Friday, June 25, 2010

Jun 25 2010

Nice day with a few profitable trades on both long and short sides; no interesting charts to show though.

Session Time: Fri Jun 25 00:00:00 2010

[08:30] {Threei}  BLTXX Baltic Dry Bulk Index declines marginally (21st straight decline)
[08:30] {Threei}  - Level stands at 2,501
[08:30] {Threei}  *(US) Q1 FINAL GDP Q/Q ANNUALIZED: 2.7% V 3.0%E; PERSONAL CONSUMPTION: 3.0% V 3.5%E
[08:31] {nemo} AWIAV?
[08:32] {Threei}  judging from GDP and personal consumption numbers, yes
[08:32] {Threei}  not where we were prmised to be though
[08:32] {nemo} ahh, just logged in see everything dropped
[08:32] {nemo} see rimm spit the bit last night
[08:52] {Threei}  (SP) Spain dep PM: Government to reduce the number of holidays
[08:52] {Threei}  from 360 to 355?
[08:53] {nemo} I love how Europe is going on strike...so, injure the economy more and they think they'll get further financing?
[08:57] {dptl} morning
[08:59] {Threei}  dp :)
[09:01] {Threei}  prepare to gag:
[09:01] {Threei}  US) President Obama comments on financial regulation: Praises Congress on agreeing landmark reforms
[09:01] {Threei}  the degree of cluelessness is truly staggering
[09:02] {Les} morning
[09:02] {Threei}  Les :)
[09:03] {Threei}  - Both G8 and G20 must pursue reforms to promte economic growth
[09:03] {Threei}  - G8 needs to coordinate actions because their economies are 'inextricably linked'
[09:05] {RonS} howdy
[09:06] {Threei}  Ron :)
[09:15] {shorty} morning
[09:15] {bellowsbunch} morning all
[09:16] {Threei}  shorty, bellows :)
[09:16] {dino} gm all
[09:16] {Threei}  Ron, yopu noticed that you just got your morning fix?
[09:16] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:18] {larisa} gm :)
[09:18] {lasertrev} morning filks
[09:19] {larisa} lol
[09:19] {Threei}  larisa, triv :)
[09:23] {hawk} morning all
[09:23] {Threei}  hawk :)
[09:28] {ese} morning all.....popping in for a little while.....last exam to supervise today
[09:28] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:28] {jfjf64} hey yo  mornin
[09:28] {Threei}  jf :)
[09:28] {ese} morning vad....how was your day yesterday
[09:28] {Threei}  as close to perfectas it gets
[09:29] {jfjf64} nice
[09:29] {jfjf64} nice
[09:29] {ese} would expect nothing less
[09:29] {jfjf64} ya chart  very nce
[09:30] {jfjf64} maybe  ya  sd  think  about putting  charts  in  book
[09:30] {Threei}  nah
[09:30] {Threei}  that would make it a useful book, and we don't want that - those do not sell
[09:31] {jfjf64} lol
[09:31] {jfjf64} we dont  want  that
[09:31] {Threei}  LVS, watching for a quick snap down for long entry
[09:31] {jfjf64} its  all bout  the BENNIES
[09:32] {jfjf64} ONE  MORE  LEG  DOWN
[09:32] {Threei}  or .20 break
[09:32] {Threei}  I'd like leg down more
[09:33] {Threei}  but .10 is strong support, may never happen
[09:33] {nemo} fas bounce here vad .85 break hold .78
[09:33] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .20 break if holding above .10
[09:33] {nemo} ?
[09:34] {Threei}  yes if sets up...
[09:34] {Threei}  not sure it will
[09:34] {nemo} nope
[09:34] {nemo} might hol .75
[09:34] {nemo} hold
[09:34] {nemo} oh well
[09:35] {Threei}  LVS invalidated
[09:35] {jfjf64} .90
[09:36] {Threei}  FAS
[09:36] {Threei}  .65 break
[09:36] {Threei}  stop under .60
[09:37] {nemo} .56 is pivot
[09:37] {shorty} in FAS
[09:37] {Threei}  should be good for 1:2 - 1:3 if works
[09:38] {Threei}  LVS isd back for double bottom
[09:38] {Threei}  .06 if holding 26
[09:38] {Threei}  FAS over 1:1
[09:39] {Threei}  1:2
[09:39] {shorty} out 1:2. thanks Threei
[09:39] {Threei}  1:3, out
[09:40] {Threei}  1:4 - oh well
[09:40] {nemo} see that huge offer at .85?
[09:40] {dino} itri sm l 58
[09:40] {Threei}  1:5, just to make us cry
[09:41] {shorty} :(
[09:41] {dino} whr hl l .00
[09:43] {Threei}  US) Preview: June Final University of Michigan Confidence due out at 09:55ET
[09:43] {Threei}  **Consensus expectation: 75.5e v 75.5 preliminary
[09:43] {Threei}  - Estimates range between 73-76.5
[09:43] {shorty} b/d of BP around here Threei?
[09:43] {Threei}  can't tell... it tries to do double bottom
[09:44] {Threei}  coin toss
[09:44] {dino} out whr .59, +.59
[09:44] {shorty} I usually lose at those
[09:46] {Les} l tza .41 stop under .35
[09:46] {dino} out itri .51 -.08
[09:46] {dino} -.07
[09:47] {Threei}  MNKD
[09:48] {Threei}  watching for long,
[09:48] {Threei}  desirably on pullback to 7
[09:48] {Threei}  too quick eh
[09:49] {magoo} morn
[09:49] {Threei}  magoo :)
[09:49] {Threei}  RIMM, still doesn't look ready to me
[09:51] {Threei}  ECB's Parmo: reiterates believe that it is unthinkable that any member would leave the Euro
[09:51] {Threei}  wanna bet Parmo?
[09:52] {Les} tza scalped for +.06
[09:52] {nemo} RIMM might bottom around .50 maybe a tad less
[09:52] {Threei}  nope
[09:52] {Threei}  will lose it IMO
[09:53] {dino} whr hl l 07
[09:53] {nemo} excuse me Vad :)
[09:53] {nemo} bounced .ff .53 for .20
[09:54] {Threei}  OK, you call
[09:54] {dino} sm l itri .17
[09:54] {nemo} my broken clock moment
[09:55] {magoo} LVS vad?
[09:55] {Threei}  US) JUNE FINAL UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 76.0 V 75.5E
[09:55] {Threei}  need pullback
[09:55] {Threei}  to under .80
[09:55] {Threei}  michigan numbers skewed the movement
[09:58] {magoo} read ORCL vad?
[09:58] {nemo} 7.15 break mnk?
[10:00] {jfjf64} vvus   news
[10:00] {Threei}  no
[10:01] {Threei}  ORCL is bounce time most likely
[10:02] {Threei}  .70 support
[10:02] {Threei}  would prefer pullback to under .80 for entry
[10:05] {dino} ouit whr .74, +.67
[10:07] {dino} tricked me
[10:11] {shorty} c/h LVS Threei?  I thought I have seen you call a chart like this before.
[10:11] {Threei}  nah, not really
[10:14] {dino} out itri .61, +.44
[10:15] {shorty} awesome start dino.  :)
[10:15] {dino} thx
[10:20] {shorty} LVS d/b
[10:20] {nemo} watching for DT on RIMM
[10:21] {shorty} never mind LVS
[10:21] {Threei}  GLD
[10:21] {Threei}  watching for long entry
[10:22] {Les} wondering if mnkd 7 b/d might be the go vad?
[10:22] {Les} presently l tza .27
[10:22] {Threei}  touch under .50 for GLD, if holding above .45
[10:23] {Threei}  for short?
[10:23] {Threei}  doesn't look right to me
[10:23] {Les} ok
[10:24] {Threei}  if you want to try it short, why not here with stop right above these huge offers
[10:24] {Threei}  risk is ridiculously small
[10:25] {Les} hmmm sounds good
[10:26] {dino} sm l itri .90
[10:27] {Threei}  merrily cover here for scalp, or take half
[10:27] {Threei}  risk 2-3 cents, profit is alreay 8-9
[10:27] {Threei}  effortlessly, stress-free
[10:28] {Les} sorry, helping the boy out with ratchet and clank
[10:28] {Threei}  me too
[10:28] {magoo} lvs vad, bounce timen
[10:28] {Les} was grabbing coffee
[10:30] {Threei}  pullback to about .65 mags
[10:30] {Les} all out tza .34 +07
[10:30] {Threei}  anyone went for that MNKD short?
[10:31] {Threei}  just a pity to waste such an easy trade
[10:31] {Threei}  EUR/CHF Sets fresh lifetime lows at 1.3467
[10:32] {Threei}  MNKD...
[10:33] {Les} damn was away 2 min. there she goes
[10:33] {Threei}  that's funny...
[10:33] {Threei}  you ask, I answer,
[10:33] {Threei}  you read and leave immediately
[10:33] {Threei}  why do I bother answering? :)
[10:33] {Les} yeh don't want to ignore my boy. he was hollering in the background
[10:34] {Les} I like your call. did the same thing with tza upon .25 recross
[10:34] {Threei}  LVS becomes interesting
[10:34] {Threei}  .60 cross, stop under .55
[10:35] {Threei}  a bit later alert eh
[10:35] {Threei}  was .62 when I finished typing
[10:35] {Threei}  OSUR Receives FDA Approval for OraQuick(R) HCV Rapid Test, the First Rapid HCV Test Approved for Sale in the US (5.27, +0.42, 8.66%)
[10:37] {Threei}  - It is the only rapid, point-of-care test for the detection of antibodies to the hepatitis C virus in venous whole blood specimens that is approved by the FDA. The test, which utilizes the OraQuicktechnology platform, provides results in 20 minutes
[10:37] {dino} hl l whr .out itri .89, -.01
[10:37] {dino} don't like the market feel
[10:37] {Threei}  looks heavy, yeah
[10:37] {Les} why? looks like blood to me
[10:37] {dino} yeah
[10:37] {Threei}  bounces are labored
[10:39] {Threei}  QID...
[10:41] {Threei}  jerky movements, no rythm
[10:41] {dino} hmmm
[10:42] {dino} itri sm l .90
[10:44] {dino} hl l whr .40
[10:53] {dino} whr stopped -.26\
[10:55] {dino} itri flat out
[10:57] {dino} whippy markets
[10:58] {Threei}  let's try to get the rythm
[10:58] {Threei}  QID, long between 10 and 10.05
[10:58] {Threei}  18, sorry
[10:59] {nemo} rimm bottoming
[10:59] {Threei} Short Setup: LVS  .50 break
[11:00] {Threei}  stop for scalpers above .55, for day traders .60
[11:01] {Threei}  no worky
[11:03] {magoo} maybes FAS vad
[11:05] {Threei}  can't read thee action really, start and stop mode... things stall, then lurch around
[11:06] {Threei}  QID is getting there
[11:07] {dino} rinsed
[11:07] {dino} hl l ave .11 itri
[11:12] {Threei}  feel free to partial QIG here
[11:12] {Threei}  QID
[11:12] {Threei}  or scalp
[11:12] {Threei}  can't tell which is better
[11:13] {Threei}  if partialing, stop to .03
[11:13] {nemo} running into lunch on a friday?
[11:14] {Les} HFT machines need lunch too?
[11:15] {nemo} ?
[11:15] {Les} :/
[11:15] {nemo} Les, you started drinking already
[11:15] {nemo} RIMM bottom again
[11:15] {Les} hey it's happy hour here
[11:21] {Les} q's testing 45 again
[11:22] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .50 break
[11:23] {_caputoe} hello everyone
[11:23] {Threei}  hello caputoe
[11:23] {Threei}  RIMM is invalidated
[11:23] {dino} welcome caputoe
[11:23] {shorty} hello
[11:23] {Threei}  too far from support
[11:23] {nemo} Neil?
[11:24] {_caputoe} any e-mini trades so far?
[11:24] {nemo} we don't do futures
[11:25] {_caputoe} just stocks, ok
[11:25] {nemo} think I should put him on THE list?
[11:25] {nemo} just kidding...
[11:25] {Les} that's a bit tough
[11:25] {RonS} nemo, just got the neil...lol
[11:25] {shorty} Threei, MNKD third time at .10.  Risky short?
[11:25] {nemo} hehehe
[11:25] {Les} he's been here 2 mins.
[11:26] {nemo} mnkd looks interesting
[11:26] {Threei}  can't tell really, shoty
[11:26] {Les} rimm .60 b/d?
[11:27] {dino} fdx hl l .64
[11:37] {dino} out fdx .94, +.30
[11:44] {dino} whr hl l .03
[11:49] {dino} out whr .44, +.41
[11:49] {dino} range 10126-10091
[11:49] {magoo} jesus u been hot dino
[11:50] {Les} just leave us along will ya dino...
[11:50] {hawk} passed on it, not my kind, trade takes too long ;)  nice
[11:50] {magoo} i just know the first of his i try will be his loser
[11:50] {dino} trying to stay calm, thats all les
[11:50] {dino} ty hawk
[11:50] {dino} 10126 broke, up we go
[11:51] {RonS} crude, copper up...euro steady...yet tnx down and stoocks heavy...go figure
[11:51] {Les} yeh 200ma's got busted
[11:51] {dino} 10132 200?
[11:51] {RonS} dino any read esi?
[11:52] {Les} looking at spy/q's dino.
[11:52] {dino} testing yesterdays low, gut says down
[11:52] {nemo} looks up ron but you gut a wide stop
[11:53] {nemo} not to mention lunch
[11:53] {dino} ok thx les
[11:54] {Les} market weak in follow thru. I like the down thesis for close
[11:54] {nemo} fcx wtf
[11:54] {hawk} no kidding nemo, passed on the .60 break, ugg
[11:55] {RonS} copper broke through 3.05
[11:55] {nemo} why oil up so much?
[11:56] {dino} it just is, no reasons for any moves anymore
[11:56] {RonS} time to stab oil consumers for moratorium
[11:57] {nemo} I' say rimm short here, but lunch probably has it in a range
[11:58] {dino} that gap on rimm filled from nov
[11:59] {nemo} hey ron...esi
[11:59] {RonS} you comment on gap fills more than a nymphomaniac...lol
[12:00] {nemo} RON!
[12:00] {RonS} yes
[12:00] {RonS} ?
[12:00] {nemo} Dino, that GAP FILL is still open back to April 2009
[12:00] {nemo} you mean between the front teeth ron?
[12:00] {RonS} rotfl
[12:01] {dino} 44 area?
[12:01] {dino} hl l whr .00
[12:01] {nemo} 45.98
[12:02] {dino} lol ron
[12:02] {dino} gaps are like magnets
[12:03] {dino} nemo, thats where i'd buy it, when it fills
[12:03] {nemo} how about selling?
[12:03] {dino} dk
[12:05] {dino} higher lows markets\
[12:05] {nemo} yes, but still under the 50 ma on the 5 minute
[12:10] {Les} I see dodd's patting himself on the back for 'mission accomplished'
[12:12] {shorty} My wife showed me this article in her magazine.  Never heard of him, but his style is like Jess Livermore.
[12:12] {shorty} http://www.vanityfair.com/online/daily/2010/06/steve-cohen-on-life-love-his-art-collection-and-those-pesky-insider-trading-rumors.html
[12:12] {nemo} SAC Capital
[12:12] {shorty} Ya
[12:14] {Les} FAS vad
[12:14] {Les} .05 stop 22 break?
[12:14] {Les} .95
[12:15] {Threei}  no :)
[12:15] {Les} :s
[12:15] {Les} scares me when you do smiley face
[12:18] {nemo} FCX
[12:20] {RonS} copper at 3.08
[12:20] {Les} from where yesterday?
[12:20] {Les} what price
[12:20] {RonS} 2.99
[12:20] {nemo} snap back, been on a downslope
[12:21] {RonS} 2.95 the day befre
[12:21] {RonS} out whr .50 txs dino
[12:21] {RonS} +.50
[12:22] {dino} beauty
[12:23] {dino} that 94.00 area is pretty good range bottom
[12:24] {hawk} got .52 on whr dino, nice find, thx
[12:25] {dino} gj
[12:25] {dino} still in
[12:25] {dino} .49 stop
[12:26] {dino} .59
[12:26] {dino} to .70
[12:27] {hawk} nice
[12:27] {dino} out +.722
[12:28] {dino} imo, watch for 94 again
[12:36] {Threei}  RIMM doesn't show anywhere as much strength as market during this bounce
[12:39] {magoo} u like rimm sh vad?
[12:39] {Threei}  as an idea yes, as a partuclar entry - having hard toe to find one
[12:39] {Threei}  hard time
[12:43] {Threei}  The Economist comments that "Spain has now taken over from Greece as the country in the worst [financial] position"
[12:43] {Threei}  - Ranks countries in terms of their primary budget balance, debt-to-GDP ratios plus the relationship between the yield on their debt and economic growth. Since its last ranking in February, Spain, Britain, Japan, Portugal, and Ireland have moved up the list past Greece as that country has embarked on its austerity program.
[12:47] {Threei}  .50 WILL be lost
[12:47] {Threei}  if not right now, then next time
[12:49] {Les} ooh yeh
[12:51] {dino} out .38 itri,
[12:51] {dino} +.37 took hours
[12:51] {dino} opps, +.27
[12:53] {Les} took rimm retest of trigger .49 half out .30
[12:53] {magoo} ty vad, sh rimm .50 cover here .23
[12:53] {Threei}  welcome
[12:53] {Les} all out .25 ty sir
[12:54] {magoo} would u reshort it?
[12:54] {Les} bought tza .12 with 3 cent stop. half out .20
[12:54] {Threei}  ugh... not sure, this .50 was so strong support that breaking it and selling sharply could be a final washout
[12:55] {Threei}  let's obsrve whether it can hather strength and hopelessly weak
[12:55] {magoo} yea
[13:00] {Les} what's rimm's story? poor guidance or numbers?
[13:00] {nemo} whr should run into issues by .50
[13:00] {nemo} poor everything
[13:00] {Les} blackberry's no longer the 'in' thing?
[13:00] {nemo} Iphone
[13:01] {Threei}  question Les:
[13:01] {Les} no
[13:01] {Threei}  will the answer to that help you in trading it? :)
[13:01] {Les} course not, just curious
[13:02] {Threei}  cool then'
[13:02] {Les} If Nemo's beating you up on the street...
[13:02] {Threei}  just want to make sure priorities are right
[13:02] {Les} I can ask why, can't I :)
[13:02] {Threei}  oh of course
[13:02] {nemo} I wouldn't do it in front of witnesses
[13:03] {nemo} I think spy goes to 108
[13:07] {Les} 2nd half tza stopped +.01
[13:11] {shorty} FAS Threei
[13:11] {shorty} Never mind
[13:12] {Threei}  ok
[13:12] {Threei}  but if it pullas back to .20, watch for bounce scalp :)
[13:13] {shorty} Will do
[13:16] {Les} Euro edging upwards. $ to be thrown under the bus...?
[13:17] {Les} yeh $ daily chart showing test of support
[13:18] {magoo} wherrs the short in FCX bvad?
[13:18] {RonS} copper at 3.09
[13:19] {Les} was contemplating long entry when nemo spoke up at 64.40 sheesh
[13:19] {Threei}  mags,
[13:19] {Threei}  spike back to .50,
[13:19] {Threei}  staying under .55
[13:19] {dino} back in 30, going for haircut
[13:19] {Threei}  and breaking support, hopefully .40
[13:20] {Threei}  we'll hold the fortress dino
[13:24] {magoo} if mkt would rollover vad
[13:24] {Threei}  ready for setup
[13:24] {Threei}  unless breaks high of cpurse
[13:26] {Threei}  no short
[13:26] {magoo} im long .55
[13:26] {magoo} out .67
[13:27] {magoo} just took your setup=-opposite
[13:27] {magoo} good read
[13:28] {magoo} 2 sides to every trade
[13:28] {Threei}  to many of them
[13:28] {Threei}  not every]
[13:28] {Threei}  some just rinse both ways
06[13:28] * magoo slaps Threei around a bit with a large trout
[13:28] {magoo} couldnt find u there lol
[13:28] {magoo} at bottom
[13:29] {Threei}  that's my today's hiding
[13:29] {Threei}  version of not-vad
[13:31] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .25
[13:31] {Threei}  if stays above .15
[13:32] {Threei}  nah, still dead in the water
[13:34] {Threei}  (US) Congressman Barney Frank: The FinReg bill is not perfect, but we need 60 votes; important that we have now provided a "framework for certainty" - CNBC interview
[13:36] {RonS} copper at 3.10
[13:36] {Threei}  - "Not trying to shoot the banks," just trying to regulate their risky behavior
[13:36] {Threei}  imbecile
[13:37] {Threei}  regulate your behavior, banks will fall in line
[13:37] {Threei}  ask yourself why Canadian banks never did anything of sorts, frankey
[13:37] {Threei}  while operating in the same legal framework
[13:38] {Threei}  - from now on major financial institutions will not be kept alive if they become insolvent as with AIG.
[13:38] {Threei}  - Believes the world as a whole will coordinate towards more financial regulation
[13:39] {Threei}  seriously? you are letting FRE and FNM die?
[13:39] {Threei}  or you just killed an attempt tounwind them?
[13:39] {Threei}  unfreackingbelievable
[13:40] {Threei}  now, this is truly interesting:
[13:40] {Threei}  FinReg bill includes a provision that would freeze access to US markets by any nation that fails to impose similar financial reforms.
[13:41] {Threei}  wow
[13:42] {Les} does that mean private investors of that nation?
[13:43] {Threei}  it has so many possible implications and sound so vague, it's mind-bogglinh
[13:45] {dino} yeah, thats not good
[13:45] {Les} so the closure begins
[13:47] {Threei}  for instance, country that does not impose bank tax
[13:48] {nemo} well, the bill does not limit leverage ratios, which means we end up bailing them out when they're leverage losses exceed their reserves yahoo
[13:48] {Les} haha backdoor investment to US markets. leveraged HB&B funds
[13:48] {Threei}  yes, and if they really go ahead with the dumbest idea of creating "rescue fund", that's all but guarantees more failures and bailouts in the future
[13:49] {nemo} This is Congress, of course they will
[13:50] {RonS} ...some policy guy on TV said that most of this stuff is written so loosely that the bureaucrats will take years to figure out the exact implementation.  In other words it is all smoke and mirrors, and nothing will change...
[13:51] {dino} most of it is, its for voters, so congress and prez can say they did something
[13:51] {dino} bs inotherwords
[13:52] {magoo} read rimm vad?
[13:52] {nemo} There is a reason the capitol is where it is....built on a swamp
[13:52] {Threei}  none here
[13:52] {Les} fcx 66 short works 2nd time
[13:52] {dino} gj
[13:53] {hawk} have a good weekend all, determined to keep my winnings safe from friday afternoon trading so shutting down
[13:54] {Les} cool. c u monday
[13:54] {Threei}  take care hawk
[13:54] {hawk} :) thx for the ideas
[13:55] {ese} hi all.......am back....thats it last exam........
[13:56] {dino} cya hawk
[13:57] {Les} ya didn't miss much ese, unless you trade dino's calls
[13:57] {ese} tks.......
[13:57] {shorty} done with those little shi** for the year ese?
[13:58] {Les} vad fcx short for bigger gains with a 66 recross b/d?
[13:58] {ese} dino somedays borders on genius.......is he having one of dem dare days
[13:58] {dino} so far
[13:58] {shorty} yes he is
[13:59] {dino} 7 of 11
[13:59] {Threei}  FCX, probably
[13:59] {ese} whoaa
[13:59] {Les} got a setup u see?
[14:00] {RonS} copper holding 3.10
[14:00] {Les} .99 b/d?
[14:00] {Threei}  ?
[14:00] {ese} nice dino........gonna be a nice golfing summer i see
[14:00] {Les} with .10 invalidation?
[14:00] {Threei}  ??
[14:00] {dino} :D
[14:00] {Les} letting fcx recross 66
[14:01] {Threei}  where do you think FCX is right now?
[14:01] {Les} but looks like .80
[14:01] {magoo} vad, FCX ?
[14:01] {Threei}  give me a gun someone
[14:01] {Threei}  these two will drive me insnae today, lol
[14:01] {Les} :O
[14:01] {magoo} [14:00] {Threei}  FCX, probably
[14:01] {magoo} huh?
[14:01] {shorty} what kind?
[14:01] {RonS} 3i, celg .15 break if holding below .25 for short?
[14:02] {Threei}  yes but keep shares smaller
[14:02] {Threei}  can be very thin
[14:02] {ese} dino what were your winners.......wanna look at them
[14:02] {magoo} u like FCX LONG OR SHOT?
[14:03] {Les} s fcx .89
[14:03] {Threei}  shot, yes
[14:03] {dino} itri, whr, fdx, multiple times
[14:03] {Les} stop above .10 small shares
[14:03] {Threei}  no setup I'd define yet
[14:03] {ese} tks
[14:05] {ese} off the bottom basically on all 3 dino
[14:06] {dino} yes and we were whippy up/down so sell reloaded couple times
[14:06] {RonS} celg 1:1
[14:07] {dino} i think hawk and ron followed on few
[14:07] {Les} stopped fcx well that sucked as entry
[14:07] {ese} well done....
[14:07] {Threei}  totally
[14:08] {Threei}  not here nor there... not breakdown, not bounce
[14:09] {Threei}  Moody's: Some provisions of the Financial Regulation (FinReg) bill could result in "disruptions" of the credit market
[14:10] {Les} so they'll make new regulations to fix disruptions of old regulations and all will be well
[14:10] {RonS} you mean someone read it.  we need "no idiot left behind" for Congress.  They must pass a test illustrating knowledge of bills , before passage.  And they must do their own taxes.
[14:11] {Threei}  of course new regulations will cvause new disruptions
[14:11] {Threei}  but they can be taken care of as well, by means of newer regulations
[14:11] {Threei}  with newer disruptions
[14:13] {dino} sm l itri .95
[14:16] {dino} brb
[14:16] {nemo} Hey Dino...we close the 109+ gap?
[14:17] {RonS} omg...back to the vortex...
[14:17] {nemo} dino dcc
[14:19] {dptl} good weekend all
[14:19] {RonS} cya dp
[14:19] {Threei}  take care dp
[14:20] {magoo} he left office for minute
[14:20] {Les} ciao dp
[14:20] {shorty}  you too dptl
[14:23] {magoo} lord vader, read rimm please
[14:23] {dino} cya dp
[14:24] {Threei}  must be bounce finally,
[14:24] {dino} nemo rimm may fill that gap monday
[14:24] {Threei}  .35 break maybe, if holdong .20 - .25
[14:24] {Threei}  but deeper pullback would be my preference
[14:25] {Threei}  from under .10
[14:25] {magoo} hold 53 would be mine
[14:25] {Threei}  if holding 53 of course
[14:33] {nemo} so do we drop into the close, or get short covering
[14:33] {nemo} ?
[14:33] {nemo} bidu at support
[14:33] {Threei}  imo, drop
[14:34] {RonS} fwiw copper came off .02 to 3.08
[14:34] {Les} fcx
[14:35] {dino} rebalancing of russell 1000 today, close up imo
[14:35] {nemo} already broke R3, don't know how much further today Les
[14:35] {Les} short
[14:36] {nemo} probably hangs around here for a while
[14:38] {nemo} just a thought les  (ow) if the market tries to close the gap, fcx will probably go with it
[14:38] {Les} what price the gap?
[14:39] {nemo} 109.10 or so
[14:40] {Threei}  PNC Ticks higher as CNBC's Cramer calls it the "only bank unscathed" by the FinReg bill (61.12, +2.05, 3.47%)
[14:40] {Threei}  lol
[14:40] {Threei}  whole FAS went up just the same
[14:41] {Threei}  read this:
[14:41] {Threei}  OECDs Gurria: Europe must demonstrate its ready to recap banks if stress tests go badly
[14:41] {Threei}  tell me, they learned anything from the last few years?
[14:43] {nemo} politics is all that counts
[14:43] {nemo} if they PORK the voter later...who cares
[14:47] {Threei}  (GE) German's Merkel: no G8 controversy over budget policy; US not opposed to European plans to cut deficits
[14:47] {Threei}  - Notes there is still disagreement in the G8 over a potential financial transaction tax (Tobin tax)
[14:52] {ese} catch you all monday......i can't really find much.....to late in the day i think
[14:52] {shorty} good weeken ese
[14:52] {ese} cya shorty
[14:54] {dino} cya es
[14:54] {Threei}  take care ese
[14:55] {nemo} Les, fcx riding trend line
[14:57] {Les} so is spy. wish it'd hurry up and die
[14:57] {Les} attaboy
[15:04] {Threei}  IMO dopwnward thrust begins
[15:05] {magoo} dino says up...vad down....wgat to do?
[15:06] {Threei}  tough
[15:06] {shorty} I short, you go long magoo
[15:06] {nemo} FADC mags
[15:06] {magoo} im sh fcx
[15:06] {magoo} .80
[15:07] {Les} ditto. not such a good entry though
[15:07] {shorty} get out then
[15:07] {Les} not such a good entry as .80 shorty...
[15:07] {nemo} important spot here for fcx
[15:09] {Les} covered and stepping aside for a moment. want to short it again
[15:09] {nemo} getting pivot support bounce
[15:09] {Les} ohh yeh
[15:09] {magoo} out
[15:09] {magoo} crap
[15:11] {Les} short .49 stop above .60
[15:11] {nemo} ballsy les
[15:12] {Les} small shares
[15:12] {nemo} you in already?
[15:12] {Les} yeh looking for bigger reward though
[15:16] {Threei}  here we go
[15:16] {Les} l tza .11
[15:19] {shorty} Have a good weekend all.  Cya Monday.
[15:19] {dino} out .92 itri -.03
[15:19] {Threei}  take care shorty
[15:20] {nemo} this is end of quarter coming up next week, should be mark up
[15:20] {shorty} You too Threei.
[15:20] {dino} cya shorty
[15:20] {Les} cover 2/3 fcx +.20
[15:24] {Les} last 1/3 +.10
[15:30] {dino} gj
[15:30] {Les} wish I'd picked up a couple of your longs this morn. wouldn't be here suffering now dino
[15:31] {Threei}  why would we want yo not suffering
[15:32] {Les} oh stuff you lot
[15:32] {Les} it's friday night and I should be on the bottle right now
[15:32] {nemo} make sure your wife burps you after
[15:32] {Les} tza stopped .04. a flat day
[15:33] {Les} oh she can 'burp' me all right
[15:33] {dino} lol
[15:34] {dino} trying not to give back any
[15:35] {dino} darn itri would've worked
[15:39] {RonS} c use peoples...have a good weekend.  ;)
[15:39] {Les} ciao Ron
[15:40] {Threei}  have a good one ron
[15:41] {dino} cya ron
[15:49] {Les} curious about the HFT theory
[15:49] {Les} if HFT is 60 - 70% of trading
[15:50] {Les} and these enterprises liquidate at end of day
[15:50] {Les} why isn't the market selling off?
[15:50] {Threei}  because the theory is flat wrong
[15:50] {Les} I know the answer
[15:50] {Les} but obviously someone has stepped in today with real mondy
[15:50] {Threei}  if that worked like this, market would go up in tghe morning and drop at the end of the day
[15:50] {Les} yeh
[15:51] {Threei}  we don't see it
[15:51] {Threei}  also,
[15:51] {Threei}  who the heck would they buy from in the morning and sell to at the end of the day?
[15:51] {Les} yeh
[15:51] {Threei}  if they trade 60-70% of the volume
[15:51] {Threei}  who is counterpart?
[15:52] {Les} it does create more questions than answers...
[15:52] {Threei}  overwhelming majority of people talking about HFT have no faintest idea
[15:52] {Threei}  ther are no secretes about it, answers are right there for all to see
[15:53] {Threei}  but instead of taking them, people construct all kinds of conspiracy theories
[15:54] {Les} yeh just realising it now. traders are holding their positions to some extent this friday close
[15:54] {Les} so it ain't the machines
[15:54] {Threei}  we can talk about it next week during quiet marjet, but here is a little hint:
[15:54] {Threei}  HFT traders buy and sell often for as little as penny and even less
[15:54] {Threei}  of profit
[15:54] {nemo} going into EOQ mark up
[15:55] {Threei}  so the idea that they run market somewhere
[15:55] {Threei}  having directional impact on the scale of real market moves is ridiculous
[15:55] {Threei}  but then again, so are about dosen of other ideas about it
[15:56] {nemo} I'm outta' here...nice weekend all
[15:56] {Threei}  just a simple test for you:
[15:56] {Les} ciao
[15:56] {Threei}  when you see someone sayong:
[15:56] {Threei}  HFT bought so market went up
[15:56] {Threei}  you know you can stop reading/listening
[15:57] {Threei}  if HFT bought, HFT sold, bought and sold again before that guy even noticed anything, let alone wrote his post
[15:57] {dino} cya nemo
[15:57] {Threei}  that's why it's HF t
[15:57] {Threei}  OK guys, thank you all
[15:57] {Threei}  have a great weekend
[15:57] {Threei}  see you all on Monday
[15:57] {Les} no worries, you too
[15:58] {dino} i'm done too, thx all, good time

Thursday, June 24, 2010

Jun 24 2010

Today's "catch of the day" chart is one of my favorite setups, ideal way to play double bottom. While chart annotations will give you all the visuals, let me list the necessary components that make odds very high on this kind of setup:
1. First bottom is set on higher volume and pierces lower Bollinger Band;
2. Second volume has lower volume and is contained within Bollinger Bands
3. Distance between the bottom price and peak between the bottoms is tight enough to give a comfortable stop.



Session Time: Thu Jun 24 00:00:00 2010
[08:29] {hawk} good morning idlers
[08:29] {Threei}  what did you call us?
[08:30] {hawk} now you're off the idlers list :)
[08:30] {Threei}  that was easy
[08:31] {Threei}  getting off nemo's disgruntled postal worker list is not that simple
[08:32] {hawk} lol, i'm just trying to stay off it
[08:32] {Threei}  we all are... but sooner or later you are bound to get on it
[08:33] {Threei}  and once you are in, it's a Hotel California
[08:34] {Threei}  (US) MAY DURABLE GOODS ORDERS: -1.1% V -1.4%E; DURABLES EX-TRANSPORTATION: 0.9% V 1.0%
[08:34] {Threei}  US) INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 457K V 463KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 4.548M V 4.55ME
[08:35] {Threei}  sheesh LTBR
[08:37] {hawk} wow
[08:38] {Les} lol that's an understatement
[08:40] {Les} guess I'll be looking for a short there today
[08:40] {Les} afternoon all
[08:40] {Threei}  is it onshort list for you?
[08:40] {Threei}  hi
[08:40] {Threei}  not here
[08:40] {Les} how do I see short list?
[08:41] {Threei}  test order, way above the market
[08:41] {Les} well if it's not shortable for real players, I'll leave it alone
[08:41] {Les} otherwise I'm just fooling myself
[08:44] {hawk} Vad, which ecn do you route thru?
[08:44] {Threei}  NASDAQ most often
[08:45] {Threei}  on NASDAQ stocks it will be default, on NYSE smart route can go to MLCO sometimes, so I switch to NASDAQ to avoid it
[08:45] {Threei}  not that it's bad, but can be just a tad slower
[08:47] {hawk} Ok, thanks.  I've been using all Island
[08:48] {Threei}  that'll work
[08:49] {hawk} yeah, seems to work fine, just wondered if there was a super secret method
[08:50] {Threei}  there is a "enter winning trades only" route
[08:50] {Threei}  but you get access to it only after 100,000 trades
[08:50] {hawk} if only
[08:50] {hawk} lol
[08:50] {hawk} so in another 2 weeks i should qualify
[08:51] {Threei}  you can speed up the process by buying and selling 1 shares of C all day
[08:55] {magoo} morn
[08:55] {Threei}  mags :)
[08:55] {nemo} haroo
[08:57] {dptl} morning
[08:57] {Threei}  dp :)
06[08:57] * nemo slaps Les around a bit with a large bottle of vodka
[08:58] {Les} ha! funny you should mention that!
[08:58] {Les} I found grey goose in the local shop this morning. got me a bottle
[08:58] {nemo} good stuff
[08:59] {Les} yeh no peasant swill. what are you doing drinking that?
[08:59] {nemo} am I supposed to laugh?
[09:00] {Les} :(
[09:00] {Threei}  (IR) IMF: IReland must go on with budget cuts in order to retain credibility
[09:03] {Les} wondering if affy can get a lift today
[09:04] {larisa} gm :)
[09:05] {Threei}  larisa :)
[09:05] {larisa} vad :)
[09:09] {RonS} gm  :O
[09:09] {Threei}  Ron :)
[09:11] {nemo} anything on the radar
[09:13] {Threei}  ummm
[09:13] {Threei}  LTBR?
[09:13] {nemo} bidu looks like it might be active also
[09:15] {Les} obama at it again:
[09:15] {Les} http://miburl.com/1RuE0O
[09:16] {dino} gm all
[09:16] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:17] {dino} q? do all of you trade from home?
[09:17] {nemo} y
[09:17] {hawk} y
[09:17] {Les} why? you wanna swap?
[09:17] {RonS} y
[09:17] {Les} I'll give you two kids
[09:17] {Les} you give me your office
[09:19] {Les} short answer - yes
[09:19] {dino} lol, thx
[09:20] {dino} back to business, imo watch the gaps 6/14 10190, 1845; 6/9 9899, 1778, 1055
[09:21] {Threei}  that's another disaster in the making, les
[09:21] {Les} well he can try and house the old vets...
[09:21] {Les} but what about the new ones he's creating?
[09:22] {shorty} morning
[09:22] {Threei}  shorty :)
[09:23] {larisa} empty houses in Detroit can satisfy all homeless in US
[09:23] {magoo} vad...i said 10 yester on it, but i meant yester
[09:23] {Les} good point lari
[09:24] {lasertrev} les dcc
[09:25] {Threei}  there is always 1998 somewhere, eh mags :)
[09:25] {lasertrev} good morning
[09:26] {dino} lol larisa
[09:28] {Threei}  trev :)
[09:31] {Threei}  watching RIG for bounce
[09:31] {Threei}  one more leg down most likely
[09:31] {Threei}  half lot, morning volatility
[09:32] {Threei}  .20 break
[09:32] {Threei}  not yet
[09:32] {nemo} pivot support at .13 didn't hold
[09:32] {Threei}  one more dive
[09:32] {Threei}  OK, should be ready now
[09:33] {magoo} in .07
[09:34] {Threei}  stop under .90 of course
[09:35] {magoo} rimm spiking
[09:35] {Threei}  LVS, pullback to 27 for entry
[09:37] {Les} 1st live trade went without a hitch. out rig +.09
[09:37] {magoo} must confess took ltbr .40
[09:38] {Threei}  congratulations Les
[09:38] {dino} gj les
[09:38] {Threei}  how's execution speed?
[09:38] {nemo} rimm drop
[09:39] {Les} will let you know. went a bit too fast to record my observations
[09:39] {nemo} hehehehe
[09:39] {Threei}  rofl
[09:39] {nemo} rimm bounce yep
[09:39] {Les} which probably means damn fine execution speed
[09:39] {nemo} damn
[09:39] {Threei}  come on LVS, one more leg down
[09:40] {Threei}  targeting 26.90 as zone of interest
[09:41] {Les} while not breaking .80?
[09:41] {Threei}  that would be ideal setup, yes
[09:42] {Threei} Short Setup: HAL  .50 break
[09:43] {nemo} stop above .65?
[09:43] {Threei}  depends on where it tops on this bounce
[09:43] {Les} apc dropping hard
[09:43] {nemo} looking at 9:32 candle
[09:44] {Threei}  maybe aggressive entry
[09:44] {Threei}  with stop above .65
[09:44] {Threei}  .60 break
[09:44] {Threei}  stop is ridiculously small
[09:46] {Threei}  DNDN Ticking higher after Humana confirms coverage of Provenge
[09:46] {Threei}  - Note: Aetna announced coverage in their plans on 6/22 (35.02, -0.11, -0.31%) (related AET )
[09:47] {dino} sm l esi .51
[09:47] {Threei}  no go HAL
[09:48] {Threei}  DNDN is reacting
[09:48] {Threei}  not too hot
[09:48] {jfjf64} lvs
[09:48] {nemo} fas bottom?
[09:48] {jfjf64} pullbk
[09:49] {Threei}  FAS, doesn't look like that
[09:49] {Threei}  LVS
[09:49] {Threei}  sharp drop
[09:50] {Threei}  BUNDS (GR) Greece 5-year Credit Default Swaps move above the 1,000bps level for fresh all-time highs - dealers
[09:50] {Threei}  one more LVS
[09:50] {nemo} spy weak
[09:50] {nemo} lvs maybe bounce .90
[09:52] {Threei}  if anyone took 27, just a scalp
[09:52] {Threei}  don't hang around too long
[09:52] {Threei}  this selling feels like picking up steam
[09:53] {bellowsbunch} morning.
[09:53] {Threei}  morning
[09:53] {Threei}  FAS
[09:53] {Les} hey bellow
[09:53] {nemo} cat short?
[09:54] {Threei}  one more move back to .60,
[09:54] {nemo} faz break .77?
[09:54] {bellowsbunch} anything happenin
[09:54] {Threei}  and if holding it, entry hunt is on
[09:54] {Threei}  ok, here it is
[09:54] {Threei}  .65 cross
[09:54] {Threei}  nemo.. .77??
[09:54] {nemo} faz
[09:54] {Threei}  whatcha talkin' about
[09:54] {Threei}  oh
[09:55] {Threei}  no
[09:55] {nemo} well, if fas fails, faz goes
[09:55] {nemo} bingo
[09:55] {Threei}  really?
[09:55] {Threei}  lol
[09:55] {nemo} yep
[09:55] {nemo} that's how it works
[09:55] {nemo} birdie told me
[09:55] {Threei}  thank you
[09:55] {nemo} np
[09:55] {nemo} de nada
[09:55] {nemo} pleasure is mine
[09:55] {Threei}  I will have to pondeer that infinite wisdom this evening
[09:56] {nemo} faz 1:1
[09:56] {nemo} yesss
[09:56] {Les} tried shorting fas.59 no go
[09:56] {dino} out esi .87, +.36
[09:56] {nemo} after how many bottles Vad?
[09:56] {bellowsbunch} gotta be some trade somewhere w market tank
[09:56] {dino} watching whr, ful
[09:56] {nemo} missed that cat short, bummer
[09:57] {nemo} yeah, just grabbed faz bb
[09:57] {nemo} looked away from cat breaking below .40
[09:57] {nemo} so yeah, there are trades
[09:57] {bellowsbunch} faz
[09:57] {bellowsbunch} ?
[09:57] {nemo} triple inverted financials
[09:58] {Les} watching TZA for pullback to .25
[09:58] {Threei}  FAS
[09:58] {bellowsbunch} short?
[09:58] {dino} reminds me of te triple lindy
[09:58] {Threei}  .50 break long
[09:59] {nemo} oh, sold more faz
[09:59] {nemo} so,eh, breakeven for last quarter
[09:59] {dino} dji filled 6/14 gap
[09:59] {Threei}  (GE) Germany Chancellor Merkel: G20 unlikely to agree on a financial tax (related IXG XLF )
[09:59] {dino} good
[10:00] {Threei}  FAS half out over 1:1
[10:00] {Threei}  scalpers with bigger positions, feel free to exit in full
[10:00] {nemo} faz out remainder
[10:00] {Threei}  over 1:2
[10:00] {dino} whr hl l .60
[10:00] {Threei}  1:3, out
[10:01] {Threei}  HBC Spain now investigating approx 3K spanish accounts held in Swiss bank branch of HSBC - SF chronicle
[10:01] {nemo} damn...only got 1:2 on faz
[10:02] {Threei}  bellows, you got FAS?
[10:02] {nemo} turning into the energizer bunny
[10:02] {bellowsbunch} y
[10:02] {bellowsbunch} ty
[10:02] {Threei}  cool
[10:02] {Les} damn look at GS off .50
[10:02] {hawk} thx fas vad
[10:02] {Threei}  not bad move for 5 cebts risk
[10:02] {Threei}  cents
[10:04] {dino} whr to .99
[10:04] {Threei}  LVS worked on 27 recross once again, had no time to comment
[10:04] {Threei}  if anyone stayed with it and observed, could get it... I'd need couple more eyes
[10:05] {dino} ful hl l .06
[10:05] {Threei}  and I look like freak of nature with current three already
[10:05] {dino} i understand
[10:05] {Threei}  ty
[10:06] {dino} out whr .45, +.85
[10:07] {RonS} gj dino
[10:07] {dino} ty
[10:07] {dino} you get it
[10:07] {RonS} late, but got esi, txs
[10:07] {dino} gj
[10:07] {nemo} yeah, whr was up .20 by the time you posted
[10:07] {dino} hmm thought whr was pulling back, but i was wrong
[10:07] {RonS} dndn
[10:08] {nemo} jeez dino
[10:08] {dino} what?
[10:08] {nemo} being wrong like that
[10:08] {nemo} crissakes
[10:08] {dino} wrong alot lately nemo
[10:08] {nemo} I remember this time last year was a minefield for you
[10:08] {dino} but damn, left .50 on table
[10:09] {Threei}  DNDN nice move on news
[10:09] {RonS} that thing is gappy, forget about it...:)
[10:09] {Threei}  they rarely react like this these days, most news go ignored
[10:09] {dino} yes, ironically, in 08 it ws july, 09 june 10 may, so i guess in 11 april
[10:09] {nemo} rig might be bottoming here
[10:10] {nemo} so, go to NC and play golf next spring
[10:10] {dino} i am considering ot
[10:10] {dino} it
[10:11] {dino} ot; todays local paper, we had the earthquake tremors
[10:11] {nemo} they were felt in boston yesterday
[10:12] {Les} gs db?
[10:12] {dino} crazy
[10:12] {nemo} rig did move
[10:12] {Threei}  no Les
[10:13] {Threei}  it may bounce, but no play
[10:13] {nemo} fas coming in to DB territory
[10:15] {dino} fgffgfgfgfgfgfgfgfg f wins out ful .22, +.16
[10:15] {nemo} ?
[10:15] {dino} fear or greed
[10:15] {Threei}  lol
[10:16] {dino} hate to say it but 3 for 3
[10:16] {Threei}  truly disgusting
[10:16] {dino} luv the gap down opens
[10:16] {shorty}  lol dino
[10:16] {Threei}  I don't know how you manage to even think that, let alone say
[10:17] {dino} i should go home
[10:18] {dino} hmmm esi
[10:18] {Les} down a few bucks since I last played it.
[10:19] {dino} watching same 3, strange fdx ups
[10:19] {nemo} fas again
[10:20] {Threei} Long Setup:  BP  .80 break
[10:20] {dino} we arte going positive
[10:20] {nemo} thou arte crazy
[10:20] {dino} hl l dia .25
[10:20] {dino} perhaps
[10:21] {nemo} you'll have alot of company
[10:21] {dino} trannies green
[10:21] {Threei}  let's get it aggressively if pulls back to about .75
[10:23] {dino} fcx wants green
[10:23] {dino} clf hl l .50
[10:26] {dino} :D
[10:26] {nemo} yes fas...
[10:26] {Les} kicking myself dino
[10:27] {nemo} allow me
[10:27] {dino} for what?
[10:27] {Les} clf
[10:27] {dino} ahh
[10:27] {dino} played it off fcx
[10:27] {Les} what's the connection?
[10:28] {nemo} got it Dino?
[10:28] {dino} same industry
[10:28] {dino} metals/mining
[10:28] {Les} oh sorry thinking fdx
[10:28] {Les} trannie
[10:28] {RonS} fcx copper/gold...clf iron ingots
[10:28] {Les} ok
[10:28] {dino} no, i used the trannies for my general up call
[10:29] {RonS} copper pricing is the key...ingots follow
[10:29] {RonS} copper firm at $2.99/lb right now
[10:30] {Threei}  EIA NATURAL GAS INVENTORIES: +81 BCF VS. +75 TO +85 BCF ESTIMATE RANGE
[10:30] {RonS} esi blood
[10:30] {nemo} so we're drowning in oil and suffocating in gas, and the prices don't come down, go figure
[10:30] {Threei}  BP's useless
[10:31] {Threei}  US) Secretary Salazar would like to keep the drilling moratorium in place until safety is assured
[10:31] {hawk} in more ways than one
[10:31] {Threei}  lol
[10:31] {nemo} Let me get this straight
[10:31] {nemo} No other nation has suspended deep water drilling
[10:32] {Les} no I read that nth sea nations have imposed bans
[10:32] {nemo} We're helping Brazil drill 3x deeper and of course, you got the Brits in the North Sea, and they're pulling this maneuver...WTF
[10:32] {Les} norway I think
[10:32] {Les} not sure if it still stands though
[10:33] {nemo} so, you make a claim, and then say you don't know
[10:33] {nemo} nice
[10:33] {Les} piss off
[10:33] {nemo} Finally
[10:33] {nemo} I feel fulfilled
[10:33] {Threei}  LVS
[10:34] {Les} pivot support .74 lvs
[10:34] {nemo} and you have early support at .78-80
[10:34] {nemo} oh well
[10:35] {dino} out dia flat
[10:35] {nemo} .75 recross
[10:35] {nemo} lvs?
[10:35] {nemo} nope
[10:36] {Threei}  one more dive under .60
[10:36] {Threei}  then recross if holding .55
[10:36] {nemo} getting support here
[10:36] {Threei}  1:1
[10:36] {Threei}  1:2
[10:37] {Les} done ty
[10:37] {Threei}  1:3
[10:37] {Threei}  nice and easy
[10:38] {dino} gj
[10:38] {Threei}  ty
[10:40] {Threei}  btw guys, while I remember
[10:40] {Threei}  don't forget to review today's "catch of the dayt" trade,
[10:40] {dino} salmon
[10:40] {Threei}  it will be perfect illustration to the ideal way to play double bottom reversal
[10:41] {dino} whr
[10:41] {nemo} speaking of DB, LVS?
[10:41] {Threei}  salmon... you just reminded me to soak the cedar plank in water
[10:41] {dino} lol
[10:41] {Threei}  not yet, nemo
[10:41] {nemo} no
[10:43] {nemo} LVS to .39?
[10:45] {RonS} whr blood
[10:46] {dino} waiting watching
[10:46] {Les} aig read vad?
[10:46] {dino} gut says ndx gap fill then up
[10:46] {Threei}  none, inactive
[10:46] {Les} ok
[10:47] {bellowsbunch} bp
[10:47] {dino} ndx s/p -4.6% since monday
[10:47] {nemo} bp break of .45
[10:48] {nemo} ?
[10:48] {Les} weak sob BP
[10:49] {nemo} ohoh 1080 spy
[10:49] {Threei}  rather feels like short to me
[10:49] {nemo} green Dino
[10:49] {Threei}  although .70 break was the best play... didn't watch it at the moment
[10:50] {Les} GLD starting up
[10:50] {RonS} whr sm l .20
[10:51] {dino} days not over yet nemo
[10:51] {Les} faz .70 break?
[10:52] {Threei}  can't tell
[10:52] {Threei}  no clean setup
[10:52] {Les} ok. thinking of playing the range. but yeh not clean plays
[10:53] {nemo} RIMM short coming?
[10:53] {nemo} BP too?
[10:53] {Threei}  BP, I think so
[10:53] {nemo} RIMM broke
[10:53] {nemo} was thinking .90 break
[10:54] {Les} missed the break bp. nice call
[10:54] {RonS} whr out .80 -.40
[10:55] {Threei}  US Senators have reportedly refused mandate for banks to pay for FNM and FRE during reconciliation of FINREG legislation
[10:55] {Threei}  - Senate negotiators reject House proposal to start orderly liquidation of Fannie and Freddie
[10:55] {dino} whoosh coming
[10:55] {Les} spy has pivot support here
[10:55] {Threei}  I need translation for that
[10:56] {RonS} the senate and house are fighting
[10:56] {Les} liquidate fannie and freddie. sounds good but who takes the mortgages?
[10:56] {dino} wasn't expected to be approved 3i
[10:57] {RonS} everything has a price Les...
[10:57] {Threei}  this is something I missedc completely I guess, can't put it in any context
[10:57] {dino} sell them off les 50 cents on the buck, there are buyers. but politically its suicide
[10:58] {dino} over thinking 3i, bottom line, fnm fre default/closure admits they are wrong
[10:58] {Threei}  RIMM good call
[10:58] {magoo} rimm report tonite"?
[10:58] {nemo} bouncing right off pivot support at .73
[10:59] {Threei}  yes mags
[10:59] {dino} ful l .15\
[11:01] {nemo} frickin' RIMM shakes me out
[11:01] {dino} enron skilling overturns fraud conviction
[11:03] {Les} tza developing a  .05 rhythm which I just profited from. sticking to it
06[11:03] * Threei slaps Les around a bit with a large roll of cash
[11:05] {Les} ahhh no. real money means no 5k trades for the moment. no screw ups on 1st day = no big profits either
[11:06] {Threei}  wh went for BP, almost 1:2
[11:06] {dino} ndx filled gap
[11:06] {Threei}  who went for RIMM, talk to nemo
[11:07] {Threei}  USD/CNY White House: President Obama to discuss the Yuan with China president at the G20 meeting
[11:07] {nemo} 1:4
[11:07] {nemo} I called BP too
[11:07] {Threei}  OK{ it's all yours
[11:07] {Les} bp still going. cool
[11:07] {Threei}  I already booked that monastery
[11:07] {nemo} :)
[11:07] {nemo} You're going to a convent I thought?
[11:07] {dino} nemo's the man
[11:07] {Threei}  and no larisa, they look much better thanin that image you posted
[11:08] {dino} hl l whr .50
[11:08] {Threei}  now I am envisioning the discussion about USD/CNY between those two
[11:09] {dino} my advice to you vad, drink heavily
[11:09] {Threei}  {President Obama} CNY
[11:09] {Threei}  {President Hu} USD
[11:09] {Threei}  {President Obama} CNY?
[11:09] {Threei}  {President Hu} USD!
[11:09] {Threei}  {President Obama} CNY?!?!
[11:10] {Threei}  {President Hu} USD!!!!
[11:10] {Les} CNY - canadian dollar?
[11:10] {Les} :)
[11:10] {Threei}  EU) EU's Rehn: G20 expected to agree on growth promoting measures and fiscal consolidation
[11:12] {bellowsbunch} bp wow
[11:12] {Threei}  - The banking sector in Europe is stronger than is perceived, expecting Slovakia to enter the 'financial safety net' in the EU
[11:12] {Threei}  - The proposal from Canada on fiscal consolidation is not enough
[11:12] {Threei}  {Slovakia} huh?
[11:13] {dino} sm l itri .55
[11:13] {Threei}  Only 28% Say Shifting Workers to Government Health Insurance Plan is Good
[11:13] {Threei}  I guess it the same 28% that are steadily happy with US direction
[11:14] {Threei}  48% See Government Today As A Threat to Individual Rights
[11:14] {Threei}  the rest 52% just fell from the oak and still don't remember the date or day of the week
[11:14] {dino} they are the collectors
[11:15] {dino} giddy-up
[11:15] {RonS} ...they are the lawyers
[11:15] {Threei}  curious albeit expected breakdown:
[11:15] {Threei}  Most Republicans (74%) and unaffiliateds (51%) consider the government to be a threat to individual rights. Most Democrats (64%) regard the government as a protector of rights.
[11:16] {Les} this is make or break area for BP
[11:16] {lasertrev} magoo dcc
[11:16] {Les} loss of 29
[11:16] {shorty} Threei...CENX, c/h pattern?
[11:17] {nemo} might be short reentry on RImm here
[11:17] {Les} lol vad, talk about holding beliefs being dangerous to one's health
[11:18] {Les} can see dem supporters first to the chopping block when it all turns to &%it
[11:18] {Threei}  you mean inverted, shorty?
[11:19] {shorty} sorry...yes Threei
[11:19] {Threei}  yes, chart configuration wise,
[11:19] {shorty} I am short .10
[11:19] {Threei}  a bit too narrow for my taste
[11:20] {dino} out whr .01, +.51
[11:21] {shorty} If it does not break .03 or .00 get out?
[11:21] {Threei}  you went for aggressive entry,
[11:21] {Threei}  so use advantage of it:
[11:21] {shorty} yes
[11:21] {Threei}  cover half,
[11:21] {shorty} ok
[11:22] {Threei}  keep stop above .15 for now,
[11:22] {Threei}  worst case scenario you are flat,
[11:22] {Threei}  if loses low, move stop to b/e,
[11:22] {Threei}  watch for sharp move down after breakdown to cover
[11:23] {shorty} thanks for the coaching Threei.
[11:23] {Threei}  sure thing
[11:24] {bellowsbunch} rimm
[11:25] {nemo} break of .50 was the play
[11:25] {shorty} done.  that was fun
[11:26] {dino} gj
[11:26] {shorty} be back in 15....thanks
[11:27] {Les} reversal here? break of .50 fas?
[11:27] {nemo} ?
[11:27] {Les} market finding its footing?
[11:27] {Les} caught the wave?
[11:27] {Les} found the beat?
[11:28] {dino} out itri .94, +.39
[11:29] {dino} drop coming, imo
[11:29] {Les} gs read vad?
[11:29] {Threei}  .10 short is obvious setup...
[11:30] {Threei}  but we are moving into random time
[11:30] {Les} yeh ok
[11:30] {Threei}  GR) Greece's Capital Markets Comission confirms extension of short sale ban through to Aug 31
[11:34] {dino} whr hl l ave .65
[11:34] {bellowsbunch} long whr?
[11:35] {nemo} yep
[11:35] {dino} yes
[11:36] {dino} bellows, hl=half lot, l=long
[11:37] {bellowsbunch} ty
[11:37] {dino} np
[11:38] {dino} np=no problem
[11:40] {bellowsbunch} nice
[11:41] {dino} lucky
[11:44] {Les} thanks dino out whr +.22
[11:45] {dino} gj, greed got me, still in
[11:45] {dino} wanted .05
[11:45] {Les} 1st live trade with your call. me chickensh&%.
[11:46] {bellowsbunch} thx dino
[11:46] {dino} np
[11:48] {Threei}  (CA) Canada Fin Min Flaherty: G20 to discuss sovereign debt targets; some countries need 'urgen't fiscal consolidation
[11:48] {Threei}  - Highlights thate there is not specific targets for fiscal consolidation
[11:51] {dino} wall at .00
[11:53] {Threei}  (CH) US Senator Levin (D-MI): Commerce Dept should decide within the next few weeks on whether an investigation into Yuan is warrranted
[11:53] {Threei}  - Feels investigation should determine whether or not the Yuan is a trade subsidy
[11:53] {Threei}  - Note: Yesterday prepared comments from the Commerce Dept remarked as such, affirming their stance that they were evaluating whether the Yuan was in fact a trade subsidy
[11:55] {dino} fsys
[11:55] {bellowsbunch} lvs
[12:00] {Les} wow whr nice
[12:01] {dino} out whr .clf hl l .05
[12:01] {Threei}  US Judge refuses to grant a stay on District court ruling on blockage of original 6 month deepwater drilling moratoriuml
[12:01] {dino} out whr ave .42,
[12:01] {dino} whr
[12:01] {dino} +.77
[12:02] {Les} :( scalpers regret
[12:02] {dino} darn whr
[12:05] {magoo} oil news vad? drillers maybe?
[12:05] {dino} lol, obamination going to be pissed
[12:06] {hawk} posted above mags, drilling moratoriam news
[12:06] {magoo} ty
[12:07] {RonS} ...dino, note to self and you...play ctrp
[12:08] {dino} pulp type
[12:10] {dino} i was trading few weeks ago 37-39 range
[12:10] {dino} wanted it to come back
[12:10] {dino} holds well
[12:12] {RonS} ugh, talk about scalper's regret...esi
[12:12] {Les} beautiful chart
[12:12] {RonS} :s
[12:13] {Threei}  US Dollar v Russian Ruble (RU) Russia Dep Fin Min: Ruble strength is a problem for Russia, yet is inevitable if the price of oil increases
[12:13] {Threei}  - Highlights no imminent plans on capital controls, a Foreign Bond sale this year is a possibility
[12:13] {Threei}  - Notes that should use the Yuan, REAL, and Rupee as convertible in reserves
[12:13] {Threei}  real and rupee, eh
[12:13] {dino} wow esi 86-91
[12:13] {Threei}  try tougrik too while at it
[12:13] {RonS} For-Profit College Stocks Firm After Analyst Says Rule to Limit Aid May Be Delayed       06/11 12:05 PM
[12:13] {RonS} late w/ the news...
[12:19] {dino} out clf flat
[12:23] {dino} freaking clf
[12:32] {RonS} ...and now this...Japanese told to go to bed an hour early to cut carbon emissions
[12:32] {nemo} might increase methane emmissions though
[12:32] {hawk} lol
[12:32] {nemo} :)
[12:32] {Threei}  sigh
[12:32] {RonS} er, not going down that road...
[12:36] {dino} lol
[12:36] {dino} might increase population extra hour in bed
[12:36] {nemo} was just thinking that
[12:37] {patience} decrease in pharmaceudical sales for depression/anxiety meds
[12:38] {shorty} That reminds me patience.........
[12:40] {dino} uo oh
[12:40] {nemo} yeah, wondering where this is going myself
[12:42] {larisa} nowhere, shorty forgot to take his pill :)
[12:42] {nemo} SLB DB?
[12:43] {Threei}  50/50
[12:43] {dino} the purple one?
[12:43] {shorty} paxil.....
[12:43] {nemo} purple one...wrong app
[12:43] {shorty} no, rye is my pill...paxil is for my wife
[12:43] {nemo} well, that could alleviate depression
[12:44] {dino} re-test coming
[12:44] {nemo} I'm not sure what the big deal is if a condition lasts more than four hours
[12:44] {RonS} lol
[12:45] {RonS} ...and exactly waht would the doc do?
[12:46] {nemo} ?
[12:46] {larisa} show him the pucture of monastery girls
[12:46] {RonS} oh no...:D
[12:46] {nemo} go to Thailand?
[12:47] {magoo} rig bounce ready vad?
[12:48] {Threei}  no
[12:48] {dino} thats when you need to visit the head nurse
[12:48] {nemo} now there's one I'm not going to touch
[12:49] {RonS} one of my favorite bits on In Living Color...the head detective...
[12:51] {dino} fdx ups hold well still
[12:52] {Threei}  mags, RIG... if you want to try and catch bottom, watch for under 50, IMO
[12:52] {dino} fcx hl l .00
[12:56] {Threei}  crap
[12:57] {Threei}  who of you filks with all thse discussions just sent me an e-mail with subject line:
[12:57] {Threei}  Subject: Love Love pill Best Pharma!!!
[12:57] {lasertrev} sorry, that was me
[12:58] {dino} lol
[12:58] {Les} got a side business happening hey lt?
[12:58] {dptl} lol
[12:58] {lasertrev} lol:)
[12:59] {lasertrev} I want Vad as my spokesperson
[12:59] {larisa} he will call customers "filks"
[13:00] {Threei}  that will be my friendliest
[13:00] {lasertrev} lol, too funny
[13:00] {Threei}  normally I am nowhere that nice
[13:02] {Threei}  *(US) TREASURY'S $30B 7-YEAR NOTE AUCTION DRAWS 2.575%; BID-TO-COVER RATIO: 3.01 V 2.88 PRIOR AND 2.83 OVER THE LAST 5
[13:02] {Threei}  - Indirect bidders take 51% of competitive bids, with 65.7% allotted at the high
[13:02] {Threei}  - Direct bidders take 9.8%, primary dealers 39.2%
[13:02] {Threei}  - Median 2.53%, low 2.385%
[13:02] {shorty} BP
[13:03] {nemo} market reacted well to that
[13:10] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLB  .40 break
[13:10] {Threei}  half lot
[13:11] {magoo} not a scalp?
[13:12] {Threei}  looks like
[13:12] {dino} out fcx .38, +.38
[13:12] {Threei}  let's try to partial and milk it
[13:12] {magoo} yea
[13:12] {Threei}  very nice energy of eliminating that big .41 offer
[13:13] {magoo} mkts green today vad? trying
[13:14] {Threei}  DJI -70...
[13:14] {Threei}  by these days standard it's a 10 min walk, lol
[13:14] {magoo} was -120
[13:14] {Threei}  SLB 1:1
[13:19] {magoo} where stop
[13:19] {Threei}  .35 for me
[13:20] {Threei}  .30 if you don't care
[13:20] {Threei}  and are ready for flat
[13:21] {Threei}  scalpers win
[13:22] {Threei}  RIG is getting there
[13:23] {nemo} I tink it's there
[13:32] {nemo} yep, it was
[13:33] {dino} hl l meli .80
[13:35] {magoo} u miss any yet dino?
[13:36] {dino} two stops both flat
[13:36] {dino} some days you eat the bear
[13:39] {nemo} fcx break .60 could go straight to 65
[13:41] {nemo} RIG came back
[13:50] {Threei}  (GR) A bomb has reportedly exploded at the office of the Greek public order minister - Greece TV
[13:50] {magoo} so mkt pops lol
[13:51] {nemo} looks like spy wants 200 ma on the 5 minute
[13:53] {Threei}  Financials strengthen in early afternoon trading as the Congressional conference moves toward crafting final financial regulation (FinReg) bill
[13:55] {Threei}  Ron
[13:55] {Threei}  I know you are miserable without your daily dose, but the relief is coming
[13:55] {Threei}  guess who is coming on TV shortly
[13:55] {Les} geena davis?
[13:56] {magoo} roseanne barr?
[13:56] {Threei}  - The conference chairman, Barney Frank, has stated several times he expects to finish the FinReg bill by the end of today, June 24. He has also noted that if they do not finish work today, the bill would be delayed until after Congress' 4th of July break.
[13:56] {RonS} yes
[13:56] {dino} daffey duck
[13:56] {Threei}  to les and mags - you both wish
[13:56] {Threei}  dino... hmmm...
[13:56] {Les} barr - the fat chick?
[13:56] {Threei}  you may be right {GGG}
[13:56] {magoo} ya luv her
[13:56] {Les} lol
[13:57] {RonS} fas long?
[13:58] {Threei}  well, news can come any moment
[13:58] {Threei}  if they say no finreg bill today, FAS may drop faster than you can say mama
[13:58] {hawk} mama
[13:59] {Threei}  see? it cna drop faster than that
[13:59] {Threei}  cna = can
[14:03] {Threei}  Obama Takes Medvedev to Rays Hell Burger
[14:04] {Threei}  {Medvedev}, okay, you come to Moscow, I will take you to that pirozhkovaja on Arbat, food poisoning will be with you for months to come
[14:06] {Threei}  here they are
[14:10] {dino} stopped meli -.31
[14:10] {nemo} 1st loss
[14:15] {dino} y
[14:19] {dino} ctrp l .01
[14:33] {dino} ctrp stopped -.15
[14:34] {dino} break time
[14:37] {magoo} read RIG vad?
[14:37] {nemo} fas could be ready right around here
[14:38] {Threei}  feels like bounce but no firm read mags
[14:38] {magoo} fas, rather see .45 area
[14:38] {nemo} tinking lose .70 hold .65 and recross
[14:39] {magoo} im short it .51 vad
[14:39] {dino} ndsn drop
[14:41] {magoo} thought it follow slb bp
[14:42] {RonS} tsn
[14:42] {RonS} sfd
[14:43] {RonS} Chickens to Russia?
[14:43] {Les} china
[14:43] {Les} cny devalued 50%¨
[14:43] {Les} or is that overvalued
[14:43] {shorty} Cya tomorrow all.
[14:43] {Les} ciao
[14:45] {Threei}  take care shorty
[14:45] {RonS} cya shorty
[14:45] {nemo} 1:1 fas
[14:46] {nemo} tna looking long
[14:46] {magoo} cwlz
[14:46] {magoo} vad news
[14:47] {magoo} not avail
[14:47] {Threei}  no news
[14:48] {nemo} stopped faz
[14:48] {nemo} fas
[14:48] {dino} cwlz
[14:48] {Les} mags what's your target for RIG?
[14:49] {magoo} .08
[14:49] {magoo} .11 area, but dunno
[14:50] {magoo} slb bp lows, mkt looks bad
[14:52] {magoo} thats my read
[14:53] {dino} ctrp l.85
[14:54] {dino} abandon hope all ye who trade here
[14:54] {nemo} why?
[14:54] {nemo} Les still here?
[14:54] {dino} think about it
[14:54] {Les} ?
[14:54] {nemo} well, hope is a bad way to trade
[14:54] {dino} hope is the slayer of traders
[14:55] {hawk} hope floats
[14:55] {Les} 2/3 out rig mags ty
[14:55] {dino} they all float down here
[14:56] {hawk} they mostly come out at night, mostly
[14:56] {magoo} welcome, dont let it hurt ya
[14:57] {Threei}  nice trade folks
[14:57] {Threei}  I mean filks
06[14:57] * Threei squints at larisa
[14:58] {magoo} out target .11
[14:58] {Les} caught yer rig at .40 after last bounce FYI
[14:58] {magoo} .08 too
[14:58] {dino} gj
[14:58] {hawk} nice mags, caught it .41, thx
[14:59] {Les} thanks yeh all out
[14:59] {magoo} nice
[15:01] {magoo} i double exited and long 09
[15:02] {Les} ha was thinking long as well. but inebriated now so happy to finish on a good note
[15:03] {Les} pizza, women and tuscanny reds. It's summer time
[15:04] {magoo} gs ripping up, news
[15:04] {Threei}  no
[15:04] {Threei}  I guess finreg bill advances well
[15:05] {Les} Al Gore behaved like 'crazed sex poodle'
[15:06] {nemo} what?
[15:06] {nemo} he humped somebody's leg?
[15:06] {Les} http://miburl.com/MN4NuH
[15:06] {Les} so global warming was something different for him...
[15:06] {RonS} ...mashed a 52 year old.
[15:07] {Les} gotta love the integrity of our beloved leaders
[15:07] {nemo} is this going to become a "depends on what your definition of 'is" is"
[15:07] {RonS} ...prosecutor said she should have sent a thank you card, refused to press charges.
[15:07] {nemo} nothin' new
[15:08] {nemo} Hell, JFK turned the White House into a Cat House
[15:09] {RonS} bad joke...but w/ no evidence, no charges
[15:09] {magoo} wheres bounce on it vad? if any
[15:09] {Threei}  GS?
[15:09] {Les} l faz .81 stop .75
[15:09] {magoo} ya
[15:10] {Threei}  I don't have read on it
[15:10] {magoo} RIG getting raped
[15:12] {Les} half out faz
[15:12] {Les} .90
[15:12] {nemo} who pulled the plug
[15:13] {Les} 1/4 more .99
[15:13] {Les} all out. bounce zone for qqqq here
[15:20] {Les} l faz .01 stop .93
[15:22] {dino} ndsn hl l .50
[15:23] {Les} faz stopped.
[15:24] {Les} thank you all for a profitable 1st day as a career trader. c u's tgomorrow
[15:24] {Threei}  wait!
06[15:24] * Threei slaps Les around a bit with a large roll of cash
[15:24] {Les} duck
[15:24] {Threei}  now go
[15:24] {Les} ty sensai
[15:24] {Threei}  always
[15:24] {Threei}  just ask
[15:26] {nemo} shoulda' smacked him with a japanese/english dictionary
[15:28] {dino} cya les
[15:29] {dino} meli was a rinse
[15:32] {nemo} bye folks c u manana
[15:32] {RonS} cya nemo
[15:33] {Threei}  take care nemo
[15:33] {nemo} my age....
[15:33] {nemo} take it any way I can get it
[15:33] {dptl} have a good evening all
[15:33] {Threei}  take care dp
[15:35] {dino} ppt
[15:36] {dino} cya dp
[15:37] {magoo} FCX bounce vad?
[15:38] {Threei}  if holding .50 mags
[15:38] {Threei}  .60 break I'd try
[15:38] {Threei}  risk is minimal
[15:38] {Threei}  if loses it, no read for now
[15:53] {Threei}  again, don't forget to revioew today's catch of the day
[15:54] {Threei}  setups you must know
[15:54] {magoo} where?
[15:54] {Threei}  where is my frozen trout...
[15:59] {dino} out ndsn -.20
[15:59] {magoo} orcl and rimm vad, get to work lol
[16:00] {Threei}  lol
[16:00] {Threei}  go away
[16:01] {Threei}  ORCL Reports Q4 $0.60 v $0.54e, R$9.5BB v $9.5Be
[16:02] {Threei}  thank you all
[16:02] {Threei}  havce a good evening, ee you tomorrow
[16:02] {magoo} um..RIMM boss?
[16:03] {Threei}  not yet
[16:03] {magoo} what u think? bounce like orcl?
[16:04] {Threei}  lower...
[16:04] {Threei}  around .20 rather

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Jun 23 2010

We did squeeze a profitable day but with FOMC meeting looming it was boring, with little action. No good chart to show today, pretty standard stuff.

Session Time: Wed Jun 23 00:00:00 2010

[08:47] {Threei}  Euro vs US Dollar (GE) German VDMA head: Current level of EUR/USD is satisfactory; Does NOT want a weak Euro
[08:47] {Threei}  - China's Yuan currency revaluation is very positive development.
[08:47] {Threei}  - Reiterates view that there is no risk of credit crunch in Germany.
[08:48] {Les} Good morning. why wouldn't Germany want a weak euro?
[08:49] {nemo} lying
[08:49] {Les} Too many don't want to see a strong dollar right now?
[08:50] {Threei}  they've no idea what they want and don't want
[08:50] {Threei}  this whole thing is too complicated to comprehend
[08:50] {Les} oh. well that's explains a lot
[08:51] {Threei}  no one really understands all the consequences of various developmments
[08:51] {Threei}  just look at the record of majority forecasters over last, say, 3 years
[08:51] {Threei}  in both matket and economy
[08:52] {Les} yeh I guess Europe wasn't front page news 3 years ago
[08:52] {Threei}  people want to hold some of their favorite gurus dear, so they overlook their disastrous record
[08:53] {Les} did you read that Mauldin link?
[08:53] {Threei}  there is one highly regarded commodities guru for instance,
[08:53] {Threei}  who is widely credited with being exceptionally prophetic
[08:53] {Threei}  Well, if you look closely, what you see is:
[08:53] {Threei}  he is exceptionally intelligent and knowledgeable
[08:54] {Threei}  writes very eloquently
[08:54] {Threei}  but his actual record over those few years I wacthed was absolutely miserable,
[08:54] {Threei}  particularly, I remember vividly call on livestock prices
[08:55] {Threei}  where he proved and explained with amazing clarity and convincing detal
[08:55] {Threei}  why those prices were to skyrocket
[08:55] {Threei}  well... they crashed,
[08:55] {Threei}  bounced a little,
[08:55] {Threei}  crashed again,
[08:55] {Threei}  strabilized
[08:55] {Threei}  and never went anywhere
[08:56] {Threei}  yet, all the components he described as reasions for imminent rise were in place
[08:56] {Threei}  crowd of fans totally forgot that call, and many others like this
[08:56] {Threei}  but eloquence is still there, so they are happy
[08:58] {Les} that's what I like about you as guru vad
[08:58] {Threei}  So... don't expect any of these folks to really understand what's happening and express it in their soundbites
[08:58] {Les} no elequence
[08:58] {Les} just  the beef :)
[08:58] {Threei}  umm... thank you, I guess {G}
[08:58] {Threei}  they simply reflect political expediency of the moment
[08:59] {Threei}  even the practical and direct ones often simply lose the vision of the big picture, beoing submerged in minutae analysis
[08:59] {Threei}  great example form the article I was sent today,
[09:00] {Threei}  where authr discusses how an individual trader should survive in HFT era
[09:00] {Threei}  after much trhis and that, he says:
[09:01] {Threei}  In order for traders to succeed in a highly quant-driven tape they must develop a feel for the overall market and understand the ebb and flow of particular stocks and markets.
[09:01] {Threei}  ...there are two particular daily activities I believe traders can do to help significantly shorten the learning curve. First, follow prices. Making a purposeful effort to memorize prices will allow you to contextualize any movement over time. This includes internalizing charts in order to know the history of prices. Second, read read read. The only way to understand the prevailing psychology is to gauge price reactions against headlines.
[09:01] {Threei}  does it sound familiar to you?
[09:02] {Les} hmmm
[09:02] {nemo} wow, people sending you email....
[09:02] {Les} Ritholz?
[09:02] {Threei}  internalize charts, understand patterns, compare price vs headlines
[09:02] {Threei}  isn't it what I teach for many years now?
[09:02] {Threei}  my point is,
[09:02] {Les} yeh yeh sure it is
[09:02] {Threei}  this is what worked ALWAYS
[09:02] {Threei}  it has absolutrely nothing to do with HFT
[09:03] {Threei}  it's not something that arose as the way to trade in HFT era
[09:03] {Threei}  so, yes, he is right in describing what to do,
[09:03] {Threei}  but he attributes it to something irrelevant
[09:04] {Threei}  If I were to write about this, my way to frame it would be:
[09:04] {Threei}  this worked before HFT,
[09:04] {Threei}  this wrks during HFT,
[09:04] {Threei}  this will work after HFT.
[09:04] {Threei}  This is Eternal Law
[09:04] {Les} well happily not too many catch on to this
[09:04] {Threei}  it doesn't matter
[09:05] {Threei}  I teach it for years,
[09:05] {Threei}  I wrote books and numerous articles about this,
[09:05] {Threei}  and on top of it all, I am alone
[09:05] {Threei}  nor first to write about this
[09:05] {Threei}  and? :)
[09:06] {Threei}  % of thise who take it to heart,
[09:06] {Threei}  internalize it,
[09:06] {Threei}  and apply it in practice
[09:06] {Threei}  simply doesn't change
[09:06] {Threei}  Think of it this way:
[09:07] {dptl} good morning
[09:07] {Threei}  a lot of my understanbd was derived from, for instance, Reminiscences
[09:07] {Threei}  dp :)
[09:07] {Threei}  understanding that was
[09:08] {Threei}  adn a few other books I read over time
[09:08] {Threei}  was any of them a secret one?
[09:08] {Threei}  weren't they available to anyone?
[09:08] {Threei}  Reminiscenses particularly, louded as the most popular trading book ever
[09:09] {Threei}  while it influenced this or that individual,
[09:09] {Threei}  did it significantly change to % of those who understand market?
[09:10] {hawk} good morning
[09:10] {Les} from what the NYT would tell us, no...
[09:10] {Threei}  hawk :)
[09:10] {Threei}  Euro vs US Dollar (FR) Dealers reviving rumors of potential sovereign action against France
[09:10] {Threei}  - Today's rumor suggests that Fitch to lower outlok on France to "Watch negative'
[09:10] {Threei}  *** Insight: On May 31st France budget minister Baroin commented in the weekend TV interview that France must carry our planned spending cuts to maintain Sovereign "AAA" rating
[09:10] {Threei}  ***Reminder: On May 14th Fitch affirmed no change has been made to the France debt rating at AAA; stable outlook following rumors during that session.
[09:11] {RonS} The ostensible father of artificial intelligence, Herbert A. Simon, stated that a minimum of 1 million patterns need to be internalized before you become proficient, in, for instance chess.  Further, he said that 2 million are needed to become a master.  Typically this takes ten years.
[09:12] {Threei}  I don't know where he got those exact numbers... but the idea is right
[09:12] {Threei}  that same author continues:
[09:12] {Threei}  In general traders need to understand trend and volatility.
[09:12] {Threei}  no comment
[09:12] {RonS} oh, and gm all :)
[09:12] {Threei}  ron :)
[09:12] {magoo} hey
[09:12] {Threei}  mags :)
[09:13] {Threei}  I can quote all right sentences from there,
[09:13] {Threei}  and each of them will make sense in any year or context
[09:13] {Threei}  with no relation to the topic it all framed in, HFT
[09:14] {Threei}  Volatility is absolutely crucial in predicting the possible reward scenarios.
[09:14] {Threei}  yeah
[09:14] {Threei}  While reward is measured in a pure dollar or percentage sense, traders must also appraise the probability of that reward coming to fruition.
[09:14] {Threei}  sure
[09:14] {Les} you got the link there?
[09:14] {Threei}  Lower volatility times yield lower returns and therefore require tighter stops.
[09:14] {Threei}  ummm
[09:14] {Threei}  no
[09:15] {RonS} amen, and pass the potatoes
[09:15] {Threei}  last:
[09:15] {Threei}  Trading plans must be arranged well before the stock hits the buy or sell points.
[09:15] {dino} gm all
[09:15] {Threei}  I mean, I don't want to put the author down, he says right things
[09:16] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:16] {ese} morning
[09:16] {Threei}  but the point is, it was always the right way to approach the market
[09:16] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:16] {Threei}  why tie it into HFT context and sell it as "new way to survive in today's environment"?
[09:17] {Les} cause it sells I guess
[09:17] {Threei}  either that,
[09:17] {ese} how was everyone yesterday......had an exam yesterday to supervise
[09:17] {ese} gonna test you all next
[09:17] {Threei}  or he simply doesn't notice that he made a full loop
[09:17] {dino} decent day es
[09:17] {Threei}  in his attempt to ponder how to adjust to "new world"
[09:18] {RonS} writing is one thing, doing by illustration in real time, which you do 3i, is exceptional.  Thanks for that, and let's get to work.  :D
[09:18] {dino} agree ron
[09:18] {dino} if you can't do it, teach/write it
[09:18] {Threei}  ok ok Ron, I got the hint {G}
[09:19] {Threei}  but you all who joined later and don't see whole discussion, make sure to read it in trading log later
[09:19] {ese} what book are you reffering too
[09:19] {Les} TZA just popped over 7. market says down
[09:19] {Threei}  not a book ese
[09:19] {Threei}  long story, look trading log after market
[09:19] {nemo} so, basically the article boils down to "Plu cest  change, plu cest le meme chose"
[09:20] {shorty} morning
[09:20] {nemo} time for the Grey Goose
[09:20] {Threei}  shorty :)
[09:20] {RonS} sacre blue
[09:20] {Threei}  yes nemo, without author realizing it :)
[09:21] {nemo} mmmhhh spy retraced to the close
[09:23] {larisa} gm:)
[09:24] {lasertrev} morning
[09:25] {Threei}  larisa, trev :)
[09:26] {Threei}  G-20 related arrest made in Toronto
[09:26] {shorty} The RBC bombing?
[09:26] {RonS} which one?
[09:26] {Threei}  no, new one
[09:26] {Threei}  today
[09:27] {RonS} which one, of the G20?...they should all be arrested
[09:27] {Threei}  rofl
[09:28] {Les} hehehe good one
[09:28] {Threei}  remember, FOMC today
[09:29] {RonS} ya, and new housing sales at top of hour...
[09:30] {jfjf64} mornin
[09:31] {Threei} Long Setup:  BP  .10 break
[09:31] {Threei}  if stays above 30
[09:31] {Threei}  two-sided setup
[09:32] {magoo} rather find bottom in my o
[09:32] {magoo} or break out
[09:33] {Les} l tza .01 stop under .95
[09:33] {Les} 1:1
[09:33] {Les} half out
[09:34] {ese} L fitb .55
[09:34] {Les} 1/4 more .10
[09:35] {magoo} ADBE smoked vad
[09:35] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  on pullback to .30
[09:35] {Les} last quarter stopped flat
[09:36] {ese} out fitb .74 +.19
[09:37] {dino} hl l ful .80
[09:37] {dino} well that entry sucked
[09:37] {dino} stop is .49
[09:37] {Threei}  LVS, want dive under .30, for bounce hunt
[09:38] {Threei}  BP 1:1, half out
[09:38] {Les} bp covered +.09 ty
[09:38] {shorty} out bp
[09:38] {Threei}  too gast LVS
[09:38] {Threei}  fast
[09:38] {Threei}  or was distracted by BP at the moment...
[09:38] {dino} stopped
[09:38] {Les} in and out lvs ty
[09:39] {Les} +.09
[09:39] {Threei}  :)
[09:39] {Les} SHOW ME THE MONEY!
[09:39] {Threei}  argh
[09:39] {Les} sorry
06[09:39] * Threei slaps Les around a bit with a large roll of cash
[09:39] {Threei}  here it is
[09:39] {nemo} here's what?
[09:39] {jfjf64} slap  me TOO$$$$$$
[09:39] {Threei}  my argh was about me missing entry, lol
[09:40] {nemo} oh, thought it was your pirate impression
[09:40] {magoo} ADBE bounce read vad?
[09:40] {Threei}  no, that I do only in the middle of second vodka bottle
[09:40] {jfjf64} +24 CENTS   TY
[09:40] {Threei}  wtg jf
[09:40] {Threei}  and...
06[09:40] * Threei slaps jfjf64 around a bit with a large roll of cash
[09:41] {Threei}  not yet mags
[09:41] {Threei}  IMO, goes lower
[09:41] {jfjf64} uso  short
[09:41] {nemo} watch for bounce at .30 mags
[09:42] {magoo} good read
[09:43] {dino} ful hyl l .00
[09:46] {jfjf64} when  ya  get  chance  pls  explain lvs   thought  process
[09:47] {jfjf64} i took it
[09:47] {jfjf64} ty
[09:47] {Threei}  thought? you are flattering me
[09:48] {magoo} how u hold the dart vad
[09:48] {jfjf64} hard for  me  to  see set up
[09:48] {nemo} hah, recross .30 woulda' worked on ADBE
[09:48] {jfjf64} .30   from  yest
[09:48] {Threei}  jf, simple double bottom, exaggerated by opening volatility
[09:49] {Threei}  SQNM Hearing strength attributed to presentation by Doctors on positive feedback on certain tests (6.16, +0.20, 3.36%)
[09:49] {nemo} yeah, simple
[09:50] {jfjf64} thanks  nemo  for  ya  2 cents
[09:51] {nemo} PCX vad?
[09:51] {magoo} q server please vad
[09:51] {magoo} stuck quotes
[09:51] {Threei}  6
[09:51] {magoo} ty
[09:51] {Threei}  PCX looks double-toppish to me
[09:51] {nemo} my thinking
[09:52] {nemo} support at .65
[09:52] {Threei}  can turn into break if market strenghens but I'd not play it
[09:52] {Threei}  reversal, I would
[09:52] {nemo} yes, short
[09:52] {Threei}  13.80 break
[09:52] {nemo} I was thinking .85 myself
[09:52] {nemo} oh, damn...thinking again
[09:52] {Threei}  could be, but need a little more consolidation
[09:53] {magoo} news AAPL vad?
[09:53] {Threei}  just couple more moves up and down,
[09:53] {Threei}  between .85 and high
[09:53] {Threei}  not fresh
[09:53] {Threei}  00:47 AAPL WSJ Mossberg is positive on iPhone4
[09:53] {Threei}  - Says the device is a "major leap" over the iPhone 3GS
[09:53] {RonS} aapl losing it...
[09:54] {Threei} Short Setup: PCX  .85 break
[09:55] {nemo} numbers in 5
[09:57] {nemo} do we want out of this before the numbers?
[09:57] {Threei}  maybe half?
[09:57] {Threei}  to be prudent
[09:57] {nemo} Well, me chicken
[09:57] {nemo} out .79
[09:58] {nemo} pucker factor got to me
[09:58] {nemo} stop 2nd half
[09:58] {Threei}  well... it proved you right
[09:59] {dino} fcx sm l .25
[09:59] {nemo} mmmmhhh...I have a long term support resistance line in at .10 on PCX
[09:59] {nemo} wonder when I put that there
[10:00] {Threei}  *(US) MAY NEW HOME SALES: 300K V 410KE
[10:00] {nemo} ow
[10:00] {dino} out ful .79, +.70
[10:00] {Threei}  (-33% M/M)
[10:00] {Les} tza for +.05 on the news
[10:00] {Les} sold too early
[10:00] {Threei}  LVS
[10:00] {Threei}  bounce time very soon
[10:00] {nemo} frickin pcx
[10:01] {nemo} did you mean short on FCX dino
[10:01] {nemo} ?
[10:01] {Threei}  - Prior revised lower from 504K to 446K
[10:01] {Threei}  - Median price $200.9K v $K in April (revised from $198.4K), $222.3K y/y (% m/m; -9.6% y/y)
[10:01] {Threei}  - Months supply: 8.5 v 5.06 in April
[10:01] {Threei}  - Homes for sale: 213K v 211K in April
[10:01] {dino} unfortunately no, dumb move should've waited forgot #s
[10:03] {Threei}  EUR/USD Risk aversion flows increase following 'poor' US New Homes data
[10:04] {dino} fxe at lod tho
[10:04] {Threei}  LVS bounce hunt is on
[10:04] {RonS} eur/jpy lost 110.0...113.0 on Monday
[10:05] {Threei}  missed .21 LVS while typed, LOL
[10:05] {Threei}  anyone got it?
[10:05] {magoo} l lvs .28
[10:05] {RonS} Les, mkove to $ and Yen = risk aversion
[10:06] {magoo} crap
[10:06] {Threei}  wow
[10:06] {Threei}  .28??
[10:06] {RonS} ?
[10:06] {magoo} went after first strendghth
[10:06] {Les} I am short pcx .89
[10:07] {Threei}  yes, but way too far from bottom
[10:07] {RonS} aapl -5.50
[10:07] {Les} dunno why $ = strength with crappy housing Ron, but i getcha
[10:07] {bellowsbunch} bidu?
[10:07] {nemo} Euro weakness Les
[10:07] {Les} yeh crappy alternative
[10:07] {Threei}  bellows, you trade anything else?
[10:08] {nemo} might get bounce on BIDU here Bellows
[10:08] {Threei}  why pick such volatile stock at such volatile moment
[10:08] {nemo} nope
[10:08] {dino} s/p gap 1089 filled from 6/14
[10:08] {Threei}  risk is impossible to control on it right now
[10:08] {bellowsbunch} im just watching it. chill
[10:08] {nemo} he's on prozac?
[10:08] {Threei}  chill?
[10:08] {Les} lol
[10:08] {Les} cover pcx +.09
[10:09] {bellowsbunch} whats the play on lvs
[10:10] {Threei}  long on pullback to between .10 and .15
[10:10] {magoo} i have to say..hope no pllbk:)
[10:10] {nemo} fcx
[10:11] {Threei}  if no pullback, no new play for now
[10:11] {nemo} FCX l break .10 stop
[10:11] {nemo} .95
[10:11] {dino} in
[10:11] {Threei}  WAVX UPDATE: MDB Capital Group Initiates WAVX with Buy, price target: $6
[10:12] {nemo} frig .02 away from 1:1
[10:12] {Threei}  get out LVS mags
[10:12] {dino} ful hl l .48
[10:12] {dino} nemo, v?
[10:13] {dino} break of .50 think
[10:13] {nemo} volatile one
[10:13] {nemo} I'd want to see it hold .50 a bit
[10:13] {nemo} volume drops
[10:13] {RonS} dino, cstr is pretty strong considering
[10:13] {nemo} 1:1 fcx
[10:14] {dino} merriman, buy
[10:14] {Threei}  BIDU, watch for dive under .50 for long entry
[10:14] {nemo} chill vad
[10:14] {nemo} 1:2 fcx
[10:14] {RonS} vodka on ice?
[10:15] {jfjf64} nice nemo
[10:15] {nemo} stop to 23 fcx
[10:15] {nemo} .23
[10:15] {dino} ugh v
[10:15] {nemo} yeah, sorry Dino, volatility scared me
[10:15] {nemo} needed a .50 stop
[10:15] {Threei}  BIDU recross,
[10:15] {Threei}  stop under .25
[10:16] {Threei}  so smallish shares
[10:16] {dino} would work w/300
[10:16] {nemo} for you, yes...my apologies
[10:16] {nemo} stopped fcx
[10:17] {Threei}  in .47
[10:17] {dino} no worries dude
[10:17] {dino} i am responsible for my inaction
[10:17] {Threei}  lol
[10:17] {nemo} is that wu or wei?
[10:17] {Threei}  Preview: DOE (EIA) Petroleum Inventories due at 10:30ET
[10:17] {Threei}  **consensus expectations:
[10:17] {Threei}  Crude: -1Me
[10:17] {Threei}  Gasoline: +250Ke
[10:17] {Threei}  Distillate: +1.4Me
[10:18] {Threei}  BIDU 1:1 roughly
[10:19] {Les} ty out
[10:19] {jfjf64} ditto
[10:19] {jfjf64} t
[10:19] {Les} I love the smell of volatility in the morning
[10:19] {nemo} Dino V back
[10:19] {jfjf64} y
[10:19] {nemo} smells like napalm
[10:19] {ese} my trading broker is down  questrade.......anybody else
[10:20] {nemo} must be that virus I sent you
[10:20] {ese} lol
[10:20] {jfjf64} dont  mes  with  nemo  today
[10:21] {nemo} what makes today different :)?
[10:21] {ese} appears that way........who peed in your cornflakes this morning nemo?
[10:21] {jfjf64} lol
[10:21] {Threei}  what a visual
[10:21] {Threei}  you guys in rare shape today, lol
[10:21] {jfjf64} exacyly
[10:22] {Threei}  you need quotes for something ese?
[10:23] {jfjf64} one  more  W so i cd  go  watch  soccor
[10:23] {ese} no ...tks
[10:24] {ese} was watching fitb but i can wait
[10:24] {Threei}  .45 x .46
[10:24] {ese} will tune into world cup and watch Eng and Slovenia
[10:27] {dino} so can heaven ese
[10:27] {jfjf64} me too
[10:27] {jfjf64} after  i short  pcx
[10:27] {jfjf64} lol
[10:28] {dino} v sm l .50
[10:28] {nemo} pcx should have trouble between .10-16
[10:28] {magoo} anyones laser quotes sticking?
[10:28] {nemo} nice C&H reak at 14 though
[10:28] {jfjf64} thought it  wd  hv problem.02
[10:29] {Les} charts are
[10:29] {Les} sticking
[10:29] {magoo} les, u east ?coast
[10:29] {lasertrev} magoo, quoteserver 13 is good
[10:29] {Les} yeh mags
[10:30] {magoo} ok ty trev
[10:30] {Threei}  *DOE CRUDE: +2.01M V -1ME; GASOLINE: -760K V +250KE; DISTILLATE: +300K V +1.4ME; UTILIZATION: 89.4% V 88.2%E
[10:30] {Threei}  wow RIG
[10:31] {Threei}  btw, for all those loonie promoters yesterday: nyanya nyanyanya
[10:31] {dptl} lol
[10:32] {dino} itri sm l .80
[10:32] {dino} your looney
[10:32] {ese} too funny
[10:32] {RonS} loonie tunes...daffie duck
[10:33] {RonS} daffie = daffy
[10:33] {dino} wabbits
[10:33] {magoo} looking for rip in BP...l .06
[10:33] {magoo} .90 area thought
[10:33] {Les} wow pcx on the rampage
[10:34] {Les} http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/17390/119236?RS_show_page=1
[10:34] {magoo} stop is .94 bp
[10:35] {Les} something to read during quiet moment
[10:37] {nemo} still in FCX dino
[10:37] {dino} y
[10:38] {dino} \sm
[10:38] {nemo} yes
[10:38] {dino} jumpy today, back to 3s
[10:42] {nemo} wonder if we'll be relatively quiet until fomc
[10:44] {ese} L fitb .51
[10:44] {magoo} my target BP is way too optimistic the way its acting, better to scalp it
[10:45] {nemo} whoa, fcx better than 1:3
[10:45] {nemo} although, I wussed out
[10:45] {Threei}  mags, FOMC day...
[10:46] {nemo} 1:4
[10:46] {magoo} yea vad...i was looking for a bounce with RIG...didnt develope
[10:47] {nemo} that .75 level has me concerned Dino
[10:47] {dino} me too
[10:47] {dino} too many open, plus have to leave in 10, for hour
[10:48] {ese} out fitb .60 +.09
[10:49] {dino} out .60, +.50 fcx, ty nemo
[10:49] {nemo} I owe you for V
[10:49] {dino} out itri .25, +.45
[10:49] {ese} nice dino....was that sm shs or full lot
[10:49] {dino} sm
[10:49] {ese} fcx
[10:49] {dino} were even, btw
[10:50] {dino} :D
[10:50] {ese} nice
[10:50] {dino} fcx sm too
[10:52] {RonS} rimm, blocks of July 75 calls are going off near the offer...28000 so far w/ OI at 4500
[10:53] {RonS} earnings tomorrow i think
[10:55] {magoo} LVS launched
[10:57] {dino} mkts calming down
[10:58] {Threei}  US House and Senate agree to remove provision for resolution authority fund as part of FINREG
[10:58] {Threei}  - Note: Previous arguments against the fund (which called for financial companies to prepay in case of failure) surrounded possible moral hazard and potential for increased risk taking
[10:58] {Threei}  I agree with those arguments
[10:58] {Threei}  so what is it that they removed?
[11:01] {jfjf64} vz  triple bott
[11:11] {dino} cstr dropping
[11:11] {dino} have to leave for hour. stops in
[11:14] {magoo} RIG pllbk vad
[11:15] {magoo} ADBE lows
[11:18] {Threei}  ADBE maybe getting ready
[11:18] {Threei} Long Setup:  ADBE  .80 break
[11:19] {Threei}  stop under .70
[11:20] {Threei}  GR) Greece's IMF representative notes will discuss 2nd tranche of Greek aid at Sept 10 meeting
[11:20] {Threei}  - Highlights that there is no alternative to the EU-IMF plan other than exiting the EuroZone
[11:20] {magoo} in
[11:21] {shorty} same
[11:23] {magoo} thinkin .07 area
[11:28] {Threei}  BP (US) US Interior Dept Chief Salazar: BP could eventually be capturing 60-80bpd from the leaking well
[11:28] {Threei}  out of 15 that leaks out, right?
[11:29] {Threei}  USD/CNY (FR) France Official: There are no specific plans to discuss the Yuan at the G-20 meeting this weekend
[11:29] {Threei}  no? why do you even gather?
[11:29] {shorty} for tea
[11:30] {Threei}  for Canada to waste 1B on hosting?
[11:30] {RonS} really?
[11:30] {shorty} yup
[11:30] {Threei}  1.2 to be exact
[11:30] {RonS} unreal
[11:30] {Threei}  on both summits back to back, G8 and G20
[11:31] {magoo} was ADBE news bad?
[11:31] {RonS} no
[11:31] {Threei}  major part beiing security spending
[11:31] {magoo} donkey
[11:31] {RonS} ?
[11:32] {magoo} down 2 bux
[11:32] {Les} its backdoor stimulus vad
[11:33] {Threei}  it's so backdoor, it redefines the very concept of a door
[11:33] {RonS} especially in San Francisco
[11:34] {Threei}  I'll pretend I haven't seen this, OK?
[11:34] {RonS} lol
[11:34] {Threei}  :)
[11:35] {hawk} ADBE earnings mags, soft guidance i think
[11:37] {magoo} thanx hawk..it cant even bounce
[11:38] {Threei}  it was almost at 1:1 twice, and we are moving closer and closer to FOMC
[11:38] {magoo} vad, c'mon
[11:38] {dino} back
[11:38] {magoo} 2,50 off top
[11:38] {magoo} .07 cent bounce???
[11:38] {Threei}  I am explaining why it has so little activity
[11:39] {Threei}  despite big drop
[11:39] {Threei}  what is it today, abuse vad day?
[11:39] {magoo} im the one who originally mentioned it...im just now saying it really is weak
[11:39] {Threei}  one tellls me to chill
[11:39] {Threei}  two actually
[11:39] {Threei}  another c'mons me
[11:40] {hawk} lol
06[11:40] * Threei removes himself to a monastery
06[11:40] * Threei removes himself to a Tibet monastery
06[11:40] * Threei removes himself to a Tibet monastery to ponder the meaning of life
06[11:40] * Threei removes himself to an all-female Tibet monastery to ponder the meaning of life
[11:41] {RonS} that's the ticket...
[11:41] {Threei}  yeah, I was narrowing down to it
[11:41] {larisa} it is too cold there, you will be too chilled to be interested in women
[11:41] {Threei}  I think it works just the opposite
[11:42] {dino} miss anything?
[11:42] {larisa} all women covered with 3 inches of ice.. it so does not
[11:42] {Threei}  no dino, action stalled
[11:42] {Les} what larisa?
[11:42] {Les} I was thinking harem with bed full of women on cold day
[11:42] {Threei}  makes things interesting larisa... warm up the snow queen, you know
[11:43] {Les} stop ruining male fantasies
[11:43] {larisa} chill
[11:46] {magoo} imagine tibet winter fest wet t shirt contest
[11:47] {dino} roflol
[11:47] {Threei}  don't... my vivid imagination makes it almost unbearable
[11:47] {Les} hmmm
[11:51] {larisa} http://lh6.ggpht.com/_rbdddIpLlSc/S4rxDxOQSCI/AAAAAAAACHw/O1SblNyvcgw/IND02_DSC_4458%5B2%5D.jpg?imgmax=800
[11:51] {larisa} Realm of Hungry Ghosts from Kalachakra or Wheel Of Time mural painting
[11:51] {larisa} to help you with your imagination
[11:52] {Les} s pcx .14
[11:53] {larisa} so better stick with us vad :)
[11:53] {Threei}  oh god
[11:53] {Threei}  why, why did you do this to me
[11:57] {nemo} sins of past lives
[11:58] {nemo} frickin' typical FOMC day
[11:59] {nemo} might be getting an IH&S on ADBE
[11:59] {nemo} lunchtime of course
[12:07] {nemo} ADBE
[12:07] {Les} pcx stopped .21
[12:08] {Les} outta here. got exam in the morning. c u's tomorrow
[12:09] {Threei}  take care les
[12:10] {nemo} how far will ADBE go?
[12:13] {magoo} could see 31.20 arrea
[12:14] {nemo} yeah, just hit 1:1
[12:17] {Threei}  BP Comments that oil collection temporarily stopped due to gas detected in one of the collection ships
[12:20] {magoo} any interest in RIG vad
[12:20] {nemo} bull flag PCX?
[12:23] {Threei}  RIG, I'd look for long on pullback to .60
[12:24] {dino} out v .84, +.34
[12:26] {nemo} dino, that was the fcx bottom
[12:26] {dino} yes, good hit
[12:27] {nemo} in adbe .70
[12:29] {dino} ugh v
[12:29] {dino} too chicken
[12:36] {nemo} stopped 2nd half adbe
[12:46] {nemo} adbe 2nd half rinse
[12:46] {magoo} mkts moving
[12:48] {ese} L fitb .52
[12:56] {dino} pgp spike
[13:04] {magoo} .
[13:10] {RonS} 5 yr auction not so good?
[13:10] {magoo} wicked spike BP
[13:10] {Threei}  (CH) Commerce Sec Locke: Concerned China's commercial direction is bad for US companies; will monitor China's moves on Yuan currency - prepared comments
[13:10] {Threei}  - Notes what is key is how far and fast China will move with regards to its currency
[13:10] {Threei}  - Currently evaluating whether the currency policy is considered a subsidy for trade (in line with prior comments)
[13:11] {RonS} US unveils more flexible oil drilling moratorium       06/23 11:08 AM
[13:11] {RonS} US Coast Guard: Snag Could Delay BP's Oil Collection Ramp-Up       06/23 11:11 AM
[13:12] {Threei}  *(US) TREASURY'S $38B 5-YEAR NOTE AUCTION DRAWS 1.995%; BID-TO-COVER RATIO: 2.58 V 2.71 PRIOR AND 2.65 AVG OVER THE LAST 10 AUCTIONS
[13:12] {Threei}  - indirect bidders take 34.56% of competitive bids with 18.36% allotted at the high.
[13:12] {Threei}  - direct bidders take 10.68%, primary dealers 54.76%.
[13:12] {Threei}  - median 1.925%, low 1.8%.
[13:19] {RonS} hearing McChrystal got the boot...
[13:21] {Threei}  yes
[13:28] {RonS} O on TV in 1 minute
[13:29] {RonS} ...what do we short?...
[13:31] {RonS} ...must have scared him of w/ that q...
[13:31] {Threei}  lol
[13:32] {shorty} lol
[13:33] {dino} zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz\
[13:33] {Threei}  CNN says "any moment"
[13:34] {RonS} ...can a day go by without seeing this guy?
[13:35] {RonS} ...makes you pine for "silent Cal".
[13:35] {Threei}  in (lime)light of last year and half, I take it as a rhetorical question
[13:37] {Threei}  (US) Preview: FOMC rate decision and statement due out around 14:15ET
[13:37] {Threei}  **Expectations are for the rate to remain unchanged at 0.25% with some minor revisions to the statement to reflect recent deterioration of data (including today's weak New Home Sales data) and the economic uncertainty that persists globally, particularly in Europe. Given the environment, the FOMC is unlikely to revise the "extended period" language at this meeting. Hoenig is expected to continue his dissent against the extended period language and may further elaborate on his stance in the statement.
[13:38] {Threei} Long Setup:  BP  .10 break
[13:38] {Threei}  if stays above 30
[13:40] {RonS} US House Panel Votes To Issue Subpoenas To BP For Claims Process Documents       06/23 11:38 AM
[13:42] {dino} fcx flat wow
[13:43] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIG  53 break
[13:43] {Threei}  if stays above .90
[13:43] {Threei}  ron, quick
[13:43] {Threei}  watch TV
[13:43] {Threei}  lest you miss any word
[13:47] {Threei}  RIG will be valid again in a min
[13:47] {Threei}  if holding .90 this time
[13:47] {dino} i think we just had a tremor
[13:47] {Threei}  BP, I doubt it
[13:47] {Threei}  seriously dino?
[13:48] {dino} \yeah, my desk and magoos' were just swaying
[13:48] {RonS} US House Panel Passes Oil-Spill Liability Bill       06/23 11:31 AM
[13:48] {RonS} WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--A U.S. House panel approved legislation Wednesday that would repeal a century-and-a-half-old law that Transocean Ltd. (RIG:$52.9500,$0.4600,0.88%) has sought to use to limit its liability in the Gulf oil-spill disaster.
[13:48] {RonS} The bill would apply to both pending and future cases. The House Judiciary Committee passed the bill on a 16-11 vote, sending the measure to the full House for consideration.
[13:49] {Threei}  pending eh
[13:51] {dino} i understand the frustratrion, but going back in time should not be allowed, sets bad precedent
[13:52] {Threei}  bad is understatement
[13:52] {Threei}  it's a destruction of the foundation of law-obiding society
[13:52] {dino} kills rule of law
[13:53] {shorty} Earth quake in Toronto
[13:53] {magoo} we really had one
[13:53] {shorty} Earthquake
[13:53] {Threei}  you must be able to rely on law as it's stated at the moment in question
[13:53] {magoo} so big upset my balance
[13:53] {dino} it felt like it
[13:53] {Threei}  RIG 1:1
[13:53] {magoo} in rig btw
[13:53] {nemo} so, since it's been a positive day since this morning, do we tank after the fomc
[13:54] {RonS} you reading the same indices as me?
[13:54] {magoo} been red all morn
[13:54] {nemo} since 10:30 it's been moving up
[13:55] {Threei}  you guys... don't you know to make a correction to "nemo's world"?
[13:55] {nemo} so might not be green, but movement has been positive
[13:55] {Threei}  finding nemo so to speak
[13:55] {nemo} gag
[13:56] {RonS} ...his is a George Jefferson world...
[13:56] {nemo} o.k. weezie
[13:57] {RonS} ...Lennie Kravitz's mother...
[13:57] {nemo} no
[13:57] {Threei}  mags, don't oversit RIG, we are closing in on FOMC time
[13:57] {nemo} Lennie's mother was the black woman married to the white guy in the show
[13:58] {dino} moving on up...
[13:58] {RonS} I know...she said when she went to the audition, they aked her if she would be comfortable i that role.  She told them that she had be married to a white guy for more than ten years, so she hoped so...
[13:59] {Threei}  the scariest part of my day today:
[13:59] {Threei}  I acrually know what nemo means and am agree with him
[14:00] {Threei}  -am
[14:00] {nemo} ?
[14:00] {RonS} many, many times the kneejerk reaction, reverses
[14:00] {Threei}  never mind... I know you already forgot what you said 3 min ago
[14:00] {larisa} [13:55] {nemo} so might not be green, but movement has been positive
[14:00] {larisa} this one?
[14:00] {Threei}  yes, that
[14:00] {nemo} :)
[14:01] {nemo} yeah, had I stayed in FCX...oy vay
[14:01] {Threei}  wipe that smirk off your face, will ya... it scares me to death that I understand you and agree wot you {G}
[14:01] {dino} up 100, down to flat, finish up 60
[14:01] {dino} or reverse
[14:02] {dino} or none of the above\
[14:02] {RonS} or not
[14:03] {RonS} ...feerings...:P
[14:04] {magoo} out .17 vad, TY
[14:04] {Threei}  :)
[14:05] {RonS} yes, w/ this reaction off potentially bad news this could run...
[14:05] {magoo} weird mkts pushing up
[14:05] {nemo} duh
[14:05] {RonS} ...i'm talkin dino type change...
[14:06] {dino} big?
[14:07] {Threei}  Apple Inc White iPhone 4 may not be available until latter half of July due to manufacturing issues
[14:07] {Threei}  - White models of Apple's new iPhone4 have proven more challenging to manufacture than expected, and as a result they will not be available until the second half of July. The availability of the more popular iPhone 4 black models is not affected.
[14:07] {RonS} nuts, and that's what i wanted...
[14:09] {RonS} actually, something is wrong with that.  in my experiece in consumer electronics black was always more difficult to produce than white...
[14:10] {RonS} black shows belmishes and defects easier...
[14:10] {RonS} may be different source vendor...
[14:11] {dino} you can have any clor you want as long as its black
[14:11] {RonS} ok henry...
[14:11] {dino} ;)
[14:12] {Threei}  lol
[14:12] {ese} am back.......biked downtown......
[14:13] {Threei}  why??
[14:13] {RonS} living dangerously...
[14:13] {ese} still long fitb i see....stop loss not triggered....i'm good
[14:13] {Threei}  earthquake in Toronto, and you biking carelessly in Victoria
[14:13] {Threei}  shoulds be hunkering down
[14:13] {ese} my high school rhythm and blues band is playing in Centennial square vad
[14:14] {Threei}  today?
[14:14] {ese} went to pick up there performer passes at the Jazz society office
[14:14] {ese} no July 4th  in the afternoon......come on down
[14:15] {ese} day after shiskabob lparty
[14:15] {ese} at your place
[14:15] {Threei}  kidding? I intend to stay drunk for 3 days after that
[14:15] {dino} good boy 3i, glad to see priorities
[14:15] {Threei}  you and the band are welcome to come to my place though
[14:15] {dino} \unchanged
[14:15] {ese} thats possible with the bodka that dp brings
[14:16] {Threei}  lol dino.. if you saw his band, yopu'd know why I invite them over so eagerly :)
[14:16] {ese} hmmmmmmm nahhhhhhh trying to keep up my reputation of abstainer
[14:16] {Threei}  FOMC HOLDS FED FUNDS RATE TARGET AT 0.25% (AS EXPECTED);REITERATES RATES TO STAY EXCEPTIONALLY LOW FOR "EXTENDED PERIOD"; houshold spending rising
[14:16] {Threei}  - Vote 9-1 (Hoenig again dissents
[14:17] {Threei}  - Household spending is increasing but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software has risen significantly; however, investment in nonresidential structures continues to be weak and employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls
[14:17] {Threei}  Housing starts remain at a depressed level. Financial conditions have become less supportive of economic growth on balance, largely reflecting developments abroad. Bank lending has continued to contract in recent months.
[14:17] {Threei}  the pace of economic recovery is likely to be moderate for a time.
[14:18] {Threei}  - Underlying inflation has trended lower. With substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer-term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to be subdued for some time.
[14:18] {Threei}  5.5 earthquake
[14:18] {RonS} wimpy
[14:19] {Threei}  and they say we are in danger on west coast
[14:19] {Threei}  we'll see who's first
[14:20] {magoo} im telling u,. so big we felt it in pa
[14:22] {magoo} vad, AIG bouncer?
[14:22] {shorty} Apparently, in Calgary we are siting close to one big f'n volcano.
[14:22] {RonS} Yellowstone
[14:22] {Threei}  not yet mags
[14:23] {Threei}  Yellowstone is a so-called supervolcano
[14:23] {shorty} yup RonS
[14:23] {Threei}  if that one goes off...
[14:23] {nemo} caldera
[14:23] {Threei}  we may stop worrying about killing the planet, it will surely kill us first
[14:24] {shorty} Safe to say I might land in Victoria Threei.
[14:24] {RonS} ...will make Krakatoa look like a firecracker
[14:24] {Threei}  pretty much
[14:24] {hawk} as long as it doesn't happen during market hours
[14:25] {Threei}  lol
[14:25] {Threei}  that's devotion
[14:25] {Threei}  let's go over priorities:
[14:25] {Threei}  {dptl} just no tremors while the vodka glass is being inhaled, OK??
[14:26] {dptl} lol
[14:27] {Threei}  {me} hey hey, what's with that crack in the ground my bacon is about to gall into??
[14:27] {RonS} Jesse Livermore made $3 million shorting the Union Pacific big the day before the SF quake.  In 1906 that was kind of a lot of dough.
[14:27] {Threei}  fall
[14:27] {RonS} ...and there were no taxes...
[14:29] {Threei}  AIG,
[14:29] {Threei}  watch for small pullback, holding .40, then break of .50
[14:29] {Threei}  not buying herte
[14:29] {Threei}  pullback first
[14:30] {Threei}  if it's gone, it's gone
[14:31] {Threei}  Fannie Mae Increases Penalties for Borrowers Who Walk Away
[14:31] {Threei}  huh??
[14:31] {Threei}  is there such thing as contract anymore?
[14:31] {magoo} really?
[14:32] {dino} lol, they can't pay so how can they pay more
[14:32] {Threei}  2:22:05 PM
[14:32] {Threei}  Fannie Mae Increases Penalties for Borrowers Who Walk Away
[14:32] {Threei}  - Policy changes designed to encourage borrowers to work with their servicers and pursue alternatives to foreclosure.
[14:32] {Threei}  - Defaulting borrowers who walk-away and had the capacity to pay or did not complete a workout alternative in good faith will be ineligible for a new Fannie Mae-backed mortgage loan for a period of seven years from the date of foreclosure. Borrowers who have extenuating circumstances may be eligible for new loan in a shorter timeframe.
[14:32] {Threei}  - Exec: "Walking away from a mortgage is bad for borrowers and bad for communities and our approach is meant to deter the disturbing trend toward strategic defaulting. On the flip side, borrowers facing hardship who make a good faith effort to resolve their situation with their servicer will preserve the option to be considered for a future Fannie Mae loan in a shorter period of time."
[14:32] {Threei}  - Fannie Mae will also take legal action to recoup the outstanding mortgage debt from borrowers who strategically default on their loans in jurisdictions that allow for deficiency judgments. In an announcement next month, the company will be instructing its servicers to monitor delinquent loans facing foreclosure and put forth recommendations for cases that warrant the pursuit of deficiency judgments.
[14:37] {Threei}  The biggest change to the economy paragraph is "Financial conditions have become less supportive of economic growth on balance, largely reflecting developments abroad" (revised from "conditions remain supportive of economic growth."
[14:44] {nemo} oh oh
[14:44] {Threei}  what?
[14:44] {nemo} nuthin'
[14:44] {Threei}  okay
[14:44] {nemo} welll.....
[14:44] {nemo} nah...
[14:45] {dino} wow, no rea reaction at all, dare i say "dull"
[14:45] {Threei}  thought so
[14:45] {Threei}  to what dino?
[14:45] {Threei}  FOMC?
[14:45] {nemo} give the guy a prize
[14:46] {Threei}  AIG, .50 - .60 zone for long entry
[14:46] {RonS} ...took 'em down, bounced them higher, and selling off...plenty of movement
[14:50] {Threei}  finger ion the trigger, AIG
[14:57] {dino} yeah, fomc
[14:58] {RonS} gs acting heavy...
[14:58] {dino} v hl l.75
[15:00] {RonS} bp a dime from lod
[15:01] {nemo} that's interesting
[15:01] {nemo} looks good ron
[15:03] {Threei} Long Setup:  AIG  .60
[15:03] {Threei}  if stays abive .50
[15:04] {Threei} Long Setup:  BP  .65 break
[15:05] {Threei}  US) Reportedly Senators agree on strengthening limits on prop trading by banks and bank holding companies
[15:05] {Threei}  invalidated AIG
[15:05] {Threei}  can form new setup, but a bit lower
[15:06] {Threei}  - Proposal would allow Fed to impose a 15-to-1 leverage limit larger financial institutions
[15:07] {Threei}  for Barney fans:
[15:07] {Threei}  - US Rep Frank may propose a bank financial tax on firms with over $50B in assets as part of FINREG
[15:07] {nemo} Down goes market! Down goes Market!
[15:07] {nemo} I'm hearing Howard Cosell in my head
[15:07] {nemo} that dates me
[15:08] {dino} he dates you
[15:08] {nemo} "that"  you see a pronoun anywhere?
[15:08] {Threei}  BP is valid still
[15:09] {dino} :D
[15:09] {dino} whippy now
[15:10] {nemo} fas might be good long here
[15:10] {nemo} 35 is pivot support
[15:10] {nemo} .35
[15:10] {nemo} lookie lookie
[15:10] {Threei}  wanted AIG under .40... waited too long I guess
[15:11] {magoo} how about RIG?
[15:11] {Threei}  not sure
[15:11] {nemo} bounced off the close at .50
[15:11] {nemo} looks good if you can find an entry
[15:12] {bellowsbunch} bp
[15:14] {Threei}  no go BP
[15:14] {nemo} gotta' go
[15:14] {RonS} cya nemo
[15:15] {nemo} been so peaceful, the I realized Les isn't here
[15:16] {shorty} lol
[15:17] {bellowsbunch} choppy
[15:18] {RonS} sm l adbe .40
[15:19] {dino} cya nemo
[15:19] {bellowsbunch} anything going on
[15:19] {Threei}  HOS Requests along with other oil firms that the US Judge enforce injunction to block the Federal Govt's 6 month moratorium
[15:20] {Threei}  not right now bellows, narrow and choppy
[15:20] {dino} hos, wasn't he on bonanzza
[15:20] {RonS} hos is fighting for its life
[15:20] {Threei}  business at war with govt
[15:29] {dino} what will atlas do?
[15:29] {Threei}  as always
[15:29] {Threei}  shrug
[15:30] {dino} indeed
[15:30] {dino} mr reardon
[15:30] {ese} exam supervision......see ya tomorrow
[15:30] {Threei}  take care ese
[15:30] {dino} cya
[15:30] {shorty} cya ese
[15:30] {RonS} cya ese
[15:30] {ese} cya vad dino
[15:30] {ese} ron
[15:31] {Threei}  with FOMC behind us, tomorrow is hopefully normal trading day
[15:31] {Threei}  whatever normal is these days
[15:33] {magoo} look LTBR vad
[15:33] {Threei}  well
[15:33] {Threei}  you saw ts news?
[15:34] {magoo} no
[15:34] {Threei}  1:06:51 PM
[15:34] {Threei}  Lightbridge, Inc Higher after announcing a new nuclear fuel technology that could increase reactor output by up to 30%
[15:34] {Threei}  - Lightbridge"s new fuel technology based on a proprietary all-metal fuel assembly design could reduce both initial capital costs per megawatt and annual operating costs per kilowatt-hour of nuclear power.It is expected that Lightbridge"s all-metal fuel technology could be applied to currently operating or new light water reactors as well as small modular reactors which provide the same benefits as in larger commercial nuclear power plants. One of the key benefits of the Lightbridge-designed all-metal fuel technology is a potential 30% increase in power output per reactor compared to reactors using standard oxide nuclear fuel. This could translate into additional revenue for a 1,600-MWe light water reactor of up to $250M or more per year, or nearly $16B over a 60-year expected lifetime of such reactors.
[15:34] {Threei}  - This increased power output is expected to lower operating costs on a per kilowatt-hour basis and strengthen the economics of nuclear power versus other forms of power generation. In addition, currently operating light water reactors could also take advantage of this power uprate by switching to Lightbridge"s all-metal fuel design.
[15:34] {Threei}  - The Lightbridge-designed all-metal fuel design would provide enhanced proliferation resistance and result in up to 23% less volume of used fuel per kilowatt-hour of electricity generated and is expected to have improved fuel operation compared to standard oxide fuel.
[15:37] {Threei}  to me, this sounds like short the sucker
[15:37] {Threei}  for multipoint drop
[15:37] {Threei}  risk however is enormous, very thin tradert
[15:38] {magoo} yea..could print 10 too
[15:39] {Threei}  or 7
[15:41] {dino} cyber, none avail
[15:41] {Threei}  none here either
[15:42] {dino} but short was right so far
[15:42] {shorty} cyber dino?
[15:43] {dino} schawb, bgt cybertrader years ago, now cyber st smartpro
[15:43] {dino} direct access
[15:43] {shorty} cool
[15:44] {dino} yes and no. laser better executions, more margin, cyber imo better charts, news
[15:46] {dino} out v .98, +.23
[15:48] {dptl} have a good evening all
[15:49] {RonS} cya dp
[15:49] {shorty} cya dp
[15:50] {Threei}  take care dp
[15:52] {dino} cya dp
[15:53] {shorty} good night all
[15:53] {RonS} cya shorty
[15:53] {Threei}  thank you all
[15:53] {Threei}  have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:53] {hawk} nite all
[15:54] {RonS} same to you...
[15:54] {dino} cya 3i
[15:54] {larisa} bye :)
[15:54] {dino} cya shorty
[15:57] {dino} calling it a day, tee time in 40, cya
[15:58] {dino} and thx for ideas