Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Oct 29 2104

Another fantastic day with abundant and juicy winners. 1:2, 1:3, 1:4, VXX, FB, GLD, what have you. Traders' market.

________________________________________
Close Market Snapshot US Indices
Wed, 29 Oct 2014 15:48 PM EST

- Dow Jones -0.1%
- S&P500 -0.5%
- Nasdaq -0.3%

US indices are volatile after the FOMC, falling over 0.5% in the first hour after statement release before reverting toward unchanged heading into the close. Basic materials names and gold miners are the clear laggards on the stronger USD implications of the less dovish Fed, while Financials have generally been bid.

Fixed-Income: US treasuries are sharply lower, particularly on the shorter end and the belly of the curve, after the FOMC announced the conclusion of QE3 with the final $15B taper. Accompanying positive comments on labor and household spending also bode well for the eventual tightening, even though the statement maintained "considerable time" language and the Fed funds futures are still not tipping a rise to 0.50% until Q3-4 of 2015.

- US 2-yr: +10bps at 0.49%
- 10-yr: +4bps at 2.33%; 3-week high
- 30-yr: flat at 3.06%
- 2-10 spread: -6bps at 1.84%

Energy: WTI Dec crude oil $82.16; Crude is up for the 2nd straight day after two losing sessions, rising to near- $82.90 or a 1-week high. DOE crude inventory build number was less than anticipated, which sent prices to their highs, though subsequent USD rally after the Fed statement briefly crude back below $82.

Metals:
- Spot Gold $1,209/oz; Gold is down over $15 amid a sharp bounce in the US dollar after a slightly less dovish than expected FOMC statement. A low of $1,208 in the first hour also marks a 3-week low.
- Spot Silver $17.07/oz; Silver tested 2-week lows around $17.03 in the aftermath of the FOMC, down over 25c since the release.
- Dec Copper $3.08/lb; Copper traded up to 1-month high above $3.11 but fell sharply along with the rest of the metals after FOMC-infused USD rally.

Key Earnings at the close:
- ABX, AKAM, ALL, BIDU, CAR, CBG, DWA, FLEX, FMC, JCI, KRFT, MET, NE, PPC, RRC, SPN, TEX, TTWO, V

Looking ahead to Asia session:
- RBNZ Rate Decision 16:00ET

TradeTheNews.com

Session Time: Wed Oct 29 00:00:00 2014
[08:51] {dino} gm 3i
01[08:51] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:01] {dino} x spike
01[09:03] {@Threei}  X Reports Q3 $2.16 adj v $1.17e, R$4.59B v $4.54Be
[09:04] {dino} holding some calls on it from last month
[09:12] {Jenh} good morning everyone!
01[09:13] {@Threei}  jen :)
[09:20] {nemo} Hope my hangover clears up by 2:00
[09:21] {nemo} DAX already in FED mode
01[09:22] {@Threei}  that's a very junior hangover
[09:22] {nemo} well, duh? it is mid-week
01[09:23] {@Threei}  slacking is slacking
[09:27] {dino} azpn
[09:27] {jfjf64} mornin
01[09:27] {@Threei}  jf :)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -X +9% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -FCAU +8% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -CLSN +6.7% (presented preclinical data for TheraSilence Platform)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -AKS +6.5% (announced price increases for carbon steel products)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -ALLY +5.6% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -TQNT +5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -RGLS +3.6% (priced 5.29M shares at $17/shr)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -IACI +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -INVN -22% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -ARCP -20% (CFO resigns, financials will be restated as accounting issues disclosed)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -ORB -15% (confirmed launch failure of Antares Orb-3)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -HIVE -12% (clarified ConnectED initiative details with Apple)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -STM -10% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -FB -6% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -GRMN -5% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -SODA -4.2% (earnings)
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .70 break
01[09:33] {@Threei}  late
01[09:34] {@Threei} Short Setup: AA  .50 break
01[09:34] {@Threei}  If holds  .55
01[09:36] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:39] {@Threei}  RKUS Ticks higher on circulation of earlier blog the states Google to use RKUS tech in its Wi-Fi service
01[09:40] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break hl
01[09:41] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
01[09:42] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:42] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:43] {@Threei}  out in full
[09:43] {dino} gj
01[09:43] {@Threei}  a bit too much drama
01[09:43] {@Threei}  ty
[09:44] {dino} azpn sm l .52
01[09:44] {@Threei}  HPQ Hewlett-Packard tweets: "Game-changing announcement happening now. Prepare to let your creativity grow"
01[09:44] {@Threei}  DDD Hewlett-Packard announcing its plans for 3D printing market - webcast
01[09:46] {@Threei}  shorted a bit...
01[09:46] {@Threei}  dino-like trader
01[09:46] {@Threei}  [HPQ] Announces plans for 3D printing market; claims new 3D product is 10x faster than any product on the market today - webcast - We are going to change the current limitations of 3D printing with new technology "Multijet Fusion"
01[09:47] {@Threei}  must be fastest 40 cents I made in a good while
[09:47] {dino} azpn stop .19 -.33
[09:47] {nemo} can't wait to see how much the cartridges cost
[09:47] {nemo} I'll take my 3-d in black and white thank you
01[09:47] {@Threei}  lol
[09:48] {dino} lol
[09:48] {nemo} what?  no comment jf?
[09:48] {jfjf64} lol
01[09:49] {@Threei}  good boy AA
[09:49] {nemo} can tell he did it subconsciously...it's either "lol" or "wtf!"
01[09:49] {@Threei}  out DDD +1.00
[09:50] {jfjf64} wtf
[09:50] {Jenh} gj!
01[09:51] {@Threei} Long Setup:  HPQ  .70 break
01[09:51] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[09:51] {nemo} having trouble with vwap
[09:51] {nemo} fb
01[09:51] {@Threei}  don't we all
[09:53] {dino} azon putting in higher lows
[09:53] {dino} azpn
01[09:55] {@Threei}  mib, see pm please
02[09:55] * Disconnected
Session Close: Wed Oct 29 09:55:35 2014

Session Start: Wed Oct 29 09:55:35 2014
Session Ident: #discussions
02[09:58] * Attempting to rejoin channel #discussions
03[09:58] * Rejoined channel #discussions
01[09:59] {Threei}  dino, see pm
06[10:00] * dino slaps Threei around a bit with a large trout
[10:01] {dino} just because i can
01[10:02] {@Threei}  was it rainbow trout or steelhead?
[10:02] {dino} steel
[10:03] {dino} azpn .30 trig l
01[10:03] {@Threei}  will do
01[10:03] {@Threei}  mib, see private message please
[10:06] {jfjf64} common hp turn printer ON
01[10:07] {@Threei}  1/4 more out AA
01[10:07] {@Threei}  stop .41 for the last piece
06[10:07] * nemo slaps threei around a bit with an opterygian ganoid
01[10:07] {@Threei}  wth is that
[10:08] {nemo} lungfish of the Devonian Period
01[10:10] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .70 break
01[10:10] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[10:10] {nemo} full red on algo
[10:12] {nemo} sheesh, other people's orders are showing up in my execution blotter...wtf
01[10:12] {@Threei}  profitable?
[10:12] {nemo} have no idea, very unnerving
01[10:13] {@Threei}  stop to .64
[10:13] {jfjf64} ty nemo
[10:13] {jfjf64} algo red
[10:13] {jfjf64} caught vxx
[10:13] {nemo} yw
[10:14] {dino} gj jf
06[10:14] * @Threei slaps jfjf64 around a bit with a large roll of cash
[10:14] {jfjf64} .81 entry
[10:15] {jfjf64} pull bk go again
01[10:17] {@Threei}  mib422, see private message, and this is last time I ask you
06[10:17] * nemo racks the M4
[10:17] {jfjf64} mib careful
06[10:18] * nemo powers up the Eotech
[10:18] {jfjf64} steel boot
01[10:19] {@Threei}  I don't like to be ignored. I have wife for that
[10:19] {RonS} perfect
[10:19] {nemo} get a cat, it's cheaper
01[10:19] {@Threei}  and if I needed someone else to ignore me, I'd marry another one
[10:19] {jfjf64} lol
[10:19] {nemo} too expensive
01[10:19] {@Threei}  hmmm... maybe that's a good idea, let them ignore each other
[10:20] {dino} usna spike
[10:20] {jfjf64} 3i took vitamins today
[10:20] {nemo} friend of mine during his third divorce:  "Every 5-7 years I should just find a woman that hates me and buy her a house!"
01[10:20] {@Threei}  1:3  AA
01[10:20] {@Threei}  out
[10:21] {jfjf64} .01 long vxx
[10:22] {nemo} things should start going quiet
[10:24] {dino} 07 scrolling red
01[10:24] {@Threei}  wow... AA has more
[10:24] {nemo} look at daily, heading for gap
[10:25] {nemo} should test 16ish
[10:26] {jfjf64} dieeeeeeeeeeee
01[10:34] {@Threei}  mib, doubleclick on my name to answer
01[10:36] {@Threei}  you still in jf?
01[10:42] {@Threei}  lol
01[10:42] {@Threei}  mib, either you speak to me or next kick will be with ban
01[10:42] {@Threei}  doubleclick on my name
01[10:44] {@Threei} Short Setup: DAL  39 break
01[10:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
03[10:46] * Retrieving #discussions modes...
[10:48] {jfjf64} no die dal
[10:49] {jfjf64} now
01[10:49] {@Threei}  yes please
[10:49] {jfjf64} or feel sorry for mib
01[10:50] {@Threei}  shrug
01[10:50] {@Threei}  he can't say he hasn't been given a chance
01[10:50] {@Threei}  or two
[10:51] {jfjf64} if dal gives us 1:4 get third chance
[10:51] {dino} added sny calls
[10:52] {dino} stc aet calls from yesterday, +1.05 / 29%
[10:52] {jfjf64} g job dino
[10:53] {dino} ty
[10:53] {Jenh} gj!
[10:53] {dino} thx
01[10:54] {@Threei}  can world be this lucky... http://pagesix.com/2014/10/24/cancer-rumors-swirl-around-putin/
[10:54] {dino} lets hope
01[10:56] {@Threei}  1:1  DAL
01[10:56] {@Threei}  forgot to post
[11:06] {jfjf64} how the algo nemo
[11:06] {nemo} mostly red, but there has been no real price change in the spy, so selling isn't intense
[11:06] {nemo} we're into the FED Siesta
[11:07] {nemo} SPY should try to get back to vwap
[11:07] {nemo} IWM looking weak
[11:07] {jfjf64} ty
[11:07] {jfjf64} like iwm long
[11:07] {nemo} look at this story: http://goo.gl/VH74jR
[11:11] {jfjf64} cant make this up
[11:11] {nemo} no...well we are the bluest of states
[11:13] {jfjf64} yhoo  grinding up
[11:38] {jfjf64} slit my rist
[11:39] {dino} i think to say, "gun to the head" time
[11:39] {jfjf64} yeah
[11:39] {jfjf64} thinkin liquid lunch
[11:44] {dino} lol jf, i was just thinking who can i call for happy hour
[11:45] {jfjf64} what a life
[11:45] {jfjf64} lol
[11:45] {jfjf64} long island
[11:46] {jfjf64} love to hv a beer with ya
[11:46] {dino} some day
[11:46] {jfjf64} will do
[11:46] {jfjf64} all the boys
[11:46] {jfjf64} you to jen
[11:46] {Jenh} thanks for including me too :)
[11:47] {Jenh} appreciate it!
[11:47] {Jenh} i guess this had been a boys club for some time before i came
[11:47] {jfjf64} jen how do ya like the course
[11:47] {jfjf64} 111 trades
[11:47] {Jenh} i like it a lot
[11:48] {Jenh} it's really helpful
[11:48] {Jenh} finally starting to see the formations
[11:48] {jfjf64} never looked at it yet
[11:48] {jfjf64} want to
[11:49] {jfjf64} maybe 3i put it in mystocking for christmas
[11:50] {jfjf64} opps mean santa
[11:50] {dino} jen says boys club and 3i kicks her out
[11:50] {jfjf64} lol
01[11:50] {@Threei}  I'd never
[11:50] {dino} i know
[11:50] {jfjf64} 3i has riot gear on today
[11:51] {jfjf64} mib /mia
[11:51] {jfjf64} lol
[11:52] {Jenh} lol
[12:02] {jfjf64} siesta over??
01[12:02] {@Threei}  could be
01[12:02] {@Threei}  watching VXX
[12:02] {jfjf64} me too
[12:03] {dino} mtg at 2:15 right?
01[12:03] {@Threei}  2\
01[12:03] {@Threei}  2:00
[12:04] {jfjf64} another meetin
01[12:05] {@Threei}  ugh
[12:06] {dino} fed i mean, ty
[12:07] {jfjf64} pull bk to .25
[12:07] {jfjf64} wd be nice
[12:07] {jfjf64} vxx
[12:11] {jfjf64} .40 hold .35
[12:11] {jfjf64} ??
01[12:14] {@Threei}  not sure
[12:16] {jfjf64} 5 min wants higher
[12:16] {jfjf64} flag
01[12:19] {@Threei}  The FOMC decision drops later today, and there is little chance the committee will not end the QE bond buying program as expected. All eyes are on whether the "considerable time" language remains a part of the statement or gets removed. Whether it goes now or in December, Fed watchers expect it to be replaced by something similar in spirit but without any calendar-based overtones.
01[12:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .30 break
01[12:41] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
[12:49] {jfjf64} who wants double top
01[12:49] {@Threei}  I am all for those
01[13:05] {@Threei}  LOL, from a friend in Winnipeg: "Tonight I found out what real cold is. My outside thermometer knocked on the window and asked to be let inside"
[13:05] {Jenh} lol
[13:05] {jfjf64} lol
01[13:06] {@Threei}  I don't know how people live in those climes
01[13:06] {@Threei}  most importantly, why
01[13:08] {@Threei}  1:1
[13:08] {jfjf64} forgot was still in'
01[13:09] {@Threei}  lol
01[13:09] {@Threei}  early onset of alzheimer?
[13:09] {jfjf64} 100%
01[13:09] {@Threei}  I sympathize
[13:09] {jfjf64} but I do remember double top
01[13:09] {@Threei}  attention span of a moth is my trademark
01[13:10] {@Threei}  I actually envy a fish that has atention span of 21 seconds, thus can theoretically bit the bait off the same hook 3 times a minute
[13:10] {jfjf64} lol
01[13:12] {@Threei}  Half of Russians expect repeat of Stalin-era repression, poll says
[13:30] {jfjf64} im gonna skip
[13:30] {jfjf64} all enjoy
01[13:30] {@Threei}  take care jf
[13:30] {Jenh} thx. bye jf!
[13:36] {nemo} anybody awake?
01[13:36] {@Threei}  1:2
[13:37] {Jenh} still here
[13:38] {nemo} I see indexes have been dripping lower since I've been gone
[13:38] {nemo} wow FDX number 1 weak stock
[13:45] {nemo} mmmhhhh Dax closed almost flat
[13:45] {dino} .
[13:46] {Jenh} dammit. my computer just said i have a virus and i can't have the scanner on with etrade running
[13:46] {Jenh} i have to go.
[13:46] {Jenh} gl trading evreyone
[13:46] {Jenh} perfect timing too
01[13:46] {@Threei}  strange
[13:46] {Jenh} see you tomorrow!
[13:46] {Jenh} i know
01[13:46] {@Threei}  what does virus have to do with scanner?
[13:46] {Jenh} virus scanner
[13:46] {Jenh} not stock scanner
01[13:46] {@Threei}  ah
[13:47] {Jenh} take care!
01[13:47] {@Threei}  you too
[13:54] {dino} bbsi hard drop
[13:56] {dino} vxx, tlt, tbt
[13:57] {dino} smr l vxx .07
[13:57] {nemo} we should get the cha cha cha...third cha likely the direction
[13:58] {dino} down, up, down
[13:58] {nemo} or up, down, up
[13:58] {dino} lol
[13:58] {dino} place your bets
[13:58] {nemo} I'll wait for the shake
01[13:59] {@Threei}  *(US) FOMC HOLDS FED FUNDS RATE TARGET AT 0.25%: FED COMPLETES TAPER OF BOND PURCHASES, AS EXPECTED;
01[13:59] {@Threei}  Vote 9-1 (Kocherlakota (dove) dissented)
[14:02] {dino} out vxx .37, +.30
01[14:03] {@Threei}  it likely will be appropriate to maintain the 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program this month, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run goal, and provided that longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored. However, if incoming information indicates faster progress toward the Committee's employment and inflation objectives than the Committee now expects, then increases in the target range for the federal funds rate are likely to occur sooner than currently anticipated. Conversely, if progress proves slower than expected, then increases in the target range are likely to occur later than currently anticipated.
01[14:03] {@Threei}  the art of saying nothing
[14:06] {nemo} look for 197 spy test 50 day around 196.80
[14:08] {nemo} o.k. 197.10 test
[14:09] {nemo} this is the second cha, looks like down soon
01[14:13] {@Threei}  think so too
01[14:14] {@Threei}  thur she blows
[14:15] {nemo} could argue long here for a bounce
[14:16] {nemo} here's 50 day
[14:16] {nemo} algo getting redder
01[14:17] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .5\0 break
01[14:17] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[14:18] {@Threei}  too fast moves
[14:18] {nemo} Hawaii 5/0?
01[14:18] {@Threei}  disregard for now
[14:19] {dino} added db calls
01[14:19] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .40 break
01[14:19] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[14:21] {@Threei}  nah
01[14:21] {@Threei}  turned 1 cent from 1:1
[14:22] {nemo} spy gonna test the .80 level and vwap right above 198
[14:22] {nemo} this .50 level first resistance
[14:22] {nemo} vxx vwap .18
[14:24] {dino} adpt spike
[14:25] {nemo} could argue VXX long here
[14:26] {nemo} IWM strong
[14:27] {dino} down, now up, shold drop again
[14:27] {dino} should
01[14:27] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .10 break
01[14:27] {@Threei}  If holds  31
[14:27] {nemo} looks good Vad
01[14:27] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:28] {nemo} spy having trouble with .80 area and iwm with 200day/vwap
[14:28] {dino} damn missed it, was at 31.00
[14:28] {nemo} how'd you miss it went to .95
[14:28] {dino} went after the bounce, thought it would come back
[14:28] {nemo} looks like spy gonna test resistance near vwap
[14:29] {nemo} it just did
[14:29] {dino} cx
[14:29] {nemo} wait until they take 198 stops on spy
[14:29] {nemo} vwap @ that 198.10 resistance, they'll try to push to .20
[14:31] {dino} going w/o me again
[14:31] {nemo} did you always go home alone from the bar dino?
01[14:31] {@Threei}  hectic eh?
[14:31] {dino} lol
01[14:31] {@Threei}  lol
06[14:32] * @Threei hands dino a bar stool to slap nemo with
[14:32] {dino} nah, i'll just buy him a shot
06[14:32] * nemo turns the barstool over so Dino can sit down
[14:32] {nemo} what caliber Dino?  ;-)
[14:33] {dino} flavor, tequila
[14:33] {dino} cabo or patron
[14:33] {nemo} you buyin' I'm drinking
[14:33] {dino} tequila is liquid cocaine
[14:33] {nemo} Oh, yeah, Patron was featured at a coupla' book nights
[14:33] {nemo} Ahhhh...no, sorry Dino, my extensive experience disagrees with you
[14:34] {dino} azpn sm l .00
[14:34] {dino} lol, wakes me up
[14:35] {nemo} wow
[14:35] {nemo} there was nothing worse than running out of coke and after having been drinkin for hours...all of a sudden you are really drunk...been 30 years...frankly, don't even like thinking about it
[14:36] {dino} drugs were not my thing, but booze, as the cool aid guyy says, "oh yeah"
[14:36] {nemo} these days I shoot Nyquil
[14:37] {nemo} looks like 198.10 resistance with vwap roof
[14:37] {nemo} mmmhhhhh....Vad....can you snort Viagra?
[14:37] {nemo} Ese would probably know
01[14:38] {@Threei}  well, there is russian all-female band under that name
[14:38] {nemo} viagra snorters?
[14:38] {nemo} what? do they deliver it orally as a topical?
01[14:39] {@Threei}  have a look, your questions will be answered: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwCG3tdKlGA
[14:42] {nemo} mmmhhh....they definitely rate
[14:43] {nemo} http://goo.gl/49EEA2
01[14:45] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .25 break
01[14:45] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
01[14:46] {@Threei}  1:1
01[14:46] {@Threei}  1:2
01[14:47] {@Threei}  1:3
01[14:47] {@Threei}  good girl
01[14:48] {@Threei}  jf will be so sorry he quit early today
[14:48] {dino} gj
01[14:49] {@Threei}  ty
[14:53] {jfjf64} jf is back and sick
01[14:53] {@Threei}  thought so
[14:55] {jfjf64} gld got whacked
01[14:55] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  ./60 break
01[14:56] {@Threei}  daily is horrific
01[14:56] {@Threei}  this thing is going to crash and vurn
01[14:56] {@Threei}  burying hordes of goldbugs under its wreckage
[14:57] {dino} bonds spike
[14:58] {jfjf64} wow spy
[14:58] {dino} think its 2 sided 3i
[14:59] {dino} break .70 and up imo
01[14:59] {@Threei}  probably
[15:01] {dino} azpn to b/e
[15:02] {cosmo} gold selling as earnings dissapoint, right?
[15:03] {jfjf64} common hit it boys
01[15:03] {@Threei}  lol
01[15:03] {@Threei}  it has also cut dividend
[15:03] {cosmo} :)
01[15:04] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:04] {@Threei}  1:2
[15:04] {dino} you were right 3i, gj
01[15:04] {@Threei}  1:3
01[15:04] {@Threei}  :)
[15:05] {jfjf64} good find jf
01[15:05] {@Threei}  1:4
01[15:05] {@Threei}  out
01[15:05] {@Threei}  now, in my wife's interpretation it shounds this way: you were right, again... sheesh, just how irritating this is
[15:06] {dino} azpn to .30
[15:07] {dino} to .40
[15:07] {jfjf64} fb
[15:08] {cosmo} 3i you're not being ignored...that's key...
[15:08] {jfjf64} good sell gld
[15:08] {jfjf64} luv it
01[15:09] {@Threei}  yes cosmo, my options range from being ignored to being irritating :)
[15:09] {cosmo} i c
01[15:10] {@Threei}  isn't it nice to have options
[15:11] {jfjf64} twtr
[15:14] {dino} out azpn .60, +.60
[15:14] {jfjf64} nice dino
[15:14] {dino} thx
01[15:37] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
01[15:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[15:38] {@Threei}  actually let's make stop .74
01[15:38] {@Threei}  time's an issue
01[15:38] {@Threei}  tail bottomed there
01[15:39] {@Threei}  and no need to risk much at the end of another great day
[15:46] {jfjf64} to the moon alice
01[15:47] {@Threei}  1:1
[15:47] {nemo} spy looks short here
01[15:48] {@Threei}  no time
01[15:51] {@Threei}  1/4 more out
[15:52] {jfjf64} me done
[15:52] {jfjf64} ty vg
01[15:54] {@Threei}  yw
01[15:54] {@Threei}  these days are so worthy of waking up, lol
[15:55] {jfjf64} for sure
[15:55] {jfjf64} see all tommoroww
01[15:55] {@Threei}  OK guys, thank you all
[15:55] {dino} calling it a day, thx all, gn
01[15:55] {@Threei}  have a great evening, see you tomorrow

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Oct 28 2104

Not the easiest day as market rinsed a few entries in pre-Fed jitters. Still, winning ones outweighed stops, and concluding 1:3 on FB cemented the profits.
______________________________________
Close Market Snapshot US Indices:
Tue, 28 Oct 2014 15:55 PM EST

- Dow Jones +1.0%
- S&P500 +1.1%
- Nasdaq +1.6%

US indices are headed for the 4th consecutive session of gains, as Vix dips back below 15 and Russell 2000 tops the 200-day MA. Industrials and Materials sectors are leading the charge, while defensive Utilities and Healthcare names lag with a more modest rally. CMI, WHR, and AN are the leaders in the S&P500, rising over 6% on strong earnings announcements. KSS, COH, and HOT are off by 5-6% after their Q3 results. GD, NOC, and CAT are also notable gainers in Industrials, up over 2.5%. MRK and LLY are down 1.5% and 2.4% in healthcare, while AMGN is up over 5.5%.

Fixed-Income: US treasuries are slightly lower, particularly on the longer end, going into tomorrow's pivotal FOMC decision, with increasing expectations of a slightly less dovish statement accompanying the final $15B taper announcement. Traders have also shrugged a disappointing durable goods release, with risk-on flows favoring stocks over fixed income.
- US 2-yr: +1bps at 0.39%
- 10-yr: +3bps at 2.29%
- 30-yr: +3bps at 3.06%
- 2-10 spread: +2bps at 1.90%

Energy: WTI Dec crude oil $81.38; Crude is up about $1, rising after two straight declining sessions. Traders bought the dip following overnight losses on reduced price forecast from Goldman Sachs and ample supply reports from the Middle East. API and DOE release their weekly inventories data Tues after close and on Wednesday with expectations pointing to another large build.

Metals:
- Spot Gold $1,228/oz; Gold rose as high as $1,236 - the highest level since Oct 23rd - after disappointing US durables data briefly sent USD lower.
- Spot Silver $17.19/oz; Silver also spiked on the release of US durables, reaching a 1-week high of $17.40 before erasing all of those gains in afternoon trade.
- Dec Copper $3.09/lb; Copper up for the 4th day, testing 2-week highs around $3.10.

Key Earnings at the close:
- AFL, APC, BLDP, CHRW, EA, ESRX, FB, FISV, GILD, MAR, MCK, NCR, PNRA, RJET, WDC, WYNN, X

Looking ahead to Asia session:
- Japan Industrial Production 19:50ET
- New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence 20:00ET
TradeTheNews.com

Session Time: Tue Oct 28 00:00:00 2014
[09:00] {dino} gm
01[09:01] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:04] {nemo} FOMC meeting starts today
01[09:05] {@Threei}  what do they have for lunch?
[09:07] {dino} tuna
01[09:07] {@Threei}  canned?
[09:07] {nemo} I doubt it
01[09:08] {@Threei}  speaking of runa... salmon run started in one of our parks... more fish than water, amazing spectacle
[09:08] {nemo} yeah, we have herring runs here...wild
[09:10] {RonS} dems have been running amok here...sickening
[09:10] {nemo} what's an "amok"?
01[09:11] {@Threei}  in the river??
[09:11] {nemo} bad
[09:13] {RonS} Running amok, sometimes referred to as simply amok, also spelled amuk, from the Malay, is "an episode of sudden mass assault against people or objects usually by a single individual following a period of brooding
[09:13] {nemo} sounds like fun
[09:15] {Jenh} good morning everyone!
01[09:15] {@Threei}  jen :)
[09:16] {RonS} when i lived in Vancouver WA the old timers said before the dams you could almost walk across the Columbia during the salmon run because it was so thick...
01[09:16] {@Threei}  that's what I see here
[09:17] {nemo} they have dams in Vancouver
[09:17] {RonS} Indians could fish before the whites so could buy a salmon from them for $1 that they would pull from the bak seat of their car...
01[09:17] {@Threei}  well... who wants to eat salmon caught at this time
01[09:17] {@Threei}  cardboard
[09:17] {RonS} dmas on the columbia...the run from the Pacific would go all the way to idaho
[09:18] {RonS} dams
[09:19] {RonS} sorry -indians...s/b native redskins...  :)
[09:20] {RonS} wanna be pc ya know...
[09:22] {nemo} 196.80 is the 50 day on spy
01[09:22] {@Threei}  because otherwise nemo would say tsk tsk tsk?
[09:22] {RonS} nemo, the Colombia is amazing...dumps 3x the water into the Pacific that the Nile does into the Med...
[09:22] {nemo} wow
[09:23] {nemo} how much does the Mississippi dump?
[09:23] {RonS} dunno
[09:23] {nemo} well...
01[09:30] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -RCPT +32% (positive Phase 2 TOUCHSTONE trial results of RPC-1063 in Ulcerative Colitis)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -TRNX +23% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -VDSI +21% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -SANM +15% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -MSG +9% (Board approved plan to explore spinoff)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -NE +6% (pursuing development of MLP structure)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -BWLD +7.4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -AN +5.7% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -RGC +5.4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -AMKR -14% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -TWTR -12.2% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -CVLT -11% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -COH -6.6% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -KSS -6.5% (Q3 SSS guidance)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -CROX -4.5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei}  -GLW -4% (earnings)
[09:31] {ese} morning
01[09:31] {@Threei}  ese :)
[09:31] {Jfjf64} Mornin
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .90 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  jf :)
[09:32] {troub} good morning
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  30
01[09:32] {@Threei}  troub :)
01[09:33] {@Threei}  stop to .96
01[09:33] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:34] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:35] {@Threei}  out
01[09:35] {@Threei}  smooth sailing for the opening play
[09:35] {dino} nemo, what do you make of this 600 pt straight up run?
[09:37] {nemo} who knows, but bounce was a perfect technical level recapturing the 50 day today, with OP EX last week and last Fed meeting of the year this week...I think it's all about tomorrow...that's when the QE training wheels officially come off
[09:37] {dino} vtae spikes again
[09:37] {dino} thinking i'm going to lighten up on some of my calls from week or two ago
[09:38] {nemo} absoulutely, after this run, or collar them with puts
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .45 break
01[09:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[09:40] {@Threei}  change to .25 break
01[09:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
[09:41] {Jfjf64} Missed call
01[09:41] {@Threei}  ?
01[09:42] {@Threei}  it's still there
[09:42] {Jfjf64} FCC
[09:42] {Jfjf64} FCC
[09:42] {nemo} FCX
01[09:43] {@Threei}  meh
[09:43] {dino} stc feye calls, +1.20/60% from last week
[09:43] {nemo} amazing how lucky dino is
[09:44] {Jenh} wtg dino!
[09:44] {dino} ty
[09:45] {dino} stc ccl calls, +.47/24% from two wks ago
[09:45] {nemo} FCX testing the whole number
[09:47] {dino} stc rcl calls from two wks ago, +.67/34%
01[09:47] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .75 break
[09:48] {Jenh} wow dino! do you have any tips? tea leaves, magic wands, hop on one leg? :)
01[09:48] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[09:48] {dino} big question is what do i do w/baba calls
01[09:49] {@Threei}  that's a very interesting question for russian ear
[09:49] {nemo} Dino is in a mephistophelean arrangement
01[09:49] {@Threei}  baba = somewhat rude for "woman," kind of broad
[09:51] {RonS} new respect?  Kim Jong Un purges about 10 party officials for watching soap operas, Yonhap says: http://bloom.bg/1v9MqX8
[09:51] {Jenh} had to look up mephistophelean :) if it works it works.
[09:51] {nemo} Frankly, if we could purge citizens that watch reality TV it would be a boon
01[09:52] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .80 break
01[09:52] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
[09:53] {nemo} so close to 81
01[09:53] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[09:54] {nemo} new ATH FB
[09:57] {dino} stc intc calls from last wk, +.26/+29%
[09:57] {nemo} OK...I'm throwing the flag and calling a "piling on" penalty on Dino
[09:57] {dino} atra spike
01[09:59] {@Threei}  *(US) OCT RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING INDEX: 20 V 11E
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) OCT CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 94.5 V 87.0E
01[10:00] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  /10 break
01[10:00] {@Threei}  If holds  42
01[10:01] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:02] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  81 break
01[10:02] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
[10:02] {dino} huh, missed tllp stc +.78/29% yesterday at close, just came up on screen
[10:03] {nemo} OK, that's an "unsportsmanlike conduct" flag
01[10:03] {@Threei}  come on FB, trigger
[10:04] {nemo} it's gonna trigger, just whether it's a jerk job or not
[10:04] {nemo} wow IWM taking off
01[10:05] {@Threei}  chart looks perfect
[10:05] {nemo} indexes running though...
01[10:05] {@Threei}  and die now
[10:06] {nemo} they're gunning into granmama
[10:07] {nemo} hah, hammer and tombstone
[10:07] {dino} jerk job, wtf nemo
[10:08] {nemo} indexes
[10:08] {nemo} FB also killed it on last two earnings, darling stock that is delivering
[10:08] {jfjf64} die b iatch
[10:09] {nemo} Pisdah
[10:09] {nemo} holding in index down move
[10:10] {jfjf64} battle
[10:10] {nemo} not really, it's holding into the index down move, index bounce this goes up
[10:10] {jfjf64} attack
01[10:11] {@Threei}  earlier it didn't run with index rally
[10:11] {nemo} you're overmatched
01[10:11] {@Threei}  it's just in its own wortld
[10:11] {nemo} well, looking at it since the open, I'd call it a run
01[10:11] {@Threei}  no, after the call
[10:11] {nemo} seems to be a seller around .08-.10
01[10:12] {@Threei}  also, index opened up
01[10:12] {@Threei}  FB just rallied
01[10:12] {@Threei}  no direct connection
[10:12] {nemo} you had a one minute plunge at the open
01[10:13] {@Threei}  oh come on, just overimpose both charts, you'll see what I mean
[10:13] {nemo} I see what I see, question is does it come back to test .80
[10:13] {nemo} yesterday's ATH
[10:13] {Jenh} ATH?
01[10:14] {@Threei}  all time high
01[10:14] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:14] {nemo} All Time High
[10:14] {Jenh} ah, thanks!
01[10:14] {@Threei}  1:2
[10:14] {jfjf64} attackkkkkkkkkkkk
[10:14] {nemo} here's the test with VWAP just below .70
01[10:14] {@Threei}  perfect chart right from the 111 Trades pages, BMR tyoe reversal
01[10:15] {@Threei}  type
01[10:17] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:17] {@Threei}  to reinforce the point, see how FB drop had nothing corresponding in SPY?
[10:18] {jfjf64} we came we conqued
[10:18] {jfjf64} good job troops
[10:18] {jfjf64} ty captain
01[10:18] {@Threei}  yw sailor
[10:19] {jfjf64} that was fun
[10:19] {dino} rcpt spike
[10:22] {jfjf64} twtr
[10:22] {jfjf64} .39
[10:22] {dino} wtf rcpt, only phase 2
[10:24] {dino} stc baba, wait for it............ +4.20 or.... 78% in a week
[10:26] {Jenh} omg dino! congrats!
[10:26] {dino} thx jen, got lucky
01[10:27] {@Threei}  wtg
[10:27] {RonS} Jack is Dino's Ma...
[10:27] {dino} have a feeling i will regret that baba sale
[10:27] {Jenh} what do your tea leaves say? keep following them :)
[10:27] {ese} holy crap man........
[10:28] {RonS} Bernard Baruch:  "I always made money when I bought too early and sold too soon"...
[10:28] {dino} went heavy on the market crash two weeks ago, just got lucky, could've gone against me
01[10:28] {@Threei}  so you'd take a stop
01[10:28] {@Threei}  big deal
[10:28] {jfjf64} nice job dino
[10:29] {dino} good point ron
[10:29] {ese} man theres this book about you I think.......i've read bits and pieces.......ummmmmm whats it called.........oh yeah  "THE BIBLE"
[10:29] {jfjf64} I was wondering when dinos book was coming out
[10:30] {dino} definitely not me ese, no bible stuff here
[10:30] {jfjf64} think I have copy of that one ese
[10:30] {ese} am gonna buy another one......
[10:32] {jfjf64} iwm wants higher
[10:32] {nemo} why is the DAX up so much?
[10:33] {ese} ack ackka dax...dax acka ack magic saying isn't it
[10:33] {nemo} go back to your Little Red Book, will ya'?
[10:33] {ese} lol
[10:34] {nemo} You ever listen to Tal Wilkenfeld there ese?
[10:35] {ese} ohhhhhhhhhh yesssssssss I have..........how old is she now
[10:35] {nemo} mid late 20's...remember seeing her with Beck, wow
[10:35] {nemo} not sure who she's playing with now, musically of course
[10:37] {nemo} so the question of the day:  After this run, any profit taking going into the Fed tomorrow?
[10:37] {ese} theres that you tube show of her at Ronnie Scotts in London with Vinnie Coliuta on drums and.......and who that unknown guy on guitar playing with this amazing 17 year old kid...ahhhh let me see oh yes....Jeff Beck
01[10:37] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .40 break
01[10:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
[10:37] {nemo} Yep
[10:38] {ese} I bought the DVD and have it at school to show my kids
[10:38] {nemo} Oy, just thought about it...First heard Beck about 40 years ago...where's my frickin' AARP card
[10:40] {nemo} I love Beck's comment from that Hendrix gig where everyone came to see him.  He basically said after seeing him, that he should probably just go get a job as an auto mechanic
[10:41] {ese} lol...oh thats too funny....hadn't heard that comment
01[10:41] {@Threei}  stop to .34
[10:41] {nemo} Chris Squire, bassist for Yes, was in the intro band that night at the club.  He talked about it in an interview.  He's no slouch on bass either
[10:42] {nemo} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eo-lBnTc3So
[10:43] {Jenh} out twtr when it it .34
[10:43] {Jenh} *hit
01[10:43] {@Threei}  rinse
[10:43] {nemo} lotta' green on the algo, but not much spy price improvement
01[10:43] {@Threei}  somg
[10:43] {nemo} Vad....
[10:43] {ese} nope......no slouch there.......one of my fave's was Mark King from Level 42.....and Pastorius of course
[10:43] {nemo} enough about sex partners
[10:44] {ese} lol
[10:44] {nemo} Pastorius spent alot of time in Boston...he was a jerk though
[10:44] {dino} lol
[10:44] {nemo} took a bullet in Florida I think
[10:44] {nemo} or just got beat to death, can't remember
[10:44] {ese} ya thats how i've come to know him......from hearing reading and talking to people who had met him
[10:45] {nemo} I met him a few times...he spent alot of time at Berklee
[10:45] {ese} ahhhhhh do tell
[10:46] {nemo} nah, nothing intricate...everything in jazz was real regular back then...wasn't like being a rock personality
[10:46] {dino} added aet calls
[10:46] {nemo} Ran into Metheny on the street once in the Theater District
[10:46] {ese} he was a nice fellow.....I met him here at Jazz Fest Victoria......had a nice talk
[10:47] {nemo} yeah, loved his earlier stuff, but lost touch...You ever listen to American Garage?
[10:47] {ese} was the tech liason for his band
01[10:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CCL  .50 break
[10:48] {ese} no ...haven't heard that........
[10:48] {nemo} Dig that one up...great
01[10:48] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
[10:48] {nemo} I think Pastorius was on that one actually
[10:48] {ese} will try
[10:49] {nemo} https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Garage
01[10:49] {@Threei}  valid
[10:49] {ese} most of my chats about Pastorius were with Peter Erskine of Weather Report........have taken 3 lesseons with Peter......
01[10:50] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .60 break
01[10:50] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
[10:51] {nemo} Oh Gawd...love Weather Report, and of course the Mahavishnu Orchestra...bet that drummer on your shortlist
[10:52] {ese} Billy Cobham......oh ya
[10:52] {nemo} serious wood
01[10:53] {@Threei}  come on FB
01[10:53] {@Threei}  trigger
01[10:53] {@Threei}  and run
[10:54] {ese} yup......I got a chance to meet him in Montreux Switzerland in hmmmmm 78...hmmmm maybe 81 festival......musicians bar in the Casino where the festival used to be
[10:54] {nemo} dcc ese
[10:55] {ese} saw the show he did with Oscar Peterson and Count Basie piano duel with Peterson on Bass and him on Drums...spectacular
[10:55] {nemo} green keeps expanding on algo, not spy price improvement.  The algo starts to shut off, we could drop pretty good
[10:56] {nemo} Wow would like to hear that
01[10:57] {@Threei}  half out CCL
01[10:57] {@Threei}  stop to .49
[10:57] {nemo} new IWM highs
01[10:59] {@Threei}  no go FB
01[11:02] {@Threei}  1/4 more out CCL
01[11:02] {@Threei}  stop .59
[11:05] {_fsefwseds} test
01[11:06] {@Threei}  passed
01[11:06] {@Threei}  FB rinse
[11:06] {_fsefwseds} AAPL short?
01[11:07] {@Threei}  doubt it
01[11:09] {@Threei}  trail last piece CCL to .64
[11:15] {RonS} idcc spike
[11:15] {RonS} have no news...
01[11:16] {@Threei}  don't see any either
01[11:17] {@Threei}  ok CCL, last spike please
[11:20] {ese} gotta go all.....cya tomorrow
[11:20] {Jenh} bye ese!
[11:20] {ese} jenh
01[11:20] {@Threei}  take care ese
[11:22] {dino} rcpt crazy, will be looking at puts on it tomorrow
01[11:22] {@Threei}  things slowed down
[11:22] {nemo} FED effect
01[11:25] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .15 break
01[11:25] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[11:26] {@Threei}  [IDCC] Hearing recent strength attributed to reports that a court found 3 phone patents were valid and infringed by ZTE
01[11:29] {@Threei}  let's break .,40 SPY, shall we?
06[11:30] * @Threei hits SPY in the rear with heavy duty army boots
01[11:31] {@Threei}  IWM is ready to march
01[11:31] {@Threei}  just a tad of push from SPY
[11:32] {nemo} it's been on a steady climb
[11:32] {nemo} got a gap above 113.50
01[11:32] {@Threei}  and wants to go there badly
[11:32] {nemo} yep
01[11:34] {@Threei}  move already, enough of this pullback nonsense
01[11:34] {@Threei}  closed last piece of CCL
01[11:34] {@Threei}  no complaints, decent play for the lunch time
[11:44] {Jenh} does ism still have potential?
[11:44] {nemo} ?
[11:44] {nemo} you mean IWM?
01[11:44] {@Threei}  no go
[11:44] {Jenh} sorry yeah iwm
[11:45] {Jenh} ok thanks
01[11:45] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .65 break
01[11:45] {@Threei}  If holds  .55
01[11:46] {@Threei}  looks like short side time
[11:46] {Jenh} thought it might have a little hope when it reached.11 again but then the crossover got nearer
[11:46] {Jenh} iwm i mean
[11:46] {nemo} yeah, but DAX doesn't close until 12:30
[11:46] {Jenh} the dax is involved in this? ok learning a lot
[11:47] {nemo} relationships
01[11:47] {@Threei}  shrug
01[11:47] {@Threei}  it's not like we are not allowed to short until DAX closes
[11:47] {nemo} true, but now you're in lunch also
[11:48] {nemo} longs and shorts get iffy
01[11:51] {@Threei}  1:1
[12:07] {dino} rcpt smr s .50
[12:11] {dino} cov rcpt 96.50, +1.00
01[12:11] {@Threei}  wtg
[12:11] {dino} ty
[12:12] {nemo} miniscule spread by dino standards
[12:12] {dino} jumpy sucker
[12:12] {Jenh} gj again dino! you're on a roll!
[12:13] {dino} thx jen, just lucky
[12:13] {dino} only had 300 of those
[12:15] {dino} pathetic one, out kors calls from about a month ago, +.24/7%. never thought i'd get ack to even on it. pays to buy time
[12:15] {Jenh} still positive tho. that's good!
[12:17] {dino} gut feels like pullback coming tomorrow or thursday. too far too fast. getting out of most of calls today
[12:17] {nemo} probably sell the Fed news
[12:17] {dino} yeah, thinking that. may add vxx calls going into it
[12:19] {Jenh} vxx might be coming back
01[12:45] {@Threei}  VXX did
[12:50] {dino} damn, just looked at rcpt
01[13:55] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .50 break
01[13:55] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
[13:58] {nemo} wow, that was lousy execution
01[13:58] {@Threei}  ?
[13:59] {nemo} had a short to cover @ .73 in sso, hit every order except mine, turned into a loser
[13:59] {Jenh} :( sorry to hear that
[14:00] {nemo} funny, entered it when I first shorted too
[14:04] {nemo} hee comes the rinse
[14:07] {nemo} nope no rinse
01[14:07] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:07] {nemo} shoulda' got your 1:1 vad
[14:14] {dino} gotta hop, r.e. closing. may be back before close
[14:18] {nemo} ok. guess it was a rinse
01[14:20] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .45 break
01[14:20] {@Threei}  If holds  .35
[14:24] {nemo} wow
01[14:24] {@Threei}  no go
[14:25] {nemo} they're gonna' run every short out into the FED
[14:27] {Jenh} sorry. still here. pressed wrong tab
01[14:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  80 break
01[14:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[14:35] {@Threei}  tighten to .94... a bit too heavy
01[14:35] {@Threei}  prefer faster bounces after such slide
[14:36] {nemo} IWM C&H
01[14:36] {@Threei}  better
[14:36] {nemo} missed it
01[14:41] {@Threei}  meh
01[15:02] {@Threei}  wow
[15:02] {nemo} yeah
[15:03] {jfjf64} runnin till shorts comma down
[15:09] {nemo} VXX
[15:10] {nemo} tomorrow long lunch day
01[15:10] {@Threei}  starting today? :)
01[15:10] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .90 break
01[15:10] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[15:13] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:21] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
01[15:21] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[15:27] {@Threei}  change to .70 break
01[15:28] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[15:31] {nemo} gap up tomorrow, new ATH on FED news, then sell
01[15:31] {@Threei}  sounds about right
[15:32] {nemo} euphoria now
01[15:32] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:33] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:36] {@Threei}  1:3
01[15:36] {@Threei}  out in full
[15:37] {jfjf64} good job
01[15:37] {@Threei}  ty
01[15:38] {@Threei}  1:4
01[15:38] {@Threei}  nice drive FB
[15:38] {nemo} lets try shorting the market
01[15:39] {@Threei}  watching VXX... tough...
[15:39] {nemo} yeah, just got hosed on that
[15:40] {nemo} rinsed
[15:43] {nemo} rinse day for me
01[15:43] {@Threei}  had a few of those too
01[15:43] {@Threei}  but wins still outweighed
[15:44] {nemo} I was one step too early each time
01[15:45] {@Threei}  gotta switch to DKTK after two-three
[15:45] {nemo} .70 long on VXX ticked me out on the .59
[15:47] {jfjf64} good night captain and all soldiers
[15:47] {jfjf64} tomorrow again
[15:47] {nemo} first hour then long lunch
[15:47] {jfjf64} think
[15:47] {Jenh} good night jf!
01[15:47] {@Threei}  you too jf
[15:48] {Jenh} i think i might go too.
01[15:48] {@Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:48] {@Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:48] {Jenh} good night 3i and nemo!
[15:48] {Jenh} have a great rest of the day!
[15:48] {jfjf64} good nihgt jenny

Monday, October 27, 2014

Oct 27 2014

Nicely solid day again, with inactive midday but many nice trades in the morning and 1:3 IWM long at the close.

Ahead of the Close Market Snapshot
Mon, 27 Oct 2014 15:50 PM EST

US Indices:
- Dow Jones +0.1%
- S&P500 -0.3%
- Nasdaq flat

Markets are little changed while Volatility index is holding steady in 16-18 session range. Services and Healthcare sectors are marginally higher, as Basic Materials is a notable laggard on lower oil prices. OXY, APA, DVN, EOG, CHK, and DNR are down 3-4%, while NBR, HAL, and LYB are off by 5-6%. In tech, MU and JNPR are up over 3%, leading the SP500 names to the upside.

Fixed-Income: Fixed income and FX markets appear to be in waiting mode ahead of the pivotal FOMC meeting this Wednesday that is widely expected to mark the end of QE3 with the final $15B taper. US flash services PMI was a tad disappointing at 57.3 - the lowest since Apr, while the pending home sales figures also missed the mark. Widely cited resistance on the 10-yr yield remains at 2.30%, which was briefly approached overnight.
- US 2-yr: flat at 0.38%
- 10-yr: -1bps at 2.26%
- 30-yr: -2bps at 3.03%
- 2-10 spread: -1bps at 1.88%

Energy: WTI Dec crude oil $80.72; Crude is down for the 2nd straight day and approached multi-month low, briefly dipping below $79.50. Earlier, Iranian official noted OPEC is unlikely to cut production output ceiling at the upcoming meeting, just as Iraq Kurdistan is looking to boost supply with pipeline capacity rising to 700K from expected 400K bpd.

Metals:
- Spot Gold $1,2/oz; Narrow $4 range ahead of this week's FOMC.
- Spot Silver $17.15/oz; Narrow 10c range ahead of this week's FOMC.
- Dec Copper $3.06/lb; Copper rising for the 3rd straight day with a session high near $3.075;.

Key Earnings at the close:
- AMGN, BWLD, CLF, HIG, MAS, MTW, PCL, RGA, TMUS, TWTR, UHS

Looking ahead to Asia session:
- Japan Retail Sales 19:50ET
- China Industrial Profits 21:30ET

TradeTheNews.com


Session Time: Mon Oct 27 00:00:00 2014
[09:05] {dino} gm
01[09:05] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:18] {RonS} hi guys
01[09:18] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:20] {troub} good morning
01[09:20] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:20] {jfjf64} mornin
01[09:20] {@Threei}  jf :)
[09:26] {Jenh} good morning everyone!
01[09:27] {@Threei}  jen :)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -NQ +20% (confirmed regained full compliance in 20-F filing)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -CEMI +14% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -NVAX +10% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -TREX +4.8% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -MU +3% (authorized $1B stock repurchase program)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -LAKE +2% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -PTIE -62% (PFE terminating development of Remoxy capsules)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -DRRX -50% (PFE terminating development of Remoxy capsules)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -SRPT -35% (FDA needs further discussion to determine what constitutes a complete NDA submission on Eteplirsen)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -PBR -15% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -EBR -15% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -CIG -13% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -GOL -11% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -EWZ -7% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -ITUB -6.6% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -GPRO -6.3% (no news seen)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -TSU -5.6% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -SID -5.5% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -PANW -5.4% (cautious Mad Money mention momentum)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -VALE -5% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -BBD -4.8% (Brazil's Rousseff wins reelection)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  poor Brazil stocks
01[09:34] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .70 break
01[09:34] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:36] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:37] {@Threei}  closed balance on a trail
[09:38] {jfjf64} ty
[09:38] {jfjf64} nice start
01[09:39] {@Threei}  yw
01[09:39] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .40 break
01[09:39] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:40] {@Threei}  valid
01[09:40] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:42] {jfjf64} yhoo /baba
[09:42] {jfjf64} strong
[09:43] {dino} lyb?
01[09:44] {@Threei}  no news that I see
[09:45] {dino} fri earnings were good/beat
01[09:45] {@Threei}  *(US) OCT PRELIMINARY MARKIT SERVICES PMI: 57.3 V 57.8E (lowest since April)
01[09:46] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .10 break
01[09:46] {@Threei}  If holds  110
01[09:47] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:51] {dino} value added sn downgraded by stifel. yeah, thanks, stock has lost 40% in value in last 30 days
01[09:53] {@Threei}  lol
01[09:56] {@Threei} Short Setup: VXX  .10 break
01[09:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[09:58] {@Threei}  hah... non-shortable today
[09:59] {nemo} go long XIV then
01[09:59] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) SEPT PENDING HOME SALES M/M: 0.3% V 1.0%E; Y/Y: 1.0% V 2.2%E
01[10:00] {@Threei}  well, XIV is a bit different risk profiel
01[10:00] {@Threei}  spread is jumpier
[10:00] {nemo} a little
01[10:00] {@Threei}  can be used as replacement of course, just not 1:1
[10:02] {dino} akba drop
[10:07] {dino} lyb sm l .95
[10:07] {RonS} in lyb here at 85.60 ave
01[10:07] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  .40 break hl
01[10:07] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
[10:07] {dino} akba sm l .20
01[10:09] {@Threei}  meh
[10:09] {nemo} grind down day
[10:09] {dino} out lyb .60, +.65
[10:10] {Jenh} congrats!
01[10:10] {@Threei}  wtg
[10:11] {dino} ty
[10:13] {dino} out akba .59, +.39
[10:14] {Jenh} wow! wtg!
[10:14] {Jenh} keep it going! :)
[10:15] {dino} lol, ty jen
[10:15] {dino} emes blood
01[10:16] {@Threei}  rinse TNA
01[10:18] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .65 break
01[10:18] {@Threei}  If holds  .55
01[10:19] {@Threei}  stop to .59
01[10:20] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:21] {dino} lyb sm l .00
01[10:24] {@Threei}  just a scalp... too bad
[10:26] {dino} out lyb .20, +.20
01[10:27] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .10 break
01[10:27] {@Threei}  If holds  80
01[10:30] {@Threei}  *(US) OCT DALLAS FED MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY: 10.5 V 11.0E
01[10:32] {@Threei}  struggle
01[10:32] {@Threei}  opening plays were easier
[10:33] {jfjf64} ahh lets get violin out for vg
[10:33] {jfjf64} lol
[10:34] {jfjf64} yhoo gonna explode
01[10:34] {@Threei}  looks that was
[10:35] {jfjf64} wish I was in already
01[10:36] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:37] {@Threei}  nice explosion
01[10:42] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:42] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:42] {@Threei}  nice momo eh
[10:44] {dino} gj
[10:44] {dino} xiv sm l .90
[10:45] {jfjf64} gj
[10:46] {Jenh} gj
[10:46] {Jenh} tried to get in earlier but missed :(
01[10:47] {@Threei}  in FB??
[10:47] {Jenh} yeah
[10:48] {Jenh} had limit that wouldn't fill then things took off
01[10:48] {@Threei}  it spent about 8 min in the range...
01[10:48] {@Threei}  after triggering
[10:49] {Jenh} yeah i tried when you gave the alert then looked at other stocks
01[10:49] {@Threei}  and FB got jealous
[10:49] {Jenh} when i came back things had already moved but my initial limit order didn't fill
[10:49] {Jenh} i think so
01[10:49] {@Threei}  "why are you looking at other stocks??" FB said
[10:50] {Jenh} "because you were stingy in gving me stocks"
01[10:50] {@Threei}  lol
[10:50] {Jenh} said jen to fb
01[10:50] {@Threei}  what price your initial order was at?
[10:51] {Jenh} 8.07 by accident then 8.10 and cancelled bc it was going down then i gave up
[10:52] {Jenh} it was 8.07 when i sent in the 8.10
01[10:52] {@Threei}  not the way I'd play that...
[10:52] {Jenh} just my luck
01[10:52] {@Threei}  too much discretion
[10:52] {Jenh} no definitely not
01[10:52] {@Threei}  why not let system work, without your personal input
[10:53] {Jenh} how?
[10:53] {Jenh} i have to press something
01[10:53] {@Threei}  don't judge whether it's going to work or not
01[10:53] {@Threei}  enter and exit acording to the setup struvture
01[10:53] {@Threei}  .10 is broken, buy
[10:53] {Jenh} oh just go with whatever i get?
[10:53] {Jenh} ok
01[10:53] {@Threei}  unto stop is tagged, fo not exit
[10:53] {Jenh} i'll try that next time
01[10:53] {@Threei}  until
01[10:54] {@Threei}  setup has structure for a reason, simply follow it
[10:54] {Jenh} ok that will be my plan for the next one
[10:54] {Jenh} thanks
01[10:54] {@Threei}  sure
01[10:55] {@Threei}  look at it thisd way
[10:55] {Jenh} maybe it's just too simple for me :)
01[10:55] {@Threei}  one of the most frequent reasons for failure for nwere traerds is the idea that they know better than their system does, and can judge which signals will or will not work,
01[10:56] {@Threei}  so they introduce their discretion, trying to make the score ideal
01[10:56] {@Threei}  by skipping those trades that they doubt and taking those that they deem winning
01[10:56] {@Threei}  This doesn't work like that, it's an odds based environment
[10:56] {Jenh} yeah that's me
01[10:57] {@Threei}  Meaning, some will work, some won't, but you can never tell which ones
01[10:57] {@Threei}  and by introduing your discretion, you simply ruin the odds built into the system
01[10:57] {@Threei}  Your performace becomes random
[10:58] {dino} jenh, you can use buy stops to enter
[10:58] {Jenh} well i wasn't planning on self sabotage but i def see now how i'm doing it
[10:58] {Jenh} really? hadn't thought of it that way
[10:59] {Jenh} thanks dino!
[10:59] {dino} np, gl
[11:00] {Jenh} thanks 3i! i will def try to just follow the original plan and leave my "thinking" part out since it's obviously not worth the thought process
01[11:05] {@Threei} Long Setup:  YHOO  .40 break
01[11:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
[11:07] {jfjf64} tighten stop to .35
[11:07] {jfjf64} ?
01[11:08] {@Threei}  after .45 break
01[11:11] {@Threei}  half out
01[11:11] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:11] {nemo} big volume candle there
[11:14] {dino} out xiv .19, +.29
01[11:16] {@Threei}  nice
[11:16] {nemo} VXX now
[11:16] {nemo} .30 break
[11:18] {RonS} out lyb 87.28 +1.68
01[11:19] {@Threei}  wtg
[11:19] {dino} wtg ron
[11:20] {Jenh} gj Ron!
01[11:22] {@Threei}  The FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and most expect the committee to make the final taper, ending bond purchases and starting the countdown to interest rate hikes. Recall that during the market volatility two weeks ago, Fed Governor Bullard said the FOMC should consider delaying the end of the QE taper this month to help stem the slide in inflation expectations. There is little chance the Fed will be taking Bullard's advice.
01[11:31] {@Threei}  1:2
01[11:31] {@Threei}  slow but sure
[11:32] {RonS} omg, someone has a brain?  This vessel may replace all of Lithuania's natural gas imports from Russia starting today: http://bloom.bg/1sucA51
01[11:33] {@Threei}  Putin: time to invade then...
01[11:37] {@Threei}  Baltic countries are scared as hell... Ukraine developments confirm their worst nightmares of renewed Russian aggression
[11:41] {Jenh} 3i, are you still in hoo?
[11:41] {Jenh} *yhoo
[11:42] {nemo} was wondering if you were trying to speak rusky
[11:42] {Jenh} lol :)
01[11:42] {@Threei}  1/4, yes
[11:42] {Jenh} ok same here. 1/4
[11:42] {Jenh} just checking :)
01[11:42] {@Threei}  played by the rules? :)
[11:43] {Jenh} yes. first time following the rules and I see a lot of the mistakes I'vemade
[11:43] {Jenh} thanks!
[11:43] {nemo} vwap here
01[11:43] {@Threei}  sure thing
[11:43] {nemo} spy
[11:43] {Jenh} funny how runny scared isn't part of the process and patience is :)
01[11:43] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  80 break
01[11:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[11:44] {@Threei}  want to shock yourself into following the rules jen?
01[11:44] {@Threei}  do this:
01[11:44] {@Threei}  go over all your trades over last week, or two, ot whatever
[11:45] {nemo} yeah, whatever
01[11:45] {@Threei}  and calculate your performace had you followed the rules strictly
01[11:45] {@Threei}  you won't believe your eyes
[11:45] {Jenh} good idea. i'll try that
01[11:46] {@Threei}  nemo, you have some kind of Monday bile overflow?
01[11:46] {@Threei}  change FB to .90 break
[11:46] {nemo} my usual good nature
01[11:46] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[11:46] {@Threei}  ah :)
01[11:46] {@Threei}  I keep forgetiing
[11:46] {nemo} wtf...how many frickin' years have I known u?
01[11:46] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:46] {@Threei}  sorry, I am a slow learner
[11:47] {nemo} too many, I know
01[11:47] {@Threei}  hehe
[11:47] {nemo} got there before u did
[11:47] {nemo} saw I was open
[11:47] {nemo} verbal bitch slapped myself
01[11:48] {@Threei}  thanks for making my job easier
[11:48] {nemo} no ese today
01[11:49] {@Threei}  so you resort to self-flagellation?
[11:49] {nemo} I like pain
01[11:49] {@Threei}  btw, YHOO closed of course
[11:50] {Jenh} yes, thanks
01[11:50] {@Threei}  stop was trailed to under .50
[11:50] {Jenh} not sure how much i made but i'm seeing green in my account which is awesome!
[11:50] {Jenh} ty 3i!!!
01[11:50] {@Threei}  :)
[11:51] {nemo} careful Jen, he's gonna' want a cut
[11:51] {Jenh} :)
01[11:52] {@Threei}  you forgot... in Russian mafia battle I was on the good side
[11:52] {nemo} o.k. you can be her roof, pahan
[11:53] {Jenh} roof pahan?
[11:53] {Jenh} russian?
01[11:53] {@Threei}  sigh... how do I ween him off studying russian
01[11:54] {@Threei}  "roof" is russian mafia term for "protection"
[11:54] {nemo} you can't
[11:54] {Jenh} ah
01[11:54] {@Threei}  pahan is prison slang for boss
[11:54] {nemo} I've been hearing russian for 25 years
[11:55] {Jenh} ic now. will have to learn russian myself
[11:55] {nemo} mostly at very loud volume directed at me in a negative tone
[11:55] {nemo} well Jen, when you typed "hoo"  I was wondering where you were going with that
[11:56] {Jenh} didn't realize i was speaking russian. what did i say?
[11:56] {Jenh} or do i want to know?
01[11:56] {@Threei}  no
[11:56] {Jenh} hopefully it was clean
[11:56] {nemo} you didn't but were close, we'll leave it at that
[11:56] {Jenh} ok well meant yhoo for the record
01[11:56] {@Threei}  come on FB
01[11:56] {@Threei}  give us more
[11:57] {nemo} fb looking short below .95
[11:57] {nemo} eh, lunch time
[12:01] {nemo} indexes up fb not
[12:01] {nemo} that short stil in play
[12:02] {nemo} oh boy drops .93 gonnna be an issue
01[12:04] {@Threei}  closed
[12:04] {nemo} what closed?
01[12:05] {@Threei}  balance FB long, what else
[12:07] {nemo} oy
[12:07] {Jenh} is this a rinse?
[12:07] {Jenh} fb?
[12:08] {nemo} no, not if you got 1:1
[12:08] {Jenh} oh nm
[12:10] {nemo} now the FB short is starting to look like it's gonna' be a rinse
[12:16] {nemo} rinse
[12:23] {nemo} fb seller
[12:37] {nemo} fb ceiling
01[13:03] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .90 break
01[13:03] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
01[13:03] {@Threei}  just a scalp most likely
[13:04] {nemo} fb seller lifted
01[13:11] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .35 break
01[13:11] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[13:11] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[13:12] {@Threei}  meh DAL
[13:13] {Jenh} samehere for dal
01[13:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .20 break
01[13:47] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[13:55] {@Threei}  UNXL Ticks higher on positive comments from financial blog "Poised to Triple"
01[13:56] {@Threei}  what a piece of crap
[14:03] {dino} lol
01[14:03] {@Threei}  look at daily :)
[14:04] {dino} boiler room
01[14:04] {@Threei}  totally
01[14:07] {@Threei}  let's trail to .14
01[14:07] {@Threei}  annoyingly slow
01[14:11] {@Threei}  out
01[14:27] {@Threei}  rinse
01[14:27] {@Threei}  somg
[14:31] {jfjf64} f  in rince
01[14:34] {@Threei}  again
01[14:34] {@Threei}  .20 break
01[14:34] {@Threei}  stop under .10
[14:35] {nemo} vxx looking short larger time frame\
[14:40] {jfjf64} common go mk ya d top
[14:40] {Jenh} well put :)
[14:41] {nemo} markets setting up for Fed Wednesday
[14:41] {jfjf64} double top
[14:42] {Jenh} oh i thought it was more colorful language. :)
01[14:42] {@Threei}  half out
01[14:42] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:48] {dino} vtae spike
[14:54] {jfjf64} d top
[15:02] {jfjf64} twtr
[15:02] {jfjf64} ya lk here
[15:04] {jfjf64} hey hey
[15:04] {jfjf64} talkin to self
[15:07] {dino} all traders do
[15:07] {jfjf64} lol
[15:09] {nemo} finnies have been walking the 50 day since 12:30
[15:10] {_np1977} dino how do you play Euphoric spikes like VTAE? Look for a Lower high, then short? or look for some kind of divergence then go short? Thanks!
[15:10] {_np1977} new here :-)
[15:10] {nemo} stay away from Dino
[15:10] {nemo} he had to sell his soul for those plays
[15:10] {_np1977} I have read some old transcripts, he is a winner!!!
[15:10] {dino} -np, look for lower highs
[15:11] {dino} jusy lucky np
[15:11] {nemo} yep, but look at some of the charts he trades, rorschach tests\
[15:11] {_np1977} Thanks dino! I know you need some methodology , otherwise these could be like freight trains!
[15:11] {_np1977} LOL
[15:12] {nemo} yeah, frickin Dino Wan Kenobi
[15:12] {dino} entries are key
[15:14] {_np1977} sure!
[15:15] {dino} fwiw, i try to keep things simple. don't use a lot of indicators, rely on my scanners. higher lows or lower highs.
[15:15] {dino} bread and butter is contrarian on spikes and fast drops
[15:15] {_np1977} That is classic technical analysis, indicators are just crutches to see what is already there on the pure price charts...imho
01[15:17] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .80 break
01[15:17] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[15:26] {jfjf64} nice pull bk
[15:26] {jfjf64} looks stonger here
[15:27] {nemo} spy looking weaker than IWM and finnies also weaker than IWM
[15:27] {nemo} weird day
[15:27] {nemo} it's all about Wednesday
[15:27] {nemo} would think SPY recaptures the 50day tomorrow
[15:27] {dino} hey nemo, i see hillary up in your state sounding like obama. she said "Don't let anybody tell you that it's corporations and businesses that create jobs."
01[15:28] {@Threei}  you didn't build that
[15:28] {dino} where do they come up with this? who the hell creates the jobs then?
[15:28] {nemo} oh yeah, saw that...a whole bottle of vodka wasn't enough
[15:28] {nemo} They don't call us Massholes for nothing
01[15:28] {@Threei}  government of course
[15:28] {nemo} yep
[15:28] {nemo} Hillary went to school at Wellesley
01[15:28] {@Threei}  give all your money to it and watch jobs being created left and right
[15:29] {nemo} worked great in Russia and Venezuela
01[15:29] {@Threei}  yup
[15:30] {nemo} Russia makes ex KGB oligarchs really well though
[15:31] {nemo} I hate august trading
[15:32] {nemo} see highlights from the Pats game Dino?
01[15:32] {@Threei}  I despise scented candles
[15:32] {nemo} I find bad vodka odious
01[15:32] {@Threei}  I like it though when nemo airs random grievances
[15:33] {jfjf64} enjoy also
01[15:33] {@Threei}  reminds me "what grinds my gear" by peret griffin
01[15:33] {@Threei}  peter
01[15:34] {@Threei}  half out IWM
[15:34] {nemo} mmmhhh iwm just might pop
01[15:34] {@Threei}  stop to .74
01[15:34] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:34] {@Threei}  by the book from here
[15:35] {nemo} Oh, was going back through material for the draft, Alex quoted Master Margarita in Truth
[15:35] {nemo} hadn't remembered that
01[15:35] {@Threei}  which part?
[15:36] {dino} no, missed it. was disgusted after watching the jets and turned tv off
[15:36] {nemo} about being mortal unexpectedly when he was sitting on the park bench
01[15:36] {@Threei}  :)
01[15:36] {@Threei}  famous quote
[15:36] {nemo} He had 5 incompletions Dino, 4 of them were drops
[15:37] {dino} wow. wish jets had him
[15:37] {dino} never happen
[15:37] {nemo} He hates the jets
[15:37] {nemo} Jets have become the new Bengals
[15:38] {dino} tough being a jet fan. to top it off i am penn state fan too, really tough year
[15:38] {nemo} Gronkowski scored 3 TDs, on one he just threw the defensive back aside
[15:39] {nemo} I think next week they lose though
[15:39] {RonS} hehe
[15:39] {nemo} my gun license is good in Denver
[15:39] {nemo} Ron
[15:39] {RonS} we got "make my day"...
[15:40] {nemo} movie theaters too
01[15:40] {@Threei}  ok IWM, let's do closing rally
[15:40] {RonS} ...and schools
[15:40] {nemo} yep
[15:40] {jfjf64} like it
[15:40] {jfjf64} lets go iwm
[15:41] {nemo} actually, if Pats can't make it to SB how can't you like Peyton and Elway
[15:41] {nemo} And the owner is such a good guy
[15:41] {dino} yes
[15:41] {nemo} poor guy
[15:41] {dino} payton unbelievable
[15:41] {nemo} Frankly, I like his acting too...funny bastard
[15:42] {jfjf64} hod
[15:42] {nemo} if they run it up tomorrow, probably sell the Fed news
[15:43] {jfjf64} you need shot vodka nemo
[15:43] {nemo} always
[15:43] {nemo} does a fish need water?
[15:43] {nemo} does Vad need typing lessons?
[15:44] {nemo} we should run into the close now
01[15:44] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:44] {@Threei}  I don't need them
01[15:44] {@Threei}  you might need me taking typing lessons, but how is it my problem?
[15:44] {nemo} I didn't say it was a problem
[15:45] {nemo} It's like a house needing paint
01[15:45] {@Threei}  now he doesn't like my house curb appeal
01[15:45] {@Threei}  man... list of his grievances is getting really long
[15:45] {nemo} mmmhhhh....makes me think of curbing technique
[15:46] {nemo} not a grievance, statement of fact
[15:50] {jfjf64} good day vg
01[15:50] {@Threei}  yup, calm but positive
[15:51] {dino} calling it a day, good am, slow pm. thx all
[15:51] {jfjf64} yup
[15:51] {jfjf64} grinded it out
[15:51] {jfjf64} all good
01[15:51] {@Threei}  take care dino
[15:51] {dino} tel spike
[15:52] {Jenh} good night everyone! thanks for your help!
01[15:53] {@Threei}  ok guys, thank you all
01[15:53] {@Threei}  exiting IWM into this pressure
01[15:53] {@Threei}  have a great evening, see you tomorrow
01[15:54] {@Threei}  1:3
01[15:55] {@Threei}  good end to the day

Friday, October 24, 2014

Market Week Wrap-up

TradeTheNews.com Weekly Market Update: The Heart of Earnings
Fri, 24 Oct 2014 16:13 PM EST

Global markets quieted down this week, allowing participants to focus on corporate earnings and economic fundamentals. There was a glimmer of hope in Europe, where German and Eurozone flash October manufacturing PMI data saw very modest improvement, while officials worked hard to back away from a big battle over France's flawed 2015 budget and discussed a potential €300 billion public investment plan. In the US, inflation continues to stubbornly avoid showing, with September CPI reading just about flat. The preliminary Markit October manufacturing PMI data was a bit soft, in a reading that missed expectations and saw its lowest level since July. Earnings season hit full stride with corporate reports mostly leading stocks higher, though some high profile names disappointed. For the week, the DJIA gained 2.6%, the S&P500 added 4.1% and the Nasdaq rocketed 5.3%, marking the best gains of the year for the broader indices.

A wave of enthusiasm spread over financial markets on Tuesday on press reports that the ECB could start buying corporate bonds to complement its ABS purchase program. The reports led some participants to believe that a more fleshed-out QE program was under consideration. Two ECB members, Nowotny and Coene, poured cold water on the stories saying the MPC had held no discussions on corporate bond purchases.

All was quiet on the Ebola front this week until Thursday afternoon, when New York City reported its first confirmed case of the disease. Dr. Craig Spencer was placed in isolation at New York's Bellevue Hospital days after returning from a volunteer stint in Guinea treating Ebola victims. Spencer had been self-monitoring, but had also spent a fair amount out on the town before starting to feel fatigued and feverish. Ebola treatment developers and sanitary equipment manufacturers had traded lower this week before the announcement as no new US cases were announced and people in Texas came out of quarantine, and the bounce higher and Thursday and Friday was not very robust.

Amazon and IBM reported some buggy quarterly results. Amazon was sent to the woodshed after reporting its biggest quarterly loss ever on Thursday afternoon. The reported loss was much steeper than projected, fourth-quarter guidance was weak and the company wrote down $170 million related to the company's Fire Phone, widely seen as a big flop. IBM missed top- and bottom-line expectations and cut its FY14 and FY15 forecasts, blaming a "new definition of calculating continuing operations." This was the tenth straight quarter of falling revenue. At the same time, IBM agreed to pay Globalfoundries $1.5 billion in cash to take its processor business off its hands.

Apple had stellar results in its third quarter. Earnings and revenue growth were impressive and above expectations, margins were strong and iPhone shipments were at the top end of market estimates. Note that Apple executives warned the strengthening USD is becoming a significant headwind. The company also launched its Apple Pay service on Monday at thousands of retail stores, with early reports suggesting only some minor glitches that Apple has promised to fix with a software update.

The DJIA's big junk food components, Coca-Cola and McDonalds, turned some unhealthy third quarter numbers. Coke met earnings expectations, gross margin was up a bit y/y, and global volumes looked good. However, the -1% volume decline in North America was a sign of trouble, and the firm warned that it would be below its long-term EPS growth target for 2014. McDonalds missed top- and bottom-line expectations, the declines in worldwide comps accelerated from Q2, and management warned October comps would remain in the red.

General Motors, Ford, and Caterpillar saw strong third-quarter results. Shares of Caterpillar posted solid gains after its numbers crushed expectations and it raised FY14 guidance. Gains in the firm's construction and energy equipment sales are seeing good growth, offsetting the steep declines in mining hardware. GM's third-quarter earnings rose 98% y/y, bolstered by strong North America and China results. Ford's profit was better than expected, however both sales and revenue declined on a y/y basis thanks to the impact of a big round of product launches.

Consumer name Proctor & Gamble cleaned up nicely as first quarter results met expectations, although revenue growth was limp. P&G also confirmed that it would check out of the Duracell business by creating a stand-alone company, possibly via a spin-off to shareholders. Analysts note that the unit has been on the block for years and the company has had a hard time generating interest in a sale. Competitor Colgate is looking tarnished after the firm warned FX issues cut deeply in the quarter and forced the firm to reduce its full-year guidance.

Coming into the week, the euro continued to move up off the two-year lows against the dollar seen in early October. EUR/USD traded as high as 1.2840 until the ECB corporate bond buying story on Tuesday turned the pair around. EUR/USD glided back down to the low 1.2600 handle on Thursday, when better October flash manufacturing PMI data for Germany and the Eurozone helped arrest the slide. GBP/USD held below key technical resistance in the 1.6210 area, which corresponded the summer downtrend line in the pair. The BoE minutes saw no changes, and speculation that they could be on the dovish side was brushed off as MCP would not have seen the ominous September CPI inflation data at the time of the meeting. GBP/USD had trouble retaking the 1.6100 handle.

China released the balance of its September economic data, which along with October HSBC flash manufacturing PMI were steady but uninspiring. The Q3 GDP reading of 7.3% was just above consensus but still a 5-year low. Industrial output beat estimates, but power generation growth sank below 5%. Both retail sales and fixed asset investment growth was in low double-digits, but still marked multi-year lows. The HSBC PMI hit a 3-month high, but the output subcomponent slowed to a 5-month lows. Finally, September housing price data further confirmed the slowdown in the property space, as y/y prices fell 1.1% after rising 0.5% in August. For the week, the Shanghai Composite was down 1.7% - a second consecutive losing week after an impressive 2-month rally.

Political maneuvering in Japan is bound to become more pronounced as the cabinet draws closer to the expected decision on the second round of consumption tax increase, particularly with the country's economic progress increasingly lagging. Japan confirmed its 27th consecutive month of trade deficit this week, while the government cut its economic assessment for the second straight month due to soft spots in consumption. Influential advisor to PM Abe, Etsuro Honda, recommended that the next round of sales tax hikes be delayed until 2017, however Finance Minister Aso countered that foregoing the tax hike would jeopardize global investment trust in Japan's fiscal state. Traders are anxiously awaiting the Bank of Japan policy decision next Friday, as it will be accompanied by the BOJ's semi-annual Outlook Report providing the latest forecasts for GDP and inflation. The BOJ may also justify some further monetary policy easing to offset any fiscal strain if the tax hike is in fact postponed.




Oct 24 2104

Another nice solid trading day with good gains. Got rinsed on one of the early trades and immediately switched to DKTK setups, to avoid the Wed type of a meat-grinder. It paid off nicely, with all kinds of winning trades ranging from scalps to 1:3ers.


Session Time: Fri Oct 24 00:00:00 2014
[09:04] {_petersh} gm
01[09:05] {@Threei}  peter :)
[09:15] {RonS} hello
01[09:16] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:24] {troub} good morning
01[09:24] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:26] {Jenh} good morning everyone!
01[09:26] {@Threei}  jen :)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -VTAE +50% (positive top-line results for 2 studies of BACE inhibitor BI1181181/VTP-37948 for Alzheimer's treatment)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -DRIV +48% (being acquired by Siris Capital for $26.00/shr)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -APT +22% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -RUBI +18% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -GIMO +15% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -LAKE +15% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -MXWL +14% (announced development agreement with Corning to advance ultracapacitor technologies)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -RP +11% (rumored to have been approached by possible buyers)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -FLIR +10% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -KLAC +10% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -DRYS -25% (priced offering of 250M shares at $1.40/shr)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -SYNA -11% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -AMZN -11% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -P 6.1% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  -FLS -3.3% (earnings)
[09:29] {ese} gm
[09:29] {RonS} lol... This whole NY Ebola Dr. thing has made me reassess my assumption that bowling balls were one of the most sanitary objects anywhere.
[09:29] {ese} ?
[09:29] {RonS} the guy went bowling ese
01[09:29] {@Threei}  ese :)
[09:31] {ese} huh...go figure....didn t know that
01[09:32] {@Threei} Short Setup: DAL  .50 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:34] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
01[09:34] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[09:35] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:36] {@Threei}  valid again
[09:37] {jfjf64} mornin
01[09:37] {@Threei}  jf :)
01[09:38] {@Threei}  hectic opening
01[09:38] {@Threei}  no clean plays yet
[09:39] {nemo} OP EX Ebola
01[09:40] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .80 break
01[09:40] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:40] {@Threei}  a bit too fast
[09:40] {nemo} gone before I got there
[09:40] {jfjf64} me too
[09:41] {Jenh} me three. Wow that was fast!
[09:41] {nemo} happens
01[09:41] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
01[09:41] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[09:42] {dino} gm
01[09:42] {@Threei}  dino :)
01[09:42] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:42] {nemo} things are slippery
[09:43] {jfjf64} quick scalps
01[09:43] {@Threei}  they are covered with soap as anti-evbola measure
[09:43] {jfjf64} mkt cofussed
01[09:44] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .90 break
01[09:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[09:45] {@Threei}  valid
01[09:45] {@Threei}  not anymore
[09:45] {jfjf64} feels like wed
01[09:46] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .35 break
01[09:46] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[09:47] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:50] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:50] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:4, out
[09:51] {jfjf64} ty vg
01[09:51] {@Threei}  yw
[09:54] {nemo} any bets pin to 195 today?
01[09:55] {@Threei}  wow VXX, even 1:4 was too early exit
01[09:56] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .50 break
01[09:56] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[09:59] {@Threei}  no go
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) SEPT NEW HOME SALES: 467K V 470KE
01[10:00] {@Threei}  rinse
01[10:02] {@Threei}  what's with sudden jerks
[10:03] {nemo} light volume easy to move
[10:05] {ese} wow ...sold 3 less homes this month.....not bad
06[10:06] * nemo clubs ese relentlessly with a zildjian gong
01[10:06] {@Threei}  something else behind this selling
01[10:06] {@Threei}  no news that I see
[10:06] {nemo} no more pomo, ebola, weekend
[10:06] {nemo} oh..and ese
[10:07] {ese} yes
01[10:07] {@Threei}  none of that happend in the last few minytes, and that's what I meant
01[10:07] {@Threei}  that was very elaborate rug pull
[10:07] {nemo} you must have spelled something wrong the algos misinterpreted
[10:09] {RonS} sm l lyb 90.23
[10:16] {ese} L some more mack avg .86
01[10:16] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .75 break
01[10:16] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[10:16] {ese} .8637 to be exact......i know how you all are exacting type of people
01[10:17] {@Threei}  espeically nemo loves to exact
01[10:17] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:17] {ese} exactly
[10:17] {nemo} frickin' psuedo math teachers
01[10:17] {@Threei}  he considers his day wasted unless he exacts two-three times
01[10:18] {@Threei}  1:2
[10:18] {ese} i can understand that
[10:18] {nemo} must admit, I have little patience for linguistic folderol
01[10:18] {@Threei}  not too bad for 5 cents risk
01[10:18] {@Threei}  DKTK setup, btw
[10:18] {ese} mack baby!!!! just explode on up there
[10:19] {nemo} VXX
[10:19] {ese} you know you want too
01[10:19] {@Threei}  actual one was .85, so to avoid those Wed rinses I waited for pullback under support
06[10:19] * @Threei slaps jfjf64 around a bit with a banner Adapt or Die
[10:20] {ese} lol
[10:20] {jfjf64} lol
[10:20] {ese} been alot of slapin around thes last 8 years or so.....buts a good one
[10:20] {jfjf64} trade what ya see
[10:21] {nemo} what about after drinking and seeing double?
01[10:21] {@Threei}  trade that then
[10:22] {jfjf64} vxx
[10:23] {jfjf64} puul bk
[10:23] {ese} and ladies and gentleman......and now to accept the award for "Momentum Waiting To Happen"............is................and the winner is.................E  S   E.............crowd goes wild.....as ese accepts the award.....hopefully today
[10:23] {nemo} [10:19] {nemo} VXX
[10:23] {nemo} it did the vwap bounce
[10:23] {Jenh} lol
[10:23] {jfjf64} ya in
[10:23] {nemo} ese....
[10:23] {nemo} better get out that jacket with the really long sleeves
[10:24] {ese} ahhhh ya let me check see where I put that
[10:24] {ese} usuallly keep it handy
[10:24] {nemo} ask ur wife I'm sure she knows
01[10:24] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .40 break
01[10:24] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
[10:25] {ese} lol........nope....this is a hugely kept secret......ask vad........she has no idea what i'm doin
[10:25] {nemo} you're a coupla toms short of a drum kit
[10:25] {RonS} like it
[10:25] {nemo} ;-)
[10:26] {dino} lol
[10:26] {ese} rotflol........ok....that was good....i giggled on this side
[10:26] {nemo} c'mon at your age you're probably peeing your pants
[10:27] {nemo} reminds me, gotta' find bunny
[10:27] {ese} ho ho........and who died and made you lavatory king......over seer of all dumps......huh
01[10:28] {@Threei}  trail to .46
01[10:28] {@Threei}  time to die FB
01[10:28] {@Threei}  lose that .35
01[10:29] {@Threei}  and die
[10:29] {ese} break through .15 mack with some momo.....and this thing is gone
01[10:29] {@Threei}  good girl
01[10:30] {@Threei}  oh come on... couple cents to 1:1
01[10:31] {@Threei}  meh
[10:31] {ese} strangely quiet this mornig is dino........you know whats going to happen there eh?.......he going to explode with the 2 to 3 dollar profit on somethin
[10:31] {ese} AND!!!!!!!! speakin of profit.......MACK..........do it!
[10:32] {nemo} OP EX ese
[10:32] {RonS} out lyb 91.85 +1.62
[10:32] {ese} NICE !
[10:32] {Jenh} congrats!
[10:32] {RonS} they freakin beat...
01[10:34] {@Threei}  wtg
[10:34] {RonS} ty
[10:34] {nemo} too early
[10:34] {nemo} any bets it goes to pivot
[10:34] {RonS} sounds like my wife...
[10:35] {ese} lol
[10:35] {nemo} reminds me of a comedian shtick
[10:35] {ese} yeeeesssss?
[10:36] {nemo} "My girlfriend says I have a problem with PE....I have no problem with PE.  SHE has a problem with PE!
[10:36] {ese} don't get it
[10:36] {RonS} rotflol
[10:37] {nemo} sheesh
01[10:37] {@Threei}  "Any of your relatives suffer from mental disease?" - No, they all seem to enjoy it"
[10:37] {ese} rotflol
[10:37] {Jenh} lol
[10:37] {nemo} Just becaus you're paranoid doesn't mean someone isn't out to get you
[10:37] {ese} ba dap bap!!!
01[10:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .90 break
01[10:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[10:39] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[10:43] {jfjf64} nemo vxx banggin off ya vwap
01[10:44] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .10 break
01[10:44] {@Threei}  If holds  34
[10:44] {dino} if they can't break it, up we go
01[10:47] {@Threei}  1:1
[11:02] {ese} and THAT!!!!! ladies and gentleman concludes the "Momentum About to Happen" awrds for today......one more time....a big round of applause for E S E!!!!!!! lets hear it now.
[11:03] {Jenh} (hands clapping)
[11:03] {ese} thank you....thank you....thank you very much!
[11:03] {Jenh} thought there was an emoji for that but no
[11:03] {Jenh} congratulations!
01[11:03] {@Threei}  "today I want to thank all those without whom this success wouldn't..."
[11:03] {ese} if Elvis could only hear me now....he'd be so proud
[11:03] {ese} lol
[11:04] {nemo} I wish you were where Elvis could hear you
[11:04] {Jenh} (ouch)
[11:04] {nemo} Jen..he stuck his chin out, I had no choice
[11:04] {ese} whoa hoooooooo!!!!!........hmmmmmm don't get angry es.........get even (thinking silently to himself
[11:05] {nemo} ese, you've been saying that for six years
[11:05] {nemo} and saying it.....and saying it
[11:05] {nemo} poor ese...no Les
[11:05] {ese} ya well....ya well.......ya well.........one day.....pow!! right in the kisser
[11:05] {nemo} doubt it
[11:07] {ese} damn.....can't remember the comedian who said that
[11:07] {nemo} Jackie Gleason
01[11:07] {@Threei}  peter griffin
[11:07] {ese} oh ya
[11:07] {ese} nope....nemos got it Jackie Gleason
[11:08] {nemo} yeah, started with "Alice!  One of these days, "POW!"  Right to the Moon!
[11:08] {nemo} frickin' foreigners
[11:09] {nemo} VXX
01[11:14] {@Threei} Short Setup: IWM  .50 break
01[11:14] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[11:18] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[11:20] {nemo} spy touched bottom of swing low trendline
01[11:21] {@Threei}  IWM is interestingly weaker than SPY
[11:22] {jfjf64} weird
[11:22] {jfjf64} whats that mean
01[11:22] {@Threei}  small caps weakness
[11:22] {jfjf64} lol
[11:24] {jfjf64} yhoo following spy
[11:24] {nemo} ese is following spy?
[11:24] {nemo} I miss Les
[11:26] {ese} yes
[11:27] {nemo} spy looks short just don't know how far
[11:28] {jfjf64} vxx
[11:28] {ese} would say yes to that.......if it doesn't get to 196.2....it's a headin down
[11:44] {nemo} like VXX break of .45
[11:44] {nemo} ?
01[11:44] {@Threei}  not sure
01[11:44] {@Threei}  50/50
[11:45] {nemo} oh jeez, not even lunch time
[11:45] {nemo} sheesh
[11:45] {nemo} nevermind
[11:45] {nemo} that'll be later
[11:47] {nemo} damn
01[11:50] {@Threei}  Markets are choppy this morning as traders digest the New York City Ebola scare, EU bank stress test results and tons of major earnings reports. Note that comments by ECB President Draghi at the EU Leader Summit in Brussels seem to have helped lift US equities out of the red mid morning.
01[11:50] {@Threei}  US new home sales rose to a six-year high in September, according to the report out this morning. The August sales - the prior six-year high - were revised much lower, down to 466K from 504K prior. Prices continue to fall.
01[11:50] {@Threei}  Press reports out in the US premarket suggested that 25 banks out of 130 reviewed would fail ECB capital stress tests. More importantly, only 10 of them still face capital shortfalls. The latter group are talking with the ECB on how they plan to ameliorate the situation. This figure is slightly lower than reports out earlier this week.
[11:54] {RonS} Ebola To Do List:
[11:54] {RonS} Avoid People.
[11:54] {RonS} Check for Fever.
[11:54] {RonS} Ride L Train.
[11:54] {RonS} Bowl.
01[11:54] {@Threei}  lol
[11:55] {nemo} shit VXX
[11:57] {jfjf64} ty
01[12:00] {@Threei}  (GR) Greece PM Samaras: no final decisions made yet on Greek exit from troika program- Talked with ECB Pres Draghi during the EU Summit today
[12:02] {RonS} thinkin they should study Homer... he detailed how the Greeks exited a troika program...
[12:03] {jfjf64} iwm ?
01[12:03] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .85 break
01[12:03] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
[12:04] {jfjf64} that was quick yes
[12:04] {ese} have a great weekend all...cya next week...
01[12:04] {@Threei}  take care ese
[12:04] {jfjf64} enjoy ese
[12:04] {RonS} cya ese
[12:05] {Jenh} bye ese!
[12:05] {jfjf64} mack the knife
[12:06] {Jenh} wow. still quick jumps with IWM
[12:09] {jfjf64} common alice
01[12:15] {@Threei}  1:2
[12:16] {dino} baba rockin
[12:17] {jfjf64} yee haa
[12:17] {dino} calls working nicely
[12:28] {RonS} Ottawa gunman applied to renew his Libyan passport before shooting but was denied
[12:58] {nemo} SPY holding that trend line
01[13:10] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .20 break
01[13:10] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[13:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  GM  .26
01[13:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[13:51] {@Threei}  wow, GM slowed down even more than its cars
01[13:52] {@Threei}  watching IWM for pullback entry
01[13:52] {@Threei}  around .90
[13:54] {nemo} VXX
01[14:00] {@Threei}  in IWM .91
01[14:00] {@Threei}  stop .84
01[14:00] {@Threei}  lunch time, keeping stops really tight
[14:00] {nemo} it's 2:00 dude
01[14:00] {@Threei}  market lunch time is 3 hours
01[14:01] {@Threei}  from 11 to 2
01[14:01] {@Threei}  then from 2 to 3 is digestion time
01[14:01] {@Threei}  and from 3 to 4 trading again
01[14:01] {@Threei}  dude
[14:01] {nemo} OP EX Friday dude
01[14:02] {@Threei}  that actually works for my point, not yours... dude
[14:02] {nemo} the dude abides
01[14:03] {@Threei}  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWdd6_ZxX8c
[14:03] {nemo} we need help Vad, we think alike
01[14:04] {@Threei}  I don't know about you but I am beyond help I am afraid
[14:04] {nemo} At least you don't own guns
01[14:04] {@Threei}  save yourself if you think you still have a chance
[14:04] {nemo} I'm trying the vodka cure
[14:05] {nemo} maybe an exorcist?
01[14:06] {@Threei}  thanks, I am staight
01[14:08] {@Threei}  market is locked in narrow range
01[14:08] {@Threei}  BBs tighten, but to tell which way it breaks is... anyone's guess
01[14:08] {@Threei}  up
01[14:09] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
[14:09] {nemo} they have to go for the 50 day probably, if no weekend bad news we gap above on Monday
01[14:09] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[14:09] {@Threei}  a lot can happen over this weekend... EY stress test results, Brazil and Ukraine elections
[14:11] {nemo} oh jeez, I'm only 20% through assembling the rough draft and I'm already up to Pg 167
[14:13] {nemo} SPY backtesting the trendline
[14:15] {nemo} you mean EU?
01[14:16] {@Threei}  yeah
01[14:16] {@Threei}  break that .85 already FB
[14:16] {nemo} oh thank GOd, the Honey Boo Boo show was cancelled
01[14:16] {@Threei}  who?
[14:17] {nemo} frickin' reality show down here that epitomizes the Least Common Denominator principle for troglydites
01[14:17] {@Threei}  ok... lol
[14:17] {nemo} Seeing that makes you wonder why God doesn't go all Noah's Ark on us again
01[14:18] {@Threei}  not really... if he didn't do that after jerry springer, he never will
[14:18] {nemo} I think it has cosmological implications as to whether all humans actually have souls
[14:18] {nemo} no...sooner or later He'll get pissed off
[14:19] {nemo} things just pile up after awhile, and some little thing will set him off and POOF....Apocalypse!
[14:19] {nemo} sheesh...and to think, I'm sober
[14:20] {nemo} watch....
[14:20] {nemo} with our luck ese will survive
01[14:23] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:24] {jfjf64} what ya in
[14:24] {jfjf64} just got back
[14:24] {nemo} FB DB
01[14:24] {@Threei}  FB, jf
01[14:27] {@Threei}  1:2
01[14:27] {@Threei}  (close enough)
[14:27] {nemo} wow, volume getting low
01[14:27] {@Threei}  good boy FB
01[14:28] {@Threei}  give us 1:3 and I'll be happy
01[14:28] {@Threei}  happier
01[14:42] {@Threei}  1:3
01[14:43] {@Threei}  I am out
[14:44] {jfjf64} nice wk
[14:45] {jfjf64} logix update good scrool button
01[14:45] {@Threei}  where?
[14:46] {jfjf64} up top chart star
[14:46] {jfjf64} rihjt corner
[14:46] {jfjf64} did you update
[14:46] {nemo} you were late today, yes JF?
[14:46] {nemo} they must have issued it this morning
[14:47] {nemo} they fixed the sort functions in the gainer/loser watchlists
01[14:59] {@Threei}  what is the new version #?
[14:59] {nemo} probably 96
01[14:59] {@Threei}  I am on 95
[14:59] {jfjf64} 96
[14:59] {jfjf64} who r you
[14:59] {nemo} told ya'
[15:00] {nemo} http://jblom.peskyscalper.com/index.php/downloads
06[15:05] * @Threei slaps Chaeron around a bit with a greeting banner
[15:05] {nemo} give him two coins
[15:05] {RonS} lol
[15:05] {nemo} bunny showed up
01[15:06] {@Threei}  no coins, I better refuse to pay and stay on this shore
[15:06] {Chaeron} hi guys! Didn't want to interrupt... just saying hi to all. seeing the markets swinging like crazy these days and thinking of you all making tons of $
01[15:06] {@Threei}  hey Chaeron :)
01[15:06] {@Threei}  guessed right, this shaped up as the best trading month of the year
[15:06] {Chaeron} give me two coins and I'll trade them to a boatload... pardon the pun
01[15:07] {@Threei}  today is kind of quiet, but the month was fantastic
[15:07] {nemo} if spy gonna come in shoulb be now
[15:07] {Chaeron} great to hear. great job guys
01[15:07] {@Threei}  jf for instance manages to make money just pushing random buttons on random stocks
01[15:08] {@Threei}  with his eyes closed
[15:08] {nemo} back to simians writing Shakespeare
[15:08] {Chaeron} lol
[15:08] {nemo} then again, we don't know who wrote Shakespeare
01[15:08] {@Threei}  simians
01[15:09] {@Threei}  and two australopiteks
[15:10] {nemo} you mean australopithecus?
01[15:10] {@Threei}  something like that
[15:10] {nemo} I think Les was their ancestor
[15:11] {nemo} think SSO drop of .20 is playable
[15:11] {nemo} nevermind
[15:12] {nemo} it came back
01[15:14] {@Threei}  looks like VXX time but wasnt pullback
01[15:16] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .90 break
01[15:16] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[15:16] {@Threei}  that was fast
01[15:16] {@Threei}  anyone got it?
[15:16] {Jenh} no. tried
01[15:18] {@Threei}  valid again but this time with .84 stop
01[15:19] {@Threei}  1:1
01[15:20] {@Threei}  was obtainable this time
01[15:21] {@Threei}  trade by the book
01[15:22] {@Threei}  .89 stop for the balance
01[15:23] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .90 break
01[15:23] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
01[15:26] {@Threei}  SPY looks to me breakoutish
01[15:26] {@Threei}  and rallyish into eod
[15:26] {nemo} too funny it's looking short at the moment to me
[15:26] {nemo} finnies and iwm same setup
[15:27] {jfjf64} honeymooners here comon
[15:28] {Jenh} since it keeps pausing are you trailing the stop up
[15:28] {Jenh} still learning so i apologize if this is really basic
01[15:29] {@Threei}  not until it reaches 1:1
01[15:29] {@Threei}  1:1
[15:29] {Jenh} oh ok thanks
01[15:30] {@Threei}  now with half out stop of course is at .89
01[15:30] {@Threei}  standard operating procedure
[15:30] {Jenh} ok
01[15:31] {@Threei}  helps avoid thinking... thinking causes severe migraines, so it's a good thing
[15:31] {Jenh} i completely agree thanks
01[15:31] {@Threei}  also, there is this eternal nemo recipe to do thinking while standing up... and I hate it
01[15:32] {@Threei}  for some reason he thinks it increases blood flow to the brain
[15:32] {Jenh} :)
[15:33] {jfjf64} good week all ty vg
[15:33] {jfjf64} see monday
01[15:33] {@Threei}  take care jf
[15:33] {Jenh} have a great weekend jf!
[15:33] {jfjf64} u to jh
[15:33] {jfjf64} ty
01[15:34] {@Threei}  run IWM run
01[15:34] {@Threei}  let's do that rally and prove nemo wrrrrong
01[15:35] {@Threei}  1:2
[15:39] {Jenh} I'm out. +.12!
[15:39] {Jenh} thank you 3i!
01[15:39] {@Threei}  yw :)
01[15:42] {@Threei}  here comes test of the high
[15:43] {nemo} formed that dobulbe bottom on 196
01[15:44] {@Threei}  with all the weekend concers, selloff into eod was so obvious that martket just had to do the opposite and punish those who trade what they think
01[15:44] {@Threei}  ultimate "trade what you see"
06[15:44] * @Threei forcefully pats himself on the back, dislocates his shoulder and goes back to his corner
01[15:47] {@Threei}  1:3  IWM  close enough
01[15:47] {@Threei}  I am out
01[15:48] {@Threei}  ecked out pretty good day
[15:48] {Chaeron} you're just doing it so effortlessly to tease me back
01[15:48] {@Threei}  that's what I do... effortless tease people :)
01[15:48] {@Threei}  +ly
01[15:49] {@Threei}  too bad you haven't popped in three weeks ago
01[15:49] {@Threei}  you'd see some real fireworks, this today is just another day in the office
01[15:50] {@Threei}  so guys, have a great relaxing weekend, see you all on Monday
[15:51] {Jenh} u too. thank you! see you monday!
01[15:51] {@Threei}  unless earth opens and swallows Brazil or something
[15:52] {Jenh} :) hopefully we'll still be here. bye!