Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Dec 22 2010

Considering increased number of rinses over last few days, we have changed the strategy today with much success. Read the premarket discussion of the tweaked approach starting at 9:19. Among other things, look up the educational tidbit on practical application of one of the Taoist principles to a trade on RIMM we took at 13:16


Session Time: Wed Dec 22 00:00:00 2010
[07:44] {magoo} morning
[08:07] {jfjf64} mornin mags
[08:22] {davd} gm all
[08:30] {Threei}  (US) Q3 FINAL GDP Q/Q ANNUALIZED: 2.6% V 2.8%E; PERSONAL CONSUMPTION: 2.4% V 2.9%E
[08:31] {Threei}  *(US) Q3 FINAL GDP PRICE INDEX: 2.1% V 2.3%E; CORE PCE Q/Q: 0.5% V 0.8%E
[08:40] {RonS} gm guys
[08:40] {Threei}  morning
[08:50] {ese} mornin
[08:50] {Threei}  ese :)
[08:56] {Threei}  (GR) Greece Fin Min Papaconstantinou: Planning to legalize online gambling activities and remove the restrictions against low price machines
[08:56] {Threei}  ahhh
[08:56] {Threei}  that's how they intend to dig themselves out
[09:00] {stewy} morning LL
[09:00] {Threei}  stewy :)
[09:01] {Threei}  Euro vs Swiss Franc Swiss Fin Min Widmer-Schlumpf Denies reports that SNB Chief Hildebrand stated the EUR/CHF cross could move sharply lower
[09:01] {stewy} LL = all
[09:04] {dino} gm all
[09:05] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:11] {RonS} spidey is tenacious...
[09:12] {ese} spidey?
[09:14] {ese} ahhhhhh.......sorry....the handle trying to get on.........thought you were tlking about S&P spyders
[09:14] {ese} talking
[09:14] {magoo} vad, news WTNY?
[09:14] {davd} that wasnt a bad enough typo to merit a re-type
[09:15] {Threei}  merger mags
[09:17] {Threei}  no kidding davd... some are such purists
[09:19] {larisa} gm :)
[09:19] {Threei}  larisa :)
[09:19] {larisa} :)
[09:19] {jfjf64} mornin all
[09:19] {RonS} birt...interesting move yesterday on volume...could breakout and run
[09:19] {Threei}  jf :)
[09:19] {Threei}  guys, so we save time later, I want to explain what I want to try to do today
[09:19] {Threei}  you noticed of course unusually high percentage of rinses last few days
[09:20] {Threei}  so, unless a setup is very clean, I want to:
[09:20] {Threei}  1. let the trigger go,
[09:20] {Threei}  2. wait for a rinsing move under the intended stop,
[09:21] {Threei}  3. enter in setup original direction around the stop level
[09:21] {Threei}  clear?
[09:21] {jfjf64} ill speak 4 all
[09:22] {Threei}  and?
[09:22] {jfjf64} ya  driving boat  keep keep us posted
[09:22] {jfjf64} lk ya  plan
[09:22] {Threei}  this is thin pre-holiday trading, not much happens anyway
[09:23] {Threei}  so might just as well adjust on daily basis
[09:23] {Threei}  and last thing to do beforer trading day begins:
06[09:23] * Threei slaps magoo around a bit with a large trout
[09:24] {stewy} clear, 3i
[09:24] {Threei}  cool
[09:24] {larisa} how do we know if setup you see is clear or not and if you gonna take it on trigger or wait for pullback :) I need coffee for that :)
[09:25] {magoo} unfair advantage, cant slap from mibbit
[09:25] {Threei}  I will post larisa, it's not like I will make you guess
[09:25] {RonS} ...would that make it "clear as mud" larisa?
[09:25] {Threei}  that's how I like it mags
[09:25] {larisa} :)
[09:28] {magoo} vad..keep eye on NKE
[09:28] {RonS} ...that armh story is pretty interesting
[09:29] {Threei}  hood report NKE, huidance seems fine too
[09:29] {Threei}  what's the problem
[09:29] {RonS} input cost headwinds
[09:30] {Threei}  ah
[09:30] {Threei}  ty
[09:30] {ese} now thats the part of the day i understand.....Mags getting slapped around with a trout......that is really clear for me!
[09:30] {magoo} sell the news
[09:31] {Threei}  X
[09:31] {Threei}  let's see if we get sharp pullback to under .90
[09:31] {Threei}  .80 - .85 is target entry zone
[09:32] {ese} damn close
[09:32] {ese} does the word genius apply here
[09:32] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .80 break
[09:32] {Threei}  if holding .70
[09:32] {Threei}  half lot
[09:33] {magoo} in
[09:33] {jfjf64} wow
[09:34] {jfjf64} out
[09:34] {jfjf64} .99
[09:34] {Threei}  if you had sell laid out, it would have been hit
[09:34] {Threei}  cool
[09:34] {Threei}  nice and easy eg
[09:34] {jfjf64} i will ty ty
[09:34] {larisa} nice and easy ? I definetely need coffee :)
[09:36] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .90 break haLF LOT
[09:36] {Threei}  if holding .80
[09:37] {dino} rimm sm l .25
[09:37] {ese} in .91
[09:38] {magoo} nke
[09:38] {Threei}  partial at 1:1
[09:38] {jfjf64} out  ty
[09:38] {Threei}  full?
[09:38] {RonS} took .88 to .98 +.10  thxs 3i
[09:39] {jfjf64} yes
[09:39] {Threei}  should be good for more...
[09:39] {Threei}  anyway, stop to .85 for second half
[09:40] {Threei}  not willing to give it much breathing room
[09:40] {Threei}  out
[09:40] {Threei}  scalpers win
[09:40] {jfjf64} ty
[09:40] {dino} arg sm l .35
[09:40] {jfjf64} lol
[09:40] {ese} out
[09:40] {ese} .92
[09:40] {ese} wiated too long
[09:41] {Threei}  a bit yeah, but good save
[09:41] {Threei}  no point in risking in this morning jumpinesas
[09:41] {jfjf64} scalpers  envirement
[09:41] {Threei}  look X,
[09:41] {Threei}  there was a setup earlier at .70,
[09:41] {Threei}  watching if it gets rinsed by moving under .55
[09:42] {Threei}  wow LVS... nice dump
[09:43] {Threei}  .80 break was a short setup but dropped to sharply into it for my taste
[09:43] {Threei}  OK, X, quick drop under .50 is interesting for long
[09:44] {Threei}  formally .60 break is long but I don't want to play it straight
[09:44] {Threei}  here here X... come on, rinse those .60 buyers
[09:44] {jfjf64} .50
[09:49] {dino} msb sm l .05
[09:50] {jfjf64} lvs
[09:50] {Threei}  grr... just typed short lvs .40 break
[09:51] {Threei}  X 1:1 who went for .50
[09:51] {Threei}  see how .60 buyers would have been rinsed and how buying rinse worked?
[09:52] {magoo} yup
[09:52] {jfjf64} anyone see  rex  ryan  video  you  tube
[09:52] {jfjf64} jets  coach
[09:52] {dino} stopped msb, arg
[09:52] {Threei}  1:2, while .60 buyers swear
[09:55] {Threei}  let's see if LVS gives us double bottom
[09:55] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .20 break if stays above .10
[09:56] {jfjf64} jummped
[09:57] {jfjf64} lets  go  .40
[09:57] {jfjf64} grrrrrrrrrrrr
[09:58] {Threei}  (CA) IMF: Consumer debt and low US demand threaten Canada's growth
[09:59] {Threei}  looks good and ready, LVS
[09:59] {jfjf64} comon  santa
[10:00] {jfjf64} spy  break
[10:00] {Threei}  S) NOV EXISTING HOME SALES: 4.68M V 4.75ME
[10:01] {RonS} took .18 to .27 +.09  thxs 3i
[10:01] {Threei}  *(US) OCT HOUSE PRICE INDEX M/M: +0.7% V -0.2%E
[10:01] {jfjf64} bounce
[10:01] {Threei}  ron :)
[10:01] {Threei}  touched 1:1...
[10:02] {Threei}  now numbers are killing the market
[10:02] {Threei}  oh well
[10:02] {Threei}  it was an honest trade, no trickery
[10:02] {magoo} i took .20
[10:02] {magoo} stopped .
[10:05] {magoo} sh lvs 46
[10:08] {magoo} out
[10:08] {Threei}  watching SLW for rinsing .60 buyers
[10:09] {RonS} brb gotta reboot...platform freezing
[10:10] {magoo} l lvs .10
[10:13] {stewy} veco breakout?
[10:13] {Threei}  don't like it at all
[10:14] {stewy} ok
[10:14] {dino} nke maybe db in making
[10:14] {magoo} .99 stop lvs
[10:16] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .40 break
[10:16] {Threei}  if stays above .30
[10:22] {Threei}  1:1
[10:22] {Threei}  our pre-market idea was correct
[10:23] {dino} kmx sm l .30
[10:23] {Threei}  execution was not flawless I'd say, but look from how many rinses it saved us
[10:23] {Threei}  and got us in winning entires
[10:24] {Threei}  sorry for mistyping "correct"... it's "korreqt" of course
[10:30] {Threei}  *(US) DOE WEEKLY ENERGY INVENTORIES: CRUDE: -5.3M V -1ME; GASOLINE: +2.4M V +500KE; DISTILLATE: -590KM V -1ME; UTILIZATION: 87.7% V 87.8%E
[10:31] {Threei}  Euro vs US Dollar Dealer chatter of about of yard of Euros bid ahead of 'key' 1.3070 level- Likely euro sell stops building below the 1.3070 level
[10:37] {Threei}  mobbit hiccup?
[10:37] {Threei}  mibbit
[10:37] {stewy} .
[10:37] {magoo} i here?
[10:37] {Threei}  yeah
[10:38] {Threei}  some of routes probably... 3 lost connection
[10:46] {dino} sm l msb .85
[10:54] {magoo} dino, share size?
[10:57] {dino} 300
[10:57] {dino} pulp type
[10:58] {dino} want a buck
[10:59] {dino} rally time
[11:05] {Threei}  watching RIMM for long entry on oullback to 58
[11:07] {Threei}  no chance
[11:07] {Threei}  straight up
[11:08] {dino} f'ing rinses, 3 so far today
[11:12] {Threei}  watch RIMM
[11:12] {Threei}  if we are lucky it will drop sharply here
[11:12] {Threei}  giving us entry around 58
[11:17] {Threei}  just a tad more pls
[11:26] {ese} L zion .64
[11:30] {RonS} l rht .46
[11:36] {ese} if zion gets past .71, 24.00 is my target
[11:38] {magoo} f'in rimm
[11:38] {magoo} i missed entry
[11:39] {Threei}  it's a first day we deploy this approach
[11:39] {Threei}  not honed up yet
[11:39] {magoo} not complaining about u
[11:39] {Threei}  but look how flawlessly it works
[11:39] {magoo} just cant get any going
[11:43] {ese} hmmm correct that .92 is more likely for zion
[11:44] {ese} i'm with ya there mags
[11:45] {dino} out rimm .85, +.75 ty vad
[11:45] {Threei}  wtg
[11:45] {Threei}  beautiful trade
[11:45] {ese} ya know.....i follow rimm for days......the day i decide to give it a break.......kabam!!!!!  sheesh
[11:45] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .90 break
[11:46] {Threei}  ugh
[11:46] {Threei}  wait
[11:46] {Threei}  maybe bounces back up for entry
[11:46] {Threei}  let it go obver .90, ahort recross if stays under 59
[11:47] {Threei}  invalidated
[11:47] {Threei}  not off radar though
[11:47] {Threei}  looking for better entry
[11:47] {dino} cpy -10 in day
[11:47] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  59 break
[11:47] {Threei}  if stays under .10
[11:50] {Threei}  beatiful, second chance entry for those who missed original break
[11:50] {Threei}  1:1
[11:50] {Threei}  cover half
[11:50] {Threei}  stop to just abive 59
[11:50] {Threei}  hopefully no rinse
[11:50] {Threei}  can drop to about .55-.60
[11:52] {Threei}  die RIMM
[11:53] {Threei}  good girl
[11:53] {Threei}  1:2
[11:53] {Threei}  stop to .95 for the last piece, not covering at 1:3 but rather trailing for 1:4
[11:55] {dino} gj
[11:55] {magoo} nice ty ..may we have another?
[11:56] {Threei}  let's finish this one first
[11:56] {Threei}  I want about 20 cents more for the last portion
[11:57] {Threei}  and if does what I suspect it's going to, it will be one big swoop
[11:59] {Threei}  out
[11:59] {Threei}  oh well
[12:02] {RonS} rht out .64 +.18
[12:02] {dino} gj
[12:04] {Threei}  overtightened RIMM trailing stop eh?
[12:06] {dino} magoo you in msb?
[12:07] {dino} amn
[12:08] {dino} cpy sm l .90
[12:14] {dino} .
[12:15] {dino} am i here?
[12:15] {Threei}  yes
[12:15] {RonS} yep
[12:15] {dino} thx
[12:18] {dino} theres the buck magoo
[12:19] {RonS} sndk, anyone see a short entry?
[12:19] {magoo} good one
[12:19] {RonS} msb, an oil trust dino?
[12:20] {dino} miner
[12:21] {dino} stop to .95 expect slip
[12:22] {dino} out ave .97, +1.12
[12:22] {RonS} gj...miner of what?
[12:22] {dino} metals/mining
[12:29] {stewy} .
[12:29] {ese} out zion .82 +.20
[12:32] {dino} gj
[12:33] {RonS} wtg ese
[12:34] {RonS} btw msb is land and iron ore...tied to clf...per 10Q
[12:35] {Threei}  darn RIMM
[12:35] {dino} in my setup, industry is shows, ie metals/mining
[12:36] {Threei}  had to keep stop in original place of a first breakeven trail
[12:37] {ese} vad wag......thoughts 15min chrt
[12:37] {ese} 5min cht
[12:38] {ese} sorry again 1min chrt
[12:39] {Threei}  I guess I'd try .50 reak in this case
[12:39] {ese} tks
[12:48] {ese} L wag pullback .44
[12:50] {ese} went with the aggressive entry vad.....
[12:55] {ese} out wag .51 +.07
[12:55] {ese} i'll take it
[12:57] {Threei}  why not
[13:01] {magoo} anyone got anything?
[13:03] {Threei}  I got a vague feeling of severe market drop coming
[13:03] {dino} lol, gut says up
[13:10] {ese} S&P precarious looking for sure
[13:16] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .60 break
[13:17] {magoo} INNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN
[13:17] {Threei}  gosh
[13:17] {Threei}  scared the bejeezus out of me
[13:22] {magoo} wheres you stop..not looking good
[13:22] {Threei}  nope
[13:23] {Threei}  .70
[13:23] {magoo} OOOUUUTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
[13:26] {magoo} figures, freakin .02 from vads stop
[13:26] {magoo} took .68
[13:27] {magoo} you're good, but not that good
[13:30] {ese} i'm goin long rimm
[13:32] {Threei}  1:1
[13:32] {Threei}  not that good you says
06[13:32] * Threei slaps magoo around a bit with a comparator of goodness
[13:32] {magoo} i so so wanna slap u
[13:33] {Threei}  I have different advice
[13:33] {Threei}  gently approach the mirror...
[13:33] {Threei}  look at the reflection in it...
[13:33] {Threei}  ask it why it doesn't play by the book
[13:33] {magoo} OY
[13:34] {stewy} .
[13:34] {stewy} 1:1 ty
[13:34] {Threei}  then open A taoist Trader course
[13:34] {Threei}  and read everything about arrogance that makes us think we can outsmart market
[13:34] {Threei}  and bend the rules
[13:34] {Threei}  welcome stewy
[13:36] {magoo} ouch, for keeping a stop .02 cents tighter ...WOW, slammed me
[13:36] {Threei}  it's not about 2 cents
[13:36] {Threei}  it's about meaningful price levels vs noise
[13:36] {Threei}  .70 means something
[13:36] {Threei}  .68 doesn't
[13:37] {magoo} explain
[13:37] {Threei}  stop is located above resistance
[13:37] {Threei}  .70 is resitance
[13:37] {Threei}  .68 is just random number
[13:37] {Threei}  break of .70 invalidates the reason for the trade
[13:38] {Threei}  .68 is just noise
[13:38] {Threei}  you don't set stops where you want,
[13:38] {Threei}  you take them from the chart
[13:39] {Threei}  13:06, long tail upward,
[13:39] {Threei}  hard rejection of upward spike,
[13:39] {Threei}  sloed at .69,
[13:39] {Threei}  13:07, high .69
[13:39] {Threei}  sloed = closed
[13:40] {Threei}  thus .70 resistance is established
[13:40] {Threei}  break of it invalidates the short
[13:40] {Threei}  stock bounces and tops out at .68 - perfect confirmation of the trade validity
[13:40] {Threei}  taking stop under meaningful resistance - not my forte
[13:41] {Threei}  above - yes
[13:41] {Threei}  now, back to Taoist Trader for the principle of non-interference
[13:42] {Threei}  taking action when there is no signal - interference with forces of nature
[13:42] {Threei}  bad
[13:42] {Threei}  staying inactive when there is no signal - non-interference, letting nature take its course
[13:42] {Threei}  good
[13:42] {Threei}  me done talking... me tired... me want drink
[13:42] {Threei}  1:2 is coming
[13:43] {Threei}  here
[13:43] {Threei}  me out
[13:43] {Threei}  got meselef that market drop
[13:47] {Threei}  gut was right
[13:47] {Threei}  but since no one is talking to me anyway, be back in 20
[13:47] {dino}  gj
[13:47] {Threei}  but before I leave,
06[13:47] * Threei slaps magoo around a bit with a large trout
[13:48] {Threei}  now I can leave
[13:48] {magoo} things i do for the better of the rooms education
[13:59] {dino} ua
[13:59] {dino} sm l .06
[14:08] {dino} things that make me go, "hmmm"
[14:08] {Threei}  and grind your gear? :)
[14:08] {dino} lol
[14:09] {ese} L rimm .47
[14:09] {dino} amn, confuses me, no news -12 in 2 days
[14:10] {magoo} its being sold dino :)
[14:10] {dino} indeed, to where tho? gap at 70.80s?
[14:13] {dino} lol, should have v=bgt .00 break as it went .60 on this typing
[14:20] {magoo} LVS uinteresting
[14:22] {RonS} sndk gonna go for a gap fill today?  w/ market help of course
[14:24] {dino} ua to .46
[14:25] {dino} to .56
[14:26] {magoo} everyone in troom starte bidding lvs and we'll push it up
[14:28] {dino} to .61
[14:28] {RonS} feels like i am watching paint dry...even the .vix is doing nothing
[14:29] {dino} apkt
[14:31] {dino} to .66
[14:32] {dino} to .71 hum dee dum
[14:32] {dino} out .71, +.65
[14:33] {Threei}  nice
[14:33] {RonS} nice dino
[14:33] {dino} ty
[14:33] {magoo} if i may, share size dino?
[14:34] {dino} 300
[14:34] {magoo} XOMA nuts again today
[14:34] {dino} sm=300
[14:35] {magoo} yup, avoid the rinse-a-roo, gj
[14:35] {dino} thx. lots of rinses last 6 days or so
[14:35] {magoo} yup
[14:36] {magoo} anyone hit LVS whni mentioned it .00's?
[14:44] {dino} mim
[14:44] {dino} +8
[14:47] {dino} v sm s .99
[14:48] {RonS} ?
[14:48] {ese} nice one with apkt dino
[14:48] {dino} mim v sm s .99
[14:48] {ese} i especialy like the ho hum nature of your trading
[14:49] {dino} :D
[14:53] {dino} kmx to .34
[15:03] {dino} mim stopped -.40
[15:07] {dino} what do you make of mim 3i?
[15:09] {Threei}  i don't understand the news
[15:10] {dino} +56%
[15:10] {Threei}  reorganization of share structure, elimination of dual class
[15:10] {Threei}  shrug
[15:11] {Threei}  color me simpleton
[15:11] {dino} yes, i read it but don't get the reaction, especially since no other players were on it
[15:12] {Threei}  this imacts the price of commons in some eay i do not understand
[15:12] {dino} adding common, ditching other shares. odd
[15:17] {dino} 'out kmx +.08
[15:24] {dino} watch that mim drop to 25
[15:27] {dino} lol another rinse
[15:28] {Threei}  my morning idea of technique change proves itself I guess...
[15:28] {dino} cpyb to .79
[15:28] {dino} cpy
[15:28] {Threei}  and lord knows I am having whale of time while magoo is restricted to mibbit and can't slap back {G}
06[15:29] * Threei slaps magoo around a bit with a largely useless mibbit
[15:29] {dino} i re-loaded thatmim s at 28.50, was too risky to post
[15:30] {Threei}  nice result but seriously scary trade
[15:31] {dino} only 200
[15:32] {dino} bstop to .01
[15:33] {Threei}  THC...
[15:33] {Threei}  buyour sopeculation
[15:34] {Threei}  buyoyt
[15:34] {Threei}  whatever
[15:34] {dino} back in ten
[15:44] {ese} catch you all tomorrow
[15:44] {stewy} .
[15:45] {stewy} c  u ese
[15:46] {Threei}  take care ese
[15:47] {Threei}  not going to take any more trades today guys
[15:47] {Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
[15:47] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:47] {larisa} bye!
[15:48] {dino} cov mim .50, +1.00
[15:48] {stewy} thx 3i. always an adventure
[15:49] {stewy} :)
[15:55] {dino} out cpy .88 -.02