Friday, July 12, 2013

July 12 2013

Adjustment measures planned for today took place and turned fruitful - profitable (albeit boring) day. 


Session Time: Fri Jul 12 00:00:00 2013
[08:52] {nemo} I don't know what to do...there's no gap.
[09:04] {nemo} https://twitter.com/AndreaBoda/status/355636619035959296/photo/1
[09:23] {jdetente} good morning
01[09:23] {&Threei}  jd :)
[09:24] {RonS} buenos dias
01[09:24] {&Threei}  ron :)
[09:25] {Alexs} gm
01[09:25] {&Threei}  alex :)
[09:30] {cipher} gm
[09:30] {bbobr} gm
01[09:30] {&Threei}  cipher, bbobr :)
01[09:31] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .50 break
01[09:31] {&Threei}  If holds  .45
01[09:33] {&Threei}  half out .58
01[09:34] {&Threei}  stop .48
[09:36] {+cc_9} morning folks
01[09:37] {&Threei}  cc9 :)
01[09:40] {&Threei}  holding by fingertips
[09:41] {ese} morning L wfc .60
01[09:41] {&Threei}  ese :)
01[09:42] {&Threei}  good boy TZA, held like a champ
01[09:42] {&Threei}  move to 1:2 now
01[09:43] {&Threei}  the more I look the more I believe market read in Ben's speech what it wanted and not what ben actually said
01[09:43] {&Threei}  so I'd expect gravity to start taking over
01[09:49] {&Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .65 break
01[09:49] {&Threei}  If holds  .70
01[09:50] {&Threei}  closed TZA
01[09:51] {&Threei}  cipher, watching UPS?
[09:54] {cipher} I will be
01[09:54] {&Threei}  has more downside at the moment I believe
01[09:55] {&Threei}  but hey... it's your domain, you know better how to play those
01[09:55] {&Threei}  *(US) JULY PRELIMINARY UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 83.9 V 84.7E
01[09:59] {&Threei}  out GDX
01[10:02] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  87 break
01[10:03] {&Threei}  If holds  .05
01[10:04] {&Threei}  1:1
01[10:05] {&Threei}  Edward Snowden will ask Russia for political asylum, participant in meeting says
[10:05] {Alexs} what meeting do u have Vad?
[10:05] {ese} wtf was I thinkin with wfc......it hits 43 and i was looking at another stock and now it's retraced wtf 400 bills dn the tubes damn it
01[10:06] {&Threei}  I have an all-important meeting with 5 lb box of blueberry alex... nd I suspect it's not going to survive it
[10:07] {Alexs} lol
01[10:08] {&Threei}  I have a lot of experience in defeating those beasts
01[10:08] {&Threei}  Dimon on CNBC in a few
01[10:09] {&Threei}  1:2 is close enough
01[10:09] {&Threei}  1/4 more out
[10:11] {Alexs} so CAT is a new strategy of setups?
01[10:11] {&Threei}  no, this one is still normal... double top
01[10:12] {&Threei}  as soon as volume dies, changing to fades
[10:12] {Alexs} where are the tops?
01[10:12] {&Threei}  9:51 is first
01[10:12] {&Threei}  second is the one we shorted
[10:12] {Alexs} ah ok
[10:19] {RonS} que' lastima:  Homeland Security Sec. Napolitano resigns for new post as head of Univ. of Calif. system, officials say
[10:20] {jdetente} oh great
[10:20] {jdetente} now we have to deal with her
[10:21] {nemo} you can move
[10:22] {jdetente} to Mexico maybe
01[10:22] {&Threei}  if you move with every politcian you dislike poppiung up in your neck of the woods, Jupiter will become your only option very soon
[10:22] {RonS} that position does nothing but try to raise money...think Jesse Jackson in a skirt...uh...well maybe not...
[10:22] {jdetente} hot stuff Ron
01[10:22] {&Threei}  yikes... lol
[10:23] {jdetente} I was thinking more like linebacker in skirt
[10:23] {RonS} lol
[10:23] {jdetente} or female lumberjack
[10:24] {RonS} knew some daughters of lumberjacks when in NW...definition of brick shithouses...
[10:24] {jdetente} man Ron why you getting all biblical?
[10:26] {RonS} guess jd reads the Bible on the can...
01[10:27] {&Threei}  rofl
01[10:27] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .35 break
01[10:27] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
[10:27] {jdetente} lol
01[10:31] {&Threei}  Wells Fargo & Co Exec: Housing market is showing strong momentum; company's leverage ratios will exceed the proposed levels - conf call- Rates rising "for the right reasons" would benefit Wells and our customers. - Expecting net interest margin to come under continued pressure
01[10:31] {&Threei}  next Cyprus?
01[10:31] {&Threei}  (MT) IMF: Malta economy remains vulnerable to fiscal and external risks- IMF sees Malta 2013 GDP 1.3%, 2014 at 1.6% - Malta banks have heavy exposure to local property market
[10:32] {jdetente} sounds like Cyprus
[10:33] {RonS} but has falcons...
01[10:34] {&Threei}  lol
[10:36] {RonS} lol...just thinking jd probably too young to get it...over there thinking...what?
[10:36] {nemo} mmhhhh, spy gonna' break out?
01[10:37] {&Threei}  out TZA
[10:37] {jdetente} ha I know the movie Ron
[10:39] {RonS} awww...did they hurt his feelings?:  President Obama tells Chinese officials he’s disappointed with China’s handling of Snowden case
01[10:41] {&Threei}  after all he has done for them....
[10:46] {RonS} tza l .13
[10:50] {RonS} out .28 +.15
01[10:50] {&Threei}  wtg
[10:51] {RonS} ty...capit volume bar was trigger...in memory of dino...
[10:54] {RonS} snta drop
[10:59] {nemo} https://twitter.com/AndreaBoda/status/355636619035959296/photo/1
01[11:00] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  87 break
01[11:00] {&Threei}  If holds  .05
[11:03] {nemo} oxy looks short
01[11:15] {&Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .20 break
01[11:15] {&Threei}  If holds  .25
[11:19] {+cc_9} glued since 10:52 on the previous close (SPY)
[11:19] {+cc_9} yawn
01[11:26] {&Threei}  half out
01[11:27] {&Threei}  SOY glued, nailed down and velcroed to .45
01[11:27] {&Threei}  SPY
[11:31] {Alexs} stop FCX .21 now?
01[11:32] {&Threei}  yup
01[11:32] {&Threei}  btw, that was fade trade
01[11:38] {&Threei}  1/4 more out
01[11:38] {&Threei}  stop to .16
[11:42] {nemo} iwm might be long at trend here, hard to tell
[11:46] {+cc_9} massive sell block on SPY 1min
[11:46] {nemo} somebody throwing a brick trying to liven things up
[11:47] {nemo} things get any better we'll have to call the undertaker
[11:52] {+cc_9} Going long this drop SPY
[11:56] {Alexs} what's your target on SPY cc?
[11:58] {+cc_9} i expect another drop, im scaling for now
[11:58] {+cc_9} my tgt 167.40
[11:58] {+cc_9} a few cents below yesterday's closing price
[11:59] {Alexs} thanks
[12:00] {+cc_9} if u draw a line @ 167.21
[12:00] {+cc_9} you will see previous intraday support now resistance
[12:00] {+cc_9} so thats the # we need to crack for a bit of a reversal, for now, still wall.
[12:11] {nemo} indexes looking short
[12:12] {+cc_9} IWM looks relatively strong
[12:12] {+cc_9} hit 102.50s support and bounced
01[12:12] {&Threei}  stop at .11 btw
[12:15] {nemo} could...late
[12:15] {nemo} nevermind
[12:16] {+cc_9} IWM holding up much better than SPY
[12:17] {nemo} finnies having a rough time too
[12:17] {nemo} o.k. could make an argument for trip here if it stays under .35
[12:17] {nemo} short
[12:21] {nemo} watch for celg short 133.70-80 area
[12:21] {+cc_9} i dont see finnies having rough time
[12:21] {+cc_9} FAS is over its previous close
[12:21] {nemo} this area to .80 important
[12:22] {+cc_9} finnies actually doing the best out of all sectors today : http://finviz.com/map.ashx
[12:22] {nemo} well, celg got to .70
[12:23] {nemo} this is daily pivot on spy might hold it
[12:24] {nemo} range day, they're testing the bottom and holding so unless it drops it, likely to move to check the other side
[12:28] {nemo} trip bounce between 61 and 61.05
[12:30] {+cc_9} SPY stuck on that 161.20 level, regardless of volume, stuck.
[12:31] {nemo} what level?
[12:31] {+cc_9} the number before the word level
[12:32] {nemo} you mean 167?
[12:32] {+cc_9} 161.20
[12:32] {+cc_9} yes 167.20
[12:32] {+cc_9} going blind
[12:32] {nemo} start early today 9?
[12:32] {+cc_9} cc_9 if u draw a line @ 167.21 12:00 cc_9 you will see previous intraday support now resistance
[12:32] {+cc_9} redemption post
[12:32] {nemo} and .20 is the daily pivot
[12:33] {nemo} or .19 actually
[12:33] {nemo} ups bounce point
[12:35] {+cc_9} if gonna flush, just flush already, taking 1 hour to see the inevitable is a waste of time
[12:35] {nemo} summer trading
[12:35] {+cc_9} flush, get what you need, stack bids, wash rinse repeat. Seesaw for that algo spread commission is getting lame
[12:35] {nemo} good time to rearrange the sock drawer
[12:35] {nemo} clean the bellybutton lint
[12:35] {nemo} scrape the toe jam
[12:40] {+cc_9} come back nemo, we're moving now
[12:40] {+cc_9} put that toe down
[12:43] {+cc_9} closing in on that 167.40 target
[12:43] {+cc_9} alex, hope you making some dough
[12:43] {Alexs} yep thanks
[12:44] {+cc_9} solid.
[12:49] {jdetente} Alright guys. Gotta leave early. Going to be in and out of town for a month. Won't be back til mid August.  Hope everyone has good trading.
[12:50] {RonS} take care jd
[12:53] {jdetente} oh and make sure you all stay well caffeinated and drunk for this summer trading
[12:54] {+cc_9} Anyone feeling good, BA is a nice chart to watch for rest of the day
01[12:54] {&Threei}  take care jd
[12:56] {Alexs} so long jd
[13:01] {+cc_9} Grabbing some BA shares for shits and giggles
[13:02] {Alexs} lol watching it
[13:03] {nemo} yeah, trade this shit
[13:03] {+cc_9} out of the blue SPY tank
[13:03] {+cc_9} wowza
[13:03] {nemo} Fed Bullard statement
[13:04] {nemo} bohica
[13:04] {thomcbell} ddd long setup 48.23 break if holding 48.12
[13:04] {+cc_9} BA coming back
[13:04] {+cc_9} hehe
[13:06] {Alexs} out BA got some easy money
[13:07] {+cc_9} nice Alex
[13:07] {+cc_9} im sitting for a 101 breakout
[13:07] {+cc_9} here we go
[13:09] {+cc_9} easy $$$$
[13:10] {+cc_9} Alex }}} http://img856.imageshack.us/img856/3504/qmou.jpg
[13:10] {+cc_9} ;)
[13:10] {+cc_9} my BA trading mate
[13:11] {Alexs} nice :)
[13:12] {+cc_9} i started with 100 shares
[13:12] {+cc_9} then i figured its just a fire on a plane, no biggie
[13:12] {+cc_9} so bot another 1k
[13:12] {+cc_9} lol
01[13:12] {&Threei}  *(FR) FITCH DOWNGRADES FRANCE ONE NOTCH FROM AAA TO AA+; OUTLOOK STABLE
[13:13] {+cc_9} lol @ stable
[13:15] {+cc_9} BA flying, no pun
[13:17] {RonS} why not?...better than most of nemo's jokes...
[13:18] {Alexs} looks it will be back to the highs but I don't have enough diapers for that game
[13:19] {+cc_9} SPY boom
[13:19] {+cc_9} BA boom
[13:19] {+cc_9} god damn im having a weekend
[13:20] {+cc_9} 167.40 ding ding ding :D
[13:20] {+cc_9} all out everything, im done for the week
[13:21] {+cc_9} killed it on SPY, killed it on BA
[13:22] {Alexs} wtg
01[13:32] {&Threei}  you guys know why nemo is so quiet today?
01[13:33] {&Threei}  he remembered the rule "if you don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything at all"
[13:36] {nemo} not the way I learned it
[13:36] {+cc_9} hehe
01[13:36] {&Threei}  oh and... the rule number one around nemo:
[13:36] {nemo} man bites dog
01[13:37] {&Threei}  never tell him to "get a grip" - to him it means "around your neck"
[13:40] {nemo} wow, spy volume 54 mil
01[13:41] {&Threei}  next to nothing
[13:47] {nemo} fas just keeps climbing
[13:49] {+cc_9} 164.40 crushed and then some
[13:49] {Alexs} it seems hft traders will soon rent a space behind Ben's desk
[13:51] {ese} frustrating day this......out wfc .79 +.19
[13:52] {ese} i'm outta here for the weekend......have a good one ya'll am gonna go and drink my profits away cya
[13:54] {Alexs} are you still in FCX trade Vad?
01[13:58] {&Threei}  yes, 1/4
01[13:58] {&Threei}  can you believe it?
[13:59] {Alexs} Yeah I'm holding last piece too
01[14:01] {&Threei}  be back in 15-20
[14:05] {nemo} fas at trend support
[14:09] {nemo} alxn
[14:33] {nemo} ffiv above .40 might be worth a long, stop below .30
[14:34] {nemo} BA at support
01[14:37] {&Threei}  oh come on FCX
01[14:37] {&Threei}  die already
[14:37] {Alexs} covered at .92
01[14:38] {&Threei}  I decided not to cover at 1:3
01[14:39] {&Threei}  will try for more if it proceeds lower
[14:39] {nemo} well, it's still full red on my algo
[14:41] {nemo} fcx just shut off, so downward pressure is off
[14:41] {Alexs} great patience Vad
01[14:42] {&Threei}  slim pickings, so better squeeze all you can out of what works
01[14:43] {&Threei}  notice that as soon as we switched to fading setups and babysitting them into oblivion, profitable day came
01[14:43] {&Threei}  lesson in adjusting...
[14:47] {Alexs} more I watch the trading more I see that this is a matter of chance
[14:48] {nemo} probability
[14:48] {Alexs} yes you right
[14:49] {nemo} jeez, thanks Alex
[14:49] {Alexs} yw
[14:50] {nemo}  what size neck?
[14:52] {Alexs} you miss Les
[14:53] {nemo} like syphilis
[14:53] {RonS} lol...too much...
[14:54] {nemo} Les is kinda' like a chancre
[15:06] {nemo} gld
[15:08] {Alexs} how much is gasoline in BC?
01[15:09] {&Threei}  1.35 a litre
[15:10] {nemo} 5.20 a gallon
[15:11] {nemo} of course, that's canadian currency
[15:11] {nemo} what
[15:11] {nemo} what exchange rate?
01[15:11] {&Threei}  96 cents fort USD at the moment
[15:12] {nemo} so yeah, about 5.20 because 4 litres is slightly more than a gallon I believe
01[15:12] {&Threei}  yup, a gallon is 3.8 litres
[15:13] {nemo} BA forming a pennant
[15:15] {Alexs} a couple new coups in Egypt we will have same price
01[15:16] {&Threei}  no need for such drastic measures. All you need is a few more idiots
01[15:16] {&Threei}  the kind that says:
01[15:16] {&Threei}  this is too low price, we need it higher to encougare green energy and discourage use of cars
01[15:16] {&Threei}  and point to Europe which has much higher price and survives it
01[15:17] {&Threei}  never mind very different city structure in Europe that lends itself to carless life much easier
01[15:17] {&Threei}  and general lunacy of most things Europe
01[15:18] {&Threei}  Our idiots think along the lines "if Europe does it, it's great"
[15:21] {+cc_9} ok folks
[15:21] {+cc_9} ya'll have a great weekend
[15:21] {+cc_9} see you all Monday! :)
01[15:22] {&Threei}  take care #9
[15:26] {Alexs} what are BB parameters for 5min chart Vad?
01[15:26] {&Threei}  never tested them for 5 min
01[15:26] {&Threei}  (US) Fed's Bullard: Bond yield spike could have been attributed to increasing optimism on the US economy; market could be too optimistic about the outlook- Notes that some elements that created economic lag have been removed
[15:29] {Alexs} you never use 5min?
[15:29] {nemo} what bullshit
01[15:29] {&Threei}  I might take a look sometimes at 5, 15, 60
[15:29] {nemo} Bullardshit
01[15:29] {&Threei}  but it's just a cursory look
01[15:30] {&Threei}  not digging deep into details os TA
01[15:31] {&Threei}  you ARE bored, nemo...
01[15:42] {&Threei}  OK guys... let's call it a day
01[15:42] {&Threei}  good one, although the week as a whole is negative
01[15:42] {&Threei}  not a frequent occurence
01[15:43] {&Threei}  have a good weekend, see you Monday
[15:43] {Alexs} have a good one Vad
[15:46] {bbobr} have a nice weekend all
[15:48] {Alexs} take care bbobr

Thursday, July 11, 2013

July 11 2103

Catch of the Day is somewhat unusual one today: so-called "fading the setup." You will see quite standard breakout setup on the chart, only instead of taking it long we shorted it. The thing is, this kind hasn't worked properly last few days, so instead of getting trapped we became trappers. Setup failure is a setup, too. 


Session Time: Thu Jul 11 00:00:00 2013
01[09:13] {&Threei}  U.S. INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS ROSE 16,000 LAST WEEK TO 360,000
01[09:13] {&Threei}  I guess we are not tapering anymore
01[09:13] {&Threei}  bad is good again
[09:13] {nemo} yeah, market should rip higher
[09:13] {nemo} Bernanke put, buy the dips that's all
01[09:14] {&Threei}  where is ese, I want him to explain this away:
01[09:14] {&Threei}  *(US) INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 360K V 340KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 2.977M V 2.955ME- 4-week avg claims: 351.75K v 345.75K prior - Prior Initial Claims revised higher from 343K to 344K - Prior Continuing Claims revised higher from 2.933M to 2.953M
[09:18] {RonS} hi everyone
01[09:18] {&Threei}  Ron :)
[09:19] {cipher} gm
01[09:20] {&Threei}  cipher :)
[09:20] {RonS} read here pork headed higher due to virus killing piglets...
[09:24] {jdetente} good morning
[09:25] {bbobr} gm
01[09:25] {&Threei}  jd, bbobr :)
[09:27] {Alexs} gm
01[09:27] {&Threei}  alex :)
[09:29] {ese} good morning......
01[09:29] {&Threei}  ese :)
[09:29] {ese} nemo....thank you or email yesterday.....
[09:29] {ese} went out to a rehearsal last and didn't get a chance to answer it
[09:30] {ese} for
01[09:31] {&Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .40 break
01[09:31] {&Threei}  If holds  .35
01[09:34] {&Threei}  meh
01[09:36] {&Threei} Short Setup: AGNC  .65 break
01[09:37] {&Threei}  If holds  .70
01[09:37] {&Threei}  change to .70
01[09:37] {&Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:39] {&Threei}  stubborn thing
01[09:39] {&Threei}  out
01[09:42] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .20 break
01[09:42] {&Threei}  If holds  .25
01[09:48] {&Threei}  covering half
01[09:48] {&Threei}  stop is still at .26 but want to cut down exposure
01[09:48] {&Threei}  1:1
01[09:48] {&Threei}  now stop to .21
[09:50] {ese} L avgo .31
01[09:57] {&Threei}  1:2
01[09:59] {&Threei}  out last 1/4 on a trail
01[09:59] {&Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .50 break
01[10:01] {&Threei}  If holds  .45
01[10:02] {&Threei}  picking trades with smallest stops possible
01[10:03] {&Threei}  no go
01[10:12] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
[10:13] {thomcbell} hig big pullback
[10:13] {thomcbell} 31.53 long break
01[10:13] {&Threei}  If holds  .65
[10:13] {thomcbell} if holds 31.47
01[10:15] {&Threei}  looks nice to me tbell
01[10:15] {&Threei}  Invalidated  TZA
[10:16] {ese} L avgo avg .24
[10:16] {+cc_9} Morning folks, late start
[10:16] {ese} mornin cc
01[10:16] {&Threei}  cc9 :)
[10:17] {+cc_9} One ticket I am watching today, which of course is not a stock for everyone to trade : ISRG
01[10:17] {&Threei}  let's let TZA drop under .60 and look for another entry
[10:17] {ese} don't let the internet foll you cc.....we all have bags under our eyes
[10:17] {+cc_9} huge dump 3 days ago on earnings, flat all day yesterday, today could get some momentum on discount buyers
[10:17] {ese} that is true.....big spreads isrg
[10:18] {+cc_9} yes, very big spreads, low volume etc...but the pattern is what i find most interesting. Big drop day 1, sideways day 2, possible reversal day 3
[10:18] {+cc_9} can use this strategy on future stocks behaving the same way
[10:18] {ese} hmmmmm
[10:19] {+cc_9} 15min view ese
01[10:19] {&Threei}  TZA got away
[10:19] {ese} not to mention...if I remember right it's a 400/500 dolar stock
[10:19] {+cc_9} for the sake of homework, i have a breakout trendline sitting @ 428.50
[10:20] {+cc_9} Yes, its pricy as hell
[10:21] {ese} ya....bought 25 shs of it one day a few years back and watched it fluctuate 15/20 bucks...was interesting for sure
01[10:21] {&Threei} Long Setup:  AIG  .10 break
01[10:21] {&Threei}  If holds  46
[10:23] {nemo} fdx coming into resistance
01[10:25] {&Threei}  HIG works
01[10:25] {&Threei}  good spot tbell
[10:30] {ese} nemo ...did you get my thank you earlier.....tks for your email yesterday
[10:31] {nemo} no, can't say that I did
[10:31] {ese} tk you............you were totally correct with fast
[10:32] {ese} appreciate the advice
[10:32] {nemo} It was just an opinion, I see that alot though
[10:33] {+cc_9} SPY hanging off its gap cliff
[10:33] {nemo} iwm about to let go too
[10:34] {+cc_9} QQQ the only one "holding up"
[10:34] {ese} I remember you and i had that discussion re the VWAP and i had forgotten about it
[10:34] {nemo} 13 days in a row
[10:34] {nemo} QQQ...yes ese, when steam runs out on a stock, it kinda just hangs out around it
[10:35] {jdetente} see ya AIG
01[10:36] {&Threei}  yeah
[10:37] {ese} (US) WEEKLY EIA NATURAL GAS INVENTORIES: +82 BCF V +80 TO +85 BCF EXPECTED RANGE ...somebodys been monitoring the flatuations from the members of this board.....did think that stat was possible
[10:37] {ese} just goes to show ya
[10:38] {ese} hmmmmm tough crowd
[10:39] {jdetente} need to go back to the drawing board on that one ese
[10:39] {ese} yup
[10:39] {jdetente} focus group your jokes hehe
[10:39] {nemo} the drawdown was because Les isn't here
[10:40] {ese} ahhhhh yes good point...........am jealous of that man....he's at the Montreaux Jazz Festival......
[10:40] {nemo} yeah
[10:40] {jdetente} yeah that would be a fun event to work
[10:41] {jdetente} although cleaning toilets isn't my thing hehe
[10:41] {thomcbell} flattening hig with slight gain
[10:41] {ese} have never volunteered at it but performed at it in 78 and 81
[10:42] {jdetente} awesome
[10:43] {jdetente} hey ese does your band do originals?
[10:43] {ese} yes
[10:44] {jdetente} very cool
[10:45] {ese} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6MPm_IzSV_w  
[10:46] {ese} Highway 9t5 written by our sound engineer
[10:47] {jdetente} that's a good one. I like it
01[10:48] {&Threei}  tbell, look dcc please
[10:48] {ese} tks......
[10:48] {jdetente} I'm a guitarist myself. Just play in garage bands, etc.  though
[10:48] {ese} awesome...playing is playing
[10:49] {jdetente} was going to go Berklee out of high school but decided against the working musician thing
[10:50] {jdetente} noe just for fun
[10:50] {jdetente} *now
[10:52] {ese} ya......it's not exactly the easiest life regardless of how famous you become
01[10:52] {&Threei}  do point out the easiest life please
[10:53] {jdetente} pour vodka, drink, repeat
01[10:53] {&Threei}  I'll proceed in that direction immediately
[10:53] {ese} tough to have a family life being on the road......have done that......and man.....when your in a hotel room somewhere....."your alone" period....tough gig
[10:53] {ese} indeed shsiskabob parties at your place
[10:54] {jdetente} yeah I can imagine ese. I have a buddy who does that. He teaches drumline and goes on the road all summer with various schools...
[10:54] {ese} everyday
01[10:54] {&Threei}  (US) House Republicans have unveiled draft legislation to wind down the GSEs in five years and revamp the FHA - financial press ***Reminder: On June 25th, the Senate Banking committee was preparing provide legislation to wind down the GSEs in five years.
01[10:54] {&Threei}  lol
01[10:55] {&Threei}  5 years after financial meltdown we decide to widn them down in 5 years
[10:55] {nemo} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I11t5mj9FOk
01[10:56] {&Threei}  (CN) IMF Economist forecasts that China growth is expected to be below forecast, will negatively impact the US
[10:56] {RonS} boo hoo...millions have road jobs...spent 5 yrs doing 100+ nights out/yr
[10:57] {nemo} You can take it up agaoin...I won't mind
[10:57] {jdetente} depends on priorites Ron. hehe Nemo
[10:57] {nemo} I miss Les
01[10:57] {&Threei}  lol
[10:57] {ese} on the road doing drum line......well....haven't heard that one before
[10:57] {ese} ya..ya got dem G S E's being F H A's by dem dere F E D's for the F O M C's
[10:57] {ese} rotflol.....
[10:58] {jdetente} RonS...replacement Les
01[10:58] {&Threei}  speaking of life on the road
[10:58] {nemo} not really a target rich environment without him
[10:58] {ese} almost spit my coffee out on that one.......nemo stop that!
01[10:58] {&Threei}  met this guy once... landscape photographer
01[10:59] {&Threei}  at the age of 58, sold his house, bought one of those huge trailers
01[10:59] {&Threei}  started road life, moving from one trai;er camp to another
01[11:00] {&Threei}  south of the continent for the winter, north for summer
[11:00] {ese} auch du miya.....
01[11:00] {&Threei}  equipped it with computer lab and satellite feed, for editiing and uploading photos
[11:01] {ese} who did he work for
01[11:01] {&Threei}  found out that a lot of fellow travellers are happy to ask for professional photos when meet him in the camp
01[11:01] {&Threei}  for himself
[11:01] {ese} huh   go figure
01[11:01] {&Threei}  sells photos wherever he can find buyers
[11:02] {jdetente} professional photos in trailer parks??
01[11:02] {&Threei}  people, magazines
[11:02] {jdetente} hmmmm that sounds suspicious
01[11:02] {&Threei}  camps, jd
[11:02] {jdetente} still lol
01[11:02] {&Threei}  not trash places :)
[11:02] {jdetente} hehe
01[11:02] {&Threei}  camps for big trailers are located in the best national parksare
01[11:03] {&Threei}  great lanscapes
01[11:03] {&Threei}  HIG works now...
[11:03] {ese} you could that vad.....you can trade from anywhere
01[11:03] {&Threei}  so did AIG
[11:03] {ese} do that
[11:04] {jdetente} AIG...sigh
01[11:05] {&Threei}  not sure I'd enjoy it for long but surely is different and fascinating way of life
01[11:05] {&Threei}  no permanent address... nomad
[11:06] {jdetente} if you had the gumption for it...traveling through South America like that would be an adventure
[11:06] {RonS} should not trade w/ satellite feed though...latency too great
[11:06] {jdetente} risky down there though
01[11:06] {&Threei}  no, wouldn't do that for trading Ron, you are right
[11:07] {ese} and maybe no taxes
[11:09] {RonS} not in Canada...heard the Mounties love to hunt...
[11:09] {ese} lol
[11:13] {+cc_9} Ese, just a little something something for the day (click) }}} http://img692.imageshack.us/img692/1218/pvj8.jpg
[11:14] {+cc_9} i know i will leave a bunch of on the table as I am confident ISRG goes, but it is what it is
[11:15] {nemo} look at fast today ese
[11:15] {ese} does the word "pop" and then the sound of fizzzzzzzzzzz...mean anything to you.  That should be the scenario when avgo gets by 38.35 yesterdays high.....and then onwards to at least 39.00 i'm thinkin
[11:16] {ese} ya ...have been watchin it nemo.....talk about your non performing loan.....although the gap up and subsequent retrace dn then up is interesting
[11:17] {ese} that ot to have left a few heads rolling
01[11:17] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .80 break
01[11:18] {&Threei}  If holds  .87
01[11:25] {&Threei}  sigh
01[11:25] {&Threei}  I hate summer trading
[11:25] {jdetente} this week has been like spitting in the wind
[11:25] {jdetente} lol sigh is right
[11:25] {nemo} pissing in the wind more like it
[11:26] {jdetente} true true
[11:26] {nemo} could short fas here
[11:27] {nemo} spy Weekly R3 is the same as daily R3 which is basically vwap...we could hang out here most of the day
01[11:27] {&Threei}  - Fed Chairman Bernanke's very dovish speech seems to have finally convinced some market participants that the fed funds rate will really stay low for a very long time even after QE is done with. Asian and European equity markets have made excellent progress and the DJIA and S&P500 are flirting with record highs.
[11:28] {nemo} lotta' banks report tomorrow
01[11:28] {&Threei}  there ese... Ben finally lived up to your standards
[11:28] {thomcbell} ddd long setup 48 break if holding 47.90
[11:29] {ese} remind me never to get on your bad side
[11:29] {thomcbell} not a scalp for me
[11:29] {thomcbell} 1:1
01[11:35] {&Threei}  Microsoft unveiled its much-anticipated corporate restructuring plans this morning. CEO Balmer said the effort would refocus the company on devices and software services, and hopefully streamline the entire firm in an effort to speed the process of bringing new products to market. Analysts are not terribly impressed as many units would see financial reporting amalgamated into larger entities - possibly hiding massive sustained losses at various groups, most notably the online unit
[11:42] {RonS} omg...is ese next?...Women are souring on Obama's performance in office | http://bloom.bg/1dmHSUN
01[11:47] {&Threei}  Ron... get real... 87%!
01[11:49] {&Threei}  sorry, 78
01[11:49] {&Threei}  {--- dislexic
01[11:53] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .65 break
[11:54] {thomcbell} nice cup and handle with 49.87 long break
[11:54] {thomcbell} splk
[11:54] {thomcbell} 1/4 left on ddd stop is now 47.99
01[11:54] {&Threei}  wtg
[11:55] {Alexs} what stop CAT?
01[11:56] {&Threei}  torn between .70 and .75
01[11:56] {&Threei}  I guess .70
01[11:56] {&Threei}  no need to risk more than necessary
01[11:57] {&Threei}  this strange period better be managed with tight stops
[11:59] {thomcbell} splk still valid but less enthusiastically so as long as holds 49.80
[11:59] {thomcbell} and there it is invalid
01[12:01] {&Threei}  1:1
01[12:02] {&Threei}  jd... I hate to tell you that but alex got 1:2 er on GLD right after you left yesterday... so don't give up and squeeze that CAT for all the milk it has :)
01[12:03] {&Threei}  btw, you noticed what we did here on CAT, setup wise?
[12:03] {jdetente} I read the log last night
01[12:03] {&Threei}  :)
[12:03] {jdetente} I wasn't mad
[12:03] {jdetente} lol
01[12:03] {&Threei}  of course not
01[12:03] {&Threei}  {---quietly giggling
01[12:04] {&Threei}  come on, anyone?
[12:04] {jdetente} I hit my threshold in the afternoon so it was better that I left.
01[12:04] {&Threei}  I know
[12:04] {jdetente} trading more would have been breaking my own rules
01[12:05] {&Threei}  I thought it was very elegant trade on CAT... an no one pays attention
01[12:05] {&Threei}  sniff sniff
[12:05] {nemo} what the 10:07 high?
01[12:06] {&Threei}  huh? no
01[12:07] {&Threei}  1:2
[12:08] {jdetente} ok out. Thanks Vad
01[12:08] {&Threei}  yw
01[12:10] {&Threei}  1:3
01[12:10] {&Threei}  out
[12:10] {nemo} so, what was the setup Vad?
01[12:11] {&Threei}  see JBE breakout at .65?
[12:11] {nemo} no, what time
01[12:12] {&Threei}  right when I called short after the break
[12:12] {nemo} oh you mean dbi
01[12:12] {&Threei}  no, jbe
01[12:12] {&Threei}  breakOUT
[12:12] {+cc_9} lol @ the KNDI suckers at 8+ on daily
[12:12] {nemo} ahh, ok
01[12:13] {&Threei}  did these setups work last few days?
[12:13] {nemo} no, and not usually this time of day anyway
01[12:13] {&Threei}  so I just f*&^ing shorted it
01[12:13] {&Threei}  and it worked as charm
01[12:13] {&Threei}  1:4 btw
01[12:13] {&Threei}  if that's not elegant...
[12:14] {nemo} just like your typing
01[12:14] {&Threei}  ok... "like" charm
01[12:14] {&Threei}  happy now?
06[12:15] * &Threei slaps nemo around a bit with a largish English Grammer for Dummies tome
[12:15] {nemo} get a dictionary too
01[12:17] {&Threei}  ok... at least this piece of irony hasn't gone unnoticed although irony itself wasn't appreciated
01[12:17] {&Threei}  yes, grammEr was intentional
[12:17] {nemo} blame Les for not being here
[12:18] {nemo} I have SVB
[12:23] {jdetente} that sounds like a nasty virus
[12:23] {jdetente} burning, itching?
01[12:24] {&Threei}  http://goo.gl/oUDJb
[12:24] {nemo} Severe Venom Buildup
[12:24] {jdetente} lol
[12:37] {Alexs} SPY inverted C&H, short 166.75?
01[12:39] {&Threei}  chart is right
[12:40] {Alexs} time is wrong?
[12:40] {nemo} yes, imo, why sell off now?
[12:40] {thomcbell} ddd stop out here
01[12:41] {&Threei}  tough call alex... hate to say it but nemo is rig... righ... ri... no, I can't make myself say it
[12:41] {Alexs} lol
[12:43] {nemo} hurts, huh?
01[12:44] {&Threei}  yes, had to wring my tongue
[12:44] {nemo} the vwap is right on, and flat, daily and weekly R3
[12:44] {nemo} it's basically oscillating around that level
[12:45] {nemo} some rats might want to jump a little later to lock in some profit, but....
[12:45] {nemo} Jamie Dimon is going down to the NYSE to be interviewed after JPM releases earnings
[12:45] {nemo} Don't think he's giving an interview because they missed
[12:45] {nemo} Finnies will likely give this market a further boost, and support at the least
[12:46] {nemo} but, look for some profit taking a bit later today
[12:47] {nemo} arguably IH&S on finnies right now
[13:02] {ese} zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz ahemm  ummmmmm yes......L some more avgo avg still .25 zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
[13:10] {Alexs} do you use your trumpet for traiding ese?
01[13:10] {&Threei}  only for drinking as far as I am aware
[13:13] {ese} don't play trumpet......and yes we do use it for drinking.......why?
[13:15] {Alexs} when you go long it looks like you trying to trumpet
[13:18] {ese} huh....announce it grand fashion...........indeed of course........the enitre trading world revolves around me......I thought that everyone was aware of that.....i'm mean....errrrrrrrrr around vad
[13:20] {jdetente} ese what do you spike your drinks with??
[13:20] {jdetente} must be good stuff!!
[13:21] {ese} eeeeeyellll......ahhhhhhhhh  eyaaaa........i ah hick.......issss  graaaaaate.
[13:24] {ese} and da by the way....this a a little know fact....upon full ...hick membership to the board.......all booze is free courtesy of vad with one 15 year membership paid in full
[13:26] {jdetente} that's gotta be a huge bill for the booze
[13:28] {ese} nah nah nah.......he can afford it no problem......didn't you see that glass AK47 filled with vodka we posted after the party..........those are a couple of grand each......he's got thousands of em
[13:33] {bbobr} You don't make your own booze behind trees ?
[13:35] {ese} WAIT!!!!!!!   who told you that??   I'm mean ahhhh no....forget i said anything
[13:36] {bbobr} lol
01[13:38] {&Threei}  behind trees? no, ese makes bathtub vodka
[13:38] {jdetente} I thought it was bathtub gin??
[13:38] {jdetente} You know that stuff that makes you blind...
01[13:39] {&Threei}  he wanted to make that, but somehow whatever recipe he tried, vodka came out
[13:39] {bbobr} shmurdyak, rather ?
01[13:39] {&Threei}  lol
[13:41] {jdetente} oh no more Ruskies in the room??
[13:41] {jdetente} hehe
[13:42] {jdetente} (not that there's anything wrong with that)
01[13:42] {&Threei}  jd, you've no idea... at least once a week an e-mail saying:
01[13:43] {&Threei}  I don't speak english, but I am from your motherland so I expect you to a) let me in with no charge and b) provide service in russian
01[13:43] {&Threei}  varies in details but the spirit is this
[13:43] {jdetente} wow. lol
[13:44] {jdetente} and c) if you don't hatchet wielding thugs will come to your door?
01[13:44] {&Threei}  that never happened... yet :)
01[13:45] {&Threei}  some of variations:
01[13:45] {&Threei}  if you do, and send us all your courses (no charge of course), we might try to translate them and sell in russia
[13:46] {bbobr} Fortunately you are to far from Brighton Beach !
01[13:46] {&Threei}  across the continent, in fact :)
01[13:46] {&Threei}  my favorite was the guy who sent e-mail:
01[13:47] {&Threei}  I managed to download your book (euphemism for steal), and I have some questions
01[13:48] {&Threei}  somewhat off a beaten path variation:
[13:49] {bbobr} some people from there do not consider it as stealing
01[13:49] {&Threei}  how about you train me in trading and in the process give me letters necessary to justify my immigration as your aid
01[13:50] {&Threei}  I know, it's so common practice that he didn't even see it as "I stole it and now I want you to help me underdtand it"
01[13:51] {&Threei}  one interesting detail, I am not sure of its origin:
01[13:52] {&Threei}  folks over there tend to view trading as something that can be put in systemic terms, to much deeper degree than it's viewed here
01[13:52] {&Threei}  meaning, if you claim you have a working system, they demand a proof in a form of algorythm they can program and use
01[13:53] {&Threei}  word "discretion" means nothing to them, they view it as a sign of fraud
01[13:53] {&Threei}  if it works, it must be possible to formalize
[13:54] {jdetente} defintely a different view than here
[13:54] {bbobr} In terms of probability theory , may be ?
01[13:55] {&Threei}  can't tell really, I didn't investigate it deeper
01[13:55] {&Threei}  the principal difference is, I don't take each and every setup scaner spits out
01[13:56] {&Threei}  I need to look at it, evaluate the chart and stock liquidity,
01[13:56] {&Threei}  I need to see it in context of the martket conditions
01[13:56] {&Threei}  and then I make a decision whether to take the trade,
01[13:56] {&Threei}  and sometimes even which direction, as in CAT's case earlier today
01[13:57] {&Threei}  They don't accept the very existence of all these considerations, forthem it's either system works and each setup should be taken, or it doesn't
01[13:57] {&Threei}  and of course such idea as shorting CAT on long setup wouldn't even enter their mind
01[13:58] {&Threei}  meanwhile for me it's a natural process of adjustment to changing market conditions
[13:59] {ese} wow vad.........just read that conversation.....thats incredible...no wonder you moved over here.
01[13:59] {&Threei}  that's incredible?? :)
01[14:00] {&Threei}  you should hear all the stories about encounters wioth mafia and corrupoted police then, those that finally made me make a decision
01[14:00] {&Threei}  *(US) JUNE MONTHLY BUDGET STATEMENT: $116.5B V $115BE- Receipts: $286.6B v $260.2B y/y - Outlays: $170.1B v $319.9B y/y
01[14:00] {&Threei}  wow... outlays are down that much?
01[14:01] {&Threei}  what happened, WH had epiphany?
[14:01] {ese} no don't need to ....can let my imagination run there......it's good that your safe here
[14:02] {nemo} sequester probably
[14:05] {bbobr} every one who sticks out of average in that country has the story.......
01[14:06] {&Threei}  totally
01[14:06] {&Threei}  be back in 20-25 min
[14:07] {jdetente} Ese is this you?
[14:07] {jdetente} http://deadspin.com/behold-the-future-740412935
[14:12] {ese} definitely not..............i'm not a baseball fan
[14:13] {ese} give me golf anyday
[14:13] {jdetente} to watch??
[14:13] {jdetente} man I'd rather have my fingernails pulled out
[14:14] {ese} i gotta all.....i'm avgo about 400 bucks am gonna let this go to the end of the day with a stop loss catch ya tomorrow
[14:14] {ese} up
[14:14] {jdetente} cheers
[14:14] {nemo} Hah, been following this Zimmerman murder case, prosecution trying to get the jury to be able to judge on Murder 3, because Martin was under 18.  I guess that he was 6' 2" doesn't matter
[14:14] {ese} nemo jd later
[14:16] {jdetente} Nemo...prosecution overcharged him to guarantee they can get at least a manslaughter charge out of this...
[14:16] {jdetente} that seems to be their strategy at least
[14:17] {nemo} should never have been charged
[14:17] {nemo} actually, they just got the judge to allow the jury to consider manslaughter
[14:18] {nemo} looks like they're going for the high of the day
[14:18] {nemo} in spy
[14:18] {jdetente} thought that was in there from the start...my mistake
[14:19] {jdetente} Nemo do you see a big snapback for volatility coming this summer? seems unsustainable, this slide.
[14:20] {nemo} not to be sarcastic, sardonic, or a wise-ass...who knows
[14:20] {nemo} the market doesn't care about anything but Bennie
[14:20] {jdetente} well obviously
[14:20] {jdetente} I'm just amazed that's all
[14:20] {Alexs} JBE would work nice in SPY case
[14:26] {nemo} 167.99 is daily R4 spy...hit that less than 10% of the time
01[14:32] {&Threei}  very soon new factors will appear: who replaces bennie and what he thinks/says
[14:32] {nemo} a dove will replace Bennie
[14:34] {Alexs} GLD short 124 if holds .03?
[14:37] {Alexs} 1:1
01[14:43] {&Threei}  goes up easier
[14:53] {Alexs} SPY short.35 if holds .40
[14:54] {nemo} shorting spy fas or iwm might work here
[14:54] {Alexs} 1:1 out
01[14:56] {&Threei}  wtg'
01[14:57] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .15 breal
01[14:58] {&Threei}  If holds  .23
01[15:00] {&Threei}  sigh
01[15:01] {&Threei}  should have gone with instinct saying "go long on breakdowns"
[15:01] {nemo} think they drive this higher maybe R4 at 168
01[15:05] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .35 break
[15:06] {nemo} mmhhhh shorts worked
01[15:06] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
[15:06] {nemo} vwap at .28
01[15:07] {&Threei}  wow gld
01[15:07] {&Threei}  who cut off the legs?
01[15:13] {&Threei}  Report: Microsoft helped US intelligence access email, Skype and cloud storage, files show
[15:15] {jdetente} whodda thunk it
01[15:16] {&Threei}  right?
01[15:16] {&Threei}  my world is collapsing around me
01[15:17] {&Threei}  what's next, NSA gathering phone calls data?
01[15:17] {&Threei}  wait...
01[15:19] {&Threei}  move your butt already, IWM
01[15:22] {&Threei}  58% Eat At A Restaurant At Least Once A Week
01[15:22] {&Threei}  (in case you wondered)
01[15:22] {&Threei}  1:1
01[15:22] {&Threei}  once again fading setup worked
[15:23] {nemo} funny, I only thought of it as a possible long at that point
01[15:23] {&Threei}  so, our working assumption for the foreseeable future is, normal setups at the open and fade after that
[15:24] {nemo} BTFD!!!
[15:24] {Alexs} do they count McDonalds as a restaurant
01[15:24] {&Threei}  and Subway too
[15:25] {bbobr} Think positive :  you'll be able always to have back-up data of all your devises,  hard drives   ....with NSA !   lol
01[15:25] {&Threei}  will they charge you for keeping it safe for you?
[15:25] {jdetente} yes. send them a customer service email and for a nominal fee...
[15:26] {bbobr} Yes we pay taxes
[15:29] {nemo} that is an amazing set of candles since the swing lows
[15:29] {nemo} on the daily
01[15:35] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  .30 break
01[15:36] {&Threei}  If holds  .20
[15:39] {nemo} one last blast higher?
01[15:40] {&Threei}  that's what I think
01[15:40] {&Threei}  as much as I think
01[15:40] {&Threei}  which is admittedly not very much
[15:44] {+cc_9} EOD power blast
[15:44] {+cc_9} record highs (not foodstamps, S&P)
[15:45] {nemo} hahaha
01[15:45] {&Threei}  anyone held IWM?
[15:45] {jdetente} nope
01[15:45] {&Threei}  neither did I
[15:45] {+cc_9} Got some GDX long here Vad
[15:45] {+cc_9} not much $0.20
[15:46] {Alexs} it stopped on trail
01[15:47] {&Threei}  right
01[15:47] {&Threei}  by 1 cent, lol
01[15:47] {&Threei}  dirty rotten scoundrel
[15:47] {jdetente} Vad do you know the show from the 90s called Mystery Science Theater 3000?
01[15:47] {&Threei}  no
[15:48] {jdetente} oh boy. It's a show where they watch old cheesy B movies and make wisecracks
01[15:48] {&Threei}  the only show from 90s I know was Married with Children {G}
[15:48] {jdetente} anyway I just saw an episode where they played an old Russian movie called Jack Frost or Morozko
[15:49] {jdetente} from 1964...it's a trip. Just wondered if you knew that movie..
01[15:49] {&Threei}  it's a children movie
[15:49] {jdetente} one of the funniest things I've seen.
01[15:49] {&Threei}  very dated
[15:50] {jdetente} well it was also overdubbed into English...very poorly
01[15:50] {&Threei}  I can imagine, lol
[15:50] {jdetente} half the fun of watching it
01[15:50] {&Threei}  is it available on youtube?
[15:50] {jdetente} yeah
[15:50] {jdetente} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8H38e5Ppy3Q
01[15:51] {&Threei}  ty
01[15:51] {&Threei}  will have a look later :)
01[15:51] {&Threei}  OK, cutting off GLD here
01[15:51] {&Threei}  thank you all
[15:51] {jdetente} cheers all
01[15:51] {&Threei}  have a good evening, we will try modified strategy tomorrow

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

July 10 2013

Wasn't really our day, as low volume and FOMC minutes conspired to stage a patternless session.

Session Time: Wed Jul 10 00:00:00 2013
[09:15] {bbobr} gm
01[09:16] {&Threei}  morning bbobr
[09:20] {cipher} gm
01[09:20] {&Threei}  cipher :)
[09:23] {Alexs} gm
01[09:23] {&Threei}  amex :)
01[09:23] {&Threei}  ummm
[09:23] {Alexs} lol
01[09:23] {&Threei}  lt me try again
01[09:23] {&Threei}  alex :)
01[09:23] {&Threei}  there... I got it
[09:23] {Alexs} amex is ok
01[09:25] {&Threei}  GLD... wait for us
[09:26] {ese} good morning campers
01[09:26] {&Threei}  ese :)
01[09:27] {&Threei}  .20 break short GLD... if it gives us a chance
[09:27] {ese} vad
[09:27] {jdetente} gm guys
01[09:27] {&Threei}  jd :)
[09:29] {ese} jd
01[09:30] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .20 break
01[09:30] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
01[09:34] {&Threei}  1:1
01[09:36] {&Threei}  1:2 is close enough
01[09:37] {&Threei}  stop for the last piece is .16
[09:39] {ese} L hpq .20
[09:40] {robbers} Out GLD, thanks.
[09:41] {Alexs} stop is still .16?
01[09:42] {&Threei}  .11 now
01[09:42] {&Threei}  yw robbers
01[09:42] {&Threei}  done
[09:42] {jdetente} thanks Vad
01[09:43] {&Threei}  :)
01[09:43] {&Threei}  one of those trades that screams at you from the screen
01[09:44] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
01[09:44] {&Threei}  If holds  .65
01[09:48] {&Threei}  meh
01[09:48] {&Threei}  NSA leaker Snowden: I never gave any information to Chinese or Russian governments
[09:48] {nemo} bull market
01[09:49] {&Threei}  Putin: it's like shearing the piglet - a lot of squeal, not so much wool
[09:52] {ese} out hpq .42+.22
[09:52] {RonS} wtg
[09:52] {ese} no biggie 3/4 lot
[09:52] {ese} tks
[09:52] {RonS} but ese size...
01[09:52] {&Threei}  ok... not wtg then
[09:53] {RonS} punk then?
[09:53] {ese} lol
01[10:00] {&Threei}  *(US) MAY WHOLESALE INVENTORIES: -0.5% V 0.3%E; WHOLESALE SALES M/M: +1.6% V 0.3%E
01[10:01] {&Threei}  why does this below makes me think "asshole"
01[10:01] {&Threei}  IMF's Blanchard: IMF is not forecasting a global recession; Fed understands how to handle the situation- Reiterates Fed is doing the right thing. - US assets to be more attractive. - France is still losing competitiveness. - US fiscal consolidation has been too strong.
01[10:01] {&Threei}  - Not at all worried about US inflation
01[10:07] {&Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .20 break
01[10:07] {&Threei}  If holds  .25
[10:10] {nemo} gmcr dripping away
01[10:22] {&Threei}  meh
[10:23] {ese} L fast .80
[10:28] {ese} hmmm crap....forgot that Berdumb dumb is speaking today......
[10:29] {RonS} show here speech after close...fed min at 2 edt
[10:29] {jdetente} your hero
[10:31] {RonS} so ese hates the clam yet loves the O when the clam is pimping the market and the O is trying to ruin the country...unreal...:P
01[10:33] {&Threei}  it's Canada Ron... know the percentage of peopler who said yes when asked whether they'd vote for O if they could? :)
[10:35] {jdetente} do they also make the O face when answering and/or talking about Obama?
[10:36] {jdetente} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzIN3EgBIHg
01[10:37] {&Threei}  pretty much, lol
[10:37] {RonS} lol
01[10:38] {&Threei}  and when talk about Bush they make this prudish face with lips almost going inside of their mouth
01[10:44] {&Threei} Short Setup: BBY  .10 break
01[10:44] {&Threei}  If holds  .20
[10:48] {ese} alright alright already..........fast bouncing around like a superball....driving me crazy
01[10:48] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[10:48] {ese} i'm up i'm dn...i'm up i'm dn......sheesh
01[10:55] {&Threei}  House Democrats propose a national park on the Moon to protect landing sites
01[10:56] {&Threei}  I guess all the problems on this planet are solved
01[11:07] {&Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .55 break
[11:08] {nemo} gmcr likely short here
[11:11] {Alexs} stop .64?
01[11:12] {&Threei}  .62 for me
01[11:12] {&Threei}  just above latest high
[11:14] {jdetente} blah
[11:16] {bbobr} am not
[11:21] {bbobr} Why short nemo ?
[11:22] {nemo} well, it hasn't worked out, but I was looking for it to top out on this drop and go back to test a lower level, but it may just dirft upward in this pre Fed-lull.  On the daily it just about tested the top of the gap
[11:23] {nemo} now I'm thinking it may drop to the 70 area and hang out until 2:00
01[11:23] {&Threei}  (US) SEC approves rules to require additional data be provided to regulators in private placements; approves removal of ban on advertising of private placements by Hedge funds- Vote was 3-2 on the data point and 4-1 on advertising
[11:24] {bbobr} I see what you mean, tks nemo
[11:24] {nemo} sure....I wouldn't do it for Les
[11:25] {nemo} I'm such a dick
01[11:25] {&Threei}  if you hoped to make the news of the day with that...
[11:26] {nemo} no, I was just remembering "9"s recent Bris
[11:26] {nemo} frickin nus
[11:33] {ese} this could be the last run up for FAST....would have to get through the 1min 200ma to make it to 47.00 i would think
[11:34] {ese} although the spyders have broken through it's 200ma 1min chart
[11:35] {nemo} yeah and they're retrograde of mercury
[11:42] {thomcbell} splk tight range for breakout play
[11:42] {thomcbell} would rather buy a pullback
[11:43] {thomcbell} setup
[11:43] {thomcbell} how is everybody
01[11:44] {&Threei}  hi tbell
01[11:44] {&Threei}  waiting for godo
01[11:44] {&Threei}  ben I mean
[11:45] {nemo} we've don 25% of the 20 day atr on spy
[11:46] {nemo} https://twitter.com/BeschlossDC/status/354939452482809856/photo/1
[11:47] {ese} all roads are leading to Rome right now with fast
[11:48] {ese} .43 more cents....thats all I want.....
[11:50] {ese} nah.......i took it out fast .62 +.82 on 1200shs
[11:52] {ese} well look at that.......damn if it didn't make it to .80
[11:53] {ese} ah well....there more where that came from
[11:57] {RonS} is the horse out of the barn yet?...Federal Aviation Administration says it will increase flight time needed for commercial co-pilots
[11:58] {nemo} tail's on fire
[12:01] {bbobr} GMCR did  what you said, nemo !
[12:01] {nemo} unfortunately, not when I said it
[12:01] {nemo} kinda' like bunny
[12:02] {ese} lol
[12:08] {nemo} vxx is red no fear
[12:10] {jdetente} could be another setup...
[12:10] {jdetente} for a drop
[12:11] {nemo} if it gets any lower call the undertaker
[12:13] {jdetente} keep thinking to last fed meeting. VXX was dropping all day. Then reversed
[12:13] {ese} L clf .74
01[12:31] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  85 break
01[12:31] {&Threei}  If holds  .10
[12:45] {jdetente} I hate these kind of days. early stops and then action dies. Dang fed.
[12:54] {nemo} fas short here might work
[12:54] {nemo} time of day sucks
[12:55] {nemo} Qs making new highs
[12:59] {nemo} FAST coming into possible bounce point around .85ish
[13:05] {ese} agreed......cepttin.....i'm got to much of clf
[13:05] {nemo} you teach math, right?
[13:06] {ese} rotflol
[13:06] {nemo} ;-)  sorry, Les isn't here
[13:07] {ese} was a good one....expect no les
[13:07] {nemo} touche
[13:07] {ese} L clf avg .73
01[13:08] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  .25 break
01[13:12] {&Threei}  change to .20 break
[13:14] {nemo} fast arguably long here
[13:15] {Alexs} what stop?
[13:15] {nemo} .75 break, stop under .65 watch indexes though if they start coming in this likely gets held up
[13:15] {nemo} or down, as the case may be
01[13:16] {&Threei}  .10
[13:16] {nemo} oh
[13:16] {nemo} nevermind -Emily Latella
[13:19] {Les} oh shut up will ya
[13:20] {jdetente} welcome to the jungle Les
01[13:21] {&Threei}  wtf
01[13:21] {&Threei}  no news
[13:21] {jdetente} I need to keep reminding myself to skip Fed days...lol
[13:21] {jdetente} grrr
[13:22] {Les} outta here
[13:23] {ese} cya les
[13:23] {jdetente} don't let the door hit you Les
[13:23] {Les} jd standin in for Nemo tonight is he?
[13:23] {Les} taking a month off
[13:23] {Les}  c u's mid august
[13:24] {jdetente} enjoy the vacation
[13:24] {Les} work mate work
[13:24] {ese} always a good plan
[13:24] {Les} oh ese
[13:24] {jdetente} ahh enjoy the work then
[13:24] {ese} ya
[13:24] {Les} was introduced to Randy Crawford couple of nights ago
01[13:25] {&Threei}  who's that
[13:25] {Les} front dooring the big star hotel attached to montreux jazz
[13:25] {jdetente} some singer right?
[13:25] {Les} yeh, didn't know meself
[13:25] {Les} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VdM3NHDU7Mk
[13:25] {ese} the R&B singer?
[13:25] {Les} having fun working the jazz festival at night
[13:25] {Les} c u's
[13:25] {ese} ahhhh...thats right Montreax is on right now
[13:26] {Les} yeh keeps me away from dull market activity... my worst enemy
[13:26] {ese} awesome les take care
[13:26] {jdetente} true that Les.
[13:26] {Les} ciao
01[13:26] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  .65 break
01[13:26] {&Threei}  If holds  .60
[13:27] {Alexs} too fast
01[13:27] {&Threei}  1:1...
[13:30] {Alexs} .75 entry bad idea?
01[13:31] {&Threei}  I'd prefer .70, pullback
[13:36] {jdetente} anyone get .65 break?
[13:36] {jdetente} missed it myself
[13:40] {ese} L clf avg .70
01[13:52] {&Threei}  8 min till torrent of wisdom from high above
[13:57] {jdetente} can't hardly wait
[13:57] {+cc_9} Fed minutes immenent
[13:58] {jdetente} http://www.richardcyoung.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Bernanke-Modern-Day-Moses.jpg
01[13:59] {&Threei}  - NYSE volume 300M shares, about 20% below its three-month average
01[13:59] {&Threei}  *(US) MINUTES OF THE JUNE 19 FOMC MEETING: HALF OF OFFICIALS SAW BOND BUYING END LATE THIS YEAR; SEVERAL OFFICIALS WORRIED ABOUT DOWNSIDE INFLATION RISKS
[13:59] {+cc_9} SPY all over the map
[13:59] {jdetente} gld...
01[14:02] {&Threei}  Two members felt the FOMC should begin curtailing purchases soon to prevent the negative effects from exceeding benefits
[14:06] {ese} june?
01[14:08] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .60 break hl
01[14:08] {&Threei}  If holds  .70
01[14:08] {&Threei}  meh
01[14:08] {&Threei}  it's minutes ese, from the last FOMC
01[14:12] {&Threei}  http://www.yachtladylola.com/, just pulled in Victoria Harbor. Fully functional golf course, submarine and helicopters all aboard the vessel
[14:13] {RonS} named after Ray Davies' song?
01[14:13] {&Threei}  no... original owner's wife
[14:14] {+cc_9} GDX NUGT wowza
[14:16] {jdetente} think I'll throw darts blindfolded for next trade, hehe
01[14:19] {&Threei}  http://www.yachtladylola.com/, just pulled in Victoria Harbor. Fully functional golf course, submarine and helicopters all aboard the vessel
01[14:19] {&Threei}  oops
01[14:20] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  122 break
01[14:21] {&Threei}  hl
[14:21] {Alexs} lol
01[14:21] {&Threei}  If holds  .10
01[14:22] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[14:38] {ese} opps......out clf .75 +.05 on 3k....i;ll take it
01[14:38] {&Threei}  for shame...
[14:39] {nemo} fdx might bounce in the .50s
[14:41] {ese} HEY nemo!!!!!!!!! are you still scoping fast?
[14:41] {nemo} looks like it's done moving for the day
[14:42] {ese} it's back to where I bought it this morning
[14:42] {nemo} I'm in the "let sleeping dogs lie" camp  on this one
[14:44] {nemo} mmmhhh FDX bounced but looks like it's gonna' drop .50
[14:45] {ese} nemo....it's movin
[14:46] {nemo} I think it's gonna oscillate around vwap at .80ish...just an opinion
01[14:51] {&Threei}  look at frikin GLGD
01[14:53] {&Threei}  admittedly frustrating day
[14:53] {nemo} FED day starts with F
01[14:56] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  .90 break
01[14:56] {&Threei}  If holds  .80
01[14:56] {&Threei}  all I ask is 2 1:3ers
01[14:56] {&Threei}  is it too much to ask?
[14:57] {jdetente} is an answer required??
01[14:57] {&Threei}  no
01[14:57] {&Threei}  all that is required is trading gods' compliance
01[14:58] {&Threei}  some days bastards just won't cooperate
01[14:58] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[14:58] {jdetente} believe that triggered didn't it?
[14:58] {Alexs} yes
[14:58] {jdetente} printed at .92
[15:00] {jdetente} alright that's it for me. I'll see you guys tomorrow
01[15:02] {&Threei}  take care jd
[15:02] {Alexs} good night jd
01[15:03] {&Threei}  now frikin thing is going to kimp 50 cents
01[15:04] {&Threei}  jump
[15:08] {Alexs} gld .90 long?
01[15:08] {&Threei}  to me, yes
01[15:09] {&Threei}  but considering my track record today, do you really want to rely on my read? :)
[15:09] {Alexs} lol
[15:11] {Alexs} worked finaly
01[15:11] {&Threei}  yup
01[15:11] {&Threei}  you went for it?
[15:11] {Alexs} yes
01[15:11] {&Threei}  cool
01[15:11] {&Threei}  it has 1:4 potential
[15:12] {Alexs} too scary
01[15:12] {&Threei}  1:2
[15:12] {Alexs} out
01[15:12] {&Threei}  OK :)
01[15:12] {&Threei}  now, THAT will piss jd off!
[15:19] {Alexs} looks long again
01[15:21] {&Threei}  1:3
[15:21] {Alexs} got a second scalp
01[15:21] {&Threei}  :)
01[15:21] {&Threei}  gaining confidence, eh?
[15:21] {Alexs} lol
01[15:21] {&Threei}  it's good thing
01[15:22] {&Threei}  just handle with care :)
[15:22] {Alexs} always
01[15:32] {&Threei}  .90 break again now
01[15:36] {&Threei}  mope
01[15:37] {&Threei}  (LX) Luxemboug PM Juncker officially calls for new parliamentary elections and will submit resignation to parliament tomorrow - press- New elections to be held within three months. **Note that this move comes after the junior coalition partner called for new elections in light of the secret service scandal
01[15:38] {&Threei}  (PT) Portugal President Cavaco: Portugal must comply with the aid program, any snap elections would requre a new bailout package
01[15:38] {&Threei}  what a wretched union
01[15:42] {&Threei}  Boston bombing suspect Dzhokhar Tsarnaev pleads not guilty to the 30 counts against him
01[15:42] {&Threei}  right
[15:43] {nemo} I hope he gets Bubba instead of the death penalty
01[15:43] {&Threei}  so, "not guilty" as in I didn't do it, I was insane, I was mistreated, or...?
01[15:49] {&Threei}  OK guys, not my day. Let's wrap it up and move on to a fresh one
01[15:50] {&Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:51] {Alexs} good night all
[15:53] {bbobr} gn

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

July 09 2013

Uneven day with low volume; squeezed some profits out of it and hope for the Fed minutes tomorrow to provide some fuel.

Session Time: Tue Jul 09 00:00:00 2013
[09:13] {bbobr} gm
01[09:13] {&Threei}  morning bbobr
[09:14] {nemo} ya know, we should just buy spy on the close, sell it on the open, enjoy the day, come back for the close
01[09:15] {&Threei}  it's not like we didn't have red openings
[09:15] {nemo} no, but as a rule, it would have worked nicely since the bounce
01[09:16] {&Threei}  sure, but the point is, "since the bounce" means you know when the bounce comes and how long it lasts :)
[09:16] {nemo} we're already up $1.08
[09:17] {nemo} 165.84 is R3 on the day
[09:17] {nemo} we just hit R2
[09:22] {Alexs} gm
01[09:22] {&Threei}  (EU) EFSF said to be planning new 7-year EUR bond (as expected)
01[09:22] {&Threei}  alex :)
01[09:22] {&Threei}  isn't it ironic? entity created to save those who drown in debt starts issuing its own debt
[09:23] {ese} morning
01[09:23] {&Threei}  how long can this charade last?
01[09:23] {&Threei}  ese :)
[09:27] {cipher} gm
[09:27] {RonS} hello from non-Myrtle Beach
01[09:27] {&Threei}  cipher, ron :)
[09:29] {jdetente} morning all
01[09:29] {&Threei}  jd :)
01[09:31] {&Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .80 break
01[09:32] {&Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:33] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .36 break
01[09:33] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
01[09:36] {&Threei}  meh FCX
01[09:36] {&Threei}  is it me or quotes are strangely jerky?
01[09:37] {&Threei}  GDX 1:1
[09:39] {ese} Out aria position from yesterday .66 +.27
01[09:39] {&Threei}  wtg
[09:40] {ese} tks....slim pickens in the summer
01[09:43] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .30 break
01[09:43] {&Threei}  late alert
01[09:44] {&Threei}  crap, 1:1
01[09:45] {&Threei} Short Setup: FB  .10 break
01[09:47] {&Threei}  If holds  .15
01[09:48] {&Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:49] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .63 break
01[09:49] {&Threei}  If holds  .55
[09:49] {ese} fcx should head up today based on Alcoa's numbers
[09:49] {nemo} ?
[09:50] {nemo} fcx is also a gold miner
[09:50] {nemo} do they mine bauxite?
[09:53] {nemo} could make an arguement for fas over .50
01[10:00] {&Threei}  no go
[10:02] {+cc_9} good late morning.
[10:02] {+cc_9} SPY getting some action here, bank regulation news of some sort out
01[10:03] {&Threei}  cc9 :)
01[10:03] {&Threei}  (US) US regulators are targeting eight globally systemic US bank holding companies with a higher 5% leverage ratio, compliance with new ratio would only be required by 2018 - press- Proposal would raise leverage ratio for insured bank subsidiaries to 6%. - Banks that do not meet the new 5% leverage ratio would find dividends and bonuses limited.
01[10:04] {&Threei}  **Reminder: On June 21st, reports asserted that US regulators were said to be looking to hike the simple leverage ratio for large banks to a 6% level, up from the current US minimum of 4%, and the 3% international requirement for leverage ratios.
01[10:04] {&Threei}  if it's in 2018, why does SPY drop urgently NOW?? :)
[10:04] {nemo} got nothing to do with it
[10:06] {nemo} like cat short here?
01[10:07] {&Threei}  either from above .50 on a bounce, or after some consolidation on .40 break
[10:10] {thomcbell} splk long braek 47.75
01[10:11] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .50 break
01[10:12] {&Threei}  change to .55
01[10:13] {&Threei}  change to .60
01[10:13] {&Threei}  If holds  .65
01[10:17] {&Threei}  nah
01[10:20] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  121 break
01[10:20] {&Threei}  If holds  .90
01[10:21] {&Threei}  1:1
[10:23] {jdetente} internet crashed on me. Are we in any trades?
01[10:23] {&Threei}  just did GLD
01[10:23] {&Threei}  no open ones
[10:24] {jdetente} ok thanks
01[10:28] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .35 break
01[10:28] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .40 break
01[10:28] {&Threei}  sorry
01[10:28] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
01[10:32] {&Threei}  no go
[10:34] {thomcbell} splk stop is 47.65
[10:34] {thomcbell} make it 47.68
01[10:41] {&Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .25 break
01[10:41] {&Threei}  If holds  .35
01[10:48] {&Threei}  Senior Russian lawmaker tweets that NSA leaker Snowden accepts Venezuela's offer of asylum
01[10:53] {&Threei}  not delighted
[10:53] {jdetente} my internet should have stayed crashed
01[10:54] {&Threei}  lol
01[11:03] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .85 break
01[11:06] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[11:07] {ese} L kr .18
[11:15] {RonS} fdx s 105 break?
01[11:18] {&Threei}  spread...
01[11:18] {&Threei}  really can't tell
01[11:24] {&Threei}  light volume everywhere
[11:24] {jdetente} I was just about to say
[11:24] {jdetente} nothing going on
01[11:25] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  28 break
[11:25] {ese} ya which is why i could be barkin up the wrong tree with kr
[11:25] {ese} no volume
01[11:25] {&Threei}  tomorrow's Fed minutes is the catalyst for something
01[11:31] {&Threei}  Invalidated
01[11:38] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .95 break
01[11:38] {&Threei}  If holds  .85
[11:38] {nemo} God bless ya'
[11:38] {ese} met 5min double bottom
[11:39] {ese} L met .20 for some excitement
[11:42] {ese} 1/2 1k .28 +.08
[11:42] {ese} balance to even
[11:42] {ese} break even that is
[11:45] {ese} to quote some Walt Disney,,,,,"zippa de do da zippa de day.....my oh my what a wonderful day....or is that way"
[11:47] {ese} out met full .36 +.16
01[12:02] {&Threei}  1:1
01[12:02] {&Threei}  and thanks for your blessing nemo
[12:02] {nemo} It's a big deal coming from me
[12:04] {ese} man.....the market must think this is summer holidays or something......nobodys around and theres no volume......
[12:04] {ese} you know what that leaves.....drinking
[12:04] {nemo} be thankful...it chased Les away
[12:05] {ese} phewwww!!!!!! ya your right...sheesh...what was i thinkin
[12:05] {nemo} frickin' musicians
[12:08] {jdetente} drinking is a must ese
[12:12] {ese} was just looking at what we have in the fridge......micro brewery stuff......it's called LightHouse beer.......
[12:13] {ese} 6 more hours of heat hear and........????????
[12:13] {ese} Psssssssssssttttt!...........off comes that cap
[12:13] {ese} am feeling the taste now...........
[12:14] {ese} hmmmmmmm....lets go imagining.....
[12:15] {ese} indeed indeed indeedeeee
[12:15] {ese} anybodys mouth watering at this point........hmmmmmmmm???????
[12:17] {jdetente} considering it's going to be 105 degrees here this afternoon...yes!
01[12:17] {&Threei}  wow
[12:17] {jdetente} yeah I'm staying in my cave
01[12:17] {&Threei}  another reason to appreciate our moderate climate
[12:18] {ese} indeed indeed indeedeee........your the perfect candidate for a tall cool clear clean tasty fresh one
[12:18] {jdetente} I may have to buy a sixer later
01[12:30] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .95 break
01[12:37] {&Threei}  1:1
01[12:37] {&Threei}  a little better, jd?
[12:39] {jdetente} yes this beer is refreshing
01[12:39] {&Threei}  lol
[12:39] {jdetente} oh you mean the trade...hehe
[12:43] {jdetente} over and out. Thanks Vad
01[12:44] {&Threei}  1:2
01[12:44] {&Threei}  yw
[12:51] {thomcbell} ssys looks interesting long
[12:52] {thomcbell} gone
[13:00] {ese} L kr avg .16
[13:08] {+cc_9} good morning.
01[13:10] {&Threei}  hmmmm
01[13:29] {&Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .25 break
01[13:29] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
[13:39] {+cc_9} CSIQ looking for another reversal setup before the bell
[13:43] {ese} wonder if kr is going to make a run at it's high and beyond......
[13:43] {ese} one would think it would on a day like today
[13:44] {ese} chart pattern looks like something straight out of your book vad
[13:44] {ese} consolidating at the highs
01[13:45] {&Threei}  yeah
01[13:45] {&Threei}  just low volume quiet day
[13:45] {ese} yup
01[13:45] {&Threei}  kind of hard to expect patterns to work with their usual percentage
[13:46] {+cc_9} Snowden confirms NSA created Stuxnet with Israeli aid
[13:46] {ese} might not have enough guts to push itself up unless some market maker want to move it
[13:46] {+cc_9} quick, everyone act surprised
[13:46] {ese} huuuuuhh!!!!!!!!!
[13:46] {ese} hows that?
01[13:49] {&Threei}  *(IT) S&P LOWERS ITALY SOVEREIGN RATING ONE NOTCH TO BBB FROM BBB+; OUTLOOK NEGATIVE
[13:49] {ese} is that ah Bed Bath and Beyond?
01[13:49] {&Threei}  (EU) Germany Chancellor Merkel: Govt spending cannot solve the EMU crisis, EMU nations need to pursue structural reforms
[13:50] {ese} heard that before
01[13:50] {&Threei}  yeas, and BBB+ is Bed Bath Beyond and Blackberry
01[13:54] {&Threei}  let's cover half GDX here
01[13:54] {&Threei}  1:1
[13:55] {+cc_9} lol what
[13:55] {jdetente} day getting brighter
[13:55] {jdetente} sunshine is out
[13:55] {jdetente} cc is recovering from his bris
[13:55] {jdetente} all is good
01[13:55] {&Threei}  sun is out... beer is in... trades go well
01[13:55] {&Threei}  jd is happy
[13:56] {ese} yup and i'm even steven with kr........what could be better
[13:56] {ese} rats .01 cent down
[13:58] {ese} vad?  Did you hear the one about the Russian who spent 4 days in Sears looking for wheels for a miscarrage
01[13:59] {&Threei}  lol
[13:59] {ese} put iodine on his paycheck because he got a cut in pay
01[13:59] {&Threei}  let me give you a real life one
[13:59] {ese} thought that manual labor was the president of Mexico
[13:59] {nemo} wow...ese, talking to your students again?
[14:00] {ese} lol
[14:01] {ese} quick somebody do something.......i'm doxing off here.....the infamous head nod
01[14:01] {&Threei}  walking in the walmart with a relatively recent arrival,
[14:01] {ese} dozing
01[14:01] {&Threei}  helping him find a tiki torch for his backyard
01[14:02] {&Threei}  after a few min of browsing the isles he finally spots them at the end of the isle
01[14:02] {&Threei}  and exclaims loudly so half of walmart hears him "tocrh!!"
01[14:03] {&Threei}  only he does it in russian
01[14:03] {&Threei}  and in russian, torch sounds "fuckel"
[14:03] {ese} this is getting funny
01[14:03] {&Threei}  for the next 30 seconds it wasn't
01[14:04] {&Threei}  as half of the store turned to look
[14:04] {RonS} good news he did not see a bunch so no "cluster fuckel",,,
01[14:04] {&Threei}  then it became funny again and men turned away but women still looked interested
01[14:04] {&Threei}  lol
[14:04] {ese} rotflol
01[14:04] {&Threei}  and = as
[14:04] {ese} good one
[14:05] {ese} nice nice nice....massive orders for kr at .14
[14:09] {jdetente} out GDX at .06
[14:09] {jdetente} thanks Vad
01[14:09] {&Threei}  yw :)
[14:09] {ese} well done jd
01[14:10] {&Threei}  life becomes brighter inch by inch
01[14:10] {&Threei}  trade by trade
01[14:10] {&Threei}  beer by beer
[14:10] {ese} indeed indeed
[14:11] {jdetente} yup day has turned around nicely
[14:12] {ese} jd....you live in Nashville right?
[14:14] {jdetente} no I'm out in California
[14:15] {ese} ah......was gonna say was in Nashville a year ago april 12.....was over 100 F for 3 of the 5 days we were there.....beggars must be just frying right now
[14:17] {jdetente} it's pretty humid there too, right? must be hellish
[14:18] {ese} i picture California's weather to be like ours up here most of the time....last time there was 1st week of july at Disneyland  07
[14:19] {ese} was nice ...not to hot
[14:20] {jdetente} depends on where. I'm in Southern California in one of the valleys so it's more like the desert.
[14:20] {jdetente} 20 miles from the coast...
[14:20] {nemo} if the market's gonna' pullback, this should be it, otherwise...wtf
[14:20] {ese} ahhhhh......being preserved for all time
[14:21] {ese} ever been up here Vancouver/Victoria?
[14:21] {jdetente} I have actually about 15 years ago. Went 2 summers in a row.
[14:21] {jdetente} Love it up there.
[14:22] {Alexs} you still in GDX Vad?
[14:22] {ese} ya....have to agree.....am from the praries...Saskatchewan....it's like being on holiday all year round here
[14:23] {jdetente} I bet. Winter on the prairie?? No thanks!
[14:24] {ese} i don't miss the cold thats for sure
01[14:25] {&Threei}  last pieace alex, yes
01[14:25] {&Threei}  .16 stop
[14:25] {+cc_9} HMA blasting
[14:25] {Alexs} ok
[14:25] {+cc_9} been blasting that is
01[15:02] {&Threei}  there should be one more trade in this swamp
01[15:02] {&Threei}  going to look for it over the next 15-20 min
[15:09] {robbers} Just in time, ese, we're looking for a final trade.
[15:10] {ese} sheesh hopefully kr will make a run here....talk about slogging it out
[15:13] {ese} my god.......i'm up .02
01[15:13] {&Threei}  wow
01[15:14] {&Threei}  don't spend that money all at once, lest you cause hyperinflation singlehandedly
[15:14] {robbers} You're always putting your two cents in.
[15:15] {ese} lol
[15:17] {nemo} mmmhhh...FDX came to it's senses
01[15:17] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .50 break
01[15:17] {&Threei}  If holds  .60
[15:18] {ese} out kr .19 +.03.......am outta here cya tomorrow...got stuff to do
01[15:18] {&Threei}  take care ese
[15:18] {ese} cya vad
[15:23] {Alexs} triggered?
01[15:24] {&Threei}  I didn't dee .50 giving up on Level 2
01[15:24] {&Threei}  but I could fall asleep
01[15:25] {&Threei}  dee = see
01[15:41] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .10 break
01[15:41] {&Threei}  If holds  101
[15:45] {jdetente} the swamp rejects your trade
01[15:47] {&Threei}  yeah
01[15:47] {&Threei}  swamp is swamp
[15:52] {jdetente} alright guys. Have a good one...
01[15:53] {&Threei}  thank you all
01[15:53] {&Threei}  have a great evening, Fed will hopefully provide some spark tomorrow

Monday, July 8, 2013

July 08 2013

Very slow, very boring but profitable day. All stops were well-controlled while winners have ranged from scalps to 1:3. Well, last one was saved by the bell so we had to take whooping 2 cents :)


Session Time: Fri Jul 05 00:00:00 2013
[09:13] {cipher} gm
[09:15] {+cc_9} Hello folks
[09:21] {Alexs} gm
[09:27] {ese} morning
[09:28] {ese} looks like everyone is taking a 4 day weekend
[09:31] {+cc_9} Scaling SSO
[09:31] {+cc_9} looking for 163+ SPY
[09:32] {ese} were you Long cc
[09:32] {ese} scaling in or out
[09:32] {+cc_9} Avg cost SSO 78.69
[09:33] {+cc_9} In
[09:33] {+cc_9} bot the SPY pullback after the NFP #s
[09:33] {+cc_9} 161.80 first support on any major pullback
[09:33] {ese} nice
[09:34] {ese} am waitin on aria am long there at .61
[09:34] {ese} uncharacteristic for me holding onto something
[09:43] {+cc_9} no direction yet
[09:43] {+cc_9} $0.20 seesaws
[09:44] {+cc_9} Would like to see a 162.45 bid break for reversal
[09:47] {+cc_9} here we go
[09:48] {+cc_9} BOOM
[09:49] {+cc_9} slight resistance 162.60 from 9:32
[09:50] {+cc_9} we break 162.60 should be good for a mean reversal
[09:53] {+cc_9} be careful guys, new data out
[09:53] {+cc_9} Jean Paul is a Saint as of today, could move markets
[09:59] {+cc_9} SPY intraday range for now : 161.12 bottom - 162.60 top
[10:02] {ese} have you totaly partialed out of spy yet cc
[10:04] {+cc_9} Yes, I scaled out my first entry, now scaling back in again
[10:04] {+cc_9} I always aim for $0.10 - $0.20 max on these trades
[10:07] {+cc_9} here we go again
[10:09] {ese} good on ya
[10:09] {ese} according to my chart it's bouncing off the 50 MA....should be up from here
[10:11] {ese} opps....no go....
[10:12] {ese} that effected my stock
[10:12] {+cc_9} slowly scaling, plenty time on the clock, not gonna crash today
[10:15] {+cc_9} adding on SPY here
[10:26] {+cc_9} full gap closed today, back to closing price on SPY from Wednesday
[10:26] {+cc_9} full sell-off since 9:50AM
[10:33] {+cc_9} lets see 162 on the tap again
[10:33] {+cc_9} i have a truck to unload
[10:34] {+cc_9} boom
[10:38] {+cc_9} 09:33 cc_9 161.80 first support on any major pullback
[10:38] {+cc_9} now working as resistance.
[10:42] {+cc_9} need VXX below 19.65
[10:44] {+cc_9} here we go, need to crack right here
[10:45] {+cc_9} still big wall...
[10:48] {+cc_9} 4th test 161.80, break already...
[10:50] {+cc_9} higher lows SPY, top still unchanged 161.80
[10:52] {+cc_9} 5th test 161.80, almost feels like algos are just set to sell that wall each time
[10:53] {+cc_9} no buyers yet
[10:57] {+cc_9} resistance broke, need a follow through
[10:58] {+cc_9} need to see some .90s
[10:58] {ese} keep up the great work here cc
[11:02] {+cc_9} unloading my massive truck
[11:02] {+cc_9} 9k SSO now 2k left
[11:02] {+cc_9} ill spam with info, for what it is worth :D
[11:06] {+cc_9} All out SSO
[11:25] {+cc_9} Although im all out, here comes the 162 break
[11:58] {+cc_9} boom boom boom
[11:58] {+cc_9} god damn i want that 9k SSO back
[12:04] {+cc_9} MAJOR bounce SPY, took some time, but got it!
[12:19] {+cc_9} Full blown reversal, im done for the day
[12:19] {+cc_9} you all have a great weekend!
Session Time: Sat Jul 06 00:00:00 2013

Session Start: Sat Jul 06 14:07:23 2013
Session Ident: #discussions
03[14:07] * Now talking in #discussions
Session Time: Sun Jul 07 00:00:00 2013
Session Time: Mon Jul 08 00:00:00 2013
[09:11] {dino} gm
[09:12] {bbobr} gm
01[09:12] {&Threei}  morning dino, bbobr
[09:18] {cipher} gm
[09:19] {Alexs} gm
01[09:19] {&Threei}  cipher, alex :)
[09:19] {ese} gm
01[09:19] {&Threei}  ese :)
[09:19] {ese} vad c alex dino
[09:19] {ese} bb
[09:20] {RonS} top 'o the day y'all
01[09:21] {&Threei}  ron :)
[09:21] {ese} ron
01[09:26] {&Threei}  long weekend didn't bring much relief to goldbugs
[09:29] {jdetente} good morning
01[09:29] {&Threei}  jd :)
01[09:29] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .60 break
01[09:30] {&Threei}  If holds  .55
[09:30] {nemo} Europe up huge we have a long way to run
01[09:30] {&Threei}  no go
[09:31] {nemo} they have to go get the stops above 164
01[09:34] {&Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .40 break
01[09:34] {&Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:35] {&Threei}  stop to .46
01[09:36] {&Threei}  1:1
[09:37] {nemo} How much longer before FCX goes to the pink sheets?
01[09:37] {&Threei}  lol
01[09:37] {&Threei}  ugh... GDX
01[09:37] {&Threei}  thought of .60 break
[09:38] {Les} yo
01[09:38] {&Threei}  les :)
[09:38] {Les} hows this market moving today?=
01[09:38] {&Threei}  FCX, 1/4 more out
01[09:39] {&Threei}  today is 8 min old... kind of early to make judgement :)
01[09:39] {&Threei}  stop to.35
01[09:39] {&Threei}  .36 I mean
[09:39] {nemo} look who asked the question
01[09:40] {&Threei}  1:2, stop to .31
[09:41] {Les} well yous in a trade which tells me enough
[09:41] {nemo} ok, it's 11 minutes old...go ahead les
[09:41] {Les} dumbass
[09:42] {nemo} that's an accurate self-assessment
[09:42] {Les} GDX potential DB here
01[09:42] {&Threei}  no... new low
[09:42] {Les} y
[09:43] {Les} SLW too
01[09:43] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  119
01[09:43] {&Threei}  hl
01[09:43] {&Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:44] {&Threei}  closed FCX last 1/4
01[09:45] {&Threei}  no go GLD
01[09:46] {&Threei} Short Setup: FB  .70 break
01[09:46] {&Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:49] {&Threei}  meh
01[09:53] {&Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .20 break
01[09:53] {&Threei}  If holds  .25
01[10:00] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .28 break
01[10:01] {&Threei}  If holds  .18
03[10:06] * Retrieving #discussions modes...
01[10:06] {&Threei}  anyone's breathing?
[10:06] {jdetente} barely
[10:06] {jdetente} long weekend hehe
01[10:07] {&Threei}  I know
[10:12] {dino} line sm l .65
[10:13] {dino} out line .00, +.35
[10:14] {dino} heading out at 11 am, going to myrtle, golfing, back monday
01[10:16] {&Threei}  ese will be green of envy
[10:18] {dino} someday have to get him there
01[10:20] {&Threei}  out 1/2 GDX
01[10:22] {&Threei}  BBRY... too slow and narrow... otherwise, feels like can be shorted into oblivion
01[10:22] {&Threei}  non-stop slide
[10:23] {Les} no doubt some feel that the new operating system is STILL underappreciated and BBRY is a massive buy here
01[10:23] {&Threei}  of course
[10:23] {Les} doing a price check is so much easier
01[10:24] {&Threei}  eery big drop has those who operate in "i't smanipulation, it's a huge value we will prevail, stay strong" universe
01[10:24] {&Threei}  their chance of success is just a notch above attempt to staple water to the tree
01[10:26] {&Threei}  1:2, 1/4 MORE OUT
01[10:39] {&Threei}  if GDX breaks .55, will try for 1?4, with trail instead of partial
01[10:46] {&Threei}  stop .44 at this point
[10:48] {ese} am still here vad...calmly going about my business L aria .39 about 10am....just forgot to post it....have dozed off
[10:49] {ese} 10am eastern that is
01[10:49] {&Threei}  lol
01[10:49] {&Threei}  meanwhile dino came up with a plan to abduct you to Myrtile beach
01[10:50] {&Threei}  I am supposed to mic a sleeping pill in your vodka
[10:50] {RonS} ...but you missed it...
01[10:50] {&Threei}  lol
[10:50] {ese} awesome
[10:50] {ese} NOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
[10:51] {Les} lol thought I saw a sleeping pill instead of viagra
[10:51] {Les} thought that was a bit harsh
[10:51] {ese} lol
01[10:52] {&Threei}  I can imagine how nemo's hands itch to write: "sleeping pill for one, viagra for another"
[10:52] {ese} do NOT!  give the man any ideas
01[11:03] {&Threei}  we have Ben s[eaking on Wed
01[11:04] {&Threei}  speaking too
[11:05] {ese} no...sleaking is probably a better word to describe him.....
[11:06] {ese} for example.........he'll be sleaking out of office very soon
[11:06] {ese} he sleaks to congress when he talks to them
01[11:06] {&Threei}  have you seen a list of his successor candidates?
[11:06] {Les} inverted cup and handle GDX?
[11:06] {ese} nah....perfect word to describe the man
01[11:07] {&Threei}  no read Les, too slow
[11:07] {ese} not sure that I want to.......but I hope is Arnold Swartzeneggar
[11:07] {Les} watching Arnie this morning as the terminator, first movie
01[11:07] {&Threei}  you wish
01[11:08] {&Threei}  train wreck
[11:08] {Les} you want him to rip someones heart out?
[11:08] {ese} yes
01[11:08] {&Threei}  Larry Summers for pete's sake
[11:08] {dino} ok, thats all for me. have a great week all. see you monday
[11:08] {Les} cheers
01[11:08] {&Threei}  have fun dino
[11:09] {ese} dahh....go ahead ...... criticize me......"make my day"
01[11:09] {&Threei}  that's Eastwood ese...
[11:09] {ese} out comes futurist weapon......and voila........no congressional finance hearing committee
01[11:10] {&Threei}  Arnold is rather "Hasta la vista baby"
[11:10] {ese} ok well....dirty Harry then.......same thing
01[11:10] {&Threei}  hehe
[11:13] {bbobr} I am not away
[11:14] {nemo} one can hope
01[11:14] {&Threei}  we didn't think so
01[11:25] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .40 break hl
01[11:25] {&Threei}  .c .50
01[11:25] {&Threei}  If holds  .50
[11:35] {+cc_9} hi
01[11:36] {&Threei}  ok... I'll play
01[11:36] {&Threei}  morning
[11:36] {+cc_9} k
06[11:42] * Les slaps _dalvarado around a bit with a large trout
[11:43] {Les} someone worked out how to get in
[11:43] {Les} Nemo doing terrible job at the front door
01[11:44] {&Threei}  GLD is annoying
01[11:46] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .55 break
01[11:47] {&Threei}  If holds  .48
01[11:47] {&Threei}  (EU) ECB said to have seen some data which may indicate that inflation spike is not imminent, supporting its dovish stance - press
01[11:48] {&Threei}  die already GLD
01[11:48] {&Threei}  1:1
01[11:48] {&Threei}  half out
01[11:49] {&Threei}  took its sweet time... over 20 min
01[11:55] {&Threei}  1:1
[11:56] {ese} be back in 40....have to take stuff to the municipal yard
[11:57] {Les} yard sale?
[11:57] {nemo} he's dropping off the kids
[11:57] {Les} won't be cheap
[11:58] {Les} if only I could dump mine at cost
[12:07] {Les} little tza off here
01[12:08] {&Threei}  1:2
01[12:09] {&Threei}  huh... who would have sthought, shapes up as a decent day
[12:09] {Les} well that's what you get for thinking
[12:12] {Les} outta here thanks for the fish c u's tomorrow
[12:24] {RonS} nemo here?
[12:30] {nemo} no
[12:31] {RonS} didn't think so
[12:31] {RonS} buswk.co/1bimWQO
01[12:31] {&Threei}  that's sophisticated... I didn't think, period
[12:33] {nemo} better than sex
[12:40] {+cc_9} QCOM trying to reverse
[12:40] {+cc_9} also, good morning
01[12:40] {&Threei}  again??
01[13:07] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .30 break
01[13:07] {&Threei}  If holds  .25
01[13:07] {&Threei}  and if you are ready for a slowish one
[13:11] {nemo} http://bo.st/12dqUmU
01[14:18] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  83 break
01[14:18] {&Threei}  If holds  .05
[14:19] {Alexs} two-sided CAT?
01[14:20] {&Threei}  by chart yes... but long side doesn't appeal to me as much as short one
01[14:20] {&Threei}  feels like tiredness should take over
01[14:28] {&Threei}  still valid
01[14:29] {&Threei}  ideally, slight bounce now, staying under .05, then break of support
01[14:29] {&Threei}  would be a beautiful short swetup
01[14:42] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[14:49] {nemo} spy and finnies look short, but....weird day
[14:53] {jdetente} well nemo. VXX continues to slide. Still at lows of day
01[14:54] {&Threei}  yeah, shorting hasn't been fruitful really
[14:54] {nemo} yep
[14:54] {nemo} going into the 3:00 pm short squeeze
01[14:54] {&Threei}  looks like
[14:54] {nemo} was watching the pace pick up on the index etfs
01[15:12] {&Threei}  GDX breakdown... missed this one
01[15:12] {&Threei}  grrr
01[15:25] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .50 break
[15:26] {Alexs} setup for tomorrow trade?
01[15:27] {&Threei}  why?
01[15:27] {&Threei}  enouhg time for today still
[15:28] {Alexs} looks like it won't trigger today to slow
01[15:28] {&Threei}  it just did :)
[15:28] {Alexs} lol
01[15:29] {&Threei}  but I understand the sentiment
01[15:29] {&Threei}  one of slowest days this year
[15:30] {Alexs} spy volume on July 3d level still
[15:34] {Alexs} stop .56?
01[15:34] {&Threei}  yeah, let's keep it tight
01[15:35] {&Threei}  don't want to give profits back
[15:46] {nemo} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGimzB5QM1M
[15:49] {RonS} wow, Werner von Braun would be impressed...
[15:49] {nemo} that's very impressive
01[15:58] {&Threei}  ok... running out of time
01[15:58] {&Threei}  out + whole 2 cents
01[15:58] {&Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:58] {&Threei}  see you tomorrow
[16:01] {bbobr} gn



Saturday, July 6, 2013

Nemo's Findings week of 7/7/2013

(Course on chart pattern recognition is available now: http://www.realitytrader.com/111trades.html  


After bottoming out last week at the first significant techinical level , the indexes spent most of the holiday shortened week in consolidation mode.  The SPY recaptured the 50 day average on Friday after rejecting it twice earlier in the week. I think next week, probably Monday we gap up to crush what ever short stops there are above the gap at 163.53 and then probably the ones above 164, with a likelihood we challenge the last swing high around 166. 

The Russell had a new all time closing high and will likely break that, while the finnies have a bit more work. But with yields rising, they'll be able to charge more for loans (if they make any) so that should work out well for them.

Add in the IWC, which tracks the Russell micro caps, is at all time highs, even the littlest companies are doing well, stock-wise that is.

The Qs are heading in to the time of year that has been traditionally strong for them

The jobs report on Friday came in well ahead of expected.  Now under the hood it sucked: it was mostly part-time jobs with full time jobs taking it in the shorts...(too graphic?) The market first sold off, but that may have been in response to bond yields.  Either way higher interest rates and a BOOMING part-time jobs market saw us bottom at 10:15 and never look back

The future's so bright, the market's gotta' wear shades!


Europe isn't  in great shape but the market doesn't care.  Egypt is blowing up, but the market doesn't care.  Oil is up near $104...fuggetaboutit!!

Having said that, the real Summer trading starts next week, although volumes this week were not particularly low considering.  If Wall Street is distributing to the sheep before a rug pull, this was an easier week to keep the indexes up. Having said that, all the action, including the retracement lows, can be considered bullish overall.

Another thought, if the SPY holds the 50 day for any amount of times, all the money managers who got caught with their pants down at the beginning of the year, will have to start chasing performance. All I see is up, but then again it's about price.  

Don't overthink it, or, this could happen:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U_eZmEiyTo0





 Anyway...


The week that was:







The week that is: