Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Sept 17 2014

Fine day with good winners. We even figured out the market master plan of killing the shorts after the announcement. Room server outage occurred later in the day - please remember to use reserve room in such cases! 

Session Time: Wed Sep 17 00:00:00 2014
[08:52] {dino} gm 3i
01[08:52] {@Threei}  dino :)
[08:54] {nemo} My gawd.....X
01[08:55] {@Threei}  nice
[08:55] {nemo} real blow up after close yesterday
[08:59] {nemo} should be relatively dead today with FED heads
01[09:20] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -AUXL +45% (received unsolicited acquisition offer from ENDP at $28.10/shr)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -X +13% (announced company expecting strong Q3 results, will not proceed with expansion at iron ore pellet operations in MN)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -AKS +7.3% (momentum from X & NUE guidance, completed acquisition of Severstal Columbus for $707M)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -YRCW +6% (guides Q3 EBITDA $75-80M v. $61.8M y/y; result of positive yield results and performance initiatives)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -NUE +4% (increased Q3 guidance)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -ENDP +4.4% (tendered acquisition offer for AUXL at $28.10/shr)
[09:20] {troub} good morning you all
01[09:20] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:20] {_kikesan} morning
01[09:20] {@Threei}  kikesan :)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -DD +3.3% (company committed to strategic plan to drive growth and profitability, response to Trian proposal to break-up the company)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -IFON +15.5% (no news; momentum)
[09:20] {nemo} me and bunny have a new game
01[09:20] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -RAX -17% (ending of strategic review, company will remain independent)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -SNE -8.8% (losing market share in Chinese smartphone market)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -SXL -4.5% (commences 7.4M unit offering, 3.6% outstanding)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -OI -4.3% (guided Q3 lower in conference slides)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -ADBE -4.1% (earnings/guidance)
01[09:20] {@Threei}  -WBMD -3.8% (no news seen)
[09:23] {RonS} gm... Net Element shares soar 67% premarket after Apple Pay integration announcement
01[09:26] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:28] {dino} symbol?
[09:28] {RonS} nete
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .95 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[09:31] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:34] {@Threei}  wow
[09:34] {dino} sxl sm l .35
01[09:38] {@Threei} Short Setup: X  .10 break hl
01[09:38] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:38] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  76 break
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
[09:38] {dino} yeah, bankruptcy filing shoots it up
01[09:39] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:40] {dino} x sm s .25
01[09:40] {@Threei}  1:2
[09:41] {nemo} X likely to test pre market highs
[09:41] {dino} b/s is .57
01[09:41] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:41] {@Threei}  out
[09:41] {dino} gj
01[09:41] {@Threei}  ty
[09:45] {dino} cov x .95, +.30
01[09:47] {@Threei}  wtg
[09:47] {dino} ty
01[09:49] {@Threei} Short Setup: X  46 break
[09:49] {dino} out sxl .65, +.30
01[09:49] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:49] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:49] {@Threei}  1:2
[09:50] {troub} nice one dino
[09:50] {dino} ty
[09:51] {dino} probably wants s3
[09:51] {troub} 1st red bar triggered out?
[09:53] {dino} no, trailed my stop to 1:1
[09:53] {dino} had .30 stop from original entry
[09:53] {troub} thanks
[09:54] {dino} tighter today, quitting around 12:30. vacation. back next wednesday
[09:54] {dino} trying for some calls on it, the 2ndaries have been coming back fast lately
[09:56] {dino} damn x, chickened out on bigger drop
[09:57] {dino} ksu at it again
[09:58] {_kikesan} twtr long .83 if holds .70
[09:58] {RonS} dfs spike
[09:59] {dino} dfs spike
[09:59] {_kikesan} invalid
[09:59] {dino} dfs sm s .65
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) SEPT NAHB HOUSING MARKET INDEX: 59 V 56E
[10:00] {nathan} bonjour gents
01[10:00] {@Threei}  ney nathan
01[10:00] {@Threei}  missed 1:3 and 1:2...
[10:00] {dino} cov dfs .25, +.40
[10:00] {RonS} buenos nachos
[10:00] {nathan} thanks to remember
[10:00] {nemo} where's the communist...oh yeah, picketing for more money...
[10:01] {dino} lol
[10:01] {nathan} good try rons
01[10:01] {@Threei}  no, they vote tomorrow for tentavie deal reached yesterday
[10:01] {dino} reload dfs sm s .40
[10:02] {nemo} Pico de Guyo to you Ron
[10:02] {dino} cov dfs .09, +.31
[10:02] {dino} too soon
[10:02] {nathan} what's that nemo? the taco bell's special meal
[10:03] {nathan} gj nemo
[10:03] {nemo} ;-)
[10:03] {nemo} market should start dying
[10:03] {dino} ksu smr s .40
01[10:03] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .60 break
[10:04] {dino} b/s at .61
01[10:04] {@Threei}  If holds  .53
[10:04] {RonS} LL into a gap
[10:05] {dino} rax wanted 32 gap fill, but not yet
[10:06] {dino} ryi spike
[10:10] {dino} ksu stop .62 -.22
[10:11] {nemo} pre market support X here
01[10:11] {@Threei} Short Setup: AIG  .90 break
01[10:11] {@Threei}  If holds  56
[10:13] {nemo} nap time til Fed
[10:13] {dino} soon
[10:14] {nemo} let vxx playout...should stop out though, risk should sleep
[10:14] {nemo} with the Xmas shopping season coming would be dangerous for FED to say anything hawkish
[10:19] {dino} piss of santa?
01[10:20] {@Threei}  lol
[10:20] {dino} coal i guess
[10:23] {nathan} meh
01[10:24] {@Threei}  [10:04] {@Threei} If holds .53
[10:24] {_kikesan} :s
[10:24] {nemo} resistance is below .60 now
[10:25] {nathan} i saw some prints at .53 and...
01[10:25] {@Threei}  it held it
[10:25] {nemo} it'll likely test the other side of .50
[10:25] {_kikesan} stop
[10:26] {nemo} yep
[10:26] {nemo} o.k. done til Fed
01[10:34] {@Threei} Short Setup: ADBE  .40 break
01[10:34] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
[10:38] {_kikesan} twtr short .49
01[10:41] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:43] {_kikesan} if holds .58
[10:44] {_kikesan} 1:1
[10:44] {_kikesan} 1:2
[10:44] {dino} gj
[10:44] {_kikesan} ty
[10:46] {_kikesan} anyone knows how split my exits automaticaly in TradeStation?
[10:46] {RonS} skx skidding
[10:46] {nemo} that was a stretch
01[10:47] {@Threei}  1:2
[10:52] {_kikesan} vxx long .70?
[10:52] {nemo} wrong time of day for vxx imo
[10:53] {_kikesan} ok
[10:53] {nemo} look for a setup closer to the FED
[10:53] {nemo} doesn't mean it couldn't work
[10:53] {dino} skx stepped i dog sh*t
[10:54] {dino} sm l .11
[10:54] {nathan} thx 3i for adbe! good one!
01[10:54] {@Threei}  :)
[10:55] {dino} added skx calls too
[10:56] {dino} out skx .82, +.71, ty Ron
[10:56] {nathan} wtg dino and Rons!
[10:57] {dino} :)
01[11:14] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .80 break
01[11:14] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
[11:18] {dino} out skx calls, +.75/+20%; thx again ron
[11:18] {RonS} like watching a cat sleep...
01[11:19] {@Threei}  lol
[11:19] {nemo} wow skx kissed the VWAP and caved again
[11:20] {RonS} lol...sounds dirty...
[11:20] {nemo} in your mind
01[11:20] {@Threei}  VWAP: SKX, you have to marry me now
[11:21] {RonS} lol
01[11:21] {@Threei}  {CAT} Ron... what do you have against us? we are so likeable
01[11:21] {@Threei}  cover half
01[11:22] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:22] {_kikesan} good
01[11:22] {@Threei}  {CAT} meow
[11:23] {_kikesan} meow?
01[11:23] {@Threei}  cow says mooo... cat says meow...
01[11:24] {@Threei}  those europeans... :)
[11:24] {_kikesan} jjjjj
01[11:24] {@Threei}  what do your cats say?? :)(
[11:24] {_kikesan} miau
01[11:24] {@Threei}  so they just spell it differently :)
[11:25] {_kikesan} doble top FB?
01[11:25] {@Threei}  but yeah, come to think of it, russian phonetic for that sound would be myau
[11:25] {_kikesan} is a short candidate?
01[11:26] {@Threei}  nah
01[11:26] {@Threei}  no setup there, leave it be
[11:26] {_kikesan} but almost doble top and the first one above b.b.
[11:27] {_kikesan} only needs QQQ support
01[11:27] {@Threei}  it's just 50/50
[11:27] {_kikesan} OK
01[11:27] {@Threei}  too narrow, and look:
01[11:28] {@Threei}  there is also double bottom in the same chart in approximately the same time
01[11:30] {@Threei}  see how it just dances with meaningless movements, enticing you to commit and get rinsed?
[11:34] {_kikesan} FB short .18 if holds .28
[11:38] {_kikesan} stop. you were right
01[11:39] {@Threei}  this is where my wife usually says: yeah yeahm, you were right again, shut up, this is so irritating
[11:40] {RonS} crr big technical breakdown
[11:40] {nemo} yeah, they're getting that off the sheets
[11:43] {RonS} lol... Once we conquer Ebola we'll go after global warming and the NFL.
[11:51] {dino} but what about hurtful words
01[11:52] {@Threei}  those are fine
[12:03] {_kikesan} thanks.bye. see you tomorrow.
[12:09] {nemo} X
[12:17] {nemo} this is starting to smell like they're going to sell off this afternoon
01[12:17] {@Threei}  unless it's a bait
01[12:17] {@Threei}  to kill shorts with spike after announcement
[12:18] {nemo} well we'll get the cha cha cha, so make sure you get the third one...but...last 4 Fed Days had what my buddy tracks as 3rd deviation buying/selling...the day before was dead.  Yesterday, you had 3rd deviation buying before the Fed...that's unusual
[12:19] {nemo} the shorts got squeezed big time yesterday
[12:20] {nemo} sheesh...we held just below R4, and you hit that less than 10% of the time
[12:46] {RonS} joy spike...takeout rumors
[12:48] {dino} calling it a day. be back on wednesday, good trading all
[12:48] {RonS} cya dino
[12:48] {troub} enjoy your vacation
[12:48] {dino} thx
01[12:48] {@Threei}  take care dino, have fun
02[13:24] * Disconnected