:47] {@Threei}  closed the trade
01[15:47] {@Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:47] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow'
[15:48] {dino} stc vxx calls from 7/2, +.59/23%
[15:51] {dino} gn all

July 16 2014

TWTR 1:3 short - not too bad, after 1:3 on FB long earlier

With another 1:3 on JOY short and 1:2 on ESRX long, difficult to find any fault with this day.


Session Time: Wed Jul 16 00:00:00 2014
[08:41] {nemo} spy going for new alltime highs in the pre market
01[08:41] {@Threei}  and why not
[08:42] {nemo} just reporting, mine is not to reason why...
01[08:42] {@Threei}  I mean, any new scare they come up with looks nore and more ridiculous
01[08:42] {@Threei}  Portugal? shrug
[08:43] {dino} gm
01[08:43] {@Threei}  dino :)
[08:53] {dino} value added "william blair cut kors to market perform" this after it falls in 3 days from 92 to 79
01[08:53] {@Threei}  lol
[08:54] {nemo} DAX up 1.44%
[08:59] {nemo} what great jobs:  economist, weatherman, equity analyst
[09:00] {nemo} frickin' humid again here...swamp rot everywhere
[09:01] {nemo} TWX might be fun today, in a flossing with barbed wire kinda' way
[09:01] {dino} watching it
[09:01] {nemo} oh, so the sun rose this morning, duh
[09:04] {RonS} gm all, ever the churlish one...  :)
01[09:04] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:04] {RonS} fyi:  http://www.cityrating.com/cityhumidity.asp?City=Denver#.U8Z3nctOWUk
[09:06] {RonS} ...and for those who have never been to CO:  http://matterdome.com/post/84-10-must-see-destinations-in-colorado/?aid=999
01[09:07] {@Threei}  that's quite dry ron
[09:08] {RonS} ya, my back tends to itch in the winter...
[09:09] {RonS} someone sold 100k igt puts a couple of days ago:  criminal
[09:11] {RonS} dems won't allow Murdoch to buy twx (think Lois Lerner)
[09:12] {nemo} http://msn.foxsports.com/buzzer/story/kriste-lewis-40-yea-old-mother-new-orleans-saints-cheerleader-071514
[09:14] {nemo} spy decent volume this morning
01[09:17] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -TWX +15.4% (acquisition proposal from FOXA)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -TNDM +12.1% (positive broker comments)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -IGT +9.6% (momentum from GTECH acquisition)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -INTC +5.1% (earnings, positive broker comments/price target increases premarket)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -TXT +3.3% (earnings)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -AAPL +2.1% (deal with IBM to create apps)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -IBM +1.8% (deal with Apple to create apps)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -ABT +1.7% (earnings)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -JBHT +2.3% (earnings and guidance)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  -HCA +6% (raised guidance boosting sector)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -ININ -22.2% (earnings, guidance cut)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -TSM -4.1% (negative broker comments)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -ARCC -2.8% (stock sale)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -YHOO -2.1% (earnings, negative broker comments)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -BAC -0.6% (earnings)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -HSY -0.7% (guidance and price increases)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -BIOA -16% (secondary)
01[09:18] {@Threei}  -POZN -6% (update on FDA acceptance of PA8140 NDA)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  quite a few
[09:20] {troub} good morning you all
01[09:20] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:21] {nemo} it's like having a root canal every morning
[09:22] {nemo} damn....out of vodka again
[09:23] {RonS} fwiw: Delivering Alpha Conference starts today...will move some stocks...
[09:25] {RonS} so 3i, it averages 15 in of precip here/yr and that's w/ ave of 60" of snow
01[09:25] {@Threei}  huh
[09:26] {RonS} one of the reasons the skiing is so good...dry powder...
01[09:26] {@Threei}  right
[09:28] {RonS} thc pop on Humana contract i guess...
01[09:28] {@Threei}  yeah
01[09:28] {@Threei}  THC Signs New Multi-Year National Agreement with Humana
[09:28] {RonS} kors blood continues on downgrades...
[09:30] {dino} gap area 76.80s
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .40 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:31] {@Threei}  lol
01[09:31] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  115 break
01[09:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .95
01[09:34] {@Threei}  nope
[09:34] {nemo} it's looing for the pivot at .80
[09:35] {nemo} spy almost gap filled
[09:35] {nemo} yep
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .30 break
01[09:36] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[09:36] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:38] {@Threei}  change to .15 break
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
[09:38] {dino} added kors calls
01[09:39] {@Threei}  stop .07
01[09:39] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:40] {@Threei}  1:2
[09:41] {dino} slca sm s .50
[09:41] {dino} bs hod
01[09:44] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:44] {@Threei}  out
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .70 break
01[09:47] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:47] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[09:49] {dino} slca stop -.26
01[09:49] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .60 break
01[09:49] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
[09:50] {dino} lci smr l .80 gappy
01[09:50] {@Threei}  wow FB... out too soon
01[09:50] {@Threei}  1:6
[09:54] {dino} \lci stop .35
[09:54] {dino} pnc sm l .80
[09:54] {dino} slca rinsed
01[09:59] {@Threei}  *(US) JULY NAHB HOUSING MARKET INDEX: 53 V 50E
[10:02] {dino} lci smr l .63 pulp
[10:05] {dino} lci stop .35 -.28
01[10:05] {@Threei} Long Setup:  C  .50 break
01[10:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
[10:06] {nemo} muddy out there
[10:07] {RonS} that is humid
01[10:12] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[10:12] {dino} lci sm l .87 last try wide
[10:13] {nemo} you like hfc short .45 break?
[10:14] {RonS} joy buyout rumor...
[10:15] {dino} lci stopped, things broken
01[10:16] {@Threei}  HFC, yes
[10:16] {nemo} wow, you should go on the rubber chicken circuit
[10:16] {nemo} strong side filling out
01[10:17] {@Threei}  capitalize symbols if you want me to see your question sooner
01[10:17] {@Threei}  it's difficult to discern stock mention
[10:17] {nemo} Ja wohl mis ami
01[10:17] {@Threei}  and sin no more
[10:18] {nemo} huh?
[10:18] {nemo} what?
[10:18] {nemo} no way?
[10:18] {nemo} no sinning?
01[10:18] {@Threei}  yeah, that was overboard
[10:18] {nemo} How can I repent if I haven't sinned?
01[10:18] {@Threei}  sin less often?
[10:18] {nemo} excuse me?
01[10:18] {@Threei}  sigh
01[10:18] {@Threei}  go and sin
[10:18] {nemo} thanks
01[10:19] {@Threei}  and we want photos
[10:19] {nemo} that was Rasputin's line, btw
[10:19] {dino} live in sin, come on in
01[10:19] {@Threei}  ah, favorite movie
[10:19] {nemo} I love how they throw those dark pool stop hunts in
[10:20] {nemo} HFC bid/ask at .32/.33 all of a sudden a .41 transaction comes off out of fadf
[10:21] {dino} pnc to .29
01[10:21] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .35 break
01[10:21] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
[10:23] {dino} out pnc +.50
[10:24] {dino} kors waking up
[10:25] {nemo} .50 pivot
[10:25] {nemo} .46
[10:29] {nemo} .52 spy range
01[10:30] {@Threei}  stop to .41
[10:31] {nemo} ooh...was having quote server issues and didn't know it
01[10:31] {@Threei}  half out
01[10:31] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:33] {dino} adding lci calls
[10:35] {RonS}  Investor Relations: Nothing new released to account for the move in the stock - Source TradeTheNews.com   JOY
[10:35] {nemo} no buying power again
[10:38] {RonS} which ones are nemo's ancestors?  https://twitter.com/HistoryInPics/status/489417173279207424/photo/1
[10:39] {dino} joy none avail edge
01[10:39] {@Threei}  1:2  TWTR
[10:39] {dino} gj
01[10:40] {@Threei}  [JOY] Financial blog that circulated earlier speculation of foreign firms bidding for JOY has now removed its earlier post; the post had cited a non-specific Swedish press source
01[10:40] {@Threei}  available for shorting here
[10:40] {RonS} also heard the server is in Panama...
01[10:41] {@Threei}  lol
[10:45] {dino} added joy puts
01[10:48] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:48] {@Threei}  out
01[10:51] {@Threei}  1:4
01[11:03] {@Threei}  - Today is day two of Fed Chair Yellen's testimony before Congress, this time at the House of Representatives. Little new is coming out of the hearings. Yellen has reiterated that requiring the Fed to use a set, formal policy framework of rules would be a grave mistake.
01[11:04] {@Threei}  because, you know, it's bad to have predictable policy
01[11:04] {@Threei}  keep'rm guessing is the way to go
[11:11] {nemo} iwm looks short below .35
[11:12] {nemo} could be two way because SPY hasn't gotten to vwap yet
01[11:12] {@Threei} Short Setup: JOY  64 break hl
01[11:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
[11:15] {nemo} mmmhhh, VWAP is basically the 50 SMA on IWM
[11:16] {nemo} o.k. spy weakening a tad, should get 1:1
[11:17] {nemo} o.k.
01[11:18] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:19] {@Threei}  1:2
01[11:21] {@Threei}  1:3
[11:29] {nemo} iwm stays under .20 looks lower
[11:34] {dino} for a rumor, joy holds in there, figured r3 target
[11:36] {RonS} lol...EU leaders could agree on broadest Russian sanctions yet as soon as today: http://bloom.bg/1jx8E5R
01[11:36] {@Threei}  I am holding my breath
[11:36] {nemo} well that's .50
[11:37] {RonS} scanner spitting solid opening range breakdowns...
[11:37] {nemo} should teach it better manners
[11:38] {RonS} ya, it was unusual...never seen it before
[11:39] {RonS} doing it again
01[11:46] {@Threei}  3 solid 1:3ers today
01[11:46] {@Threei}  no complaints
[11:49] {dino} gj
01[11:49] {@Threei}  ty
01[11:56] {@Threei}  According to it EU leaders could go beyond so-called "phase two" sanctions, which involve targeting individuals for travel bans and asset freezes. But it won't be all the way to "phase three", which constitutes sanctions on entire sectors of the Russian economy.
01[11:56] {@Threei}  not holding breath anymore
[11:57] {RonS} lol
01[11:58] {@Threei}  meanwhile, Russia wages unannounced war, sending columns of tanks and other heavy military equipment to rebels
01[12:04] {@Threei}  Russia set to reopen Soviet-era spy post on Cuba
01[12:04] {@Threei}  Russia has quietly reached a provisional agreement with Cuba on reopening a big Soviet-era base on the Caribbean island from which it spied in the United States, a Russian security source said on July 16.
[12:04] {dino} why not, obummer will simply scold him
01[12:05] {@Threei}  gives whole new meaning to the word "reset"
01[12:06] {@Threei}  remember the clip with Hillary horse-like roaring laughter while hitting red "reset" button with Lavrov?
01[12:06] {@Threei}  I hope they play it when election comes
[12:08] {RonS} freakin ridiculous...epa economy distortion:  Why importing coal from Russia is good for the U.S.
[12:08] {RonS} http://bloom.bg/1n8lYi1
01[12:09] {@Threei}  through the looking glass...
01[12:10] {@Threei}  http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/372373/infamous-reset-button-stolen-hotel-pool-or-jacuzzi-jim-geraghty
01[12:13] {@Threei}  ah, here is the clip... very lady-like laughter: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0GdLClHAMB0
[12:59] {RonS} hlf bleed
01[13:02] {@Threei}  10:13 [HLF] Pershing's Ackman planning to disclose results from a 2 year probe into the company next week - NY Post
[13:03] {dino} talking his book
01[13:03] {@Threei}  yeah, I guess no one suspects he will report everything is hunky-dory :)
[13:05] {nemo} indexes beginning to look short
[13:11] {nemo} rax
[13:11] {nemo} RAX short?
01[13:11] {@Threei}  chart's right, just a bit narrow
01[13:21] {@Threei}  missed great day, sami
[13:23] {nemo} esrx is short
[13:25] {sami_saeed} Hi!... I had a feeling today was going to be a good, Unfortunately I was stuck in meetings from 7-9
01[13:25] {@Threei}  life... always getting in the way
[13:25] {sami_saeed} Very true!.
[13:27] {nemo} mmmhhh, this could be two way
01[13:27] {@Threei} Long Setup:  ESRX  .80 break
01[13:28] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[13:30] {nemo} iwm looks like long setup
01[13:32] {@Threei}  a bit late, wanted it near .50
01[13:37] {@Threei}  not very clear now
[13:38] {nemo} it's still #1 red on the algo though
[13:45] {nemo} spy looking long
[13:46] {nemo} esrx shut off, so the long may be on
[13:48] {nemo} should go to above 66
[13:48] {nemo} 66.60 a possibility
01[13:48] {@Threei}  1:1
[13:54] {nemo} stop to .85 for me
01[13:55] {@Threei}  1:2
01[13:59] {@Threei}  Beige book
[13:59] {nemo} yep
01[13:59] {@Threei}  (US) FEDERAL RESERVE BEIGE BOOK: ECONOMIC ACTIVITY EXPANDED IN ALL REGIONS; AUTOS DOMINATED SALES GROWTH
[14:02] {nemo} that roof on esrx may mean more downside
[14:02] {nemo} ual
[14:03] {nemo} sorry]
[14:03] {nemo} gonna hit all time highs in the spy, going for stops
[14:08] {dino} frc drop
[14:08] {dino} sm l .25
[14:11] {nemo} news?
[14:11] {RonS} may be related to the earnings call...
[14:11] {dino} stop .94 -.31
01[14:12] {@Threei}  (RU) Sweden PM Reinfeldt indicates support for the next round of sanctions on Russia ('level 3 ' sanctions); there are obvious differences amongst EU leaders about tightening sanctions
[14:13] {nemo} this area should be inflection point
[14:13] {nemo} next area is whole number
[14:14] {nemo} 51.80 confluence too
[14:15] {dino} all over the place
[14:15] {dino} good earnings
[14:15] {nemo} CEO shtupping the secretary?
01[14:15] {@Threei}  which would ne news how?
[14:16] {dino} good for him
[14:17] {nemo} ok 51.80-52
[14:18] {nemo} next is 200 day at .54
[14:19] {dino} sm l .83
[14:19] {nemo} wow, nice javelin catching
[14:19] {dino} lucky
[14:20] {nemo} dcc dino
[14:20] {dino} used your .80 supp as trig once under
[14:20] {nemo} ahhh
[14:20] {nemo} whoa
[14:21] {dino} yeah, bit f'up
[14:21] {nemo} trying for 200 day
[14:21] {dino} hit it
[14:22] {nemo} wow, just be something really bad
[14:23] {dino} ugly secretary
01[14:23] {@Threei}  secretary must be unhappy
[14:25] {nemo} 50.80 next
[14:25] {nemo} elow that you start getting into the "there be dragons" area
[14:27] {nemo} women and children overboard
[14:30] {dino} brutal on no news
[14:35] {nemo} what a beat down
[14:36] {dino} you finding any news?
[14:37] {nemo} 49.80-50.15 next level no news
01[14:37] {@Threei}  [FRC] Weakness attributed to cautious guidance regarding efficiency ratio on earnings conference call **NOTE: in its earlier release, FRC said the Bank's Q2 core efficiency ratio was 56.3%, compared to 58.9% for the prior quarter and 55.5% for the second quarter a year ago
[14:38] {nemo} shit, while I was watching this fiasco iwm .85 short was perfect
[14:39] {nemo} bid comes up, they should try to drop it out
[14:39] {nemo} yep
01[14:40] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .30 break
[14:40] {nemo} spy going back to VWAP
01[14:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
[14:40] {nemo} see if they can drop the bid out again
[14:41] {nemo} offer came down
[14:42] {nemo} wow next is 49.20
01[14:43] {@Threei}  half out
[14:43] {nemo} and here comes the uptick rule
[14:43] {nemo} bang
01[14:45] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:45] {dino} frc sm l .90
[14:47] {dino} stop .60 -.30
[14:48] {dino} last try sm l .50
[14:50] {dino} what the frc(k)
[14:50] {nemo} good one dino
[14:51] {nemo} this is gonna' be one of those rocket shots when it finally bottoms
[14:51] {dino} yeah, but costly trying to figure it out
[14:51] {nemo} yep
[14:51] {nemo} but I haven't got a long signal yet
[14:52] {nemo} notice they try to bottom, then they drop the bids to see if offers will follow
[14:52] {nemo} until that sequence changes, we keep going
[14:52] {nemo} now indexees coming in
[14:54] {nemo} 47.50 next chart level but no signals even close
[14:56] {dino} putting it to the july call holders
[14:56] {nemo} now they'll try to get it back to test that bottom
[14:57] {nemo} now we're geetting some attempt at buying
[14:58] {dino} sm l .50
[14:58] {nemo} same bid dropping sequence though
[14:59] {dino} stop .19
[15:00] {nemo} 49.40 first level
[15:05] {dino} can it do vwap?
[15:05] {nemo} it can, will it?  that resistance level is quickly reaching 49
[15:08] {dino} pos
[15:08] {RonS} sorry but lol
[15:09] {dino} 45 strike i guess
[15:09] {RonS} 120 mi sh outstanding...all trapped
[15:12] {dino} stc joy puts flat
[15:15] {nemo} they just keep pulling the bids
01[15:17] {@Threei} Short Setup: IWM  .30 break
01[15:17] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
[15:19] {dino} last try smr .46
[15:19] {nemo} not much for bids there
[15:20] {dino} going to jump big imo
01[15:20] {@Threei}  valid still
[15:20] {dino} stop is .99 on 300
[15:20] {nemo} sorry bud, roof at 48ish
[15:21] {dino} close at 50
[15:26] {dino} FRC me you little FRCer
[15:27] {RonS} lol
[15:27] {nemo} KY on the desk dino?
[15:27] {RonS} perfect
[15:28] {dino} 3 million shares last hour
[15:30] {nemo} why would anybody buy this time of day
[15:33] {dino} theres the 45s
01[15:45] {@Threei}  thank you all, very nice day
01[15:45] {@Threei}  have a great evening, see you tomorrow
[15:52] {dino} gn all