Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Oct 21 2014

Quiet but decently profitable day. Gap-n'stall, rarely good for us but still worked out fine.
_________________________________
Ahead of the Close Market Snapshot
Tue, 21 Oct 2014 15:57 PM EST

US Indices:
- Dow Jones +1.2%
- S&P500 +1.9%
- Nasdaq +2.2%

- Broad based market rally is led by Services, Healthcare, and Basic Materials, while the defensive Utilities sector is lagging the gainers. Bullish momentum in travel related names carried over from yesterday along with strength in Energy. KO, CMG, and IBM are the laggards in the SP500 in the wake of their soft earnings reports.

Fixed-Income: Treasuries reversed the overnight gains as risk-on sentiment in US has shifted some flows in favor of equities. 2-10 spread has widened marginally for the 3rd day. European periphery stress in Greece is back, with the yield on the 10-yr up 35bps at 7.45%.
- US 2-yr: +1bps at 0.35%
- 10-yr: +4bps at 2.22%
- 30-yr: +4bps at 3.00%
- 2-10 spread: +3bps at 1.87%

Energy:
- WTI Dec crude oil $82.64; Crude in consolidation mode for the past 3 days after hitting its multi-month lows below $80 last week. Comments from Algeria Oil Min earlier today hinting OPEC could take action to respond to falling prices.

Metals:
- Spot Gold $1,248/oz; Gold hit a high of $1,255 in early trade - a 6-week high - and now up $60 from the lows in the span of 2 weeks. The rebound is in part the function of lower USD, with downward inflection in the greenback against both EUR and JPY coming in the first week of the month.
- Spot Silver $17.51/oz; Silver hit 1-week high above $17.65 in early US trade before retreating to low $17.50s. $17.52 technically significant as the overnight high.
- Dec Copper $3.03/lb; Base metals are generally higher, tracking the overall market rally while shrugging the rebound in USD. Copper is at the highest level since last Wednesday.

Key Earnings at the close:
- BRCM, DFS, RHI, VMW, YHOO

Looking ahead to Asia session:
- Japan Trade Balance 19:50ET
- Australia Q3 CPI 20:30ET

TradeTheNews.com


Session Time: Tue Oct 21 00:00:00 2014
[08:58] {dino} gm 3i
01[08:59] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:16] {RonS} howdy doodies
01[09:18] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:18] {troub} good morning
01[09:19] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:26] {Jenh} Good morning everyone!
01[09:26] {@Threei}  jen :)
[09:28] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:28] {@Threei}  jf :)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -LIVE +24% (CEO purchasing up to 250K shares in open-market transactions, approx. 1.7% outstanding)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -ILMN +10% (earnings, raised outlook)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -HOG +6.5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -COV +3.5% (positive broker commentary)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -AAPL +3% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -OMER -12% (update on PDE10 inhibitor program - enrollment suspended for Huntington's trial)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -PBR -9% (Datafolha poll)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -BBD -6.5% (Datafolha poll)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -UCTT -5.6% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -IBIO -5.5% (company has little chance of generating meaningful revenue from Zmapp - Feuerstein)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -ARMH -5.5% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -KO -4.7% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -CMG -4.6% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -EWZ -4.5% (Datafolha poll)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -APOL -4% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -RMBS -3.7% (earnings)
[09:29] {_petersh} good morning all
01[09:30] {@Threei}  peter :)
01[09:33] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .50 break
01[09:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:34] {@Threei}  stop to .56
01[09:35] {@Threei}  meh
01[09:38] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .15 break
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[09:38] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:39] {dino} armh?
[09:39] {dino} sm l .35
01[09:40] {@Threei} Long Setup:  EBAY  50 break
01[09:40] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
[09:40] {nemo} dino, it's not 9:45 yet
01[09:42] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[09:43] {dino} yeah, i see that, jumped the gun
[09:43] {dino} will most likely pay for that
01[09:45] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .35 break
01[09:45] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[09:47] {@Threei}  (US) Preview: Sept Existing Home Sales expected at 10:00 ET (14:00 GMT) - Consensus expectations: 5.10Me v 5.05M prior
[09:49] {dino} armh stop -.30
[09:49] {nemo} broke your own rules
[09:49] {dino} and paid for it
[09:49] {nemo} no supper tonight dino
01[09:49] {@Threei}  stubborn seller at .40
[09:50] {dino} odd tho, hit expectations and raised guide
01[09:50] {@Threei}  dam's broken
01[09:50] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:50] {dino} re-load .00
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:51] {@Threei}  out
[09:51] {RonS} twtr +.30 thanks 3i
01[09:51] {@Threei}  yw
[09:52] {jfjf64} +31 ty
01[09:52] {@Threei}  :)
[09:53] {jfjf64} nemo
[09:53] {jfjf64} vwap on logix
[09:53] {nemo} yes
[09:53] {nemo} they added it last weekend
[09:55] {ese} gm
01[09:55] {@Threei}  ese :)
[09:55] {ese} vad
01[09:58] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .60 break
01[09:58] {@Threei}  wait
01[09:58] {@Threei}  let's let numbers gp by
01[09:58] {@Threei}  2 min
[09:58] {nemo} yeah, don't want to pull a Dino
[09:59] {Jenh} gp?
[09:59] {RonS} make money by being lucky?
[09:59] {Jenh} gap?
01[09:59] {@Threei}  go
[09:59] {Jenh} oh sorry
01[09:59] {@Threei}  typed with fins
[09:59] {nemo} Jen, you'll learn Vad's shorthand
[09:59] {Jenh} :)
[09:59] {nemo} he types with a Ukranian accent
[09:59] {Jenh} thanks!
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) SEPT EXISTING HOME SALES: 5.17M V 5.10ME
01[10:00] {@Threei}  ese will be my witness... I do have swimming fins on my hands at all times
[10:01] {nemo} http://goo.gl/xoTLZQ
01[10:07] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .70 break
01[10:07] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[10:10] {@Threei}  time to break, market
01[10:11] {@Threei}  and to the moon, alice
[10:12] {nemo} grind up again
01[10:12] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:14] {nemo} back into summer trading
01[10:14] {@Threei}  are you ever optimist
[10:14] {nemo} realist
[10:14] {nemo} is what it is
01[10:15] {@Threei}  well yah... according to ancient soviet definition, you are
[10:15] {nemo} relative volume today and yesterday is negative, lends to grind up environment
01[10:15] {@Threei}  "optimist studies English, pessimist - Chinese, realist - AK-47"
[10:15] {jfjf64} how was summer trading nemo wasn't here
01[10:15] {@Threei}  1:2
[10:15] {nemo} had a massive atr expansion in indexes, expansion leads to contraction
01[10:17] {@Threei}  ok... I envisioned moon as a bit more than 20 cents, but I'll take it
[10:18] {jfjf64} took .14 and ran
[10:18] {jfjf64} ty
01[10:18] {@Threei}  yw
[10:19] {jfjf64} nemo got me thinkin contraction expansion infliction
[10:20] {RonS} took armh 38.10 ave out .80 +.70 good one dino
[10:20] {jfjf64} good job rs
[10:20] {RonS} hmm actually .85 +.75...
[10:21] {dino} wtg ron, yw, still in here
01[10:21] {@Threei}  good one guys
[10:24] {jfjf64} ccl
[10:28] {nemo} jf, you're better off not thinking
[10:28] {nemo} If you have to, at least stand up and take the pressure of your brain
[10:32] {dino} armh stop to .89
[10:37] {nemo} actually not much action algo universe3 129 only 49 stocks have signaled
[10:38] {dino} to .97
[10:44] {RonS} thinkin good thing he did not have a lower gi problem:  Paralyzed man walks again after nose cells are placed in spine: http://bloom.bg/1uzlQGK
[10:44] {ese} L mack.69 3/4
[10:44] {RonS} bobby darren play?
01[10:44] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .50 break
01[10:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[10:45] {ese} huh......what is the bobby darren play?
[10:46] {RonS} https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=bobby+darin+mack+the+knife
[10:47] {ese} ahhh yes....i've seen those clips.....were talking about catching the perverbial falling knife?
[10:48] {RonS} geez ese, don't overthink it...only a joke
[10:48] {ese} my frame of mind lately......
01[10:50] {@Threei}  loss of .40 should start cascade on TWTR
01[10:52] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:56] {@Threei}  ok, it's a very slow cascade
01[10:56] {@Threei}  new kind
[10:56] {ese} lol
01[11:05] {@Threei}  ok... now it's a cascade up, gravity has been canceled for today
[11:12] {dino} armh to .09
[11:13] {dino} to .19
01[11:18] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .75 break
01[11:19] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
[11:19] {dino} out armh 39.19, +1.19
01[11:21] {@Threei}  Russian and French experts were investigating Tuesday a plane crash at a Moscow airport which killed the CEO of French oil giant Total, Christophe de Margerie, whose private jet struck a snowplough on takeoff.
01[11:21] {@Threei}  Russian investigators said the driver of the snow-clearing machine was drunk and that his actions, along with "an error by air traffic controllers", appeared to have led to the crash
[11:22] {nemo} likely excuse
[11:22] {nemo} funny...Ukraine oil and gas  Russia Total...nah, no coincidence
01[11:22] {@Threei}  I don't think so... guy was one a few Russia supporters
01[11:26] {@Threei}  no go VXX
[11:26] {nemo} it's basically a short until SPY gets to the 50 day
01[11:28] {@Threei}  gap ip and slow drift up, my least favorite kind of day
[11:36] {dino} rent spike
[11:38] {RonS} dino the landlord?
01[11:38] {@Threei}  lol
01[11:38] {@Threei}  Heartburn from lousing McDonalds and Coca-Cola results is not preventing markets from racking up impressive gains this morning, as traders home in on possible ECB stimulus talk and Apple's big quarter. Note that the September existing home numbers hit a one-year high.
[11:38] {dino} roflol, good one
01[11:38] {@Threei}  There were conflicting reports making the rounds earlier this morning that the ECB may have begun moving toward full-blown QE. Press reports out around 06:00ET asserted that the ECB was considering buying corporate debt on the secondary market in early 2015
01[11:39] {@Threei}  hmmm... I suspect Ron started writing for my newswire:
01[11:39] {@Threei}  Coca-Cola is looking like a warm, flat soda this morning, with shares down 6.2% as of writing
[11:39] {RonS} lol
[11:39] {dino} in early '15? in eu that may be too late
[11:39] {nemo} should have said "with shares fizzling"
01[11:40] {@Threei}  NQ Shares lower; Muddy Waters reiterates cautious comments- Muddy Waters tweets: "$NQ Not a stock for real investors, just pure gamblers."
[11:40] {RonS} '15... 3Greek bailouts ffrom now...
01[11:40] {@Threei}  lol
[11:41] {dino} no kidding on. the greeks are just waiting for a refusal on a bailout, then they default and go back to their own currency
[11:41] {nemo} and that will start the cascade
[11:42] {nemo} EUFU!
[11:42] {dino} indeed. the lesson of this mess, never give up control of your currency
[11:43] {nemo} It must gaul most of Europe to have to listen to the French
[11:43] {RonS} sheesh, they are Gauls...
[11:43] {ese} am outta here...cya tomorrow L mack -.06 and rdnt +.70 rdnt 1/2 lot sold 1/2 yesterday
[11:43] {nemo} that was the point of my comment Ron
[11:44] {nemo} was wondering if anybody would pick up on it
[11:44] {RonS} ...just trying to educate ese...
[11:44] {nemo} be better off putting him out of our misery
[11:45] {dino} lol
01[11:45] {@Threei}  brutal
[11:45] {nemo} what?
01[11:45] {@Threei}  gauling too
[11:45] {nemo} nice Vad
[11:45] {dino} the strike hurt ese standing
06[11:45] * @Threei takes a bow
[11:46] {nemo} the hypocrisy cracks me up
06[11:46] * dino slaps Threei around a bit with a large trout
[11:46] {nemo} every one is a socialist until it comes out of their pocket
06[11:46] * @Threei runs to the shower
[11:47] {dino} most are socialists until they get their first real job
[11:47] {nemo} DAX closed on highs
[11:48] {nemo} yeah, and then look at everything taken out of their paycheck
01[11:48] {@Threei}  I have to say this... as you can imagine, I met a lot of socialists on both sides of the pond. ese is one of the most pleasant ones :)
[11:49] {nemo} well, u have to cut him a little slack, he is an...ahem...artist
01[11:49] {@Threei}  and hey... have you see those singer girls I get to photograph thanks to him?? :)
[11:49] {nemo} yep
[11:50] {dino} understood
01[11:51] {@Threei}  poor dptl still stutters every time he sees those photos, lol
[11:51] {nemo} btw...I think Natasha Mcelhone is rather attractive
[11:51] {nemo} that reminds me, haven't heard from the german ex, guess she won't be stopping in on this trot across the pond
01[12:02] {@Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .70 break
01[12:02] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
[12:03] {nemo} lunchtime breakouts
[12:03] {nemo} oy
01[12:05] {@Threei}  this is not a breakout
01[12:05] {@Threei}  this is crawlout
[12:06] {nemo} indexes gonna come in a bit
01[12:06] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[12:06] {nemo} that is if iwm can't get above 110
01[12:07] {@Threei}  valid again
01[12:07] {@Threei}  crap, wanted .60 entry as aggressive
01[12:07] {@Threei}  and happened too fast for the call
01[12:12] {@Threei}  1:1
06[12:12] * @Threei slaps nemo with a large wooden stake labeled "do not undermine my authority as crawlout specialis"
[12:22] {Jenh} is it just me or are there no time and sales even though the bid and ask have been changing
01[12:22] {@Threei}  ok here
01[12:22] {@Threei}  what broker do you use?
[12:22] {Jenh} i've had etrade issues before, may need to call them
[12:22] {Jenh} etrade
[12:22] {Jenh} ok thanks
[12:22] {Jenh} will call
[12:22] {nemo} NYSE is having problems today, wonder if your data coming through them
[12:23] {nemo} slow trading though
[12:23] {Jenh} oh maybe that could be it
01[12:44] {@Threei}  [YHOO] Recode's Kara Swisher: Can CEO Mayer turn around her turnaround of Yahoo or is the end game near? - Swisher says Yahoo could possibly be preparing to sell its Asian assets, return most of the money to shareholders and go private with a large private equity firm
01[12:44] {@Threei}  told ya, BABA was the last thing YHOO had going
[12:47] {dino} asps wow
[13:00] {nemo} spy short .60 if stays under .70 is good
[13:04] {nemo} resistance @.80ish
01[13:04] {@Threei}  ?
[13:04] {nemo} spy
[13:04] {nemo} could recalibrate the short here
[13:05] {nemo} your .10 centers
[13:05] {nemo} short .70 resistance .80
01[13:05] {@Threei}  it's at 193.07
[13:05] {dino} ocn crushed w/asps
[13:13] {RonS} Lawsky Says Ocwen Backdated Letters to Mortgage Borrowers http://bloom.bg/1CQJaEp
01[13:14] {@Threei}  nice
01[13:15] {@Threei}  also, good thing Lawsky is here to protect us from Crimsky
[13:16] {RonS} bur Crikey out in the cold...lost his s...
01[13:16] {@Threei}  lol
[13:16] {RonS} -r +t
[13:17] {dino} asps smr l .20
[13:19] {dino} out asps 78.69, +2.49
01[13:19] {@Threei}  wtg
[13:19] {jfjf64} wow
[13:20] {jfjf64} nice
[13:20] {dino} too soon
[13:20] {nemo} spy short working
[13:20] {nemo} oh, now I see your confusion, I was in sso
[13:20] {nemo} oops
01[13:21] {@Threei}  great... had you acknowledged it 5 min ago, I'd have a couple dozen more hairs left
01[13:22] {@Threei}  I'll blame my increased baldness on you
[13:22] {jfjf64} don't mind nemo either blond or has dow syndrome
01[13:23] {@Threei}  can't he be/have both?
[13:23] {nemo} nice jf, it's "down" syndrome
[13:23] {nemo} you can't insult for shit
[13:23] {jfjf64} oh ya got me
[13:23] {jfjf64} haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
01[13:24] {@Threei}  dow syndrome is traders' modification of down syndrome
[13:24] {jfjf64} ty vg
[13:24] {nemo} nice try Vad...nope
[13:24] {jfjf64} he to worried bout inflictions
01[13:25] {@Threei}  there is also qqq syndrome, which is trader's version of "cuckoo"
[13:27] {jfjf64} qqqemo
[13:27] {nemo} pot, meet kettle
[13:27] {nemo} sheesh
[13:28] {jfjf64} lol
[13:28] {jfjf64} ya alright qqemo
[13:28] {nemo} and we ain't talkin' Ketel 1...speaking of...
[13:28] {jfjf64} my fav vodka
[13:29] {nemo} tell ya' what, this hangar 1 from California is really good
01[13:29] {@Threei}  ok, I have to break this with uplifting influence of art
01[13:29] {@Threei}  https://www.facebook.com/VadymGraiferPhotography/photos/a.488848774527976.1073741828.483178015095052/733561136723404/?type=1&theater
[13:32] {jfjf64} little infliction going on
[13:33] {Jenh} g2g
[13:33] {Jenh} happy trading guys!
[13:33] {nemo} jf
[13:34] {nemo} it's INFLECTION!
[13:34] {nemo} inflict is what your presents does here
[13:34] {nemo} prescence
[13:34] {nemo} sheesh
01[13:37] {@Threei}  [AAPL] Issues commentary on server activity; iCloud servers have not been compromised but are aware of organized network attacks
01[13:37] {@Threei}  wow
01[13:37] {@Threei}  they left our server alone and went for AAPL {G}
01[13:54] {@Threei} Long Setup:  LVS  .50 break
01[13:54] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
[14:01] {dino} asps smr l .08
[14:02] {dino} out asps .77, +.69
[14:03] {nemo} $1 spread, sheesh
[14:03] {dino} pulp
[14:03] {RonS} and dino's on both sides
01[14:05] {@Threei}  lol
[14:05] {dino} lol
[14:05] {dino} keep selling a dollar too soon
[14:05] {nathan} hi all
01[14:05] {@Threei}  better than a dollar too late
01[14:05] {@Threei}  hey nathan
[14:06] {dino} indeed
01[14:06] {@Threei}  then there is a poke in the eye, which too is not the best option
01[14:06] {@Threei}  1:1
[14:17] {dino} asps smr l .43
[14:18] {dino} out asps .50, +1.03
[14:18] {dino} opps, +1.07
01[14:19] {@Threei}  tried to hide 4 cents from tax body?
[14:19] {nathan} gj dino
[14:19] {dino} thx nat
[14:19] {dino} too early again
[14:19] {nemo} yeah, well with that spread better too early than too late
[14:20] {dino} yeah, gut thinking that way
[14:20] {dino} wow tho, jumped 3 bucks
[14:21] {dino} opps thats the ask, spread widened
[14:24] {dino} sheesh, theres the 3
[14:47] {nathan} love vxx
01[14:48] {@Threei}  played it nathan?
[14:48] {nathan} yep
01[14:48] {@Threei}  and didn't post?
01[14:48] {@Threei}  tsk tsk tsk
01[14:49] {@Threei}  you guys aren't big on sharing in Europe, or what? :)
[14:49] {nathan} dont have the skill to type &trade yet
[14:49] {nathan} no way
[14:49] {nathan} we love to share
01[14:49] {@Threei}  hope so... or I'll never come to visit you in Spain
[14:50] {nathan} will you come?
[14:50] {nathan} we can organice the international trading forum
[14:50] {nathan} or so
[14:51] {nathan} nice pullback isnt it
01[14:51] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .30 break
01[14:52] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[14:52] {@Threei}  I come wherever seminar is organized, if I like the location
01[14:52] {@Threei}  last few I loved were in Bahamas and Whistler
[14:53] {nathan} Barcelona is awesome in spring ;-)
01[14:53] {@Threei}  I am sure
01[14:53] {@Threei}  my wife has been there couple years ago, loved it
[14:54] {nathan} if you're back, you will be very wellcome
01[14:55] {@Threei}  just organize seminar, I'll be there :)
[14:55] {nathan} take that
[14:55] {nathan} ;-)
[15:02] {nathan} watching FB
[15:04] {nathan} .45 break
01[15:05] {@Threei}  1:1
[15:08] {nathan} stop
01[15:24] {@Threei}  1:2
[15:28] {nathan} have a good night
01[15:29] {@Threei}  you too
[15:31] {jfjf64} +.25 ty vg
01[15:31] {@Threei}  :)
[15:31] {jfjf64} look how twitter broke down missed that chart earlier
[15:32] {dino} gj
01[15:36] {@Threei}  last piece closed on a trail
[15:41] {jfjf64} grr twitter ya got away
01[15:49] {@Threei}  OK guys, thank you all
01[15:49] {@Threei}  have a good evening, see you tomorrow
[15:49] {jfjf64} enjoy
[15:50] {dino} thx all, good day/time
[15:50] {dino} gn

Monday, October 20, 2014

Oct 20 2014

A bit a work-like day, but still eked out decent profit thanks to  1:4 on EBAY, 1:3 and 1:2 on FB and a few scalps here and there that balanced out stops. 


(US) Ahead of the Close Market Snapshot
Mon, 20 Oct 2014 15:51 PM EST

US Indices:
- Dow Jones flat
- S&P500 +0.8%
- Nasdaq +1.3%

- US equity markets are following Friday's impressive rally with a steady gain, led by stalwarts Consumer Goods, Services, and Healthcare. Basic Materials and Industrials are lagging with only marginal gains. Tech is hampered by the terrible IBM report, sending its shares down by over 7% into the close. AMD and CSCO are also notable decliners by 1.5-2.0%. In consumer space, PEP, SJM, and DPS are the leaders with over 2% gains, though MJN is down over 3% on a DB downgrade. Services are led by travel names with the panic over Ebola in remission.

Fixed-Income: Volatility in fixed income has receded, though Treasuries are still modestly higher despite two Fed officials backtracking from last week's veiled attempt to prop up risk by introducing uncertainty regarding exit from QE. Fed's Williams - one of the more dovish members - said QE should still end as planned in October. Comments were in the same vein as those from Rosengren overnight. European periphery stress has shifted to Portugal, where the 10-year was up 18bps. Spain/Italy 10-yr yields also up about 10bps, even though Greece remains stable.

- US 2-yr: -2bps at 0.34%
- 10-yr: -1bps at 2.18%
- 30-yr: -1bps at 2.96%
- 2-10 spread: +1bps at 1.84%

Energy:
- WTI Dec crude oil $81.92; Active contract shifted a month further but the headwinds persist, with Dec WTI briefly dipping below $81/brl.

Metals:
- Spot Gold $1,245/oz; Marginally higher with early AM peak just shy of $1,249.
- Spot Silver $17.39/oz; Trading sideways in 20c range.
- Dec Copper $2.99/lb; Narrowed range relative to accentuated volatility last week, with lows below $2.97 in AM trade.

Key Earnings at the close:
- AAPL, CE, CMG, STLD, TXN

Looking ahead to Asia session:
- RBA Meeting Minutes 20:30ET
- China Q3 GDP, Sept Industrial Output / Retail Sales / Fixed Investment 22:00ET

TradeTheNews.com


Session Time: Mon Oct 20 00:00:01 2014

[08:39] {Jenh} Good morning Vad!
[08:47] {dino} gm
01[08:48] {@Threei}  jen, dino :)
[08:50] {Jenh} good morning dino!
[09:07] {dino} gm jen
[09:08] {dino} sidetracked morning, have to take daughter to get her braces off at 10
[09:08] {RonS} trump...bmw jen...
01[09:08] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:09] {RonS} banner day...hope it sticks...mine went for three separate rounds
[09:09] {_petersh} good morning
01[09:09] {@Threei}  peter :)
01[09:09] {@Threei}  nemo should be back today ron... are we cekebrating?
01[09:10] {@Threei}  k=l
[09:10] {RonS} k sounds right... l depending on his mood...
01[09:11] {@Threei}  lol
01[09:11] {@Threei}  I mean, kok
[09:11] {RonS} that is funny
06[09:11] * @Threei takes a bow
[09:12] {Jenh} Good morning ron and peter!
[09:13] {_petersh} gm jen
01[09:13] {@Threei}  record warmth yesterday in our neck of the woods, 72F
[09:16] {dino} 30f here
01[09:16] {@Threei}  (FR) Germany and France said to be "secret" negotiations over a deal that would see Berlin sign off Paris's new budget even though it violated EU fiscal rules
[09:23] {nathan} g.morning gents
01[09:24] {@Threei}  nathan:)
[09:24] {troub} good morning
01[09:24] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:25] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:25] {@Threei}  jf :)
[09:26] {Jenh} hold on there nathan. there's is a lady here too :)
[09:27] {cosmo} i thought so...
01[09:28] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -SCOK +55% (aboveground Syngas Facility commenced operations)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -NLNK +28% (exclusive worldwide licensing agreement for development of NLG919 with Roche)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -SHOR +17% (Mitel submits acquisition of $8.10/shr)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -CNL +11% (being acquired by group led by Macquarie Infrastructure & Real Assets and British Columbia Investment Management Corp. for $55.37/shr)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -IMMU +6% (received European Orphan Drug Designation for lsactuzumab)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -BBRY +4% (resurfacing take over speculation)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -HAL +3.8% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -LII +3.5% (earnings)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -HTZ +3.1% (Jana Partners discloses 7% stake)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -NCR -12% (guides Q3 lower, cuts FY14 guidance)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -SHOO -10% (guides Q3 lower, cuts FY14 guidance)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -IBM -8% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -PETS -6.6% (earnings)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  -MJN -5.5% (Danone Board undecided on takeover of MJN)
01[09:31] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .70 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:32] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .10 break
01[09:33] {@Threei}  If holds  35
01[09:34] {@Threei}  FB got away
01[09:35] {@Threei}  1:1  CCL
[09:35] {dino} gj
01[09:35] {@Threei}  sorry, 1:1 DAL
01[09:35] {@Threei}  too many stocks
01[09:36] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CCL  .50 break
01[09:36] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[09:37] {@Threei}  1:1  CCL
01[09:37] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:37] {@Threei}  fast
[09:37] {nathan} got that 3i. thx
01[09:37] {@Threei}  :)
01[09:38] {@Threei}  gj nathan, wasn't easy entry
01[09:38] {@Threei} Short Setup: TWTR  .80 break hl
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[09:39] {@Threei}  meh
[09:40] {RonS} lol...  Strength in travel related names early - if Nigeria/Senegal can stop Ebola, many figure US should be able to as well
01[09:40] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .75 break
01[09:41] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
[09:44] {nathan} watching VXX
01[09:44] {@Threei}  not its time yet
01[09:44] {@Threei}  careful
01[09:45] {@Threei}  SPY is about to break out
[09:45] {nathan} ok
01[09:46] {@Threei}  let's trail FCX to .69
01[09:46] {@Threei}  out
01[09:46] {@Threei}  wasd too close to 1:1
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .15 break
01[09:47] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
01[09:47] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:48] {@Threei}  valid again
01[09:48] {@Threei}  change to .10 break
01[09:48] {@Threei}  If holds  108
01[09:48] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:49] {@Threei}  was wrong on SPY/VXX
[09:50] {jfjf64} shack it off
01[09:55] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .70 break
01[09:55] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[10:01] {@Threei}  slow... loss of .65 should accelerate it
01[10:01] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .10 break
01[10:02] {@Threei}  If holds  108
01[10:02] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[10:02] {@Threei}  again
01[10:02] {@Threei}  underestimating depth of pullbacks today
01[10:05] {@Threei}  let's close GLD
01[10:05] {@Threei}  no drive
01[10:05] {@Threei}  once again, IWM .10 break
01[10:06] {@Threei}  stop under 108
01[10:06] {@Threei}  nope... backing off
[10:06] {jfjf64} I need coffee
01[10:07] {@Threei}  ask nemo for vodka
[10:07] {jfjf64} yesin coffee
01[10:10] {@Threei} Short Setup: BABA  .10 break hl
01[10:10] {@Threei}  If holds  .25
01[10:12] {@Threei} Long Setup:  BP  41 break
01[10:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[10:12] {@Threei}  Invalidated  BABA
[10:16] {nathan} bp need more fuel...
01[10:18] {@Threei}  not liking this morning too much
01[10:19] {@Threei}  holding by fingertips
01[10:21] {@Threei}  if SPY can't break out again, watching EBAY for short
01[10:24] {@Threei}  1:1  BP
01[10:30] {@Threei} Short Setup: EBAY  .20 break
01[10:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[10:31] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:32] {@Threei}  really want something better than just another scalp
01[10:35] {@Threei}  QCOM Seeing increased call activity- Nov 76 calls traded 13K contracts
01[10:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .25 break
01[10:39] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
01[10:41] {@Threei}  SPY's dropping
01[10:41] {@Threei}  are you blind VXX?
01[10:41] {@Threei}  no go
[10:41] {nathan} let's c if ebay... breaks the 49
01[10:42] {@Threei}  EBAY, will try for 1:4 if loses 49
[10:42] {nemo} not much activity on the algo so far today
01[10:42] {@Threei}  stop for now at .16
[10:43] {jfjf64} yes
[10:47] {jfjf64} drop biatch
01[10:50] {@Threei}  {EBA} jf... why do I feel like you don't like me...
01[10:50] {@Threei}  come on 49, give up
[10:51] {jfjf64} comon
01[10:51] {@Threei}  1:2
01[11:01] {@Threei}  1:3
01[11:03] {@Threei}  14
01[11:03] {@Threei}  out
01[11:03] {@Threei}  finally something decent
01[11:04] {@Threei}  last couple weeks spoiled us, got used to easy money, this feels like work today
[11:04] {jfjf64} that was nice trade
01[11:05] {@Threei}  see? and you disliked EBAY
01[11:12] {@Threei} Long Setup:  BP  .95 break
01[11:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .85
[11:25] {jfjf64} no gas bp
[11:26] {Jenh} fb
[11:26] {Jenh} sorry. meant to type that into scanner
01[11:26] {@Threei}  ese always does that
[11:26] {Jenh} :)
01[11:27] {@Threei}  then wonders why stock doesn't change in his software
[11:27] {nathan} lol
01[11:27] {@Threei}  I am patiently waiting for him to type his bank login
[11:27] {RonS} lol
[11:27] {nathan} hehehe
01[11:27] {@Threei}  sooner or later it's bound to happen
[11:28] {Jenh} that's funny!
[11:29] {jfjf64} think we cd tighten stop bp
[11:29] {jfjf64} ??
01[11:29] {@Threei}  to .89?
01[11:29] {@Threei}  I guess, yeah
01[11:29] {@Threei}  things slow down
[11:29] {jfjf64} yes
[11:32] {jfjf64} 1;1 looks good from here
[11:32] {jfjf64} lol
01[11:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .30 break
01[11:33] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[11:33] {@Threei}  aggressive for .40
01[11:34] {@Threei}  BP might get blisters on its skin with this mind-boggling speed
01[11:35] {@Threei}  All has been quiet on the Ebola front for the last two days, with no new cases reported in the US and dozens of people released from the watch list in Dallas. Meanwhile the Pentagon is forming a 30-person "quick-strike team" equipped to provide direct treatment to Ebola patients inside the US. Most of the hot Ebola stocks that had seen huge gains over recent weeks are down sharply this morning. LAKE is off 18% and TKMR is down 5.4%.
01[11:36] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:36] {@Threei}  FB
01[11:36] {@Threei}  just don't be a scalp
[11:36] {nathan} 1:1
[11:37] {nathan} thx 3i
01[11:37] {@Threei}  .60 should be easy
01[11:37] {@Threei}  yw
01[11:38] {@Threei}  ugh
01[11:38] {@Threei}  scalp
01[11:38] {@Threei}  annoying
[11:38] {jfjf64} one of those days
[11:39] {jfjf64} gonna get lunch see ya later in day
01[11:39] {@Threei}  quick everyone, let's get those 1:4 an d 1:5 while jf's gone
[11:41] {jfjf64} lol
[11:41] {jfjf64} seen that
01[11:41] {@Threei}  oops
[11:43] {dino} .
01[11:57] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .30 break
01[11:57] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[11:57] {@Threei}  same idea as FB, aggressive entry for breakout
01[12:00] {@Threei}  SPY .40 - .45 break should push it
01[12:01] {@Threei}  ok TWTR
01[12:01] {@Threei}  your turn
01[12:01] {@Threei}  break that .40
01[12:02] {@Threei}  and iksploud
01[12:03] {@Threei}  ixplode
01[12:03] {@Threei}  hmmm... trying to come up with one more spelling version... fantasy is exhausted
01[12:04] {@Threei}  eqsploud
06[12:04] * @Threei kicks TWTR in the rear with heavy duty army boots
01[12:07] {@Threei}  SPY is about to blast through .60
[12:09] {nathan} c'mon TWTR!!!!
01[12:09] {@Threei}  holding very well
01[12:09] {@Threei}  just under the breakout point
01[12:10] {@Threei}  any help by index and should do one of those three things I tried to misspell so hard
[12:10] {nathan} yeah but... lets break the .40
[12:10] {Jenh} so close!
01[12:11] {@Threei}  half out
[12:11] {nathan} strong ressitabce at .40! did u saw the lots?
01[12:11] {@Threei}  stop to.24
01[12:11] {@Threei}  that doesn't mean anything nathan
01[12:11] {@Threei}  see?
01[12:11] {@Threei}  cuts through it as knife through butter
01[12:12] {@Threei}  1:2
[12:12] {nathan} wow
[12:12] {nathan} u're right 3i
01[12:12] {@Threei}  jf will be crying bitterly
[12:12] {nathan} :-)
01[12:12] {@Threei}  want a nugget of wisdom for the day nathan?
[12:12] {nathan} huge lots are use to scare the masses
[12:13] {nathan} used
01[12:13] {@Threei}  never take level 2 indications at face value
01[12:13] {@Threei}  level 2 is NOT a directional tool
01[12:14] {@Threei}  you have scalping videocourse? return to videos/manual explaining what those are
01[12:14] {@Threei}  ok, this one's over
[12:14] {Jenh} i'm out. .37!!!!
[12:14] {Jenh} got scared
[12:14] {Jenh} thanks 3i!!!
01[12:14] {@Threei}  sure
[12:15] {dino} gj
[12:15] {nathan} got it! I have all your literature. I bought even the pin :-)
01[12:15] {@Threei}  what pin?
01[12:15] {@Threei}  I have no pin
01[12:15] {@Threei}  why don't I have a pin :(
[12:15] {nathan} the one saying trade what u see not what u think, with your face behind
[12:16] {nathan} :-)
01[12:16] {@Threei}  ok... someone is making money on that... and I don't een get a royalty {G}
[12:16] {nemo} think we topped for awhile
01[12:59] {@Threei}  good call
[13:25] {dino} tllp sm l .01
01[13:26] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .60 break
01[13:26] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
[13:31] {dino} out tllp .31, +.30
01[13:43] {@Threei}  back from slumber... 1:1
[13:51] {dino} tllp sm l .87
[13:53] {dino} stop ave .66, -.21
[13:54] {dino} sm l .66
[14:02] {nemo} sheesh, had a brief power outage now I can't log in to the trading software
[14:03] {nathan} same  happened to my on friday
[14:03] {nathan} call the support to reset the connection
01[14:03] {@Threei}  ghost caused by improper disconnect procedure
[14:03] {nemo} yeah, didn't get anywhere with that...say it's my antivirus...well was working fine this morning
[14:07] {dino} tllp stopped -.18
[14:11] {dino} tllp sm l .25
[14:18] {jfjf64} whats happening mkt
01[14:19] {@Threei}  no news
01[14:19] {@Threei}  but you did miss 1:2 and a scalp
[14:19] {jfjf64} I saw
[14:19] {nathan} where's such correction?
[14:20] {cosmo} there were sesonal adjustments...
01[14:27] {@Threei} Long Setup:  TWTR  .70 break
01[14:27] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[14:33] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[14:41] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .75 break
01[14:41] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
[14:59] {Jenh} nope still here
[14:59] {Jenh} don't know why it does that
06[15:00] * @Threei kicks FB in the rear
01[15:00] {@Threei}  don't pay attention to it it means nothing
[15:00] {Jenh} oh ok that's good
01[15:00] {@Threei}  half out FB
01[15:01] {@Threei}  1L1 is close enough
01[15:01] {@Threei}  1:1
[15:02] {nathan} time to go gents
[15:02] {Jenh} bye. have a great day!
[15:02] {nathan} you too jenh
01[15:02] {@Threei}  won't even drink some tea with FB?
[15:02] {Jenh} thanks
[15:03] {nathan} if its tulsi tea then ok ;-)
01[15:03] {@Threei}  healthy healthy :)
01[15:03] {@Threei}  1:2 is coming
01[15:04] {@Threei}  1:2
01[15:05] {@Threei}  that was for you jf... to compensate you for the missed call
01[15:05] {@Threei}  1:3
[15:05] {jfjf64} ty sir
01[15:05] {@Threei}  yw
[15:05] {jfjf64} someone flipped switch
01[15:05] {@Threei}  scratched profitable day out of what looked like hopeless back and forth in the morning
[15:06] {jfjf64} ebay /fb
[15:06] {jfjf64} nice
[15:06] {jfjf64} like work today
01[15:06] {@Threei}  that's when wife says "because you are annoyingly stubborn"
[15:06] {nemo} almost to the 200 day in spy
01[15:07] {@Threei}  although I prefer to think of it as persistent
[15:07] {jfjf64} lol
[15:09] {jfjf64} we shorted ebay around here earlier
[15:10] {jfjf64} speak of devil
[15:14] {dino} out fb .02, +.26, ty 3i
01[15:15] {@Threei}  :)
[15:17] {nemo} spy and finnies coming in to 200 day at same time
[15:18] {jfjf64} what does that
[15:18] {jfjf64} mean
[15:18] {jfjf64} lol
[15:18] {nemo} they are both arriving at the 200 day moving average close to the same time
[15:18] {jfjf64} we goinh higher or lower
[15:18] {jfjf64} ??
[15:19] {nemo} it's an inflection point
01[15:19] {@Threei}  jf... I dunno what puzzles yoi so much. It simply means we are going higher or lower from here
[15:20] {jfjf64} that's what I thought vg
[15:20] {jfjf64} ty
01[15:20] {@Threei}  glad to help
[15:20] {RonS} just think when you are reaching an inflection point...which way ya gonna puke?
[15:20] {nemo} If Les is standing there?
01[15:20] {@Threei}  lol
[15:20] {RonS} ...you don't know...
[15:21] {jfjf64} this mkt tough today
[15:21] {jfjf64} got spoiled last week
[15:21] {nemo} people trying to short below 200 day, we get above we'll get a pop shorts will have to cover
[15:22] {Jenh} oh nice
[15:22] {nemo} huh?
[15:22] {jfjf64} lol
[15:22] {Jenh} i've seen some very cool short squeezes
[15:22] {jfjf64} welcome bk nemo
[15:23] {nemo} jf...knock it off
[15:23] {dino} lol
01[15:25] {@Threei} Long Setup:  EBAY  .25 break
01[15:25] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
[15:31] {jfjf64} inflection up
[15:31] {jfjf64} comon
01[15:32] {@Threei}  inflect me up, Scottie
[15:32] {RonS} lol...gonna make nemo puke...
01[15:32] {@Threei}  which is a good thing, right?
[15:33] {RonS} thinkin his bowel needs a break...
01[15:33] {@Threei}  lol
[15:34] {jfjf64} big vol
[15:45] {jfjf64} good night all
[15:45] {jfjf64} ty vg
01[15:45] {@Threei}  yw
[15:46] {jfjf64} grinded that out
[15:49] {dino} gn all
01[15:49] {@Threei}  you too dino
[15:49] {Jenh} good night everyone!
01[15:49] {@Threei}  ok guys, thank you all
[15:49] {Jenh} thanks for today!
01[15:49] {@Threei}  have a great evening, see you tomorrow

Friday, October 17, 2014

Market Week Wrap-up

TradeTheNews.com Weekly Market Update: The Correction That Wasn't
Fri, 17 Oct 2014 16:31 PM EST

Market volatility reached epic levels this week. By Wednesday afternoon, the S&P500 had given up than 4% on the week after a series of unfortunate events hammered risk assets, drove liquidation and raised fear the dreaded correction had arrived. However most of the gap was filled in the second half of the week as the soothing possibility of more central bank easing emerged. On Wednesday, the withdrawal of Ireland's exotic tax avoidance laws, which inspired AbbVie to cancel its $54 billion merger with Shire, slammed many US hedge funds that were long Shire in an arbitrage trade. The same day, talk that the Greek anti-euro, anti-bailout opposition had strengthened its influence drove a massive sell-off in European peripheral debt, further hurting many US hedge funds that were long the instruments. On top of that the Ebola scare reached a fever pitch with false alarms across the US, though only one additional case was confirmed. The combined effect was risk asset liquidation, driving the VIX index above 30 for the first time in nearly two years. Commenting on Wednesday's market action, Goldman Sachs' CFO said investors were "shooting first and asking questions later." Then on Thursday, the ECB said it would adjust haircuts on bonds used as collateral for loans to Greek banks and Fed Governor Bullard said the FOMC should consider delaying the end of the QE taper this month to help stem the slide in inflation expectations. Both announcements helped propel a move higher, aided by some better US data late in the week and a round of mostly solid earnings reports.

For the week, the DJIA dropped 1%, the S&P500 fell 1% and the Nasdaq lost 0.4%. The Nasdaq briefly entered correction territory on Wednesday, joined by the Japanese Nikkei Index on Friday, while the S&P500 reached 9.5% off of September's high before rebounding. The market stampede was even more jarring in the bond market, as the US 10-year dove 43 basis points between last Friday's close and the height of the fear on Wednesday before closing back at the key 2.20% level on Friday.

The data out on Wednesday suggested the global slowdown may be finally catching up with the US economy. September US retail sales were negative (-0.3% v -0.1%e; Control Group: -0.2% v +0.4%e), with the key control group, which is used to help calculate GDP, way off expectations. That was the first negative reading for the series since January, when severe winter storms depressed the series temporarily. September PPI producer prices were softer than expected, teeing up a soft CPI reading. The New York Fed's Empire manufacturing index was well under expectations, with the new orders component turning negative.

In Europe, markets tested Mario Draghi's "whatever it takes" position after developments in Greece provided an opportunity for attack. Peripheral bonds sold off hard late on Tuesday and into Wednesday after a poll in Greece showed the anti-bailout, anti-euro party Syriza with a 6.5% lead over the governing New Democracy party, well ahead of the 1.4% lead seen in the last round of polls. There is a presidential election in Greece in February, which could be followed by early parliamentary elections. Greece's bailout is officially over in little more than a year, but PM Samaras would like to end it early in order to get ahead of his Syriza opponents, who talk often about getting Greece out of the eurozone. The rush to end 1% bailout government financing and jump into public markets, at a rate more around 7% (or the prospect of Grexit) drove the stampede out of Greek debt and a big drop in the stock market, both of which shocked wider European equities and sent peripheral debt spiking higher.

The Irish government confirmed that it will eliminate its notorious "double Irish" tax structure, just a few weeks after the US Treasury said it would put up roadblocks to tax inversion deals. The first victim of the changes was the $54 billion AbbVie/Shire merger (Shire is headquartered in Ireland). The implosion of the deal was cited as one of the factors deepening the sell-off on Wednesday. Many hedge funds had long Shire/short AbbVie arb trades riding on the merger and Shire shares lost over 20% as the deal unravelled, pummeling the funds and forcing liquidation. Recall that back in July, AbbVie's CEO said the tax benefits were an advantage in the Shire acquisition but were not the central rationale behind the deal. AbbVie will have to pay Shire $1.6 billion to break their engagement.

European governments are wrangling with 2015 budget planning and the process is exposing many of the very stresses that have prevented the Eurozone from escaping the long reach of its crisis. Budgets proposed by France and Italy both abandon pledges to bring deficit-to-GDP ratios into compliance with the 3% treaty limit. Last Friday S&P cut France's sovereign outlook, and on Wednesday Fitch put France's AA+ sovereign rating on negative watch. German Chancellor Merkel said there could be no exceptions to the EU deficit rules even as French President Hollande demanded flexibility, setting up another axis of tension in the EU.

The German government cut its GDP growth forecasts for 2014 (from 1.8% to 1.2%) and 2015 (from 2.0% to 1.3%), bowing to the reality of the European economic slowdown. Berlin insisted it would not change course on policy or austerity despite the worsening outlook. Merkel said that the government would still pursue its balanced budget goals.

The two cases of person-to-person Ebola transmission in the US appeared in Dallas, Texas. Two nurses who helped care for Thomas Duncan, the Liberian man who died last week, tested positive for the disease. There was widespread consternation on reports that the second nurse was cleared to travel to Ohio and back by air while also beginning to feel certain symptoms, including fever, associated with the disease. There was a cascade of Ebola scares in Ohio, San Diego, aboard a Caribbean cruise ship and other locations from people who had unknowingly travelled with the second nurse, although as of now there are still only two Ebola cases in the US, the nurses.

The growing rift in OPEC pummeled oil prices this week, and front-month WTI crude sank below $80 for the first time since June 2012. Persian Gulf states were said to be targeting crude prices around $70 with the aim of making US shale production uneconomical, and were said to be opposing any OPEC production cuts at the November meeting due to fears they could permanently lose market share. Non-Persian Gulf OPEC nations plus Iran pushed for the organization to adopt a production ceiling of 30M bpd. Venezuela called for an emergency OPEC meeting, but its demand largely fell on deaf ears. The IEA Monthly Report trimmed global oil demand growth forecasts for 2014 to their lowest level in five years and also trimmed its 2015 demand forecast. The IEA said any more crude oil price declines would require lower demand or supply cuts.

Wall Street banks had largely good news in their quarterly reports. Goldman Sachs reported excellent third-quarter results and raised its dividend nearly 10%. Revenue was up 25% y/y and net income rose a whopping 60% y/y. Morgan Stanley had similarly strong results. JPMorgan's profits were slightly lower than expected, but compared favorably with the loss seen a year ago. Bank of America either reported income of $168 million or a small loss in its third quarter, depending on how the bank's massive $5.8B DoJ fine for mortgage issues is counted. Shares of Citibank soared after the bank said it would exit stagnant business in 11 countries and modestly topped expectations in its third quarter.

Shares of railroad CSX gained after reports asserted that the company had rebuffed a merger proposal from Canadian Pacific last week. If a deal were reached, the companies would have a combined market value of $62 billion. Big regulatory obstacles stand in the way of a merger - the US Surface Transportation Board has a history of intervening in mergers over fears that the industry would end up with just two North American transcontinental railroad systems.

Overall volatility also whipped around currency trading this week, although there appears to be a slight strengthening trend in the euro as the single currency rises off the record lows seen in the first week of October. EUR/USD came into the week around 1.2610 and after the excitement on Wednesday appeared to be consolidating around the 1.2800 level. Meanwhile, the yen also strengthened, with USD/JPY declining from highs of 107.70 to lows around 105.5 on Thursday, before closing out the week around 106.65.

The Shanghai Composite fell 1.4%, the biggest weekly decline in four months, as the mainland index turned increasingly less immune to the global market rout amid a set of mixed economic figures. September Trade Balance hit a 5-month low of $31B, even though the y/y increase in imports and exports marked 7- and 19-month highs respectively. New Yuan Loans were also more encouraging at CNY857B - a 3-month high and well above the CNY746B consensus. Inflation indicators were still decidedly subdued however, as 1.6% CPI marked a near 5-year low while PPI of -1.8% was down on the year for the 31st consecutive month. Monetary authorities are taking notice with further incremental liquidity injection measures. On Tuesday, the PBoC lowered the offering yield on its 14-day repo by another 10bps to 3.4%. On Friday, the PBoC also announced an additional CNY200B injection directly into the banking system targeting 20 joint-stock Chinese banks. The balance of key China economic data for September along with Q3 GDP will be released early next week, followed by the October HSBC flash manufacturing PMI on tap for Thursday.


Oct 17 2014

With 1:4, 1:3 and a few scalps, we decided to finish this week early and go have a great relaxing weekend. One of the best weeks in a year as it is.


Session Time: Fri Oct 17 00:00:00 2014

[09:13] {dino} gm
01[09:14] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:16] {jfjf64} morning all
01[09:16] {@Threei}  jf :)
[09:17] {troub} good morning
01[09:18] {@Threei}  troub :)
[09:22] {RonS} hi guys
01[09:22] {@Threei}  ron :)
[09:23] {RonS} can't figure why the market is up...
01[09:23] {@Threei}  talk about longer easy monetary policies everywhere, US and EU
01[09:24] {@Threei}  everyone tried to jawbone the market drop
01[09:28] {@Threei}  one of passengers of the plane where this second nurse with Ebola flew, is on board of cruise ship
01[09:28] {@Threei}  great
01[09:33] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .75 break
01[09:33] {@Threei}  change to .70 break
01[09:34] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:34] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:35] {RonS} don't look hclp
01[09:37] {@Threei} Short Setup: CCL  .20 break
01[09:37] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
01[09:38] {@Threei}  change to .30 break
01[09:38] {@Threei}  If holds  .35
[09:39] {ese} in...well that took a  while
01[09:39] {@Threei}  why?
[09:40] {nathan} hi gents
01[09:40] {@Threei}  hi nathan
[09:40] {ese} browser...safari....did not want to work...am in firefox right now
[09:41] {RonS} Putin?...Third Dallas health worker enters isolation as schools close and Obama considers czar
01[09:42] {@Threei}  nah... Putin Misses Meeting With Merkel Before Partying With Berlusconi Until Early Hours
[09:43] {ese} where you geting all this news
01[09:43] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .75 break
01[09:43] {@Threei}  change to .70
01[09:43] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:44] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:45] {RonS} ese, follow bloomberg news on twitter...
[09:47] {ese} tks
01[09:51] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  35 break
01[09:51] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[09:51] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:55] {@Threei}  *(US) OCT PRELIMINARY UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 86.4 V 84.0E
[09:56] {RonS} jesus emes +9% again...
01[09:57] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CCL  .85 break
01[09:58] {@Threei}  fast... 1:1
01[09:58] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .25 break
01[09:58] {@Threei}  ugh, late
01[09:58] {@Threei}  jumped
01[10:03] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CCL  .80 break
01[10:03] {@Threei}  If holds  .75
01[10:04] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:04] {@Threei}  this one finally was easy to obtain
01[10:10] {@Threei}  1:2
01[10:11] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:12] {@Threei}  1:4 close enough, I am out
[10:18] {dino} wow emes nice
[10:24] {ese} rdnt +.65 so far on remaining 1K
01[10:28] {@Threei}  wtg
01[10:29] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .90 break
01[10:29] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
[10:30] {ese} am gonna let this hit 9 sell 1/2 and and let the other 1/2 ride with stop at 8
[10:30] {dino} gj ese
[10:31] {ese} tks
[10:31] {ese} with some bs luck it might get close to 9 today
[10:37] {ese} ron dino....whats the lowdown on emes?
[10:38] {RonS} pulp oil play...Texans making it crazy...imo
[10:38] {ese} hmmmmmm
01[10:40] {@Threei}  Invalidated
[10:41] {RonS} as they say in Texas ese... ahll bidness...
[10:42] {ese} lol
01[10:42] {@Threei} Short Setup: P  .60 break
01[10:42] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
[10:42] {ese} with six shooters
[10:43] {ese} any body that i've met from texas ...damn nice people
[10:43] {troub} thank you.
[10:44] {ese} was out golfing a few years back with a couple of guys from texas.......damn...was the funniest game of golf i'd had in a long time....
[10:44] {ese} one guy would hit the ball off the tee....
[10:45] {ese} other guy would say something like.....
[10:46] {ese} "man you really chilli peppered thaaaat thangs ass"....damn near fell over laughing so hard....could hit my ball
[10:46] {ese} couldn't
[10:46] {ese} yw troub
[10:47] {dino} emes facking sand supplier, oil/gas drops expect less use of fracking materials
[10:48] {RonS} what the frack?
[10:49] {jfjf64} bulls trying to hold up
[10:49] {jfjf64} don't think so
[10:50] {ese} was just about to say that ron
01[10:50] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .55 break
01[10:50] {@Threei}  If holds  .45
[10:53] {RonS} ese would do well in texas...they would make up the sayings...he would make up the spelling...symbiosis
[10:53] {ese} ha ha!!  ha ha!!!.......is it your mother that wears the army boots?
[10:58] {RonS} giii's cotton pounded...
[11:02] {ese} lol
[11:03] {ese} ya well.......you and the nemo.........have nailed me good a few times.....I ain't even close to gettin even yet
[11:03] {RonS} obola czar is biden's chief of staff... can anyone spell toady?
[11:03] {ese} lol
[11:03] {jfjf64} weird mkt
[11:05] {dino} lol ya think?
[11:05] {jfjf64} lol
[11:05] {jfjf64} this rcl creeped up to hihs
[11:06] {RonS} govt contract for floating ebola quarantine stations?
[11:07] {nathan} not my day today
01[11:09] {@Threei}  narrow range after the gap up, don't push
[11:14] {jfjf64} im ouutta here all enjoy weekend ty vg great week
01[11:15] {@Threei}  have fun jf
01[11:15] {@Threei}  'twas a great week, wasn't it
[11:16] {jfjf64} for sure like to bottle it
01[11:17] {@Threei}  why do I sense we are not talking a single bottle here
[11:17] {dino} case perhaps
01[11:17] {@Threei}  :)
01[11:18] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .10 break
01[11:18] {@Threei}  If holds  37
[11:18] {nathan} dino i've send a private message
[11:21] {dino} thank you nathan, i replied
01[11:23] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:31] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .15 break
01[11:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
[11:34] {ese} gotta go...ya'll have a great weekend
01[11:34] {@Threei}  take care ese
01[11:34] {@Threei}  see dcc
01[11:37] {@Threei}  break of .20 explodes it
01[11:37] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:38] {@Threei}  see nathan... being picky and careful wors
01[11:38] {@Threei}  peck here, peck there... occassional larger runner
01[11:39] {@Threei}  and the day shapes up
01[11:40] {@Threei}  1:2
01[11:43] {@Threei}  The equity snap-back has been general over the European and US sessions. Stock indices in Europe are looking to close up around 3% a piece, while most leading US indices are up more than 1.5% a piece.
01[11:47] {@Threei}  1:3
[11:56] {nathan} right
[11:57] {nathan} another skill to develope: patience
01[12:00] {@Threei}  I've got an idea guys
[12:01] {nathan} go ahead
01[12:01] {@Threei}  we had 1:4, 1:3 and a few scalps, crowning fantastic week
01[12:01] {@Threei}  how about we start our weekend early
[12:01] {nathan} good idea
01[12:01] {@Threei}  keep our gains and get a good well deserved rest
01[12:01] {@Threei}  deal?
[12:02] {nathan} for my ok
[12:02] {nathan} me
[12:02] {nathan} cya on monday
01[12:02] {@Threei}  you too
01[12:02] {@Threei}  thank you all, have a great weekend
01[12:02] {@Threei}  see you Monday!
[12:04] {RonS} heh, 3i missing nemo so much he is sparing himslef the pain by quitting early  :)
01[12:05] {@Threei}  lol

Thursday, October 16, 2014

Oct 16 2014

A bit hectic day with a few stops, but several nicely timed entries for large gains kept the day nicely profitable. Classic case of "cut your losses short, let your profits run."

__________________________________________

(US) Ahead of the Close Market Snapshot
Thu, 16 Oct 2014 15:57 PM EST

US Indices:
- Dow Jones -0.1%
- S&P500 +0.1%
- Nasdaq +0.2%

- Industrials and Materials are the leading sectors heading into the close, while Consumer Goods are underperforming. HPQ is a notable gainer in tech on expected resumption of buybacks. Financial are led by 2% rise in BAC, even as GS is down over 2% after Q3 report earlier. In materials, EOG and APC are up 3-4% on sizable bounce in energy, and Industrials are led by 3-4% gains in FLS and ITT. Consumer names are seeing some retreat - KO is down 1.4% while TSN is off by over 4%.

Fixed-Income: Bond markets are notably more stable today and yields are creeping higher after an early Wednesday "flash crash" that sent the 10-year below 2% for the first time since early 2013. Mixed Fed-speak and economic data have helped to restore the two-way trade action - industrial production and weekly claims were better than expected, Philly Fed shrank but topped consensus, while Fed's Bullard suggested a delay to end of QE might be considered. Greek bonds remain under heavy pressure, with the 10-year up over 100bps above 8.6%.
- US 2-yr: +4bps at 0.34%
- 10-yr: +2bps at 2.15%
- 30-yr: +2bps at 2.94%
- 2-10 spread: -2bps at 1.83%

Energy:
- WTI Nov crude oil $82.82; Snapback rally after a test below the $80/brl level in early AM; Following multi-year build in API petroleum inventories released overnight, DOE Crude build was also much higher than the 2M expected at 8.9M.

Metals:
- Spot Gold $1,240/oz; Consolidating AM gains to 5-week highs around $1,250.
- Spot Silver $17.44/oz; Retreated from AM rally 3-week high above $17.80.
- Dec Copper $2.98/lb; Lows below $2.96 in early AM trade, the lowest level since mid-March.

Key Earnings at the close:
- AMD, COF, GOOG, SNDK, SWY, XLNX


TradeTheNews.com



Session Time: Thu Oct 16 00:00:00 2014

[08:28] {Jenh} Good morning Vad!
01[08:44] {@Threei}  morning jen :)
[08:46] {Jenh} good morning!
01[08:47] {@Threei}  you are early riser
[08:47] {Jenh} i'm trying :)
01[08:48] {@Threei}  on west coast it's early enough, lol
[08:50] {Jenh} oh i didn't realize you were on the west.
[08:50] {Jenh} i'm on the east
[08:59] {RonS} gm...3i's worry misplaced:  BREAKING NEWS
[08:59] {RonS} Today Obama said "don't be alarmed about my cancelled fundraiser. If this were a real emergency I would have cancelled golf."
01[09:00] {@Threei}  ron :)
01[09:00] {@Threei}  lol
01[09:15] {@Threei}  *(US) SEPT INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: 1.0% V 0.4%E -
[09:16] {RonS} lol...  hello CDC? Yes, I know this Ebola thing is taking all the inventory but we really need some body bags down here on Wall St
01[09:16] {@Threei}  lol
01[09:16] {@Threei}  twitter is merciless today?
[09:16] {troub} good morning. or is it?
01[09:17] {@Threei}  troub :)
01[09:17] {@Threei}  channeling nemo?
[09:17] {troub} no, don't own a AK-47
01[09:19] {@Threei}  neither does he, I believe he moved right up to grenade launchers as mice eradicating device
[09:23] {jfjf64} mornin
01[09:24] {@Threei}  jf :)
01[09:24] {@Threei}  nemo's away, and dino probably won't be in today
[09:24] {Jenh} good morning Rons, troub, jf!
01[09:24] {@Threei}  we have market all to ourselves
01[09:26] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -IBIO +51% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -OSUR +12% (momentum from news FDA reportedly approached the company about developing an Ebola test kit)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -CHK +11% (sold Marcellus Utica Shale assets for $5.4B)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -SBLK +11% (momentum from EGLE news; positive broker comments)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -VIMC +10% (awarded $39.8M contract in Taiyuan City of Shangxi Province)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -IDT +9% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -SVA +9% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -CMRX +7% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -UNH +3.2% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -HCA +3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -LAKE +2.6% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -PGNX -2.5% (CNBC mention as alternative Ebola play)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -NFLX -22% (reported, disappointing guidance and metrics)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -EXTR -20% (guides Q1 lower)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -ESPR -15% (priced 4.25M shares at $20/shr)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -BHI -11% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -TZOO -10% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -INSY -6% (FDA issues refusal letter on Dronabinol oral NDA - new studies needed)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -MAT -5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -GS -3.5% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -EBAY -3.3% (earnings)
01[09:26] {@Threei}  -FCS -2.7% (earnings)
01[09:27] {@Threei}  going to sit out first 5 min or so
01[09:27] {@Threei}  opening is likely to be too hectic to control risk properly
[09:28] {jfjf64} sounds lk plan
01[09:37] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .95 break
01[09:37] {@Threei}  If holds  119
01[09:40] {@Threei} Short Setup: FB  .85 break hl
01[09:40] {@Threei}  If holds  72
01[09:41] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:43] {@Threei}  got away
01[09:44] {@Threei}  meh GLD
01[09:45] {@Threei}  ugh FB
01[09:47] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FCX  .70 break
01[09:47] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[09:49] {@Threei}  1:1
[09:55] {dino} sn sm l .03
[09:57] {RonS} just remembered oil report bottom of hour...
[09:58] {RonS} losing it, that was yesterday...
01[09:59] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .20 break
01[09:59] {@Threei}  natural gas today
01[09:59] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[09:59] {@Threei}  *(US) OCT PHILADELPHIA FED BUSINESS OUTLOOK: 20.7 V 19.8E
01[09:59] {@Threei}  no go
01[10:00] {@Threei}  wow
01[10:00] {@Threei}  volatility
[10:00] {dino} baba sm l .10
01[10:00] {@Threei}  *(US) OCT NAHB HOUSING MARKET INDEX: 54 V 59E
01[10:01] {@Threei}  sheesh VXX
01[10:10] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CAT  .30 break hl
01[10:10] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
01[10:11] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:14] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .40 break
01[10:14] {@Threei}  If holds  .30
[10:15] {dino} dji gap 15409 area fwiw
01[10:15] {@Threei}  no go
01[10:16] {@Threei}  back and forth day
01[10:20] {@Threei}  (EU) Russia President Putin: South Stream gas pipeline is being held up for political reasons, there could be major transit risks for European gas supplies this winter - Russia could reduce gas supplies to Europe if Ukraine siphons gas from transit pipelines
[10:21] {RonS} ...if?
[10:21] {dino} saw that coming
[10:21] {RonS} dal daily reminds me of the song "should i stay or should i go"...
[10:21] {dino} cbi sm l .05
[10:22] {dino} spike
01[10:23] {@Threei}  what the deuce
[10:23] {RonS} Bullard comments spiking markets
[10:23] {dino} out cbi .48, +.43
[10:23] {dino} out sn .32, +.29
[10:25] {RonS} wtf?  Fed's Bullard: If Economy Strong Could End QE in December -Bloomberg TV
[10:25] {dino} idiot
01[10:25] {@Threei}  he is not even a voter in Fed
[10:29] {dino} out baba .37, +.27
[10:29] {dino} epam drop
[10:31] {dino} sm l .80
01[10:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .10 break
01[10:32] {@Threei}  If holds  71
[10:32] {RonS} EPAM Systems CEO Arkadiy Dobkin Sells $215,450 in $EPAM http://stks.co/s0tEP
01[10:32] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:33] {@Threei}  1:2
[10:33] {dino} bit late on the sale wasn't he
01[10:33] {@Threei}  1:3
01[10:34] {@Threei}  better
01[10:34] {@Threei}  1:4
[10:34] {dino} gj
01[10:34] {@Threei}  out
01[10:34] {@Threei}  ty
[10:35] {dino} out epam .07, +.27
[10:38] {dino} 07 scanners scrolling green
[10:40] {dino} lol, out hclp calls from last week, +3.00 or, wait for it...68%
01[10:41] {@Threei}  nice
[10:41] {dino} yeah, $3k
01[10:45] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .60 break
[10:46] {dino} fcx wall .00
01[10:46] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
[10:46] {dino} out fcx .04, +.33 ty 3i
01[10:47] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:47] {@Threei}  yw
01[10:48] {@Threei}  Texas hospital chief to apologize for misinformation, mistakes made at Dallas hospital treating Ebola
[10:51] {dino} any of you guys watch "big break" on golf channel? they are at barefoot resort, i play those courses when down in myrtle beach
01[10:52] {@Threei}  you need to invite ese
01[10:52] {@Threei}  where is the slacker today btw
01[11:08] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .90 break
01[11:08] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[11:09] {@Threei}  stop to .84
01[11:11] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:30] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .30 break
01[11:30] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[11:30] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[11:30] {@Threei}  on watch though
01[11:30] {@Threei}  whole gap has been closed and then some
01[11:31] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .80 break
01[11:31] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[11:31] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:31] {@Threei}  1:2
01[11:31] {@Threei}  1:3
[11:31] {jfjf64} oh boy
01[11:31] {@Threei}  way to bottom fish, 3i
[11:32] {jfjf64} go baby
01[11:32] {@Threei}  why thank you 3i
01[11:32] {@Threei}  1:4
01[11:33] {@Threei}  out
01[11:35] {@Threei}  1:5
[11:35] {jfjf64} good catch
06[11:35] * @Threei takes a bow
[11:35] {jfjf64} how ya do that
01[11:36] {@Threei}  throw a dart?
[11:36] {jfjf64} lol
01[11:36] {@Threei}  sorry, no... chicken entrails
[11:40] {jfjf64} 1:9.5
01[11:41] {@Threei}  that's beayond my math abilities
[11:41] {jfjf64} ahh give ya 1:10
01[11:41] {@Threei}  gotta take shoes off
[11:43] {jfjf64} watchin dal
01[11:43] {@Threei}  so jf... I am going to share this huge secret
[11:43] {jfjf64} yes
01[11:45] {@Threei}  to nail the reversal like this you need a dartboard soaked in tea leaves and densely decorated with chicken entrails; for a dart you use the ear bone of a бат
01[11:45] {@Threei}  bat
[11:45] {jfjf64} lol
[11:46] {jfjf64} sometimes ear of bat does the trick
01[11:46] {@Threei}  many skip the tea leaves soaking part, but it's crucial
01[11:47] {@Threei}  some claim that a bat must be born between 1 and 15 of March, but it's a myth... anywhere from Feb to April is fine
[11:47] {jfjf64} im june
[11:48] {jfjf64} grrr
01[11:48] {@Threei}  bat, not you
01[11:49] {@Threei}  or is it where your nick hails from? June fairy or something...
[11:49] {jfjf64} yes
01[11:50] {@Threei}  got it
[11:50] {jfjf64} of course
01[11:52] {@Threei}  your DAL should be ready soon
01[11:52] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .75 break
[11:52] {jfjf64} tea leaves still soaking
01[11:53] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[11:53] {@Threei}  very tight stop
01[11:53] {@Threei}  nope
[11:53] {jfjf64} tight stop
[11:53] {jfjf64} 4 reason
01[11:54] {@Threei}  that's OK, better small rinse than to get caught in cascade
01[11:55] {@Threei}  with this volatility risk control is absolutely paramount
[11:55] {jfjf64} .80
[11:56] {jfjf64} not today
[11:56] {jfjf64} dal
[11:56] {jfjf64} rince job
[12:03] {RonS} that hailstorm took out 90% of the roofs in the area... let the pounding begin!
01[12:04] {@Threei}  ouch
[12:04] {RonS} between car and roofs they figure insurance hit of $225 million
01[12:05] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .30 break
01[12:05] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[12:05] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[12:12] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .20 break
01[12:12] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
[12:12] {dino} that sucks ron
01[12:13] {@Threei}  not ready yet
01[12:16] {@Threei}  now it is, lol
01[12:16] {@Threei}  somewhat patternless
01[12:18] {@Threei}  After plunging lower though the first hours of trading, European equities reversed and moved higher after 06:00ET thanks to talk the ECB was looking to make life easier for Greece. US futures remained beaten down and the 10-year yield briefly dipped back below 2%, however stocks zigzagged higher from the cash open, aided by soothing comments from Fed's Bullard.
01[12:18] {@Threei}  Fickle Fed Governor James Bullard sent things higher after remarking in a TV interview that the Fed should consider delaying the end of the QE taper this month to help stem the slide in inflation expectations and give the Fed another month to gather the economic data on which rate hikes would depend.
01[12:18] {@Threei}  Separately, there were conflicting reports out during the European session regarding ECB haircuts on Greek debt. A Greek official said the ECB would loosen its collateral rules in order to give Greek banks access to more liquidity, while another said the issue was only being discussed. Later the ECB clarified that it would adjust haircuts on Greece government bonds and guaranteed bank bonds used as collateral for ECB loans
[12:19] {dino} greece? unbelievable, just default already
01[12:19] {@Threei}  lol
01[12:19] {@Threei}  this is like the guy who loved his dog so much, he trimmed his tail by parts
01[12:19] {@Threei}  WTI crude fell below $80 for the first time since June 2012. The front-month contract briefly saw a $70 handle before bouncing back up to around $81.
01[12:20] {@Threei}  Putin: wtf...
[12:20] {RonS} what sucks dino, are the two neighbors who replaced their roofs a week before the storm...man, would i be po'd...
01[12:20] {@Threei}  oh boy
[12:21] {dino} that would suck. i can relate to both sides, i was a property/casualty broker for 15 years. what a nightmare thats going to be
[12:24] {RonS} wow emes
[12:24] {dino} yeah saw that
[12:25] {dino} check out hclp too, i sold my calls 2 bucks too early
01[12:39] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .50 break
01[12:39] {@Threei}  If holds  .40
01[12:39] {@Threei}  1:1
01[12:40] {@Threei}  1:2
[12:45] {jfjf64} dal
01[12:45] {@Threei}  missed VXX call, jf...
[12:45] {jfjf64} getting push
[12:45] {jfjf64} grr
[12:45] {jfjf64} playing with computer
[12:46] {jfjf64} what time was cll
[12:46] {jfjf64} call
01[12:46] {@Threei}  12:39] {@Threei} Long Setup: VXX .50 break
01[12:46] {@Threei}  [12:39] {@Threei} If holds .40
01[12:46] {@Threei}  [12:39] {@Threei} 1:1
01[12:46] {@Threei}  [12:40] {@Threei} 1:2
01[12:49] {@Threei}  wow DAL
[12:50] {jfjf64} yeah
[12:50] {jfjf64} buybuybuybuy
[12:50] {jfjf64} lol
[12:50] {jfjf64} rats
01[12:50] {@Threei}  jf... no one said that bat had to be crazy
[12:51] {jfjf64} what happen no eboli in planes
01[12:55] {@Threei}  maybe they just decided to ground all their planes... hence, no ebola, safety's first... and stock went up
[12:57] {jfjf64} or ceo was soakin tea leaves
01[12:59] {@Threei}  or smoking them
[12:59] {jfjf64} 1.00move
[12:59] {jfjf64} maybe
[13:00] {jfjf64} what goes up must come down
[13:00] {jfjf64} get dart ready
[13:00] {jfjf64} lol
01[13:01] {@Threei}  need bounce now
[13:01] {jfjf64} yes
[13:01] {jfjf64} hod
[13:01] {jfjf64} in reach
01[13:02] {@Threei} Short Setup: DAL  .50 break
01[13:02] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[13:03] {@Threei}  still valid
01[13:04] {@Threei}  let's do double top, DAL
01[13:04] {@Threei}  good boy
01[13:04] {@Threei}  die
[13:05] {jfjf64} mkt die
01[13:06] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:06] {@Threei}  1:2
01[13:08] {@Threei}  nice top hunting 3i
01[13:08] {@Threei}  why thank you
[13:08] {jfjf64} yes
[13:08] {jfjf64} dal
[13:08] {jfjf64} didn't lk comment
01[13:09] {@Threei}  whatever, I am fine with 1:2 at this time of the day
[13:09] {dino} gj
[13:10] {jfjf64} me too
01[13:23] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .25 break
01[13:24] {@Threei}  If holds  .15
01[13:25] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:35] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .20 break
01[13:35] {@Threei}  If holds  .10
01[13:36] {@Threei}  feels like market's topping
01[13:37] {@Threei}  ugh
01[13:37] {@Threei}  not yet
[13:37] {jfjf64} dal
[13:37] {jfjf64} pushin
[13:49] {jfjf64} vxx time
01[13:49] {@Threei}  looks like
[13:50] {jfjf64} ya called top
[13:50] {jfjf64} topping sd I say
[13:52] {jfjf64} ya have big wick spy
01[13:52] {@Threei}  out of bounds print
01[13:53] {@Threei}  ignore it
[13:53] {jfjf64} fig out prob had with logix
[13:53] {jfjf64} I think
01[13:53] {@Threei}  no
[13:53] {jfjf64} shut off Skype no prob
[13:54] {jfjf64} weird
[13:54] {RonS} lol...  http://tinyurl.com/nn964h8
01[13:54] {@Threei}  skype eats a lot of bandwidth
[13:54] {RonS} true dat
[13:54] {RonS} and computer cpu power
01[13:54] {@Threei}  also... you need to check if your Skype is being used as a supernod
[13:55] {jfjf64} what
01[13:55] {@Threei}  and shut it off if so
01[13:55] {@Threei}  this is nasty behind the curtain trick
[13:55] {jfjf64} k will look into
01[13:55] {@Threei}  be careful doing that,
[13:55] {jfjf64} why
01[13:55] {@Threei}  you need to edit registry to shut it off
01[13:56] {@Threei}  if you are not comfortable with that, better ask someone knowledgeable
01[13:56] {@Threei}  in supernod mode your skype becomes one of their servers
01[13:56] {@Threei}  using YOUR CPU resources
01[13:58] {@Threei}  fo a search for "how to disable skype supernode"
01[13:58] {@Threei}  do
01[13:58] {@Threei}  a lot of links, some are more clear, some less
[13:58] {jfjf64} ty sir
01[13:59] {@Threei}  np... let me see if I can find the one I used
[13:59] {jfjf64} think there teck guys logix wd of said
01[13:59] {@Threei}  how do they know what you run and ion what configuration
01[14:00] {@Threei}  http://community.spiceworks.com/how_to/show/47540-skype-disable-supernoding-for-windows-7
01[14:01] {@Threei}  this is unstructions I used
01[14:02] {@Threei}  or this, even more detailed: http://www.ehow.com/how_6780293_disable-skype-voip-supernode-mode.html
[14:04] {jfjf64} ty will do later that was prob
[14:05] {jfjf64} fcx
[14:05] {jfjf64}  bounce
[14:08] {RonS} 3i, if you have "quit skype" and turned it off can they still use the machine?
01[14:08] {@Threei}  I don't think so
01[14:08] {@Threei}  but gotta check
[14:08] {jfjf64} na takin to long
[14:09] {jfjf64} dint bouce with mkt
01[14:09] {@Threei}  at least on mine, shutting it down stopped those wierd spikes in CPU activity that got my attention in a first place
[14:09] {jfjf64} .50 hold .40
[14:09] {RonS} cpu use bouncing here betwee 6-16%
[14:10] {jfjf64} how do I check cpu
01[14:10] {@Threei}  right, same was here, 17% accigned to Skyp on regular spikes, every N seconds (don't remember exact number)
01[14:11] {@Threei}  I have System Explorer program running that shows which process uses what
01[14:11] {@Threei}  I guess usual Task Manager can show this as well
[14:11] {jfjf64} k
[14:11] {RonS} i do hold buttons of: ctrl-alt delete...takes to windows task manager and clic "performance"...
[14:13] {jfjf64} 26%
[14:13] {jfjf64} cpu
01[14:13] {@Threei}  if you see those spikes every 20-30 seconds, assigned to Skype, this is it
[14:14] {Jenh} got to go. have a great rest of the day everyone!
[14:14] {dino} cya jenh
01[14:14] {@Threei}  full load doesn't tell you much jf, you have oter programs running
01[14:14] {@Threei}  take care Jen
[14:14] {jfjf64} 35%
01[14:14] {@Threei}  you need breakdown by programs
[14:20] {jfjf64} boy vxx made huge run up
[14:41] {jfjf64} hey
[14:41] {jfjf64} anybody
[14:43] {dino} lake hole
[14:44] {jfjf64} 3i
01[14:45] {@Threei}  ?
[14:45] {RonS} lol
01[14:49] {@Threei}  direction seem to be settled, waiting for bounce to short
01[14:49] {@Threei}  or VXX pullback to buy
01[14:50] {@Threei}  around .70 - .75
01[14:50] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .75 break
01[14:50] {@Threei}  If holds  .65
01[14:51] {@Threei}  1:1
01[14:52] {@Threei}  1:2
01[14:52] {@Threei}  1:3
01[14:53] {@Threei}  out
01[14:53] {@Threei}  man, the precision...
[14:53] {jfjf64} nice
06[14:53] * @Threei pats himself on the back, dislocates shoulder and goes back to his corner
01[15:08] {@Threei} Short Setup: IWM  .70 break
01[15:08] {@Threei}  If holds  .80
01[15:09] {@Threei}  change to .80 break
01[15:10] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
01[15:12] {@Threei}  no go
01[15:28] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .60 break
01[15:28] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[15:28] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[15:34] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .20 break
01[15:34] {@Threei}  lol
01[15:34] {@Threei}  1:1 but good luck getting in
01[15:38] {@Threei}  good entry point... too bad it was unobtainable
[15:44] {dino} calling it a day, good morning, side-tracked afternoon. gn all
01[15:44] {@Threei}  take care dino
01[15:44] {@Threei}  wrapping it up too
01[15:45] {@Threei}  have a great evening, see you tomorrow

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Oct 15 2014

Another strong day with many juicy winning trades; a bit less active than previous sessions but still.



Session Time: Wed Oct 15 00:00:00 2014
[08:59] {dino} gm
01[08:59] {@Threei}  dino :)
[09:02] {RonS} gm...you called it 3i:  http://finance.yahoo.com/news/greece-getting-crushed-again-101738295.html
01[09:02] {@Threei}  LOL!
01[09:04] {@Threei}  wasn't too difficult, really... sun rises in the east, birds fly, greece crashes...
[09:04] {RonS} heh, natural order of things...
01[09:05] {@Threei}  exactly
[09:10] {dino} greece -10% in a day, is this correct?
01[09:13] {@Threei}  don't know, can't find exact figure
01[09:14] {@Threei}  ah, here it is
01[09:14] {@Threei}  Greek stock exchange falls almost 10% largest intra-day drop in 6-years
01[09:14] {@Threei}  yup
01[09:15] {@Threei}  so, EU said: Greece still has work to do in order to pass the 5th review by Troika
01[09:15] {@Threei}  Greece in response:
01[09:15] {@Threei}  On Oct 14th recent poll shows Syriza (anti-bailout) with 6.5% lead over New Democracy (PM Samaras party) v 1.4% lead prior
[09:15] {RonS} bloomberg showing Athens exchange -6.66% 15 min ago...ut oh
01[09:15] {@Threei}  The rise in popularity of anti-bailout Syriza over the past few weeks drove market participants to sell Greek assets yesterday. Today's sell-off could be attributed to a continuation of this trend that is being exacerbated by the exit (possible margin calls) of fast money from popular 'hedge fund' trades such as tax inversions (Shire/Abbvie) and Greek bonds and stocks
01[09:16] {@Threei}  so, we are back to that song we heard a few years ago: we don't want your bailout anymore (but thanks for what we already got), and we exit your EU and Euro
01[09:17] {@Threei}  or, as dolphins said, so long and thanks for all the fish
[09:20] {RonS} intc whacked
[09:20] {troub} good morning
[09:21] {dino} so, the old joke is back...merkel arrives in greece customs office, greek guard asks "occupation?" merkel replies, "in a few weeks."
01[09:21] {@Threei}  troub :)
01[09:21] {@Threei}  I heard version "no, just visiting"
[09:25] {jfjf64} morning all
[09:26] {ese} gm
01[09:26] {@Threei}  jf, ese :)
[09:26] {Jenh} Good morning everyone!
01[09:26] {@Threei}  jen :)
[09:27] {ese} vad jf jenh dino ron et al
[09:27] {RonS} hi jen
[09:27] {ese} opps and troub
01[09:28] {@Threei}  Upside:
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -PENX +70% (being acquired by Ingredion for $19/shr cash; total $340M)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -VSR +26% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -APT +18% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -PFE +18% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -LAKE +16% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -IBIO +11% (Ebola momentum)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -ANN +8% (entered non-disclosure agreement with Golden Gate Capital)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -ELX +6% (guides Q1 higher)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  Downside:
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -SHPG -24% (potential deal collapse with ABBV)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -NBG -11% (10-year govt yields continue to rise)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -INTC -4% (in sympathy with ASML revised guidance; positive broker commentary following ASML report)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -STAG -4% (priced offering of 5.5M shares at $21.20/shr)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -ABBV -3% (potential deal collapse with SHPG)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -RIO -2% (Q3 global iron ore production numbers; CEO insists fundamentals are still strong in the steel sector)
01[09:28] {@Threei}  -ASML -2% (earnings & guidance)
[09:28] {troub} and oops to you too, ese :)
01[09:29] {@Threei}  lol
[09:29] {ese} lol
[09:29] {RonS} scanner wicked fast now
[09:30] {jfjf64} what scanner u use rs
[09:30] {RonS} madscan
01[09:31] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CCL  .10 break
01[09:31] {@Threei}  If holds  34
01[09:31] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:32] {@Threei} Long Setup:  DAL  .80 break
01[09:32] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[09:32] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:32] {@Threei}  1:2
01[09:32] {@Threei}  1:3
01[09:33] {@Threei}  1:4, out
[09:33] {jfjf64} ty chief
01[09:33] {@Threei}  yw
[09:34] {dino} 16242 gap filled and then some, s/p gap 1844
[09:34] {jfjf64} rcl
[09:35] {dino} 16.36 s3
[09:36] {dino} 16,036 i mean, busted anyway
[09:36] {dino} ddd green
[09:37] {nemo} spy into 184 gap
[09:39] {nemo} 184.20
[09:39] {RonS} wow vix at 27
[09:40] {jfjf64} gld pushin
[09:41] {nemo} out of Vodka again...oy Guiness stout in the morning
[09:41] {dino} yum
[09:41] {dino} land shark last night
[09:42] {ese} 10% correction almost spyders 184 need to get to 180 at least
[09:42] {dino} 183.773 s3
[09:43] {nemo} 184.20 gap
[09:44] {nemo} pukage time
01[09:44] {@Threei} Long Setup:  CCL  .15 break
01[09:44] {@Threei}  If holds  .05
[09:44] {dino} emes sm l .19
01[09:45] {@Threei}  1:1
01[09:46] {@Threei}  1:2
[09:47] {dino} out emes 71.68, +1.49
01[09:47] {@Threei}  wtg
[09:47] {dino} ty
[09:47] {dino} probably early, but mad markets
[09:47] {ese} this don't look like no bottom to me......not enough volume there
[09:48] {dino} athm green
[09:48] {ese} not like 08 Oct/Nov......that was massive
[09:48] {nemo} ese, you don't see the volume spikes like pre HFT and algo days
[09:49] {dino} luv sm l .51
[09:49] {ese} ya true
[09:49] {nemo} institutional orders are broken up into 1 to 200 share lots
[09:49] {dino} out luv .81, +.30
[09:50] {jfjf64} ty ccl
01[09:50] {@Threei}  1:3
[09:50] {dino} ccl holds well
[09:50] {jfjf64} ;
[09:50] {dino} feye green
[09:50] {ese} hmmmmmmm......theoretically things should take onger then
01[09:50] {@Threei}  1:4, me out
[09:50] {ese} longer
[09:50] {dino} gj
[09:50] {ese} nice one vad
01[09:50] {@Threei}  ty
[09:51] {jfjf64} nice chief
[09:51] {dino} ese, drops are faster imo
[09:51] {dino} 10-15 minutes -300, pretty fast, that used to take hours
[09:52] {dino} markets controlled by traders, not investors
[09:52] {ese} I'd have to agree with that...at least since i've been market involved 98/99
[09:52] {nemo} did 75% of the atr in less than 15 minutes
[09:53] {ese} being all electronic for sure.......more human element back then
[09:53] {dino} little guy not involved anymore. just ask your friends
[09:53] {dino} been burned too bad and too often
01[09:53] {@Threei} Short Setup: GLD  .40 break
[09:53] {ese} likewise
01[09:54] {@Threei}  If holds  .50
01[09:55] {@Threei}  valid
[09:55] {RonS} took emes 70.73 ave out 72.85 +2.12
[09:56] {dino} gj
[09:56] {dino} pulp
[09:56] {jfjf64} nice rs
01[09:56] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[09:56] {@Threei}  wow ron
[09:56] {ese} eeeeowwwwwwzzzzaaaaaa1!!!!!!! nice one ron
[09:57] {dino} ron, you're making my emes trade look bad
[09:58] {RonS} you put me on it...not today but couple of days ago...crude bounce off 80 looks real
[09:59] {nemo} it's real for a couple of days anyway
01[09:59] {@Threei}  GLD got away
[09:59] {nemo} just like this spy gap fill is likely a short term bottom
[09:59] {jfjf64} yes it did
[09:59] {RonS} lol...actually meant just today...
[10:01] {nemo} iwm gap closeing
[10:01] {nemo} holy shit
[10:02] {RonS} panw one to watch...seems to always bounce back...ceo on tv, now 16000 enterprise customers saying been eating everyone's lunch w/ total enterprise security solution
01[10:02] {@Threei}  argh... GLD
[10:02] {ese} indeed.........looking like a big turn around day now
[10:02] {jfjf64} makin me sick
[10:02] {jfjf64} gld
[10:04] {jfjf64} vxx
[10:05] {dino} gwph sm l .10
[10:07] {dino} out gwph .61, +.51
[10:07] {jfjf64} nice dino
[10:08] {nemo} iwm green
[10:08] {dino} ty
01[10:08] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .50 break
01[10:09] {@Threei}  1:1
01[10:09] {@Threei}  lol
01[10:09] {@Threei}  1:2
[10:10] {jfjf64} yeah mama
[10:10] {jfjf64} fast
[10:10] {jfjf64} trading
[10:11] {jfjf64} t/s going crazy
[10:13] {jfjf64} dal has look
[10:16] {RonS} damn emes had another 2 bucks
[10:16] {nemo} algo all green
[10:16] {nemo} not a single red stock
[10:16] {jfjf64} better cancel trip nemo
[10:17] {nemo} why
[10:17] {dino} where you headed nemo?
[10:17] {nemo} Ft. Meade
[10:17] {jfjf64} lots of bennies to take
[10:17] {jfjf64} ft meade
[10:18] {nemo} yep
[10:18] {jfjf64} twtr nice pull bk
[10:19] {RonS} appropriate:  http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/mead
[10:19] {jfjf64} what da ya hv planned  ft meade
[10:19] {nemo} dedication ceremony
[10:19] {jfjf64} that s nice
[10:21] {jfjf64} ya drivin there
[10:21] {nemo} flying
[10:21] {jfjf64} or flyin
[10:22] {dino} enjoy nemo
[10:22] {nemo} that's the plan...going to Oriole's game tonight
[10:23] {dino} awesome
[10:23] {nemo} yeah, it's a beautiful park...been there before...you can stand on Eutaw street and watch the game
[10:23] {jfjf64} that sd be big game
[10:23] {jfjf64} orioles need win
[10:24] {dino} was down on inner harbor for a wedding, very nice
[10:24] {nemo} yeah, just don't stray too far
[10:24] {jfjf64} lol
[10:24] {jfjf64} exactly
[10:24] {nemo} there's a large predator population in the area
[10:24] {jfjf64} lol
[10:24] {nemo} was there with my uncle and his wife when he was in his 70's
[10:25] {nemo} had been separated for a couple of minutes
[10:25] {dino} yeah, back when usf&g was in business they blamed balitmore for their downfall
[10:25] {ese} L aria .37
[10:25] {nemo} I'm coming back and they were circling them
01[10:27] {@Threei} Long Setup:  GLD  119 break
01[10:27] {@Threei}  If holds  .90
[10:29] {nemo} algo heavy green yet indexes retreating...oh oh
[10:30] {ese} out aria .39 +.02
[10:30] {ese} no momo
[10:30] {ese} thought it might have been able to get to .50
[10:30] {jfjf64} die mkt
01[10:31] {@Threei}  1:1
[10:34] {ese} bastard.....oh well....not the first time thats happened
[10:38] {dino} gwph sm l .24
[10:39] {dino} opps .26
[10:41] {dino} .70 giving it trouble
[10:44] {dino} partial out .73, +.47
[10:45] {dino} out remainder .50 +.24, markets dropping
[10:50] {RonS} gdot pressure
[10:51] {nemo} hit the g spot
[10:51] {dino} gwph sm l .01 ave
01[10:54] {@Threei} Long Setup:  FB  .80 break
01[10:54] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[10:54] {@Threei}  Invalidated
01[10:55] {@Threei}  valid again
01[10:55] {@Threei}  nah
01[10:56] {@Threei}  leaving it alone, hectic
[10:56] {nemo} it's gonna go down to vwap
[11:00] {dino} out adf .33, +.31
[11:01] {nemo} FB likely a short here
[11:03] {RonS} nus hung
01[11:04] {@Threei}  not bad ron
[11:05] {nemo} wow
[11:06] {dino} range bound
[11:06] {nemo} pretty amazing the 1 minute range in spy
01[11:19] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .10 break
01[11:19] {@Threei}  If holds  41
[11:20] {dino} gotta hop for hour or so, tax time/accountant meeting
01[11:20] {@Threei}  need help to hide a body?
[11:20] {dino} lol
01[11:20] {@Threei}  1:1
01[11:21] {@Threei}  1:2
01[11:21] {@Threei}  1:3
[11:23] {jfjf64} ty
01[11:24] {@Threei}  yw
[11:25] {jfjf64} ty
[11:25] {jfjf64} dal
[11:25] {jfjf64} ty
[11:29] {jfjf64} keep eye vxx
01[11:59] {@Threei}  Trading volumes are running about double recent levels this morning as wild moves whip around markets. The DJIA has moved 600 points in the first 1.5 hours of trading, dropping 300 points before and just after the open then bouncing higher. The S&P500 dipped below 1840 briefly, to lows last seen in mid April, before bouncing back. With volatility running very hot, the VIX is up sharply, touching 28 at its highs
01[12:22] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .10 break
01[12:22] {@Threei}  If holds  42
01[12:22] {@Threei}  1:1
01[12:22] {@Threei}  perfect bottoming tail
01[12:22] {@Threei}  1:2
01[12:36] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .80 break
01[12:36] {@Threei}  If holds  .70
01[12:37] {@Threei}  just a scalp this time...
01[12:37] {@Threei}  oh well, getting spoiled by all the 1:3s and 1:5s :)
01[12:42] {@Threei}  (US) President Obama to meet with officials responsible for managing Ebola outbreak at the White House later today, to make statement - press - Obama postpones political campaigning trip to New Jersey, Connecticut
01[12:42] {@Threei}  wow... NOW I am scared
01[12:42] {@Threei}  if campaigner-in-chief suspends campaigning, this is serious
[13:01] {jfjf64} this is crazy logix my profits get to certain number I cant put trade in
[13:01] {jfjf64} happened to me Monday also
01[13:02] {@Threei}  hmm?
[13:02] {jfjf64} there response server connection is bad
01[13:02] {@Threei}  you spoke to them?
[13:02] {jfjf64} yes
01[13:02] {@Threei}  what does it have to do with profits?
[13:02] {jfjf64} Skype with them
[13:03] {jfjf64} seems once I get to say 1000 + they have me on lock down
[13:05] {jfjf64} i understand with losses for day
[13:05] {jfjf64} but not profits
01[13:05] {@Threei}  this makes zero sense
[13:06] {jfjf64} they said 100% not reason
01[13:06] {@Threei}  I am sure it's not
[13:06] {jfjf64} bad connection server
[13:07] {cosmo} casino fix...
[13:08] {dino} .
[13:08] {RonS} -
[13:09] {RonS} and they should not have let her...idiots:  CDC on 2nd infected healthcare worker: 'She should not have traveled on a commercial airline'
[13:10] {dino} oh geez
[13:15] {jfjf64} in message console logix what is ya ttr  at
01[13:16] {@Threei}  23
[13:16] {jfjf64} im at 21 ms
[13:16] {dino} lod
01[13:20] {@Threei} Long Setup:  IWM  .40 break
[13:21] {jfjf64} not yet
01[13:21] {@Threei}  change to .30
01[13:21] {@Threei}  If holds  .20
01[13:21] {@Threei}  IWM is holding better than SPY, should bounce first
01[13:22] {@Threei}  change to .20
01[13:23] {@Threei}  1:1
01[13:23] {@Threei}  in a hurry
[13:23] {dino} fas smr l .62
[13:25] {dino} too soon stop .32 -.30
[13:33] {dino} re-load .60
[13:34] {nathan} hi gents
01[13:34] {@Threei}  hey nathan
01[13:34] {@Threei}  whatever you do, do not watch how we ended yesterday
[13:35] {nathan} i did it this morning
[13:35] {nathan} :-)
[13:35] {nathan} man, what a shame!
[13:37] {dino} stopped again
[13:41] {dino} rinsed again
[13:48] {dino} gwph sm l .56
[13:54] {dino} out gwph .45, +89
[13:54] {dino} .89
[13:54] {RonS} gj
[13:55] {dino} ty
[14:05] {nathan} gj dino
[14:10] {dino} ty
[14:18] {nathan} well day done here
[14:18] {nathan} don't want to spoil it as usual
01[14:18] {@Threei}  don't
01[14:19] {@Threei}  profot preservation procedure is a must
01[14:19] {@Threei}  profit too
01[14:19] {@Threei}  here is a bit of wisdom for the day:
[14:19] {nathan} yeah that's why i want to stop today
01[14:19] {@Threei}  most idiots don't know what to do with either, losses and profits,
01[14:20] {@Threei}  some do know what to do with losses, and that's your firsat step away from idiocy
01[14:20] {@Threei}  but that's not enough,
01[14:20] {@Threei}  when you know what to do to keep your profits - that's when you say good bye to idiocy
01[14:20] {@Threei}  because,
01[14:21] {@Threei}  and this is second bit of wisdom for the day:
01[14:21] {@Threei}  Matket is the easiest place to make money, and the hardest place to keep it
[14:21] {nathan} got it 3i!
01[14:21] {@Threei}  With these two buggest of wisdom, I feel my debt to mankind if paid
01[14:21] {@Threei}  is
01[14:21] {@Threei}  niggets
01[14:22] {@Threei}  jnuggets
01[14:22] {@Threei}  jeez
01[14:22] {@Threei}  someone cut my wrists
[14:22] {nathan} :-)
[14:22] {jfjf64} heels
01[14:22] {@Threei}  typing with fins
[14:23] {jfjf64} ya wisdom for day is so true
[14:23] {jfjf64} learn to keep it
[14:23] {nathan} the problem is when you start thinking on money instead of thinking to pick the right trade
01[14:23] {@Threei}  everyone remembers where the profit preservation procedure is described?
01[14:23] {@Threei}  yes nathan
01[14:24] {@Threei}  don't trade to make money
01[14:24] {@Threei}  nemo has great analogy for that,
01[14:24] {@Threei}  about archers' training
[14:24] {nathan} that's what has been my problem lately
[14:26] {nathan} http://blog.realitytrader.com/2011/10/profit-how-do-you-handle-it.html
01[14:26] {@Threei}  this is it
[14:27] {nathan} by the way, where's nemo?
01[14:27] {@Threei}  gone till monday
[14:28] {nathan} ok so...
[14:28] {nathan} cya tomorrow
[14:28] {nathan} have a good night
01[14:29] {@Threei}  you too
[14:30] {jfjf64} great analogy good stuff
01[14:31] {@Threei}  ty
01[14:32] {@Threei}  nemo's one is great too, and very true
[14:32] {jfjf64} what is nemos
01[14:32] {@Threei}  archer training in Taoist monasteries starts with a year of shooting at the blank weall, no target
[14:32] {jfjf64} or do i hv towait to monday
[14:32] {jfjf64} lol
01[14:33] {@Threei}  they need to learn right technique
01[14:33] {@Threei}  without trying to hit the target
01[14:33] {@Threei}  attempt to hit the target prevents from learning correct movements, posture etc
01[14:34] {@Threei}  When those things are learned, skill to hit the target comes almost by itself, and is actually the easiest part
[14:34] {jfjf64} very good
[14:35] {jfjf64} so true to realte to our trading
01[14:35] {@Threei}  heard an exchange between old hand in photography wioth a newbie, very much along the same lines
01[14:35] {@Threei}  Guy asled him how to market his images, where to sell, how to price etc
01[14:36] {@Threei}  His answer made me smile
01[14:36] {@Threei}  "First learn to make images worth selling. Sales will come by themselves"
[14:37] {jfjf64} priceless
01[14:37] {@Threei}  isn't it
[14:37] {jfjf64} so true
[14:38] {jfjf64} mytrading carrer is process if call carrer
[14:39] {jfjf64} learnin to loss was big part of it
[14:40] {jfjf64} learnin to profit and hold profits is huge
01[14:40] {@Threei}  hmmm... I see my typing is contagious
[14:40] {jfjf64} getting there
[14:40] {jfjf64} lol
01[14:40] {@Threei}  sorry jf...
[14:40] {jfjf64} typing with heels
[14:40] {jfjf64} eyes close
[14:46] {jfjf64} liked ccl short.46
[14:47] {jfjf64} still cant put orders in
[14:47] {jfjf64} one way to keep profits
01[14:49] {@Threei}  lol
[14:57] {jfjf64} gonna run
[14:57] {jfjf64} good nigt
[14:57] {jfjf64} ty
01[14:58] {@Threei}  take care jf
01[15:18] {@Threei} Long Setup:  VXX  .70 break
01[15:19] {@Threei}  If holds  .60
01[15:19] {@Threei}  change to .60
01[15:19] {@Threei}  lol
[15:28] {RonS} outta here...thanks 3i... good night to all
01[15:28] {@Threei}  take care ron
[15:38] {dino} have to go, my father-in law just died
01[15:38] {@Threei}  ouch
01[15:38] {@Threei}  sorry
01[15:38] {@Threei}  OK guys, see you tomorrow
[15:39] {dino} sucks, he was like a father to me for the last 21 years, as my father died 26 years ago
01[15:40] {@Threei}  :(