Session Time: Tue Feb 10 00:00:00 2015
[09:11] {nemo} nothing brings this market down
01[09:11] {@Threei} well, with so many voices "ah, the crash is near..."
01[09:12] {@Threei} what is market to do but go up
[09:13] {cosmo} too many bears now methinks
01[09:13] {@Threei} yup
[09:13] {RonS} gm...surprised me...and thanks for the pictures
[09:13] {cosmo} too much bail out $ still on sidelines
[09:14] {cosmo} that's just a guess
01[09:15] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:16] {@Threei} (UR) Reportedly Germany, France and OSCE would like Russia to oversee creation of demilitarized zone in eastern Ukraine - Russian press
[09:17] {nemo} liquor store was out of vodka last night
[09:18] {cosmo} try gin
[09:18] {nemo} not the point
[09:18] {cosmo} sanctions?
[09:19] {nemo} meteorlogical ones
[09:19] {cosmo} ah
[09:19] {nemo} meteorological
[09:19] {nemo} somewhat of a horror show around here
[09:19] {cosmo} what town?
[09:20] {nemo} Boston
[09:20] {cosmo} oh
[09:20] {nemo} more snow on Thursday and Sunday coming
[09:20] {cosmo} don't let that snow compact into ice
[09:20] {nemo} my Muscovite friend says even Moscow doesn't get that much snow
01[09:23] {@Threei} More than six feet of snow has fallen on Boston since Jan. 27, breaking the city’s record for snowiest 40-day period in just 17 days.
[09:27] {nemo} the city's subway system is completely shut down...that's partly due to totally outdated equipment and lousy management...
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ANTH +21% (announced completion of interim analysis from Phase 3 trial of blisibimod)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ARO +17% (raised Q4 guidance)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -AMKR +17% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -XON +11% (positive topline results from phase 1b trial of SYN-004)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SYN +7% (positive topline results from phase 1b trial of SYN-004)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -URBN +6.7% (earnings; positive broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HOT +6.7% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -NTES +3.8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -KO +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -GM +3.3% (disclosed notice that Harry Wilson plans to nominate himself as a Board member on behalf of himself and 4 investment funds)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -WYN +3% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SAVE +3% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -PFNX +30% (Hospira collaboration)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -COUP -33% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -RDHL -10% (announced proposed public offering of American Depository Shares)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SALE -8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CSC -7.5% (earnings & guidance)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -RRMS -5% (offering 2M units)
01[09:30] {@Threei} wow... everyone's asleep
[09:30] {nemo} no
01[09:34] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[09:34] {@Threei} If holds .70
[09:36] {nemo} aapl ripping
01[09:36] {@Threei} yeah
[09:39] {nemo} X
[09:39] {nemo} wow...spready
01[09:41] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX 19 break
01[09:41] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:43] {@Threei} change to .10 break
01[09:46] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:54] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:59] {@Threei} 1:3
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) FEB IBD/TIPP ECONOMIC OPTIMISM: 47.5 V 51.9E
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC WHOLESALE INVENTORIES M/M: 0.1% V 0.2%E; WHOLESALE TRADE SALES M/M: -0.4% V -0.3%E
01[10:00] {@Threei} EBAY Trades higher on takover speculationAlibaba said to be a suitor
[10:03] {nemo} small universe in algo today, likely similar to yesterday
[10:09] {nemo} TWTR
01[10:14] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .90 break
01[10:14] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[10:20] {@Threei} nah
[10:25] {nemo} IWM should bounce around .30 Weekly Pivot and daily S1
[10:26] {nemo} also 38.2 retrace from 22/2
01[10:31] {@Threei} Aerosmith in Victoria this summer. $200/ticket
[10:32] {nemo} phewww...saw them at my college for nothing
[10:32] {nemo} was Tyler's bodyguard one night, guy is actually bald
[10:33] {nemo} kinda' crazy guy...bass player and Whitford, really nice guys
[10:34] {nemo} they all live on the South Shore which is towards the coast south of Boston
[10:36] {nemo} love August trading
[10:36] {nemo} MA
01[10:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
[10:44] {cosmo} Anyone charging $200 to get in needs a bodyguard, imho
01[10:47] {@Threei} VXX
01[10:47] {@Threei} somg
01[10:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB ,70 break
01[10:51] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[11:10] {@Threei} 1:1
01[11:14] {@Threei} Fighting intensifies in eastern Ukraine ahead of peace talks
01[11:14] {@Threei} sure thing... the best way to make peace is to intensify fighting
[11:15] {cosmo} Someone has to say "Uncle" first
01[11:19] {@Threei} not going to happen
01[11:19] {@Threei} both sides will just continue killing and dying
[11:19] {cosmo} tradition?
01[11:19] {@Threei} for russians, yes
01[11:20] {@Threei} for ukrainians, they felt free first time in century
01[11:20] {@Threei} they can't go back
[11:20] {cosmo} ic
01[11:31] {@Threei} 1/4 more out
01[11:31] {@Threei} very sklow but works
01[11:32] {@Threei} so, what do you think average russian will answer if asked who they fight with in Ukraine?
[11:33] {cosmo} Kiev?
01[11:33] {@Threei} nope
[11:33] {cosmo} hmm
[11:33] {cosmo} ISIS?
[11:33] {cosmo} nah
01[11:34] {@Threei} want any more tries?
[11:34] {cosmo} NATO?
01[11:34] {@Threei} ummm.., partially
01[11:34] {@Threei} but mostly, they consider NATO a proxy
01[11:35] {@Threei} 1:2
01[11:35] {@Threei} they are of a firm belief that they fight USA
01[11:36] {@Threei} which instigated whole thing, making Ukraine a fighting rink
[11:36] {cosmo} yep
[11:38] {cosmo} Npbel peace prize gonna be more elusive this time...
[11:38] {cosmo} nobel
01[11:38] {@Threei} not that it was deserved last time
[11:38] {cosmo} got that...
01[11:51] {@Threei} out at 1:3... forgot to post
01[11:57] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .10 break
01[12:00] {@Threei} nah'
01[12:05] {@Threei} The Greek government has signaled that it could be willing to compromise, and has unveiled a moderate four-part plan to reduce the burden of austerity on the country's economy. The Greeks are asking for a bridge loan and debt swaps in exchange for a batch of new structural reforms and pledges to fulfil 70% of the current reform program, and the government will also continue to run a primary budget surplus. EU officials later said they have not seen this proposal
[12:39] {nemo} aapl setting up again
[12:40] {nemo} .45 break holds .35
[12:44] {nemo} wow look at .50 offers
[12:44] {nemo} that's a catapult if it breaks
[12:45] {nemo} .64 first target
[12:45] {nemo} stop to .44
01[12:45] {@Threei} SPY contradicts
[12:46] {nemo} mmmhhh iwm and spy look weak
[12:46] {nemo} vxx up too
[12:46] {nemo} weird
01[12:47] {@Threei} anyway, 1:1 from .45
[12:48] {nemo} yeah, amazing amount of supply has come in
[12:52] {nemo} indexes look heavy, they may be waiting for aapl to turn, and here is a good place to do it
01[12:53] {@Threei} 1:2
[12:53] {nemo} first target hit
[12:53] {nemo} don't have a second actually
[12:53] {nemo} whaddya' say, stop under .54?
[12:54] {nemo} I have moving average support around .48
[12:54] {nemo} out
[12:54] {nemo} shit
[12:55] {nemo} oh tragedy...3 people unfollowed me on twitter
[12:56] {nemo} yep, shoulda' stuck with .48
[12:57] {nemo} XOP
01[12:58] {@Threei} for some reason more and more follow me even though I practically don't use it
01[12:59] {@Threei} couple posts a week at best
01[12:59] {@Threei} I just do the trail by the book
01[12:59] {@Threei} .65 is hit, stop to .54
01[13:06] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[13:06] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[13:09] {@Threei} 1:3
01[13:09] {@Threei} out AAPL
01[13:09] {@Threei} diverged from indices
01[13:14] {@Threei} Invalidated VXX
01[13:26] {@Threei} .50 was worth a try eh?
[13:29] {nemo} indices will backtest resistance, then vxx might be a play again
[13:30] {nemo} XOP coming into vwap .45ish
01[13:32] {@Threei} bear flag
[13:33] {nemo} on what?
01[13:33] {@Threei} SPY
[13:33] {nemo} 206 level the test
[13:33] {nemo} then vwap around .60
01[13:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .65 break
01[13:36] {@Threei} change to .60
01[14:12] {@Threei} HAL Reportedly planning to cut up to 6.5K positions; impact all across the organization - financial press (up to 8% of total workforce)
[14:14] {cosmo} now those people can get jobs making solar systems
[14:15] {RonS} God already did it?
[14:15] {cosmo} solar will not die this time...
[14:15] {cosmo} he did?
[14:15] {cosmo} He
[14:16] {cosmo} oh i c
01[14:17] {@Threei} I concur cosmo
[14:17] {nemo} that's sexist
01[14:17] {@Threei} comparing to the last time around, solar did get cheaper enough to survive
01[14:18] {@Threei} maybe development will slow down, but won't stop completely
[14:18] {cosmo} its a better defined industry now
[14:19] {nemo} GMCR bull flag flighty trader though
[14:20] {nemo} XOP looks long break of .25 stop under .12
[14:21] {cosmo} plus, utilities will not lower their prices like gas stations do when oil goes down. So solar is oil price resistant.
01[14:59] {@Threei} (UR) Minsk talks group said to have agreed on a method towards a Ukraine ceasefire along with ways to withdraw the heavy artillery
01[15:00] {@Threei} color me sceptical
01[15:00] {@Threei} (GR) Ireland Fin Min Noonan: Not expecting Eurogroup talks on Greece to be finished tomorrow; pessimistic at this point about reaching an agreement
01[15:08] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .55 break
01[15:08] {@Threei} If holds .45
[15:10] {RonS} acor reemed
01[15:10] {@Threei} finally
01[15:11] {@Threei} I was afraid you run out of those isms :)
01[15:20] {@Threei} float up or reverse and drop into eod?
[15:20] {nemo} float u
01[15:23] {@Threei} ok... right away and with rinse first? :)
01[15:23] {@Threei} and = or
[15:24] {nemo} hard to say, aapl has to stay above 122
[15:25] {nemo} mmmhhh IWM weak, spy showing weak
01[15:27] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[15:27] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[15:28] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:36] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:43] {@Threei} come one, just a tad more
01[15:43] {@Threei} 1:3
01[15:43] {@Threei} good boy
01[15:43] {@Threei} glad to nail down eod move
[15:44] {nemo} been no selling pressure all day, algo all green
01[15:45] {@Threei} yeah but rinses abundant... difficult to get the trade right
[15:48] {nemo} true
[15:48] {nemo} point is though, with no selling pressure, chasing shorts pretty futile
01[15:50] {@Threei} ok guys, thank you
01[15:50] {@Threei} have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:50] {cosmo} :)
