Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Nov 27 2012

Opposite to yesterday - good start, then total absence of follow-through leading to a few stops, and ending slightly negative.


Session Time: Tue Nov 27 00:00:00 2012
01[08:48] {Threei}  - Germany CDU Budget lawmaker Barthle: Greece creditors probably faced a haircut in 2022
01[08:48] {Threei}  lol
[08:48] {cipher} gm
01[08:48] {Threei}  cipher :)
[09:08] {scottie} good morning
01[09:08] {Threei}  scottie :)
01[09:14] {Threei}  feels like things are seting up for selloff
[09:18] {Beau} good morning
01[09:19] {Threei}  beau :)
[09:20] {Will49} good morning
01[09:20] {Threei}  will :)
01[09:23] {Threei}  (US) Puerto Rico faces pension funding problem due to large debt- financial press- Facing problems similar to Greece including tax fraud, poor economic growth and very high levels of debt - Have already sold two toll roads and the main airport to raise funds - Borrowing costs have risen to 250bps over other muncipal borrowers up from 150bps over at the begining of the year - The main pension fund, which serves 250K workers, is only 6% funded
[09:28] {Beau} .
01[09:28] {Threei}  good point
01[09:29] {Threei}  watching JPM, FB and usual suspects
01[09:30] {Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .85 break
01[09:30] {Threei}  If holds  .95
01[09:31] {Threei}  change to .90
01[09:31] {Threei} Short Setup: FB  26 break hl
01[09:31] {Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:32] {Threei}  Invalidated  JPM
[09:33] {thomcbell} fio?
01[09:34] {Threei}  1:1 FB
01[09:34] {Threei}  don't see fresh news on FIO
01[09:35] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .85 break
[09:35] {thomcbell} wow
01[09:35] {Threei}  If holds  .95
01[09:39] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .80 break
01[09:39] {Threei}  If holds  .90
[09:40] {nemo} what up with cree
01[09:41] {Threei}  no news that I see
01[09:41] {Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .80 break hl
01[09:42] {Threei}  If holds  .70
[09:42] {thomcbell} that FIO is just bananas
[09:42] {thomcbell} dying to know what that was about
[09:43] {thomcbell} FB $26 break VAd?
01[09:43] {Threei}  CAT 1:1
01[09:43] {Threei}  it was
[09:44] {thomcbell} 1:1
[09:44] {thomcbell} i took it
[09:45] {robbers} thanks cat.
01[09:45] {Threei}  :)
01[09:45] {Threei}  let's scratch SLW
[09:45] {thomcbell} FB 1:2
[09:45] {thomcbell} stop on balance to 26.1
[09:45] {robbers} wtg.
[09:47] {thomcbell} raiting stop to 26.20 on FB
[09:48] {thomcbell} 1:3
01[09:48] {Threei}  gj
[09:48] {thomcbell} raising stop to 26.25
01[09:48] {Threei}  CAT almost 1:2, out
[09:48] {thomcbell} out
[09:48] {Will49} good call on SLW Vad
01[09:49] {Threei}  yeah, tried hard to sell off but eventually tide took it up
01[09:50] {Threei}  too soon, CAT
[09:51] {cipher} cree s .39
[09:51] {cipher} cat s .00
01[09:51] {Threei}  (US) Preview: Nov Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index expected at 10:00 ET (15:00 GMT)**Consensus expectation: -9e v -7 prior
[09:55] {cipher} cov cree .45 -.06
[09:55] {nemo} cree is today's ddd
[09:57] {cipher} cree s .42
[09:58] {cipher} cov 1/2 cat .90 +.10
01[09:58] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .80 break
01[09:58] {Threei}  If holds  .70
01[09:59] {Threei}  *(US) NOV RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING: 9 V -9E
01[09:59] {Threei}  LVS 1:1 but good luck getting in
[10:00] {Will49} no luck here :(
[10:00] {scottie} nor here
01[10:00] {Threei}  *(US) NOV CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 73.7 V 73.0E
[10:00] {scottie} great call though
[10:00] {nemo} well,  this will be an inflection point on that report
01[10:00] {Threei}  teleported
01[10:01] {Threei}  *(US) SEPT HOUSE PRICE INDEX M/M: 0.2% V 0.4%E; Q/Q: 1.1% V 1.4%E
[10:01] {cipher} cov remainder cat .80 +.20
01[10:01] {Threei}  where is ese... good report to heckle us with, and he is slacking
01[10:02] {Threei}  nice one cipher
[10:03] {cipher} too sonn
01[10:03] {Threei}  LVS
01[10:03] {Threei}  same setup
01[10:03] {Threei}  only stop is .74
01[10:04] {Threei}  half out
01[10:04] {Threei}  .89
01[10:04] {Threei}  wow
01[10:04] {Threei}  market doesn't like good numbers
[10:04] {Will49} reports going over like a lead balloon
01[10:05] {Threei}  out LVS in full
01[10:05] {Threei}  too soon
01[10:06] {Threei}  housing price numbers were questionable
01[10:06] {Threei}  but I don't think this is what sinks the market
[10:06] {Will49} aren't all numbers questionable?
[10:08] {Will49} oh..i forgot, election is over
01[10:08] {Threei}  lol
01[10:08] {Threei} Short Setup: LVS  .90 break
01[10:08] {Threei}  If holds  46
01[10:11] {Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .50 break
01[10:11] {Threei}  If holds  .60
01[10:13] {Threei}  speaking of election, will... yesterday I found myself applauding NDP win, first time in my life
01[10:13] {Threei}  LVS 1:1
01[10:15] {Threei}  CAT 1:1
01[10:16] {Threei}  LVS, scalpers win
[10:16] {cipher} cov 1/2 cree .10 +.32
[10:16] {Will49} was your applause due to sewage treatment question?
01[10:17] {Threei}  market is set up for selloff, as premarket feeling was
01[10:17] {Threei}  no... die to alternative being Green
01[10:17] {Threei}  due
[10:17] {Will49} agree
[10:17] {Will49} I hate EM
01[10:18] {Threei}  as far as treatment goes, ironically NDP candidate was the only one wrong on the issue
[10:18] {Will49} She's your MP right?
01[10:18] {Threei}  and public seems to be against it... but voted for him anyway, lol
[10:18] {nemo} wow, this is pretty choppy
01[10:18] {Threei}  yes, and I am deeply ashamed
[10:18] {Will49} :)
[10:19] {Will49} So this new guy is now my MP
01[10:19] {Threei}  grr CAT
01[10:19] {Threei}  rinsed second half
[10:20] {cc_8} McMoRan Exploration Co (NYSE: MMR) shares lost 22.80% to create a new 52-week low of $7.45. Analysts at RBC Capital downgraded McMoRan Exploration from “outperform” to “sector perform.” .
[10:20] {cc_8} Cymer (NASDAQ: CYMI) shares jumped 1.14% to create a new 52-week high of $84.90. Cymer shares have surged 105.08% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has gained 17.66% in the same...
[10:21] {nemo} bounce setting up
[10:23] {nemo} bounced but choppy
[10:26] {cipher} TNA L .00
[10:27] {cipher} cov rest cree .10 +.32
01[10:28] {Threei}  wtg
[10:28] {cipher} cree l .20
[10:34] {scottie} fio l .20 ?
01[10:35] {Threei}  I'd take it here
01[10:35] {Threei}  aggressively
[10:35] {scottie} in .11
[10:35] {cipher} fio l .11
[10:38] {thomcbell} FB at yest pivot
[10:38] {thomcbell} 25.61
01[10:38] {Threei}  if SPY is serious about reversing, FIO shoulf be good to about .40
[10:38] {nemo} very choppy today
[10:39] {nemo} iwm low today only a few cents above pivot
[10:43] {nemo} market getting weaker again
[10:47] {cipher} financials moving higher
01[10:52] {Threei}  FIO time to shine
01[10:52] {Threei}  SPY put in trend reversal
[10:56] {scottie} rimm l .20 ?
01[10:56] {Threei}  not sure
[10:57] {scottie} fio half out
01[10:57] {Threei}  chart is right but I am really not enchated with the stock
[10:58] {scottie} stop .04
[10:59] {cipher} out cree .04 -.16
01[11:00] {Threei}  best quote I've heard in a good while:
01[11:00] {Threei}  �It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.� ? Upton Sinclair
[11:01] {thomcbell} very nice
[11:03] {cipher} out tna in full .48 +.48
[11:03] {Will49} beauty
[11:03] {cipher} took a while
[11:04] {nemo} how much of a stop were you giving it?
[11:04] {cipher} around .20
[11:04] {cipher} knew the potential
[11:04] {cipher} it is my setup
[11:05] {robbers} nice, cipher, congrats.
[11:05] {cipher} ty
[11:09] {scottie} thanks Vad RIMM
[11:10] {nemo} pxp looks short
01[11:10] {Threei}  sure
01[11:11] {Threei}  this thing is nothing but dead cat
01[11:11] {Threei}  whole bounce in it in just that
[11:11] {scottie} out fio
01[11:11] {Threei}  idiots discuss how its new OS is goijng to revolutionize something and take market share back from AAPL
[11:12] {cipher} tna reload .43
01[11:12] {Threei}  this is pure bs, it bounced simply because it ran out of sellers for the moment
01[11:12] {Threei}  as far as market share is concerned, RIMM is toast
[11:13] {cipher} out tna .59
[11:15] {scottie} CREE s .90 ?
01[11:16] {Threei}  tw-sided I think
[11:16] {scottie} ok
[11:17] {scottie} missed it
01[11:20] {Threei}  jumpy
[11:24] {cipher} fio s .01
[11:27] {scottie} ebay l .90 ?
01[11:28] {Threei}  aggressive fior 51... yeah
[11:29] {scottie} in .90
[11:30] {cipher} cov fio .04 -.03
[11:30] {cipher} jumpy little sucker
[11:34] {scottie} offering first half at .99
01[11:35] {Threei}  getting a taste of aggressive entries, eh? :)
[11:36] {scottie} yes, slowly
[11:37] {scottie} half out
01[11:37] {Threei}  I love them
01[11:37] {Threei}  I wouldn't recommend a newer trader to start with them, but as soon as basic setup skeleton is mastered...
[11:39] {nemo} lvs
[11:39] {cipher} celg l .65
[11:40] {cipher} out .76
[11:52] {scottie} trying hard to break 51
[11:52] {nemo} LVS running
[11:53] {scottie} there
[11:57] {scottie} 1/4 more out
[11:58] {scottie} stop .99
[12:14] {scottie} out
01[12:15] {Threei}  conpare the trade to regular one
01[12:15] {Threei}  waiting for 51 break
[12:19] {scottie} yes, a lot more interesting
01[12:44] {Threei}  Record Powerball jackpot increased to $500 million for Wednesday's drawing amid soaring ticket sales
[12:44] {scottie} AKAM s .70 ?
01[12:44] {Threei}  I think so
[12:46] {scottie} in .69
01[12:47] {Threei}  have you noticed... everybody seem awfully calm about having less than 1 month left to live?
[12:47] {nemo} whaddya' gonna' do about it?
01[12:48] {Threei}  spend away... dance... drink... fight dragons and seduce princesses...
[12:49] {nemo} looks like Qs going for the 200 SMA
[12:59] {scottie} going nowhere3, stop .78
[13:05] {scottie} out
[13:47] {Will49} is everybody quietly contemplating the end of the world?
[13:47] {Will49} it's so quite
01[13:47] {Threei}  I know I am
[13:47] {Will49} quiet
01[13:47] {Threei}  I am monitoring the state of volcano
[13:49] {Will49} Our maui location is half-way up Holeakala (temorarily silent)
01[13:50] {Threei}  that one is silent, yeah. Mine is active
[13:51] {Will49} last erupted in 190
[13:51] {Will49} 1790
[13:52] {cipher} z l .25
[13:52] {cipher} out .53
01[13:55] {Threei}  wtg
[13:56] {cipher} TY
01[13:56] {Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  .60 break
01[13:56] {Threei}  If holds  .50
[14:00] {scottie} valid ?
01[14:00] {Threei}  yup
01[14:01] {Threei}  meh
01[14:01] {Threei}  hesitance to bid it up was the clue
01[14:01] {Threei}  qwidened spread over .60 but bid remained .57
[14:05] {Will49} guess that's your classic rinse eh?
[14:06] {Will49} your=global
[14:06] {Will49} not you Vad
[14:06] {scottie} bad execution, I went out at .40 for -.21. Very painful
01[14:06] {Threei}  wow
[14:07] {Will49} got out with a -.07
[14:07] {Will49} victory of sorts
01[14:07] {Threei}  first, not sure it was worth entry at all
01[14:07] {Threei}  there were a lot of shares at .61, why be the first to buy
01[14:08] {Threei}  spread widened, no bids went ip, pause in buying
01[14:09] {Threei}  not a situation where I'd be in a rush to enter
[14:10] {Will49} i just follow you blindly...like a puppy dog :)
[14:11] {Will49} maybe that "blindly" part needs fixing
[14:14] {nemo} not alot of follow through on anything so far this afternoon
01[14:22] {Threei}  (US) Senate Majority Leader Reid (D-NV): Little progress has been made in talks regarding the Fiscal Cliff
[14:22] {Will49} is that what woke up market?
01[14:22] {Threei}  oh god... now they'll torture us with these on again off again announcements till the last minute, lol
01[14:23] {Threei}  then they'll agree on some very ugly and meaningless compromise
01[14:23] {Threei}  that won't resolve anything
01[14:26] {Threei}  isn't it amazing how this show repeats itself over and over
01[14:33] {Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .95 break
01[14:34] {Threei}  If holds  .90  for scalpers, .85 day traders
01[14:35] {Threei}  if SPY loses .50...
01[14:35] {Threei}  cascade, I am telling you... cascade
[14:36] {Will49} push everone ..push
[14:36] {Will49} everyone
[14:38] {nemo} tna .01
01[14:38] {Threei}  stop .89 for everyone now
[14:41] {nemo} partialed .13
01[14:45] {Threei}  ok TZA
01[14:45] {Threei}  it's time
01[14:45] {Threei}  you gave nemo his scalp, our turn now
01[14:45] {Threei}  this way everyone's happy
01[14:46] {Threei}  not that I care much about nemo's happiness, but...
[14:46] {nemo} mesodactyl to you too
01[14:47] {Threei}  but... I just know that you are miserable when you are happy
01[14:47] {Threei}  or when people care
01[14:47] {Threei}  so it's an act of mercy on my part
01[14:47] {Threei}  brrrreak
[14:47] {nemo} not sure how to take that
01[14:48] {Threei}  in stride
[14:49] {cipher} aegr s .27
01[14:50] {Threei}  was offering half at .04
01[14:50] {Threei}  come on
[14:55] {cipher} z s .43
[14:56] {nemo} vwap run
01[14:59] {Threei}  Buffet - "Tax Hikes On Rich Would "Raise Morale Of The Middle Class"
01[14:59] {Threei}  cretin
[15:01] {cipher} cov aegr .25 +.02
[15:02] {scottie}  Enough for me guys, see you all tomorrow
[15:02] {Will49} keep the faith Scottie
[15:02] {scottie} No prob will
[15:03] {nemo} spy and finnies weaker than iwm
[15:03] {nemo} Qs weak too
01[15:05] {Threei}  take care scottie
[15:17] {cipher} cov z .27 +.16
[15:20] {nemo} dont you want to short the spy or iwm here?
01[15:21] {Threei}  can't tell really
01[15:21] {Threei}  aimless drifting
01[15:21] {Threei}  no energy either way
[15:22] {nemo} yeah, iwm near vwap spy about .20 below, and Finnies below vwap, actually long might make more sense
01[15:22] {Threei} Long Setup:  FSLR  .45 break hl
01[15:22] {Threei}  If holds  .35
01[15:24] {Threei}  - White House Spokesman Carney: Denies talks are at an impasse. Any suggestion that the budget talks have broken down is wrong
01[15:24] {Threei}  sigh
01[15:34] {Threei}  and another sigh
01[15:39] {Threei}  Wow! -- Student-Loan Delinquencies Now Surpass Credit Cards
01[15:41] {Threei}  this market drop was totally out of whack
01[15:41] {Threei}  no setup, no pattern, no news
01[15:44] {Threei} Short Setup: JPM  .70 break
01[15:44] {Threei}  last attempt for today
01[15:44] {Threei}  If holds  .75
01[15:48] {Threei}  shrug
01[15:48] {Threei}  out
01[15:48] {Threei}  nothing fiollows through in this afternoon
01[15:48] {Threei}  have a good evening guys, see you tomorrow
[15:48] {Will49} maybe tomorrow!
[15:49] {Will49} Asta Lavista baby