Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Jan 16 2013

Small stops, bigger wins - a small but profitable day overall


Session Time: Wed Jan 16 00:00:00 2013
[09:10] {goryl} gm
01[09:11] {Threei}  morning goryl
[09:12] {cipher} gm
01[09:12] {Threei}  cipher :)
[09:23] {jdetente} gm all
01[09:23] {Threei}  jd :)
[09:26] {dptl} gm
01[09:26] {Threei}  dp :)
01[09:28] {Threei}  FB nosedive
01[09:31] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  .15 break hl
01[09:31] {Threei}  If holds  .25
[09:32] {dino} gm. running late, 4" snow last night
01[09:32] {Threei}  wow
01[09:33] {Threei}  first cherry blooms here...
[09:33] {thomcbell} rimm obviously has the answer to equity bulls
01[09:33] {Threei}  1:1
[09:33] {thomcbell} for rather
[09:34] {cipher} +.18 FB thx
01[09:34] {Threei}  yw
01[09:34] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .25 break hl
01[09:34] {Threei}  FB 1:2, out
[09:35] {dptl} out fb ty
01[09:35] {Threei}  :)
01[09:35] {Threei}  SLW stop .33
[09:37] {cipher} mnst l .24
01[09:37] {Threei} Long Setup:  WFC  35 break
[09:37] {cipher} fisv l .97
01[09:37] {Threei}  If holds  .95
01[09:38] {Threei}  SLW stop to .31
[09:40] {cipher} srpt l.87
[09:41] {cipher} out .18
[09:41] {cipher} out fisv .12 +.15
[09:42] {dino} gj
[09:42] {dino} gj
[09:43] {cipher} out mnst .40 +.16
[09:44] {cipher} ebay l .10
[09:44] {dptl} dg .86 long?
01[09:45] {Threei}  out SLW
[09:45] {cipher} out ebay .30 +.20
[09:45] {dptl} invalidated dg
[09:47] {cipher} IBB L .02
01[09:48] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .20 break hl
01[09:49] {Threei}  1:1 but I doubt you could get
[09:49] {thomcbell} long setup dell 12.72 break if holding 12.62
[09:49] {thomcbell} a bit late
01[09:50] {Threei}  DELL... I dunno about long on it, analysts put buyout price at 13-13.50
01[09:50] {Threei}  no room for run
[09:50] {thomcbell} ok thanks
01[09:50] {Threei}  CAT 1:2... grrr
[09:51] {jdetente} we're still in WFC?
[09:51] {dino} ann hl l .95
01[09:51] {Threei}  no
01[09:51] {Threei}  lost .95
[09:52] {jdetente} ok thx
01[09:54] {Threei} Long Setup:  BA  .40 break hl
01[09:55] {Threei}  If holds  .30
01[09:55] {Threei}  Invalidated
[09:57] {dino} out ann +.21, +.26
[09:58] {thomcbell} BA makes me think of the Charles Grodin scene from  Midnight Run when he flips out about "these things go down, its too big"
01[09:58] {Threei}  lol
[09:59] {dptl} dg .40 short?
[09:59] {cipher} PENN L .05
01[09:59] {Threei}  frikin BA
01[09:59] {Threei}  no
01[09:59] {Threei}  oh, and frikin CAT
[10:01] {cipher} out IBB .24 +.22
[10:01] {cipher} gpor l .83
[10:01] {thomcbell} lvs looks like a short setup here 51.92 break if holding 52
[10:03] {cipher} veco l .58
[10:05] {thomcbell} and splk looks two sided - 32.93 or 32.85
[10:05] {dptl} alny .30 long?
01[10:05] {Threei}  hl
[10:05] {dino} ggc hl l .36
[10:06] {cipher} out penn .16+.11
[10:06] {goryl} u taking it vad?
[10:07] {thomcbell} lvs invalidated
01[10:07] {Threei}  nah, not my cap of tea
01[10:07] {Threei}  invalidated anyway
[10:08] {dino} bco hl l .01
01[10:08] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .20 break
01[10:08] {Threei}  If holds  .30
[10:10] {thomcbell} splk 1:2 on short
[10:11] {dino} gj
[10:11] {goryl} not shorable rimm
[10:11] {dptl} rimm not available
01[10:12] {Threei}  grrr
[10:12] {jdetente} I got it
[10:15] {cipher} ggc +.26 thx dino
[10:16] {dptl} clf  36 sh?
[10:16] {cipher} veco stopped .56 -.01
01[10:16] {Threei}  yes, hl
01[10:16] {Threei}  nice setup
[10:17] {dino} ggc to .67
[10:17] {dino} out ggc +.31
[10:17] {cipher} gpor stopped .76 -.07
[10:21] {thomcbell} splk 1:4
[10:21] {cipher} nflx l .04
[10:21] {thomcbell} stop to 32.51
[10:22] {cipher} out .nflx .35 +.31
[10:23] {thomcbell} cleaning up rest of splk here at 32.40
01[10:23] {Threei}  RIMM is getting there for you, jd
01[10:23] {Threei}  wtg tbell, beautiful play
[10:24] {cipher} AFFY L .22
[10:25] {thomcbell} interested in a long setup a bit further down from here
[10:25] {thomcbell} in splk
[10:25] {jdetente} got my scalp
[10:25] {jdetente} ty!
[10:25] {dino} clro hl s .77
[10:26] {cipher} out affy .25 +.03
01[10:26] {Threei}  yw
01[10:26] {Threei}  1:2 on horizon
[10:27] {jdetente} I took .15
[10:28] {nemo} wow a .70 range in tna...wake me up later
[10:28] {goryl} vad, u in clf?
[10:28] {cipher} LQDT L .65
01[10:29] {Threei}  yes bit it's annoying
[10:30] {cipher} out lqdt .77 +.12
[10:31] {thomcbell} darn splk
[10:32] {thomcbell} i guess that was the play 32.50 long break
[10:32] {cipher} SPLK S.92
[10:32] {cipher} COV .82 +.
[10:33] {cipher} thx tbell
[10:34] {thomcbell} i got out of that dell flat earlier - thanks VG
01[10:34] {Threei}  :)
[10:34] {cipher} splk l .81
[10:35] {cipher} out .99
[10:36] {cipher} done for the day
[10:36] {cipher} cya
01[10:37] {Threei}  take care cipher
[10:41] {dino} cya
01[10:43] {Threei}  finally
01[10:43] {Threei}  CLF
01[10:43] {Threei}  1:1
01[10:43] {Threei}  took its sweet time, eh
01[10:48] {Threei}  out at 1:2
01[10:53] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .10 break
01[10:54] {Threei}  If holds  30
[10:56] {thomcbell} looks two sided possibly Vad
01[10:58] {Threei}  could be, yeah
01[10:58] {Threei}  SPY drop
[11:00] {thomcbell} all things considered FB is holding the hype rally ok
[11:02] {dino} adtn spike
[11:04] {goryl} vad, u short fb?
01[11:06] {Threei}  yes
01[11:06] {Threei}  but with .06 dtop
[11:06] {goryl} ok
01[11:06] {Threei}  keeping it tigher than usually
[11:08] {dino} ann hl l .52
01[11:18] {Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .40 break
[11:19] {dino} added mflx calls
01[11:19] {Threei}  frikin FB
01[11:19] {Threei}  had to keep usual stop, eh?
01[11:20] {Threei}  Invalidated
01[11:20] {Threei}  nemo, you paper shows my backyard: http://www.bostonglobe.com/lifestyle/travel/2013/01/13/steeped-snow-vancouver-island-mount-washington-offers-tons-family-skiing/VcgSSFlTtQXuoJgQgF598O/story.html
[11:21] {nemo} our version of Pravda
01[11:22] {Threei}  Over the next 20 yrs, North America will replace the Mideast as the traditional source of the world's oil supply." -BP's Ruhl
01[11:22] {Threei}  The U.S. could surpass Saudi Arabia by year-end as the world's biggest oil producer, says BP. By 2014 latest.
[11:22] {dino} we can only hope
01[11:23] {Threei}  Although the record amount of hot air will still come from the White House
01[11:29] {Threei}  FB... grrrrrr
01[11:35] {Threei}  Facebook Marketing Analyst: There are concerns that Facebook's new Graph Search feature will drive users to "unlike" items and remove tags from content - AdAge- Facebook users may not be happy that things posted years ago which may be embarrassing or not reflective of who you are now can be turned up in search
01[11:36] {Threei}  talk about unintended consequences
[11:41] {dptl} pay .50 short?
01[11:41] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .40 break
01[11:42] {Threei}  PAY, yes
[11:44] {dino} tumi spike
[11:45] {dino} hl s .90
[11:48] {goryl} vad, u taking pay?
01[11:48] {Threei}  yes, I like it
01[11:49] {Threei}  esoecially if SPY drops
[11:49] {nemo} .22-.28 likely the bottom for cat
[11:51] {dino} tumi stop
01[11:53] {Threei}  out CAT
01[11:53] {Threei}  market weakens
[11:53] {dino} reload s tumi .40
[11:54] {dptl} missed pay
[11:55] {dino} rnf blood
01[11:56] {Threei}  RGR drops as Obama speaks
[12:02] {dptl} clf .80 short?
01[12:04] {Threei}  a bit too far from there
[12:05] {dptl} agresive .85 break may be?
01[12:06] {Threei}  with stop .91... why not
01[12:06] {Threei}  wait
01[12:06] {Threei}  see bid at .84?
[12:06] {dptl} ye
01[12:06] {Threei}  better short when it gets hit
[12:06] {thomcbell} FB annoying
[12:06] {dptl} ok
[12:06] {dptl} in
[12:07] {goryl} u gong for it vad?
[12:07] {goryl} going
01[12:07] {Threei}  nah
01[12:07] {Threei}  a bit too pushy for me
01[12:07] {Threei}  dp likes to push
[12:08] {thomcbell} expecting a bottom here on FB between here and 29.50 - waiting for a long setup to emerge
01[12:08] {Threei}  (US) Pres Obama announces proposals on reducing gun violence, including criminal background checks for all gun purchases, reinstatement of assult weapon ban- To make 23 executive orders. - To propose 10-round limit on magazines. - To provide $4.0B in funding for up to 15K police officers. - Calls on DoJ to maximize effort to prosecute gun crimes. - Will ask for studies to evaluate impacts of video games on children - All gun sales (private included) to require background checks - Requests Congress reinstate assault weapons ban and to institute restrictions on magazines to hold 10 rounds. Seeks to ban armor piercing rounds
[12:08] {dptl} is that a bad set up?
[12:09] {dino} spend spend spend
01[12:09] {Threei}  bad, no...
01[12:09] {Threei}  personal preference pushiness wise
[12:10] {dptl} you mean yime of the day ?
[12:10] {dptl} time
01[12:10] {Threei}  both times of the day and chart
[12:27] {dptl} half out
[12:27] {jdetente} scalped CLF with you. Thanks!
[12:27] {dptl} :)
[12:28] {thomcbell} FB long setup 29.60 break if holding 29.53
01[12:29] {Threei}  now that the play is over, allow me a few words, to answer the question [12:08] {dptl} is that a bad set up?
[12:29] {dptl} was just about to ask :)
01[12:29] {Threei}  don't view trading as exact science... there is no 100% answers, it's an indidualized endeavor
01[12:30] {Threei}  there are good setups,
01[12:30] {Threei}  there are bad setups,
01[12:30] {Threei}  and there are setups that are good or bad depending on your personality
01[12:30] {Threei}  your sdtyle, your prefernces, your pbjectives
01[12:31] {Threei}  all of us are not the same,
01[12:31] {Threei}  some prefer many aggressive plays with many small stops and big if rare wins
01[12:31] {Threei}  some prefer more conservative approach where stops are fewer, even if bigger
01[12:32] {Threei}  reread once again the blog article on agresssiveness
01[12:32] {Threei}  think of these things in such terms, and you will make a distinction between objectively good or bad setups
01[12:32] {Threei}  and setups that are good or bad for YOU
01[12:33] {Threei}  do I make sense?
[12:33] {jdetente} Makes sense to me. ty :)
01[12:33] {Threei}  :)
01[12:34] {Threei}  http://blog.realitytrader.com/2007/07/how-aggressive-are-you.html
01[12:36] {Threei}  to make a perfect example, look at some of dino/cipher plays
01[12:36] {Threei}  good ones?
01[12:36] {Threei}  results wise, obviosuly
01[12:36] {Threei}  can anyone of us handle those?
01[12:36] {Threei}  obviously not, they are highly tailored for a very distinctive style of trading
01[12:37] {Threei}  with risk parameters so drastically different, most of traders would have their stomachs turned inside out just looking at those
[12:38] {thomcbell} FB 1:1
01[12:39] {Threei}  wtg
[12:40] {thomcbell} going by the book - but using a 29.63 stop on my other half right now
[12:41] {dino} gj tbell
[12:42] {dptl} thats where i get confused..... , some how you able to tell the difference between set ups even thought two set ups look the same, and i can't figure that out yet
[12:43] {dino} tumi last try s .75
01[12:46] {Threei}  you'd have to show me two that look the same to you, so I could comment
[12:47] {dptl} out some more clf here
[12:52] {dptl} lets take that clf set up ....80 break short with .90 stop.....was it time of the day that you did't like?
[12:53] {dptl} or something else?
01[12:53] {Threei}  it was near .90, full range from the trigger,
01[12:53] {Threei}  imagine it'd drop fast (in one candle) into .80 and break it - would you still like the setup?
01[12:54] {Threei}  thus, answer was:
01[12:54] {Threei}  12:02] {dptl} clf .80 short?
01[12:54] {Threei}  [12:04] {Threei} a bit too far from there
[12:54] {dptl} no ..if it dropped fast
01[12:54] {Threei}  as in: can't tell without seeing how it gets there
[12:55] {dptl} i see
[13:04] {dptl} will keep .68 stop for last clf
[13:10] {dptl} out
[13:10] {dino} gj
[13:11] {dptl} ty
[13:11] {thomcbell} fb out
[13:16] {dptl} is that DB on clf now?
01[13:17] {Threei}  if holding .55, yes
[13:17] {dptl} so we can try .60 break long?
01[13:18] {Threei}  as an aggressive entry
01[13:18] {Threei}  .65 as regular
[13:18] {dptl} ok
01[13:21] {Threei}  .55 short is valid setup also
[13:21] {dptl} with .61 stop?
01[13:22] {Threei}  yeah
[13:24] {dptl} in .55
[13:24] {dptl} sh
01[13:24] {Threei}  (US) House Majority Leader Cantor (R-VA): House of Reps may consider legislation to overturn pay increase for Federal employees
01[13:24] {Threei}  why did they get increase in a first place?
01[13:26] {Threei}  (US) Preview: Fed Beige Book survey of regional economic activity to be released at 14:00ET- The report will include data from surveys of the period between Mid-November and early January. The Nov Beige Book revised the headline for activity as expanding at a "measured pace" (vs. "expanding modestly" prior) and noted that Hurricane Sandy had caused weaker growth in some regions
[13:27] {dptl} stopped
01[13:28] {Threei}  ok, now I have to ask
01[13:28] {Threei}  why short .55 with a lot of bids?
01[13:28] {Threei}  why not .55 break, or at least some meltdown?
[13:28] {dptl} it broke
01[13:29] {Threei}  hmmm... I must have missed it then
01[13:29] {Threei}  didn't see .55 bid broken
[13:29] {dptl} look it even says lod .34
[13:29] {dptl} .54
[13:29] {thomcbell} splk long setup 32.33 break if holding 32.20 - half lot
01[13:30] {Threei}  it actually broke the bid on level 2?
[13:32] {dptl} ye .55 was gone and i punch and got .55 at .54 it was just one or few trades, must be buch of hidden orders at .55
[13:32] {thomcbell} splk invalidated
[13:33] {thomcbell} still watching for another setup
[13:34] {dptl} coh .35
[13:34] {dptl} ah late
[13:36] {dino} clsn drop and halt
01[13:43] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  .60 break
01[13:43] {Threei}  If holds  .65
[13:44] {dino} ? its at .85
01[13:44] {Threei}  grrr
01[13:45] {Threei} Short Setup: DB  .60 break
01[13:45] {Threei}  close letters
01[13:47] {Threei}  Invalidated
[13:49] {dptl} fb.90 long?
01[13:49] {Threei}  half lot
01[13:49] {Threei}  worth a try
01[13:51] {Threei}  guys, gotta drive my daughter to airport
01[13:51] {Threei}  will be back in about 40-50 min
01[13:52] {Threei}  don't short BRK.A while I am away
[13:52] {dino} cov tumi .40, +.35
[13:53] {dptl} in fb .91
[14:05] {dptl} stop to .84 fb
[14:13] {dptl} out half
[14:19] {dptl} stop to .94
[14:32] {dino} ssi
[14:49] {dino} ssi s .53
[14:52] {dptl} out fb
[14:52] {dino} cov ssi .40, +.13
01[14:54] {Threei}  back
01[14:55] {Threei}  I see FB worked
[14:55] {dptl} ye
01[14:56] {Threei}  hmmm... even BRK.A short would have worked while I was away
[15:00] {nemo} wtf hlf
[15:02] {dptl} cog .40 short?
01[15:02] {Threei}  hl
01[15:03] {Threei}  14:50[HLF] Carl Icahn is said to have told other investors that he has taken a stake in Herbalife after Pershing's Ackman made his short sale presentation in mid-Dec - financial press
[15:05] {dptl} fdo .40 short?
01[15:06] {Threei}  no read
01[15:06] {Threei}  50/50
01[15:12] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .90 break
01[15:12] {Threei}  If holds  .85
01[15:25] {Threei}  Apple Inc Sales of Nexus tablet said to have exceeded sales of the iPad during the holiday shopping season in Japan - Nikkei News
01[15:25] {Threei}  - Japan market for tablets said to have expanded in 2012 and will continue to rise in 2013.
01[15:25] {Threei}  - Google's lower-priced devices exceeded iPad's 40.1% market share, which lost its top position in tablets for the first time since going on sale in Japan markets in May 2010
[15:37] {dptl} vlo .70 short?
01[15:38] {Threei}  VLO, yes
01[15:40] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  .95 break
01[15:41] {Threei}  If holds  30
[15:42] {thomcbell} long setup splk 31.96 break if holding 31.83
[15:45] {thomcbell} splk invalidated
01[15:47] {Threei}  FB baby
01[15:47] {Threei}  half out
[15:47] {thomcbell} splk hehe
01[15:47] {Threei}  scalpers feel free to close it in full
[15:48] {jdetente} Nice trade. Ty!
01[15:48] {Threei}  :)
[15:51] {dino} trlg s .31cov trlg .01, +.30
01[15:51] {Threei}  wtg
[15:51] {dino} ty
[15:53] {dptl} gn all see ya tomorrow
01[15:53] {Threei}  take care dp
01[15:57] {Threei}  Ok guys, thank you all
01[15:57] {Threei}  have a good evening
01[15:57] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:57] {thomcbell} good night
[16:01] {dino} gn all
[16:02] {jdetente} gn everyone

Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Jan 15 2013

Very nice day with plays working in much more orderly fashion. Nothing to complain about, except maybe one rinse.


Session Time: Tue Jan 15 00:00:00 2013
[09:17] {dino} gm
01[09:17] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:20] {cipher} gm
01[09:20] {Threei}  cipher :)
[09:21] {_jdetente} good morning
01[09:21] {Threei}  jd :)
[09:22] {nemo} sorry late...had to go to the liquor store
01[09:22] {Threei}  successfully?
[09:22] {nemo} do those of the ursus genus defecate in arborial areas?
[09:25] {ese} mornin
01[09:25] {Threei}  ese :)
01[09:31] {Threei} Short Setup: BTU  .37
01[09:31] {Threei}  If holds  .46
[09:33] {dptl} gm
01[09:33] {Threei}  dp :)
[09:35] {cipher} INFA L .00
01[09:35] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .85 break
[09:35] {dino} frx hl s .10, pulpy
01[09:36] {Threei}  If holds  .80
01[09:36] {Threei}  must be first time we play FB with 5 cents stop
01[09:36] {Threei}  1:1
01[09:37] {Threei}  BTU no go
[09:37] {thomcbell} wow that was a thing of beauty
01[09:38] {Threei}  out
[09:38] {cipher} fb +.28 thx
01[09:38] {Threei}  in so very fulll
01[09:38] {Threei}  yw
[09:40] {dptl} fslr .90 short?
01[09:42] {Threei}  hal lot
01[09:43] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .70 break
01[09:43] {Threei}  hl
[09:43] {dino} frx stop -.08
01[09:43] {Threei}  If holds  .65
01[09:43] {Threei}  jd, welcome aboard
[09:43] {cipher} CTXS L.05
[09:43] {jdetente} Thanks! I'm official now
[09:43] {jdetente} :)
01[09:43] {Threei}  it means you can slap nemo now as an equal
01[09:43] {Threei}  but there is a downside
01[09:44] {Threei}  he can slap you as well...
[09:44] {jdetente} haha
[09:44] {cipher} out ctxs .55 +.50
01[09:44] {Threei}  wtg
[09:44] {nemo} Jack Daniels?
01[09:46] {Threei}  FSLR 1:1 but I doubt you could get it
[09:46] {dptl} i am in
01[09:46] {Threei}  ok... covered any?
[09:47] {dptl} not yet
01[09:47] {Threei}  you guys watch LULU?
01[09:48] {Threei}  dino, cipher, ese
[09:48] {cipher} yes
[09:48] {nemo} looking for lulu to test .66
[09:48] {nemo} 66
[09:48] {nemo} sorry
[09:49] {jdetente} Is the FCX stop at 34.65?
[09:49] {jdetente} or a full .10
01[09:49] {Threei}  just under .65
01[09:50] {Threei}  see those tails bottoming out just above? they define .65 as support
[09:50] {cipher} lulu l .40
[09:50] {dino} oii hl s .7
[09:50] {dino} .07
01[09:50] {Threei}  tight stop, SPY tries to uptick, chart nicely positioned for and upward thrust
[09:50] {cipher} out lulu .71
01[09:51] {Threei}  my kind of trade
01[09:51] {Threei}  nice opne cipher
[09:51] {cipher} ty
[09:51] {thomcbell} splk long setup 31.30 break if holding 31.20 - HL due to banana stock
[09:52] {dino} oii stop -.28
[09:54] {thomcbell} splk 1:2
[09:55] {cipher} crus l .81
[09:55] {thomcbell} rimm short here Vad?
[09:55] {thomcbell} splk 1:3
01[09:55] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .80 break hl
01[09:55] {Threei}  If holds  .70
[09:56] {thomcbell} splk 1:4 and out
01[09:56] {Threei}  wtg
01[09:56] {Threei}  I'd prefer either bounce or a bit longer consolidation on RIMM
[09:56] {cc_8} Among the companies with shares expected to actively trade in Tuesday’s session are Dell Inc. (DELL), Express Inc. (EXPR) and Gordmans Stores Inc. (GMAN).
[09:56] {cipher} out crus .93
01[09:57] {Threei}  CAT 1:1 if you got it
[09:57] {thomcbell} looking for a long setup in lvs
01[09:57] {Threei}  1:2
01[09:57] {Threei}  no go FCX
[09:58] {dino} frx hl s .60
01[09:58] {Threei}  anyone caught CAT or too fast?
[09:58] {nemo} yep
[09:59] {dino} mflx partial fill l .50
01[10:00] {Threei}  *(US) NOV BUSINESS INVENTORIES: 0.3% V 0.3%E
[10:00] {nemo} look daily dino, nflx could get sloppy around here for awhile
01[10:00] {Threei}  GM UAW is said to be not interested in pension buyouts from GM
[10:00] {dino} mflx
[10:00] {dino} M
01[10:00] {Threei}  yup, let's bankrupt it second time
[10:01] {nemo} oh, nevermind
[10:01] {dptl} aig .10 long?
[10:02] {dino} oii last try hl s .15
01[10:02] {Threei}  yes AIG
[10:03] {cipher} VRTX L .51
[10:04] {cipher} out .60
[10:07] {dino} mflx stop
[10:07] {ese} L mas .49
[10:08] {ese} out mas .61
[10:08] {ese} +.12
[10:08] {cipher} amgn l .96
[10:08] {ese} talk about your instantaneous jump up
[10:08] {dptl} swks .45 long?
[10:09] {cipher} out amgn .89
01[10:09] {Threei}  yes
[10:10] {cipher} scty l .55
01[10:10] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .50 break
01[10:10] {Threei}  If holds  .60
[10:10] {dino} len hl l .05
01[10:13] {Threei}  1:1
[10:13] {dptl} half out rimm ty
01[10:13] {Threei}  yw
[10:13] {dino} mflx hl l .00
[10:14] {thomcbell} wow SPLK
[10:14] {dino} out len .47, +.42
01[10:16] {Threei}  nice one
[10:16] {cipher} out scty .68 +.13
[10:19] {dino} cov frx .30, +.30
[10:19] {cipher} splk l.05
[10:25] {cipher} out splk .13
[10:25] {cipher} scty l .71
[10:26] {dptl} gmcr .10 short?
01[10:27] {Threei}  ummm
01[10:27] {Threei}  yes :)
[10:27] {dptl} yeah too fast
[10:30] {thomcbell} this splk could really squeeze - 18% short before friday
[10:30] {thomcbell} and their business is on fire and could actually get bought - i am a spectator
[10:30] {dptl} gild 78 long?
01[10:31] {Threei}  hl
[10:31] {dino} don't tell obama, you evil speculator
01[10:31] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .95 break
01[10:31] {Threei}  If holds  .90
01[10:33] {Threei}  GILD 1:1 if you got it
[10:33] {cipher} krft l .35
[10:33] {thomcbell} splk 1:16 hehe
[10:34] {nemo} cipher and dino must be twins separated at birth
01[10:34] {Threei}  hehe
[10:35] {dptl} what do you see in fb Vad?
01[10:37] {Threei}  pullback, bottoming out, consolidation, break
[10:38] {jdetente} looks like it didn't hold
01[10:39] {Threei}  nope
[10:41] {dino} len hl l .90
[10:46] {dptl} pay .25 long?
01[10:46] {Threei}  darn FB
[10:46] {jdetente} FB rinse ugh
01[10:46] {Threei}  too tight stop :)
01[10:46] {Threei}  PAY yes
[10:47] {dptl} a bit to narrow
[10:50] {nemo} amgn might be worth a short try here
[10:53] {cipher} out krft.50 +.15
01[10:57] {Threei}  frikin FB
[10:58] {dino} sap hl l .90
[11:02] {dptl} i'll keep stop under .20 pay
01[11:03] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  .15 break
01[11:05] {Threei}  PAY 1:1
[11:05] {dptl} half out pay
01[11:05] {Threei}  Invalidated  FB
[11:07] {dptl} under .30 stop for me pay
01[11:09] {Threei}  1:2
[11:09] {dptl} out more
[11:12] {dptl} all out
[11:15] {cipher} fb s .52
[11:17] {dino} enoc hl s .35
[11:18] {cipher} out fb -.02
[11:19] {dino} enoc stop
[11:22] {dino} enoc hl s .15
[11:23] {dino} cov .75, +.40
[11:24] {dptl} that was fast...nice :)
[11:25] {dino} ty
[11:25] {cipher} wtg dino
[11:26] {dptl} pay may be .50 long ?
[11:28] {dptl} nope
[11:29] {nemo} breakouts this time of day get real iffy
01[11:29] {Threei}  right
[11:30] {nemo} this market is so slow, it makes you itch to do something, anything...not good
[11:30] {nemo} drink instead
[11:30] {dptl} ") right...
[11:31] {dptl} good idea :)
[11:33] {cipher} ENOC L .80
[11:35] {cipher} out .05 +.25
[11:36] {dptl} aig .90 short?
01[11:37] {Threei}  nah
[11:37] {nemo} drink dp
[11:37] {dptl} ok :)
[11:38] {nemo} indexes finny iwm spy could be short here but i would expect spy to try and get to .82 with iwm in the mid .50s first
[11:39] {nemo} Dalai Llama croaked
[11:43] {dino} out sap .34, +.44
01[11:44] {Threei}  Magnitude 6.1 earthquake strikes along the Pacific antarctic ridge
[11:46] {dino} len hl l .10
[11:52] {cipher} +.09 LEN thx
[11:53] {dino} gj
01[12:05] {Threei}  (US) Pres Obama said to be ready to make announcement tomorrow on gun control proposals brought to him by VP Biden - financial press- Obama is said to be considering up to 19 executive orders on guns that wont require Congressional approval. - Obama will also likely recommend stricter gun-control measures that require Congressional approval. - Some of Obamas recommendations are likely to go beyond narrow gun control, such as mental health issues.
01[12:06] {Threei}  Risk Is Off As Debt Ceiling Rhetoric Continues
01[12:06] {Threei}  - President Obama's forceful words on the debt ceiling fight and House Speaker Boehner's firm response yesterday morning continue to unsettle markets. With both sides seeming to entrench in their respective positions ahead of the ceiling, risk aversion is the order of the day. In his talk yesterday evening, Fed Chairman Bernanke struck a dovish tone, insisting once again that the Fed is still not out of ammunition. The DJIA is down 0.12%, the S&P500 is down 0.2% and the Nasdaq is down 0.48%.
01[12:07] {Threei}  any dove will look like a hungry bald eagle next to current Fed
01[12:08] {Threei}  - Most of the tech world is boiling with speculation about what Facebook is planning to talk about in its first major product event since going public. Rumors are all over the map, although several of the leading ideas are not very credible. Some say a phone or music service are in the offing, although Facebook would be very late to the game in both spheres. Search is also touted as a possibility, and Facebook executives have highlighted this as an essential area in the past. A major new e-commerce or content play are definite possibilities as well. Shares of FB are up 2% this morning.
01[12:17] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .40 break
01[12:17] {Threei}  If holds  .35
[12:35] {dptl} btu .75 long?
[12:36] {dptl} ahh late
01[12:36] {Threei}  can't tell really
[12:40] {dptl} coh .30 long?
01[12:40] {Threei}  [11:29] {nemo} breakouts this time of day get real iffy
01[12:40] {Threei}  [11:29] {Threei} right
01[12:40] {Threei}  [11:30] {nemo} this market is so slow, it makes you itch to do something, anything...not good
01[12:40] {Threei}  [11:30] {nemo} drink instead
01[12:40] {Threei}  [11:30] {dptl} ") right...
01[12:40] {Threei}  [11:31] {dptl} good idea :)
[12:41] {dptl} lol...
01[12:42] {Threei}  seriously... you point one breakout play after another
01[12:42] {Threei}  AFTER you agreeed that they are not the best plays right now
01[12:52] {Threei}  be back in 15
[13:06] {thomcbell} FB whoosh
01[13:06] {Threei}  FB CEO: Announcing a new product at presentation today, should be able to 'query' the database - facebook even
01[13:06] {Threei}  what an anticlimax
01[13:15] {Threei}  Facebook CEO: Announcing new social search product named "Graph Search" - product event
01[13:15] {Threei}  - There are three pillars to the Facebook service: newsfeed and timeline are the first two pillars, we will be discussing the third, "Graph Search"
01[13:15] {Threei}  - Facebook includes friend connections, follow connections, photo tags, likes, comments. Indexing all this content so you can access it usefully is a hard problem.
01[13:15] {Threei}  - The search that we wanted to build is privacy-aware. You can only search for content that has been shared with you.
01[13:15] {Threei}  - Web search and graph search are really, really different. Graph search is designed to take a precise query and give you the answer.
01[13:21] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  .80 break smaller shares
01[13:21] {Threei}  stop above .90
01[13:21] {Threei}  half out
01[13:21] {Threei}  stop .85
01[13:22] {Threei}  target .45
[13:22] {thomcbell} wow its bananas- lol
[13:26] {jdetente} nice scalp on FB thanks!
01[13:27] {Threei}  :)
[13:27] {thomcbell} dell boom
01[13:27] {Threei}  bottomed out at .46
01[13:27] {Threei}  Dell Inc Buyout is said to be moving ahead, banks are said to have been tapped to provide funding - financial press- PE firm Silver Lake and partners are said to be holding advanced talks with Dell. - Advisors reportedly include Credit Suisse, Bank of America, Barclays and RBC - Reminder: Yesterday reports circulated that at least two firms were interested in taking the firm private -
01[13:29] {Threei}  (US) Fed's Plosser (hawk, non-voter): Fed stimulus measures may hurt consumers who are trying to repair their finances
01[13:29] {Threei}  ****Plosser repeats remarks from Jan 11th speech, Plosser stated:
01[13:29] {Threei}  - Aggressive monetary policy is unlikely to accelerate improvements in job market or help rebuild household wealth
01[13:29] {Threei}  - Would like the Fed to tighten monetary policy sooner than most of the rest of the FOMC
01[13:29] {Threei}  - Trying to boost economic stimulus could even prolong sluggishness in US consumption.
01[13:29] {Threei}  - US economy is growing at a moderate pace.
01[13:29] {Threei}  - Very easy monetary policy cannot overcome business uncertainty.
[13:33] {thomcbell} dell 13 break if holding 12.90
[13:35] {thomcbell} invalidated dell
[13:36] {thomcbell} really annoying - my name is Tom Bell and i constantly get phone people say Dell
01[13:38] {Threei}  you don't wasnt to know the ways people have been pronouncing my name
[13:39] {thomcbell} do it Vad
[13:43] {thomcbell} dell rats
01[13:48] {Threei}  FB Announces partnership with Microsoft's Bing at Graph Search event; aims to bring web search results into the Graph Search product
01[13:48] {Threei}  so frikin what??
[14:01] {thomcbell} fb looks like a 30.50 long break
[14:01] {thomcbell} half lots only
01[14:02] {Threei}  hmmm
01[14:02] {Threei}  I am skeptical to be honest
01[14:02] {Threei}  well, it proved me wrong rather quickly :)
[14:03] {thomcbell} not worth the risk
[14:03] {thomcbell} thing can be down 1.50 or up 1.50 no problem from here
[14:04] {thomcbell} short setup fio 21.10 break if holding 21.20
[14:05] {thomcbell} stopped on balance at break even
[14:05] {thomcbell} fb
[14:09] {dptl} jcp short?
01[14:09] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  .40 break
01[14:09] {Threei}  If holds  .50
01[14:10] {Threei}  JCP is lifeless... can't tell
01[14:14] {Threei}  FB is valid
01[14:23] {Threei}  1:1
01[14:24] {Threei}  1:2
[14:25] {dptl} len .10 short?
01[14:27] {Threei}  hl
[14:30] {dino} ggc hl l .24
[14:34] {dino} out ggc .85, +.61
01[14:34] {Threei}  FB is getting shwed up
[14:36] {nemo} http://twitpic.com/bvhcom
[14:38] {thomcbell} flattening fio
01[14:38] {Threei}  that was "chewed up, and it continues
[14:57] {dptl} cog .30 short?
01[14:58] {Threei}  nah... marginal setup
01[14:58] {Threei}  why are you looking to short here?
01[14:58] {Threei}  SPY if anything looks long
01[15:08] {Threei} Long Setup:  COG  .40 break
01[15:08] {Threei}  If holds  .30
[15:19] {jdetente} I'm guying to call it a day. Have a good one!
01[15:19] {Threei}  take care jd, certainly much better day than yesterday
[15:19] {jdetente} yes. good trades!
[15:29] {dptl} pay short?
01[15:30] {Threei}  I don't see setup
01[15:31] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .50 break
[15:39] {dptl} what about mpc .25 short?
01[15:39] {Threei}  better
[15:43] {thomcbell} FB 30.21 long break
[15:43] {thomcbell} if holding 30.10
[15:44] {thomcbell} whoopie
[15:44] {thomcbell} lol
01[15:44] {Threei}  wow
01[15:44] {Threei}  lol
[15:45] {thomcbell} and thats that
[15:45] {thomcbell} scalpers win as sensai says
[15:49] {dptl} rimm stop .56?
01[15:49] {Threei}  yeah
[15:55] {nemo} http://twitpic.com/bvj7tz
[15:56] {dino} out len .70, +.60
01[15:59] {Threei}  nice finish!
01[15:59] {Threei}  ok
01[15:59] {Threei}  cl,osed RIMM for tiny scalp
01[15:59] {Threei}  thank youy all
[15:59] {dptl} gn
01[15:59] {Threei}  have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:59] {thomcbell} good day guys
[15:59] {dino} gn all
[15:59] {thomcbell} thanks



Monday, January 14, 2013

Jan 14 2013

Basically flat day, as stops and wins balanced each other out.



Session Time: Mon Jan 14 00:00:00 2013
[09:02] {dino} gm
01[09:03] {Threei}  morning dino
[09:09] {_jdetente} good morning all
01[09:10] {Threei}  jd :)
[09:23] {cipher} gm
01[09:23] {Threei}  cipher :)
[09:24] {ese} morning
01[09:24] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:25] {ese} in a week and a half i'll be back on the board basically full time......
[09:25] {nemo} I'm leaving next week
[09:25] {ese} my schedule changes for this upcoming semester...thank goodness
[09:25] {ese} lol
01[09:25] {Threei}  cool ese
[09:25] {ese} awesome
01[09:25] {Threei}  we will chain nemo to his chair
[09:25] {ese} indeed...........he probably already is
01[09:27] {Threei}  watching FB fr long
01[09:27] {Threei}  and financials
01[09:27] {Threei}  they report this week
01[09:28] {Threei}  also, a lot of feds speaking this week
01[09:28] {Threei}  Fed commentary for the week, will include a speech on monetary and fiscal policy due to be delivered by Fed Chairman Bernanke on Monday Jan 14th. Other Fed speakers include John Williams (San Francisco Fed-Jan14th), Dennis Lockhart (Atlanta Fed-Jan 14 and Jan 17th), Eric Rosengren (Boston Fed- Jan 15th), Narayana Kocherlakota (Minneapolis Fed-Jan 15 and Jan 16th), Plosser (Jan 15th) and Richard Fisher (Dallas Fed-Jan 16th). The Fed's monthly Beige Book is due to be released on Wednesday Jan 16th.
01[09:29] {Threei}  reporting Bank of America, Bank of New York, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs JP Morgan
01[09:32] {Threei} Long Setup:  JPM  46 break
01[09:33] {Threei}  change to .90 break
01[09:33] {Threei}  ugh, late
01[09:33] {Threei}  wait for now
01[09:33] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .10 break
[09:33] {cipher} qcom l .05
01[09:33] {Threei}  If holds  32
01[09:34] {Threei}  OK JPM
01[09:34] {Threei}  .90 break
01[09:34] {Threei}  If holds  .80
[09:34] {cipher} out qcom .14
01[09:35] {Threei}  FB target 1:3
[09:35] {nemo} frickin rimm
[09:35] {dino} out fio calls from last week, +.55 or 37%
01[09:36] {Threei}  no go
01[09:38] {Threei}  hmmm
01[09:38] {Threei}  on a wrong side
01[09:41] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .80 break
01[09:41] {Threei}  hl
01[09:41] {Threei}  .c .70
[09:42] {cipher} FRAN L .77
01[09:42] {Threei} Long Setup:  GM  .20 break
01[09:42] {Threei}  If holds  .10
[09:42] {cipher} out fran .98
01[09:43] {Threei}  Invalidated  LVS
01[09:44] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  32 break
01[09:44] {Threei}  If holds  .90
01[09:45] {Threei}  change to .90 break
01[09:45] {Threei}  If holds  .80
01[09:47] {Threei}  higher low in place
01[09:48] {Threei}  come on, what the deuce
01[09:48] {Threei}  sigh
01[09:48] {Threei}  SPY sharp drop
[09:50] {cipher} gtls s.80
01[09:50] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .90 break
01[09:50] {Threei}  If holds  15
01[09:51] {Threei}  Invalidated  GM
01[09:51] {Threei}  target 1:4 RIMM
01[09:53] {Threei}  1:1
01[09:53] {Threei}  1:2
01[09:55] {Threei}  1:3
[09:55] {cipher} cov gtls .65
[09:55] {cipher} gtls l .00
01[09:56] {Threei}  out last piece on a trail .72
01[10:00] {Threei} Long Setup:  KVS  .30 break
01[10:00] {Threei}  LVS
01[10:00] {Threei}  If holds  .20
01[10:00] {Threei}  Invalidated
[10:02] {dino} nice hl s .89
[10:02] {cipher} zumz l.70
01[10:02] {Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  .40 break hl
01[10:02] {Threei}  If holds  .30
[10:05] {cipher} CSOD L .10
[10:05] {thomcbell} rimm still has a short left in it i believe
[10:05] {thomcbell} entry tricky here
01[10:05] {Threei}  yeah, .50 is strong support
01[10:05] {Threei}  ideally it would lose .60, then consolidate for a while between .50 and .60
01[10:06] {Threei}  then I'd be happy to go for .50 break
[10:06] {cipher} out zumz -.06
[10:06] {nemo} .58 strong level rimm
01[10:09] {Threei}  shrug
01[10:09] {Threei}  nice read, no setup
01[10:11] {Threei}  nailed the top on RIMM with high precision
01[10:13] {Threei}  GLD target 1:3
[10:14] {thomcbell} rimm volume is absolutely shocking
[10:14] {nemo} animal spirits
[10:15] {cipher} CTXS l.97
01[10:15] {Threei}  the only animal I see in RIMM is a squirrel
[10:16] {cipher} out .30 +.33
01[10:16] {Threei}  wtg
[10:16] {cipher} conn l.63
[10:16] {dino} nice stop -.12
01[10:16] {Threei} Short Setup: LVS  52 break hl
[10:17] {cipher} out conn .79 +.16
[10:17] {nemo} I like the end:  http://www.khou.com/news/local/Robbery-victim-wants-to-thank-Good-Samaritans-who-came-to-his-rescue--186572461.html
01[10:18] {Threei}  GLD stop to .34
[10:19] {nemo} vvus erect
[10:20] {cipher} VVUS S .30
01[10:20] {Threei}  LVS 1:1
[10:20] {cipher} COV .25
01[10:21] {Threei}  scratching GLD
01[10:21] {Threei}  oversat it, shoukld have dumped at 1:1
[10:21] {cipher} out csod .22 +.12
01[10:24] {Threei}  LVS 1:2, out
[10:24] {dino} flo hl s .30
[10:26] {cipher} gmcr l .54
[10:26] {cipher} out .68
[10:27] {cipher} zumz l .16
[10:28] {cipher} gmcr l.68
[10:28] {cipher} out .89
[10:30] {cipher} out zumz .33 +.17
[10:31] {cipher} actg l .91
01[10:33] {Threei} Long Setup:  FDX  98 break hl
[10:34] {cipher} out actg flat
[10:35] {nemo} .25 level vvus
01[10:37] {Threei}  1:1 if you got it
[10:37] {_jdetente} no entry :(
01[10:37] {Threei}  yeah, jumped
[10:38] {cipher} thx fdx +.11
01[10:39] {Threei}  :)
01[10:40] {Threei} Short Setup: FIO  21 break
01[10:40] {Threei}  If holds  .10
[10:43] {cipher} asml l.38
01[10:43] {Threei}  Invalidated
[10:47] {cipher} fosl l.11
[10:48] {thomcbell} rimm - hehe
01[10:51] {Threei}  what can I say... pigs CAN fly :)
[10:51] {cipher} out asml .49 +.11
[10:51] {thomcbell} well Roger Waters always thought so
[10:52] {cipher} out fosl .04 -.07
[10:54] {nemo} .87 rimm
[10:57] {cipher} fosl s .04
01[10:57] {Threei}  President Obama is due hold a press conference at 11:15ET, to discuss the debt ceiling. Press reports out yesterday suggest the House Republicans are willing to risk a shutdown in the debt ceiling fight.
[11:01] {cipher} cov fosl .01 +.03
[11:04] {cipher} infi l .62
[11:07] {goryl} cipher pm when u get a chance
[11:10] {cipher} lbtya l.61
[11:13] {cipher} out .74
[11:16] {dino} flo stop -.22
[11:18] {cipher} out infi .65 +.03
01[11:19] {Threei}  where is president
[11:20] {dino} always late
01[11:20] {Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .40 break
01[11:20] {Threei}  If holds  .50
01[11:21] {Threei}  my guess is, militant tone is to dominate, and market is not going to be happy about it
[11:21] {cipher} beav l .75
[11:22] {dino} 11:30 whitehouse.gov
[11:27] {cipher} out .79
01[11:29] {Threei}  GLD is not playing today
01[11:30] {Threei} Short Setup: DCX  .80 break
01[11:30] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .80 break
01[11:38] {Threei}  finally
[11:38] {dino} nice hl s .98 last try
01[11:39] {Threei}  frikin GLD
01[11:40] {Threei}  rinsing bastard
01[11:42] {Threei}  FCX 1:1
01[11:42] {Threei}  here we go again with Buffet secretary
01[11:42] {Threei}  man, this is going to be long 4 years
[11:50] {dino} ctxs hl l .24
[11:50] {dino} gtls hl l .22
01[11:54] {Threei}  "we are not a deadbeat nation... yet... but I am working on it"
[12:00] {dino} nice cov flat
[12:01] {nemo} .20 ceiling on rig
[12:02] {nemo} o.k seer if .20 is support now
[12:02] {dino} cab hl s .36
[12:07] {dino} cov cab .12, +.24
01[12:09] {Threei}  1:2 FCX
01[12:09] {Threei}  out
01[12:09] {Threei}  breathing a bit easier
[12:22] {dino} flo hl s .60
[12:22] {nemo} rig worth a risk here long or short, inflection area
[12:23] {nemo} drops this, good to .75ish, above 55.26ish
01[12:37] {Threei}  wow, FCX had more
01[12:49] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .90 break
01[12:49] {Threei}  If holds  15
[12:52] {dino} flo stop -.16
01[12:54] {Threei}  no go
01[12:56] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .60 break
01[12:56] {Threei}  If holds  .55
[13:00] {thomcbell} aig 34.82 break if holding 34.72
01[13:01] {Threei}  hte this going nowhere market
[13:01] {dino} me too
01[13:02] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .10 break
01[13:03] {Threei}  If holds  31
01[13:04] {Threei}  target 1:3
[13:09] {thomcbell} when is this FB event Vad?
01[13:10] {Threei}  tomorrow
[13:18] {cipher} cat l .53
01[13:19] {Threei}  1:1
[13:20] {cipher} fb +.10 thx
[13:20] {thomcbell} me too thanks
01[13:20] {Threei}  yw
01[13:20] {Threei}  chart is clean to about .45... hope no rinsing
[13:20] {cipher} out cat .59
01[13:48] {Threei}  FB is oblivious to the broad market
01[13:49] {Threei}  1:2
[13:55] {_jdetente} out FB. ty!
01[13:55] {Threei}  yw
01[13:56] {Threei}  I am the last holdout, waiting for 1:3? :)
01[14:03] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .35 break
01[14:03] {Threei}  late
01[14:03] {Threei}  ok
01[14:03] {Threei}  in
01[14:03] {Threei}  stop .27
01[14:04] {Threei}  DELL Halted on volatility; said to be holding talks with at least two PE firms to take the company private
[14:09] {dino} out ctxs .48, +.24
01[14:13] {Threei}  no go CAT
01[14:13] {Threei}  like pulling teeth
01[14:18] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .20 break
[14:20] {nemo} cat
01[14:20] {Threei}  finally FB!
01[14:20] {Threei}  1:3, out
[14:20] {_jdetente} patience. very nice
[14:32] {cipher} fran l .61
01[14:33] {Threei}  LVS dtop .14
01[14:35] {Threei}  sheesh
01[14:41] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIG  .50 break hl
[14:42] {cipher} out fran .80 +.19
01[14:45] {Threei}  Invalidated
01[14:58] {Threei} Long Setup:  HPQ  .05 break
01[14:58] {Threei}  If holds  17
01[15:01] {Threei}  Invalidated
01[15:05] {Threei} Short Setup: RIG  .30 break hl
[15:07] {cipher} ibm l .51
01[15:14] {Threei}  1:1
01[15:14] {Threei}  half out RIG
01[15:15] {Threei}  has potential for more
01[15:16] {Threei}  1:2
01[15:18] {Threei}  out in full .03
01[15:18] {Threei}  a bit too sharp drop into 54 support
[15:21] {cipher} rig l .04
01[15:22] {Threei}  hehe
01[15:22] {Threei}  good pouching
[15:22] {nemo} pivot and yesterday close right near the whole
[15:25] {cipher} out ibm .66 +.15
01[15:25] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .70 break
01[15:25] {Threei}  If holds  .60
01[15:26] {Threei}  need this one to 1:2 to get flat for the day
01[15:28] {Threei}  (US) White House informs agencies to begin preparation for lower spending levels and spending uncertainties as a result of the sequestion and budget impasse in Congress - press
01[15:28] {Threei}  - Sees thousands of Federal Employees furloughed assuming sequestration program is not avoided; some services to military families will be curtailed as a result assuming no action is taken
[15:29] {dino} gotta hop, gn all
01[15:30] {Threei}  take care dino
01[15:34] {Threei}  OK RIMM
01[15:34] {Threei}  this day's fate in your hands
[15:34] {cipher} out rig .14 +.10
01[15:35] {Threei}  wtg
01[15:35] {Threei}  1:1
01[15:35] {Threei}  good boy RIMM
01[15:35] {Threei}  give us 1:2
01[15:38] {Threei}  yessss
01[15:38] {Threei}  whew
01[15:38] {Threei}  whole day of digging the hole and digging out of it
01[15:38] {Threei}  lol
01[15:39] {Threei}  how about we leave it at that, not to go back in red by the last trade
01[15:40] {Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:40] {Threei}  see youi tomorrow for a better day




Sunday, January 13, 2013

Nemo's findings week of 01/13

(Course on chart pattern recognition is available now: http://www.realitytrader.com/111trades.html  

And the bull goes on...


 

Not sure there is much to add.  Eco news that came out this week was tepid, and we got bought up.  Serious bull market.  If the levels can't be sold down, they head right back up.  Anyway, confluence zones are still working pretty well.  Look for the market to keep going higher until earnings show themselves, and so far they've been pretty good.

The week that is...





 

Friday, January 11, 2013

Market Week Wrap-up

Calm Before The Debt Ceiling Storm


- Global equity markets largely moved sideways this week as trading remained rather subdued after last week's monster rally. There was little consequential data to trade off of, besides China's excellent December trade report. Export and import data were both much better than expected in China, prompting many commentators to say the nation's 2013 GDP growth could be stronger than the official 7.5% target. Both a former World Bank economist and an Alcoa executive stated they would not be surprised if China GDP growth topped 8% in 2013. In Japan, newly installed PM Shinzo Abe unveiled a ¥20T stimulus package, although his government seemed to back away from forcing the Bank of Japan to formally commit to a higher inflation target. In the US, President Obama nominated current White House Chief of Staff Jack Lew to replace Tim Geithner as Treasury Secretary, much to the chagrin of some Congressional Republicans who have found Lew to be a tough negotiator. Little was heard from Capitol Hill, although House Speaker Boehner suggested a later the usual date of February 12th for the president's 2013 State of the Union address. The debt limit is looming ahead, with some analysts saying the limit could be reached as early as February 15th. For the week, the DJIA and S&P 500 each gained 0.4%, while the Nasdaq tacked on 0.8%.

- China's much stronger than expected December trade data kept global markets aloft in the latter half of the week. The trade surplus was well above consensus, although it was the import/export components that inspired traders, with the latter rising by nearly twice the expected rate at +6% and the former by nearly three times expectations at +14%. Exports to the EU rose marginally, marking their first y/y increase since May. Exports to the US showed a much more robust growth of +10%.

- Alcoa's decent earnings report lifted markets on Tuesday, unofficially opening the Q4 earnings reporting season. While the firm's revenue was weak and earnings only just met expectations, investors were heartened by the firm's +7% forecast for 2013 global demand growth, which compares to their +6% 2012 forecast.

- Boeing's new 787 Dreamliner jet program is facing serious issues after a string of technical failures this week. A battery system in a Japan Airlines 787 caught fire and an ANA Dreamliner reported cracks appearing in a window during flight. In response, the FAA said it will thoroughly review the 787's critical systems and assembly but will not ask airlines to ground the aircraft. Airlines have started conducting their own reviews of their 787 fleets and so far United Continental has found one of its 787s had faulty battery wires.

- Bank of America announced $11.6 billion in settlements with Fannie Mae and a $1.8 billion sale of rights on home loans. The deals go a long way toward moving BoA past its disastrous 2008 purchase of Countrywide. BoA said it would still make money in Q4, however the settlements wipe out most of the bank's profits for the quarter.

- Multi-level marketing firm Herbalife was much in focus on Thursday, when the firm held an analyst event to rebut the accusations made recently by Pershing Square's Bill Ackman. Herbalife's presentation was dismissed by some analysts as transparent and dishonest. Other investors smell an opportunity: legendary activist investor Carl Icahn was said to building a stake in the firm, while Dan Loeb's hedge fund Third Point disclosed an 8.2% passive stake in the firm. One fund manager commented that the play would end up as "an Ackman sandwich."

- On Sunday, Switzerland's Basel Committee gave banks four more years and extra flexibility to reach Basel III targets, allowing lenders to put some of their reserves to work. Recall that back in November, the Fed abandoned its prior Jan 1st, 2013 deadline for making the Basel III rules effective for US institutions and said it would continue to study the rules.

- EUR/USD was well contained within a 1.3000 to 1.3150 range through Thursday morning's ECB rate decision. More signs of normality were seen in Europe's crisis nations: Ireland, Italy and Spain sold longer-term debt in public markets, drawing very good demand at lower yields. By Friday, the yield on 10-year Spanish debt dropped below 5% and the yield on Italian 10-year debt were getting very close to 4%.

- There were no surprises in either the BOE or ECB rate decisions as both banks left key rates unchanged. At the ECB press conference, Mario Draghi revealed that the decision to hold rates steady was unanimous, unlike the December meeting when there was "wide discussion" about whether to ease further, including the concept of negative interest rates. By Friday, EUR/USD advanced above 1.3300 after testing the key level repeatedly over the last several weeks, as it became clear that Japan would follow through on promised stimulus and US Fed members made it clear that last week's FOMC minutes were misconstrued as a hawkish shift.

- On Thursday EUR/CHF moved sharply above 1.21 level on rumors that Zurich Cantonal Bank (ZKB) would join other competitors and start charging for certain deposit accounts. The bank later denied the reports, strengthening CHF. The cross hit a four-month high on Friday at 1.2170 after the negative reading in the Dec Swiss CPI data stoked fears of deflation.

- The steady weakening trend in the yen was on pause early on in the week as the new government continued its struggle over monetary policy with the BoJ. The yen strengthened after the government backed away from attempts to tie the BoJ to a new high inflation target via a formal accord. Traders saw the compromise as a less potent outcome than an explicit commitment to take unlimited easing measures until inflation hit 2%. Later in the week, PM Abe unveiled a ¥20T economic stimulus package, with a goal of boosting GDP by 2% and creating 600K jobs. By Friday's close, USD/JPY was back around 18-month highs at 89.20.



TradeTheNews

Jan 11 2013

Another day of see-saw action, ending on slightly negative note. Overall, not an easy trading week, with great days, so-so days and a lot of rinses.  


 [09:05] {dino} gm
01[09:06] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:07] {cipher} gm
01[09:07] {Threei}  cipher :)
[09:07] {_jdetente} gm
01[09:07] {Threei}  jd :)
01[09:07] {Threei}  HLF got downgraded
[09:07] {cipher} I never liked HLF concept
[09:07] {cipher} looks like a pyramid
01[09:08] {Threei}  total yikes
01[09:08] {Threei}  it is a pyramid-schemed multilevel marketing
[09:08] {cipher} if I will trade it it will be from the short side only
[09:13] {scottie} good morning
01[09:13] {Threei}  scottie :)
[09:22] {goryl} gm
01[09:22] {Threei}  goryl :)
01[09:30] {Threei} Short Setup: WFC  .75 break hl
01[09:30] {Threei}  If holds  .85
[09:30] {goryl} no short list
[09:31] {nemo} buy the dips
01[09:32] {Threei} Long Setup:  HPQ  .60 break
01[09:33] {Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:33] {Threei}  no go
01[09:35] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .40 break
01[09:36] {Threei}  If holds  .30
[09:36] {dino} clf?
01[09:37] {Threei}  wtf
[09:37] {nemo} wow already extreme at whole
01[09:37] {Threei}  don't see any news CLF
[09:37] {cipher} WFM L .00
[09:37] {thomcbell} wow bhp too down decent
[09:38] {nemo} maybe with all the executive order talk clf figures they might beout of business
[09:39] {dino} clf hl l .75
01[09:39] {Threei} Long Setup:  JCP  .10 break
01[09:40] {Threei}  If holds  18
[09:40] {cipher} out wfm .21 +.21
[09:40] {dino} out clf .10, +.35
01[09:45] {Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .25 break
01[09:45] {Threei}  If holds  .15
01[09:47] {Threei}  SPY loses ground
[09:48] {nemo} look for bounce by .72
01[09:49] {Threei}  FB is holding the line so far
01[09:49] {Threei}  aimi for 1:2
[09:51] {dptl} gm
01[09:52] {Threei}  dp :)
01[09:52] {Threei}  1:1
[09:52] {scottie} +.10 tks Vad
01[09:52] {Threei}  yw
[09:52] {cipher} +.15 fb thx
01[09:52] {Threei}  1:2, out
[09:53] {cc_8} Among the companies with shares expected to actively trade in Friday’s session are Best Buy Co. BBY +9.83% (BBY) ArQule Inc. ARQL -15.21% (ARQL) and Dendreon Corp. DNDN +13.31% (DNDN).
[09:53] {nemo} infy]
[09:53] {cc_8} Overnight action: SAC braces for big exodus of funds; Flood of deposits bedevils banks; Delhi rape suspects’ details emerge.
[09:54] {_jdetente} FB nice trade. thanks
01[09:54] {Threei}  yw
01[09:54] {Threei}  underestimated a bit but this is scary loosing SPY
[09:54] {cipher} celg l .70
01[09:54] {Threei}  looking
[09:54] {dino} fio
[09:55] {cc_8} The Russell 2000 index of small-capitalization stocks finished at another all-time high on Thursday. The record exemplifies how smaller companies that benefit from an improving U.S. economy continue to rally, and outpace their larger brethren.
[09:55] {dptl} rht .20 short?
[09:55] {cipher} out celg .80 +.10
01[09:56] {Threei}  with this spread, I just don't want to touch it
[09:56] {thomcbell} dndn looks like a long here
[09:56] {thomcbell} 5.93 break if holding 5.83
[09:57] {cipher} ibb l .15
01[09:57] {Threei} Long Setup:  JCP  18 break
01[09:57] {Threei}  If holds  .90
[09:59] {cipher} cstr l .77
[09:59] {thomcbell} lvs looking for a double bottom setup here
01[09:59] {Threei}  (US) Fed's Plosser: US must handle its fiscal issues, benefits of QE do not exceed the costs - Q&A- Reiterates the biggest risks associated with QE is the exit strategy; would be in support of halting the bond buying program - Rapid increase in long-term rates would pose balance sheet problems for the Fed.
01[10:00] {Threei}  1:1
01[10:00] {Threei}  what exit strategy? they have one?
[10:01] {nemo} fcx
01[10:01] {Threei}  I've got perfect exit strategy suggestion for the fed... exit this country and never come back
[10:02] {dino} clf hl l .04 ave
[10:05] {scottie} +.10 JCP, tks Vad
01[10:05] {Threei}  :)
01[10:05] {Threei}  1:2, out
01[10:06] {Threei}  1:3
01[10:06] {Threei}  crying
01[10:06] {Threei}  second underestimated one
[10:06] {cipher} out ibb .00 -.15
[10:06] {_jdetente} FB took a rocket ride
[10:06] {cipher} ibb s .99
01[10:06] {Threei}  must... not... watch... it...
[10:07] {dptl} out jcp ty
01[10:07] {Threei}  yw
01[10:07] {Threei}  global warming in action: http://goo.gl/JTXVz
01[10:08] {Threei}  what's with these bouts of selling
[10:08] {dino} dk, been happening all week
[10:09] {thomcbell} wow splk
01[10:09] {Threei}  can it be that, if we are looking under the hood, we are no longer in a bull market?
[10:11] {cipher} out cstr .99 +.22
01[10:11] {Threei} Long Setup:  JPM  .60 break
01[10:12] {Threei}  If holds  .50
[10:12] {cipher} cov ibb .90 +.09
[10:13] {dino} i think we are in bull until we are not 3i.
01[10:13] {Threei}  no shit sherlock
[10:13] {nemo} State of the Union Address
01[10:13] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  .80
01[10:13] {Threei}  If holds  .90
[10:14] {dino} good point nemo, he'll bring us down
01[10:14] {Threei}  it could be that market is sensing bloodbath coming with debt ceiling debate
[10:15] {dino} whatever happens happens. will not affect me. just react
01[10:15] {Threei}  let's do a double top here, FB
01[10:16] {Threei}  grrr
01[10:16] {Threei}  stopped
[10:16] {nemo} FB going to 33.50
[10:17] {cipher} petm l .99
[10:18] {scottie} jpm valid ?
01[10:18] {Threei}  yes
[10:18] {cipher} out petm .10 +.11
[10:21] {cipher} esrx l .20
01[10:22] {Threei}  did JPM trigger? looked away for a sec
[10:28] {cipher} adbe l .95
[10:29] {dptl} swk .08 short?
[10:30] {cipher} out adbe .05 +.10
01[10:30] {Threei}  don't know, way too low volumre
[10:31] {_jdetente} are you in JPM?
01[10:31] {Threei}  yes
01[10:31] {Threei}  market should reverse here
[10:33] {_jdetente} ugh stopped
01[10:33] {Threei}  no go
01[10:33] {Threei}  not delighted
01[10:33] {Threei}  back and forth morning
01[10:33] {Threei}  frikin FB rinsed
[10:37] {_jdetente} discipline :(
[10:37] {_jdetente} :)
[10:38] {dptl} stx .15 long?
01[10:38] {Threei}  yeah
[10:39] {goryl} u taking it vad?
01[10:39] {Threei}  nah, a bit lukewarm
01[10:40] {Threei}  JPM another rinse
01[10:40] {Threei}  don't you hate that discipline, lol
[10:40] {dino} yeah, but the one you don't keep disciplined will get you bad
01[10:41] {Threei}  of course
01[10:41] {Threei}  look at it
01[10:41] {Threei}  setup was ideal, everything in place
[10:44] {cc_8} Shakeout Before a Breakout? That major averages were able to hold on to last week's gains was a pretty good indication that a test of the market's September highs wasn't far off.
[10:44] {dino} nemo. odds of clf hitting s3?
[10:46] {dino} 07 red
01[10:47] {Threei} Long Setup:  JCP  .30 break
01[10:47] {Threei}  If holds  .20
[10:48] {nemo} hold on DIno
[10:52] {dino} disconnect. markets going up but banks app lod
[10:52] {nemo} Dino, I expect it to test these lows again...red headed Obama stepchild, end of big upweek S4 36.16 you hit that less than 10% of time. 35.80 is 38.2 retrace....SPY not showing much strength either
01[10:52] {Threei}  let's make it two-sided
[10:53] {goryl} 20 break short?
01[10:53] {Threei}  right
[10:53] {dino} thx buddy
[10:53] {nemo} this is vwap on clf probably gonna' get shake and bake until it breaks a range
01[10:53] {Threei}  red headed Obama stepchild? lol
[10:53] {nemo} coal industry
01[10:53] {Threei}  trekkers would call it a redshirt
[10:54] {thomcbell} darn lvs
[10:55] {dino} you see the trekkers on "big bang" last night?
[10:55] {_jdetente} feels like JCP may hold here
01[10:56] {Threei}  so far holding downtrend on 1 min
01[10:57] {Threei}  not watching that one dino...
01[10:57] {Threei}  can squeeze just so much crap in life, and current adnministration with fed takes disproportionally big share :)
[10:57] {dino} lol, you worry too much
01[10:58] {Threei}  not really
01[10:58] {Threei}  I resigned to the fact that we are screwed
01[10:59] {Threei}  just trying to find a way to derfive a pleasure from that
06[11:00] * Threei hits JCP over the head with 2x4
[11:02] {goryl} tibx .8 short?
01[11:03] {Threei}  smaller shares
01[11:03] {Threei}  can be jumpy
01[11:04] {Threei}  let's tighten JCP to .26
[11:06] {dino} out clf .28, +.24
01[11:06] {Threei}  wtg
01[11:07] {Threei}  lose that .15 already, JCP
01[11:08] {Threei}  ok, who is Strader455
01[11:08] {Threei}  1:1 baby
[11:12] {dino} faro
[11:15] {dptl} got to leave early ...have a good weekend all
[11:15] {scottie} dp
[11:16] {cipher} sohu s .50
[11:17] {thomcbell} short setup rimm 12.04 break if holding 12.14
[11:18] {cipher} cov SOHU .24 +.26
[11:19] {cipher} sohu l .21
[11:21] {cipher} out .49 +.28
01[11:21] {Threei}  like a flute
[11:21] {dino} faro sm l .72
[11:21] {dino} cya dp
[11:21] {cipher} done for the week
[11:21] {dino} cya cipher
[11:21] {cipher} cya monday
01[11:22] {Threei}  have a good weekend
[11:22] {cipher} thx you too
[11:25] {thomcbell} rimm invalidated
[11:25] {dino} nemo, good read on clf
01[11:29] {Threei}  out JCP in full
01[11:29] {Threei}  day is slightly positive but I don't feel satisfied with it
01[11:40] {Threei}  JCP had more in it
01[11:40] {Threei}  exiting too soon seems to be my curse for today
01[11:40] {Threei}  third trade
[11:47] {nemo} clf might be worth a try around 35.80
[11:47] {nemo} throw a stink bid and be ready to close it out
[11:48] {nemo} 50 day is down at 34.20
[11:48] {nemo} wich is the 50% retrace of this run
[11:48] {nemo} of course, the whole here is an option too
[11:49] {nemo} only problem, at lunch vwap could stop it
[12:04] {cc_8} Twitter Trading Platform Set to Launch
[12:04] {cc_8}  “Today, social media creates a vast amount of information and it has been proven that the sentiment derived from it can predict stock market movements. For the very first time, we are connecting this information source to the trading community, opening up the universe of social media data so traders can make more informed buying and selling decisions.”
01[12:04] {Threei}  lol
01[12:04] {Threei}  good luck
[12:04] {nemo} GIGO
[12:08] {dino} aap spike
[12:18] {nemo} mnst could be a nice short here
[12:20] {dino} f'ng aap wanted .40 short, missed it by .04, and it fell almost a buck
01[12:32] {Threei}  STT
[12:32] {thomcbell} rimm unreal today
01[12:32] {Threei}  let's see if we can get long near .40
[12:32] {nemo} has vwap support at .37
[12:32] {goryl} u mean .50 Vad?
[12:33] {nemo} no, that would be playing whack-a-mole...you can be point man, it will be fun watching you get shot
[12:33] {goryl} ok:)
[12:34] {nemo} mnst if it stays below .55 should go to .16ish
[12:34] {nemo} pick your entry, I shorted at .58
[12:36] {thomcbell} vad rimm 12.86 break if holding 12.96?
[12:36] {nemo} .90 break
01[12:37] {Threei}  I like the idea
[12:37] {nemo} might be going for the gap though
01[12:37] {Threei}  ugh STT
[12:37] {nemo} rimm does crazy shit like that
01[12:37] {Threei}  look at the point of bounce
[12:37] {thomcbell} it is so strong it is acting like it wants the gap fill
01[12:37] {Threei}  exactly from .40, but no chance to enter
[12:37] {nemo} and goryl would have been shot at .50
[12:38] {thomcbell} invalidated
[12:38] {nemo} yeah, rimmm does crazy shit
01[12:38] {Threei}  DK...
01[12:38] {Threei}  too thin
01[12:39] {Threei}  29 break short looks tempting but untradebale stock
01[12:42] {Threei}  watch CAT
01[12:43] {Threei}  if pulls back under 95, recross is long
01[12:57] {Threei} Short Setup: STT  .50 break
01[12:57] {Threei}  If holds  .55
[13:04] {dino} zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
01[13:06] {Threei}  zzzzzzz, but something tells me we are going to see nice selling into eod
[13:06] {scottie} CAT ?
01[13:06] {Threei}  I of course tell this something to shut up
01[13:06] {Threei}  watching it scottie
01[13:07] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  95 break
01[13:07] {Threei}  If holds  .95
[13:23] {scottie} out
01[13:23] {Threei}  sigh
01[13:23] {Threei}  almost as if you better take 5 cent scalps
01[13:24] {Threei}  both would have worked for that but I really hnate this unless I trade 5K shares and more
01[13:27] {Threei} Short Setup: JCP  .20 break
01[13:27] {Threei}  If holds  .30
[13:32] {thomcbell} these are still low volume downmoves on rimm on 5 min chart
01[13:32] {Threei}  market suddenly strengthened
01[13:32] {Threei}  let's trail JCP to .26
01[13:34] {Threei}  oh good CAT, thanks for that
[13:36] {_jdetente} JCP...lame
01[13:37] {Threei}  second that
01[13:37] {Threei}  not liking this whole week actually
01[13:37] {Threei}  even though some days were fine, overall too random
[13:37] {thomcbell} my worst week in many months
[13:39] {dino} sh*t happens tbell. i struggled this week too. clean them out and start over monday
[13:41] {dino} i found i was too chicken on my entries on spikes/capits. left a lot of great opportunities on the table
[13:58] {thomcbell} yes
01[14:11] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .50 break
01[14:11] {Threei}  ugh, late
01[14:11] {Threei}  wait for pullback
01[14:15] {Threei}  in
01[14:15] {Threei}  it's in fact an aggressive entry for .60 break
01[14:17] {Threei}  with 1:3 target
01[14:17] {Threei}  intended as a day fixer
01[14:17] {Threei}  and if it doesn't work, I'll cut my wrist with banana
[14:18] {nemo} wuss
01[14:18] {Threei}  OK... I'll cut nemo's wrist with banana
[14:18] {nemo} nice appeal to my ego
[14:18] {nemo} scares you I know you so well doesn't it?
01[14:19] {Threei}  rather encourages
01[14:19] {Threei}  means I have ways to improve
01[14:20] {Threei}  I mean, one needs even more formidable skills to cut wrists with persimmon
[14:20] {nemo} try it with a snail
[14:21] {nemo} this is like summer...don't bother trading on Monday's or Fridays
01[14:21] {Threei}  actually Monday was the best day of this week if I remember correctly
[14:22] {nemo} just shut up and go with it will ya'?
[14:26] {dino} lol
[14:34] {scottie} stop .44 ?
01[14:41] {Threei}  I think so
[14:48] {nemo} rimm is amazing today
[14:52] {dino} out mg +.02
01[14:53] {Threei}  1:1
01[14:53] {Threei}  no banana for nemo's wrist
[14:53] {dino} gotta hop early. r.e. closing. take care call
01[14:54] {Threei}  have a good weekend dino
[14:54] {dino} u2 buddies
[14:54] {scottie} dino
[15:02] {scottie} out .54, went to .60 tks Vad
01[15:02] {Threei}  yw... really had much more potential, this SPY dump kept it back
01[15:03] {Threei}  nice to plug some of the hole but hoped to fix the whole thingb
[15:20] {_jdetente} JCP pulled back about .40 after that big bounce
[15:22] {thomcbell} good weekend all
[15:22] {scottie} tbell
01[15:25] {Threei}  should be a long somehwre about here, watching
01[15:36] {Threei}  let's let it lose .20
01[15:36] {Threei}  and look for entry after that
01[15:40] {Threei} Long Setup:  JCP  .20 break
01[15:40] {Threei}  If holds  .15
01[15:54] {Threei}  (US) Senate Democrats in letter to President Obama ask him to consider any and all lawful actions to ensure the US does not default in the event Congress fails to raise the debt ceiling on time- Urges the President to take any legal action prevent US from defaulting and causing a global crisis, without Congressional approval if necessary. **Reminder: 1/9 the White housed reiterated President Obama has no intention of using the 14th amendment to increase the debt limit. White House has "no Plan B, no backup plan, no off-ramp" to circumvent Congress and raise the debt limit unilaterally. - On 01/07, Bipartisan Policy Center estimates Treasury's extraordinary measures on debt ceiling will run out by Feb 15 - March 1; earlier than many people had expected
01[15:54] {Threei}  come on JCP, time's running out
01[15:57] {Threei}  Ok guys, JCP is saved by the bell
01[15:58] {Threei}  questionable week... too much seesawing
01[15:58] {Threei}  have a great weekend, we will get them next week
[15:59] {_jdetente} have a good one everyone
[15:59] {scottie} see you monday

Thursday, January 10, 2013

Jan 10 2013

Much better day with active morning and nicely working trades. Couple stops in the afternoon as action almost disappeared.


Session Time: Thu Jan 10 00:00:00 2013
[09:07] {goryl} gm
01[09:07] {Threei}  morning goryl
[09:10] {scottie} good morning
01[09:11] {Threei}  scottie :)
[09:14] {dino} gm
01[09:15] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:18] {cipher} gm
01[09:19] {Threei}  cipher :)
01[09:19] {Threei}  HLF sharp dive
[09:20] {dino} govt investigation, hlf
01[09:22] {Threei}  that was yesterday... gapped up today on rumors of Icann building a stake
[09:22] {dptl} good morning
01[09:22] {Threei}  dp :)
01[09:30] {Threei}  doesn't look like there is anything in the way of upward market
01[09:31] {Threei} Long Setup:  STT  50 break hl
01[09:32] {Threei}  if loses .90, will look for pullback entry
[09:33] {cipher} iaci l .23
01[09:34] {Threei}  HLF has investor's meeting today
[09:34] {cipher} out iaci .39 +.16
01[09:35] {Threei}  got .02 and .03 STT
01[09:35] {Threei}  stop under .90, target 1:3
[09:37] {cipher} penn l .03
01[09:38] {Threei} Long Setup:  AIG  .90 break
01[09:38] {Threei}  If holds  .80
[09:39] {cipher} out penn .17+.14
[09:40] {cipher} fast l .34
[09:41] {nemo} indexes dropping
[09:41] {cipher} out fast .43
01[09:42] {Threei}  no go AIG
01[09:44] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .55 break hl
01[09:45] {Threei}  If holds  .45
[09:48] {dino} 07 red
01[09:49] {Threei}  CAT 1:1
[09:49] {cipher} SRPT L .56
[09:52] {cipher} BIDU L .30
[09:53] {cipher} out bidu .50
[09:54] {cipher} out srpt .78 +.22
01[09:54] {Threei}  wtg
[09:54] {cipher} ty
[09:55] {dino} gj cipher
01[09:55] {Threei}  right direction of the trades, and they carry you to the profit
01[09:55] {Threei}  IMO, pullback are to be bought
01[09:55] {Threei}  and upward salmons
01[09:56] {Threei}  STT worms its way up to 1:1
[09:56] {cipher} CAVM L.48
[09:57] {cipher} cavm stop .-08
01[09:57] {Threei}  salmon at its best so far
01[09:59] {Threei}  1:2
01[09:59] {Threei}  CAT 1:2
01[10:00] {Threei}  out CAT in full, last piece of STT for 1:3
01[10:00] {Threei}  *(US) NOV WHOLESALE INVENTORIES: 0.6% V 0.2%E
[10:00] {cipher} CAVM L .50
[10:01] {cipher} out .74
[10:01] {cipher} FEIC L .15
01[10:01] {Threei}  anyone is taking these? CAT, STT?
[10:02] {dptl} stt ty
[10:02] {goryl} took both Vad, ty
01[10:02] {Threei}  cool :)
[10:02] {_jdetente} yes ty
01[10:02] {Threei}  :)
01[10:02] {Threei}  btw dp... whatever you, do not read the log of yesterday, after you left
[10:03] {dptl} i did alredy :)
01[10:03] {Threei}  OK, then don't tell nemo that it hurt - he will derive too much pleasure from it
[10:04] {cipher} srpt l .20
01[10:04] {Threei}  look at HLF
[10:04] {cipher} out srpt .32
01[10:05] {Threei}  too volatile for my taste, otherwise would have been perfect for pullback entry as I preached
[10:05] {cipher} out feic .37 +.22
01[10:05] {Threei}  but dino and cipher might want to keep an eye on it
[10:06] {cipher} stt +.15 thx vad
01[10:06] {Threei}  welcome
01[10:07] {Threei}  oh god... HLF exec: "it's about a shake, a tea, and aloe AND A HUG"
01[10:08] {Threei}  shoot me
[10:09] {cipher} mcrs s .17
[10:11] {dptl} met .50 long?
01[10:11] {Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .30 break
01[10:11] {Threei}  MET, too narrow
[10:13] {dino} caci hl l .80
[10:13] {cipher} expe s .95
01[10:13] {Threei}  Invalidated
[10:14] {dptl} clf long?
[10:15] {cipher} cov expe .85 +.10
[10:15] {cipher} cov mcrs .11 +.06
01[10:15] {Threei}  no, let's wait a bit
01[10:15] {Threei}  this pullback is somewhat out of today's character for SPY
[10:16] {cipher} expe l .72
01[10:16] {Threei}  not sure "buy pullback" mantra is still intact
[10:16] {nemo} yeah, gaps galore
[10:16] {cipher} stopped expe -.03
[10:16] {nemo} I wonder if she's related to that Bond chick...;-)
01[10:17] {Threei}  oh boy... took me a few, lol
[10:17] {nemo} too much vodka Vad?
01[10:17] {Threei}  no... actually too little to follow all the twists of your pervert mind :)
[10:17] {cipher} expe rinse damn
01[10:17] {Threei}  perverse
[10:18] {nemo} pot calling kettle black?
01[10:19] {Threei}  GDX
01[10:19] {Threei}  setup is back
01[10:19] {Threei}  same, .30 break short
[10:19] {dino} abg hl l .95
[10:19] {cipher} amgn l .62
01[10:20] {Threei}  invalidated again
[10:20] {nemo} cipher this is S3 and the 200 day on amgn, careful
[10:20] {nemo} oh long, cool
[10:20] {nemo} sorry
01[10:21] {Threei}  GDX is like my relationship with clothing... on again, off again
[10:21] {nemo} 50 day sorry
[10:21] {nemo} sheesh
[10:21] {nemo} who's drinking too much vodka
[10:21] {nemo} ?
[10:21] {cipher} out amgn .70 +.08
06[10:21] * nemo {{{===
[10:22] {cipher} thx for the heads up nemo :)
[10:22] {cipher} it was only a scalp
[10:22] {cipher} no long term commitments here
[10:22] {nemo} yeah, dump the bitch
[10:23] {cipher} that's right
[10:23] {nemo} but I'm looking for 90ish
[10:23] {nemo} .90ish
[10:23] {nemo} remember, if it weren't for THEM we'd still be in The Garden of Eden
[10:23] {cipher} that is 43.90 right?
[10:24] {dino} caci stop -.30
[10:24] {nemo} amgn, 87.90 ish
[10:24] {cipher} ic
01[10:24] {Threei}  still have last piece of STT
01[10:24] {Threei}  for .30
[10:24] {dptl} mee too
[10:25] {goryl} ran out of ammo at 20
01[10:25] {Threei}  I actually sais it to remind myself about it, lol
[10:25] {nemo} partialing amgn here
[10:25] {nemo} ty cipher
[10:25] {cipher} np :)
01[10:25] {Threei}  that's fine goryl, really takes longer than I expected, so taking 1:2 might not be a bad idea
[10:25] {nemo} looking for pull back near .90, little bit of conslidation and thne on a bit more
[10:26] {cipher} amgn s .90
[10:26] {nemo} wow
[10:30] {cipher} cov..65 +.25
[10:30] {dptl} ? what is going on?
01[10:30] {Threei}  no news yet
[10:30] {nemo} broke range
[10:30] {dino} mkt drop
[10:30] {nemo} big gap up
[10:30] {cipher} glad I was short something
01[10:31] {Threei}  good think I backed off from buying pullbacks
[10:31] {cipher} and not otherwise
[10:31] {nemo} big boy volume on spy
[10:31] {cipher} classic gap and trap
01[10:31] {Threei}  that was one serious rug pull
[10:31] {nemo} yep
[10:31] {cipher} big boys at work
[10:31] {nemo} bids, what bids?
01[10:31] {Threei}  and still no news
[10:31] {nemo} look that two minute spy volume
[10:31] {nemo} BOHICA
[10:31] {cipher} someone knows something
01[10:32] {Threei}  look at STT salmon
[10:32] {nemo} yeah, watch how GS trades
01[10:32] {Threei}  OK, GDX
01[10:32] {Threei}  valid again
01[10:32] {Threei}  bit this is last time
01[10:32] {Threei}  to remind,
[10:32] {cipher} did GS go down before the SPY?
01[10:32] {Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .30 break
01[10:33] {Threei}  no
01[10:33] {Threei}  same time
[10:33] {cipher} ok
01[10:33] {Threei}  10:31 drop for both
[10:33] {nemo} GS tends to be a canary in the Coal Mine, watch how it trades during the day
[10:34] {cipher} gotcha
[10:34] {nemo} Of course, I could be full of shit
[10:34] {dino} lol
[10:34] {cc_8} MARKET SNAP: At 6:00 a.m. ET, S&P 500 futures up 0.3%. Treasury yields rise. Nymex crude up $1.56 at $94.66; gold 0.2% higher at $1,660.70. In Europe, FTSE 100 up 0.2%, DAX up 0.2% and CAC 40 down 0.1%. In Asia, Nikkei 225 up 0.7% and Hang Seng up 0.6%.v
[10:34] {cc_8} Overnight action: Deutsche bank profits big from Libor bets; Google’s Schmidt presses North Korea; Three Kurdish activists shot dead in Paris.
[10:34] {cc_8} Watch for: Weekly jobless claims (8:30 a.m. Eastern Time): seen: 363,000; last: 372,000. November wholesale inventories (10:00): seen: +0.3%; last: +0.6%. November Job Openings & Labor Turnover survey (10:00). EIA weekly natural gas storage report (10:30). 30-year Treasury bond auction (1:00 p.m.). Supervalu, MSC Industrial and Synnex are scheduled to report quarterly results.
01[10:35] {Threei}  GDX 1:1
[10:36] {cipher} +.09 GDX thx
01[10:36] {Threei}  :)
[10:37] {goryl} target Vad?
[10:37] {_jdetente} scalped GDX. ty!
01[10:37] {Threei}  yw :)
01[10:37] {Threei}  1:2 mac, goryl
[10:38] {goryl} out:)
01[10:38] {Threei}  not that it can't go lower, I just can't read beyond that in this strange market drop
01[10:38] {Threei}  1:2, over and out
[10:38] {cipher} vrtx  S.64
[10:41] {cipher} cov .60
[10:41] {dptl} wlt .30 long?
[10:41] {dino} msm hl l .55 gappy sucker
01[10:41] {Threei}  out SATT on a trail
01[10:41] {Threei}  STT
01[10:41] {Threei}  WLT, yes, hl
[10:42] {goryl} u taking it Vad?
01[10:42] {Threei}  not sure
01[10:42] {Threei}  chart's good, but I am not really inclined to take long breakouts right niw
01[10:43] {Threei}  probably will skip it
[10:43] {goryl} k
[10:43] {dptl} ok
[10:43] {dino} out msm .05, +.50
[10:43] {cipher} msm +.34 thx dino
[10:43] {dino} np
[10:43] {cipher} glad I dumped tha bitch
[10:43] {cipher} scary
[10:45] {nemo} vrtx, unless market turns good probably to 43.10 area
[10:46] {nemo} sheesh 47.10
01[10:46] {Threei}  WLT works
[10:53] {cipher} mygn l .50
[10:54] {cipher} out .60
[10:54] {cipher} signing out
[10:54] {cipher} cya
[10:54] {dino} cya
01[10:55] {Threei}  take care cupher
[10:55] {goryl} cipher, if u have a min take a look at my message
[11:02] {dino} mg hl l .15
01[11:02] {Threei}  tbell... missed nice morning
[11:02] {thomcbell} ugggh
[11:03] {thomcbell} glad u guys did well
[11:04] {dptl} btu .38 short?
01[11:05] {Threei}  yup
01[11:05] {Threei}  with .46 stop
[11:05] {goryl} taking it vad?
01[11:06] {Threei}  yup
[11:06] {goryl} hl?
01[11:06] {Threei}  nah, full lot, stop is small
01[11:06] {Threei}  andf it's not overly volatile
[11:07] {dino} elli hl l .95
[11:09] {scottie} ok I'm back, in BTU .37
01[11:10] {Threei}  back?
[11:11] {scottie} was away most of the morning
[11:11] {scottie} missed all those good trades
01[11:11] {Threei}  arrgggh :(
[11:15] {dptl} oh come on btu...die
01[11:16] {Threei}  {BTU} you no like me... :(
[11:19] {dino} veco drop
[11:20] {dino} gap filled
01[11:21] {Threei}  LOL... "I have a device in my pocket that allows me access to the database of the knowledge accumulated by humanity to date. I use it to look at cats and argue with strangers"
[11:27] {_jdetente} BTU...curses
01[11:27] {Threei}  mo worky BTU
[11:27] {dptl} stopped
[11:27] {dino} hl veco l .15
[11:31] {dptl} pay .60 long?
01[11:32] {Threei}  meh
[11:34] {dptl}  dg .90 sh?
[11:36] {dino} cmp drop
01[11:36] {Threei}  nah, not really moving
[11:38] {dptl} have to leave early..see ya tomorrow all
01[11:38] {Threei}  take care dp
[11:38] {scottie} dp
[11:38] {dino} cya
[12:00] {dino} cmp sm l .93 gappy
[12:03] {dino} lm spike
01[12:03] {Threei}  *(ZA) FITCH DOWNGRADES RATING OF SOUTH AFRICA
01[12:03] {Threei}  not sure we care but...
[12:05] {dino} lm buyout rejected
[12:17] {nemo} nflx momo
[12:20] {dino} bidu, nflx spikes
01[12:47] {Threei}  (US) VP Biden: Gun control proposals to be provided to the President by next Tuesday, 1/15***Note that VP Biden is leading the administration's gun control efforts and is expected to put out recommendations in the next two weeks so that Pres Obama can mention them in his inaugural address on Jan 21. A recent WaPo article asserted that the administration is considering a broad range of measures to reduce gun violence that would include more than a ban of assault weapons and high-capacity ammunition, universal background checks for firearm buyers, tracking the movement and sale of weapons through a national database, strengthening mental health checks, and stiffening penalties for carrying guns near schools or giving them to minors
01[12:59] {Threei}  Shooting reported in high school in Southern California - The incident happened in at Taft High School in Kern County; at least 2 victims reported shot, suspect in custody
[13:14] {scottie} NFX l .20
[13:15] {dino} out cmp .83, +.90
[13:17] {scottie} forgot the question mark
01[13:21] {Threei}  ugh
01[13:21] {Threei}  I'd have said yes
01[13:21] {Threei}  especially now when I have the benefit of looking at the chart :)
[13:23] {scottie} would've worked
[13:28] {scottie} MSFT l .40 ??????????????
01[13:31] {Threei}  I'd rather take aggressive
[13:31] {scottie} .35 ?
01[13:31] {Threei}  from under .30 if we are so lucky
[13:33] {scottie} hate it when you say that, I'm not very good at pullbacks
01[13:33] {Threei}  sorry... but still :)
01[13:33] {Threei}  it's not that hard, logic is:
[13:33] {scottie} wouldn't break of .30 invalidate the trade ?
01[13:34] {Threei}  let it drop under .30, consolidate a few min,
01[13:34] {Threei}  then buy break of .30
[13:34] {_jdetente} how about this NFX pullback?
[13:34] {scottie} ah
01[13:34] {Threei}  as it is, .35 is valid chaoice with stop under .30
01[13:34] {Threei}  just less chance of working
01[13:35] {Threei}  NFX is interesting for secondary entry here
01[13:35] {Threei}  .20 break if holds .15
[13:38] {_jdetente} goodbye NFX we hardly knew ye
01[13:39] {Threei}  yeah
01[13:39] {Threei}  MSFT starts looking like .30 break may be a short
[13:51] {scottie} TXN l .40 ?
01[13:52] {Threei}  yes
[13:53] {scottie} stop .30 ?
01[13:53] {Threei}  not sure how fast it's going to be but most everything is slow, so..
01[13:53] {Threei}  either .30 or .35, both are valid
[13:53] {scottie} .35 it is then
[13:54] {scottie} in .41
[14:00] {cc_8} Apollo Group Inc. (NASDAQ: APOL) is down 1.22 percent Thursday on news that the University of Phoenix is expecting sanctions from the group that accredits the school.
[14:06] {nemo} bidu tempting
[14:06] {nemo} frickin' trap
[14:08] {nemo} Thar she blows
[14:19] {dino} veco stop -.28
[14:21] {scottie} out
[14:22] {scottie} gotta go, see you all tomorrow
[14:23] {dino} cya
[14:23] {scottie} dino
01[14:24] {Threei}  take care scottie
[14:27] {_jdetente} stopped txn
01[14:39] {Threei} Short Setup: HLF  .50 break smaller shares
01[14:39] {Threei}  Invalidated
[14:44] {nemo} hlf looks long to either pivot or vwap
01[14:49] {Threei}  ugh HLF
01[14:49] {Threei}  should have revalidated it
[14:49] {nemo} whoa
01[15:01] {Threei} Short Setup: HLF  .50 break smaller shares
01[15:01] {Threei}  If holds  .65
01[15:18] {Threei} Short Setup: MJN  .05 break
01[15:19] {Threei}  ugh, late
01[15:19] {Threei}  let's wait for a bounce
01[15:19] {Threei}  if we get l,.ucky, around .90
[15:19] {dino} elli hl l .55
[15:23] {_jdetente} HLF on a rocket ride
01[15:23] {Threei}  sure is
01[15:25] {Threei} Short Setup: MJN  .10 break
[15:38] {dino} elli stop
[15:43] {_jdetente} .20 stop MJN?
01[15:46] {Threei}  yeah
01[15:46] {Threei}  meh
01[15:46] {Threei}  Ok guys, no time (or reason) for more trades on last minutes
01[15:46] {Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:46] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:47] {dino} gn
[15:47] {_jdetente} gn
[15:47] {thomcbell} later all