Monday, April 5, 2010

Apr 05 2010

Nice profitable day requiring strong discpline. Started with two nice wins on CIEN and FCX, then had to stay away from numerous shakeouts as markert remained locked. Only discretionary niche plays worked for those whose style matched them: news play on RINO, momo on ARQL and most of all on UNIS. Skill to play only when there is what to play with is invaluable.

Session Time: Mon Apr 05 00:00:00 2010

[08:27] {Threei} MRNA Signs research study collaboration deal with Pfizer
[08:29] {Threei} DIVX Enters partnership with Sharp to enable DivX video on digital TV
[08:29] {Les} morning
[08:29] {Threei} morning les
[08:30] {Threei} aree we 11K yet?
[08:30] {Les} haven't got my software up and running.
[08:36] {Threei} Apple Inc Sells over 300K iPads in first day of sales
[08:36] {Threei} - Apple also announced that iPad users downloaded over one million apps from Apple's App Store and over 250K ebooks from its iBookstore during the first day.
[08:36] {Threei} ***Reminder: In a note this weekend, Piper Jaffray's Gene Munster forecast iPad sales for the two day weekend including preorders would amount to about 700K.
[08:36] {fernp} Good morning everybody
[08:36] {Threei} fern :)
[08:37] {dptl} good morning all :)
[08:37] {Threei} dp :)
[08:39] {nemo} So....an emergency Fed meeting today
[08:40] {Les} hmmm. to react or not react, I wonder how the market will take that...
[08:41] {Threei} is there announcement for that?
[08:41] {Threei} search shows rumors only
[08:44] {Threei} found it
[08:44] {Threei} http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/meetings/2010/20100405/advancedexp.htm
[08:48] {Threei} (IN) Pakistan President Zardari: Pakistan would like to normalize relations with India (related USD/INR IFN GLD )
[08:48] {Threei} about time
[08:49] {Threei} people get their e-mail accounts hijacked left and right
[08:49] {Threei} over this weekend I received three e-mails,
[08:50] {Threei} all "from" people I eschange e-mails often,
[08:50] {Threei} informing me that they got robbed at a gunpoint in Hyde Park in London while travellling, and need my urgent assinstance
[08:51] {Threei} exacet same text
[08:51] {Threei} it's like all my friends went to lodon, met the same robber and now count on me as sole savior
[08:52] {Threei} I'd say guy needs to start sharing with me for supplying so many friends to him
[08:52] {dptl} lol
[08:52] {Threei} dp, thank goodness you haven't gone to London
[08:53] {dptl} no....hate flying
[08:53] {Threei} never do, people get mugged in Hyde Park en masse
[08:53] {Threei} in fact, I think there is a line-up to a tired robber holding garbage bag where they throw they wallets
[08:54] {Threei} and then run back to their hotels to e-mail me
[08:56] {Les} I for one would like to see just 1 scam like that. never heard of them. it's viagra or nothing in my spam box...
[08:56] {Threei} smeone's trying to tell you something...
[08:59] {Les} oh ha ha nice one centurion, like it, like it...
[09:00] {Threei} don't feel self-conscious then, for a while all I was getting were e-mails suggesting enlargement of certain viatl organs
[09:00] {Les} the liver?
[09:01] {Threei} I'll withold the details les I have to edit the log
[09:02] {Threei} PPHM Reports Data From Newly Published Research Reinforcing Potential of Targeting PS in HIV Infection
[09:09] {gen} gm all
[09:09] {Threei} gen :)
[09:09] {gen} :)
[09:11] {Threei} SPY new high
[09:11] {Threei} for the yesr I mean
[09:11] {Threei} year
[09:13] {strider} morning everyone.
[09:13] {gen} :)
[09:14] {Threei} strider :)
[09:14] {strider} :)
[09:15] {larisa} gm :)
[09:15] {Threei} larisa :)
[09:15] {gen} :)
[09:15] {dptl} :)
[09:16] {Threei} look at these two chessir cats
[09:16] {shorty} gm all
[09:16] {Threei} shorty :)
[09:16] {gen} :)
[09:16] {shorty} :)
[09:16] {Threei} what is it with you all
[09:16] {Threei} too many smiles
[09:17] {nemo} :(
[09:17] {Threei} it's monday, remember?
[09:17] {dptl} he he
[09:17] {shorty} Hiding behind angry faces
[09:17] {Threei} http://realitytrader.com/vad/Mondays-Suck-Video.wmv
[09:17] {RonS} :P
[09:18] {dino} gm all
[09:18] {gen} :)
[09:18] {RonS} :D gm all
[09:18] {dino} :O
[09:18] {Threei} ron, dino :)
[09:19] {Threei} say hello to Vasilisa, our guest from Ukraine
[09:19] {Les} CREE
[09:19] {nemo} haroo
[09:19] {Les} hell Vasilisa
[09:19] {Les} oops, hello
[09:20] {Les} what's on the menu vad?
[09:20] {Threei} so far, nothing outstanding
[09:20] {Les} ARD
[09:20] {Threei} oh, patience says hello to everyone from Beijing
[09:21] {Les} ni hao patience
[09:22] {_vasilisa} gm all
[09:22] {gen} :)
[09:22] {Threei} good morning
[09:23] {Threei} who needs a little mood booster for the morning:
[09:23] {Threei} http://photography.realitytrader.com/2010/04/cutest-tabby-ever.html
[09:24] {lasertrev} morning
[09:24] {Threei} trev :)
[09:24] {gen} :)
[09:25] {Threei} these smiles make me nervous
[09:25] {dptl} lol ...nice pic.Vad......
[09:25] {Threei} as gunslinger used to say, First smiles, then lies, then gunfire
[09:25] {strider} :(
[09:25] {gen} :O
[09:26] {fernp} i like the last one photo
[09:26] {Threei} my favorite too fern
[09:26] {fernp} it's nice :-)
[09:26] {dino} ahh yes, the gunslinger
[09:26] {Threei} OK guys, let's see whatscanner spits out... I dont have clear candidates for the opening
[09:27] {Les} :/
[09:27] {Les} my morning contribution. MOS 59
[09:27] {strider} UA
[09:28] {strider} scratch that.
06[09:28] * Threei is scratching UA from his monitor
[09:28] {dino} special fed disc mtg this a.m.
[09:28] {Threei} yeah
[09:29] {strider} AMD could pop at open.
[09:29] {Threei} 9.5 break?
[09:29] {strider} thinkin'
[09:30] {Threei} I like the look of daily
[09:30] {strider} yeah...that's where I found it.
[09:30] {Threei} it's generally a narrow stock, about 30 cents daily ranges
[09:31] {Les} CREE off like a rocker
[09:31] {Threei} so unless something extaordinary happebs, don't count on muxh
[09:31] {Les} rocket
[09:32] {strider} UA now.
[09:33] {dino} hmmmm
[09:33] {dino} gap and rock, or drop
[09:34] {strider} 31 resis. on daily
[09:35] {Threei} Long Setup: CIEN .15 if stays above .10
[09:37] {Threei} if market double-bottoms here, should work nicely
[09:37] {Threei} if not, 5-7 cents risk is fine for monday morning
[09:41] {jfjf64} mornin
[09:41] {Threei} CIEN is like a hedgehog which is a very proud bird - won't fly until kicked
06[09:41] * Threei kicks CIEN in the rear
[09:41] {Threei} jf :)
[09:42] {Threei} CRUS touches 52 weerk high
[09:43] {Threei} fiinally CIEN
[09:43] {Threei} 1/2 out, over 1:1
[09:43] {nemo} yep
[09:43] {Threei} scalpers be happy
[09:43] {Les} thanks out .24
[09:43] {Threei} where is ese, this is his stock
[09:43] {Threei} over 1:2
[09:43] {dptl} out .27 ty
[09:43] {Threei} welcome guys
[09:43] {Threei} let's officially consider Monday kicked off
[09:44] {Threei} together with proud bird CIEN
[09:44] {nemo} 1/4 more
[09:44] {Threei} too bad missed CRUS
[09:44] {Les} cree just won't stop
[09:44] {Threei} let's see if we get pullback on it
[09:44] {shorty} Thanks Vad out + .14
[09:44] {Threei} welcome sir
[09:45] {Les} fcx straggling other miners
[09:46] {Threei} US) Preview: Feb Pending Home Sales due out at 10:00ET
[09:46] {Threei} **consensus expectations (m/m): 0.0%e v -7.6% prior
[09:46] {Threei} 1/4 more CIEN
[09:46] {Threei} .32
[09:46] {Threei} stop to under .20
[09:46] {Threei} offer .41
[09:47] {Threei} (US) Preview: March ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite due out at 10:00ET
[09:47] {Threei} **consensus expectation: 54.0e v 53.0 prior
[09:48] {Threei} AMD tests .50
[09:50] {Les} take it on the break?
[09:50] {strider} DLTR pulllback
[09:50] {Threei} if it's your type of stock
[09:50] {Threei} chart is valid, it's just very slow and very narrow
[09:51] {Threei} may not resolve till numbers come out in 10 min
[09:52] {Threei} 40 points to 11K
[09:53] {Threei} larisa... last chance
[09:53] {Les} mos & pot weak today
[09:54] {dino} rimm wants 65 strike
[09:56] {Threei} SNDA sharp selling
[09:59] {dino} aixg
[09:59] {dino} rbcn
[09:59] {dino} lps
[09:59] {dino} veco
[10:00] {RonS} ico up on vol
[10:00] {Threei} US) FEB PENDING HOME SALES M/M: 8.2% V 0.0%E; Y/Y: 17.3% V 8.8% PRIOR
[10:00] {Threei} - prior M/M revised lower from -7.6% to -7.8
[10:00] {Threei} *(US) MAR ISM NON-MANUFACTURING COMPOSITE: 55.4 V 54E
[10:01] {Threei} sub-indices:
[10:01] {Threei} - Prices Paid: 62.9 v 60.4 prior
[10:01] {Threei} - Employment: 49.8 v 48.6 prior
[10:01] {Threei} - New Orders: 62.3 v 55.0 prior
[10:04] {Threei} Long Setup: FCX half lot on pullback to .10 - .15
[10:04] {Threei} stop will be under 86
[10:06] {nemo} my fcx chart is off
[10:06] {dino} bid/ask on nyse off
[10:07] {Threei} took .14
[10:09] {Threei} 1:1
[10:10] {Les} out .35 ty
[10:10] {Threei} :)
[10:11] {Threei} 1:2, out
[10:11] {Threei} nice and easy 30 cents
[10:11] {jfjf64} hog
[10:11] {dino} gj
[10:13] {dino} sm l ctrp .72
[10:13] {Threei} 1:3... without me
[10:13] {Threei} 30 points to 11K
06[10:14] * Threei tries 11K party hat on
[10:14] {Threei} who are you calling hog jf?
[10:14] {dino} tstc sm l .20
[10:14] {jfjf64} lol
[10:15] {jfjf64} watchin HOG
[10:17] {Threei} HOG is strider's old favorite
[10:17] {Threei} e knows all its hoggish ways
[10:17] {strider} I can't bring myself to go long on HOG
[10:18] {jfjf64} lk 5 min chart
[10:18] {jfjf64} you
[10:19] {Threei} Short Setup: GENZ .24 break, half lot
[10:20] {Threei} ARQL sudden;y came alive
[10:21] {Threei} so far my invalidation is .35 on GENZ, but if sets up not breaking .30, even better
[10:22] {Threei} invalidated
[10:23] {Les} +.09 ARQL ty
[10:24] {Threei} you buy everything mentioned?
[10:24] {Les} compulsive shopper
[10:24] {Threei} I better be careful naming stocks
[10:24] {nemo} eslr
[10:24] {nemo} :)
[10:24] {Threei} lol
[10:25] {Les} thanks nemo
[10:26] {dino} ctrp stopped
[10:27] {dino} isp luv
[10:27] {dino} too fast
[10:27] {Les} pot crashing but mos refusing to fall...
[10:28] {strider} DRYS is back up over 6
[10:29] {strider} DAL c&H--slow
[10:30] {dino} lps .50 trig l
[10:30] {shorty} Thoughts on ENER anyone? For a short breakout.
[10:31] {fernp} canadian pharmacy spam is killing me
[10:31] {fernp} lots of emails today
[10:34] {Threei} not sure shorty, no clean setup
[10:34] {Threei} sorry fern, I'll try to keep it down
[10:34] {shorty} lol
[10:34] {fernp} lol
[10:37] {Les} wants 11k before Fed speaks?
[10:38] {Threei} 17 points
[10:38] {Threei} matter of minutes
[10:41] {dino} lps to .65
[10:42] {dino} out +.17
[10:42] {shorty} gj
[10:42] {strider} back shortly.
[10:42] {dino} ty
[10:43] {dino} pot sm l .40
[10:46] {Threei} Market Internals update at 10:30ET
[10:46] {Threei} - NYSE volume 190M shares, about 20% below its three-month average; advancers lead decliners by 5.2:1.
[10:46] {Threei} - NASDAQ volume 500M shares, about 7% below its three-month average; advancers lead decliners by 3.1:1.
[10:46] {Threei} - VIX index +0.5% at just over 17.50
[10:47] {Threei} amazing how volume gets lower and lower, yet market continues climbing
[10:47] {Les} confounding traders and joe 6 pack alike
[10:47] {nemo} where else you gonna' put the money
[10:48] {dino} real estate
[10:48] {Threei} "Silnece officers!"
[10:48] {shorty} Does that mean we can expect a big drop in the near future Threei?
[10:48] {Threei} never mind, joke for russians only...
[10:48] {dino} pot to flat
[10:49] {Threei} well... sooner or later, of course we will
[10:49] {dino} out flat
[10:49] {shorty} ZION is strong
[10:50] {Threei} Short Setup: VXX .50 break
[10:54] {fernp} .56 stop, Vad?
[10:56] {Threei} depends on where it sets up from
[10:56] {Threei} let's consider .60 invalidation for now
[10:56] {fernp} ok
[11:10] {Les} damn. I though fcx was lagging the sector but $1 buck + ay ay ay
[11:10] {Threei} look where we got it long
[11:10] {Les} base camp
[11:11] {Les} before it climbed Mt Everest
[11:11] {Threei} as close to perefect as it gets with volatile stock
[11:13] {Threei} ABIO
[11:13] {Threei} tries to wake up
[11:15] {Threei} PMI is unbelievable today
[11:17] {fernp} PCX any read, Vad?
[11:17] {fernp} C&H on daily
[11:18] {dino} xrtx l .73
[11:18] {Threei} break on daily is a bit far from here
[11:18] {fernp} y
[11:18] {Threei} but if market resumes upward, I'd go for a break on intraday
[11:18] {fernp} ty
[11:19] {fernp} ADBE 36 break is valid, Vad?
[11:20] {fernp} fed meeting at 11:30, no?
[11:20] {Threei} I don't know time
[11:21] {Threei} ADBE looks good but
[11:21] {dino} hog about to rollover?
[11:21] {Threei} this is exactly kind of charts that tend to fail on breakout at this time of the day
[11:21] {fernp} true
[11:22] {Threei} .20 I'd try on it, dino
[11:23] {dino} took .24
[11:24] {dino} rino lod
[11:29] {Les} vxx
[11:30] {Les} .50 b/d?
[11:30] {Threei} 50/50
[11:31] {Threei} not sure
[11:31] {dino} hog stuck in mud
[11:31] {dino} ngsx
[11:35] {Les} l vxx .54 stop .50
[11:38] {Les} half out .58
[11:41] {Threei} we entered yawn period
[11:41] {Threei} wait patiently for news or market activity
[11:41] {Threei} don't push traditional setups
[11:42] {Les} out -.01 2nd half.
[11:48] {nemo} finnies moving up but indices quiet
[11:57] {dino} cov hog +.15 ave
[11:59] {Les} kerx is going to test 200ma support .23
[12:00] {Threei} Market Internals update at 12:00ET
[12:00] {Threei} - NYSE volume 335M shares, about 20% below its three-month average; advancers lead decliners by 5.9:1.
[12:00] {Threei} - NASDAQ volume 925M shares, about 8% below its three-month average; advancers lead decliners by 2.8:1.
[12:00] {Threei} - VIX index -0.75% at just under 17.50
[12:07] {fernp} AIG
[12:07] {Threei} no news, as usual
[12:07] {Threei} 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.00% for the first time since June 2009
[12:07] {Threei} - on June 11, 2009 the yield hit 4.0038% intraday
[12:08] {nemo} Oh Oh!
[12:08] {Threei} let's see whether stocks react
[12:10] {Les} not like traders weren't expecting this - look at TLT
[12:11] {nemo} traditionally, as the economy strengthened and rates were raised, stocks kept going
[12:11] {Threei} there are a lot of commentators that suggest it should roll the equities over
[12:12] {nemo} contra indicator
[12:12] {Threei} I would tend to agree with your POV, nemo
[12:12] {nemo} having siad that fcx fas and rimm are forming interesting support
[12:12] {nemo} fas just lost it
[12:12] {nemo} fcx a bit too
[12:12] {dino} nemo correct
[12:13] {dino} its when rates are dropping that stocks die
[12:13] {Threei} we see this every day... consolidation at the high, then some selling
[12:13] {Threei} so I wouldn't put a lot of significance into this downtick
[12:13] {nemo} yes, I was just pointing out potential short candidates
[12:15] {Threei} one thing that really grinds my gear... frikin loonie
[12:15] {dino} xrtx to flat
[12:15] {Threei} new 52 weeks high
[12:15] {Threei} practically at par with USD
[12:16] {Threei} RINO Discloes Q4 backlog at $100.8M (20.15, -1.03, -4.86%)
[12:18] {dino} sm l rino .30
[12:20] {strider} .
[12:20] {Les} squeezed +.05 from PMI for lunch money. some selling vol. coming in
[12:20] {nemo} rimm and fas shorts would have worked
[12:21] {dino} out rino .82, +.52 ty 3i
[12:21] {dino} xrtx out flat
[12:22] {dino} xrtx what the?
[12:23] {strider} short DLTR .47
[12:24] {dino} lps l .44
[12:26] {Threei} very nice on RINO
[12:27] {shorty} nice dino
[12:27] {gen} gj
[12:28] {dino} :D
[12:29] {Threei} I actually had you in mind posting the news, RINO is on your radar frequently
[12:29] {Threei} see, I pay attention... and some of you thought I was drunk half of the time
[12:29] {dino} yes, thx
[12:29] {Threei} when in fact it's all the time
[12:29] {nemo} nobody thinks you're drunk HALF the time
[12:30] {Threei} coming from the guy who goes to the bar for one shot of vodka and returns with three...
[12:30] {nemo} never look a gift tap in the mouth
[12:31] {Threei} no way... I was only happy to have you at that table
[12:32] {dptl} did i hear vodka?
[12:32] {Threei} there you go... what monster have I just unleashed?
[12:32] {nemo} the Kraken
[12:32] {Threei} lol
[12:32] {strider} cover DLTR +.04
[12:32] {dptl} he he
[12:32] {Threei} LVS..
[12:32] {Threei} why did we miss it earlier?
[12:33] {nemo} you were patting yourself on the back about rino
[12:33] {shorty} cause we are drunk
[12:33] {Threei} no, I mean way earlier
[12:33] {Threei} 22.20
[12:33] {nemo} have no eye deer
[12:34] {Threei} no way we would still be in but it was clean shot into .50
[12:38] {nemo} upward wedge on the indices
[12:38] {Threei} 23 breaks LVS...
[12:38] {Threei} dpn't know guys, see and decide if you like it
[12:40] {shorty} I am goin to sit out on LVS, rather watch it.
[12:40] {nemo} ahhhh....one of those....
[12:40] {Threei} me too
[12:41] {Les} happy to take it, but with market support... which presently ain't there
[12:42] {shorty} ZION will not quit.
[12:43] {Threei} which makes me lok at FITB
[12:44] {shorty} FITB , lags behind ZION..right?
[12:45] {Threei} not necessary
[12:45] {Threei} they are in the same secotr
[12:45] {Threei} regional banks
[12:46] {shorty} k
[12:48] {nemo} cree vad
[12:49] {Threei} what about it?
[12:49] {nemo} been buidling a solid base since 11:00
[12:50] {nemo} Understand the range is a bit wide right now, but 200 ma is coming into support
[12:50] {Les} I'm waiting for 200
[12:50] {Les} yeh, to give it a nudge
[12:50] {nemo} could be a break a little later
[12:50] {Threei} Preview: (US) Treasury's $8B 10-year TIPS reopening results due out just after 1PM ET
[12:50] {Threei} - $1B increase over the Oct reopening
[12:50] {Threei} - Bid to cover at the Oct reopening was 3.12 with an average of 2.35 over the last 5 reopenings
[12:50] {Threei} - Indirect bidders took 44% of competitive bids prior with 14% allotted at the high
[12:53] {nemo} cat has a jbe form also
[12:55] {nemo} look at the pileup at 65 offer
[12:57] {Threei} UNIS Receives U.S. FDA Clearance for Unitract(TM) 1mL Insulin Syringes (6.94, +1.13, 19.45%)
[12:57] {Threei} - The Unitractrange of 1mL syringes is the world's first and only known syringe that allows operators to control the speed of passive (automatic) needle retraction directly from the patient's body into the barrel of the syringe where it is locked in place.
[12:57] {Threei} - Primary target markets of the products include healthcare facilities, pharmaceutical companies and patients who self-administer prescription medication.
[12:57] {Threei} - Unilife will now immediately file an additional 510(k) with the FDA seeking clearance for the Unitract1mL Tuberculin (TB) Syringe. FDA clearance of the Unitract1mL TB Syringe, which is a variant of the Insulin syringe product, will further expand the ability of the Company to market its range of safety syringes to U.S. healthcare facilities.
[12:58] {shorty} If ZION fails to pass 23.18, you think it might be a valid set up on the short side?
[12:59] {Threei} .10 breakdown, if market drops... sure
[12:59] {strider} WYNN?
[12:59] {strider} thinking .50 break, but ....nah...
[12:59] {shorty} k...thanks
[13:00] {Threei} scalped UNIS, .55 - .94
[13:00] {Threei} probably going to cry
[13:01] {Threei} yup... crying
[13:01] {shorty} .09 short ZION
[13:01] {Threei} momo
[13:01] {Threei} loco
[13:02] {shorty} .14 is my exit
[13:02] {Threei} above it you mean
[13:02] {Threei} .14 is resistance itself
[13:02] {shorty} .15?
[13:02] {Threei} break of it is meaningful
[13:03] {shorty} k
[13:07] {shorty} out +7. Thanks Threei.
[13:07] {Threei} hey, my job becomes easier by day
[13:07] {shorty} It's your fault if I got out too early.:D
[13:08] {Threei} you find a trade, you structure it, you execute it, you profit from it - and I accept the thanks
[13:08] {shorty} lol
[13:08] {Threei} o how do I carry this burden...
[13:09] {shorty} Watching your video, you sound like a stressed out individual too Vad.
[13:09] {Threei} do I?
[13:09] {shorty} It helped seeing someone calm and composed
[13:10] {Threei} lol, you reminded me an e-mail from a guy who watched me trading live in Bahamas
[13:10] {Threei} wait, I'll find it... he used a funny comparison
[13:12] {Threei} The most amazing part of the whole experience was, you looked more relaxed trading than I do eating my sandwich - and trust me, eating sandwich is NOT a straining activity for me!
[13:13] {shorty} LOL
[13:13] {dptl} lol
[13:13] {gen} :)
[13:13] {fernp} lol
[13:14] {Threei} read 4th testimonial at our homepage
[13:14] {Threei} and the last
[13:16] {Threei} nemo
[13:16] {nemo} Vad
[13:16] {Threei} (US) TREASURY'S $8B 10-YEAR TIPS DRAW 1.709%; BID-TO-COVER RATIO: 3.43 V 3.12 PRIOR AND 2.35 AVG OVER THE LAST 5 NEW ISSUES
[13:16] {Threei} - indirect bidders take 37.47% of competitive bids with 49.67% allotted at the high
[13:16] {Threei} - direct bidders take 7.5%, dealers take 55.02%
[13:17] {Threei} can you interpret it?
[13:17] {Threei} you seem to get a handle on this
[13:18] {nemo} bid to cover good, indirect bidders not "good" but don't know what percentage indirect bidders bought last time or what the draw was last time
[13:18] {nemo} market not reacting...whaddya' think about RIMM triple bottom?
[13:18] {Threei} median 1.65%, low 1.571%
[13:19] {nemo} indirect bidders are what's important
[13:19] {Threei} - Bid to cover at the Oct reopening was 3.12 with an average of 2.35 over the last 5 reopenings
[13:19] {Threei} - Indirect bidders took 44% of competitive bids prior with 14% allotted at the high
[13:19] {nemo} definitely not as good as before
[13:19] {Threei} ok, ty
[13:20] {larisa} http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci13-1/ci13-1.html
[13:20] {Threei} RIMM... hmmm
[13:20] {Threei} really can't tell, sorry
[13:21] {Threei} ty larisa
[13:21] {Threei} a bit above my pay grade
[13:21] {larisa} lol
[13:24] {Threei} I'll continue asking nemo if no one minds :)
[13:24] {larisa} I knew you can not read.
[13:24] {Threei} have I ever even tried to create opposite impression?
[13:25] {Threei} I am not a reader, and I a writer
[13:26] {larisa} http://vixandmore.blogspot.com/2009/08/introduction-to-treasury-auctions.html
[13:26] {larisa} a bit easier
[13:26] {larisa} but still need to read :)
[13:26] {Threei} tell you what
[13:27] {Threei} when you find an explanation that can fit on cereal box, and with similar degree of difficulty...
[13:27] {larisa} yes, will spend the rest of my life looking :)
[13:28] {Threei} ty in advance
[13:28] {Threei} 'cause my favorite level of brain activity is "re-read my pager... thought a lot"...
[13:30] {larisa} more you know, harder your life becomes. And you can not actually undo it and go back to being stupid and happy. So stay this way vad :)
[13:31] {Threei} I can
[13:31] {Threei} trust me, I can dumb myself down in a blink of eye
[13:32] {Threei} not very long distance call either
[13:32] {larisa} teach me then, i am tired and want to be happy :)
[13:32] {shorty} wrong larisa, a daily dose of magic mushrooms and a bottle of rye a day can undo a lot.
[13:32] {larisa} lol
[13:32] {Threei} it's all about killing brain cells en masse
[13:34] {shorty} exactly Threei, I choose to do it gradually. Slowly crawling towards dementia.
[13:35] {Threei} defending yourself from people in white gowns
[13:36] {shorty} I worked in a Alzheimer's ward once, they seemed very happy actually.
[13:38] {shorty} Though it was hard on the families that would visit.
[13:38] {Les} had me drink for the day. we in anything?
[13:39] {Les} I'll take that as a negative
[13:40] {shorty} I am out for the day, I think. Had my two good trades of the day. If Vad calls something I might join, but done shopping.
[13:40] {Les} who's killing brain cells en masse faster than me?
[13:40] {shorty} Myself or Threei, but I think you guys might have time in your corner.
[13:44] {Threei} UNIS...
[13:44] {Threei} loco in process
[13:44] {shorty} wow
[13:48] {Les} CREE .55 b/d?
[13:48] {Les} gone
[13:48] {Les} awwww maaaaaaaan
[13:50] {dino} hog hod
[13:51] {strider} thewall.com: Harley-Davidson target raised to $36 from $32 at RBC Capital
[13:51] {strider} RBC raised its price target for Harley-Davidson after channel checks indicated demand improved in March. The firm expects shares to outperform as visibility improved and reiterates an Outperform rating on the stock with an increased price target. :theflyonthewall.com
[13:52] {strider} hogwash.
[13:52] {shorty} Threei, I have found another use for the Market Muse cd.
[13:52] {shorty} I use it on long car trips to shut my kids up.
[13:52] {Threei} nice... I knew it was a real bargain
[13:54] {shorty} Seriously though Vad, your course is great. I took other courses, and this one is near the top.
[13:55] {Threei} ty
[13:55] {nemo} inverse H&S on spy and qs, might be the run
[13:59] {Threei} I dunno... market lately doesn't show late day runs
[13:59] {nemo} true
[13:59] {Threei} instead it adopted new modus operandi:
[13:59] {Threei} selling into middle of the day range,
[13:59] {Threei} weak buying at the very end,
[13:59] {Threei} then big gap,
[13:59] {Threei} run up,
[13:59] {Threei} consolidation
[14:00] {Threei} and whole cycle repeat
[14:01] {Threei} of course these things do not stay the same for very long,
[14:01] {Threei} and everything can change as we approach this 11K magnet and nerves get shot
[14:01] {Threei} but so far I'd rather stay with gther pattern we observe, than guess when and how it changes
[14:02] {Threei} also, Tiger Woods is about to start pres conference
[14:02] {Threei} market stops trading I guess
[14:02] {Threei} (that was sarcasm)
[14:07] {Threei} Market Internals update at 2:00ET
[14:07] {Threei} - NYSE volume 480M shares, about 20% below its three-month average; advancers lead decliners by 4.4:1.
[14:07] {Threei} - NASDAQ volume 1.32B shares, about 10% below its three-month average; advancers lead decliners by 2.5:1.
[14:07] {Threei} - VIX index -1.33% at just over 17.00
[14:09] {Les} pmi
[14:13] {Threei} what do you know... market did stop trading
[14:14] {shorty} Threei, on ZION was that a double bottom?
[14:14] {Threei} not really
[14:14] {Threei} tested that level more than twice
[14:15] {shorty} ok...I see, thanks
[14:24] {Threei} 54% Still Favor Repeal of Health Care Law
[14:24] {Threei} Approval ratings: Tea Party 48% Obama 44%
[14:25] {Threei} 78% Think Jesus Christ Rose from the Dead
[14:26] {RonS} 89% think Jesus' middle name starts with H
[14:29] {Threei} no single news line since 14:00
[14:29] {RonS} 11% think it is H
[14:30] {Threei} lol
[14:32] {Threei} that's dangerous line by Tiger... talking about peer support,
[14:33] {Threei} "it's amazing how many hugs I've got from the guys"
[14:33] {dino} lol
[14:33] {dptl} lol...i knew you gonna say something about that...lol
[14:34] {Threei} well, you must have noticed how I move farther form you when you move to your 5th shot of vodka...
[14:34] {dptl} roflol
[14:34] {RonS} Tiger H Woods
[14:35] {RonS} Huggybear
[14:35] {Threei} the really tough times will start when gen moves to Victoria and nemo comes to visit, so I am boxed between you all
[14:39] {Threei} ZION tries to form a breakout at .20...
[14:40] {Les} cree
[14:41] {RonS} pcx verging on 52 week hi
[14:42] {Les} pmi - missed the pullback
[14:51] {Threei} press conference ended, immediately two unrealted headlines appeared
[14:51] {Threei} seriously, it's like whole world stopped and watched
[14:54] {RonS} pcx hod on vol
[14:56] {Les} .04 and 3k off PMI has atoned for earlier sins in MON. C'mon Vad, one good setup to finish!
[14:56] {Threei} don't ask me
[14:56] {Threei} ask market
[14:56] {Threei} see it staying in place?
[14:56] {Threei} running nowhere very fast?
[14:56] {Les} damn. not even tiger could do it
[14:56] {Threei} look what pushing gets you:
[14:57] {Threei} you incur unnecessary loss in MON,
[14:57] {Threei} start hunting fot something to cover it,
[14:57] {Threei} in the same environment of non-moving market, notice
[14:58] {Threei} luckily your next find, PMI, works,
[14:58] {Threei} if it didn't which was just as likely,
[14:58] {Threei} you woyuld have looked at ruined day now
[14:58] {Threei} instead of keeping easy morning profits
[14:58] {Les} lol next time I'll shut up...
[14:58] {Threei} now, have a lok at intraday SPY
[14:59] {Threei} see early move up, and then absolute nothng?
[14:59] {Threei} see where easy money was, and where struggle started?
[14:59] {Threei} don't just shut up... learn
[15:00] {Threei} general opportunities ended after that morning move,
[15:00] {Threei} what left was special niche oportunities
[15:01] {Threei} if you are momo trader for instance, there was UNIS
[15:01] {Threei} if you are news trader, there was RINO
[15:01] {Threei} see where I am going with this?
[15:01] {dino} home
[15:02] {Threei} lol
[15:02] {Threei} think of it in terms of "official" calls and discretionary ones
[15:02] {Threei} that'll help with this distinction of general opportunities vs niche ones
[15:02] {Les} wow 7.50 UNIS b/o was beautiful
[15:11] {Threei} be back in 20
[15:13] {dino} jtp
[15:21] {fernp} Good evening everybody. See you all tomorrow
[15:22] {nemo} hasta la vista fern
[15:22] {RonS} bye fern
[15:22] {shorty} Bye fernp.
[15:22] {shorty} I might do the same thing an call it a day. I don't see any set ups and don't want to risk any of my profits.
[15:26] {Les} PMI going for 7
[15:26] {shorty} LVS is going higher
[15:28] {Les} aig
[15:29] {Threei} back
[15:29] {Threei} take care fern
[15:34] {shorty} Maybe .25 ss on LVS? If it holds .32 res
[15:34] {Threei} pretty much market dependent
[15:34] {Threei} tell you what
[15:35] {Threei} why not papertrade it?
[15:35] {nemo} .25 is the 50 ma
[15:35] {Threei} see how it goes
[15:35] {shorty} Think I will Threei.
[15:35] {Threei} build up confidence
[15:35] {Threei} without risking actual money
[15:35] {shorty} ss .24
[15:35] {shorty} LVS paper
[15:36] {Threei} plus, trail one more useful skill - staying away in uncertain times
[15:36] {Threei} switching to paper, seeing if there is something you can play conasistently,
[15:36] {Threei} then going back to real money in this kind of situations
[15:36] {Threei} raises great self-control
[15:37] {shorty} Stoped out .29 LVS
[15:37] {Threei} skill to stay away will serve you as well as skill to enter and exit
[15:38] {shorty} Staying away in uncertain times....very usefull skill Threei. You are correct. I would have taken a loss.
[15:39] {Threei} Market Internals update at 3:30ET
[15:39] {Threei} - NYSE volume 630M shares, about 20% below its three-month average; advancers lead decliners by 4.3:1.
[15:39] {Threei} - NASDAQ volume 1.69B shares, about 10% below its three-month average; advancers lead decliners by 2.4:1.
[15:39] {Threei} - VIX index -0.50% at just under 17.50
[15:40] {Threei} I seriously hate canadian dollar
[15:40] {shorty} lol
[15:40] {dino} tm
[15:40] {Threei} no news
[15:40] {Threei} what the deuce
[15:41] {Threei} TM Reportedly US plans to fine $16.4M for failing to live up to its legal obligations (80.20, -0.29, -0.36%)
[15:41] {dino} sm l .25
[15:41] {nemo} nice catch dino now get tf out
[15:42] {shorty} Threei...SMMX? Your thoughts. Not much volume though.
[15:43] {Threei} SMMX is merger
[15:43] {Threei} no play
[15:43] {shorty} k..should read the news.
[15:44] {Threei} dunno why TM reacts so violently, 18M is nothing for it comparing to their other losses in all this debacle
[15:45] {dino} out tym .65, =.40
[15:45] {dino} +
[15:45] {Threei} wtg'
[15:46] {Threei} see? niche plays
[15:46] {Threei} not traditional setups
[15:46] {Les} nice one. I was on wrong side again
[15:46] {dino} ty
[15:46] {shorty} wow nice dino
[15:47] {Threei} les, you went against dino again?
[15:47] {Les} i know i know
06[15:47] * nemo slaps Les around a bit with a large IDIOT! stick
[15:47] {Threei} here is a hint for you
[15:47] {Threei} I go against dino very seldom, and always win... know why?
[15:48] {Threei} because I do it only when I manage to get tomorrow's WSJ today
[15:48] {dino} lol
[15:48] {Threei} that's my only chance
[15:48] {Les} :s
[15:48] {shorty} What is WSJ?
[15:48] {nemo} Let me
[15:48] {Threei} wall steet journal
[15:48] {dino} not true les, figure on 3-4 misses/day for me
06[15:49] * nemo slaps shorty around a bit with a large Wall Street Journal
[15:49] {Threei} lol
[15:49] {shorty} lol
[15:49] {nemo} you and les related, shorty?
[15:49] {nemo} cat working on 65
[15:50] {dino} darn, missed hog .50 breakdown
[15:51] {shorty} Could be nemo
[15:51] {Les} just ignore him shorty
[15:51] {nemo} you got a gun?
[15:52] {Threei} ingoring nemo is easy... finding nemo is hard
[15:52] {shorty} I like that movie
[15:52] {nemo} what's worse is, you don't necessarily want to find me
[15:53] {Threei} ok, finding nemo is hard and totally unnecessary
[15:53] {dptl} lol
[15:54] {nemo} VODKA!
[15:54] {Threei} lol
[15:54] {Threei} that's his strongest argument dp
[15:54] {dptl} got me there lol
[15:54] {Threei} strange you two don't play CEDC often
[15:55] {Threei} pretty much the only vodka play in town
[15:55] {RonS} jumpin JOEZ
[15:55] {Threei} and btw, who hasn't tried Russian Standard - do youirself a favor and try it
[15:56] {Threei} reallyt premium brand, much beter than crap they feed you unde Stoli name
[15:56] {shorty} Have a great night everyone, see you tomorrow.
[15:56] {Threei} take care shorty
[15:56] {dptl} yep....true
[15:57] {larisa} later all :)
[15:57] {Threei} take care larisa
[15:57] {Threei} thank you all, have a good evening
[15:57] {Threei} see you tomorrow for 11K party
[15:57] {dptl} good evening all :)
[15:57] {gen} bye
[15:57] {Les} thanks cheers