Monday, October 17, 2011

Oct 17 2011

(Participation in the room in real time requires membership)

Weird day with sudden spikes up and down with no apparent reason or technical setup. Some trades worked like charm, some rinsed us out - all in all, about flat day.



Session Time: Mon Oct 17 00:00:00 2011
[08:46] {Threei}  (GE) Germany Gov't Spokesman Siebert: "Dreams" that everything in the EU crisis will be solved next Monday "cannot be met"; search for solution to debt crisis to last into 2012
[08:46] {Threei}  - Merkel expected to make EU policy speech in parliament on Friday, Oct 21st
[08:46] {Threei}  - No meeting planned between Merkel and top bankers before Oct 23rd EU summit.
[09:08] {Threei}  rofl
[09:08] {Threei}  http://www.thereformedbroker.com/2011/10/14/occupy-boston-is-hilarious/
[09:08] {dino} gm all
[09:08] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:09] {swill} :)good morning
[09:11] {Threei}  swill :)
[09:18] {ese} morning
[09:18] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:18] {swill} morning ese
[09:19] {ese} swill
[09:19] {ese} vad
[09:25] {Threei}  http://tradinglog.realitytrader.com/2011/10/look-ahead-three-kinds-of-crash.html
[09:33] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  36 break half lot
[09:33] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .90 half lot
[09:33] {Threei}  short it is
[09:33] {Threei}  stop is self-explanatory
[09:34] {Threei}  1:1
[09:34] {dino}  gj
[09:34] {Threei}  but ask if not
[09:34] {Threei}  1:2
[09:35] {Threei}  1:3
[09:35] {Threei}  typical open break setup
[09:35] {nemo} it's at s2
[09:35] {Threei}  1"4, out
[09:37] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .95 break, half lot
[09:38] {Threei}  stop under .80
[09:38] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .55 break half lot
[09:39] {Threei}  if stays above .45
[09:39] {Threei}  invalidated
[09:39] {Threei}  invalidatedSLW no go
[09:39] {Threei}  ummm
[09:39] {Threei}  SLW no go
[09:42] {RonS} wow...copper from 3.44 to 3.37, oil off $1
[09:42] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .50 break half lot if holding above .40
[09:42] {Threei}  let's change to aggressive, .45 brteak
[09:43] {Threei}  very nice tight stop
[09:44] {Threei}  out
[09:48] {nemo} tarkus...must be an ELP fan
[09:49] {Threei}  watch LVS for pullback entry
[09:49] {Threei}  under 45.10
[09:49] {Threei}  still half lot
[09:50] {Threei}  no pullback
[09:51] {Threei}  was hesitanet to go for .30 break, chart is right but this volartility is rarely good for such breaks
[09:51] {RonS} cog running off bexp buyout
[09:53] {RonS} cmi down...off gs conviction buy list
[09:53] {nemo} oh gawd...not that...
[09:55] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  36 break
[09:55] {Threei}  35
[09:56] {Threei}  if stays under .10 for scalpers, .15 day traders
[09:58] {ese} nemo if your there.......was reading the trading log...what do you mean by the volume vaccum?   price is likely to go through it easily
[09:59] {nemo} if we get positive market movement, there aren't many sellers to provide supply that will just want to get out of their positions they've been carrying since august...no supply, and just a little demand pushes prices up
[09:59] {ese} because there won't be any volume to stop it
[09:59] {ese} right gotcha
[10:00] {RonS} concept relates to "price has memory"
[10:00] {nemo} which is more than I can say for me
[10:00] {Threei}  lol
[10:00] {RonS} no volume, no memory
[10:00] {nemo} I program my GPS for, work, bank, liquor store
[10:01] {ese} ya....the last bottle of wine friday killed mine
[10:02] {Threei}  stop .11 for all
[10:05] {nemo} I'm liking fcx long now
[10:05] {dino} me too
[10:06] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLV  .20 break
[10:06] {Threei}  if stays above .10
[10:07] {ese} in .19
[10:08] {Threei}  target is about 34.60 for FCX if it finally works
[10:09] {Threei}  doesn't
[10:11] {ese} out 1/2....thats me at .26
[10:12] {dino} idcc sm l .01
[10:12] {dino} fcx l .10 break
[10:13] {ese} stop to .20
[10:15] {Threei}  mine is .14, SLV
[10:17] {ese}  stopped balance .20 +.01
[10:17] {ese} tks vad
[10:17] {Threei}  sure thing
[10:18] {Threei}  watch TZA for pullback entry
[10:18] {Threei}  .10 - .15 zone
[10:18] {Threei}  half lot
[10:18] {Threei}  .15 break long
[10:18] {Threei}  if holding above 38
[10:20] {ese} hmmmm missed tza
[10:21] {Threei}  gave ample time for entry...
[10:21] {Threei}  tagged 1:1
[10:21] {Threei}  stop to under .10
[10:21] {ese} ya ....watching something else
[10:21] {Threei}  out
[10:21] {ese} KMI.....and missed that as well
[10:22] {Threei}  a bit hectic morning
[10:23] {dino} ya think
[10:25] {ese} SHPGY dino
[10:26] {Threei}  not really dino
[10:26] {Threei}  {G}
[10:26] {dino} :D
[10:26] {Threei}  at least, not if I can help it
[10:28] {dino} gaps 11477, 2326, 1203
[10:32] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .80 break
[10:33] {dino} shpgy sm l .62 ave
[10:33] {Threei}  it's possible in theory to keep a stop under .75 but I'd prefer to giuve it normal range, .70
[10:33] {Threei}  anyeway, 1:1
[10:35] {Threei}  target 1:3, standard procedure
[10:36] {ese} L shpgy .47
[10:38] {dino} vmw sm l .75
[10:43] {ese} initiated buy target for vmw....$110 big ones
[10:44] {dino} shpgy stop -.30
[10:44] {Threei}  FCX refuses to drop with market
[10:44] {dino} opps that was vmw stop
[10:45] {dino} same w/slv
[10:45] {ese} target 110?
[10:46] {dino} earnings at bell i think vmw
[10:46] {RonS} yep
[10:48] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .40 break
[10:49] {Threei}  if stays under .50
[10:49] {nemo} careful here IWM and SPY at weekly pivot pooints
[10:52] {dino} vmw sm l .10
[10:55] {dino} vmw stop
[10:55] {dino} -.33
[10:58] {ese} L apc .68
[10:59] {ese} out 1/2 .92
[10:59] {ese} +.23
[10:59] {ese} aye chi wow wah!
[11:00] {ese} that shot up there
[11:00] {dino} gj
[11:00] {ese} out balance .83 +.15
[11:00] {ese} good nuf
[11:00] {ese} tks
[11:01] {Threei}  nice
[11:05] {ese} tks....shpgy finally moving dino
[11:08] {dino} hal?
[11:08] {dino} beats
[11:09] {RonS} but look at its run off lows
[11:09] {RonS} +$10
[11:10] {Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  41 break
[11:10] {Threei}  if stays above .85
[11:10] {dino} hmmm, chart looks up, l beak .00
[11:10] {Threei}  invalidated but keep on radar
[11:12] {RonS} tna l .80
[11:13] {Threei}  valid IMO
[11:14] {Threei}  41 break should be good
[11:14] {ese} buy some of that there TNA for me will vad.....I'll come over to your house later and pick it up....tks
[11:14] {Threei}  ron just did for both of us
[11:14] {Threei}  I'll have to send mine to patience to Caymans
[11:14] {ese} forget it in .00
[11:15] {Threei}  Ron, partial out here?
[11:15] {Threei}  use the advantage of aggressive entry
[11:15] {z} stop?
[11:16] {Threei}  under .80
[11:16] {z} ty
[11:16] {Threei}  but aggressive entry is obviously the way to go with this one, ron had the best idea how to execute it
[11:16] {Threei}  with any luck should go to 42.10
[11:17] {Threei}  41.40 sorry
[11:17] {RonS} no real idea...reaction off es fute order flow and copper going north of day's range
[11:17] {Threei}  must watch those fins I type with...
[11:17] {ese} am in sm so can let it trade for a bit
[11:18] {RonS} same here...looking for 41.20
[11:19] {Threei}  grrr
[11:20] {Threei}  not liking today very much
[11:20] {RonS} out flat
[11:25] {Threei}  friking TNA
[11:25] {Threei}  rinse
[11:31] {dino} idcc to .41
[11:35] {Threei}  (US) President Obama comments on recent jobs plan put forth by Republicans, sees potential the plan could actually cost the US jobs
[11:35] {Threei}  run into OccupyVictoria on Sat
[11:35] {Threei}  first banner I saw said: Compost capitalism
[11:35] {Threei}  I was unipmressed
[11:36] {dino} idiots
[11:36] {Threei}  by demands I've seen in the banners they carried, it seemed everyone came with his particular set of grievances
[11:36] {Threei}  from "do away with fish farms" to "no to smart meters"
[11:37] {dino} unorganized goals
[11:37] {Threei}  it actually works to their advantage
[11:37] {dino} ironically they should be protesting govt, they got us into the mess
[11:37] {Threei}  absence of clear message allows everyone pour his own meaning into that
[11:38] {Threei}  so a lot of people automatically assume that their protest is identical, andf they need to join
[11:40] {dino} out idcc .61, +.60
[11:42] {ese} gotta go out TNA .20 +.20 stop in at .85 shpgy.....cya
[11:42] {dino} cya
[11:43] {Threei}  take care ese, good job
[11:43] {swill} bye ese
[11:44] {dino} out shpgy .92, +.30 ty ese
[11:45] {nemo} gmcr
[11:47] {dino} blood
[11:48] {dino} einhorn slams gmcr
[11:49] {RonS} ...caused the selloff?
[11:50] {RonS} :)
[11:50] {dino} einhorn, big short trader
[11:50] {Threei}  look at the black banner with teal letters above the tent on the left, this is the one I saw
[11:50] {Threei}  http://www.timescolonist.com/news/Occupy+Victoria+protesters+camp+Centennial+Square/5558663/story.html?cid=megadrop_story
[11:53] {nemo} people have no idea about the system about which they are complaining
[11:53] {Threei}  apparently not
[11:55] {nemo} http://sacramento.cbslocal.com/2011/10/15/dogs-poisoned-during-medical-marijuana-theft/
[11:55] {Threei}  this one looks like a secne from zombie movie
[11:55] {Threei}  http://www.timescolonist.com/news/Photos+Occupy+Victoria/5556544/story.html
[11:56] {RonS} check aapl
[11:56] {Threei}  went into red
[12:13] {dino} filled 11477
[12:15] {dino} idcc sm l .75 break
[12:30] {dino} wlt
[12:37] {dino} sm l .10
[12:41] {Threei}  SPY...
[12:41] {Threei}  breakdown of bounce
[12:41] {Threei}  or
[12:49] {Threei}  breakdown
Session Close: Mon Oct 17 12:49:22 2011

Session Start: Mon Oct 17 12:49:43 2011
Session Ident: #discussions
03[12:49] * Now talking in #discussions
[12:50] {Threei} Long Setup:  FAZ  .30 break
[12:51] {Threei}  .20 rather
[12:52] {z} holding 55?
[12:52] {Threei}  yes
[12:52] {Threei}  milk trade potential
[12:52] {Threei}  can go big
[12:53] {Threei}  plan is, first partial between .40 and .50, then riding to about .90
[13:00] {Threei}  come on FAZ
[13:00] {Threei}  let's do it
[13:00] {Threei}  1:1
[13:00] {Threei}  you can reach the stars
[13:00] {Threei}  you ARE the star
06[13:01] * Threei kicks the star in the rear
[13:01] {Threei}  if SPY loses .50...
[13:03] {Threei}  stop under .10 now
[13:07] {RonS} gj
[13:07] {Threei}  not yet... really want it to be a day-fixing trade, it has that potential
[13:07] {RonS} took .40
[13:13] {Threei}  SPY is trying to bounce
[13:13] {Threei}  really need it to lose .50
[13:13] {Threei}  then FAZ will be golden
[13:21] {z} WLT out .63, +52, thx dino
[13:21] {Threei}  ok... that was half trade
[13:21] {Threei}  oh well
[13:21] {z} that was good vad, thx, just didn't cooperate the last part
[13:21] {z} but made green
[13:21] {Threei}  yeah
[13:24] {dino} gj z
[13:36] {Threei}  here it should come
[13:37] {nemo} spy close to S3, probability says spy floor between .30-.40
[13:38] {dino} 1203 gap
[13:38] {dino} filled
[13:38] {Threei}  iksplozhion
[13:38] {dino} 2326 open on ndx
[13:38] {Threei}  don't tell me it's not a right spelling
[13:38] {Threei}  in my heart I know it is
[13:39] {Threei}  fess up, who took .50 break for round 2?
[13:39] {RonS} nope
[13:39] {nemo} too close to spy support for my liking
[13:40] {_tarkus62} ok .....made it in..good afternoon all
[13:40] {Threei}  hi tarkus
[13:40] {nemo} you must be an ELP fan
[13:40] {_tarkus62} yes
[13:41] {nemo} Karn Evil 9 1st Impression  ;)
[13:41] {_tarkus62} great stuff
[13:41] {nemo} yep...
[13:41] {nemo} saw them 4 or 5 times
[13:41] {_tarkus62} nice
[13:42] {_tarkus62} i saw them in the blizzard 0f 78
[13:42] {Threei}  look at FAZ daily
[13:42] {nemo} where?
[13:42] {Threei}  cangaroo tail
[13:42] {_tarkus62} long island nassau coll
[13:42] {nemo} I saw them in Boston Garden that year
[13:43] {_tarkus62} nice
[13:45] {dino} sohu sm l .55 hooker
[13:54] {Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  .80 break
[13:54] {Threei}  half lot
[13:55] {Threei}  if stays above .65
[13:56] {Threei}  target 40.25 - .30
[13:57] {_tarkus62} long TNA
[13:57] {nemo} go tank!!!
[13:58] {Threei}  come on SPY, bounce time
[13:58] {Threei}  hmmm
[13:58] {Threei}  out
[13:58] {Threei}  quite sudden drop, seems news caused
[13:58] {nemo} op ex week and Euro SOGOTP week
[14:03] {Threei}  drive up starts now
[14:05] {Threei}  or not
[14:05] {Threei}  churning
[14:05] {Threei}  a lot of it
[14:05] {Threei}  impossible to say which way it reolves
[14:06] {Threei}  but the longer it lasts, the higher are odds of breakdown
[14:07] {RonS} omg, dino was nailing that hooker but his stamina got the best of him
[14:13] {dino} got greedy on it, felt big move up coming, but not
[14:14] {dino} contra-hour, maybe now
[14:15] {Threei}  really can't tell
[14:16] {_tarkus62} out TNA -.05
[14:16] {_tarkus62} tuff area here
[14:16] {Threei}  yeah, churn
[14:16] {dino} tough day imo
[14:16] {Threei}  oh boy... 750 views on that post
[14:18] {Threei}  trying FAZ again
[14:19] {Threei}  half lot
[14:19] {Threei}  too uncertain
[14:19] {Threei}  stop under .35
[14:19] {Threei}  amazing, keeping almost whole day at half lot
[14:20] {Threei}  don't remember when we did that last time
[14:20] {Threei}  if ever
[14:21] {_tarkus62} half lot is how many shares threei
[14:21] {Threei}  held by fingertips
[14:21] {z} stopped
[14:21] {Threei}  that's individual
[14:21] {_tarkus62} ok
[14:21] {Threei}  each ahs his own tolerance level
[14:21] {z} huh?
[14:22] {Threei}  .35 big by EDGX, z... never went away
[14:22] {Threei}  bid
[14:22] {Threei}  you want level 2?
[14:22] {z} so we're doing it by particular route?
[14:22] {Threei}  watch
[14:22] {Threei}  huh?
[14:22] {nemo} careful with edgx, their bids and offers get stuck
[14:23] {z} it ticked .34
[14:23] {Threei}  there was a bid at .s5 that kept it
[14:23] {Threei}  .34 was a print below market
[14:23] {Threei}  didn't we discuss it last week??
[14:23] {Threei}  level 2 and T&S give you full picture
[14:24] {nemo} u can remember that far back?
[14:24] {Threei}  on micro level that is
[14:24] {z} discuss what?  when u say stop under .35 that's what i use, so whatever
[14:24] {Threei}  yes
[14:24] {z} if i see it tick under .35 i get out
[14:24] {Threei}  but it did not go undcer .35
[14:24] {z} look at the 1 min. candle chart
[14:24] {Threei}  there was OUT OF BOUNDS print
[14:25] {z} 14:20 candle
[14:25] {z} .34
[14:25] {z} low
[14:25] {Threei}  you read what I say?
[14:25] {Threei}  [14:24] {Threei} there was OUT OF BOUNDS print
[14:25] {Threei}  while if you looked at level 2, .35 bid never dave up
[14:25] {Threei}  gave
[14:25] {RonS} z, he is saying a previous trade was reported...the bid was at .35 at the time
[14:25] {z} its irrelevant now for me, im out, so good call
[14:26] {Threei}  it's very relevant.. you need right tools, and you need to use them right way
[14:26] {Threei}  otherwise your entires and exits are impacted
[14:26] {dino} lol z, right to the point
[14:27] {RonS} the problem w/ Level 2 and t&s w/ faz is that is can send you into an epileptic fit
[14:27] {dino} no sh+t
[14:27] {nemo} that reminds me, what do elephants use for vibrators...
[14:27] {nemo} epileptics
[14:27] {RonS} lol
[14:27] {Threei}  out of bounds print can be wherever... sometimes very far from real market
[14:28] {Threei}  this is why I hate automated stops btw
[14:28] {dino} happens, but when i want out i want out
[14:31] {nemo} wow tza tna at same price
[14:32] {Threei}  finally
[14:32] {Threei}  first partial out
[14:32] {RonS} time to buy both?  2 for 1?
[14:32] {Threei}  lol
[14:33] {cipher} 3i speaking of stops, what route do you use for NYSE/NAS when you want out?
[14:34] {Threei}  NASDAQ
[14:34] {dino} 2326 filled
[14:34] {cipher} I fumbled some exits today with incorrect routes
[14:35] {Threei}  make your life simple
[14:35] {Threei}  set NASDAQ once and for all
[14:35] {Threei}  make sure it's set to route out
[14:35] {Threei}  so it sweeps all others
[14:35] {Threei}  and forget the issue
[14:36] {cipher} you mean NASDAQ for both NYSE @ NAS exchanges?
[14:36] {Threei}  yes
[14:37] {cipher} ok
[14:37] {Threei}  if it's set to route out, it will hit everything and everyone
[14:37] {cipher} cool I had no idea
[14:37] {Threei}  out FAZ in full
[14:37] {Threei}  +.43
[14:38] {RonS} gj
[14:38] {Threei}  ty
[14:38] {_tarkus62} wtg
[14:38] {cipher} good call
[14:46] {nemo} the paint dry yet?
[14:47] {Threei}  not all of it
[14:49] {nemo} db spy,
[14:53] {nemo} clear as mud
[14:53] {Threei}  still feels like breakdown to me
[14:54] {Threei}  I mean next breakdown
[14:54] {Threei}  but becomes even harder to read
[14:54] {Threei}  this kind of relentless slow selling days often end with sharp spike
[14:54] {Threei}  eaitng about half of the day range in 10-15 minutes
[14:59] {Threei}  in fact, starts looking like just this is about to happen
[15:06] {nemo} spy reacted to iwm again...IWM and spy bottomed .08 above IWM's S3
[15:09] {Threei}  TNA pullback to .60 area for long entry
[15:12] {Threei}  didn't reach it
[15:15] {Threei}  (FR) France PM Fillon: France will not let any of its banks fail; EMU will not allow Greece to fail
[15:15] {Threei}  sigh
[15:16] {dino}  that should spike us up
[15:17] {Threei}  not fresh
[15:17] {dino} oh, then why post?
[15:17] {Threei}  ok, withdrawing it
[15:17] {dino} lol
[15:17] {Threei}  :)
[15:18] {Threei}  it's just continuation of a long line of messages with deep rooted denial
[15:18] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .50 break
[15:19] {Threei}  if stays above .40
[15:19] {Threei}  still valid
[15:24] {Threei}  i=obviously not anymore
[15:24] {nemo} it's a precious Steinway!
[15:24] {Threei}  hmm?
[15:25] {nemo} Pink Panther movie...That is a precious Steinway!   Not anymore
[15:25] {nemo} great scene
[15:29] {Threei}  (US) Quarterly earnings reports from three of top four biggest US lenders suggest the improvement in mortgage delinquencies may be abating - FT- Says JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citi earnings demonstrate that record low mortgage rates and loan modification programs are not helping to ease delinquencies.
[15:33] {dino} volume drying up? scanners are slow
[15:34] {nemo} yeah...my spy T$S actually stopped earlier today...I thought I died
[15:35] {RonS} wlt circuit halt
[15:36] {dino} why?
[15:36] {RonS} probably bunny giving you a mammie yokum evil eye...
[15:37] {nemo} she's been quiet today, was quite active last night...crawled up into my boxspring and was filing her teeth on the springs
[15:37] {nemo} it's an interesting sound
[15:42] {Threei}  weird day
[15:45] {dino} wlt spike
[15:45] {dino} ve5ry weird
[15:45] {dino} very
[15:45] {Threei}  wow
[15:46] {dino} like they wanted to kill them but couldn't finish the job
[15:49] {dino} whippy
[15:49] {Threei}  amazing
[15:50] {Threei}  you see this kind of two-sided spikes after FOMC decision
[15:50] {dino} things are trading gappy
[15:50] {Threei}  here they come with no news whatsoever
[15:50] {Threei}  shiws you how nervous market is
[15:50] {dino} ax murderer market
[15:51] {_tarkus62} lol
[15:51] {_tarkus62} it is
[15:51] {dino} mike meyers/so i married ax murderer, "un-trusting"
[15:51] {nemo} it slices, it dices, it cubes....!!!!
[15:52] {dino} lol
[15:54] {Threei}  ominous finish
[15:59] {dino} fugly finish
[16:00] {Threei}  totally
[16:00] {Threei}  gravity takes over
[16:00] {Threei}  Ok guys, thanbk you all
[16:00] {Threei}  have a good evening, see yopu tomorrow
[16:01] {larisa} bye :)
[16:02] {swill} thanks

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Look Ahead: Three Kinds of Crash

                                                  Life never gets so bad that it can't get worse" 
                                                                                            - Solomon Short

Putting together pieces of mosaic gathered over last few months by observing both news headlines and market reactions, let me offer my view on the future big picture developments. Everyone has one, why not add another voice and see how reality matches the forecast (rather set of scenarios in my case but you get the idea). Want to say from the start - this is a forecast that I will be happy to be mistaken about.

We will break it by two distinctive parts - economy and market developments. Let's start with economy.

European Union is non-viable and not-salvageable entity. Its deep underlying problem is discrepancy between various aspects of union. It's a monetary union - but not fiscal. Economic - but not political. This patchwork creates situation where decisions are difficult to make and even more difficult to implement, and solutions help one member at the expense of another. Authorities would be happy to throw more money at the problem but taxpayers of one sovereign state are not keen on bailing out another - and those taxpayers are voters. Push for collateral and austerity threatens autonomy of a debtor - and taxpayers start rioting over there too. There is no third party that could bail it all out (rumors spiking now and then about Latin America or China lending money to EU is pure nonsense and if anything, show the degree of desperation). Thus, there are only two ways forward: crash or money printing. Are these two really two? Not in my view - money printing does nothing but stretches crash in time, turning it into slow motion crash. It's fine with authorities though if they can stretch it by decades - today's decision-makers leave the office till then. So, real choice is between three options, none of which is warm and fuzzy.

First is Crash Now. No printing, no bailouts, let's rip the band-aid off, take the (admittedly huge) pain and start healing and rebuilding, with lessons learned in mind. Probability of this? Well, only if enraged taxpayers/voters find the way to force the hand of their respective governments and abandon the attempts to save the union. No politician wants to preside over collapse ("Crash?? Not on my watch!"). Thus,

Second is some printing now, masked as bank recapitalization, insurance guarantees etc etc. As we were shown by Fed, there are many ways to create money out of thin air. If Powers That Be manage to agree among themselves and push some kind of package through their respective elected bodies before people take on the street in numbers impossible to ignore, this will postpone the crash a bit. Such solution is nothing but kicking the can down the road, and reality will catch up with fantasy of salvation once again (after all, the debt remains as unsustainable and it was, and even becomes worse). At that point political will to continue on that path runs out, and we face second variation: Crash Later. How much later? Well, depends on how much is printed. Odds? Feels to me, this is the most probable option.

Finally, third option is printing gradually over extended period of time. That would be politicians preferred way if they could find the way to do it quietly and as a trivial matter, under the radar so to speak. This is Crash in Slo Mo. Pity the savers; inflation tax forever.

One more aspect of the big picture is China (and Asia overall). My feel is, it's a whole new can of worms down the road. It's not in a focus of attention much at this point since European troubles are more imminent. China's turn is to come yet, and unsustainability of economy geared to supply the West which cuts off its demand and of putting money in ghost cities to keep people working and economy humming - unsustainability of all this is going to reveal itself at some point.


Let's move to the market side of the picture. How is it going to react in each of the scenarios? In the first one, Crash Now, it's will mirror the economy and crash with it. Second - Crash Later - is what market is betting on over last couple weeks by climbing in the face of grim news. If this option materializes, market will spike first in relief, then drop quickly reflecting the part of reaction built in already by this recent climb and killing later arrivals; then new news will overtake and new worries (or lack of such) will start influence the movement. Finally, third option (Slo Mo Crash) is what market will be most happy about, staging big long term rally, quite possibly to new all time highs. After all, inflation is not only tax - it's also a wealth transfer to those who has what to invest.

There. Hope life proves me wrong and things turn more rosy.

(For those who prefer Facebook, this post is mirrored here)

Friday, October 14, 2011

Nemo's Findings for week of 10/16



Before I post more granular levels, I wanted you to take a look at these longer term SPY and IWM charts. The horizontal bars are what's known as "volume at price" bars. They indicate the volume done at a given price and how much was transacted on the bid (red) and how much was transacted on the offer (green) for whatever data is visible on the screen. Notice the shaded area above the most recent action since august. Notice how little volume was transacted in that area. That is a volume vacuum. Price entering this area could easily traverse this territory (G20 meeting anybody...) Notice how the SPY, kissed that level Friday and then backed off...Any news from the G20 that is interpreted as "good", I think we slice through this area like a hot knife through butter. Having said that: OALA EHO ATAS.

Here are your levels for next week:



Here are the links if you would like to import them:

http://www.freestockcharts.com?emailChartID=b393ec0f-fccb-45e8-ab89-8e70e4daea8c

http://www.freestockcharts.com?emailChartID=9b1bc4fc-d4c2-4bff-af1a-e07625a54411



(Participation in the room in real time requires membership)

Market Week Wrap-up

Trade The News Weekly market update: Market Week Wrap-up

- The rose colored glasses stayed on this week as Europe's efforts to contain the crisis and a handful of not terrible economic reports kept equity markets afloat. Volume remained notably light all week despite the kick-off of the fall earnings season, featuring an excellent quarter for Google and disappointing results from JPMorgan and Alcoa. In Europe, officials dribbled out more details of how they intend to contain the spiraling debt crisis. On Wednesday, the EU Commission rolled out initial bank recapitalization proposals, settling on saying capital ratios should be raised temporarily, and not settling on a specific figure though chatter suggested they will demand 9% capital ratios at banks. Meanwhile France and Germany continued to refine a range of proposals for utilizing the newly approved EFSF expansion and discuss how much of a haircut on Greek debt holdings their banks could withstand. All will be revealed at a special EU summit next weekend, and investors will be looking forward to the Troika report on Greece's reform efforts due in the middle of next week. On the data front, overall euro zone industrial production expanded at a decent rate in August, contrary to expectations. Trade data out of both the US and China was somewhat concerning: China Sept trade balance hit a four-month low, including a seven-month low in overall exports, while the US August trade report indicated the trade deficit declined in August, versus expectations in a slight increase. US Sept retail sales were not bad. In Asia, September CPI data was slightly softer than expected in both South Korea and China. US Treasury yields moved up this week as traders appeared more willing to add to risk positions. Treasury supply was also a factor, in particular a disappointing 10-year note reopening weighed on prices midweek. The US 10-year yield touched 2.25% for the first time since August. Equity indices saw their first two-week stretch of gains since the summer and closed at one month highs; for the week the DJIA gained 4.9%, the S&P500 surged 6%, and the Nasdaq rocketed 7.6%.

- Poor earnings out of JPMorgan limited the upside among the major US investment banks this week. The firm's headline earnings came in at $1.02, beating estimates, although the bank admitted itself that this figure was sweetened by a $1.9B debt valuation adjustment. Excluding this gain, JP Morgan's earnings dropped around 25% on a y/y basis. Revenue at JPMorgan's investment banking unit was down substantially on a y/y basis. On the conference call, executives said Q4 performance at the investment banking arm would be similar to Q3 results. The bank's private equity unit also racked up a $500M loss. Banks may also have been weighed on by the Federal Reserve and the FDIC releasing draft proposals for implementing the ban on proprietary trading by banks (the so-called Volcker rule) for public comment.

- Google comfortably beat expectations in its Q3 report on Thursday, based on strong growth in paid clicks and nearly 40% y/y growth in ad revenue. Executives also highlighted robust demand from emerging markets and strength in mobile and display advertising. Google also disclosed that it is planning to launch an MP3 music retailing store.

- PepsiCo met expectations in its Q3 report and reaffirmed its FY11 outlook. Executives warned that it was too early to offer an FY12 forecast, and also threw cold water on calls to separate the firm's snack and beverage businesses. The CEO emphasized that PepsiCo's success was tied to drinks and snacks units remaining integrated.

- Alcoa widely missed profit expectations in its Q3 results, citing the global economic slowdown for impacting demand and significantly eroding margins. Profit still showed y/y growth, but was lower than the firm's Q2 earnings. Executives still see Asia demand compensating for developed market weakness in 2011.

- Shares of Netflix see-sawed on news that the company has dialed back plans to split the DVD and streaming video businesses, following howls of protest from both users and tech analysts. Hulu's owners discontinued plans to sell the video platform following months of negotiations with potential bidders. Apple officially launched the iPhone 4S on Friday; earlier in the week announcing it had racked up one million pre-orders for the new model in the first 24 hours, leading some analysts to predict Apple could sell as many as 25M iPhones in Q4 (v 20M q/q).

- In deal news, Superior Energy Services agreed to buy smaller rival Complete Production in a cash-and-stock deal for about $2.6 billion, as the oil-field services company looks to expand its hydraulic fracking business. Discount chain 99 Cents Only agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Ares Capital for $22/share in cash, for a total deal worth $1.6B. And Dollar Thrifty said that it had completed its review of strategic alternatives without identifying any acceptable offers and plans to remain an independent company.

- The euro gained traction early on this week as participants were looking forward to positive developments in the euro zone crisis. France and Germany pledged last weekend to present a new plan for coping with the crisis that would include bank recapitalizations, a move which would likely underpin a Greek debt restructuring and larger private investor participation. The rhetoric boosted euro and other riskier currencies while softening the greenback. However on Tuesday, the Slovakian parliament's initial inability to pass legislation authorizing the enhanced EFSF dampened risk appetite, sending EUR/USD below the 1.36 level. After settling its internal political issues, Slovakia ratified the EFSF mid-week in a second vote, avoiding the necessity for an embarrassing work around by the other 16 EMU members who had already approved the EFSF expansion. European officials released their most detailed proposals yet for containing the crisis through the back half of the week, propelling EUR/USD above 1.3850 by the close of trade on Friday.

- The euro seems to be stuck between two different policy approaches: on the one hand there is the ECB, which is adamant against greater investor participation - the bank and outgoing chief Trichet made alarming comments to the effect that the crisis had reached systemic dimensions and forcing banks to pay more for Greece would hurt an already vulnerable financial sector. On the other hand, politicians, chiefly German officials, are advocating more private sector involvement that would mean higher haircuts. Negotiations on the details of how the EFSF and associated measures would be instituted continued all week in conference rooms and through media leaks. On Friday, as the G20 finance ministers met in Paris, there were reports the private haircuts on Greek debt could be anywhere from 30% to as much as 50%, though bankers were said to still be fighting for the original 21% haircut established in the July 21st accord. EU Commission Chief Barroso laid out a five-year recapitalization plan for European banks which left vague the provisions for 'perfect pure capital' and capital ratios. The euro's resilience was remarkable given that the banking sector continues to be very fragile, especially after Fitch downgraded UK banks and UBS while putting many others' ratings on credit watch negative, and S&P revised France's Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment (BICRA) rating to Group 2 from Group 1. Even S&P's downgrade of Spain on Thursday afternoon did not keep the overall risk-on atmosphere from helping the euro sustain its gains on Friday as Europe began loading the bazooka at the G20 meeting. Now traders are looking forward to the October 23 special EU summit, when the EU will officially reckon with the Troika report on Greece, which could be a reality check for the current euphoria with bearish implications for EUR/USD.

- Cable has traded steadily throughout the week since the restart of the QE2 in Britain. However, the cross seems to be helped more by the euro rally than UK fundamentals which continue to be weak. Fitch downgraded the UK banks but that did little to change the sterling's trajectory as Fitch cited the same reason as Moody's - the downgrade was not because of banks' fundamentals but because the government unwillingness to support the banks if it is needed. A welcome improvement was the narrowing of the country's trade balance which may help Q3 GDP. In other news, the EUR/CHF continued to hover in the upper 1.23 neighborhood on continuing speculation that the SNB could increase its floor in the cross from the 1.2000 level.

- After pivoting around 76.60 for most of last week, USD/JPY climbed above 77 to test 77.40 on Wednesday on widespread chatter that the BoJ would introduce a ceiling for the yen. The cross trailed back below 77 as no announcement was forthcoming, but a statement in the Japanese press by a government official on Friday morning sent USD/JPY right back to the 77.40 level. The official stated that the government would likely introduce measures to combat the strong yen as soon as next week in time to be included for the third extra budget.

- China returned to the spotlight after a week-long holiday with key developments in FX reform, trade, and inflation. After the US Senate voted to ramp up its pressure to punish China for keeping the yuan too low for too long, Beijing retaliated by weakening its currency setting for three consecutive sessions, sending USD/CNY midpoint above CNY6.37 from CNY6.34 record low. Amid these tensions, the US Treasury Department confirmed it would once again delay its semi-annual currency report as various congressmen continue to call for the report to name China a currency manipulator. On Thursday, September trade figures for China saw some moderate slowing in both imports and exports, as the overall surplus fell to a 4-month low $14.5B. Late in the week, China September inflation data was also somewhat soft, allowing PBoC additional scope for easing. CPI was in line with estimates at 6.1% but marked its 2nd consecutive decline, while PPI saw a 9-month low 6.5%. The remaining monthly metrics for September, along with Q3 GDP, are expected to be posted early next week.



Trade The News

Oct 14 2011

(Participation in the room in real time requires membership)

Let's start with quick update on SVM swing trade. We entered it on a double bottom setup at 7.25 with stop under 6; and took first partial out at 8.65, for +1.40 gain. Stop was trailed to under $7 at that point. Now, as a stock tagged new high just above 9 and pulled back, we see it bouncing off the lower envelope of ascending channel (drawn on the chart below). Ideally, we hold above it and proceed to new highs - in which case we are going to trail stop again under the low of this pullback. If we break down through it and lose 8, it starts looking like H&S. We will see what transpires then and adjust accordingly.


Catch of the Day (no comments needed I believe):


Despite this nice ADBE short, the day ended slightly in red for us - first losing day since Whistler. Ah well. Among other things, do read a discussion of a new course we are working on, started at 11:43.


Session Time: Fri Oct 14 00:00:00 2011
[08:34] {Threei}  - EU's Juncker: Reiterates there is no Euro crisis, though some countries in the EU have debt concerns.
[08:34] {Threei}  lol
[08:38] {nemo} I think spy headed to 128 next stop
[08:59] {z} good morning all :)
[08:59] {Threei}  z :)
[09:00] {swill} good morning
[09:03] {Threei}  swill :)
[09:04] {swill} :)
[09:07] {ese} morning
[09:07] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:13] {dino} gm all
[09:13] {swill} morning
[09:14] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:14] {z} gm
[09:27] {RonS} howdy fellow 99%'ers...'cept ese...
[09:27] {Threei}  ron :)
[09:27] {larisa} gm :)
[09:27] {Threei}  larisa :)
[09:28] {Threei}  as often the case with large gap up, I have no clear play for the open
[09:28] {Threei}  prepare half lot on FCX just in case something shapes up quickly
[09:29] {Threei}  and RIMM
[09:30] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .60 break half lot
[09:30] {nemo} that was quick
[09:30] {Threei}  told ya
[09:31] {Threei}  never mind, I doubt anyone could get it
[09:31] {z} lol lightning quick
[09:31] {dino}  nope
[09:31] {nemo} I should just sleep through the first 1/2 hour
[09:31] {Threei}  you mean you normally wake up for this??
[09:31] {dino} i usually only trade vad first 30 min
[09:31] {Threei}  I don't
[09:32] {Threei}  all my caklls within first 30 min are made in deep sleep
[09:32] {nemo} good to know...reminds me of "Thank God I was driving, I was much too drunk to walk!"
[09:32] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .55 break
[09:32] {Threei}  still half lot of course
[09:33] {Threei}  stop under .40
[09:33] {Threei}  1:1
[09:33] {Threei}  this one was gettable
[09:33] {nemo} yeah, but it invalidated
[09:34] {Threei}  ??
[09:34] {nemo} you called it, went down to .38
[09:34] {z} that's what i thot
[09:34] {dino} too busy shoving peanuts in my mouth
[09:34] {Threei}  what are you guys talking about?
[09:35] {Threei}  .38 was hit at 9:31
[09:35] {nemo} T&S
[09:35] {Threei}  never restested since then
[09:35] {nemo} here comes the market rip
[09:35] {Threei}  level 2 never moved even under .50, let alone .40
[09:35] {nemo} this feels like a euphoria day
[09:36] {z} at least u got it vad :)
[09:36] {z} nice
[09:36] {swill} ty
[09:37] {Threei}  after morning rush is over, let's get back to it to make sure we all are using the same tools
[09:38] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .10 break
[09:38] {Threei} Long Setup:  RIMM  .20 break
[09:39] {Threei}  stops are obvious
[09:40] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .20 break
[09:40] {Threei}  RIMM long side it is
[09:41] {Threei}  in SLW on pullback
[09:42] {Threei}  not liking it very much
[09:42] {Threei}  no go
[09:42] {nemo} got that one  ;)
[09:43] {nemo} out rimm too
[09:43] {nemo} don't like this
[09:43] {nemo} big bid .15 rimm, that should be stop
[09:47] {Threei}  ugh... thought of FCX .80 break long
[09:47] {Threei}  it jumped over too quickly
[09:48] {Threei}  ok RIMM, take ,25 and work
[09:50] {Threei}  looking for long SLW on double bottom
[09:50] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .10 break if holding 32
[09:51] {dino}  out rimm -.05 scanners going red
[09:52] {ese} L HPQ .29
[09:52] {nemo} yeah, I'm waiting on the numbers
[09:52] {Threei}  yeah, takes way too long
[09:52] {Threei}  I'd expect much faster resolution in the morning trades
[09:52] {ese} ya........hpq should be up at least .75 right after i buy it
[09:52] {ese} ohhhhhhh.......
[09:53] {ese} not talking about my stock......my apologies
[09:54] {ese} yuk yuk yuk
[09:54] {dino} grrrr
[09:55] {Threei}  wow
[09:55] {dino} cmi sm s .36
[09:55] {Threei}  yikes
[09:55] {Threei}  57.5 vs 60.2
[09:55] {Threei}  confidence
[09:55] {ese} rimm drives me nuts as well dino........have twitchy fingers everytime i buy it....wondering what the H is going to happen this time
[09:57] {ese} check out the spreads on VRUS.......49 that time
[09:57] {Threei}  sheesh
[09:57] {Threei}  lol
[09:59] {Threei}  1:1
[09:59] {Threei}  half out
[09:59] {ese} HPQ setup is right out of your book vad......1min chart......daily looks set to break as well
[09:59] {nemo} what are you in vad?
[09:59] {Threei}  ?
[09:59] {Threei}  SLW?
[09:59] {Threei}  ,10 break?
[10:00] {nemo} ahhh
[10:00] {Threei}  true ese
[10:00] {Threei}  [09:50] {Threei} Long Setup: SLW .10 break if holding 32
[10:01] {nemo} yeah, decided to wait out the numbers
[10:02] {Threei}  market works against it ese
[10:03] {ese} yup
[10:03] {Threei}  stop is trailed under b/e for the balance
[10:04] {Threei}  scalpers win
[10:06] {Threei}  rinsed second half
[10:07] {Threei} Short Setup: LVS  .60 break
[10:07] {Threei}  stop above .70
[10:07] {Threei}  didn't take long
[10:08] {ese} L swks .48
[10:10] {dino}  cov cmi .06 +.30
[10:11] {ese} well done dino
[10:11] {dino} ty
[10:11] {dino} pulp
[10:12] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .95 break
[10:12] {ese} swks stopped }19 - .19
[10:12] {ese} hmmmmmmmm  not having the worlds greatest day here
[10:13] {Threei}  no...large gap up days, rarely conducive for trading
[10:13] {ese} agreed
[10:13] {dino} 07 red
[10:13] {Threei}  if stasys above .85
[10:14] {Threei}  invalidated
[10:14] {dino} gut says down hard
[10:14] {dino} still red
[10:14] {dino} no confirm of mkt
[10:16] {Threei}  your gut is right so far
[10:17] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  32 break
[10:17] {Threei}  if stays under .10
[10:17] {Threei}  invalidated for now but it can be recurrent theme
[10:17] {Threei}  32 is a very pronounced support
[10:18] {Threei}  look how many times it was tested
[10:18] {Threei}  also, half lot setup:
[10:18] {Threei} Short Setup: X  .50 break
[10:18] {Threei}  SLW valid again
[10:19] {dino} joyg sm s .61
[10:19] {Threei}  let's see if we can start fixing this day
[10:20] {Threei}  X target .30, two partials
[10:20] {Threei}  SLW target .70, three partials
[10:22] {Threei}  X 1:1
[10:23] {dino} joyg bstop is .76 too mich indecision
[10:23] {Threei}  stop for the balance to .51 of course
[10:23] {dino} stop
[10:24] {Threei}  SLW just won't cooperate
[10:24] {Threei}  out X balance
[10:25] {Threei}  no fixing happening
[10:25] {dino} clr spike
[10:26] {dino} odd my 07 scanner mostly red, yet markets holding
[10:27] {dino} joyg rinsed
[10:27] {Threei}  so did SLW
[10:28] {Threei}  look at it
[10:28] {Threei}  1:1
[10:28] {Threei}  frikin bastage
[10:29] {dino} cmi sm s .98 pulp
[10:29] {Threei}  and look at X hitting target
[10:29] {Threei}  this is what I hate the most... random action
[10:30] {dino} cov .55, +.43 cmi
[10:31] {Threei}  great SLW... 1:2
[10:31] {Threei}  gj dino
[10:31] {dino} ty
[10:31] {dino} 07 still red
[10:32] {Threei}  and proceeded roght to the target
[10:32] {Threei}  give me a gun
[10:32] {dino} pru sm s .74
[10:32] {Threei}  that would have been a day-fixing pair of trades
[10:34] {dino} pru bstop is .96
[10:34] {dino} damn
[10:36] {patience} good morning
[10:36] {Threei}  patience :)
[10:36] {nemo} hi patience
[10:36] {nemo} faint vad?
[10:36] {Threei}  ?
[10:36] {nemo} I was relatively cordial and polite
[10:37] {Threei}  yeah, I thought you must've been having a stroke
[10:38] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .90 break
[10:38] {Threei}  target .65
[10:38] {dino} mdth?
[10:39] {dino} oh 6.85/sh dis.
[10:39] {z} stop over 32?
[10:39] {Threei}  right
[10:39] {Threei}  perfect setup
[10:39] {Threei}  it just can't not work
[10:40] {Threei}  or my name is not Gustav Gomez
[10:40] {nemo} if spy is double bottoming it can
[10:40] {Threei}  1:1
06[10:40] * Threei slaps nemo around a bit with a Gustav Gomez banner
[10:41] {Threei}  stop .91
[10:43] {dino} vmi
[10:44] {dino} smr l .83
[10:45] {RonS} sheesh vmi beat
[10:45] {dino} yeah
[10:45] {dino} and confirmed lower end guidance
[10:45] {dino} but, hooker
[10:46] {Threei}  second half b/e
[10:47] {Threei}  of course now it will move to the target
[10:52] {nemo} adbe bid wow
[10:53] {Threei} Short Setup: ADBE  27 break
[10:54] {RonS} took vmi .20 to .80  thanks dino
[10:55] {dino}  still in, gj
[10:56] {dino} wall .00
[10:56] {Threei}  die ADBE
[10:56] {Threei}  tagert 1:4
[10:57] {Threei}  3 partials
[10:57] {dino} puts a smile on my face
[11:00] {Threei}  1:1
[11:00] {Threei}  oh boy
[11:00] {Threei}  (US) Senior US official: allied nations need to take urgent action to prevent anti-aircraft missiles in Libya from falling into the wrong hands
[11:00] {Threei}  great... we helped another taliban
[11:03] {dino} vmi to .00
[11:14] {dino} stop vmi 85, +1.16
[11:14] {RonS} gj
[11:14] {dino} ty
[11:24] {dino} 07 red
[11:26] {dino} cat one minute
06[11:27] * Threei hits ADBE over the head with 2x4
[11:28] {Threei}  1:2
[11:28] {Threei}  ummm
[11:28] {Threei}  1:3
[11:29] {Threei}  give me 8 cents more, ADBE
[11:29] {Threei}  won't fix the day fuully but will help both, day's balance and self-respect
[11:30] {Threei}  good enouh
[11:30] {Threei}  1:4
[11:30] {nemo} stay in it until .50 area
[11:30] {Threei}  me out
[11:30] {Threei}  no
[11:30] {nemo} fine
[11:30] {Threei}  this is as far as I could see it from the beginning of the trade
[11:31] {nemo} hahahaha
[11:31] {Threei}  that's fine
[11:31] {Threei}  I trade what I can read
[11:31] {nemo} Phhhhhhhhttttttt!
[11:31] {Threei}  anyone did this one??
[11:31] {Threei}  or you lost faith in me completely?
[11:32] {nemo} I found it...they have faith in me
[11:32] {nemo} right
[11:32] {dino} vmi sm l .25
[11:34] {Threei}  sounds like neither, lol
[11:37] {RonS} ha...daughter just posted that at ikea in shanghai chinese families bring picnic baskets and camp out in the rooms for the entire day
[11:38] {dino} lol
[11:38] {Threei}  sounds fun
[11:38] {Threei}  http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=273891732645509&set=a.237133656321317.63196.235739863127363&type=1
[11:39] {Threei}  look at it, then I'll tell you about an idea I have
[11:42] {ese} signing off.....still Long hpq.......and holi from yesterday.....cya monday
[11:42] {Threei}  take care ese
[11:42] {Threei}  you won't find out about my idea
[11:43] {z} the suspense builds...
[11:43] {Threei}  ok
[11:43] {ese} i'll call ya
[11:43] {ese} cya
[11:43] {Threei}  so, I said a few times that I plan a new course,
[11:43] {dino} cya
[11:44] {Threei}  no theory, prely practical one,
[11:44] {Threei}  aimed at chart pattern recongition
[11:44] {Threei}  over a hundred trades
[11:44] {Threei}  all actual ones, called in the room
[11:44] {Threei}  with structure of the setup outlined on the chart
[11:45] {Threei}  and explanation of setup elements, brief and basic
[11:45] {Threei}  broken down by categories: breakjout, breakdown, reversal
[11:45] {Threei}  So, here is an additional twist I am thinking about
[11:46] {Threei}  aside of this, I want to include a video that takes a viewer through the lineup of typical charts, each repeated twice:
[11:46] {Threei}  without and with annotation
[11:46] {Threei}  with increasing speed
[11:46] {Threei}  to train pure visual recognition of the pattern
[11:46] {Threei}  so a viewer learns to catch the developing asetup from a single glance
[11:47] {Threei}  how does this sound?
[11:47] {RonS} intriguing
[11:47] {Threei}  something useful, or I a hallucianating?
[11:47] {dino} makes sense
[11:47] {RonS} first part had me thinking ...well, it is different in real time...
[11:48] {Threei}  well, that we had in scalping videocourse
[11:48] {Threei}  trades recorded real time
[11:48] {Threei}  adding this as a chart readung course, I'll cover all the bases
[11:48] {RonS} yes, well pattern recognition i always go back to chess
[11:48] {Threei}  true
[11:49] {RonS} multitude of patterns and takes 10 years to master
[11:49] {Threei}  in fact, I had this example during Whostler conference when talked about pattern recognition
[11:49] {Threei}  training camp for young Soviet chess players,
[11:49] {Threei}  1977
[11:50] {Threei}  head of training is David Bronstein
[11:50] {Threei}  look him up
[11:50] {Threei}  5 of us are analyzing position
[11:50] {Threei}  trying to caluclate, calculate, calculate
[11:50] {Threei}  he walks by
[11:50] {Threei}  pauses for a few seconds,
[11:51] {Threei}  glances at the desk,
[11:51] {Threei}  says: move this here, this there, you get what you want
[11:51] {Threei}  takes us about 20 min to analyze it to the end, and to see he gave us solution
[11:51] {Threei}  later during dinner I ask him
[11:51] {Threei}  how on earth can you calculate this fast?
[11:52] {Threei}  he says: I don;t
[11:52] {Threei}  I just see it
[11:52] {Threei}  was quite a revelation for me at the time
[11:52] {Threei}  but I was 16 :)
[11:52] {Threei}  now I know exactly what he meant
[11:52] {Threei}  so yor chess analogy is very precise
[11:56] {RonS} not mine...from one of the originators of cognitive science...sorry, but cannot remember the name due to cold and the fact that it was in a '90's forbes interview article
[11:58] {Threei}  that's fine, I'd forget it in 30 seconds anyway
[11:58] {Threei}  takes me a few minutes in the morning to remember mine
[12:00] {RonS} found it...Herbert Simon...actually one of the pioneers of artificial intellignce..which make sense, since you need pattern recognition for that
[12:01] {Threei}  right
[12:03] {RonS} http://www.newworldencyclopedia.org/entry/Herbert_Simon
[12:04] {RonS} so dino, does fcx find support here or go for a gap fill?
[12:06] {dino} out vmi .75, +.50
[12:08] {RonS} gj
[12:08] {dino} ty
[12:09] {dino} fcx, depends on mkt imo
[12:09] {dino} it trades w/it
[12:09] {dino} brb
[12:22] {dino} vmi continues w/o me ugh
[12:22] {swill} I'm interested in a visual coarse. I did well in drafting and geomitry
[12:24] {swill} but not spelling
[12:24] {Threei}  lol
[12:25] {swill} :)
[12:48] {dino} .
[12:55] {RonS} for some reason i have started wondering if a stock pattern recognition game would have value
[12:56] {dino} thats what i look for
[12:56] {RonS} similar to a computer generated card game it might give the participant experience in pattern recognition as well as playing the percentages of wins and loses
[12:56] {Threei}  boardgame?
[12:56] {dino} "gut" feel is most likely sub concious recognition of pattern
[12:56] {RonS} computer game
[12:56] {Threei}  I totally agree dino,
[12:57] {Threei}  it's an arsenal of recongizable situations one has amassed over timne
[12:57] {RonS} i guess one of the intents is to get over the reticence to act...
[12:57] {dino} the markets have turned into tape readers/patterns. fundies are dead
[12:57] {Threei}  Ron... imagine cost of development vs. potential client base... :)
[12:58] {RonS} ya, well, just trying to think here...dangerous i know
[12:58] {Threei}  don't tell nemo
[12:58] {RonS} dad used to say:  boy, you think too much...
[12:58] {Threei}  he starts spitting fire when people think around him
[12:59] {dino} ron, vmi ran 4 bucks from my original entry
[12:59] {RonS} ya, heartbreaker...
[13:00] {dino} indeed
[13:03] {RonS} anyone see a trigger on mcp if it consolidates here...
[13:08] {dino} break .00
[13:08] {dino} s break .84
[13:15] {nemo} new highs coming today me thinks
[13:18] {dino} leaving behind some serious gaps
[13:18] {dino} 11477, 11103; 2325, 2202; 1203, 1155.  gaps have been filling consistantly
[13:18] {nemo} iwm likely get's to 71.50 area before market thinks about a real pullback
[13:20] {dino} out mcp .13, +.12, ty ron for heads up
[13:37] {dino} mchp l .37
[13:37] {RonS} seems thick...
[13:38] {dino} y
[13:38] {RonS} opposite of pulp...
[13:38] {dino} y, stop is .34
[13:38] {dino} stop
[13:43] {RonS} selloff after a runup w/ downgrade today...
[13:46] {dino} stops and holds, hmmm
[13:46] {dino} ransed
[13:46] {dino} rinsed
[13:46] {dino} was running .43-.60 for awhile
[13:46] {dino} last try l .40
[13:46] {RonS} in at .38
[13:47] {RonS} out at .40
[13:47] {RonS} too dang thick
[13:48] {dino} lol
[13:48] {dino} starting to think that
[14:09] {RonS} eu, gr, and slovakia:  http://tinyurl.com/3nscajo
[14:11] {RonS} ah, it made my cold feel better...just has 3i's second most fave dish besides broccoli:  pea soup
[14:11] {RonS} had
[14:11] {Threei}  lol
[14:12] {dino} sell off coming
[14:14] {dino} cat hl s ,44\
[14:18] {dino} serious thunderstorm here
[14:19] {RonS} ...trying to tell us you have the clap?
[14:19] {dino} nepa most rain received in 117 years this year
[14:19] {RonS} :P
[14:26] {dino} cov cat +.1o
[14:30] {dino} ovti drop
[14:33] {RonS} got the mibbet boot...ovti blood
[14:34] {RonS} OVTI rumor not in new iphone
[14:35] {RonS} anyone here i lost the prior messages...
[14:35] {dino} ovti blood i typed
[14:36] {Threei}  OmniVision Technologies Inc Ticks lower as online report speculates that the iPhone 4S imaging sensor may be from Sony rather than OVTI
[14:38] {dino} sm l .40
[14:40] {dino} out .90, +.50
[14:43] {dino} tough crowd
[14:44] {RonS} arm worn out from patting you on the back...
[14:45] {RonS} :)
[14:45] {dino} lol, i'll be quiet
[14:46] {Threei}  lol
[14:47] {dino} but i think theres another trade in it
[14:48] {RonS} 3i, casual suggestion: do more post on individual issues...i think it will generate more followers faster re stocktwits
[14:49] {Threei}  by individual issues you mean...?
[14:49] {Threei}  partcular stocks?
[14:49] {RonS} also another:  spell out you acronymsn for the unwashed crowd
[14:49] {RonS} acronyms
[14:49] {RonS} yes, every time you do a different stock it goes on that board w/ different followers
[14:50] {Threei}  got it
[14:50] {Threei}  whole thing is unnatural to me
[14:50] {Threei}  I am not in my element with this tweeting thing
[14:51] {RonS} you are doing fine...very professional
[14:51] {RonS} cut above the masses
[14:52] {RonS} also, you may want to find out if you can bounce those followers of yours who are there just to pimp themselves
[14:52] {RonS} i found it upsetting and somewhat disgusting...
[14:53] {nemo} wow, thanks ron
[14:53] {Threei}  how do they do it?
[14:53] {Threei}  in hope that I follow them back?
[14:53] {Threei}  well, I don't really... I am quite antisocial :)
[14:54] {Threei}  which makes me odd thing in social media
[14:54] {RonS} dunno...but this is Howard Linzon's (sic?) baby...i get the feeling that he is approachable and addresable on any issue
[14:54] {RonS} addressable
[14:55] {RonS} ...they are linked into to you and probably anyone to fish people to them
[14:56] {RonS} i consider it a form of spam
[14:58] {Threei}  well... with all my opposition to social media, let me show you something...
[14:59] {dino} going for hod
[15:00] {Threei}  I started first movemetns in social media at rthe end of July
[15:00] {nemo} yeah, kicking and screaming
[15:00] {Threei}  look at this screenshot of average daily traffic on realitytrader
[15:00] {Threei}  right :)
[15:00] {Threei}  http://www.realitytrader.com/vad/AverageDailyStats.jpg
[15:01] {Threei}  tell me when done, I want to delete it
[15:01] {nemo} done
[15:01] {Threei}  pay atention to yellow part mostly, it's visits per day
[15:01] {dino} i'm going to have to start charging you
[15:01] {Threei}  lol
[15:01] {Threei}  see it ron?
[15:01] {RonS} done, it can really ramp w/ more issues...should lead to subs...
[15:02] {Threei}  so, to me it's kind of: I hate it but it works
[15:02] {Threei}  Facebook is more or less bearable, I can do it on my terms so to speak
[15:02] {RonS} it's called exposure...
[15:02] {Threei}  but twitter I find insufferable
[15:04] {RonS} well , i think facebook is worse...insufferable pap...
[15:04] {Threei}  see, on facebook I can just post
[15:04] {Threei}  let people find it
[15:05] {Threei}  twitter by its fleeting nature requires constant involvement
[15:05] {RonS} ya know, there is a casual association of respectable posters and/or service provders that truly try to help people much like youself
[15:05] {Threei}  otherwise you disappear from the surface in a blink of eye
[15:06] {RonS} if you can garner their repect and association then you will see another ramp in traffic
[15:06] {RonS} respect
[15:06] {Threei}  problem is, for that you need to atcually start conversing with people... contacting them...
[15:06] {Threei}  talking to them...
[15:07] {Threei}  and that's what I am so not good at or up to :)
[15:08] {RonS} well, it may be as easy as following them to engender them following you, if they happen to read your stuff
[15:08] {RonS} one example would be Ryan Baird
[15:08] {RonS} no service just info and he runs his own book
[15:11] {RonS} delete later if you wish:  http://stocktwits.com/ryandbaird
[15:13] {Threei}  I see what you mean
[15:14] {nemo} what also happens is people begin o retweet you and call you out for your expertise
[15:14] {nemo} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vyt0TuqlReg&feature=youtu.be
[15:17] {RonS} ...thinkin bunny is ashamed now...
[15:18] {RonS} ...trainwrecks are easier to watch...
[15:18] {Threei}  lol
[15:29] {z} red day, flat week for me..have a great weekend all, cya monday
[15:29] {RonS} cya z
[15:30] {Threei}  red day here too z
[15:30] {z} no worries, monday starts all over :)
[15:30] {nemo} oh well Ron
[15:30] {Threei}  no... it's not like we are under promise or obligation never to have one
[15:30] {nemo} what...there's no guarantee...?
[15:31] {dino}  ok, bus stop calls, thx all, good time
[15:31] {nemo} drivin' today Dino?
[15:33] {dino} lol, no, just walking to meet daughter
[15:33] {dino} she likes the dogs to meet her w/me
[15:34] {RonS} hope those not the other mothers...ooops
[15:38] {swill} It was my first day trading today and I am $20 is the green.  Small beginnings.
[15:38] {Threei}  wtg
[15:38] {Threei}  and congratulations
[15:39] {swill} Thanks to the management and me
[15:42] {cipher}  my first daytrading day in years too...
[15:42] {cipher} up on gross but slightly down after comms
[15:42] {Threei}  Ok guys, I guess I'll better admit it's a red day and leave at that
[15:43] {cipher} at least I don't feel like a schmuck :-)
[15:43] {Threei}  no need to to dig deeper hole
[15:43] {Threei}  lol
[15:43] {Threei}  no cipher :)
[15:43] {Threei}  that 1:4 trade erased much of losses
[15:43] {Threei}  but not all
[15:43] {Threei}  so that's what I will leave with
[15:43] {Threei}  have a great weekend
[15:43] {Threei}  we will get them next week
[15:44] {Threei}  unless they close the market
[15:44] {nemo} BOHICA!!!!!!
[15:45] {Threei}  see you on Monday
[15:45] {cipher} have a good weekend 3i and all
[15:59] {dino} back, too funny ron
[16:00] {dino} gj swill, cipher

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Oct 13 2011

(Participation in the room in real time requires membership)

Very inactive day with few trades; profitable thanks to the right management.



Session Time: Thu Oct 13 00:00:00 2011
[08:24] {Threei}  (US) Preview: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Continuing Claims due at 08:30 ET (12:30 GMT)
[08:24] {Threei}  **Consensus expectations:
[08:24] {Threei}  - Initial Jobless Claims: 405Ke v 401K prior
[08:24] {Threei}  - Continuing Claims: 3.71Me v 3.70M prior
[08:31] {Threei}  (US) INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 404K V 405KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 3.67M V 3.71ME
[08:31] {Threei}  - Prior Initial Claims revised higher from 401K to 405K
[08:31] {Threei}  - Prior Continuing Claims higher from 3.70M to 3.73M
[09:13] {dino} gm all
[09:13] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:14] {z} gm 3i, all
[09:14] {Threei}  z :)
[09:22] {Threei}  slight gap down
[09:23] {Threei}  feels like market wants to try and climb higher
[09:23] {Threei}  at leastthat's the latest patern
[09:23] {Threei}  but daily is seriously overextended
[09:23] {dino} gaps below 11417, 11103; 2294, 2202; 1195, 1155
[09:26] {ese} gm
[09:27] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:27] {RonS} gm
[09:27] {Threei}  ron :)
[09:27] {Threei}  cipher, welcome aboard
[09:28] {larisa} gm :)
[09:28] {Threei}  larisa :)
[09:28] {patience} good morning
[09:28] {larisa} vad :)
[09:30] {Threei}  patience :)
[09:30] {Threei}  wsatchign FCX
[09:30] {Threei}  keep half lot prepared
[09:31] {Threei}  looking to short if spikes into .70 - .80 zone
[09:35] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  32 break
[09:35] {Threei}  if stays under .10
[09:35] {Threei}  target 1:3
[09:36] {Threei}  standard procedure, 3 partials
[09:36] {Threei}  1:1
[09:37] {Threei}  stop to .03
[09:37] {Threei}  FCX no good entry
[09:38] {Threei}  one of those cases where you get the direction right but no setup
[09:40] {Threei}  SLW 1:2
[09:41] {Threei}  1"3, target hit
[09:41] {Threei}  me out
[09:41] {dino} gj
[09:41] {Threei}  ty
[09:42] {Threei}  opening trade in honor of chipher's first day as full pldge member
[09:42] {nemo} gag
[09:44] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .30 break
[09:44] {Threei}  stop above .40
[09:45] {Threei}  milk trade candidate
[09:45] {Threei}  let's partial under .20 and then see how we can trail and ride
[09:45] {Threei}  girst part out .15
[09:45] {Threei}  first
[09:46] {Threei}  stop to .31
[09:46] {dino} tac sm l .51
[09:46] {Threei}  playing with house money
[09:46] {Threei}  second partial around .05
[09:47] {Threei}  here it is
[09:47] {Threei}  stop to .25
[09:47] {dino} gj
[09:47] {Threei}  ty
[09:48] {Threei}  clean nice trade, gave second chance entry for those wqho missed original
[09:48] {Threei}  then died without making us nervous
[09:49] {Threei}  not rushing to cover last 1/4
[09:49] {Threei}  will try to trail loosely and maximize profit
[09:49] {Threei}  ideally it stays under .20, loses 23
[09:50] {Threei}  stop to .21
[09:51] {Threei}  now want it to stay under .10 and lose .90 for the next trail
[09:51] {Threei}  .95 even
[09:53] {dino} 11417 and 1195 filled
[09:53] {ese} L holi .98
[09:54] {ese} this could be real interesting....shorters have killed this stock......short covering days as listed on the nasdaq site is 33
[09:54] {ese} hmmmmmmm
[09:55] {Threei}  FCX... grrrr
[09:55] {Threei}  right idea, no entry
[09:56] {dino} cat sm s .99
[09:56] {Threei}  stop to .15 RIMM
[09:56] {ese} stop .90
[09:57] {Threei}  stop to .11
[09:57] {Threei}  it may well be time to just cover
[09:58] {Threei}  but gut says, RIMM has a good chance to give more
[09:58] {dino} stopped .16
[10:01] {dino} cmi sm l .25
[10:03] {dino} cmi stop -.26
[10:07] {Threei}  oh boy
[10:07] {Threei}  read this
[10:07] {Threei}  (EU) Plans now under consideration are said to include idea of Greece debt haircuts taking place in two phases (termed "PSI-plus") - financial press
[10:07] {Threei}  - EU and banking leaders meeting in Paris today said to be considering various options for Greece, have still not settled on any single idea.
[10:07] {Threei}  - Ideas include a role for the EIB, and creating an intermediate fund for to be used for bank recapitalizations. Expectation is that Greece will have to do additional privatizations to help pay off debts.
[10:07] {Threei}  - Leaders expect the 6th Greek aid tranche will be released to Greece soon; Greece will have to give up some autonomy in exchange for the new loan package.
[10:07] {Threei}  - Follow up 09:28: PIMCO's El-Erian: Believes Europe will have a proposal for debt haircuts very soon.
[10:07] {Threei}  give up some autonomy?
[10:08] {ese} give up some autonomy?
[10:08] {Threei}  come on Greece, stand up and end this nonsense once and for all
[10:08] {ese} your thinkin the same thing as me
[10:09] {Threei}  this is ridiculous
[10:09] {dino} i woild not give up autonomy
[10:09] {Threei}  quiet invasion
[10:09] {ese} yup
[10:09] {Threei}  this is why EU must break down why it's not too late
[10:10] {Threei}  while
[10:10] {ese} thats kinda a..."wow" when you think about it
[10:10] {Threei}  yes, but that's where it was going all this time
[10:10] {Threei}  half union can't work
[10:10] {Threei}  monetary without fiscal
[10:10] {Threei}  and uniting fiscal part requires intergration that essentally ends sovereignity
[10:11] {Threei}  want to see how it shapes up eventually, look up Soviet Union
[10:12] {dino} would be better for greece to say f it and default
[10:14] {Threei}  absolutely
[10:14] {ese} even the bond people are saying that
[10:15] {ese} frees up a crap load of cash to restructure and do things right............but there greeks....lookin out for number one so that ain't gonna happen
[10:16] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .40 break
[10:16] {Threei}  half lot
[10:16] {Threei}  stop under .30
[10:16] {Threei}  target 1:2
[10:16] {ese} stopped holi .89 -.09
[10:17] {ese} that was fun while it lasted.....not done with this
[10:18] {Threei}  no go
[10:18] {Threei}  (EU) No deal said to be expected on Greece debt haircuts before the EU summit on Oct 23 - financial press
[10:18] {Threei}  - REMINDER: Euro zone finance ministers have scheduled a meeting for Oct 21, two days before official EU summit.
[10:18] {Threei}  half lot was a good idea
[10:18] {Threei}  LVS is a bit too volatile lately
[10:28] {dino} hig l .70
[10:34] {dino} 07 green, giddy-up
[10:36] {Threei}  (SL) Slovakia parliament agrees to March 2012 as date for early election, as set forth by conditions of the opposition party for EFSF support- Debate on EFSF vote has now begun
[10:37] {dino} out hig .80, +.10
[10:46] {dino} vsi sm l .30
[10:56] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  31 break
[10:56] {Threei}  stop above .10
[11:00] {Threei}  *DOE CRUDE: +1.3M V -500KE; GASOLINE: -4.13M V 0E; .2% V 87.3%E
[11:04] {Threei}  (SL) Slovakia parliament approves EFSF fund; as expected
[11:10] {dino}  chk l .07
[11:12] {RonS} took vit .05 to .45 +.40  thanks dino
[11:13] {Threei}  gj
[11:13] {dino} gj
[11:14] {RonS} meant vsi
[11:14] {Threei}  we don't care
[11:14] {dino} i understood
[11:14] {Threei}  gj is gj
[11:14] {Threei}  vit or vsi
[11:14] {RonS} good to know nemo
[11:15] {RonS} :D
[11:15] {Threei}  most who know him think differently
[11:15] {Threei}  they wish they didn't {G}
[11:16] {dino} out chk .19, +.12
[11:19] {dino} hig l .63
[11:23] {ese} duty calls.......have a great day
[11:23] {dino} cya ese
[11:23] {Threei}  take care ese
[11:23] {ese} cya dino vad
[11:23] {RonS} cya ese
[11:23] {ese} ron
[11:23] {swill} bye ese
[11:24] {ese} bought some holi at .95 we'll see what happens
[11:24] {ese} swill
[11:24] {nemo} I see we're having fun at my expense, you know how sensitive I am
[11:24] {dino} gutsy
[11:32] {z} how many votes for your photo contest now vad?
[11:32] {dino} out vsi .60, +.30
[11:32] {Threei}  21
[11:33] {Threei}  still short of needed to win
[11:33] {swill} I'll vote twice
[11:33] {dino} hig to .75
[11:34] {dino} out hig +.12
[11:38] {z} nice trades dino
[11:38] {dino} ty, started rough
[11:40] {Threei}  hmm
[11:40] {Threei}  I don't think you can, swill
[11:40] {swill} oh well
[11:41] {Threei}  you can ask others with facebook accounts
[11:41] {swill} k
[11:41] {Threei}  but wait
[11:41] {Threei}  I don't see your vote
[11:41] {swill} on the way
[11:42] {dino} sina
[11:42] {Threei}  oh :)
[11:43] {dino} strong arming him 3i, lol
[11:43] {Threei}  what can I do... life's tough
[11:43] {Threei}  and I want that prize :)
[11:44] {Threei}  nemo taught me to strong arm anything and anyone, no matter the reason
[11:44] {Threei}  just for the heck of it
[11:44] {dino} have to "represent"
[11:45] {RonS} whoa tqnt
[11:48] {dino} nxpi l .59
[11:52] {dino} to .70
[11:53] {dino} out +.11
[11:53] {RonS} gj
[11:53] {dino} ty
[12:07] {Threei}  Ron... who do you click on?? :0 no vote from you
[12:08] {Threei}  {--- strongarming everyone in sight
[12:08] {RonS} do not do facebook...sorry
06[12:08] * Threei slaps Alert around a bit with a request to vote
[12:08] {Threei}  ah
[12:09] {dino} nor i 3i
[12:10] {RonS} tqnt rocket
[12:11] {Threei}  well, I don't suppose I could stroingarm anyone into opening facebook account just to vote lol
[12:11] {Threei}  in fact I'd never had opened mine if not pressing business needs
[12:11] {dino} don't want it
[12:12] {Threei}  neither do I
[12:13] {dino} tqnt news?
[12:14] {Threei}  not that I see
[12:15] {RonS} tqnt... There is speculation that the company is a provider of power amplifiers for the iPhone 42.
[12:16] {Threei}  hmm?
[12:17] {Threei}  no, that's QCOM
[12:17] {Threei}  Qualcomm Inc Teardown of iPhone 4S indicates new phone uses Qualcomm wireless chipset - iFixit- Teardown confirms that iPhone 4S utilizes Avago power amplifier. - Teardown confirms that Skyworks component is included in the 4S.
[12:18] {Threei}  TQNT is merely listed among related stocks
[12:21] {RonS} my news pickup came from fidelity...fwiw...
[12:21] {Threei}  hey, maybe ruimor mongers spread different names for different news feeds
[12:22] {Threei}  this way they cover whole filed
[12:23] {dino} i say we short it at 7.20
[12:46] {dino} idcc sm l .11
[12:49] {Threei}  look at this cretin:
[12:49] {Threei}  (US) House Rep Frank requests the Congressional supercommitee implement a banking fee as part of attempts at deficit reduction- Fee would be aimed at the largest banks
[12:50] {dino} all they do is attack banks w/fees that get passed onto us
[12:50] {Threei}  unbelieavable
[12:54] {nemo} doesn't matter what it actually does, it's how you sell it to the moron masses...as long as they buy the reality is irrelevant
[12:57] {dino} you're right nemo
[12:57] {dino} and when 45% pay no income taxes and roughly 40% collect payments from govt. they like the idea
[12:58] {nemo} standard distribution across a qualified sample
[12:58] {nemo} yep...they're voters
[12:59] {nemo} since politicians do what gets them elected and not what is right...we're screwed...60 grit...no vaseline
[12:59] {dino} mrx spike
[13:00] {RonS} 3i, do not open 'cause you will be upset w/ me but nemo and dino...this is near classic:  http://tinyurl.com/63gqatt
[13:00] {nemo} yeah, saw that...it was great
[13:02] {dino} funny ron
[13:02] {RonS} ...loved the last line..."meet at starbucks after..."
[13:02] {nemo} see what the shopkeepers are saying about them
[13:02] {dino} biggest joke is fnm, fre lead by congress/frank, started the whole mess
[13:03] {nemo} actually, his boyfriend
[13:04] {dino} but(t) the liberal media will not report the truth
[13:04] {nemo} defeats the drive towards socialism
[13:05] {RonS} newt nailed it...:  http://tinyurl.com/3btgh83
[13:07] {RonS} ovti iphone news Phone will shift to 8 million pixel CMOS image sensors, sensor maker OmniVision (OmniVision) won 90% of orders
[13:08] {Threei}  why would be upssdt about that?
[13:11] {dino} ovti sm l .50
[13:12] {Threei}  swill, thank you, got your vote
[13:12] {Threei}  dino.. TQNT
[13:12] {Threei}  maybe double-topping
[13:13] {dino} out idcc .41, +.30
[13:13] {dino} watching it
[13:15] {swill} wasn't sure if I voted or entered the contest
[13:17] {dino} tqnt sm s .05 stop .14
[13:18] {nemo} we
[13:22] {RonS} thor
[13:35] {dino} what do you make of thor ron?
[13:36] {Threei}  actually both, swill - a voter can win a prize too
[13:37] {RonS} thor no opinion...
[13:40] {swill} I'll have a look later, I mostly have family pics
[13:42] {dino} stop ovti .45 -.05
[13:43] {Threei}  no, I mean, by voting you have actually entered a conetst
[13:43] {Threei}  prize can be granted to a photograpgher and voter
[13:45] {swill} sounds good. thank you
[13:52] {dino}  thor s .00
[14:01] {dino} stop -.17
[14:02] {RonS} de blood
[14:03] {RonS} DE getting smashed after report that they are not shipping as many combines to dealerships.
[14:03] {RonS} because of used machine glut-on Bloomberg
[14:07] {RonS} nuts, wanted to short .60
[14:09] {dino} tqnt cov flat
[14:11] {dino} thgor rinsed
[14:15] {Threei}  good idea on TQNT
[14:15] {Threei}  it doesn't feel like reversing
[14:17] {dino} took it off my screen
[14:22] {nemo} c&h forming on spy
[14:23] {dino} you finding much today? all i seem to get are dimes
[14:24] {nemo} tna tza support and resistance plays
[14:25] {nemo} this has been the toughest week in a while for those though
[14:25] {dino} good to hear, thought it was just me
[14:26] {nemo} I'm hearing the same from other guys too...hard read this week...europe and earnings haven't really kicked off yet
[14:26] {swill} is c and h five min relevant?
[14:26] {Threei}  I think we did well considering
[14:26] {Threei}  just staying humble
[14:26] {Threei}  and inactive when nothing happens
[14:26] {swill} on slw
[14:26] {Threei}  it can be hard but it works
[14:27] {Threei}  it looks right swill
[14:27] {Threei}  but SPY drops
[14:27] {swill} ah
[14:36] {nemo} what up with sina?
[14:38] {dino} nothing new
[14:38] {RonS} short squeeze on m&a rumor
[14:38] {nemo} wow, imagine if something actually happened
[14:41] {dino} crazy stock to trade
[14:42] {Threei}  always was
[15:00] {dino} tac to .59 all day
[15:03] {z} spy tryng to go green
[15:11] {dino} out tac +.09
[15:12] {z} those dimes adding up for you dino, nice :)
[15:15] {dino} positive but way light again
[15:17] {patience} flat day for me, 2 trades
[15:20] {dino} 8 of 14 but scalps
[15:33] {dino} calling it a day, thx all
[15:33] {RonS} cya dino
[15:33] {Threei}  take care dino
[15:34] {swill} thx dino, have a good one
[15:44] {z} cya all tomorrow..take care
[15:45] {swill} tomarrow
[15:45] {Threei}  take care z
[15:53] {Threei}  ok guys, emoty second hafl ot he day
[15:53] {Threei}  empty
[15:53] {Threei}  thank you all, have a good eveninbg
[15:53] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:53] {larisa} bye :)
[15:53] {patience} ty vad
[15:53] {swill} Thank you.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Oct 12 2011

(Participation in the room in real time requires membership)

Another nicely profitable and not very active day. Just fine with me though - between profit and excitement, I'll take profit every day - and save excitement for aftermarket. 


Session Time: Wed Oct 12 00:00:00 2011
[08:56] {Threei}  I guess it's time
[09:00] {nemo} for what
[09:00] {Threei}  waking up...
[09:01] {nemo} another big gap up day
[09:05] {nemo} spy has to go to 122
[09:14] {Threei}  (EU) EU's Barosso releases statement on bank recapitalization plans
[09:14] {Threei}  - Fully coordinated approach to European bank recapitalization should be based on reassessment by supervisors of capital needs.
[09:14] {Threei}  - Supervisors should temporarily use significantly higher capital ratios, featuring high-quality capital.
[09:14] {Threei}  - Banks should first seek private capial and only then pursue government support, if necessary. If government support is then unavailable, firms may seek capital from the EFSF.
[09:14] {Threei}  - Pending recapitalization, banks should be prevented from paying out dividends or bonuses.
[09:14] {Threei}  - The sixth tranche of Greece aid must be disbursed.
[09:15] {Threei}  quite obvious to me that this move postpones the decisive moment once again
[09:15] {ese} morning
[09:15] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:16] {Threei}  thus markets react as they should - temporary relief
[09:17] {dino} gm all
[09:17] {Threei}  dino :)
[09:17] {nemo} there you go again
[09:18] {dino} doing it to annoy you
[09:18] {RonS} yo youze
[09:18] {Threei}  ron :)
[09:18] {ese} dino nemo ron
[09:20] {Threei}  but I must note that one thing EU learned from US experience and did right:
[09:20] {Threei}  Pending recapitalization, banks should be prevented from paying out dividends or bonuses.
[09:21] {z} good morning everyone
[09:23] {Threei}  z :)
[09:23] {swill} morning
[09:24] {Threei}  swill :)
[09:24] {nemo} why did you choose the nick "swill?"
[09:24] {larisa} gm :)
[09:25] {ese} z swill
[09:25] {swill} part of my email address
[09:25] {nemo} ahhh
[09:25] {swill} morning ese
[09:25] {ese} hmmmmm darn.......thought it represented drinking habits
[09:26] {swill} use to be true
[09:26] {ese} lol
[09:26] {nemo} so, should you change your nick to "teeto"
[09:26] {swill} my youth
[09:26] {dino} hey ron, saw you catch some coo after i left
[09:26] {ese} you need to make it too vads annual shiskabob bash
[09:27] {RonS} yes dino, thanks...
[09:27] {dino} nice
[09:27] {Threei}  larisa :)
[09:27] {swill}  swilling there ah
[09:29] {swill} ese, are you off work today?
[09:29] {RonS} here i thought name initials w/ the second...swi  ll
[09:30] {swill} close
[09:30] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .90 break half lot
[09:30] {ese} no but......they have a generator supplying the powere to the school
[09:31] {nemo} right
[09:31] {Threei}  37 now
[09:31] {Threei}  .15 stop
[09:31] {ese} and some of the electrical doesn't work....it's disrupting some classes
[09:32] {Threei}  1:1
[09:32] {Threei}  1:2
[09:32] {ese} nice one vad
[09:33] {Threei}  out in full .60
[09:33] {Threei}  ty
[09:33] {z} very nice
[09:33] {Threei}  prepare for long
[09:33] {Threei}  half lot too
[09:34] {thomcbell} nice vad tu
[09:34] {ese} L X .76
[09:34] {Threei}  :)
[09:34] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .60 break
[09:35] {ese} out 1/2 .82
[09:35] {Threei}  if holdiong .45
[09:35] {ese} balance to break even
[09:36] {ese} out full .82 again
[09:36] {ese} +.06/+.06
[09:36] {Threei} Long Setup:  AA  10 break
[09:37] {ese} hmmmmmmm...taking off
[09:37] {Threei}  if stays above .95
[09:37] {Threei}  FCX stop to .49
[09:38] {Threei}  FCX 1:1
[09:39] {dino} gj
[09:39] {Threei}  ty
[09:39] {ese} right on chief
[09:44] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  24 break
[09:45] {Threei}  stop above .10
[09:45] {Threei}  no go
[09:46] {RonS} +.30 fcx thanks 3i
[09:46] {Threei}  :)
[09:47] {Threei}  rinse RIMM...
[09:47] {Threei}  thomd, welcome back
[09:48] {Threei}  missed a week + of uninterrupted winning streak...
[09:49] {thomd} Glad to be back. Had other stuff to do.
[09:49] {Threei}  other stuff be taken out and shot
[09:50] {thomd} Would be nice, but I can't stop the winter unfortunately.
[09:51] {Threei}  short of moving to Hawaii, not many can :)
[09:51] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .60 break
[09:53] {Threei}  if stays above .50 for scalpers, .45 day traders
[09:54] {Threei}  stop to .49 for all
[09:55] {Threei}  1:1 scalpers
[09:56] {Threei}  stop to .54 day traders
[09:57] {Threei}  1:1 day traders
[09:57] {dino} out fcx .73, +.12 ty vad
[09:57] {Threei}  :)
[09:57] {Threei}  maybe I need to fgo to Whistker every other weekend
[09:58] {Threei}  doesn't make my typing any better though...
[09:58] {Threei}  first baych pof photos will be posted later in the day btw, Sea-to Sky Hwy... destination in and of itself
[09:58] {Threei}  batch
[09:59] {ese} you guys are killin it with FCX
[09:59] {ese} well done
[10:00] {Threei}  playing it with half lot on the open though, ese
[10:00] {Threei}  fair warning, you mised a day or two when FCX did something incredibly monstrous during first minutes
[10:00] {Threei}  candles about 40 cents long, in one breath
[10:00] {dino} reminds me of van halen, "fair warning"
[10:03] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  65 break
[10:03] {Threei}  late a little, see if pulls back
[10:03] {Threei}  here
[10:03] {Threei}  stop under .55
[10:04] {Threei}  1:1
[10:07] {Threei}  IBM impressive daily
[10:09] {dino} shld?
[10:11] {Threei}  strength on good holiday sales expectancy
[10:11] {RonS} whr spike on buffet rumor
[10:12] {RonS} mmm running
[10:13] {dino} we broke thru lower highs of sept
[10:13] {dino} dji, ndx, s/p
[10:14] {dino} 2312 ndx filled
[10:14] {dino} 1234 and 11895 above
[10:16] {Threei}  whole bounce on daily starts looking horribly overextended to me
[10:17] {Threei}  and volume is lower and lower every day
[10:19] {dino} but it continues up
[10:19] {nemo} yeah it's going at least to 122
[10:20] {dino} not finding anything
[10:20] {nemo} we're at 61.8 retracement of 2007 top
[10:21] {dino} up 10% in week
[10:22] {dino} years in days anymore
[10:22] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  37 break
[10:22] {Threei}  half lot
[10:22] {dino} cmi not participating
[10:22] {Threei}  stop under .90
[10:25] {Threei}  nah
[10:30] {dino} sm l opnt .89
[10:33] {Threei}  rinse
[10:36] {Threei}  grrr
[10:44] {RonS} cmi sm s .52
[10:44] {dino}  cat sm s .25
[10:44] {dino}  stop .51
[10:45] {dino} stop opnt .80 -.08
[10:45] {dino} -.090
[10:48] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  .95 break
[10:49] {Threei}  changing to aggressive
[10:49] {Threei}  24 break
[10:49] {Threei}  if stays under .05
[10:50] {Threei}  very tight stop
[10:50] {nemo} .96 is vwap
[10:50] {Threei}  should lose it and die gorrible death
[10:50] {Threei}  horrible too
[10:52] {RonS} out cmi .10  +.42
[10:52] {Threei}  wtg
[10:53] {RonS} ty
[10:53] {Threei}  come on RIMM, lose that .95 already
[10:53] {Threei}  good boy
[10:53] {Threei}  half out .90
[10:53] {dino} gj
[10:53] {Threei}  scalpers be happy
[10:53] {z} nice one vad :)
[10:53] {Threei}  my love for aggressive entries gets reinforced once again
[10:54] {Threei}  some may say it's not a true love if it needs reinforcement...
[10:54] {RonS} going romantic, eh?
[10:54] {dino} cov cat .95, +.30
[10:54] {nemo} non-interference
[10:55] {Threei}  well, it's those "some" that do
[10:55] {Threei}  I just quote them :)
[11:01] {dino} feels like mkt wants to drop
[11:02] {nemo} just resting above vwap
[11:04] {dino} joyg sm s .60
[11:04] {Threei}  forgot to post
[11:04] {Threei}  closed RIMM in full at .83
[11:10] {dino} cov joyg -.05
[11:10] {Threei}  (EU) European Banking Authority (EBA) considering valuing all sovereign debt to current market value with regards to bank capital requirements - financial press
[11:10] {Threei}  - Affirms 9% core tier 1 capital ratio to be used as passing; will likely use same definition of capital as used in prior stress tests this year
[11:11] {Threei}  hah
[11:12] {Threei}  if they value sovereign debt at the current market value, aren't their banks dead in the water instantly?
[11:12] {dino} yes
[11:12] {dino} i think its po;itical speak and they will say 100%
[11:14] {Threei}  tough to do
[11:14] {Threei}  no person alive will believe that
[11:15] {dino} they will say its insured
[11:15] {thomcbell} this nuan looks good in every time frame
[11:15] {Threei}  100% means all debt can be repaid in time
[11:15] {Threei}  and moving burden to insurance comanies is what they started testing waters for, yes
[11:15] {dino} 3i, seriously, when do politicians tell the truth
[11:16] {thomcbell} weekly odd
[11:16] {Threei}  but we know that it's going to fail just as well
[11:16] {dino} yes, but next year now
[11:16] {Threei}  practically never, sure
[11:16] {dino} i think you see a qe foe euro
[11:16] {RonS} dino, when they say "i'm going to hit the head"?
[11:16] {Threei}  but don't underestimate one unusual side of today's situation
[11:16] {dino} salvation thru inflation
[11:17] {RonS} "i need a donation"?
[11:17] {Threei}  which is, lies accumulated and amassed to a degree where public started seeing through them and started geting involved
[11:17] {dino} but public is blaming business/bankers, not politicians
[11:18] {dino} public is dumb
[11:18] {dino} by design
[11:18] {Threei}  true, but it makes impossible for politcians to arrange the next round of bailouts
[11:18] {Threei}  well... not impossible
[11:18] {Threei}  difficult
[11:18] {dino} they will be gone by then, saved themselves
[11:19] {dino} it will be like the rats abandoning the ship
[11:19] {Threei}  we'll see how it develops... I have a feeling, this time around they won't be able to do it
[11:19] {Threei}  this keg with powder iks going to blow up
[11:19] {Threei}  and cord is shorter and shorter
[11:19] {Threei}  and there is one more thing
[11:19] {dino} sure
[11:20] {Threei}  even if europe manages somehow to keep balance,
[11:20] {Threei}  next explosive problem is china
[11:20] {Threei}  and it's not very far down the road
[11:20] {dino} but you forget, they own the euro printing press
[11:20] {Threei}  Not many pay attention to it right now
[11:20] {Threei}  simply because europian prblems take precedence
[11:21] {dino} i believe japan is next, as this carry trade that floats them gets tighter
[11:21] {Threei}  could be...
[11:21] {Threei}  so, to me it's one of two ways forward
[11:21] {patience} good morning
[11:21] {Threei}  patience :)
[11:22] {Threei}  eother Europe breaks down first
[11:22] {Threei}  and world economic collapse starts there and spreads to China
[11:22] {Threei}  or
[11:22] {Threei}  Europe overcome political difficulties and prints its way out,
[11:23] {Threei}  and China blows upo becoming the trigger of that sdame collapse
[11:23] {Threei}  if Japan manages to insert itself in the mddle, it's just a third way to same outcome :)
[11:24] {dino} i believe the printing press is what happens, they are too afraid to do what it takes. so inflate it away (for now)
[11:24] {Threei}  curiously enough, whichever scenario I try to play out mentally, the recovery starts in US
[11:24] {dino} agreed
[11:24] {dino} europe is showing the liberals that the welfare state does not work
[11:25] {RonS} dino, you must be kidding...liberals never learn
[11:25] {dino} cmi sm s .50 stop hod
[11:26] {dino} not hod .71
[11:26] {dino} roflol ron, what a joke they are
[11:26] {dino} who is john galt?
[11:27] {RonS} 3i, check this out...:  http://tinyurl.com/3vd3z9a
[11:28] {Threei}  cool :)
[11:28] {dino} cmi to b/e
[11:29] {Threei}  here is my ery forst camera:
[11:29] {Threei}  very first
[11:29] {Threei}  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Smena_8.JPG
[11:29] {Threei}  ummm... almost.. it's 8th model, mine was 6
[11:30] {Threei}  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Smena6.jpg
[11:30] {dino} to .20
[11:30] {dino} cov cmi .20, +.30
[11:31] {RonS} gj...3i you posted a blank screen...
[11:31] {Threei}  hmm?
[11:32] {RonS} cannot see the camera unless it is invisible
[11:32] {Threei}  works here
[11:35] {RonS} maybe i should use this to address my rabbit situation:  http://tinyurl.com/6j9yl3s
[11:35] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .80 break
[11:36] {dino} blank
[11:46] {nemo} wow, what a tease
[11:47] {Threei}  (EU) German Bank Group BDB: calls into question some of Barroso's recapitlaization proposals
[11:48] {Threei}  (IA) Pentagon Spokesperon: Iran assassination plot demands a diplomatic response, not a military response
[11:49] {dino} iran, we are so scared of the coming lecture
[11:49] {Threei}  they should be...
[11:50] {RonS} ohhhh, please don't waf you finger at us...
[11:50] {RonS} wag
[11:50] {dino} lol
[11:51] {dino} pru sm s .00 break
[11:57] {RonS} is rimm winding up to run into its gap?
[12:01] {dino} y
[12:04] {nemo} like tna here tight stop
[12:04] {Threei}  (PO) Portugal President Cavaco: EFSF program should be strengthened and the current issues need more assistance from the ECB
[12:04] {dino} like portugal should even speak
[12:06] {Threei}  lol
[12:06] {nemo} nope
[12:06] {Threei}  seriously... "increase the size and pace of bailouts" pledge coming from one of bailout recipients - how much wight can one put in it
[12:22] {dino}  stop pru .96, +.03
[12:33] {dino}  z having trouble
[12:33] {z} yea with mirc
[12:34] {z} get kicked automatically when i try to connect via mirc
[12:34] {z} any tips?
[12:35] {Threei}  looks like wrong password to me
[12:35] {dino} mibbit here
[12:35] {Threei}  server simply kicks out correct username
[12:35] {Threei}  that happens only when the password is wrong
[12:35] {z} ok will verify now...
[12:51] {Threei}  http://photography.realitytrader.com/2011/10/sea-to-sky-highway.html
[12:52] {nemo} this should be the break to 122
[13:00] {dino} change his name to y
[13:01] {Threei}  why... incorrectly configured mirc won't connect, be it z, y or x :)
[13:02] {dino} joking
[13:03] {nemo} bid to cover on auction sucked
[13:06] {Threei}  but market marched higher yet :)
[13:06] {nemo} 122 is target, then decision is "stocks better, or bonds"
[13:06] {dino} reminds me of late june early july rally
[13:08] {nemo} aa
[13:11] {z} it's configured per the instructions vad, still no luck
[13:13] {Threei}  pragmatic is your best chance for help when he is in
[13:15] {z} np gonna send nemo a screenshot of the error
[13:25] {dino}  sm s pru .49
[13:26] {z} well that worked Nemo, thx
[13:27] {nemo} what, the command?
[13:27] {z} yup sure did
[13:27] {Threei}  cool... what was the problem?
[13:27] {z} when i put 'z' instead of IDENTIFY
[13:27] {z} weird
[13:27] {nemo} he's got something wrong in his setup
[13:27] {nemo} so told him how to run a command log-in, don't forget that
[13:28] {z} i changed the setup so didn't have to type anything when i opened the software after that fix
[13:28] {nemo} cool
[13:28] {nemo} but, don't forget that
[13:28] {z} thx anyways it's all good now
[13:30] {nemo} looks like we're going up again
[13:31] {nemo} FOMC non-event coming up
[13:32] {RonS} almost forgot
[13:32] {nemo} happens when you get old
[13:32] {RonS} happens with a clammy non-event
[13:35] {Threei}  lol
[13:35] {nemo} frickin POT
[13:43] {nemo} ADTN
[13:44] {dino} missed
[13:54] {dino} pru bstop to .40
[13:55] {RonS} ...a truly embarassing putz:  http://tinyurl.com/4236cxs
[13:57] {RonS} Fed's Fisher says "tanks are full" on liquidity, some feel we have overdone it .
[13:58] {RonS} Slovakia Has A Deal On The EFSF (vote Friday)
[13:58] {Threei}  they are idiots
[13:59] {Threei}  liquidity is not a problem
[13:59] {Threei}  there is plenty of liquidity sloshing around
[13:59] {RonS} lol...China Pegs Yuan Even Lower to The Dollar; In Response to Senate Passing Currency Bill
[13:59] {Threei}  and btw finiding its way into makrets and causing rallies
[13:59] {Threei}  lol
[13:59] {dino} smoot hawley again
[13:59] {nemo} now that's funny
[14:01] {dino} pru cov +.09 sheesh
[14:01] {RonS} gs, jpm screwed:  The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation unanimously approved on Tuesday an initial version of the regulation, known as the Volcker Rule. Two other regulators followed suit, and the Securities and Exchange Commission is scheduled to vote on Wednesday.
[14:02] {dino} why not just turn in bank charters that gs took in '08
[14:03] {Threei}  they are so not, ron...
[14:03] {Threei}  they saw it coming for months and prepared long ago
[14:03] {dino} gs is going private imo
[14:03] {Threei}  trading desks are span off
[14:05] {nemo} toothless anyway
[14:10] {RonS} nuts, took my eye off adtn...
[14:11] {RonS} look cx
[14:12] {RonS} nuts, cannot short
[14:13] {Threei}  ron, look at GS
[14:13] {Threei}  does it look like screwed to you? :)
[14:15] {RonS} dunno, 1 year chart isn't exactly bullish...
[14:16] {RonS} -41% off high
[14:25] {RonS} ha... gs ramping on cnbc mention of volker rule - they may exit banking
[14:27] {RonS} ...is this rally over if aapl gives up $400?
[14:28] {nemo} i think iwm has to get to 71.50 area
[14:33] {nemo} r3 for today on iwm is 71, that's a good possibility
[14:37] {Threei}  guys, who has a facebook account
[14:37] {Threei}  you know how I tarde like god when well rested... so help me win this contest and get free weekend in spectacular lodge
[14:37] {Threei}  http://www.facebook.com/vancouverisland.travel?v=app_204169126292521&app_data=obx_1
[14:38] {Threei}  you'll see my entry at the top
[14:38] {Threei}  vote for it
[14:39] {z} wow nice photo vad
[14:39] {Threei}  :)
[14:48] {Threei}  what, no single click? come on
[14:48] {nemo} I did, or at least I thought I did
[14:48] {dino} no facebook acct
[14:49] {RonS} same here
[14:49] {z} same :(
[14:49] {Threei}  why does it say no votes...
[14:49] {nemo} says "voted" on my page
[14:49] {z} i can't even set up mirc correctly vad and you expect me to have a facebook acct.?   :)
[14:50] {Threei}  lol
[14:50] {Threei}  ahha, one appeared
[14:50] {dino} same here z
[14:50] {Threei}  thanks nemo
[14:53] {dino} edmc spike
[14:55] {RonS} fcx going for lod
[14:58] {dino} hig s .75
[15:00] {z} lol ben & jerry's made an Occupie wall street ice cream
[15:00] {z} no surprise there
[15:01] {RonS} can't believe unilever is letting them do this stuff...
[15:01] {z} those guys make obama look like newt gingrich, but good ice cream nonetheless :)
[15:01] {z} yea
[15:10] {dino} dmnd blood
[15:10] {RonS} nuts cracked?
[15:13] {RonS} pringles busted?
[15:13] {dino} lol
[15:18] {z} rimm pretty weak
[15:19] {dino} cov hig .63, +.12
[15:20] {RonS} gj
[15:22] {dino} ty
[15:25] {Threei}  FCX is getting killed
[15:25] {dino} idcc getting killed
[15:26] {dino} dang drop
[15:28] {dino} vsi
[15:28] {Threei}  wow
[15:28] {Threei}  FCX myst be thinking it's open again
[15:28] {patience} in fcx short, copper inventories in china double in inventory than previously believed
[15:28] {dino} wow
[15:28] {dino} can't trust those commies
[15:29] {Threei}  lol
[15:29] {RonS} ...sneaky...
[15:29] {Threei}  they report it now only to bid FCX cheap
[15:29] {Threei}  when they bought it, they'll report "sorry, no such invemntories"
[15:29] {Threei}  FCX will spike, they'll sell and laugh about idiot westerners
[15:29] {RonS} made up then, made up now
[15:29] {dino} no that the analysts
[15:30] {dino} they say buy when high sell when low
[15:30] {Threei}  oaid by those same chinese taders? :)
[15:30] {Threei}  paid
[15:30] {dino} most likely
[15:32] {dino} bus stop calls, later all, thx, decent day
[15:33] {Threei}  take care dino
[15:33] {z} cya dino
[15:33] {dino} :)
[15:49] {nemo} this action is wild
[15:54] {Threei}  no news
[15:54] {Threei}  just sudden move
[15:54] {patience} i saw my screen jump
[15:54] {Threei}  must be hft {G}
[15:54] {nemo} nah,   very important levels reached today, now they're chopping up
[15:59] {z} cya all tomorrow...good calls vad, ty
[15:59] {patience} ty vad
[16:01] {Threei}  thank you all
[16:01] {Threei}  patience... vote for my photo!
[16:01] {patience} i liked victoria pag
[16:01] {Threei}  have a great evening all, see you tomorrow
[16:01] {patience} then it hiccupped
[16:01] {Threei}  ?
[16:01] {larisa} bye :)
[16:01] {Threei}  http://www.facebook.com/vancouverisland.travel?v=app_204169126292521&app_data=cid_603