Monday, April 11, 2011

Apr 11 2011

Better day with a few nice winning trades on a short side, but still, wins and stops traded jabs for the most part of the day. Normal pattern when the market goes through a change.

Session Start: Mon Apr 11 01:19:36 2011

[08:55] {Threei}  BLTXX Baltic Dry Bulk index declines approx 1% (10th straight decline)- Index stands at 1,359.
[08:57] {Threei}  G20 to weigh currency reforms and consider rules for FX devaluation at this week's meeting
[08:57] {Threei}  - financial press citing German official- G20 will also weigh guidelines for drawing developing world currencies more fully into a global system dominated by the dollar, euro, yen and pound.
[08:57] {Threei}  - US and Japan do not have effective medium term strategy for budget consolidation
[08:57] {Threei}  **Reminder: G20 representatives to gather in Washington, D.C., for the spring meeting this week
[09:00] {Threei}  (GE) Geman Foreign Ministry: Germany opposes idea of a tax for financing the EU budget
[09:00] {Threei}  lol, really?
[09:12] {nemo} wow BIIB
[09:14] {Threei}  Phase III trial met endpoints
[09:14] {RonS} gm everyone
[09:14] {Threei}  Ron :)
[09:14] {larisa} gm :)
[09:14] {Threei}  larisa :)
[09:14] {larisa} vad :)
[09:17] {ese} morning
[09:17] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:18] {gen} gm all
[09:18] {Threei}  gen :)
[09:18] {ese} gen
[09:18] {ese} vad
[09:18] {gen} :)
[09:19] {rambler} goodmorning .....
[09:19] {Threei}  rambler :)
[09:19] {Threei}  is dino back tomorrow?
[09:21] {Threei}  only in Canada - election TV debate by party leaders has been bumped to another day by guess what? Hockey translation
[09:21] {Threei}  not TV translation of a debate, mind you - debate itself
[09:22] {larisa} Obama posponed his speach I think for Lost finale :)
[09:22] {ese} ya...somethings out of wack thats for sure vad
[09:22] {Threei}  really?
[09:22] {Threei}  well ese, at least that shows clearly where the priorities are, eh? :)
[09:23] {ese} boy does it
[09:24] {ese} when hockey starts to take the place of the actual well being of the country....one has has to wonder what the H were doing here
[09:25] {Threei}  RIMM
[09:25] {Threei}  watching it as a short target
[09:26] {Threei}  SPY daily runs into resistance, and gap up today looks anemic
[09:27] {Threei}  so far, focusing on two possible shorts near the open
[09:27] {Threei}  RIMM
[09:27] {nemo} mcp ready to break again
[09:27] {Threei}  SLW
[09:27] {Threei}  RIMM speard is way too wide for now
[09:27] {Threei}  hopefully we get some consolidation on both before breakdown
[09:27] {RonS} mcp target raised at jpm $90
[09:29] {Threei}  if we get better spread on RIMM. 65 break looks like trigger
[09:29] {Threei}  let's keep things to halkf lot for now
[09:30] {Threei}  SLW is not clear yet
[09:30] {Threei}  could be a long on .20 break just as well
[09:30] {jfjf64} yello
[09:30] {Threei}  jf :)
[09:31] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .75 break
[09:31] {Threei}  if stays under .85
[09:32] {Threei}  1:1
[09:32] {Threei}  1:2
[09:32] {jfjf64} niceeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
[09:32] {Threei}  missed SLW
[09:33] {Threei}  couldn't see clean trigger, too jerky
[09:33] {Threei}  switching to bounce hunt on it
[09:34] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .50 break
[09:35] {ese} L klic .01
[09:35] {Threei}  nope, SLW'
[09:36] {patience} in hgd full lot (short etf)
[09:37] {ese} sm
[09:37] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .20 break half lot
[09:38] {Threei}  stop under .10 for scalpers, .05 day traders
[09:38] {Threei}  traget .50
[09:40] {Threei}  someone unplugged the market
[09:41] {patience} short slw a bit ago....full lot....on the u.s. side....no coffee makes you do interesting things
[09:42] {ese} out klic .95 -.06 it's goin nowhere
[09:43] {nemo} rinse X
[09:43] {Threei}  yeah
[09:44] {RonS} took x .21 to .48 thanks 3i
[09:44] {Threei}  :)
[09:46] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .80 break
[09:46] {nemo} too messy for me
[09:48] {Threei}  let's recalibrate it to .70 break
[09:48] {Threei}  if stays above .60
[09:49] {Threei}  1:1
[09:49] {nemo} in slw .31
[09:51] {nemo} 1/2 .51
[09:51] {Threei}  wtg
[09:51] {nemo} wanna know something else, I double tapped the out and went short by accident, picked up .10 on the down side
[09:52] {Threei}  yikes
[09:52] {RonS} ese, opinion on ne?
[09:53] {Threei} Short Setup: BIIB  .80 break half lot
[09:53] {RonS} NE
[09:53] {ese} hey ron sorry was about to ask patience her opinion on AUY
[09:54] {ese} I would have done it for a quick .05 hit if volume was right
[09:54] {nemo} why BIIB up anyway?
[09:55] {Threei}  [09:14] {Threei} Phase III trial met endpoints
[09:55] {Threei}  stop above 77, target is under .50
[09:56] {Threei}  thin one
[09:56] {rambler} bot IDT 30.25  stop 30.00
[09:56] {ese} L AVL .00
[09:56] {ese} 1/2
[09:59] {jfjf64} comon  biib
[09:59] {jfjf64} dieeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
[10:01] {Threei}  *IMF UPDATES WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
[10:01] {nemo} ree .61
[10:01] {Threei}  *IMF: Oy Vey
[10:02] {Threei}  1:1 BIIB
[10:02] {Threei}  half out
[10:02] {RonS} got biib .78 to .52  thanks 3i
[10:02] {Threei}  :)
[10:03] {Threei}  lose that .50
[10:03] {Threei}  and the bottom is nowhere to be seen
[10:03] {jfjf64} niceeeeeeeeeeee
[10:03] {Threei}  here we go
[10:03] {Threei}  1:2
[10:07] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .40 break
[10:07] {jfjf64} you out biib
[10:07] {Threei}  if not going over .50 anymore
[10:07] {Threei}  hit target
[10:07] {Threei}  [09:55] {Threei} stop above 77, target is under .50
[10:08] {nemo} maybe reshort under .40 next short target would be around 78
[10:10] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .50 break
[10:12] {nemo} spy at daily and weekly pivot
[10:12] {Threei}  *IMF UPDATES WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: SEES 2011 WORLD ECONOMIC OUTPUT +4.4% v +5.0% y/y; 2012 +4.5%
[10:14] {rambler} stopped on IDT...good thing
[10:15] {Threei}  let's scratch SLW
[10:15] {Threei}  unlcear here
[10:16] {Threei}  come on RIMM, lose that .35 finally
[10:19] {Threei} Short Setup: X  .20 break
[10:20] {Threei}  stop above .30
[10:21] {Threei}  let's cover RIMM
[10:21] {nemo} wow MCP getting the redheaded stepchild treatment
[10:21] {Threei}  chart looks weird - price part is still good, volume is very strange
[10:22] {Threei}  chart looks weird - price part is still good, volume is very strangeX 1:1
[10:22] {Threei}  oops
[10:22] {Threei}  X 1:1
[10:22] {nemo} weird DOW still strong
[10:25] {nemo} cyh halted
[10:26] {Threei}  circuit breaker
[10:26] {Threei}  ugh... look SLW
[10:27] {rambler} check out  LLEN....ouch..!
[10:28] {Threei}  one of small chinese stocks, with all kinds of suspicions over the way they operate
[10:31] {nemo} IWM approaching Friday low
[10:32] {nemo} MCP coming in on a DB, think it might bounce around 60.90, worth a watch
[10:32] {nemo} 69.90 that is
[10:35] {jfjf64} cat  wow
[10:35] {Threei}  watching it too jf
[10:36] {Threei}  just can't make up my mind about market overall here
[10:36] {nemo} that may be it, IWM just touched it's Friday low and spy is back above pivot...and whaddya know it's 10:30
[10:36] {Threei}  nervous jumps both ways
[10:36] {jfjf64} jnj  dtop
[10:36] {jfjf64} ?
[10:38] {davd} jnj drop - i'm going out on a limb and guessing - recall?
[10:38] {davd} its a daily occurence - generally occurs the day after i buy it
[10:39] {Threei}  jf, looks so... can't see clean trigger though
[10:40] {davd} L apol 42.4 small
[10:44] {jfjf64} was wishing for pop  up   jnj
[10:45] {jfjf64} mon
[10:45] {jfjf64} dtop
[10:48] {Threei}  CYH hatled 5th time
[10:49] {nemo} I have mon support right here
[10:49] {Threei}  traders must be annoyed beyond comprehension
[10:49] {nemo} it's trading
[10:50] {nemo} CREE C&H Vad?
[10:50] {Threei}  (SP) IMF Official: Spain has taken big steps toward resolving its economic problems, housing prices have some way to go although banks will handle the situation well
[10:50] {Threei}  - Notes that so far bailouts have been very good deals for Greece and Ireland.
[10:50] {Threei}  CREE, worth a try
[10:51] {Threei}  those are brief hatlts
[10:54] {Threei}  inva;idated, CREE
[10:55] {ese} stop to 9.87 AVL
[11:00] {gregns} slw break of .40 ?
[11:00] {jfjf64} jnj  grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
[11:00] {Threei}  not delighted greg...
[11:00] {nemo} jf?  when you get here?
[11:01] {Threei}  .50 break long looks better to me
[11:02] {gregns} ty
[11:02] {nemo} crissakes, summer trading already
[11:03] {patience} 3rd time shorting slw....let's see if i can make some decent money on this scalp
[11:04] {nemo} just read there's a 103 year old judge still hearing cases in a Wichita, Kansas federal court...wow
[11:05] {Threei}  hope he made up his mind on the whole slavery thing?
[11:07] {Threei}  1:1 greg
[11:07] {Threei}  looks capable of more than scalp to me
[11:08] {gregns} ypup, got it
[11:09] {Threei}  around .75 I'd be fully out
[11:10] {nemo} LVS interesting
[11:11] {nemo} vwap .12 though
[11:18] {Threei}  not bad LVS
[11:18] {Threei}  you were right
[11:25] {Threei}  Reports of an explosion at a subway station in Minsk, Belarus; some injuries reported
[11:35] {Threei}  scalpers win, SLW
[11:35] {ese} am outta here ....it's pro D day at my school...cya tomorrow
[11:35] {Threei}  take care ese
[11:36] {Threei}  what's pro D?
[11:40] {rambler} 'professional development'...i.e. day off
[11:40] {Threei}  lol
[11:40] {rambler} usually a friday or a monday.....
[11:42] {Threei}  no one wants to dcevelop professionaly at their own free time, eh
[11:42] {RonS} aapl lod
[11:45] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .20 break
[11:48] {Threei}  if loses .10, rather look fior entry near .44 for bounce
[11:58] {Threei}  44 cross long for a scalp, if SPE reverses
[11:58] {Threei}  SPY
[12:00] {nemo} jeez cstr
[12:00] {davd} oil lod re uso
[12:03] {Threei}  if SPY double-bottoms here, LVS should provide a scalp
[12:03] {Threei}  44 break, just a scalp
[12:04] {Threei}  if stays above .95
[12:06] {Threei}  SLW watch for short entry if bounces closer to .50
[12:06] {Threei}  LVS invalidated
[12:07] {nemo} btw, if you're interested in playing tza, if iwm breaks the lows, next support is at .10
[12:08] {nemo} check that, could be a stop at .27 on iwm
[12:09] {Threei}  no chance SLW, straight down
[12:16] {Threei}  (US) Fed Vice Chair Yellen: Easy money policies are still needed
[12:16] {Threei}  a sharp economic rebound in the US is unlikely
[12:17] {nemo} wow, you need to be an economist to figure that out...she must be blonde
[12:17] {gregns} SLW recross .10 if holding .00??
[12:17] {Threei}  lol
[12:17] {Threei}  no greg
[12:17] {Threei}  market is losing ground
[12:17] {dino} afternoon all
[12:17] {Threei}  chances to get caught in a selloff is greater than to catch a bounce
[12:17] {RonS} hi dino
[12:17] {Threei}  dino, welcome back
[12:17] {Threei}  how was the vacation?
[12:18] {dino} great
[12:18] {Threei}  I'd rather hunt for shnort on SLW
[12:18] {Threei}  look at GLD
[12:18] {dino} tdsc
[12:19] {dino} sm l .45 gappy
[12:20] {nemo} dino, how was your long weekend?
[12:20] {_furthers} test
[12:20] {Threei}  passed
[12:21] {Threei}  with flying colors
[12:21] {Threei}  hi furthers
[12:21] {dino} fun nemo
[12:21] {nemo} cool
[12:21] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .15 break
[12:21] {patience} i'm still in slw, double lot
[12:21] {Threei}  stop above .25
[12:22] {_furthers} hey
[12:22] {nemo} whaddya' want feathers?
[12:23] {_furthers} I am in the test mode
[12:23] {_furthers} just checking things out
[12:23] {RonS} so...if further beyond farther?
[12:23] {RonS} is
[12:23] {Threei}  - Commodity prices are being driven by global supply and demand issues. Does not expect high commodity prices to impair the economic recovery.
[12:23] {Threei}  - Loose Fed policy is still needed due to high levels of unemployment and low levels of inflation.
[12:23] {nemo} ahhhh....funeral supplies
[12:23] {_furthers} only when you say I DO!
[12:23] {_furthers} :-)
[12:24] {_furthers} back to business,,, RIMM
[12:24] {_furthers} short???
[12:24] {nemo} got anything written in the Mordor tongue?
[12:25] {Threei}  .30 break RIMM, yeah, worth a try
[12:25] {nemo} I'm seeing bottoming in the indexes
[12:26] {Threei}  could be
[12:26] {Threei}  hard to tell
[12:26] {Threei}  last 30-40 min bounces are met with sharp selling
[12:27] {RonS} but now dino is here...
[12:27] {dino} ensg
[12:27] {_furthers} every day last week market started up and ended down
[12:30] {nemo} SPY has weekly pivot at .04 and daily at .05, vwap is .12 and descending
[12:34] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .60 half lot
[12:34] {Threei}  if stays under .75
[12:35] {Threei} Short Setup: X  .20 break
[12:35] {Threei}  if stays under .30
[12:38] {Threei}  let's roll over and die, market
[12:38] {Threei}  this is what you set up to do
[12:38] {jfjf64} yes
[12:38] {Threei}  just do it
[12:39] {Threei}  good boy
[12:39] {Threei}  X 1:1
[12:39] {Threei}  FCX 1:1
[12:40] {Threei}  hmmm
[12:40] {Threei}  is SPY boy or girl?
[12:41] {Threei}  no news for this selloff
[12:41] {Threei}  non that I see anyway
[12:41] {Threei}  FCX almnost 1:2
[12:41] {Threei}  feel free to cover
[12:41] {Threei}  X 1:2
[12:41] {Threei}  out
[12:42] {Threei}  out FCX too
[12:42] {dino} tdsc stoppeed
[12:42] {jfjf64} ty
[12:42] {Threei}  yw
[12:42] {Threei}  day looks much brighter
[12:42] {patience} "smart money" commercial hedgers getting suddenly a fair bit more bearish in their net futures and options positioning as a percentage of the total open interest
[12:42] {RonS} got fcx s .58 to .28 thanks 3i
[12:42] {Threei}  :)
[12:42] {patience} they moved from positions in precious metals to cash
[12:44] {Threei}  sizeable bounce... cover was timelyt
[12:45] {Threei}  friking SLW
[12:45] {Threei}  this one got away
[12:45] {Threei}  by just a few cents
[12:45] {patience} sold half slw
[12:46] {RonS} wassup w/ the .vix?  down w/ market?
[12:46] {dino} ensg sm l .65
[12:46] {Threei}  lol Ron
[12:46] {Threei}  weird eh
[12:47] {RonS} very
[12:54] {nemo} mon interesting volume right here
[12:55] {patience} out of slw, watch for a bounce, get back in later
[12:59] {Threei}  SPY, db or breakdown
[12:59] {Threei}  my bet is breakdown
[12:59] {Threei} Short Setup: X  52 break
[13:00] {Threei}  .05 is closest resistance...
[13:00] {Threei}  looks a bit too tight for a stop though
[13:01] {Threei}  ugh... what is it with me and SLW today, missed again... thought of .60 short trigger
[13:02] {Threei}  let's keep X stop .06
[13:04] {Threei}  (US) Fed's Yellen: Does not expect any significant market reaction to the end of QE2 buying in June - Q&A
[13:04] {Threei}  - Fed bond sales may pressure markets, Fed will need to gradually sell off its holdings at a predictable pace.
[13:04] {Threei}  - Value of the USD influences commodity prices.
[13:04] {Threei}  - Unemployment rate has fallen by a surprising amount.
[13:05] {Threei}  Value of the USD influences commodity prices.
[13:05] {Threei}  you don't say
[13:05] {Threei}  yet same Fed speaker said a few min earlier:
[13:05] {Threei}  - Commodity prices are being driven by global supply and demand issues
[13:05] {Threei}  sigh
[13:06] {Threei}  - Fed bond sales may pressure markets, Fed will need to gradually sell off its holdings at a predictable pace.
[13:07] {RonS} who books that loss?
[13:07] {Threei}  good question
[13:07] {Threei}  increasingly seems to me, Fed has peinted themselves in the corner
[13:08] {nemo} No...they've painted us into a corner
[13:08] {Threei}  and unless they find some surprizing way to unwind the whole thing, it may very well be the end of Fed
[13:08] {Threei}  dunno nemo... this time they went too far to surive it seems
[13:09] {Threei}  we are screwed either way, no question about that
[13:09] {Threei}  but every time before we were the only ones... this time they may sink with us
[13:10] {Threei}  have a look at this
[13:10] {Threei}  no go X
[13:10] {Threei}  "Federal Reserve has already pushed its balance sheet to a point where it is leveraged 50-to-1 against its capital ($2.65 trillion / $52.6 billion in capital as reported the Fed's consolidated balance sheet ). This is a greater leverage ratio than Bear Stearns or Fannie Mae, with similar interest rate risk but less default risk.
[13:10] {Threei}  The Fed holds roughly $1.3 trillion in Treasury debt, $937 billion in mortgage securities by Fannie and Freddie, $132 billion of direct obligations of Fannie, Freddie and the FHLB, and nearly $80 billion in TIPS and T-bills. The maturity distribution of these assets works out to an average duration of about 6 years, which implies that the Fed would lose roughly 6% in value for every 100 basis points higher in long-term interest rates.
[13:10] {Threei}  Given that the Fed only holds 2% in capital against these assets, a 35-basis point increase in long-term yields would effectively wipe out the Fed's capital."
[13:12] {nemo} BOHICA!
[13:13] {RonS} but can't they hold them to maturity and let them roll off?
[13:13] {nemo} not if the underlying instruments default
[13:14] {Threei}  with rising rates, interest will become a problem quickly I assume
[13:14] {nemo} that'll drive the yields up
[13:14] {Threei}  plus what nemo said
[13:15] {RonS} oil softening now 110.38
[13:15] {dino} i see rinses are still occurring, tdsc
[13:16] {davd} i subscribe to art cashen statement "no point betting on the end of the world - it only happens once and if you are right the money you make isnt worth anything anyway"
[13:16] {Threei}  lol
[13:17] {RonS} Lew Reed
[13:17] {RonS} Lou
[13:17] {RonS} "send lawyers, guns and money"
[13:18] {nemo} that would be lawyers, guns and Federal Reserve brand Charmin...60 grit
[13:19] {RonS} oil 110.12
[13:20] {RonS} setting up to print an outside reversal
[13:21] {Threei}  wow
[13:21] {Threei}  sharp drop oil
[13:21] {davd} vix hod RonS :D
[13:21] {RonS} ya but it should be over 18
[13:22] {Threei}  Nissan Motor Co Ltd Customers in US and Japan have indicated electic Leaf vehicles sometimes fail to start - Nikkei News
[13:22] {RonS} rotflol
[13:22] {Threei}  Nissan: plug it in dummies, don't try to pour gasolin the battery!
[13:23] {Threei}  Dummies: oops...
[13:24] {RonS} dummies: but my power comes from the shuttered nuclear plant
[13:24] {Threei}  Nissan: you wanted electric - you got electric. Want a coal? we can provide that too
[13:25] {RonS} dummies:  i can fix it w/ my portable generator...
[13:25] {Threei}  shovel comes as a free gift
[13:25] {davd} they think they are better than us gas guzzlers. :(
[13:25] {Threei}  dummies? of course
[13:26] {Threei}  they think they are better than anyone else, as long as they paint their forehead green
[13:27] {RonS} once my dad bought my mom a coal shovel for birthday gift
[13:27] {dino} lol
[13:27] {RonS} as endearment he carved her name in the handle
[13:27] {RonS} they are coming up on 60th anniversary
[13:27] {nemo} is there an imprint of his head on it?
[13:28] {Threei}  forgive me for asking but... did it end in an extended hospital stay or funeral?
[13:28] {dino} lol
[13:29] {Threei}  the best gift idea I ever came up with was to cancel that kitchen garburator...
[13:32] {RonS} oil bounced off 109.60 and putting on a run
[13:34] {RonS} 3i...this from GS...
[13:34] {Threei}  SLW
[13:34] {Threei}  another sharp drop
[13:34] {RonS} We are closing our CCCP basket trade, first recommended on December 1, 2010, for a gain of roughly 25% against our 28% target. This recommendation was premised on our belief that Crude Oil, Copper, Cotton/Soybeans and Platinum remain the key structurally supply-constrained markets. On a 12-month horizon we believe the CCCP basket still has upside potential, b
[13:35] {RonS}  but the unrest in the Middle-East and North Africa region, and the potential for further supply shocks pushed the basket up significantly in a short period and our Commodity Research team believes that in the near term the risk/reward no longer favours being long the basket and consequently, we are closing the recommendation with good potential gains. While
[13:35] {Threei}  think this is what kills materials today?
[13:35] {RonS} While crude oil, cotton and copper prices have substantially exceeded our targets, platinum and soybean prices have lagged.
[13:36] {RonS} i thought u would like the CCCP moniker
[13:36] {Threei}  ahhh
[13:36] {Threei}  lol
[13:39] {Threei}  Community Health Systems Inc Tenet allegations are without any merit and baseless - CNBC-designed to distract Tenet shareholders from CYH's takeover offer
[13:39] {Threei}  CYH
[13:40] {RonS} ...well...it worked today...
[13:40] {nemo} and still is
[13:42] {nemo} It might be bounce time for slw in the .60 to .79 range
[13:42] {nemo} .70
[13:42] {patience} totally
[13:43] {nemo} wonder if wine will clear up a stuffy nose
[13:44] {Threei}  nice bounce CYH
[13:44] {RonS} only if you snort it
[13:44] {patience} put it in  a netti pot
[13:44] {nemo} Yeah...peruvian chardonnay
[13:45] {dino} just drink some whiskey
[13:45] {RonS} took a second...lol
[13:45] {nemo} DT LVS?
[13:45] {Threei}  feels to me like long on 44 reak rather
[13:45] {nemo} yeah, the good old days I'll be glad to never see again
[13:47] {nemo} slw at trend and horizontal resistance
[13:47] {patience} haven't seen stoch turn yet
[13:47] {nemo} on what time frame?
[13:48] {nemo} you've got increasing volume here
[13:48] {patience} yup
[13:49] {dino} out esng .96, +.31
[13:50] {patience} watching hourly and 30 min nemo
[13:51] {nemo} ahhh, I'm watching 1 and 3
[13:51] {patience} in, but feels sloppy still
[13:52] {nemo} indexes haven't made up their minds
[13:57] {nemo} doesn't look so sloppy now
[13:57] {nemo} stop around .25 I would think
[13:57] {patience} i'm up .16 cents
[13:58] {nemo} oh
[13:58] {patience} was
[14:04] {dino} giddy-up tdsc
[14:04] {nemo} slw pennant
[14:05] {Threei}  anyone scalped LVS?
[14:05] {Threei}  44 break, hit 1:1
[14:06] {patience} nemo, what does that mean
[14:06] {nemo} it's about to decide, pennant formation usually means imminent break one way or another
[14:07] {RonS} ran tdsc from 49.45 to 50.40  thanks dino
[14:07] {nemo} has pivot support at .33
[14:07] {Threei}  LVS continues
[14:07] {dino} out tdsc .45, +.94
[14:07] {Threei}  wtg dino
[14:07] {dino} gj ron, i took the .51 break
[14:07] {patience} ty
[14:07] {patience} lovely dino
[14:08] {dino} ty
[14:08] {Threei}  market finally found the bottom, but I wouldn't call it a confident bouncer
[14:08] {dino} must be the tan helping me
[14:08] {Threei}  sellers are waiting rifght around the corner
[14:13] {nemo} cyh interesting here
[14:14] {nemo} jumped my bid at .52
[14:17] {nemo} 1/2 out .63
[14:17] {dino} wow 51 tdsc
[14:19] {patience} out with 25 bucks, market in tsx feels down
[14:20] {nemo} spy to 133.05
[14:20] {nemo} iwm around .75
[14:22] {nemo} 1/4 more .75
[14:22] {nemo} cyh
[14:23] {nemo} wtf bidu
[14:23] {Threei}  Facebook
[14:23] {Threei}  denying report about deal
[14:24] {dino} sina
[14:24] {RonS} lol...Zuckerberg selling to the Chinese would be the best deal since Mark Cuban sold his company for a $1 bi
[14:24] {nemo} stop at b/e cyh
[14:25] {RonS} re-patriate some $
[14:26] {RonS} or maybe he wold insist on yuan...
[14:26] {RonS} would
[14:27] {nemo} out last 1/4 cyh
[14:29] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .05
[14:31] {Threei}  invalidated but not off radar
[14:32] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .95 break
[14:32] {Threei}  if holding .85
[14:33] {Threei}  target is about 45.20
[14:34] {Threei}  invalidated
[14:35] {Threei}  those sellers from around the corner are here
[14:36] {Threei}  Earlier this morning there were reports in the Chinese press that Baidu had struck a deal with Facebook to launch a social media site in China. Note that Facebook CEO Zuckerberg met with Baidu execs during a trip to China last year.
[14:36] {davd} gold lod re gld
[14:37] {Threei}  China turned into gigantic rumor mill, with millin scalpers at each location, spreadi rumors and pushing buttons
[14:38] {nemo} .50 bid slw
[14:39] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .60 break
[14:40] {Threei}  just a scalp most likely
[14:42] {davd} oil sitting at lod re uso
[14:42] {nemo} if that .50 drops, look out
[14:42] {Threei}  and SPY is testing support
[14:42] {nemo} maalox trade
[14:43] {Threei}  yeah, not holding
[14:44] {nemo} frankly, thought it would drop faster, but indexes holding
[14:45] {davd} uso now at lod
[14:45] {nemo} if, Libya truce holds, that will start dropping consistently
[14:45] {nemo} imo of course
[14:46] {davd} so my earnings are linked to khadaffi?
[14:46] {Threei}  lol
[14:46] {nemo} gettomg a supoort level in slw
[14:46] {nemo} not any more
[14:51] {rambler} MELA pops on vol...
[14:52] {dino} efii
[14:52] {davd} gld gap to 142?
[14:57] {davd} tza hod
[14:59] {nemo} spy nearing Friday low
[14:59] {RonS} snagged ensg from 30.98 to 31.45  thanks dino
[15:00] {Threei}  last hour... bounce or selloff
[15:00] {davd} bounce, mf inflows
[15:00] {davd} imo
[15:00] {Threei}  mf?
[15:00] {RonS} fute order flows say down
[15:01] {Threei}  my gut feeling is selloff
[15:01] {Threei}  but davd called me a mf...
[15:01] {RonS} hehe
[15:02] {davd} mf - mutual funds - what i should have stuck with 20 years ago
[15:02] {nemo} what's your mother look like...not necessarily a bad thing, ask Oedipus
[15:02] {davd} lol
[15:02] {Threei}  anyway,
[15:02] {Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .45
[15:03] {Threei}  if stays under .55
[15:04] {Threei}  1:1
[15:05] {RonS} big buyer just came into SP futes
[15:05] {nemo} you have weekly and daily support at .12 on spy
[15:05] {RonS} sometimes they get overwhelmed by selling but the price they show up is usually the close...or higher
[15:06] {gen} bye everybody
[15:06] {patience} tsx down 242
[15:06] {gen} :)
[15:06] {Threei}  take care gen
[15:06] {patience} i'm in hgd (gold short)
[15:06] {patience} slow as molassas
[15:07] {Threei}  SLW continues down
[15:13] {Threei}  gut was right
[15:14] {Threei}  wow, been a good while since we've seen silver getting smakced like this
[15:18] {RonS} emc green on day
[15:24] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .10 break
[15:25] {Threei}  invalidated
[15:26] {Threei}  .20 was entry eh
[15:26] {Threei}  lol
[15:28] {Threei}  low volume bounce
[15:28] {Threei}  let's see if it's a double top
[15:29] {nemo} watch gold
[15:29] {nemo} wow MCP catching bids
[15:30] {Threei}  MCP bounced enough to become a short
[15:31] {Threei}  either .80 break
[15:31] {nemo} 71.18 is vwap
[15:31] {Threei}  or, it goes above 71, next range breakdown
[15:32] {nemo} yeah, baby
[15:33] {Threei}  71 break
[15:33] {Threei}  sdmall shares
[15:33] {Threei}  invalidated
[15:34] {Threei}  .20 break
[15:35] {Threei}  late
[15:35] {Threei}  again
[15:35] {Threei}  same setup
[15:35] {Threei}  if stays under .40
[15:36] {nemo} vwap might act as a magnet
[15:36] {jfjf64} dieeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
[15:36] {nemo} meany
[15:36] {Threei}  no go
[15:37] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  44 break
[15:37] {Threei}  EG) Egpyt PM issues apology for the crackdown on protesters that occured Saturday, claims an investigation will be launched - world press
[15:37] {Threei}  new boss eh
[15:40] {jfjf64} dieeeeeeeeeeeee
[15:40] {Threei}  lol
[15:40] {Threei}  jf, you are scaring them
[15:40] {Threei}  they drop until you scream at tghem
[15:41] {nemo} slw may now be a long above .01
[15:42] {nemo} yeah, but sometimes they jump when you scare them...cut the achilles, can't go anywhere and they scream like a banshee
[15:43] {jfjf64} yes
[15:44] {nemo} like MCP short .49?
[15:44] {nemo} probably won't hold, but
[15:44] {Threei}  I do
[15:45] {nemo} I must be sick, gotta' take my temp
[15:45] {Threei}  let's scratch SLW
[15:45] {nemo} slw
[15:45] {Threei}  can't tell which way SPY is leaning anymore
[15:46] {jfjf64} comon  slw
[15:46] {Threei}  1:1 if you kept it
[15:46] {jfjf64} dieeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
[15:47] {Threei}  MCP
[15:47] {Threei}  almost ready
[15:47] {nemo} frickin' tease
[15:47] {jfjf64} in
[15:48] {nemo} indexes aren't cooperationg
[15:49] {jfjf64} look  time
[15:50] {Threei}  yeah
[15:50] {jfjf64} hate mcp
[15:50] {Threei}  nothing stellar but a better day than last week's end
[15:50] {jfjf64} all good
[15:50] {jfjf64} ty
[15:51] {Threei}  a few easier to read trades
[15:51] {Threei}  a bit more stops than I would have liked
[15:51] {patience} was a good day vad, had to work for it though
[15:51] {Threei}  but that's the pattern we go through every time market changes
[15:51] {jfjf64} always
[15:52] {jfjf64} good nightv all
[15:52] {Threei}  important to keep shares reasonable while we work through it and find what stopped working and what came instead
[15:52] {Threei}  take care jf
[15:54] {nemo} mmhhhh, mcp overnight
[15:54] {Threei}  make sure you sleep in diapers
[15:54] {Threei}  and with two bottles of maalox on nightstand
[15:55] {Threei}  ok guys, thank you asll
[15:55] {Threei}  have a good evening
[15:55] {patience} ty
[15:55] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:56] {dino} gm all
[15:56] {larisa} bye :)
[15:58] {rambler} thanks Vad....
[15:58] {davd} imo not mcp overnite

Friday, April 8, 2011

Apr 08 2011



Another grinding day - better than yesterday, with a few nice wins but still nothing to write home about.

Session Time: Fri Apr 08 00:00:00 2011
[05:14] {_stmaartenbyair} Hello, my first day here. Can someone please let me know when someone is online for trading?
[08:05] {Threei}  (US) Fed's Lockhart: The economic outlook gives the Fed room on monetary policy; commodity price gains will be transitory, longer run inflation expectations are stable
[08:05] {Threei}  - Expects inflation to level off around +2% eventually.
[08:05] {Threei}  - Expects slight pass-through of higher food and energy prices.
[08:05] {Threei}  - US economy is recovering, but still fragile. Recovery is boosted by a strong manufacturing rebound.
[08:05] {Threei}  - Recovery still needs the Fed's support.
[08:05] {Threei}  slight, eh?
[08:05] {Threei}  (EU) German insurer Allianz: Sees the EU debt crisis ending with Portugal
[08:06] {Threei}  he is a seer, this one
[08:06] {nemo} Love this:   commodity price gains will be transitory,
[08:06] {Threei}  uhhu
[08:06] {nemo} as the dollar shits the bed,,,,,,,right
[08:07] {Threei}  well... to be fair, when the QE ends, who knows how high dollar can go
[08:08] {nemo} Well, when and if it does, it will depend on what else they do behind the scenes
[08:08] {Threei}  right... that's why I hedge my bets saying "who knows" :)
[08:11] {Threei}  without even pretending to be able to foresee anything, my presonal feeling is - they will try hard as they can to balance between hard nosedive and spike,
[08:12] {Threei}  taking actions one way, then balancing them out by going the other way.
[08:12] {nemo} and, they'll screw it up
[08:12] {Threei}  The main question will be, whether they manage to keep the balance, or it's going to take life on its own and turn into pendulum with increasing magnitude
[08:13] {Threei}  yeah, I tend to agree with you there,
[08:13] {Threei}  their record is not good
[08:13] {nemo} they should call Raven and let him run everything
[08:13] {Threei}  and I don't see much in terms of evenness in their thinking
[08:13] {nemo} I think I'll start drinking now
[08:15] {Threei}  my only hope is that they manage to stave eventual collapse long enough so it's not my problem anymore
[08:15] {Threei}  I mean, collapse of one motherland is enough for one's lifetime, right? Two is serious lack of luck
[08:18] {Raven} lol
[08:18] {Raven} "they" better call today cause I'm headed to TEXAS Sunday
[08:19] {nemo} emigrating?
[08:19] {Raven} not yet ... just chasing birds
[08:19] {Threei}  who are migrating
[08:19] {Raven} yes
[08:20] {Raven} birds coming North ... Raven going South
[08:20] {Raven} major clash
[08:20] {Threei}  seriously... what's up with that
[08:22] {Raven} migration in April in Texas along the coast produces huge numbers of birds that are tired after flying over the Gulf and they are very easy to get near
[08:23] {Raven} great views of warblers at eye level that are normally in the top of trees
[08:23] {Raven} you'd have a great time with your camera
[08:23] {Threei}  I bet
[08:23] {Threei}  speaking of which
[08:23] {Threei}  http://photography.realitytrader.com/2011/04/olympic-peninsula-getaway.html
[08:24] {patience} good morning, nice to hear from you Raven
[08:25] {Threei}  patience :)
[08:25] {Raven} hi patience :)
[08:25] {Raven} nice 3i ... been there many times
[08:26] {patience} Vad, I'm surprised you came home..the photos are beautiful
[08:26] {Raven} usually stay in Forks .. lol ... land of loggers
[08:27] {Threei}  you recognized the place raven?
[08:28] {Raven} some of them yes
[08:28] {Threei}  well, I am not about to spend the rest of my life in a log cabin, living off gift shop supplies... so yeah, I came home
[08:28] {patience} glad you did
[08:29] {Threei}  also, 200/night is a bit, ummm
[08:29] {Raven} ya gotta like rain if you stay there very much
[08:29] {patience} talk to us about rain, i have every bird imaginable in my back garden as i am once again hosting a lake on the lawn
[08:30] {Raven} nice
[08:30] {Raven} robins freezing their butts off around here ... miserable winter never ends
[08:30] {Threei}  (US) Fed's Lockhart: HAve not seen any indication of wage inflation
[08:31] {Threei}  of course not, you moron
[08:31] {Threei}  with unemployment like this
[08:31] {patience} ask him if he fills the gas tank up
[08:31] {Raven} he has a driver
[08:31] {Threei}  "wage" inflation he is talking about
[08:32] {patience} sorry, only had one cup of coffee
[08:33] {patience} my cheapie silver stock FVI went up just over 15% yesterday
[08:57] {ese} mornin
[08:57] {Threei}  ese :)
[08:57] {ese} vad, patience
[08:58] {ese} patience....my high school R&B band is doing a show up by your house this evening
[08:58] {ese} at the Uplands Golf Club.......ya wanna come over and see them?
[09:15] {rambler} good morning....
[09:15] {Threei}  rambler :)
[09:15] {larisa} gm :)
[09:15] {Threei}  larisa :)
[09:15] {larisa} vad :)
[09:18] {nemo} POT above 60 could be a breakout
[09:21] {patience}  hi ese, sorry i was doing my pre-market hunting and pecking
[09:21] {nemo} careful, Raven might come to visit
[09:22] {patience} let me check with the other half...sounds excellent
[09:25] {Threei}  (RU) Russia PM Putin: Russia does not want to implement WTO rules until it has been made a member of the organization
[09:25] {Threei}  kind of logical
[09:29] {Threei}  let's stay with half lot again
[09:29] {Threei}  want to make sure my brain is back from vacation before increasing share size
[09:31] {jfjf64} yello
[09:31] {Threei}  jf :)
[09:32] {rambler} sold SHZ  +.30
[09:32] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .80 break
[09:32] {Threei}  if holding .70
[09:33] {Threei}  nope
[09:34] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .65 break
[09:35] {Threei}  if holding .55
[09:35] {nemo} too fast
[09:35] {jfjf64} thinkkkkkkk
[09:35] {Threei}  second chance
[09:35] {Threei}  same setup
[09:37] {Threei}  not this time
[09:39] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .50 break
[09:40] {Threei}  target .80
[09:40] {Threei}  with partials of course
[09:41] {Threei}  1:1
[09:42] {Threei}  1:2
[09:43] {rambler} out at .71, thks Vad...
[09:44] {Threei}  yw
[09:44] {jfjf64} ty
[09:48] {Threei}  what's qwith these sharp red bars
[09:48] {gregns} BBBY?
[09:48] {Threei}  short
[09:48] {Threei}  54 nreak
[09:48] {gregns} ty fcx
[09:50] {Threei} Short Setup: BBBY  54 break
[09:51] {Threei}  not a scalp
[09:52] {Threei}  single buyer is keeping it afloat
[09:52] {Threei}  if/when he gives up...
[09:52] {Threei}  the amount of air under it is scary huge
[09:59] {Threei}  invalidated for now
[10:03] {Threei} Short Setup: LVS  .95 break
[10:03] {Threei}  stop above .05
[10:04] {Threei}  BBBY is valid again
[10:08] {Threei}  LVS is funny
[10:08] {Threei}  1 cent to 1:1, then 1 cent to stop
[10:08] {Threei}  let's scratch it?
[10:09] {Threei}  market drops.. maybe this time
[10:09] {Threei}  compromise: trailing to 55.01
[10:11] {Threei}  out
[10:12] {Threei} Short Setup: X  .20 break
[10:12] {nemo} missed bbby
[10:12] {Threei}  BBBY, you gotta be kidding
[10:13] {RonS} dang bbby...
[10:13] {Threei}  15 cents drop in a blink of eye
[10:13] {Threei}  when the dam broken...
[10:14] {Threei}  let's see, maybe gives entry on bounce
[10:14] {RonS} had .96 short set for .98 print but missed looking at your x call
[10:14] {Threei}  I was looking right at it and missed too
[10:15] {Threei}  there was just no chance
[10:15] {Threei}  either you were in aggressively or you miss
[10:17] {ese} DO these guys have any education at all???????(US) Fed's Fisher: Fed may need to stop short on QE2 purchases; absolutely opposed to extend QE2 program; there is unpleasant data on the horizon
[10:17] {Threei}  X invaldated
[10:18] {ese} unpleasant DATA??????  what F does that mean
[10:18] {Threei}  ese, there is a better perl in there
[10:18] {Threei}  look:
[10:18] {Threei}  Fed must not appear to be monetizing debt
[10:18] {Threei}  this is a real puzzler, isn't it
[10:19] {ese} thats still a what f for me...........
[10:22] {Threei}  BBBY, you slime...
[10:23] {jfjf64} to nice
[10:26] {Threei}  CA) Canada PM Harper announces party platform goals for spending
[10:26] {Threei}  - Suggests a spending review that will save approx C$4B yearly, suggests C$6.6B in spending over 6 years which could increase deficit by C$1.4B
[10:26] {Threei}  - Sees surplus for Canada in 2014-2015, earlier than expected
[10:26] {Threei}  and no, our southern brethren, you can't have our prime minister
[10:29] {rambler} LUNA pops...on vol
[10:35] {Threei}  X works after all
[10:44] {Threei} Long Setup:  AMRN  .50 break
[10:44] {Threei}  look at daily
[10:45] {Threei}  if takes .60, 9 is all but inevitable
[10:45] {Threei}  rambler, your kind
[10:46] {Threei}  also, if you want to meet grandfather Lenin today, it's a short drive for you, come down to Esquimalt
[10:46] {patience} i'll pass, ty
[10:47] {nemo} look MON
[10:47] {rambler} I don't want to ruin a great day....
[10:47] {davd} mon down with corn report
[10:48] {Threei}  hey, just take a few rotten tomatoes with you and make it even better day
[10:49] {Threei}  ok, brief interruption before the next call:
[10:49] {Threei}  http://photography.realitytrader.com/2011/04/olympic-peninsula-getaway.html
[10:49] {RonS} 2 sided slw play brewing 3i?
[10:50] {Threei}  I would really prefer a solid pullback for long entry on it
[10:50] {Threei}  around .70 at least
[10:56] {Threei} Long Setup:  POT  .20 break
[10:58] {RonS} cree blood ...again
[11:00] {nemo} eh, tried to catch fcx break of .90
[11:00] {Threei}  what now?
[11:04] {RonS} cree sm l .40
[11:05] {Threei}  feelsa like hard nosedive is coming
[11:06] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .80 break
[11:06] {Threei}  1:1
[11:06] {Threei}  half out
[11:07] {Threei}  scalpers be hasppy
[11:09] {Threei}  scalpers win
[11:09] {rambler} I winned....
[11:10] {Threei}  you do realize we all hate you, right?
[11:10] {Threei}  at least till the next trade
[11:13] {rambler} my ON hold  (that I sold)  is rocking.....
[11:13] {Threei} Short Setup: CREE  .40 break
[11:14] {rambler} SHZ
[11:16] {nemo} spy sitting on trend line
[11:16] {patience} doubled up with an umbrella trade in slw, just for a scalp,in at 44.79
[11:17] {Threei}  no go CREE
[11:17] {RonS} good thing...i am long...:)
[11:18] {Threei}  don't you worry, after rinsing shorts it will deal with longs {G}
[11:25] {RonS} out cree scratch...ha!
[11:25] {Threei}  told ya
[11:26] {RonS} to quote dino: "let the stops work"
[11:30] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .10 break
[11:30] {Threei}  if stays under .20
[11:31] {Threei}  aggressive entry for 47 break and tank, with 1:3 in mind, maybe more
[11:31] {rambler} are you full lots now Vad...?
[11:32] {Threei}  on this one, yes
[11:32] {Threei}  10 cents stop
[11:32] {Threei}  last one on CREE, no, a bit too thin
[11:33] {ese} L FTK .22
[11:33] {Threei}  Senate Minority Leader McConnell: Believes an agreement will be reached shortly
[11:36] {Threei}  so far so good
[11:36] {Threei}  1;1
[11:36] {Threei}  wouldn't budge with market spiking
[11:36] {Threei}  half out
[11:36] {Threei}  stop to above b/e
[11:39] {rambler} look out below.....
[11:39] {Threei}  1:2
[11:39] {Threei}  1/4 more out
[11:39] {Threei}  stop to .05
[11:39] {Threei}  we won't have to hate you this time, rambler?
[11:40] {rambler} jump on it...
[11:40] {Threei}  lol
[11:40] {Threei}  1:3
[11:40] {rambler} out at .80.....
[11:40] {Threei}  wtfg
[11:41] {rambler} tks Vad...
[11:41] {nemo} we likely put in the bottom for today
[11:41] {Threei}  yw
[11:41] {Threei}  precision of hitting the target...
[11:42] {nemo} might play it long here, on trendline slw that is
[11:42] {ese} out ftk .23 +.01
[11:42] {ese} hmmmmmmmm
[11:43] {Threei}  you need to watch out that spending spree ese...
[11:44] {rambler} swing trade GPL good today....
[11:47] {Threei}  28% Say They Share Obama's Political Views
[11:47] {Threei}  in line with that steady "28% think US moves in the right direction"
[11:48] {rambler} that's a good %......
[11:48] {Threei}  (US) Fed's Fisher: Inflationary pressures are not yet out of hand
[11:48] {Threei}  right... let's wait till they are, then act
[11:48] {nemo} cmon' move along, there's nothing to see here
[11:49] {Threei}  (PO) UK Fin Min Osborne: rules out bilateral loan to Portugal; IMF agreement should be in place before any EU money is committed to Portugal
[11:49] {nemo} reminds me, gotta' buy more bullets
[11:49] {Threei}  hmmm
[11:49] {Threei}  did I get it right?
[11:50] {Threei}  EU refuses to bail its member out unless IMF does?
[11:50] {nemo} [11:42] {nemo} might play it long here, on trendline slw that is
[11:51] {Threei}  (PO) Portugal Fin Min: No bridge loan will occur, it is too early to determine the interest rates to be paid on any EU loan
[11:51] {Threei}  good call
[11:51] {Threei}  pains me to say that, but evidence is there for all to see
[11:54] {nemo} broken clock moment
[11:54] {Threei}  still, painful {G}
[11:56] {rambler} bot IDT S 29.00  stop 28.90
[11:58] {rambler} just missed VHC...
[12:10] {rambler} bot AVL 9.75   stop 9.65
[12:13] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  47 break
[12:14] {nemo} might think about tna long above .12
[12:14] {Threei}  so, what are our bets for the chances of government shutdown today?
[12:14] {rambler} 60/40
[12:14] {nemo} or IWM if too much volatility on tna
[12:15] {Threei}  seems to me from the rhetorics both sides ar confident they'll be able to put the blame on another
[12:15] {nemo} weird price action
[12:15] {Threei}  so I'll say 70/30
[12:16] {nemo} bet there's a huge market rally if it shuts down
[12:16] {Threei}  Dems: GOP Is Attacking Women's Health
[12:17] {Threei}  idiots
[12:17] {nemo} 1:1 tna
[12:17] {rambler} IDT running....
[12:17] {nemo} might stall at iwm .54
[12:18] {nemo} stop is .09
[12:18] {rambler} out IDT  ...+ .25
[12:22] {rambler} AVL stop to b/e...
[12:23] {nemo} scalpers win
[12:27] {rambler} IDT looking higher...
[12:28] {nemo} KLAC looking very sick
[12:33] {nemo} spy is just riding that trendline from yesterday morning
[12:33] {rambler} whats your read on IDT Vad...?
[12:34] {Threei}  hard to tell
[12:34] {Threei}  50/50
[12:35] {nemo} EXPE
[12:36] {rambler} I think I'ii wait for break 30 with Vol....then swing...
[12:36] {rambler} maybe...
[12:40] {nemo} EXPE think is long above 25 and short below .80, or play bounce of .80 and short at 25
[12:41] {nemo} then .50 might be bounce
[12:43] {Threei}  frikin CREE
[12:43] {Threei}  now it works
[12:44] {rambler} out AVL  +.12
[12:52] {rambler} CAAS looking short Vad....?
[12:52] {Threei}  thin one...
[12:52] {Threei}  11 break, maybe
[12:52] {Threei}  keep shares smallish
[12:55] {nemo} PAAS
[12:55] {nemo} interesting area
[12:55] {nemo} bounce or drop...need .50 area consolidation
[12:55] {nemo} maybe not
[13:04] {Threei}  Boehner on TV
[13:08] {Threei}  nothing yet
[13:09] {nemo} expe broke
[13:09] {rambler} bot CASS 11.20   stop 11.10
[13:11] {nemo} paas short here?
[13:12] {Threei}  no trigger that I see
[13:12] {rambler} CAAS stop to b/e...
[13:15] {Threei}  tea party guy from mempnis insists they want spending cut by, sit for this, 61B...
[13:16] {Threei}  color me unimpressed
[13:17] {rambler} Vad, please light fire under CASSes ass....
[13:18] {rambler} CAASes ass.....
[13:19] {patience} sold half position of slw +.58
[13:20] {patience} too funny, silver goes higher now
[13:21] {ese} Am outta here have a great weekend all
[13:21] {rambler} cya ese......
[13:21] {RonS} cya ese
[13:21] {Threei}  take care ese, have a good one
[13:22] {nemo} APA intersting
[13:24] {nemo} crissakes oil 112.33
[13:24] {rambler} out CAAS.....+.20....
[13:27] {Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .50 break
[13:27] {Threei}  if stays under .60
[13:30] {patience} gold and silver just jumped
[13:31] {patience} yup, should have held on my slw
[13:31] {nemo} I'm amazed how the market is digesting the rise in oil prices
[13:31] {rambler} same sad story here Patience....
[13:32] {nemo} yeah, looking at slw, there was no trendline break
[13:32] {Threei}  sad eh... cry me a river
[13:32] {rambler} where do I buy that crystal ball....
[13:32] {nemo} cry you a cesspool
[13:45] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .70 break
[13:45] {Threei}  if stays under .80
[13:47] {Threei}  let's make it more aggressive
[13:48] {Threei}  .75 break
[13:48] {Threei}  same stop
[13:52] {Threei}  still valid, IMO
[13:53] {Threei}  stops is wider by just a cent or two
[14:05] {Threei}  SLW
[14:05] {Threei}  sharp turn
[14:07] {patience} damm, cancel the boob job and tummy tuck appointment
[14:07] {patience} sorry....just a bit bored
[14:07] {rambler} charge it...!!!!
[14:07] {patience} YES!!!!
[14:08] {rambler} just do it...put it on hubbies card...
[14:09] {patience} no hubby, i pay all the bills
[14:11] {rambler} o.k. Vad, the pressure all on you...dig something up....quick..
[14:12] {Threei}  save the boob job?
[14:13] {rambler} save it...!
[14:14] {Threei}  or free Willy?
[14:14] {Threei}  dilemma...
[14:14] {rambler} TZA popping...
[14:17] {Threei}  IMO, selloff into the eod
[14:18] {rambler} fricking TZA...why don't I ever buy that thing....?
[14:20] {rambler} must have a mental block about buying 'Bear Shares'....
[14:23] {RonS} oil 112.83
[14:24] {Threei}  do you have mental block about shorting?
[14:25] {rambler} nope...
[14:26] {Threei}  what's the problem with going long on inverse ETF then :)
[14:26] {rambler} I wish I knew...lol...
[14:26] {Threei}  (US) Sen Baucus (D-MT): Senate Democrats considering holding a separate vote on birth control funding to break Congressional budget deadlock
[14:26] {Threei}  it's easy
[14:26] {Threei}  enter the symbol,
[14:26] {Threei}  click the price,
[14:27] {Threei}  then gently push buy button
[14:27] {rambler} weird huh..
[14:27] {rambler} I'll get over it...
[14:28] {RonS} maybe he's Polish, and the Polish logic of going long a short gives him a short circuit
[14:28] {RonS} :)
[14:28] {rambler} just like the calculater...
[14:29] {RonS} ya, passed on those HP's...TI only...
[14:30] {rambler} those were the days....
[14:36] {RonS} naz breaking support
[14:45] {RonS} wow cree
[14:45] {rambler} more down....
[14:50] {patience} this feels like a fund margin implosion....like i would know   :)
[14:51] {rambler} hypothetical TZA 'exit stage left area'....
[14:53] {nemo} iwm support at .70
[14:53] {Threei}  just exit in case of government shutdown
[14:53] {nemo} patience...with the government shutting down, and oil exploding who wants to be long
[14:54] {Threei}  right
[14:57] {Threei} Short Setup: X  .70 break
[14:58] {nemo} frickin buy programs
[14:59] {patience} yup, i'm not on margin, only holding slw at this point and its stabilizing....not alot of volume do this dump in price so i'm just watching it
[15:00] {nemo} cost short here?
[15:00] {Threei}  .30
[15:00] {nemo} yeah had an alert on it all day
[15:03] {rambler} more than a scalp Vad...?
[15:03] {Threei}  I think so
[15:03] {Threei}  but let's partial
[15:03] {Threei}  snapback can be vicious
[15:05] {nemo} we're getting a snap back
[15:06] {Threei}  just a low volume small bounce so far
[15:07] {patience} exactly
[15:07] {nemo} yeah, but how much volume it gonna take on a Friday
[15:09] {nemo} we scalped the bottom
[15:09] {Threei}  (PO) IMF confirms receipt of loan request from Portugal; will move forward quickly
[15:09] {Threei}  - Reminder: Earlier the EU's Rehn commented that there was the expectation for 2/3 of the bailout funds for Portugal to come from EU, and 1/3 from the IMF, will follow similar logic and structure of earlier packages
[15:10] {Threei}  George Soros: ECB"s rate hike this week was inappropriate - TV interview
[15:10] {Threei}  - Chinese inflation is a serious concern for the country, wage pressures may mount.
[15:10] {nemo} out cost
[15:13] {nemo} I see the problem, we went short with spy right at gap support
[15:14] {nemo} that will likely hold for the day
[15:14] {patience} ok, sold out another quarter of slw..will leave remainder  to ride over the weekend
[15:16] {nemo} I was so stupid...I said IWM support at .70 too
[15:23] {patience} nope, cashed out, have a great weekend guys
[15:23] {Threei}  have a good weekend
[15:24] {rambler} yup, have a good one....
[15:24] {Threei}  another bout of selling is coming, IMO
[15:35] {Threei}  nope... support held
[15:37] {Threei}  tiresome day... can't wait for Monday
[15:37] {Threei}  some of tension in the wir will resolve
[15:37] {Threei}  air too
[15:37] {nemo} be interesting which way it gaps
[15:38] {rambler} earnings reports good for scalp setups Vad...?
[15:39] {Threei}  right at the report time?
[15:39] {Threei}  good luck getting a fill
[15:47] {nemo} that's enough suffering for one week  c u Monday
[15:48] {Threei}  thank you all, jave a good weekend
[15:48] {Threei}  see you all on Monday
[15:48] {Threei}  with or withiout govrnment
[15:48] {rambler} thanks Vad, cya all.....

Thursday, April 7, 2011

Apr 07 2011

Jellyfish-like day with some nice wins but more stops than I would have liked. Fortunately we kept whole day to half lot, to get back in the groove after vacation so the damage was minimal, but finished in red nonetheless.


Session Time: Thu Apr 07 00:00:00 2011
[08:43] {Threei}  *(US) INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 382K V 385KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 3.723M V 3.70ME (lowest continuing claims since Oct 2008)
[08:43] {Threei}  - Prior Initial Jobless Claims revised higher from 388K to 392K
[08:43] {Threei}  - Prior Continuing Claims revised higher from 3.714M to 3.732M
[08:43] {davd} i got here early to be the first to say welcome back 3i
[08:43] {Threei}  thank you!
[08:44] {Threei}  (CA) CANADA FEB BUILDING PERMITS M/M: 9.9% V 1.3%E
[08:44] {Threei}  lol, who does those estimates
[08:45] {Threei}  how to you miss by factor 7 or 8
[08:45] {Threei}  how was trading this week?
[08:45] {nemo} what I miss slacker?
[08:45] {Threei}  nothing much, just firing things up
[08:45] {nemo} Monday I was hot, tues slightly positive, Wed was so cloudy, just couple small trades
[08:46] {Threei}  (PO) Portugal to make formal request for aid later today; no comment on size of request
[08:46] {Threei}  - Aid request has certain limitations due to govt's caretaker capacity, and cannot be a short term loan.
[08:46] {Threei}  ***Reminder: Portugal's snap elections on Sunday, 5th June
[08:46] {davd} nemo used oy vey and wagner in the same sentence - impressive!
[08:46] {Threei}  lol
[08:46] {Threei}  heh, I see Portugal ended pretense
[08:47] {nemo} yeah, see BBBY?
[08:47] {Threei}  who would have thought bailout was needed after all, eh
[08:48] {Threei}  yeah, reported yesterday
[08:48] {davd} in all fairness to portugal - they only said they wouldn't need a bailout every day for a week :/
[08:48] {Threei}  true
[08:52] {nemo} So, how much higher can oil go before things start to tank again
[08:52] {Threei}  who knows
[08:52] {Threei}  there are so many angles of breakage
[08:53] {davd} its like the "Acceptable amt of radioactivity" - just raise the amt when it gets to high
[08:53] {Threei}  oil being just one of them
[08:53] {nemo} Yeah, soon we won't need nightlighting or flashlights
[08:55] {Threei}  potrugal announced aid request after market yesterday? or during?
[08:56] {davd} they say wti at 109 is "critical number".  y'day wti touched 109 and the market reversed downward
[08:56] {davd} during ours, after theirs
[08:56] {Threei}  did market react at the time?
[08:57] {davd} actually, not really imo
[08:57] {Threei}  so, was pretty much a given
[08:57] {Threei}  (EU) ECB Trichet: Rate hike decision was unanimous, have not decided whether today's increase is the first of a series or not
[08:57] {Threei}  - Q&A- ECB will take the appropriate decisions to maintain price stabiliy as we have in the past
[08:57] {Threei}  - Encouraged Portugal to ask for support.
[08:57] {nemo} Oh Oh  http://www.debka.com/article/20817/
[08:58] {davd} fxe stayed up all day but no pop/drop - gold stayed up but no pop/drop
[08:58] {RonS} gm...everyone knows that Iran has been fulminating this thing in Bahrain so how is this news?
[08:59] {Threei}  Ron :)
[08:59] {nemo} the Iraq angle
[09:02] {davd} im getting nauseous
[09:05] {ese} gm
[09:05] {larisa} gm :)
[09:06] {Threei}  ese, larisa :)
[09:06] {ese} laris david
[09:06] {davd} ese larisa
[09:06] {ese} ahhhhhhhh......Vad's back..........rested are ya chief?
[09:06] {patience} welcome back vad
[09:06] {larisa} davd, ese, vad :)
[09:06] {Threei}  patience :)
[09:06] {Threei}  pretty much ese
[09:06] {ese} patience
[09:06] {Threei}  amazing what three days with no connection to outer world do to one's psyche
[09:07] {ese} I think we've been doin ok........take the day off
[09:07] {ese} lol
[09:07] {Threei}  inhaled in two days a book that would have taken me couple weeks under "normal" way of life
[09:07] {nemo} What?  Dick and Jane?   Spot?
[09:07] {ese} can identify
[09:08] {ese} ouch
[09:08] {nemo} dcc Ron
[09:09] {gen} gm all
[09:09] {Threei}  gen :)
[09:12] {davd} patience - re currency, i have an open order to buy on ycs at 16.85 (close to 20dma)
[09:13] {RonS} zagg ziggy w/ logi distribution deal
[09:13] {RonS} 3i, does rimm daily say up to you?
[09:16] {Threei}  potential is there... break of 56 - 56.30 zone is a signal
[09:16] {Threei}  I know it sounds surprizing, unexpected etc, but SLW looks like open short to me...
[09:17] {RonS} euro tried push higher but pulled back
[09:17] {Threei}  Euro vs US Dollar Euro drifting to session lows below 1.4260 as Trichet comments show absence of hawkish tone
[09:20] {rambler} morning.....
[09:21] {Threei}  rambler :)
[09:22] {rambler} good break Vad...?
[09:22] {Threei}  beautiful
[09:24] {Threei}  even 3 days away create this impression that so many things musrt have happened
[09:25] {Threei}  then you get back, and except for Portugal everything is where you left it
[09:25] {Threei}  well, actually Portugal is there too, lol
[09:25] {rambler} you need 2 weeks...
[09:26] {Threei}  let's start with half lot trades until I feel I am back in saddle
[09:26] {patience} thanks Davd....i'll look at it now, had to see to the needs of the 5 animals before market opens...each one has their routine every morning
[09:26] {Threei}  (MX) USGS: magnitude 6.7 earthquake reported off the coast of Veracruz, Mexico
[09:27] {RonS} bill haley and the comets
[09:31] {jfjf64} mornin
[09:31] {Threei}  jf :)
[09:31] {jfjf64} wecome bk
[09:31] {nemo} you're early
[09:31] {Threei}  jf :)ty
[09:31] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .65 reak
[09:31] {jfjf64} your nemo
[09:31] {Threei}  if stays under .75
[09:32] {ese} intelliscan not working here
[09:32] {Threei} Short Setup: X  .10 break
[09:32] {Threei}  if stays under .25
[09:33] {Threei}  X invalidated
[09:34] {Threei}  no go SLW
[09:34] {nemo} there ya' go shorting slw outta the box
[09:34] {nemo} that means it'll work tomorrow
[09:37] {ese} L zagg .71
[09:37] {Threei}  scanner OK here ese
[09:37] {ese} sm
[09:37] {ese} just started working
[09:37] {ese} took it at least 5 min
[09:38] {jfjf64} il flyin
[09:39] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .70 break
[09:39] {Threei}  if stays under .85
[09:40] {Threei}  still half lot, remember
[09:40] {nemo} thought it was a double
[09:40] {nemo} oh, sorry, that's my drink
[09:40] {Threei}  nope
[09:41] {ese} stop to .69 zagg
[09:41] {jfjf64} lvs pullbk
[09:42] {RonS} whither dino?
[09:42] {nemo} golfing
[09:42] {Threei}  Spot gold hits fresh all-time high above $1,462/oz
[09:43] {nemo} thank you portugal
[09:43] {Threei}  and Ben
[09:44] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .50 break
[09:44] {Threei}  if stays above .40
[09:44] {Threei}  target is .80 or so
[09:44] {Threei}  invalidated
[09:45] {Threei}  not off radar though
[09:45] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .40 break
[09:45] {Threei}  if stays above .30
[09:47] {Threei}  1:1
[09:48] {Threei}  half out .55
[09:48] {Threei}  stop to .35
[09:48] {jfjf64} ty
[09:48] {Threei}  1:2
[09:51] {davd} short slw 46.36
[09:52] {Threei}  X stop to .45
[09:53] {ese} out zagg .75 +.04
[09:55] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .75 break
[09:55] {Threei}  if stays above .65
[09:56] {nemo} fun,huh davd
[09:56] {Threei}  works
[09:57] {davd} si
[09:59] {nemo} iwm spy want yesterday's highs
[09:59] {Threei}  nice drop SLW
[10:01] {davd} out slw .1
[10:01] {davd} 3i is my hero
[10:01] {nemo} we'll start calling you kschun
[10:01] {davd} bless you
[10:02] {Threei}  please don't, lol
[10:02] {Threei}  I barely handled one
[10:02] {Threei}  no go RIMM
[10:08] {nemo} mmmmhhhh, I think we're in the preearnings blahhhh period
[10:08] {nemo} unless we have exogenous events
[10:08] {nemo} MCP might be bull flagging
[10:09] {jfjf64} dtop  hpq
[10:09] {jfjf64} ?
[10:09] {Threei}  .80 break is more likely
[10:12] {Threei}  (US) US Senate majority leader Reid (D-NV): Hopeful for a vote on budget by the end of the week, numbers are basically there on a budget deal
[10:12] {Threei}  - Not as optimistic as was yesterday on a budget deal, notes that ideology is preventing the deal (comments that issues surrounding abortion are making an agreement difficult)
[10:12] {Threei}  - Calls the 1 week stopgap bill proposed by the Republicans is a non starter in Congress, is a sure wy to close the Govt down
[10:15] {nemo} low volume but fast could be a short here
[10:16] {Threei} Long Setup:  CLNE  .85
[10:18] {Threei}  invalidation under .70
[10:18] {davd} gov shutdwn more likelu
[10:20] {Threei}  let's make it aggressive
[10:20] {Threei}  .75 break
[10:21] {Threei}  with stop under ,65
[10:23] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .20 break
[10:24] {Threei}  stop under .10, target 1:2
[10:27] {Threei}  CLNE invalidated
[10:28] {Threei}  no go fcx
[10:30] {jfjf64} 3i   take rest of day  off
[10:30] {jfjf64} lol
[10:31] {nemo} my opinion  spy bounces at pivot .59, tna/iwm should head north from that point
[10:31] {nemo} spy is at vwap now,
[10:32] {nemo} put it this way, the probability is at least a bounce there
[10:32] {Threei}  dino effect
[10:32] {Threei}  losing tune with market over vacation
[10:32] {nemo} here it is
[10:34] {jfjf64} nem  dtop
[10:35] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .60 break
[10:35] {nemo} that high volume candle set stop above .65?
[10:37] {Threei}  well, that's for a tight scalp
[10:38] {Threei}  I'd prefer .70
[10:38] {Threei}  1:1
[10:39] {ese} dive dive dive!!!!11
[10:39] {davd} something big happned
[10:39] {ese} hat the heck is goin on there
[10:39] {ese} WHO??????  opened there mouth
[10:39] {Threei}  (JP) Earthquake strikes northeastern Japan, tsunami alert issued - Japan press
[10:39] {Threei}  here
[10:39] {nemo} oy frickin vay
[10:40] {ese} double that for me
[10:40] {rambler} vxx splodes.....
[10:41] {davd} i see nothing on cnn
[10:41] {Threei}  1:2
[10:41] {Threei}  oe 3
[10:41] {ese} 7.4 magnitude quake
[10:41] {nemo} oh jeez
[10:42] {ese} man they haven't even gotten over the first one
[10:42] {Threei}  I think this planet is anxious to shake us off
[10:42] {davd} tsunami alert japan
[10:42] {Threei}  and hey, who could blame it
[10:43] {ese} yup
[10:43] {Threei}  everyone's closed RIMM?
[10:44] {jfjf64} die rimmmmmmmmm
[10:44] {jfjf64} not me
[10:44] {nemo} iwm at yesterday's lows spy bounced of of S2 and multi time frame pivot support
[10:44] {Threei}  careful jf... bounce will be vicious when comes
[10:44] {jfjf64} hv 500 shares left
[10:45] {nemo} .69-.70 key for spy
[10:46] {nemo} spy may be dbing
[10:46] {jfjf64} out
[10:46] {jfjf64} 3i out of jf s   dog  house
[10:46] {rambler} way to hang in there jf....
[10:47] {jfjf64} ty
[10:47] {jfjf64} was hard
[10:47] {jfjf64} lol
[10:47] {Threei}  welcome, and next time, please leave some bacon in tyhat dog house, will ya
[10:47] {ese} lstr L sm .85
[10:47] {jfjf64} 100 %
[10:48] {Threei}  see the bounce, jf?
[10:48] {Threei}  told yas, vicious
[10:48] {jfjf64} yes
[10:49] {Threei}  watch RIMM for long entry on double bottom if pulls back to about .10
[10:50] {nemo} Fukushima expecting tsnunami 6 minutes
[10:50] {Threei}  projected t be about 1 meter high
[10:50] {nemo} yep
[10:51] {ese} is that good or bad?
[10:51] {nemo} bad but better than it could be
[10:52] {RonS} depends if you are taller than that
[10:52] {nemo} Hobbits are screwed
[10:52] {RonS} :)
[10:53] {RonS} bright side is their is a boom in radioactive surfing
[10:53] {nemo} nightsurfing
[10:54] {RonS} gives new meaning to the phrase "in the pipe"
[10:54] {davd} rons not planning to audition for duck
[10:56] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .35 break
[10:56] {Threei}  if stays under .45
[10:57] {Threei}  target is 1:2 with partials, and then reversal
[10:58] {jfjf64} like plan   skipper
[10:59] {Threei}  let's trail stop to above .40
[10:59] {Threei}  very unclear here with this tsunami expectation
[11:00] {Threei}  want to stay on a safe side
[11:01] {Threei}  if no damage is reported and no tsunami threat, market can explode
[11:03] {jfjf64} nem
[11:04] {jfjf64} 58.00
[11:04] {jfjf64} breakdn
[11:04] {nemo} helluva stop
[11:04] {Threei}  watching SLW for long entry on pullback
[11:04] {Threei}  dsirable under .60
[11:04] {Threei}  desirably
[11:06] {Threei}  out RIMM
[11:13] {Threei}  market lost drive, no push either way
[11:14] {rambler} MIPS breaking out .....
[11:23] {gregns} RIMM breakdown of .25 ?
[11:24] {Threei}  nah... volume all but dried up on this pullback
[11:24] {gregns} ty
[11:24] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .80 break
[11:24] {Threei}  stop under .70
[11:26] {nemo} CREE
[11:27] {Threei}  looks breaky to me
[11:28] {Threei}  but my brain obviously is still on vacation
[11:28] {nemo} yeah, except pivot is .94 and it's sitting at vwap in  a flat market
[11:28] {Threei}  no go X
[11:32] {patience} in Fortuna Silver (fvi.to) ... not sure if it is a scalp or longer...profitable though
[11:34] {RonS} hearing M halt
[11:34] {Threei}  yes
[11:34] {Threei}  circuit breaker
[11:35] {Threei}  don't see any big moves on it thopugh
[11:36] {RonS} looks like fat finger
[11:38] {nemo} another nuclear plant had power cut
[11:39] {RonS} in Japan?
[11:39] {nemo} yep
[11:44] {Threei}  market feels like waiting for the next headline rather than trading on its own
[11:47] {Threei}  gosh... just notice AONE daily
[11:47] {Threei}  what a sad story
[11:48] {davd} gold lod re gld
[11:48] {Threei}  SLW too
[11:54] {Threei}  commentsd from Fed
[11:54] {Threei}  (US) Fed's Lacker: FOMC rates hikes are certainly possible before end of 2011, given inflation and economic outlook; does not see the ECB hike as "showing the way" for the Fed
[11:54] {Threei}  - Believes the Fed should sell off all of its MBS holdings, does not believe the Fed should hold anything except USTs.
[11:54] {Threei}  - Inflation risks have significantly increased over the last six months.
[11:59] {rambler} bot DGW L 4.00   stop 3.90
[12:06] {Threei}  (US) Democrat aide reiterates claims the two sides are nearing a deal, numbers are essentially agreed upon yet ideological issues remain - financial press
[12:06] {Threei} Short Setup: BBBY  .90 break half lot
[12:07] {Threei}  if stays under 55.05
[12:08] {Threei}  target is about .60
[12:08] {Threei}  bizarre line:
[12:08] {Threei}  Southwest Airlines Inc Planes that earlier showed signs of cracking should be patched and back into service by this coming weekend - financial press
[12:09] {Threei}  remind me to fly Northwest
[12:09] {Threei}  BBBY invalidated
[12:15] {rambler} stooped on DGW
[12:16] {rambler} stopped
[12:16] {nemo} spy may pause around .20, no further bad news, gets back to at least .38 today
[12:17] {rambler} SCON pops on vol and flagging.....
[12:18] {Threei}  BBBY is back on radar as short, just want a bounce to 55
[12:20] {nemo} bastid
[12:22] {Threei}  grrr
[12:27] {Threei}  (US) Senate Majority Leader Reid (D-NV): Both sides are coming very close to a deal on spending cuts, although women's health and environmental issues are still holding up the process
[12:27] {Threei}  - Claims that the Republicans have made the decision to shut down Govt
[12:27] {Threei}  - Follow up: President Obama pledges to veto any further stop-gap funding bills.
[12:28] {Threei}  sounds to me like both sides just jokeying for position, trying to make the other side at fault for the shutdown
[12:28] {nemo} 57 area HOT might be short
[12:32] {ese} .
[12:36] {nemo} dumb me, did I say spy .38, should have said .60
[12:41] {nemo} wow may have new highs on the indexes
[12:48] {Threei}  BBBY got away
[12:51] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .50 break
[12:51] {Threei}  stop under .40
[12:51] {Threei}  target .90
[13:03] {nemo} who pulled the plug
[13:03] {Threei}  no news
[13:03] {Threei}  sigh
[13:03] {Threei}  some days are just not meant to be
[13:03] {nemo} support at .36
[13:05] {nemo} 109.90 oil
[13:08] {nemo} 110
[13:09] {ese} ya this would be one of them days
[13:09] {nemo} yep  them thar days
[13:10] {nemo} 110.23
[13:11] {nemo} big volume coming into oil over 110
[13:12] {nemo} mmhhhh, bbby
[13:19] {ese} L AVL .40
[13:25] {rambler} ese. if AVL gets thru 9.50 could run...
[13:28] {Threei}  (US) Congressional Budget Office: Budget deficit estimated at $830B v -$717B yy
[13:28] {Threei}  - outlays +11% y/y, revenues +7% y/y
[13:29] {Threei}  incurable, eh?
[13:31] {ese} thats the key rambler......decent setup but nothin happening
[13:39] {ese} I I I I.............I don't believe it...........I'm making some money.....25 bucks but hey!
[13:45] {rambler} this is where I bought AVL last go around....
[13:47] {nemo} crash coming
[13:49] {ese} out AVL .53 +.13
[13:50] {rambler} gj ese...
[13:52] {rambler} looks like REE lifting again...
[13:52] {ese} ya
[14:01] {Threei}  MCP...
[14:01] {Threei}  68 break is tempting short
[14:03] {nemo} I had been thinking the same thing, just such a strong stock
[14:03] {Threei}  caught .95
[14:04] {nemo} don't overstay your welcom
[14:04] {Threei}  covered half .77
[14:04] {nemo} don't know why have support line drawn in bottom of that doji
[14:04] {nemo} oh, high yesterday
[14:06] {nemo} cat sjprt be;pw /40?
[14:06] {jfjf64} i miss anything
[14:06] {nemo} or too much support
[14:07] {Threei}  not really jf
[14:07] {nemo} cat short below .40?
[14:07] {Threei}  looks right
[14:08] {nemo} aggressive would be if it can't get by that volume bar at .50
[14:09] {jfjf64} ?   lookin  to break .50  then short  ?
[14:10] {nemo} oh oh
[14:13] {Threei}  AIG
[14:13] {Threei}  American International Group, Inc Confirms that AIG participated in Maiden Lane aution yesterday, had several winning bids for MBS assets - CNBC
[14:14] {nemo} got wicked out of cat short
[14:15] {nemo} rinse cat
[14:17] {jfjf64} ?   lookin  to break .50  then short  ?
[14:17] {nemo} ?
[14:17] {jfjf64} guess not
[14:17] {nemo} tried .40 break, got wicked out above .50
[14:18] {Threei}  AIG looks serious
[14:18] {nemo} volume dried up
[14:19] {jfjf64} i follow nemo   just didnt understand  ya post at 14:07
[14:21] {nemo} yeah, if it approached and a lot of volume came in under the big offers at .50, woulda' likely meant a drop
[14:22] {nemo} 50 important for POT
[14:23] {nemo} 59.00 sorry
[14:23] {nemo} inflection point
[14:27] {nemo} should go to .50 if works
[14:28] {nemo} maybe even .30
[14:29] {RonS} oil futes at 110.33
[14:32] {jfjf64} cost    .30 break    i/cup
[14:32] {nemo} was just looking at that
[14:33] {Threei}  (US) House of Reps begins vote on one week stopgap measures; has now passed and will move to Senate
[14:33] {Threei}  - Would fund Pentagon through Sept 30, and Govt through April 15
[14:33] {Threei}  - Reminder: The President has threatened to veto the stopgap measure assuming the Senate passes it
[14:33] {nemo} republicans got the democrats right where the democrats want them
[14:34] {jfjf64} 2  i/cups
[14:34] {jfjf64} daily chart
[14:34] {jfjf64} today
[14:35] {jfjf64} scratch that
[14:39] {nemo} mmmhhhh play short at resistance on POT?
[14:39] {Threei}  not here, imo
[14:39] {Threei}  10-15 cents higher, probably
[14:43] {nemo} got some nice pennants forming on spy and iwm
[14:47] {rambler} bot SCON 3.40  stop 3.30
[14:55] {RonS} headline of the day:  Crack spread gets hammered
[14:56] {nemo} drinking problem and crack?
[14:59] {rambler} out SCON  +.25
[15:03] {RonS} gj
[15:04] {rambler} thks, put me at b/e for the day...
[15:05] {Threei}  outdid me then
[15:05] {rambler} one of those days...
[15:13] {ese} enough......enough already.......c you al tomorrow
[15:13] {nemo} insha Alah
[15:14] {ese} ahhhhh yaaaaa eggzactilly
[15:14] {Threei}  take care ese
[15:14] {nemo} you speak Arabic?
[15:15] {rambler} cya ese
[15:26] {nemo} gotta' go c u 2morow
[15:27] {Threei}  take care nemo
[15:27] {RonS} cya nemo
[15:27] {Threei}  GLD...
[15:27] {Threei}  .40 break looks nice, but I doubt it has much room
[15:28] {Threei}  maybe a scalp
[15:28] {nemo} too much support at .30
[15:32] {larisa} RIMM day low
[15:33] {Threei}  thinking break?
[15:33] {larisa} 1.5 $ downtrend already
[15:33] {larisa} 0.5
[15:34] {rambler} SCON trying here.....
[15:37] {Threei}  Acer Inc Anticipating component shortages for its tablet and smartphone devices - DigiTimes- Citing comments from Taiwan unit president Scott Lin.
[15:37] {Threei}  - Long-term, Lin says war of tablets just started; Android-devices to surpass Apple.
[15:46] {davd} .
[15:46] {davd} can it go green?
[15:46] {Threei}  well
[15:46] {Threei}  anything can happen
[15:46] {Threei}  but I doubt it
[15:46] {Threei}  matket is like jellyfish
[15:46] {Threei}  no energy
[15:47] {davd} i think will go green because just past 1333
[15:49] {Threei}  NDX is green actually
[15:49] {Threei}  flashed for a second at least
[15:49] {davd} see i was right
[15:50] {Threei}  hey, being right today is very easy
[15:50] {Threei}  just object whatever I say
[15:50] {Threei}  can't miss
[15:56] {Threei}  OK, to emphasize just how pathetic today is, taking 4 cents scalp GLD
[15:56] {Threei}  lol
[15:56] {Threei}  OK guys, thank you all for your patience, have a good evening
[15:56] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:56] {larisa} bye :)
[15:58] {davd} i liked the slw short!
[15:58] {davd} you have a happy customer at least.  almost as good as making money
[15:58] {Threei}  lol
[15:58] {rambler} bot SHZ  5.36 for ON hold
[15:59] {rambler} thanks 3i, cya all tomorrow...

Friday, April 1, 2011

Apr 01 2011

I am taking short 3-days vacation, so the next trading log will be posted on Thu, Apr 6. 


Session Time: Fri Apr 01 00:00:00 2011
[08:05] {strider} .
[08:33] {Threei}  *(US) MAR CHANGE IN NONFARM PAYROLLS: 216K V 190KE; CHANGE IN PRIVATE PAYROLLS: 230K V 208KE- Change in Manufacturing Payrolls: 17K v +30Ke
[08:34] {Threei}  *(US) MAR UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 8.8% V 8.9%E (lowest since March 2009)- Feb civilian labor force Participation Rate 64.2% v 64.2% m/m
[08:34] {Threei}  *(US) MAR AVG HOURLY EARNING M/M: 0.0% V 0.2%E; AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS: 34.3 V 34.3E- Prior Average Weekly Earnings revised higher from 34.2 to 34..3
[08:35] {Threei}  ain't everything hunky-dory
[08:44] {strider} LOGI
[09:07] {dino} gm all
[09:07] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:10] {Threei}  Deutsche Bank AG CEO: Does not plan to increase capital; opposed the 'too big to fail' surcharge
[09:10] {Threei}  no kidding... what idiocy
[09:11] {Threei}  you are deemed big and important - we will levy a fee for that
[09:21] {ese} top of the mornin to ya.....or is that bottom
[09:21] {rambler} morning all...
[09:22] {Threei}  ese, rambler :)
[09:22] {RonS} howdy pards
[09:22] {Threei}  ron :)
[09:22] {ese} yo ron
[09:25] {Threei}  you'll be shocked by my first trading idea for this morning...
[09:25] {Threei}  anyone venture to guess?
[09:25] {strider} short slw
[09:25] {Threei}  hehe
[09:28] {dino} agq blood
[09:28] {dino} logi
[09:29] {Threei}  lowered outlook
[09:29] {Threei}  for 2011
[09:29] {Threei}  also watching LUNA
[09:30] {Threei}  should bounce somewhere soon
[09:30] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .10 break
[09:31] {Threei}  if stays under .25
[09:31] {Threei}  half lot, spreads are jumpy
[09:31] {nemo} and lots of support at 43
[09:31] {jfjf64} yello
[09:31] {Threei}  jf :)
[09:32] {Threei}  should be ready to tank now
[09:32] {Threei}  43 be broken
[09:32] {jfjf64} in
[09:33] {nemo} I'll sit this one out
[09:33] {Threei}  price be cascading
[09:33] {Threei}  cascading it is
[09:33] {Threei}  1:1
[09:34] {jfjf64} yeahhhhhhhhhhhh
[09:35] {jfjf64} when nemo sat out   quickly  put another lot on
[09:35] {jfjf64} ty nemo
[09:35] {Threei}  lol
[09:35] {nemo} yw
[09:35] {jfjf64} bounce ready
[09:35] {jfjf64} ?
[09:36] {Threei}  nah
[09:36] {nemo} fcx crashing
[09:36] {jfjf64} wow
[09:37] {jfjf64} bp
[09:37] {jfjf64} .38
[09:37] {jfjf64} longgggggggggg
[09:37] {Threei} Short Setup: X  54 break half lot
[09:38] {Threei}  if stays under .10
[09:38] {jfjf64} in bp
[09:39] {Threei}  no go
[09:39] {nemo} wow mon
[09:40] {davd} mon is up with corn
[09:40] {Threei}  Fitch places Ireland ratings on Negative Watch from Stable
[09:40] {Threei}  **Reminder: On Dec 9th Fitch cut the sovereign rating three notches to "BBB+" with a stable outlook
[09:40] {Threei}  **Insight: S&P cut Irelandsovereign rating earlier today after the release of the Irish bank stress test yesterday.
[09:40] {nemo} well the vernacular, depending on where you are would be "down" with corn
[09:43] {Threei}  X rinse
[09:43] {jfjf64} mos read
[09:43] {jfjf64} ?
[09:43] {jfjf64} .80.00
[09:44] {Threei}  I think so
[09:44] {nemo} jumped
[09:45] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  55 break
[09:45] {Threei}  half lot
[09:45] {Threei}  if stays under .15
[09:46] {dino} pcar
[09:46] {Threei}  argh X
[09:47] {Threei}  1:1
[09:47] {nemo} why didn't you think it would be a DB?
[09:48] {Threei}  not with such consolidation at support
[09:48] {Threei}  1;2
[09:49] {jfjf64} great readddddddddd
[09:49] {jfjf64} fcx
[09:49] {dino} pcar sm s .57 bstop .76
[09:50] {Threei}  X
[09:50] {Threei}  bounce time
[09:50] {Threei}  .30 break
[09:50] {Threei}  if holding .20
[09:51] {jfjf64} in
[09:51] {jfjf64} .29
[09:52] {Threei}  target .60
[09:52] {Threei}  maybe more
[09:52] {dino} recn
[09:53] {Threei}  1:1
[09:53] {dino} recn sm l .51
[09:54] {Threei}  1:2
[09:54] {jfjf64} out ty
[09:54] {RonS} caught .28 to .48  thanks 3i
[09:54] {Threei}  :)
[09:54] {Threei}  target hit
[09:54] {nemo} you still holding?
[09:54] {jfjf64} f     g     hey
[09:55] {jfjf64} nice
[09:55] {jfjf64} guess  need some bennies for vacation
[09:55] {Threei}  now, if I find out I die tomorrow and in my last interview I am asked for the last advice for new generations of traders, it qwill be: "Kids... short that SLW every morning..."
[09:56] {davd} 3i - you with sokol in x?
[09:56] {nemo} out .66
[09:56] {dino} recn stopped .39 -.12
[09:56] {Threei}  davd... what?
[09:56] {davd} dumb joke
[09:57] {Threei}  I am partial to those
[09:57] {Threei}  and have been know to make a few on my own
[09:57] {jfjf64} thats fine
[09:57] {jfjf64} lol
[09:58] {dino} pacr stopped -,19
[09:58] {ese} L MGM .54
[10:01] {Threei}  US) MAR ISM MANUFACTURING: 61.2 V 61.0E; PRICES PAID: 85.0 V 82.9E
[10:01] {ese} SEEING IF BREAKOUTS ARE WORKING TODAY
[10:01] {Threei}  (*(US) FEB CONSTRUCTION SPENDING M/M: -1.4% V -0.2%E
[10:01] {ese} opps
[10:01] {Threei}  (US) Fed's Dudley: Now is not the time to reverse policy and start to tighten
[10:01] {Threei}  - Notes that uncertainty still exists with regards to the timing and speed of labor market recovery, deflation risks diminished
[10:02] {ese} so far so good
[10:02] {ese} perfect....more cash for people to gamble
[10:03] {patience} i see qe3 in my tea leaves this morning
[10:03] {RonS} Macau reported gaming revs up 48% ese
[10:03] {Threei}  I don't believe it will happen... not openly at least
[10:03] {ese} wish i owned the casino
[10:04] {strider} rimm c&h
[10:04] {strider} inverse
[10:04] {dino} recn reload sm l .57
[10:04] {dino} .47
[10:06] {nemo} jumpy spread
[10:06] {nemo} might want that gap dino
[10:07] {dino} where below?
[10:07] {nemo} yeah
[10:07] {dino} i don't see it, where
[10:07] {nemo} 14.40
[10:07] {dino} ty
[10:08] {nemo} Oct 3rd or so
[10:08] {nemo} this low was on a really long lower tail doji, so it could hold
[10:09] {nemo} and it is where resistance became support
[10:09] {strider} cat climbing steadily
[10:11] {strider} fcx?
[10:12] {Threei}  can't tell
[10:12] {Threei}  my sympathies are on a short side
[10:12] {Threei}  but no clean setup
[10:13] {ese} out mgm .44 -.10......so much for break outs
[10:14] {jfjf64} d/top  mos
[10:14] {jfjf64} ?
[10:14] {Threei}  50/50
[10:14] {nemo} or just a pullback to trend
[10:14] {Threei}  yeah
[10:15] {Threei}  no clear indications
[10:15] {jfjf64} i see
[10:15] {jfjf64} thats the way i learn
[10:15] {nemo} now DE looks interesting
[10:16] {dino} recn stop
[10:17] {Threei}  X
[10:17] {Threei}  thinking short
[10:18] {Threei} Short Setup: X  .75 break
[10:18] {Threei}  if stays under .85
[10:21] {dino} jdsu sm l .45
[10:23] {dino} recn double rinse job
[10:23] {nemo} ran the firehose through, huh?
[10:23] {dino} lol
[10:24] {nemo} what news?
[10:24] {dino} earnings
[10:24] {nemo} ebix looks week
[10:24] {nemo} weak
[10:25] {Threei}  (EU) ECB's Bini Smaghi: Ratings agencies are behind the curve regarding Ireland; markets must be convinced that Portugal would move towards a sound fiscal policy
[10:25] {Threei}  - deciines to comment on buying of Portugese bonds
[10:29] {dino} jdsu stopped -.22, taking a break, i suck so far
[10:34] {Threei}  anyone played X short?
[10:34] {davd} brent hod re dbo
[10:34] {strider} yes
[10:34] {gregns} yup
[10:35] {Threei}  :)
[10:35] {strider} op on last 1/2
[10:35] {strider} stop
[10:35] {Threei}  yeah, bounce was a bit unrule
[10:35] {Threei}  unruly
[10:35] {ese} another one of these can't find nuttin days
[10:35] {strider} and we don't like unruly
[10:36] {Threei}  not at all... avopiding even looking in the mirror
[10:36] {Threei}  lest we find we cast no reflection
[10:37] {strider} a reflection defection?
[10:39] {strider} maybe you should check....
[10:39] {Threei}  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQtDFTUm370
[10:39] {strider} that would be a reflection defection inspection
[10:42] {Threei}  this one is better, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LtFGF0DT1fg
[10:45] {RonS} rimm gonna hang onto or break support?
[10:46] {Threei}  feels to me like break is more likely
[10:46] {strider} HIG?
[10:47] {Threei}  no read
[10:47] {Threei}  RIMM, I'd look for short into this bounce
[10:47] {Threei}  .90 reak
[10:47] {Threei}  with stop above 56
[10:48] {nemo} hig long pullback to .60?
[10:48] {Threei}  can't tell in dvance, gotta see how it gets there
[10:49] {Threei}  no go RIMM
[10:50] {nemo} ACI?
[10:51] {Threei}  toss a coin
[10:52] {dino} ffiv blood
[10:54] {dino} fnsr, jdsu too
[10:55] {Threei}  ACI, starts looking like long
[10:55] {Threei}  on 36 break
[10:55] {dino} recn last try sm l .50 break
[11:01] {ese} qihu
[11:02] {ese} opps typed that in the wrong spot....was meant for trade the news
[11:03] {RonS} aci still valid?
[11:03] {nemo} yep
[11:03] {nemo} stop...well I won't insult JF's intelligence
[11:03] {Threei}  as long as stays above .90
[11:03] {Threei}  lol
[11:03] {nemo} I let Vad
[11:04] {dino} jdsu rinsed too, that makes 3
[11:04] {nemo} rolled from me to you
[11:05] {dino} thanks
[11:05] {nemo} I'm sure it will come back my way
[11:05] {nemo} you've got big shoulders
[11:06] {strider} you in vad?
[11:06] {Threei}  yes... why?
[11:06] {Threei}  do you need some kind of reassurance?
[11:06] {strider} sorry, didn't see many shares traded
[11:06] {nemo} you're his binky
[11:06] {dino} lol
[11:07] {dino} tdsc spike
[11:07] {nemo} mmmhhh...another hour before I can drink
[11:07] {nemo} not my kind of volume
[11:14] {nemo} think MOS headed for a stealth break
[11:15] {dino} ipi sm l .80
[11:15] {RonS} was thinkin the same thing nemo...
[11:15] {RonS} only i do not know what it means
[11:15] {nemo} don't tell JF
[11:15] {Threei}  rofl
[11:17] {Threei}  oh come on ACI, do something before my vacation starts
[11:17] {nemo} why are you even coming back for Thu and Fri?
[11:18] {nemo} bingo mos
[11:18] {nemo} sneaky bastid
[11:18] {Threei}  just to have this tired and easy-to-forgive look when I grab a day here or there before the year end
06[11:20] * Threei kicks ACI in the rear
[11:23] {jfjf64} dont tell jf what
[11:23] {davd} brent at 1 yr high re dbo
[11:24] {RonS} ...had more excitement on a dino thinny than this aci...
[11:25] {Threei}  out
[11:25] {RonS} finally
[11:25] {dino} :D
[11:32] {nemo} Funny (or not)  After getting pasted yesterday, I had hunches on the MOS break and the FCX break above 55, but held back because the setups didn't seem ideal
[11:35] {rambler} L INHX 4.48  stop  4.40
[11:36] {nemo} o.k. Duane
[11:39] {nemo} mmmmhhhh slw
[11:41] {nemo} POT
[11:41] {davd} yes please
[11:41] {dino} recn to .87
[11:42] {nemo} red, gold, sinsemilla?
[11:42] {dino} reverse slip out .92, +.42
[11:44] {rambler} stopped on inhx
[11:45] {ese} rambler what do you like about inhx......been kinda watchin it most of the day
[11:47] {rambler} like the momentum,
[11:48] {ese} ya....so did i but for the life of me ....could not figure out where to get in
[11:48] {rambler} I know the feeling....
[11:48] {nemo} hey ese, got a question
[11:49] {nemo} yesterday you wrote "la luna bello"
[11:49] {nemo} would you use "bella" instead
[11:50] {nemo} yeah, so kick me for not taking that mos break...oy frickin vay
[11:51] {nemo} wow, nobody kicked me?
[11:54] {rambler} trying INXH here...4.37  stop 4.30
[11:59] {dino} here nemo, "KICK"
[12:00] {nemo} thanks Dino
[12:00] {rambler} raise stop 4.47
[12:00] {dino} np
[12:01] {ese} exfo dino ?
[12:01] {dino} had it on earlier, let me look
[12:01] {dino} bad report i think
[12:01] {ese} hey nemo .....a is femine o is masculine
[12:02] {nemo} yes, so it would be luna bella, yes?
[12:02] {dino} turning up, break .25
[12:02] {ese} ya should have been
[12:02] {ese} i F........ed up
[12:02] {nemo} ty...my italian was from my grandmother, never studied
[12:03] {ese} am lovin it
[12:03] {nemo} take a look at Romanian
[12:03] {ese} would not be able to find the time
[12:03] {rambler} stop hit
[12:03] {ese} love languages though
[12:04] {nemo} yeah, my uncle was a linguist, spoke 16
[12:05] {nemo} FCX vad .25 break, or lunchtime?
[12:05] {ese} whoa
[12:06] {Threei}  feels so dead, nemo
[12:06] {ese} thats amazing ....it's tough enough learning one
[12:06] {nemo} actually it's tough to learn your second, after that they get much easier
[12:07] {nemo} spanish english italian, you can learn Romanian very easily
[12:07] {nemo} Know German, you can more easily pick up Dutch, Danish, and the Scandinavian languages
[12:07] {nemo} and Yiddish
[12:08] {dino} yeah, don't like exfo
[12:08] {ese} want to learn danish....have been to denmark 3 times....4th coming up this summer......
[12:08] {ese} tks dino
[12:10] {ese} L MGM .49
[12:12] {dino} res drop
[12:13] {dino} sm l .40 risky
[12:14] {dino} out .53, +1.13
[12:14] {RonS} gj...missed
[12:15] {dino} thx
[12:15] {dino} lucky
[12:15] {ese} L MGM avg .50 alot
[12:16] {RonS} Crete earthquake felt in Cairo
[12:16] {RonS} 6.2
[12:17] {dino} res sm l .95
[12:19] {ese} damn planets falling apart
[12:19] {dino} out .25, +.30
[12:21] {dino} ipi to .04
[12:22] {dino} jdsu lod
[12:22] {dino} gap 18
[12:35] {dino} ipi stopped, reverse slip .05, +.25
[12:36] {dino} well, started horribly, but now solidily in black
[12:36] {rambler} POT ready Vad...?
[12:36] {Threei}  I'd rather wait for it to dive under .50
[12:40] {dino} med
[12:40] {dino} cdti
[12:40] {RonS} wow look ua
[12:41] {dino} avav drop
[12:43] {RonS} avav "unmanned test flight mishap"
[12:43] {rambler} LEI tanking....
[12:43] {dino} risky, sm l .10
[12:44] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .60 break
[12:44] {dino} out avav .60, +.50
[12:45] {Threei}  nice
[12:45] {Threei}  gutsy
[12:45] {dino} thx
[12:45] {rambler} gj ob dino
[12:45] {dino} ty
[12:48] {dino} avav drop
[12:59] {rambler} scalping AVL...
[13:00] {rambler} got quick +.10
[13:02] {dino} gj
[13:03] {rambler} not stopping...
[13:04] {nemo} next support avav is around .15
[13:05] {dino} wow
[13:05] {nemo} gapper
[13:05] {nemo} nope
[13:06] {nemo} play that spread
[13:06] {Threei}  with this spread...
[13:06] {dino} sm l .50 wide
[13:09] {dino} stopped
[13:12] {nemo} mos could be good long this area vwap .70
[13:13] {nemo} like to get it a little closer
[13:20] {dino} avav sm l 10
[13:23] {dino} med lod
[13:37] {nemo} X ging for high of the day, might be a good short there
[13:40] {davd} x might be up on call option report
[13:41] {nemo} LVS
[13:57] {dino} recn pretty good pullback
[13:58] {dino} tdsc
[13:58] {kschun} hy all
[13:58] {Threei}  hi ks
[13:58] {dino} hey ks
[13:59] {kschun} todays hit-ratios Mr. Perfect?
[13:59] {kschun} same for dino :-)
[13:59] {Threei}  nope
[13:59] {kschun} if I am allowed to ask :-)
[14:00] {Threei}  you never shraed your stats, I am not sharing mine
[14:00] {dino} 6/11
[14:00] {kschun} good job, still better then 50%! this is great!
[14:01] {kschun} Mine is ~ 45% I would say. improving lattely. stats for a bout one year.
[14:01] {kschun} and yours Vad I canpt share, you know, the fees for this chat... :-)
[14:01] {Threei}  nice try
[14:01] {dino} as long as losses are smaller than gains
[14:07] {kschun} observing your calls lately a little I would say this is definitively the case in your trading dino
[14:07] {dino} avav battle ground at 31 area
[14:11] {nemo} whack a mole at the 31 area
[14:12] {dino} yeah
[14:12] {nemo} frickin spead is jumpy enough although seems to be settling down
[14:12] {dino} thoughts?
[14:12] {dino} gut says up
[14:13] {nemo} on avav?
[14:13] {dino} y
[14:13] {Threei}  yoo obviois...
[14:13] {kschun} avav: looking on daily iti is a clear buy
[14:13] {Threei}  can't be this simple
[14:13] {kschun} means a risk-free trading idea
[14:13] {Threei}  my bet is, one more gut-wrenching dive
[14:13] {dino} i'm still in from 30.10
[14:13] {nemo} Hey Sneeze, how long you been doing this?
[14:14] {kschun} nice dino!!!
[14:14] {nemo} How many shares Dino?
[14:14] {dino} only 300 chicken on it
[14:14] {nemo} dude...this stock is not chicken
[14:14] {kschun} not enough long my friend, really daytrading every day since about 1 year
[14:14] {nemo} suicide perhaps
[14:14] {kschun} daytrading stocks
[14:15] {nemo} we say "for one year"
[14:15] {kschun} for one year, understood. thanks
[14:15] {kschun} :-)
[14:15] {nemo} nicht seit ein Jahr
[14:16] {nemo} I think if it holds .50 area it goes up from their, breaks .50 tests bottom
[14:16] {kschun} o.k. danke! p
[14:25] {Threei}  here comes my gut-wrenching drop
[14:28] {kschun} funny: I entered SPY long before. internals and long and chart looked long to me.
[14:28] {kschun} after entry I observed again, and think clearly more short then long...
[14:29] {kschun} volume extending in down moves
[14:29] {kschun} expading?
[14:29] {nemo} expanding
[14:30] {kschun} yeah right, sorry. thanks nemo
[14:30] {nemo} NP Ich kann nicht buchstabieren
[14:32] {kschun} :-)
[14:33] {RonS} lol:  DOWNGRADE: AeroVironment (AVAV) downgraded by KeyBanc Capital Mkts from Buy to Hold.       04/01 12:33 PM
[14:34] {kschun} downgrade o.k. so buy it :-)
[14:34] {dino} saw that
[14:36] {dino} med sm l .89
[14:38] {kschun} how to close a big position in a stock you don't want to hold anymore? find idiots who are ready to absorbe your selling...
[14:45] {kschun} ADV MINUS DEC new low
[14:46] {dino} all red
[14:47] {kschun} funny, upvol minus downvol was going up the hole day, just about 10 minutes ago it topped out
[14:47] {jfjf64} dropppppppppppp
[14:48] {kschun} any news out there for this heavy volume drop?
[14:48] {nemo} fcx at vwap long probablyt
[14:50] {nemo} JF you didn't hear that
[14:59] {davd} i think its oil prices - staying at highs
[14:59] {kschun} etf on oil?
[14:59] {RonS} uso but it is a flawed instrument
[15:00] {kschun} o.k. however thansk ron
[15:00] {nemo} try USL
[15:00] {kschun} o.k. thans nemo
[15:01] {davd} i believe nigeria elections are the worry du weekend
[15:02] {Threei}  frankly my dear...
[15:05] {kschun} @davd: are you serious?
[15:07] {davd} yes, re oil - brent at 1 year high
[15:08] {davd} also, re oil, weak dollar supports price of oil
[15:08] {dino} recn lod
[15:09] {Threei}  {weak dollar} I intend to do some sit-ups, ab crunches and weightlifting next week...
[15:11] {kschun} LOL
[15:12] {RonS} aapl painting a bearish engulfing candle
[15:13] {Threei}  SPY loss of 133 should launch avalanchr
[15:13] {Threei}  RIMM is one short candidate'
[15:14] {Threei}  wow
[15:14] {Threei}  avalanche it is
[15:15] {Threei}  disregard RIMM, not connected
[15:17] {Threei}  no news
[15:21] {kschun} did any of you guys make money on this impressive down move?
[15:21] {dino} no
[15:21] {strider} I did, some
[15:22] {kschun} thansk dino
[15:22] {strider} still short rio
[15:22] {kschun} good job strider!
[15:22] {rambler} bot AVL 8.75   stop 8.65
[15:22] {kschun} nice setup on rio strider
[15:23] {strider} sh. @ .58
[15:23] {kschun} sold .60 break or even after it topped out below .80?
[15:23] {kschun} ah o.k. thanks, good job!
[15:24] {strider} 1/2 at .45,   1/4 @ .40
[15:24] {kschun} shorted RIMM as it took out 56, but not much confidence in this play.
[15:25] {kschun} daily just looks too good for shorting it
[15:25] {kschun} so it should go...
[15:26] {strider} stop to .56, rio
[15:27] {Threei}  I am not sure I understand
[15:27] {kschun} vad: short into bounce?
[15:27] {Threei}  RIMM didn't react when market dropped like a rock
[15:27] {Threei}  why would you short it when market started bouncingZ?
[15:27] {Threei}  [15:15] {Threei} disregard RIMM, not connected
[15:29] {kschun} thanks for observation vad. I just loved the daily and thought it was lagging and should follow quickly. wasn't the case...
[15:32] {kschun} other thing which I thought could favorite RIMM short was the quite heavy and enlarging down-volume.
[15:33] {kschun} just me thoughts, please correct them if they are nonsense
[15:33] {Threei}  57% Okay with Government Shutdown If It Leads to Deeper Budget Cuts
[15:33] {kschun} and it does not bounce with market.
[15:33] {strider} out last rio, b/e
[15:33] {kschun} maybe also not yet...
[15:34] {kschun} nice one strider
[15:34] {strider} thx
[15:34] {dino} gj
[15:35] {strider} :)
[15:36] {rambler} out avl  .90  +.15
[15:37] {kschun} nice!
[15:38] {rambler} tks ,as usual hoping for more....
[15:39] {dino} c'mon avav pappa needs some new shoes
[15:40] {kschun} LOL dino
[15:41] {kschun} what do we learn from RIMM: do not doubt all that vad is saying
[15:41] {kschun} o.k. may the stuff about healty food  :-)
[15:41] {kschun} healthy
[15:43] {rambler} avl going...
[15:45] {dino} gun them into close
[15:48] {kschun} took 11 in WTW with half, rest stopped just at entry
[15:49] {kschun} closing in the red, just little but red.
[15:50] {kschun} don't like to not be able making money on such moves as in SPY short
[15:50] {kschun} but accepting it
[15:52] {kschun} o.k. thanks guys, thanks vad! wish you all a great weekend, enjoy it!
[15:53] {Threei}  thank you all,
[15:53] {Threei}  and don't forget,
[15:53] {Threei}  I will see you all on Thursday
[15:53] {Threei}  have fun, be careful, share trades
[15:53] {Threei}  have a good weekend guys
[15:54] {dino} take care vad
[15:54] {rambler} Thanks Vad, have a great trip.....
[15:54] {dino} have a great vacation
[15:56] {Threei}  thank you
[15:56] {Threei}  no TV, no phone, no internet
[15:56] {Threei}  sounds like total happiness
[15:57] {dino} out avav .07, +.97
[15:58] {dino} out med .95, +.06
[15:59] {rambler} bot INHX to hold over weekend.....4.61
[16:01] {rambler} thanks all, cya.....
[16:02] {dino} thx all, good time.