Tuesday, July 9, 2013

July 09 2013

Uneven day with low volume; squeezed some profits out of it and hope for the Fed minutes tomorrow to provide some fuel.

Session Time: Tue Jul 09 00:00:00 2013
[09:13] {bbobr} gm
01[09:13] {&Threei}  morning bbobr
[09:14] {nemo} ya know, we should just buy spy on the close, sell it on the open, enjoy the day, come back for the close
01[09:15] {&Threei}  it's not like we didn't have red openings
[09:15] {nemo} no, but as a rule, it would have worked nicely since the bounce
01[09:16] {&Threei}  sure, but the point is, "since the bounce" means you know when the bounce comes and how long it lasts :)
[09:16] {nemo} we're already up $1.08
[09:17] {nemo} 165.84 is R3 on the day
[09:17] {nemo} we just hit R2
[09:22] {Alexs} gm
01[09:22] {&Threei}  (EU) EFSF said to be planning new 7-year EUR bond (as expected)
01[09:22] {&Threei}  alex :)
01[09:22] {&Threei}  isn't it ironic? entity created to save those who drown in debt starts issuing its own debt
[09:23] {ese} morning
01[09:23] {&Threei}  how long can this charade last?
01[09:23] {&Threei}  ese :)
[09:27] {cipher} gm
[09:27] {RonS} hello from non-Myrtle Beach
01[09:27] {&Threei}  cipher, ron :)
[09:29] {jdetente} morning all
01[09:29] {&Threei}  jd :)
01[09:31] {&Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .80 break
01[09:32] {&Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:33] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .36 break
01[09:33] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
01[09:36] {&Threei}  meh FCX
01[09:36] {&Threei}  is it me or quotes are strangely jerky?
01[09:37] {&Threei}  GDX 1:1
[09:39] {ese} Out aria position from yesterday .66 +.27
01[09:39] {&Threei}  wtg
[09:40] {ese} tks....slim pickens in the summer
01[09:43] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .30 break
01[09:43] {&Threei}  late alert
01[09:44] {&Threei}  crap, 1:1
01[09:45] {&Threei} Short Setup: FB  .10 break
01[09:47] {&Threei}  If holds  .15
01[09:48] {&Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:49] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .63 break
01[09:49] {&Threei}  If holds  .55
[09:49] {ese} fcx should head up today based on Alcoa's numbers
[09:49] {nemo} ?
[09:50] {nemo} fcx is also a gold miner
[09:50] {nemo} do they mine bauxite?
[09:53] {nemo} could make an arguement for fas over .50
01[10:00] {&Threei}  no go
[10:02] {+cc_9} good late morning.
[10:02] {+cc_9} SPY getting some action here, bank regulation news of some sort out
01[10:03] {&Threei}  cc9 :)
01[10:03] {&Threei}  (US) US regulators are targeting eight globally systemic US bank holding companies with a higher 5% leverage ratio, compliance with new ratio would only be required by 2018 - press- Proposal would raise leverage ratio for insured bank subsidiaries to 6%. - Banks that do not meet the new 5% leverage ratio would find dividends and bonuses limited.
01[10:04] {&Threei}  **Reminder: On June 21st, reports asserted that US regulators were said to be looking to hike the simple leverage ratio for large banks to a 6% level, up from the current US minimum of 4%, and the 3% international requirement for leverage ratios.
01[10:04] {&Threei}  if it's in 2018, why does SPY drop urgently NOW?? :)
[10:04] {nemo} got nothing to do with it
[10:06] {nemo} like cat short here?
01[10:07] {&Threei}  either from above .50 on a bounce, or after some consolidation on .40 break
[10:10] {thomcbell} splk long braek 47.75
01[10:11] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .50 break
01[10:12] {&Threei}  change to .55
01[10:13] {&Threei}  change to .60
01[10:13] {&Threei}  If holds  .65
01[10:17] {&Threei}  nah
01[10:20] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  121 break
01[10:20] {&Threei}  If holds  .90
01[10:21] {&Threei}  1:1
[10:23] {jdetente} internet crashed on me. Are we in any trades?
01[10:23] {&Threei}  just did GLD
01[10:23] {&Threei}  no open ones
[10:24] {jdetente} ok thanks
01[10:28] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .35 break
01[10:28] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .40 break
01[10:28] {&Threei}  sorry
01[10:28] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
01[10:32] {&Threei}  no go
[10:34] {thomcbell} splk stop is 47.65
[10:34] {thomcbell} make it 47.68
01[10:41] {&Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .25 break
01[10:41] {&Threei}  If holds  .35
01[10:48] {&Threei}  Senior Russian lawmaker tweets that NSA leaker Snowden accepts Venezuela's offer of asylum
01[10:53] {&Threei}  not delighted
[10:53] {jdetente} my internet should have stayed crashed
01[10:54] {&Threei}  lol
01[11:03] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .85 break
01[11:06] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[11:07] {ese} L kr .18
[11:15] {RonS} fdx s 105 break?
01[11:18] {&Threei}  spread...
01[11:18] {&Threei}  really can't tell
01[11:24] {&Threei}  light volume everywhere
[11:24] {jdetente} I was just about to say
[11:24] {jdetente} nothing going on
01[11:25] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  28 break
[11:25] {ese} ya which is why i could be barkin up the wrong tree with kr
[11:25] {ese} no volume
01[11:25] {&Threei}  tomorrow's Fed minutes is the catalyst for something
01[11:31] {&Threei}  Invalidated
01[11:38] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .95 break
01[11:38] {&Threei}  If holds  .85
[11:38] {nemo} God bless ya'
[11:38] {ese} met 5min double bottom
[11:39] {ese} L met .20 for some excitement
[11:42] {ese} 1/2 1k .28 +.08
[11:42] {ese} balance to even
[11:42] {ese} break even that is
[11:45] {ese} to quote some Walt Disney,,,,,"zippa de do da zippa de day.....my oh my what a wonderful day....or is that way"
[11:47] {ese} out met full .36 +.16
01[12:02] {&Threei}  1:1
01[12:02] {&Threei}  and thanks for your blessing nemo
[12:02] {nemo} It's a big deal coming from me
[12:04] {ese} man.....the market must think this is summer holidays or something......nobodys around and theres no volume......
[12:04] {ese} you know what that leaves.....drinking
[12:04] {nemo} be thankful...it chased Les away
[12:05] {ese} phewwww!!!!!! ya your right...sheesh...what was i thinkin
[12:05] {nemo} frickin' musicians
[12:08] {jdetente} drinking is a must ese
[12:12] {ese} was just looking at what we have in the fridge......micro brewery stuff......it's called LightHouse beer.......
[12:13] {ese} 6 more hours of heat hear and........????????
[12:13] {ese} Psssssssssssttttt!...........off comes that cap
[12:13] {ese} am feeling the taste now...........
[12:14] {ese} hmmmmmmm....lets go imagining.....
[12:15] {ese} indeed indeed indeedeeee
[12:15] {ese} anybodys mouth watering at this point........hmmmmmmmm???????
[12:17] {jdetente} considering it's going to be 105 degrees here this afternoon...yes!
01[12:17] {&Threei}  wow
[12:17] {jdetente} yeah I'm staying in my cave
01[12:17] {&Threei}  another reason to appreciate our moderate climate
[12:18] {ese} indeed indeed indeedeee........your the perfect candidate for a tall cool clear clean tasty fresh one
[12:18] {jdetente} I may have to buy a sixer later
01[12:30] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .95 break
01[12:37] {&Threei}  1:1
01[12:37] {&Threei}  a little better, jd?
[12:39] {jdetente} yes this beer is refreshing
01[12:39] {&Threei}  lol
[12:39] {jdetente} oh you mean the trade...hehe
[12:43] {jdetente} over and out. Thanks Vad
01[12:44] {&Threei}  1:2
01[12:44] {&Threei}  yw
[12:51] {thomcbell} ssys looks interesting long
[12:52] {thomcbell} gone
[13:00] {ese} L kr avg .16
[13:08] {+cc_9} good morning.
01[13:10] {&Threei}  hmmmm
01[13:29] {&Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .25 break
01[13:29] {&Threei}  If holds  .30
[13:39] {+cc_9} CSIQ looking for another reversal setup before the bell
[13:43] {ese} wonder if kr is going to make a run at it's high and beyond......
[13:43] {ese} one would think it would on a day like today
[13:44] {ese} chart pattern looks like something straight out of your book vad
[13:44] {ese} consolidating at the highs
01[13:45] {&Threei}  yeah
01[13:45] {&Threei}  just low volume quiet day
[13:45] {ese} yup
01[13:45] {&Threei}  kind of hard to expect patterns to work with their usual percentage
[13:46] {+cc_9} Snowden confirms NSA created Stuxnet with Israeli aid
[13:46] {ese} might not have enough guts to push itself up unless some market maker want to move it
[13:46] {+cc_9} quick, everyone act surprised
[13:46] {ese} huuuuuhh!!!!!!!!!
[13:46] {ese} hows that?
01[13:49] {&Threei}  *(IT) S&P LOWERS ITALY SOVEREIGN RATING ONE NOTCH TO BBB FROM BBB+; OUTLOOK NEGATIVE
[13:49] {ese} is that ah Bed Bath and Beyond?
01[13:49] {&Threei}  (EU) Germany Chancellor Merkel: Govt spending cannot solve the EMU crisis, EMU nations need to pursue structural reforms
[13:50] {ese} heard that before
01[13:50] {&Threei}  yeas, and BBB+ is Bed Bath Beyond and Blackberry
01[13:54] {&Threei}  let's cover half GDX here
01[13:54] {&Threei}  1:1
[13:55] {+cc_9} lol what
[13:55] {jdetente} day getting brighter
[13:55] {jdetente} sunshine is out
[13:55] {jdetente} cc is recovering from his bris
[13:55] {jdetente} all is good
01[13:55] {&Threei}  sun is out... beer is in... trades go well
01[13:55] {&Threei}  jd is happy
[13:56] {ese} yup and i'm even steven with kr........what could be better
[13:56] {ese} rats .01 cent down
[13:58] {ese} vad?  Did you hear the one about the Russian who spent 4 days in Sears looking for wheels for a miscarrage
01[13:59] {&Threei}  lol
[13:59] {ese} put iodine on his paycheck because he got a cut in pay
01[13:59] {&Threei}  let me give you a real life one
[13:59] {ese} thought that manual labor was the president of Mexico
[13:59] {nemo} wow...ese, talking to your students again?
[14:00] {ese} lol
[14:01] {ese} quick somebody do something.......i'm doxing off here.....the infamous head nod
01[14:01] {&Threei}  walking in the walmart with a relatively recent arrival,
[14:01] {ese} dozing
01[14:01] {&Threei}  helping him find a tiki torch for his backyard
01[14:02] {&Threei}  after a few min of browsing the isles he finally spots them at the end of the isle
01[14:02] {&Threei}  and exclaims loudly so half of walmart hears him "tocrh!!"
01[14:03] {&Threei}  only he does it in russian
01[14:03] {&Threei}  and in russian, torch sounds "fuckel"
[14:03] {ese} this is getting funny
01[14:03] {&Threei}  for the next 30 seconds it wasn't
01[14:04] {&Threei}  as half of the store turned to look
[14:04] {RonS} good news he did not see a bunch so no "cluster fuckel",,,
01[14:04] {&Threei}  then it became funny again and men turned away but women still looked interested
01[14:04] {&Threei}  lol
[14:04] {ese} rotflol
01[14:04] {&Threei}  and = as
[14:04] {ese} good one
[14:05] {ese} nice nice nice....massive orders for kr at .14
[14:09] {jdetente} out GDX at .06
[14:09] {jdetente} thanks Vad
01[14:09] {&Threei}  yw :)
[14:09] {ese} well done jd
01[14:10] {&Threei}  life becomes brighter inch by inch
01[14:10] {&Threei}  trade by trade
01[14:10] {&Threei}  beer by beer
[14:10] {ese} indeed indeed
[14:11] {jdetente} yup day has turned around nicely
[14:12] {ese} jd....you live in Nashville right?
[14:14] {jdetente} no I'm out in California
[14:15] {ese} ah......was gonna say was in Nashville a year ago april 12.....was over 100 F for 3 of the 5 days we were there.....beggars must be just frying right now
[14:17] {jdetente} it's pretty humid there too, right? must be hellish
[14:18] {ese} i picture California's weather to be like ours up here most of the time....last time there was 1st week of july at Disneyland  07
[14:19] {ese} was nice ...not to hot
[14:20] {jdetente} depends on where. I'm in Southern California in one of the valleys so it's more like the desert.
[14:20] {jdetente} 20 miles from the coast...
[14:20] {nemo} if the market's gonna' pullback, this should be it, otherwise...wtf
[14:20] {ese} ahhhhh......being preserved for all time
[14:21] {ese} ever been up here Vancouver/Victoria?
[14:21] {jdetente} I have actually about 15 years ago. Went 2 summers in a row.
[14:21] {jdetente} Love it up there.
[14:22] {Alexs} you still in GDX Vad?
[14:22] {ese} ya....have to agree.....am from the praries...Saskatchewan....it's like being on holiday all year round here
[14:23] {jdetente} I bet. Winter on the prairie?? No thanks!
[14:24] {ese} i don't miss the cold thats for sure
01[14:25] {&Threei}  last pieace alex, yes
01[14:25] {&Threei}  .16 stop
[14:25] {+cc_9} HMA blasting
[14:25] {Alexs} ok
[14:25] {+cc_9} been blasting that is
01[15:02] {&Threei}  there should be one more trade in this swamp
01[15:02] {&Threei}  going to look for it over the next 15-20 min
[15:09] {robbers} Just in time, ese, we're looking for a final trade.
[15:10] {ese} sheesh hopefully kr will make a run here....talk about slogging it out
[15:13] {ese} my god.......i'm up .02
01[15:13] {&Threei}  wow
01[15:14] {&Threei}  don't spend that money all at once, lest you cause hyperinflation singlehandedly
[15:14] {robbers} You're always putting your two cents in.
[15:15] {ese} lol
[15:17] {nemo} mmmhhh...FDX came to it's senses
01[15:17] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .50 break
01[15:17] {&Threei}  If holds  .60
[15:18] {ese} out kr .19 +.03.......am outta here cya tomorrow...got stuff to do
01[15:18] {&Threei}  take care ese
[15:18] {ese} cya vad
[15:23] {Alexs} triggered?
01[15:24] {&Threei}  I didn't dee .50 giving up on Level 2
01[15:24] {&Threei}  but I could fall asleep
01[15:25] {&Threei}  dee = see
01[15:41] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .10 break
01[15:41] {&Threei}  If holds  101
[15:45] {jdetente} the swamp rejects your trade
01[15:47] {&Threei}  yeah
01[15:47] {&Threei}  swamp is swamp
[15:52] {jdetente} alright guys. Have a good one...
01[15:53] {&Threei}  thank you all
01[15:53] {&Threei}  have a great evening, Fed will hopefully provide some spark tomorrow

Monday, July 8, 2013

July 08 2013

Very slow, very boring but profitable day. All stops were well-controlled while winners have ranged from scalps to 1:3. Well, last one was saved by the bell so we had to take whooping 2 cents :)


Session Time: Fri Jul 05 00:00:00 2013
[09:13] {cipher} gm
[09:15] {+cc_9} Hello folks
[09:21] {Alexs} gm
[09:27] {ese} morning
[09:28] {ese} looks like everyone is taking a 4 day weekend
[09:31] {+cc_9} Scaling SSO
[09:31] {+cc_9} looking for 163+ SPY
[09:32] {ese} were you Long cc
[09:32] {ese} scaling in or out
[09:32] {+cc_9} Avg cost SSO 78.69
[09:33] {+cc_9} In
[09:33] {+cc_9} bot the SPY pullback after the NFP #s
[09:33] {+cc_9} 161.80 first support on any major pullback
[09:33] {ese} nice
[09:34] {ese} am waitin on aria am long there at .61
[09:34] {ese} uncharacteristic for me holding onto something
[09:43] {+cc_9} no direction yet
[09:43] {+cc_9} $0.20 seesaws
[09:44] {+cc_9} Would like to see a 162.45 bid break for reversal
[09:47] {+cc_9} here we go
[09:48] {+cc_9} BOOM
[09:49] {+cc_9} slight resistance 162.60 from 9:32
[09:50] {+cc_9} we break 162.60 should be good for a mean reversal
[09:53] {+cc_9} be careful guys, new data out
[09:53] {+cc_9} Jean Paul is a Saint as of today, could move markets
[09:59] {+cc_9} SPY intraday range for now : 161.12 bottom - 162.60 top
[10:02] {ese} have you totaly partialed out of spy yet cc
[10:04] {+cc_9} Yes, I scaled out my first entry, now scaling back in again
[10:04] {+cc_9} I always aim for $0.10 - $0.20 max on these trades
[10:07] {+cc_9} here we go again
[10:09] {ese} good on ya
[10:09] {ese} according to my chart it's bouncing off the 50 MA....should be up from here
[10:11] {ese} opps....no go....
[10:12] {ese} that effected my stock
[10:12] {+cc_9} slowly scaling, plenty time on the clock, not gonna crash today
[10:15] {+cc_9} adding on SPY here
[10:26] {+cc_9} full gap closed today, back to closing price on SPY from Wednesday
[10:26] {+cc_9} full sell-off since 9:50AM
[10:33] {+cc_9} lets see 162 on the tap again
[10:33] {+cc_9} i have a truck to unload
[10:34] {+cc_9} boom
[10:38] {+cc_9} 09:33 cc_9 161.80 first support on any major pullback
[10:38] {+cc_9} now working as resistance.
[10:42] {+cc_9} need VXX below 19.65
[10:44] {+cc_9} here we go, need to crack right here
[10:45] {+cc_9} still big wall...
[10:48] {+cc_9} 4th test 161.80, break already...
[10:50] {+cc_9} higher lows SPY, top still unchanged 161.80
[10:52] {+cc_9} 5th test 161.80, almost feels like algos are just set to sell that wall each time
[10:53] {+cc_9} no buyers yet
[10:57] {+cc_9} resistance broke, need a follow through
[10:58] {+cc_9} need to see some .90s
[10:58] {ese} keep up the great work here cc
[11:02] {+cc_9} unloading my massive truck
[11:02] {+cc_9} 9k SSO now 2k left
[11:02] {+cc_9} ill spam with info, for what it is worth :D
[11:06] {+cc_9} All out SSO
[11:25] {+cc_9} Although im all out, here comes the 162 break
[11:58] {+cc_9} boom boom boom
[11:58] {+cc_9} god damn i want that 9k SSO back
[12:04] {+cc_9} MAJOR bounce SPY, took some time, but got it!
[12:19] {+cc_9} Full blown reversal, im done for the day
[12:19] {+cc_9} you all have a great weekend!
Session Time: Sat Jul 06 00:00:00 2013

Session Start: Sat Jul 06 14:07:23 2013
Session Ident: #discussions
03[14:07] * Now talking in #discussions
Session Time: Sun Jul 07 00:00:00 2013
Session Time: Mon Jul 08 00:00:00 2013
[09:11] {dino} gm
[09:12] {bbobr} gm
01[09:12] {&Threei}  morning dino, bbobr
[09:18] {cipher} gm
[09:19] {Alexs} gm
01[09:19] {&Threei}  cipher, alex :)
[09:19] {ese} gm
01[09:19] {&Threei}  ese :)
[09:19] {ese} vad c alex dino
[09:19] {ese} bb
[09:20] {RonS} top 'o the day y'all
01[09:21] {&Threei}  ron :)
[09:21] {ese} ron
01[09:26] {&Threei}  long weekend didn't bring much relief to goldbugs
[09:29] {jdetente} good morning
01[09:29] {&Threei}  jd :)
01[09:29] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .60 break
01[09:30] {&Threei}  If holds  .55
[09:30] {nemo} Europe up huge we have a long way to run
01[09:30] {&Threei}  no go
[09:31] {nemo} they have to go get the stops above 164
01[09:34] {&Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .40 break
01[09:34] {&Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:35] {&Threei}  stop to .46
01[09:36] {&Threei}  1:1
[09:37] {nemo} How much longer before FCX goes to the pink sheets?
01[09:37] {&Threei}  lol
01[09:37] {&Threei}  ugh... GDX
01[09:37] {&Threei}  thought of .60 break
[09:38] {Les} yo
01[09:38] {&Threei}  les :)
[09:38] {Les} hows this market moving today?=
01[09:38] {&Threei}  FCX, 1/4 more out
01[09:39] {&Threei}  today is 8 min old... kind of early to make judgement :)
01[09:39] {&Threei}  stop to.35
01[09:39] {&Threei}  .36 I mean
[09:39] {nemo} look who asked the question
01[09:40] {&Threei}  1:2, stop to .31
[09:41] {Les} well yous in a trade which tells me enough
[09:41] {nemo} ok, it's 11 minutes old...go ahead les
[09:41] {Les} dumbass
[09:42] {nemo} that's an accurate self-assessment
[09:42] {Les} GDX potential DB here
01[09:42] {&Threei}  no... new low
[09:42] {Les} y
[09:43] {Les} SLW too
01[09:43] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  119
01[09:43] {&Threei}  hl
01[09:43] {&Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:44] {&Threei}  closed FCX last 1/4
01[09:45] {&Threei}  no go GLD
01[09:46] {&Threei} Short Setup: FB  .70 break
01[09:46] {&Threei}  If holds  .75
01[09:49] {&Threei}  meh
01[09:53] {&Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .20 break
01[09:53] {&Threei}  If holds  .25
01[10:00] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .28 break
01[10:01] {&Threei}  If holds  .18
03[10:06] * Retrieving #discussions modes...
01[10:06] {&Threei}  anyone's breathing?
[10:06] {jdetente} barely
[10:06] {jdetente} long weekend hehe
01[10:07] {&Threei}  I know
[10:12] {dino} line sm l .65
[10:13] {dino} out line .00, +.35
[10:14] {dino} heading out at 11 am, going to myrtle, golfing, back monday
01[10:16] {&Threei}  ese will be green of envy
[10:18] {dino} someday have to get him there
01[10:20] {&Threei}  out 1/2 GDX
01[10:22] {&Threei}  BBRY... too slow and narrow... otherwise, feels like can be shorted into oblivion
01[10:22] {&Threei}  non-stop slide
[10:23] {Les} no doubt some feel that the new operating system is STILL underappreciated and BBRY is a massive buy here
01[10:23] {&Threei}  of course
[10:23] {Les} doing a price check is so much easier
01[10:24] {&Threei}  eery big drop has those who operate in "i't smanipulation, it's a huge value we will prevail, stay strong" universe
01[10:24] {&Threei}  their chance of success is just a notch above attempt to staple water to the tree
01[10:26] {&Threei}  1:2, 1/4 MORE OUT
01[10:39] {&Threei}  if GDX breaks .55, will try for 1?4, with trail instead of partial
01[10:46] {&Threei}  stop .44 at this point
[10:48] {ese} am still here vad...calmly going about my business L aria .39 about 10am....just forgot to post it....have dozed off
[10:49] {ese} 10am eastern that is
01[10:49] {&Threei}  lol
01[10:49] {&Threei}  meanwhile dino came up with a plan to abduct you to Myrtile beach
01[10:50] {&Threei}  I am supposed to mic a sleeping pill in your vodka
[10:50] {RonS} ...but you missed it...
01[10:50] {&Threei}  lol
[10:50] {ese} awesome
[10:50] {ese} NOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
[10:51] {Les} lol thought I saw a sleeping pill instead of viagra
[10:51] {Les} thought that was a bit harsh
[10:51] {ese} lol
01[10:52] {&Threei}  I can imagine how nemo's hands itch to write: "sleeping pill for one, viagra for another"
[10:52] {ese} do NOT!  give the man any ideas
01[11:03] {&Threei}  we have Ben s[eaking on Wed
01[11:04] {&Threei}  speaking too
[11:05] {ese} no...sleaking is probably a better word to describe him.....
[11:06] {ese} for example.........he'll be sleaking out of office very soon
[11:06] {ese} he sleaks to congress when he talks to them
01[11:06] {&Threei}  have you seen a list of his successor candidates?
[11:06] {Les} inverted cup and handle GDX?
[11:06] {ese} nah....perfect word to describe the man
01[11:07] {&Threei}  no read Les, too slow
[11:07] {ese} not sure that I want to.......but I hope is Arnold Swartzeneggar
[11:07] {Les} watching Arnie this morning as the terminator, first movie
01[11:07] {&Threei}  you wish
01[11:08] {&Threei}  train wreck
[11:08] {Les} you want him to rip someones heart out?
[11:08] {ese} yes
01[11:08] {&Threei}  Larry Summers for pete's sake
[11:08] {dino} ok, thats all for me. have a great week all. see you monday
[11:08] {Les} cheers
01[11:08] {&Threei}  have fun dino
[11:09] {ese} dahh....go ahead ...... criticize me......"make my day"
01[11:09] {&Threei}  that's Eastwood ese...
[11:09] {ese} out comes futurist weapon......and voila........no congressional finance hearing committee
01[11:10] {&Threei}  Arnold is rather "Hasta la vista baby"
[11:10] {ese} ok well....dirty Harry then.......same thing
01[11:10] {&Threei}  hehe
[11:13] {bbobr} I am not away
[11:14] {nemo} one can hope
01[11:14] {&Threei}  we didn't think so
01[11:25] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .40 break hl
01[11:25] {&Threei}  .c .50
01[11:25] {&Threei}  If holds  .50
[11:35] {+cc_9} hi
01[11:36] {&Threei}  ok... I'll play
01[11:36] {&Threei}  morning
[11:36] {+cc_9} k
06[11:42] * Les slaps _dalvarado around a bit with a large trout
[11:43] {Les} someone worked out how to get in
[11:43] {Les} Nemo doing terrible job at the front door
01[11:44] {&Threei}  GLD is annoying
01[11:46] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .55 break
01[11:47] {&Threei}  If holds  .48
01[11:47] {&Threei}  (EU) ECB said to have seen some data which may indicate that inflation spike is not imminent, supporting its dovish stance - press
01[11:48] {&Threei}  die already GLD
01[11:48] {&Threei}  1:1
01[11:48] {&Threei}  half out
01[11:49] {&Threei}  took its sweet time... over 20 min
01[11:55] {&Threei}  1:1
[11:56] {ese} be back in 40....have to take stuff to the municipal yard
[11:57] {Les} yard sale?
[11:57] {nemo} he's dropping off the kids
[11:57] {Les} won't be cheap
[11:58] {Les} if only I could dump mine at cost
[12:07] {Les} little tza off here
01[12:08] {&Threei}  1:2
01[12:09] {&Threei}  huh... who would have sthought, shapes up as a decent day
[12:09] {Les} well that's what you get for thinking
[12:12] {Les} outta here thanks for the fish c u's tomorrow
[12:24] {RonS} nemo here?
[12:30] {nemo} no
[12:31] {RonS} didn't think so
[12:31] {RonS} buswk.co/1bimWQO
01[12:31] {&Threei}  that's sophisticated... I didn't think, period
[12:33] {nemo} better than sex
[12:40] {+cc_9} QCOM trying to reverse
[12:40] {+cc_9} also, good morning
01[12:40] {&Threei}  again??
01[13:07] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .30 break
01[13:07] {&Threei}  If holds  .25
01[13:07] {&Threei}  and if you are ready for a slowish one
[13:11] {nemo} http://bo.st/12dqUmU
01[14:18] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  83 break
01[14:18] {&Threei}  If holds  .05
[14:19] {Alexs} two-sided CAT?
01[14:20] {&Threei}  by chart yes... but long side doesn't appeal to me as much as short one
01[14:20] {&Threei}  feels like tiredness should take over
01[14:28] {&Threei}  still valid
01[14:29] {&Threei}  ideally, slight bounce now, staying under .05, then break of support
01[14:29] {&Threei}  would be a beautiful short swetup
01[14:42] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[14:49] {nemo} spy and finnies look short, but....weird day
[14:53] {jdetente} well nemo. VXX continues to slide. Still at lows of day
01[14:54] {&Threei}  yeah, shorting hasn't been fruitful really
[14:54] {nemo} yep
[14:54] {nemo} going into the 3:00 pm short squeeze
01[14:54] {&Threei}  looks like
[14:54] {nemo} was watching the pace pick up on the index etfs
01[15:12] {&Threei}  GDX breakdown... missed this one
01[15:12] {&Threei}  grrr
01[15:25] {&Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .50 break
[15:26] {Alexs} setup for tomorrow trade?
01[15:27] {&Threei}  why?
01[15:27] {&Threei}  enouhg time for today still
[15:28] {Alexs} looks like it won't trigger today to slow
01[15:28] {&Threei}  it just did :)
[15:28] {Alexs} lol
01[15:29] {&Threei}  but I understand the sentiment
01[15:29] {&Threei}  one of slowest days this year
[15:30] {Alexs} spy volume on July 3d level still
[15:34] {Alexs} stop .56?
01[15:34] {&Threei}  yeah, let's keep it tight
01[15:35] {&Threei}  don't want to give profits back
[15:46] {nemo} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGimzB5QM1M
[15:49] {RonS} wow, Werner von Braun would be impressed...
[15:49] {nemo} that's very impressive
01[15:58] {&Threei}  ok... running out of time
01[15:58] {&Threei}  out + whole 2 cents
01[15:58] {&Threei}  thank you all, have a good evening
01[15:58] {&Threei}  see you tomorrow
[16:01] {bbobr} gn



Saturday, July 6, 2013

Nemo's Findings week of 7/7/2013

(Course on chart pattern recognition is available now: http://www.realitytrader.com/111trades.html  


After bottoming out last week at the first significant techinical level , the indexes spent most of the holiday shortened week in consolidation mode.  The SPY recaptured the 50 day average on Friday after rejecting it twice earlier in the week. I think next week, probably Monday we gap up to crush what ever short stops there are above the gap at 163.53 and then probably the ones above 164, with a likelihood we challenge the last swing high around 166. 

The Russell had a new all time closing high and will likely break that, while the finnies have a bit more work. But with yields rising, they'll be able to charge more for loans (if they make any) so that should work out well for them.

Add in the IWC, which tracks the Russell micro caps, is at all time highs, even the littlest companies are doing well, stock-wise that is.

The Qs are heading in to the time of year that has been traditionally strong for them

The jobs report on Friday came in well ahead of expected.  Now under the hood it sucked: it was mostly part-time jobs with full time jobs taking it in the shorts...(too graphic?) The market first sold off, but that may have been in response to bond yields.  Either way higher interest rates and a BOOMING part-time jobs market saw us bottom at 10:15 and never look back

The future's so bright, the market's gotta' wear shades!


Europe isn't  in great shape but the market doesn't care.  Egypt is blowing up, but the market doesn't care.  Oil is up near $104...fuggetaboutit!!

Having said that, the real Summer trading starts next week, although volumes this week were not particularly low considering.  If Wall Street is distributing to the sheep before a rug pull, this was an easier week to keep the indexes up. Having said that, all the action, including the retracement lows, can be considered bullish overall.

Another thought, if the SPY holds the 50 day for any amount of times, all the money managers who got caught with their pants down at the beginning of the year, will have to start chasing performance. All I see is up, but then again it's about price.  

Don't overthink it, or, this could happen:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U_eZmEiyTo0





 Anyway...


The week that was:







The week that is: 





 

Friday, July 5, 2013

Market Week Wrap-up

TradeTheNews.com  Weekly Market Update: Strong US jobs data amps up taper talk; ECB steps in with forward guidance



- Fireworks flew in the July 4th holiday shortened week and the grand finale, the June US jobs report, delivered. A combination of geopolitical turns, central bank decisions and economic data made for exciting week in the financial markets. Europe saw a return of crisis-like concerns after key defections in Portugal PM Coelho's government sent bond yields surging higher, while it appears Greece is struggling to prove they have meet conditions needed to secure an €8B tranche in its bailout. Egypt added to overall jitteriness as the military reacted to mass protests by deposing President Morsi and installing a technocratic government. While US markets were closed on Thursday, both the ECB and Bank of England were out reassuring markets by offering forward guidance, indicating accommodation will stay in place for an extended period. By Friday, all eyes turned to a promising US employment report which appears to have cemented expectations the Federal Reserve will begin tapering back asset purchases sometime this fall. Prospects for a better US economy and political instability in Egypt caused WTI crude oil prices to spurt above $100 for the first time in a year, ending the week up about 7%. The US Dollar index has reached fresh 3-year highs and metals markets remained under notable pressure. Bond yields backed up aggressively on both sides of the Atlantic with the US 10-year surpassing 2.7% for the first time since August 2011. Overall stock prices have made little headway with rising rates restraining equity sentiment until late in the week. For the week with the Dow finished up 1.5%, the S&P added 1.6% and NASDAQ gained 2.2%.

- The US employment report was the most highly anticipated data of the week, and it didn't disappoint. Non-farm payrolls of 195K beat expectations by 30K, and coupled with a big upward revision in the May figure, brought the three-month average up to 185K net gain in payrolls. The unemployment rate ticked up one-tenth to 7.6% on higher workforce participation. Average hourly earnings also saw their biggest month over month gain in nearly two years, rising 0.4%, adding to the purchasing power of US consumers. The jobs data was strong enough to trigger some early selling in equity markets as analysts brought forward the consensus expectation for Fed tapering to the September meeting.

- European manufacturing PMI readings on Monday were good news for some of the peripheral states, but not for Germany. Spain and Italy each reported their best PMI reading in three years, while Germany notched its third straight contraction, a bad sign for the continent's manufacturing powerhouse. US economic activity data was also inconclusive. The June ISM manufacturing data met expectations at 50.9 and topped the May figure of 49. The new orders, production and inventories indices were all better than the May readings, although the employment index slipped into contraction for the first time since October 2009. The June ISM non-manufacturing index dropped to its lowest level in three years, missing expectations, but the employment component of the report rose to its best level since February.

- On Tuesday the Fed adopted a proposal to outline additional rules that will be required of US banks on top of the new Basel III capital regime, effective January 2014. The Fed's Tarullo commented that the 7% Basel III capital ratio seemed too low, and that the SIFIs would face a stricter leverage ratio. In addition, the board will write rules that would force banks to hold a minimum amount of debt to be converted to equity during a crisis and wean banks dependent on short-term wholesale funding.

- In another sign of the gradual economic recovery, US June auto sales delivered the best result seen since December 2007. Industry sales came in at an annualized pace of just under 16 million vehicles, up from 15.3 million in May and 9.1 million at the bottom of the crisis. Ford saw a 13% y/y sales gain, while Chrysler sales were up 8.2% y/y and GM gained 6% y/y. Toyota US sales were up 9.8%.

- Data out from TrimTabs indicated that a record $80B left bond funds in June. This figure was nearly double the withdrawals seen at the height of the financial crisis in October 2008. TrimTabs warned that the rush out of bonds may soon get even worse, as bond investors could be spooked after receiving plenty of red ink on their quarterly statements in the coming weeks.

- Political turmoil in Egypt broke out ahead of the one-year anniversary of President Morsi's election. Continuing dysfunction and gigantic anti-Morsi street protests spurred the Egyptian Army to force Morsi step down on July 3rd. Front-month WTI crude broke above $102 for the first time since early 2012 as the army suspended the government and placed Morsi under house arrest. With the move up in WTI and the continuing economic chaos in Europe, the WTI/Brent spread narrowed to a 2.5 year low.

- Austerity fatigue nearly capsized the Portuguese government this week. In a surprise move just days before the Troika's next review, Portuguese Finance Minister Vitor Gaspar stepped down from office. Gaspar, who was the architect of the Lisbon's package of economic reforms, said eroding public support for austerity plus the Portuguese Constitutional Court's ruling against certain cuts back in April had made his position untenable. Treasury Secretary Maria Luis Albuquerque replaced Gaspar, which prompted CDS party leader and foreign minister Portas to quit the government coalition, saying the new finance minister would offer "mere continuity" of the country's deficit-cutting plans. Yields on 10-year Portugal government debt surged 130 bps at their worst, testing 8%, though by the end of the week it appeared PM Coelho had convinced the CDS party to remain in the coalition.

- In Greece, the Troika returned on July 1st after a two-week hiatus and warned the government that it might need new austerity measures if it failed to meet revenue targets and plug a funding gap. This followed the high-profile collapse of several privatization initiatives, causing the Greek government to slash its 2013 privatization target to €1.6B from €2.6B. Subsequent reports suggested that the Troika had given Athens a three-day deadline to assure foreign lenders it would be able to meet the terms of its bailout deal or the next aid tranche of €8.1B would be withheld and doled out in smaller increments. By Friday, Greek officials said they were hopeful they could wrap up talks with the Troika this weekend, ahead of a Eurogroup meeting on Monday July 8th.

- The foreign exchange market exhibited renewed volatility on a laundry list of global concerns, including the flashpoints in Egypt, Portugal, and Greece. Dealers also noted more evidence of a Chinese economic slowdown after its official non-manufacturing PMI came in at 53.9, down from 54.3 in the prior month.

- These global concerns were countered by central banks in Europe stepping in to show they are still in charge. Both the BOE and ECB took an historic stance on issuing forward guidance at their respective meetings. The BOE said that the "Chancellor had requested that the Committee provide an assessment, alongside its August Inflation Report, of the case for adopting some form of forward guidance, including the possible use of intermediate thresholds" (the Inflation Report is due August 7, coming after the August 1 BOE policy meeting). Shortly thereafter, the ECB issued its own forward guidance, stating that the central bank expects all rates to stay as they are or lower for an extended period of time. The EUR/USD dipped below the 1.29 handle for 5-week lows over the course of the ECB press conference.

- A slew of UK economic data beat expectations but in the end could not save the GBP from weakness. The GBP currency suffered its largest decline since Feb after the BOE issued a rare statement upon Governor Carney taking the helm of the central bank. The thrust of the statement was mildly dovish as the BOE looked to established forward guidance as a tool. Some dealers noted that the statement was a smart way of drawing attention away from how the new governor voted, which will be detailed in the minutes released later this month (July 17). The GBP/USD tested 1.5070 immediately after the statement, and then fell as low as 1.485 after the US jobs report on Friday.

In Japan, the improvement in Tankan report reflected the pick-up in sentiment since the BOJ embarked on its bold easing policy last April . The USD/JPY pair probed back above the 100 level for 1-month highs, with dealers noting the pair had a lot of option expirations at 100 this week. M&A flows also contributed to talk up the trend, as a Japanese pension fund joined a consortium to buy a Michigan electric plant for $2.0B.

- The Australian dollar was under pressure and hit 3-year lows after the RBA talked down AUD after it left rates unchanged at 2.75%. The currency rebounded from 3-year lows and market participants adjusted down rate cut expectations after RBA deputy governor Lowe said Governor Stevens was misinterpreted when he said board deliberations went on for a "very long time."


TradeTheNews

Wednesday, July 3, 2013

July 3 2013

Thought it was going to be an empty day but it turned out surprisingly good, with a few nice wins and even one 1:3er on IWM. We are off till Monday, happy 4th of July to all American friends!

Session Time: Wed Jul 03 00:00:00 2013

[09:14] {Les} the list gets thinner with each passing day this week
[09:14] {Les} morning
[09:14] {nemo} not thin enough
01[09:15] {&Threei}  morning les
[09:15] {Les} hehehe
[09:20] {Alexs} gm
01[09:20] {&Threei}  alex :)
[09:20] {RonS} hi everyone
01[09:20] {&Threei}  ron :)
[09:27] {cipher} gm
01[09:27] {&Threei}  cipher :)
[09:29] {dino} gm
[09:29] {bbobr} gm
01[09:29] {&Threei}  dino, bbobr :)
01[09:30] {&Threei} Short Setup: GDX  24 break
01[09:30] {&Threei}  If holds  .05
01[09:33] {&Threei}  meh
[09:33] {nemo} spy bounced right at the bottom of the gap
[09:34] {dino} bud sm l .20
[09:36] {+cc_9} going long SPY on 160.75 break for a 161+ tgt
[09:41] {+cc_9} boom
[09:41] {Les} SSO 78 break worked without me
[09:41] {Les} yeh nice one cc
[09:42] {+cc_9} Les, here are all my SSO buys }} http://img818.imageshack.us/img818/1543/ywmi.jpg
01[09:42] {&Threei} Long Setup:  TZA  .60 break
01[09:42] {&Threei}  If holds  .55
01[09:43] {&Threei}  half out
[09:43] {dino} elx sm s .96
[09:45] {dino} mjn blood
[09:45] {dino} cov elx .46, +.50
[09:47] {robbers} wtg
[09:47] {dino} ty
[09:47] {+cc_9} QQQ holding up even with AAPL trying to fade a wittle
[09:49] {dino} out bud .29, +.09
01[09:52] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .95 break
01[09:52] {&Threei}  If holds  .90
01[09:52] {&Threei}  two-sided
[09:55] {+cc_9} SPY still pushing, SSO new highs
[09:55] {+cc_9} choo choo
[09:55] {dino} arp drop
[09:55] {dino} sm l .90
[09:55] {ese} morning...summertime dinner party last night...am hurtin a little...what day is it and what time is it
[09:56] {Les} that information is classified
01[09:56] {&Threei}  if you are hurting "a little" that wasn't much of a party
[09:56] {ese} try not to make me laugh.....it will hurt
[09:57] {dino} wtf arp
01[09:57] {&Threei}  short starts looking more probable
[09:57] {dino} re-load .00
01[09:58] {&Threei}  1:1
[09:59] {+cc_9} some data out at 10:00am
01[10:00] {&Threei}  *(US) JUN ISM NON-MANUFACTURING: 52.2 V 54.0E
[10:07] {+cc_9} no clear direction on the SPY, will get long if gets back over 160.50
[10:08] {+cc_9} otherwise, last intraday support is 160.20
01[10:10] {&Threei}  fairly weird moves
01[10:11] {&Threei} Short Setup: GDX  .10 break
01[10:11] {&Threei}  If holds  .15
[10:12] {dino} out arp .20, +1.20
01[10:13] {&Threei}  meh
[10:13] {+cc_9} Can I step in and say "chop" ?
[10:15] {dino} tough crowd
01[10:16] {&Threei}  salivating in silence, dino :)
[10:17] {dino} lol
01[10:17] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .75 break
[10:17] {dino} ts sob, stopped me yesterday drops $2 this am
01[10:17] {&Threei}  If holds  .70
[10:19] {+cc_9} LINE getting absolutely destroyed
01[10:20] {&Threei}  1:1
[10:20] {+cc_9} dead kitty bounce LINE
[10:22] {dino} lnco too
[10:25] {+cc_9} LINE current wall 24.25
[10:26] {+cc_9} see if any short covering/bottom feeders
[10:26] {Les} thanks vad needed that. played sympathy SSO move for 1:2
[10:27] {Les} stopped finaly piece on trail
01[10:27] {&Threei}  yw
[10:27] {+cc_9} Les hooked on the SSO lol
[10:27] {+cc_9} gj
[10:28] {+cc_9} LINE trying
[10:28] {+cc_9} MikeBellafiore on stocktwits = one lying sack of shit
[10:28] {Alexs} why don't you trade SPY directly cc?
[10:29] {+cc_9} bc SSO is cheaper and can size up on it easier
[10:29] {+cc_9} SSO = SPY only cheaper
01[10:29] {&Threei}  1:2
[10:29] {+cc_9} 1:2 in % wise correct
[10:30] {+cc_9} actually, % is same
[10:30] {Alexs} SPY 75% marginable SSO 40% so it's the same but you don't need to watch both
[10:30] {robbers} Out at .01, thanks.
[10:31] {+cc_9} SPY gives me signals, I trade SSO / SDS based on that
01[10:31] {&Threei}  :)
01[10:31] {&Threei}  this IWM trade cements the day as profitable whatever happens
[10:32] {dino} ditto 3i
[10:33] {Alexs} what was that IWM set up Vad?
[10:33] {+cc_9} All out LINE reversal +$0.27
01[10:33] {&Threei}  pullback entry
[10:35] {+cc_9} LINE booming :)
[10:37] {dino} apd sm l .52
[10:43] {dino} out apd .07, +.55
[10:48] {dino} atls drop
[10:48] {dino} gap area 45.06
[10:53] {+cc_9} Les, here is the range I trade on SPY }}} http://img46.imageshack.us/img46/8857/8ugj.jpg
[10:56] {Les} GM
[10:56] {dino} tagging the oil/gas lp's today, atls, arp, ahgp, line, lnco
[10:57] {Les} short .97
[10:57] {Les} .99
[10:57] {Les} holding .10
[10:58] {Les} k cc see it and its working well for moment
[11:00] {dino} rhi sm l .56
[11:02] {robbers} Market close is at 1:00 today, right?
01[11:03] {&Threei}  yes
01[11:04] {&Threei}  just a reminder, room will stay open but I won't be here on Fri
[11:04] {+cc_9} Les, there goes another test of that top range
[11:04] {Les} yeh watching it pissed I missed another 77 recross long
[11:04] {Les} frikin around tweaking DAS platform tryout
[11:05] {dino} killing the lp's today
[11:07] {+cc_9} Les, tweak it, if need help setting anything up, let me know
[11:07] {Les} np ty
[11:11] {+cc_9} LINE back to LOD range
[11:11] {Les} GM stop to .05
[11:12] {dino} line, lnco, atls, arp, vnr, cvrr, .... all destroyed
[11:12] {Les} Obummer's new energy policy dino?
[11:13] {dino} no, that was so last week.
[11:13] {dino} he actually mentioned gas in an ok way, he's after coal
[11:15] {RonS} he's after the American way of life...
[11:15] {dino} agreed ron, for some reason he thinks americans are evil
[11:16] {RonS} ...starting w/ cheap energy
[11:16] {dino} what the hell, his wife compared the white house to living in jail
[11:17] {RonS} O care is the time bmb
[11:18] {RonS} expect I will have to go w/o health insurance for the first time in my life
[11:18] {dino} i am against it too
[11:19] {dino} out rhi .60, +.04
[11:19] {dino} bad entry
[11:19] {dino} buy stop slipped on entry
[11:36] {Les} SDS db potential
[11:50] {dino} atls partial fill, l .05
[11:55] {+cc_9} BOOM there goes SPY :D
01[11:56] {&Threei}  (EG) Egypt President's office: A military coup is underway, a coup against popular resistance will only result in bloodshed - Separate reports indicate that military officials are still in meetings with various political, religious, and youth leaders; still expected to make a statement after the meeting.
01[11:57] {&Threei}  they really really don't get it:
01[11:57] {&Threei}  (EU) Germany Chancellor Merkel: European Union is preparing approximately €8B to be placed towards youth unemployment
[11:57] {Les} course they get it
[11:57] {Les} they can expand their bureaucratic powers
[11:58] {+cc_9} FLYING
[12:00] {Les} farage gets it
[12:00] {Les} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pEewCS9exzI
01[12:04] {&Threei}  Egypt's security forces place travel ban on President Morsi, top Islamists
[12:04] {Les} bye bye Mr Morsi
01[12:05] {&Threei}  No military coup can succeed against popular resistance without considerable bloodshed, aide to Egypt's President Morsi says
01[12:06] {&Threei}  distant bang
01[12:06] {&Threei}  Morsi: ummm... I need a new aide
[12:06] {Les} don't think military has problem with that
[12:07] {+cc_9} Unfortunately, civil war might hit Egypt
[12:07] {+cc_9} Not in the same style as Syria, but major instability nontheless
[12:07] {dino} looks that way
[12:08] {Les} inflation remains rampant and tourism decreasing 40 odd % in Egypt over last couple of years...
[12:08] {+cc_9} Qatar put a bad bet in giving out billions in loans to Egypt once MB was elected.
[12:14] {+cc_9} no wonder the Emir stepped down and let his son take over
[12:17] {Les} outta here c u's... i dunno
[12:17] {Les} maybe monday
[12:17] {Les} a+
01[12:19] {&Threei}  http://www.businessinsider.com/ridiculous-cronut-line-2013-7
[12:20] {+cc_9} take care folks
[12:20] {+cc_9} drink heavily and drive fast
[12:20] {+cc_9} im out of here
[12:20] {robbers} cya
01[12:23] {&Threei}  OK guys, I think we earned the right to quit
[12:23] {dino} cya cc9
[12:23] {dino} \surprizing good day
01[12:23] {&Threei}  not a bad week, especially considering how light trading is
[12:23] {robbers} Right, Vad, thanks for a good morning.
01[12:23] {&Threei}  thank you all, have a great looong weekend
01[12:23] {&Threei}  happy 4th of July
[12:24] {dino} thx all, enjoy the respite
01[12:24] {&Threei}  and I hope US has better days ahead
01[12:24] {&Threei}  see you Monday
[12:25] {dino} atls filled ave .79
[12:29] {bbobr} hasta lunes, good weekend all !
[12:29] {dino} take care bb
[12:49] {dino} out atls .09, +.30
[12:49] {dino} thats it, later all

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

July 2 2013

Against expectations, very nice day with 100% trading and even one 1:3er. No complaints at all. To our standard set of GDX, CAT etc we have added GM today.

Session Time: Tue Jul 02 00:00:00 2013
[08:49] {bbobr} gm
01[08:51] {&Threei}  morning bbobr
[08:55] {cipher} gm
01[08:56] {&Threei}  cipher :)
[09:20] {Alexs} gm
01[09:21] {&Threei}  alex :)
[09:21] {dino} gm
[09:21] {Les} ditto
01[09:22] {&Threei}  dino, les :)
[09:24] {RonS} hi y'all
[09:24] {Les} GDX .65 looks interesting
01[09:24] {&Threei}  Ron :)
01[09:24] {&Threei}  Ben made a speech
01[09:25] {&Threei}  (US) Fed Chairman Bernanke: Strong bank capital requirements will help make the US financial system safter and strengthens the economy - comments ahead of Fed vote on Basel III rules- Fed Staff: Final capital rule sets 4.5% capital ratio plus an extra 2.5% buffer.
01[09:25] {&Threei}  GDX, yes, DBI
[09:28] {ese} gm
01[09:28] {&Threei}  ese :)
[09:28] {nemo} frickin' optimists
01[09:29] {&Threei}  that we are
[09:29] {ese} Canada already has those requirements......maybe the strongest banking system on the planet
[09:29] {nemo} you had to be to get married
[09:29] {dino} lol
[09:30] {nemo} of course, that could just be naivete
[09:30] {Les} oh all these objectifying labels. Go take yer meds for chirsts sake
[09:31] {nemo} objectifying?  wtf
[09:31] {nemo} frickin ritalin junky
[09:31] {nemo} pot calling kettle black
[09:31] {ese} lol
[09:31] {Les} I'm clean today
[09:32] {nemo} spoken like a true junky
[09:32] {Les} gotta midnight shift tonight. pick me ups for dinner
[09:32] {dino} line interesting
[09:32] {nemo} workin the streets to pay for your habit now?
01[09:32] {&Threei}  GDX got away
[09:33] {Les} frik me son of a ...
[09:34] {nemo} iwm weak relative to spy and finnies
[09:35] {dino} line smr l .50 stop .29
01[09:36] {&Threei} Short Setup: FCX  .15 break
[09:38] {thomcbell} lvs is bananas
01[09:39] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .55 break
[09:39] {dino} out line .90, +.40
01[09:40] {&Threei}  half out GDX
[09:41] {RonS} .54 to .69 +.15  thanks 3i
[09:42] {RonS} gj dino
01[09:42] {&Threei}  yw
01[09:42] {&Threei}  1.4 more out
01[09:42] {&Threei}  stop .59
01[09:42] {&Threei}  FCX is valid still
[09:43] {dino} ty ron
[09:43] {dino} fms sm l .50
01[09:49] {&Threei}  change FCX to .20 break
[09:52] {ese} L aria .77
[09:52] {ese} 1/2
[09:52] {ese} so far
01[09:54] {&Threei}  Invalidated  FCX
[09:54] {dino} acrx
01[09:58] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .50 break
01[09:59] {&Threei}  If holds  .45
[09:59] {Les} u can't vad, I'm short
01[10:00] {&Threei}  use shoes with higher heels?
[10:00] {Les} hehhe
[10:00] {Les} not bad
01[10:00] {&Threei}  *(US) MAY FACTORY ORDERS: 2.1% V 2.0%E
01[10:00] {&Threei}  *(US) JULY IBD/TIPP ECONOMIC OPTIMISM: 47.1 V 50.0E
[10:01] {dino} line sm l .15 stop .89
01[10:01] {&Threei}  huh
01[10:01] {&Threei}  lower than expected optimism, and gold drops?
01[10:01] {&Threei}  it's so done... put a fork in it
[10:01] {Les} forgetting that non farm payrolls out friday
[10:02] {Les} "they" always like to hit it going into that
[10:02] {Les} damn covered too early
[10:06] {dino} line stop -.26
[10:09] {Les} found this tidbit of info from armstrong interesting:
[10:09] {Les} http://tinyurl.com/qc6zu7d
01[10:09] {&Threei} Short Setup: GM  .90 break
01[10:09] {&Threei}  If holds  .95
01[10:10] {&Threei}  1:1
[10:10] {Les} what was yer setup there vad?
01[10:10] {&Threei}  I have a confession to make... shorting GM delivers just as much satisfaction as GLD
[10:11] {Les} so it's personal?
01[10:11] {&Threei}  lol
[10:11] {Les} don't remember that setup
[10:11] {dino} line sm l .95
01[10:12] {&Threei}  topping out, tests of the high occurred within 1 min so can't see them on the chart
[10:12] {Les} k
01[10:12] {&Threei}  it danced above .90 a few times, probing high and being unable to break it, each time with less and less conviction
[10:12] {Les} looking for dt here
[10:14] {Les} shrot again
[10:17] {Les} looking for below .70 full ocever
[10:20] {Les} TLT potential top
[10:20] {Les} spy ain't helping on GM
01[10:22] {&Threei}  looks good to me
[10:22] {ese} L aria avg .73
01[10:22] {&Threei}  1:2
[10:22] {Les} yeh
[10:23] {Alexs} what was the set up Vad?
06[10:23] * Les slaps Alexs around a bit with a large trout
01[10:23] {&Threei}  mine or Les?
[10:23] {Alexs} 1:2?
01[10:23] {&Threei}  Les played double top
[10:23] {ese} both just to be safe
01[10:24] {&Threei}  off my original call
[10:24] {dino} fms stop .29, -.21
[10:24] {robbers} Thanks, GM.
01[10:24] {&Threei}  :)
[10:28] {dino} axll sm l .75
[10:28] {+cc_9} oh hi
[10:28] {+cc_9} :)
06[10:28] * Les slaps cc_9 around a bit with a large trout
[10:28] {+cc_9} i forgot i was here
[10:28] {+cc_9} hi Les
[10:29] {Les} yo
[10:29] {Les} covered .61 nice one vad
[10:29] {Les} 1:3 close enough for govt. work
[10:30] {Les} not asking much more on a day this week. will leave it here.
[10:30] {Les} a+ c u's tomorrow
01[10:30] {&Threei}  wtg
01[10:37] {&Threei}  Hating the sound of someone breathing or eating is called "misophonia" and is an actual brain disorder
[10:38] {robbers} Is it too much to ask of your spouse to stop?
01[10:38] {&Threei}  breathing?
[10:38] {dino} lol
01[10:38] {&Threei}  or eating?
[10:38] {robbers} Both.
01[10:38] {&Threei}  lol
01[10:39] {&Threei}  10 min of pure awesomness, sheer weirdness and outright stupidity: http://www.youtube.com/embed/hUj65M4T1cg?feature=player_embedded
[10:42] {robbers} Vad, missed your photos yesterday, could you repost the link please?
01[10:43] {&Threei}  http://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.493832874029566.1073741829.483178015095052&type=1
[10:47] {+cc_9} Banks fading a bit ahead of the broohaha
01[10:51] {&Threei}  JPM was tempting short at .40
01[10:51] {&Threei}  refrained because of recent history of it not obeying patterns very mcuh
[10:55] {dino} roc sm s .15 pulp
[10:57] {dino} cov roc .85, +.30
[10:57] {RonS} Hunstman $HUN said to consider bid for Rockwood's $ROC German TiO2 unit
[10:57] {dino} ty
[11:06] {dino} hum sm l .00
[11:06] {dino} roc sm s .35
01[11:12] {&Threei}  watching CAT for long
01[11:12] {&Threei}  from under .20 probably, maybe lower
01[11:15] {&Threei}  GM should be ready for bounce too
01[11:15] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GM  .10 break
01[11:18] {&Threei}  If holds  .05
[11:21] {dino} cov roc .85, +.50
[11:27] {dino} vrtx drop
[11:33] {dino} ilmn drop
[11:34] {+cc_9} anyone knows what time we get the news about capital requirements for the banking industry ?
[11:34] {dino} gap 73.72 area ilmn
[11:36] {RonS} hold on cc...phoning Ben now...
01[11:36] {&Threei}  Fed voted at 9:30
01[11:37] {&Threei}  when they are going to twll us, no idea
[11:37] {RonS} ...watching for Fed white smoke...
01[11:37] {&Threei}  well, we do know something
01[11:37] {&Threei}  let me post
01[11:37] {&Threei}  - The Fed Board met this morning and unanimously adopted additional rules that will be required of US banks on top of the new Basel III capital regime, effective January 2014. The Fed's Tarullo commented that the 7% Basel III capital ratio seemed too low, and that the SIFIs would face a stricter leverage ratio. In addition, the board is discussing a proposal to force banks to hold a minimum amount of debt to be converted to equity during a crisis and measures to wean banks dependent on short-term wholesale funding.
[11:38] {dino} after their urf n turf lunchg
[11:38] {Alexs} you still in GM Vad?
01[11:38] {&Threei}  no
01[11:39] {&Threei}  it hit 1:1
[11:39] {dino} wow my typing was off there, lol
[11:39] {RonS} bet those urfs are real good...
01[11:39] {&Threei}  then dropped under the trigger
01[11:39] {&Threei}  whether you scalp ot partial, no reason to be in anymore
[11:41] {+cc_9} Ron, any luck with Shlomo
[11:42] {RonS} lol
[11:42] {RonS} never heard him called that but works...lol
[11:43] {+cc_9} Its his middle name, makes the joke even funnier
[11:43] {+cc_9} his middle name is Shalom
[11:43] {+cc_9} close enough
[11:43] {+cc_9} Ben Shalom Bernanke
[11:43] {RonS} oh no...had no idea...rotflol
[11:43] {+cc_9} *the more you know*
[11:44] {dino} thought it was dover
[11:44] {RonS} you guys killin me...
[11:46] {dino} apd sm l 00
[11:46] {ese} L aria avg .61
[11:48] {RonS} took sm L in vrtx .60 to 80.05 +.45  thanks dino
[11:50] {dino} np, gj
01[11:50] {&Threei}  you OK with GM, Alex?
01[11:51] {&Threei}  (EG) Egypt military draft road map proposal said to intend to suspend the constitution and dissolve parliament led by the Muslim brotherhood - press- Notes that the proposals would only be implemented if there is a failure of the President Morsi and the opposition to reach an agreement - Would call for adjustments to the constitution with a new Presidential election
01[11:51] {&Threei}  I'd say, another success of obama's foreign policy
[11:51] {Alexs} covered second half .15
[11:55] {dino} in obummers eyes, sure. he just doesn't get it
[11:57] {jdetente} good morning
[11:58] {jdetente} how has trading been so far?
01[11:58] {&Threei}  morningjd
01[11:58] {&Threei}  actually good
01[11:58] {&Threei}  100% actually
[11:59] {jdetente} nice
[12:01] {ese} bingo
[12:01] {RonS} wow ese...aria...in at .41
[12:02] {ese} your in at .41 Ron.......awesome  10K hopefully
[12:04] {ese} shot up there like a rocket......figured it would once the mm's filled there boots after that news release opeining up the European mrkt to that news treatment they have
[12:04] {ese} new treatment
[12:06] {ese} gotta figure it'll climb the rest of the day
[12:06] {ese} sit back and pour yourself a gin
[12:09] {RonS} is ese the cause?...The percentage of wives having affairs rose almost 40% during the last two decades
[12:09] {ese} should never get personel with this stuff but I hope this leukaemia treatment is successful...personally know 2 people with it right now
[12:10] {ese} definitely not the cause of that......big time familly man
01[12:15] {&Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .05 break
01[12:15] {&Threei}  hl
01[12:16] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[12:19] {RonS} hes spike
01[12:19] {&Threei}  BREAKING: The RCMP are set to announce this morning several arrests in connection with a possible terror plot in Victoria.
01[12:19] {&Threei}  eeck
[12:22] {jdetente} jeepers
[12:22] {+cc_9} Time for people to break into the Egyptian presidency and set everything on fire
[12:24] {ese} huh
01[12:25] {&Threei}  School of Sarcasm: When you meet someone at supermarket and they go "hey, what are you doing here?" your only answer is "Oh you know, hunting elephants"
01[12:26] {&Threei}  press conference with details at 11, ese
[12:26] {ese} hmmmmm not surprised.....they caught that Rashid guy with a whole van full of explosives trying to catch the COHO ferry for Port Angelis on his way to blow up the LAX
01[12:26] {&Threei}  yup
01[12:26] {&Threei}  but this time it was supposed to be local act
[12:27] {ese} wow
[12:27] {ese} if somebody had disrupted your shiskabob pary last week i'd a been seriously pissed..........i'd a gone after them
[12:27] {ese} party
[12:28] {dino} ilmn sm l .50 ave
01[12:31] {&Threei}  Business Insider obtained a copy of one such letter dated June 30th, 2013. The money manager's fund, a Florida-based "long/short value" fund focused on equities and commodities, lost 68.45% in Q2 2013.
01[12:31] {&Threei}  The letter notes that the fund's net exposure is "fully invested in gold stocks."
01[12:31] {&Threei}  f*&%ing imbeciles trusted with other people money
01[12:31] {&Threei}  http://www.businessinsider.com/sad-gold-fund-investor-letter-2013-7
01[12:32] {&Threei}  @TheTweetOfGod
01[12:32] {&Threei}  Why did I make the year 365.242199 days? Because 365.243824 days would have looked stupid.
[12:33] {RonS} that's what ese says...
[12:40] {ese} lol
01[12:41] {&Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .95 break
01[12:41] {&Threei}  If holds  .90
[12:42] {Alexs} hl?
01[12:42] {&Threei}  with this stop, a bit more
01[12:42] {&Threei}  invalidated anyway
[12:42] {jdetente} no lot
01[12:42] {&Threei}  but on watch
[12:43] {dino} ilmn stop -.30
01[12:45] {&Threei}  same setup again
01[12:46] {&Threei}  .95 break long
[12:48] {jdetente} still valid?
[12:48] {jdetente} did not hold .90
[12:49] {dino} re-load ilmn sm l .94 stop lod
01[12:53] {&Threei}  I think so
01[12:53] {&Threei}  valid
01[12:53] {&Threei}  stop is small enough,, and lower BB creeps up to .90
01[12:54] {&Threei}  if SPY breasks .85 - 90 zone, should work fine
01[12:57] {&Threei}  1:1
[13:09] {nemo} how's ur chin?
01[13:10] {&Threei}  actually better
01[13:10] {&Threei}  100% trading on such day will heal many wounds
01[13:18] {&Threei}  nemo... dcc?
[13:25] {dino} out ilmn .33, +.37
01[13:26] {&Threei}  nice
[13:26] {dino} ty
[13:33] {+cc_9} Yesterday IWM much stronger than SPY, today' the complete opposite.
01[13:33] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .85 breeak
01[13:33] {&Threei}  If holds  .90
[13:36] {nemo} http://bit.ly/11dUugW
01[13:36] {&Threei}  1:1
01[13:38] {&Threei}  lol
01[13:39] {&Threei}  @TheTweetOfGod For many people, "live and learn" is one task too many.
[13:39] {robbers} Out at .70, thanks Vad.
01[13:39] {&Threei}  :)
01[13:39] {&Threei}  managed to see those photos robbers?
01[13:40] {&Threei}  (EU) EU Tax Commissioner Semeta: Prepared to review financial transaction tax (Tobin Tax) with lower rates for designated products- Tax should cover market makers.
01[13:40] {&Threei}  idiots
01[13:40] {&Threei}  (US) Fed's Dudley (dove, FOMC voter): Have not ruled out increasing the pace of asset purchases if economy surprises to the downside - Q&A- QE tapering is not "hardwired." - inflation expectations are pretty well anchored - The Fed at times was too optimistic about its forecast - US never had a very serious deflation risk
01[13:41] {&Threei}  1:2
01[13:42] {&Threei}  man... am I good or what
01[13:42] {&Threei}  shut up nemo
[13:43] {robbers} Great day, am heading out to play some golf...or goof the way I play it.
01[13:44] {&Threei}  lol
01[13:44] {&Threei}  you get to the photos?
01[13:44] {&Threei}  that was an album on facebook, I never know ehether those are visioble
[13:44] {robbers} Yeah, liked the subtle one best, but they are all pretty cool.
01[13:44] {&Threei}  intermittent exoperience
01[13:44] {&Threei}  there are subtle ones?? :)
01[13:44] {&Threei}  someone else must have taken those
[13:45] {robbers} Yeah, the firework was not to vivid in one of the shots.
[13:45] {robbers} Good job, you were 100% on the photography, too.
01[13:45] {&Threei}  ty
[13:45] {robbers} FORE!
01[13:46] {&Threei}  fireworks can be very easy thing to photograph if yopu knwo exact location where they originate and can find a good spot
01[13:46] {&Threei}  technique itself is simple
01[13:49] {&Threei}  A Victoria man and woman have been charged with terrorism after a suspicious package was left at the provincial legislature on Canada Day.
01[13:49] {&Threei}  They are charged with knowingly facilitating a terrorist activity, posession of an explosive substance and conspiring to commit an indictable offence.
[13:50] {nemo} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HecyxhXDepU
[13:53] {+cc_9} Going long SPY here for reversal, aiming for 161.60 tgt
01[13:58] {&Threei}  1:3
01[13:58] {&Threei}  out
[14:00] {+cc_9} big wall 161.412 SPY
[14:02] {+cc_9} typo, 161.41*
[14:16] {+cc_9} crap
[14:17] {RonS} is patel in here?...
[14:17] {nemo} oooooooohhhhhhhhh
[14:18] {dino} ades gap fill
01[14:18] {&Threei}  no, why?
01[14:19] {&Threei}  wow... covered CAT too soon
[14:19] {RonS} he always screamed "crap" on a loser...:)
01[14:20] {&Threei}  oh :)
[14:20] {RonS} showing my nemo side...always got a kick out of it...
01[14:20] {&Threei}  look at CAT
[14:21] {RonS} not the same w/ cc...
[14:21] {dino} ades sm l ave .86
[14:21] {RonS} doesn't exhibit the same pain...
[14:22] {RonS} ...calling for apt to trade ades...
[14:22] {Alexs} short CAT .20?
[14:22] {RonS} appt
[14:23] {+cc_9} did not think we get that big a drop on SPY
[14:23] {+cc_9} i guess banks can't gamble anymore ?
[14:24] {RonS} late in the day...everyone clearing their books for weekend...anything can happen...
[14:24] {+cc_9} banks mostly are taking a hit, has to do with the capital requirement
01[14:26] {&Threei}  I wouldn't Alex
[14:26] {+cc_9} no bounce SPY wtf
[14:26] {+cc_9} how much lower
[14:26] {jdetente} hopefully you're scaling out cc
[14:27] {nemo} .50 is yesterday's pivot, maybe there but they might go for gap fill
[14:27] {nemo} I'm not seeing divergence signs yet
[14:27] {nemo} big boy volume spy
[14:28] {+cc_9} 1.4M SPY 1 min on that bar
[14:28] {+cc_9} have a rather high avg on SPY
[14:28] {+cc_9} im @ 161.25 avg cost
[14:28] {+cc_9} need a miracle at this point
[14:28] {+cc_9} did not factor in an all out crash
[14:29] {nemo} gap below and holiday week,
[14:29] {nemo} people taking profits not coming in tomorrow
[14:30] {nemo} finnies just above 50 sma
[14:31] {nemo} rejection at 50 day on spy yesterday, and today
[14:31] {nemo} if it can retest 161 and hold, you can hope, otherwise.........bohica
[14:32] {+cc_9} 161.20 earlier was so close, now it feels so far away
[14:32] {nemo} you'll be able to eat beans this weekend and not worry about noise
[14:33] {RonS} sheesh...but lol...
[14:33] {nemo} you got monthly pivot at .70ish and quaterly at 161, it could hold this area, but your average is right at price resistance
01[14:34] {&Threei}  nemo has way with words eh
[14:34] {+cc_9} from current pps, avg is def high
[14:34] {+cc_9} compared with the HOD, it seems about right
[14:34] {+cc_9} but then again, i did not expect a drop from 161.20 to 160.60
[14:34] {nemo} talk to dino about gaps
[14:36] {+cc_9} Basically, just need SPY to close @ even for the day
[14:36] {+cc_9} which is about 161.30s
[14:36] {+cc_9} long shot, i know
[14:37] {+cc_9} and splat
[14:37] {nemo} probably needs to test the low again
[14:37] {nemo} that was not a convincing volume spike
[14:38] {jdetente} ugly
[14:38] {dino} ahh yes, gaps...
[14:39] {+cc_9} back to near LOD, just ugly
[14:39] {+cc_9} that did not take a while at all
[14:41] {+cc_9} fresh lows, all that vol earlier was near irrelevant in hindsight
[14:45] {+cc_9} and another LOD
[14:46] {+cc_9} damn, what a day to try and scale a market fade
[14:46] {jdetente} you have to have a stop out at some point...
[14:46] {+cc_9} another bounce
[14:47] {+cc_9} need this oen to take out 160.90
[14:47] {+cc_9} then i start scaling
[14:48] {nemo} finnies at the 50, spy held yesterday's pivot...it's defecate or leave the commode time
01[14:49] {&Threei}  wow ABX
01[14:49] {&Threei}  new 52 week low
[14:52] {+cc_9} need another $0.10 on SPY
[14:52] {+cc_9} to get a "decent" reversal
[14:52] {+cc_9} god damn look @ that volume
[14:53] {nemo} that's an attempt at bottoming, if it doesn't hold, toss the women and children overboard
[14:53] {+cc_9} 161 about to knock
[14:54] {+cc_9} 161 testing
[14:58] {nemo} imo...take alittle off
[15:01] {+cc_9} 161 - 160.90 stalling
[15:03] {+cc_9} i wana see 161.10 bid for a EOD push
[15:03] {+cc_9} that wall @ 160.87 from 2:36PM now testing on the pullback
[15:07] {+cc_9} 161 back on deck
[15:07] {jdetente} here's your push...now will it hold
[15:07] {+cc_9} needs to clear 161
[15:07] {+cc_9} too close for comfort.
[15:08] {+cc_9} SPY tends to move in $0.20 increments, so next stop 161.20
[15:08] {+cc_9} need the algos turned on
[15:09] {+cc_9} god damn it
[15:09] {nemo} short signals setting up
[15:11] {+cc_9} come on criminals, turn the buy program
[15:11] {+cc_9} 161.03 is now the wall
[15:11] {+cc_9} 4th test
[15:12] {+cc_9} looking for 161.05 bid for push
[15:12] {+cc_9} 45mins on clock. Gulp
[15:13] {nemo} you need short covering
[15:14] {nemo} my persistence algo is flat though, no buying going on in the market
[15:14] {+cc_9} sold half
[15:14] {+cc_9} 77.35
[15:17] {dino} ts spike
[15:18] {dino} out ades .82, +.97
[15:18] {dino} ts news?
[15:18] {+cc_9} All out SPY trade
[15:19] {+cc_9} lost $1200
[15:19] {+cc_9} can manage that.
01[15:19] {&Threei}  not that I see dino
[15:19] {dino} no takers on ades i see
01[15:20] {&Threei}  (PT) Portugal PM Coelho: Resignation of Foreign Min Portas was a surprise, political instability is not a desirable situation, did not ask for Portas to resign- Will be meeting with coalition partners in the CDS - Differences can be overcome - Confirms will not personally resign
[15:20] {dino} ts sm s .10 pulp
[15:20] {+cc_9} SPY is going to blast now and ill have to watch it while i break my monitors one at a time
01[15:21] {&Threei}  throw them out of the window
01[15:22] {&Threei}  much more spectacula
[15:22] {dino} part of the game cc9
[15:22] {+cc_9} yea Dino, no tears
[15:22] {+cc_9} i actually feel better about this loss, than what it was earlier
[15:22] {+cc_9} $1200 is nothing, can make that tomorrow
[15:22] {dino} livermore, loss never bothers me after i take it
01[15:22] {&Threei}  as they expolode on the pavement, sending million glass pieces around
[15:23] {+cc_9} Maybe i need to aim them at someone, so we get glass and someone's skull pieces
[15:23] {+cc_9} oh nice, SPY tanking
[15:24] {jdetente} feel better now??
[15:24] {jdetente} now you can just eat keyboard instead
[15:26] {+cc_9} oh i feel much better
[15:26] {+cc_9} im only going to murder this kitten i just rescued not long ago
[15:26] {nemo} don't touch the cat
[15:26] {+cc_9} i have him right here
[15:26] {nemo} not the cat's fault
[15:26] {+cc_9} im not sure if he is purring or gasping
[15:27] {nemo} go choke a human
01[15:27] {&Threei}  or kill them with kindness
[15:27] {jdetente} don't forget cc, nemo loves animals more than humans
[15:27] {jdetente} classic sociopath
[15:27] {nemo} not really
01[15:27] {&Threei}  and don't tell anyone "kindness" is just a word we put on our machine guns
[15:27] {jdetente} hehe
[15:27] {nemo} animals have no deceit
[15:29] {+cc_9} i have two dobermans and a rescued cat
[15:29] {+cc_9} i would harm many things in the world before harming my buddies
[15:29] {nemo} cool
[15:30] {+cc_9} shhh, quiet kitty, ur making a scene
[15:30] {+cc_9} Nice call who ever brought up TS
[15:30] {+cc_9} some traders shorted the mid 43s
[15:33] {+cc_9} SPY : i feel so much better
[15:34] {+cc_9} Here are my SSO sells (click) }}} http://img842.imageshack.us/img842/3564/8cib.jpg
[15:36] {dino} blue spike
[15:36] {RonS} new hairdo?
01[15:36] {&Threei}  rofl
[15:43] {+cc_9} stop going up SPY, u are not supposed to go higher than where i sold
[15:43] {+cc_9} otherwise, the kitty gets it
[15:43] {+cc_9} choice is yours
[15:44] {nemo} mmmhhhhhhhh
[15:45] {RonS} nflx spike down
[15:46] {+cc_9} SPY stop it!
01[15:47] {&Threei}  Ron, because of this:
01[15:47] {&Threei}  AAPL Reportedly nearing a deal with Time Warner Cable to offer television programming - financial press
01[15:47] {&Threei}  Tenaris SA Hearing strength attributed to chatter of a favorable anti-dumping case ruling related to tubular steel products
[15:47] {jdetente} poor cat
[15:48] {jdetente} do you see that red beam cc?
[15:48] {jdetente} nemo taking aim
01[15:48] {&Threei}  with his kindness
[15:48] {nemo} don't use lasers
[15:48] {nemo} only at night
[15:49] {jdetente} do you wear your sunglasses at night too?
[15:49] {+cc_9} 161.20 SPY ugh
[15:50] {nemo} You use laser's that are not in human wavelengths and then special filters for the nightscope
[15:50] {nemo} that way at night they can't see the laser
[15:50] {jdetente} *gulp
[15:51] {nemo} 600 meters is not a problem, however, weather conditions are
[15:51] {+cc_9} damn SPY, that's just cold/wrong/foul
[15:53] {jdetente} missed early morning...did you guys short BBRY today?
01[15:53] {&Threei}  no
01[15:54] {&Threei}  did a few other good ones
01[15:54] {&Threei}  ok guys, decent day
01[15:54] {&Threei}  have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:54] {jdetente} hasta manana

Monday, July 1, 2013

July 1 2013

Nice morning followed by total yawn. To be expected this week.


Session Time: Mon Jul 01 00:00:00 2013
[09:08] {cipher} gm
01[09:09] {&Threei}  morning cipher
[09:09] {nemo} frickin' optimists
[09:12] {jdetente} Happy Monday
01[09:13] {&Threei}  jd :)
[09:13] {RonS} hello everyone
01[09:13] {&Threei}  ron :)
[09:19] {dino} gm
01[09:19] {&Threei}  dino :)
[09:24] {RonS} Oh....Canada Day....:)
01[09:25] {&Threei}  yes, and very proud to have it on another day than Independence Day :)
[09:25] {Alexs} gm
01[09:25] {&Threei}  alex :)
[09:26] {RonS} lol...AMZN - The French culture minister said Amazon pays too little in taxes, AMZN shrugs this off, trades up $1.40 in the pre.
[09:26] {Les} hi
01[09:26] {&Threei}  Les :)
01[09:27] {&Threei}  Ron, I suspect any company or individual that doesn't give them 100% pays too little
[09:27] {RonS} Huey Long: "Don't tax you, don't tax me...tax that man behind the tree".
[09:29] {ese} morning............happy Canada Day
01[09:30] {&Threei}  ese :)
[09:32] {nemo} Mutual fund Monday and we have an assault on the 50 sma in spy
01[09:32] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .85 break
01[09:32] {&Threei}  If holds  .80
01[09:33] {&Threei}  half oit
01[09:34] {&Threei}  stop to .84
[09:34] {robbers} Out, thanks.
01[09:34] {&Threei}  yw
[09:36] {dino} happy canada day guys
01[09:36] {&Threei}  thank you!
01[09:36] {&Threei}  got a few nice shots of fireworks over the water in nearby town
01[09:37] {&Threei}  will post them when get a chance to tidy them up
01[09:40] {&Threei}  wanted short on GDX reversal but to me it had to be above 25.05
01[09:40] {&Threei}  never got there
01[09:41] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .80 break
01[09:41] {&Threei}  If holds  .75
[09:42] {ese} gdx still good
01[09:43] {&Threei}  valid still, yes
01[09:43] {&Threei}  not anymore
01[09:43] {&Threei}  looking for different trigger
[09:43] {dino} pcyc smr s .97
01[09:46] {&Threei} Short Setup: ABX  .65 breeak
01[09:46] {&Threei}  If holds  .70
[09:47] {dino} pcyc stop .30, -.33
[09:49] {dino} apd sm l .05
[09:49] {ese} dino you still going with options to help with the trades
[09:50] {dino} yes
[09:50] {dino} 2-4 x / month
01[09:50] {&Threei}  1:1
[09:52] {robbers} Out, thanks.
01[09:52] {&Threei}  :)
01[09:54] {&Threei}  1:2
[09:56] {dino} out apd .65, +.60
01[09:58] {&Threei}  (US) Russia President Putin and Obama are said to have ordered the Russian FSB and the FBI to find a solution to the Snowden stand-off
01[09:58] {&Threei}  hmmm
[09:58] {Les} not sure whacking him is what public had in mind
[09:58] {RonS} pistols at 30 paces?
[09:58] {nemo} with Snowden in between
01[09:58] {&Threei}  one spy to another: let's just shoot him, easier fot everyone?
[09:59] {nemo} let him walk to Moscow from the airport
[09:59] {dino} you kidding me, russians want him alive, think of what he knows
01[09:59] {&Threei}  I think they already pumped him out for everything he ever knew :)
[10:00] {jdetente} gentle persuasion
01[10:00] {&Threei}  (US) JUN ISM MANUFACTURING: 50.9 V 50.5E; PRICES PAID: 52.5 V 50.5E
01[10:00] {&Threei}  *(US) MAY CONSTRUCTION SPENDING M/M: 0.5% V 0.6%E
[10:00] {nemo} inflation and expansion
01[10:01] {&Threei}  yup, they can be very gentle and very persuasive
[10:02] {dino} whats w/biotecks today? all serious spikes
01[10:02] {&Threei}  to illustrate this, the KGB guy interrogating me in 1993 started with telling a joke:
[10:03] {nemo} gap and gone day
[10:03] {Les} hope it was a good one vad
01[10:03] {&Threei}  you be the judge
01[10:03] {&Threei}  two sit nervously in the hall, waiting to be called for the interrogation,
01[10:03] {&Threei}  all of a sudden a camel comes out of the office and stuggers through the hall
01[10:04] {&Threei}  One says: wow, a camel?? never seen one around here
01[10:04] {&Threei}  Secretary coming out of the same door, to call the next one:
01[10:04] {&Threei}  What camel? I't a horse, after the interrogation
[10:04] {jdetente} ha
01[10:05] {&Threei}  sets the tone, eh? :)
01[10:06] {&Threei}  EBAY Hearing chatter that activist investor Icahn could be eyeing potential involvemnet in the company
[10:06] {Les} hmmmmm
[10:06] {Les} ABX couldn'0t hold .50
01[10:06] {&Threei}  what, you haven't found it funny?
01[10:06] {&Threei}  neither have I, and that was the point :)
01[10:06] {&Threei}  wow
[10:06] {Les} ah ok
[10:06] {dino} p sm s .01
01[10:07] {&Threei}  or you thought he told it to entertain me?
[10:08] {Les} yeh, what's use of being in public service if you can't keep customer happy? :)
01[10:08] {&Threei}  hehe
[10:08] {Les} ty dino partial P here
[10:10] {dino} \p stop .02-.01
01[10:12] {&Threei}  what was that that sent PMs and miners dpown sharply... no news
[10:13] {Les} not wowing with this miner rally
[10:13] {dino} env sm s .35
[10:13] {Les} AAPL potential DB in daily
01[10:13] {&Threei}  folks looking for gold to bottom out and rally don't get it
01[10:14] {&Threei}  it will bottom out eventually but rally as in make new all time hihgs? not bloody likely
01[10:14] {&Threei}  that investment thesis they used for a few years is dead
[10:17] {dino} pbyi smr s .00
[10:18] {Les} FCX stuck at vwap resistance
[10:19] {+cc_9} SPY no sign of weakness
[10:19] {+cc_9} Need a fade sub 162.20 for some profit taking
01[10:21] {&Threei} Long Setup:  GDX  .25 break
01[10:21] {&Threei}  If holds  .20
[10:21] {jdetente} ABX
01[10:21] {&Threei}  crap... ABX
01[10:21] {&Threei} Long Setup:  ABX  .25 break
01[10:24] {&Threei}  Invalidated
[10:25] {dino} sivb spike
[10:29] {dino} cov pbyi .25, +.75
[10:29] {Les} nice one
01[10:30] {&Threei}  @TheTweetOfGod
01[10:30] {&Threei}  Happy Canada Day to the country whose job is to sit on top of America and keep it from exploding.
01[10:30] {&Threei}  lol
[10:30] {Les} hehe
[10:30] {jdetente} lol
[10:30] {dino} ty
[10:30] {jdetente} I thought it was a hat to keep us warm??
01[10:31] {&Threei}  maybe it's seasonal job?
[10:31] {jdetente} like a guest worker program
01[10:31] {&Threei}  lol
[10:32] {dino} sivb sm s .25
[10:35] {robbers} Am about to read a book about America exploding called, "Unwinding".  Will give you guys a book report.
01[10:36] {&Threei} Short Setup: BBY  .25 break
01[10:36] {&Threei}  If holds  .32
01[10:37] {&Threei}  George Packer?
[10:38] {+cc_9} Egypt military issues a 48hour ultimatum to find a "solution"
[10:38] {dino} wow, got f#cked on sivb stop. was at .00, filled .24
[10:39] {dino} buy stop that was
[10:45] {robbers} Yes, Packer, will get the book today via Amazon.
[10:47] {RonS} didn't he lead the SF parade over weekend w/ partner Paul Smoker?
01[10:54] {&Threei} Short Setup: ABX  .15 break
[10:55] {jdetente} .20 or .25?
01[10:55] {&Threei}  .25 for now
01[10:55] {&Threei}  but will trail faster than usual
[10:55] {ese} L srpt .30
01[10:56] {&Threei}  after .10 break
01[10:56] {&Threei}  stop to .21
[11:06] {dino} cov env ave .18, +.17
01[11:06] {&Threei}  Russian President Putin says Russia will never hand over NSA leaker Edward Snowden to the US
[11:07] {dino} told ya
01[11:08] {&Threei}  even if they didn't need them at all, they would keep him just out of spite
01[11:08] {&Threei}  no go ABX
[11:09] {Les} Putin don't miss a chance to throw his weight around
[11:16] {Les} don't blame him either, had Germans and Brussells rubbing democratic values into his face during the good times... it's payback
[11:18] {ese} out 1/2 srpt .59 +.29 a crap load
[11:19] {ese} stop to break even balance
[11:20] {Les} slw DT without me. oh well
01[11:21] {&Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .75 break
01[11:21] {&Threei}  If holds  .65
[11:25] {+cc_9} 1.5 hours of seesaw
[11:25] {+cc_9} gonna be a slow week all around
01[11:26] {&Threei}  certainly
01[11:26] {&Threei}  I suggest to take Friday off
01[11:26] {&Threei}  it will be exercise in futility
01[11:27] {&Threei}  let's better have 4 days weekend
[11:27] {RonS} out srpt .68 from .33 a mini-ese-crapload +.35  thanks ese
01[11:27] {&Threei}  room will be functional of course for those who want to try
01[11:27] {&Threei}  but I'd take a day off with your kind permission
[11:28] {ese} nice one ron\
[11:28] {RonS} you deserve it 3i...you work a lot harder than anyone else...
[11:28] {+cc_9} i just want a fade below 162.00. Seems like asking for too much
[11:29] {Les} fill out a form in triplicate vad and I'll have an answer for you by next Monday
01[11:29] {&Threei}  thanks Ron... few seem to think so :)
[11:29] {Les} practising to be a public servant
01[11:29] {&Threei}  not bad Les
[11:29] {RonS} well...am not your wife...:)
01[11:29] {&Threei}  hehe
01[11:30] {&Threei}  vome on IWM
01[11:30] {&Threei}  you are ready
01[11:30] {&Threei}  break
01[11:30] {&Threei}  and run
01[11:30] {&Threei}  or walk
01[11:30] {&Threei}  or crawl
[11:31] {ese} the guy does nuttin Ron.....what can we ya ehhhhhh.....barbecues great shsiskabob and dats it!!!!!
01[11:31] {&Threei}  hey!!
01[11:31] {&Threei}  I also walk around the table with glass AK-47 in hand!
01[11:32] {&Threei}  and pour vodka from it
[11:32] {ese} hmmmmmmm   ese begins to think explulsion from the board
01[11:32] {&Threei}  so far so good IWM... 6 cents more, will ya?
01[11:36] {&Threei}  wtf SPY
[11:36] {jdetente} son of a
[11:36] {nemo} it's hanging right at the 50 but is showing short
01[11:36] {&Threei}  sigh
[11:37] {jdetente} the worm is eating the apple
[11:37] {jdetente} (the apple is morning profits)
01[11:37] {&Threei}  (PT) Reportedly Portugal Finance Minister Gaspar may resign from his position, PM Coelho to meet with the president
[11:41] {nemo} http://twitpic.com/d09l85
[11:42] {dino} markets close 1 pm wednesday right?
[11:43] {RonS} yes
[11:44] {RonS} lol nemo
[11:45] {RonS} Obama in Cape Town Announcing Plan to Boost Africans’ Electricity Access
[11:46] {jdetente} that is disturbing Nemo
[11:46] {jdetente} or is it Nemo is disturbing
[11:46] {RonS} tells them to buy the American coal he is banning...
[11:46] {+cc_9} SPY going on 2 hours of chop
[11:47] {Les} BBY might be offering low risk short here
[11:47] {RonS} should we start a pool?
01[11:48] {&Threei}  about what?
[11:49] {RonS} choices? 1.  how many hours of chop  2.  how many hours of chop before c stops reporting chop 'cause gone on so long...
01[11:49] {&Threei}  lol
[11:49] {ese} out balance srpt .66 +.36 2k/2k
[11:50] {ese} been a good and am off ......my band is playing Canada Day in Nanaimo cyou tomorrow
[11:50] {RonS} gj ese...guessing yours bigger than that bear...
[11:50] {ese} tks ron
[11:50] {ese} lol
[11:51] {+cc_9} Breaking news : chop continues
[11:54] {RonS} cc went to Florida State?...a Braves fan?
[11:59] {Les} gld reversal potential here
[11:59] {Les} tight setup
[12:00] {Les} and I frikin blew trigger sheesh outta here
[12:05] {dino} pbyi sm s .46
[12:10] {dino} cov pbyi .83, +.63
[12:12] {dino} strange day, 7 trades, 6 of them short.
[12:12] {dino} env hod
01[12:21] {&Threei}  frikin IWM
01[12:35] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .90 break
01[12:36] {&Threei}  If holds  83
[12:36] {Alexs} long?
01[12:36] {&Threei}  ?
[12:37] {Alexs} sorry
[12:41] {+cc_9} slap chop
[12:49] {jdetente} chopping
01[12:49] {&Threei}  tradeable morning... then it's all about keeping profit
[12:50] {jdetente} at this point yup
[12:50] {Alexs} did you get stop Vad?
01[12:50] {&Threei}  yes
[12:57] {dino} env spike
[13:01] {dino} sm s .47 env
[13:04] {+cc_9} P was a nice bounce off 19.00. Eyeing any wall 19.60
[13:14] {+cc_9} SPY @ bottom of channel...would be nice to get a break sub 162.00 already
[13:14] {+cc_9} (bottom of channel intraday = 162.06)
[13:19] {nemo} iwm and aapl help holding things up
[13:36] {nemo} get your chin stitched yet Vad?
01[13:37] {&Threei}  twice
[13:38] {dino}  lol
[13:38] {nemo} Can hear the conversation now:
[13:38] {nemo} "So, what happened to your chin?"
[13:39] {nemo} "Trading"
01[13:39] {&Threei}  well... you know what they say about most dangerous sport
[13:39] {nemo} What?  you trade something to somebody and they weren't happy and they punched you?
[13:39] {nemo} No
01[13:39] {&Threei}  chess
01[13:39] {&Threei}  you cxan fall asleep and hit your eye with a queen
[13:39] {nemo} I was so bored, I fell asleep at my desk and split my chin
[13:40] {nemo} http://www.jsbg.me/2013/04/10/les-50-photos-au-timing-parfait/
[13:45] {+cc_9} welp
[13:45] {nemo} ?
[13:46] {+cc_9} got the 162 break i was looking for, nemo
[13:47] {+cc_9} since 10AM
[13:47] {+cc_9} *yawn*
[13:49] {dino} env bstop to .23
[13:52] {dino} to .16
[13:56] {dino} cov env .14, +.33
01[14:29] {&Threei} Short Setup: CAT  .96 break
01[14:29] {&Threei}  .95
01[14:29] {&Threei}  If holds  83
[14:30] {robbers} Missed it.
01[14:30] {&Threei}  late alert... didn't get fill
01[14:46] {&Threei}  while waiting for something to come along, fireworks from yesterday: http://goo.gl/k4XyG
[14:50] {jdetente} nice shots
01[14:51] {&Threei}  ty
[14:51] {jdetente} speaking of shots...
[14:51] {jdetente} time for a double
[14:51] {dino} indeed
01[14:53] {&Threei} Short Setup: BBRY  .20 break
01[14:53] {&Threei}  If holds  .25
[15:04] {jdetente} alright guys I've gotta go. Have a good rest of day
01[15:04] {&Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .25 break
01[15:04] {&Threei}  take care jd
01[15:05] {&Threei}  If holds  .15
[15:18] {dino} calling it a day, thx all, decent one
01[15:18] {&Threei}  take care dino
01[15:22] {&Threei}  both are invalidated
[15:36] {Les} great spy drop from vwap how goes the day?
01[15:36] {&Threei}  nothing happens
01[15:36] {&Threei}  at all
[15:37] {Les} ok. kids end of year school shit here so that's outta the way
01[15:40] {&Threei}  LVS was worth a fade
01[15:40] {&Threei}  in hindsight
[15:42] {Les} a+ c u's tomorrow
01[15:44] {&Threei}  Ok guys, nothing to hunt really
01[15:44] {&Threei}  have a good evening, let's scalp something tomorrow morning