Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Oct 14 2014

One of those charts that need no comments: 


And one more:


(chart courtesy of a broker)

Fantastic trading day (again), with trade after trade working like charm and ending with, believe it or not, 1:9 ride on VXX!

(US) Ahead of the Close Market Snapshot
Tue, 14 Oct 2014 15:57 PM EST

US Indices:
- Dow Jones +0.1%
- S&P500 flat
- Nasdaq +0.5%

- Industrials and Services are the leading sectors heading into the close, while Basic Materials and Healthcare lag. Defense names RTN, LMT, and NOC are up 2-3% in industrials. Services are highlighted by 2-3% rally in EXPD and CHRW. Oil majors CVX, COP, APA, DVN are all down over 2% on broad declines in energy. CLF is gaining sharply again, up 10%.

Fixed-Income: US fixed income rally is back with the added tailwind momentum from yesterday's bond market close against another day of steep losses in equities. The buying is particularly pronounced in the benchmark, sending the 2-10 spread toward its lowest levels of the year. In European periphery, the yield on the Greek 10-year is up nearly 30bps above 6.8%, following overnight chatter related to uncertainty over Athens bailout exit as well as reports of political momentum for the opposition anti-bailout Syriza party.
- US 2-yr: -5bps at 0.37%
- 10-yr: -8bps at 2.20%
- 30-yr: -6bps at 3.01%
- 2-10 spread: -3bps at 1.83%

Energy:
- WTI Nov crude oil $81.95; Down nearly 5% for its biggest one-day decline in 2 years after IEA lowered its global demand growth forecasts for 2014 and 2015.

Metals:
- Spot Gold $1,234/oz; Up about $9 from overnight lows - the uptrend is slightly more pronounced than silver; Early session highs around $1,238 were a 1-month high.
- Spot Silver $17.39/oz; Around the middle of its 15c session range
- Dec Copper $3.08/lb; Largest increase in about a month and highest level in 3 weeks on momentum buying following strong China imports and renewed expectation of mainland infrastructure-driven stimulus.

Key Earnings at the close:
- INTC, CSX (both just after the close)

Looking ahead to Asia session:
- Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence 19:30ET
- Bank of Korea rate decision 21:00ET
- China CPI/PPI 21:30ET

TradeTheNews.com



Session Time: Tue Oct 14 00:00:00 2014
01[09:10] {@Threei}  (PT) EU Commission: Portugal urgently needs credible medium term strategy for sustainable growth; country remains vulnerable to shocks
01[09:11] {@Threei}  hmmm... it's been a while since we heard about Greece
01[09:11] {@Threei}  seems it's time for another credit trench or something
[09:11] {troub} good morning
01[09:12] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:12] {RonS} gm...for some reason they call it a tranch... :)
[09:13] {RonS} trench seems more appropriate since they are just digging a hole...
[09:14] {cosmo} I call it a trough
01[09:14] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:23] {nemo} last booknight for a month...just got home...that was painful
[09:23] {RonS} rocket science:  Venezuela will probably default, Harvard economists say
[09:24] {nemo} Vad, are you familiar with Nemiroff Vodka?
[09:24] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:24] {@Threei}  jf :)
01[09:24] {@Threei}  no, never had that
[09:24] {nemo} very good...extensive sampling
[09:24] {jfjf64} nice
01[09:24] {@Threei}  yeah, they demanded urgent OPEC meeting a few days ago, Ron...
[09:24] {nemo} I think it's made from birch
[09:25] {nemo} distinct flavor with a touch of sweetness, hangover still sucks
[09:25] {RonS} so, got a woody eh?
[09:25] {jfjf64} my boston terrier loves birch trees
01[09:25] {@Threei}  lol
[09:25] {jfjf64} lol
[09:25] {jfjf64} rs
[09:25] {RonS} for leg lift?
[09:25] {nemo} hard to tell anymore
[09:27] {ese} gm
[09:27] {nemo} ahhh, the loony left makes an appearance
01[09:28] {@Threei}  ese :)
[09:28] {ese} nice one
[09:28] {dino} gm
[09:28] {nemo} ty
01[09:28] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:28] {nemo} yeah loony left rabid right muddy middle
[09:28] {ese} hmmmmmmm don't get angry ....es.......get even.....
01[09:29] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -DRYS +4.8% (said to be seeking loan to repay $700M in debt due 12/1)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -QTM +8.8% (guides Q2 revs higher)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -SWKS +6.0% (guides Q4 EPS, revs higher)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -DPZ +2.4% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -JNJ +1.4% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -C +2.0% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -JBHT +1.7% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -CCI +4.3% (Corvex Management calls for significant dividend raise)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -GALE +9.5% (Receives NOA of improvement patent for NeuVax (nelipepimut-S) in Japan)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -GWPH +7.4% (positive physician reports re: Epilepsy treatment drug)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -VSR +22% (chatter company makes official hazmat suits re: Ebola)
[09:29] {ese} thinking silently to myself
01[09:29] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -JPM -1.8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -WFC -1.2% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -LAKE -13% (Ebola/WHO update)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -TKMR -2.9% (Ebola/WHO update)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -APT -20% (Ebola/WHO update)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -IBIO -20% (Ebola/WHO update)
[09:29] {nemo} don't hurt yourself ese, it also might be easier if you stand up and take the pressure off your brain
01[09:29] {@Threei}  wow JPM
[09:30] {RonS} wow dal
[09:30] {ese} thinking silently ....don't get mad....get even
[09:30] {nemo} looks like the needle is skipping there ese
[09:30] {RonS} lol
[09:31] {ese} lol
[09:31] {nemo} now there's a term nobody under 30 would understand
[09:31] {RonS} just thinking that
06[09:31] * nemo thinks, "oh no, I'm thinking like Ron, should shot myself!"
01[09:32] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .90 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  57
[09:32] {nemo} Oh jeez, even the sunglasses aren't enough this morning
01[09:32] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[09:33] {jfjf64} fb
01[09:33] {@Threei} Short Setup: DAL  .45 break
01[09:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .55
[09:34] {ese} any think that yesterday may have been a capitulation day in the spyders or other indexes for that matter
[09:35] {nemo} depends on whether SPY recaptures 200 day methinks
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:35] {dino} dk ese
01[09:36] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:36] {@Threei}  1:3
[09:36] {cosmo} Why ebola stocks down on the WHO update?
01[09:36] {@Threei}  1:5
01[09:36] {@Threei}  out
[09:37] {ese} what goes up...must come down cos
[09:37] {cosmo} I keep waiting for the hoax announcement.
[09:37] {jfjf64} let me pat ya on back vg
01[09:37] {@Threei}  1:6 actually, but I covered at .95
01[09:38] {@Threei}  World Health Org (WHO): Have seen slowing down of new ebola cases in some of the worst hit areas of Western Africa
[09:38] {cosmo} sometimes these viruses just poop out...
[09:38] {nemo} hasn't worked with ese
[09:38] {ese} nice one chief
[09:39] {nemo} ty
[09:39] {nemo} was just thinking, ese suffers unduly because of Les's abscence
[09:39] {ese} gloves will be off after that one
01[09:39] {@Threei}  wow
01[09:39] {@Threei}  1:10
[09:40] {nemo} scorpion and the turtle ese, can't help myself
[09:40] {dino} go home 3i
01[09:40] {@Threei}  may I??
[09:41] {ese} you may
[09:41] {nemo} Pahan speaks
[09:41] {nemo} or should I say the bidlya speaks
[09:41] {nemo} ;-)
[09:43] {nemo} IWM
01[09:44] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .65 break
01[09:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:45] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:53] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CCL  .85 break
01[09:53] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:57] {@Threei}  no go
01[10:10] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .55 break
01[10:11] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
01[10:11] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:11] {@Threei}  nice of it to pull back for us
01[10:13] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:13] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:13] {@Threei}  1:4
01[10:13] {@Threei}  out
[10:13] {dino} cbi sm l .00
[10:22] {RonS} ntct pulp hooker
[10:25] {dino} downgrade to sell
01[10:45] {@Threei}  market froze
[10:54] {nemo} algo green now, little red, everybody trying to short it
01[10:54] {@Threei}  long should be a theme now...
01[10:55] {@Threei}  looking for entry
[10:55] {nemo} DE just running
01[10:58] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .10 break
01[10:58] {@Threei}  If holds  106
01[10:59] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[11:03] {dino} out cbi .81, +.81
[11:03] {jfjf64} nice dino
[11:04] {dino} ty
01[11:06] {@Threei}  LOL... the moral of Breaking Bad: Pay teachers more money
[11:17] {jfjf64} long was right theme
[11:17] {jfjf64} tough to find entry
[11:17] {nemo} summer trading
01[11:19] {@Threei}  twice typed entry at .80 break
01[11:19] {@Threei}  both times it jumped over it
[11:19] {jfjf64} ??
01[11:20] {@Threei}  ?
[11:20] {jfjf64} last call I hv iwm.10
01[11:20] {@Threei}  "typed"
01[11:21] {@Threei}  havcen't sent it to the room because it jumped over .80 too fast
[11:21] {jfjf64} no prob
[11:21] {jfjf64} sorry
[11:22] {jfjf64} maybe use fingers next time not toes
[11:23] {jfjf64} lol
01[11:23] {@Threei}  I type with elbows
01[11:23] {@Threei}  and it wouldn't help - it jumped over .80 with no chance for execution, teleported by 5-6 cents
[11:24] {jfjf64} went fast
01[11:24] {@Threei}  my personal improvement goal is to start typing with my heels
01[11:44] {@Threei}  this obe really got away, eh?
01[11:44] {@Threei}  one
01[11:47] {@Threei}  US equities are bouncing higher this morning after yesterday's steep losses. The VIX shot up to 22-month highs yesterday afternoon, hitting 24.60 at its highest. The VIX is around 22.7 presently. The DJIA is moving triple-digits for the sixth straight session
[11:53] {RonS} lol... http://tinyurl.com/k9pkyd2
01[12:00] {@Threei}  lol
01[12:01] {@Threei} Short Setup: CCL  .25 break
01[12:01] {@Threei}  If holds  .35
[12:03] {nemo} looking long actually
[12:20] {jfjf64} common vg steel toe boots
01[12:23] {@Threei}  1:1
01[12:30] {@Threei}  1:2
[12:50] {jfjf64} was lovin pullbk iwm
01[12:56] {@Threei}  you got in, jf?
[12:56] {jfjf64} na
01[12:56] {@Threei}  so it was platonic love... got it
[12:56] {jfjf64} chart formation startin to see
01[12:57] {@Threei}  practice makes it happen
01[12:57] {@Threei}  (I avoid word perfect, it gets nemo mad)
[12:57] {jfjf64} lol
01[12:57] {@Threei}  (and we don't nemo any madder than he already is)
01[12:58] {@Threei}  don't need
[12:58] {jfjf64} he is good today
[12:58] {nemo} I'm leaving anyway
[12:58] {jfjf64} lots of that birch vodka
01[12:58] {@Threei}  for how long?
[12:58] {nemo} how long would you like?
01[12:58] {@Threei}  couple hours
01[12:58] {@Threei}  any longer, and we miss you
[12:58] {nemo} til Monday
[12:59] {nemo} spy might be short here
01[12:59] {@Threei}  OK... be safe
[12:59] {nemo} I'll be here in the morning but leaving around noon
01[12:59] {@Threei}  tomorrow? Or every day?
[12:59] {nemo} Actually going to a baseball game tomorrow night
[12:59] {nemo} tomorrow
[12:59] {nemo} got that ceremony on Thursday in Maryland
01[13:00] {@Threei}  ah
[13:01] {nemo} VXX
01[13:01] {@Threei}  listen, word of advice... if during travel you see a man in fever shedding blood, look whether there is stamp saying Ebola on his forehead
[13:01] {nemo} brilliant
01[13:01] {@Threei}  I am famous for brilliant advice, yes
[13:02] {cosmo} don't forget he'll be wearing something lime green
[13:02] {nemo} ?
01[13:02] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .15 break
[13:02] {cosmo} its the deesignated color for this thing
[13:02] {nemo} frickin' bidli
01[13:02] {@Threei}  too fast
01[13:03] {@Threei}  don't enter on pullback
[13:03] {cosmo} patient #1 wore lime green
01[13:03] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:05] {@Threei}  see what it did jf?
01[13:05] {@Threei}  same thing it did earlier at that .80 trigger
[13:05] {jfjf64} yes
01[13:06] {@Threei}  btw, while waiting for another chance:
[13:06] {jfjf64} missed both times
01[13:06] {@Threei}  https://www.facebook.com/VadymGraiferPhotography/photos/a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052/728825550530296/?type=1&theater
[13:07] {jfjf64} beauty
[13:07] {jfjf64} when was that
01[13:07] {@Threei}  two days ago
[13:07] {jfjf64} our leaves still green here
01[13:08] {@Threei}  most of ours are too
[13:08] {jfjf64} nice shot
01[13:08] {@Threei}  some spots turned fast
01[13:08] {@Threei}  probably close to the water, colder
[13:10] {dino} calling it a day, gl all
[13:11] {jfjf64} enjoy
01[13:11] {@Threei}  take care dino
01[13:11] {@Threei}  great job today
[13:11] {jfjf64} was likin .25 break
[13:11] {jfjf64} too fast
01[13:12] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .35 break
01[13:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[13:12] {@Threei}  aggressive for .40
01[13:14] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:15] {@Threei}  1:2
01[13:15] {@Threei}  tell me you got it, jf
[13:15] {nemo} 200 day on spy around 190.50 probably going there
01[13:15] {@Threei}  not today
[13:15] {nemo} maybe yes, maybe no
[13:16] {nemo} it's only a $1 higher and easily would be met by the measured move of the morning low and this most recent swing low
[13:17] {jfjf64} got it
01[13:18] {@Threei}  :)
[13:18] {jfjf64} hard for me to type when in battle
01[13:18] {@Threei}  that was my personal gift to you, even though you make fun of my typing
[13:18] {jfjf64} ty
01[13:19] {@Threei}  then again, who doesn't
[13:19] {nemo} the Pope would make fun of your typing
[13:20] {nemo} wow, what a tape this is, thin books
01[13:20] {@Threei}  (RU) Reportedly Russia is offering to build undersea natural gas pipeline to Japan; Russia President Putin and Japan PM Aba to discuss the proposal on Nov 10-11
01[13:21] {@Threei}  well, if Japan lost its mind...
[13:21] {nemo} yeah, right to the Kuriles
01[13:23] {@Threei}  quite sudden selling, no news
[13:23] {jfjf64} pipeline
01[13:25] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .75 break
01[13:25] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
01[13:26] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .65 break
01[13:39] {@Threei}  If holds  .55
01[13:40] {@Threei}  1:2
01[13:40] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:40] {@Threei}  (practicing)
01[13:41] {@Threei}  1:2
01[13:41] {@Threei}  1:3
01[13:41] {@Threei}  good boy
01[13:41] {@Threei}  1:4
01[13:42] {@Threei}  1:5
01[13:42] {@Threei}  I am out
01[13:42] {@Threei}  nice and easy
01[13:43] {@Threei}  1:7
01[13:43] {@Threei}  lol
[13:46] {jfjf64} ty
01[13:47] {@Threei}  yw
01[13:47] {@Threei}  did I promise fantastic October or what
01[13:47] {@Threei}  don't know why, byt year after year, this is our best trading month
[13:48] {nathan} hi gents
[13:48] {jfjf64} that's somethin
[13:48] {nathan} great DAL
01[13:48] {@Threei}  hey nathan
01[13:48] {@Threei}  look at the latest update
01[13:48] {@Threei}  just now
[13:49] {nathan} not that bad :-)
[13:54] {jfjf64} got to run vg
[13:54] {jfjf64} ty
[13:54] {jfjf64} see ya
01[13:54] {@Threei}  take care jf
[13:55] {jfjf64} enjoy ya day
01[13:57] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .60 break
01[13:58] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[14:01] {@Threei}  1:1
01[14:17] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .25 break
01[14:18] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
01[14:18] {@Threei}  stop to .19
01[14:19] {@Threei}  too fast spike
01[14:19] {@Threei}  almost touched 1:1
[14:19] {nathan} rinsed
01[14:20] {@Threei}  hectic
[14:20] {nathan} men
[14:21] {nathan} u see that?
[14:21] {RonS} oil gojng for $82... -4%
01[14:22] {@Threei}  on oil:
01[14:22] {@Threei}  http://qz.com/280769/petro-dictators-are-in-even-more-trouble-than-we-thought-a-few-days-ago/
01[14:22] {@Threei}  interesting breakdown
[14:28] {RonS} now sub 82...
[14:34] {nemo} jittery market
[14:50] {nathan} cya tomorrow
01[14:50] {@Threei}  take care nathan
01[15:08] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .75 break
01[15:08] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
01[15:10] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[15:18] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .50 break
01[15:18] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[15:18] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:19] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:19] {@Threei}  1:3
[15:19] {nemo} you should hold a piec
01[15:19] {@Threei}  life is too good to be true
01[15:19] {@Threei}  I do
01[15:19] {@Threei}  1:4
01[15:20] {@Threei}  panic... I love panic
01[15:20] {@Threei}  1:5
01[15:21] {@Threei}  1:8'
01[15:21] {@Threei}  1:9
01[15:21] {@Threei}  ok, I am so out
01[15:22] {@Threei}  nathan will be livid
01[15:27] {@Threei}  http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/10/14/italians-demanding-referendum-on-euro-only-the-people-can-save-europe/
01[15:46] {@Threei}  OK guys, thank you all
01[15:46] {@Threei}  another beautiful day
01[15:46] {@Threei}  have a great evening, see you tomorrow