TradeTheNews.com Weekly
Market Update: Greek and Ukraine Hopes Reignite Risk Appetite
Fri, 13 Feb 2015 16:14 PM EST
US equity indices roared higher this week, buoyed by decent corporate earnings
and abetted by the absence of significant bad news. US rates rose as improving
risk appetite pushed the 10-year US Treasury yield back above 2% for the first
time in nearly a month. In Europe, the Russians and the Ukrainians signed
another ceasefire agreement in Minsk, which in outline provides a route to
decelerate the conflict in eastern Ukraine but still faces a rough period of
implementation. Negotiations continued all week between the EU and Greece,
appearing to approach some sort of agreement a couple of times but without
concluding a final deal. The five-year lows in Chinese CPI inflation data further
strengthened expectations for more PBoC intervention in the New Year in China.
The S&P500 climbed to new all-time highs on Friday, up 2% on the week,
while the DJIA rose 1.1% and the Nasdaq surged 3.2%.
The two US data highlights of the week were the JOLTs jobs report and the
retail sales data. The December JOLTS job openings report - Fed Chair Yellen's
favorite gauge of employment demand - topped expectations and climbed 181K from
November to a total of 5.03M, its highest level since 2001. The US January
retail sales report was not encouraging: the 0.8% decline followed the 0.9%
slide in December (which was the biggest drop in a year). Slowing automobile
sales was part of the story, as was less expensive gasoline. However, ex
automobiles and fuel sales gained a mere 0.2%, less than expected.
Fed officials were out in force prepping the market for inevitable rate hikes.
The hawks pressed hard for tightening. Richmond Fed President Lacker said June
looks right for the first rate hike, and that data showed liftoff should occur
even earlier. The Dallas Fed's Fisher said he lobbied for rate lift off in
March, but "lost that argument." The Philadelphia Fed's Plosser took
issue with the 'patient' language introduced in the December statement, warning
that the new verbiage could tie the FOMC's hands. One of the key thresholds for
policy is judging when the economy has reached full employment, or the
'natural' rate of unemployment. Fed Governor Powell asserted that the natural
rate of unemployment may have dropped to 5% or lower, echoing recent comments
by more moderate officials Rosengren and Kocherlakota, while the current 5.7%
level of unemployment underestimates the amount of slack in the economy.
German Chancellor Merkel and French President Hollande made an unheralded trip
to Moscow in a last ditch effort to restore the ceasefire agreement in Ukraine.
They convinced Russian President Putin to sign on to a new agreement that
echoes the failed Minsk ceasefire signed last September, calling for Russian
forces to return control over the Ukraine/Russia border to Kiev, and requiring
both sides to pull back heavy weapons and exchange captives. The agreement is
effective at midnight Kiev time on Saturday, but it remains to be seen if the
ceasefire will hold and open a path toward resolving the year-old Ukraine
crisis.
There was an excess of sound and fury over the Greece situation this week, with
European and Greek negotiators at the Eurogroup and the leaders' summit
reiterating their incompatible positions. Athens reportedly rejected a 3-6
month extension of the current bailout and EU officials rejected Greece's
request for a new deal. Despite the rhetoric both sides are continuing
technical discussions through the weekend and most observers expect a deal will
be ultimately be reached that allows Greece to stay in the Euro Zone. Meanwhile
Greece bank deposit outflows kept increasing, forcing the ECB to lend another
€5B to the Greek Central Bank under the ELA to keep the nation's financial
system liquid.
Analysts were waiting for the Danish central bank to cut interest rates again
or possibly drop the euro peg at this week's scheduled meeting, but events
elsewhere in Scandinavia overtook them. Sweden's Riksbank unexpectedly cut its
key interest rate from 0% to a record low of -0.1% and also launched its own QE
program. The Riksbank pledged to buy $1.2 billion in government bonds, warning
there was a risk inflation would stagnate. Sweden's annual inflation rate in
January stood at -0.3%.
Brent rose back above $60 this week and WTI spent most of the week above $50 as
crude prices cautiously moved higher. Some analysts assert that crude prices
have bottomed for good, but others aren't so sure. Goldman Sachs's chief
commodities researcher told CNBC that oil could test $40/bbl in the next 6
months, possibly dipping down toward $35/bbl. The CEO of independent oil trader
Vitol warned that crude prices could resume a downward trajectory as US
stockpiles keep growing despite the significant idling of drilling capacity.
On Tuesday, shares of Apple closed at just over $122 each, making the firm the
first publicly-quoted US firm to achieve a market capitalization of more than
$700 billion. Apple CEO Cook made remarks at a tech conference, noting that his
company would buy about $850 million of power from a new First Solar plant,
guaranteeing that all of its California facilities ran completely on solar
power.
In earnings, Pepsico beat expectations, hiked its dividend and added a big
chunk to its stock buyback. Time Warner turned in a solid quarterly report but
warned investors on the conference call that subscription revenue growth would
slow this year. Shares of Tesla tanked after the firm disappointed with a
quarterly loss and disclosed various difficulties with production, new models
and the strong dollar. Cisco soared on signs the turnaround is starting to take
hold, with earnings strong, guidance good and emerging markets inching back to
growth. Like other many other consumer product names, Kellogg said FX and weak
sales hurt the bottom line.
Expedia reached a deal to buy Orbitz Worldwide for about $1.3 billion in cash,
at $12/share, a 24% premium to the prior close. With the transaction, Expedia
will gain not only Orbitz and its business-focused travel sites, but also
CheapTickets and HotelClub. Note the deal comes just two weeks after Expedia
snapped up Travelocity for $280 million.
China's January CPI dropped to 0.8% from 1.5% in December, while PPI dropped to
-4.3% from -3.3% prior. Officials said the big decline in CPI was mostly due to
lower food prices. PPI has marked its 35th straight month in the red.
Economists said the PBoC is now likely to lower deposit rates and deliver
another RRR cut sometime in the first half of the year. The PBoC's open market
operations injected a net total of 205 billion yuan this week, its fourth
consecutive week of liquidity injections and its biggest infusion in more than
a year. The January trade data was likewise worrisome, featuring the biggest
y/y decline in imports in more than five years and a marginal drop in exports.
On Friday, January new yuan loans rose to a five-year high going into next
week's Lunar New Year, in part making up for soft demand for credit in
December, even as M2 money supply hit multi-year lows of 10.8%.
In Japan, Finance Minister Aso attempted to defuse press speculation that, even
under the optimal economic scenario, the government will be unable to achieve
primary fiscal balance by FY20 despite the benefits of lower oil prices and
weaker yen. Aso acknowledged the "extremely severe" state of Japan
finances in promising not to waiver in implementing the next consumption tax
hike in 2017. In the meantime, investor demand for JGBs remains lukewarm, with
the yield on the benchmark rising to a 2-month high above 0.4% after another
underwhelming auction on Friday. Looking ahead, market focus will turn to Japan
Q4 GDP on Sunday evening, expected to return to expansion after two quarters of
decline.
Friday, February 13, 2015
Feb 13 2015
Another slow day, with a few nice wins and a few stops. 1:4 on VXX was the most notable play of the day.
[15:56] {dino} gn all
Session Time: Fri Feb 13 00:00:00 2015
[08:57] {dino} gm
[08:57] {cosmo} so far
01[08:57] {@Threei} dino, cosmo :)
[08:57] {dino} ll
[08:57] {dino} lol
[08:57] {dino} typing bad as usual
01[08:58] {@Threei} nemo would disagreem, I suspect
01[08:58] {@Threei} -m
[08:58] {dino} kicking myself over cybr gtc stc order while away, up 10+ points, i only got 2
01[08:59] {@Threei} well... you know it could have developed opposite way easily
[09:07] {dino} indeed 3i
[09:08] {RonS} gm
01[09:09] {@Threei} ron :)
[09:25] {dino} bt?
[09:26] {jfjf64} Morning
01[09:26] {@Threei} jf :)
01[09:27] {@Threei} no today's news
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -KING +22% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CYBR +19% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ELLI +14% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -JCOM +11% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -COLM +4.4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -WWWW +4.0% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ITT +3.8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CBS +3.4% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:31] {@Threei} -MX -61% (restates financial results for prior 3 quarters, broker downgrades)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -ZNGA -12% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -SDRL -7.5% (Will be delay Petrobras Contracts; Will remove $1.1B removed from backlog reported in Q3)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -RRGB -5.0% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -CAG -3.9% (guidance)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -CPB -3.2% (guidance)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX .80 break
01[09:31] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:33] {Nesi} morning guys, good luck today
[09:33] {dino} mx sm l .04
[09:33] {dino} going to give it room
01[09:34] {@Threei} nesi :)
01[09:34] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX 20 break
01[09:34] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:36] {@Threei} no go
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 31 break
01[09:38] {@Threei} If holds .95
[09:39] {nemo} afternoon play
[09:42] {dino} mx stop is .73, retest coming
[09:44] {jfjf64} Fcx short here
[09:44] {dino} elli drop
01[09:45] {@Threei} not afternoon yet, eh
[09:45] {nemo} probably be some put buying into the long weekend
[09:46] {dino} back in 30
[09:50] {nemo} gonna' be a dead day for your kind of trading Dino
01[09:51] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT .80 break
01[09:51] {@Threei} If holds .90
[09:51] {nemo} overhead gap
01[09:52] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:52] {nemo} 85 is R3, maybe there
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) FEB PRELIMINARY UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 93.6 V 98.1E
[10:04] {nemo} PRU
01[10:08] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT 85 break
01[10:08] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[10:11] {@Threei} Tank battle under way east of Mariupol
01[10:11] {@Threei} man... when was the last time world saw tank battles?
[10:12] {RonS} Iraq war
[10:12] {nemo} saw A-10s taking target practice
01[10:12] {@Threei} 1st one, right?
[10:12] {RonS} second
[10:12] {nemo} 1st one
01[10:12] {@Threei} I thought in second they just bombed them all to hell
[10:13] {RonS} brigade of Abrahms stumbled on 40 Iraqi tanks...took them all out in 5 minutes
[10:13] {nemo} they used a-10s after dark...the metal heated up so much during the day, it left an infrared signature the hellfires could see
[10:13] {nemo} yeah, Abrams can shoot on the run T series Soviet tanks can't
[10:14] {cosmo} ...and the tanks never even see each other...
01[10:14] {@Threei} no go
[10:14] {cosmo} like they used to
01[10:15] {@Threei} he doesn't even try to mask anymore:
01[10:15] {@Threei} The Russian president, Vladimir Putin, sought to delay agreement on a Ukrainian ceasefire at talks in Minsk because he wanted pro-Russia separatists to capture the eastern railway hub of Debaltseve, an EU summit has been told... Witnesses to the discussion said all the EU leaders were sceptical about the success of the Minsk peace plan, not least because Putin had resisted pressure for a ceasefire.
01[10:15] {@Threei} He hoped to delay the truce by 10 days, the summit heard, in order to force the surrender of up to 8,000 Ukrainian troops who are surrounded in Debaltseve by pro-Russia separatists. Putin was said to have made it clear that Debaltseve had to fall. In public remarks following the deal, Putin also said the separatists had the Ukrainian forces encircled and that “of course, they expect the Ukrainians to lay down their arms and cease resistance”.
01[10:16] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .90 break
01[10:16] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[10:18] {@Threei} change to .80 break
01[10:18] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[10:21] {@Threei} last change. to .70
01[10:21] {@Threei} if loses .60 no more
[10:24] {dino} mx to .79
01[10:24] {@Threei} bounce time FB
01[10:24] {@Threei} move
01[10:24] {@Threei} run
01[10:24] {@Threei} fly
01[10:24] {@Threei} ieksploude
01[10:24] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:25] {jfjf64} Yup
[10:25] {dino} out mx .69, +.65, thx for idea 3i
01[10:25] {@Threei} :)
[10:29] {dino} crazy markets, dji pretty much 1000 points straight up from 2/3
01[10:30] {@Threei} and no end in sight
[10:30] {dino} mx reload .99
[10:30] {dino} on to 20,000 i guess
01[10:30] {@Threei} 1/4 more out
01[10:30] {@Threei} 1:2 close enough
01[10:31] {@Threei} stop .74 for the balance
01[10:41] {@Threei} well FB... will you give us 1:3, or will you stay your usual flaky yourself
[10:42] {dino} mx stop .69 -.30
[10:43] {jfjf64} AAPL
01[10:52] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[10:52] {@Threei} If holds 31
[11:00] {jfjf64} Twtr .30 s
[11:01] {Nesi} you guys still playing cheapies and news?
[11:01] {dino} still on capits/euphoria here
01[11:02] {@Threei} haven't touched that crap in ages nesi
[11:02] {RonS} nesi, you like cheapies?
[11:03] {Nesi} used to like it
01[11:03] {@Threei} see private message btw
[11:03] {Nesi} cant see the message, vad
[11:04] {Nesi} vad, so you changed your style of trading?
01[11:06] {@Threei} my style stays the same for over 10 years
01[11:06] {@Threei} "cheapies on news" was 1998
[11:07] {jfjf64} .60 s twtr
[11:08] {Nesi} what s the broker out there, any good ones?
[11:09] {dino} qrvo spike (reminds me of quervo tequila)
01[11:09] {@Threei} http://www.realitytrader.com/laser.html
[11:12] {Nesi} i sent them an email
[11:13] {Nesi} how long have you had this broker , vad?
01[11:13] {@Threei} for a while... a few years
[11:15] {Nesi} slow day today?
01[11:15] {@Threei} yeah
01[11:15] {@Threei} whole week actually
[11:16] {Nesi} do you know who lives like 5 miles from me...vad?
[11:16] {Nesi} remember Romanfromrusia?
01[11:16] {@Threei} yeah
[11:17] {dino} lol, i remember hi in this room
[11:17] {dino} him
[11:17] {Nesi} he was pretty good at this game
01[11:17] {@Threei} what is he doing these days?
[11:18] {Nesi} no clue
[11:18] {Nesi} i lost his email
01[11:19] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .60 break
01[11:19] {@Threei} If holds .70
[11:25] {RonS} Gov. Tom Wolf announces moratorium on death penalty in Pennsylvania (says being there penalty enough?)
01[11:26] {@Threei} lol
[11:27] {dino} hmmm, i'm from pennsylvania
01[11:49] {@Threei} sorry dino...
01[11:49] {@Threei} then again, nobody's perfect
[11:50] {dino} well, i'm for the death penalty
[11:50] {dino} and i know nemo would gladly administer it
01[11:51] {@Threei} I for one don't understand why we can't shoot them after administering injection
[11:53] {jfjf64} Fb .80 s?
[11:53] {dino} mx hl l .49
01[11:56] {@Threei} let's see how it handles this SPY drop
01[11:57] {@Threei} if holds well, it's a long
01[11:57] {@Threei} looks this way
[12:03] {dino} aspx spike
01[12:11] {@Threei} FB honestly trying
01[12:11] {@Threei} well... as much as FB and honesty can be used in the same line
01[12:16] {@Threei} which looks like not much
[12:27] {RonS} pxlw pressure
01[12:27] {@Threei} The S&P500 is back at all-time highs this morning while the DJIA is above 18,000 for the first time since late December. Both sides of the Greek situation continue to reiterate firmly held positions, although EU's European Commission President Juncker warned the EU is still far away from a deal with Greece.
01[12:44] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[12:44] {@Threei} If holds 31
01[13:06] {@Threei} trail to .04
01[13:22] {@Threei} 1:1
01[13:26] {@Threei} 1:2
01[13:29] {@Threei} 1:3
01[13:30] {@Threei} 1:4, out
01[13:30] {@Threei} [AAPL] Reportedly Apple is recruiting automobile specialists to work in its research lab - FT *NOTE: this report echoes some tech blog chatter this week that Apple could be intensifying efforts around the car market and might even consider designing its own automobile in the future.
[13:30] {RonS} nice, took it's sweet time ty
01[13:30] {@Threei} yw :)
01[13:31] {@Threei} while jw is on vacation, I can lose my cool a bit and add a smile to yw
[13:31] {jfjf64} Ty
01[13:31] {@Threei} :)
01[13:32] {@Threei} what happened to specializaion
01[13:32] {@Threei} AAPL makes cars?
01[13:32] {@Threei} who is going to supply fruit then
[13:32] {RonS} maybe car apps?
01[13:33] {@Threei} everyone is angling for world domination...
01[13:33] {@Threei} everyone has a little putin in them
01[13:34] {@Threei} ummm... it sounded better in my head
[13:34] {RonS} lol
01[13:34] {@Threei} one thing was when stewie griffin wanted world domination... he was cute
01[13:36] {@Threei} wow
[13:36] {jfjf64} AAPL lod
01[13:36] {@Threei} no news for the drop
01[13:36] {@Threei} who knew VXX had 1:7 in it
01[13:37] {@Threei} and little putin
[13:37] {jfjf64} Getting I car buiz
[13:40] {jfjf64} All have good weekend see ya tue Monday off
01[13:41] {@Threei} take care jf
[13:46] {RonS} gmcr spike
[13:46] {RonS} $GMCR Coke $KO descloses an amended stake
01[13:47] {@Threei} [GMCR] Coca Cola discloses amended stake (still 16% stake) - 13D/A filing
[13:51] {dino} amba blood
[14:24] {RonS} outta here...the boredom is killing me... see you Tuesday
01[14:24] {@Threei} take care ron
01[14:24] {@Threei} we will hire a clown
[14:28] {Nesi} have a good weekend all :)
[14:28] {dino} cya nesi
[14:28] {dino} cya ronzo
[14:28] {cosmo} Tuesday?
[14:29] {dino} closed monday, pres. day
[14:29] {cosmo} but pres day is so passe
[14:30] {cosmo} especially when you have to lump them
[14:30] {dino} i'm sure obummer will jazz it up
[14:31] {cosmo} yeah, someday he'll be part od it...
[14:31] {cosmo} of
[14:31] {dino} mx to .80
[14:31] {dino} out +.31
01[14:35] {@Threei} wtg
[14:36] {dino} ty
01[14:54] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .80 break
01[14:54] {@Threei} If holds .87
01[15:08] {@Threei} meh
[15:13] {dino} fish drop
01[15:25] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .25 break
01[15:25] {@Threei} If holds .15
01[15:25] {@Threei} last one for today
[15:37] {dino} slow afternoons
01[15:38] {@Threei} no kidding
01[15:42] {@Threei} ok, time for a long weekend relaxation... see you Tuesday, have a good one!
[15:43] {dino} cya 3i
[15:56] {dino} gn all
Session Time: Fri Feb 13 00:00:00 2015
[08:57] {dino} gm
[08:57] {cosmo} so far
01[08:57] {@Threei} dino, cosmo :)
[08:57] {dino} ll
[08:57] {dino} lol
[08:57] {dino} typing bad as usual
01[08:58] {@Threei} nemo would disagreem, I suspect
01[08:58] {@Threei} -m
[08:58] {dino} kicking myself over cybr gtc stc order while away, up 10+ points, i only got 2
01[08:59] {@Threei} well... you know it could have developed opposite way easily
[09:07] {dino} indeed 3i
[09:08] {RonS} gm
01[09:09] {@Threei} ron :)
[09:25] {dino} bt?
[09:26] {jfjf64} Morning
01[09:26] {@Threei} jf :)
01[09:27] {@Threei} no today's news
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -KING +22% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CYBR +19% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ELLI +14% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -JCOM +11% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -COLM +4.4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -WWWW +4.0% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ITT +3.8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CBS +3.4% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:31] {@Threei} -MX -61% (restates financial results for prior 3 quarters, broker downgrades)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -ZNGA -12% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -SDRL -7.5% (Will be delay Petrobras Contracts; Will remove $1.1B removed from backlog reported in Q3)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -RRGB -5.0% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -CAG -3.9% (guidance)
01[09:31] {@Threei} -CPB -3.2% (guidance)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX .80 break
01[09:31] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:33] {Nesi} morning guys, good luck today
[09:33] {dino} mx sm l .04
[09:33] {dino} going to give it room
01[09:34] {@Threei} nesi :)
01[09:34] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX 20 break
01[09:34] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:36] {@Threei} no go
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 31 break
01[09:38] {@Threei} If holds .95
[09:39] {nemo} afternoon play
[09:42] {dino} mx stop is .73, retest coming
[09:44] {jfjf64} Fcx short here
[09:44] {dino} elli drop
01[09:45] {@Threei} not afternoon yet, eh
[09:45] {nemo} probably be some put buying into the long weekend
[09:46] {dino} back in 30
[09:50] {nemo} gonna' be a dead day for your kind of trading Dino
01[09:51] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT .80 break
01[09:51] {@Threei} If holds .90
[09:51] {nemo} overhead gap
01[09:52] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:52] {nemo} 85 is R3, maybe there
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) FEB PRELIMINARY UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 93.6 V 98.1E
[10:04] {nemo} PRU
01[10:08] {@Threei} Short Setup: CAT 85 break
01[10:08] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[10:11] {@Threei} Tank battle under way east of Mariupol
01[10:11] {@Threei} man... when was the last time world saw tank battles?
[10:12] {RonS} Iraq war
[10:12] {nemo} saw A-10s taking target practice
01[10:12] {@Threei} 1st one, right?
[10:12] {RonS} second
[10:12] {nemo} 1st one
01[10:12] {@Threei} I thought in second they just bombed them all to hell
[10:13] {RonS} brigade of Abrahms stumbled on 40 Iraqi tanks...took them all out in 5 minutes
[10:13] {nemo} they used a-10s after dark...the metal heated up so much during the day, it left an infrared signature the hellfires could see
[10:13] {nemo} yeah, Abrams can shoot on the run T series Soviet tanks can't
[10:14] {cosmo} ...and the tanks never even see each other...
01[10:14] {@Threei} no go
[10:14] {cosmo} like they used to
01[10:15] {@Threei} he doesn't even try to mask anymore:
01[10:15] {@Threei} The Russian president, Vladimir Putin, sought to delay agreement on a Ukrainian ceasefire at talks in Minsk because he wanted pro-Russia separatists to capture the eastern railway hub of Debaltseve, an EU summit has been told... Witnesses to the discussion said all the EU leaders were sceptical about the success of the Minsk peace plan, not least because Putin had resisted pressure for a ceasefire.
01[10:15] {@Threei} He hoped to delay the truce by 10 days, the summit heard, in order to force the surrender of up to 8,000 Ukrainian troops who are surrounded in Debaltseve by pro-Russia separatists. Putin was said to have made it clear that Debaltseve had to fall. In public remarks following the deal, Putin also said the separatists had the Ukrainian forces encircled and that “of course, they expect the Ukrainians to lay down their arms and cease resistance”.
01[10:16] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .90 break
01[10:16] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[10:18] {@Threei} change to .80 break
01[10:18] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[10:21] {@Threei} last change. to .70
01[10:21] {@Threei} if loses .60 no more
[10:24] {dino} mx to .79
01[10:24] {@Threei} bounce time FB
01[10:24] {@Threei} move
01[10:24] {@Threei} run
01[10:24] {@Threei} fly
01[10:24] {@Threei} ieksploude
01[10:24] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:25] {jfjf64} Yup
[10:25] {dino} out mx .69, +.65, thx for idea 3i
01[10:25] {@Threei} :)
[10:29] {dino} crazy markets, dji pretty much 1000 points straight up from 2/3
01[10:30] {@Threei} and no end in sight
[10:30] {dino} mx reload .99
[10:30] {dino} on to 20,000 i guess
01[10:30] {@Threei} 1/4 more out
01[10:30] {@Threei} 1:2 close enough
01[10:31] {@Threei} stop .74 for the balance
01[10:41] {@Threei} well FB... will you give us 1:3, or will you stay your usual flaky yourself
[10:42] {dino} mx stop .69 -.30
[10:43] {jfjf64} AAPL
01[10:52] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[10:52] {@Threei} If holds 31
[11:00] {jfjf64} Twtr .30 s
[11:01] {Nesi} you guys still playing cheapies and news?
[11:01] {dino} still on capits/euphoria here
01[11:02] {@Threei} haven't touched that crap in ages nesi
[11:02] {RonS} nesi, you like cheapies?
[11:03] {Nesi} used to like it
01[11:03] {@Threei} see private message btw
[11:03] {Nesi} cant see the message, vad
[11:04] {Nesi} vad, so you changed your style of trading?
01[11:06] {@Threei} my style stays the same for over 10 years
01[11:06] {@Threei} "cheapies on news" was 1998
[11:07] {jfjf64} .60 s twtr
[11:08] {Nesi} what s the broker out there, any good ones?
[11:09] {dino} qrvo spike (reminds me of quervo tequila)
01[11:09] {@Threei} http://www.realitytrader.com/laser.html
[11:12] {Nesi} i sent them an email
[11:13] {Nesi} how long have you had this broker , vad?
01[11:13] {@Threei} for a while... a few years
[11:15] {Nesi} slow day today?
01[11:15] {@Threei} yeah
01[11:15] {@Threei} whole week actually
[11:16] {Nesi} do you know who lives like 5 miles from me...vad?
[11:16] {Nesi} remember Romanfromrusia?
01[11:16] {@Threei} yeah
[11:17] {dino} lol, i remember hi in this room
[11:17] {dino} him
[11:17] {Nesi} he was pretty good at this game
01[11:17] {@Threei} what is he doing these days?
[11:18] {Nesi} no clue
[11:18] {Nesi} i lost his email
01[11:19] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .60 break
01[11:19] {@Threei} If holds .70
[11:25] {RonS} Gov. Tom Wolf announces moratorium on death penalty in Pennsylvania (says being there penalty enough?)
01[11:26] {@Threei} lol
[11:27] {dino} hmmm, i'm from pennsylvania
01[11:49] {@Threei} sorry dino...
01[11:49] {@Threei} then again, nobody's perfect
[11:50] {dino} well, i'm for the death penalty
[11:50] {dino} and i know nemo would gladly administer it
01[11:51] {@Threei} I for one don't understand why we can't shoot them after administering injection
[11:53] {jfjf64} Fb .80 s?
[11:53] {dino} mx hl l .49
01[11:56] {@Threei} let's see how it handles this SPY drop
01[11:57] {@Threei} if holds well, it's a long
01[11:57] {@Threei} looks this way
[12:03] {dino} aspx spike
01[12:11] {@Threei} FB honestly trying
01[12:11] {@Threei} well... as much as FB and honesty can be used in the same line
01[12:16] {@Threei} which looks like not much
[12:27] {RonS} pxlw pressure
01[12:27] {@Threei} The S&P500 is back at all-time highs this morning while the DJIA is above 18,000 for the first time since late December. Both sides of the Greek situation continue to reiterate firmly held positions, although EU's European Commission President Juncker warned the EU is still far away from a deal with Greece.
01[12:44] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[12:44] {@Threei} If holds 31
01[13:06] {@Threei} trail to .04
01[13:22] {@Threei} 1:1
01[13:26] {@Threei} 1:2
01[13:29] {@Threei} 1:3
01[13:30] {@Threei} 1:4, out
01[13:30] {@Threei} [AAPL] Reportedly Apple is recruiting automobile specialists to work in its research lab - FT *NOTE: this report echoes some tech blog chatter this week that Apple could be intensifying efforts around the car market and might even consider designing its own automobile in the future.
[13:30] {RonS} nice, took it's sweet time ty
01[13:30] {@Threei} yw :)
01[13:31] {@Threei} while jw is on vacation, I can lose my cool a bit and add a smile to yw
[13:31] {jfjf64} Ty
01[13:31] {@Threei} :)
01[13:32] {@Threei} what happened to specializaion
01[13:32] {@Threei} AAPL makes cars?
01[13:32] {@Threei} who is going to supply fruit then
[13:32] {RonS} maybe car apps?
01[13:33] {@Threei} everyone is angling for world domination...
01[13:33] {@Threei} everyone has a little putin in them
01[13:34] {@Threei} ummm... it sounded better in my head
[13:34] {RonS} lol
01[13:34] {@Threei} one thing was when stewie griffin wanted world domination... he was cute
01[13:36] {@Threei} wow
[13:36] {jfjf64} AAPL lod
01[13:36] {@Threei} no news for the drop
01[13:36] {@Threei} who knew VXX had 1:7 in it
01[13:37] {@Threei} and little putin
[13:37] {jfjf64} Getting I car buiz
[13:40] {jfjf64} All have good weekend see ya tue Monday off
01[13:41] {@Threei} take care jf
[13:46] {RonS} gmcr spike
[13:46] {RonS} $GMCR Coke $KO descloses an amended stake
01[13:47] {@Threei} [GMCR] Coca Cola discloses amended stake (still 16% stake) - 13D/A filing
[13:51] {dino} amba blood
[14:24] {RonS} outta here...the boredom is killing me... see you Tuesday
01[14:24] {@Threei} take care ron
01[14:24] {@Threei} we will hire a clown
[14:28] {Nesi} have a good weekend all :)
[14:28] {dino} cya nesi
[14:28] {dino} cya ronzo
[14:28] {cosmo} Tuesday?
[14:29] {dino} closed monday, pres. day
[14:29] {cosmo} but pres day is so passe
[14:30] {cosmo} especially when you have to lump them
[14:30] {dino} i'm sure obummer will jazz it up
[14:31] {cosmo} yeah, someday he'll be part od it...
[14:31] {cosmo} of
[14:31] {dino} mx to .80
[14:31] {dino} out +.31
01[14:35] {@Threei} wtg
[14:36] {dino} ty
01[14:54] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .80 break
01[14:54] {@Threei} If holds .87
01[15:08] {@Threei} meh
[15:13] {dino} fish drop
01[15:25] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .25 break
01[15:25] {@Threei} If holds .15
01[15:25] {@Threei} last one for today
[15:37] {dino} slow afternoons
01[15:38] {@Threei} no kidding
01[15:42] {@Threei} ok, time for a long weekend relaxation... see you Tuesday, have a good one!
[15:43] {dino} cya 3i
Thursday, February 12, 2015
Feb 12 2015
Back and forth day, slightly positive but nothing to write home about
Session Time: Thu Feb 12 00:00:00 2015
[09:17] {dino} gm
01[09:18] {@Threei} dino, welcome back
[09:18] {RonS} gm, dino axp
01[09:18] {@Threei} navigated through the snow?
01[09:18] {@Threei} ron :)
[09:18] {RonS} axp losing cost in 2016
[09:19] {cosmo} need a capitol one card to shop there now
[09:23] {nemo} Ron had a comment about TSLA yet?
01[09:24] {@Threei} he is totally asleep on the job
[09:24] {RonS} musk stinks it up?
01[09:24] {@Threei} dereliction of duty
01[09:24] {@Threei} lol
[09:24] {nemo} Pavlov strikes again
[09:24] {RonS} cake took it in the face
[09:25] {RonS} scss springs higher
[09:25] {RonS} nemo prods ridiculousness...
[09:27] {dino} ugh, cybr calls sold while away, +2 /43%, but damn they went 4
[09:27] {nemo} stfu dino
01[09:27] {@Threei} https://www.facebook.com/VadymGraiferPhotography/photos/a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052/794425153970335/?type=1&theater
[09:27] {RonS} life's a bitch and then you golf...
[09:28] {dino} lol
01[09:28] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:28] {@Threei} -OW +22% (being acquired by Expedia for $12/shr)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -EXPE +12% (acquiring OWW for $12/shr)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -TRIP +15% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -CSCO +7.8% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -FEYE +6.3% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -NVDA +5.6% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -JAH +4.6% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -SKX +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -WWE +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -WFM +2.7% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ZU -25% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CAB -9% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -PNRA -8.7% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -TSLA -8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -FXCM -6.7% (Jan monthly metrics)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CAKE -6.6% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -AXP -6% (COST announcement)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -AAP -6% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -BIDU -5.8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -K -5% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -TSO -3.2% (earnings)
[09:32] {dino} smci calls sold while away +1.40/112%
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX ,60 break
[09:32] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:32] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:32] {@Threei} jf :)
01[09:33] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .60 break
01[09:36] {@Threei} If holds .50
[09:36] {jfjf64} twtr 20 break
[09:38] {jfjf64} 10
01[09:38] {@Threei} .10 I like
01[09:38] {@Threei} and 1:1
01[09:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 120 break
01[09:42] {@Threei} If holds .90
[09:42] {jfjf64} keep I on twtr
01[09:43] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:44] {jfjf64} had to drive to Syracuse pick son up college how was last 2 days
01[09:44] {@Threei} slow but positive
01[09:44] {@Threei} market was really waiting for Greece and Ukraine negotiations
01[09:44] {@Threei} IWM is on again
01[09:46] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:50] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:52] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM 59 break
01[09:52] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:52] {@Threei} 1:3 IWM
01[09:53] {@Threei} me out
01[09:55] {@Threei} JPM is not ready
[09:56] {jfjf64} watch twtr
[09:56] {jfjf64} bib pull bk
01[09:57] {@Threei} not liking how it behaves, jf
01[09:57] {@Threei} mib, see pm
[10:00] {jfjf64} .20
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC BUSINESS INVENTORIES: 0.1% V 0.2%E
[10:01] {jfjf64} fuck twtr
[10:01] {jfjf64} excuse me
01[10:01] {@Threei} told ya
[10:01] {nemo} kiss your mother with that mouth?
01[10:02] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .10 break
01[10:02] {@Threei} If holds 94
[10:05] {jfjf64} dal
[10:06] {nemo} FB
01[10:06] {@Threei} SPY goes for break
[10:06] {nemo} gap starts @.37
[10:08] {dino} lii spike
[10:10] {dino} rdus drop
01[10:13] {@Threei} finally
06[10:13] * @Threei slaps Nesi around a bit with a large trout
[10:13] {Nesi} hi all :)
01[10:13] {@Threei} hey nesi
[10:13] {nemo} Irish, huh?
01[10:13] {@Threei} lost your internet skills or what, lol... took two days to connect :)
[10:13] {dino} wow nesi!
01[10:14] {@Threei} 1:1 MCD
[10:14] {Nesi} yeah, took me some time to login
[10:14] {Nesi} hi dino!
[10:14] {nemo} we'll just call you Les
[10:15] {dino} welcome back
[10:15] {Nesi} thanks )
01[10:16] {@Threei} The agreement reached in Minsk does not guarantee a solid success in the coming days, French President Francois Hollande has said
01[10:16] {@Threei} you think??
[10:16] {RonS} lol
01[10:16] {@Threei} oh man, this one is even better:
01[10:16] {@Threei} Implementation key to Minsk agreement, says EU foreign policy chief
01[10:17] {@Threei} where do I sign for this position?
01[10:17] {@Threei} 1:2 MCD'
01[10:20] {@Threei} 1:3
[10:20] {nemo} strong and weak: http://goo.gl/ptgFZC
01[10:20] {@Threei} good boy
01[10:20] {@Threei} even though fat
01[10:20] {@Threei} and laden with cholesterol
01[10:20] {@Threei} I am out in full
01[10:25] {@Threei} very well might continue but tough to read it here
[10:26] {Nesi} vad, what is the server if i want to use Mirc?
01[10:26] {@Threei} just download configurator from Trading Room page, it will do everything automatically
[10:26] {Nesi} thanks
01[10:27] {@Threei} right under mibbit instructions
[10:27] {Nesi} k
01[10:27] {@Threei} Short Setup: DAL .40 break
01[10:27] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[10:29] {@Threei} MCD exit was good
01[10:30] {@Threei} no go DAL
01[10:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .30 break
01[10:33] {@Threei} If holds .20
[10:35] {nemo} drops .25 likely a short
01[10:39] {@Threei} I wouldn't
01[10:39] {@Threei} will rather see if .20 recross can be used as aggressdive entry if loses it and recovers quickly
[10:44] {dino} ppc sm l .85
01[10:50] {@Threei} 1:1 FB
[10:52] {RonS} ppc fried, eh?
01[10:53] {@Threei} lol
01[10:57] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .40 break
01[10:57] {@Threei} If holds .30
[10:59] {cosmo} Nesi finally comes out of the loch... thought we lost ya
01[11:01] {@Threei} that was just 3rd of his nine lives
[11:01] {cosmo} History Channel been looking for him too
[11:02] {dino} ppc to .16
[11:03] {dino} to .29
[11:04] {dino} to .35
[11:04] {dino} out .35, +.50 ppc
01[11:04] {@Threei} wtg
[11:04] {dino} ty
01[11:07] {@Threei} (US) PIMCO Exec commenting on total return fund: ECB's QE is drawing US yields lower
01[11:07] {@Threei} duh
[11:07] {RonS} works weekends as rocket scientist?
01[11:08] {@Threei} I am sure
01[11:08] {@Threei} he continued:
01[11:08] {@Threei} USD is at the beginning on what would be a long term upward trend
01[11:08] {@Threei} beginning, eh?
01[11:08] {@Threei} 3 years late and god knows how many USDs short
[11:09] {RonS} continuing more...btw i have never looked at a chart in my life...
01[11:09] {@Threei} 'USD is going to be king again" - who said that and how long ago?
01[11:09] {@Threei} hehe
01[11:10] {@Threei} (GR) Greece, in its discussions with the Eurogroup said to have rejected a 3-6 month extension of the bailout; all countries in the EMU rejected Greece's request for a new deal
[11:10] {cosmo} How far do stocks have to fall for that stronger dollar?
[11:10] {dino} funny, couple years ago everybody said usd dead
01[11:10] {@Threei} why do they have to fall?
01[11:11] {@Threei} not me dino
[11:11] {cosmo} the math says so
01[11:11] {@Threei} that's some weird math
[11:11] {RonS} who's math?
01[11:11] {@Threei} there were many periods when USD and stock market went up together
[11:12] {cosmo} but rising stocks make the dollar weak...right?
[11:12] {nemo} no
01[11:12] {@Threei} huh?
[11:12] {RonS} wow
01[11:12] {@Threei} where di that come from?
[11:12] {nemo} stand up cosmo, take the pressure off your brain
[11:12] {dino} lesson of the story, never give up currency control
[11:13] {cosmo} rising stocks costs more dollars = weaker dollars
01[11:14] {@Threei} this is not the way it works, cosmo... not even close
[11:14] {cosmo} oh
[11:14] {RonS} dino, oh, you mean like the US did in 1913?
01[11:14] {@Threei} 3 years ago, when I dropped that "USD is about to reaffirm itself as king" goldbugs everywhere were pointing fingers at me and laughed
01[11:15] {@Threei} too bad I am not the one to say "told ya so"
01[11:15] {@Threei} wait... I am!
[11:15] {RonS} ...can testify to that here...
[11:15] {dino} euro lovers said euro would become reserve currency, lol
01[11:15] {@Threei} sure... for museums
[11:15] {RonS} lol
[11:15] {cosmo} hmm
01[11:16] {@Threei} "once in 21 century, they decided to create single currency for 27 countries in Europe, kids"
01[11:16] {@Threei} kids: really? they were this stupid back then?
01[11:17] {@Threei} guide: now now, kids... be polite. To stupid people
01[11:18] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .15 break
01[11:18] {@Threei} If holds .25
01[11:18] {@Threei} SUNE Seeing call activity3K Apr 26 calls trade at $0.46
[11:19] {cosmo} Being polite has always been my biggest challenge
01[11:20] {@Threei} why don't you ask nemo for guidance
01[11:20] {@Threei} he is the best at failing that challenge
01[11:21] {@Threei} every time when he tries to say "pass me salt darling" what comes out is strangely similar to "bitch, you destroyed my life"
[11:21] {cosmo} think so? Failure is the best teacher...
[11:22] {cosmo} so he has a little edge...
01[11:22] {@Threei} I'll say
01[11:23] {@Threei} but that's what we value him for
[11:23] {nemo} and a backhoe, tons of lime and barrels of sulphuric acid
[11:23] {cosmo} ah...gotcha
01[11:23] {@Threei} friend with a backhoe... can't put a price on that
01[11:23] {@Threei} 1:1 FB
[11:24] {nemo} don't worry cosmo, your only on the list in pencil............so far
[11:24] {nemo} you're
01[11:24] {@Threei} GRRRRR
01[11:25] {@Threei} you're-your is second only to they're-their-there are among things I can't forgive
01[11:25] {@Threei} 1:2
01[11:25] {@Threei} then again, he has a backhoe...
[11:25] {nemo} shall we talk about your use of articles?
01[11:26] {@Threei} and when I call and say "listen, I have this problem" he only asks when the body has to be hidden - not even "where":
01[11:26] {@Threei} no, articles are not the sibject to discuss... I refuse to admit their existence
[11:26] {nemo} what body?
01[11:27] {@Threei} right
01[11:27] {@Threei} I mean, English has many strange twists and turns, but A and THE take the cake
[11:27] {nemo} as an old friend said to me a looooong time ago, as we were standing next to his home incinerator, "Doing the deed is nothing, getting rid of the body is always a problem"
01[11:27] {@Threei} totally meaningless invention
01[11:34] {@Threei} OSCE chief admits being unable to identify Russian soldiers among militants
01[11:35] {@Threei} seriously? passports, military papers and interrigation resuts where they name their divisions and commanders is not enough?
01[11:39] {@Threei} closed last piece FB on a trail
[11:57] {Nesi} vad, are you still using tradeideas as a scanner?
01[11:57] {@Threei} intelliscan
01[11:57] {@Threei} version of TI
[11:58] {Nesi} better?
01[11:58] {@Threei} same engine, some of proprietary setups added
01[12:01] {@Threei} JPM
01[12:01] {@Threei} .40 breakout forms, but let's try for DKTK here
01[12:02] {@Threei} let it break, reverse, drop under .30
01[12:02] {@Threei} then buy on recross
01[12:07] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .30 break
01[12:07] {@Threei} If holds .25
01[12:10] {@Threei} change to .25 break
01[12:10] {@Threei} If holds .20
01[12:12] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:16] {@Threei} ok JPM, show us what you are made off
01[12:24] {@Threei} (UR) Ukraine President Poroshenko: Minsk negotiations were difficult, implementation of accords will be very complicated
01[12:24] {@Threei} upon reading it in full, I'd say a snowball in 500F oven has better chance to increase in size and freeze entire kitchen than this agreement to be implemented
01[12:28] {@Threei} meanwhile, something we are likely to read 30 years from now and nod in "yeah, still" recognition:
01[12:28] {@Threei} (GR) Greek officials to meet with troika officials on Friday, February 13th to prepare for higher level talks next week - Troika meeting with Greek officials will seek to assess common ground between the current bailout program and the Greek govt proposal that was outlined yesterday.
06[12:42] * @Threei kicks JOM in the rear
01[12:42] {@Threei} JPM that is
01[12:45] {@Threei} hmmm... I must have kicked it in the wrong rear
01[12:46] {@Threei} is there such thing as front rear?
[12:50] {Nesi} i live in miami now, in sunny isles,
[12:50] {nemo} hate you
[12:50] {Nesi} finally no snow for me
01[12:50] {@Threei} lol
[12:50] {RonS} lol
[12:51] {dino} wind chills tonight going to -30 f
01[12:51] {@Threei} that's nothing, you should see what nemo writes me back when gets e-mails with my winter photos
[12:51] {Nesi} geeee
[12:51] {dino} been in deep freeze here for three weeks
[12:51] {Nesi} where is maggoo now...dino
[12:52] {dino} on the road
01[12:52] {@Threei} I mean, this is my January: http://www.arrestinglight.com/blog/2015/2/january-blah
[12:52] {Nesi} does not trade anymore?
[12:52] {Nesi} nice pics
[12:52] {dino} no, quit about 4 years ago
01[12:56] {@Threei} see how .40 break would have failed while agreesive entry worked?
[12:59] {dino} cramer ragging tsla big time, "mo, larry, & curly had better conference calls"
[13:01] {Nesi} CNBC is not what it was years ago
[13:01] {Nesi} no mo mojo
[13:02] {Nesi} i miss Maria
01[13:02] {@Threei} she is fox news now
[13:02] {Nesi} yes
01[13:02] {@Threei} not as foxy as used to be though
[13:02] {RonS} and no longer a fox...
[13:02] {Nesi} agree
01[13:03] {@Threei} ron... this is scary
[13:05] {dino} i don't usually agree w/cramer, but i think tsla is the a huge short
[13:10] {dino} sold mei calls +.55 / 26%
[13:14] {RonS} ...weak... :)
01[13:16] {@Threei} trail JPM balance to .29
01[13:23] {@Threei} (US) President Obama to soon announce executive order on cyber security and data - Will direct the US govt and corporations to share more information on cybersecurity threats.
[13:24] {RonS} am i the only one who finds that totally unsecure?
01[13:25] {@Threei} I would say I am with you but we already did the same joke on maria/fox...
[13:26] {RonS} pucker reflex: "we're from the government and we"re here to help"...
01[13:28] {@Threei} [BP] Ticks higher on press speculation of possible combination with Exxon, notwithstanding regulatory hurdles - Article notes XOM is capable of acquiring any rival despite the regulatory obstacle
[13:28] {RonS} true story, had an econ prof who would grab his ass and say "ohh, ohh...that makes me pucker"...coupla years later some feminists ganged up on him and said it was sexual harrassment and got him fired...
01[13:29] {@Threei} what was he thinking... should have grabbed someone else's ass
[13:30] {cosmo} he failed to do just that
01[13:31] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[13:31] {@Threei} If holds 32
01[13:34] {@Threei} Invalidated
[13:35] {dino} slxp spike
[13:38] {dino} vsm s .54
01[13:40] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 32 break
01[13:40] {@Threei} If holds .90
[13:41] {dino} slxp stop
[13:42] {RonS} Sources report that Valeant $VRX is to secure funding for a USD 150/shr acquisition of Salix $SLXP
[13:49] {dino} slxp smr s .00
01[13:50] {@Threei} stop to .94
[13:55] {jfjf64} computer probs all day
01[13:56] {@Threei} too bad... missed a few plays
[14:00] {jfjf64} fb short here
[14:00] {jfjf64} imo
[14:45] {dino} cov slxp .43, +1.57
01[14:45] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .75 break
01[14:45] {@Threei} If holds .65
01[14:55] {@Threei} TWTR goes for day high
01[14:55] {@Threei} come on SPY, break
01[14:59] {@Threei} time to, umm, how do you aspell it... eeqxsplozhion?
01[14:59] {@Threei} I feel like I missed a "k" in there somewhere
01[15:00] {@Threei} either before or after q
01[15:16] {@Threei} oh come on already
01[15:17] {@Threei} while some of us are young
01[15:17] {@Threei} too late for me, but heck, nemo is about to get the right to buy beer
[15:18] {RonS} lol
01[15:24] {@Threei} time for out eod float up
01[15:24] {@Threei} our*
[15:24] {nemo} ATHs a pube away
01[15:24] {@Threei} SPY?
[15:24] {nemo} yep
[15:25] {nemo} don't count that silly spike that day
[15:26] {Nesi} how was the trading so far ...
01[15:27] {@Threei} talking about last year? week? hour?
[15:31] {dino} added some grek calls
01[15:32] {@Threei} looks good to 15
[15:33] {dino} nesi, trades a bit slow for me, but i was away for few days, so getting the feel back
01[15:33] {@Threei} unless something happens
[15:33] {dino} seeing the same 3i
01[15:34] {@Threei} then again... if something positive happens, 17 is not pout of question
01[15:34] {@Threei} frikin IWM
[15:34] {dino} added a few nbg's too, wtf
01[15:36] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .90 break
01[15:37] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[15:39] {@Threei} nah
01[15:45] {@Threei} tough read on these closing convulsions
01[15:45] {@Threei} was much clearer yesterday
[15:45] {nemo} spy just took out the ATH
01[15:48] {@Threei} trying for a closing scalp
01[15:48] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .30 break
01[15:48] {@Threei} If holds .25
01[15:48] {@Threei} very tight stop
[15:48] {nemo} VXX tomorrow
[15:48] {nemo} long weekend
[15:49] {nemo} 200 day @.24
01[15:49] {@Threei} again?
[15:49] {nemo} yep
01[15:49] {@Threei} hiwe many long weekends you guys have
01[15:49] {@Threei} what is this one for?
[15:49] {nemo} 200 day @.21
[15:49] {nemo} Presidents Day
01[15:49] {@Threei} oh god
[15:49] {nemo} no....Presidents
01[15:50] {@Threei} thanks goodness not a day for each of them
01[15:50] {@Threei} one for all
01[15:50] {@Threei} for the whole bunch so to speak
[15:50] {nemo} Used to be Washington's Birthday and Lincoln's but they put them together so Martin Luther King could have his own day
01[15:50] {@Threei} makes sense (almost)
01[15:51] {@Threei} OK guys, thank you all
01[15:51] {@Threei} have a good evening
01[15:51] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Session Time: Thu Feb 12 00:00:00 2015
[09:17] {dino} gm
01[09:18] {@Threei} dino, welcome back
[09:18] {RonS} gm, dino axp
01[09:18] {@Threei} navigated through the snow?
01[09:18] {@Threei} ron :)
[09:18] {RonS} axp losing cost in 2016
[09:19] {cosmo} need a capitol one card to shop there now
[09:23] {nemo} Ron had a comment about TSLA yet?
01[09:24] {@Threei} he is totally asleep on the job
[09:24] {RonS} musk stinks it up?
01[09:24] {@Threei} dereliction of duty
01[09:24] {@Threei} lol
[09:24] {nemo} Pavlov strikes again
[09:24] {RonS} cake took it in the face
[09:25] {RonS} scss springs higher
[09:25] {RonS} nemo prods ridiculousness...
[09:27] {dino} ugh, cybr calls sold while away, +2 /43%, but damn they went 4
[09:27] {nemo} stfu dino
01[09:27] {@Threei} https://www.facebook.com/VadymGraiferPhotography/photos/a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052/794425153970335/?type=1&theater
[09:27] {RonS} life's a bitch and then you golf...
[09:28] {dino} lol
01[09:28] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:28] {@Threei} -OW +22% (being acquired by Expedia for $12/shr)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -EXPE +12% (acquiring OWW for $12/shr)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -TRIP +15% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -CSCO +7.8% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -FEYE +6.3% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -NVDA +5.6% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -JAH +4.6% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -SKX +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -WWE +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei} -WFM +2.7% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:29] {@Threei} -ZU -25% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CAB -9% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -PNRA -8.7% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -TSLA -8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -FXCM -6.7% (Jan monthly metrics)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -CAKE -6.6% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -AXP -6% (COST announcement)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -AAP -6% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -BIDU -5.8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -K -5% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei} -TSO -3.2% (earnings)
[09:32] {dino} smci calls sold while away +1.40/112%
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX ,60 break
[09:32] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:32] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[09:32] {@Threei} jf :)
01[09:33] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .60 break
01[09:36] {@Threei} If holds .50
[09:36] {jfjf64} twtr 20 break
[09:38] {jfjf64} 10
01[09:38] {@Threei} .10 I like
01[09:38] {@Threei} and 1:1
01[09:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 120 break
01[09:42] {@Threei} If holds .90
[09:42] {jfjf64} keep I on twtr
01[09:43] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:44] {jfjf64} had to drive to Syracuse pick son up college how was last 2 days
01[09:44] {@Threei} slow but positive
01[09:44] {@Threei} market was really waiting for Greece and Ukraine negotiations
01[09:44] {@Threei} IWM is on again
01[09:46] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:50] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:52] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM 59 break
01[09:52] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:52] {@Threei} 1:3 IWM
01[09:53] {@Threei} me out
01[09:55] {@Threei} JPM is not ready
[09:56] {jfjf64} watch twtr
[09:56] {jfjf64} bib pull bk
01[09:57] {@Threei} not liking how it behaves, jf
01[09:57] {@Threei} mib, see pm
[10:00] {jfjf64} .20
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC BUSINESS INVENTORIES: 0.1% V 0.2%E
[10:01] {jfjf64} fuck twtr
[10:01] {jfjf64} excuse me
01[10:01] {@Threei} told ya
[10:01] {nemo} kiss your mother with that mouth?
01[10:02] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .10 break
01[10:02] {@Threei} If holds 94
[10:05] {jfjf64} dal
[10:06] {nemo} FB
01[10:06] {@Threei} SPY goes for break
[10:06] {nemo} gap starts @.37
[10:08] {dino} lii spike
[10:10] {dino} rdus drop
01[10:13] {@Threei} finally
06[10:13] * @Threei slaps Nesi around a bit with a large trout
[10:13] {Nesi} hi all :)
01[10:13] {@Threei} hey nesi
[10:13] {nemo} Irish, huh?
01[10:13] {@Threei} lost your internet skills or what, lol... took two days to connect :)
[10:13] {dino} wow nesi!
01[10:14] {@Threei} 1:1 MCD
[10:14] {Nesi} yeah, took me some time to login
[10:14] {Nesi} hi dino!
[10:14] {nemo} we'll just call you Les
[10:15] {dino} welcome back
[10:15] {Nesi} thanks )
01[10:16] {@Threei} The agreement reached in Minsk does not guarantee a solid success in the coming days, French President Francois Hollande has said
01[10:16] {@Threei} you think??
[10:16] {RonS} lol
01[10:16] {@Threei} oh man, this one is even better:
01[10:16] {@Threei} Implementation key to Minsk agreement, says EU foreign policy chief
01[10:17] {@Threei} where do I sign for this position?
01[10:17] {@Threei} 1:2 MCD'
01[10:20] {@Threei} 1:3
[10:20] {nemo} strong and weak: http://goo.gl/ptgFZC
01[10:20] {@Threei} good boy
01[10:20] {@Threei} even though fat
01[10:20] {@Threei} and laden with cholesterol
01[10:20] {@Threei} I am out in full
01[10:25] {@Threei} very well might continue but tough to read it here
[10:26] {Nesi} vad, what is the server if i want to use Mirc?
01[10:26] {@Threei} just download configurator from Trading Room page, it will do everything automatically
[10:26] {Nesi} thanks
01[10:27] {@Threei} right under mibbit instructions
[10:27] {Nesi} k
01[10:27] {@Threei} Short Setup: DAL .40 break
01[10:27] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[10:29] {@Threei} MCD exit was good
01[10:30] {@Threei} no go DAL
01[10:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .30 break
01[10:33] {@Threei} If holds .20
[10:35] {nemo} drops .25 likely a short
01[10:39] {@Threei} I wouldn't
01[10:39] {@Threei} will rather see if .20 recross can be used as aggressdive entry if loses it and recovers quickly
[10:44] {dino} ppc sm l .85
01[10:50] {@Threei} 1:1 FB
[10:52] {RonS} ppc fried, eh?
01[10:53] {@Threei} lol
01[10:57] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .40 break
01[10:57] {@Threei} If holds .30
[10:59] {cosmo} Nesi finally comes out of the loch... thought we lost ya
01[11:01] {@Threei} that was just 3rd of his nine lives
[11:01] {cosmo} History Channel been looking for him too
[11:02] {dino} ppc to .16
[11:03] {dino} to .29
[11:04] {dino} to .35
[11:04] {dino} out .35, +.50 ppc
01[11:04] {@Threei} wtg
[11:04] {dino} ty
01[11:07] {@Threei} (US) PIMCO Exec commenting on total return fund: ECB's QE is drawing US yields lower
01[11:07] {@Threei} duh
[11:07] {RonS} works weekends as rocket scientist?
01[11:08] {@Threei} I am sure
01[11:08] {@Threei} he continued:
01[11:08] {@Threei} USD is at the beginning on what would be a long term upward trend
01[11:08] {@Threei} beginning, eh?
01[11:08] {@Threei} 3 years late and god knows how many USDs short
[11:09] {RonS} continuing more...btw i have never looked at a chart in my life...
01[11:09] {@Threei} 'USD is going to be king again" - who said that and how long ago?
01[11:09] {@Threei} hehe
01[11:10] {@Threei} (GR) Greece, in its discussions with the Eurogroup said to have rejected a 3-6 month extension of the bailout; all countries in the EMU rejected Greece's request for a new deal
[11:10] {cosmo} How far do stocks have to fall for that stronger dollar?
[11:10] {dino} funny, couple years ago everybody said usd dead
01[11:10] {@Threei} why do they have to fall?
01[11:11] {@Threei} not me dino
[11:11] {cosmo} the math says so
01[11:11] {@Threei} that's some weird math
[11:11] {RonS} who's math?
01[11:11] {@Threei} there were many periods when USD and stock market went up together
[11:12] {cosmo} but rising stocks make the dollar weak...right?
[11:12] {nemo} no
01[11:12] {@Threei} huh?
[11:12] {RonS} wow
01[11:12] {@Threei} where di that come from?
[11:12] {nemo} stand up cosmo, take the pressure off your brain
[11:12] {dino} lesson of the story, never give up currency control
[11:13] {cosmo} rising stocks costs more dollars = weaker dollars
01[11:14] {@Threei} this is not the way it works, cosmo... not even close
[11:14] {cosmo} oh
[11:14] {RonS} dino, oh, you mean like the US did in 1913?
01[11:14] {@Threei} 3 years ago, when I dropped that "USD is about to reaffirm itself as king" goldbugs everywhere were pointing fingers at me and laughed
01[11:15] {@Threei} too bad I am not the one to say "told ya so"
01[11:15] {@Threei} wait... I am!
[11:15] {RonS} ...can testify to that here...
[11:15] {dino} euro lovers said euro would become reserve currency, lol
01[11:15] {@Threei} sure... for museums
[11:15] {RonS} lol
[11:15] {cosmo} hmm
01[11:16] {@Threei} "once in 21 century, they decided to create single currency for 27 countries in Europe, kids"
01[11:16] {@Threei} kids: really? they were this stupid back then?
01[11:17] {@Threei} guide: now now, kids... be polite. To stupid people
01[11:18] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB .15 break
01[11:18] {@Threei} If holds .25
01[11:18] {@Threei} SUNE Seeing call activity3K Apr 26 calls trade at $0.46
[11:19] {cosmo} Being polite has always been my biggest challenge
01[11:20] {@Threei} why don't you ask nemo for guidance
01[11:20] {@Threei} he is the best at failing that challenge
01[11:21] {@Threei} every time when he tries to say "pass me salt darling" what comes out is strangely similar to "bitch, you destroyed my life"
[11:21] {cosmo} think so? Failure is the best teacher...
[11:22] {cosmo} so he has a little edge...
01[11:22] {@Threei} I'll say
01[11:23] {@Threei} but that's what we value him for
[11:23] {nemo} and a backhoe, tons of lime and barrels of sulphuric acid
[11:23] {cosmo} ah...gotcha
01[11:23] {@Threei} friend with a backhoe... can't put a price on that
01[11:23] {@Threei} 1:1 FB
[11:24] {nemo} don't worry cosmo, your only on the list in pencil............so far
[11:24] {nemo} you're
01[11:24] {@Threei} GRRRRR
01[11:25] {@Threei} you're-your is second only to they're-their-there are among things I can't forgive
01[11:25] {@Threei} 1:2
01[11:25] {@Threei} then again, he has a backhoe...
[11:25] {nemo} shall we talk about your use of articles?
01[11:26] {@Threei} and when I call and say "listen, I have this problem" he only asks when the body has to be hidden - not even "where":
01[11:26] {@Threei} no, articles are not the sibject to discuss... I refuse to admit their existence
[11:26] {nemo} what body?
01[11:27] {@Threei} right
01[11:27] {@Threei} I mean, English has many strange twists and turns, but A and THE take the cake
[11:27] {nemo} as an old friend said to me a looooong time ago, as we were standing next to his home incinerator, "Doing the deed is nothing, getting rid of the body is always a problem"
01[11:27] {@Threei} totally meaningless invention
01[11:34] {@Threei} OSCE chief admits being unable to identify Russian soldiers among militants
01[11:35] {@Threei} seriously? passports, military papers and interrigation resuts where they name their divisions and commanders is not enough?
01[11:39] {@Threei} closed last piece FB on a trail
[11:57] {Nesi} vad, are you still using tradeideas as a scanner?
01[11:57] {@Threei} intelliscan
01[11:57] {@Threei} version of TI
[11:58] {Nesi} better?
01[11:58] {@Threei} same engine, some of proprietary setups added
01[12:01] {@Threei} JPM
01[12:01] {@Threei} .40 breakout forms, but let's try for DKTK here
01[12:02] {@Threei} let it break, reverse, drop under .30
01[12:02] {@Threei} then buy on recross
01[12:07] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .30 break
01[12:07] {@Threei} If holds .25
01[12:10] {@Threei} change to .25 break
01[12:10] {@Threei} If holds .20
01[12:12] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:16] {@Threei} ok JPM, show us what you are made off
01[12:24] {@Threei} (UR) Ukraine President Poroshenko: Minsk negotiations were difficult, implementation of accords will be very complicated
01[12:24] {@Threei} upon reading it in full, I'd say a snowball in 500F oven has better chance to increase in size and freeze entire kitchen than this agreement to be implemented
01[12:28] {@Threei} meanwhile, something we are likely to read 30 years from now and nod in "yeah, still" recognition:
01[12:28] {@Threei} (GR) Greek officials to meet with troika officials on Friday, February 13th to prepare for higher level talks next week - Troika meeting with Greek officials will seek to assess common ground between the current bailout program and the Greek govt proposal that was outlined yesterday.
06[12:42] * @Threei kicks JOM in the rear
01[12:42] {@Threei} JPM that is
01[12:45] {@Threei} hmmm... I must have kicked it in the wrong rear
01[12:46] {@Threei} is there such thing as front rear?
[12:50] {Nesi} i live in miami now, in sunny isles,
[12:50] {nemo} hate you
[12:50] {Nesi} finally no snow for me
01[12:50] {@Threei} lol
[12:50] {RonS} lol
[12:51] {dino} wind chills tonight going to -30 f
01[12:51] {@Threei} that's nothing, you should see what nemo writes me back when gets e-mails with my winter photos
[12:51] {Nesi} geeee
[12:51] {dino} been in deep freeze here for three weeks
[12:51] {Nesi} where is maggoo now...dino
[12:52] {dino} on the road
01[12:52] {@Threei} I mean, this is my January: http://www.arrestinglight.com/blog/2015/2/january-blah
[12:52] {Nesi} does not trade anymore?
[12:52] {Nesi} nice pics
[12:52] {dino} no, quit about 4 years ago
01[12:56] {@Threei} see how .40 break would have failed while agreesive entry worked?
[12:59] {dino} cramer ragging tsla big time, "mo, larry, & curly had better conference calls"
[13:01] {Nesi} CNBC is not what it was years ago
[13:01] {Nesi} no mo mojo
[13:02] {Nesi} i miss Maria
01[13:02] {@Threei} she is fox news now
[13:02] {Nesi} yes
01[13:02] {@Threei} not as foxy as used to be though
[13:02] {RonS} and no longer a fox...
[13:02] {Nesi} agree
01[13:03] {@Threei} ron... this is scary
[13:05] {dino} i don't usually agree w/cramer, but i think tsla is the a huge short
[13:10] {dino} sold mei calls +.55 / 26%
[13:14] {RonS} ...weak... :)
01[13:16] {@Threei} trail JPM balance to .29
01[13:23] {@Threei} (US) President Obama to soon announce executive order on cyber security and data - Will direct the US govt and corporations to share more information on cybersecurity threats.
[13:24] {RonS} am i the only one who finds that totally unsecure?
01[13:25] {@Threei} I would say I am with you but we already did the same joke on maria/fox...
[13:26] {RonS} pucker reflex: "we're from the government and we"re here to help"...
01[13:28] {@Threei} [BP] Ticks higher on press speculation of possible combination with Exxon, notwithstanding regulatory hurdles - Article notes XOM is capable of acquiring any rival despite the regulatory obstacle
[13:28] {RonS} true story, had an econ prof who would grab his ass and say "ohh, ohh...that makes me pucker"...coupla years later some feminists ganged up on him and said it was sexual harrassment and got him fired...
01[13:29] {@Threei} what was he thinking... should have grabbed someone else's ass
[13:30] {cosmo} he failed to do just that
01[13:31] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[13:31] {@Threei} If holds 32
01[13:34] {@Threei} Invalidated
[13:35] {dino} slxp spike
[13:38] {dino} vsm s .54
01[13:40] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 32 break
01[13:40] {@Threei} If holds .90
[13:41] {dino} slxp stop
[13:42] {RonS} Sources report that Valeant $VRX is to secure funding for a USD 150/shr acquisition of Salix $SLXP
[13:49] {dino} slxp smr s .00
01[13:50] {@Threei} stop to .94
[13:55] {jfjf64} computer probs all day
01[13:56] {@Threei} too bad... missed a few plays
[14:00] {jfjf64} fb short here
[14:00] {jfjf64} imo
[14:45] {dino} cov slxp .43, +1.57
01[14:45] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .75 break
01[14:45] {@Threei} If holds .65
01[14:55] {@Threei} TWTR goes for day high
01[14:55] {@Threei} come on SPY, break
01[14:59] {@Threei} time to, umm, how do you aspell it... eeqxsplozhion?
01[14:59] {@Threei} I feel like I missed a "k" in there somewhere
01[15:00] {@Threei} either before or after q
01[15:16] {@Threei} oh come on already
01[15:17] {@Threei} while some of us are young
01[15:17] {@Threei} too late for me, but heck, nemo is about to get the right to buy beer
[15:18] {RonS} lol
01[15:24] {@Threei} time for out eod float up
01[15:24] {@Threei} our*
[15:24] {nemo} ATHs a pube away
01[15:24] {@Threei} SPY?
[15:24] {nemo} yep
[15:25] {nemo} don't count that silly spike that day
[15:26] {Nesi} how was the trading so far ...
01[15:27] {@Threei} talking about last year? week? hour?
[15:31] {dino} added some grek calls
01[15:32] {@Threei} looks good to 15
[15:33] {dino} nesi, trades a bit slow for me, but i was away for few days, so getting the feel back
01[15:33] {@Threei} unless something happens
[15:33] {dino} seeing the same 3i
01[15:34] {@Threei} then again... if something positive happens, 17 is not pout of question
01[15:34] {@Threei} frikin IWM
[15:34] {dino} added a few nbg's too, wtf
01[15:36] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .90 break
01[15:37] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[15:39] {@Threei} nah
01[15:45] {@Threei} tough read on these closing convulsions
01[15:45] {@Threei} was much clearer yesterday
[15:45] {nemo} spy just took out the ATH
01[15:48] {@Threei} trying for a closing scalp
01[15:48] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .30 break
01[15:48] {@Threei} If holds .25
01[15:48] {@Threei} very tight stop
[15:48] {nemo} VXX tomorrow
[15:48] {nemo} long weekend
[15:49] {nemo} 200 day @.24
01[15:49] {@Threei} again?
[15:49] {nemo} yep
01[15:49] {@Threei} hiwe many long weekends you guys have
01[15:49] {@Threei} what is this one for?
[15:49] {nemo} 200 day @.21
[15:49] {nemo} Presidents Day
01[15:49] {@Threei} oh god
[15:49] {nemo} no....Presidents
01[15:50] {@Threei} thanks goodness not a day for each of them
01[15:50] {@Threei} one for all
01[15:50] {@Threei} for the whole bunch so to speak
[15:50] {nemo} Used to be Washington's Birthday and Lincoln's but they put them together so Martin Luther King could have his own day
01[15:50] {@Threei} makes sense (almost)
01[15:51] {@Threei} OK guys, thank you all
01[15:51] {@Threei} have a good evening
01[15:51] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Wednesday, February 11, 2015
Feb 11 2015
Decent day again, with two 1:3ers on IWM finishing the session
Session Time: Wed Feb 11 00:00:00 2015
01[09:11] {@Threei} as if each alone drama was not enough, today both of them take place at the same time, Greece and Ukraine
[09:14] {nemo} 622k spy, gonna be a slow Fed Minutes day
01[09:14] {@Threei} Fed minutes take third place today
[09:14] {nemo} what else?
01[09:14] {@Threei} [09:11] {@Threei} as if each alone drama was not enough, today both of them take place at the same time, Greece and Ukraine
01[09:15] {@Threei} extraordinary meeting on Greece, last chance negotiations on Ukraine
01[09:15] {@Threei} and, well... Williams is suspended
01[09:15] {@Threei} and Stewart is leaving
01[09:15] {@Threei} man... life unravels
01[09:16] {@Threei} dino is missing so much
[09:16] {nemo} and my liquor store was out of my favorite vodka
01[09:17] {@Threei} but jf probably found some in the basem,ent
01[09:21] {@Threei} http://www.cheknews.ca/seal-vs-octopus/
01[09:22] {@Threei} saw this twice already, at this same place
01[09:26] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -BLDP +46% (announced $80M services and IP transfer agreement with Volkswagen)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -DGLY +14% (recent orders for cloud-based FleetVU manager software solution continues to expand among commercial fleet operators)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -RAD +8.5% (acquiring independent pharmacy benefit manager EnvisionRx for $2B)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GNW +8.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GNRC +7.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -VOYA +6% -LO +0.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -LGF +5.5% (Stock Exchange Agreement with Affiliates of John Malone)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -AKAM +4.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -ARMH +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -PIR -33% (guided FY15 lower)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -PXD -4.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -LPX -1.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -CERN -1.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -TSLA -1.4% (poor China sales, delayed earnings release & call)
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .55 break
01[09:32] {@Threei} If holds .45
01[09:32] {@Threei} not yet
01[09:35] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[09:35] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[09:36] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .10 break
01[09:39] {@Threei} If holds 94
01[09:40] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:44] {@Threei} Short Setup: BBY .05 break
01[09:44] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:45] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:51] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:51] {@Threei} and closed on a trtail
01[09:56] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM 58 break
01[09:56] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[09:56] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:57] {nemo} whoa finnies just shot up
[09:57] {nemo} news?
[09:57] {cosmo} Late for work?: http://www.rense.com/general96/7uWYD7u.jpg
01[09:58] {@Threei} no news
01[10:05] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM 25 break
01[10:05] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[10:06] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:11] {@Threei} (GR) Eurogroup's Dijsselbloem: ministers today will listen to Greece's plan proposal; Do not expect any outcomes from the Eurogroup meeting today
01[10:13] {@Threei} Short Setup: WMT .80 break
01[10:13] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[10:14] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:18] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .50 break
01[10:18] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:21] {@Threei} stop to .44
01[10:22] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:25] {@Threei} 1:2
01[10:27] {@Threei} cholesterol isn't a bad guy anymore: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/02/10/feds-poised-to-withdraw-longstanding-warnings-about-dietary-cholesterol/
[10:28] {nemo} yeah saw that...big about face on lots of dietary stuff over the last year
01[10:28] {@Threei} about time
01[10:29] {@Threei} to ignore sugar but make eggs a problem, idiocy incorporated
[10:43] {cosmo} My doc said red wine and beer are the best things for me to keep my HDL up.
01[10:45] {@Threei} he didn't add whiskey to the list??
01[10:45] {@Threei} you may want to change your doctor
01[10:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM 58 break
[10:46] {cosmo} nope only beer and red wine work for raising HDL
01[10:46] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[11:00] {@Threei} Invalidated
[11:00] {nemo} grind up day
01[11:14] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .70 break
01[11:14] {@Threei} If holds .65
01[11:17] {@Threei} meh
01[11:30] {@Threei} wow
01[11:31] {@Threei} no news
01[11:51] {@Threei} (EU) Greece Fin Min Varoufakis reiterates that Greece will not leave the EMU
01[11:51] {@Threei} that's all? storm is over?
01[12:01] {@Threei} The Greece situation has taken a turn towards stalemate today, dispelling recent hopes that Greece's conciliatory proposals could lead to a rapid agreement with the Europeans. German officials said they did not expect the EU to offer Athens any concessions and warned there was little chance of a deal at today's Euro Group meeting or the upcoming EU leaders' summit on Feb 12th.
01[12:01] {@Threei} German Finance Minister Schaeuble warned that if Greece refuses to accept the final €7 billion tranche of the current bailout program then "it's over."
01[12:01] {@Threei} but... Greece Fin Min Varoufakis reiterates that Greece will not leave the EMU
01[12:01] {@Threei} lol
01[12:01] {@Threei} Germany: shut up nd take my money
01[12:02] {@Threei} Meanwhile in Minsk, French President Hollande, German Chancellor Merkel, Russia President Putin and Ukraine's Poroshenko are meeting in a last-ditch effort to conclude a ceasefire deal for eastern Ukraine
[12:04] {RonS} Atheist tea party-hater, Rachel Maddow fan guns down 3 Muslims; MSM downplays his politics
[12:13] {RonS} Report: Crime, Anti-American Harassment in Russia Grows
01[12:15] {@Threei} exponentially
01[12:16] {@Threei} America was always cited as #1 enemy, in soviet times. But I've never seen anything like today
[12:16] {nemo} easy target
01[12:16] {@Threei} Media pump real antiwest hysteria
01[12:17] {@Threei} every toothless alcoholic in siberia village believes his misfortune is caused by America
01[12:30] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .65 break
01[12:30] {@Threei} If holds .55
01[12:38] {@Threei} Invalidated
[12:39] {RonS} Obama: "Cold war lens" is clouding Putin’s mind http://bloom.bg/1E9NMqP
01[12:39] {@Threei} I am afraid he is past that stage
01[12:40] {@Threei} it's actual hot war that is on the plate before him now
01[12:41] {@Threei} if you guys heard the rhetoric on russian TV these days, you wouldn't believe it
01[12:41] {@Threei} "let's cover US with radioactive ashes"
01[12:43] {@Threei} Goldman chief commodities researcher Currie: oil market is a long way from getting back to balance, price rebound has gotten ahead of itself - CNBC interview - Expects oil firms will 'high grade' their rigs, moving them to their most productive and inexpensive operations- See oil trading at around $40/bbl in the next 6 months, possibly dipping down toward $35/bbl
01[12:44] {@Threei} what's with rug pull?
01[12:44] {@Threei} no news
01[12:44] {@Threei} something leaked from Minsk?
01[12:55] {@Threei} (US) President Obama reportedly will not rule out 'boots on the ground' in the US fight against ISIS if recommended by Pentagon - press - Reminder on 2/9 White House confirms Pres Obama will formally ask Congress for new authority to use force against ISISThe formal request is expected on Wed. US and allied forces have been conducting a bombing campaign against ISIS since last August, which the Administration has justified under Congressional authorization given to Pres Bush for the Iraq War.
01[13:08] {@Threei} sheesh
01[13:10] {@Threei} Short Setup: AAPL .90 break
01[13:10] {@Threei} If holds 124
[13:10] {nemo} gona bounce at .75
01[13:10] {@Threei} 1:1
01[13:12] {@Threei} 1:2
01[13:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .85 break
01[13:33] {@Threei} If holds .75
01[13:40] {@Threei} 1:1
01[13:58] {@Threei} wow
01[13:58] {@Threei} 1:3
01[13:59] {@Threei} (UA) Ukraine's Minsk discussions on peace in Ukraine said to be planning a joint declaration to support Ukraine sovereignty; will reaffirm original ceasefire deal
01[13:59] {@Threei} reaffirm the deal that was never implemented?
01[13:59] {@Threei} cool
01[13:59] {@Threei} color me ecstatic
01[13:59] {@Threei} *(US) JAN MONTHLY BUDGET STATEMENT: -$17.5B V -$19.0BE
[14:08] {nemo} aapl anti-gravity machine
[14:23] {nemo} PSX
01[14:29] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .20 break
01[14:29] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[14:31] {@Threei} 1:1
01[14:35] {@Threei} 1:2
01[14:39] {@Threei} 1:3
01[14:59] {@Threei} ok... up or down into eod?
[15:00] {nemo} UP
[15:00] {RonS} same
[15:01] {nemo} unless aapl defecates the sheets
01[15:01] {@Threei} hmmm... scary, but my view also
[15:01] {nemo} spy done a whopping 59.5 million shares, this is ridiculous
[15:02] {nemo} frickin' August volumes
01[15:05] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[15:05] {@Threei} If holds .40
[15:06] {nemo} VXX may be a play anyway long with Greece and Russia
01[15:07] {@Threei} I suspect Greece is not much of threat anymore
01[15:08] {@Threei} it starts morphing into just another round of negotiations, with compromise in the end
[15:17] {nemo} iwm same setup as 1:3er with .45 break
[15:17] {nemo} sorry bit late
01[15:18] {@Threei} no, still here
01[15:20] {@Threei} fay high should get revisited on IWM, it feels
01[15:20] {@Threei} unless we get report of Poroshenko storming out of Minsk
01[15:20] {@Threei} day*
01[15:23] {@Threei} here we go
01[15:23] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:24] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:24] {@Threei} 1:3
01[15:24] {@Threei} perfect call nemo
[15:24] {nemo} ;-)
[15:25] {nemo} saw the flag
[15:25] {nemo} spy was flagging
[15:25] {nemo} aapl found support at moving average
01[15:25] {@Threei} anyone can see the flag... takes a man to call flag the flag
[15:25] {nemo} ahhh
[15:26] {nemo} or a fish....mad sea captain...cyclops blinder...etc
01[15:26] {@Threei} the rest call a spade
01[15:42] {@Threei} last time?
01[15:42] {@Threei} .61
01[15:42] {@Threei} IWM
[15:43] {nemo} not for me
01[15:45] {@Threei} no, you are right
01[15:45] {@Threei} anyway, out of time
01[15:45] {@Threei} thank you, have a good evening
01[15:46] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Session Time: Wed Feb 11 00:00:00 2015
01[09:11] {@Threei} as if each alone drama was not enough, today both of them take place at the same time, Greece and Ukraine
[09:14] {nemo} 622k spy, gonna be a slow Fed Minutes day
01[09:14] {@Threei} Fed minutes take third place today
[09:14] {nemo} what else?
01[09:14] {@Threei} [09:11] {@Threei} as if each alone drama was not enough, today both of them take place at the same time, Greece and Ukraine
01[09:15] {@Threei} extraordinary meeting on Greece, last chance negotiations on Ukraine
01[09:15] {@Threei} and, well... Williams is suspended
01[09:15] {@Threei} and Stewart is leaving
01[09:15] {@Threei} man... life unravels
01[09:16] {@Threei} dino is missing so much
[09:16] {nemo} and my liquor store was out of my favorite vodka
01[09:17] {@Threei} but jf probably found some in the basem,ent
01[09:21] {@Threei} http://www.cheknews.ca/seal-vs-octopus/
01[09:22] {@Threei} saw this twice already, at this same place
01[09:26] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -BLDP +46% (announced $80M services and IP transfer agreement with Volkswagen)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -DGLY +14% (recent orders for cloud-based FleetVU manager software solution continues to expand among commercial fleet operators)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -RAD +8.5% (acquiring independent pharmacy benefit manager EnvisionRx for $2B)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GNW +8.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -GNRC +7.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -VOYA +6% -LO +0.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -LGF +5.5% (Stock Exchange Agreement with Affiliates of John Malone)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -AKAM +4.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -ARMH +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:26] {@Threei} -PIR -33% (guided FY15 lower)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -PXD -4.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -LPX -1.8% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -CERN -1.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei} -TSLA -1.4% (poor China sales, delayed earnings release & call)
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .55 break
01[09:32] {@Threei} If holds .45
01[09:32] {@Threei} not yet
01[09:35] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[09:35] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[09:36] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[09:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .10 break
01[09:39] {@Threei} If holds 94
01[09:40] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:44] {@Threei} Short Setup: BBY .05 break
01[09:44] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:45] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:51] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:51] {@Threei} and closed on a trtail
01[09:56] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM 58 break
01[09:56] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[09:56] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:57] {nemo} whoa finnies just shot up
[09:57] {nemo} news?
[09:57] {cosmo} Late for work?: http://www.rense.com/general96/7uWYD7u.jpg
01[09:58] {@Threei} no news
01[10:05] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM 25 break
01[10:05] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[10:06] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:11] {@Threei} (GR) Eurogroup's Dijsselbloem: ministers today will listen to Greece's plan proposal; Do not expect any outcomes from the Eurogroup meeting today
01[10:13] {@Threei} Short Setup: WMT .80 break
01[10:13] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[10:14] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:18] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .50 break
01[10:18] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:21] {@Threei} stop to .44
01[10:22] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:25] {@Threei} 1:2
01[10:27] {@Threei} cholesterol isn't a bad guy anymore: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/02/10/feds-poised-to-withdraw-longstanding-warnings-about-dietary-cholesterol/
[10:28] {nemo} yeah saw that...big about face on lots of dietary stuff over the last year
01[10:28] {@Threei} about time
01[10:29] {@Threei} to ignore sugar but make eggs a problem, idiocy incorporated
[10:43] {cosmo} My doc said red wine and beer are the best things for me to keep my HDL up.
01[10:45] {@Threei} he didn't add whiskey to the list??
01[10:45] {@Threei} you may want to change your doctor
01[10:46] {@Threei} Short Setup: JPM 58 break
[10:46] {cosmo} nope only beer and red wine work for raising HDL
01[10:46] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[11:00] {@Threei} Invalidated
[11:00] {nemo} grind up day
01[11:14] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .70 break
01[11:14] {@Threei} If holds .65
01[11:17] {@Threei} meh
01[11:30] {@Threei} wow
01[11:31] {@Threei} no news
01[11:51] {@Threei} (EU) Greece Fin Min Varoufakis reiterates that Greece will not leave the EMU
01[11:51] {@Threei} that's all? storm is over?
01[12:01] {@Threei} The Greece situation has taken a turn towards stalemate today, dispelling recent hopes that Greece's conciliatory proposals could lead to a rapid agreement with the Europeans. German officials said they did not expect the EU to offer Athens any concessions and warned there was little chance of a deal at today's Euro Group meeting or the upcoming EU leaders' summit on Feb 12th.
01[12:01] {@Threei} German Finance Minister Schaeuble warned that if Greece refuses to accept the final €7 billion tranche of the current bailout program then "it's over."
01[12:01] {@Threei} but... Greece Fin Min Varoufakis reiterates that Greece will not leave the EMU
01[12:01] {@Threei} lol
01[12:01] {@Threei} Germany: shut up nd take my money
01[12:02] {@Threei} Meanwhile in Minsk, French President Hollande, German Chancellor Merkel, Russia President Putin and Ukraine's Poroshenko are meeting in a last-ditch effort to conclude a ceasefire deal for eastern Ukraine
[12:04] {RonS} Atheist tea party-hater, Rachel Maddow fan guns down 3 Muslims; MSM downplays his politics
[12:13] {RonS} Report: Crime, Anti-American Harassment in Russia Grows
01[12:15] {@Threei} exponentially
01[12:16] {@Threei} America was always cited as #1 enemy, in soviet times. But I've never seen anything like today
[12:16] {nemo} easy target
01[12:16] {@Threei} Media pump real antiwest hysteria
01[12:17] {@Threei} every toothless alcoholic in siberia village believes his misfortune is caused by America
01[12:30] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .65 break
01[12:30] {@Threei} If holds .55
01[12:38] {@Threei} Invalidated
[12:39] {RonS} Obama: "Cold war lens" is clouding Putin’s mind http://bloom.bg/1E9NMqP
01[12:39] {@Threei} I am afraid he is past that stage
01[12:40] {@Threei} it's actual hot war that is on the plate before him now
01[12:41] {@Threei} if you guys heard the rhetoric on russian TV these days, you wouldn't believe it
01[12:41] {@Threei} "let's cover US with radioactive ashes"
01[12:43] {@Threei} Goldman chief commodities researcher Currie: oil market is a long way from getting back to balance, price rebound has gotten ahead of itself - CNBC interview - Expects oil firms will 'high grade' their rigs, moving them to their most productive and inexpensive operations- See oil trading at around $40/bbl in the next 6 months, possibly dipping down toward $35/bbl
01[12:44] {@Threei} what's with rug pull?
01[12:44] {@Threei} no news
01[12:44] {@Threei} something leaked from Minsk?
01[12:55] {@Threei} (US) President Obama reportedly will not rule out 'boots on the ground' in the US fight against ISIS if recommended by Pentagon - press - Reminder on 2/9 White House confirms Pres Obama will formally ask Congress for new authority to use force against ISISThe formal request is expected on Wed. US and allied forces have been conducting a bombing campaign against ISIS since last August, which the Administration has justified under Congressional authorization given to Pres Bush for the Iraq War.
01[13:08] {@Threei} sheesh
01[13:10] {@Threei} Short Setup: AAPL .90 break
01[13:10] {@Threei} If holds 124
[13:10] {nemo} gona bounce at .75
01[13:10] {@Threei} 1:1
01[13:12] {@Threei} 1:2
01[13:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .85 break
01[13:33] {@Threei} If holds .75
01[13:40] {@Threei} 1:1
01[13:58] {@Threei} wow
01[13:58] {@Threei} 1:3
01[13:59] {@Threei} (UA) Ukraine's Minsk discussions on peace in Ukraine said to be planning a joint declaration to support Ukraine sovereignty; will reaffirm original ceasefire deal
01[13:59] {@Threei} reaffirm the deal that was never implemented?
01[13:59] {@Threei} cool
01[13:59] {@Threei} color me ecstatic
01[13:59] {@Threei} *(US) JAN MONTHLY BUDGET STATEMENT: -$17.5B V -$19.0BE
[14:08] {nemo} aapl anti-gravity machine
[14:23] {nemo} PSX
01[14:29] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .20 break
01[14:29] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[14:31] {@Threei} 1:1
01[14:35] {@Threei} 1:2
01[14:39] {@Threei} 1:3
01[14:59] {@Threei} ok... up or down into eod?
[15:00] {nemo} UP
[15:00] {RonS} same
[15:01] {nemo} unless aapl defecates the sheets
01[15:01] {@Threei} hmmm... scary, but my view also
[15:01] {nemo} spy done a whopping 59.5 million shares, this is ridiculous
[15:02] {nemo} frickin' August volumes
01[15:05] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[15:05] {@Threei} If holds .40
[15:06] {nemo} VXX may be a play anyway long with Greece and Russia
01[15:07] {@Threei} I suspect Greece is not much of threat anymore
01[15:08] {@Threei} it starts morphing into just another round of negotiations, with compromise in the end
[15:17] {nemo} iwm same setup as 1:3er with .45 break
[15:17] {nemo} sorry bit late
01[15:18] {@Threei} no, still here
01[15:20] {@Threei} fay high should get revisited on IWM, it feels
01[15:20] {@Threei} unless we get report of Poroshenko storming out of Minsk
01[15:20] {@Threei} day*
01[15:23] {@Threei} here we go
01[15:23] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:24] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:24] {@Threei} 1:3
01[15:24] {@Threei} perfect call nemo
[15:24] {nemo} ;-)
[15:25] {nemo} saw the flag
[15:25] {nemo} spy was flagging
[15:25] {nemo} aapl found support at moving average
01[15:25] {@Threei} anyone can see the flag... takes a man to call flag the flag
[15:25] {nemo} ahhh
[15:26] {nemo} or a fish....mad sea captain...cyclops blinder...etc
01[15:26] {@Threei} the rest call a spade
01[15:42] {@Threei} last time?
01[15:42] {@Threei} .61
01[15:42] {@Threei} IWM
[15:43] {nemo} not for me
01[15:45] {@Threei} no, you are right
01[15:45] {@Threei} anyway, out of time
01[15:45] {@Threei} thank you, have a good evening
01[15:46] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Feb 10 2015
Slowish day with grind up, but with some wringing we did squeeze profit, especially with last 1:3 IWM trade.
Session Time: Tue Feb 10 00:00:00 2015
[09:11] {nemo} nothing brings this market down
01[09:11] {@Threei} well, with so many voices "ah, the crash is near..."
01[09:12] {@Threei} what is market to do but go up
[09:13] {cosmo} too many bears now methinks
01[09:13] {@Threei} yup
[09:13] {RonS} gm...surprised me...and thanks for the pictures
[09:13] {cosmo} too much bail out $ still on sidelines
[09:14] {cosmo} that's just a guess
01[09:15] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:16] {@Threei} (UR) Reportedly Germany, France and OSCE would like Russia to oversee creation of demilitarized zone in eastern Ukraine - Russian press
[09:17] {nemo} liquor store was out of vodka last night
[09:18] {cosmo} try gin
[09:18] {nemo} not the point
[09:18] {cosmo} sanctions?
[09:19] {nemo} meteorlogical ones
[09:19] {cosmo} ah
[09:19] {nemo} meteorological
[09:19] {nemo} somewhat of a horror show around here
[09:19] {cosmo} what town?
[09:20] {nemo} Boston
[09:20] {cosmo} oh
[09:20] {nemo} more snow on Thursday and Sunday coming
[09:20] {cosmo} don't let that snow compact into ice
[09:20] {nemo} my Muscovite friend says even Moscow doesn't get that much snow
01[09:23] {@Threei} More than six feet of snow has fallen on Boston since Jan. 27, breaking the city’s record for snowiest 40-day period in just 17 days.
[09:27] {nemo} the city's subway system is completely shut down...that's partly due to totally outdated equipment and lousy management...
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ANTH +21% (announced completion of interim analysis from Phase 3 trial of blisibimod)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ARO +17% (raised Q4 guidance)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -AMKR +17% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -XON +11% (positive topline results from phase 1b trial of SYN-004)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SYN +7% (positive topline results from phase 1b trial of SYN-004)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -URBN +6.7% (earnings; positive broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HOT +6.7% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -NTES +3.8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -KO +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -GM +3.3% (disclosed notice that Harry Wilson plans to nominate himself as a Board member on behalf of himself and 4 investment funds)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -WYN +3% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SAVE +3% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -PFNX +30% (Hospira collaboration)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -COUP -33% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -RDHL -10% (announced proposed public offering of American Depository Shares)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SALE -8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CSC -7.5% (earnings & guidance)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -RRMS -5% (offering 2M units)
01[09:30] {@Threei} wow... everyone's asleep
[09:30] {nemo} no
01[09:34] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[09:34] {@Threei} If holds .70
[09:36] {nemo} aapl ripping
01[09:36] {@Threei} yeah
[09:39] {nemo} X
[09:39] {nemo} wow...spready
01[09:41] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX 19 break
01[09:41] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:43] {@Threei} change to .10 break
01[09:46] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:54] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:59] {@Threei} 1:3
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) FEB IBD/TIPP ECONOMIC OPTIMISM: 47.5 V 51.9E
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC WHOLESALE INVENTORIES M/M: 0.1% V 0.2%E; WHOLESALE TRADE SALES M/M: -0.4% V -0.3%E
01[10:00] {@Threei} EBAY Trades higher on takover speculationAlibaba said to be a suitor
[10:03] {nemo} small universe in algo today, likely similar to yesterday
[10:09] {nemo} TWTR
01[10:14] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .90 break
01[10:14] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[10:20] {@Threei} nah
[10:25] {nemo} IWM should bounce around .30 Weekly Pivot and daily S1
[10:26] {nemo} also 38.2 retrace from 22/2
01[10:31] {@Threei} Aerosmith in Victoria this summer. $200/ticket
[10:32] {nemo} phewww...saw them at my college for nothing
[10:32] {nemo} was Tyler's bodyguard one night, guy is actually bald
[10:33] {nemo} kinda' crazy guy...bass player and Whitford, really nice guys
[10:34] {nemo} they all live on the South Shore which is towards the coast south of Boston
[10:36] {nemo} love August trading
[10:36] {nemo} MA
01[10:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
[10:44] {cosmo} Anyone charging $200 to get in needs a bodyguard, imho
01[10:47] {@Threei} VXX
01[10:47] {@Threei} somg
01[10:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB ,70 break
01[10:51] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[11:10] {@Threei} 1:1
01[11:14] {@Threei} Fighting intensifies in eastern Ukraine ahead of peace talks
01[11:14] {@Threei} sure thing... the best way to make peace is to intensify fighting
[11:15] {cosmo} Someone has to say "Uncle" first
01[11:19] {@Threei} not going to happen
01[11:19] {@Threei} both sides will just continue killing and dying
[11:19] {cosmo} tradition?
01[11:19] {@Threei} for russians, yes
01[11:20] {@Threei} for ukrainians, they felt free first time in century
01[11:20] {@Threei} they can't go back
[11:20] {cosmo} ic
01[11:31] {@Threei} 1/4 more out
01[11:31] {@Threei} very sklow but works
01[11:32] {@Threei} so, what do you think average russian will answer if asked who they fight with in Ukraine?
[11:33] {cosmo} Kiev?
01[11:33] {@Threei} nope
[11:33] {cosmo} hmm
[11:33] {cosmo} ISIS?
[11:33] {cosmo} nah
01[11:34] {@Threei} want any more tries?
[11:34] {cosmo} NATO?
01[11:34] {@Threei} ummm.., partially
01[11:34] {@Threei} but mostly, they consider NATO a proxy
01[11:35] {@Threei} 1:2
01[11:35] {@Threei} they are of a firm belief that they fight USA
01[11:36] {@Threei} which instigated whole thing, making Ukraine a fighting rink
[11:36] {cosmo} yep
[11:38] {cosmo} Npbel peace prize gonna be more elusive this time...
[11:38] {cosmo} nobel
01[11:38] {@Threei} not that it was deserved last time
[11:38] {cosmo} got that...
01[11:51] {@Threei} out at 1:3... forgot to post
01[11:57] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .10 break
01[12:00] {@Threei} nah'
01[12:05] {@Threei} The Greek government has signaled that it could be willing to compromise, and has unveiled a moderate four-part plan to reduce the burden of austerity on the country's economy. The Greeks are asking for a bridge loan and debt swaps in exchange for a batch of new structural reforms and pledges to fulfil 70% of the current reform program, and the government will also continue to run a primary budget surplus. EU officials later said they have not seen this proposal
[12:39] {nemo} aapl setting up again
[12:40] {nemo} .45 break holds .35
[12:44] {nemo} wow look at .50 offers
[12:44] {nemo} that's a catapult if it breaks
[12:45] {nemo} .64 first target
[12:45] {nemo} stop to .44
01[12:45] {@Threei} SPY contradicts
[12:46] {nemo} mmmhhh iwm and spy look weak
[12:46] {nemo} vxx up too
[12:46] {nemo} weird
01[12:47] {@Threei} anyway, 1:1 from .45
[12:48] {nemo} yeah, amazing amount of supply has come in
[12:52] {nemo} indexes look heavy, they may be waiting for aapl to turn, and here is a good place to do it
01[12:53] {@Threei} 1:2
[12:53] {nemo} first target hit
[12:53] {nemo} don't have a second actually
[12:53] {nemo} whaddya' say, stop under .54?
[12:54] {nemo} I have moving average support around .48
[12:54] {nemo} out
[12:54] {nemo} shit
[12:55] {nemo} oh tragedy...3 people unfollowed me on twitter
[12:56] {nemo} yep, shoulda' stuck with .48
[12:57] {nemo} XOP
01[12:58] {@Threei} for some reason more and more follow me even though I practically don't use it
01[12:59] {@Threei} couple posts a week at best
01[12:59] {@Threei} I just do the trail by the book
01[12:59] {@Threei} .65 is hit, stop to .54
01[13:06] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[13:06] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[13:09] {@Threei} 1:3
01[13:09] {@Threei} out AAPL
01[13:09] {@Threei} diverged from indices
01[13:14] {@Threei} Invalidated VXX
01[13:26] {@Threei} .50 was worth a try eh?
[13:29] {nemo} indices will backtest resistance, then vxx might be a play again
[13:30] {nemo} XOP coming into vwap .45ish
01[13:32] {@Threei} bear flag
[13:33] {nemo} on what?
01[13:33] {@Threei} SPY
[13:33] {nemo} 206 level the test
[13:33] {nemo} then vwap around .60
01[13:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .65 break
01[13:36] {@Threei} change to .60
01[14:12] {@Threei} HAL Reportedly planning to cut up to 6.5K positions; impact all across the organization - financial press (up to 8% of total workforce)
[14:14] {cosmo} now those people can get jobs making solar systems
[14:15] {RonS} God already did it?
[14:15] {cosmo} solar will not die this time...
[14:15] {cosmo} he did?
[14:15] {cosmo} He
[14:16] {cosmo} oh i c
01[14:17] {@Threei} I concur cosmo
[14:17] {nemo} that's sexist
01[14:17] {@Threei} comparing to the last time around, solar did get cheaper enough to survive
01[14:18] {@Threei} maybe development will slow down, but won't stop completely
[14:18] {cosmo} its a better defined industry now
[14:19] {nemo} GMCR bull flag flighty trader though
[14:20] {nemo} XOP looks long break of .25 stop under .12
[14:21] {cosmo} plus, utilities will not lower their prices like gas stations do when oil goes down. So solar is oil price resistant.
01[14:59] {@Threei} (UR) Minsk talks group said to have agreed on a method towards a Ukraine ceasefire along with ways to withdraw the heavy artillery
01[15:00] {@Threei} color me sceptical
01[15:00] {@Threei} (GR) Ireland Fin Min Noonan: Not expecting Eurogroup talks on Greece to be finished tomorrow; pessimistic at this point about reaching an agreement
01[15:08] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .55 break
01[15:08] {@Threei} If holds .45
[15:10] {RonS} acor reemed
01[15:10] {@Threei} finally
01[15:11] {@Threei} I was afraid you run out of those isms :)
01[15:20] {@Threei} float up or reverse and drop into eod?
[15:20] {nemo} float u
01[15:23] {@Threei} ok... right away and with rinse first? :)
01[15:23] {@Threei} and = or
[15:24] {nemo} hard to say, aapl has to stay above 122
[15:25] {nemo} mmmhhh IWM weak, spy showing weak
01[15:27] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[15:27] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[15:28] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:36] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:43] {@Threei} come one, just a tad more
01[15:43] {@Threei} 1:3
01[15:43] {@Threei} good boy
01[15:43] {@Threei} glad to nail down eod move
[15:44] {nemo} been no selling pressure all day, algo all green
01[15:45] {@Threei} yeah but rinses abundant... difficult to get the trade right
[15:48] {nemo} true
[15:48] {nemo} point is though, with no selling pressure, chasing shorts pretty futile
01[15:50] {@Threei} ok guys, thank you
01[15:50] {@Threei} have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:50] {cosmo} :)
Session Time: Tue Feb 10 00:00:00 2015
[09:11] {nemo} nothing brings this market down
01[09:11] {@Threei} well, with so many voices "ah, the crash is near..."
01[09:12] {@Threei} what is market to do but go up
[09:13] {cosmo} too many bears now methinks
01[09:13] {@Threei} yup
[09:13] {RonS} gm...surprised me...and thanks for the pictures
[09:13] {cosmo} too much bail out $ still on sidelines
[09:14] {cosmo} that's just a guess
01[09:15] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:16] {@Threei} (UR) Reportedly Germany, France and OSCE would like Russia to oversee creation of demilitarized zone in eastern Ukraine - Russian press
[09:17] {nemo} liquor store was out of vodka last night
[09:18] {cosmo} try gin
[09:18] {nemo} not the point
[09:18] {cosmo} sanctions?
[09:19] {nemo} meteorlogical ones
[09:19] {cosmo} ah
[09:19] {nemo} meteorological
[09:19] {nemo} somewhat of a horror show around here
[09:19] {cosmo} what town?
[09:20] {nemo} Boston
[09:20] {cosmo} oh
[09:20] {nemo} more snow on Thursday and Sunday coming
[09:20] {cosmo} don't let that snow compact into ice
[09:20] {nemo} my Muscovite friend says even Moscow doesn't get that much snow
01[09:23] {@Threei} More than six feet of snow has fallen on Boston since Jan. 27, breaking the city’s record for snowiest 40-day period in just 17 days.
[09:27] {nemo} the city's subway system is completely shut down...that's partly due to totally outdated equipment and lousy management...
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ANTH +21% (announced completion of interim analysis from Phase 3 trial of blisibimod)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ARO +17% (raised Q4 guidance)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -AMKR +17% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -XON +11% (positive topline results from phase 1b trial of SYN-004)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SYN +7% (positive topline results from phase 1b trial of SYN-004)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -URBN +6.7% (earnings; positive broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HOT +6.7% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -NTES +3.8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -KO +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -GM +3.3% (disclosed notice that Harry Wilson plans to nominate himself as a Board member on behalf of himself and 4 investment funds)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -WYN +3% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SAVE +3% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -PFNX +30% (Hospira collaboration)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -COUP -33% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -RDHL -10% (announced proposed public offering of American Depository Shares)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SALE -8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CSC -7.5% (earnings & guidance)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -RRMS -5% (offering 2M units)
01[09:30] {@Threei} wow... everyone's asleep
[09:30] {nemo} no
01[09:34] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[09:34] {@Threei} If holds .70
[09:36] {nemo} aapl ripping
01[09:36] {@Threei} yeah
[09:39] {nemo} X
[09:39] {nemo} wow...spready
01[09:41] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX 19 break
01[09:41] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[09:43] {@Threei} change to .10 break
01[09:46] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:54] {@Threei} 1:2
01[09:59] {@Threei} 1:3
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) FEB IBD/TIPP ECONOMIC OPTIMISM: 47.5 V 51.9E
01[10:00] {@Threei} *(US) DEC WHOLESALE INVENTORIES M/M: 0.1% V 0.2%E; WHOLESALE TRADE SALES M/M: -0.4% V -0.3%E
01[10:00] {@Threei} EBAY Trades higher on takover speculationAlibaba said to be a suitor
[10:03] {nemo} small universe in algo today, likely similar to yesterday
[10:09] {nemo} TWTR
01[10:14] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB .90 break
01[10:14] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[10:20] {@Threei} nah
[10:25] {nemo} IWM should bounce around .30 Weekly Pivot and daily S1
[10:26] {nemo} also 38.2 retrace from 22/2
01[10:31] {@Threei} Aerosmith in Victoria this summer. $200/ticket
[10:32] {nemo} phewww...saw them at my college for nothing
[10:32] {nemo} was Tyler's bodyguard one night, guy is actually bald
[10:33] {nemo} kinda' crazy guy...bass player and Whitford, really nice guys
[10:34] {nemo} they all live on the South Shore which is towards the coast south of Boston
[10:36] {nemo} love August trading
[10:36] {nemo} MA
01[10:38] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
[10:44] {cosmo} Anyone charging $200 to get in needs a bodyguard, imho
01[10:47] {@Threei} VXX
01[10:47] {@Threei} somg
01[10:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: FB ,70 break
01[10:51] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[11:10] {@Threei} 1:1
01[11:14] {@Threei} Fighting intensifies in eastern Ukraine ahead of peace talks
01[11:14] {@Threei} sure thing... the best way to make peace is to intensify fighting
[11:15] {cosmo} Someone has to say "Uncle" first
01[11:19] {@Threei} not going to happen
01[11:19] {@Threei} both sides will just continue killing and dying
[11:19] {cosmo} tradition?
01[11:19] {@Threei} for russians, yes
01[11:20] {@Threei} for ukrainians, they felt free first time in century
01[11:20] {@Threei} they can't go back
[11:20] {cosmo} ic
01[11:31] {@Threei} 1/4 more out
01[11:31] {@Threei} very sklow but works
01[11:32] {@Threei} so, what do you think average russian will answer if asked who they fight with in Ukraine?
[11:33] {cosmo} Kiev?
01[11:33] {@Threei} nope
[11:33] {cosmo} hmm
[11:33] {cosmo} ISIS?
[11:33] {cosmo} nah
01[11:34] {@Threei} want any more tries?
[11:34] {cosmo} NATO?
01[11:34] {@Threei} ummm.., partially
01[11:34] {@Threei} but mostly, they consider NATO a proxy
01[11:35] {@Threei} 1:2
01[11:35] {@Threei} they are of a firm belief that they fight USA
01[11:36] {@Threei} which instigated whole thing, making Ukraine a fighting rink
[11:36] {cosmo} yep
[11:38] {cosmo} Npbel peace prize gonna be more elusive this time...
[11:38] {cosmo} nobel
01[11:38] {@Threei} not that it was deserved last time
[11:38] {cosmo} got that...
01[11:51] {@Threei} out at 1:3... forgot to post
01[11:57] {@Threei} Long Setup: TWTR .10 break
01[12:00] {@Threei} nah'
01[12:05] {@Threei} The Greek government has signaled that it could be willing to compromise, and has unveiled a moderate four-part plan to reduce the burden of austerity on the country's economy. The Greeks are asking for a bridge loan and debt swaps in exchange for a batch of new structural reforms and pledges to fulfil 70% of the current reform program, and the government will also continue to run a primary budget surplus. EU officials later said they have not seen this proposal
[12:39] {nemo} aapl setting up again
[12:40] {nemo} .45 break holds .35
[12:44] {nemo} wow look at .50 offers
[12:44] {nemo} that's a catapult if it breaks
[12:45] {nemo} .64 first target
[12:45] {nemo} stop to .44
01[12:45] {@Threei} SPY contradicts
[12:46] {nemo} mmmhhh iwm and spy look weak
[12:46] {nemo} vxx up too
[12:46] {nemo} weird
01[12:47] {@Threei} anyway, 1:1 from .45
[12:48] {nemo} yeah, amazing amount of supply has come in
[12:52] {nemo} indexes look heavy, they may be waiting for aapl to turn, and here is a good place to do it
01[12:53] {@Threei} 1:2
[12:53] {nemo} first target hit
[12:53] {nemo} don't have a second actually
[12:53] {nemo} whaddya' say, stop under .54?
[12:54] {nemo} I have moving average support around .48
[12:54] {nemo} out
[12:54] {nemo} shit
[12:55] {nemo} oh tragedy...3 people unfollowed me on twitter
[12:56] {nemo} yep, shoulda' stuck with .48
[12:57] {nemo} XOP
01[12:58] {@Threei} for some reason more and more follow me even though I practically don't use it
01[12:59] {@Threei} couple posts a week at best
01[12:59] {@Threei} I just do the trail by the book
01[12:59] {@Threei} .65 is hit, stop to .54
01[13:06] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[13:06] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[13:09] {@Threei} 1:3
01[13:09] {@Threei} out AAPL
01[13:09] {@Threei} diverged from indices
01[13:14] {@Threei} Invalidated VXX
01[13:26] {@Threei} .50 was worth a try eh?
[13:29] {nemo} indices will backtest resistance, then vxx might be a play again
[13:30] {nemo} XOP coming into vwap .45ish
01[13:32] {@Threei} bear flag
[13:33] {nemo} on what?
01[13:33] {@Threei} SPY
[13:33] {nemo} 206 level the test
[13:33] {nemo} then vwap around .60
01[13:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .65 break
01[13:36] {@Threei} change to .60
01[14:12] {@Threei} HAL Reportedly planning to cut up to 6.5K positions; impact all across the organization - financial press (up to 8% of total workforce)
[14:14] {cosmo} now those people can get jobs making solar systems
[14:15] {RonS} God already did it?
[14:15] {cosmo} solar will not die this time...
[14:15] {cosmo} he did?
[14:15] {cosmo} He
[14:16] {cosmo} oh i c
01[14:17] {@Threei} I concur cosmo
[14:17] {nemo} that's sexist
01[14:17] {@Threei} comparing to the last time around, solar did get cheaper enough to survive
01[14:18] {@Threei} maybe development will slow down, but won't stop completely
[14:18] {cosmo} its a better defined industry now
[14:19] {nemo} GMCR bull flag flighty trader though
[14:20] {nemo} XOP looks long break of .25 stop under .12
[14:21] {cosmo} plus, utilities will not lower their prices like gas stations do when oil goes down. So solar is oil price resistant.
01[14:59] {@Threei} (UR) Minsk talks group said to have agreed on a method towards a Ukraine ceasefire along with ways to withdraw the heavy artillery
01[15:00] {@Threei} color me sceptical
01[15:00] {@Threei} (GR) Ireland Fin Min Noonan: Not expecting Eurogroup talks on Greece to be finished tomorrow; pessimistic at this point about reaching an agreement
01[15:08] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .55 break
01[15:08] {@Threei} If holds .45
[15:10] {RonS} acor reemed
01[15:10] {@Threei} finally
01[15:11] {@Threei} I was afraid you run out of those isms :)
01[15:20] {@Threei} float up or reverse and drop into eod?
[15:20] {nemo} float u
01[15:23] {@Threei} ok... right away and with rinse first? :)
01[15:23] {@Threei} and = or
[15:24] {nemo} hard to say, aapl has to stay above 122
[15:25] {nemo} mmmhhh IWM weak, spy showing weak
01[15:27] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .50 break
01[15:27] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[15:28] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:36] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:43] {@Threei} come one, just a tad more
01[15:43] {@Threei} 1:3
01[15:43] {@Threei} good boy
01[15:43] {@Threei} glad to nail down eod move
[15:44] {nemo} been no selling pressure all day, algo all green
01[15:45] {@Threei} yeah but rinses abundant... difficult to get the trade right
[15:48] {nemo} true
[15:48] {nemo} point is though, with no selling pressure, chasing shorts pretty futile
01[15:50] {@Threei} ok guys, thank you
01[15:50] {@Threei} have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:50] {cosmo} :)
Monday, February 9, 2015
Feb 09 2105
Not exactly our day - choppy action without patterns. With some good trades here and there, finished negative still.
Session Time: Mon Feb 09 00:00:00 2015
[09:05] {RonS} hello
01[09:05] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:09] {@Threei} sheesh, Massachusets
01[09:09] {@Threei} "these piles of snow are actually cars"
[09:11] {cosmo} what piles?
01[09:12] {@Threei} TV corr was pointing at them
[09:12] {cosmo} ?
01[09:12] {@Threei} ?
[09:12] {cosmo} TC who?
01[09:13] {@Threei} TV
01[09:13] {@Threei} correspondent
[09:13] {cosmo} ah
[09:13] {cosmo} I remember TV
01[09:18] {@Threei} nemo poked up from under snow
[09:18] {nemo} this is ridiculous
[09:19] {nemo} it's been snowing since Saturday
01[09:19] {@Threei} memories of winnipeg...
[09:19] {cosmo} get in your car and hide there
[09:19] {cosmo} :)
06[09:21] * nemo adds cosmo to the list
[09:21] {dptl} gm
[09:21] {nemo} we have more snow coming Thursday, and we're lining up for another snowstorm Sunday
01[09:22] {@Threei} dp :)
[09:23] {cosmo} Climate change is now a done deal it seems
01[09:23] {@Threei} when wasn't it
[09:23] {nemo} yeah, climates change, what's new
[09:23] {cosmo} during the campaign to stop it
[09:24] {RonS} guess so, it's never snowed in the northeast before
[09:24] {nemo} Last week, there was a report that volcanic activity under the oceans play a major role in climate change
[09:24] {nemo} Yeah, still not as bad as 78
[09:24] {cosmo} yes nemo
[09:24] {cosmo} always has
01[09:24] {@Threei} we must be at fault too
01[09:25] {@Threei} I mean, it's our activity that triggers volcanoes
[09:25] {cosmo} we were made to forget that it was never our fault
[09:25] {nemo} ?
[09:26] {cosmo} undersea volcanoes
[09:26] {cosmo} making 1000 times more CO2 than we do
[09:26] {nemo} and all those farting animals
[09:27] {cosmo} and currently unaccounted for by IPCC
[09:27] {nemo} methane up the wazoo
[09:27] {nemo} there are so many things there models don't account for. Sheesh, we have had three of the coldest years in the Northeast on record, including the summers
[09:28] {cosmo} we need all the CO2 we can make to help stave of the advancing ice sheets...sheesh
[09:28] {jfjf64} gm all
01[09:29] {@Threei} jf :)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ACHN +12% (achieved 100% SVR12 in Phase 2 trial evaluating 6-week treatment with ACHN-3102)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -MCGC +7% (exploring strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HAS +5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -MAS +3.7% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -IPGP +3% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -QCOM +2.5% (said to be close to $1B agreement related to antitrust dispute in China)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -L +2.5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -FSC -16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -DO -10% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SOHU -7% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -LGND -5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HIMX -3.5% (negative broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -AAL -3.3% (Jan traffic; DAL & UAL also down 1-2% on the news)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CYOU -2.4% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .75 break
01[09:31] {@Threei} If holds .65
[09:32] {nemo} XOP probably gonna be strong today
01[09:34] {@Threei} no go
01[09:35] {@Threei} rinse
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: FCX .10 break
01[09:37] {@Threei} If holds 19
01[09:38] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:44] {@Threei} Ron, see SOHU?
[09:47] {RonS} yes
01[09:49] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD 93 break
01[09:49] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[09:52] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:57] {@Threei} stop to .04
01[09:59] {@Threei} closed
01[10:00] {@Threei} FCX... rinsed second half
01[10:01] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD .95 break
01[10:01] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[10:03] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:04] {@Threei} 1:2
01[10:06] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX .30 break
01[10:07] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:15] {@Threei} no go
01[10:17] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .90 break
01[10:17] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[10:19] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:22] {@Threei} (GR) Greece Foreign Min reportedly intends to go to Moscow on Feb 11
[10:26] {jfjf64} yhoo 93 break
01[10:27] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 35 break
01[10:27] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[10:30] {@Threei} valid
[10:30] {nemo} XOP
01[10:31] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:40] {@Threei} Short Setup: NRG 26 break
01[10:40] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[10:50] {@Threei} (US) Fed's Plosser (hawk, non-voter): There is no deflation risk in the US, important to keep inflation expectations well anchored - Wages will trend higher, wage growth will not likely "explode"- Have put together a good string of jobs data- US has exited the crisis, need to step away from crisis monetary policy
01[10:50] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[10:51] {@Threei} If holds 35
[10:52] {jfjf64} lets nail this one boss
01[10:53] {@Threei} nah
01[10:53] {@Threei} looked really promising
[10:55] {jfjf64} yes
[10:58] {jfjf64} watch rince
01[10:59] {@Threei} changing to DKTK
01[11:01] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 35 break
01[11:01] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[11:03] {@Threei} grr
[11:05] {nemo} VXX here
[11:09] {jfjf64} time for drink
01[11:15] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .70 break
01[11:15] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[11:15] {@Threei} Invalidated
[11:21] {RonS} wtf? BREAKING: Netflix to offer service in Cuba http://bloom.bg/1zOZSFf
01[11:21] {@Threei} lol
01[11:22] {@Threei} they have internet?
[11:22] {RonS} lol... The biggest U.S. study on exercise just ran out of money http://bloom.bg/1KFZuvD
01[11:22] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .90 break
01[11:29] {@Threei} 1:1
[11:32] {RonS} BREAKING: Turkey to demand reparation payments from Greece for damages incurred during Alexander the Great's invasion
01[11:33] {@Threei} makes sense
[11:33] {nemo} mmmhhhh...I wonder if the term "taking it Greek" comes from Alexander?
01[11:33] {@Threei} and I heard Russia is about to demand return of Alaska
[11:34] {cosmo} and don't forget Troy...
[11:34] {jfjf64} .60 vxx
[11:34] {jfjf64} ?
[11:34] {nemo} no
[11:34] {nemo} wrong time of day for vxx long unless news hits
[11:34] {nemo} imo
[11:35] {nemo} jf if you think spy and appl will come in then take it
01[11:36] {@Threei} The euro tested 10-day lows earlier this morning as the Greek government hardened its positions over the weekend. Greek Prime Minister Tsiparas again rejected an extension of the bailout and reiterated his intension to seek an unspecified "bridge program" from Europe even as he continues rolling back austerity.
01[11:37] {@Threei} There is more and more talk about the real possibility that Greece will be forced out of the Eurozone as German officials pledge that Athens will not get any more EU funds. Greece's finance minister said the Euro zone could collapse "like a house of cards" if Athens were forced out. EUR/USD hit 1.1270 earlier this morning before bouncing up to 1.1336.
01[11:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .80 break
01[11:39] {@Threei} If holds .75
01[11:51] {@Threei} meh
01[12:02] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .70 break
01[12:02] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[12:08] {@Threei} shrug
[12:15] {jfjf64} shrug
[12:15] {jfjf64} drink
01[12:32] {@Threei} (UR) President Obama: Russians have violated every committment they made under the Minsk agreement, continue to encourage a diplomatic resolution in Ukraine - press conference with Chancellor Merkel - Agreed with Merkel to continue bolstering position in Central and Eastern Europe- Reiterates sanctions have have had a large impact on Russia economy and hopeful the sanctions bring Russia to diplomacy- No decision has yet been made on providing weapons to Ukraine- German Chancellor Merkel: the success of our latest diplomatic effort in Ukraine is anything but certain; if diplomacy does not work this time Europea and the US have to examine other options.
[13:11] {nemo} relative volume is only half the 20 day average, probably most of New York took the day off
[13:17] {jfjf64} f in chop fest
01[13:18] {@Threei} totally
[13:18] {jfjf64} xop
[13:18] {jfjf64} up here?
[13:18] {jfjf64} sorry lookin 5 min chartt
01[13:19] {@Threei} with Greece and Russia negotiations, difficult to commit to any side, thus the chop
[13:19] {jfjf64} lol who on top
[13:20] {nemo} think market geting ready to come in a bit
[13:20] {jfjf64} what is
[13:20] {nemo} indexes setup for down, waiting on aapl
[13:25] {nemo} SPY at vwap, aapl still strong
[13:27] {nemo} I'm bored, so I type in "nflx.com"
[13:28] {jfjf64} mkt gonna get hit here
[13:28] {nemo} aapl coming in looking for vxx setup
[13:29] {jfjf64} .55 in
[13:29] {nemo} ready....
[13:29] {nemo} fire!...
[13:29] {nemo} aim...
[13:29] {nemo} should work
[13:29] {jfjf64} fire bitch
[13:29] {jfjf64} im pissed
[13:29] {nemo} should get to .68
[13:29] {nemo} partial
[13:29] {nemo} still early
[13:30] {nemo} put your stop at break even
[13:30] {jfjf64} fire
[13:32] {nemo} now spy has to come back and test vwap
[13:33] {jfjf64} leavin stop b/e
[13:33] {jfjf64} you in also
[13:33] {nemo} .56
[13:33] {jfjf64} nice
[13:34] {nemo} question is do we get DKTK'd before it runs
[13:35] {jfjf64} 80 break sd get nother push
[13:35] {nemo} could move the stop to .60
[13:35] {jfjf64} vwap holdin us up
[13:35] {nemo} but that doesn't give much support
[13:35] {nemo} yeah, early though, spy has to test it's vwap unless all hell breaks loose...watch aapl
[13:36] {jfjf64} aaplgo test it vwap
[13:36] {jfjf64} wd be nice
[13:37] {nemo} if it does this works fine
[13:37] {nemo} looks like down
[13:37] {jfjf64} fire
[13:37] {jfjf64} .80 break
01[13:39] {@Threei} nice move
01[13:39] {@Threei} good job
[13:39] {nemo} VWAP and pivot on aapl same place
[13:39] {nemo} get's there likely bounce
[13:40] {nemo} vwap stop vxx
[13:40] {nemo} frickin' aapl
[13:40] {jfjf64} yes sir
[13:40] {nemo} needs to stay under .50ish
[13:41] {nemo} nope
[13:43] {nemo} probably be another case of me should have kept original stop
[13:43] {jfjf64} small piece left here
[13:44] {jfjf64} will leave at .55
[13:44] {nemo} .60 safe now
[13:44] {jfjf64} yeah see that
[13:44] {jfjf64} ty
[13:45] {nemo} base of hammer @ .62
[13:47] {nemo} aapl the straw that serves the drink
[13:47] {nemo} stirs
[13:48] {jfjf64} looks down
[13:48] {jfjf64} im hopeing down
[13:49] {jfjf64} bad to hope
[13:49] {nemo} to me it's indeterminate
[13:49] {nemo} that was my mistake on Friday
[13:49] {nemo} and then I missed the next good entry
[13:49] {jfjf64} what
[13:50] {jfjf64} hope
[13:50] {nemo} no, I didn't take into consideration aapl on my vxx entry Friday
[13:51] {jfjf64} what aaple screw the longs
[13:52] {nemo} aapl is the #1 weighted stock in the Qs, S&P 500 Rut 1000, the market will go, especially on a range day like this, the way aapl goes
[13:53] {nemo} the only other thing you really need to watch then are the futures on the S&P if they begin to pull strongly in a direction, then the indexes will generally go that way
[13:54] {nemo} imo...that is
[13:57] {jfjf64} done
[13:58] {jfjf64} couple more them be ok
[13:58] {jfjf64} today
[13:58] {jfjf64} xop popped
[13:59] {nemo} yeah, missed that
[13:59] {nemo} bottomed near opening print
[13:59] {jfjf64} me too
[13:59] {jfjf64} wish I was watchin that one
[14:00] {nemo} it's Vad's fault
[14:00] {nemo} remember what I said about keeping your stop at .60?
[14:01] {jfjf64} i been playin round with ma 13/6 cross on 1 min chart intresting
[14:02] {jfjf64} got out .62
[14:05] {jfjf64} .89 short xop
[14:09] {jfjf64} half
[14:09] {nemo} yeah, likely vwap bounce
[14:09] {jfjf64} look vxx
[14:14] {nemo} that's why I said .60
[14:15] {jfjf64} yes ya did
[14:16] {jfjf64} aaple down
[14:16] {nemo} a bit, but not a larger time frame
[14:16] {nemo} so market dripping lower, aapl lets go, down elevator
[14:22] {jfjf64} iwm bounce
[14:23] {jfjf64} 10 break
[14:23] {nemo} I'm not into it
[14:25] {nemo} setup there though
[14:25] {jfjf64} no shit
[14:25] {jfjf64} nice confluence on indicators
01[14:26] {@Threei} let's see if we get rinse, and buy it on 119 recross
01[14:26] {@Threei} this is how indices act today
[14:43] {RonS} wow...Food prices in Russia rose 21% in January from last year http://bloom.bg/1zpAfqG
[14:44] {nemo} not an easy day to trade
01[14:52] {@Threei} that's on top of sizeavle increase last year ron
[14:53] {nemo} XOP
[14:54] {nemo} arguably break of .50
[14:54] {nemo} long
[14:54] {nemo} if holds .40
[14:54] {nemo} aggressive .45 break
[14:56] {jfjf64} lower to me
01[14:56] {@Threei} ok
01[14:56] {@Threei} in IWM for double bottom
01[14:56] {@Threei} stop under .90
[14:58] {jfjf64} i .51 nemo
[14:58] {nemo} me .46
[14:58] {nemo} my stop is be, not screwing around with this
[14:59] {nemo} still on the bear side of the moving averages
[14:59] {nemo} youw
[14:59] {nemo} yow
[15:00] {nemo} spy 50 day @.36ish
01[15:01] {@Threei} sigh
[15:01] {nemo} aapl vwap .27ish, bounce coming
[15:09] {jfjf64} xop lod
01[15:19] {@Threei} up or down into eod?
[15:19] {jfjf64} d
01[15:20] {@Threei} VXX from under 35 on pullback then
01[15:21] {@Threei} took .01
01[15:21] {@Threei} shrug
01[15:21] {@Threei} one of those days
[15:22] {jfjf64} wow
[15:23] {nemo} this the 50 day area on spy, doubt they give it up
[15:28] {jfjf64} .90 break
[15:29] {jfjf64} will try
[15:33] {jfjf64} good night boys
01[15:36] {@Threei} take care jf
01[15:36] {@Threei} we will get them tomorrow
[15:41] {dptl} gn all...will take a break for a bit, see ya soon........
[15:42] {RonS} cya dp
01[15:42] {@Threei} thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:42] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Session Time: Mon Feb 09 00:00:00 2015
[09:05] {RonS} hello
01[09:05] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:09] {@Threei} sheesh, Massachusets
01[09:09] {@Threei} "these piles of snow are actually cars"
[09:11] {cosmo} what piles?
01[09:12] {@Threei} TV corr was pointing at them
[09:12] {cosmo} ?
01[09:12] {@Threei} ?
[09:12] {cosmo} TC who?
01[09:13] {@Threei} TV
01[09:13] {@Threei} correspondent
[09:13] {cosmo} ah
[09:13] {cosmo} I remember TV
01[09:18] {@Threei} nemo poked up from under snow
[09:18] {nemo} this is ridiculous
[09:19] {nemo} it's been snowing since Saturday
01[09:19] {@Threei} memories of winnipeg...
[09:19] {cosmo} get in your car and hide there
[09:19] {cosmo} :)
06[09:21] * nemo adds cosmo to the list
[09:21] {dptl} gm
[09:21] {nemo} we have more snow coming Thursday, and we're lining up for another snowstorm Sunday
01[09:22] {@Threei} dp :)
[09:23] {cosmo} Climate change is now a done deal it seems
01[09:23] {@Threei} when wasn't it
[09:23] {nemo} yeah, climates change, what's new
[09:23] {cosmo} during the campaign to stop it
[09:24] {RonS} guess so, it's never snowed in the northeast before
[09:24] {nemo} Last week, there was a report that volcanic activity under the oceans play a major role in climate change
[09:24] {nemo} Yeah, still not as bad as 78
[09:24] {cosmo} yes nemo
[09:24] {cosmo} always has
01[09:24] {@Threei} we must be at fault too
01[09:25] {@Threei} I mean, it's our activity that triggers volcanoes
[09:25] {cosmo} we were made to forget that it was never our fault
[09:25] {nemo} ?
[09:26] {cosmo} undersea volcanoes
[09:26] {cosmo} making 1000 times more CO2 than we do
[09:26] {nemo} and all those farting animals
[09:27] {cosmo} and currently unaccounted for by IPCC
[09:27] {nemo} methane up the wazoo
[09:27] {nemo} there are so many things there models don't account for. Sheesh, we have had three of the coldest years in the Northeast on record, including the summers
[09:28] {cosmo} we need all the CO2 we can make to help stave of the advancing ice sheets...sheesh
[09:28] {jfjf64} gm all
01[09:29] {@Threei} jf :)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ACHN +12% (achieved 100% SVR12 in Phase 2 trial evaluating 6-week treatment with ACHN-3102)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -MCGC +7% (exploring strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HAS +5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -MAS +3.7% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -IPGP +3% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -QCOM +2.5% (said to be close to $1B agreement related to antitrust dispute in China)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -L +2.5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -FSC -16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -DO -10% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -SOHU -7% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -LGND -5% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HIMX -3.5% (negative broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -AAL -3.3% (Jan traffic; DAL & UAL also down 1-2% on the news)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CYOU -2.4% (earnings)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .75 break
01[09:31] {@Threei} If holds .65
[09:32] {nemo} XOP probably gonna be strong today
01[09:34] {@Threei} no go
01[09:35] {@Threei} rinse
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: FCX .10 break
01[09:37] {@Threei} If holds 19
01[09:38] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:44] {@Threei} Ron, see SOHU?
[09:47] {RonS} yes
01[09:49] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD 93 break
01[09:49] {@Threei} If holds .95
01[09:52] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:57] {@Threei} stop to .04
01[09:59] {@Threei} closed
01[10:00] {@Threei} FCX... rinsed second half
01[10:01] {@Threei} Short Setup: MCD .95 break
01[10:01] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[10:03] {@Threei} 1:1
01[10:04] {@Threei} 1:2
01[10:06] {@Threei} Short Setup: FCX .30 break
01[10:07] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[10:15] {@Threei} no go
01[10:17] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .90 break
01[10:17] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[10:19] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:22] {@Threei} (GR) Greece Foreign Min reportedly intends to go to Moscow on Feb 11
[10:26] {jfjf64} yhoo 93 break
01[10:27] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 35 break
01[10:27] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[10:30] {@Threei} valid
[10:30] {nemo} XOP
01[10:31] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:40] {@Threei} Short Setup: NRG 26 break
01[10:40] {@Threei} If holds .10
01[10:50] {@Threei} (US) Fed's Plosser (hawk, non-voter): There is no deflation risk in the US, important to keep inflation expectations well anchored - Wages will trend higher, wage growth will not likely "explode"- Have put together a good string of jobs data- US has exited the crisis, need to step away from crisis monetary policy
01[10:50] {@Threei} Invalidated
01[10:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .10 break
01[10:51] {@Threei} If holds 35
[10:52] {jfjf64} lets nail this one boss
01[10:53] {@Threei} nah
01[10:53] {@Threei} looked really promising
[10:55] {jfjf64} yes
[10:58] {jfjf64} watch rince
01[10:59] {@Threei} changing to DKTK
01[11:01] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX 35 break
01[11:01] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[11:03] {@Threei} grr
[11:05] {nemo} VXX here
[11:09] {jfjf64} time for drink
01[11:15] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .70 break
01[11:15] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[11:15] {@Threei} Invalidated
[11:21] {RonS} wtf? BREAKING: Netflix to offer service in Cuba http://bloom.bg/1zOZSFf
01[11:21] {@Threei} lol
01[11:22] {@Threei} they have internet?
[11:22] {RonS} lol... The biggest U.S. study on exercise just ran out of money http://bloom.bg/1KFZuvD
01[11:22] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .90 break
01[11:29] {@Threei} 1:1
[11:32] {RonS} BREAKING: Turkey to demand reparation payments from Greece for damages incurred during Alexander the Great's invasion
01[11:33] {@Threei} makes sense
[11:33] {nemo} mmmhhhh...I wonder if the term "taking it Greek" comes from Alexander?
01[11:33] {@Threei} and I heard Russia is about to demand return of Alaska
[11:34] {cosmo} and don't forget Troy...
[11:34] {jfjf64} .60 vxx
[11:34] {jfjf64} ?
[11:34] {nemo} no
[11:34] {nemo} wrong time of day for vxx long unless news hits
[11:34] {nemo} imo
[11:35] {nemo} jf if you think spy and appl will come in then take it
01[11:36] {@Threei} The euro tested 10-day lows earlier this morning as the Greek government hardened its positions over the weekend. Greek Prime Minister Tsiparas again rejected an extension of the bailout and reiterated his intension to seek an unspecified "bridge program" from Europe even as he continues rolling back austerity.
01[11:37] {@Threei} There is more and more talk about the real possibility that Greece will be forced out of the Eurozone as German officials pledge that Athens will not get any more EU funds. Greece's finance minister said the Euro zone could collapse "like a house of cards" if Athens were forced out. EUR/USD hit 1.1270 earlier this morning before bouncing up to 1.1336.
01[11:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .80 break
01[11:39] {@Threei} If holds .75
01[11:51] {@Threei} meh
01[12:02] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .70 break
01[12:02] {@Threei} If holds .60
01[12:08] {@Threei} shrug
[12:15] {jfjf64} shrug
[12:15] {jfjf64} drink
01[12:32] {@Threei} (UR) President Obama: Russians have violated every committment they made under the Minsk agreement, continue to encourage a diplomatic resolution in Ukraine - press conference with Chancellor Merkel - Agreed with Merkel to continue bolstering position in Central and Eastern Europe- Reiterates sanctions have have had a large impact on Russia economy and hopeful the sanctions bring Russia to diplomacy- No decision has yet been made on providing weapons to Ukraine- German Chancellor Merkel: the success of our latest diplomatic effort in Ukraine is anything but certain; if diplomacy does not work this time Europea and the US have to examine other options.
[13:11] {nemo} relative volume is only half the 20 day average, probably most of New York took the day off
[13:17] {jfjf64} f in chop fest
01[13:18] {@Threei} totally
[13:18] {jfjf64} xop
[13:18] {jfjf64} up here?
[13:18] {jfjf64} sorry lookin 5 min chartt
01[13:19] {@Threei} with Greece and Russia negotiations, difficult to commit to any side, thus the chop
[13:19] {jfjf64} lol who on top
[13:20] {nemo} think market geting ready to come in a bit
[13:20] {jfjf64} what is
[13:20] {nemo} indexes setup for down, waiting on aapl
[13:25] {nemo} SPY at vwap, aapl still strong
[13:27] {nemo} I'm bored, so I type in "nflx.com"
[13:28] {jfjf64} mkt gonna get hit here
[13:28] {nemo} aapl coming in looking for vxx setup
[13:29] {jfjf64} .55 in
[13:29] {nemo} ready....
[13:29] {nemo} fire!...
[13:29] {nemo} aim...
[13:29] {nemo} should work
[13:29] {jfjf64} fire bitch
[13:29] {jfjf64} im pissed
[13:29] {nemo} should get to .68
[13:29] {nemo} partial
[13:29] {nemo} still early
[13:30] {nemo} put your stop at break even
[13:30] {jfjf64} fire
[13:32] {nemo} now spy has to come back and test vwap
[13:33] {jfjf64} leavin stop b/e
[13:33] {jfjf64} you in also
[13:33] {nemo} .56
[13:33] {jfjf64} nice
[13:34] {nemo} question is do we get DKTK'd before it runs
[13:35] {jfjf64} 80 break sd get nother push
[13:35] {nemo} could move the stop to .60
[13:35] {jfjf64} vwap holdin us up
[13:35] {nemo} but that doesn't give much support
[13:35] {nemo} yeah, early though, spy has to test it's vwap unless all hell breaks loose...watch aapl
[13:36] {jfjf64} aaplgo test it vwap
[13:36] {jfjf64} wd be nice
[13:37] {nemo} if it does this works fine
[13:37] {nemo} looks like down
[13:37] {jfjf64} fire
[13:37] {jfjf64} .80 break
01[13:39] {@Threei} nice move
01[13:39] {@Threei} good job
[13:39] {nemo} VWAP and pivot on aapl same place
[13:39] {nemo} get's there likely bounce
[13:40] {nemo} vwap stop vxx
[13:40] {nemo} frickin' aapl
[13:40] {jfjf64} yes sir
[13:40] {nemo} needs to stay under .50ish
[13:41] {nemo} nope
[13:43] {nemo} probably be another case of me should have kept original stop
[13:43] {jfjf64} small piece left here
[13:44] {jfjf64} will leave at .55
[13:44] {nemo} .60 safe now
[13:44] {jfjf64} yeah see that
[13:44] {jfjf64} ty
[13:45] {nemo} base of hammer @ .62
[13:47] {nemo} aapl the straw that serves the drink
[13:47] {nemo} stirs
[13:48] {jfjf64} looks down
[13:48] {jfjf64} im hopeing down
[13:49] {jfjf64} bad to hope
[13:49] {nemo} to me it's indeterminate
[13:49] {nemo} that was my mistake on Friday
[13:49] {nemo} and then I missed the next good entry
[13:49] {jfjf64} what
[13:50] {jfjf64} hope
[13:50] {nemo} no, I didn't take into consideration aapl on my vxx entry Friday
[13:51] {jfjf64} what aaple screw the longs
[13:52] {nemo} aapl is the #1 weighted stock in the Qs, S&P 500 Rut 1000, the market will go, especially on a range day like this, the way aapl goes
[13:53] {nemo} the only other thing you really need to watch then are the futures on the S&P if they begin to pull strongly in a direction, then the indexes will generally go that way
[13:54] {nemo} imo...that is
[13:57] {jfjf64} done
[13:58] {jfjf64} couple more them be ok
[13:58] {jfjf64} today
[13:58] {jfjf64} xop popped
[13:59] {nemo} yeah, missed that
[13:59] {nemo} bottomed near opening print
[13:59] {jfjf64} me too
[13:59] {jfjf64} wish I was watchin that one
[14:00] {nemo} it's Vad's fault
[14:00] {nemo} remember what I said about keeping your stop at .60?
[14:01] {jfjf64} i been playin round with ma 13/6 cross on 1 min chart intresting
[14:02] {jfjf64} got out .62
[14:05] {jfjf64} .89 short xop
[14:09] {jfjf64} half
[14:09] {nemo} yeah, likely vwap bounce
[14:09] {jfjf64} look vxx
[14:14] {nemo} that's why I said .60
[14:15] {jfjf64} yes ya did
[14:16] {jfjf64} aaple down
[14:16] {nemo} a bit, but not a larger time frame
[14:16] {nemo} so market dripping lower, aapl lets go, down elevator
[14:22] {jfjf64} iwm bounce
[14:23] {jfjf64} 10 break
[14:23] {nemo} I'm not into it
[14:25] {nemo} setup there though
[14:25] {jfjf64} no shit
[14:25] {jfjf64} nice confluence on indicators
01[14:26] {@Threei} let's see if we get rinse, and buy it on 119 recross
01[14:26] {@Threei} this is how indices act today
[14:43] {RonS} wow...Food prices in Russia rose 21% in January from last year http://bloom.bg/1zpAfqG
[14:44] {nemo} not an easy day to trade
01[14:52] {@Threei} that's on top of sizeavle increase last year ron
[14:53] {nemo} XOP
[14:54] {nemo} arguably break of .50
[14:54] {nemo} long
[14:54] {nemo} if holds .40
[14:54] {nemo} aggressive .45 break
[14:56] {jfjf64} lower to me
01[14:56] {@Threei} ok
01[14:56] {@Threei} in IWM for double bottom
01[14:56] {@Threei} stop under .90
[14:58] {jfjf64} i .51 nemo
[14:58] {nemo} me .46
[14:58] {nemo} my stop is be, not screwing around with this
[14:59] {nemo} still on the bear side of the moving averages
[14:59] {nemo} youw
[14:59] {nemo} yow
[15:00] {nemo} spy 50 day @.36ish
01[15:01] {@Threei} sigh
[15:01] {nemo} aapl vwap .27ish, bounce coming
[15:09] {jfjf64} xop lod
01[15:19] {@Threei} up or down into eod?
[15:19] {jfjf64} d
01[15:20] {@Threei} VXX from under 35 on pullback then
01[15:21] {@Threei} took .01
01[15:21] {@Threei} shrug
01[15:21] {@Threei} one of those days
[15:22] {jfjf64} wow
[15:23] {nemo} this the 50 day area on spy, doubt they give it up
[15:28] {jfjf64} .90 break
[15:29] {jfjf64} will try
[15:33] {jfjf64} good night boys
01[15:36] {@Threei} take care jf
01[15:36] {@Threei} we will get them tomorrow
[15:41] {dptl} gn all...will take a break for a bit, see ya soon........
[15:42] {RonS} cya dp
01[15:42] {@Threei} thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:42] {@Threei} see you tomorrow
Friday, February 6, 2015
Market Week Wrap-up
TradeTheNews.com US
Employment Heats Up Winter
Fri, 06 Feb 2015 16:14 PM EST
The excellent US January jobs report out Friday heightened expectations that the Fed will have the confidence to raise interest rates later this year, even as the rest of the world grapples with weakening economies and spiraling crises. US short-term interest rates jumped after the jobs data while the ten-year US Treasury yield rose nearly 30 bps to 1.94% from 1.65%. The US Dollar surged while precious metals slid lower as rates popped up. Europe spent much of the week convulsed by the Greek crisis and distracted by diplomatic maneuvering surrounding the Ukraine conflict. As the Greek government began talking details of a new financial plan with European officials, the ECB cut Athens off from its cheapest available funding for its struggling banks. The PBoC's delivered its first Reserve Requirement Ratio cut since May 2012 after China's January manufacturing PMI contracted for the first time in two years and non-manufacturing PMI hit a one-year low. The Shanghai Composite saw its second week of losses, while for the week the DJIA gained 3.8%, the S&P500 added 3% and the Nasdaq rose 2.4%.
Every aspect of the US January jobs report telegraphed strength. The headline nonfarm payrolls widely beat expectations at +257K v +228Ke while the November nonfarm reading was revised to 423K from 353Ke. The unemployment rate rose to 5.7% from 5.6% as one million additional people decided to start looking for work in an improved environment. Wage growth saw its strongest rise since November 2008 (helped in part by over 20 states enacting minimum wage hikes that went into effect in January). The labor force participation rate rose to 62.9% from a nearly four-decade low of 62.7% prior, while the number of people who changed status from "not in the labor force" to employed saw the biggest jump ever.
Greek Finance Minister Varoufakis went on the road this week to press his case for a new Greece deal in European capitals. He got little sympathy, with nearly every single EU partner demanding that Greece stick to its prior agreements through an extension of the current bailout program. The ECB sent a clear signal midweek by refusing to accept any more Greek government bonds as collateral for loans, forcing Athens to use the ELA facility for short-term liquidity, at a cost of 1.5% compared to 0.005% for the repo facility. The decision effectively grants the ECB the ability to turn off the country's funding on short notice and increases the pressure on the Greeks to cut a deal before the Feb 28th deadline when the current program expires. EUR/USD came into the week below 1.1290, shot as high as 1.1530 on Tuesday, then fell back to around 1.1300 to close out the week.
Oil prices trended higher, but were marked by wild volatility all week. WTI bottomed out last Thursday around $44 and peaked this Tuesday above $54, closing out the week around $52. The volatility was palpable, with 5-10% swings in the front-month contracts every day. Various factors helped whip around prices, including last week's reading of the biggest drop in the US rig count since the late 1980s, intensifying conflict in both Libya and Iraq, and a nationwide strike by USW union workers at nine US refineries, one of the biggest strikes in the industry in decades. Meanwhile, the weekly EIA and API inventories continue to see big gains. Many analysts suggested that while a short-term bottom may have been reached, few are prepared to commit to long bets just quite yet.
Exxon's fourth-quarter earnings and revenue fell by double digits from the year-ago quarter. EPS was above expectations as upstream earnings surged, but revenue was well below the consensus view. Total production declined 3.8% y/y. The firm was reluctant to make any material comments about its outlook, although it warned that it would cut share buybacks to $1.0B in the first quarter of 2015 from $3.0B in the fourth quarter. Anadarko had a tough fourth quarter, missing expectations widely. National Oilwell Varco's earnings in its fourth quarter were solid, however backlog and new orders shrank markedly. The company warned 2015 would be very tough.
The Big Three US automakers all topped expectations in January sales, disclosing double digit growth in their monthly reports. Toyota, Nissan and Honda also saw strong, double-digit sales growth last month. General Motors disclosed a very good fourth-quarter report, with earnings way ahead of expectations. GM also raised its dividend by 20% and said it may evaluate returning more capital to shareholders later in FY15. Both Toyota and Daimler reported very strong December quarter results and better FY forecasts.
FCC Chairman Wheeler outlined a net neutrality proposal that would regulate broadband like a utility under the agency's Title II authority but would refrain from regulating rates. Wheeler's plan would ban cable companies from throttling broadband access and setting up fast lanes for some traffic. Broadband industry representatives dismissed the effort as flawed and Congressional Republicans grumbled about overreach. Many analysts suggested that if Wheeler's effort is successfully enacted, then Comcast's pending merger with Time Warner Cable is likely dead in the water. BTIG said Comcast may simply let the drop-dead date pass without consummating the deal (the initial date is February 12th, but either party can extend that by 6 months to August 12th).
On the M&A front, Pfizer agreed to buy Hospira for $90/share, in a total deal valued around $15.2 billion. Hospira is a top provider of injectable drugs, including those used for acute care and cancer treatment. The buyout will give Pfizer an entry to the growing market for biosimilars, while Hospira gets access to Europe and emerging markets. Under pressure from activist investors, Staples reached a $6.3 billion cash and stock deal to acquire Office Depot. The deal will get very close regulatory scrutiny: the FTC rejected a similar deal back in the 90s, and while today's environment is quite different, the two firms are the #1 and #2 industry players.
The ugly multi-month low January PMI figures out of China were worrisome as the period ahead of the Lunar New Year normally sees significant front loading of inventories by the manufacturing industry. In the wake of the weak PMIs, HSBC warned that fiscal easing measures will be needed to prevent another sharp slowdown in growth. Just a day later, the PBoC injected liquidity via OMOs for the fourth consecutive week (the 90 billion yuan injection was its biggest since last January). A day after that, the PBoC cut the RRR for the first time since May 2012, its fourth cut in the current easing cycle, which began in late 2011. The 50 bps cut released an estimated 600 billion yuan into the banking system, suggesting Beijing's concerns about the slowing Chinese economy are trumping worries about the nation's growing credit bubble. Nonetheless, the Shanghai Composite had its second consecutive down week, as the focus shifts to next week's peak in IPO filings.
The Reserve Bank of Australia became the latest leading central bank to cut, dropping its key cash rate by 25 basis points to a new record low of 2.25%. The Australian cut followed the RBNZ's move last week to a more cautious stance, carrying the possibility of a rate cut at its next meeting. For its part, the RBA cited weak growth in Europe and Japan, lower oil prices driving down inflation, and below-trend domestic growth. In the immediate aftermath of the cut, AUD/USD fell 140pips to five-year low of $0.7650 and NZD/USD hit multi-year lows below the $0.72 handle. On Friday, RBA quarterly policy statement also lowered the projections for 2015 GDP by 25bps to a midpoint 2.75% and headline inflation by 50bps to 2-3%.
Fri, 06 Feb 2015 16:14 PM EST
The excellent US January jobs report out Friday heightened expectations that the Fed will have the confidence to raise interest rates later this year, even as the rest of the world grapples with weakening economies and spiraling crises. US short-term interest rates jumped after the jobs data while the ten-year US Treasury yield rose nearly 30 bps to 1.94% from 1.65%. The US Dollar surged while precious metals slid lower as rates popped up. Europe spent much of the week convulsed by the Greek crisis and distracted by diplomatic maneuvering surrounding the Ukraine conflict. As the Greek government began talking details of a new financial plan with European officials, the ECB cut Athens off from its cheapest available funding for its struggling banks. The PBoC's delivered its first Reserve Requirement Ratio cut since May 2012 after China's January manufacturing PMI contracted for the first time in two years and non-manufacturing PMI hit a one-year low. The Shanghai Composite saw its second week of losses, while for the week the DJIA gained 3.8%, the S&P500 added 3% and the Nasdaq rose 2.4%.
Every aspect of the US January jobs report telegraphed strength. The headline nonfarm payrolls widely beat expectations at +257K v +228Ke while the November nonfarm reading was revised to 423K from 353Ke. The unemployment rate rose to 5.7% from 5.6% as one million additional people decided to start looking for work in an improved environment. Wage growth saw its strongest rise since November 2008 (helped in part by over 20 states enacting minimum wage hikes that went into effect in January). The labor force participation rate rose to 62.9% from a nearly four-decade low of 62.7% prior, while the number of people who changed status from "not in the labor force" to employed saw the biggest jump ever.
Greek Finance Minister Varoufakis went on the road this week to press his case for a new Greece deal in European capitals. He got little sympathy, with nearly every single EU partner demanding that Greece stick to its prior agreements through an extension of the current bailout program. The ECB sent a clear signal midweek by refusing to accept any more Greek government bonds as collateral for loans, forcing Athens to use the ELA facility for short-term liquidity, at a cost of 1.5% compared to 0.005% for the repo facility. The decision effectively grants the ECB the ability to turn off the country's funding on short notice and increases the pressure on the Greeks to cut a deal before the Feb 28th deadline when the current program expires. EUR/USD came into the week below 1.1290, shot as high as 1.1530 on Tuesday, then fell back to around 1.1300 to close out the week.
Oil prices trended higher, but were marked by wild volatility all week. WTI bottomed out last Thursday around $44 and peaked this Tuesday above $54, closing out the week around $52. The volatility was palpable, with 5-10% swings in the front-month contracts every day. Various factors helped whip around prices, including last week's reading of the biggest drop in the US rig count since the late 1980s, intensifying conflict in both Libya and Iraq, and a nationwide strike by USW union workers at nine US refineries, one of the biggest strikes in the industry in decades. Meanwhile, the weekly EIA and API inventories continue to see big gains. Many analysts suggested that while a short-term bottom may have been reached, few are prepared to commit to long bets just quite yet.
Exxon's fourth-quarter earnings and revenue fell by double digits from the year-ago quarter. EPS was above expectations as upstream earnings surged, but revenue was well below the consensus view. Total production declined 3.8% y/y. The firm was reluctant to make any material comments about its outlook, although it warned that it would cut share buybacks to $1.0B in the first quarter of 2015 from $3.0B in the fourth quarter. Anadarko had a tough fourth quarter, missing expectations widely. National Oilwell Varco's earnings in its fourth quarter were solid, however backlog and new orders shrank markedly. The company warned 2015 would be very tough.
The Big Three US automakers all topped expectations in January sales, disclosing double digit growth in their monthly reports. Toyota, Nissan and Honda also saw strong, double-digit sales growth last month. General Motors disclosed a very good fourth-quarter report, with earnings way ahead of expectations. GM also raised its dividend by 20% and said it may evaluate returning more capital to shareholders later in FY15. Both Toyota and Daimler reported very strong December quarter results and better FY forecasts.
FCC Chairman Wheeler outlined a net neutrality proposal that would regulate broadband like a utility under the agency's Title II authority but would refrain from regulating rates. Wheeler's plan would ban cable companies from throttling broadband access and setting up fast lanes for some traffic. Broadband industry representatives dismissed the effort as flawed and Congressional Republicans grumbled about overreach. Many analysts suggested that if Wheeler's effort is successfully enacted, then Comcast's pending merger with Time Warner Cable is likely dead in the water. BTIG said Comcast may simply let the drop-dead date pass without consummating the deal (the initial date is February 12th, but either party can extend that by 6 months to August 12th).
On the M&A front, Pfizer agreed to buy Hospira for $90/share, in a total deal valued around $15.2 billion. Hospira is a top provider of injectable drugs, including those used for acute care and cancer treatment. The buyout will give Pfizer an entry to the growing market for biosimilars, while Hospira gets access to Europe and emerging markets. Under pressure from activist investors, Staples reached a $6.3 billion cash and stock deal to acquire Office Depot. The deal will get very close regulatory scrutiny: the FTC rejected a similar deal back in the 90s, and while today's environment is quite different, the two firms are the #1 and #2 industry players.
The ugly multi-month low January PMI figures out of China were worrisome as the period ahead of the Lunar New Year normally sees significant front loading of inventories by the manufacturing industry. In the wake of the weak PMIs, HSBC warned that fiscal easing measures will be needed to prevent another sharp slowdown in growth. Just a day later, the PBoC injected liquidity via OMOs for the fourth consecutive week (the 90 billion yuan injection was its biggest since last January). A day after that, the PBoC cut the RRR for the first time since May 2012, its fourth cut in the current easing cycle, which began in late 2011. The 50 bps cut released an estimated 600 billion yuan into the banking system, suggesting Beijing's concerns about the slowing Chinese economy are trumping worries about the nation's growing credit bubble. Nonetheless, the Shanghai Composite had its second consecutive down week, as the focus shifts to next week's peak in IPO filings.
The Reserve Bank of Australia became the latest leading central bank to cut, dropping its key cash rate by 25 basis points to a new record low of 2.25%. The Australian cut followed the RBNZ's move last week to a more cautious stance, carrying the possibility of a rate cut at its next meeting. For its part, the RBA cited weak growth in Europe and Japan, lower oil prices driving down inflation, and below-trend domestic growth. In the immediate aftermath of the cut, AUD/USD fell 140pips to five-year low of $0.7650 and NZD/USD hit multi-year lows below the $0.72 handle. On Friday, RBA quarterly policy statement also lowered the projections for 2015 GDP by 25bps to a midpoint 2.75% and headline inflation by 50bps to 2-3%.
Feb 06 2015
Patternless day, with sudden turns and without proper setups. We cut down activity to keep things safe, and last two winning trades erased most of earlier rinses. At any rate, the week was very good
Session Time: Fri Feb 06 00:00:00 2015
[09:19] {RonS} hi fellow lonely guys...
01[09:19] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:22] {@Threei} we are not lonely, we are curious... gotts wake up to find out why gold is getting murdered
[09:23] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:23] {@Threei} jf :)
[09:24] {dptl} gm
01[09:24] {@Threei} dp :)
01[09:29] {@Threei} dino can't navigate through the snowdrift I take it
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -XLS +35% (received bid from Harris at $23.75/shr)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -YRCW +16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CBM +16% (earnings & expansion of large scale API capacity)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -TWTR +12% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -LNKD +11% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HRS +6.5% (offer for XLS)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -IMGN +5.6% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -BWLD +4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -MSG +4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -TROV -20% (priced 4.44M share offering for gross proceeds at $20M)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -P -18% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -YELP -16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -GPRO -13% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -EXPE -8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -PBR -8% (named Aldemir Bendine as CEO and Ivan Monteiro as CFO)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ATVI -7% (earnings)
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: GLD .43 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} fast...
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .35
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .90 break hl
01[09:37] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .15 break
01[09:43] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[09:45] {@Threei} no go
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[09:47] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[09:49] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:52] {dino} gm
01[09:53] {@Threei} dino :)
01[09:54] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 120 break
01[09:54] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[09:56] {@Threei} no go
[09:57] {jfjf64} vxx
[09:57] {jfjf64} .80
[09:58] {jfjf64} ?
01[09:58] {@Threei} can't tell, too choppy'
01[09:59] {@Threei} rinse IWM
01[09:59] {@Threei} changing to DKTK
01[10:03] {@Threei} somg... 1:4
[10:20] {nemo} qcom
01[10:22] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[10:23] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[10:27] {@Threei} lose .80 SPY... and die
01[10:28] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:32] {RonS} dino $stra gone pulp
[10:33] {dino} ty
[10:35] {dino} out dfs calls from 1/27, +1.35 / 84%
[10:37] {jfjf64} common loose this .80
[10:37] {dino} out stt calls from 1/23 +1.03 / 66%
01[10:37] {@Threei} 1:2
[10:37] {jfjf64} any reports today?
01[10:38] {@Threei} ?
[10:39] {RonS} gonna report you for mis-spelling lose... unreal to me how many do that...guess multitude skipped 4th grade
[10:39] {jfjf64} lol
[10:39] {dino} damn
01[10:40] {@Threei} it's ese disease
01[10:41] {@Threei} but this is second in my list of the worst spelling offenses
[10:41] {RonS} eqkacktly
01[10:41] {@Threei} first prize takes this endless your-you're
[10:52] {dino} out n calls from 1/30 +.75 / 26%
[10:59] {dino} this markets is wicked, up 900 pts from mondays low
[11:00] {nemo} and EU QE doesn't start until next month
[11:02] {dino} thats 5% in 4 days!
[11:03] {dino} the pattern is short very soon
[11:03] {nemo} go look at what the DAX did in January
[11:04] {dino} please tell me
[11:07] {nemo} went from 9400 to 10800
[11:08] {dino} ty
[11:08] {nemo} went from 9600 to 10300 in one 5 day stretch
[11:09] {nemo} QCOM looks short here
01[11:21] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .72 break
01[11:21] {@Threei} If holds .65
[11:21] {nemo} was just looking at that
01[11:22] {@Threei} scary, isn't it
[11:23] {nemo} why is it up so much today?
[11:24] {dino} banks in general
01[11:28] {@Threei} meh
01[11:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: QCOM .45 break
01[11:39] {@Threei} If holds .36
[11:47] {pamsv} have to go - have a good weekend all!
[11:47] {nemo} P&Q
[11:50] {jfjf64} see all later
[12:05] {nemo} is the market trading?
01[12:06] {@Threei} not too much
[12:08] {RonS} convenient: Report: Islamic State claims a Jordanian air strike has killed an American female hostage - @nytimes http://nyti.ms/1vwbj6d
01[12:09] {@Threei} do they have similar report with sides flipped, for american air strike?
01[12:30] {@Threei} After the jobs data, Fed watcher Hilsenrath remarked that the report means a June rate hike is still on the table and at the very least it boosts the odds the Fed will alter the 'patient' language in the statement.
01[12:31] {@Threei} With rate hikes back on the table, the shares of US financials are soaring. Regions Financial and Bank of America are up 5% a piece, Prudential is up 4.5%, MS is up 3.5% and Citi is up nearly 3%.
01[12:31] {@Threei} Gold tanked before and after the jobs number, with spot gold dipping 2.3% to $1,230.
[12:34] {dino} rate hike will increase the value of the dollar vs others, not so sure its going to happen that soon.
[12:35] {dino} this dollar spike is starting to show its hurt on businesses
01[12:35] {@Threei} I too doubt it's as close as they imply
01[12:35] {@Threei} there is no real inflation threat thus far (well, per official data at least)
[12:36] {dino} plus, oil companies have just started their layoffs, this could get big
01[12:36] {@Threei} why would they rush and take this step now
[12:40] {RonS} Lockhart: Hiring Improvement 'May Be Less Than Meets The Eye"
01[12:44] {@Threei} (GR) S&P cuts Greece rating one notch to B- from B; remains on credit watch negative
01[12:44] {@Threei} sheesh
[12:44] {dino} you know, the more i think abot the greek situation, the more i think germany gives in.
[12:45] {dino} its the old bank problem....if you owe the bank 100k its your problem, but if you owe the bank a few million, its the bank's problem
01[12:45] {@Threei} but... every german has second property now... in Greece
[12:46] {dino} my gut says greece gets some serious breaks and extensions
01[12:46] {@Threei} oh yeah
[12:46] {dino} just push it out to infinity
01[12:46] {@Threei} exactly
01[12:46] {@Threei} it's the mentality
[12:46] {dino} and that of course, allows the politicians to save face and keep their jobs
01[12:47] {@Threei} whatever negative happens, it shouldn't be on my watch
01[12:47] {@Threei} and they have large problem on their hands with Russia
01[12:47] {@Threei} can't afford so many fronts falling apart
[12:48] {dino} yes, a default will weaken all of europe with russia looking to make a move
[12:48] {dino} brb
01[12:49] {@Threei} that's why russia supports greece so much
01[12:49] {@Threei} and was rooting for no in scottish referndum
01[12:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[12:51] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[12:56] {@Threei} grr
01[13:07] {@Threei} not getting twists and turns right
[13:12] {dino} out pcar calls from 1/30 +.75 / 47%
[13:14] {dino} out uri calls from 1/30 +2.72 / 51%
01[13:16] {@Threei} nice
[13:17] {dino} thx, they worked nicely
[13:17] {dino} thinking of adding puts now, we
[13:18] {dino} are close to that 18k level again
01[13:26] {@Threei} looks like real panic in cards
01[13:26] {@Threei} watching VXX for pullback
[13:32] {dino} back in 30
01[13:41] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .05 break
01[13:41] {@Threei} If holds .95
[13:54] {nemo} VXX
01[14:00] {@Threei} Canada Supreme court allows assisted suicide
01[14:01] {@Threei} good to know I have option in case another naked Kardashian video appears
[14:07] {nemo} VXX should go soon
01[14:09] {@Threei} you call it
01[14:09] {@Threei} my timing is off today
[14:09] {nemo} oh sorry
[14:11] {nemo} might not get a pullback now
[14:12] {nemo} o.k. guess we will
[14:12] {nemo} holding that .95 breakout
[14:13] {nemo} 34 breaj
[14:13] {nemo} breaj'
[14:13] {nemo} break
[14:13] {nemo} stop under .90
[14:14] {nemo} damn...aapl
[14:15] {nemo} that's gonna' make it hard for the indexes to come in
[14:17] {nemo} o.k. aapl weakening a little
[14:17] {nemo} sheesh
[14:22] {nemo} I hate trades like this
[14:24] {nemo} they're going to DKTK us
[14:24] {nemo} spy broke through
01[14:26] {@Threei} lol, contest who outrinses whom
[14:26] {nemo} I think we should be o.k. now as long as aapl cooperates
[14:27] {nemo} frickin' aapl
[14:33] {nemo} wow holding that .88 level from 2:00
[14:33] {nemo} VXX that is
[14:33] {nemo} out
[14:34] {nemo} too early
01[14:35] {@Threei} that double bottom seems to be low for the day
[14:36] {nemo} maybe, this is vwap for spy, iwm almost there, aapl almost there
01[14:44] {@Threei} (VZ) Venezuela Oil Ministry notes there are more meetings scheduled with OPEC members to discuss strategy on oil price **Note: Late last year Russia, Venezuela, Mexico and Saudi Arabia agreed to have period meetings about oil levels and said they would meet again in February, though no date has been set.
[14:46] {nemo} yep DKTK
01[14:46] {@Threei} mother...
[14:46] {nemo} as soon as aapl started coming in
[14:53] {nemo} that sucked
01[14:54] {@Threei} told you, timing is major hindrance today
[14:54] {nemo} yeah, but I made the mistake of not assessing aapl correctly
[14:54] {nemo} I just looked at the indexes
[14:54] {nemo} aapl is a frickin' index
[14:59] {nemo} http://goo.gl/l8E5Sg
01[15:00] {@Threei} (GR) Eurogroup chief Dijsselbloem: Greece needs to submit a bailout extension request by Feb 16 to maintain EMU financial support
01[15:00] {@Threei} (US) DEC CONSUMER CREDIT: +$14.76B V +$15.0BE
[15:00] {nemo} wow
[15:02] {dino} ?
[15:02] {nemo} the drop....the missed VXX trade
[15:02] {dino} oh, 160 swing
[15:15] {dino} adding dia march puts
01[15:18] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[15:18] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[15:20] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:21] {@Threei} finally got something right
[15:29] {nemo} "A fan threw me a beer. If a fan throws you a beer, you have to chug it," Gronk said.
[15:33] {dino} taking a few days off for golf trip in myrtle beach. be back on thursday. good luck all
01[15:33] {@Threei} have fun dino
[15:33] {RonS} about time...
[15:33] {nemo} warmer down there
[15:34] {jfjf64} enjoy
01[15:34] {@Threei} you need a break from all that snow
[15:34] {dino} indeed, should be high 50s to mid 60s
01[15:42] {@Threei} ok, last one
01[15:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .90 break
01[15:42] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[15:43] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:46] {@Threei} ok
01[15:46] {@Threei} time for total breakdown
[15:46] {jfjf64} die ya biat ch
01[15:47] {@Threei} nah
01[15:47] {@Threei} closed second half
01[15:47] {@Threei} whew, annoying day... but last couple trades made it bearable
01[15:48] {@Threei} have a great weekend guys, see you Monday!
[15:48] {jfjf64} adios
[15:50] {dptl} gn
[15:50] {dino} cya dp
[15:50] {dino} cya jf
[15:51] {dino} gn all
[15:51] {jfjf64} have fun dino
[15:51] {dino} ty
[15:51] {jfjf64} have a couple beers relax
[15:51] {dino} will do
[15:51] {cosmo} You know, Torrey Pines is even warmer...
[15:51] {dino} some day
[15:52] {cosmo} :)
Session Time: Fri Feb 06 00:00:00 2015
[09:19] {RonS} hi fellow lonely guys...
01[09:19] {@Threei} ron :)
01[09:22] {@Threei} we are not lonely, we are curious... gotts wake up to find out why gold is getting murdered
[09:23] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:23] {@Threei} jf :)
[09:24] {dptl} gm
01[09:24] {@Threei} dp :)
01[09:29] {@Threei} dino can't navigate through the snowdrift I take it
01[09:30] {@Threei} Upside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -XLS +35% (received bid from Harris at $23.75/shr)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -YRCW +16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -CBM +16% (earnings & expansion of large scale API capacity)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -TWTR +12% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -LNKD +11% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -HRS +6.5% (offer for XLS)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -IMGN +5.6% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -BWLD +4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -MSG +4% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} Downside:
01[09:30] {@Threei} -TROV -20% (priced 4.44M share offering for gross proceeds at $20M)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -P -18% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -YELP -16% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -GPRO -13% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -EXPE -8% (earnings)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -PBR -8% (named Aldemir Bendine as CEO and Ivan Monteiro as CFO)
01[09:30] {@Threei} -ATVI -7% (earnings)
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup: GLD .43 break
01[09:33] {@Threei} fast...
01[09:33] {@Threei} If holds .35
01[09:37] {@Threei} Long Setup: MCD .90 break hl
01[09:37] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[09:39] {@Threei} 1:1
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM .15 break
01[09:43] {@Threei} If holds .05
01[09:45] {@Threei} no go
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .80 break
01[09:47] {@Threei} If holds .70
01[09:49] {@Threei} Invalidated
[09:52] {dino} gm
01[09:53] {@Threei} dino :)
01[09:54] {@Threei} Long Setup: IWM 120 break
01[09:54] {@Threei} If holds .90
01[09:56] {@Threei} no go
[09:57] {jfjf64} vxx
[09:57] {jfjf64} .80
[09:58] {jfjf64} ?
01[09:58] {@Threei} can't tell, too choppy'
01[09:59] {@Threei} rinse IWM
01[09:59] {@Threei} changing to DKTK
01[10:03] {@Threei} somg... 1:4
[10:20] {nemo} qcom
01[10:22] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[10:23] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[10:27] {@Threei} lose .80 SPY... and die
01[10:28] {@Threei} 1:1
[10:32] {RonS} dino $stra gone pulp
[10:33] {dino} ty
[10:35] {dino} out dfs calls from 1/27, +1.35 / 84%
[10:37] {jfjf64} common loose this .80
[10:37] {dino} out stt calls from 1/23 +1.03 / 66%
01[10:37] {@Threei} 1:2
[10:37] {jfjf64} any reports today?
01[10:38] {@Threei} ?
[10:39] {RonS} gonna report you for mis-spelling lose... unreal to me how many do that...guess multitude skipped 4th grade
[10:39] {jfjf64} lol
[10:39] {dino} damn
01[10:40] {@Threei} it's ese disease
01[10:41] {@Threei} but this is second in my list of the worst spelling offenses
[10:41] {RonS} eqkacktly
01[10:41] {@Threei} first prize takes this endless your-you're
[10:52] {dino} out n calls from 1/30 +.75 / 26%
[10:59] {dino} this markets is wicked, up 900 pts from mondays low
[11:00] {nemo} and EU QE doesn't start until next month
[11:02] {dino} thats 5% in 4 days!
[11:03] {dino} the pattern is short very soon
[11:03] {nemo} go look at what the DAX did in January
[11:04] {dino} please tell me
[11:07] {nemo} went from 9400 to 10800
[11:08] {dino} ty
[11:08] {nemo} went from 9600 to 10300 in one 5 day stretch
[11:09] {nemo} QCOM looks short here
01[11:21] {@Threei} Long Setup: JPM .72 break
01[11:21] {@Threei} If holds .65
[11:21] {nemo} was just looking at that
01[11:22] {@Threei} scary, isn't it
[11:23] {nemo} why is it up so much today?
[11:24] {dino} banks in general
01[11:28] {@Threei} meh
01[11:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: QCOM .45 break
01[11:39] {@Threei} If holds .36
[11:47] {pamsv} have to go - have a good weekend all!
[11:47] {nemo} P&Q
[11:50] {jfjf64} see all later
[12:05] {nemo} is the market trading?
01[12:06] {@Threei} not too much
[12:08] {RonS} convenient: Report: Islamic State claims a Jordanian air strike has killed an American female hostage - @nytimes http://nyti.ms/1vwbj6d
01[12:09] {@Threei} do they have similar report with sides flipped, for american air strike?
01[12:30] {@Threei} After the jobs data, Fed watcher Hilsenrath remarked that the report means a June rate hike is still on the table and at the very least it boosts the odds the Fed will alter the 'patient' language in the statement.
01[12:31] {@Threei} With rate hikes back on the table, the shares of US financials are soaring. Regions Financial and Bank of America are up 5% a piece, Prudential is up 4.5%, MS is up 3.5% and Citi is up nearly 3%.
01[12:31] {@Threei} Gold tanked before and after the jobs number, with spot gold dipping 2.3% to $1,230.
[12:34] {dino} rate hike will increase the value of the dollar vs others, not so sure its going to happen that soon.
[12:35] {dino} this dollar spike is starting to show its hurt on businesses
01[12:35] {@Threei} I too doubt it's as close as they imply
01[12:35] {@Threei} there is no real inflation threat thus far (well, per official data at least)
[12:36] {dino} plus, oil companies have just started their layoffs, this could get big
01[12:36] {@Threei} why would they rush and take this step now
[12:40] {RonS} Lockhart: Hiring Improvement 'May Be Less Than Meets The Eye"
01[12:44] {@Threei} (GR) S&P cuts Greece rating one notch to B- from B; remains on credit watch negative
01[12:44] {@Threei} sheesh
[12:44] {dino} you know, the more i think abot the greek situation, the more i think germany gives in.
[12:45] {dino} its the old bank problem....if you owe the bank 100k its your problem, but if you owe the bank a few million, its the bank's problem
01[12:45] {@Threei} but... every german has second property now... in Greece
[12:46] {dino} my gut says greece gets some serious breaks and extensions
01[12:46] {@Threei} oh yeah
[12:46] {dino} just push it out to infinity
01[12:46] {@Threei} exactly
01[12:46] {@Threei} it's the mentality
[12:46] {dino} and that of course, allows the politicians to save face and keep their jobs
01[12:47] {@Threei} whatever negative happens, it shouldn't be on my watch
01[12:47] {@Threei} and they have large problem on their hands with Russia
01[12:47] {@Threei} can't afford so many fronts falling apart
[12:48] {dino} yes, a default will weaken all of europe with russia looking to make a move
[12:48] {dino} brb
01[12:49] {@Threei} that's why russia supports greece so much
01[12:49] {@Threei} and was rooting for no in scottish referndum
01[12:51] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .40 break
01[12:51] {@Threei} If holds .30
01[12:56] {@Threei} grr
01[13:07] {@Threei} not getting twists and turns right
[13:12] {dino} out pcar calls from 1/30 +.75 / 47%
[13:14] {dino} out uri calls from 1/30 +2.72 / 51%
01[13:16] {@Threei} nice
[13:17] {dino} thx, they worked nicely
[13:17] {dino} thinking of adding puts now, we
[13:18] {dino} are close to that 18k level again
01[13:26] {@Threei} looks like real panic in cards
01[13:26] {@Threei} watching VXX for pullback
[13:32] {dino} back in 30
01[13:41] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .05 break
01[13:41] {@Threei} If holds .95
[13:54] {nemo} VXX
01[14:00] {@Threei} Canada Supreme court allows assisted suicide
01[14:01] {@Threei} good to know I have option in case another naked Kardashian video appears
[14:07] {nemo} VXX should go soon
01[14:09] {@Threei} you call it
01[14:09] {@Threei} my timing is off today
[14:09] {nemo} oh sorry
[14:11] {nemo} might not get a pullback now
[14:12] {nemo} o.k. guess we will
[14:12] {nemo} holding that .95 breakout
[14:13] {nemo} 34 breaj
[14:13] {nemo} breaj'
[14:13] {nemo} break
[14:13] {nemo} stop under .90
[14:14] {nemo} damn...aapl
[14:15] {nemo} that's gonna' make it hard for the indexes to come in
[14:17] {nemo} o.k. aapl weakening a little
[14:17] {nemo} sheesh
[14:22] {nemo} I hate trades like this
[14:24] {nemo} they're going to DKTK us
[14:24] {nemo} spy broke through
01[14:26] {@Threei} lol, contest who outrinses whom
[14:26] {nemo} I think we should be o.k. now as long as aapl cooperates
[14:27] {nemo} frickin' aapl
[14:33] {nemo} wow holding that .88 level from 2:00
[14:33] {nemo} VXX that is
[14:33] {nemo} out
[14:34] {nemo} too early
01[14:35] {@Threei} that double bottom seems to be low for the day
[14:36] {nemo} maybe, this is vwap for spy, iwm almost there, aapl almost there
01[14:44] {@Threei} (VZ) Venezuela Oil Ministry notes there are more meetings scheduled with OPEC members to discuss strategy on oil price **Note: Late last year Russia, Venezuela, Mexico and Saudi Arabia agreed to have period meetings about oil levels and said they would meet again in February, though no date has been set.
[14:46] {nemo} yep DKTK
01[14:46] {@Threei} mother...
[14:46] {nemo} as soon as aapl started coming in
[14:53] {nemo} that sucked
01[14:54] {@Threei} told you, timing is major hindrance today
[14:54] {nemo} yeah, but I made the mistake of not assessing aapl correctly
[14:54] {nemo} I just looked at the indexes
[14:54] {nemo} aapl is a frickin' index
[14:59] {nemo} http://goo.gl/l8E5Sg
01[15:00] {@Threei} (GR) Eurogroup chief Dijsselbloem: Greece needs to submit a bailout extension request by Feb 16 to maintain EMU financial support
01[15:00] {@Threei} (US) DEC CONSUMER CREDIT: +$14.76B V +$15.0BE
[15:00] {nemo} wow
[15:02] {dino} ?
[15:02] {nemo} the drop....the missed VXX trade
[15:02] {dino} oh, 160 swing
[15:15] {dino} adding dia march puts
01[15:18] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .60 break
01[15:18] {@Threei} If holds .50
01[15:20] {@Threei} 1:2
01[15:21] {@Threei} finally got something right
[15:29] {nemo} "A fan threw me a beer. If a fan throws you a beer, you have to chug it," Gronk said.
[15:33] {dino} taking a few days off for golf trip in myrtle beach. be back on thursday. good luck all
01[15:33] {@Threei} have fun dino
[15:33] {RonS} about time...
[15:33] {nemo} warmer down there
[15:34] {jfjf64} enjoy
01[15:34] {@Threei} you need a break from all that snow
[15:34] {dino} indeed, should be high 50s to mid 60s
01[15:42] {@Threei} ok, last one
01[15:42] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .90 break
01[15:42] {@Threei} If holds .80
01[15:43] {@Threei} 1:1
01[15:46] {@Threei} ok
01[15:46] {@Threei} time for total breakdown
[15:46] {jfjf64} die ya biat ch
01[15:47] {@Threei} nah
01[15:47] {@Threei} closed second half
01[15:47] {@Threei} whew, annoying day... but last couple trades made it bearable
01[15:48] {@Threei} have a great weekend guys, see you Monday!
[15:48] {jfjf64} adios
[15:50] {dptl} gn
[15:50] {dino} cya dp
[15:50] {dino} cya jf
[15:51] {dino} gn all
[15:51] {jfjf64} have fun dino
[15:51] {dino} ty
[15:51] {jfjf64} have a couple beers relax
[15:51] {dino} will do
[15:51] {cosmo} You know, Torrey Pines is even warmer...
[15:51] {dino} some day
[15:52] {cosmo} :)
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