Monday, September 15, 2014

Sept 15 2014

Shorts worked for the most part of the day, longs were shaky although couple of them were fairly nice too. Ended up slightly positive although not entirely satisfied, some of the stops were avoidable.



Session Start: Mon Sep 15 00:00:01 2014

[09:00] {RonS} gm...avnr...what happens w/ 16 mil sh short
01[09:00] {@Threei}  morning ron
01[09:02] {@Threei}  [AVNR] Reports positive phase II trial results for AVP-923 in treatment of agitation in patients with Alzheimer's Disease
[09:02] {RonS} alcohol doesn't work?
01[09:03] {@Threei}  weird eh?
[09:08] {dino} gm
01[09:08] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:18] {troub} good morning
01[09:18] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:19] {dino} cool, the athm calls sold after i left friday, +.50/10%
01[09:19] {@Threei}  nice
[09:26] {ese} mornin ladies and gents....just poppin quick before hitin the picket line at 7:30 here
01[09:26] {@Threei}  hey ese
[09:26] {ese} poppin in
[09:26] {ese} hey vad.....
[09:26] {ese} hows the mrkt
01[09:26] {@Threei}  will this crap ever end
[09:27] {ese} who knows
[09:27] {ese} it's not affecting Christy Clarks kids though......they go to private school of which the govt funds 50%
[09:30] {RonS} if it's like Denver 80% of the student body would be kids of public school teachers...
[09:32] {ese} yup pretty much.....about 500,000 kids
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .90 break
[09:32] {ese} in bc
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[09:34] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:34] {@Threei}  beautiful explosion
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .80 break
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[09:39] {@Threei}  no go
01[09:42] {@Threei}  .l twtr .75 break
01[09:42] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .75 break
01[09:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
01[09:45] {@Threei}  ugh
[09:45] {dino} npsp working on the gap
[09:49] {RonS} wow...DEALS: ZF to buy TRW in $11.7B deal, creating No. 2 car-part maker with $41B annual sales: http://bloom.bg/1qQLJnJ
[09:55] {dino} sn gap fill, may
01[09:57] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .85 break
01[09:58] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:59] {@Threei}  what the deuce
[10:02] {dino} sn sm l .15
01[10:05] {@Threei}  rinse
01[10:07] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  104 break
01[10:07] {@Threei}  hl
01[10:07] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[10:09] {@Threei}  sheesh... touched 1:1, didn't get fill
01[10:16] {@Threei} Short Setup: EBAY  .15 break
01[10:16] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[10:23] {@Threei}  stop to .21
[10:23] {dino} out sn ,45, +.30
01[10:23] {@Threei}  wtg
01[10:23] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:24] {dino} hygs drop
01[10:36] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .10 break
01[10:36] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[10:42] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:42] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:42] {@Threei}  hmmm... is it not BTFD anymore?
01[10:43] {@Threei}  look: bounces mostly didn't work today, except the very first one at the open... 2 shorts did
01[10:46] {@Threei}  1:3
[10:49] {dino} rcpt spike
01[11:02] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .15 break
01[11:02] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[11:05] {@Threei}  if invalidates, probably time for bounce plays
01[11:06] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .50 break
01[11:06] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[11:08] {@Threei}  (UR) Ukraine separatist rebels now claim they are being attacked by the Ukraine military - press
01[11:08] {@Threei}  right
01[11:10] {@Threei}  half out
01[11:10] {@Threei}  stop .44
01[11:12] {@Threei}  to .49
[11:12] {nemo} strong and weak: http://goo.gl/mcNxm4
01[11:13] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:19] {@Threei}  wow
[11:19] {RonS} tick -900
[11:20] {nemo} when you took twtr long it was strongly weak, the short area was into resistance
[11:20] {nemo} negotiated that minefield nicely
01[11:21] {@Threei}  shorts worked fine before, thought it was time to move to longs
01[11:27] {@Threei}  VXX got away
01[11:27] {@Threei}  for now
[11:34] {nemo} mmm iwm looks down
01[11:43] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .25 break
01[11:43] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
[11:44] {dino} rwlk crazy
[11:45] {nemo} frickin' ipo
[11:45] {nemo} those stocks on the list helping at all Ron?
[11:47] {RonS} yes...helping me not to go long...
[11:47] {nemo} watch the weak side, sometimes they tend to bounce back up to vwap and die, tells you the institutions not interested
[11:48] {RonS} got it
[11:48] {nemo} wow, strong side down to zero
[11:48] {nemo} except for cvs
[11:49] {nemo} now what's interesting...if the algo stays this red, and the indexes don't really drop over the next 20 minutes or so, that may indicate selling exhaustion
01[11:49] {@Threei}  half out
[11:49] {nemo} Gotta' be careful this week though, Triple Hexen week
01[11:52] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:52] {RonS} plus one be yellen...
[11:52] {RonS} RIP Joe Sample...
01[11:53] {@Threei}  1/4 more out
[11:57] {nemo} weak stocks coming in but no strength on the green side
01[12:02] {@Threei}  1:2
01[12:04] {@Threei}  just look how smooth things've become when we switched to short
[12:12] {_kikesan} hello
01[12:13] {@Threei}  hi kikesan
[12:13] {_kikesan} thanks for approve my trial account
01[12:13] {@Threei}  sure thing
[12:14] {_kikesan} are you trading right now?
01[12:14] {@Threei}  just finished VXX long from .25
[12:15] {_kikesan} ok. i will keep here in order to see your comments
01[12:15] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  50 break
01[12:15] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[12:16] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[12:17] {@Threei}  valid again
01[12:17] {@Threei}  looks like it's time
[12:17] {_kikesan} ok
[12:19] {_kikesan} in
01[12:20] {@Threei}  no worky
[12:20] {_kikesan} out
[12:23] {_kikesan} INTC double top?
01[12:24] {@Threei}  a bit too narrow for any meaningful gains
01[12:26] {@Threei}  TWTR rinsed
[12:28] {nemo} for all the weakness this morning spy couldn't get below S1 on the daily
[12:29] {nemo} twtr might be a short in the .40 area
01[12:30] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .95 break
01[12:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
01[12:42] {@Threei}  aimless floating
01[12:42] {@Threei}  which usually means slow upward move
[12:43] {_kikesan} ok
01[12:44] {@Threei}  time to break that 114 IWM
01[12:44] {@Threei}  good boy
01[12:44] {@Threei}  girl?
01[12:44] {@Threei}  1:1
[12:44] {_kikesan} wow
[12:44] {_kikesan} 1:1
[12:44] {_kikesan} thanks
01[12:44] {@Threei}  know how to manage the trade, kikesan?
[12:44] {_kikesan} more or less
01[12:45] {@Threei}  http://www.realitytrader.com/tradingroom/#instructions
[12:46] {_kikesan} thanks
[12:47] {_kikesan} IWM is a 2X or 3X etf?
[12:47] {_kikesan} spy is up
01[12:48] {@Threei}  1:2
01[12:48] {@Threei}  it's small shares index
[12:48] {_kikesan} I am out. it is a pity lol
[12:49] {_kikesan} ok
[12:49] {_kikesan} what about GDX?
01[12:50] {@Threei}  gold miners
01[12:50] {@Threei}  way too narrow lately
[12:51] {nemo} iwm is 1x representation of Russell 2000
[12:52] {_kikesan} ok
[12:53] {_kikesan} Is MU ready to a long trade in your opinion?
01[12:54] {@Threei}  .45 brea, yes, I'd take it
01[12:54] {@Threei}  break
01[12:54] {@Threei}  if stays above .35
01[12:55] {@Threei}  come on IWM, give us 1:3
[12:55] {_kikesan} wow
[12:57] {_kikesan} look at FB
[12:58] {_kikesan} short if qqq down?
[12:59] {_kikesan} sorry, qqq is breaking up
01[12:59] {@Threei}  most likely short... but we are in a kind of random time of the day
01[13:00] {@Threei}  easy to get rinsed
[13:00] {_kikesan} ok
01[13:00] {@Threei} Long Setup:  AAPL  .35 break hl
01[13:01] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
[13:02] {_kikesan} FB short .94 if holds .15?
[13:02] {_kikesan} no. sorry again. I was looking at the 15min picture
01[13:03] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[13:03] {nemo} ADBE
01[13:10] {@Threei}  closed IWM in full
01[13:10] {@Threei}  +.30
[13:12] {_kikesan} in FB short at .93
[13:13] {_kikesan} 1:1
01[13:14] {@Threei}  good one
[13:14] {_kikesan} thanks to qqq
[13:14] {_kikesan} ;-)
[13:15] {_kikesan} I think is easier to trade aligned to the red day, isn't it?
01[13:16] {@Threei}  there are segments within a day
01[13:16] {@Threei}  some lend themselves to short, some to long
[13:16] {_kikesan} y'r right
01[13:16] {@Threei}  you just saw IW{ 1:3 on a long side
01[13:16] {@Threei}  IWM
[13:16] {_kikesan} yes
01[13:16] {@Threei}  and before that we had VXX, which is short
[13:18] {_kikesan} aapl capitulation? and below bb?
[13:19] {_kikesan} maybe if spy break up, could be a chance?
[13:20] {_kikesan} but if reach 102.07
01[13:21] {@Threei}  too random
01[13:21] {@Threei}  don't push much now
[13:21] {_kikesan} invaid .93 jumped
[13:21] {_kikesan} ok
[13:22] {_kikesan} twtr capitulation?
[13:24] {_kikesan} the chance was in FB, but it is easy after happens, jejeje
[13:28] {_kikesan} twtr breakdown agresiv .54
[13:28] {_kikesan} 1:1
[13:29] {_kikesan} I like red days
01[13:31] {@Threei}  so do we
[13:37] {_kikesan} What is happening whith TWTR today?
[13:37] {dino} nemo, i don't know what happened, but somehow i lost s1,2,3 and r1,2,3 on freestockcharts. what do i click to get them?
01[13:37] {@Threei}  it's dropping
[13:39] {_kikesan} but do you think that is short smart money or fear?
01[13:39] {@Threei}  I don't think, to tell yoo the truth
01[13:39] {@Threei}  thinking traders lose
01[13:39] {@Threei}  trading trader win
01[13:40] {@Threei}  do you think you can figure it out and make money on that idea?
01[13:40] {@Threei}  everyone else does
01[13:40] {@Threei}  does everyone else make money?
[13:41] {_kikesan} I would like to understand better the type and the volumen to give an answer
[13:42] {_kikesan} it is amaizing. it is fear
[13:42] {dino} nemo, you here?
[13:45] {RonS}   $BCS opening buyer 4566 BCS Sep14 15.0 Calls $0.30  ASK
[13:46] {dino} somebody knows something?
[13:46] {RonS} the vote?  or the stuffer?
[13:51] {RonS} kors whip
[13:51] {nathan} hi gents
[13:51] {RonS} nate the great...
01[13:51] {@Threei}  hey nathan
[13:51] {nathan} :-)
[13:51] {dino} ga nat
[13:52] {nathan} how was it?
01[13:52] {@Threei}  not bad
[13:56] {_kikesan} twtr down and down
[13:58] {_kikesan} when do you see a capitulation in this kind of situations?
01[13:58] {@Threei} Short Setup: IWM  .80 break
01[13:58] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[13:58] {@Threei}  you see it when it comes... there is no definite answer
[13:58] {RonS} when the McClellan hits -80 to -100...nowhwere close here...
01[13:59] {@Threei}  if it were possible to define in such simple terms, everyine would be nailing bottoms with precision of a sniper
[13:59] {_kikesan} but for instance, if you look at the TWTR volumen, it means that more likely is down, isn0t it?
01[13:59] {@Threei}  we dopn't tarde like that kikesan
01[14:00] {@Threei}  this is guessing
[14:00] {_kikesan} ok
01[14:00] {@Threei}  we trade setups
[14:00] {dino} volume looks about average on twtr
01[14:00] {@Threei}  there is setup, we take it
01[14:00] {@Threei}  there is none - we wait
[14:00] {_kikesan} understood
01[14:06] {@Threei}  half out
01[14:06] {@Threei}  stop .81
[14:10] {nemo} what happened to TSLA
[14:11] {RonS} announced a new convertible that has a blowoff top...
[14:11] {nemo} where's the commie with his rim shot
[14:11] {RonS} hehe
[14:12] {RonS} couldn't believe he did not understand my comment about public school teachers sending their kids to private school...
[14:13] {RonS} re-read it three times...thinking, is thsi not clear?
01[14:13] {@Threei}  musicians live in their own world, ron :)
01[14:14] {@Threei}  marry a violinist, and it's: - What do we have for dinner today? - Nothing! - but we had nothing yesterday?/ - Right, I cooked for two days ahead
[14:15] {dino} lol
[14:16] {_kikesan} rolff
[14:24] {_kikesan} NTAP break up 0.1 if holds .96
[14:24] {nemo} you mean .01 or .10
[14:24] {_kikesan} .01
[14:25] {nemo} NSC
[14:25] {nemo} ahh late
01[14:28] {@Threei}  quiote a bounce
[14:28] {_kikesan} in
[14:28] {nemo} spy never got to the morning higher hig we likely go green
[14:29] {dino} added ddd calls
[14:30] {_kikesan} should I put my stop at the entry point? jejeje
[14:30] {_kikesan} 1:1
01[14:36] {Threei}  lost internet
[14:37] {_kikesan} vxx b.up .22 if holds .12??
[14:38] {dino} wbai sm l .08
[14:38] {_kikesan} invalid
01[14:39] {Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .75 break
01[14:40] {Threei}  If holds  .65
01[14:40] {Threei}  nah
[14:40] {_kikesan} yes. and vxx again
[14:43] {nathan} short ORCL .70 break?
01[14:43] {Threei}  TWTR rinse
01[14:43] {Threei}  grrr
[14:43] {_kikesan} and why not long Nathan?
01[14:44] {Threei}  can't tell nathan
[14:44] {nathan} or anybody
[14:45] {_kikesan} sorry, and why not long?
01[14:46] {Threei}  I mean, I can;'t twll whether this is a valid trade :)
[14:46] {_kikesan} ah, ok
[14:47] {nathan} too slow
[14:48] {_kikesan} vxx in
01[14:52] {Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .25 break
01[14:52] {Threei}  If holds  .15
[14:59] {_kikesan} I was two times close to 1:1, but dind't reach it by 0.01 :-(
[15:00] {_kikesan} what do you do in those situations? move the stop to the entry point?
01[15:01] {Threei}  right under
[15:02] {_kikesan} ok
[15:03] {_kikesan} thanks
[15:03] {_kikesan} it is exciting!!
[15:03] {nathan} exciting what?
[15:04] {_kikesan} to have a lot of answer, after read his book
[15:06] {_kikesan} Techniques of Tape Reading
01[15:06] {Threei}  where are you from kukesan?
[15:06] {_kikesan} Now, I can understand better somethings
01[15:06] {Threei}  Europe it seems
[15:06] {_kikesan} yes. Spain
01[15:06] {Threei}  hah!
01[15:06] {Threei}  Nathan, your neighbourhood :)
[15:06] {nathan} not my cousin :-)
[15:07] {_kikesan} Thanks for your book
[15:07] {nathan} i'm making lot of publicity here
[15:08] {_kikesan} me too
[15:08] {nathan} everytime I can...
[15:08] {nathan} in the train, subway...
01[15:08] {Threei}  so, if I come to visit Spain, I'll be greeted at the terminal by flying flowers and braless women?
[15:09] {_kikesan} you are the Richard Wyckoff of the XXI Century !!!
[15:09] {nathan} hehehehe more or less
01[15:09] {Threei}  lol
01[15:10] {Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .30 break
01[15:10] {Threei}  If holds  .20
[15:10] {_kikesan} I am in
01[15:10] {Threei}  cool
[15:10] {_kikesan} at .22
01[15:11] {Threei}  you have 1:1
[15:11] {_kikesan} from 20 minutes
[15:11] {_kikesan} nit yet
[15:11] {_kikesan} not yet
[15:12] {_kikesan} now
[15:12] {_kikesan} 1:1
[15:12] {_kikesan} ufff
[15:12] {_kikesan} thanks
[15:13] {troub} dino, going to dump WBAI before close?
[15:18] {dino} yes
[15:30] {_kikesan} FB b.up .75 if holds .65
[15:31] {_kikesan} invalid
01[15:32] {Threei}  hopefully we see strong selloff now
[15:35] {_kikesan} orcl .75 if holds .70
[15:36] {_kikesan} is it fine for you?
01[15:37] {Threei}  if market helps, might work for a scalp
01[15:38] {Threei}  my sympathies are still on a short side
[15:39] {_kikesan} invalid orcl
[15:39] {dino} stop wbai .90, -.18
[15:41] {_kikesan} again orcl with trhe same setup
[15:42] {_kikesan} just in case SPY helps
[15:42] {_kikesan} let see
[15:42] {nemo} Dino DCC!
01[15:43] {Threei}  ok SPY
01[15:43] {Threei}  break down and die
[15:44] {_kikesan} yes
01[15:49] {Threei}  time's pressing
01[15:50] {Threei}  SPY's dropping
01[15:50] {Threei}  VXX's rising
[15:50] {nemo} VWAP likely
01[15:50] {Threei}  my typing's improving
01[15:50] {Threei}  nemo's puking
01[15:50] {Threei}  1:1
[15:50] {nemo} puked on keyboard
01[15:50] {Threei}  hehe
[15:50] {nemo} was just typing that
[15:50] {_kikesan} definitively I prefer in between hours
01[15:51] {Threei}  you have 1:2, kikesan
01[15:51] {Threei}  we finally got our selloff
[15:51] {_kikesan} ??
[15:51] {_kikesan} ahhh
01[15:51] {Threei}  on VXX
01[15:55] {Threei}  ik guys, closing the balance of VXX
01[15:55] {Threei}  saved by the bell
[15:55] {_kikesan} you where right. invalid orcl. the last trade was short
01[15:55] {Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:56] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:56] {nathan} u too
[15:56] {_kikesan} see you tomorrow. thanks
[15:57] {_kikesan} bye
[15:58] {dino} gn all