Thursday, June 7, 2012

June 07 2012

Nice and strong day with quite a few trades working for 1:2 and 1:3. One is particularly elegant. Some trades are not just profitable, they are also very satisfying as they have a strict structure and behave cleanly. You can liken it to an engineer admiring well-designed construction or a chess player observing his plan playing out to the T. It's an aggressive entry on Cup & Handle setup. Those who took 111 TRADES online course know this setup as well as different ways to play it. One that unfolded today is my personal favorite. Read the running comments on the left of the chart and find the elements annotated at the right to decode the logic of the play.


(Course on chart pattern recognition is available now: http://www.realitytrader.com/111trades.html)  





Session Time: Thu Jun 07 00:00:00 2012
08:49] {Threei}  market hasn't opened yet but we already have that dreadful chart of a slow climb
[08:51] {cipher} gm
08:51] {Threei}  cipher :)
[08:52] {thomcbell} sheldon got his fix
08:52] {Threei}  lol
[08:59] {thomcbell} fcx should test broken support and downtrend line at 35 some time today 
[09:00] {thomcbell} want to look for an early long entry 
09:05] {Threei}  let's let it work out opening volatility and look for a setup
[09:08] {scottie} gm
09:09] {Threei}  scottie :)
[09:11] {Beau} morning all
09:11] {Threei}  beau :)
[09:18] {dptl} gm
09:18] {Threei}  dp :)
[09:25] {ese} morning.......2 weeks to go from today..........and......as Alice Cooper said "Schools out for ever"...well at least for the summer
09:25] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:25] {ese} gm vad
[09:27] {ese} how bout that greek tv show.......extreme right guy gets up and slaps politicians from other parties
[09:27] {ese} on live tv
09:27] {Threei}  yeah... hope they have jail time for that
[09:27] {ese} wish somebody would do that to Harper 
09:27] {Threei}  oh come on
09:27] {Threei}  what did he do to deserve that
[09:28] {ese} he's a sneeky guy
09:28] {Threei}  ever saw politician who wasn't?
[09:29] {ese} true.......
[09:30] {thomcbell} wow lvs 
09:30] {Threei}  ABX more selling
09:32] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .20 break hl
09:32] {Threei}  stop above .30
09:36] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .60 break hl
09:36] {Threei}  If holds  .50 
[09:36] {dptl} in slw
09:38] {Threei}  no go SLW
[09:38] {dptl} stopped
09:38] {Threei}  FCX target 1:3
09:38] {Threei}  1:1
09:41] {Threei}  missed 1:2 by 1 cent
09:42] {Threei} Short Setup: ABX  .50 break hl
09:42] {Threei}  If holds  .60 
[09:44] {scottie} +.10 fcx ty
09:45] {Threei}  yw
09:45] {Threei}  ABX valid
09:45] {Threei}  SLW rinsed
[09:47] {dptl} to fast abx
09:48] {Threei}  it returned to pick you up
09:48] {Threei}  frikin SLW
09:49] {Threei}  1:1 ABX
[09:49] {dptl} almost went to 1:1 so i skipped that
[09:50] {scottie} hit wrong button, out at +.08, lucky lol
09:50] {Threei}  yikes... lol
09:50] {Threei}  out in full ABX
09:50] {Threei}  .32
[09:52] {dptl} pay .40?
09:52] {Threei}  I don't understand the setup
09:53] {Threei}  wow... what a pretty double top we missed on LVS
[09:55] {thomcbell} i got it but it was not pleasant
09:56] {Threei}  I mean .50 break at 9:42
[09:56] {thomcbell} y
09:57] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .30 break hl
09:57] {Threei}  If holds  .40 
[09:57] {dptl} in
09:58] {Threei}  trail to .36
[09:58] {ese} L sprd .55
[09:59] {ese} crappy fill....was lookin for .51
10:00] {Threei}  why do you use market orders?
10:00] {Threei}  1:1
10:01] {Threei}  US) Fitch Sovereign Director Parker: Would cut US AAA sovereign rating if no credible fiscal plan presented for 2013 (Currently on negative outlook)
10:01] {Threei}  - May cut UK rating further if further downturn materializes; notes that UK, France, Germany and other AAA nations do have credible fiscal plans
10:01] {Threei}  - Reminder: In Aug 2011 S&P cut the US sovereign rating by one notch
10:01] {Threei}  - In Nov of 2011, Fitch revised the US' outlook to Negative from Stable and affirmed its AAA rating.
10:01] {Threei}  - Reminder: In February S&P's Chambers indicated that it would be unlikely for S&P to make any adjustments before the November election, highlighted that politics and the debt debate were part of the reasons that led to the downgrade last year
[10:01] {ese} cuz i was lookin at fcx with you......didn't want to miss it
[10:01] {scottie} out fcx + .15 ty
[10:01] {dptl} all out fcx ty
10:01] {Threei}  1:2
[10:02] {thomcbell} give me a break slw 
10:02] {Threei}  but ese... just make it limit at the price you are willing to chase to
10:02] {Threei}  .52 let's say
[10:02] {ese} missed yours.......crappy fill on mine.......it's a whatever
10:03] {Threei}  out FCX in full too
10:03] {Threei}  or as nemo would correct me: limit at the price to which you are willing to chase
[10:03] {dino}   ty fcx 3i
[10:03] {ese} ya thats the other part.....thought that i had.....pressed the wrong button......happens periodically when i'm tired
10:03] {Threei}  yw
10:04] {Threei}  I dunno who is more annoying, SLW or nemo {G}
[10:04] {ese} nemo easily........
[10:04] {thomcbell} slw definitely more annoying
10:04] {Threei}  yeah, while he is not here, let's crown him wiht "more annoying than SLW rinse" title
[10:06] {ese} am not worried about sprd.........i love the look of the daily.....this baby is headed up.........I"M COMMITTED}}}}}I"VE TAKEN A STAND!!!!!! and thats all there is too it..........hmmmmmmm  i feel better now
[10:06] {ese} lol
10:07] {Threei}  ok, now that you got it off your chest... your stop is under .40? :)
[10:07] {ese} yup.......35 to be exact
10:08] {Threei} Short Setup: MW  .70 break sm shares
10:08] {Threei}  If holds  .80 
[10:09] {ese} daaaaaaaaa stopped .35
10:12] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .50 break
10:12] {Threei}  hl
10:12] {Threei}  If holds  .40 
[10:12] {ese} mrkt picked a lousy time to drift.......it just didn't understand that I had a position.......i'm sure that if it had know it wouldn't have drifted down.......it's all about me you understand
10:12] {Threei}  right
[10:12] {ese} in lvs.51
10:12] {Threei}  target 1:4
[10:13] {nemo} bounce area tna spy
10:13] {Threei}  nemo came to claim his title...
[10:13] {dino} you ok ese? :O
[10:14] {nemo} no..nephew, collapsed in school, just got back
[10:14] {dptl} stopped lvs
10:14] {Threei}  ugh... sorry
[10:14] {ese} stopped.40
[10:14] {ese} hmmmmmmm......turnin out to be one a dem days
[10:15] {ese} mornin dino.......lol
[10:16] {ese} what happened nemo?  
[10:17] {dino} hope he's alright nemo
[10:17] {scottie} acom DB?
[10:17] {dino} mw sm l .00
10:18] {Threei}  formally yes, but I doubt it's a good play right now
[10:18] {dino} nav sm l .60
[10:18] {scottie} forget it spread is too large
10:18] {Threei}  yeah
10:18] {Threei} Long Setup:  FAZ  .50 break
10:18] {Threei}  If holds  .40 
[10:19] {dino} out nav .10, +.50
10:20] {Threei}  nice
[10:20] {ese} nice dino
[10:21] {nemo} what was the jobs report
[10:21] {dino} ty
[10:21] {dino} a couple thousand better
10:23] {Threei}  no go
[10:24] {ese} what was the deal with MW dino?
[10:25] {dino} missed
[10:25] {cipher} TZA L .00
[10:25] {dptl} atvi .70 short?
[10:25] {dino} out mw flat
10:26] {Threei}  no
[10:26] {cipher} out -.12
[10:28] {dino} gco sm l .25, pulp type
[10:28] {dino} mw sm l .90
[10:28] {dino} stop break lod
[10:29] {dino} ung drop
[10:29] {dino} boil too
10:30] {Threei}  *(US) EIA NATURAL GAS INVENTORIES: +62 BCF V +55 BCF TO +60 BCF EXPECTED RANGE
10:30] {Threei}  that's why
[10:31] {dino} ty
[10:31] {dino} gap 16.16
10:33] {Threei}  feeling is, activity is here for a while yet but I can't get a sense of direction
[10:35] {nemo} IWM bounced off of Weekly R1, SPY bounced off retracement from May 28 high to recent swing low
[10:36] {nemo} MPP on spy 134.4 area, IWM 77.98
[10:39] {dino} gco stop -.32
[10:39] {dino} mw stop -.10
10:41] {Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .10 break
10:42] {Threei}  aggressive entry for .20 C&H
[10:42] {dptl} in
10:42] {Threei}  stop is obvious, under 21
10:44] {Threei}  formation matches SPY inverted C&H with 132.50 break
10:45] {Threei}  target 1:3
10:45] {Threei}  1:1
10:46] {Threei}  stop to .08
10:48] {Threei}  1:2
10:48] {Threei}  stop to .14
10:49] {Threei}  to .18
[10:51] {dino} nice
10:51] {Threei}  ty
10:51] {Threei}  really beautoful structure to the play
10:51] {Threei}  1:3 target hit, out
[10:51] {scottie} +.30 great call Vad
10:51] {Threei}  hey, good to see you went fropm scalps to fiull play
10:52] {Threei}  let me make a screenshot for the visual, this is one for the books
[10:52] {scottie} More confident, feels good
10:52] {Threei}  :)
[10:54] {dino} pvh sm l ave .73
[10:54] {dino} titn sm l .10
[10:55] {dptl} etn .40short?
10:55] {Threei}  yes
10:56] {Threei}  nice chart
[10:56] {nemo} akam
[10:57] {thomcbell} yes on etn - i have been trading this one a lot - been a real value trap 
[10:57] {dino} titn stop -,20
[11:01] {ese} gotta go ....one of dem days...cya tomorrow
[11:01] {dino} lng l .15
[11:02] {cipher} titn l.80
[11:06] {dptl} still valid etn
[11:07] {dino} out pvh .07 +.34
[11:07] {dptl} invalidated 
11:09] {Threei}  http://goo.gl/E893y
[11:09] {dino} nice titn cipher
[11:09] {cipher} out titn .19 +.39
[11:10] {dptl} you think its still valid?Vad etn?
[11:10] {cipher} thx for the heads up
11:10] {Threei}  I think so
[11:10] {dptl} k
11:10] {Threei}  I really like this support to break and cascade
11:11] {Threei}  1:2 easy
[11:11] {dino} its what i do
11:12] {Threei}  break and cascade?
[11:12] {dptl} in
[11:13] {dino} no talking to cipher
11:13] {Threei}  hehe
[11:15] {thomcbell} nice action lvs - hehehe
[11:16] {dino} titn sm l .50
[11:25] {dptl} stopped....
[11:25] {dptl} taking a break
11:26] {Threei}  moves with SPY
[11:28] {nemo} are we in a coma yet?
11:28] {Threei}  not sure
[11:29] {dino} out titn .91, +.41
11:29] {Threei}  nice one
[11:29] {dino} ty
[11:29] {dino} hit and miss day so far
[11:38] {dino} mw sn m l .15
[11:39] {dino} out lng .34 +.19
[11:39] {dino} pvh sm l .72
[11:51] {dino} out pvh .26, +.54
11:53] {Threei}  nice back to back wins
[11:54] {dino} ty
[12:26] {dptl} fcx .95 short?
12:26] {Threei}  nah
12:26] {Threei}  SPY is more likely to bounce here
12:48] {Threei}  *(ES) FITCH DOWNGRADES SPAIN SOVEREIGN RATING THREE NOTCHES TO BBB FROM A; OUTLOOK NEGATIVE
12:54] {Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  .20 break
12:55] {Threei}  If holds  .10 
12:55] {Threei}  Invalidated  
12:57] {Threei}  if dives under .10 again, make it 48 - .1- setup
12:57] {Threei}  .10
12:58] {Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  .10 break
12:58] {Threei}  heh... 1:1
12:58] {Threei}  good luck getting a fill though
12:59] {Threei}  unless you just hit .10 itself, no chance
[12:59] {nemo} what, taking it off the trend line?
12:59] {Threei}  better yet:
[12:59] {dptl} sometimes i think my quotes delay...put it on the screen and its at .20
13:00] {Threei}  lower envelope of an uptrending line, and upper envelope of downtrending one
13:01] {Threei}  so it bounces of the former while breaking the latter
13:01] {Threei}  perfect long signal
13:01] {Threei}  dp... it had to be on screen from 12:54] {Threei} Long Setup: TNA .20 break
13:01] {Threei}  after that cpmments were follow-up
13:02] {Threei}  if you switched to it only after the second call, most likjely you'd see .20 as it jumped very fast after taking .10
[13:02] {nemo} would you add that setup to today's log so I can read it, thanks
13:03] {Threei}  you mean a screenshot?
[13:03] {nemo} annotated please
13:03] {Threei}  let me make one
[13:04] {nemo} why don't you do that
[13:09] {nemo} oh, ty, get it
[13:10] {nemo} looks like it's going to pop here iwm at long term trend line upper channel
13:10] {Threei}  bigger one continues, smaller one breaks...
[13:11] {nemo} this should be good to .75 or so when it goes, at least .60
[13:11] {nemo} "if"
13:12] {Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .80 break
[13:12] {nemo} I took tna .20
[13:13] {nemo} market trading?
13:14] {Threei}  yes... you made 10 cents
[13:14] {nemo} taking 1st at .40
[13:14] {nemo} yep
13:14] {Threei}  20
[13:14] {nemo} this could be the afternoon run, want .60 area next piece
[13:15] {nemo} am I being greedy?
[13:16] {nemo} I think price gets to monthly pivots today
13:16] {Threei}  More than half of high school seniors admit they text or email while driving, according to anonymous US survey
[13:16] {dino}  vrtx sm l .01
[13:16] {nemo} kid in boston just got convicted yesterday of vehicular manslaughter while texting
[13:16] {nemo} he's 17, he gets out when he's 18
[13:17] {nemo} I've seen people driving with their knees while texting...un believeable
[13:17] {dptl} stop .74 iwm?
13:17] {Threei}  yes
13:18] {Threei}  half out .89
[13:18] {nemo} wanna' grab them and beat the shit out of them
[13:18] {nemo} 1/4 more
13:18] {Threei}  if you do, double the effort on my behalf
13:18] {Threei}  1/4 more .93
[13:18] {nemo} yeah, I got .61 on tna
13:19] {Threei}  well, believe it or not but we are adjusting to slow climb mode
[13:19] {nemo} well, we're likely to get the afternoon rip.  78 for IWM I think
[13:19] {dino} nemo iwm target?
[13:20] {dino} hitting r1 now
13:20] {Threei}  mine's 77.05 for the last piece
[13:20] {dino} out vrtx .31, +.30
[13:20] {nemo} hard to say, I'm holding last quarter I think we come into afternoon rally with  the 77.20 morning swing high next target, if it breaks that 77.47 and then 78
[13:21] {nemo} http://www.freestockcharts.com?emailChartID=fae822b3-e823-450a-8152-427360e6ff57
[13:22] {nemo} if it get's to that .20 area retraces and holds .95 area, I'll look to add
[13:23] {nemo} suppose I should set a stop if it doesn't, huh?
[13:23] {dino} ok, have same chart
[13:23] {nemo} so far so good
[13:24] {dptl} abx .50 short?
[13:24] {nemo} buyers coming into futes
[13:24] {nemo} "giddyap" as you would say, dino
[13:25] {nemo} so we're at swing high, now see if it holds support at R1, which coincides just about with vwap
[13:25] {nemo} sound good to you Dino?
13:26] {Threei}  me out
[13:26] {nemo} pesky scalpers
[13:26] {dptl} abx .50 ?
[13:26] {dino} ok
13:26] {Threei}  yeah
[13:26] {dptl} short?
13:26] {Threei}  half lot
13:27] {Threei}  setup is right, market is uptrending... so half lot to try it
[13:27] {nemo} my stop is .58
[13:27] {dptl} 100 shares in 
[13:28] {nemo} ese shares
13:28] {Threei}  UWM, not too shabby 1:5
13:28] {Threei}  IWM
[13:28] {nemo} or uwm
[13:28] {nemo} same
[13:31] {scottie} hal .80 ?
13:33] {Threei}  tough call... not sure
[13:33] {scottie} ok
[13:35] {dptl} nem .50 short?
13:36] {Threei}  yrs
13:36] {Threei}  yes
[13:36] {nemo} damn, wonder if I get rinsed here
[13:39] {nemo} NAV
[13:39] {dino} out iwm +.15
[13:40] {dptl} .56 stop for abx
[13:42] {nemo} figures, tna in long setup again, got me by .04 
[13:48] {dptl} hal .70 short may be?
13:51] {Threei}  yes... lol
[13:57] {dptl} clf .40 short?
13:58] {Threei}  50/50
[13:58] {dptl} k
13:58] {Threei}  two-sided
[14:00] {nemo} abx offer
[14:00] {nemo} gone
[14:00] {dptl} out abx -.09
[14:00] {scottie} fas reverse C&H?
14:02] {Threei}  kind of... incomplete
[14:14] {dptl} lul 64 long? sm sh
[14:14] {dptl} lulu
[14:15] {dptl} gone
[14:16] {dptl} sigh
[14:21] {dino} clne spike
[14:25] {dptl} slb .30 long?
14:26] {Threei}  halgf
14:26] {Threei}  half
[14:26] {nemo} god bless you
14:26] {Threei}  lol
[14:30] {dino} scss spike
[14:30] {dino} sm s .99
[14:34] {dino} cov flat bad entry
[14:36] {dino} scss sm s .35
[14:40] {dino} cov scss .05, +.30
[14:48] {dino} sm s . 50
[14:48] {cipher} scss +.34 thx dino
[14:48] {dino} gj
[14:52] {dino} cov scss .18, +.32
[15:02] {dptl} nem .85 long?
15:03] {Threei}  nah
15:04] {Threei}  SPY turns down
15:04] {Threei}  can turn a trap very easy
15:18] {Threei}  watching TZA for pullback entry
[15:20] {nemo} spy at bounce zone
15:21] {Threei}  no pullback
15:21] {Threei}  yet
15:29] {Threei} Long Setup:  FAZ  .40 break
15:30] {Threei}  If holds  .35 
[15:30] {dptl} ? its at .46
[15:30] {scottie} .40?
15:30] {Threei}  grrr
15:30] {Threei}  TZA that was
15:30] {Threei}  still available
15:31] {Threei}  watching both...
15:32] {Threei}  who grabbed it, half out
[15:32] {Beau} GOT A@.42
15:32] {Threei}  :)
[15:32] {Beau} sorry caps
15:32] {Threei}  that was the price when I said "still available"
15:32] {Threei}  stop to .39
[15:33] {scottie} +.06 quick scalp have to go bye
15:33] {Threei}  take care scottie
15:38] {Threei}  1/4 more out
[15:38] {Beau} fun time thanks vad
15:38] {Threei}  :)
15:38] {Threei}  nice wsay to finish the day
[15:40] {dptl} out .60    ty  100sh only 
15:40] {Threei}  yw
15:40] {Threei}  FAZ would have woprked too... too bad it wasn't at .40, lol
15:41] {Threei}  we would have grabbed both
15:41] {Threei}  one on purpose, one by mistake
15:41] {Threei}  stop to .49
[15:50] {nemo} if it weren't so late, both spy and IWM at support, but I don't want to push it
15:56] {Threei}  OK guys, thank you all
15:57] {Threei}  have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:57] {dptl} dn