Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Feb 11 2015

Decent day again, with two 1:3ers on IWM finishing the session

Session Time: Wed Feb 11 00:00:00 2015
01[09:11] {@Threei}  as if each alone drama was not enough, today both of them take place at the same time, Greece and Ukraine
[09:14] {nemo} 622k spy, gonna be a slow Fed Minutes day
01[09:14] {@Threei}  Fed minutes take third place today
[09:14] {nemo} what else?
01[09:14] {@Threei}  [09:11] {@Threei} as if each alone drama was not enough, today both of them take place at the same time, Greece and Ukraine
01[09:15] {@Threei}  extraordinary meeting on Greece, last chance negotiations on Ukraine
01[09:15] {@Threei}  and, well... Williams is suspended
01[09:15] {@Threei}  and Stewart is leaving
01[09:15] {@Threei}  man... life unravels
01[09:16] {@Threei}  dino is missing so much
[09:16] {nemo} and my liquor store was out of my favorite vodka
01[09:17] {@Threei}  but jf probably found some in the basem,ent
01[09:21] {@Threei}
01[09:22] {@Threei}  saw this twice already, at this same place
01[09:26] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -BLDP +46% (announced $80M services and IP transfer agreement with Volkswagen)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -DGLY +14% (recent orders for cloud-based FleetVU manager software solution continues to expand among commercial fleet operators)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -RAD +8.5% (acquiring independent pharmacy benefit manager EnvisionRx for $2B)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -GNW +8.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -GNRC +7.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -VOYA +6% -LO +0.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -LGF +5.5% (Stock Exchange Agreement with Affiliates of John Malone)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -AKAM +4.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -ARMH +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -PIR -33% (guided FY15 lower)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -PXD -4.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -LPX -1.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -CERN -1.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -TSLA -1.4% (poor China sales, delayed earnings release & call)
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .55 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
01[09:32] {@Threei}  not yet
01[09:35] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .40 break
01[09:35] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[09:36] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  MCD  .10 break
01[09:39] {@Threei}  If holds  94
01[09:40] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:44] {@Threei} Short Setup: BBY  .05 break
01[09:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:45] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:51] {@Threei}  and closed on a trtail
01[09:56] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  58 break
01[09:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[09:56] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[09:57] {nemo} whoa finnies just shot up
[09:57] {nemo} news?
[09:57] {cosmo} Late for work?:
01[09:58] {@Threei}  no news
01[10:05] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  25 break
01[10:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[10:06] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[10:11] {@Threei}  (GR) Eurogroup's Dijsselbloem: ministers today will listen to Greece's plan proposal; Do not expect any outcomes from the Eurogroup meeting today
01[10:13] {@Threei} Short Setup: WMT  .80 break
01[10:13] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[10:14] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[10:18] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .50 break
01[10:18] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[10:21] {@Threei}  stop to .44
01[10:22] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:25] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:27] {@Threei}  cholesterol isn't a bad guy anymore:
[10:28] {nemo} yeah saw that...big about face on lots of dietary stuff over the last year
01[10:28] {@Threei}  about time
01[10:29] {@Threei}  to ignore sugar but make eggs a problem, idiocy incorporated
[10:43] {cosmo} My doc said red wine and beer are the best things for me to keep my HDL up.
01[10:45] {@Threei}  he didn't add whiskey to the list??
01[10:45] {@Threei}  you may want to change your doctor
01[10:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM  58 break
[10:46] {cosmo} nope only beer and red wine work for raising HDL
01[10:46] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[11:00] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[11:00] {nemo} grind up day
01[11:14] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .70 break
01[11:14] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
01[11:17] {@Threei}  meh
01[11:30] {@Threei}  wow
01[11:31] {@Threei}  no news
01[11:51] {@Threei}  (EU) Greece Fin Min Varoufakis reiterates that Greece will not leave the EMU
01[11:51] {@Threei}  that's all? storm is over?
01[12:01] {@Threei}  The Greece situation has taken a turn towards stalemate today, dispelling recent hopes that Greece's conciliatory proposals could lead to a rapid agreement with the Europeans. German officials said they did not expect the EU to offer Athens any concessions and warned there was little chance of a deal at today's Euro Group meeting or the upcoming EU leaders' summit on Feb 12th.
01[12:01] {@Threei}  German Finance Minister Schaeuble warned that if Greece refuses to accept the final €7 billion tranche of the current bailout program then "it's over."
01[12:01] {@Threei}  but... Greece Fin Min Varoufakis reiterates that Greece will not leave the EMU
01[12:01] {@Threei}  lol
01[12:01] {@Threei}  Germany: shut up nd take my money
01[12:02] {@Threei}  Meanwhile in Minsk, French President Hollande, German Chancellor Merkel, Russia President Putin and Ukraine's Poroshenko are meeting in a last-ditch effort to conclude a ceasefire deal for eastern Ukraine
[12:04] {RonS} Atheist tea party-hater, Rachel Maddow fan guns down 3 Muslims; MSM downplays his politics
[12:13] {RonS} Report: Crime, Anti-American Harassment in Russia Grows
01[12:15] {@Threei}  exponentially
01[12:16] {@Threei}  America was always cited as #1 enemy, in soviet times. But I've never seen anything like today
[12:16] {nemo} easy target
01[12:16] {@Threei}  Media pump real antiwest hysteria
01[12:17] {@Threei}  every toothless alcoholic in siberia village believes his misfortune is caused by America
01[12:30] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .65 break
01[12:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .55
01[12:38] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[12:39] {RonS} Obama: "Cold war lens" is clouding Putin’s mind
01[12:39] {@Threei}  I am afraid he is past that stage
01[12:40] {@Threei}  it's actual hot war that is on the plate before him now
01[12:41] {@Threei}  if you guys heard the rhetoric on russian TV these days, you wouldn't believe it
01[12:41] {@Threei}  "let's cover US with radioactive ashes"
01[12:43] {@Threei}  Goldman chief commodities researcher Currie: oil market is a long way from getting back to balance, price rebound has gotten ahead of itself - CNBC interview - Expects oil firms will 'high grade' their rigs, moving them to their most productive and inexpensive operations- See oil trading at around $40/bbl in the next 6 months, possibly dipping down toward $35/bbl
01[12:44] {@Threei}  what's with rug pull?
01[12:44] {@Threei}  no news
01[12:44] {@Threei}  something leaked from Minsk?
01[12:55] {@Threei}  (US) President Obama reportedly will not rule out 'boots on the ground' in the US fight against ISIS if recommended by Pentagon - press - Reminder on 2/9 White House confirms Pres Obama will formally ask Congress for new authority to use force against ISISThe formal request is expected on Wed. US and allied forces have been conducting a bombing campaign against ISIS since last August, which the Administration has justified under Congressional authorization given to Pres Bush for the Iraq War.
01[13:08] {@Threei}  sheesh
01[13:10] {@Threei} Short Setup: AAPL  .90 break
01[13:10] {@Threei}  If holds  124
[13:10] {nemo} gona bounce at .75
01[13:10] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:12] {@Threei}  1:2
01[13:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .85 break
01[13:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
01[13:40] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:58] {@Threei}  wow
01[13:58] {@Threei}  1:3
01[13:59] {@Threei}  (UA) Ukraine's Minsk discussions on peace in Ukraine said to be planning a joint declaration to support Ukraine sovereignty; will reaffirm original ceasefire deal
01[13:59] {@Threei}  reaffirm the deal that was never implemented?
01[13:59] {@Threei}  cool
01[13:59] {@Threei}  color me ecstatic
01[13:59] {@Threei}  *(US) JAN MONTHLY BUDGET STATEMENT: -$17.5B V -$19.0BE
[14:08] {nemo} aapl anti-gravity machine
[14:23] {nemo} PSX
01[14:29] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .20 break
01[14:29] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[14:31] {@Threei}  1:1
01[14:35] {@Threei}  1:2
01[14:39] {@Threei}  1:3
01[14:59] {@Threei}  ok... up or down into eod?
[15:00] {nemo} UP
[15:00] {RonS} same
[15:01] {nemo} unless aapl defecates the sheets
01[15:01] {@Threei}  hmmm... scary, but my view also
[15:01] {nemo} spy done a whopping 59.5 million shares, this is ridiculous
[15:02] {nemo} frickin' August volumes
01[15:05] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .50 break
01[15:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
[15:06] {nemo} VXX may be a play anyway long with Greece and Russia
01[15:07] {@Threei}  I suspect Greece is not much of threat anymore
01[15:08] {@Threei}  it starts morphing into just another round of negotiations, with compromise in the end
[15:17] {nemo} iwm same setup as 1:3er with .45 break
[15:17] {nemo} sorry bit late
01[15:18] {@Threei}  no, still here
01[15:20] {@Threei}  fay high should get revisited on IWM, it feels
01[15:20] {@Threei}  unless we get report of Poroshenko storming out of Minsk
01[15:20] {@Threei}  day*
01[15:23] {@Threei}  here we go
01[15:23] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:24] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:24] {@Threei}  1:3
01[15:24] {@Threei}  perfect call nemo
[15:24] {nemo} ;-)
[15:25] {nemo} saw the flag
[15:25] {nemo} spy was flagging
[15:25] {nemo} aapl found support at moving average
01[15:25] {@Threei}  anyone can see the flag... takes a man to call flag the flag
[15:25] {nemo} ahhh
[15:26] {nemo}  or a fish....mad sea captain...cyclops blinder...etc
01[15:26] {@Threei}  the rest call a spade
01[15:42] {@Threei}  last time?
01[15:42] {@Threei}  .61
01[15:42] {@Threei}  IWM
[15:43] {nemo} not for me
01[15:45] {@Threei}  no, you are right
01[15:45] {@Threei}  anyway, out of time
01[15:45] {@Threei}  thank you, have a good evening
01[15:46] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow