Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Jan 25 2012

(Course on chart pattern recognition is available now: http://www.realitytrader.com/111trades.html  )

 Nicely profitable day which couple midday stops couldn't spoil.


Session Time: Wed Jan 25 00:00:00 2012
[09:13] {Threei}  time to wake up I am afraid...
[09:16] {Threei}  dino forgot where the door is
[09:17] {JK13} good morning everyone
[09:17] {Threei}  jk :)
[09:19] {Threei}  there you go
[09:19] {dino} knock knock, let me in
[09:19] {Threei}  hehe... [09:16] {Threei} dino forgot where the door is
[09:21] {Threei}  so... blowout AAPL earnings, huge jump - and market is in red?
[09:22] {Threei}  tells us something I guess
[09:28] {dino} rkt?
[09:29] {Threei}  report and guidance
[09:30] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .60 break
[09:31] {Threei}  half lot
[09:31] {Threei}  if stays under .70
[09:32] {Threei} Short Setup: LVS  .85 break
[09:32] {Threei}  if stays under .95
[09:32] {Threei}  invalidated
[09:32] {ese} gm
[09:32] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:33] {Threei}  FCX, trail to .66
[09:34] {Threei}  to .61
[09:34] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  48 break half lot
[09:35] {Threei}  stop under .90
[09:35] {Threei}  cover FCX
[09:36] {Threei}  no go LVS
[09:36] {Threei}  looked like salmon for a min there
[09:37] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .65 break
[09:37] {Threei}  if stays under .75
[09:39] {Threei}  trail to .71
[09:39] {Threei}  target 1:2
[09:39] {Threei}  no way scalpers win this one
[09:40] {Threei}  1:1, half out
[09:40] {Threei}  stop to .66
[09:40] {dino} fcx s ,50
[09:41] {Threei}  1:2, out
[09:42] {Threei}  beauty of aggressive entries... actual setup was .60 break but execution was much easier at interim support
[09:43] {Threei}  friking LVS, rinse
[09:44] {Threei}  housing numbers at 10
[09:45] {dino} stop fcx -.05
[09:46] {Threei}  RIMM...
[09:46] {Threei}  watching for long on pullback
[09:49] {Threei}  support is .15 - .20 area
[09:50] {Threei}  sheesh AAPL
[09:50] {Threei}  widowmaker
[09:51] {Threei}  need another leg down from RIMM to get interested
[09:52] {dino} ksu sm l .75
[09:54] {Threei}  sitting out housing numbers before looking for the next setup
[09:58] {Threei}  keeping SLW on radar for possible short
[10:00] {Threei}  home sales - 3.5% vs -1 E
[10:00] {Threei}  price index 1% vs 0E
[10:01] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .40 break
[10:01] {Threei}  if stays under .50
[10:01] {Threei}  grr, missed RIMM while watching numbers
[10:02] {Threei}  did exactly what I wanted
[10:02] {Threei}  IMF: tells G20 that ECB needs to increase balance sheet to address debt crisis
[10:02] {Threei}  - G20 countries can help the EU expand the bailout fund
[10:05] {dino} mfrm spike3
[10:06] {dino} gpro spike
[10:08] {Threei}  SLW is valid again
[10:08] {Threei}  same condition
[10:10] {Threei}  can't tell scalp or more this time
[10:11] {Threei}  trail to .46
[10:12] {Threei}  want to keep it tight
[10:12] {dino} gpro vsm s .75
[10:12] {Threei}  FOMC day
[10:12] {Threei}  out
[10:12] {dino} ksu to .,80
[10:15] {Threei} Short Setup: LVS  .35 break
[10:16] {Threei}  if stays under .45
[10:17] {dino} gpro stop -.25
[10:19] {dino} life sm s .35
[10:21] {dino} gpro rinse wtf
[10:22] {Threei}  trail to .42
[10:24] {Threei}  1:1
[10:24] {Threei}  covering half, but no firm confidence
[10:25] {Threei}  trail to .36 for the balance
[10:27] {Threei}  if elect taking scalp, I won't hold it against you
[10:30] {Threei}  *(US) DOE CRUDE: +3.56M V +1ME; GASOLINE: -390K V +1.5ME
[10:30] {Threei}  drowning in oil
[10:32] {dino} out ksu .05, +.30
[10:38] {dino} idcc sm l .85
[10:45] {dino} clr
[10:46] {dino} life to b/e
[10:46] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .10 break
[10:47] {dino} idcc to .69 stuck
[10:50] {Threei}  1:1
[10:53] {Threei}  (EU) Officials in the EU calling for EMU to increase the cap on the bailout mechanisms ESM/EFSF - financial press
[10:53] {Threei}  - Notes that G20 countries should match �200B commitment from the Europe to the IMF
[10:53] {Threei}  bunch of idiots
[10:53] {Threei}  stuck on z"more bailout funds" note
[10:56] {dino} out x .24, +.14 ty vad
[10:56] {ese} anybody on this board been to Milan Italy?  am looking for a hotel reservation
[10:57] {dino} life cov .25, +.10
[11:00] {Threei}  1:2, out
[11:01] {Threei}  so far, nice day
[11:01] {Threei}  not overly active but things work
[11:02] {dino} idcc to .07
[11:02] {dino} out +.22
[11:03] {Threei}  most annoying words of 2012: "fair share"
[11:06] {dino} wait until you hear "from each according to ability, to each according to need"
[11:07] {Threei}  hmmm... now THAT wiuld be "back to the future " for me, lol
[11:10] {JohnH}  question: when trade reaches 1:1 but doesn't trade there...
[11:10] {JohnH} do you then put in a limit order at 1:1?
[11:10] {Threei}  if it's something like 1 cent, and a stock looks like it's about to reverse, I just hit the bid
[11:11] {JohnH} got it, so its a decision that must be made at that moment
[11:11] {Threei}  it's not an exact science, can't count on things being precise to 1 cent
[11:11] {Threei}  right
[11:11] {Threei}  sometimes they overshoot a bit, sometimes stall right under the lione
[11:11] {JohnH} LVS @ 10:15 touched 1:1, but then retreated
[11:12] {JohnH} I didn't get out at 1:1 and then watched my profit fade away, until break even.
[11:12] {Threei}  no point in letting a trade that practically reached 1:12 to turn into a loss
[11:12] {Threei}  at the very least stop trailing is warranted
[11:13] {JohnH} right, I get THAT
[11:13] {JohnH} I get out at break even, then cry in my milk
[11:18] {Threei}  watching X again
[11:18] {Threei}  chart was shaping up for .40 break but dive undr .30 puts that on hold for now
[11:19] {dino} gpro spikes again
[11:20] {dino} invn drop
[11:22] {Threei} Long Setup:  X  .40 break
[11:22] {Threei}  half lot
[11:23] {Threei}  Germany cuts solar incentives Apr 1
[11:23] {Threei}  look FSLR
[11:25] {JohnH} is that GN genuine news? clearly if it goes UP, then must be FSN?
[11:25] {Threei}  I am pretty sure it's FSN
[11:26] {JohnH} right, its politics, so some knew it was coming.
[11:26] {Threei}  look at FSLR daily chart,
[11:26] {Threei}  down from over 100 to 30
[11:27] {Threei}  and I've seen discussions of this cut here and there for a month at least
[11:27] {dino} pii sm s .20
[11:27] {JohnH} down from 175
[11:28] {JohnH} March '11
[11:28] {Threei}  yeah
[11:28] {Threei}  so, beaten down hard, bleak news are coming out, stock spikes...
[11:28] {Threei}  classic, isn't it
[11:28] {JohnH} yes
[11:29] {Threei}  proof of concept so to speak
[11:29] {JohnH} ahh, to be the fleecor, rather than the fleecee
[11:29] {JohnH} good to see a Bill C reference
[11:29] {Threei}  short seller at 37.65 rereads the news for the third time by now, trying to understand what just happened
[11:30] {JohnH} heh heh
[11:30] {JohnH} alright X, now do the right thing
[11:31] {Threei}  German Chancellor Merkel: a global financial transaction tax is not likely
[11:31] {Threei}  so, going to shoot yourself in the foot? by all means
[11:32] {Threei}  no go X
[11:32] {Threei}  glad I cut it to half lot
[11:32] {dino} bki drop
[11:33] {JohnH} I won't ever say that again
[11:33] {dino} vsm l .50
[11:50] {dino} pii stop -.38 big slip
[11:51] {Threei}  General Motors Corp CEO: Cannot predict Volt sales this year, but have resolved the issues with the electric car and the Volt is as safe as any traditional combustion engine vehicle - CNBC interview
[11:51] {Threei}  {Crash Dummies} Nope... not getting into that without new perks
[11:52] {rambler} finally.....morning all
[11:53] {Threei}  morning rambler
[11:53] {rambler} inyernet down this morning
[11:53] {rambler} internet
[11:53] {Threei}  wind?
[11:54] {rambler} not sure....tele as well
[11:55] {rambler} how goes the morning....?
[11:55] {Threei}  nice today
[11:55] {rambler} good to hear.....
[11:55] {Threei}  not exceptional but steady
[12:04] {dino} rkt sm l .75
[12:06] {dino} tea spike
[12:07] {andj} Good morning Threei
[12:14] {Threei}  andj :)
[12:14] {Threei}  FOMC vhanged the schedule
[12:14] {Threei}  rate decision is at 12:30
[12:15] {Threei}  economic forecats at 14:00
[12:15] {Threei}  Ben's conf call 14:15
[12:15] {dino} gpro keeps going
[12:15] {Threei}  The biggest unknown today is how the policy statement will handle the introduction of the new rate path forecasts, introduced to further the goal of increased Fed transparency. The current policy statement language says that conditions will "likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013." This language in the 12:30ET statement may be altered to better match the new rate forecasts, or it may stay unaltered to signify the earliest possible timeframe for rate tightening.
[12:23] {Threei}  - Given the significance of the introduction of this rate path forecast, it is unlikely that the Fed will make any additional policy changes today (i.e. QE3).
[12:23] {Threei}  - At his press conference at 14:15ET, Bernanke will likely spend the bulk of his time discussing and interpreting the new rate path forecasts and how it is increasing Fed transparency.
[12:23] {Threei}  so, as much as latest FOMC days became non-event, today's will be doubly so
[12:25] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .90 break
[12:25] {Threei}  half lot
[12:26] {Threei}  if stays under 44
[12:27] {Threei}  no change to rate
[12:27] {dino} spike
[12:27] {Threei}  stays at .25% as expected
[12:28] {Threei}  Exceptionally low rates through at least 2014
[12:29] {andj} Is fcx because the last resistance was at 44?
[12:29] {Threei}  - Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who preferred to omit the description of the time period over which economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate.
[12:29] {Threei}  it was a topping out bounce
[12:29] {Threei}  market spike ruined the setup
[12:30] {Threei}  but new one may be forming
[12:30] {Threei}  ugh, too fast
[12:31] {Threei}  44 break was the trigger but occured faster than I could type an alert
[12:32] {Threei}  ok, double top
[12:32] {Threei}  if stays under .10
[12:32] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  44 break
[12:32] {Threei}  half lot
[12:33] {Threei}  invalidated
[12:33] {dino} gut says up
[12:34] {Threei}  mine is silent like a drunken sailor in the morning
[12:36] {dino} pall spike
[12:37] {dino} bki to .40
[12:38] {dino} rkt to b/e
[12:39] {dino} out bki .41 +.91
[12:39] {Threei}  wtg
[12:39] {dino} ty
[12:39] {dino} rkt to .85 stingy
[12:50] {dino} .
[12:50] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .25 break
[12:50] {Threei}  half lot of course
[12:50] {Threei}  if stays under .40
[12:52] {Threei}  no go
[12:56] {thomcbell} wow slw
[13:00] {dino} rkt sm l .49
[13:02] {Threei}  market spikes with no setups
[13:03] {ese} not away......justing trying to book a hotel for 2 nights in Milan
[13:03] {Threei}  STT sells down hard
[13:05] {dino} odd
[13:06] {dino} out rkt .83, +.34
[13:07] {ese} it's about time HDY came around...still into it from yesterday at .40
[13:07] {rambler} wtg Dino....
[13:07] {dino} ty
[13:09] {ese} we need to think of another superlative for dino.......something like " holy fr...kin doodle...once again he!!!!!!!"
[13:09] {ese} nah.....too long
[13:09] {ese} ummmmmmmm
[13:09] {Threei}  lol
[13:09] {ese} eeeeeeeeyeowwwwwwzaaaaaa!!!!
[13:09] {ese} nah.........still too long
[13:10] {Threei} Long Setup:  STT  .60 break
[13:10] {Threei}  if stays above .50
[13:10] {ese} ya ok WTFG........wtfg...small caps for just ok big caps for amazing
[13:12] {Threei}  target 1:2
[13:12] {Threei}  but if you take a scalp, I'll understand
[13:12] {ese} lol
[13:12] {Threei}  :)
[13:14] {Threei}  new market spike
[13:15] {Threei}  STT is obviously moving against
[13:16] {Threei}  now it's moving with
[13:16] {Threei}  shrug
[13:18] {Threei}  Euro vs US Dollar Extending gains above $1.3090, 1-month high
[13:18] {Threei}  that's what a promise to keep rates at the bottom for 3 more years does
[13:18] {ese} l
[13:19] {Threei}  and of course:
[13:19] {Threei}  Some capital markets groups turn lower following FOMC statement- Returns on interest rate products will remain hard to come by for things like fixed annuities and money markets which appears to be resulting in some selling. Related (MET SCHW TRV HIG AMTD AFL EV LNC FII AB PRU )
[13:19] {Threei}  another hit under the belt for savers
[13:22] {rambler} STT stop..
[13:22] {dino} pii spike
[13:23] {Threei}  seond day in a row, morning is a thing iof beauty and everything after that is quite questionable
[13:27] {Threei} Short Setup: HIG  .30 break
[13:37] {thomcbell} rimm kangaroo vad
[13:38] {Threei}  .30 break would be a short trigger for that one
[13:38] {Threei}  if stays under .40
[13:44] {Threei}  valid as double top now
[13:44] {Threei}  wouldn't say it's the best of setups, but valid
[13:48] {Threei}  1:1
[13:49] {thomcbell} rimm 1:1
[13:49] {Threei}  nice
[13:50] {Threei}  let's trail HIG t .36
[13:50] {dino} wow stt
[13:50] {Threei}  wow it is
[13:59] {thomcbell} trailing stop to 16.26 on rimm
[13:59] {thomcbell} market showing quite a bit here
[14:00] {Threei}  FOMC forecast on wires now
[14:00] {Threei}  to juice things up again :)
[14:00] {dino} sm s life .01
[14:02] {Threei}  stop to .31 HIG
[14:03] {Threei}  no risk position
[14:03] {thomcbell} slw 33.65 short entry
[14:03] {thomcbell} 1/2 lot
[14:04] {thomcbell} rimm 2.5:1
[14:04] {thomcbell} covering balance
[14:04] {Threei}  wtg
[14:04] {Threei}  finally HIG
[14:04] {Threei}  half out
[14:04] {Threei}  took its sweet time, eh
[14:05] {Threei}  scalpers be happy
[14:05] {Threei}  I think it's worth a try for another leg down
[14:07] {Threei}  out in full
[14:07] {Threei}  these two trades cement the day as nicely profitable
[14:08] {thomcbell} using 33.77 stop on slw
[14:19] {dino} met drop
[14:19] {Threei}  MET is same as HIG
[14:19] {Threei}  affected by this FOMC
[14:21] {dino} met sm l .50
[14:31] {Threei}  works nicely
[14:31] {thomcbell} SLW out -0.12
[14:32] {dino} out met .70, +.20
[14:33] {dino} life to .90
[14:36] {dino} make it .85
[14:38] {dino} cov life .76, +.25
[14:41] {Threei}  wtg
[14:41] {Threei}  day shaped up nicely
[14:41] {Threei}  couple stops midday couldn't spoil it
[14:42] {Threei}  let's see if we can find couple finishing scalps
[14:42] {dino} ty
[14:42] {rambler} Vad, did you take a scalp on the STT trade ?
[14:43] {Threei}  no, that one got stopped
[14:43] {rambler} tks
[14:43] {Threei}  RIMM and HIG made up for that, twice over
[14:46] {Threei}  (US) Treasury Sec Geithner: Economy still undergoing damage from the financial crisis; markets alone cannot solve the economy's problems
[14:47] {Threei}  but gethtner can
[14:58] {rambler} FCX s 46.01
[14:58] {dino} nuva spike
[15:00] {rambler} out   .08
[15:01] {dino} nuva sm s break .25
[15:04] {rambler} can't short NUVA...
[15:05] {Threei}  oh god...
[15:05] {rambler} FCX salmon...
[15:05] {dino} cyber has it
[15:05] {Threei}  Davos: Capitalism no longer works
[15:05] {Threei}  imbeciles
[15:05] {dino} look at sell orders
[15:06] {Threei}  halted
[15:07] {Threei}  news pending
[15:07] {dino} they're going to screw me on that
[15:08] {Threei}  depends on news...
[15:15] {dino} medtronics losses bid for injunction
[15:29] {Threei}  ramp up into eod, IMO
[15:45] {Threei}  slow...
[15:45] {Threei}  near impossible to find the play
[15:50] {dino} looks like they make me hold overnight
[15:50] {Threei}  looks this way
[15:51] {Threei}  (EU) ECB now said to be discussing methods in which it could deal with any forced losses on Greece bonds - financial press
[15:51] {Threei}  - Reminder: Earlier today reports indicated that hope was being lost in the EU in reaching a voluntary debt agreement and that the ECB could potentially assume losses on Greece bond positions
[15:56] {Threei}  ok guys, thank you all
[15:56] {Threei}  have a good evening, see you tonorrow
[15:58] {JK13} gn
[15:58] {Threei}  hold on
[15:58] {Threei}  wanted to show you one thing
[15:58] {rambler} cya tomorrow...
[15:58] {Threei}  just published:
[15:58] {Threei}  http://www.sevenbyfive.net/photos/photo-profile-vadym-graifer/




Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Jan 24 2012

(Course on chart pattern recognition is available now: http://www.realitytrader.com/111trades.html  )

 Tiresome day - started nicely positively, went to about break-even to slightly negative and climbed back to slightly positive. All in all, felt a bit like work.


Session Time: Tue Jan 24 00:00:00 2012
[09:03] }_mark1} hello
[09:03] }Threei}  good morning mark
[09:03] }_mark1} gm first time here
[09:03] }Threei}  I guess it means time to wake up...
[09:03] }nemo} sheesh...here we go with the pleasantries again....gag
[09:03] }Threei}  welcome
[09:04] }Threei}  yes nemo... there are polite [ep[le around, you know
[09:04] }Threei}  people
[09:04] }nemo} I prefer Woland
[09:04] }Threei}  he was very polite
[09:05] }Threei}  deadly but polite
[09:05] }Threei}  (GR) S&P Chamber's: Greece likely to be Downgraded to selective default during H1 of 2012; move is a matter 'of when not if'
[09:06] }Threei}  (PT) Portugal Fin Mn: Portugal was not discussed at Ecofin
[09:07] }Threei}  Ecofin: what to discuss... we tried to avoid politica, money, sex, religion...
[09:08] }Threei}  Moammar Gadhafi loyalists have seized control of Libyan town, officials and fighters say
[09:09] }Threei}  you know, I think I could easily write headlines from middle east for the next 100 years... I wouldn't get some names right but other than that...
[09:10] }JK13} good morning all
[09:10] }Threei}  jk :)
[09:10] }ese} morning
[09:10] }Threei}  ese :)
[09:10] }ese} jk
[09:10] }ese} vad
[09:11] }JK13} ese:)
[09:11] }Threei}  anyone has a title fpr this, feel free to chime in:
[09:11] }Threei}  http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=197900756975541&set=a.107450996020518.10603.100002668551123&type=1&theater
[09:12] }cipher} it's a little out of focus
[09:12] }ese} lol
[09:12] }Threei}  lol
[09:13] }JK13} "I see the snow has melted"
[09:13] }ese} talented photographic eye if i've ever seen one
[09:13] }Threei}  hehe
[09:13] }Threei}  post right there
[09:13] }Threei}  Some Chevrolet dealers are turning down Volts that General Motors wants to ship to them, a potential stumbling block as GM looks to accelerate sales of the plug-in hybrid.
[09:13] }Threei}  Read more: http://www.autonews.com/article/20120123/RETAIL07/301239977#ixzz1kNvz9zjl
[09:13] }Threei}  gosh... even dealers don't want their allocation?
[09:17] }rambler} good morning...
[09:17] }Threei}  rambler :)
[09:18] }Threei}  no opening trade candidate yet but it's likely to be a short
[09:18] }_mark1} may i ask a question?
[09:19] }Threei}  sure
[09:19] }ese} rambler
[09:19] }_mark1} im looking at a down day but by how much?
[09:19] }Threei}  it's a very easy one to answer:
[09:19] }Threei}  no one knows, and it's far from given that it will end in red
[09:20] }Threei}  don't try to build your trading on prediction... anyone claiming to know is either a fool or a fraud
[09:20] }rambler} morning ese..
[09:21] }Threei}  you don't need to predict to be able to trade profitably
[09:22] }Threei}  trading is a process of following the standard procedure based on familiar setups, where each given trade may fail but over a statistically valid number of samples they work in your favor
[09:25] }Threei}  if it were not for an opwning volatility, I'd say TZA .65 break long
[09:26] }Threei}  if we get SPY spike at the open, TZA is likely to bottom out around .45 - .50
[09:26] }Threei}  short FCX is snother one in mind
[09:26] }Threei}  half lot but no clear entry point yet
[09:30] }Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .40 break
[09:30] }Threei}  if stays under .50
[09:30] }Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .65 break
[09:30] }Threei}  if stays above .55
[09:31] }Threei}  FCX 1:1
[09:34] }Threei}  TZA invalidated
[09:34] }Threei}  wow
[09:34] }Threei}  that's volaitlity
[09:34] }nemo} ow
[09:35] }Threei}  1:1, bastid
[09:35] }dino} stop flat
[09:36] }Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .35 break
[09:36] }Threei}  if stays under .45 scalpers, .50 day traders
[09:37] }Threei}  scalpers 1:1
[09:37] }Threei}  daytraders 1:1
[09:40] }Threei}  stop to .26
[09:40] }Threei}  choke it
[09:40] }Threei}  to .21 now
[09:41] }dino} cov fcx +.15 ty vad
[09:41] }thomcbell} ksu on radar long
[09:41] }dino} saw that
[09:41] }nemo} watch tna as/if spy gets nearer 130.40
[09:42] }dino} zion, idcc
[09:42] }Threei}  welcome
[09:42] }Threei}  FCX? or SLW?
[09:43] }Threei}  stop to .16
[09:44] }Threei}  out in full
[09:44] }rambler} beauty Vad...tks
[09:45] }Threei}  welcome kind sir
[09:45] }Threei}  no one called me a beauty for many years
[09:45] }Threei}  oh, you meant a trade...
[09:45] }rambler} you are this morning....
[09:46] }Threei}  wait, I'll get some exygen for my wife, 'cause she is likely to choke laughing when I show her that
[09:46] }Threei}  oxygen
[09:46] }rambler} lol
[09:46] }Threei}  watching TZA for entry on pullback
[09:47] }Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .75 break
[09:47] }Threei}  if stays above .70
[09:48] }Threei}  valid still
[09:49] }Threei}  not anymore, but on watch for another trigger
[09:51] }Threei}  how much idiocy can you squeeze into single comment?
[09:51] }Threei}  answer:
[09:51] }Threei}  (US) Reminder: IMF to release its updated economic and financial forecasts
[09:51] }Threei}  - On Jan 19th press reports noted that IMF draft World Economic Outlook (WEO) would cut its Global GDP growth outlook to 3.3% from 4.0% prior
[09:51] }Threei}  - IMF's Chief Lagarde did commented that Euro zone growth was slowing sharply, more central bank easing is needed
[09:51] }Threei}  - global economy could slide back towards a "1930s moment"
[09:52] }Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .70 break
[09:52] }dino} rbn sm l .01
[09:53] }Threei}  if stays above .60
[09:53] }Threei}  if dives under .65, try to get in aggressively on .65 recross
[09:53] }Threei}  if stays above .60 again
[09:55] }dino} wat spike
[09:55] }Threei}  no go
[09:55] }Threei}  first stop
[09:56] }Threei}  let's take a breather and reevaluate
[09:56] }Threei}  looks like SPY prepares for a break of .90
[09:58] }Threei}  *(US) JAN RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING INDEX: 12 V 6.0E
[09:59] }Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .50 break
[09:59] }Threei}  *IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK (WEO) OFFICIALLY CONFIRMS CUT IN 2012 GLOBAL GDP OUTLOOK TO 3.3% FROM 4.0% PRIOR
[10:00] }Threei}  stop above .60 FCX
[10:00] }Threei}  headlines turn the market on a dime
[10:01] }Threei}  yikes
[10:01] }Threei}  stop
[10:02] }JohnH} I got filled at .62, that hurt
[10:03] }Threei}  hmm?
[10:03] }Threei}  normal stop
[10:03] }Threei}  how did it hurt beyond usual
[10:05] }JohnH} I had a tighter stop as a result of a late/low fill
[10:05] }Threei}  are you using market orders?
[10:05] }JohnH} watching it blow thru, and not trade for a few seconds
[10:05] }JohnH} no, no market orders
[10:06] }Threei}  why low fill then
[10:07] }JohnH} when it triggered I got in at .46
[10:07] }JohnH} so I had a lower stop, I didn't want to risk all the way to .60
[10:08] }Threei}  this is not the right way to structure a trade...
[10:08] }JohnH} ok
[10:08] }Threei}  you are chasing too much - 4 cents for a 10-cents stop placement scews r/r too much,
[10:08] }JohnH} right
[10:09] }Threei}  and placing a stop arbitrarily because of your fill and not where the chart indicates ruins the very idea of trading of chart structure
[10:10] }JohnH} but with slippage and commissions, 1:1 r/r is really .15 risk/.10 reward (assuming scalping)?
[10:10] }Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  .50 break
[10:11] }Threei}  if stays above .40
[10:11] }dino} wow wat
[10:11] }Threei}  invalidated
[10:11] }Threei}  watching for reestablishing
[10:12] }Threei}  valid again
[10:12] }Threei}  sheesh
[10:12] }Threei}  no vhance for entry
[10:13] }Threei}  if pulls back to .50, second chance is valid
[10:14] }Threei}  ok
[10:14] }Threei}  stop under .40
[10:14] }Threei}  1:1
[10:14] }Threei}  target 1:2
[10:14] }Threei}  stop to .48 for the balance
[10:15] }rambler} wow...I missed that one....
[10:15] }Threei}  dove right into .50
[10:15] }Threei}  scalpers win
[10:17] }Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  .50 break half lot
[10:17] }Threei}  if stays above .40
[10:17] }Threei}  deja vu
[10:18] }Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .70 break
[10:18] }Threei}  if stays above .60
[10:19] }dino} wat vsm s .30
[10:19] }Threei}  volstility id bit too big so cutting TNA to half lot this time
[10:20] }thomcbell} lvs looks like a 47.45 short entry Vad
[10:20] }Threei}  I'd take .50 break
[10:23] }Threei}  TNA 1:1
[10:24] }Threei}  disregard FCX long
[10:24] }pragmatic} target for TNA ?
[10:24] }Threei}  1:2
[10:24] }Threei}  but play by the book
[10:24] }thomcbell} y - i was trying to figure that one out -
[10:24] }Threei}  stop is trailed to .48 for the balance
[10:25] }Threei}  change FCX to short
[10:25] }Threei}  .60 break trigger
[10:25] }Threei}  if stays under .70
[10:25] }thomcbell} lvs invalidated
[10:26] }Threei}  TNA, scalpers win again
[10:26] }Threei}  come on FCX, time to roll over and die
[10:27] }dino} cov wat .70, +.60
[10:28] }dino} too soon
[10:28] }Threei}  wtg
[10:28] }dino} thx
[10:28] }thomcbell} need help with this one VAD - ksu reverse cup and handle possibly developing
[10:29] }dino} meli spike
[10:29] }Threei}  close FCX
[10:29] }Threei}  no read on it here anymore, that long tail is very much a cangaroo one
[10:30] }nemo} vrx
[10:30] }Threei}  no idea on KSU
[10:30] }Threei}  does look like short but volatility is horrific
[10:31] }thomcbell} ok that looks like almost 4:1
[10:31] }thomcbell} lol
[10:31] }dino} ksu hitting vwap
[10:32] }dino} last bounce was 65.25 area
[10:32] }Threei} Long Setup:  X  .15 break
[10:33] }Threei}  stop under .05
[10:33] }dino} mkt wants opening gaps imo
[10:33] }Threei}  1:1
[10:39] }dino} deck drop
[10:41] }dino} eat sm l .51
[10:41] }Threei}  out in full .32
[10:43] }thomcbell} good instincts Vad on FCX
[10:46] }Threei}  wow X
[10:46] }Threei}  had more in it
[10:47] }thomcbell} lvs 47.69 break
[10:47] }thomcbell} target 2:1
[10:48] }thomcbell} good volume coming in last 3 minutes
[10:51] }thomcbell} lvs stop 47.60
[10:56] }thomcbell} closing lvs
[10:56] }thomcbell} -0.05
[10:59] }Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .80 break half lot
[11:00] }dino} wat bounce
[11:02] }ese} L HDY .40
[11:03] }ese} got out of this at .36 yesterday for +.13
[11:03] }ese} feelin like it still wants up
[11:04] }thomcbell} lvs now shows relative strength
[11:04] }ese} and..........I like the look and feel of the daily chart
[11:05] }dino} out eat +.07
[11:06] }thomcbell} daily looks incredible on lvs
[11:06] }ese} were we eatin?
[11:06] }ese} indeed it does tom
[11:06] }thomcbell} like the recent above avg volume
[11:08] }ese} it's breaking up as we speak
[11:09] }thomcbell} yes - i didnt follow the book on my 47.69 entry
[11:10] }Threei}  no go
[11:10] }Threei}  not delighted
[11:10] }Threei}  what's with sudden spikes again
[11:10] }Threei}  no news
[11:11] }Threei}  (IR) EU officials confirm that discussions took place with some nations in Asia on moving forward with similar Iran oil type embargo to the one recently agreed upon in Europe
[11:11] }Threei}  - Hope that India and China at the very least will not increase their Iran oil imports as the EU embargo goes into effect mid-year.
[11:11] }Threei}  yeah, that's going to be effective
[11:13] }dino} out rbn +.20
[11:17] }dino} wat vsm s .37
[11:18] }dino} stop .60 -.23
[11:22] }dino} wat vsm s .50 break
[11:25] }dino} stop
[11:30] }rambler} what's up with water today?
[11:31] }nemo} ?
[11:31] }rambler} WAT...
[11:31] }nemo} ahhh
[11:40] }Threei}  watching FAZ
[11:40] }Threei}  dive closer to .70 should provide long entry
[11:42] }Threei}  FCX rinsed the short
[11:43] }dino} wat vsm s .50
[11:45] }nemo} cat on vwap
[11:47] }Threei}  so far today looks like a day where one should have stopped trading after first 30-40 min
[11:47] }Threei}  but every time I ask about going home, what do I hear?
[11:48] }nemo} ur already home
[11:48] }Threei}  there
[11:48] }nemo} you get to sit there in your boxers and drink vodka....what's the problem?
[11:48] }Threei}  FAZ no pullback
[11:49] }Threei}  if SPY loses .20, FAZ will just break out
[11:50] }Threei}  not sure I want to buy this break
[11:50] }Threei}  most of them run into rinses today
[11:58] }dino} qcor spike
[11:59] }ese} outaa here.....am giving a math exam this morning......anybody wanna take it
[12:00] }dino} cov wat .08, +.42
[12:00] }Threei}  nice
[12:00] }Threei}  take care ese
[12:01] }Threei}  (EU) ECB's Praet: Indications are that the EMU economy is stabilizing; reiterates there is no option for countries to leave the EMU
[12:01] }Threei}  hotel california
[12:04] }dino} qcor vsm s .75
[12:05] }JK13} Vad what do think Fcx long here
[12:05] }Threei}  chart is right
[12:06] }Threei}  follow-through today is questionable
[12:06] }Threei}  not sure
[12:09] }dino} cov qcor .35, +.40
[12:09] }cipher} wtg
[12:11] }dino} ty
[12:11] }dino} things pulp
[12:29] }dino} wow qcor drop
[12:35] }Threei}  QCOR is a mystery
[12:35] }Threei}  11:59 news says "financial blog makes cautious comments"
[12:35] }dino} 3 buck bounce and 2 buck drop. news?
[12:36] }Threei}  see above
[12:36] }Threei}  I've no idea why it went up on that
[12:45] }dino} bvsn wow last few days
[12:46] }cc_8} monster
[12:50] }Threei}  lol BVSN
[12:50] }dino} thing keeps going
[12:50] }Threei}  pulp incorporated
[12:51] }Threei}  $1.40 in one breath
[12:53] }Threei}  another $2 in the next one
[12:53] }dino} i can't borrow it, altho that may be a good thing
[12:53] }Threei}  no kidding
[12:53] }Threei}  good luck managing risk on that one
[12:54] }Threei}  even papertrading it is too risky
[12:54] }dino} have to trade 10 shares
[12:57] }dino} wat rolling over?
[12:58] }Threei}  market spikes again...
[13:04] }Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .95 break
[13:05] }Threei}  if stays above .85
[13:07] }dino} wat vsm s .11
[13:11] }dino} to .80
[13:12] }dino} cov .74, +.37
[13:12] }dino} wat
[13:12] }cipher} nice
[13:13] }dino} ty
[13:15] }Threei}  TZA target 1:3
[13:15] }dino} rpxc drop
[13:19] }dino} bvsn continues
[13:19] }Threei}  ok TZA... time to launch
[13:23] }nemo} you've got until spy reaces .06
[13:24] }cipher} +.20 rpxc thx dino
[13:27] }Threei}  let's tighten stop to .89
[13:29] }dino} gj cipher
[13:29] }nemo} coh to the whole
[13:37] }dino} afternoons are still slow
[13:37] }Threei}  yeah
[13:38] }Threei}  but there is some underlying change
[13:39] }Beau} still seeing 1:3 vad
[13:39] }Threei}  yes, so far
[13:40] }Threei}  first partial at 1:1
[13:40] }Threei}  and stop to .94
[13:46] }Threei}  noooo... anything but this:
[13:46] }Threei}  Bank of America Corp Planning to inform investment banker employees of cut in compensation nearing 25% - financial press- Reminder: Morgan Stanley recently announced its plans to cut some compensation by 20-30%
[13:46] }Threei}  my eyes are filling up with tears
[13:46] }Threei}  my heart with sadness
[13:47] }Threei}  I see crying children having to go to sleep with no new Porche
[13:48] }Threei}  I may find some consolation iks this though:
[13:48] }Threei}  JPMorgan Chase and Co CEO Dimon: Planning to stay with the company for 3-5 years or more - Fox business interview
[13:51] }Threei}  meanwhile, scalpers win once again
[13:53] }nemo} bvsn
[13:56] }dino} wow
[13:57] }Threei}  lol
[13:57] }Threei}  up on no news, down on no news
[13:57] }Threei}  which would be fine if not the mind-boggling scale of the move
[13:58] }nemo} guy I know shorted it at 43.70
[14:01] }dino} that was somethin, 11 bucks up, 6 down
[14:06] }Threei}  National Poll: #Gingrich 35%, #Romney 28%, #Santorum 16%, #Paul 10%
[14:07] }Threei}  that Ron Paul polls below Santorum is... just sick
[14:14] }Threei}  BVSN had more of that in the store
[14:20] }dino} qcor moves back up
[14:25] }dino} w2lt spike
[14:25] }dino} wlt
[14:32] }dino} uthr drop
[14:36] }dino} vsm l .25
[14:37] }dino} out .65,
[14:37] }dino} .+.40
[14:37] }dino} too soon
[14:37] }dino} bummer
[14:38] }Threei}  watching TNA for pullback entry
[14:38] }dino} thought that was code for porn
[14:39] }Threei}  lol
[14:39] }dino} wow uthr, i chickened out of that a buck early
[14:49] }Threei} Long Setup:  TNA  .60 break
[14:49] }Threei}  if stays above .50
[14:49] }dino} gg drop
[14:56] }Threei}  1:1
[14:58] }Threei}  with this scalp I am at b/e for the day... that begs a question: was it really worth waking up?
[14:58] }Threei}  especially considering grey weather
[14:59] }dino} ango drop
[15:00] }dino} nanoknife sys recall
[15:00] }Threei}  lowers 2012 rev guidance
[15:01] }dino} should go lower
[15:02] }dino} but its not
[15:07] }Threei}  AAPL rwport, SoTU speech, and FOMC started today
[15:07] }Threei}  enough for the market to be hesitant
[15:08] }Threei}  wow ANGO
[15:08] }Threei}  full recovery
[15:11] }JK13} tna
[15:12] }Threei}  what can I say... after almost every trade ended in scalp, how do you stay with this one
[15:12] }JK13} what is with the spike
[15:12] }Threei}  no news
[15:13] }JK13} it looks like dow is finishing the day above 12380 and Spy above 131.50
[15:14] }JK13} 12680
[15:25] }Threei}  FCX
[15:25] }Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  44 break
[15:27] }thomcbell} JOY raises mining cap-ex forecast - Bloomberg          *JOY GLOBAL SAYS MINING COMPANIES' CAPEX TO RISE 15% IN 2012 (had said would rise 10%)
[15:31] }dino} gg sm l .15
[15:33] }Threei}  invalidated
[15:36] }dino} out gg .25, +.10
[15:39] }Threei} Short Setup: FCX  44 break
[15:40] }Threei}  stop above .05
[15:40] }dino} son of a... the joy you typed, i was looking for joyg, not joy
[15:40] }dino} bvsn drop
[15:41] }dino} wow negative
[15:41] }nemo} silly
[15:41] }Threei}  sheesh
[15:43] }dino} kill the shorts then kill the longs
[15:44] }nemo} look at IWM, just coming back to trend
[15:44] }Threei}  out FCX
[15:44] }Threei}  crawled into positive territory
[15:44] }nemo} spy is oscillating around  a long term retracement level since the 19th
[15:52] }dino} nemo, how's the job going?
[15:53] }nemo} jury's out...I'm at home today...I'll go in tomorrow and Thursday, then got stuff Friday afternoon and evening.  Not sure if the benefit is there
[15:55] }dino} good luck
[15:55] }nemo} ty
[15:55] }Threei}  well, ending in plus but fully feeling that it was a teeth-pulling day
[15:56] }Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
[15:56] }Threei}  see you tonorrow
[15:56] }Threei}  who wants fireworks, stay and watch APPL
[15:56] }JK13} gn all, thanks Vad
[15:56] }dino} markets acting a bit differently last few days
[15:57] }Threei}  AAPL too
[15:57] }Threei}  I feel so too dino
[15:57] }Threei}  sonething's brewing
[15:57] }rambler} cya in the a.m.....
[15:57] }dino} risk off coming
[15:57] }Threei}  hope so
[15:57] }dino} i am shorting much more lately
[15:57] }Threei}  really want to trade downside market rather than this tiresomly slow climb
[15:58] }dino} understood
[16:00] }dino} gn all
[16:00] }dino} thx for ideas
[16:00] }nemo} GN

Monday, January 23, 2012

Jan 23 2012

(Course on chart pattern recognition is available now: http://www.realitytrader.com/111trades.html   )

 Moderately profitable day although scalpers got more wins than those who partialed out and trailed - follow-through was miserable.



Session Time: Mon Jan 23 00:00:00 2012
[09:09] {stewy} good morn vad
[09:09] {Threei}  good morning
[09:09] {rambler} morning...
[09:10] {Threei}  rambler :)
[09:13] {JK13} good morning
[09:13] {Threei}  jk :)
[09:13] {Beau} good morning you all
[09:14] {Threei}  beau :)
[09:14] {nemo} this place has become much too polite
[09:14] {Threei}  yours to fix
[09:15] {nemo} that would be a long term project.  I have to go back in to the office tomorrow
[09:15] {Threei}  gptta start somewhere
[09:15] {nemo} Oh, found out my translation of Master and Margerita was from an "approved" translation so it's missing some material
[09:22] {Threei}  RIMM... CEO change is not looking positive so far
[09:22] {Threei}  my guess is, that's because new CEO said no sale
[09:23] {Threei}  and market isn't convinced RIMM can make it on its own
[09:24] {Threei}  (IT) Italy PM Monti to visit Washington DC on Feb 9th to discuss financial firewalls at the While House
[09:27] {Threei}  no clear opening play yet
[09:27] {Threei}  RIMM short if we are lucky to get decent bounce
[09:30] {ese} morning
[09:31] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:31] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .45 break half lot
[09:31] {Threei}  if stays under .55
[09:31] {Threei}  no chance eh
[09:32] {nemo} bids and offers just dropped
[09:32] {Threei}  yup
[09:32] {JohnH} I got it. done at 1:1
[09:32] {Threei}  cool, wtg
[09:33] {Threei}  let's see if we get a bounce for another short
[09:33] {Threei}  let it go over .50
[09:33] {Threei}  to short the recross back down if stays under .60
[09:34] {JK13} fcx 1:1
[09:34] {Threei}  wtg
[09:34] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .90 break
[09:34] {Threei}  if stays above .80
[09:35] {Threei}  tighten to .84
[09:36] {Threei}  let's take profit in full
[09:36] {Threei}  1:1
[09:36] {Threei}  lol, got fill at .06
[09:37] {stewy} got slw thx
[09:37] {JK13} slw 1:1  tks Vad
[09:37] {rambler} nice one Vad..
[09:37] {Threei}  :)
[09:37] {Threei}  FCX is weaker than I'd expect
[09:37] {Beau} thanks vad +.13
[09:37] {Threei}  welcome guys
[09:37] {Threei}  pleasant start to the week
[09:38] {Threei}  despite nemo's presence
[09:38] {Threei}  there... feeling better about room being too polite??
[09:38] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .30 break
[09:38] {Threei}  if stays under .40
[09:40] {Threei} Short Setup: SLW  .30 break
[09:40] {Threei}  FCX 1:1
[09:40] {Threei}  SLW invalidated but on radar
[09:41] {Threei}  SLW same setup
[09:41] {Threei}  valid again
[09:42] {Threei}  stop above .40
[09:42] {Threei}  target 1:2
[09:42] {Threei}  no go
[09:43] {Threei}  what's got into spy?
[09:43] {Threei}  no news
[09:43] {Threei} Short Setup: RIMM  16 break
[09:44] {Threei}  stop above .10
[09:44] {rambler} can't short...
[09:45] {Threei}  yeah, not available here either
[09:45] {ese} L DECK .95
[09:46] {Threei}  1:1
[09:47] {Threei}  ugh... SLW got away, thought of .50 short but got no consolidation
[09:49] {Threei}  RIMM 1:2, feel free to cover who got it
[09:49] {stewy} got rimm 1;2 THX
[09:49] {Threei}  :)
[09:49] {JohnH} FCX short at .65?
[09:50] {Threei}  not sure
[09:50] {Threei}  .70 break is real possibility
[09:50] {thomcbell} nothing there yet
[09:50] {thomcbell} fcx
[09:50] {thomcbell} according to my new visiion
[09:50] {JohnH} I figured good stop at .75
[09:50] {thomcbell} :)
[09:52] {Threei} Long Setup:  FNB  .50 break
[09:52] {ese} I think i remember hating this stock..."deck" that is....sheesh..spread a mile wide and bops all over the place
[09:52] {dino} deck toughie
[09:53] {Threei}  look FNB daily ese
[09:53] {Threei}  your style
[09:53] {thomcbell} lvs vad?
[09:53] {thomcbell} looking for scalp short entry?
[09:53] {ese} will in a sec.......this is lookin like it's gonna stop me out
[09:53] {Threei}  probably, LVS...
[09:54] {Threei}  if market helps
[09:55] {ese} daaaaaaaaa.........out .68 -.27
[09:55] {Threei}  FNB if triggers - stop under .40, slow climb candidate, capable of 1:3
[09:57] {ese} L fnb .53
[09:57] {Threei} Long Setup:  GS  .50 break small shares
[09:58] {Threei}  a bit too fast
[09:58] {Threei}  stop under .35 if you got it
[09:58] {thomcbell} lvs invalidated
[09:59] {Threei}  FNB new 52 week highs
[10:01] {ese} (*&^&%^$#ing!!!!!! deck
[10:01] {JohnH} got FNB on the comeback
[10:01] {Threei}  GS 1:1
[10:02] {ese} Eric Martin institute for the mentally insane is just down the road here......think i'm gonna pay them a visit.....
[10:03] {Threei}  1:2, out
[10:03] {ese} shoulda had +.25 but NOOOOOO!!!!! i get -.27 stopped out instead
[10:04] {Threei}  it's a price of abnormal volatility
[10:04] {Threei}  what are you going to do, ignore stops?
[10:04] {ese} lol
[10:04] {Threei}  next time you do it, it doesn't reverse, and continues going against you destroying your day
[10:04] {Threei}  then week
[10:05] {Threei}  then month
[10:05] {Threei}  then whole account
[10:05] {Threei}  you don't want to know how many times I've seen this
[10:05] {ese} you know that imitation AK47 you got as a present a few years back filled with vodka....................i'll see ya in a few minutes
[10:05] {Threei}  hehe
[10:06] {Threei}  and these instances when a stock reverses right after stopping you out, know what they are?
[10:06] {ese} what
[10:06] {Threei}  an apple in snake's, umm
[10:06] {Threei}  what was uit a snake help aple in?
[10:06] {ese} ?
[10:07] {Threei}  great temptation
[10:07] {Threei}  a trap
[10:07] {Threei}  that's how market lures you into ignoring the discipline
[10:07] {Threei}  FNB is a slow trader
[10:08] {Threei}  don't watch it tick by tick, it will drive you crazy
[10:08] {ese} what can i say..........had greed on my mind and got bit
[10:08] {Threei}  put sell targets in
[10:08] {Threei}  put stop in
[10:08] {Threei}  wait for it to reach either
[10:11] {dino} gdi sm l .75
[10:11] {JK13} GS long again?
[10:12] {nemo} iffy
[10:12] {nemo} market coming in a bit
[10:12] {JK13} answer is no
[10:12] {Threei}  yeah, it's a no
[10:13] {dino} fnb stop -.03
[10:14] {JohnH} yeah, if spy takes a breather FNB could come down
[10:15] {nemo} cree holding up in this little pullback
[10:15] {nemo} I'm in at 27
[10:15] {nemo} .01
[10:18] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLV  .65 break
[10:18] {dino} gdi to .10
[10:18] {Threei}  if stays above .60
[10:18] {nemo} cree might be good here if it breaks .10
[10:19] {stewy} slv fingernails?
[10:20] {Threei}  invalidated for now
[10:20] {dino} gdi to .24
[10:21] {dino} to .34
[10:21] {dino} to .45
[10:23] {dino} to .55
[10:23] {dino} to .65
[10:24] {dino} to .75
[10:24] {Threei}  choking it
[10:24] {Threei}  nice
[10:24] {Threei}  SLV near strong support
[10:25] {JohnH} good call on FNB dino
[10:25] {Threei}  looking for long trigger
[10:25] {dino} out gdi .80, +1.05
[10:25] {Threei}  wtg
[10:25] {dino} ty
[10:26] {rambler} beauty Dino...got part or that...tks
[10:26] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLV  .55 break
[10:26] {Threei}  if stays above .50
[10:26] {dino} gj rambler
[10:33] {ese} nice one with gdi dino.......
[10:34] {dino} ty
[10:36] {rambler} SLV stop..
[10:37] {rambler} maybe to hasty...
[10:42] {thomcbell} small short lvs 47.88 break
[10:42] {dino} spy sm s .99
[10:44] {thomcbell} 2:1 target on lvs
[10:45] {thomcbell} 1:1
[10:47] {Threei}  nice one LVS
[10:48] {dino} spy stop -.06
[10:48] {nemo} what, you shorted it down by vwap?
[10:49] {nemo} DE
[10:50] {nemo} sorry late
[10:50] {thomcbell} stop to 47.88 on balance lvs
[10:53] {dino} masi spike
[10:56] {Threei}  things slowed down, but likely to pick up now on a short sife
[10:56] {Threei}  side
[10:56] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .80 break
[10:57] {Threei}  stop above .90, target 1:2
[10:57] {thomcbell} lvs out
[10:58] {ese} L hdy .23
[11:00] {Threei}  no go
[11:03] {rambler} that was a classic rinse....
[11:03] {Threei}  no kidding
[11:03] {Threei}  trigger by 1 cent, stop by one cent
[11:07] {Threei}  look at this
[11:08] {Threei}  right into 1:2
[11:09] {dino} fcx to .66
[11:09] {dino} cov +.16
[11:10] {cipher} i covered for +.09 but feel guity :-(
[11:11] {Threei}  you should... and to prove it and deserve forgiveness, you need to share the profit with those who got stopped
[11:11] {Threei}  just imagine how much better you'll feel
[11:12] {rambler} like therapy...
[11:12] {cipher} uh oh vad is starting to sound like mr O
[11:12] {cipher} share the wealth
[11:12] {Threei}  hehe
[11:12] {JohnH} nice selling climax on spy?
[11:12] {Threei}  "spread' was the word ZI believe
[11:13] {Threei}  I doubt it John, feels like more selling in cards
[11:14] {dino} cog sm s .49
[11:17] {Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .10 break
[11:17] {Beau} fnb stop or did I miss earlier out?
[11:17] {Threei}  yes, under .40
[11:18] {nemo} watch the pivots on iwm and spy, not alot of room
[11:18] {nemo} to short that is
[11:18] {Threei}  most likly will be invalidated
[11:19] {nemo} .11 corrseponding pivot on tza
[11:19] {Threei}  if triggers though, it will serve essentially as SPY short on .60 break,
[11:20] {nemo} yep, just giving you the level
[11:20] {Threei}  and if that happens, there is a very strong chance of SPY losing .40
[11:20] {Threei}  and plunging into abyss
[11:24] {Threei}  56% Favor Building Keystone Pipeline, Think It�s Good for Economy
[11:24] {Threei}  doh
[11:25] {dino} cov cog .20 +.29
[11:28] {Threei}  invalidated
[11:30] {dino} slxp drop
[11:33] {Threei}  FCX is back above .90
[11:33] {Threei}  should serve a short on .90 break
[11:34] {Threei}  changing to .95 break
[11:34] {Threei}  to have tighter stop
[11:35] {Threei}  SPY reverses back down
[11:36] {Threei}  lost .60
[11:37] {thomcbell} oh lvs
[11:37] {Threei}  sure enough TZA spikes to 1:1
[11:37] {Threei}  half out .85 FCX
[11:37] {Threei}  stop to .96
[11:37] {Threei}  perfect entry eh
[11:38] {Threei}  TZA, grrr
[11:43] {Threei}  stop to .02
[11:43] {Threei}  .92
[11:43] {Threei}  SPY attacks .40
[11:43] {Threei}  and breaks it
[11:43] {Threei}  here comes my scenario, played out to perfection
[11:46] {Threei}  out FCX in full
[11:46] {Threei}  thid one redeemed itself
[11:47] {Threei}  anyone??
[11:47] {Threei}  come on, easiest play ever
[11:47] {Threei}  5 cents risk, and gave a delay for entry while SPY started dropping
[11:48] {Threei}  ok... if you are not talking to me, I am not talking to you either
[11:48] {Threei}  but you started it
[11:49] {thomcbell} terrific VAD
[11:49] {Threei}  I am, yes
[11:49] {Threei}  oh, you mean trade
[11:49] {thomcbell} more than a pretty face
[11:49] {JohnH} I got the first .10 and now feel like schlep
[11:49] {Threei}  lol tbell
[11:49] {Threei}  don't john
[11:50] {Threei}  this was not a clearvut situation for a strong trend
[11:50] {Threei}  was pretty much personal preference
[11:50] {JohnH} the delay in FCX behavior spooked me
[11:50] {Threei}  something about this new keyboard, I regularly hit V instead of C
[11:51] {Threei}  I know what you mean
[11:51] {Threei}  these delays are two-sided sword
[11:51] {Threei}  they either give you a perfect window of opportunity, or indicate a salmon
[11:51] {JohnH} right
[11:52] {Threei}  so, no shame in taking a scalp
[12:05] {Threei}  how about that plunge
[12:05] {Threei}  the only regret is not pressing harder with TZA
[12:05] {stewy} look at it go
[12:14] {thomcbell} long setup qcom 58.18 break
[12:15] {thomcbell} invalidated immediately
[12:15] {thomcbell} lol
[12:15] {Threei}  SPY is about to break down again
[12:17] {thomcbell} oh fcx my man
[12:18] {Threei}  (GR) IMF and EMU said to have no new plans to provide more aid to Greece - financial press- Reminder: the Eco Fin meetings is currently ongoing
[12:18] {thomcbell} qcom still valid i think 58.16 break - Vad?
[12:18] {dino}  cov fcx .41 +.40
[12:19] {thomcbell} tight stop 58.07
[12:19] {Threei}  looks better this time around
[12:19] {Threei}  wtg dino
[12:19] {Threei}  uh oh
[12:19] {Threei}  Sony Corp Proposed capital and business alliance with Olympus Corp; Sony is offering to acquire 20-30% of Olympus - Nikkei News
[12:19] {Threei}  come on...
[12:20] {Threei}  last thing I want is for a huge Sony to swallow my beloved Oly, best cameras I've ever shot with
[12:20] {thomcbell} invalidated qcom - still watching
[12:23] {Threei}  IMO, it's valid with .05 support
[12:28] {dino} partial fill rbn l .65
[12:29] {thomcbell} in qcom 58.17 1/2 lot
[12:29] {thomcbell} target 2:1
[12:37] {ese} gotta go cya tomorrow
[12:37] {Threei}  take care ese
[12:37] {ese} am still long  hdy and fnb
[12:38] {ese} will see what happens by the end of the day
[12:38] {rambler} cya ese....
[12:38] {dino} cya ese
[12:39] {Threei}  if QCOM takes .20, should be free sailing to .30 or so
[12:39] {stewy} take care ese
[12:39] {Threei}  hmmm
[12:39] {Threei}  who knows why we didn't go for FCX .50 break?
[12:40] {Threei}  clear reversal chart from 111 Trades, bounce with mini-range
[12:41] {dino} rbn stop .46 =.19
[12:41] {dino} -
[12:42] {dino} wtf
[12:44] {Threei}  http://www.timescolonist.com/business/Real+Estate+What+million+gets+across+Canada/6037185/story.html
[12:46] {thomcbell} qcom 1:1
[12:46] {Threei}  :)
[12:54] {Threei}  look at this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfP3IjQD-T0&feature=player_embedded
[12:54] {Threei}  especially 2:35, peacocks strolling aliong the snow borders
[12:58] {dino}  bvsn spike
[12:59] {stewy} look at its daily wow
[13:00] {Threei}  (GR) Greece said to be planning final submission of bond swap offer for Feb 13 - fianncial press
[13:00] {Threei}  this saga will never end, will it
[13:02] {dino} rbn l .66 last try
[13:10] {JK13} C&H at FCX
[13:11] {Threei}  worth a try
[13:17] {Threei}  I'd modify it to aggressive here
[13:17] {Threei}  .75 break if holding above .70
[13:17] {dino} out rbn .72, +.06
[13:18] {Threei}  invalidated
[13:18] {JK13} yes
[13:22] {Threei}  I think we are to see fireworks today yet
[13:22] {Threei}  doesn't feel like typical coma-after-morning-activity day
[13:22] {Threei}  anf fireworks are likely to br on the downsite
[13:32] {dino} brb
[13:37] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .60 break
[13:38] {Threei}  if stays under .70
[13:38] {Threei}  target 1:2
[13:43] {JK13} rinsed
[13:44] {Threei}  ?
[13:44] {Threei}  it didn't go over .70
[13:44] {JK13} 44.58 was my entry point
[13:45] {Threei}  ?
[13:45] {Threei}  you lost me
[13:45] {Threei}  stop is above .70
[13:45] {Threei}  it hasn't hit it so far
[13:45] {JK13} -.11
[13:46] {JK13} for me
[13:46] {Threei}  this is wrong stop placement
[13:46] {Threei}  resistance is .70
[13:46] {stewy} even for aggressive entry?
[13:46] {Threei}  everything below it is noise
[13:46] {stewy} got it
[13:46] {stewy} i'm in and held by fingertips
[13:46] {Threei}  chart determines where the resitance or support is
[13:47] {Threei}  not your entry
[13:47] {JK13} I see
[13:47] {Threei}  http://blog.realitytrader.com/2007/04/stops-why-and-how.html
[13:48] {dino} nbl spike
[13:53] {dino} swn spike and gap fill
[13:54] {Threei}  no go
[14:00] {rambler} LVS coming up to 48....
[14:13] {andj} Threei...what is the NQ symbol you use
[14:16] {Threei}  I don't anymore
[14:16] {Threei}  used to
[14:16] {Threei}  using SPY these days as general market indicator
[14:17] {andj} thanks
[14:21] {Threei} Long Setup:  FAZ  .70 break
[14:22] {Threei}  if stays above .65 for scalpers, .60 day traders
[14:30] {Threei}  invalidated
[14:41] {andj} why was the scalp entrance higher than the day trade entrance?
[14:41] {Threei}  entry was the same... level of the stop/invalidation was different
[14:43] {andj} day traders have a wider stop?
[14:44] {Threei}  in this case, yes
[14:47] {andj} is that because they are going to sit through more pullbacks?
[14:48] {Threei}  generally yes...
[14:49] {Threei}  scalp is more of a "get in, grab small movement, get out" nature
[14:49] {Threei}  so, stop should reflect this, tightening the risk
[14:58] {Threei}  spike out of nowhere
[14:58] {Threei}  no news
[14:58] {Threei} Long Setup:  FAZ  .60 break
[14:58] {Threei}  stop under .55
[14:59] {Threei}  1:1
[14:59] {Threei}  half out
[14:59] {Threei}  svalpers get out
[14:59] {Threei}  want .75 or so for the seond half
[14:59] {Threei}  stop to .58
[15:00] {stewy} got the scalp thx
[15:00] {Threei}  :)
[15:01] {Threei}  ah, here is where spike came from:
[15:01] {Threei}  (EU) Germany is open to increasing the size of ESM capacity from �500B to �750B if it can impose stricter budget rules in the EU "fiscal compact" - FT
[15:01] {Threei}  big deal
[15:01] {Threei}  lol
[15:02] {Threei}  250B more, 250B less... nothing between true frienemies
[15:02] {Threei}  out second half
[15:02] {Threei}  scalpers win
[15:03] {Threei}  - Merkel said to be prepared to allow the remaining �250B in funds from EFSF to be accessible in parallel to �500B for ESM expected for launch in July.
[15:03] {Threei}  - In return, Merkel is pushing for EU leaders to agree to cuts of budget deficits and public debt said to be more stringent than ones negotiated by EU governments.
[15:03] {Threei}  another portion of blah blah which will end in great nothing
[15:06] {stewy} is that what goosed spy?
[15:06] {Threei}  apparently
[15:06] {stewy} any hint of qe and boom
[15:06] {Threei}  absolutely
[15:07] {Threei}  that's the logic per which bad news out of Europe get bought recently
[15:07] {Threei}  the worse situation is the liklier QE by ECB
[15:15] {dino} zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
[15:16] {rambler} come on Dino...shake the tree....
[15:18] {Threei}  watching FAZ for bounce
[15:20] {andj} Threei...do you trade in the direction of the market'
[15:21] {dino} nothing spiking or fast fallling
[15:21] {andj} Sorry---do you trade in the direction of the market's daily trend or longer (say the weekly or the monthly trend)?
[15:21] {Threei}  ummm
[15:21] {Threei}  no, nothing of such long term
[15:22] {Threei}  day trades are determined by intraday charts, with some influx from daily
[15:22] {nemo} we don't call him Darth Vad for nothin'
[15:22] {Threei}  lol
[15:24] {thomcbell} lvs impressive today
[15:25] {thomcbell} ROSE cup and handle in 10 min and 1 minute
[15:27] {thomcbell} lvs 48.01 break - 1/2 lot
[15:30] {Threei}  nicely looking JBE
[15:33] {nemo} getting some offer pile up
[15:33] {Threei} Long Setup:  FAZ  .35 break
[15:34] {Threei}  stop under .25
[15:36] {Threei}  target 1:2
[15:37] {Threei}  1:1, half out
[15:37] {Threei}  scalpers be happy
[15:37] {stewy} me too
[15:37] {Threei}  stop to .33
[15:38] {Threei}  come on SPY, drop
[15:38] {Threei}  you are tired and feeling heavy
[15:39] {nemo} riding vwap
06[15:39] * Threei kicks FAZ in the rear
[15:43] {andj} hy do you want the SPY to drop if you are long on FAZ?
[15:43] {Threei}  FAZ is inverse ETF
[15:43] {Threei}  finanvciaks short
[15:43] {Threei}  financials
[15:44] {Threei}  general;ly moves in opposite direction to market
[15:45] {Threei}  if you want to go long financials, you buy FAS, if short - FAZ
[15:46] {andj} Thanks Vad...you rock.  I have to go.  Take care.
[15:47] {Threei}  scalpers win
[15:47] {Threei}  taje care andj
[15:48] {stewy} yeah woulda been nice for a more
[15:48] {Threei}  they win too much today if yiu ask me
[15:48] {stewy} but all we say is
[15:48] {stewy} next!
[15:48] {nemo} oh well, back in the office tomorrow...I'll be back here Thursday
[15:48] {Threei}  have fun nemo
[15:52] {Threei}  ok guys, time's up
[15:52] {stewy} well, another learning experience
[15:52] {Threei}  tomorrow we will outtrade those pesky scalpers
[15:52] {stewy} thanks all.
[15:52] {stewy} see you wed. gd night
[15:52] {Threei}  thank you all, have a giood evening
[15:52] {dino} cya nemo
[15:52] {JK13} gn all
[15:52] {Threei}  see you tomorrow
[15:52] {rambler} cya all in the a.m.  

Friday, January 20, 2012

Market Week Wrap-up


Market Week Wrap-up

- Equity indices gained substantially nearly everywhere this week. Investors around the globe embraced risk following S&P's one-notch downgrade of France's sovereign rating and its downgrade of eight other euro zone nations on Friday. With the uncertainly cleared out of the way, markets concentrated on corporate earnings, many of which were less dismal than the likes of Alcoa and JPMorgan last week. Among the factors aiding risk was China's +8.9% Q4 GDP reading and the first sequential improvement in Germany's ZEW survey in nearly a year. Note that in its draft World Economic Outlook, the IMF cut its global GDP growth forecast to +3.3% from +4.0% prior. There were few inflammatory headlines regarding the European debt crisis -- Greece is very close to striking a successful deal on haircuts for private debt holders and the IMF is working hard on proposals to boost its firepower by $500B before the next G20 summit. Portugal and Spain both had relatively successful debt auctions, and while Portugal stuck to shorter-term paper, Spain successfully sold 2019 and 2022 bonds at lower average yields than at the prior auction, greatly aiding sentiment. Corporate earnings in the US were tepid, at best, with concerning misses seen out of Citibank, Google, and General Electric. For the week the DJIA gained 2.4%, the NASDAQ rose 2.8%, and the S&P 500 tacked on 2%, the third straight week of gains for all three indices.

- The rest of the major US banks reported earnings this week. Citigroup's Q4 results seemed even worse the JPMorgan's dismal showing last Friday: revenue totals missed analysts' expectations, while net profits fell 11% y/y. Citi's declining investment banking revenues were a prime suspect, with revenue from the securities and banking division down 10% y/y (excluding a very favorable DVA adjustment, the unit's revenues fell 29% y/y). Fourth-quarter reports from Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America were less bad. Goldman managed to meet diminished expectations, however profits were down more than half over year-ago levels. Goldman's investment banking revenues were down by nearly half over last year. Morgan Stanley posted a much smaller loss than expected; equity-trading revenue actually increased over a year ago. Bank of America's results were apparently good, in as much as they met expectations and were markedly better than the year-ago results. However the results were padded by a tangle of one-time gains and losses.

- American Express was more or less in line with expectations in its Q4, with steady card services revenue. On the conference call, AmEx executives warned that consumers continue to be cautious on taking more credit card debt. Other regional and super-regional banks were characterized by gradual growth in commercial and consumer loans, plus further declines in provisions and non-performing loans. Wells Fargo met expectations across the board and reported its seventh straight quarter of loan reserve releases. US Bancorp and PNC were a study in contrasts: USB grew its earnings substantially y/y in Q4, while PNC's earnings fell by a comparable amount. Both firms saw continued improvements in credit quality and good growth in new lending activity. Asset management names State Street and Charles Schwab both met consensus expectations and highlighted that their quarterly results were particularly impacted by elevated market volatility and lower interest rates.

- With the exception of Google, big tech had a good week. Investors dumped shares of Google on Thursday, following the firm's big earnings and revenue misses. Google's results were hurt by unfavorable FX rates, increased spending levels, changes to ad formats and the sale of more mobile ads, which cost less. IBM, Intel, and Microsoft all topped expectations and reported solid results. IBM's software revenue was up 9% as most of its key products saw growth, while its services segment reported 3% revenue growth. Microsoft saw lower PC-related sales, in line with the industry, however this was more than offset by robust gains in its server and entertainment divisions. Intel offered in line revenue guidance for Q1, and also said that its margins would be considerably higher on a y/y basis. Note also that Eastman Kodak finally filed for bankruptcy this week. Advisors were said to estimate that the firm's intellectual property assets are worth $2.2-2.6B.

- General Electric missed revenue expectations in its Q4, which executive blamed on slower growth in Europe, FX issues and some lower investment levels at GE Capital. GE's FY12 profit guidance was unchanged, however the firm warned that revenue would be slightly lower than its prior forecast. CEO Immelt had good things to say about the firm's key energy and GE Capital units, but warned that he expects continued volatility in 2012 and restructuring in the Europe business. Oil services leader Schlumberger modestly topped consensus estimates, on very strong growth in oilfield services revenue.

- The euro gained steadily against the major pairs this week. Traders embraced the single currency after S&P's downgrades of nine euro zone member states, happy to see at least one vector of uncertainty cleared out of the way. In Greece, the government was very close to completing negotiations with the Institute of International Finance (IIF) on the long awaited debt exchange with the country's private creditors, but as of late Friday no final agreement was in place. On the technical front, dealers noted that the 1.2600 level in EUR/USD provided pivotal support for the cross late last week and on Monday, as it has in prior quarters (there was chatter suggesting large euro sell-stops lurk below the level). As euro sentiment brightened through the week, EUR/USD moved above the prior three-month channel resistance of 1.2830 to lunge for 1.30 by Friday. The EUR/JPY cross also saw a big reversal after testing 11-year lows earlier this month at 97.00. By Friday the pair was probing back above the 100 handle. Japanese officials were vocal about the weak euro: Vice Finance Miniser Igarashi warned that the government would continue closely watching the euro but that now was not the time to take action. Former Finance Ministry official Sakakibara (aka Mr. Yen) reiterated his view that intervention would not be effective. Markets were bent on testing the SNB's resolve to hold the EUR/CHF floor at 1.2000. The cross stayed around 1.2070 for the bulk of the week.

- Chinese economic data tracked closer toward a managed "soft landing" scenario than the precipitous decline feared just a few weeks ago, supporting commodities and related currencies late into the week. China Q4 GDP of +8.9% topped consensus despite coming in at the lowest point since the second quarter of 2009, while December industrial production broke a string of two consecutive declines with a 12.9% y/y increase. Foreign direct investment into China, despite trailing off in December (-12.7% y/y), registered a record high for the year at $116B. Speaking after the release of year-end data, China Stats Bureau chief Ma said some moderation in GDP is in fact desirable, just as the influential Academy of Social Sciences put its 2012 GDP target at 8.5% v 9.2% for 2011. Later in the week, China January flash PMI marked a 3rd consecutive contraction at 48.8 but off the 48.7 final print in December.

- Down under, New Zealand Q4 CPI fell for the first time since the end of 2009, prompting speculation among analysts that RBNZ will remain on hold for the remainder of the year. In Australia, December employment data was a mixed bag, showing an unexpected decline in the jobless rate alongside eight-month lows in total employment change primarily due to a fall in part-time labor. The Australian dollar broke key trend line resistance above $1.0480, with the focus turning toward quarterly inflation metrics on tap for early next week.

TradeTheNews

Jan 20 2012

(Course on chart pattern recognition is available now: http://www.realitytrader.com/111trades.html  

Nicely profitable albeit quiet and not very active day. No reason to complain though - whole week was like that, so we just handled it accordingly.


Session Time: Fri Jan 20 00:00:00 2012
[09:02] {stewy} good morning Vad
[09:02] {Threei}  morning stewy
[09:03] {Threei}  left a tad early yesterday, just before a string of 4 wins
[09:03] {stewy} oy you are a patient man
[09:13] {JK13} gm everyone
[09:13] {Threei}  jk :)
[09:22] {rambler} morning....
[09:22] {Threei}  rambler :)
[09:23] {Threei}  who wants to experience dizziness without fancy drugs, just look at GOOG
[09:26] {Beau} good morning you all
[09:26] {Threei}  beau :)
[09:29] {Threei}  FCX first trade on a short side when spread narrows down
[09:30] {Threei}  not much chance for entry, waiting for a bounce
[09:32] {ese} morning
[09:32] {Threei}  ese :)
[09:33] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .10 break if stays under .20
[09:33] {Threei}  still would prefer a bounce first but if none comes, .10 is a valid trigger
[09:34] {Threei}  1:1
[09:35] {Threei}  1:2. out
[09:35] {rambler} tks Vad...
[09:35] {Threei} Long Setup:  SLW  .40 break
[09:36] {Threei}  yw
[09:37] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .80 break
[09:37] {Threei}  if stays above .70
[09:38] {Threei}  SLW stop .33
[09:38] {Threei}  FCX 1:1
[09:40] {Threei}  stopped SLW
[09:41] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .80 break
[09:45] {Threei}  trail stop to .74
[09:45] {thomcbell} slb strong
[09:46] {Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .70 break
[09:46] {Threei}  if stays under .80
[09:46] {Threei}  LVS 1:1
[09:48] {Threei}  1:2, out
[09:49] {rambler} you trading half lots Vad...?
[09:50] {Threei}  on FCX yes
[09:50] {dino} ccoi drop
[09:50] {Threei}  for the first 15-20 min
[09:50] {Threei}  invalidated FCX
[09:50] {ese} hes worse than me...30K 40K at a time
[09:51] {Threei}  existing home sales at 10
[09:53] {dino} ccoi sm l .00
[09:53] {stewy} vad, did kgc chart show db pattern?
[09:53] {ese} 15.00 or 16.00 dino
[09:54] {ese} wow
[09:54] {Threei}  not ideal but more or less, yes
[09:54] {stewy} k thx
[09:54] {dino} 16
[09:55] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  47 break
[09:55] {Threei}  if stays above .90
[09:56] {dino} out ccoi .62, +.62
[09:56] {Threei}  dizzy trade
[09:56] {Threei}  wtg
[09:56] {ese} nerves of steel.....awesome
[09:57] {dino} ty
[09:58] {stewy} does that lvs drop invalidate it?
[09:58] {dino} megaload issues w/coi
[09:58] {Threei}  not entirely, will reestablish itself if stays here for a min more
[09:59] {ese} ?  don't get ya   megaload
[09:59] {Threei}  now invalidated
[10:00] {Threei}  *(US) DEC EXISTING HOME SALES: 4.61M V 4.65ME
[10:01] {dino} alxn drop
[10:10] {Threei}  fading that LVS JBE would have been a grand idea eh
[10:13] {dino} mnst jump
[10:15] {Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .65 break
[10:15] {Threei}  if stays above .55
[10:17] {Threei}  target 1:2
[10:19] {_candy} what is tgt 1:2
[10:19] {Threei}  risk/reward
[10:20] {Threei}  http://www.realitytrader.com/tradingroom/, scroll down to How trading room operates
[10:21] {Threei}  1:1
[10:21] {Threei}  determines sell target and how to manage the trade
[10:22] {pragmatic} stop on lvs now ? still .55 or below 60 ?
[10:23] {Threei}  .64
[10:23] {Threei}  why would you keep it at original place after reaching and excedding 1:1??
[10:23] {pragmatic} k
06[10:24] * Threei slaps pragmatic with 111 Trades course
06[10:24] * pragmatic :(
[10:25] {Threei}  why the ong face... there are worse things to be slapped with
[10:25] {stewy} nice scalps today vad thx
[10:25] {Threei}  yw
[10:27] {dino} atls drop
[10:29] {Threei}  strong puking reflex:
[10:29] {Threei}  2006, notes from FOMC meeting
[10:29] {JohnH} UXG hasn't exactly faded the news today of the successful merger
[10:29] {Threei}  Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner (then the president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank) telling outgoing Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan:
[10:29] {Threei}  �I�d like the record to show that I think you�re pretty terrific, too. And thinking in terms of probabilities, I think the risk that we decide in the future that you�re even better than we think is higher than the alternative.�
[10:30] {dino} wll l .25
[10:34] {dino} out wll .40, +.15
[10:35] {cipher} took a small scalp on wll thx dino
[10:35] {rambler} ditto...thx Dino...
[10:35] {cipher} had more in it
[10:35] {dino} gj
[10:36] {dino} yeah, but scalp was the plan
[10:37] {ese} L ASIA .00
[10:37] {dino} ntes spike
[10:37] {ese} sm
[10:37] {ese} L INSM .95 sm
[10:42] {dino} wll pullback
[10:42] {JohnH} INSM looks like it could go either way
[10:43] {ese} L lng .08 sm
[10:44] {ese} out lng .20 +.12
[10:44] {dino} gj
[10:44] {rambler} nice ese....
[10:45] {ese} tks
[10:45] {ese} enough cash to buy snow tires to get up to your place on the Malahat
[10:46] {rambler} roger that.....
[10:47] {Threei}  these days ese measures things in snow tires and chains
[10:47] {ese} lol
[10:48] {dino} wll sm l .90
[10:48] {Threei}  but it's almost over... rain and solid warmth tomorrow, will wash off all this white crap
[10:48] {rambler} risk 1 snowtire...reward....full set and chains....I like that...
[10:49] {ese} supose to.....isn't it suppose to one more big one today though
[10:49] {rambler} I hope so...Ilike the stuff myself..
[10:49] {Threei}  big, no... chances of freezing rain
[10:50] {ese} ahhhhhhhh
[10:51] {ese} perfect...there will be nobody on the roads again
[10:52] {ese} L wll .85
[10:52] {ese} dino....how much of a decline are you looking for on a retracement like wll
[10:53] {dino} i am l
[10:53] {dino} looking for 47.20
[10:53] {dino} .64 is stop
[10:53] {ese} % wise I mean......48 to 47 was how much?
[10:54] {dino} oh, i just look at prior resistance to turn to support
[10:54] {ese} ahhh
[10:54] {dino} but right now its not working
[10:55] {ese} yup
[10:55] {dino} missed atls db
[10:57] {ese} would have been a good one .60 to.00
[10:58] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .35 break
[10:58] {dino} y
[10:58] {Threei}  if stays above .30
[10:59] {ese} out INSM .13 +.18
[10:59] {Threei}  invalidated but on radar
[11:00] {Threei}  ugh
[11:00] {Threei}  .30 recross was it
[11:00] {Threei}  happened way too fast for a call
[11:00] {JohnH} so close...but so far
[11:01] {Threei}  let's see if we get double bottom
[11:02] {Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .35 break
[11:02] {Threei}  if stays above .25
[11:03] {dino} wll to flat
[11:03] {Threei}  (EU) Foreign Sec Ashton: Expects statement to reiterate major powers have always been open to diplomatic solution on Iran - still awaiting formal response from Iranians to the Oct 21 draft
[11:03] {Threei}  Oct 21, eh
[11:04] {Threei}  who unplugged the market?
[11:04] {dino} ntes sm s .82
[11:04] {ese} out wll .02 +.17 good enough for me ....tks dino
[11:04] {dino} gj ese
[11:05] {Threei}  FCX target .55
[11:06] {dino} out wll flat
[11:06] {Threei}  two partials, strictly by the book play
[11:07] {Threei}  At $400 Billion, Apple Is Worth More Than Greece
[11:07] {JohnH} which would you buy?
[11:07] {Threei}  Greece
[11:07] {JohnH} beach man
[11:07] {ese} now thats an interesting point
[11:07] {Threei}  I like pretty colors and ancient ruins
[11:08] {Threei}  and beaches, yes
[11:08] {Threei}  toasters connected to Internet on the other hand, leave me cold
[11:08] {ese} out asia .99 -.01  had enough of that
[11:09] {Threei}  even if they are called iToast
[11:11] {Threei}  break of .40 should catapult FCX
[11:11] {JohnH} I would love to see your trading setup in one of those greek island buildings
[11:11] {JohnH} I'm sure you'd have NO problem with getting good data streaming out there...
[11:12] {Threei}  SPY has a bad case of downdriftis today
[11:13] {rambler} yes, we need a little cooperation from mr market...
[11:14] {Threei}  let's trail stop to .29
[11:14] {ese} wll 's look not bad here dino
[11:15] {ese} lookin
[11:15] {dino} alxn drop again
[11:17] {dino} sm l .71 alxn
[11:17] {ese} rounded bottom on the 1min chart might fire it up there
[11:21] {dino} alxn stop -.25
[11:21] {rambler} stop FCX...
[11:21] {Threei}  oh well
[11:21] {rambler} dang...
[11:22] {dino} ntes bstop to .79
[11:25] {dino} twin drop
[11:25] {JohnH} FCX finally pierced the 11am low
[11:25] {Threei}  good tightening FCX
[11:26] {JohnH} good call, yeah
[11:26] {JohnH} I guess we could have shorted the breakdown DBI style
[11:26] {Threei}  yup
[11:28] {dino} twin sm l .75
[11:30] {Threei} Short Setup: LVS  .40 break
[11:32] {ese} L insm .21 1/2
[11:36] {dino} out ntes +.06
[11:36] {Threei}  ok LVS
[11:36] {Threei}  let's dance
[11:38] {dino} wll sm l .61
[11:38] {Threei}  not liking that it didn't plunge fast
[11:41] {Threei}  stop at .46
[11:42] {Threei}  let's choke them dino style
[11:43] {dino} :/
[11:44] {dino} rbn drop
[11:50] {dino} out wll .01, +.40
[11:57] {rambler} just back from driving daughter to school....lights off, not a car in the parking lot....
[11:58] {rambler} unbelievable...
[11:58] {Threei}  hope you didn't leave her there saying "education is above all"
[11:59] {rambler} I thought about it....
[12:06] {Threei}  SLV spike
[12:07] {ese} still L insm....but have to go......have a great weekend...cya monday
[12:08] {Threei}  have a good one ese
[12:09] {dino}  twin stop -.30
[12:09] {stewy} bye ese gd wknd
[12:19] {dino} ntes sm s .99
[12:22] {dino} rbn sm l .20
[12:26] {Threei}  volume dried up significantly
[12:37] {Threei}  silver is up, copper is down... does it tell us anything?
[12:38] {rambler} 'the chickens have come home to roost'
[12:42] {dino} ntes won't move tighten to .04
[12:49] {dino} out rbn .60, +.40
[12:50] {rambler} gj Dino...was watching that one....
[12:50] {dino} jumpy
[12:51] {dino} ntes stop -.07
[12:57] {stewy} wll tryin to brk out?
[12:58] {dino} watching it
[13:01] {stewy} in wll
[13:01] {cipher} same here
[13:04] {cipher} out wll .10 +.20
[13:04] {dino} hnz drop
[13:05] {stewy} nice scalp
[13:05] {cipher} thx for the heads up stewy
[13:06] {stewy} de nada
[13:06] {stewy} ;)
[13:15] {cipher} hnz s .66
[13:19] {cipher} cov .50 +.16 thx dino
[13:19] {dino} gj
[13:24] {Threei}  what the deuce
[13:29] {rambler} Dino...dcc
[13:33] {rambler} RBN at 46 even...
[13:40] {dino} slw l .43
[13:41] {Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .15 break
[13:42] {Threei}  if loses .10 but stays above .05, make .10 recross a trigger
[13:44] {dino} twin sm l .55
[13:44] {dino} out slw .53 +.10
[13:44] {dino} ugh slw
[13:46] {Threei}  just a scalp most likely, ,looking to exit closer to .20
[13:49] {Threei}  wake up TZA, SPY is dropping
06[13:53] * Threei pokes TZA in ribcage with sharp stick
[13:53] {Threei}  what an amoeba today
[14:00] {Threei}  to be sure, stop is .09 at this point
[14:00] {dino} rbn sm l .09
[14:01] {cipher} rbn l .10
[14:06] {dino} gdi blood
[14:08] {cipher} dang missed gdi
[14:09] {dino} mtn spike
[14:09] {dino} too fast
[14:11] {cipher} out rbn .37 +.27 thx dino
[14:12] {Threei}  nice
[14:13] {cipher} not quite by dino's standards
[14:13] {cipher} .30 minimum
[14:14] {dino} gj
[14:16] {Threei}  feel free to take profit as you see fit... intended it as a scalp, and it's above 1:1
[14:16] {Threei}  out .19
[14:17] {Threei}  only fell asleep twice during the trade
[14:18] {nemo} well?
[14:18] {Threei}  hey!
[14:19] {nemo} I escaped...I'm on the train
[14:19] {Threei}  finally someone who can insult people, drunk or sober
[14:19] {nemo} or unconsciously also
[14:20] {Threei}  additional asset
[14:20] {Threei}  wow, TZA had more in it
[14:20] {nemo} yeah, quite zen of me
[14:20] {Threei}  hehe
[14:23] {nemo} Where the women at?
[14:24] {rambler} IBKR breaking out.....
[14:25] {rambler} big volume today....
[14:29] {nemo} frickin train network
[14:35] {dino} out rbn .33 +.23
[14:35] {nemo} trains suck
[14:36] {Threei}  do they
[14:36] {nemo} well, their wifi does
[14:36] {Threei}  :)
[14:36] {Threei}  wow... look at TZA now
[14:36] {Threei}  20 cents
[14:36] {Threei}  1:4
[14:41] {dino} rbn sm l .45
[14:44] {dino} exel
[14:56] {dino} wpi drop
[14:56] {nemo} Hey Dino!  Think Patriots win this week?
[14:59] {dino} nope, lol
[14:59] {nemo} well, on that note...I have to pack up and get off the train....see ya
[14:59] {Threei}  see you next week
[15:00] {dino} cya
[15:04] {dino} wpi sm l .30
[15:10] {dino} out rbn .60, +.15
[15:14] {dino} out twin .70, +.15
[15:14] {Threei}  nice
[15:15] {dino} ty
[15:18] {dino} wpi to .64
[15:18] {dino} mdvn drop
[15:18] {dino} out wpi slip, .60, +.30
[15:18] {rambler} nice one Dino...
[15:19] {dino} ty
[15:19] {dino} mdvn bounced right off s2
[15:23] {dino} wpi drops again
[15:25] {Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  162 break
[15:26] {Threei}  if stays above 90
[15:28] {cipher} rbn drop again
[15:30] {cipher} +.33 rbn
[15:30] {Threei}  invalidated
[15:31] {dino} gj
[15:31] {cipher} thx
[15:33] {dino} thats a tough trader rbn, air pockets
[15:35] {cipher} yep didn't give much time for entry at the bottom
[15:41] {Threei}  patience-trying day
[15:41] {Threei}  but profitable
[15:42] {Threei}  and that's all I need
[15:42] {Threei}  there is weekend to excitment
[15:42] {Threei}  to = for
[15:42] {stewy} shovel snow?
[15:43] {Threei}  nope, rain will take care of that
[15:43] {dino} supposed to get 4" of snow tonight here
[15:44] {Threei}  our short blast of winter will be washed away today and tomrrow
[15:44] {Threei}  hopefully not to be seen for couple years
[15:45] {dino} we've been 4 degrees in mornings this week
[15:45] {dino} 4degrees f
[15:53] {Threei}  OK guys, let's take well desreved weekend
[15:53] {Threei}  thank you all
[15:53] {Threei}  have a great weekend, see you all Monday
[15:53] {rambler} thanks all..
[15:53] {Beau} and you Vad.
[15:53] {dino} thanks all, good time
[15:54] {cipher} cya
[15:54] {stewy} tanks vad
[15:54] {stewy} gd wknd to everyone